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MICHIGAN STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY

WDIV/DETROIT NEWS
600 SAMPLE

JANUARY 8, 2020

Michigan Statewide Survey 1


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page Topic

2 Methodology

3 Key Findings

14 Aggregate Survey Results

27 Cross-tabulation Report

METHODOLOGY

The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a Michigan statewide survey of November 2020 likely general election voters. The 600
sample, live operator telephone survey was conducted on January 3-7, 2020 and has a margin of error of +/-4.0 percent with a 95
percent level of confidence. 50.0 percent of respondents were contacted via landline telephone. 50.0 percent of respondents were
contacted via cell phone telephone. This survey was commissioned by the Glengariff Group, Inc. as part of our public polling
program and provided to WDIV Local 4 and the Detroit News.

Michigan Statewide Survey 2


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
KEY FINDINGS

Historic Motivation to Vote Continues Unabated

 The motivation to vote in the 2020 election among Michigan voters continues at 9.5 on a 10.0 point scale. Unchanged from
2019 surveys.

 No demographic groups comes in at a motivation to vote below 9.0.

 The chart below compares motivation to vote by party affiliation dating back to October 2012.

Party Affiliation Oct 12 Oct 14 Oct 16 Oct 18 June 19 Jan 20


Strong Democratic 8.5 7.0 6.7 9.6 9.6 9.7
Lean Democratic 7.4 6.4 4.7 9.5 9.3 9.6
Independent 6.6 5.9 5.6 8.9 9.1 9.1
Lean Republican 8.3 6.2 6.2 9.2 9.5 9.3
Strong Republican 8.4 6.9 6.5 9.5 9.6 9.6

Whitmer Job Approval Takes Slight Drop

 Governor Whitmer’s job approval is 43.3 percent approve to 35.9 percent disapprove. This percentage represents a seven
percent drop from June 2019 when her job approval was 50.7 percent-23.7 percent. [Note: That survey represents figures
directly after passage of the auto no fault legislation.]

 The chart below compares her approval by party affiliation.

Party Affiliation Approve Disapprove


Strong Democratic 66.0 percent 13.4 percent
Lean Democratic 46.9 percent 19.0 percent
Independent 45.3 percent 30.7 percent
Lean Republican 22.4 percent 50.4 percent
Strong Republican 18.6 percent 64.0 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 3


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
 Voters in Out State are split on Governor Whitmer’s performance with 39.9 percent approve to 41.7 percent disapprove.
Voters in Metro Detroit approve of the Governor’s performance by a margin of 47.6 percent-31.6 percent. Voters over the age
of 65 approve of the Governor’s performance 48.9 percent-36.1 percent.

Trump Numbers See Minor Improvement [Inside the Margin of Error]

 By a margin of 39.8 percent-51.2 percent, Michigan voters have an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump. These numbers
represent a minor improvement within the margin of error from previous surveys.

Survey Period Favorable Unfavorable


January 2018 34.8 percent 55.8 percent
September 2018 37.0 percent 56.6 percent
October 2018 37.7 percent 56.5 percent
January 2019 37.5 percent 53.3 percent
June 2019 36.8 percent 53.7 percent
January 2020 39.8 percent 51.2 percent

 By a margin of 47.4 percent-49.0 percent, Michigan voters disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President. This is
a slight improvement from 44.3 percent-52.0 percent in June 2019.

 But while 29.2 percent strongly approve of his performance, 44.0 percent strongly disapprove of his performance. Strong
disapproval of the President’s performance has not shifted over the past three years.

Trump Job Approval


Strongly approve 29.2 percent
Somewhat approve 18.2 percent
Somewhat disapprove 5.2 percent
Strongly disapprove 44.0 percent

 Men approve of President Trump by a margin of 55.2 percent-42.1 percent. But women strongly disapprove of President
Trump by a margin of 40.0 percent-55.8 percent. The improvement in President Trump’s numbers has come from men who
were +4.2 percent in June 2019 and have increased to +13.1 percent in January 2020.

Michigan Statewide Survey 4


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
 The chart below highlights the extreme differences playing out by gender between Metro Detroit and Out State voters. The
difference at this point is the disapproval of Metro Detroit men.

Region by Gender Trump Approve Trump Disapprove


Out State Men 69.3 percent 30.0 percent
Metro Men 41.9 percent 53.4 percent
Out State women 47.1 percent 47.9 percent
Metro Women 33.3 percent 63.5 percent

 The chart below looks at white men by education level.

White Men by Education Trump Approve Trump Disapprove


Men- High School 78.0 percent 21.9 percent
Men – Some Post 64.4 percent 34.2 percent
Men – College 57.4 percent 39.8 percent

 The chart below looks at white women by education level.

White Women by Educ Trump Approve Trump Disapprove


Women - High School 53.5 percent 40.9 percent
Women – Some Post 60.3 percent 36.9 percent
Women – College 36.6 percent 57.1 percent

Trump Re-Elect Remains Consistent, Signals Incumbent Vulnerability

 Voters were asked if they would vote to re-elect President Trump or vote for someone else. 51.5 percent of voters would vote
to elect someone new with 46.3 percent definitely voting for someone new. 35.5 percent of voters would vote to re-elect
President Trump with 29.0 percent definitely voting to re-elect the President.

 These numbers have remained unchanged since June 2019.

Michigan Statewide Survey 5


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
 Among Independent voters, 27.3 percent would vote to re-elect the President while 46.2 percent would elect someone new.
16.2 percent would DEFINITELY RE-ELECT the President while 36.8 percent would DEFINITELY VOTE FOR SOMEONE
NEW.

 Incumbent officials with a re-election number under 50 percent are considered vulnerable.

Comparing Donald Trump and John Dingell in Metro Detroit; Dingell Far More Popular

 Respondents were asked their personal opinions of both Donald Trump and former Congressman John Dingell.

 Donald Trump has a favorable/unfavorable in Southeast Michigan of 31 percent-58 percent, underwater by a 27 percent-point
margin.

 John Dingell has a favorable/unfavorable in Southeast Michigan of 39 percent-18 percent, above water by a 21 percent-point
margin

Trump and Top Five Dem Presidential Candidates Have Name Identification Underwater

 The chart below looks at name identification of the top five polling Democratic candidates for President. All five candidates,
along with President Trump have name identification that is underwater. Only Joe Biden has seen a statistically significant
shift in his favorable/ unfavorable moving from 46 percent-37 percent in June 2019 to 34 percent-44 percent in January 2020.
Bernie Sanders now has the most favorable name identification among the Democratic candidates by a narrow margin over Joe
Biden.

Candidate Favorable Unfavorable


Donald Trump 39.8 percent 51.2 percent
Joe Biden 34.0 percent 43.8 percent
Elizabeth Warren 26.3 percent 40.0 percent
Bernie Sanders 39.0 percent 44.7 percent
Pete Buttigieg 22.2 percent 28.5 percent
Mike Bloomberg 16.3 percent 37.5 percent
Michigan Statewide Survey 6
January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
 The chart below compares favorable/unfavorable by Independent voters. Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders have the highest
negatives among Independent voters. Mike Bloomberg (-19), Donald Trump (-14), and Elizabeth Warren (-15) have name
identification furthest underwater with Independent voters.

Independent Voters
Candidate Favorable Unfavorable
Donald Trump 34.2 percent 48.7 percent
Joe Biden 30.8 percent 34.2 percent
Elizabeth Warren 20.5 percent 35.9 percent
Bernie Sanders 34.2 percent 44.4 percent
Pete Buttigieg 29.9 percent 33.3 percent
Mike Bloomberg 15.4 percent 34.2 percent

 The chart below compares name identification among Strong Democratic voters and Leaning Democratic Voters. Biden holds
the highest favorable among Strong Democratic voters while Sanders holds the strongest favorable among Leaning Democratic
voters. Mike Bloomberg has the highest unfavorable among both groups.

Strong Democratic Voters Leaning Democratic Voters


Candidate Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Unfavorable
Joe Biden 62.4 percent 19.6 percent 37.9 percent 19.0 percent
Elizabeth Warren 55.7 percent 9.8 percent 31.0 percent 24.0 percent
Bernie Sanders 73.7 percent 9.3 percent 56.9 percent 19.0 percent
Pete Buttigieg 42.3 percent 13.4 percent 32.8 percent 8.6 percent
Mike Bloomberg 25.8 percent 26.3 percent 13.8 percent 22.4 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 7


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
All Five Democrats Hold Narrow Lead: Biden at 6.9 percent and Bloomberg at 6.0 percent Hold Strongest Leads

All five Democratic candidates hold a lead over Donald Trump. Joe Biden holds the widest lead at 6.9 percent. Mike Bloomberg
holds a lead of 6.0 percent.

Bernie Sanders holds a lead just outside of the margin of error at 4.2 percent.

While Warren and Buttigieg hold minor leads, they are both within the survey’s +/-4.0 percent margin of error.

Trump 43.2 percent Biden Lead +6.9 percent


Biden 50.1 percent
Undecided 5.2 percent

Trump 41.2 percent Bloomberg Lead +6.0 percent


Bloomberg 47.2 percent
Undecided 10.2 percent

Trump 44.8 percent Sanders Lead +4.2 percent


Sanders 49.0 percent
Undecided 5.0 percent

Trump 43.2 percent Buttigieg Lead +1.8 percent [Within the Margin of Error]
Buttigieg 45.0 percent
Undecided 10.3 percent

Trump 44.0 percent Warren Lead +1.7 percent [Within the Margin of Error]
Warren 45.7 percent
Undecided 8.2 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 8


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
 The chart below compares each race by gender where a significant gap exists between the genders. Biden holds a substantial
lead among women by 22 percent with three other candidates hovering around +17 percent. Trump holds a 9-point lead
among men with Biden and Sanders, but only a 6.7 percent lead among Bloomberg. Trump holds double digit leads among
men with Buttigieg and Warren. Warren appears to be particularly weak among male voters.

Women
Trump 35.3 percent Biden 57.3 percent Biden +22.0 percent
Trump 38.1 percent Sanders 55.2 percent Sanders +17.1 percent
Trump 35.9 percent Warren 53.2 percent Warren +17.3 percent
Trump 36.8 percent Buttigieg 49.7 percent Buttigieg +12.9 percent
Trump 34.6 percent Bloomberg 52.2 percent Bloomberg +17.6 percent

Men
Trump 51.7 percent Biden 42.4 percent Trump +9.3 percent
Trump 52.0 percent Sanders 42.3 percent Trump +9.7 percent
Trump 52.8 percent Warren 37.5 percent Trump +15.3 percent
Trump 50.0 percent Buttigieg 39.9 percent Trump +11.1 percent
Trump 48.3 percent Bloomberg 41.6 percent Trump +6.7 percent

 The chart below compares the race with Independent voters. Biden appears the strongest against President Trump among
independent voters leading by 5.8 percent. Bloomberg is second strongest among Independent voters against President Trump
with a narrow 3.3 percent lead. President Trump is strongest among Independent voters against Elizabeth Warren leading by
5.9 percent.

Independent Head to Head Presidential Contest


Trump 36.8 percent Biden 42.6 percent Undecided 17.1 percent Biden +5.8
percent
Trump 40.2 percent Sanders 41.9 percent Undecided 16.2 percent Sanders +1.7
percent [Margin of Error]
Trump 41.0 percent Warren 35.1 percent Undecided 19.7 percent Trump +5.9
percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 9


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
Trump 38.4 percent Buttigieg 35.1 percent Undecided 23.1 percent Trump +3.3
percent [Margin of Error]
Trump 34.2 percent Bloomberg 37.6 percent Undecided 24.8 percent Bloomberg
+3.4 percent [Margin of Error]

Type of Town You Live in Overriding Factor in Presidential Race: Biden Best Positioned Against Trump in Rural Areas

 Respondents were asked if they live in an urban area, a suburban area, a small town or a rural area. The type of town a voter
lives in is having an overriding effect on how they will vote in November. All Democratic candidates hold substantial leads in
Urban and Suburban areas. President Trump continues to have major problems in suburban areas.

 But President Trump holds substantial leads in rural areas and a minor lead among voters that live in small towns.

 Biden appears best positioned among all Democratic candidates we tested in holding down President Trump’s margins in rural
areas.

 Voters that live in small towns appear to most closely split among the candidates.

Area Trump/Biden Trump/Sanders Trump/Bloomberg Trump/Warren Trump/Buttigieg


Urban Area: +46.4 percent Biden +43.5 percent Sanders +47.5 percent Bloomberg +37.7 percent Warren +39.6
percent Buttigieg
Suburban Area: +21.5 percent Biden +19.2 percent Sanders +21.1 percent Bloomberg +15.1 percent Warren +14.7
percent Buttigieg
Small Town Area: +7.9 percent Trump +8.6 percent Trump +8.0 Trump +5.1 percent Trump
+8.0 Trump
Rural Area: +33.3 percent Trump +41.0 percent Trump +36.4 Trump +43.4 percent Trump +39.5 percent Trump

Michigan Statewide Survey 10


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
Voters Hold More Nuanced Position on Ukraine Matter than Impeachment Vs. No Impeachment

 Voters were asked a battery of four questions about President Trump’s actions with the nation of Ukraine.

 By a margin of 49.5 percent-33.5 percent voters say the President’s behavior was inappropriate or wrong as compared
to appropriate.

 By a split margin of 40.7 percent-38.0 percent, voters say the President’s behavior was illegal as compared to legal. 21.3
percent of voters are not sure if his behavior was legal.

 By a margin of 49.7 percent-38.5 percent, voters believe the President’s behavior was not in the best interest of the United
States.

 By a margin of 50.9 percent-43.5 percent, Michigan voters oppose the impeachment and removal from office of Donald Trump
as President.

o In June 2019, Michigan voters opposed impeachment by a margin of 52.8 percent-39.6 percent. There has been a
four-point increase in support for impeachment and a two-point decrease in opposition to impeachment.
o 42.2 percent of voters strongly oppose his impeachment and removal while 35.3 percent strongly support his
impeachment and removal.

How Independent Voters View the Ukraine Issue

 By a margin of 47.9 percent-19.7 percent, Independent voters believe the President’s actions with the Ukraine were
inappropriate and wrong.

 By a margin of 36.8 percent-31.6 percent, Independent voters believe the President’s actions were illegal. 31.6 percent of
Independent voters do not know if they were illegal.

 By a margin of 43.6 percent-35.9 percent, Independent voters believe the President’s actions were not in the interest of the
United States.
Michigan Statewide Survey 11
January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
 By a margin of 49.6 percent-36.8 percent, Independent voters oppose the impeachment and removal from office of President
Trump.

Michigan US Senate Race Appears a Toss Up: Peters Holds Narrow 3.8 percent Lead

 Michigan’s United States Senate Race appears to be a tossup at this stage with Gary Peters holding a narrow lead of 3.8
percent -- which is inside the survey’s margin of error.

 Gary Peters 43.5 percent


 John James 39.7 percent
 Undecided 16.3 percent

 Gary Peters has 69.9 percent name identification breaking 25.5 percent favorable to 21.7 percent unfavorable.

 John James has 59.0 percent name identification breaking 23.5 percent favorable to 15.8 percent unfavorable.
 Among independent voters Peters holds a narrow lead of 32.5 percent-29.0 percent -- or 3.5 percent.

 Peters leads among women by a margin of 50.3 percent-33.6 percent. But James leads among men by a margin of 46.2
percent-36.1 percent.

Conclusion

 Motivation to vote continues at historic levels in Michigan at 9.5. That motivation exists across all demographic groups.

 Governor Whitmer’s job approval has dipped slightly from June 2019 following auto insurance reform but still holds at 43.3
percent approve to 35.9 percent disapprove.

 President Trump’s job approval has seen a minor increase within the survey’s margin of error from previous surveys. But his
re-elect number continues at just 35.5 percent re-elect and 51.5 percent voting for someone new.

Michigan Statewide Survey 12


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
 A comparison in attitudes toward President Trump and former Congressman John Dingell in Southeast Michigan shows that
while President Trump is viewed unfavorably by a margin of 31 percent-58 percent (-27 percent), John Dingell is viewed
favorably by a margin of 39 percent-18 percent (+21 percent).

 Joe Biden continues to hold a 7- point lead on Donald Trump in Michigan. The second strongest contender is Mike
Bloomberg who holds a 6-point lead. Bernie Sanders holds a lead of 4.2 percent just outside the margin of error. But Pete
Buttgieg and Elizabeth Warren are in a dead heat against Donald Trump in Michigan.

 There continues to be a massive gender gap in Michigan with Biden holding a 22 percent lead among women while Trump
holds a 9 percent lead among men.

 Among Independent voters, Biden holds a 6-point lead on Trump. But Trump holds a 6-point lead among independents
against Warren.

 What type of town you live appears to be a significant factor in your presidential choice. Biden holds a 46 percent lead in
urban areas and a 22 percent lead in suburban areas. But Trump holds an 8 percent lead in small towns and a 33 percent lead
in rural areas. Biden appears to be the best positioned Democratic candidate to narrow Trump’s dominance in his rural
strongholds. The race appears closest among voters that say they live in small towns.
 Voters attitudes on impeachment have experienced a minor shift on impeachment since June 2020 but they are still opposed to
impeachment by a margin of 49.7 percent-38.5 percent. But voter attitudes on the Ukraine issue appear far more nuanced than
just their attitudes on impeachment. Michigan voters believe President Trump’s actions in the Ukraine were wrong and
inappropriate by a 16-point margin. By a narrow 2.7 percent margin, voter believe his action were illegal. And by a wider
11-point margin voters believe his actions were not in the best interest in the United States.

 Michigan’s US Senate race appears to be a dead heat with incumbent Senator Gary Peters leading Republican John James by a
narrow 3.8 percent within the survey’s margin of error. Both candidates have room to grow in terms of statewide name
identification with Peters at 70 percent and James at 59 percent name identification.

Michigan Statewide Survey 13


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Glengariff Group, Inc.
MICHIGAN STATEWIDE SURVEY
JANUARY 2020

Hello, my name is _________. I’m not selling anything. I’m doing a quick survey of voters’ attitudes in Michigan. It should take
approximately six minutes.

A. Are you registered to vote at the address I am calling?

1. Yes…..CONTINUE 100.0 percent (600)


2. No….TERMINATE

B. This November, Michigan voters will go to the polls to vote in the Presidential election. Would you say are definitely going
to vote, probably going to vote, probably not going to vote, or definitely not going to vote?

1. Definitely going to vote….CONTINUE 87.7 percent (526)

Michigan Statewide Survey 14


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
2. Probably going to vote….CONTINUE 12.3 percent (74)
3. Probably not going to vote….TERMINATE
4. Definitely not going to vote….TERMINATE

1. And could you tell me in what county you vote in?

1. UP/North 13.0 percent (78)


2. West 11.2 percent (67)
3. Southwest 8.3 percent (50)
4. Mid Michigan 8.7 percent (52)
5. East Central 7.7 percent (46)
6. Oakland 13.2 percent (79)
7. Macomb 8.5 percent (51)
8. Wayne 11.7 percent (70)
9. City of Detroit 6.7 percent (40)
10. Remainder of Detroit MSA 11.2 percent (67)

2. CODE:

1. Outstate 48.8 percent (293)


(UP/North, West, Southwest, Mid, East Central)
2. Metro Detroit 51.2 percent (307)
(Oakland, Macomb, Wayne, Detroit, Detroit MSA)

3. If the election for State House was held today, generally speaking would you say you would vote for the [ROTATE]
Democratic candidate or would you vote for the Republican candidate?

1. Democratic 40.0 percent (240)


2. Republican 36.5 percent (219)
3. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 22.0 percent (132)
4. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.5 percent (9)

Michigan Statewide Survey 15


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
4. Thinking back four years, would you say you are better off financially, worse off financially or would you say financially
things are about the same for you as they were four years ago?

1. Better 43.5 percent (261)


2. Worse 12.2 percent (73)
3. The Same 42.7 percent (256)
4. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.7 percent (10)

5. Would you say Michigan is on the right track or would you say the state is on the wrong track?

1. Right Track 44.5 percent (267)


2. Wrong Track 26.2 percent (157)
3. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 29.3 percent (176)

I am going to read you the names of several people you might have heard of. For each, please tell me if you have a favorable or
unfavorable impression of that person.

6. Donald Trump NAME ID: 99.8 percent

1. Heard, favorable 39.8 percent (239)


2. Heard, unfavorable 51.2 percent (307)
3. Heard, no opinion 8.8 percent (53)
4. Never heard of 0.0 percent (0)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.2 percent (1)

7. Joe Biden NAME ID: 98.0 percent

1. Heard, favorable 34.0 percent (204)


2. Heard, unfavorable 43.8 percent (263)
3. Heard, no opinion 19.5 percent (117)
4. Never heard of 1.8 percent (11)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.8 percent (5)

Michigan Statewide Survey 16


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
8. Elizabeth Warren NAME ID: 85.1 percent

1. Heard, favorable 26.3 percent (158)


2. Heard, unfavorable 40.0 percent (240)
3. Heard, no opinion 18.8 percent (113)
4. Never heard of 14.7 percent (88)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.2 percent (1)

9. Bernie Sanders NAME ID: 98.2 percent

1. Heard, favorable 39.0 percent (234)


2. Heard, unfavorable 44.7 percent (268)
3. Heard, no opinion 14.5 percent (87)
4. Never heard of 1.3 percent (8)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.5 percent (3)

10. Pete Buttigieg NAME ID: 70.6 percent

1. Heard, favorable 22.2 percent (133)


2. Heard, unfavorable 28.5 percent (171)
3. Heard, no opinion 20.0 percent (120)
4. Never heard of 28.7 percent (172)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.7 percent (4)

11. Mike Bloomberg NAME ID: 81.5 percent

1. Heard, favorable 16.3 percent (98)


2. Heard, unfavorable 37.5 percent (225)
3. Heard, no opinion 27.7 percent (166)
4. Never heard of 16.7 percent (100)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.8 percent (11)

Michigan Statewide Survey 17


January 2020
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12. Gretchen Whitmer NAME ID: 91.3 percent

1. Heard, favorable 32.7 percent (196)


2. Heard, unfavorable 38.7 percent (232)
3. Heard, no opinion 20.0 percent (120)
4. Never heard of 7.5 percent (45)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.2 percent (7)

13. Gary Peters NAME ID: 69.9 percent

1. Heard, favorable 25.5 percent (153)


2. Heard, unfavorable 21.7 percent (130)
3. Heard, no opinion 22.7 percent (136)
4. Never heard of 28.5 percent (171)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.7 percent (10)

14. John James NAME ID: 59.0 percent

1. Heard, favorable 23.5 percent (141)


2. Heard, unfavorable 15.8 percent (95)
3. Heard, no opinion 19.7 percent (118)
4. Never heard of 39.7 percent (238)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.3 percent (8)

15. John Dingell NAME ID: 67.3 percent

1. Heard, favorable 28.3 percent (170)


2. Heard, unfavorable 17.8 percent (107)
3. Heard, no opinion 21.2 percent (127)
4. Never heard of 31.2 percent (187)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.5 percent (9)

Michigan Statewide Survey 18


January 2020
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16. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Gretchen Whitmer as Governor of Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE DISAPPROVE?

1. Strongly approve 11.3 percent (68) APPROVE: 43.3


percent
2. Somewhat approve 32.0 percent (192)
3. Somewhat disapprove 16.3 percent (98)
4. Strongly disapprove 20.2 percent (121) DISAPPROVE:35.9
percent
5. Neither approve, nor disapprove/ No Opinion…DO NOT OFFER 15.7 percent (94)
6. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 4.5 percent (27)

17. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States? ASK: WOULD
THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

1. Strongly approve 29.2 percent (175) APPROVE: 47.4


percent
2. Somewhat approve 18.2 percent (109)
3. Somewhat disapprove 5.2 percent (31)
4. Strongly disapprove 44.0 percent (264) DISAPPROVE 49.0
percent
5. Neither approve, nor disapprove/ No Opinion….DO NOT OFFER 3.2 percent (19)
6. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 0.3 percent (2)

Michigan Statewide Survey 19


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18. Will you vote to re-elect Donald Trump as President, or will you vote for someone else to be President? IF RE-ELECT/
SOMEONE ELSE, ASK: WILL YOU DEFINITELY VOTE TO RE-ELECT/ELECT SOMEONE NEW OR WILL YOU
PROBABLY VOTE TO RE-ELECT/ELECT SOMEONE NEW FOR PRESIDENT?

1. Definitely vote to re-elect 29.0 percent (174) RE-ELECT 35.5


percent
2. Probably vote to re-elect 6.5 percent (39)
3. Depends/ Depends who the Dem Nominee is…DO NOT OFFER 7.3 percent (44) DEPENDS 7.3
percent
4. Probably vote to elect someone else 5.2 percent (31)
5. Definitely vote to elect someone else 46.3 percent (278) NEW 51.5
percent
6. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 5.7 percent (34)

Now I want you to think about the Presidential election.

19. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Joe Biden was
the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU
LEAN?

1. Trump 42.0 percent (252) TRUMP: 43.2


percent
2. Lean Trump 1.2 percent (7)

Michigan Statewide Survey 20


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
3. Biden 47.3 percent (284) BIDEN: 50.1
percent
4. Lean Biden 2.8 percent (17)
5. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 5.2 percent (31) UNDECIDED: 5.2
percent
6. Other….DO NOT OFFER 1.3 percent (8)
7. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.2 percent (1)

20. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders
was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU
LEAN?

1. Trump 43.5 percent (261) TRUMP: 44.8


percent
2. Lean Trump 1.3 percent (8)
3. Sanders 46.8 percent (281) SANDERS: 49.0
percent
4. Lean Sanders 2.2 percent (13)
5. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 5.0 percent (30) UNDECIDED: 5.0
percent
6. Other….DO NOT OFFER 0.8 percent (5)
7. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.3 percent (2)

Michigan Statewide Survey 21


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
21. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Elizabeth
Warren was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY
DO YOU LEAN?

1. Trump 43.0 percent (258) TRUMP: 44.0


percent
2. Lean Trump 1.0 percent (6)
3. Warren 42.7 percent (256) WARREN: 45.7
percent
4. Lean Warren 3.0 percent (18)
5. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 8.2 percent (49) UNDECIDED: 8.2
percent
6. Other….DO NOT OFFER 1.8 percent (11)
7. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.3 percent (2)

22. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Pete Buttigieg
was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU
LEAN?

1. Trump 41.7 percent (250) TRUMP: 43.2


percent
2. Lean Trump 1.5 percent (9)
3. Buttigieg 41.8 percent (251) BUTTIGIEG: 45.0
percent
4. Lean Buttigieg 3.2 percent (19)
5. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 10.3 percent (62) UNDECIDED: 10.3
percent
6. Other….DO NOT OFFER 1.3 percent (8)
7. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.2 percent (1)

Michigan Statewide Survey 22


January 2020
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23. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Michael
Bloomberg was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH
WAY DO YOU LEAN?

1. Trump 39.5 percent (237) TRUMP: 41.2


percent
2. Lean Trump 1.7 percent (10)
3. Bloomberg 43.7 percent (262) BLOOMBERG 47.2
percent
4. Lean Bloomberg 3.5 percent (21)
5. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 10.2 percent (61) UNDECIDED: 10.2
percent
6. Other….DO NOT OFFER 1.3 percent (8)
7. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.2 percent (1)

24. I want you to think about President Trump’s actions with the nation of Ukraine. Do you believe his actions were appropriate
for a President, or would you say his actions were inappropriate and he did something wrong?

1. Appropriate 33.5 percent (201)


2. Inappropriate/ Wrong 49.5 percent (297)
3. Don’t Know/ Not Sure/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 17.0 percent (102)

25. Do believe President Trump’s actions were legal or would say his actions were illegal?

1. Legal 38.0 percent (228)


2. Illegal 40.7 percent (244)
3. Don’t Know/ Not Sure/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 21.3 percent (128)

26. Would you say his actions were or were not in the interest of the United States?

Michigan Statewide Survey 23


January 2020
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1. Were in US interest 38.5 percent (231)
2. Were not in US interest 49.7 percent (298)
3. Don’t Know/ Not Sure/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 11.8 percent (71)

27. Do you support or oppose the impeachment and removal from office of Donald Trump as President? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

1. Strongly support 35.3 percent (212)


2. Somewhat support 8.2 percent (49)
3. Somewhat oppose 8.7 percent (52)
4. Strongly oppose 42.2 percent (253)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 5.7 percent (34)

28. Now that the House of Representatives have impeached President Trump, would you say that the U.S. Senate will or will not
give the impeachment trial a fair hearing?

1. Will give fair hearing 38.5 percent (231)


2. Will not give fair hearing 47.0 percent (282)
3. Not Sure/ Don’t Know…DO NOT OFFER 14.0 percent (84)
4. Refused….DO NOT OFFER 0.5 percent (3)

29. If the election for the United State Senate were held today, and [ROTATE] Gary Peters was the Democratic nominee and John
James was the Republican nominee, who would you vote for to be Michigan’s United States Senator? IF DON’T KNOW,
ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?

1. Peters 40.3 percent (242)


2. Lean Peters 3.2 percent (19)
3. James 36.5 percent (219)
4. Lean James 3.2 percent (19)
5. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 16.3 percent (98)
6. Other __________________ 0.2 percent (1)

Michigan Statewide Survey 24


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
7. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.3 percent (2)

Now a few questions for statistical purposes.

30. Generally speaking, would you say you tend to vote mostly for Republican candidates, do you vote mostly for Democratic
candidates, or would you say you vote equally for both Republican and Democratic candidates? IF VOTE EQUALLY ASK:
WOULD YOU SAY YOU LEAN MORE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY ORMORE TO THE REPUBLICAN PARTY,
OR WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE AN INDEPENDENT VOTER?

1. Strongly Democratic 32.3 percent (194)


2. Lean Democratic 9.7 percent (58)
3. Independent 19.5 percent (117)
4. Lean Republican 9.7 percent (58)
5. Strong Republican 27.8 percent (167)
6. Other/ Refused/ Don’t Know….DO NOT OFFER 1.0 percent (6)

31. And on a scale of one to ten, with one being very low and ten being very high, how motivated are you to vote in this
November’s Presidential election? You can choose any number from one to ten.
SCORE: 9.5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 DK/Ref
0.5 percent 0.0 percent 0.2 percent 0.5 percent 2.2 percent 2.3 percent 3.0 percent 3.3 percent 4.7 percent
83.0 percent 0.3 percent

32. What would be the last year of schooling you completed?

1. High school graduate or less 21.3 percent (128)


2. Vocational Training/ Some Community College/ Some College 31.3 percent (188)
3. College Graduate 46.7 percent (280)
4. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 0.7 percent (4)

Michigan Statewide Survey 25


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
33. Could you please tell me in what year you were born?

1. 18-29 (1991-2002) 17.5 percent (105)


2. 30-39 (1981-1990) 18.2 percent (109)
3. 40-49 (1971-1980) 17.0 percent (102)
4. 50-64 (1956-1970) 24.7 percent (148)
5. 65+ (1955 and before) 22.2 percent (133)
6. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 0.5 percent (3)

34. And would you say you live in an urban area, a suburban area, a small town, or a rural area?

1. Urban 16.8 percent (101)


2. Suburban 36.3 percent (218)
3. Small Town 23.0 percent (138)
4. Rural 21.5 percent (129)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 2.3 percent (14)

35. And what is your race or ethnic background?

1. Caucasian 74.7 percent (448)


2. African American 14.3 percent (86)
3. Hispanic/ Puerto Rican/ Mexican American 2.0 percent (12)
4. Asian 1.3 percent (8)
5. Mixed Race….DO NOT OFFER 1.3 percent (8)
6. Native American 0.3 percent (2)
7. Other/ Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 6.0 percent (36)

Michigan Statewide Survey 26


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
36. And where would you say you primarily get your POLITICAL news?

1. Local television news 20.3 percent (122)


2. Fox News 14.5 percent (87)
3. CNN/MSNBC 10.8 percent (65)
4. Networks (ABC/CBS/NBC) 7.0 percent (42)
5. Radio 7.7 percent (46)
6. Newspapers and newspaper websites 12.5 percent (75)
7. Social media like Facebook and Twitter 11.2 percent (67)
8. Political websites like Breitbart, the Huffington Post 5.5 percent (33)
the Drudge Report
9. Other__________________________________________ 4.7 percent (28)
10. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 5.8 percent (35)

37. Gender: BY OBSERVATION

1. Male 48.0 percent (288)


2. Female 52.0 percent (312)

38. Telephone

1. Cell 50.0 percent (300)


2. Landline 50.0 percent (300)

39. This survey was commissioned by the news media. Occasionally, they choose to talk to
several participants of the survey. Can we release your name and telephone number to them if they want to talk to you? Or
would you prefer that your opinions remain confidential? IF YES, ASK:

Michigan Statewide Survey 27


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
AND CAN YOU CONFIRM YOUR NAME? _______________________________

WRITE IN TELEPHONE NUMBER ______________________________________

3. If the election for State House was held today, generally speaking would you say you would vote for the [ROTATE]
Democratic candidate or would you vote for the Republican candidate?

Dem GOP
Out 30.4 percent 46.4 percent
Metro 49.2 percent 27.0 percent

Strong Dem 91.8 percent 0.5 percent


Lean Dem 50.0 percent 3.4 percent
Independent 20.5 percent 20.5 percent
Lean GOP 5.2 percent 65.5 percent
Strong GOP 3.0 percent 91.0 percent

High 36.7 percent 41.4 percent


Some Post 35.6 percent 43.1 percent
College 44.3 percent 30.0 percent

Male 33.3 percent 42.7 percent


Female 46.2 percent 30.8 percent

18-29 46.7 percent 27.6 percent


30-39 37.6 percent 35.8 percent
40-49 36.3 percent 31.4 percent
50-64 37.2 percent 42.6 percent
65+ 42.1 percent 42.1 percent

White 32.1 percent 44.9 percent


Afr Amer 83.7 percent 3.5 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 28


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
4. Thinking back four years, would you say you are better off financially, worse off financially or would you say financially
things are about the same for you as they were four years ago?

Better Worse Same


Out 50.5 percent 11.6 percent 35.8 percent
Metro 36.8 percent 12.7 percent 49.2 percent

Strong Dem 21.6 percent 16.0 percent 59.3 percent


Lean Dem 29.3 percent 13.8 percent 55.2 percent
Independent 38.5 percent 16.2 percent 45.3 percent
Lean GOP 56.9 percent 5.2 percent 37.9 percent
Strong GOP 72.5 percent 6.6 percent 19.2 percent

High 40.6 percent 10.2 percent 47.7 percent


Some Post 44.1 percent 11.7 percent 42.0 percent
College 44.6 percent 13.2 percent 40.7 percent

Male 46.9 percent 11.1 percent 39.9 percent


Female 40.4 percent 13.1 percent 45.2 percent

18-29 49.5 percent 10.5 percent 38.1 percent


30-39 44.0 percent 12.8 percent 41.3 percent
40-49 48.0 percent 12.7 percent 37.3 percent
50-64 43.9 percent 12.8 percent 42.6 percent
65+ 35.3 percent 10.5 percent 51.9 percent

White 47.3 percent 10.9 percent 40.0 percent


Afr Amer 30.2 percent 14.0 percent 53.5 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 29


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
5. Would you say Michigan is on the right track or would you say the state is on the wrong track?

Right Wrong
Out 44.4 percent 23.9 percent
Metro 44.6 percent 28.3 percent

Strong Dem 49.0 percent 20.6 percent


Lean Dem 48.3 percent 17.2 percent
Independent 46.2 percent 24.8 percent
Lean GOP 39.7 percent 31.0 percent
Strong GOP 38.3 percent 35.3 percent

High 46.9 percent 27.3 percent


Some Post 45.2 percent 25.0 percent
College 42.9 percent 26.1 percent

Male 45.5 percent 30.2 percent


Female 43.6 percent 22.4 percent

18-29 50.5 percent 25.7 percent


30-39 51.4 percent 24.8 percent
40-49 45.1 percent 30.4 percent
50-64 41.2 percent 23.6 percent
65+ 37.6 percent 27.1 percent

White 44.4 percent 25.0 percent


Afr Amer 50.0 percent 27.9 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 30


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
6. Donald Trump

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of


Out 48.8 percent 43.7 percent 7.2 percent 0.0 percent
Metro 31.3 percent 58.3 percent 10.4 percent 0.0 percent

Strong Dem 3.1 percent 93.8 percent 3.1 percent 0.0 percent
Lean Dem 10.3 percent 74.1 percent 13.8 percent 0.0 percent
Independent 34.2 percent 48.7 percent 17.1 percent 0.0 percent
Lean GOP 69.0 percent 13.8 percent 17.2 percent 0.0 percent
Strong GOP 85.6 percent 9.6 percent 4.8 percent 0.0 percent

High 45.3 percent 45.3 percent 9.4 percent 0.0 percent


Some Post 44.7 percent 46.8 percent 8.0 percent 0.0 percent
College 34.3 percent 56.4 percent 9.3 percent 0.0 percent

Male 47.2 percent 45.5 percent 6.9 percent 0.0 percent


Female 33.0 percent 56.4 percent 10.6 percent 0.0 percent

18-29 29.5 percent 59.0 percent 11.4 percent 0.0 percent


30-39 38.5 percent 43.1 percent 18.3 percent 0.0 percent
40-49 42.2 percent 46.1 percent 10.8 percent 0.0 percent
50-64 47.3 percent 48.0 percent 4.7 percent 0.0 percent
65+ 39.8 percent 57.9 percent 2.3 percent 0.0 percent

White 47.1 percent 43.8 percent 8.9 percent 0.0 percent


Afr Amer 4.7 percent 88,4 percent 7.0 percent 0.0 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 31


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
7. Joe Biden

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of


Out 29.0 percent 49.8 percent 18.4 percent 2.7 percent
Metro 38.8 percent 38.1 percent 20.5 percent 1.0 percent

Strong Dem 62.4 percent 19.6 percent 14.9 percent 2.1 percent
Lean Dem 37.9 percent 19.0 percent 37.9 percent 3.4 percent
Independent 30.8 percent 34.2 percent 31.6 percent 2.6 percent
Lean GOP 15.5 percent 67.2 percent 17.2 percent 0.0 percent
Strong GOP 9.6 percent 78.4 percent 10.8 percent 0.6 percent

High 33.6 percent 42.2 percent 20.3 percent 3.1 percent


Some Post 29.3 percent 50.0 percent 18.1 percent 2.1 percent
College 37.5 percent 40.7 percent 20.0 percent 0.7 percent

Male 27.4 percent 51.4 percent 18.4 percent 1.7 percent


Female 49.1 percent 36.9 percent 20.5 percent 1.9 percent

18-29 35.2 percent 39.0 percent 20.0 percent 5.7 percent


30-39 31.2 percent 38.5 percent 27.5 percent 2.8 percent
40-49 24.5 percent 48.0 percent 24.5 percent 1.0 percent
50-64 32.4 percent 51.4 percent 14.9 percent 0.7 percent
65+ 44.4 percent 41.4 percent 12.8 percent 0.0 percent

White 29.0 percent 48.7 percent 20.1 percent 1.6 percent


Afr Amer 62.8 percent 12.8 percent 19.8 percent 3.5 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 32


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
8. Elizabeth Warren

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of


Out 22.5 percent 45.7 percent 17.1 percent 14.7 percent
Metro 30.0 percent 34.5 percent 20.5 percent 14.7 percent

Strong Dem 55.7 percent 9.8 percent 19.6 percent 14.9 percent
Lean Dem 31.0 percent 24.1 percent 27.6 percent 17.2 percent
Independent 20.5 percent 35.9 percent 24.8 percent 18.8 percent
Lean GOP 1.7 percent 60.3 percent 15.5 percent 22.4 percent
Strong GOP 4.2 percent 76.0 percent 12.0 percent 7.2 percent

High 25.0 percent 41.4 percent 18.8 percent 14.8 percent


Some Post 19.7 percent 43.1 percent 18.1 percent 19.1 percent
College 31.4 percent 37.1 percent 19.6 percent 11.4 percent

Male 24.3 percent 50.0 percent 14.9 percent 10.8 percent


Female 28.2 percent 30.8 percent 22.4 percent 18.3 percent

18-29 26.7 percent 23.8 percent 21.9 percent 27.6 percent


30-39 20.2 percent 26.6 percent 23.9 percent 29.4 percent
40-49 19.6 percent 43.1 percent 23.5 percent 12.7 percent
50-64 28.4 percent 51.4 percent 13.5 percent 6.8 percent
65+ 33.8 percent 48.1 percent 15.0 percent 3.0 percent

White 23.2 percent 46.7 percent 17.6 percent 12.3 percent


Afr Amer 41.9 percent 9.3 percent 24.4 percent 24.4 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 33


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
9. Bernie Sanders

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of


Out 35.8 percent 49.8 percent 13.7 percent 0.3 percent
Metro 42.0 percent 39.7 percent 15.3 percent 2.3 percent

Strong Dem 73.7 percent 9.3 percent 13.4 percent 2.6 percent
Lean Dem 56.9 percent 19.0 percent 24.1 percent 0.0 percent
Independent 34.2 percent 44.4 percent 20.5 percent 0.9 percent
Lean GOP 10.3 percent 70.7 percent 15.5 percent 1.7 percent
Strong GOP 7.2 percent 85.6 percent 6.6 percent 0.6 percent

High 34.4 percent 41.4 percent 19.5 percent 4.7 percent


Some Post 36.2 percent 50.0 percent 12.8 percent 0.5 percent
College 42.9 percent 42.5 percent 13.6 percent 0.4 percent

Male 33.0 percent 54.9 percent 10.8 percent 0.7 percent


Female 44.6 percent 35.3 percent 17.9 percent 1.9 percent

18-29 50.5 percent 29.5 percent 17.1 percent 1.9 percent


30-39 43.1 percent 36.7 percent 17.4 percent 2.8 percent
40-49 40.2 percent 42.2 percent 16.7 percent 1.0 percent
50-64 32.4 percent 56.1 percent 9.5 percent 1.4 percent
65+ 33.1 percent 51.9 percent 14.3 percent 0.0 percent

White 33.5 percent 52.0 percent 13.8 percent 0.2 percent


Afr Amer 61.6 percent 14.0 percent 17.4 percent 5.8 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 34


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
10. Pete Buttigieg

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of


Out 22.5 percent 28.3 percent 15.7 percent 33.1 percent
Metro 21.8 percent 28.7 percent 24.1 percent 24.4 percent

Strong Dem 42.3 percent 13.4 percent 22.2 percent 22.2 percent
Lean Dem 32.8 percent 8.6 percent 27.6 percent 31.0 percent
Independent 21.4 percent 20.5 percent 17.9 percent 38.5 percent
Lean GOP 6.9 percent 41.4 percent 20.7 percent 29.3 percent
Strong GOP 1.2 percent 54.5 percent 15.6 percent 28.1 percent

High 15.6 percent 30.5 percent 21.9 percent 30.5 percent


Some Post 17.6 percent 31.9 percent 17.6 percent 33.0 percent
College 28.6 percent 24.6 percent 21.1 percent 25.0 percent

Male 18.1 percent 39.2 percent 21.5 percent 20.1 percent


Female 26.0 percent 18.6 percent 18.6 percent 36.5 percent

18-29 14.3 percent 22.9 percent 21.9 percent 41.0 percent


30-39 22.0 percent 12.8 percent 18.3 percent 46.8 percent
40-49 14.7 percent 27.5 percent 23.5 percent 32.4 percent
50-64 27.0 percent 38.5 percent 15.5 percent 18.9 percent
65+ 29.3 percent 34.6 percent 22.6 percent 12.0 percent

White 23.0 percent 31.0 percent 17.9 percent 27.2 percent


Afr Amer 18.6 percent 17.4 percent 29.1 percent 34.9 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 35


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
11. Mike Bloomberg

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of


Out 14.7 percent 40.6 percent 24.2 percent 18.8 percent
Metro 17.9 percent 34.5 percent 30.9 percent 14.7 percent

Strong Dem 25.8 percent 26.3 percent 30.9 percent 15.5 percent
Lean Dem 13.8 percent 22.4 percent 44.8 percent 19.0 percent
Independent 15.4 percent 34.2 percent 29.1 percent 19.7 percent
Lean GOP 10.3 percent 41.4 percent 31.0 percent 13.8 percent
Strong GOP 9.0 percent 56.9 percent 16.8 percent 15.0 percent

High 20.3 percent 32.8 percent 26.6 percent 18.0 percent


Some Post 13.3 percent 41.0 percent 22.3 percent 22.9 percent
College 16.8 percent 36.8 percent 32.1 percent 11.8 percent

Male 17.7 percent 48.6 percent 20.5 percent 12.2 percent


Female 15.1 percent 27.2 percent 34.3 percent 20.8 percent

18-29 12.4 percent 24.8 percent 24.8 percent 37.1 percent


30-39 9.2 percent 29.4 percent 33.0 percent 27.5 percent
40-49 17.6 percent 35.3 percent 33.3 percent 10.8 percent
50-64 16.9 percent 47.3 percent 26.4 percent 8.1 percent
65+ 23.3 percent 44.4 percent 23.3 percent 6.0 percent

White 15.6 percent 40.8 percent 26.6 percent 14.7 percent


Afr Amer 18.6 percent 22.1 percent 34.9 percent 23.3 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 36


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
12. Gretchen Whitmer

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of


Out 30.4 percent 43.3 percent 18.4 percent 6.8 percent
Metro 34.9 percent 34.2 percent 21.5 percent 8.1 percent

Strong Dem 56.7 percent 13.4 percent 20.1 percent 8.2 percent
Lean Dem 48.3 percent 13.8 percent 29.3 percent 6.9 percent
Independent 29.9 percent 33.3 percent 27.4 percent 8.5 percent
Lean GOP 12.1 percent 58.6 percent 19.0 percent 8.6 percent
Strong GOP 9.0 percent 72.5 percent 12.0 percent 6.0 percent

High 30.5 percent 39.1 percent 23.4 percent 7.0 percent


Some Post 26.6 percent 46.8 percent 17.6 percent 8.0 percent
College 37.9 percent 32.9 percent 20.4 percent 7.1 percent

Male 30.2 percent 45.8 percent 17.0 percent 5.6 percent


Female 34.9 percent 32.1 percent 22.8 percent 9.3 percent

18-29 28.6 percent 31.4 percent 25.7 percent 14.3 percent


30-39 31.2 percent 33.9 percent 22.0 percent 12.8 percent
40-49 35.3 percent 40.2 percent 17.6 percent 3.9 percent
50-64 34.5 percent 43.2 percent 18.9 percent 2.7 percent
65+ 33.1 percent 41.4 percent 17.3 percent 6.0 percent

White 29.5 percent 44.9 percent 19.4 percent 5.4 percent


Afr Amer 48.8 percent 7.0 percent 26.7 percent 14.0 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 37


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
13. Gary Peters

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of


Out 19.8 percent 21.8 percent 22.5 percent 34.5 percent
Metro 30.9 percent 21.5 percent 22.8 percent 22.8 percent

Strong Dem 38.1 percent 9.8 percent 19.1 percent 32.5 percent
Lean Dem 31.0 percent 5.2 percent 29.3 percent 31.0 percent
Independent 24.8 percent 17.1 percent 29.1 percent 29.1 percent
Lean GOP 19.0 percent 29.3 percent 25.9 percent 24.1 percent
Strong GOP 12.0 percent 41.9 percent 18.6 percent 24.0 percent

High 26.6 percent 21.9 percent 16.4 percent 33.6 percent


Some Post 20.2 percent 22.3 percent 25.0 percent 31.4 percent
College 28.9 percent 20.4 percent 24.3 percent 24.3 percent

Male 27.1 percent 25.7 percent 24.7 percent 20.8 percent


Female 24.0 percent 17.9 percent 20.8 percent 35.6 percent

18-29 7.6 percent 17.1 percent 22.9 percent 51.4 percent


30-39 19.3 percent 11.9 percent 19.3 percent 48.6 percent
40-49 22.5 percent 21.6 percent 30.4 percent 22.5 percent
50-64 28.4 percent 27.0 percent 26.4 percent 18.2 percent
65+ 44.4 percent 26.3 percent 15.0 percent 10.5 percent

White 24.1 percent 23.9 percent 25.0 percent 25.4 percent


Afr Amer 30.2 percent 12.8 percent 15.1 percent 39.5 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 38


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
14. John James

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of


Out 25.3 percent 12.6 percent 20.5 percent 40.6 percent
Metro 21.8 percent 18.9 percent 18.9 percent 38.8 percent

Strong Dem 5.2 percent 25.8 percent 21.6 percent 45.4 percent
Lean Dem 10.3 percent 15.5 percent 29.3 percent 44.8 percent
Independent 14.5 percent 14.5 percent 24.8 percent 44.4 percent
Lean GOP 31.0 percent 5.2 percent 15.5 percent 46.6 percent
Strong GOP 53.9 percent 9.0 percent 12.6 percent 24.0 percent

High 21.1 percent 15.6 percent 16.4 percent 44.5 percent


Some Post 22.3 percent 15.4 percent 17.6 percent 44.1 percent
College 25.7 percent 15.4 percent 22.9 percent 34.6 percent

Male 31.3 percent 18.8 percent 18.8 percent 29.9 percent


Female 16.3 percent 13.1 percent 20.5 percent 48.7 percent

18-29 12.4 percent 12.4 percent 21.0 percent 54.3 percent


30-39 15.6 percent 9.2 percent 16.5 percent 58.7 percent
40-49 30.4 percent 8.8 percent 21.6 percent 39.2 percent
50-64 31.8 percent 21.6 percent 18.9 percent 26.4 percent
65+ 24.8 percent 21.8 percent 20.3 percent 28.6 percent

White 27.9 percent 13.4 percent 20.3 percent 37.1 percent


Afr Amer 8.1 percent 26.7 percent 16.3 percent 47.7 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 39


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
15. John Dingell

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of


Out 17.1 percent 17.7 percent 21.2 percent 42.7 percent
Metro 39.1 percent 17.9 percent 21.2 percent 20.2 percent

Strong Dem 48.5 percent 6.7 percent 18.0 percent 26.3 percent
Lean Dem 31.0 percent 6.9 percent 22.4 percent 37.9 percent
Independent 24.8 percent 14.5 percent 23.9 percent 36.8 percent
Lean GOP 19.0 percent 29.3 percent 13.8 percent 36.2 percent
Strong GOP 10.2 percent 32.9 percent 24.0 percent 29.3 percent

High 24.2 percent 19.5 percent 18.0 percent 35.2 percent


Some Post 27.7 percent 13.8 percent 21.3 percent 36.7 percent
College 31.1 percent 19.3 percent 22.9 percent 25.4 percent

Male 31.3 percent 22.2 percent 20.8 percent 25.3 percent


Female 25.6 percent 13.8 percent 21.5 percent 36.5 percent

18-29 15.2 percent 7.6 percent 20.0 percent 55.2 percent


30-39 18.3 percent 9.2 percent 22.9 percent 49.5 percent
40-49 29.4 percent 17.6 percent 30.4 percent 21.6 percent
50-64 31.1 percent 25.0 percent 16.2 percent 25.7 percent
65+ 43.6 percent 24.1 percent 19.5 percent 10.5 percent

White 25.4 percent 21.4 percent 21.2 percent 30.1 percent


Afr Amer 41.9 percent 3.5 percent 17.4 percent 36.0 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 40


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Gretchen Whitmer as Governor of Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE DISAPPROVE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove
Out 9.2 percent 30.7 percent 18.8 percent 22.9 percent
Metro 13.4 percent 33.2 percent 14.0 percent 17.6 percent

Strong Dem 19.1 percent 46.9 percent 8.2 percent 5.2 percent
Lean Dem 12.1 percent 44.8 percent 13.8 percent 5.2 percent
Independent 10.3 percent 35.0 percent 12.8 percent 17.9 percent
Lean GOP 5.2 percent 17.2 percent 27.6 percent 32.8 percent
Strong GOP 4.8 percent 13.8 percent 25.1 percent 38.9 percent

High 10.9 percent 28.9 percent 18.0 percent 21.9 percent


Some Post 8.5 percent 30.9 percent 20.7 percent 22.3 percent
College 13.6 percent 34.3 percent 12.9 percent 17.9 percent

Male 10.4 percent 31.3 percent 16.0 percent 25.0 percent


Female 12.2 percent 32.7 percent 16.7 percent 15.7 percent

18-29 10.5 percent 33.3 percent 16.2 percent 15.2 percent


30-39 6.4 percent 32.1 percent 18.3 percent 17.4 percent
40-49 12.7 percent 29.4 percent 15.7 percent 21.6 percent
50-64 9.5 percent 33.1 percent 14.9 percent 25.7 percent
65+ 17.3 percent 31.6 percent 17.3 percent 18.8 percent

White 10.3 percent 29.7 percent 18.8 percent 23.2 percent


Afr Amer 16.3 percent 43.0 percent 4.7 percent 5.8 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 41


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States? ASK: WOULD
THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove
Out 34.8 percent 22.9 percent 5.5 percent 33.8 percent
Metro 23.8 percent 13.7 percent 4.9 percent 53.7 percent

Strong Dem 1.5 percent 3.6 percent 4.1 percent 89.7 percent
Lean Dem 5.2 percent 17.2 percent 12.1 percent 63.8 percent
Independent 17.9 percent 29.1 percent 8.5 percent 34.2 percent
Lean GOP 50.0 percent 34.5 percent 5.2 percent 5.2 percent
Strong GOP 70.7 percent 20.4 percent 1.8 percent 5.4 percent

High 33.6 percent 14.8 percent 3.1 percent 44.5 percent


Some Post 33.0 percent 20.7 percent 4.8 percent 39.4 percent
College 24.6 percent 18.2 percent 6.4 percent 46.4 percent

Male 35.1 percent 20.1 percent 6.3 percent 35.8 percent


Female 23.7 percent 16.3 percent 4.2 percent 51.6 percent

18-29 20.0 percent 14.3 percent 4.8 percent 57.1 percent


30-39 24.8 percent 24.8 percent 11.9 percent 33.9 percent
40-49 33.3 percent 21.6 percent 5.9 percent 34.3 percent
50-64 34.5 percent 16.9 percent 3.4 percent 41.2 percent
65+ 31.6 percent 15.0 percent 1.5 percent 51.1 percent

White 35.3 percent 20.3 percent 6.3 percent 34.8 percent


Afr Amer 2.3 percent 3.5 percent 3.5 percent 87.2 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 42


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
18. Will you vote to re-elect Donald Trump as President, or will you vote for someone else to be President? IF RE-ELECT/
SOMEONE ELSE, ASK: WILL YOU DEFINITELY VOTE TO RE-ELECT/ELECT SOMEONE NEW OR WILL YOU
PROBABLY VOTE TO RE-ELECT/ELECT SOMEONE NEW FOR PRESIDENT?

Definitely Probably Depends Probably Definitely


Re-Elect Re-Elect Someone New Someone New
Out 35.2 percent 8.5 percent 9.2 percent 5.5 percent 36.9 percent
Metro 23.1 percent 4.6 percent 5.5 percent 4.9 percent 55.4 percent

Strong Dem 1.0 percent 0.0 percent 1.0 percent 3.6 percent 93.3 percent
Lean Dem 5.2 percent 0.0 percent 8.6 percent 12.1 percent 67.2 percent
Independent 16.2 percent 11.1 percent 14.5 percent 9.4 percent 36.8 percent
Lean GOP 48.3 percent 15.5 percent 13.8 percent 1.7 percent 8.6 percent
Strong GOP 71.3 percent 9.6 percent 7.2 percent 2.4 percent 5.4 percent

High 34.4 percent 2.3 percent 7.8 percent 3.9 percent 43.8 percent
Some Post 33.5 percent 6.4 percent 7.4 percent 5.3 percent 42.6 percent
College 23.6 percent 8.6 percent 7.1 percent 5.7 percent 49.6 percent

Male 34.4 percent 8.3 percent 6.9 percent 6.6 percent 37.8 percent
Female 24.0 percent 4.8 percent 7.7 percent 3.8 percent 54.2 percent

18-29 21.9 percent 5.7 percent 3.8 percent 6.7 percent 59.0 percent
30-39 22.9 percent 10.1 percent 16.5 percent 4.6 percent 38.5 percent
40-49 31.4 percent 6.9 percent 7.8 percent 7.8 percent 38.2 percent
50-64 33.8 percent 8.1 percent 2.7 percent 3.4 percent 45.3 percent
65+ 33.1 percent 2.3 percent 7.5 percent 4.5 percent 48.9 percent

White 35.7 percent 7.4 percent 8.5 percent 5.4 percent 37.5 percent
Afr Amer 2.3 percent 0.0 percent 2.3 percent 4.7 percent 88.4 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 43


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
19. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Joe Biden was
the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU
LEAN?

Trump Lean Biden Lean Undecided


Out 51.2 percent 1.4 percent 38.2 percent 3.1 percent 4.4 percent
Metro 33.2 percent 1.0 percent 56.0 percent 2.6 percent 5.9 percent

Strong Dem 0.5 percent 0.0 percent 94.8 percent 2.1 percent 1.0 percent
Lean Dem 13.8 percent 0.0 percent 72.4 percent 8.6 percent 3.4 percent
Independent 34.2 percent 2.6 percent 37.6 percent 5.1 percent 17.1 percent
Lean GOP 77.6 percent 3.4 percent 8.6 percent 0.0 percent 10.3 percent
Strong GOP 92.8 percent 1.2 percent 4.8 percent 1.2 percent 0.0 percent

High 43.0 percent 0.0 percent 43.8 percent 3.9 percent 9.4 percent
Some Post 46.8 percent 2.1 percent 43.6 percent 2.7 percent 2.7 percent
College 38.6 percent 1.1 percent 51.4 percent 2.5 percent 4.6 percent

Male 50.3 percent 1.4 percent 40.3 percent 2.1 percent 3.8 percent
Female 34.3 percent 1.0 percent 53.8 percent 3.5 percent 6.4 percent

18-29 30.5 percent 1.0 percent 55.2 percent 5.7 percent 5.7 percent
30-39 42.2 percent 2.8 percent 43.1 percent 5.5 percent 5.5 percent
40-49 45.1 percent 1.0 percent 44.1 percent 1.0 percent 6.9 percent
50-64 47.3 percent 0.7 percent 41.9 percent 2.0 percent 6.1 percent
65+ 43.6 percent 0.8 percent 51.9 percent 0.8 percent 2.3 percent

White 50.4 percent 1.3 percent 38.8 percent 2.2 percent 5.4 percent
Afr Amer 2.3 percent 0.0 percent 93.0 percent 3.5 percent 1.2 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 44


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
20. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders
was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU
LEAN?

Trump Lean Sanders Lean Undecided


Out 52.6 percent 2.0 percent 38.9 percent 1.0 percent 3.8 percent
Metro 34.9 percent 0.7 percent 54.4 percent 3.3 percent 6.2 percent

Strong Dem 1.0 percent 0.0 percent 93.8 percent 2.1 percent 2.1 percent
Lean Dem 10.3 percent 5.2 percent 72.4 percent 5.2 percent 3.4 percent
Independent 36.8 percent 3.4 percent 36.8 percent 5.1 percent 16.2 percent
Lean GOP 82.8 percent 0.0 percent 10.3 percent 0.0 percent 6.9 percent
Strong GOP 94.6 percent 0.6 percent 4.2 percent 0.0 percent 0.6 percent

High 43.8 percent 0.0 percent 45.3 percent 1.6 percent 8.6 percent
Some Post 48.9 percent 1.6 percent 42.6 percent 2.7 percent 3.2 percent
College 40.0 percent 1.8 percent 50.0 percent 2.1 percent 4.6 percent

Male 51.0 percent 1.0 percent 40.6 percent 1.7 percent 4.2 percent
Female 36.5 percent 1.6 percent 52.6 percent 2.6 percent 5.8 percent

18-29 31.4 percent 0.0 percent 59.0 percent 1.0 percent 6.7 percent
30-39 45.9 percent 2.8 percent 45.0 percent 2.8 percent 2.8 percent
40-49 45.1 percent 2.0 percent 44.1 percent 0.0 percent 6.9 percent
50-64 50.0 percent 1.4 percent 39.9 percent 2.0 percent 6.8 percent
65+ 43.6 percent 0.8 percent 48.1 percent 4.5 percent 1.5 percent

White 52.2 percent 1.6 percent 37.9 percent 2.5 percent 4.9 percent
Afr Amer 2.3 percent 0.0 percent 91.9 percent 1.2 percent 4.7 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 45


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
21. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Elizabeth
Warren was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY
DO YOU LEAN?

Trump Lean Warren Lean Undecided


Out 51.2 percent 1.0 percent 34.8 percent 2.4 percent 7.5 percent
Metro 35.2 percent 1.0 percent 50.2 percent 3.6 percent 8.8 percent

Strong Dem 1.5 percent 0.0 percent 88.1 percent 3.6 percent 5.2 percent
Lean Dem 12.1 percent 3.4 percent 62.1 percent 5.2 percent 10.3 percent
Independent 39.3 percent 1.7 percent 29.1 percent 6.0 percent 19.7 percent
Lean GOP 74.1 percent 1.7 percent 8.6 percent 1.7 percent 13.8 percent
Strong GOP 92.8 percent 0.6 percent 5.4 percent 0.0 percent 1.2 percent

High 45.3 percent 0.8 percent 38.3 percent 3.9 percent 10.2 percent
Some Post 47.9 percent 1.6 percent 37.8 percent 2.1 percent 6.9 percent
College 38.9 percent 0.7 percent 48.2 percent 2.9 percent 7.9 percent

Male 52.1 percent 0.7 percent 35.4 percent 2.1 percent 6.9 percent
Female 34.6 percent 1.3 percent 49.4 percent 3.8 percent 9.3 percent

18-29 31.4 percent 1.0 percent 52.4 percent 3.8 percent 9.5 percent
30-39 45.0 percent 2.8 percent 37.6 percent 2.8 percent 10.1 percent
40-49 44.1 percent 0.0 percent 40.2 percent 0.0 percent 12.7 percent
50-64 48.6 percent 0.7 percent 38.5 percent 4.1 percent 7.4 percent
65+ 44.4 percent 0.8 percent 45.9 percent 3.0 percent 2.3 percent

White 51.8 percent 1.3 percent 35.3 percent 2.0 percent 7.4 percent
Afr Amer 2.3 percent 0.0 percent 82.6 percent 7.0 percent 8.1 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 46


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
22. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Pete Buttigieg
was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU
LEAN?

Trump Lean Buttigieg Lean Undecided


Out 50.9 percent 1.4 percent 33.8 percent 2.0 percent 10.2 percent
Metro 32.9 percent 1.6 percent 49.5 percent 4.2 percent 10.4 percent

Strong Dem 1.0 percent 0.0 percent 86.1 percent 3.6 percent 8.2 percent
Lean Dem 8.6 percent 1.7 percent 63.8 percent 8.6 percent 13.8 percent
Independent 35.0 percent 3.4 percent 30.8 percent 4.3 percent 23.1 percent
Lean GOP 75.9 percent 3.4 percent 6.9 percent 0.0 percent 13.8 percent
Strong GOP 92.2 percent 1.2 percent 3.6 percent 1.2 percent 1.8 percent

High 45.3 percent 0.8 percent 36.7 percent 4.7 percent 10.9 percent
Some Post 46.8 percent 2.7 percent 37.8 percent 3.2 percent 8.0 percent
College 36.8 percent 1.1 percent 47.1 percent 2.5 percent 11.1 percent

Male 49.3 percent 0.7 percent 36.1 percent 3.8 percent 8.0 percent
Female 34.6 percent 2.2 percent 47.1 percent 2.6 percent 12.5 percent

18-29 31.4 percent 1.0 percent 49.5 percent 2.9 percent 14.3 percent
30-39 40.4 percent 3.7 percent 37.6 percent 5.5 percent 11.9 percent
40-49 44.1 percent 2.0 percent 37.3 percent 1.0 percent 12.7 percent
50-64 47.3 percent 0.7 percent 39.2 percent 3.4 percent 8.8 percent
65+ 43.6 percent 0.8 percent 45.9 percent 3.0 percent 4.5 percent

White 50.0 percent 2.0 percent 35.7 percent 2.5 percent 8.5 percent
Afr Amer 2.3 percent 0.0 percent 76.7 percent 5.8 percent 14.0 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 47


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
23. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Michael
Bloomberg was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH
WAY DO YOU LEAN?

Trump Lean Bloomberg Lean Undecided


Out 48.5 percent 1.7 percent 34.5 percent 4.4 percent 8.9 percent
Metro 30.9 percent 1.6 percent 52.4 percent 2.6 percent 11.4 percent

Strong Dem 0.5 percent 0.0 percent 86.1 percent 6.2 percent 6.7 percent
Lean Dem 8.6 percent 1.7 percent 65.5 percent 8.6 percent 12.1 percent
Independent 32.5 percent 1.7 percent 34.2 percent 3.4 percent 24.8 percent
Lean GOP 65.5 percent 6.9 percent 10.3 percent 0.0 percent 15.5 percent
Strong GOP 90.4 percent 1.8 percent 6.0 percent 0.0 percent 1.8 percent

High 44.5 percent 0.8 percent 43.8 percent 3.1 percent 7.8 percent
Some Post 44.1 percent 3.2 percent 37.2 percent 5.3 percent 8.5 percent
College 34.3 percent 1.1 percent 48.2 percent 2.1 percent 12.1 percent

Male 46.9 percent 1.4 percent 37.8 percent 3.8 percent 8.7 percent
Female 32.7 percent 1.9 percent 49.0 percent 3.2 percent 11.5 percent

18-29 28.6 percent 1.9 percent 46.7 percent 5.7 percent 15.2 percent
30-39 41.3 percent 3.7 percent 40.4 percent 2.8 percent 9.2 percent
40-49 42.2 percent 0.0 percent 39.2 percent 2.0 percent 14.7 percent
50-64 43.2 percent 1.4 percent 41.2 percent 4.1 percent 9.5 percent
65+ 41.4 percent 1.5 percent 49.6 percent 2.3 percent 4.5 percent

White 47.8 percent 2.0 percent 36.4 percent 2.9 percent 9.4 percent
Afr Amer 2.3 percent 0.0 percent 84.9 percent 7.0 percent 5.8 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 48


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
24. I want you to think about President Trump’s actions with the nation of Ukraine. Do you believe his actions were appropriate
for a President, or would you say his actions were inappropriate and he did something wrong?

Appropriate Inappropriate/Wrong
Out 38.2 percent 43.3 percent
Metro 29.0 percent 55.4 percent

Strong Dem 3.6 percent 88.7 percent


Lean Dem 13.8 percent 74.1 percent
Independent 19.7 percent 47.9 percent
Lean GOP 62.1 percent 19.0 percent
Strong GOP 74.3 percent 8.4 percent

High 35.9 percent 45.3 percent


Some Post 41.5 percent 42.0 percent
College 27.1 percent 56.1 percent

Male 39.6 percent 43.4 percent


Female 27.9 percent 55.1 percent

18-29 20.0 percent 57.1 percent


30-39 32.1 percent 45.9 percent
40-49 38.2 percent 43.1 percent
50-64 38.5 percent 47.3 percent
65+ 36.8 percent 52.6 percent

White 41.1 percent 42.4 percent


Afr Amer 2.3 percent 83.7 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 49


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
25. Do believe President Trump’s actions were legal or would say his actions were illegal?

Legal Illegal Undecided


Out 45.1 percent 34.1 percent 20.8 percent
Metro 31.3 percent 46.9 percent 21.8 percent

Strong Dem 5.7 percent 78.9 percent 15.5 percent


Lean Dem 15.5 percent 55.2 percent 29.3 percent
Independent 31.6 percent 36.8 percent 31.6 percent
Lean GOP 67.2 percent 10.3 percent 22.4 percent
Strong GOP 77.2 percent 5.4 percent 17.4 percent

High 38.3 percent 41.4 percent 20.3 percent


Some Post 46.3 percent 33.5 percent 20.2 percent
College 32.5 percent 45.0 percent 22.5 percent

Male 46.2 percent 34.7 percent 19.1 percent


Female 30.4 percent 46.2 percent 23.4 percent

18-29 32.4 percent 44.8 percent 22.9 percent


30-39 39.4 percent 33.0 percent 27.5 percent
40-49 39.2 percent 34.3 percent 26.5 percent
50-64 41.2 percent 39.9 percent 18.9 percent
65+ 37.6 percent 48.1 percent 14.3 percent

White 46.2 percent 33.0 percent 20.8 percent


Afr Amer 7.0 percent 72.1 percent 20.9 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 50


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
26. Would you say his actions were or were not in the interest of the United States?

US Interest Not in US Interest Undecided


Out 45.4 percent 44.0 percent 10.6 percent
Metro 31.9 percent 55.0 percent 13.0 percent

Strong Dem 5.2 percent 88.7 percent 6.2 percent


Lean Dem 13.8 percent 75.9 percent 10.3 percent
Independent 35.9 percent 43.6 percent 20.5 percent
Lean GOP 65.5 percent 20.7 percent 13.8 percent
Strong GOP 77.8 percent 11.4 percent 10.8 percent

High 42.2 percent 46.9 percent 10.9 percent


Some Post 44.7 percent 44.1 percent 11.2 percent
College 32.9 percent 54.3 percent 12.9 percent

Male 45.5 percent 44.4 percent 10.1 percent


Female 32.1 percent 54.5 percent 13.5 percent

18-29 28.6 percent 58.1 percent 13.3 percent


30-39 37.6 percent 48.6 percent 13.8 percent
40-49 42.2 percent 41.2 percent 16.7 percent
50-64 43.9 percent 47.3 percent 8.8 percent
65+ 39.1 percent 51.9 percent 9.0 percent

White 46.4 percent 41.3 percent 12.3 percent


Afr Amer 7.0 percent 87.2 percent 5.8 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 51


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
27. Do you support or oppose the impeachment and removal from office of Donald Trump as President? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Support Support Oppose Oppose
Out 27.3 percent 8.2 percent 9.2 percent 49.8 percent
Metro 43.0 percent 8.1 percent 8.1 percent 34.9 percent

Strong Dem 71.6 percent 12.4 percent 4.6 percent 6.7 percent
Lean Dem 51.7 percent 15.5 percent 13.8 percent 12.1 percent
Independent 27.4 percent 9.4 percent 13.7 percent 35.9 percent
Lean GOP 5.2 percent 5.2 percent 8.6 percent 75.9 percent
Strong GOP 4.2 percent 1.2 percent 8.4 percent 85.0 percent

High 35.2 percent 8.6 percent 7.0 percent 46.1 percent


Some Post 31.9 percent 8.0 percent 9.6 percent 44.7 percent
College 37.9 percent 8.2 percent 8.9 percent 38.6 percent

Male 27.8 percent 7.6 percent 9.0 percent 51.0 percent


Female 42.3 percent 8.7 percent 8.3 percent 34.0 percent

18-29 39.0 percent 12.4 percent 8.6 percent 33.3 percent


30-39 29.4 percent 8.3 percent 15.6 percent 37.6 percent
40-49 29.4 percent 8.8 percent 8.8 percent 46.1 percent
50-64 33.1 percent 7.4 percent 6.8 percent 48.6 percent
65+ 44.4 percent 5.3 percent 5.3 percent 42.9 percent

White 27.5 percent 8.0 percent 9.4 percent 49.6 percent


Afr Amer 73.3 percent 11.6 percent 4.7 percent 5.8 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 52


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
28. Now that the House of Representatives have impeached President Trump, would you say that the U.S. Senate will or will not
give the impeachment trial a fair hearing?

Fair Hearing Not a Fair Hearing Undecided


Out 41.3 percent 44.4 percent 13.7 percent
Metro 35.8 percent 49.5 percent 14.3 percent

Strong Dem 16.5 percent 69.6 percent 13.9 percent


Lean Dem 19.0 percent 70.7 percent 8.6 percent
Independent 39.3 percent 44.4 percent 16.2 percent
Lean GOP 56.9 percent 25.9 percent 17.2 percent
Strong GOP 63.5 percent 22.8 percent 12.6 percent

High 34.4 percent 49.2 percent 15.6 percent


Some Post 44.1 percent 43.6 percent 12.2 percent
College 37.1 percent 47.9 percent 14.6 percent

Male 47.9 percent 41.7 percent 10.1 percent


Female 29.8 percent 51.9 percent 17.6 percent

18-29 27.6 percent 55.2 percent 16.2 percent


30-39 42.2 percent 44.0 percent 13.8 percent
40-49 46.1 percent 41.2 percent 12.7 percent
50-64 41.9 percent 45.9 percent 11.5 percent
65+ 35.3 percent 48.1 percent 15.8 percent

White 40.4 percent 44.9 percent 14.3 percent


Afr Amer 27.9 percent 58.1 percent 14.0 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 53


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
29. If the election for the United State Senate were held today, and [ROTATE] Gary Peters was the Democratic nominee and John
James was the Republican nominee, who would you vote for to be Michigan’s United States Senator? IF DON’T KNOW,
ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?

Peters Lean James Lean Undecided


Out 33.4 percent 2.4 percent 44.0 percent 2.7 percent 16.7 percent
Metro 46.9 percent 3.9 percent 29.3 percent 3.6 percent 16.0 percent

Strong Dem 78.9 percent 5.7 percent 5.7 percent 0.5 percent 9.3 percent
Lean Dem 62.1 percent 8.6 percent 15.5 percent 1.7 percent 12.1 percent
Independent 30.8 percent 1.7 percent 22.2 percent 6.8 percent 35.9 percent
Lean GOP 10.3 percent 1.7 percent 53.4 percent 6.9 percent 27.6 percent
Strong GOP 6.0 percent 0.0 percent 85.0 percent 3.0 percent 6.0 percent

High 37.5 percent 0.8 percent 35.2 percent 3.1 percent 21.9 percent
Some Post 36.2 percent 3.7 percent 41.0 percent 5.9 percent 13.3 percent
College 44.3 percent 3.9 percent 34.6 percent 1.1 percent 15.7 percent

Male 33.7 percent 2.4 percent 43.1 percent 3.1 percent 16.7 percent
Female 46.5 percent 3.8 percent 30.4 percent 3.2 percent 16.0 percent

18-29 41.0 percent 3.8 percent 34.3 percent 1.9 percent 19.0 percent
30-39 37.6 percent 4.6 percent 33.0 percent 3.7 percent 20.2 percent
40-49 36.3 percent 4.9 percent 39.2 percent 2.9 percent 16.7 percent
50-64 37.8 percent 2.7 percent 41.2 percent 3.4 percent 14.9 percent
65+ 46.6 percent 0.8 percent 34.6 percent 3.8 percent 12.8 percent

White 34.4 percent 2.5 percent 42.9 percent 3.6 percent 16.1 percent
Afr Amer 62.8 percent 8.1 percent 15.1 percent 2.3 percent 11.6 percent

Michigan Statewide Survey 54


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.
31. And on a scale of one to ten, with one being very low and ten being very high, how motivated are you to vote in this
November’s Presidential election? You can choose any number from one to ten.

SCORE
Out 9.5
Metro 9.5

Strong Dem 9.7


Lean Dem 9.6
Independent 9.1
Lean GOP 9.3
Strong GOP 9.6

High 9.5
Some Post 9.4
College 9.6

Male 9.5
Female 9.5

18-29 9.0
30-39 9.2
40-49 9.6
50-64 9.7
65+ 9.8

White 9.5
Afr Amer 9.5

Michigan Statewide Survey 55


January 2020
Glengariff Group, Inc.