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THE WORLD IN 2009

:

A decade of ICT growth driven by mobile technologies

80
Mobile cellular telephone subscriptions

70

Internet users Fixed telephone lines Mobile broadband subscriptions

67.0

per 100 inhabitants

60 50 40 30 20 10 0 ‘98 ‘99 ‘00

Fixed broadband subscribers

An estimated 4.6 bn subscriptions globally by the end of 2009

25.9 17.8 9.5 7.1
‘01 ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09*

Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database. * Estimates.

Mobile cellular has been the most rapidly adopted technology in history. Today it is the most popular and widespread personal technology on the planet, with an estimated 4.6 billion subscriptions globally by the end of 2009

Mobile broadband subscriptions overtook fixed broadband subscribers in 2008, highlighting the huge potential for the mobile Internet In 2009, more than a quarter of the world’s population are using the Internet

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ICTs at home

100 6 Billions of people (Bn) 70.8 % 6.9 Bn 4 4.9 Bn 27.3 % 2 1.9 Bn 20 0
Total population People with access to a TV at home People with access to a PC at home

80 60

%
40

In 2009, over a quarter of the world’s population – or 1.9 billion people – have access to a computer at home

0

Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database. Note: Estimates.

100 Billions of households (Bn)

Whereas three quarters of households globally have a TV, one third has a computer. With prices in continuous decline, and ongoing convergence of devices, the gap is likely to narrow quickly

1.5 1.7 Bn 1

77.2 % 80 60 1.3 Bn 34.3 % 0.6 Bn

%
40 20 0

0.5

0
Total households Households with a TV Households with a PC

Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database. Note: Estimates.

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The rise of mobile broadband... ...but not everywhere
Millions
700

CIS
600

Africa
500

Arab States The Americas

400

Asia & Pacific
300

Europe

200

100

0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009*

Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database. Note: The regions refer to the 191 ITU Member States. * Estimates.

Asia and the Pacific and Europe have the greatest numbers of mobile broadband subscriptions There is a dramatic broadband divide, with very few fixed broadband subscribers or mobile broadband subscriptions in Africa There are substantial differences within regions. The US accounts for 82.6% of mobile broadband in the Americas. In Asia and the Pacific, Japan and the Republic of Korea account for 70%

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Catching up
Developing countries only 10 years behind Sweden*
Sweden: 2008 benchmark for mobile phones, 2007 benchmark for infant mortality
In 2008, mobile phone penetration for developed countries was at a level where Sweden was 2.3 years earlier

Developed countries

2.3

Developing countries

9.4

In 2008, mobile phone penetration for developed countries was at a level where Sweden was 9.4 years earlier

Mobile cellular penetration Infant mortality

Developed countries

12.0

In 2007, infant mortality rate for developed countries was at a level where Sweden was 12 years earlier

In 2007, infant mortality rate for developing countries was at a level where Sweden was 72 years earlier

Developing countries
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

72.0

80

Years
Source: ITU and SICENTER, based on ITU and UNICEF data. Note: The time distance model measures the number of years a country (or region) lags behind other countries (or regions) in terms of development benchmarks, such as mobile cellular penetration and infant mortality.

* Sweden was chosen as a benchmark as it ranked first in ITU’s ICT Development Index.

In 2008, mobile phone penetration in developing countries had reached that of Sweden under ten years earlier; for infant mortality, the rate in developing countries in 2007 was at the level where Sweden was 72 years earlier Even the country furthest behind (Myanmar) in terms of mobile cellular penetration is where Sweden was just 24 years earlier. By comparison, the GDP per capita lag for most of the Least Developed Countries (LDCs), compared to Sweden, is over 160 years

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The global broadband divide
Fixed broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants, 2008

Denominations and classifications employed in these maps do not imply any opinion on the part of the ITU concerning the legal or other status of any territory or any endorsement or acceptance of any boundary.

0 - 2.4 2.5 - 9.9 10.0 - 19.9 20.0 - 25.0 >25 No data

Over the past 5 years, the total number of fixed broadband subscribers has grown more than threefold, from about 150 million in 2004, to almost 500 million by the end of 2009 In Africa, there is only one fixed broadband subscriber for every 1’000 people, while in Europe there are 200 subscribers for 1’000 people In 2008, China overtook the US as the largest fixed broadband market in the world. At the end of 2008, China’s fixed broadband penetration was 6.2 subscribers per 100 inhabitants, the highest of any low or lower-middle-income economy in Asia and the Pacific

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How much are we paying?
ICT Price Basket 2008 Pr ice r
%
45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 500 1’500
ICT Price Basket Value Monthly GNI per capita (US$)

289

2’000

1’000


Africa Asia & Pacific Arab States CIS Americas Europe

0

The relative price for ICT services is highest in Africa, the region with the lowest income levels

40 35 30 25 PPP $ 20 15 10 5 0 Fixed line
Source: ITU, www.itu.int/ITU-D/ict/publications/idi/2009/index.html

Developed Developing 27.6

20.5 17.8 16.8 17.1

Mobile cellular

Gross National Income (GNI) per capita (US$)

In Africa, the cost of the ICT Price Basket represents 41 per cent of the region’s monthly average income

In Europe, where income levels are highest, relative prices for telecom services are lowest

2’500

Fixed broadband

Note: The ITU’s ICT Price Basket shows how much countries are paying for telecommunication services, relative to income levels. It is composed of three sub-baskets: fixed telephone, mobile cellular and fixed broadband Internet tariffs. The ICT Price Basket is computed as the sum of these three tariffs, as a percentage of monthly Gross National Income per capita.

The price for fixed broadband access remains prohibitively high in most developing countries, effectively limiting access to the Information Society

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Better business conditions facilitate telecoms investment
US$ 600

Telco investment per capita
500

400

300

Country rank in the “Ease of doing business” indicator

200

100

0 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0

Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicator Database and World Bank Doing Business (www.doingbusiness.org ). Note: Telecom investment data for 2007 or 2006, as available.

A relatively better performance in the “Ease of doing business” country rankings is associated with higher levels of telecom investment per capita

Who ranks where in ITU’s latest ICT Development Index (IDI)? Top five economies within each region
Regional IDI Rank 1 2 3 4 5
Europe Sweden nd Global Global Asia&Pacific IDI Rank IDI Rank Americas Global Global Arab States IDI Rank IDI Rank 17 UAE 32 CIS Global IDI Rank 50 Africa Seychelles Global IDI Rank 57

1 1 Korea (Rep.)
3 Hong Kong, China Japan Australia Singapore

2

United States

Russia

Denmark

11

Canada

19

Bahrain

42

Ukraine

51

Mauritius South Africa Cape Verde Gabon

62

Netherlands Iceland Norway

4 5 6

12 14 15

Argentina Chile Uruguay

47 48 49

Qatar Saudi Arabia Kuwait

44 55 57

Belarus Moldova Kazakhstan

54 68 69

87 105 107

Region with the highest IDI scores

Region with the lowest IDI scores

Source: The ITU IDI is a composite index based on 11 indicators. The Index, which captures the level of advancement of ICTs in more than 150 countries worldwide and compares progress made between 2002 and 2007, was published in the 2009 Measuring the Information Society Report.

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While Russia ranks 50th, globally, it is first within the CIS region

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For more information:

Market Information and Statistics Division Telecommunication Development Bureau International Telecommunication Union

indicators@itu.int www.itu.int/ict

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