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Research Presentation

April 2020
Methodology

Qualitative Research
1 20 mini focus groups with eligible voters in San Juan, Carolina, Ponce, Arecibo and Caguas.
Each group comprised of four voters and lasted for at least one hour.

Quantitative Research
2 n=1,500 nationally representative Puerto Rico survey with eligible voters.
CATI survey between 30th March – 21st April 2020. Margin of error +/-2.6 per cent at 95% CI.
Quotas set by gender, age, region (senatorial district) and past gubernatorial vote.

2
Analysis Groups

Definite Voters
Those 10/10 likely to vote at the next election.
100%

55%
Soft Voters (Bhatia)
Proportion of Sample Those undecided or likely to change their minds in a
Vázquez vs Bhatia election.
23%

25% Soft Voters (Carmen)


Those undecided or likely to change their minds in a
Vázquez vs Carmen election.

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

3
Turnout Likelihood
55%
54%
Definite (10) 62%
50%

21%
22%
Likely (7-9) 25%
20%
2016 Gubernatorial Election
24% 54.70% Turnout
23%
Unlikely (1-6) 12%
30%

1%
Don't know 1%
1%
2%

Total PNP PPD Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

4 Q9) On a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 is definitely would not vote, and 10 is definitely vote, if there was the Governor’s
Election today, how likely is it that you would go out and vote?
Context
National Direction
34%
36%
Generally right direction
28%
30%

58%
57%
Seriously wrong direction
62%
61%

8%
6%
Don't know
10%
9%

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

6 Q1) Thinking about Puerto Rico as a whole, do you believe that the island is generally heading in the right
direction or wrong direction?
Issue Agenda (>5%)
30%
Health 30%
29%
28%
30%
Economy, development, taxes 28%
32%
31%
17%
Education 17%
15%
16%
16%
Fight corruption 18%
19%
19%
8%
Employment 8%
7%
7%

8%
Covid19 6%
7%

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

7 Q2) If the Governor’s Election was held today, what is the most important issue that would determine how you
vote? It could be a local issue, a national issue, or something else that is relevant to you in determining your vote.
Issue Agenda (>5%)
30%
Health 33%
28%

30%
Economy, development, taxes 31%
23%

17%
Education 17%
16%

16%
Fight corruption 11%
21%

8%
Employment 7%
9%

8%
Covid19 9%
7%

Total PNP voting intention PPD voting intention

8 Q2) If the Governor’s Election was held today, what is the most important issue that would determine how you
vote? It could be a local issue, a national issue, or something else that is relevant to you in determining your vote.
Focus Group Verbatims

“Robbing. They [politicians] have to stop robbing so much. Let the funds go where they should and divide it
correctly… it's affected basic things in the country, health, education and infrastructure indefinitely, we need to
work on those things.” – Ponce

“We should be training more people and trying to retain them. That is a problem. Because of the economy
many of our doctors are leaving. They go to places where they get better wagers. They need better wages.”
– San Juan

“You have to go to the US and depending on what health problem you have you may have to go to the US. We
shouldn’t have to travel abroad for doctors and equipment.” – Arecibo

“The education is not at the same level as the USA. The teachers are leaving because we are not educating
the next generation as we should. There is an education gap and this has an effect on the next generations.”
– San Juan

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Puerto Rico’s Political Status
43%
Statehood 45%
42%

14%
Free Association 15%
16%
14%

15%
Independence 13%
14%

21%
Keep the status quo 20%
21%
22%

7%
Don't know 5%
8%

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

10 Q4) Out of the following options which would you prefer for the future of Puerto Rico?
Puerto Rico’s Political Status
43%
Statehood 66%
18%
23%

14%
Free Association 7%
28%
11%

15%
Independence 7%
18%
48%

21%
Keep the status quo 16%
33%
14%

7%
Don't know 4%
4%
4%

Total PNP PPD PIP

11 Q4) Out of the following options which would you prefer for the future of Puerto Rico?
Focus Group Verbatims

“Statehood alone doesn’t affect my decision. We have been like this for years. Regardless of status, the
government has to do their job.” – San Juan

“We’ve done these referendum for many years but the referendum must be backed by the US Congress to
have weight. I think we should do another one but it must be backed by the US. If it’s not, it’s useless.”
– San Juan

“I’ll always vote for statehood because it will get us more security. I care for economic stability. I want the
benefits of an American citizen.” – Arecibo

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Awareness &
Net Favourability
Name Recognition Summary
Ricardo Rossello 79% 96%
Donald Trump 75% 97%
Wanda Vazquez 74% 99%
Carmen Yulin Cruz 73% 97%
Pedro Pierluisi 73% 97%
Thomas Rivera Schatz 71% 94%
PNP 71% 96%
Eduardo Bhatia 66% 96%
Alexandra Lugaro 65% 92%
PPD 60% 96%
PIP 56% 94%
Juan Dalmau Ramirez 56% 92%
Carlos Mendez 42% 67%
Joe Biden 35% 63%
Carlos Delgado Altieri 34% 63%
Hard Name ID (Favourable + Unfavourable) Soft Name ID (Favourable + Unfavourable + Neutral)

14 Q17) I am now going to read out some people and organisations who are active in Puerto Rico. Please tell me if
you have a favourable, neutral, or unfavourable view of each.
Net Favourability Summary
0%
Wanda Vázquez -5% -2%
0%
-1%
Joe Biden -2% 2%
-2%
Juan Dalmau Ramirez -2%0%
-3%
Pedro Pierluisi -5%-3%
-2%
Eduardo Bhatia -5% -1%
-7% 4%
PNP -8%
-6%
Carlos Delgado Altieri -8%
-10%
-12% -8%
PPD Neutral / Polarising -8%-6% -3%
Carlos Mendez -20% -16%
-26%-23%
Negative -23%
Alexandra Lugaro -21%
-23%
PIP -27%
-32%
-32%
Carmen Yulin Cruz -28%-25%
-29% -23%
-38%
Donald Trump -49% -41%
-44%
-40%
Thomas Rivera Schatz -46% -38%
-57% -48%
Ricardo Rossello -61%

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

15 Q17) I am now going to read out some people and organisations who are active in Puerto Rico. Please tell me if
you have a favourable, neutral, or unfavourable view of each.
Net Favourability Summary
0%
-34%
-11%
Wanda Vázquez 4%
22%
11%
1%
-3%
0%
-7%
Pedro Pierluisi 1%
4%
-7%
-6%
-5%
0%
-15%
Eduardo Bhatia -10%
0%
-4%
0%
-28%
3%
-28%
Carmen Yulin Cruz -37%
-40%
-31%
-27%

Total 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

16 Q17) I am now going to read out some people and organisations who are active in Puerto Rico. Please tell me if
you have a favourable, neutral, or unfavourable view of each.
Primaries
Preferred Primary Candidates
*Only asked to party members

PNP PPD

52% 49%
Wanda Vázquez 54% Eduardo Bhatia 51%
43% 28%
42% 50%

25%
36% Carmen Yulin 28%
Pedro Pierluisi
41% Cruz 36%
41% 21%

1% 7%
Other Other 8%
0%
5%

11% 19%
Don't know 9% Don't know 14%
16% 28%
17% 24%

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen) Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

18 Q7) Out of the following options only, who would you prefer to see win the PNP’s primary?
Q8) Out of the following options only, who would you you prefer to see win the PPD’s primary?
June Primaries
85%
85%
Yes
83%
84%

9%
10%
No
11%
10%

6%
5%
Don't know
6%
6%

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

19 Q28) And finally, do you think primaries currently scheduled for June should be delayed because of the
pandemic?
Gubernatorial
Voting Intention
Turnout Likelihood
55%
54%
Definite (10) 62%
50%

21%
22%
Likely (7-9) 25%
20%

24%
23%
Unlikely (1-6) 12%
30%

1%
Don't know 1%
1%
2%

Total PNP PPD Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

21 Q9) On a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 is definitely would not vote, and 10 is definitely vote, if there was the Governor’s
Election today, how likely is it that you would go out and vote?
Voting Intention (Wanda Vázquez)
*Assuming that Wanda Vázquez is the PNP’s candidate.

Scenario 1 Scenario 2
46% 41%
Wanda Vázquez 45% Wanda Vázquez 41%
41% 33%

21% 27%
Carmen Yulin Cruz 24% Eduardo Bhatia 32%
19% 27%

12% 12%
Juan Dalmau Ramirez 10% Juan Dalmau Ramirez 10%
12% 11%

10% 9%
Other 13% Other 9%
7% 6%

11% 11%
Don't know 9% Don't know 8%
21% 23%

Total Definite Soft Total Definite Soft

Q10-15) Now consider a scenario where Wanda Vázquez has been selected as the PNP’s candidate, Carmen Yulin Cruz/Eduardo
22 Bhatia has been selected as the PPD’s candidate, and Juan Dalmau Ramirez has been selected as the PIP’s candidate. Regardless of
how likely you would be to actually vote, in this scenario, if the Governor’s Election was held today, which candidate would receive your
vote?
Voting Intention (Wanda Vázquez)
*Assuming that Wanda Vázquez is the PNP’s candidate.

Scenario 1 Scenario 2
46% 41%
19% 14%
Wanda Vázquez 44% Wanda Vázquez 37%
50% 47%
52% 48%
42% 40%
21% 27%
37% 43%
Carmen Yulin Cruz 21% Eduardo Bhatia 28%
19% 20%
14% 26%
18% 25%
26% 30%
12% 12%
22% 21%
Juan Dalmau Ramirez 18% Juan Dalmau Ramirez 17%
14% 15%
9% 10%
9% 7%
8% 6%
11% 9%
15% 13%
Other 8% Other 9%
9% 8%
11% 9%
8% 8%
13% 10%
11% 11%
6% 9%
Don't know 9% Don't know 9%
9% 10%
14% 8%
13% 12%
12% 14%

Total 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Total 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

Q10-15) Now consider a scenario where Wanda Vázquez has been selected as the PNP’s candidate, Carmen Yulin Cruz/Eduardo
23 Bhatia has been selected as the PPD’s candidate, and Juan Dalmau Ramirez has been selected as the PIP’s candidate. Regardless of
how likely you would be to actually vote, in this scenario, if the Governor’s Election was held today, which candidate would receive your
vote?
How Committed are Voters in their Support?
*Assuming that Wanda Vázquez is the PNP’s candidate.

Scenario 1 Scenario 2

Total 49% 51% Total 54% 46%

Definite 53% 47% Definite 58% 42%

Wanda Wanda
61% 39% 65% 36%
Vázquez Vázquez

Carmen Yulin Eduardo


57% 43% 59% 41%
Cruz Bhatia

Hard Soft Hard Soft

Q10-15) Now consider a scenario where Wanda Vázquez has been selected as the PNP’s candidate, Carmen Yulin Cruz/Eduardo
24 Bhatia has been selected as the PPD’s candidate, and Juan Dalmau Ramirez has been selected as the PIP’s candidate. Regardless of
how likely you would be to actually vote, in this scenario, if the Governor’s Election was held today, which candidate would receive your
vote?
Voting Intention (Pedro Pierluisi)
*Assuming that Pedro Pierluisi is the PNP’s candidate.

Scenario 3 Scenario 4
42% 42%
Pedro Pierluisi 41% Pedro Pierluisi 41%
37% 37%

21% 22%
Carmen Yulin Cruz 21% Eduardo Bhatia 26%
19% 17%

14% 15%
Juan Dalmau Ramirez 16% Juan Dalmau Ramirez 16%
13% 17%

12% 10%
Other 12% Other 10%
8% 8%

12% 11%
Don't know 10% Don't know 7%
23% 22%

Total Definite Soft Total Definite Soft

Q10-15) Now consider a scenario where Pedro Pierluisi has been selected as the PNP’s candidate, Carmen Yulin Cruz/Eduardo Bhatia
25 has been selected as the PPD’s candidate, and Juan Dalmau Ramirez has been selected as the PIP’s candidate. Regardless of how
likely you would be to actually vote, in this scenario, if the Governor’s Election was held today, which candidate would receive your
vote?
Voting Intention (Pedro Pierluisi)
*Assuming that Pedro Pierluisi is the PNP’s candidate.

Scenario 3 Scenario 4
42% 42%
35% 46%
Pedro Pierluisi 36% Pedro Pierluisi 37%
50% 46%
47% 43%
45% 40%
38% 41%
21% 22%
30% 19%
Carmen Yulin Cruz 22% Eduardo Bhatia 18%
14% 20%
17% 27%
22% 31%
19% 23%
14% 15%
19% 24%
Juan Dalmau Ramirez 16% Juan Dalmau Ramirez 20%
14% 14%
10% 10%
13% 11%
11% 9%
12% 10%
9% 8%
Other 16% Other 15%
10% 8%
6% 5%
10% 9%
16% 13%
12% 11%
7% 4%
Don't know 10% Don't know 10%
11% 11%
20% 15%
10% 9%
16% 14%

Total 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Total 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

Q10-15) Now consider a scenario where Pedro Pierluisi has been selected as the PNP’s candidate, Carmen Yulin Cruz/Eduardo Bhatia
26 has been selected as the PPD’s candidate, and Juan Dalmau Ramirez has been selected as the PIP’s candidate. Regardless of how
likely you would be to actually vote, in this scenario, if the Governor’s Election was held today, which candidate would receive your
vote?
How Committed are Voters in their Support?
*Assuming that Pedro Pierluisi is the PNP’s candidate.

Scenario 3 Scenario 4

Total 47% 53% Total 51% 49%

Definite 54% 46% Definite 58% 43%

Pedro Pierluisi 56% 44% Pedro


62% 38%
Pierluisi

Carmen Yulin Eduardo


60% 40% 74% 26%
Cruz Bhatia

Hard Soft Hard Soft

Q10-15) Now consider a scenario where Pedro Pierluisi has been selected as the PNP’s candidate, Carmen Yulin Cruz/Eduardo Bhatia
27 has been selected as the PPD’s candidate, and Juan Dalmau Ramirez has been selected as the PIP’s candidate. Regardless of how
likely you would be to actually vote, in this scenario, if the Governor’s Election was held today, which candidate would receive your
vote?
Voting Intention Comparison
Scenario 1 Scenario 2
46% 41%
Wanda Vázquez 45% Wanda Vázquez 41%
40% 33%

Carmen Yulin 21% 27%


24% Eduardo Bhatia 32%
Cruz 19% 27%

Scenario 4
Scenario 3
42% 42%
Pedro Pierluisi 41% Pedro Pierluisi 41%
37% 37%

Carmen Yulin 21% 22%


21% Eduardo Bhatia 26%
Cruz 19% 17%

Total Definite Soft Total Definite Soft

Q10-15) Now consider a scenario where Pedro Pierluisi has been selected as the PNP’s candidate, Carmen Yulin Cruz/Eduardo Bhatia
28 has been selected as the PPD’s candidate, and Juan Dalmau Ramirez has been selected as the PIP’s candidate. Regardless of how
likely you would be to actually vote, in this scenario, if the Governor’s Election was held today, which candidate would receive your
vote?
Preferences, Expectations
& Performance
Preferred Outcome
31%
PNP government with Wanda Vázquez as Governor 30%
29%

22%
PNP government with Pedro Pierluisi as Governor 23%
22%

13%
PPD government with Carmen Yulin Cruz as Governor 15%
13%
8%

16%
PPD government with Eduardo Bhatia as Governor 18%
13%
19%

18%
Don't know 16%
22%
22%

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

30 Q18) After the next Governor’s election, which outcome would you PREFER, even if that preference is only
slight?
PNP & Wanda Vázquez Performance
34%
33%
Have done enough
27%
28%

61%
64%
Give someone else a chance
66%
65%

6%
3%
Don't know
7%
7%

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

31 Q21) Do you think Wanda Vázquez and the PNP have done enough to deserve re-election, or do you think it is
time to give someone else a chance
PNP & Wanda Vázquez Coronavirus Performance
32%
Very well 34%
27%

38%
Somewhat well 35%
40%
42%

Somewhat poorly 13%


12%

16%
Very poorly 17%
20%
19%

Don't know 1%

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

32 Q27) How well or poorly do you think that Wanda Vázquez and the PNP have handled the coronavirus pandemic
so far?
Expected PPD Performance
35%
39%
Would do a better job
34%
35%

39%
38%
Would do a worse job
31%
32%

26%
23%
Don't know
35%
33%

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

33 Q22) Do you think the PPD would do a better or worse job in government than Wanda Vázquez and the PNP are
currently doing?
Preferred Governor
29%
Wanda Vázquez
28%

24%
Pedro Pierluisi 23%
24%

17%
Eduardo Bhatia 19%
14%
18%

13%
Carmen Yulin Cruz 14%
13%
9%

18%
Don't know 16%
21%

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

34 Q20) Out of the following options only, who do you think would be the best Governor?
Win Expectations
34%
PNP government with Wanda Vázquez as Governor 32%
33%
34%

24%
PNP government with Pedro Pierluisi as Governor 26%
24%

10%
PPD government with Carmen Yulin Cruz as Governor 12%
8%
5%

14%
PPD government with Eduardo Bhatia as Governor 16%
13%
16%

18%
Don't know 17%
20%
21%

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

35 Q19) Regardless of who you would prefer to win the next election, what do you think WILL be the outcome of the
Governor’s election?
Candidate Hesitations
Voting Hesitations – Wanda Vázquez
Compared to the other three likely candidates, the % of those who don’t like Governor Vázquez is the lowest.

28%
Don't like her 27%
29%
26%
19%
Corrupt 21%
23% “Most politicians we have seen are corrupt and as a lawyer she
8% has been doing a good job and I can trust her.” – Arecibo
Dishonest 7%
21%
23%
“I’m concerned that she would allow all these corrupt politicians
4% to do what they’re going to do. That would stop me from voting
No experience 5%
4% for her. Is she going to allow all the corrupt politicians to take
4% over? I want to see that she can do things on her own.” –
Unreliable 2% Carolina
3%
9%
None 10% “She seems insecure at times with decision making. She has
8% advisors and I think she has a conflict between what she thinks is
7% right and what her team says.” – Arecibo
Don't know 11%
10%

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

37 Q23) What would be your biggest hesitation about voting for each of the following politicians?
Voting Hesitations – Pedro Pierluisi
36%
Don't like him 35%
34%

Corrupt 13%
14%
8% “He’s a potato. He doesn’t really do much. He’s not a revolutionary
Unreliable 10% or anything. He’s a passive person. He’s not very strong.” – Ponce
5%
5%

I don't know him 3% “Pedro Pierluisi has a lot of baggage. More dirty laundry.”
4%
5% – Caguas
Lacks capacity to govern 3%
the country 4% “He has experience because he was commissioner… I believe
that during the time he was Resident Commissioner he did
9%
None nothing for Puerto Rico and I think that his personal interest as a
8%
9% business man affect in that he is corrupt.” – San Juan
10%
Don't know 9%
12%
11%

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

38 Q23) What would be your biggest hesitation about voting for each of the following politicians?
Voting Hesitations – Eduardo Bhatia
32%
Don't like him 33%
26%
25%
7% “He’s been in lots of positions but the he never did anything.”
Corrupt 6%
9%
8% – San Juan
6%
Unreliable 5% “To be a governor you have to be a leader and I don’t think that
he has leadership skills... he’s always been in that position as a
6% senator.” – Carolina
I don't know him 5%
7%
6%
4% “He’s an almost winner. He has tried many times, but he has never
No experience 3%
5% won.” – Ponce
8%
None 7%
8%
“He knows the political system so obviously he has contacts, but
10% that’s it.” – Carolina
14%
Don't know 15%
19%
16%

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

39 Q23) What would be your biggest hesitation about voting for each of the following politicians?
Voting Hesitations – Carmen Yulin Cruz
45%
Don't like her 46%
42%

Unreliable 6%
4%
“She doesn’t have good communication with the US leaders. She
5%
Corrupt 4% went into direct confrontation with Trump and that doesn’t help
7%
6% with political situations.” – San Juan
5%
Lacks capacity to govern the country 7%
6% “She’s revolutionary. But she likes to be showing off and she
4% couldn’t look after the people.” – San Juan
Communist 5%
3%
5%
“She is dressed up as the popular party candidate, but she is an
6% independent.” – San Juan
None 5%
7%
5%
10% “She takes advantage of every situation to do politics. She’s
Don't know 15% arrogant.” – Carolina

Total Definite Soft (Bhatia) Soft (Carmen)

40 Q23) What would be your biggest hesitation about voting for each of the following politicians?
Attribute Associations
Top Wanda Vázquez Attributes
*Net = Wanda Vázquez – Closest Competitor

Is best to handle the Coronavirus pandemic (+26) 40% 14% 24% 13% 9%

Says one thing and does another (+21) 39% 10% 26% 18% 8%

Has failed to keep their promises (+13) 34% 10% 28% 21% 7%

Is weak and easily led (+13) 29% 14% 29% 13% 16%

Is best to handle natural disasters (+9) 28% 19% 25% 16% 12%

Is best for safety and security (+4) 27% 23% 23% 13% 14%

Will improve the healthcare system (+8) 27% 19% 24% 16% 15%

Is focused on the right issues (+6) 27% 21% 23% 13% 17%

Is hopeful and optimistic (+5) 27% 22% 21% 13% 18%

Will secure a better future for Puerto Rico (+2) 26% 24% 25% 11% 14%

Is competent and capable (+2) 26% 24% 21% 13% 17%

Is best for the economy (-2) 26% 28% 17% 11% 18%

Share your values and understand your concerns (+10) 26% 16% 29% 14% 15%
More like Wanda Vázquez More like Pedro Pierluisi Like all / none / no difference / don't know
More like Carmen Yulin Cruz More like Eduardo Bhatia
Q24) I’m now going to read you some phrases and characteristics that other people we have spoken to have
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used to describe certain politicians. For each phrase or characteristic, please tell me whether you think it is a
better descriptor of Wanda Vázquez, Pedro Pierluisi, Carmen Yulin Cruz or Eduardo Bhatia.
Top Pedro Pierluisi Attributes
*Net = Pedro Pierluisi – Closest Competitor

Will have the best relationship with the USA (+13) 37% 24% 16% 8% 14%

Is best for attracting international investment (+12) 33% 21% 21% 10% 15%

Is experienced (+11) 31% 20% 17% 12% 20%

Is a career politician (+4) 30% 11% 23% 10% 26%

Is best for infrastructure including roads (+10) 30% 20% 24% 10% 17%

Is best for the economy (+2) 28% 26% 17% 11% 18%

Has the right position on the political status of Puerto Rico (+4) 26% 22% 25% 12% 15%
More like Pedro Pierluisi More like Wanda Vázquez
Like all / none / no difference / don't know More like Carmen Yulin Cruz
More like Eduardo Bhatia
Q24) I’m now going to read you some phrases and characteristics that other people we have spoken to have
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used to describe certain politicians. For each phrase or characteristic, please tell me whether you think it is a
better descriptor of Wanda Vázquez, Pedro Pierluisi, Carmen Yulin Cruz or Eduardo Bhatia.
Top PPD Candidate Attributes
*Net = Eduardo Bhatia / Carmen Yulin Cruz – Closest Competitor

Eduardo Bhatia

Is a career politician (-4) 26% 10% 23% 11% 30%

Is experienced (-11) 20% 12% 17% 20% 31%

Carmen Yulin Cruz


Is confrontational (+27) 42% 8% 23% 15% 12%

Is headstrong (+18) 34% 11% 24% 15% 16%

Is out of touch (+6) 27% 13% 26% 21% 13%

Is part of a divided party (+2) 24% 10% 29% 22% 15%

More like Carmen Yulin Cruz More like Eduardo Bhatia Like all / none / no difference / don't know
More like Wanda Vázquez More like Pedro Pierluisi
Q24) I’m now going to read you some phrases and characteristics that other people we have spoken to have
44
used to describe certain politicians. For each phrase or characteristic, please tell me whether you think it is a
better descriptor of Wanda Vázquez, Pedro Pierluisi, Carmen Yulin Cruz or Eduardo Bhatia.
Opinion Drivers
Primary: How to Visualize
DRIVING VOTE FOR DRIVING VOTE FOR
PIERLUISI VÁZQUEZ

DRIVING VOTE AGAINST DRIVING VOTE AGAINST


PIERLUISI VÁZQUEZ

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Wanda Vázquez vs Pedro Pierluisi
DRIVING VOTE FOR PIERLUISI DRIVING VOTE FOR VÁZQUEZ

DRIVING VOTE AGAINST PIERLUISI DRIVING VOTE AGAINST VÁZQUEZ


Q18) After the next Governor’s election, which outcome would you prefer, even if that preference is only slight?
47
BASE: PNP supporters
Gubernatorial: How to Visualize
DRIVING PREFERENCE FOR DRIVING PREFERENCE FOR
THE PPD THE PNP

DRIVING PREFERENCE DRIVING PREFERENCE


AGAINST THE PPD AGAINST THE PNP

48
PNP vs PPD
DRIVING PREFERENCE FOR DRIVING PREFERENCE FOR
THE PPD THE PNP

Q18) After the next Governor’s election, which outcome would you prefer, even if that preference is only slight?
49
Appendix
Issue Agenda (>5%) (By Age)
21% 30%
Health 28%
29% 35%
34%
31%
21% 30%
Economy, development, taxes 32% 37%
29% 34%
23%
17%
17%
Education 17% 21%
12% 17%
15%
16%
Fight corruption 16%17% 19%
16% 17%
14%
8% 16%
Employment 6% 10%
4% 5% 7%

8%
6% 7%
Covid19 5% 9%
8% 11%

Total 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

51 Q2) If the Governor’s Election was held today, what is the most important issue that would determine how you
vote? It could be a local issue, a national issue, or something else that is relevant to you in determining your vote.
Issue Agenda (>5%) (By Gender)
30%
Health 23%
36%

30%
Economy, development, taxes 31%
29%

17%
Education 12%
20%

16%
Fight courruption 18%
14%

8%
Employment 10%
6%

8%
Covid19 7%
9%

Total Male Female

52 Q2) If the Governor’s Election was held today, what is the most important issue that would determine how you
vote? It could be a local issue, a national issue, or something else that is relevant to you in determining your vote.
Turnout Likelihood (By Age)
55%
53%
47%
Definite (10) 52%
57%
58%
60%
21%
27%
24%
Likely (7-9) 21%
18%
19%
16%
24%
19%
28%
Unlikely (1-6) 26%
23%
22%

1%
0%
Don't know 1%
0%
2%

Total 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

53 Q9) On a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 is definitely would not vote, and 10 is definitely vote, if there was the Governor’s
Election today, how likely is it that you would go out and vote?
Voting Intention Comparison
Scenario 1 Scenario 2
46% 41%
Wanda Vázquez 43% Wanda Vázquez 39%
48% 43%

21% 27%
Carmen Yulin Cruz 23% Eduardo Bhatia 27%
20% 28%

Scenario 4
Scenario 3
42% 42%
Pedro Pierluisi 42% Pedro Pierluisi 43%
41% 42%

21% 22%
Carmen Yulin Cruz 20% Eduardo Bhatia 21%
22% 24%

Total Male Female Total Male Female

Q13/14) Now consider a scenario where Pedro Pierluisi has been selected as the PNP’s candidate, Carmen Yulin Cruz/Eduardo Bhatia
54 has been selected as the PPD’s candidate, and Juan Dalmau Ramirez has been selected as the PIP’s candidate. Regardless of how
likely you would be to actually vote, in this scenario, if the Governor’s Election was held today, which candidate would receive your
vote?
News Channels
TV 44%

Social media 23%

Internet 11%

Radio 7%

Newspaper 7%

Friends and family 4%

Mobile phone 3%

Other 2%
Total

55 Q25) Which of the following is your main source of news and information about politics?
Most Used News Channels

TV Radio Website App Newspaper


Channel 4 25%
Google 19%
WKAQ 580 54% Facebook 74%
WAPA 16% Primera Hora 16%

Telemundo 14% Facebook 18%


WAPA 10% Instagram 8%
Channel 2 14%
El nuevo
12% Un nuevo dia 3%
dia.com
Local channels 12%
Radio uno 8% Twitter 5%
CNN 5% Online
9%
periodicals
UNIVISION 5% Other 12%
Other 25% Other 17% Other 4%
Other 5%

Total Total Total Total


Total

Q26a) What station do you listen to or watch the most? Q26b) What website do you use the most?
56
Q26c) What app do you use the most? Q26d) What newspaper or magazine do you read the
most?
Research Presentation
April 2020

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