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3 June 2010 • As government support for the old regimes of Software Technology Parks
of India (STPI)/Export Oriented Units (EOU) nears expiry, we believe
Special Economic Zones (SEZs) are the way forward for export led
companies planning to expand in or enter India.
David Green-Morgan • Some of the key policy issues of the SEZ debate in India are the
Head of Asia Pacific Research implications of a proposed Direct Tax Code, inconsistencies between the
+61 (0)2 8243 9913 SEZ and income tax acts, a lack of state commitment and support, and
david.green-morgan@dtz.com limited clarity on an exit strategy. We expect the clarification of these
issues to be instrumental in shaping the character of this new tax haven.
Hans Vrensen
Global Head of Research • As policy ambiguities continue to limit growth and expansion for investors
+44 (0)20 3296 2159 and potential incumbents, we expect a stable and clear policy regime to
hans.vrensen@dtz.com provide a much needed impetus for expanding the contours of SEZs in
India.
www.dtz.com 1
Introduction
models. 55
60
benefits availed to date, what we see now is a Source: Ministry of Commerce & Industry, DTZ Research
• Amid these economic uncertainties and positive * This Includes Old SEZs (19 zones that have been notified prior to SEZ Act, 2005)
demand signals, the markets are becoming more Source: Ministry of Commerce & Industry, DTZ Research
definite in terms of locations, formats and players that
should take the SEZ growth story to its next level in
Figure 2
the short to medium term.
Status of non-captive IT/ITES SEZs in key cities
• This report, which is the second in a series on
Special Economic Zones, corroborates the data with 8.0
www.dtz.com 2
Macro review
Location trends
• We thus expect the five states of Karnataka, Andhra,
• Some states have exhibited a commitment to the
Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra and Gujarat to lead the
development of SEZs, reflected in a more
scale and pace of SEZ growth in the short term (next
controlled/lower percentage growth in
two years). With many of the proposed projects now
approvals/notifications and higher percentage of
operational or in advanced stages of implementation,
already approved SEZs reaching the stage of
these states have set precedents that should create a
operations.
demand pull in their favour over other states.
• Based on these evaluation criteria, Karnataka and Moreover, with their state-level SEZ policies and
Andhra Pradesh have been the best performing to enabling acts in place, these states have taken a lead
date, with growth in the number of notified SEZs in creating a conducive environment for an SEZ
during 2007-09 being lower than the average growth occupier. Other promising states, including Haryana,
of 100% and the percentage of SEZs currently Uttar Pradesh and Kerala, are likely to catch up in the
operational higher than the average of 25% for the top medium term, in our opinion.
10 SEZ states. They are followed by Tamil Nadu and
Maharashtra (Figure 3).
Figure 3
• While the character of SEZ growth in the four top-
performing states is skewed in favour of small Performance of notified SEZs by state
IT/ITES SEZs, Gujarat has demonstrated an (SEZs notified under SEZ Act 2005)
impressive performance with large manufacturing led
multiproduct SEZ formats. Three multiproduct SEZs (No. of 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 (No. Operational) (% Operational)
Notified SEZs)
(notified after 2005), namely Mundra, Reliance 73 + 43%
Andhra Pradesh 20 27%
Infrastructure and Dahej, are currently operational in 51
www.dtz.com 3
Macro review
• While IT/ITES accounts for a maximum share in Growth of notified SEZs by class
(SEZs notified under SEZ Act 2005)
notified and operational SEZ projects, a closer look
at the performance of SEZ classes reveals that (No. of 0 50 100 150 200 250 300
(No. Operational) (% Operational)
multiproduct and sectoral SEZs have attracted more NotifiedSEZs)
206
59
interest during the last two years. This is reflected in IT/ITES
117
+ 76% 29%
12
Electronics
• We observe that there is a natural progression of 9 + 33% 4 33%
• The overall investment and operational performance Source: Ministry of Commerce & Industry, DTZ Research
www.dtz.com 4
Macro review
With payoff periods becoming longer than expected, Source: Ministry of Commerce & Industry, DTZ Research
some of the private equity investments during
2007-09 are also being re-evaluated.
Figure 7
• The banking community’s interest in funding SEZ
projects is at an all-time low, with very limited Y-o-Y export growth in SEZs
proposals being evaluated during the last year and a
negligible proportion being approved. SEZs are (INR crores)
currently not considered a lucrative asset class for Old SEZs New SEZs
120,000
debt funding, from a security and performance point
99,689
of view. Demand viability is becoming more difficult to 100,000
prove for developers as many of the projects are 80,000
ahead of time or are currently unviable due to 66,638
inadequate demand or location disadvantage. This is 60,000
capabilities on sites located near existing 600000 Old SEZs New SEZs
clusters 488,000
500000
– Government promoted/backed SEZs in which
the government initially invests in 400000
349,209
infrastructure/utilities to create an enabling
300000
environment. 235,053
200000
100000
0
2007 2008 2009
www.dtz.com 5
Macro review
• While overall SEZ export performance looks • The current scale of SEZ activity is visibly small
impressive, the additional economic activity by way of compared with what was envisaged three years ago.
contribution from new SEZs remains far lower. The pace, spread and period of SEZ growth has been
Exports from new SEZs account for only 20% of total far more optimistic and belied by speculative models,
SEZ exports, with the remainder accounted for by the rather than being due to the right timing, real demand,
old economic zones (Figure 7). Although the on the preparedness and fundamental capabilities to execute.
ground implementation of projects is lower, the As the markets readjust and government support for
performance is reflective of the low take-up within old regimes such as STPI/EOU nears an end, the pro-
SEZs that are operational. Until 2009, nearly 850 units active states, suitable locations, right formats and
had been approved for operations through 86 new capable players should survive the race. While
zones, compared with 1,200 units operating through industry stakeholders are uncertain about the
just seven old government zones (Export Processing character and future form of the SEZ framework, they
Zones converted into SEZs). This reflects on the believe in the long-term sustainability of the concept,
market supply-demand gap for SEZs, even within which has proven its success worldwide. The
projects that have managed to successfully take off. consensus is, “SEZs are here to stay.”
Table 2
State/Pvt. SEZs 2
12 12 650 61,000 94
(Set up prior to SEZ Act) [17%]
New SEZs 59
346 86 850 2,27,000 267
(Notified under the SEZ Act) [69%]
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City reviews – Delhi NCR
www.dtz.com 7
City reviews – Bengaluru
www.dtz.com 8
City reviews – Mumbai
• Over the last two years, the number of notified SEZs Figure 11
in Mumbai has increased to 16, with an additional 15
projects currently formally approved (pending Status of approvals and implementation
notification). Compared with other cities, IT/ITES
contributes a relatively low proportion of 60%, with (No. of SEZs) 0 5 10 15 20
projects on the preference radar of companies. There Source: Ministry of Commerce & Industry, DTZ Research
are incidences of developers seeking SEZ
denotification in distantly-located projects.
• At 2.1 million sq ft, SEZ stock accounts for 8% of IT Table 7
office inventory in Mumbai, the lowest among tier I
cities. Limited IT SEZ supply has been created in Market summary of IT office space
Mumbai through two projects, one developed by IT SEZs
Parameters IT Non SEZs
Hiranandani and the other by K Raheja. The others, (Non-Captive)
including the one in Navi Mumbai which is one of the Existing Stock (mn sq ft) 2.1 25.2
largest proposed SEZs in the country, are in proposal
Vacancy (%) 5% 23%
stages. We see limited speculative supply in the
pipeline for the next two years (Table 7 and 8). Supply 2010-11 (mn sq ft) 0.6 10.3
Rentals (INR per sq ft pm) 32-35 40-75
• Most of the existing SEZ stock is currently absorbed,
of which a significant proportion had been pre- Key IT SEZ Occupiers TCS, Wipro, Accenture
committed in 2007. A sizable development potential Source: DTZ Research
exists in SEZs. However, with sufficient options
available for IT occupation at better locations,
demand for SEZs that are located at farther locations
Table 8
is insignificant at present. With supply closely
following demand, the region is characterised by a Key IT/ITES SEZ projects
negligible supply-demand gap in SEZ space at
IT SEZs (Non-Captive) Location Status
present. SEZ developers in the region prefer to enter
into pre-commitments over adding any speculative Hiranandani’s IT SEZ Powai Operational
SEZ space. Raheja’s Mindspace Airoli Operational
• Quoted SEZ rentals have corrected by nearly 20% in Navi Mumbai SEZ Kalamboli Proposed
peripheral locations. SEZ rents are lower due to Royal Palms – I Palm Goregaon Proposed
location dynamics, rather than an oversupply Source: DTZ Research
situation. However, with a limited supply pipeline, any
demand momentum that is likely post-STPI expiry
would strengthen the SEZ prices in the region.
www.dtz.com 9
City reviews – Chennai
centres, many others have either not picked up or Existing Stock (mn sq ft) 9.6 27.7
have slowed their construction activity. The proposed
supply addition for the next two years, estimated at Vacancy (%) 34% 27%
2.2 million sq ft, remains conservative Supply 2010-11 (mn sq ft) 2.2 6.6
(Tables 9 and 10). Rentals (INR per sq ft pm) 28 – 45 20 – 40
• Most of the current absorbed stock was pre- Key IT SEZ Occupiers TCS, Accenture
committed during 2007-08. Fresh absorption in 2009 Source: DTZ Research
remained much lower, at approximately
0.5 million sq ft, accounting for 20% of the total
activity recorded during the year. The demand Table 10
response for more conveniently located projects,
such as DLF IT SEZ, has been much healthier. Key IT/ITES SEZ projects
IT SEZs (Non-Captive) Location Status
• SEZ prices have corrected by 30-40% from their
peak in 2007-08. IT SEZs, which took off with a lot of DLF IT SEZ Manapakkam Operational
positive sentiment in this region, are currently facing ETL Chennai One Pallikaranai Operational
a market challenge of location trade off, and are
Shriram Gateway Tambaram Operational
hence limited in their ability to offer an absolute
advantage to occupiers. SEZ activity in the region is ETA Technopark Navalur, OMR Operational
likely to be guided by demand from large-space Mahindra World City GST Operational
occupiers over small enterprises, as the latter prefer E Platinum Navalur, OMR Existing
to be near city centres.
L&T Estancia Vallenchery Existing
Source: DTZ Research
www.dtz.com 10
City reviews – Pune
• At 0.3 million sq ft, SEZ absorption in 2009 Existing Stock (mn sq ft) 7.8 15.1
accounted for 15% of the total leasing reported
during the year. Most of the activity was recorded in Vacancy (%) 37% 17%
the already-established SEZ in the region, namely Supply 2010-11 (mn sq ft) 4.5 1.0
EON. Of the remainder, most of the currently Rentals (INR per sq ft pm) 30-35 35-40
absorbed stock has been an offshoot of the pre-
commitments given in 2007-08. Demand activity at Key IT SEZ Occupiers Cognizant, TCS, Accenture
present is slow. Source: DTZ Research
www.dtz.com 11
City reviews – Kolkata
www.dtz.com 12
City reviews – Hyderabad
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Policy review – Key issues
• Although the SEZ Act contains a lot of grey areas in • Measures taken: By not addressing any further
its current form, DTZ spoke to stakeholders to find extension of the STPI/EOU scheme in the current
out some of the key policy issues facing the industry, budget (2010), the government has given clear
measures taken and their implications. The issues signals regarding the likely end of the STPI/EOU
have been addressed from the perspective of two regime and its full commitment to the growth of
key stakeholders, developer and unit occupier. As SEZs.
most of the SEZ projects are in nascent stages of
development, we believe, both, supply or demand • Implications: The STPI/EOU expiry would mean
side inhibitors would be detrimental to the momentum a direct demand fillip for SEZs in the short to
of SEZ growth in India. medium term, which would then be the only tax
haven for IT/EOU units in India.
B. Transition issues
High
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Policy review – Key issues
• Measures taken: As per the recent notification, • Implications: The supply character and SEZ
the units have been allowed to bring in to SEZs demand over the last two years have been driven by
as many used/second-hands goods as they want, large IT companies through captive campus-style
subject to approval. However, a unit would not be developments, such as Infosys and Wipro etc, or
eligible for an income tax holiday (of 15 years) through non-captive BTS style developments,
under the Income Tax Act if the ratio of used including IBM, Accenture and Cisco, primarily to
equipment exceeds 20% of the overall capital cater their expansion needs. As developers are now
investment. required to accommodate SMEs, they would also
need to provision for small floor spaces (smaller floor
• Implications: It offers only limited relief as most plates).
of the companies evaluate SEZs to avail an
income-tax holiday and other fiscal benefits • DTZ outlook: While the smaller IT spaces/incubation
contribute only a small proportion of net savings. spaces would mean an additional demand fillip from
Any explicit guidance on transition of manpower start-ups and small entrepreneurs, the developer has
is still awaited, which is currently being to strike a balance between the product portfolio and
benchmarked against the similar permissible tenant mix to maximise overall returns (in the form of
limits (20%) as applicable for capital goods. achievable rentals and subsequent tax exemptions)
from the activity of development.
• DTZ outlook: The ruling may encourage the
companies seeking consolidation spaces to D. Inconsistencies between SEZ Act and Income Tax
improve business and operational efficiency to do Act
so through SEZs. Also, it may be lucrative for
manufacturing companies as SEZ operations • Issues: Under the Income Tax Act, an SEZ unit
would offer access to better infrastructure/ supplying to another SEZ unit does not get any
working conditions, while entitling them to other income tax benefit on account of existing definition of
fiscal benefits, such as custom duties and service export, which only includes ‘physical exports’ outside
tax, which DTA/IT Park may not offer. the country. However, such supplies, popularly called
‘deemed exports,’ are counted towards NFE
C. Small and medium-size IT units performance under the SEZ Act.
• Issue: STPI scheme gives the flexibility to set up • Measures taken: Under discussion; no action has
a unit anywhere, with no minimum space been taken as yet.
requirement. The minimum land requirement of
10 hectares mandated for IT/ITES SEZs, current • Implications: This does not encourage the ancillary
floor space provisions (typically large floor plates) industries/vendors/support manufacturers of the main
and cost of real estate occupation within non- industry to house themselves in the SEZ as the SEZ
captive private SEZs is unfavourable for start-ups unit (vendor) supplying to another SEZ unit (the main
as well as small and medium-size enterprises. manufacturer) does not get any income tax benefit on
account of the existing definition of exports under the
• Measures taken: The government has instructed Income Tax Act.
IT/ITES SEZs to set up incubators of a minimum
size of 200 seats and earmark a minimum 10% • DTZ outlook: Once implemented, this would lead to
of the space in the SEZs to encourage start-ups a cluster growth model in India, resulting in the
and accommodate demand from Small Scale development of an entire eco-system/value chain
Industries (SSI). Also, the developers have been comprising research and development, component
allowed to lease space in IT/ITES SEZ on a shift- suppliers, assembly, testing and product delivery,
to-shift basis, which means the same space giving a good fillip, especially to the manufacturing
being leased to multiple users. SEZs.
www.dtz.com 15
Policy review – Key issues
Developer-level issues
E. State commitment and support F. SEZ financing
• Issues: Developers face inordinate delays in • Issues: Low-cost financing options have not
taking approvals from the respective state been available for the development of SEZs.
authorities. In many states, there are no enabling Loans for SEZ development were treated as
provisions for implementing SEZ projects. Single exposure to the commercial real estate sector.
window clearance has not been practically Commercial real estate loans attract nearly 2%
implemented to date, resulting in inconvenience higher interest rates than infrastructure loans,
for developers as they have to get and low cost funding options such as External
approval/clearances from many state Commercial Borrowing (ECBs) were not
departments. Also, states have not met their permissible for the development of SEZs.
commitments in providing infrastructure and
utilities such as water and power to project sites. • Measures taken: In 2009, the development of
infrastructure facilities in SEZs, such as industrial
• Measures taken: The BOA has suggested that parks, roads, water supplies, power supplies and
no new proposal should be submitted by state telecommunications, excluding the development
governments that have not put in place the of integrated townships and commercial real
system of single-window mechanisms. Also, the estate, were brought under the eligibility net of
states have been directed to create enabling infrastructure lending and ECB funding.
mechanism for implementing SEZ projects by
operationalising their state level SEZ acts. • Implications: While we believe the changes are
positive, no immediate gains are visible. With the
• Implications: The single-window mechanism project viability of many SEZs being a major risk,
would help to reduce the gestation period of the financial institutions are channelling funds into
project and improve overall business confidence more promising asset classes, such as highways,
in the SEZ framework. We believe this would power projects and bridges. On the other hand,
also help to trigger investments from serious SEZ the opening of ECB route is not helping much
developers. However, the states’ commitment to due to the absence of sufficient liquidity and risk
facilitate enabling infrastructure remains a key aversion in foreign markets since the recession.
concern.
• DTZ outlook: While the opening of additional
• DTZ outlook: The sooner the measures taken up avenues for low-cost funding would augment
by the centre synergise with that of the state, the developers’ financial strength to execute SEZ
sooner we could see on-the-ground projects, it may take at least 6-8 months to
implementation of SEZs. At the current pace of witness gains. The measures would see
redressal by BOA, we foresee that the developers with insufficient funds but viable SEZ
ambiguities related to the SEZ Act would subside projects taking off in the short to medium term.
and a more transparent regime could evolve in
the next two years. Also, during this period, as G. Norms for non-processing zones
more SEZ projects reach the stage of completion,
sufficient on-the-ground evidence would be • Issue: The guidelines for development and
established to guide the future activity. disposal of infrastructure created in non-
processing zones have not been outlined, leaving
room for ambiguity and interpretation. In the
absence of clear guidance, developers have
either not earmarked any area for non-
processing zones or, as in most cases, have not
planned/commenced any activity on it.
www.dtz.com 16
Policy review – Key issues
• Measures taken: In 2009, the government came • Implications: Over the last year, many SEZ
up with the norms and draft development developers have applied for denotification, citing
guidelines for building infrastructure in non- the economic slowdown and liquidity crunch as
processing zones. The guidelines specify an baseline reasons. We believe such early exits
overall ceiling on land utilization among various are helping to remove the glut from the market,
activities (infrastructure, open spaces and leaving in the market only serious players with
circulation) and floor space utilization within each definite intent or the real capability to execute
category of infrastructure development- these projects in the medium to long term.
residential, commercial and other facilities.
Furthermore, it clarifies that the construction of a • DTZ outlook: A clear but a tighter exit strategy
non-processing zone could be allowed in a would encourage sizable foreign and domestic
phased manner, wherever possible, linked with investments in SEZ projects in the medium to
the actual level of activities generated in the long term, while ensuring that transfers are made
processing area. to entities of comparable or higher order in terms
of their net-worth or capability, in our opinion.
• Implications: This has reduced the ambiguity
about the utilization pattern and probable phasing Issues common to unit and developer
of non-processing zones. However, the
conformity to overall ceilings has limited I. Proposed Direct Tax Code
developers’ flexibility to decide about the product
mix as per their own business plans. • Issue: The new Direct Tax Code, proposed by
the Ministry of Finance, Government of India, to
• DTZ outlook: The clarification and guidance replace the Income Tax Act of 1961, discourages
towards overall physical planning should income tax exemptions to SEZ units, while SEZ
encourage more developers to earmark non- developers’ benefits are proposed to be linked to
processing areas within their projects. Also, it investment-based expenditures. Also, there is
should provide a thrust toward a balanced uncertainty over the availability of Dividend
product mix of components of support Distribution Tax (DDT) and Minimum Alternate
infrastructure, in line with an integrated/self- Tax (MAT) exemptions under the new regime.
sustainable development, rather than a
developer’s tendency to maximise value through • Measures taken: The Ministry of Commerce
a focus on a single high-yielding asset. continues to make assurances that benefits
prescribed by the SEZ Act cannot be withdrawn
H. Exit strategy under any circumstances, and says that SEZ-
related benefits would supersede all other acts of
• Issue: The act as it stands today does not the government. We await a concrete decision
provision for a clear exit strategy for SEZ through a written instruction or clarification.
developers due to the treatment of land under the
SEZ Act. SEZ developers are not allowed to ‘sell’ • Implications: The conflicting signals from the
any land or built-up space created in the zone Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of
(processing as well as non-processing zone); the Commerce have taken the SEZ regime into
land or built-up space can only be ‘leased’ to another realm of uncertainty. This is resulting in
units or a co-developer. further delays in the decisions of potential
incumbents or dissuading domestic and foreign
• Measures taken: The government has permitted investors from entering into long-term
the denotification of SEZ projects (subject to commitments through SEZs.
complete refund of all exemptions availed to
date), thus channelizing an exit at the land stage • DTZ outlook: The character of a newly-modified
itself (or pre-operation stage). However, there are regime would be instrumental in defining the way
no clear provisions to exit from a notified SEZ forward for many stakeholders currently in wait-
after the SEZ has become operational. The and-watch mode. While the Direct Tax Code may
promoter can dilute its equity only up to 49%; have some implications regarding the structure of
anything beyond this is subject to the prior benefits currently available under the SEZ
approval of the BOA. scheme, government assurances and market
sentiment signal to us that the key fiscal benefits
would remain broadly intact.
www.dtz.com 17
Conclusion
• Five years since the inception of the SEZ Act, having • The states, cities, formats and promoters that have
traversed the best and the worst of market shifts, the taken the lead in SEZ market activity to date, amid
journey of Special Economic Zones in India has uncertainties, are set to define the pace and scale of
entered a second phase. With sufficient development development in the short term. We expect a stable
potential in hand and some activity already in place, and clear policy regime to provide a much-needed
we believe the time is ripe to capitalise on this new impetus for expanding the contours of SEZs, which
tax haven. While a stable and successful policy should see many more geographies, promoters and
regime is still in the making, the risks are more funding vehicles emerging and establishing
clearly established than before, which should lead to themselves in the medium to long term (Figure 17).
an arrest in speculative interests.
Figure 17
• Foreign Developers
• Andhra Pradesh
• Bangalore • Local Developers
• Karnataka
• Pune
• Tamil Nadu
• Chennai
Short Term
• Maharashtra • IT/ITES
• Hyderabad • Electronics
• Gujarat
• Captive SEZs
• Leading Regional
Developers • Bank Finance
• Government • FDI
• Internal
Accruals
SEZ Dimensions
www.dtz.com 18
Definitions
Stock NSEZ
Total accommodation in the private sector, both occupied Noida Export Processing Zone
and vacant.
SEEPZ
Absorption/Take up Santacruz Electronics Export Processing Zone
Floor space acquired for occupation including the
following: SIPCOT
1. Offices let to an eventual occupier State Industries Promotion Corporation of Tamil Nadu
2. Developments pre-let or sold
ELCOT
Prime rent Electronics Corporation of Tamil Nadu Ltd
Represents the attainable prime rent that could be
expected for a building/unit of the highest quality and MIDC
specification in the best location. Maharashtra Industrial Development Corporation
BTS New SEZs: All SEZs that came up in and after 2006 and
Built to Suit notified under the SEZ Act of 2005.
SEZ Old SEZs: 19 SEZs which were notified prior to SEZ Act
Special Economic Zone of 2005 (including eight EPZs that were converted into
SEZs)
EPZ
Export Processing Zones
SPV
Special Purpose Vehicle
www.dtz.com 19
Contacts
CEO – India
Project Management
David Parsley +91 96322 03377 david.parsley@dtz.com
Investment Advisory
Ambar Maheshwari +91 98200 40025 ambar.maheshwari@dtz.com
Press Contact
Divya Pall +91 99990 33480 divya.pall@dtz.com
www.dtz.com 20
Disclaimer
This report should not be relied upon as a basis for entering into transactions without
seeking specific, qualified, professional advice. Whilst facts have been rigorously
checked, DTZ can take no responsibility for any damage or loss suffered as a result of
any inadvertent inaccuracy within this report. Information contained herein should not,
in whole or part, be published, reproduced or referred to without prior approval. Any
such reproduction should be credited to DTZ.
www.dtz.com