Poll of Kentucky voter opinions

Conducted Feb. 28-March 1
By Braun Research of Princeton, NJ for cn|2
804 likely Kentucky voters in 2011

Methodology for the statewide poll

The findings reported in this release are from 804 telephone surveys conducted by the opinion research firm, Braun Research of Princeton NJ. The survey was sponsored
by Commonwealth Network. Braun Research completed 804 interviews with Kentucky residents adults age 18 and over. All interviews were conducted by telephone. The
interviews were conducted February 28, 2011 to March 1, 2011. The margin of error for is ± 3.46 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. Interviews were
monitored at random. There were 8 terminates who were not likely to vote in the coming election.
Sampling for this study was conducted using a Kentucky Voter List . All interviews were conducted by live interviewers using a computer assisted telephone interviewing
system. Statistical weights were designed from the United States Census Bureau statistics.

Table S1 Page 1

S1. How likely is it you will vote in this year's election for Governor and other Statewide offices? Would you say...?

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------Congressional District
cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
---------------------------------- ----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----BASED ON AGE OF
RESPONDENTS (25 YEARS
OLD AND YOUNGER)

31

5

7

7

4

4

4

15

17

14

1

1

11

-

Absolutely certain

17
2
4
5
2
2
2
10
10
7
54.8% 40.0% 57.1% 71.4% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 66.7% 58.8% 50.0%

1
100%

-

6
54.5%

Very likely

14
3
3
2
2
2
2
5
7
7
45.2% 60.0% 42.9% 28.6% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 33.3% 41.2% 50.0%

-

1
5
100% 45.5%

12

3

2

1

16

2

12

-

6
1
50.0% 33.3%

2
100%

1
7
100% 43.8%

-

10
83.3%

-

6
2
50.0% 66.7%

-

-

9
56.3%

2
2
100% 16.7%

Possibly, or

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Not very likely

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

[DO NOT READ] DON'T KNOW

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Table Q1 Page 2

Q1. Do you feel Kentucky is generally going in the right direction or has it gotten off on the wrong track?

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------Congressional District
cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
---------------------------------- ----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----TOTAL ANSWERING

804

119

132

159

127

117

150

407

387

417

17

30

196

31

227

160

24

115

475

38

277

Right direction

357
60
48
77
56
52
64
185
185
172
6
9
88
11
105
78
9
50
234
9
110
44.4% 50.4% 36.4% 48.4% 44.1% 44.4% 42.7% 45.5% 47.8% 41.2% 35.3% 30.0% 44.9% 35.5% 46.3% 48.8% 37.5% 43.5% 49.3% 23.7% 39.7%

Wrong track

338
42
60
67
49
48
72
173
145
193
8
17
76
15
92
62
13
53
185
17
129
42.0% 35.3% 45.5% 42.1% 38.6% 41.0% 48.0% 42.5% 37.5% 46.3% 47.1% 56.7% 38.8% 48.4% 40.5% 38.8% 54.2% 46.1% 38.9% 44.7% 46.6%

Unsure [DO NOT READ]

109
17
24
13.6% 14.3% 18.2%

15
22
17
9.4% 17.3% 14.5%

14
49
57
52
3
4
32
5
30
20
9.3% 12.0% 14.7% 12.5% 17.6% 13.3% 16.3% 16.1% 13.2% 12.5%

2
12
56
12
38
8.3% 10.4% 11.8% 31.6% 13.7%

Table Q2 Page 3

Q2. Which party do you trust most to handle Kentucky's government budget?

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------Congressional District
cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
---------------------------------- ----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----TOTAL ANSWERING

804

119

132

159

127

117

150

407

387

417

17

38

277

Democrats

340
46
51
75
47
54
67
179
153
187
5
18
88
11
100
57
11
49
312
8
42.3% 38.7% 38.6% 47.2% 37.0% 46.2% 44.7% 44.0% 39.5% 44.8% 29.4% 60.0% 44.9% 35.5% 44.1% 35.6% 45.8% 42.6% 65.7% 21.1%

19
6.9%

Republicans

301
59
54
52
54
37
45
156
145
156
5
7
71
9
80
74
7
47
74
15
212
37.4% 49.6% 40.9% 32.7% 42.5% 31.6% 30.0% 38.3% 37.5% 37.4% 29.4% 23.3% 36.2% 29.0% 35.2% 46.3% 29.2% 40.9% 15.6% 39.5% 76.5%

Neither one [DO NOT
READ]

115
12
19
23
19
17
25
53
65
50
2
3
24
9
33
24
3
15
64
12
33
14.3% 10.1% 14.4% 14.5% 15.0% 14.5% 16.7% 13.0% 16.8% 12.0% 11.8% 10.0% 12.2% 29.0% 14.5% 15.0% 12.5% 13.0% 13.5% 31.6% 11.9%

Unsure [DO NOT READ]

39
4.9%

2
1.7%

6
4.5%

7
4.4%

7
5.5%

9
7.7%

8
5.3%

16
3.9%

19
4.9%

20
5
4.8% 29.4%

Refused to answer [DO
NOT READ]

9
1.1%

-

2
1.5%

2
1.3%

-

-

5
3.3%

3
0.7%

5
1.3%

4
1.0%

-

30

196

31

227

160

24

115

475

2
6.7%

10
5.1%

2
6.5%

12
5.3%

4
2.5%

-

4
3.5%

21
4.4%

2
5.3%

12
4.3%

-

3
1.5%

-

2
0.9%

1
3
0.6% 12.5%

-

4
0.8%

1
2.6%

1
0.4%

Table Q9 Page 11

Q9. Thinking about the fall elections now, if the election for governor and lieutenant governor were held today, and
your choices were the Democratic ticket of Steve Beshear and Jerry Abramson or the Republican ticket of David Williams
and Richie Farmer, who would you vote for?

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------Congressional District
cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
---------------------------------- ----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----TOTAL ANSWERING

804

119

132

159

127

117

150

407

387

417

17

30

196

31

227

160

24

115

475

38

277

Beshear and Abramson

389
49
66
90
51
57
76
202
175
214
8
17
91
12
117
69
14
59
336
18
34
48.4% 41.2% 50.0% 56.6% 40.2% 48.7% 50.7% 49.6% 45.2% 51.3% 47.1% 56.7% 46.4% 38.7% 51.5% 43.1% 58.3% 51.3% 70.7% 47.4% 12.3%

Williams and Farmer

302
59
46
52
53
42
50
149
156
146
9
9
73
12
78
68
7
44
74
12
212
37.6% 49.6% 34.8% 32.7% 41.7% 35.9% 33.3% 36.6% 40.3% 35.0% 52.9% 30.0% 37.2% 38.7% 34.4% 42.5% 29.2% 38.3% 15.6% 31.6% 76.5%

Unsure [DO NOT READ]

101
12.6%

Refused to answer [DO
NOT READ]

12
1.5%

11
18
9.2% 13.6%
-

2
1.5%

13
22
16
21
51
48
53
8.2% 17.3% 13.7% 14.0% 12.5% 12.4% 12.7%

-

4
2.5%

-

1
0.8%

2
1.7%

3
2.0%

5
1.2%

8
2.1%

4
1.0%

3
30
7
27
20
3
10.0% 15.3% 22.6% 11.9% 12.5% 12.5%
1
3.3%

2
1.0%

-

5
2.2%

3
1.9%

-

11
58
6
29
9.6% 12.2% 15.8% 10.5%
1
0.9%

7
1.5%

2
5.3%

2
0.7%

Table Q10 Page 12

Q10. If the general election for governor and lieutenant governor were held today, and your choices were the Democratic
ticket of Steve Beshear and Jerry Abramson or the Republican ticket of Phil Moffett and Mike Harmon, who would you vote
for?

Congressional District
---------------------------------TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----TOTAL ANSWERING

804

119

132

159

127

117

150

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----407

387

417

17

30

196

31

227

160

24

115

475

38

277

Beshear and Abramson

427
50
68
102
53
69
85
214
202
225
11
16
103
17
126
76
13
63
351
16
58
53.1% 42.0% 51.5% 64.2% 41.7% 59.0% 56.7% 52.6% 52.2% 54.0% 64.7% 53.3% 52.6% 54.8% 55.5% 47.5% 54.2% 54.8% 73.9% 42.1% 20.9%

Moffett and Harmon

228
44
33
38
45
28
40
114
119
109
2
7
56
7
59
53
5
37
28.4% 37.0% 25.0% 23.9% 35.4% 23.9% 26.7% 28.0% 30.7% 26.1% 11.8% 23.3% 28.6% 22.6% 26.0% 33.1% 20.8% 32.2%

Unsure [DO NOT READ]

134
25
28
16.7% 21.0% 21.2%

Refused to answer [DO
NOT READ]

15
1.9%

-

3
2.3%

46
13
167
9.7% 34.2% 60.3%

15
26
19
21
71
57
77
4
5
32
7
38
30
5
13
70
7
49
9.4% 20.5% 16.2% 14.0% 17.4% 14.7% 18.5% 23.5% 16.7% 16.3% 22.6% 16.7% 18.8% 20.8% 11.3% 14.7% 18.4% 17.7%
4
2.5%

3
2.4%

1
0.9%

4
2.7%

8
2.0%

9
2.3%

6
1.4%

-

2
6.7%

5
2.6%

-

4
1.8%

1
0.6%

1
4.2%

2
1.7%

8
1.7%

2
5.3%

3
1.1%

Table Q11 Page 13

Q11. If the general election for governor and lieutenant governor were held today, and your choices were the Democratic
ticket of Steve Beshear and Jerry Abramson or the Republican ticket of Bobbie Holsclaw and Bill Vermillion, who whould
you vote for?

Congressional District
---------------------------------TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----TOTAL ANSWERING

804

119

132

159

127

117

150

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----407

387

417

17

30

196

31

227

160

24

115

475

38

277

Beshear and Abramson

424
57
69
92
53
68
85
213
200
224
10
20
103
20
119
73
12
65
355
17
52
52.7% 47.9% 52.3% 57.9% 41.7% 58.1% 56.7% 52.3% 51.7% 53.7% 58.8% 66.7% 52.6% 64.5% 52.4% 45.6% 50.0% 56.5% 74.7% 44.7% 18.8%

Holsclaw and Vermillion

215
34
34
46
42
24
35
105
110
105
3
5
49
6
65
49
4
33
26.7% 28.6% 25.8% 28.9% 33.1% 20.5% 23.3% 25.8% 28.4% 25.2% 17.6% 16.7% 25.0% 19.4% 28.6% 30.6% 16.7% 28.7%

Unsure [DO NOT READ]

150
25
26
17
31
24
27
82
68
82
4
4
40
5
38
36
6
16
65
8
66
18.7% 21.0% 19.7% 10.7% 24.4% 20.5% 18.0% 20.1% 17.6% 19.7% 23.5% 13.3% 20.4% 16.1% 16.7% 22.5% 25.0% 13.9% 13.7% 21.1% 23.8%

Refused to answer [DO
NOT READ]

15
1.9%

3
2.5%

3
2.3%

4
2.5%

1
0.8%

1
0.9%

3
2.0%

7
1.7%

9
2.3%

6
1.4%

-

1
3.3%

4
2.0%

-

5
2.2%

2
1.3%

2
8.3%

1
0.9%

47
11
156
9.9% 28.9% 56.3%

8
1.7%

2
5.3%

3
1.1%

Table Q12 Page 14

Q12. If the election for attorney general were held today would you vote for Jack Conway, the Democrat, or Todd P'Pool
(pee-pool), the Republican?

Congressional District
---------------------------------TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----TOTAL ANSWERING

804

119

132

159

127

117

150

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----407

387

417

17

30

196

31

227

160

24

115

475

38

277

Jack Conway

419
53
62
88
60
74
82
211
193
226
10
19
104
17
122
75
14
57
349
12
57
52.1% 44.5% 47.0% 55.3% 47.2% 63.2% 54.7% 51.8% 49.9% 54.2% 58.8% 63.3% 53.1% 54.8% 53.7% 46.9% 58.3% 49.6% 73.5% 31.6% 20.6%

Todd P'Pool

263
52
43
51
39
33
45
134
136
127
4
8
64
11
71
52
7
45
65
15
181
32.7% 43.7% 32.6% 32.1% 30.7% 28.2% 30.0% 32.9% 35.1% 30.5% 23.5% 26.7% 32.7% 35.5% 31.3% 32.5% 29.2% 39.1% 13.7% 39.5% 65.3%

Unsure [DO NOT READ]

109
13
26
13.6% 10.9% 19.7%

Refused to answer [DO
NOT READ]

13
1.6%

1
0.8%

1
0.8%

15
26
9.4% 20.5%

9
20
56
51
58
3
7.7% 13.3% 13.8% 13.2% 13.9% 17.6%

2
24
6.7% 12.2%

5
3.1%

1
0.9%

1
3.3%

2
1.6%

3
2.0%

6
1.5%

7
1.8%

6
1.4%

-

4
2.0%

3
30
30
3
12
53
9
36
9.7% 13.2% 18.8% 12.5% 10.4% 11.2% 23.7% 13.0%
-

4
1.8%

3
1.9%

-

1
0.9%

8
1.7%

2
5.3%

3
1.1%

Table Q13 Page 15

Q13. Do you currently subscribe to a daily newspaper?

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------Congressional District
cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
---------------------------------- ----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----TOTAL ANSWERING

804

119

132

159

127

117

150

Yes

407
52
66
106
72
37
74
50.6% 43.7% 50.0% 66.7% 56.7% 31.6% 49.3%

No

395
67
65
53
54
80
76
49.1% 56.3% 49.2% 33.3% 42.5% 68.4% 50.7%

Refused to answer [DO
NOT READ]

2
0.2%

-

1
0.8%

-

1
0.8%

-

-

407

387

417

17

30

196

31

227

160

24

115

475

38

277

407
193
214
4
16
94
11
118
73
14
75
245
18
139
100% 49.9% 51.3% 23.5% 53.3% 48.0% 35.5% 52.0% 45.6% 58.3% 65.2% 51.6% 47.4% 50.2%
-

194
201
12
13
102
20
109
87
10
40
228
20
138
50.1% 48.2% 70.6% 43.3% 52.0% 64.5% 48.0% 54.4% 41.7% 34.8% 48.0% 52.6% 49.8%
-

2
0.5%

1
5.9%

1
3.3%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2
0.4%

-

-

Table Q14 Page 16

Q14. Gender (BY OBSERVATION).

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------Congressional District
cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
---------------------------------- ----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----TOTAL ANSWERING

804

119

132

159

127

117

150

407

387

417

Male

387
58
62
79
59
56
73
193
48.1% 48.7% 47.0% 49.7% 46.5% 47.9% 48.7% 47.4%

387
100%

-

Female

417
61
70
80
68
61
77
214
51.9% 51.3% 53.0% 50.3% 53.5% 52.1% 51.3% 52.6%

-

17

30

196

31

227

160

24

115

475

38

277

14
16
102
15
98
73
11
56
217
26
137
82.4% 53.3% 52.0% 48.4% 43.2% 45.6% 45.8% 48.7% 45.7% 68.4% 49.5%

417
3
14
94
16
129
87
13
59
258
12
140
100% 17.6% 46.7% 48.0% 51.6% 56.8% 54.4% 54.2% 51.3% 54.3% 31.6% 50.5%

Table Q15 Page 17

Q15. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------Congressional District
cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
---------------------------------- ----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----TOTAL ANSWERING

804

119

132

159

127

117

150

407

387

417

17

30

196

31

227

160

24

115

475

38

277

8TH GRADE OR LESS

17
2.1%

2
1.7%

2
1.5%

3
1.9%

1
0.8%

6
5.1%

3
2.0%

4
1.0%

14
3.6%

3
0.7%

17
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

10
2.1%

1
2.6%

5
1.8%

SOME HIGH SCHOOL [9-11]

30
3.7%

3
2.5%

7
5.3%

9
5.7%

4
3.1%

5
4.3%

2
1.3%

16
3.9%

16
4.1%

14
3.4%

-

30
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

19
4.0%

-

11
4.0%

196
39
42
28
25
38
24
94
102
94
24.4% 32.8% 31.8% 17.6% 19.7% 32.5% 16.0% 23.1% 26.4% 22.5%

-

-

196
100%

-

-

-

-

-

16
3.8%

-

-

-

31
100%

-

-

-

-

SOME COLLEGE (A.A.
DEGREE)

227
35
35
51
36
29
41
118
98
129
28.2% 29.4% 26.5% 32.1% 28.3% 24.8% 27.3% 29.0% 25.3% 30.9%

-

-

-

-

227
100%

-

-

-

140
11
73
29.5% 28.9% 26.4%

BACHELOR'S DEGREE (B.A.,
B.S.)

160
19
23
32
29
17
40
73
73
87
19.9% 16.0% 17.4% 20.1% 22.8% 14.5% 26.7% 17.9% 18.9% 20.9%

-

-

-

-

-

160
100%

-

-

89
7
63
18.7% 18.4% 22.7%

13
3.1%

-

-

-

-

-

-

24
100%

-

11
30
75
56
59
9.4% 20.0% 18.4% 14.5% 14.1%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

1
0.9%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE
HIGHER SCHOOL
CERTIFICATE (HSC)

SOME POST-GRADUATE WORK
POST-GRADUATE
DEGREE(M.S., M.A. PH.D,
ED.D., M.B.A., M.D.,
J.D., D.O., D.D.S.,ETC)
[DO NOT READ] PREFER NOT
TO ANSWER

31
3.9%

24
3.0%

5
4.2%

4
3.4%

115
12
14.3% 10.1%

4
0.5%

-

8
6.1%

3
2.3%

2
1.3%

6
3.8%

5
3.9%

4
3.1%

12
27
23
9.1% 17.0% 18.1%

-

1
0.6%

-

7
6.0%

3
2.6%

4
2.7%

4
2.7%

2
1.3%

11
2.7%

14
3.4%

2
0.5%

15
3.9%

11
2.8%

2
0.5%

2
0.5%

120
7
66
25.3% 18.4% 23.8%
20
4.2%

15
3.2%

2
5.3%

-

9
3.2%

7
2.5%

115
61
9
42
100% 12.8% 23.7% 15.2%

-

1
0.2%

1
2.6%

1
0.4%

Table Q16 Page 18

Q16. What is your race?

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------Congressional District
cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
---------------------------------- ----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----TOTAL ANSWERING
White

804

119

132

159

127

117

150

407

387

417

17

30

196

31

227

160

24

115

475

38

277

730
111
122
129
116
113
139
370
345
385
16
26
182
30
197
148
22
107
425
31
264
90.8% 93.3% 92.4% 81.1% 91.3% 96.6% 92.7% 90.9% 89.1% 92.3% 94.1% 86.7% 92.9% 96.8% 86.8% 92.5% 91.7% 93.0% 89.5% 81.6% 95.3%

Black/African-American

50
6.2%

7
5.9%

5
25
3.8% 15.7%

5
3.9%

3
2.6%

5
3.3%

24
5.9%

25
6.5%

25
6.0%

Hispanic

2
0.2%

-

1
0.8%

Asian

1
0.1%

1
0.8%

Other [specify]

5
0.6%

[DO NOT READ] DON'T KNOW/
REFUSED

16
2.0%

1
4
5.9% 13.3%

10
5.1%

1
23
3.2% 10.1%

6
3.8%

2
8.3%

3
2.6%

45
9.5%

3
7.9%

1
0.4%

1
0.6%

-

-

-

2
0.5%

-

2
0.5%

-

-

-

-

1
0.4%

1
0.6%

-

-

-

-

2
0.7%

-

-

-

-

-

-

1
0.3%

-

-

-

1
0.5%

-

-

-

-

-

-

1
2.6%

-

-

1
0.8%

2
1.3%

1
0.8%

-

1
0.7%

2
0.5%

4
1.0%

1
0.2%

-

-

1
0.5%

-

1
0.4%

2
1.3%

-

1
0.9%

2
0.4%

1
2.6%

2
0.7%

-

3
2.3%

2
1.3%

5
3.9%

1
0.9%

5
3.3%

9
2.2%

12
3.1%

4
1.0%

-

-

2
1.0%

-

5
2.2%

3
1.9%

-

4
3.5%

3
0.6%

2
5.3%

8
2.9%

Table Q17 Page 19

Q17. What is your age?

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------Congressional District
cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
---------------------------------- ----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----TOTAL ANSWERING
18-24

804

119

132

159

127

117

150

407

387

417

17

30

196

31

227

160

24

115

475

38

277

31
3.9%

5
4.2%

7
5.3%

7
4.4%

4
3.1%

4
3.4%

4
2.7%

15
3.7%

17
4.4%

14
3.4%

1
5.9%

1
3.3%

11
5.6%

-

12
5.3%

3
1.9%

2
8.3%

1
0.9%

16
3.4%

2
5.3%

12
4.3%

37
42
47
9.1% 10.9% 11.3%

1
5.9%

1
3.3%

18
9.2%

25-34

89
13
11.1% 10.9%

35-49

220
33
36
44
34
33
40
94
105
115
2
3
42
7
56
71
4
34
120
15
80
27.4% 27.7% 27.3% 27.7% 26.8% 28.2% 26.7% 23.1% 27.1% 27.6% 11.8% 10.0% 21.4% 22.6% 24.7% 44.4% 16.7% 29.6% 25.3% 39.5% 28.9%

50-61

229
33
38
46
36
34
42
112
110
119
28.5% 27.7% 28.8% 28.9% 28.3% 29.1% 28.0% 27.5% 28.4% 28.5%

62+

235
35
38
45
39
33
45
149
113
122
12
15
73
8
65
25
6
29
142
13
77
29.2% 29.4% 28.8% 28.3% 30.7% 28.2% 30.0% 36.6% 29.2% 29.3% 70.6% 50.0% 37.2% 25.8% 28.6% 15.6% 25.0% 25.2% 29.9% 34.2% 27.8%

[DO NOT READ] REFUSED TO
ANSWER

-

-

13
17
14
13
19
9.8% 10.7% 11.0% 11.1% 12.7%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

2
31
19
4
13
55
6.5% 13.7% 11.9% 16.7% 11.3% 11.6%

2
31
5.3% 11.2%

1
10
52
14
63
42
8
38
142
6
77
5.9% 33.3% 26.5% 45.2% 27.8% 26.3% 33.3% 33.0% 29.9% 15.8% 27.8%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Table Q18 Page 20

Q18. Thinking in political terms, would you say that you are VERY LIBERAL, SOMEWHAT LIBERAL, MODERATE, SOMEWHAT
CONSERVATIVE or VERY CONSERVATIVE?

Congressional District
---------------------------------TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----TOTAL ANSWERING
NET: LIBERAL
============
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal

804

119

132

159

127

117

150

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----407

387

417

17

30

196

182
20
29
48
23
21
41
91
69
113
4
8
37
22.6% 16.8% 22.0% 30.2% 18.1% 17.9% 27.3% 22.4% 17.8% 27.1% 23.5% 26.7% 18.9%
52
6.5%

5
4.2%

10
16
7.6% 10.1%

3
2.4%

6
5.1%

12
8.0%

32
7.9%

18
4.7%

34
8.2%

1
3
5.9% 10.0%

12
6.1%

130
15
19
32
20
15
29
59
51
79
3
5
25
16.2% 12.6% 14.4% 20.1% 15.7% 12.8% 19.3% 14.5% 13.2% 18.9% 17.6% 16.7% 12.8%

31

38

277

3
57
37
7
28
150
7
9.7% 25.1% 23.1% 29.2% 24.3% 31.6% 18.4%

227

24
8.7%

1
3.2%

3
7.9%

7
2.5%

2
42
31
5
16
108
4
6.5% 18.5% 19.4% 20.8% 13.9% 22.7% 10.5%

17
6.1%

15
6.6%

160

6
3.8%

24

115

2
12
8.3% 10.4%

475

42
8.8%

Moderate

208
31
33
40
32
35
37
103
112
96
2
6
50
12
59
37
8
33
149
14
40
25.9% 26.1% 25.0% 25.2% 25.2% 29.9% 24.7% 25.3% 28.9% 23.0% 11.8% 20.0% 25.5% 38.7% 26.0% 23.1% 33.3% 28.7% 31.4% 36.8% 14.4%

NET: CONSERVATIVE
=================

375
61
62
64
64
57
67
191
187
188
10
13
95
16
100
82
8
51
152
16
202
46.6% 51.3% 47.0% 40.3% 50.4% 48.7% 44.7% 46.9% 48.3% 45.1% 58.8% 43.3% 48.5% 51.6% 44.1% 51.3% 33.3% 44.3% 32.0% 42.1% 72.9%

Somewhat conservative

221
33
35
39
40
33
41
118
118
103
4
4
53
11
64
50
6
29
109
9
101
27.5% 27.7% 26.5% 24.5% 31.5% 28.2% 27.3% 29.0% 30.5% 24.7% 23.5% 13.3% 27.0% 35.5% 28.2% 31.3% 25.0% 25.2% 22.9% 23.7% 36.5%

Very conservative

154
28
27
25
24
24
26
73
69
85
6
9
42
5
36
32
19.2% 23.5% 20.5% 15.7% 18.9% 20.5% 17.3% 17.9% 17.8% 20.4% 35.3% 30.0% 21.4% 16.1% 15.9% 20.0%

2
22
8.3% 19.1%

43
7
101
9.1% 18.4% 36.5%

[DO NOT READ] UNSURE

31
3.9%

6
5.0%

7
5.3%

5
3.1%

7
5.5%

3
2.6%

3
2.0%

18
4.4%

14
3.6%

17
4.1%

1
5.9%

2
6.7%

13
6.6%

-

8
3.5%

4
2.5%

1
4.2%

2
1.7%

23
4.8%

1
2.6%

6
2.2%

[DO NOT READ] REFUSED TO
ANSWER

8
1.0%

1
0.8%

1
0.8%

2
1.3%

1
0.8%

1
0.9%

2
1.3%

4
1.0%

5
1.3%

3
0.7%

-

1
3.3%

1
0.5%

-

3
1.3%

-

-

1
0.9%

1
0.2%

-

5
1.8%

Table Q19 Page 21

Q19. Are you registered as a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, or something else?

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------Congressional District
cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
---------------------------------- ----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----TOTAL ANSWERING
DEMOCRAT
Something else
REPUBLICAN
[DO NOT READ] DON'T KNOW

804

115

475

38

277

475
69
78
91
74
72
91
245
217
258
10
19
120
20
140
89
15
61
59.1% 58.0% 59.1% 57.2% 58.3% 61.5% 60.7% 60.2% 56.1% 61.9% 58.8% 63.3% 61.2% 64.5% 61.7% 55.6% 62.5% 53.0%

475
100%

-

-

9
7.8%

-

38
100%

-

277
43
46
53
45
41
49
139
137
140
5
11
66
9
73
63
7
42
34.5% 36.1% 34.8% 33.3% 35.4% 35.0% 32.7% 34.2% 35.4% 33.6% 29.4% 36.7% 33.7% 29.0% 32.2% 39.4% 29.2% 36.5%

-

-

277
100%

-

-

-

38
4.7%

14
1.7%

119

6
5.0%

1
0.8%

132

6
4.5%

2
1.5%

159

12
7.5%

3
1.9%

127

8
6.3%

-

117

2
1.7%

2
1.7%

150

4
2.7%

6
4.0%

407

18
4.4%

5
1.2%

387

26
6.7%

7
1.8%

417

12
2.9%

7
1.7%

17

1
5.9%

1
5.9%

30

-

-

196

7
3.6%

3
1.5%

31

2
6.5%

-

227

11
4.8%

3
1.3%

160

7
4.4%

1
0.6%

24

-

2
8.3%

3
2.6%

Table Q20 Page 22

Q20. Regardless of how you are registered, do you think of yourself as closer to the DEMOCRATIC PARTY or to the
REPUBLICAN PARTY?

Congressional District
---------------------------------TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----TOTAL ANSWERING

38

277

Democratic party

353
44
52
81
54
52
70
190
150
203
7
20
90
10
107
58
12
48
329
11
43.9% 37.0% 39.4% 50.9% 42.5% 44.4% 46.7% 46.7% 38.8% 48.7% 41.2% 66.7% 45.9% 32.3% 47.1% 36.3% 50.0% 41.7% 69.3% 28.9%

13
4.7%

Republican party

342
68
60
59
57
42
56
172
174
168
7
9
78
14
84
85
10
54
86
15
241
42.5% 57.1% 45.5% 37.1% 44.9% 35.9% 37.3% 42.3% 45.0% 40.3% 41.2% 30.0% 39.8% 45.2% 37.0% 53.1% 41.7% 47.0% 18.1% 39.5% 87.0%

[DO NOT READ] UNSURE

91
11.3%

[DO NOT READ] REFUSED TO
ANSWER

804

18
2.2%

119

132

159

127

117

150

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----407

387

417

17

5
17
16
4.2% 12.9% 10.1%

12
22
19
9.4% 18.8% 12.7%

38
56
9.3% 14.5%

35
2
8.4% 11.8%

2
1.7%

4
3.1%

7
1.7%

11
2.6%

3
2.3%

3
1.9%

1
0.9%

5
3.3%

7
1.8%

1
5.9%

30

196

31

227

1
24
7
30
3.3% 12.2% 22.6% 13.2%
-

4
2.0%

-

6
2.6%

160

24

115

475

14
8.8%

1
4.2%

11
53
9
9.6% 11.2% 23.7%

22
7.9%

3
1.9%

1
4.2%

2
1.7%

1
0.4%

7
1.5%

3
7.9%

Table CD Page 23

Congressional District (CD)

Nwspr
Education
Registered
SubGender
----------------------------------------------- ----------------Congressional District
cribe ----------- <= to
Bach- Some PostSome
---------------------------------- ----Fe8th
Some Grad
HS
Some elors Post- Grad
Demo thing Repub
TOTAL CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 Daily Male male Grade HS
HS
Cert Cllge Dgree Grad Dgree crat else lican
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----TOTAL ANSWERING

804

119

132

159

127

117

150

407

387

417

17

30

196

31

227

160

24

115

475

38

277

CD 1

119
14.8%

119
100%

-

-

-

-

-

52
58
61
2
3
39
5
35
19
4
12
69
6
43
12.8% 15.0% 14.6% 11.8% 10.0% 19.9% 16.1% 15.4% 11.9% 16.7% 10.4% 14.5% 15.8% 15.5%

CD 2

132
16.4%

-

132
100%

-

-

-

-

66
62
70
2
7
42
8
35
23
3
12
78
6
46
16.2% 16.0% 16.8% 11.8% 23.3% 21.4% 25.8% 15.4% 14.4% 12.5% 10.4% 16.4% 15.8% 16.6%

CD 3

159
19.8%

-

-

159
100%

-

-

-

106
79
80
3
9
28
26.0% 20.4% 19.2% 17.6% 30.0% 14.3%

CD 4

127
15.8%

-

-

-

127
100%

-

-

72
59
68
17.7% 15.2% 16.3%

CD 5

117
14.6%

-

-

-

-

117
100%

-

CD 6

150
18.7%

-

-

-

-

-

2
51
32
6
27
91
12
53
6.5% 22.5% 20.0% 25.0% 23.5% 19.2% 31.6% 19.1%

1
4
25
5
36
29
4
23
74
8
45
5.9% 13.3% 12.8% 16.1% 15.9% 18.1% 16.7% 20.0% 15.6% 21.1% 16.2%

37
56
61
6
5
38
7
29
17
3
9.1% 14.5% 14.6% 35.3% 16.7% 19.4% 22.6% 12.8% 10.6% 12.5%

150
74
73
77
3
100% 18.2% 18.9% 18.5% 17.6%

11
72
9.6% 15.2%

2
41
5.3% 14.8%

2
24
4
41
40
4
30
91
4
49
6.7% 12.2% 12.9% 18.1% 25.0% 16.7% 26.1% 19.2% 10.5% 17.7%

Table S1 Page 24

S1. How likely is it you will vote in this year's election for Governor and other Statewide offices? Would you say...?

Race
Political Ideology
----------------------------------Age Group
----------------------------------Black His----------------------------------- Very
SW
ModSW
Very
UNS/
Total White AF-AM panic Asian Other DK/RF 18-24 25-34 35-49 50-61 62+ DK/RF Librl Librl erate Consr Consr RF
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----BASED ON AGE OF
RESPONDENTS (25 YEARS
OLD AND YOUNGER)

31

26

4

-

-

1

-

31

-

-

-

-

-

-

Absolutely certain

17
16
1
54.8% 61.5% 25.0%

-

-

-

-

17
54.8%

-

-

-

-

-

Very likely

14
10
3
45.2% 38.5% 75.0%

-

-

1
100%

-

14
45.2%

-

-

-

-

5

10

8

7

1

-

4
2
5
6
80.0% 20.0% 62.5% 85.7%

-

-

-

1
8
3
1
20.0% 80.0% 37.5% 14.3%

Closer to
----------Dem
Rep
Party Party
----- ----16

12

6
10
37.5% 83.3%

1
10
2
100% 62.5% 16.7%

Possibly, or

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Not very likely

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[DO NOT READ] DON'T KNOW

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