Bexar County COVID-19 Report March 2021
Bexar County COVID-19 Report March 2021
March 2021
Unless otherwise indicated, data for analyses in this report were extracted from Texas Health Trace on 04/12/2021 and include cases with event dates
through 03/31/2021. Results are subject to change.
Key Takeaways
Continued Decrease in New Cases
• The number of new COVID-19 cases continued to decline during March, with the addition of 5,620 new cases with event
date* during March. This is 2.7% of all cases to date. Young adults ages 20-29 contributed 22% of the March total.
• 209,470 individuals are known to have had COVID-19. The age-adjusted case rate is 10,687 (per 100,000 population).
Hospitalizations and Deaths
• New COVID-19 hospital admissions continued to decline throughout March, leveling off on about 3/20/2021; daily new
admissions averaged 33 per day. COVID-19 hospital occupancy also declined, to a daily average census of 245 beds.
• By the end of March, daily counts of ICU patients and those on ventilators declined to 68 and 29 respectively.
• 169 deaths occurred during March, bringing the total to 3,276 deaths from COVID-19. Case fatality rate is 1.6%, higher
for males (1.9%) than females (1.3%). Greatest risk of death is among the most elderly: 20% for cases 80+ years of age.
Other Trends
• For most of March, COVID-19 test positivity has remained below the target benchmark of 5%.
• During March, 20 deaths occurred in Congregate settings, the lowest since the pandemic began.
* Event date is the date of symptom onset or first positive COVID-19 test, whichever is known to occur first.
70,000
25%
60,000
20%
Positivity Rate
Count of Tests
50,000
40,000 15%
30,000
10%
20,000
5%
10,000
0 0%
8/2 - 8/8
6/07 - 6/13
6/14 - 6/20
6/21 - 6/27
9/16 - 9/12
10/4-10/10
10/25 - 10/31
11/8-11/14
11/28-12/4
1/2 - 1/8
12/5-12/11
1/16 - 1/22
1/23 - 1/29
2/20 - 2/26
3/13 - 3/19
3/20 - 3/26
10/18 -10/24
12/26-1/1
3/6 - 3/12
5/31 - 6/6
6/28 - 7/4
7/5 - 7/11
7/12-7/18
7/19-7/25
7/26 - 8/1
8/9 - 8/15
8/16-8/22
8/23-8/29
8/30 - 9/5
9/13-9/19
9/20-9/26
9/27-10/3
10/11-10/17
11/1-11/7
11/15-11/21
11/22-11/28
12/12-12/18
12/19-12/25
1/9 - 1/15
1/30 - 2/5
2/6 - 2/19
3/27 - 4/2
2/27 - 3/5
Week
Bexar County COVID-19 Cases by 7 Day Average of Event Date* and Positivity Rate
3,500 60%
Daily New Cases
3,000 7 Day New Case Average
50%
Positivity Rate
Count and 7 Day New Case Average
2,500
40% Positivity Rate %
2,000
30%
1,500
20%
1,000
10%
500
0 0%
3/1/20 4/1/20 5/1/20 6/1/20 7/1/20 8/1/20 9/1/20 10/1/20 11/1/20 12/1/20 1/1/21 2/1/21 3/1/21
Event Date
*Event date refers to either illness onset date (if symptomatic) or test collection date (if asymptomatic, or if symptom onset date is unavailable). This differs
from Reported Date.
04/22/2021 2
COVID-19 Monthly Epidemiological Report
March 2021
Percentage of Total COVID-19 Cases in
Bexar County
Percentage of Total byCOVID-19
Event Month
Cases in
Bexar County
Mar '21,(N= by Event Month Apr, 0.4%
209,470)
2.7% Per current data, 2.7% of all cases
Feb '21, 6.2% Mar, 0.3%
Mar '21, 2.7% May,Apr,
0.6%0.4%
Feb '21, 6.2% Mar, 0.3% reported in Bexar County to date
May, 0.6%
occurred in March of 2021. Compared to
Jun, 10.6%
the new case rates for December 2020
Jun, 10.6%
and January 2021, March indicates a
Jul, 12.0% continued decline in case count that
Jan '21, 25.1% Jul, 12.0% began in the month of February.
Jan '21, 25.1% Aug, 3.7% NOTE: The numbers provided in this chart are
Aug,2.1%
Sep, 3.7% based on event date – the date of first
Sep,3.4%
Oct, 2.1% symptoms or test collection date if the person
Nov, 10.0%
Oct, 3.4% was asymptomatic or symptom data is
Dec, 22.9% Nov, 10.0% unavailable.
Dec, 22.9%
Race and Ethnicity in Bexar County Cases with Race and Ethnicity Data
(N=1,952,843) (N=128,348)
1% 3% 0% 2%
8% 5%
NH Other 18%
28%
NH Asian
NH Black
Hispanic
NH White
60% 75%
Notes:
1. Due to limitations inherent in our database, data collection procedures, and/or our sources, data on race and/or ethnicity are currently unavailable for about
39% of cases. For this reason, meaningfully accurate determination of racial and ethnic disparities in COVID-19 diagnoses is currently not possible.
2. The number of Bexar County residents above is the ACS (5-yr) 2019 population estimate.
3. NH = Non-Hispanic
04/22/2021 3
COVID-19 Monthly Epidemiological Report
March 2021
III. B. Age and Gender Distribution of Cases
Distribution of Cases by Age Group, over Time
(N = 209,274*)
30%
Percent of Cases (per Month)
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Age Groups '21 '21 '21
Since May 2020 the proportions of new cases by each age group
have remained rather consistent. Young adults (age group 20-29, Cases by Age Group (%)
red line) have comprised the greatest percent of cases, and ages (N=209,280*)
80+ (black line) the least, with relatively little change over time.
However the case proportion of age group 10-19 (turquoise 80+
70-79 2.3%
dashes) has increased over time. Before the summer surge (June-
4.3%
July), this group averaged about 5% of monthly cases, then
0-9
increased during the summer surge until by September it 6.3%
comprised 14% of all new cases (similar to adults ages 40-49; dark 60-69 10-19
green line), and has remained at 13-16% since. Most of this trend 8.6% 12.2%
is attributable to older teenagers.
The proportion of cases among young children (ages 0-9; dashed 50-59
beige line) also increased from the early months of the pandemic 12.9%
to about 6% during the summer, increasing slightly in February (to
about 8% to 9%). 20-29
20.5%
March saw 5,620 new cases, about 3% of the total to date.
Compared to February, numbers of new cases declined 40-49
substantially during March in every age group: 53% - 60% among 15.3%
ages 0 to 59, and 67%-70% among ages 60 and above. The
smallest declines were in age group 20-29, and the greatest 30-39
among adults aged 80+ (data not shown). 17.5%
†Age-specific rates use the ACS (5-yr) 2019 population estimates for Bexar County.
Age-adjusted rates are weighted using the US Standard Population 2000. *Excludes 190 cases (0.1%) with age not available.
04/22/2021 4
COVID-19 Monthly Epidemiological Report
March 2021
IV. The Extent of COVID-19 in the Bexar County Population
Distribution of Bexar County Residents by Gender and Age The upper pyramid shows the distribution of
Bexar County residents by age and gender.
80+ Male Female
The case pyramid (middle graph) demonstrates
70-79
that children have contributed fewer cases of
60-69
COVID-19 compared to adults ages 20-59, and
50-59
Age Group
50-59
40-49 20-29: 14,700 cases per 100,000 females
30-39 (14.7%) and 12,300 cases for males (12.3%).
20-29 Overall, 10.7% of Bexar County (close to 1 per 9
10-19
people) is known to have had COVID-19.
0-9
†Age-specific rates use the ACS (5-yr) 2019 population estimates
25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 for Bexar County.
Case Counts and Cases per 100,000 Population
This analysis excludes 6,327 cases (3.1%) for whom age and/or
*Excludes 6,327 cases (3.0%) for whom age and/or gender was not available at time of this analysis.
gender are currently not available.
16,000
generally persisted since then. 14,000 Female
Through the end of March 106,798 females 12,000 Male
04/22/2021 5
COVID-19 Monthly Epidemiological Report
COVID-19 Case Rate per 100,000 Population March 2021
Data Source: SAMHD COVID-19 case data through 04/12/2021, event dates through
03/31/2021; U.S. Census, ACS 2019 5-year Population Estimates, Table S0101.
04/22/2021 6
COVID-19 Monthly Epidemiological Report
March 2021
This map shows the geographic distribution by zip code of COVID-19 case
rates per 100,000 population during the month of March 2021 (based on
Event Date) and the rate of COVID-19 fully vaccinated persons per 100,000
population. These variables are broken into low, medium, and high rates of
COVID-19 during March 2021 and rates of the population who have been fully
vaccinated for COVID-19. Zip codes with the dark green indicate they are in the highest third of new COVID-19 case rates
in March 2021, as well as are in the lowest third of rates of fully vaccinated persons. Conversely, those zip codes in solid
grey indicate they are in the lowest third of new COVID-19 case rates for the month of March 2021 and are in the highest
third for rates of fully vaccinated persons population. In general, zip codes near to the southwest of downtown have
higher COVID-19 case rates and lower vaccination rates. Conversely, zip codes in the northern portion of Bexar County
have lower COVID-19 case rates and higher vaccination rates.
Data Source: SAMHD COVID-19 Database, as of 04/12/2021; U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2019 5-Year Estimates, Table S1701
04/22/2021 7
COVID-19 Monthly Epidemiological Report
March 2021
V. Congregate Setting & School-Related Cases
Cases occurring in congregate settings have declined substantially in the past two months: 20 cases occurred during March.
Total deaths associated with congregate settings are now 514. Case fatality in congregate settings is 16.2%.
300
250
250 241 238
216
200 186
154
150 137 132
108 107 104 100
93 99
100 83 77 76
72 64
40 47 48
50 30 31
23 21 15
4 6 2 8 4 0
0
Week Identified
The number of cases among children infectious while physically at school also declined during March. It is important to
note that the majority of these cases were NOT caused by in-school exposure. The 14 outbreaks to date in Bexar County
schools with known in-school transmission have contributed only 100 (2.1%) of the 4,689 cases denoted below.
302 290
300 267
229
200 184
170
145
119
78 83 88 87
100 74 68 65
58 64
29
42 44 38 47 35
2 2 9 8 9 12
0
Event Date
Note: The lighter teal indicates new data not previously reported in the weekly congregate settings report.
04/22/2021 8
COVID-19 Monthly Epidemiological Report
March 2021
VI. Hospitalizations and Deaths among COVID-19 Cases
VI. A. Hospitalizations
When examining the winter surge of the pandemic, the 7-day case average (navy) peaked approximately 14 days before average
hospitalizations (gold), consistent with the summer surge. New death data obtained during March shows that average deaths
(coral) peaked approximately 11 days after peak case average and 3 days before peak hospitalization average, a key difference
seen between the two peaks of the pandemic.
1,500 30
1,000 20
500 10
0 0
3/1/20 4/1/20 5/1/20 6/1/20 7/1/20 8/1/20 9/1/20 10/1/20 11/1/20 12/1/20 1/1/21 2/1/21 3/1/21
Data Source: COVID-19 Daily Surveillance Data Public– STRAC Data, pulled on 2/7/2021
In March, COVID-19 positive occupancy (coral) declined to an average of 245 beds per day, a 68% decrease from
February. Available (unoccupied) staffed beds (teal) make up about a 13% of total staffed beds. COVID-19 positive
occupancy was only 6%, which hasn't been seen since September 2020. Non-COVID positive occupancy (navy) increased
13% from February to an average of 3,597 beds per day in February.
STRAC Hospital Capacity
5,000
4,500
4,000
3,500
Total Staffed Beds
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
4/1/20 5/1/20 6/1/20 7/1/20 8/1/20 9/1/20 10/1/20 11/1/20 12/1/20 1/1/21 2/1/21 3/1/21
*Data was not reported on 9/7/2020 due to Labor Day Occupied COVID Occupied Non COVID Available Staffed Beds
Data Source: COVID-19 Daily Surveillance Data Public– STRAC Data, pulled on 3/7/2021
*General and specialty hospitals in Bexar county designated by the Southwest Texas Regional Advisory Council as part of the local trauma/emergency healthcare system.
Includes hospitals in the Baptist, Christus, Methodist, Texas VistaMed, University, BAMC and VAMC systems treating COVID+ patients.
04/22/2021 9
COVID-19 Monthly Epidemiological Report
March 2021
Hospitalizations decreased through the beginning of March and leveled off around 3/20/2021, two months after the
highest count of COVID-19 patients in area hospitals. COVID-19 patients in the ICU made up almost 40% of
hospitalizations on average for March, similar to February.
Note: Patients typically stay several days in the hospital, especially in the ICU.
1,400
ICU
1,200
Non-ICU
Hospitalizations
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
4/1/20 5/1/20 6/1/20 7/1/20 8/1/20 9/1/20 10/1/20 11/1/20 12/1/20 1/1/21 2/1/21 3/1/21 3/31/21
Month
Data Source: COVID-19 Daily Surveillance Data Public– STRAC Data, pulled on 4/12/2021
Hispanic
19 related deaths, compared to 60% of the Bexar County
2,000 NH
White population†.
Other
1,500 The excess age-specific mortality among Hispanic individuals
starts to become evident by age group 45-54, and increases
1,000 rapidly through age group 65-74.
Disparities between Non-Hispanic White individuals and Non-
500
Hispanic Black individuals have not been observed to date. It
0
continues to appear that Hispanic individuals have a
Under 5 5-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ disproportionate burden of death due to COVID-19.
Age Group †ACS 5-yr 2019 population estimates for Bexar County.
NOTE: Race/ethnicity is not available for 309 (11%) deceased cases and age for
*Excludes 347 deaths (11%) with race/ethnicity unavailable plus 1 with age unavailable. one further case.
Age Group
6
males than females, despite the higher 50-59 50-59
5
COVID-19 incidence among females. The 40-49 40-49
4
pyramid graph also shows that more 30-39 30-39
3
deaths have occurred among males than 20-29 20-29
females.
04/22/2021 12
COVID-19 Monthly Epidemiological Report
March 2021
VII. Percent Change of COVID-19 Cases, January—February
Percent Change in COVID-19 Cases from Feb ‘21 to Mar ‘21 by Zip Code
During the month of March 2021, zip codes to
the north and west saw the largest percent
increase in COVID-19 cases from February 2021
to March 2021 compared to zip codes near
downtown and to the south and east of
downtown. Zip codes to the south of downtown
tended to see the largest percent decrease in
new COVID-19 cases in March 2021 compared to
04/22/2021 13
COVID-19 Monthly Epidemiological Report
March 2021
VIII. Bexar County COVID-19 Cases by Event Date: The Pandemic in Review
04/22/2021 14