PRELIMINARY REPORT
April 23, 2021
I. Background 6
II. Researchers 8
V. Preliminary Findings 12
Figure 1 12
Gender of individuals stopped by Texas law enforcement officers in 2020
Figure 2 12
Race of individuals stopped by Texas law enforcement officers in 2020
Figure 3 13
Reasons for stops by Texas law enforcement officers in 2020
Figure 4 14
Location of stops by Texas law enforcement officers
Figure 5 15
Racial breakdown of individuals searched by Texas law enforcement officers
Figure 6 15
Reasons for the searches conducted by Texas law enforcement officers
Figure 7 16
Racial breakdown of those with contraband found during searches
Figure 8 16
Racial breakdown of individuals arrested due to contraband
Figure 9 17
Traffic stop outcomes
Figure 10 18
Reasons for the arrests made by Texas law enforcement officers
Figure 11 18
Racial breakdown of physical force involved
Aftermath
Multiple agencies, including the Texas Rangers and the FBI, initiated investigations. Bland’s death was ruled a
suicide by the Harris County Institute of Forensic Sciences in Houston. The Texas Rangers, the lead investigative
agency, examined the circumstances surrounding Bland’s arrest and subsequent death to determine if any
criminal violations had occurred. The results of the investigation were turned over to Waller County prosecutors
and ultimately the grand jury. In January 2016 a grand jury indicted Encinia for perjury, a Class A misdemeanor.
Encinia was charged with falsifying parts of his report pertaining to the arrest. In early March 2016 the Texas
Department of Public Safety (TDPS) fired Encinia. In May 2017 the perjury charge against him was dismissed
as part of a plea agreement. Encinia agreed to surrender his license as a peace officer and never to pursue a
career in law enforcement. No other indictments were issued by the grand jury. The Waller County Sheriff
appointed an independent commission to investigate the circumstances surrounding Bland’s death. The
commission’s report, which was not a criminal investigation, was issued April 12, 2016, and called out systemic
failures with the Waller County Jail, including poor training and violation of policies mandating the monitoring
of prisoners. In September 2016 Sandra Bland’s family settled a wrongful death suit against TDPS, Encinia,
Waller County and two jailers for $1.9 million.
A major goal of the Sandra Bland Act is to collect accurate data on traffic stops and to strengthen racial profiling
law. Texas law enforcement officers must complete comprehensive racial profiling training and 40 hours of
de-escalation training. The Texas Occupations Code (1701.164) and the Texas Code of Criminal Procedure also
require law enforcement agencies to compile motor vehicle stop reports and submit incident-based data to the
Texas Commission on Law Enforcement (TCOLE) or the governing body of each county or municipality served
by the agency by March 1 of each year (Article 2.134). In 2019, 2,540 law enforcement agencies submitted
reports; the number of agencies increased to 2,699 in 2020. In 2020, 1,195 agencies filed exempt status, and
1,504 filed full status. A total of 6,299,241 stops were reported in 2020, with the per-agency average being
2,334. The number of stops was 0 for agencies that filed exempt status, and TDPS reported the most stops
(1,667,553). The Houston Police Department (217,288) and San Antonio Police Department (138,180)
represent the next two largest number of stops in 2020.
Alex del Carmen, PhD, is a Professor, Associate Dean of the School of Criminology
and Director of IPAC at Tarleton State University. He received his PhD from Florida
State University’s College of Criminology and Criminal Justice. He was named a
Fulbright Specialist by the U.S. State Department in 2018 and has authored over 50
refereed articles and 10 books. His most recent book is Racial Profiling in Policing:
Beyond the Basics with Kendall Hunt. Dr. del Carmen has trained thousands of police
officers, including all of the Texas police chiefs, and worked on two of the largest police
reform cases in the United States, as a federal monitor. He currently is working as a
Special Master for the U.S. Courts in Puerto Rico on the Puerto Rico Police Reform Case.
Fei Luo, PhD, is an Assistant Professor of Criminal Justice at Texas A&M International
University. She earned her PhD from Sam Houston State University in 2016. Her
research interests include policing, race/ethnicity, gun policy, immigration and crime,
intimate partner violence, and the application of quantitative methodology in empirical
research. Her recent publications have appeared in American Journal of Criminal Justice;
Policing: An International Journal of Police Strategies and Management; and
International Journal of Offender Therapy and Comparative Criminology.
Wendi Pollock, PhD, received her BS and MS in criminal justice from Sul Ross State
University and her PhD in criminal justice at Sam Houston State University. She is an
Associate Professor of Criminal Justice at Texas A&M University-Corpus Christi. Her
research interests include the examination of issues involved with police/public interactions,
studies on the short- and long-term impacts of arrest, diversity issues in the American
criminal justice system, and, more generally, studies that involve using advanced statistical
analysis to better understand issues in criminal justice.
Durant Frantzen, PhD, is a Professor of Criminology and Criminal Justice and the
Department Chair of Social Sciences at Texas A&M University-San Antonio. He obtained
his PhD in criminal justice from Sam Houston State University in 2006. His research
focuses on offender rehabilitation and the evaluation of substance abuse treatment
programs. He has worked closely with the Bexar County Specialty Courts and the Bexar
County Jail-Reentry Programs Division in recent years as an evaluator and consultant.
Dwight Steward is an IPAC Fellow and an economist. He works with the IPAC director,
Dr. Alex del Carmen, on the statistical and content analysis of police procedures and
policies related to police use of force and racial profiling. Dr. Steward also works with
Dr. del Carmen and IPAC on developing donor and sponsorship relationships within
Tarleton State University, The Texas A&M University System, police agencies and
community stakeholders.
Brandi Copes serves as the Racial Disparities and Fairness Administrator for the Harris
County Justice Administration Department. In this role, she works to identify and address
existing disparities in the Harris County criminal justice system across partner agencies.
In addition to working with government stakeholders, her work centers on community
engagement as a guiding principle. Brandi earned a BA in sociology and political science
from Loyola University New Orleans and a master’s degree in public administration from
the Cornell Institute of Public Affairs at Cornell University.
Institute for Predictive Analytics in Criminal Justice (IPAC) Page 9
III. Research Goals
The IPAC research team will examine the following for potential policy implications:
• Gender distribution of stops conducted by • The most common reasons for searches
Texas law enforcement officers conducted by Texas law enforcement
officers
• Racial breakdown of stops conducted by
Texas law enforcement officers • Racial distribution of stops in which
contraband was found as the result of
• Primary reasons for stops conducted by a search
Texas law enforcement officers and the
racial breakdown of stops by reason • Frequency of all outcomes of a stop,
including arrest and the use of force, and
• The most common locations for stops breakdown of those outcomes by race
conducted by Texas law enforcement
officers • Comparison between 2019 and 2020 data
and the potential impact of the pandemic on
• Percentage of stops involving a search and stops conducted by Texas law enforcement
the racial breakdown of stops involving a officers
search
• Consistent with the crime pattern, males • Whites accounted for the largest percentage
were more likely to be stopped (about 66%) of cases (36.2%) in which contraband was
than females. Compared to 2019, the discovered during the searches.
percentage of females stopped increased
(from 31% to 34%). • Hispanics accounted for the largest percentage
(37.1%) of individuals who were arrested
• Whites were more likely to be stopped, due to contraband.
followed by Hispanics, Blacks, Asian
Americans and Native Americans. • Hispanics and Blacks were more likely to
be arrested than Whites if contraband was
• About 74.6% of the stops were for moving discovered.
traffic violations.
• No widespread use of physical force was
• More Blacks were stopped due to law detected. Only about 1% of the cases
violations, more Hispanics were stopped involved force. Among all valid cases
due to preexisting knowledge and vehicle reported, the largest percentage of cases
traffic violations, and more Whites were with physical force involved Whites (44.4%).
stopped due to moving traffic violations.
• Compared to 2019, significantly fewer stops
• City streets were the most frequent location were made in 2020 (10,679,600 vs
where stops were made (44.7%). 6,299,241). That’s a 41% decrease in stops
made. The pandemic in 2020 is likely a
• Hispanics accounted for the largest major reason for the reduced stops.
percentage of individuals who were
searched (38.8%).
Reasons by race
Law violation (273,094)
• The analysis reveals that 106,514 of the stops conducted due to violations of law involved a White
individual, and 1,975,568 involved a Black individual. About 93,905 of the law violations involved an
Hispanic, 4,182 involved an Asian American, and 720 involved a Native American. Noting that the
number of law violation stops involving Blacks exceeded the overall total law violations (273,094),
which indicates a potential error in the report regarding the Black race category.
Those rates:
◊ Black hit rate = 472 contraband hits per 1,000 searches (47.2%)
◊ White hit rate = 465 contraband hits per 1,000 searches (46.5%)
◊ Asian American hit rate = 431 contraband hits per 1,000 searches (43.1%)
◊ Hispanic hit rate = 381 contraband hits per 1,000 searches (38.1%)
◊ Native American hit rate = 494 contraband hits per 1,000 searches (49.4%)
• A word of caution regarding these numbers. Information on race was missing for slightly over 6%
of all searches conducted. Race data was again missing for 6.8% of cases in which contraband was
found. As a result, some error is possible in the calculation of hit rates, especially when examining
Asian American or Native American data, as the number of searches and cases where contraband
was found was very low for these groups. Accordingly, for these individuals, hit rates were especially
vulnerable to error from missing data. Further, the literature indicates that hit rate information can be
most telling when examined at the county level to see where geographically disparate profiling needs
to be addressed (The Economist, 2017).
Stop outcomes
• A total of 6,293,885 stop outcomes were reported,
with citations at 41.3% (2,599,645) and written
warnings 40.4% (2,540,958) the most common.
Verbal warnings accounted for 15.5% (978,301)
of the outcomes, and arrests accounted for 1.8%
(114,086). About 5% (30,140) of the stops resulted
in a written warning and arrest. A similar
percentage was found for citation and arrest
(about 5%, or 30,755).
Analysis
This report includes data from law enforcement agencies on demographic and outcome related information for
motor vehicle stops in Texas for 2020. The data highlights some important trends in comparison to the state’s
overall demographics. First, Black motorists were more likely to be stopped by law enforcement compared
to White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic motorists. Specifically, 16.9% of stops involved motorists identified as
Black, but according to the latest Census Bureau statistics (2019) only 12.9% of the Texas population is Black.
Similarly, White (non-Hispanic) drivers were stopped at a rate exceeding their representation in the population.
Census figures reflect that 41.2% of the state is White; however, 45.8% of drivers stopped were White. Conversely,
Hispanic motorists were less likely to be stopped by law enforcement. Census data shows that 39.7% of the
state is Hispanic, yet only 34.6% of stops involved Hispanic motorists. Those identifying as Asian American
and American Indian were also less likely to be stopped relative to their representation in the population. While
Asian Americans make up 5.2% of the population, only 2.3% of stops involved Asian American drivers. The
difference was similar to that involving American Indians (population=1%, stops=.3%).
Another notable finding relates to search hit rates. This measure has been commonly used to assess bias in
police searches. Moreover, if officers make search decisions based on relevant legal criteria and these decisions
are being applied equitably across racial and ethnic groups, the hit rates should be similar. On the other hand, if
one group is searched more frequently but has the same number of hits, the hit rate will be lower compared to
the other groups. Therefore, groups with lower hit rates suggest that bias may have impacted the search decision
and that police are unfairly targeting those groups.
Our study revealed that the hit rate for Hispanic motorists was the lowest across all groups. When viewed together
with the fact that Hispanics were stopped less frequently than Blacks or Whites, these findings suggest a greater
element of implicit bias present in police interactions with Hispanic motorists. Given that probable cause
requirements to search are more stringent than less intrusive interactions such as pat-downs or frisks, it is
reasonable to assume that implicit bias would be less of a factor in decisions to search rather than to frisk.
Hence, hit rates that reflect searches only rather than frisks may be a function of the fact that some searches
are required by law (e.g., active warrant, inventory search or preexisting knowledge justifies the search).
Alternatively, it could also mean that more explicit bias exists in probable cause searches. The racial and ethnic
distribution of contraband found was greater for Whites (36.2%) and Hispanics (31.8%) compared to Blacks
(24.3%). These numbers suggest that while Hispanics are being searched more frequently, there is a lower
likelihood that police find contraband.
For the most accurate understanding of racial profiling in Texas, we recommend the Legislature amend the law
regarding report submission. A standardized reporting process should be established to collect valid and accurate
data. Our preliminary analysis revealed that about 120 of the agencies reported inconsistent data on race. Many
other inconsistencies also were detected. Although more and more agencies are reporting data on racial profiling,
no standard measure audits the accuracy. The conclusions drawn from this report cannot be interpreted with full
confidence until the data is guaranteed to be accurate.
It also would be good practices to require law enforcement agencies to report individual-level data instead of
aggregated departmental data. Individual-level data allows for a more detailed analysis of racial profiling patterns.
It also can ensure accuracy of the total cases reported.
In addition, TCOLE data should be analyzed annually to provide implications for law enforcement agencies and to
improve the data collection process. TCOLE should partner with research centers such as IPAC to analyze the data
and provide useful implications for legislative and law enforcement agencies.
Finally, too many inconsistencies exist in the information on race. Due to the aggregated nature of the data, the
researchers cannot find the reason for these inconsistencies, but possibly individuals, especially those of Hispanic
origin, reported more than one race. For example, an individual may be both Hispanic and White. The U.S. census
has separated the race and ethnicity questions because a person of Hispanic origin may be of any race. We
recommend separating the race and ethnicity questions in order to generate more accurate data. It would also
help to report officers’ race and ethnicity so we can examine how this influences their stop decisions.
• Include a category for probable cause (non-warrant) searches. Some searches are incident to arrest because
of an active warrant on the individual. Other searches incident to arrest are the result of probable cause
observed by the officer. This would enable more focus on the purely discretionary searches.
• Include the racial composition of the police department’s jurisdiction with the data. This would enable an
assessment of whether stop and other outcomes vary based on the racial composition of the community.
• Include a variable that differentiates the city’s population. This would generate a more place-based analysis.
Research has shown that racial profiling is more prevalent in more homogenous communities, which in Texas
tend to be rural.
Becker, G. (1957).
The Economics of Discrimination. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/E/bo22415931.html
Delgado, D. (2018).
“My deputies arrest anyone who breaks the law”: Understanding How Color-blind Discourse and
Reasonable Suspicion Facilitate Racist Policing.
Journal of the Sociology of Race and Ethnicity 4(4), 541-554.
https://doi.org/10.1177/2332649218756135
Findings: The results of our nationwide analysis of traffic stops and searches (2021).
Retrieved March 29, 2021, from: https://openpolicing.stanford.edu/findings/
254-968-9106
DELCARMEN@tarleton.edu
Institute for Predictive Analytics in Criminal Justice (IPAC) Page 25