•

-&

EUtQp@ATO(Alwayskeep

our

base

secure)

April30,2002

SUBJECT:COUNTRIESFORU.SJDODTOEMPHASIZE-ANDWHY

1\UxiedfCanada-

Homeland

security

depends

on

ourneighbootbeingreasonably

successful

politically,economically

and

orderlyandhelpful

from

asecurity

standppint.·

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...

i.

/;

r

M

f.,'6ti

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u,..tiVf

t

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......

Central/SouthAmerica-

We

can'ttolerateextremis·or

mass

diso{def

-:}o.f:i-u.

h\

I

..

_

""H..

IJ·

7't-Y·

u;

Italy-

Government

is

leaning

our

way;can

help

counterEUet.al;

can

assistin

moving

NATOand

Europe

in

the

rightdirection.

Norway

-same

as

Italy.

UK-

U.S.special

relationship-it

is

helpful.Poland

-Can

be

the

NATO

transformationcenterpieceandhelpshiftNATO's

weight

east;special

relationship

with

Ukraine;

is

realistic

about

Russia

from

experience.

Spain-

Needone

or

two

more

countriesin

NATOand

Europe

to

be

helpful;U.$.basingin

Spain

is

important.

-

Lo.rdROllertsoncan

be

helpful.

...

'

...

---.

Other?

f

....

jl)t\4.VV

UJi

.

fV'

I::VVV

..nt-

d.

El\stAsia

(Needed

to

favorablyaffectPRC'sentryintotheworld)Japan

....

The

single

most

importantfactor

to

moderateChina'sbehavior

is

asuccessful

Japan,

witha

boomingeconomy.U.S.

must

focustohelpmake

it

happen.

Korea-

NorthKoreawill

collapseorgetpushed

one

day.Aunited

Koreawill

have

aperiod

of

years

copingwiththedisaster

in

NorthKorea,butthereafteritwill

have

apowerfuleconomyand

can

helpserve,

with

Japan,

as

amoderatinginfluence

onChina.

Australia-A

special

relationship;valuedlocation.

I

DeclassifiedBy

Ch

RDD,ESDWHS.

IAW

EO

12958as

amended

Sep18,2008

08-M-3282