Part 1 - Meryl Dorey and pertussis vaccination - Australia, selective data sets.

How Meryl Dorey used plagiarism, factoids, selective data sets and simple lies to mislead the NSW HCCC when replying to a complaint.
On September 9th 2009 Meryl Dorey responded to a complaint against herself and The Australian Vaccination Network. The complaint was submitted by Mr. Ken McLeod to the NSW Health Care Complaints Commission. Aside from attempting to “refute” Mr. McLeodʼs complaint, Dorey also attacked long established facts specific to pertussis vaccine efficacy. “Since the AVN was established, Australia has experienced an increase of over 23% in our rate of vaccination against whooping cough with a concurrent increase in the incidence of this disease of almost 40 times. Please refer to the Australian government graphs below:” (Dorey then relies on selective data sets of immunised children and static diagnoses from the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System. Pages 6 and 7 of the AVN Reply to HCCC. This sleight of hand also features in “Pertussis: The Fear Factor”.)

Part 1 - Meryl Dorey and pertussis vaccination - Australia, selective data sets.

The 23% increase in pertussis vaccination “since the AVN was established” can be gleaned from these two tables [95.1% (Table 1) - 71.6% (Table 2 - 2001)]. In order to show that pertussis vaccination isnʼt effective, Ms. Dorey must compare vaccination status to diagnoses. Partially, fully or in need of a booster? Knowing full well that pertussis vaccination begins to wane at about age 15 years Dorey chooses notification data only, to secure her “40 fold increase”.

One cannot simply draw a line from childhood vaccination to notification of all ages. We know nothing of vaccine status, age/sex confounders, nationality, place of residence, immigration/refugee status. Notification data are not irrelevant. Yet a claim of direct causation requires ignorance about herd immunity, pertussis strains, acellular vs live cell vaccines, periodic outbreaks or epidemics, and vaccinated vs non-vaccinated infection rates during outbreaks.

Part 1 - Meryl Dorey and pertussis vaccination - Australia, selective data sets.

From the above we can see pertussis infections rise and fall with epidemics about every 3-5 years. Pertussis Fact Sheet. This is supported by Figure 49 below, 1996-2006.

Part 1 - Meryl Dorey and pertussis vaccination - Australia, selective data sets.

Figure 50 shows the notification rate for age group and sex, 2006. Communicable Diseases Intelligence, Vol. 32 No. 2. http://bit.ly/fjzpz6 This is notable for the low distribution in small children. The DHA figures below reflect exactly what the above graph is telling us. Now, Ms. Dorey did submit notifications for 2008 and up to April 2009 to The HCCC, manifesting quite some authority in dismissing pertussis vaccine efficacy. Something extremely relevant was happening to those who seek to make informed choices on the topic of vaccination.

But rather than use these data to protect AVN members or young parents, Ms. Dorey uses it to seemingly create an illusion for her benefit.

Part 1 - Meryl Dorey and pertussis vaccination - Australia, selective data sets.

Compare the 2006 and 2008 tables, paying particular attention to the three youngest age groups. Now compare the age and sex distribution graph below. In two years the risk of pertussis infection in young children and teens has risen dramatically.

Part 1 - Meryl Dorey and pertussis vaccination - Australia, selective data sets.

- From Communicable Diseases Intelligence, Vol. 34 No. 3 http://bit.ly/eHaZw9 Pertussis is a vaccine preventable disease. In submitting her complaint response to the HCCC Ms. Dorey cited several publications, that in the course of presenting data on infection trends and outbreaks, overwhelmingly support vaccination for pertussis. 0-4 years experience ~ 5x ^. 5-9 year olds, ~ 10x ^ and 10-14 year olds, ~ 5 plus x ^. No doubt - as we will see - Ms. Dorey consciously ignored the facts and the many benefits of pertussis vaccination. In formulating her hypothesis - that vaccination causally correlates with pertussis infection - “an experience which is being duplicated in every country for which mass vaccination against this illness exists”, Ms. Dorey has misrepresented a number of authors and failed her members. For my money Iʼd rather lay my eyes on these data and know my 6 year old faced a 10 times greater risk of pertussis than 2 years previously. Iʼd like an answer from Meryl Dorey, as to why I wasnʼt informed of this in making a choice, rather than see some technophobeʼs T-Shirt mounted meandering indoctrination: Love them, Protect them, Never inject them. Seriously. Is the AVN about smearing vaccination as a public health initiative at the expense of the health of the families unfortunate enough to be caught in their web? The best advice is clear. Vaccinate children, encourage adults to get a booster. Now!

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