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Date: May 25, 2011 To: Urban Hirschey firstname.lastname@example.org
From: Cheryl Korn cheryl. email@example.com
Results from Community Vision poll
Methodology IBOPE Zogby International was commissioned by the Town of Cape Vincent to conduct a telephone survey of seasonal and year round residents. The survey was conducted from 5/9/11 through 5/12/11. The target sample is 300 interviews with approximately 32 questions asked. Samples are randomly drawn from listed telephone directories of Cape Vincent NY along with a client supplied list of homeowners in Cape Vincent. IBOPE Zogby International surveys employ sampling strategies in which selection probabilities are proportional to population size within area codes and exchanges. Up to six calls are made to reach a sampled phone number. Cooperation rates are calculated using one of AAPOR's approved methodoloqles! and are comparable to other professional public-opinion surveys conducted using similar sampling strateqies.? Weights are applied to ownership type, age and gender to better reflect the population. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups. The MOE calculation is for sampling error only. SAMPLING The majority of telephone lists for polls and surveys are produced in the IT department at IBOPE Zogby International. Vendor-supplied lists are used for regions with complicated speclflcatlons, e.g., some Congressional Districts. Customer-supplied lists are used for special projects like customer satisfaction surveys and organization membership surveys.
I See COOP4 (p.36) in Standard Definitions: Final Dispositions of Case Codes and Outcome Rates a/Surveys. The American Association for Public Opinion Research, (revised 2008).
Cooperation Tracking Study: April 2003 Update, Jane M. Sheppard and Shelly Haas. The Council for Marketing & Opinion Research (CMOR). Cincinnati, Ohio (2003).
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Telephone lists generated in our IT department are called from a nationally published set of phone CDs of listed households, ordered by telephone number. Residential (or business) addresses are selected and then coded by region, where applicable. An appropriate replicate! is generated from this parent list, applying the replicate algorithm repeatedly with a very large parent list, e.g., all of the U.S. Acquired lists are tested for duplicates, coded for region, tested for regional coverage, and ordered by telephone, as needed. The resulting list is loaded into the CAT! application and the randomize function within the CAT! software is run to further assure a good mix for the telephone list. For this particular project, the client provided IBOPE Zogby International with about 1,200 property owners. IBOPE Zogby International searched for telephone numbers and were able to procure numbers for about 25% of them. Telephone numbers for all listed telephones as well as all voter records for Cape Vincent were also used. The phone list generated had 290 property owners with addresses outside of Cape Vincent, along with about 2,000 phone numbers for Cape Vincent year round. INTERVIEWING Interviews are conducted at IBOPE Zogby International by professional interviewers trained on our computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CAT!) computer system. A policy requiring one supervisor to no more than twelve interviewers is used. The sample management module of the CATI system gives all prospective respondent households in the source telephone list the same chance of joining the sample. Regional quotas are employed to ensure adequate coverage nationwide. WEIGHTING Reported frequencies and crosstabs are weighted using the appropriate demographic profile to provide a sample that best represents the targeted population from which the sample is drawn. The proportions comprising the demographic profile are compiled from historical exit poll data, census data, and from IBOPE Zogby International survey data. SAMPLING ERROR Sampling Error, often referred to as the Margin of Error, is the percentage that survey results are likely to differ from the actual due to the size of the sample drawn. If a survey were conducted of all the members of a population, the sampling error would be zero. There are other sources of possible error in survey research such as sample design error and measurement error.
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Narrative Summary 1. Do you consider yourself a seasonal or year round resident of Cape Vincent, New York? Seasonal Year round 63% 38%
Three out of five (63%) of survey respondents consider themselves seasonal residents of Cape Vincent, New York, while two out of five (38%) consider themselves year round. 2. Generally speaking do you think things in the Cape Vincent area are going in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track? Wrong track Right direction Not sure 40% 38 22
Two out of five (40%) think things in the Cape Vincent area are off on the wrong track, while another two out of five (38%) think things are going in the right direction. More than a fifth (22%) is not sure. 3. Overall, would you say you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of Cape Vincent? Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure 48% 34 13 3 1 Favorable Unfavorable 82% 17
Four out of five (82%) have a favorable overall opinion of Cape Vincent, while about a fifth (17%) have an unfavorable opinion of it.
901 broad street utica new york 13501 tel 1 315 6240lO0 united states
4-5. Please tell me how you would rate the tollowinq=Exceltent;
Good, Fair, or Poor.
The performanceorthe In Cape Vincent
*Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. **Differences in totals reflect rounding.
Four out of five (79%) give a positive rating to the quality of life in Cape Vincent, while a fifth (19%) gives a negative rating to it. Two out of three (66%) give a negative rating to the performance of the economy in Cape Vincent, one in four (23%) gives it a positive rating. 6. In your opinion, what are the three most important issues facing Cape Vincent? (Do not read. Choose up to THREE) Industrial wind turbine projects Economic growth and job creation The potential closing of Cape Vincent Elementary School Taxes The environment/public green spaces/parks Skilled workforce Healthcare Other= Not sure 59% 48 37 17 7 4 4 31 12
*Other responses: (Number in parenthesis denotes frequency of response) Elected officials/government ethics (23); Tourism/more attractions (15); Water issues/problems (9); Education/saving school (7); Fishing/fishery (5); Acceptance of everyone-seasonal and year round (5); Lack of growth/keep community growing (3); Conditions of the river/pollution in the lake (3); Unrest and hostility of people because of wind turbines (3); Clean up needed/properties in village not attractive (3); Sales of homes/lots of real estate available (3); The waterfront (2); Farming and agriculture leaving the area (2); Put sewers in instead of septic tanks (2) One each: Infrastructure; Attract more business/economic development to area; Lack of water to Tibbetts Point; Population decline; Bickering about school and turbines; Loss of revenue from tourists not coming because of windmills; Wind turbines, in general; Services for senior citizens; Upcoming
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elections; No work-no income-nothing for children to do; Codes enforcement; Water and extending property; Gas prices for boaters; The lighthouse; Access to the dump
Cannot think of any other issues (2)
Three out of five (59%) name the industrial wind turbine projects as one of the three most important issues facing Cape Vincent, while half (48%) cite economic growth and job creation. About two-fifths (37%) say the potential closing of Cape Vincent Elementary School is one of the three most important issues Cape Vincent faces, and about a third (31 %) name some other issue as one of the three most important. 7. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose the Industrial Wind Turbine projects being proposed for the Cape Vincent area? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Not sure 27% Support Oppose 470/0 41
Opinions about the Industrial Wind Turbine projects being proposed for the Cape Vincent area appear to be mixed, with nearly half (47%) of the residents surveyed saying they support such a project, and two-fifths (41%) saying they oppose it. Twelve percent is not sure. 8. (Asked of those who support the Industrial Wind Turbine projects.) Why do you support the wind power project being proposed for the Cape Vincent area? (Number in parenthesis denotes frequency of response) Alternative energy source (25) Good for the economy (25) Brings in money/revenue (9) Good for the environment (8) Could reduce taxes (7) Renewable source of energy/saves energy (7) Everyone will benefit from it (6) Good for the economy and the environment (6) Might bring down electricity costs (5) Good for the people (3) If it makes money, I support (3) Farms in area need money/work (3) Put in proper places (3) Makes no difference to me (2) There is nothing else in Cape Vincent (2) 19% 19 7 6 5 5 4 4 4 2 2 2 2
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1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Good idea, in general (2) No negative impact in Lowville-will It's a power issue (2) Need more opportunities (2) not have a negative impact here (2)
I believe in the wind project (1) Bring growth/development to the community (1) Electric prices are too high (1) Not much I can do about it (1) Support it to a degree, but not if an eyesore (1) Support it-but move it back further (1) Income for town and school (1) Wave of the future (1) Too many people in the area (1) Support it-but wants no political involvement or problems with owners (1) My dad wants them on my farm (1) Not sure (1)
*Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding.
A fifth each say they support the wind power project because it is an alternative energy source (19%) or it is good for the economy (19%), while 7% say it will bring in money or revenue. 9. (Asked of those who oppose the Industrial Wind Turbine projects.) oppose the wind power project being proposed for the Cape Vincent area? (Number in parenthesis denotes frequency of response) Eyesore (17) Unethical way they came about (16) Only going to benefit a few (15) Detraction from the beauty of Cape Vincent (11) Property will lose value (10) Not enough study of the issue/information available (8) Think they are planning to place them in the wrong locations (6) Health risks/issues (5) Issue has split the town (4) Eyesore and property will lose value (4) Will destroy the quality of life (4) Deterrent from tourism/bringing people to the area (4) Should not be put in residential places (4) Waste of money-will only supply nominal amount of energy (4) Habitat/lifestyle will be effected (3) Cannot see the advantages-only disadvantages (3) Kills wildlife (2) 11% Why do you
4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2
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1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Will affect the beauty of the St. Lawrence and wildlife (2) Too large of a project (2) Oppose because of no zoning (2) Personally oppose them-but it will be good for the economy (1) I believe in atomic power (1) Do not believe wind turbines should be in tourist areas (1) The way the issue is being handled (1) Unwise choice of wind company (1) Will have a negative impact on economy (1) Will ruin the beauty of Cape Vincent and benefit no one (1) Not efficient and intrusive-no consideration from Board (1) Oppose-but has no issue as long is a good distance from scenic areas (1) Not sure what problems it will pose for environment (1) Will make people leave/move away from area (1) Destruction of total plan of town (1) Do not believe they are necessary (1) Oppose-but will give people in area a break in power (1) Oil companies being unfair-turbines not what they are telling us (1) Taxpayers involved (1) Partly environment and partly we are not going to benefit (1) Are other more important issues-such as keeping the school open (1) Not sure (2)
*Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding.
Eleven percent say they oppose the wind power project because they see it as an eyesore within Cape Vincent, while ten percent each say it will only benefit a few or they think it came about in an unethical way. 10. Do you think that wind turbines located near the River will increase or decrease tourism, or will it have no effect at all? Decrease No effect at all Increase Not sure 47% 43 6 4
About half (47%) think that wind turbines located near the River will decrease tourism, while more than two-fifths (43%) think they will have no effect at all on it. Six percent think that wind turbines located near the River will increase tourism.
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11. Do you think that wind turbines located near the River will increase or decrease land values, or will it have no effect at all? Decrease No effect at all Increase Not sure 57% 28 7 8
Three out of five (57%) think that wind turbines located near the River will decrease land values, three in ten (28%) think they will have no effect at all. Seven percent think that wind turbines located near the River will increase land value. 12. Should the Town Board impose a moratorium on wind turbines to allow for time to amend the zoning law to address industrial and private wind turbines? Yes No Not sure 59% 26 15
Three out of five (59%) say the Town Board should impose a moratorium on wind turbines to allow for time to amend the zoning law to address industrial and private wind turbines, while one in four (26%) say it should not. 13. How would you rate the job the Town Board has done in assessing the pros and cons of industrial wind turbines-excellent, good, fair, or poor? Excellent Good Fair Poor Not sure 3% 19 24 34 21 Positive Negative
Three out of five (57%) give a negative rating to the job the Town Board has done in assessing the pros and cons of industrial wind turbines, while a fifth (22%) gives a positive rating to it.
901 broad street utica new york 13501 tell 3156240200 un ited states
14-16. Now, please tell me if you think the following is very important, somewhat important, not very important or not at all important in Cape Vincent.
*Percentages may not total 100 due to rounding.
Nearly all think tourism (99%), economic development (97%), and the waterfront and recreation (97%) is important in Cape Vincent. 17. Do you agree or disagree that the waterfront is an important economic draw for Cape Vincent? Agree Disagree Not sure 97% 2
Nearly all (97%) agree that the waterfront is an important economic draw for Cape Vincent. 18. Would you support or oppose the growth and development of Cape Vincent's waterfront? Support Oppose Not sure 86% 8 6
Nine in ten (86%) support the growth and development of Cape Vincent's waterfront, while 8% oppose such an action.
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19. Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of the French Festival? Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not familiar Not sure
67% 24 4
in totals reflect rounding.
Nine in ten (91%) have a favorable opinion of the French Festival; with the large majority (67%) saying they have a very favorable opinion of it. Four percent have an unfavorable opinion of the French Festival. 20. Would you consider being a volunteer for the French Festival this July? Yes No Not sure
32*% 63 4
may not total 100 due to rounding.
Three out of five (63%) would not consider being a volunteer for the French Festival this July, while a third (32%) would consider it. 21. (Asked of those who are not considering being a volunteer.) Which of the following make you more likely to consider volunteering for the French Festival? (Choose all that apply) Having more information about how to volunteer and what is involved 22% Knowing I could volunteer my time before the actual event 10 Receiving an incentive for volunteering, such as free tickets to festival events 4 Having the event scheduled on a different weekend 2 other= 31 I have no interest in the French Festival 40 Not sure 6
*Other responses: Not interested-poor health/disabled (13); Not interested-too busy these days (11); Not interested-age/too old (9); Not interested-will be away from CapeVincent (5); Not
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interested-not in CapeVincent long enough/only there on weekends(4); Not interested-no longer wish to volunteer (2); Noneof the above (2); Must offer more for children (2) One each: Not interested-husband is deployed; Not sure of schedule/plansduring that time; If I could volunteer for just one day; Wouldvolunteer, if they needed help badly; Softball tournament and parade are great attractions; Donating 1.5 million walleye to DECfrom the FrenchFestival
Two out of five (40%) say they are not considering being a volunteer for the French Festival because they have no interest in it, while 22% say having more information about how to volunteer and what is involved would make them more likely to consider volunteering. 22. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose the proposed closure of the Cape Vincent Elementary School if it saved money, but meant that students who attended Cape Vincent Elementary would have to be bused to Clayton Elementary School? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Not sure 9% 13 Support Oppose 220/0 63
Three out of five (63%) oppose the proposed closure of the Cape Vincent Elementary School if it saved money, but meant that students who attended Cape Vincent Elementary would have to be bused to Clayton Elementary School. A fifth (22%) supports such an action. 23. (Asked of those who oppose the school closing.) Which of the fol/owing statements best describes your opinion about how the Cape Vincent Elementary School can be saved from closure? (Choose only ONE) Statement A: I would support a local tax increase to keep the school open. Statement B: I would support attracting more families with children to the Cape Vincent area to keep the school open. Statement B Statement A Neither Not sure 67% 15 15 3
Two out of three (67%) report Statement B, "I would support attracting more families with children to the Cape Vincent area to keep the school open," best describes their opinion about how the Cape Vincent Elementary School can be saved from closure, while 15% say Statement A, "I would support a local tax increase to keep the school open" best describes their opinion. Fifteen percent say neither statement best describes their opinion.
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