You are on page 1of 2

The Keys to Energy Security

By 2030, the United States could secure 92 Potential Liquid Fuel Supply--2030
percent of its liquid fuels from secure sources
(i.e. the U.S. and Canada) with access to oil
Rest of the World
resources on public lands and in federal waters
8%
that are currently off-limits, and with the approval
of the Keystone XL Pipeline which would bring
additional oil supplies from Canada.
United States
Currently, we depend on sources outside the U.S. and Canada
and Canada for 38 percent of our liquid fuels, 92%
according to the U.S. Energy Information
Administration. With no changes to policy, plus
continuing growth in biofuels under current law,
EIA forecasts that would shrink to about 30
percent in 2030. However, with sensible changes to oil and natural gas policy we could
reduce that to 8 percent, while at the same time creating massive numbers of new U.S. jobs
and huge amounts of revenue for our government.

Energy security is attainable. We can control our energy destiny.

2010 Liquid Fuel Supply 2030 Liquid Fuel Supply

Rest of the World Rest of the World


38% 30%
United States United States
and Canada and Canada
62% 70%

Learn more at www.energytomorrow.org


SOURCES:
EIA Forecast 2010 2020 2025 2030
mb/d 19.05 20.58 20.94 21.34
U.S. 8.50 9.45 9.48 9.49
Biofuels 1.01 1.86 2.40 2.92
Canada 2.33 2.52 2.45 2.51
Rest of World 7.20 6.74 6.61 6.43
U.S. Liquid Fuel Supply 19.04 20.58 20.94 21.35
   
Percentages 2010 2020 2025 2030
U.S. 45% 46% 45% 44%
Biofuels 5% 9% 11% 14%
Canada 12% 12% 12% 12%
Rest of World 38% 33% 32% 30%
U.S. Liquid Fuel Supply 100% 100% 100% 100%
Source: EIA, AEO, April 2011        

Potential 2010 2020 2025 2030


mb/d  
U.S. + access 8.50 10.31 12.29 13.27
Biofuels 1.01 1.86 2.40 2.92
Canada + pipeline 2.33 3.35 3.28 3.34
Rest of World 7.20 5.05 2.97 1.82
Total 19.04 20.58 20.94 21.35
   
Percentages 2010 2020 2025 2030
U.S. + access 45% 50% 59% 62%
Biofuels 5% 9% 11% 14%
Canada + pipeline 12% 16% 16% 16%
Rest of World 38% 25% 14% 8%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Sources: API calculation based on EIA, “Annual Energy Outlook 2011,” April 2011; Wood Mackenzie, and U.S.
Department of State
“Energy Policy at a Crossroads,” January 2011 estimate of 3.78 million b/d from additional access by 2030
(Sponsored by API)
“Supplemental Draft Environmental Impact Statement for Keystone XL Project,” April 2011 estimate of 830,000
b/d supply to the U.S. from the Keystone XL Pipeline

Two Keys to Security


1. Access: Allowing access to oil and natural gas resources currently off-limits would increase U.S.
crude oil production by nearly 1 million barrels per day by 2020 and 4 million barrels per day by
2030.
2. Canadian oil sands pipeline expansion: State Department approval of the Keystone XL pipeline
expansion could bring an extra 830,000 barrels per day to the U.S. within the decade.

http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/
http://www.api.org/Newsroom/upload/SOAE_Wood_Mackenzie_Access_vs_Taxes.pdf
http://energy.nationaljournal.com/2011/05/should-obama-back-oil-pipeline.php#1998574

Learn more at www.energytomorrow.org