In this December 2009 new edition
 Banks of objective test questions on every syllabus area
 Answers with detailed feedback
 Two mock assessments
 Fully up to date as at 1 December 2009
BPP Learning Media's iPass product also supports this paper
Certificate Paper C3
FUNDAMENTALS OF
BUSINESS MATHEMATICS
For assessments in 2010 and 2011
Practice & Revision Kit
ii
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First edition June 2006
Third edition December 2009
ISBN 9780 7517 8075 8 (previous edition 9780 7517 5182 6)
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2009
iii
Contents
Page
Revision
Revising with this Kit ....................................................................................................................................................... iv
Effective revision.............................................................................................................................................................. vi
The assessment
Assessment technique ..................................................................................................................................................... ix
Tackling multiple choice questions.................................................................................................................................. xi
Tackling objective test questions .................................................................................................................................... xii
Background
Formulae to learn........................................................................................................................................................... xiv
Useful websites.............................................................................................................................................................. xvi
Question and answer checklist/index..................................................................................................... xvii
Questions Answers
Question practice
Basic mathematics ............................................................................................................................................ 3.....................97
Summarising and analysing data .................................................................................................................... 10...................109
Probability ...................................................................................................................................................... 28...................127
Financial mathematics .................................................................................................................................... 43...................150
Interrelationships between variables.............................................................................................................. 56...................176
Forecasting ..................................................................................................................................................... 67...................189
Spreadsheets .................................................................................................................................................. 79...................204
Assessment practice
Mock assessment 1 ...................................................................................................................................... 213...................225
Mock assessment 2 ...................................................................................................................................... 241...................257
Mathematical tables and formulae............................................................................................................ 271
Review form & free prize draw
iv Introduction
Revising with this Kit
Have you worked through the
Paper C3 Study Text and do you feel ready
to start practice and revision?
Go back through
your notes and try some of
the questions in the Study
Text again.
Did you get the majority of the
questions correct?
Read 'Tackling multiple
choice questions'
(page xi).
Read 'Tackling objective
test questions'
(page xii).
You might find it useful
to read the relevant
section of the Paper C3
Passcards before you
answer questions on a
particular topic.
NO
Go back through
your notes and/or look through the
Paper C3 Passcards.
Read 'Effective revision'
(page vi).
YES
YES
NO
Attempt a couple of
sets of MCQs and OTs in each
subject area.
Attempt the remaining
MCQs and OTs in each area.
Answer all questions.
Introduction v
Read ‘Assessment
technique’
(page ix).
Were you happy with your performance on
the questions?
Have another go at the
questions with which you
had problems.
NO
Do the two mock assessments
on pages 211 and 239.
YES
vi Introduction
Effective revision
This guidance applies if you have been studying for an exam over a period of time. (Some tuition providers are
teaching subjects by means of one intensive course that ends with the assessment.)
What you must remember
Time is very important as you approach the assessment. You must remember:
Believe in yourself
Use time sensibly
Believe in yourself
Are you cultivating the right attitude of mind? There is absolutely no reason why you should not pass this
assessment if you adopt the correct approach.
 Be confident – you've passed exams before, you can pass them again
 Be calm – plenty of adrenaline but no panicking
 Be focused – commit yourself to passing the assessment
Use time sensibly
1 How much study time do you have? Remember that you must eat, sleep, and of course, relax.
2 How will you split that available time between each subject? A revision timetable, covering what and how
you will revise, will help you organise your revision thoroughly.
3 What is your learning style? AM/PM? Little and often/long sessions? Evenings/ weekends?
4 Do you have quality study time? Unplug the phone. Let everybody know that you're studying and shouldn't
be disturbed.
5 Are you taking regular breaks? Most people absorb more if they do not attempt to study for long
uninterrupted periods of time. A five minute break every hour (to make coffee, watch the news headlines)
can make all the difference.
6 Are you rewarding yourself for your hard work? Are you leading a healthy lifestyle?
Introduction vii
What to revise
Key topics
You need to spend most time on, and practise lots of questions on, topics that are likely to yield plenty of
questions in your assessment.
You may also find certain areas of the syllabus difficult.
Difficult areas are
 Areas you find dull or pointless
 Subjects you highlighted as difficult when you studied them
 Topics that gave you problems when you answered questions or reviewed the material
DON’T become depressed about these areas; instead do something about them.
 Build up your knowledge by quick tests such as the quick quizzes in your BPP Study Text and the batches of
questions in the IPass CD ROM.
 Work carefully through examples and questions in the Text, and refer back to the Text if you struggle with
questions in the Kit.
Breadth of revision
Make sure your revision covers all areas of the syllabus. Your assessment will test your knowledge of the whole
syllabus.
How to revise
There are four main ways that you can revise a topic area.
Write it!
Read it!
Teach it!
Do it!
Write it!
Writing important points down will help you recall them, particularly if your notes are presented in a way that makes
it easy for you to remember them.
viii Introduction
Read it!
You should read your notes or BPP Learning Media Passcards actively, testing yourself by doing quick quizzes or
Kit questions while you are reading.
Teach it!
Assessments require you to show your understanding. Teaching what you are learning to another person helps you
practise explaining topics that you might be asked to define in your assessment. Teaching someone who will
challenge your understanding, someone for example who will be taking the same assessment as you, can be helpful
to both of you.
Do it!
Remember that you are revising in order to be able to answer questions in the assessment. Practising questions
will help you practise technique and discipline, which can be crucial in passing or failing assessments.
1 Start your question practice by doing a couple of sets of objective test questions in a subject area. Note
down the questions where you went wrong, try to identify why you made mistakes and go back to your
Study Text for guidance or practice.
2 The more questions you do, the more likely you are to pass the assessment. However if you do run short of
time:
 Make sure that you have done at least some questions from every section of the syllabus
 Look through the banks of questions and do questions on areas that you have found difficult or on
which you have made mistakes
3 When you think you can successfully answer questions on the whole syllabus, attempt the two mock
assessments at the end of the Kit. You will get the most benefit by sitting them under strict assessment
conditions, so that you gain experience of the vital assessment processes.
 Managing your time
 Producing answers
BPP Learning Media's Learning to Learn Accountancy gives further valuable advice on how to approach revision.
BPP Learning Media has also produced other vital revision aids.
 Passcards – Provide you with clear topic summaries and assessment tips
 iPass CDs – Offer you tests of knowledge to be completed against the clock
 Success CDs – Help you revise on the move
You can purchase these products by visiting www.bpp.com/cima
Introduction ix
Assessment technique
Format of the assessment
The assessment will contain 45 questions to be completed in 2 hours. The questions will be a combination of
multiple choice questions and other types of objective test questions.
Passing assessments
Passing assessments is half about having the knowledge, and half about doing yourself full justice in the
assessment. You must have the right approach to two things.
The day of the assessment
Your time in the assessment room
The day of the assessment
1 Set at least one alarm (or get an alarm call) for a morning assessment.
2 Have something to eat but beware of eating too much; you may feel sleepy if your system is digesting a
large meal.
3 Allow plenty of time to get to the assessment room; have your route worked out in advance and listen to
news bulletins to check for potential travel problems.
4 Don't forget pens and watch. Also make sure you remember entrance documentation and evidence of
identity.
5 Put new batteries into your calculator and take a spare set (or a spare calculator).
6 Avoid discussion about the assessment with other candidates outside the assessment room.
Your time in the assessment room
1 Listen carefully to the invigilator's instructions
Make sure you understand the formalities you have to complete.
2 Ensure you follow the instructions on the computer screen
In particular ensure that you select the correct assessment (not every student does!), and that you
understand how to work through the assessment and submit your answers.
x Introduction
3 Keep your eye on the time
In the assessment you will have to complete 45 questions in 120 minutes. That will mean that you have
roughly 2½ minutes on average to answer each question. You will be able to answer some questions
instantly, but others will require thinking about. If after a minute or so you have no idea how to tackle the
question, leave it and come back to it later.
4 Label your workings clearly with the question number
This will help you when you check your answers, or if you come back to a question that you are unsure
about.
5 Deal with problem questions
There are two ways of dealing with questions where you are unsure of the answer.
(a) Don't submit an answer. The computer will tell you before you move to the next question that you
have not submitted an answer, and the question will be marked as not done on the list of questions.
The risk with this approach is that you run out of time before you do submit an answer.
(b) Submit an answer. You can always come back and change the answer before you finish the
assessment or the time runs out. You should though make a note of answers that you are unsure
about, to ensure that you do revisit them later in the assessment.
6 Make sure you submit an answer for every question
When there are ten minutes left to go, concentrate on submitting answers for all the questions that you have
not answered up to that point. You won’t get penalised for wrong answers so take a guess if you're unsure.
7 Check your answers
If you finish the assessment with time to spare, check your answers before you sign out of the assessment.
In particular revisit questions that you are unsure about, and check that your answers are in the right format
and contain the correct number of words as appropriate.
BPP Learning Media's Learning to Learn Accountancy gives further valuable advice on how to approach the
day of the assessment.
Introduction xi
Tackling multiple choice questions
The MCQs in your assessment contain a number of possible answers. You have to choose the option(s) that best
answers the question. The three incorrect options are called distracters. There is a skill in answering MCQs quickly
and correctly. By practising MCQs you can develop this skill, giving you a better chance of passing the assessment.
You may wish to follow the approach outlined below, or you may prefer to adapt it.
Step 1 Note down how long you should allocate to each MCQ. For this paper you will be answering 45
questions in 120 minutes, so you will be spending on average just over two and a half minutes on
each question. Remember however that you will not be expected to spend an equal amount of time
on each MCQ; some can be answered instantly but others will take time to work out.
Step 2 Attempt each question. Read the question thoroughly.
You may find that you recognise a question when you sit the assessment. Be aware that the detail
and/or requirement may be different. If the question seems familiar read the requirement and options
carefully – do not assume that it is identical.
Step 3 Read the four options and see if one matches your own answer. Be careful with numerical questions,
as the distracters are designed to match answers that incorporate common errors. Check that your
calculation is correct. Have you followed the requirement exactly? Have you included every stage of a
calculation?
Step 4 You may find that none of the options matches your answer.
 Reread the question to ensure that you understand it and are answering the requirement
 Eliminate any obviously wrong answers
 Consider which of the remaining answers is the most likely to be correct and select the
option
Step 5 If you are still unsure, continue to the next question. Likewise if you are nowhere near working out
which option is correct after a couple of minutes, leave the question and come back to it later. Make
a note of any questions for which you have submitted answers, but you need to return to later. The
computer will list any questions for which you have not submitted answers.
Step 6 Revisit questions you are uncertain about. When you come back to a question after a break you
often find you are able to answer it correctly straight away. If you are still unsure have a guess. You
are not penalised for incorrect answers, so never leave a question unanswered!
xii Introduction
Tackling objective test questions
What is an objective test question?
An objective test (OT) question is made up of some form of stimulus, usually a question, and a requirement to do
something.
 MCQs. Read through the information on page (xi) about MCQs and how to tackle them.
 True or false. You will be asked if a statement is true or false.
 Data entry. This type of OT requires you to provide figures such as the correct figure for creditors in a
balance sheet, or words to fill in a blank.
 Hot spots. This question format might ask you to identify which cell on a spreadsheet contains a particular
format or where on a graph marginal revenue equals marginal cost.
 Multiple response. These questions provide you with a number of options and you have to identify those
that fulfil certain criteria.
OT questions in your assessment
CIMA is currently developing different types of OTs for inclusion in computerbased assessments. The timetable for
introduction of new types of OTs is uncertain, and it is also not certain how many questions in your assessment will
be MCQs, and how many will be other types of OT. Practising all the different types of OTs that this Kit provides will
prepare you well for whatever questions come up in your assessment.
Dealing with OT questions
Again you may wish to follow the approach we suggest, or you may be prepared to adapt it.
Step 1 Work out how long you should allocate to each OT. Remember that you will not be expected to spend
an equal amount of time on each one; some can be answered instantly but others will take time to
work out.
Step 2 Attempt each question. Read the question thoroughly, and note in particular what the question says
about the format of your answer and whether there are any restrictions placed on it (for example the
number of words you can use).
You may find that you recognise a question when you sit the assessment. Be aware that the detail
and/or requirement may be different. If the question seems familiar read the requirement and options
carefully – do not assume that it is identical.
Step 3 Read any options you are given and select which ones are appropriate. Check that your calculations
are correct. Have you followed the requirement exactly? Have you included every stage of the
calculation?
Introduction xiii
Step 4 You may find that you are unsure of the answer.
 Reread the question to ensure that you understand it and are answering the requirement
 Eliminate any obviously wrong options if you are given a number of options from which to
choose
Step 5 If you are still unsure, continue to the next question. Make a note of any questions for which you
have submitted answers, but you need to return to later. The computer will list any questions for
which you have not submitted answers.
Step 6 Revisit questions you are uncertain about. When you come back to a question after a break you often
find you are able to answer it correctly straight away. If you are still unsure have a guess. You are not
penalised for incorrect answers, so never leave a question unanswered!
xiv Introduction
Formulae to learn
Fraction =
Numerator
Denominator
Percentage change =
'Change'
Original value
× 100%
The equation of a straight line:
y = a + bx
where a = the intercept of the line on the y axis
and b = the slope (gradient) of the line
b = gradient =
x in Change
y in Change
= (y2 – y1 )/(x2 – x1) where (x1 , y1) and (x2, y2) are two points on the straight line.
Histogram with unequal intervals:
Adjustment factor =
width class Current
width class Standard
Coefficient of variation =
mean
deviation Standard
Fixed base index =
year base in Value
year given any in Value
× 100
Chain base index =
value s year' Last
value s year' This
× 100
Deflated/inflated cash flow = Actual cash flow in given year ×
year given for number Index
year base for number Index
Probability of achieving the desired result =
outcomes possible of number Total
result desired achieving of ways of Number
Expected value (EV) = ¯np
Where ¯ = sum of
n = outcome
p = probability of outcome occurring
Simple interest formula:
S = X + nrX
Where X = the original sum invested
r = the interest rate (expressed as a proportion, so 10% = 0.1)
n = the number of periods (normally years)
S = the sum invested after n periods, consisting of the original capital (X) plus interest earned.
Introduction xv
Compound interest formula when there are changes in the rate of interest:
S = X(1 + r
1
)
y
(1 + r
2
)
ny
Where r
1
= the initial rate of interest
y = the number of years in which the interest rate r
1
applies
r
2
= the next rate of interest
n – y = the (balancing) number of years in which the interest rate r
2
applies.
Effective annual rate of interest:
(1 + R) = (1 + r)
n
Where R is the effective annual rate
r is the period rate
n is the number of periods in a year
The terminal value of an investment to which equal annual amounts will be added (the sum of a geometric
progression):
S =
1 R
) 1 R ( A
n
÷
÷
Where S is the terminal value
A is the first term
R is the common ratio
n is the number of terms
Discounting formula:
X = S ×
n
) r 1 (
1
+
Where S is the sum to be received after n time periods
X is the present value (PV) of that sum
r is the rate of return, expressed as a proportion
n is the number of time periods (usually years)
Internal rate of return (IRR) =
a
a b
NPV
a (b a) %
NPV NPV
 
+ ÷

÷
\ .
Where a is one interest rate
b is the other interest rate
NPV
a
is the NPV at rate a
NPV
b
is the NPV at rate b
xvi Introduction
Use of computer notation in the computer based assessment
Make sure that you understand and are able to write formulae in computer notation. For example, you can use * on
a computer instead of a multiplication sign, or . if you wish to introduce a power.
Useful websites
The websites below provide additional sources of information of relevance to your studies for Business
Mathematics.
 BPP www.bpp.com
For details of other BPP material for your CIMA studies
 CIMA www.cimaglobal.com
The official CIMA website
Introduction xvii
Question and Answer checklist/index
Page number
Question Answer
1 Basic mathematics 1 3 97
2 Basic mathematics 2 4 99
3 Basic mathematics 3 5 101
4 Basic mathematics 4 7 103
5 Basic mathematics 5 8 105
6 Summarising and analysing data 1 10 109
7 Summarising and analysing data 2 11 111
8 Summarising and analysing data 3 13 113
9 Summarising and analysing data 4 16 115
10 Summarising and analysing data 5 18 116
11 Summarising and analysing data 6 21 120
12 Summarising and analysing data 7 23 122
13 Summarising and analysing data 8 25 124
14 Probability 1 28 127
15 Probability 2 29 129
16 Probability 3 31 131
17 Probability 4 33 134
18 Probability 5 35 137
19 Probability 6 37 140
20 Probability 7 38 142
21 Probability 8 41 145
xviii Introduction
Page number
Question Answer
22 Financial mathematics 1 43 150
23 Financial mathematics 2 44 151
24 Financial mathematics 3 45 154
25 Financial mathematics 4 46 156
26 Financial mathematics 5 48 159
27 Financial mathematics 6 49 162
28 Financial mathematics 7 50 165
29 Financial mathematics 8 51 167
30 Financial mathematics 9 53 170
31 Financial mathematics 10 54 173
32 Interrelationships between variables 1 56 176
33 Interrelationships between variables 2 57 178
34 Interrelationships between variables 3 60 181
35 Interrelationships between variables 4 62 184
36 Interrelationships between variables 5 63 187
37 Forecasting 1 67 189
38 Forecasting 2 68 191
39 Forecasting 3 70 193
40 Forecasting 4 73 196
41 Forecasting 5 75 198
42 Forecasting 6 77 201
43 Spreadsheets 1 79 204
44 Spreadsheets 2 82 205
45 Spreadsheets 3 86 206
46 Spreadsheets 4 89 207
47 Spreadsheets 5 92 208
Mock assessment 1 213 225
Mock assessment 2 241 257
1
Questions
2
Questions 3
Basic mathematics
Questions 1 to 5 cover basic mathematics, the subject of Part A of the BPP Study Text for C3
1 Basic mathematics 1
1 A squareended rectangular box has a volume of 1,458cm
3
. The length of the box is twice that of one side of
the square end.
One side of the square end therefore measures
cms
2 The expression
5
3 2
x
) x (
equals
A 0 B 1 C x D x
2
3 A radio which was priced at $56.99 has been reduced to $52.49. To two decimal places, the percentage
reduction in price is
%
4 The expression (x
3
)
4
equals
A x
7
B x
12
C 7x D x/7
5 A buyer has spent $30,151 on 550 units of a particular item. The first 100 units cost $50 each, the next 150
units cost $8,250 in total, the next batch cost $11,200 in total and the final 100 cost $x each. The value of x is
A $57.01 B $107.01 C $139.51 D $169.01
6 The term x
–1
equals
A –x B 1/x C x
2
D x – 1
7 A coat which was priced at $45.99 last year is now $53.99.
What is the percentage increase in price to three decimal places?
8 The expression (y²)³ equals
A
3
y
B y
6
C y
5
D
3
2
y
4 Questions
9 A jacket which cost the retailer $40 is sold at a profit of 20% on the selling price. The profit is therefore
$
10 The term
4
3
x
÷
equals
A
4 3
x
1
B
4
x
3
C
3 4
x
1
D
3
x
4
2 Basic mathematics 2
1 The expression
7
8
x
X
can be expressed as
A –1 B x
1
C x D x
8/7
2 A product was previously sold for $2.60 per kg, but is now sold for $4 for 2 kgs. The percentage reduction
per kg is closest to
A 23 B 30 C 35 D 53
3 The graph of Y = 2X is shown by which of the following lines?
A B
C
D
1 2 3 4 5
1
0
2
3
4
5
Y
X
4 In which of the following ways could the expression (x
4
)
–4
be written?
4
x 4
16
x
1
16 x
x
16
5 In the formula Q =
h
C
CD 2
, if C = $20, D = 24,000 and Q = 400, then C
h
is closest in value to
A $1.73 B $2.45 C $6.00 D $12.00
Questions 5
6 A store sells oranges either for 39c per kg, or in bulk at $7 per 22 kg bag. The percentage saving (per kg)
from buying a 22 kg bag is closest to
A 7.2% B 17.9% C 18.4% D 22.6%
7 Fred makes a number of deliveries in a week. In a week where his average journey was 267 miles, his
individual journey distances, in miles, were
286, 192, x, 307, 185, y, 94
When x = 4y, the value of x is
8 A company uses any one of three machines to produce 'identical' hinges. The output of hinges from the
three machines is in the ratio 6:3:1. The percentage of defects is 5, 20 and 10 respectively. The overall
percentage of defects is closest to
A 8 B 9 C 10 D 11
9 X% of 200 equals
A
000 , 20
X
B
200
X
C
2
X D 2X
10 Sylvia pays no tax on the first $3,500 of her earnings and then
22%
23%
24%
25%
tax on the remainder of her earnings. She wishes to have gross earnings of $18,435 and wishes to have
$15,000 net of tax earnings.
3 Basic mathematics 3
1 If cost = 3,800 – 24P and revenue = 410P – 22P
2
, where P = price per unit, how would you express profit
per unit (in terms of price)?
(Profit = Revenue – cost)
A 434P – 22P
2
– 3,800
B 434P – 22P
2
+ 3,800
C 22P
2
– 434P + 3,800
D 386P – 22P
2
– 3,800
6 Questions
2 If demand D = 60 – 5P, how is price (P) expressed in terms of D?
A P = 12 – D
B P = 12 – D/5
C P = 12 + D/5
D P = D/55
3 If y
2
= x
2
– 3x + 25, what is the value of y if x = 3?
4 If the price of a product (P) = 250 – D/1.2 where D = demand of the product, how is the demand of the
product expressed in terms of P, the price?
A D = 300 + 1.2P
B D = 300 – P
C D = 1.2P – 300
D D = 300 – 1.2P
5 If y
1/3
= x
3
– 3x
2
+ 22x – 102, what is the value of y when x = 4?
6 When x = 3, what is the value (to two decimal places) of the expression below?
(X
–0.5
)
–5
7 The expression (x
–3
)
–4
equals
A 1/x
12
B
3
x 4
÷ C x
–1
D x
12
8 An article in a sales catalogue is priced at $125 including sales tax at 17.5%. The price excluding sales tax to
the nearest cent is
$
9 Three years ago a retailer sold product TS for $30 each. At the end of the first year he increased the price by
5% and at the end of the second year by a further 6%. At the end of the third year the selling price was
$35.73 each. The percentage price change in year 3 was
%
10 The expression
4
3
x
x
can be expressed as
A –1 B x
–1
C x D x
3/4
Questions 7
4 Basic mathematics 4
1 When x = 3 the value (to 2 decimal places) of (x
–0.75
)
–7
=
2 An item priced at $90.68, including local sales tax at 18%, is reduced in a sale by 20%. The new price before
sales tax is added is $61.50 (to 2 decimal places).
True
False
3 Total sales of Company A are $350,000 and total sales of Company B are $700,000. The ratio of Company A
sales to Company B sales (to the nearest whole number) is to .
4 An article in a sales catalogue is priced at $289, including sales tax at 17.5%. The price, excluding sales tax,
to the nearest cent, is $
5 The numeric value of the expression
7
4 3
x
) (x
when x = 3 is
x = 4 is
6 Three years ago a garden centre sold hanging baskets for $27.50 each. At the end of the first year they
increased the price by 8% and at the end of the second year by a further 4%. At the end of the third year the
selling price was $30.27 each. The percentage price change in year three was %.
7 Which of the following equations is the result of making Y the subject of the equation
a
qY
7 X =
A
49a
qX
Y =
B
49q
aX
Y
2
=
C
49a
qX
Y
2
=
D
49q
aX
Y =
8 In the formula
PR
DC 2
Q = , if Q = 80, C = 10, P = 6 and R = 0.2, then D, to the nearest unit, is
8 Questions
9 The expression
8
7
x
x
can be expressed in which of the following ways?
A –1
B x
–1
C 1/x
2
D 7/8
10 The solution to the simultaneous equations:
5x + 3y = 13
3x – y = 12
x y
5 Basic mathematics 5
1 An article in a sales catalogue is priced at $500 including sales tax at 17.5%. The price excluding sales tax to
the nearest cent is $
2 A greengrocer sells apples either for 35c per kg, or in bulk at $7 per 25 kg bag. The percentage saving (per
kg) from buying a 25 kg bag is closest to
A 7.0%
B 8.8%
C 20.0%
D 25.0%
The correct answer is option
3 If y
2
= x
2
– 4x + 36 and if x = 4, the value of y is
4 A skirt which cost the retailer $200 is sold at a profit of 25% on the selling price. The profit (to 2 decimal
places) is $
5 The telephone costs of a company last year were $10,000, including sales tax at 17.5%. It has been decided
to allocate 60% of these telephone costs, excluding sales tax, to Central Administration and to allocate 30%
of the remainder, excluding sales tax, to Finance.
The telephone costs (to the nearest $) to be allocated to Finance will be closest to $
6 A trader's total costs are made up of wages and materials. Next month wages are expected to be $1,000 ±
10% and materials $2,000 ± 20%. Revenue is predicted to be $4,000 ± 10%. Profit (revenue minus total
costs ) next month will be
A between $100 and $900
B between $100 and $1,900
C $1,000 ± 10%
D $1,000 ± 20%
Questions 9
7 The equations of two straight lines are given below:
Y = 7 + X
Y = 9 + 3X
These lines intersect where the (X, Y) coordinates are equal to
X Y
8 Katie and Jamie share out a certain sum of money in the ratio 3:5 and Katie ends up with $9.
How much money was shared out in the first place? $
How much would have been shared out if Katie had got $9 and the ratio had been 5:3 instead of 3:5? $
State your answers to 2 decimal places.
9 There are 45 students in a classroom, 24 of whom have dark hair. What proportion of the students (to 4
decimal places) do not have dark hair?
A 0.4667
B 0.5334
C 0.4666
D 0.5333
10 If P is measured to within ± 10%, Q to within ± 20% and R to within ± 30%, then
PQ
R
will be subject to a
maximum error closest to
A 1.5%
B 2.9%
C 44.6%
D 90%
10 Questions
Summarising and analysing data
Questions 6 to 13 cover summarising and analysing data, the subject of Part B of the BPP Study Text for C3
6 Summarising and analysing data 1
1 When forecasting future costs, a manager puts a margin of 5% either side of each cost. If the upper
estimate of a particular cost is stated as $21.50, then the midpoint of the estimate, to two decimal places, is
2 A firm which bottles shampoo selects some filled bottles for examination. The procedure used is that two
random numbers are chosen, x and y. Starting at the xth bottle filled, every bottle at an interval of y is then
chosen for examination.
This type of sampling is known as
A Multistage
B Random
C Systematic
D Stratified
3 In a particular sample survey, an interviewer is required to interview all of the students at a school in
Croydon to find out what they think of the education system in Britain. What is the name used to describe
this sampling method?
A Quota sampling
B Cluster sampling
C Random sampling
D Stratified sampling
4 Over a period a firm made purchases of $400, $500, $550 and $600 on items, the unit costs of which were
$10.00, $12.50, $11.00 and $12.00 respectively.
To the nearest cent, the average price paid per item was
5 The following scores are observed for the times taken to complete a task, in minutes.
12, 34, 14, 15, 21, 24, 9, 17, 11, 8
The median score is
A 14.00
B 14.10
C 14.50
D 16.50
Questions 11
6 Sales for the first five months of the year averaged $8,200 per month.
For the last four months of the year sales averaged $8,500 per month.
If sales for the year totalled $102,000, the average for the sixth, seventh and eighth months must be
A $8,500
B $9,000
C $9,500
D $10,200
7 The median of the scores 34, 23, 78, 12, 56, 43, 28, 9, 24 and 87 is
A 26
B 28
C 31
D 34
8 In a histogram, one class is three quarters of the width of the remaining classes.
If the score in that class is 21, the correct height to plot on the histogram is
9 In a histogram in which one class interval is one and a half times as wide as the remaining classes, the
height to be plotted in relation to the frequency for that class is
A × 0.67
B × 0.75
C × 1.00
D × 1.50
10 When the mean purchase price of 10 units at 50c, 10 units at 70c, and 20 units at Xc is 80c, the value of X is
A 60
B 67
C 75
D 100
7 Summarising and analysing data 2
1 The common class width in a histogram is $20. One class has a nonstandard class width and an actual
frequency of 100. If the score plotted is 80, what is the width of the nonstandard class?
A $4
B $16
C $20
D $25
12 Questions
2 An ogive is another name for a histogram.
True
False
3 A histogram uses a set of rectangles to represent a grouped frequency table. To be correctly presented, the
histogram must show the relationship of the rectangles to the frequencies by reference to the
A Height
B Area
C Width
D Diagonal
of each rectangle.
4 In a histogram, the common class width is $10.00. For analysis purposes, the analyst has set one class at
$12.50 and the frequency recorded is 50 respondents. To maintain the accuracy of the histogram identify
the frequency which must be plotted on the y axis of the histogram shown below.
5 The following table shows the typical salary of part qualified management accountants in five different
regions of England.
Area Typical salary
$
Southeast 21,500
Midlands 20,800
Northeast 18,200
Northwest 17,500
Southwest 16,700
The best diagram to draw to highlight the differences between areas is
A A pie diagram
B A multiple bar chart
C A percentage component bar chart
D A simple bar chart
Questions 13
6 A firm which makes batteries selects a sample for examination. The procedure used is that two random
numbers are chosen, 5 and 8. Starting at the 5th battery, every battery at an interval of 8 is then chosen for
examination.
This type of sampling is known as
A Systematic
B Multistage
C Stratified
D Random
7 The arithmetic mean of the following ten invoice values is $20:
$X, $15, $22, $14, $21, $15, $20, $18, $27, $X.
Therefore $X equals
A $15 B $19 C $24 D $48
8 A factory employs staff in four departments for which the average (mean) wage per employee per week is as
follows.
Department W X Y Z
Mean wage $50 $100 $70 $80
Number of employees 20 5 10 5
The average (mean) wage per employee per week in this factory is
A $50 B $65 C $70 D $75
9 A car travels 20 miles at 30 mph, then 10 miles at 60 mph.
The mean speed for the whole journey of 30 miles is closest to (mph)
A 36 B 40 C 42 D 45
10 Which of the following is true where data is highly positively skewed?
A The median is the least representative average
B All averaging techniques will produce equally acceptable results
C The mean will tend to overstate the average
D The mode will tend to overstate the average
8 Summarising and analysing data 3
1 The essence of quota sampling is that
A Each element of the population has an equal chance of being chosen
B Every nth member of the population is selected
C Every element of one definable subsection of the population is selected
D None of the above
14 Questions
2 You have just calculated for the last two sixmonthly periods, the running costs of a factory, broken down
into five categories. You are using a computer package which can produce ogives, piecharts, time series
graphs and scatter diagrams, amongst others. The graphics to illustrate best the relative sizes of the cost
categories in this situation will be
A Ogives
B Piecharts
C Time series graphs
D Scatter diagrams
3 Quality control of four independent production processes reveals the length of certain parts (in mm) to be as
follows.
Process Mean Standard deviation
W 100 10
X 40 5
Y 80 8
Z 150 12
The process(es) with the largest relative variation, as measured by the coefficient of variation, is/are
A X only
B Z only
C X and Y
D W and Y
4 An accountant is selecting a sample of invoices for checking. The invoices are numbered 8, 13, 18, 23 and
28. What sampling interval was the accountant using?
A 5
B 8
C 10
D 18
5 A frequency distribution has a common class width of $5.00. For analysis purposes, the analyst has set one
class at $7.50, this class has a corresponding frequency of 60. When drawing a histogram, the height of this
class should be
6 Eight people have the following individual weights, in kilograms:
Person kg
1 97
2 105
3 53
4 69
5 84
6 59
7 94
8 x
If the median weight is 88kgs, then x is (to the nearest whole number).
Questions 15
7 Which of the following sampling methods require a sampling frame?
I Random
II Stratified
III Quota
IV Systematic
A I and III only
B I, II and III only
C I, II and IV only
D III only
8 A company has recorded the following data on days lost through employee sickness in a year.
Days lost per employee Number of employees
At least Less than
0 6 18
6 8 30
8 10 18
10 14 12
Which of the following histograms represents the data most accurately?
16 Questions
9 The arithmetic mean of nineteen numbers is 5. When a twentieth number, x, is added the overall mean
becomes 7. What is the value of x?
10 The number of responses from nine different direct mail advertisements is as follows.
35, 35, 10, 30, 35, 10, 15, 20, 35
The median number of responses from an advertisement was
9 Summarising and analysing data 4
1 The number of books read in the last month by a sample of the public interviewed is shown below.
Number of books
Frequency
Number of people
0 1
1 11
2 16
3 1
4 17
5 3
6 6
55
What is the median number of books read in the last month?
Questions 17
2 A distribution where the mode has a lower value than the median and the median is less than the mean is
known as
A Positively skewed distribution
B Normal distribution
C Negatively skewed distribution
D Continuous distribution
3 In a histogram in which one class interval is one and two thirds times as wide as the remaining classes, the
height to be plotted (to 1 decimal place) in relation to the frequency for that class is
4 An ogive is
A a graph of a cumulative frequency distribution
B a chart showing a nonlinear relationship
C another name for a histogram
D a chart showing any linear relationship
5 A driver makes a number of deliveries in a week. In a week where his average journey was 267 miles, his
individual journey distances, in miles, were
286, 192, x, 307, 185, y, 94
When y = 2.5x, the value of x is
6 The quartile deviation is half the difference between the lower and upper quartiles and is also known as the
A Interquartile range
B Semiinterquartile range
C Standard deviation
D Mode
7 In a positively skewed distribution
A the mean is larger than the median
B the mean is smaller than the median
C the mean is the same as the median
D the mean lies between the median and the mode
8 A buyer purchases 40 cases of Product A at $7.84 per case, 20 cases of Product B at $8.20 per case, 24
cases of Product C at $8.50 per case and a number of cases of Product D at $8.60 per case. He spends
$939.60 in total.
If there are 12 items in each case of Product D, how many items of Product D does he buy?
18 Questions
9 Which of the following statements are not true?
I If a sample is selected using random sampling, it will be free from bias.
II A sampling frame is a numbered list of all items in a sample.
III In cluster sampling there is very little potential for bias.
IV In quota sampling, investigators are told to interview all the people they meet up to a certain quota.
A I, II, III and IV
B I, II and III
C II and III
D II only
10 In a histogram, one class is two thirds of the width of the remaining classes. If the score in that class is 25,
the correct height to plot on the histogram is
A 16.67
B 25.00
C 37.50
D 41.67
10 Summarising and analysing data 5
1 In a histogram in which one class interval is one and a quarter times as wide as the remaining classes, the
height to be plotted in relation to the frequency for that class is (to two decimal places)
A × 0.25
B × 0.63
C × 0.80
D × 1.25
2 A factory employs 100 people and is divided into three departments. The mean (arithmetic) output per
employee per month for all employees is 139 units. What is the mean output per employee per month for
department 2?
Department
Number of employees in
department
Mean output per
employee per month
Units
1 54 130
2 ? ?
3 24 140
3 When the mean purchase price of 20 units at 50c, 10 units at 60c and 25 units at Xc is 80c, the value of X is
Questions 19
4 The number of new orders received by five sales staff last week is as follows.
2, 4, 6, 8, 10
The variance of the number of new orders received is
A 1.33
B 2.83
C 6
D 8
5 Which of the following sets of data have the widest spread?
A B C D
Mean 150 175 200 250
Standard deviation 25 20 25 30
A Data A
B Data B
C Data C
D Data D
6 The following information relates to Population Zeta.
Lower quartile = 438
Upper quartile = 621
Median = 531
What is the value of the semiinterquartile range?
A 90.0
B 91.5
C 93.0
D 183.0
7 The essence of random sampling is that
A Every element of one definable subsection of the population is selected
B Every nth member of the population is selected
C Members of various strata are selected by the interviewers up to predetermined limits
D Each element of the population has an equal chance of being chosen
20 Questions
8 A frequency distribution has a common class width of $12. For analysis purposes, the analyst has set one
class at $18, this class has a corresponding frequency of 180. When drawing a histogram, the height of this
class should be (ring the correct value on the y axis of the graph shown below).
9 A distribution where the mode is greater than the median and the median is greater than the mean is known as a
A Positivelyskewed distribution
B Normal distribution
C Negativelyskewed distribution
D Continuous distribution
10 Quality control of four independent production processes reveals the length of certain parts (in mm) to be as
follows.
Process Mean Standard deviation
W 100 10
X 40 5
Y 80 8
Z 150 12
The process(es) with the smallest relative variation, as measured by the coefficient of variation, is/are
A X only
B Z only
C X and Y
D W and Y
Questions 21
11 Summarising and analysing data 6
1 The price index for a commodity in the current year is 135 (base year = 100). The current price for the
commodity is $55.35 per kg.
What was the price per kg in the base year?
2 An indexlinked pension of $10,000 a year became payable on 1 January 20X5. Details of the index of Retail
Prices are shown below.
Index of Retail Prices each January (January 20X0= 100)
20X0 20X4 20X5 20X6 20X7
100 130.2 135.6 137.9 142.0
The annual pension payable from 1 January 20X7 is closest to
A $10,297 B $10,472 C $10,906 D $13,560
3 The following series has a base date of 20X0.
20X0 20X1 20X2 20X3 20X4 20X5
Index 100 104 107 109 110 111
The base date of 20X0 is now considered to be out of date and when the time series is rebased so that it has
a base date of 20X4, the index for the year 20X2 is:
4 In 1998, a price index based on 1984 = 100 stood at 129. In that year it was rebased at 1998 = 100. By
2000, the new index stood at 110. For a continuous estimate of price changes since 1984, the new index
may be expressed, to two decimal places, in terms of the old as
A 58.10
B 100.00
C 141.90
D 139.00
5 The average prices of three commodities and the number of units used annually by a company are given below.
Commodity 20X1 20X2
Price per unit (P
0
) Price per unit (P
1
) Quantity
$ $ Units
A 16 20 20
B 40 50 2
C 100 105 10
The price for 20X2 based on 20X1 calculated using the weighted average of relatives method is (to the
nearest whole number)
A 117
B 118
C 119
D 120
22 Questions
6
Year 20X0 20X1 20X2 20X3 20X4 20X5 20X6
Profits ($m) 5.6 5.8 6.1 6.7 7.0 7.6 8.1
Which of these sets of numbers represents fixed base index numbers for the profits for the years 20X4,
20X5 and 20X6 with a base year of 20X1?
A 125, 136, 145
B 121, 131, 140
C 83, 76, 72
D 104, 109, 107
7 The chainbase index for the price of an item last year was 130. The price of the item has risen by 9%
between last year and this year.
What is the chainbase index for this year?
A 139
B 142
C 118
D 109
8 Which of the following applies to a chainbase price index which is calculated annually over several years?
A The difference between the indices for any two years gives the percentage price change between
these years
B The difference between one year’s index and 100 gives the percentage change in price since the
previous year
C The difference between the spliced indices gives the percentage change in price between the years
D The difference between the index in a particular year and 100 in the base year gives the percentage
price change between these years
9 The following table shows two indices being spliced to give a single price index based on prices in 2000.
Year Price index
(1990 = 100)
Price index
(2000 = 100)
1998 208.7 ?
1999 210.5 ?
2000 216.3 100.0
2001 ? 103.6
2002 ? 106.5
The value for 1999 prices in the spliced index is (to 1 decimal place)
The percentage increase in prices from 1998 to 2002 is (to 2 decimal places)
Questions 23
10 In 1990, a price index based on 1980 = 100 had a value of x.
During 1990, it was rebased at 1990 = 100, and in 1998 the new index stood at 112.
If the total price movement between 1980 and 1998 was an increase of 30%, the value of x (to the nearest
whole number) in 1990 (ie before rebasing) was
12 Summarising and analysing data 7
1 In a supermarket, the number of employees and the annual earnings per employee are shown as follows.
Annual earnings Number employed
$
6,000 3
7,000 5
10,000 3
11,000 1
12,000 2
15,000 1
The median value of annual earnings is
2 The average prices of four commodities along with the number of units used annually by a company, are
given in the following table:
Commodity
Year 1
Price per unit
Year 2
Price per unit
Quantity
Units
$ $
A 10 11 10
B 20 24 1
C 50 52 5
D 100 105 4
Complete the following table (to 2 decimal places).
Commodity Price relative Weight Relative weight
A
B
C
D
Price index for year 2 based on year 1 (using weighted average of relatives method) =
to the nearest whole number.
24 Questions
3 The number of sales achieved by a sales manager each week has a mean of 400 and a standard deviation of
60. 99% of sales achieved each week lie in the range
Low High
to
Calculate your answer correct to 1 decimal place.
4 In a negativelyskewed distribution,
the mean is larger than the median
the mean is smaller than the median
the mean is the same as the median
the mean lies between the median and the mode
5 The weights of three items, A, B and C vary independently and have the following means and standard
deviations.
Mean weight Standard deviation
kg kg
A 120 20
B 100 20
C 80 10
The three items are sold together in a single packet.
What is the mean weight of a packet of one unit each of A, B and C, and the standard deviation of the
weights of packets?
Mean Standard deviation
kg kg
A 100 30
B 100 900
C 300 30
D 300 900
6 A survey of heights of lampposts is carried out in Britain to find out if there is any variation across the
country.
What sort of data is being collected in such a survey?
A Quantitative Discrete
B Qualitative Discrete
C Quantitative Continuous
D Qualitative Continuous
Questions 25
7 A group of shoppers were interviewed and asked how many loaves of bread they would need to buy from the
bakers over a oneweek period. The results are as follows.
Number of loaves Number of shoppers
0 2
1 22
2 32
3 2
4 34
5 6
6 12
What is the mode of the number of loaves needed per shopper in a oneweek period?
8 A buyer purchases 20 cases of Alpha at $7.84 per case, 10 cases of Beta at $8.20 per case, 12 cases of
Gamma at $8.50 per case and a number of cases of Delta at $8.60 per case. He spends $512.80 in total.
If there are 12 items in each case of Delta, how many items of Delta does he buy?
9 In January 2002 the average pay for Grade B workers was $200 per week. There was a contract in force
indexlinking the pay for the next five years, with increases effective from 1 January each year, starting in
2003. Details of the relevant price index for the last four years are:
Index of prices each January (January 1990 = 100)
Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Price index 124 131 136 140 148
The average weekly pay for Grade B workers during 2006 was (to the nearest $)
$
10 A histogram uses a set of bars to represent a grouped frequency table. To be correctly presented, the
histogram must show the relationship of the rectangles to the frequencies by reference to the
A Height of each bar
B Width of each bar
C Area of each bar
D Diagonal of each bar
13 Summarising and analysing data 8
1 The mean of the following set of data is
13, 42, 7, 51, 69, 28, 33, 14, 8, 15
26 Questions
2 A group of people have the following ages:
21, 32, 19, 24, 31, 27, 17, 21, 25 and 42 years.
The median age of the group is to 1 decimal place.
3 The mean weight of ten containers is 20 kgs.
If the individual weights in kgs are
15, x , 22, 14, 21, 15, 20, x , 28 and 27,
then the value of x is kgs.
4 The following table shows the values of deliveries made to customers last week:
Value of delivery ($) Frequency
at least less than
1 10 3
10 20 6
20 30 11
30 40 15
40 50 12
50 60 7
60 70 6
The value of the lower quartile in this frequency distribution (to 2 decimal places) is
5 The number of times members of the public (who were questioned) ate out last week is shown below.
Number of meals
eaten out
Frequency
(number of people)
0 10
1 110
2 10
3 160
4 170
5 30
6 9
499
The median number of meals eaten out last week is
6 A large publishing company awards a 14% salary increase to every employee. Which of the following
statements about the distribution of the company's salaries is/are correct?
Statement
The standard deviation will remain unaltered
The standard deviation will increase by 14%
The coefficient of variation will remain unaltered
Questions 27
7 The price index for a commodity in the current year is 125 (base year = 100). The current price for the
commodity is $160.
The price (to the nearest $) in the base year was therefore $
8 The coefficient of variation is used to measure
the correlation between two variables.
the percentage variation in one variable caused by variation in another.
the strength of a relationship between two variables.
relative dispersion.
9 The average prices of three commodities and the number of units used annually by a company are given below.
Commodity 20X1 20X2
Price per unit (P
0
) Price per unit (P
1
) Quantity
$ $ Units
Brighton 32 40 40
Eastbourne 80 100 4
Worthing 100 210 20
Complete the following table (correct to 2 decimal places).
Commodity Price relative Weight Relative weight
Brighton
Eastbourne
Worthing
The price for 20X2 based on 20X1 calculated using the weighted average of relatives method is (to 2 decimal
places) $
10 An inflation index and index numbers of a company's sales ($) for the last year are given below.
Quarter 1 2 3 4
Sales ($) index 109 120 132 145
Inflation index 109 110 111 113
'Real' sales, ie adjusted for inflation, are
(a) Growing steadily
True
False
(b) Keeping up with inflation
True
False
28 Questions
Probability
Questions 14 to 21 cover probability, the subject of Part C of the BPP Study Text for C3
14 Probability 1
1 In a student survey, 40% of the students are male and 80% are CIMA candidates. The probability that a
student chosen at random is either female or a CIMA candidate is
A 0.48 B 0.52 C 0.60 D 0.92
2 A sample of 100 companies has been analysed by size and whether they pay invoices promptly. The sample
has been crosstabulated into large/small against fast payers/slow payers. 60 of the companies are classified
as large of which 40 are slow payers. In total, 30 of all the companies are fast payers.
The probability that a company chosen at random is a fast paying small company is
A 0.10 B 0.20 C 0.30 D 0.40
3 Next year, sales may rise, fall or remain the same as this year, with the following respective probabilities:
0.56, 0.23 and 0.21.
The probability of sales remaining the same or falling is
A 0.05 B 0.12 C 0.13 D 0.44
4 In a group of 100 CIMA students, 30 are male, 55 are studying for the Certificate Level and 6 of the male
students are not studying for the Certificate Level. A student chosen at random is female. What is the
probability that she is not studying for the Certificate Level?
A 0.70 B 0.56 C 0.20 D 0.45
5 In a survey of a housing estate, 30% of tenants had satellite television and 80% had video recorders. The
probability that a household chosen at random had either a satellite television or a video recorder is
A 0.24 B 0.30 C 0.80 D 0.86
6 In a survey, 60% of households have a digital camera and 80% have a DVD player.
The probability that a household chosen at random has either a digital camera or a DVD player is
(to 2 decimal places)
7 From past records it is known that 15% of items from a production line are defective. If two items are
selected at random, the probability (to 2 decimal places) that only one is defective is
8 A sales representative makes calls to three separate unrelated customers. The chance of making a sale at
any one of them is 80%. The probability (to the nearest percent) that a sale is made on the third call only is
%.
Questions 29
9 A sales representative visits two independent firms – L and W. The probability of making a sale at L is 0.3
and the probability of making a sale at W is 0.4.
The probability (to 2 decimal places) of making no sale at all is
10 Invoices produced within a firm are known to contain errors: 3% contain a very serious error, 6% a serious
error and 12% a minor error.
The probability that a randomlychosen invoice will have a serious error or a minor error is
A 0.21
B 0.18
C 0.09
D 0.06
15 Probability 2
1 A company is bidding for three contracts which are awarded independently of each other. The board
estimates its chances of winning contract X as 50%, of winning contract Y as 1 in 3, and of winning contract
Z as 1 in 5. The profits from X, Y and Z are estimated to be $50,000, $90,000 and $100,000 respectively.
The expected value to the company of the profits from all three contracts will be ($'000)
2 A company recommends its employees to have free influenza vaccinations but only 50% do so. The
effectiveness of the vaccine is known to be 90%. The probability of any nonvaccinated employee getting
influenza by chance is 0.3. An employee catches influenza. What is the probability that she was vaccinated?
A 0.05
B 0.10
C 0.25
D None of the values
3 Because of the nature of a process, only two outputs are possible from a process. Probabilities of the
outputs are as follows:
Output Probability
10 0.4
16 0.6
Daily production is independent.
The probability that over a twoday period, the total output will be 26 is
State your answer to 2 decimal places.
30 Questions
4 Three sales representatives – J, K and L – rate their (independent) chances of achieving certain levels of
sales as follows.
Possible sales $10,000 $20,000 $30,000
J Probability 0.3 0.5 0.2
K Probability 0.3 0.4 0.3
L Probability 0.2 0.6 0.2
(For example, J rates her chances of selling $20,000 worth of business as 'fiftyfifty' and K has a 30%
chance of selling $30,000 worth.)
On this evidence, the highest expected sales will be from
A J alone
B K alone
C L alone
D K and L
5 If one card is drawn from a normal pack of 52 playing cards, what is the probability of getting a king or a heart?
A 1/52
B 1/13
C 1/4
D 4/13
6 A die is thrown and a coin is tossed simultaneously. What is the probability of throwing a 3 and getting tails
on the coin?
A 1/2
B 1/3
C 1/6
D 1/12
The following data is required for questions 7, 8 and 9
A cosmetics company has developed a new antidandruff shampoo which is being tested on volunteers. 70% of the
volunteers have used the shampoo whereas the others have used a normal shampoo, believing it to be the new anti
dandruff shampoo. 2/7 of those using the new shampoo showed no improvement whereas 1/3 of those using the
normal shampoo has less dandruff.
7 A volunteer shows some improvement. What is the probability that he used the normal shampoo?
A 10/60
B 10/100
C 50/60
D 10/30
8 A volunteer shows no improvement. What is the probability that he used the new shampoo?
A 20/70
B 20/40
C 20/100
D 20/30
Questions 31
9 A volunteer used the new shampoo. What is the probability that he shows some improvement?
A 50/70
B 50/100
C 50/60
D 60/100
10 In a student survey, 70% of the students are female and 60% are CIMA candidates. The probability that a
student chosen at random is either female or a CIMA candidate is
A 0.42
B 0.70
C 0.88
D 1.00
16 Probability 3
1 A company must decide between two projects – Project A and Project B. The profits that might be generated
from each project are as follows.
Project A Project B
Probability Profit Probability Profit/(loss)
$ $
0.45 4,000 0.64 8,000
0.55 2,000 0.36 (1,000)
Which project should be chosen and what is the associated expected value of profit?
Project Expected profit
$
A A 2,900
B A 3,000
C B 4,760
D B 5,480
The following data is required for questions 2, 3 and 4
A pharmaceutical company has developed a new migraine headache tablet which is being tested on volunteers.
80% of the volunteers have been given the new tablets whilst the others have been given a placebo (a 'blank'
tablet), believing it to be the new tablet. ¼ of those using the new tablet reported no improvement in their
headaches whereas 1/10 of those using the placebo had less headaches.
2 A volunteer shows no improvement. What is the probability that he used the placebo? State your answer to
two decimal places.
A 0.18 B 0.47 C 0.90 D 0.53
32 Questions
3 A volunteer has less headaches. What is the probability that he used the new tablets? (Answer to two
decimal places.)
A 0.60 B 0.75 C 0.97 D 1.00
4 A volunteer used the placebo. What is the probability that he had less headaches? (Answer to two decimal places.)
A 0.02 B 0.03 C 0.10 D 0.20
5 A company is about to launch a new product. It has been predicted that, in each of the first two years, there
are two possible levels of sales, high or low. The probability of sales being high in the first year is 0.3. If the
first year's sales are high, the probability of high sales in the second year is 0.8. If sales are low in the first
year, the probability of high sales in the second year is 0.3.
The probability of low sales in both years is (to 2 decimal places)
6 A company is deciding which one of four products to launch. The expected payoff from each of the products
is shown below.
Profit
Demand Probability Type I Type II Type III Type IV
$'000 $'000 $'000 $'000
High 0.5 20 50 40 30
Medium 0.3 20 0 20 20
Low 0.2 20 (50) 0 10
Complete the following table.
Type Expected profit
$'000
I
II
III
IV
If the company wants to maximise the expected profit it should launch Type
7 With reference to events A and B, how would you best describe mutually exclusive outcomes?
A A and B are dependent events
B A and B are independent events
C The occurrence of event A excludes the possibility of event B from happening
D Events A and B happen at the same time
8 Which of the following formulae represent the general rule of multiplication?
A P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B/A)
B P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B)
C P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B)
D P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
Questions 33
9 In a survey of people living in a town, 40% of residents went abroad on holiday last year and 55% of
residents bought a new car. The probability that a resident chosen at random either went abroad on holiday
or bought a new car is
A 0.22
B 0.55
C 0.73
D 0.95
10 Next year, sales at Company X may rise, fall or remain the same as this year, with the following respective
probabilities: 0.44, 0.38 and 0.18. The probability of sales remaining the same or rising is
A 0.08
B 0.54
C 0.56
D 0.62
17 Probability 4
The following data is required for questions 1, 2 and 3
High Street Shoe Store has analysed the expenditure habits of a random sample of 500 of its customers and
produced the following table showing the number of customers in each category:
Age of customer
Under 21 21 and over Total
Expenditure
Under $25 55 205 260
$25 to $50 125 80 205
Over $50 10 25 35
190 310 500
1 The probability that a customer is aged under 21 and spent between $25 and $50 is
State your answer to 2 decimal places.
2 If a customer is aged under 21, the probability that he spent between $25 and $50 is:
State your answer to 2 decimal places.
3 The probability that a customer who spent between $25 and $50 is aged under 21 is:
State your answer to 2 decimal places.
34 Questions
4 The independent probabilities that the three sections of an accounts department will encounter one
computer error in a week are 0.2, 0.4 and 0.6 respectively. There is never more than one computer error
encountered by any one section in a week.
The probability that there will be one and only one computer error is
A 0.192 B 0.400 C 0.464 D 0.808
5 The probability of rain tomorrow is 0.3. The probability of rain the day after is 0.6 if it rains tomorrow, but
0.2 if it does not rain tomorrow. What is the probability that it will be dry the day after tomorrow?
A 0.24 B 0.40 C 0.56 D 0.68
6 Product Beta is made in two stages. At the first stage it is processed by one of four machines – T, V, W, or X
– with equal probability. At the second stage it is processed by one of two machines – Y or Z – and is twice
as likely to go through Z as this machine works twice as quickly.
The probability that an item is processed on T or Y is:
A
12
1
B
7
2
C
2
1
D
12
7
7 A company must decide between two projects – Project Alpha and Project Beta. The profits that might be
generated from each project are as follows.
Project Alpha Project Beta
Probability Profit Probability Profit
0.5 $50,000 0.6 $60,000
0.5 $20,000 0.4 $10,000
Which project should the company choose?
A Project Alpha
B Project Beta
C Both projects
D Neither project
8 In a consumer survey, 80% of the consumers are female and 30% go shopping every Saturday. The
probability that a consumer chosen at random is either male, or goes shopping every Saturday is
to 2 decimal places.
Questions 35
9 A company is bidding for three contracts which are awarded independently of each other. The board
estimates its chances of winning Contract A as 50%, of winning Contract B as 1 in 5 and of winning Contract
C as 1 in 3. The profits from A, B and C are estimated to be $500,000, $800,000 and $900,000 respectively.
The expected value to the company of the profits from all three contracts will be closest to:
A $300,000
B $710,000
C $733,000
D $900,000
10 In a large business school, 55% of the students are women and 10% of the students are mathematicians.
There is no correlation between gender and subject. If two students are chosen at random, the probability
that each of them is a woman or a mathematician (to the nearest percent) is %
18 Probability 5
1 Production next year may increase, stay the same or decline, with probabilities 0.55, 0.30 and 0.15
respectively. What is the probability of production remaining the same or falling?
A 0.45
B 0.045
C 0.405
D 0.55
2 The train you need to catch is in the station, waiting to leave. The probabilities of when it will leave are
shown below.
Probability
On time 0.30
1 minute late 0.25
2 minutes late 0.20
3 minutes late 0.15
4 minutes late 0.10
1.00
You are running late for the train and you are going to arrive at the train two minutes late. What is the
probability you will miss the train?
A 0.20
B 0.45
C 0.55
D 0.75
3 If two outcomes, X and Y are both mutually exclusive and outcomes of independent events, it follows that
A At least one of them is impossible
B At least one of them must happen
C They are both impossible
D Their probabilities add up to 1
36 Questions
4 Singers Co is launching a new sewing machine. With television advertising, sales are estimated to achieve
the following levels, with associated probabilities.
Sales Probability
Units
1,000 0.3
4,000 0.5
8,000 0.2
What is the expected level of sales?
A 4,000 B 4,333 C 13,000 D 3,900
5 A saleswoman visits areas A, B and C in the ratio 2:1:1. The probabilities that her visits will be successful are
0.35, 0.15 and 0.12 respectively. Find the expected probability that any given visit is successful.
A 0.62 B 0.2067 C 0.0063 D 0.2425
6 A firm employs three sales staff and the probabilities that they will make a sale on a given day are 0.4, 0.45
and 0.5 respectively. Each person never makes more than one sale per day and acts independently of the
others. Find the probability that at least one sale is made on a particular day.
A 0.09 B 0.165 C 0.835 D 0.5
7 Four coins are tossed. The probability of getting precisely three heads is to 2 decimal places.
8 A project is thought to have a 0.6 probability of making a profit of $3,000 and a 0.4 probability of making a
profit of $1,500. Find the change in expected profit if the probabilities actually turn out to be 0.55 and 0.45
respectively.
A A gain of $75
B A fall of $150
C A fall of $75
D A fall of $225
9 The number of units of a particular product sold every day varies, with 100, 200, 300 or 400 units being sold
with probabilities 0.23, 0.29, 0.42 and 0.06 respectively. Find the expected daily sales.
A 231 B 250 C 126 D 300
10 The independent probabilities that an error will be made on any one day by three different workers are 15%,
20% and 25% respectively.
The probability that there will be one error made on any particular day is %
State your answer to 1 decimal place.
Questions 37
19 Probability 6
1 Three independent experts have estimated the probability of a company's future annual sales:
Sales High ($1m) Medium ($0.5m) Low ($0.25m)
Expert W 0.2 0.3 0.5
Expert X 0.1 0.4 0.5
Expert Y 0.1 0.6 0.3
The highest expected value for the company's estimated annual sales is given by
W only
X only
Y only
Both W and Y
2 Three people are carrying out independent functions during an internal audit. It is known that in each of the
three separate areas being investigated there is a serious error. From past experience, it is estimated that the
(independent) chances of the individuals finding the serious error in their area are 0.8, 0.7 and 0.6.
The probability that at least one of the serious errors will be found is (to 3 decimal places)
3 If one card is drawn from a normal pack of 52 playing cards, what is the probability of getting a queen or a
heart?
Probability
Queen Heart Queen of hearts Queen or heart
The following information relates to questions 4 – 6
A company sells and manufactures product SX. The selling price of the product is $10 per unit and estimates of
demand and variable costs of sales are as follows.
Probability Demand Probability Variable cost per unit
Units $
0.1 5,000 0.1 3.00
0.6 6,000 0.5 3.50
0.3 8,000 0.3 4.00
0.1 4.50
The unit variable costs do not depend on the volume of sales.
Fixed costs will be $30,000.
4 EV of demand = units
5 EV of unit variable costs = $ (to 2 decimal places)
6 EV of profit = $
38 Questions
7 A sales manager has recorded the following demand for a product over the last 100 days.
Daily demand Number of days
Units
500 14
510 18
520 19
530 21
540 28
If these data are representative of the normal pattern of sales, the probability of a daily demand of 520 units
is % (to 1 decimal place).
The following data relate to questions 8, 9 and 10
A pet food company has developed a lowfat dog food designed to make overweight dogs lose weight. In field tests
on 1,000 dogs, some dogs ate the new food and some a normal dog food. The results of the tests were as follows.
Given lowfat food Given normal food
Lost weight 200 250
No weight loss 300 250
8 The probability that a dog has lost weight is (to 2 decimal places).
9 The conditional probability that a dog has lost weight, given that it received lowfat food is
(to 2 decimal places).
10 The conditional probability that a dog was given the normal food, given that it lost weight is
(to 2 decimal places).
20 Probability 7
The data below relate to questions 1 and 2
A porcelain manufacturer has three assembly lines (X, Y and Z) producing decorative plates. An inspector samples
finished plates from the assembly lines in the ratio 1X, 2Y, 3Z.
Analysis of past inspection records suggests that the defective rates from the assembly lines are:
X Y Z
5% 10% 30%
During a shift the inspector examines 240 plates.
Questions 39
1 Complete the following table which shows the number of plates the inspector samples from each assembly
line.
Assembly line Number of plates sampled
X
Y
Z
2 The probability that a plate sampled is defective is (to 3 decimal places).
The following data relate to questions 3 and 4
A pharmaceutical company has developed a new headache treatment which is being field tested on 1,000
volunteers. In a test some volunteers have received the treatment and some a placebo (a harmless neutral
substance). The results of the test are as follows.
Treatment received Placebo received Total
Some improvement 600 125 725
No improvement 150 125 275
750 250 1,000
3 The probability that a volunteer has shown some improvement is (to 3 decimal places)
4 The conditional probability that a volunteer has received the treatment given that no improvement has been
observed is (to 3 decimal places)
The following data relate to questions 5 and 6
A travel agent keeps a stock of holiday brochures. Currently there is a total of 500 brochures in stock, as follows:
285 for European holidays, 90 for American holidays, 110 for Asian holidays and 15 for African holidays. A
brochure is selected at random.
5 The probability that an African brochure is not selected is %
6 The probability that neither an American nor an Asian brochure is selected is %
7 A company sells much of its output on credit. It employs a credit rating agency and experience shows that of
those customers rated a good credit risk, 90% settle their debts without difficulty. The company does not
extend credit to those rated a bad credit risk.
The credit rating agency does not have information on all wouldbe customers, however. Experience shows
that of those customers who are given credit without a check from the credit rating agency, 80% settle their
debts without difficulty. 60% of customers are not checked by the credit rating agency.
The probability that a customer who defaults was actually checked by a credit rating agency is
(to 2 decimal places).
40 Questions
8 A company is about to launch a new product. It has been predicted that, in each of the first two years, there
are two possible levels of sales, high or low. The probability of sales being high in the first year is 0.3. If the
first year's sales are high, the probability of high sales in the second year is 0.9. If sales are low in the first
year, the probability of high sales in the second year is 0.2.
The probability of low sales in both years is:
A 0.8
B 0.56
C 0.90
D 1.5
9 A company is deciding which one of four products to launch. The expected payoff from each of the products
is shown below.
Profit
Demand Probability Type W Type X Type Y Type Z
$000 $000 $000 $000
High 0.5 20 50 40 30
Medium 0.3 20 0 20 20
Low 0.2 20 (50) 0 10
If the company wants to maximise the expected profit it should launch:
A Type W
B Type X
C Type Y
D Type Z
10 What is illustrated in this diagram?
A A Venn diagram illustrating complementary outcomes
B A pie chart
C A Venn diagram illustrating two mutually exclusive outcomes
D A Pareto chart
A B
Questions 41
21 Probability 8
1 A normal distribution has a mean of 55 and a variance of 14.44. The probability of a score of 59 or more is
approximately
A 0.15
B 0.35
C 0.50
D 0.85
2 A normal distribution has a mean of 75 and a variance of 25.
The upper quartile of this distribution is therefore
A 58.25
B 71.65
C 78.35
D 91.75
3 A normal distribution has a mean of 150, and a standard deviation of 20. 80% of the distribution is below
(approximately)
A 158
B 170
C 161
D 167
4 A normal distribution is to be split into four equal areas, two to the right of Z = 0 and two to the left of Z = 0 (Z =
0 at the mean). Using normal distribution tables, the Z value that splits the area in this way is closest to
A 0.0987
B 0.1915
C 0.3333
D 0.675099
5 Production of aluminium tubes is normally distributed with a mean length of 50 cm and a standard deviation
of 5 cm. The percentage of tubes at least 57 cm long is closest to
A 8%
B 42%
C 58%
D 92%
6 A normal distribution has a mean of 60 and a variance of 25. The probability of a score of 72 or more is
approximately (to 4 decimal places)
42 Questions
7 A normal distribution has a mean of 150 and a variance of 6,944. What percentage of the population is less
than 210? (Give your answer to two decimal places.)
A 23.58% B 26.42% C 72.00% D 76.42%
8 A normal distribution has a mean of 650 and a variance of 100.
The upper quartile of this distribution is therefore
A 643.3 B 656.7 C 717.0 D 812.5
9 A normal distribution is to be split into eight equal areas, four to the right of Z = 0 and four to the left of Z = 0 (Z
= 0 at the mean). Using normal distribution tables, the Z value that splits the area in this way is closest to
A 0.28 B 0.30 C 0.32 D 0.34
10 The weights of elephants are normally distributed. The mean weight is 5,200kg and the standard deviation is
430kg. What is the probability of an elephant weighing more than 6,000kg?
A 0.0314 B 0.2343 C 0.4686 D 0.9686
Questions 43
Financial mathematics
Questions 22 to 31 cover financial mathematics, the subject of Part D of the BPP Study Text for C3
22 Financial mathematics 1
1 How much will an investor have after five years if she invests $5,000 at 12% simple interest per annum?
2 George invests $5,000 in a building society account earning compound interest of 8% pa. How much will the
investment have grown to in 6 years’ time? (to the nearest $)
3 Jane invests $10,000 now. For two years it will earn 8% and then for an additional five years it will earn
10%. What is her investment worth at the end if Year 7? (to the nearest $)
4 $10,000 is invested now at a nominal interest rate of 12% with interest compounded monthly. How much
has the investment grown to at the end of the first year? (to the nearest $)
5 If a company buys a machine for $25,000, what will be the value of the machine after 4 years based on a
fixed rate of depreciation of 8%? (to the nearest $)
6 Fred needs $5,800 at the end of five years from now. If Fred can earn 9% pa how much should he invest
now? (to the nearest $)
7 Calculate the present value of $120,000 at year 7, if a return of 12% pa is available. (to the nearest $)
8 Calculate the present value of $85,000 at year 4, if a return of 4% pa is available. (to the nearest $)
9 If the interest rate is 8%, what would you pay for a perpetuity of $1,500 starting in one year’s time? (to the
nearest $)
44 Questions
10 Diane invests $1,500 now and at the end of each of the next four years at an interest rate of 6%. What is the
present value of this investment? (to the nearest $)
23 Financial mathematics 2
1 A building society adds interest monthly to investors' accounts even though interest rates are expressed in
annual terms. The current rate of interest is 6% per annum.
An investor deposits $1,000 on 1 January. How much interest will have been earned by 30 June?
A $30.00 B $30.38 C $60.00 D $300
2 A oneyear investment yields a return of 15%. The cash returned from the investment, including principal
and interest, is $2,070. The interest is
3 It is estimated that, because of productivity improvements, costs will fall by 2½% per annum on a
compound basis. If annual costs are now $160,000 then by the end of five years they will have fallen, to the
nearest $, to
A $137,450 B $140,000 C $140,975 D $156,000
4 It is estimated that a particular cost will decline by 5% per annum on a compound basis.
If the cost now is $10,000, by the end of year 4 the cost will be approximately
A $7,738 B $8,000 C $8,145 D $8,574
5 If a single sum of $12,000 is invested at 8% per annum with interest compounded quarterly, the amount to
which the principal will have grown by the end of year three is approximately
A $15,117 B $9,528 C $15,219 D $30,924
6 An annual percentage interest rate (APR) of 30% is equivalent to a monthly compound interest rate closest
to:
A 2.02% B 2.21% C 2.50% D 2.66%
Questions 45
7 The following formula is used in the calculation of the value of savings.
Sr = R
N
(Ar + P) –P
where A = amount saved at the start
r = rate of interest
N = number of periods
P = payments added each period
R = r + 1
S = final sum
If r = 7%, A = 3,000, N = 20 and P = 500, then S equals (to the nearest $'000)
8 Rearranging the compound interest formula S =
( ) 1 R
) 1 R ( A
2
÷
÷
, where R = 1, to make R the subject of the formula,
results in
A R =
1 A
S
+
B R =
A
S
C R = 1
A
S
÷ D R =
A
S 1÷
9 A bank offers depositors a nominal 4% pa, with interest payable quarterly. What is the effective annual rate
of interest?
A 1% B 4% C 1.025% D 4.06%
10 $2,500 was invested exactly three years ago, at a guaranteed rate of compound interest of 8% per annum.
Its value now (to the nearest $) is
A $2,700 B $3,100 C $3,149 D $3,401
24 Financial mathematics 3
1 Interest is stated as 12% per annum but is actually added monthly to accounts. Assuming the 12% to be a
nominal rate, if a deposit of $500 is made on 1 January, how much interest will have been paid by 1 July of
the same year?
A $30.76 B $60.00 C $30.00 D $29.15
2 An asset which originally cost $100,000 depreciates at 20% per year. Its value after 5 years (to the nearest
pound) is
A $40,200 B $20,000 C $32 D $32,768
3 It is estimated that a particular cost will decline by 7% per annum on a compound basis. If the cost is now
$20,000, by the end of year 5 the cost will be approximately
A $12,940 B $13,000 C $13,914 D $14,961
46 Questions
4 House prices rise at 2% per calendar month. The annual rate of increase correct to one decimal place is
A 24% B 26.8% C 12.7% D 12.2%
5 A car costing $17,000 depreciates at 15% in its first year, then 10% per year for five years and thereafter at
2% per year. What is its value after eight years, correct to the nearest pound?
6 If a house was valued at $80,000 during a period when prices were rising at 21% per year, what would its
price be 8 months later, to the nearest pound?
A $90,840 B $91,200 C $86,453 D $89,084
7 Mary invests $6,500 now at 8% compound interest per year, but at the end of year 4 the interest rate
changes to 10%. How much will there be invested after 6 years to the nearest $100?
8 The value of a car declined by 25% last year. What was the monthly rate at which the value declined, correct
to 2 decimal places?
A 2.08% B 9.76% C 6.25% D 2.37%
9 If a bond rises in price from $50 to $75 over five years, what is the annual rate of increase, to one decimal place?
A 10% B 8.4% C 5% D 10.8%
10 A house was valued at $90,000 at the end of a sixmonth period during which prices had been rising at 21%
per annum. What was its value at the beginning of the sixmonth period, to the nearest pound?
A $80,550 B $81,000 C $81,818 D $81,448
25 Financial mathematics 4
1 The annual rent of a building is $1,200 payable in advance at the beginning of each year. At an interest rate
of 14%, the present value of the rental payments is $5,319.60.
The length of the lease is
A 3 years B 4 years C 5 years D 6 years
2 The present value of a fiveyear annuity receivable which begins in one year's time at 5% per annum
compound is $60,000. The annual amount of the annuity, to the nearest $, is
A $12,000 B $11,259 C $13,860 D $76,577
3 A farmer is to lease a field for six years at an annual rent of $500, the rentals being paid at the beginning of
each year.
What is the present value of the lease at 7%?
A $1,998 B $2,383 C $2,550 D $2,883
Questions 47
4 A firm has arranged a tenyear lease, at an annual rent of $8,000. The first rental payment has to be paid
immediately, and the others are to be paid at the end of each year.
What is the present value of the lease at 12%?
A $50,624 B $42,624 C $45,200 D $53,200
5 A financial adviser leases an office for 5 years, the rentals being paid at the beginning of each year. At 10%
the present value of the rentals is $32,800. To the nearest $, the annual rental is
A $3,280 B $6,560 C $7,866 D $8,652
6 Which is worth most, at present values, assuming an annual rate of interest of 8%?
A $1,200 in exactly one year from now
B $1,400 in exactly two years from now
C $1,600 in exactly three years from now
D $1,800 in exactly four years from now
7 An annual rent of $1,000 is to be received for ten successive years. The first payment is due tomorrow.
Assuming the relevant interest rate to be 8%, the present value of this stream of cash flows is closest to
A $6,247 B $6,710 C $7,247 D $7,710
8 A project requires an investment of $10,000 and will generate returns of $7,000 in the first year and $5,000 in
the second year. Which of the following equations would enable you to calculate the IRR given that x = (1 + r)?
I 10,000 =
x
000 , 7
+
2
x
000 , 5
II 10x
2
– 7x – 5 = 0
III –10x
2
+ 7x + 5 = 0
IV 5x
2
+ 7x – 10 = 0
A I only B I and II only C I, II and III only D I, II, III and IV
9 A project requiring an investment of $1,200 is expected to generate returns of $400 in years 1 and 2 and
$350 in years 3 and 4. If the NPV = $22 at 9% and the NPV = –$4 at 10%, what is the IRR for the project?
A 9.15% B 9.85% C 10.15% D 10.85%
10 Which of the following mutually exclusive projects would you advise your client to undertake if only one
could be undertaken, given only the following information.
IRR NPV
Project 1 18.5% 1,000
Project 2 17.6% 1,200
Project 3 16.7% 1,400
Project 4 15.6% 1,600
A Project 1 B Project 2 C Project 3 D Project 4
48 Questions
26 Financial mathematics 5
1 A mortgage offer has been made at 5% fixed rate for 5 years and 6.5% on the remaining balance thereafter.
You want to borrow $180,000 for a total term of 23 years. What will be your monthly repayment for the first
five years, correct to the nearest $?
2 Which of the following are problems in using net present value to appraise an investment?
I The difficulty of estimating future cash flows
II The difficulty of selecting an appropriate discount rate
III It does not take account of inflation
IV The concept of net present value is difficult for nonaccountants to understand
A I and II only B I, II and III only C I, II and IV only D I, II, III and IV
3 A company requires a sinking fund of $500,000 in four years' time. They can invest $X at the start of each of
the four years at 4%. The value of X (to the nearest $'000) using tables is
A $125,000 B $118,000 C $154,000 D $113,000
4 A mortgage of $30,000 is to be repaid by 15 equal yearend payments. If interest is charged at 9%, the value
of the annual payment (using tables) correct to the nearest $10 is
A $1,020 B $3,720 C $2,000 D $3,410
5 Over the past year, prices have risen by 4%. What is the percentage rise in prices over the past three
months?
A 1% B 0.75% C 0.985% D 4%
6 A saver has been offered two different deals:
Option 1: 3.1% compounded every three months
Option 2: 4.7% compounded every six months
The APR of the best option is (to 2 decimal places)
7 The present value of a five–year receivable annuity which begins in two years time at 7% per annum
compound is $52,765. What is the annual amount of the annuity?
A $14,735 B $13,770 C $10,553 D $37,621
8 What is the 'internal rate of return' of an investment?
A The discount rate at which the investment should be appraised
B The rate charged on loans used to finance the investment
C The probability of making a profit on the investment
D The discount rate at which the net present value of the investment is zero
Questions 49
9 A mortgage of $30,000 for 15 years at 7% has been repaid at the rate of $3,290 at the end of each year. If
the mortgage is to be closed immediately after the eighth annual payment, use discount factor tables to find
the amount still outstanding, giving your answer to the nearest pound.
A $19,036 B $21,083 C $3,680 D $17,792
10 At a discount rate of 7%, Project A has a net present value of $3,000 whilst that of Project B is only $2,000.
Which of the following statements are correct?
I At present prices, A costs $3,000 and B costs $2,000
II All other things being equal, A is preferable to B
III At present prices, A's profit is $3,000 and B's is $2,000
IV The cash flows of A are equivalent to investing a net amount of $3,000 now whilst those of B are
equivalent to investing only $2,000
A I and II only B II only C II, III and IV only D II and IV only
27 Financial mathematics 6
1 Fred invested 6 annual payments of $100 into an investment fund earning compound interest of 4% per
year. If the first payment was at time zero, calculate the value of the fund at time 5.
A $663 B $541 C $437 D $545
2 How much needs to be invested now at 8% per annum to provide an annuity of $10,000 per annum for 15
years starting in five years time (to the nearest $)?
3 When the discount rate is 8%, an investment has a net present value of $18,000. At 9% its net present value
is –$11,000 (minus eleven thousand dollars). The internal rate of return of this investment (to two decimal
places) is
A 8.62% B 8.38% C 8.50% D 10.57%
4 A fund of $55,000 will be required in 15 years' time. $2,000 will be invested at 8% pa at the end of each year
for 14 years. Use tables to find the further payment which will be required at time 15, to 3 significant figures.
A $2,660 B $27,000 C $837 D $657
5 What is the present value of an annuity of $3,000 per annum discounted at 6% per annum if it starts at the
end of the third year and finishes at the end of the 10th year. Use tables and give your answer to the nearest
$.
A $22,080 B $16,581 C $996 D $14,061
50 Questions
6 The NPV of an investment is $230 when the discount rate is 5% and $160 when it is 12%. Estimate the
internal rate of return to 2 decimal places.
A It is not possible to estimate the IRR unless one of the NPVs is negative
B 28%
C 9.13%
D 8.5%
7 A credit card company states that its APR is 27.6%. How much interest are they charging customers each
month? (to two decimal places)
8 Over a period of 12 months, the present value of the payments made on a credit card is $10,500 at a
discount rate of 3% per month. What is the equivalent constant monthly amount, to the nearest pound?
A $875 B $4,371 C $1,055 D $7,361
9 Which of the following statements about Net Present Value are correct.
I An investment with a positive NPV is financially viable
II Net Present Value is a superior method to Internal Rate of Return
III The graph of Net Present Value against discount rate has a negative slope
IV Net Present Value is the present value of expected future net cash receipts less the cost of the investment
A I only
B I and II only
C I, II and III only
D I, II, III and IV
10 How much needs to be invested now at 6% to yield an annual pension income of $15,000 in perpetuity?
28 Financial mathematics 7
1 An investor has funds to invest now to produce an annuity of $1,494.87 per year for ten years commencing
in one year.
The present value of the annuity to the nearest $ is $10,500.
The prevailing interest rate is %
2 A firm buys a material on a longterm contract which stipulates a price increase per annum of 6% compound.
If the current price is $200 per kg, the price in 5 years, to the nearest cent, will be $
3 Joe is to receive a tenyear annuity of $X per year, received at the end of each year. At an interest rate of 8%
this annuity has a present value of $33,550.
The value of $X = $
State your answer to the nearest $.
Questions 51
4 A leasing agreement is for five years. $20,000 must be paid at the beginning of the first year, to be followed
by four equal payments at the beginning of years two, three, four and five. At a discount rate of 8%, the
present value of the four equal payments is $52,992. The total amount to be paid during the lease period is
$
5 The difference between the total present value of a stream of cash flows at a given rate of discount, and the
initial capital outlay is known as the internal rate of return.
True
False
6 An investor is to receive an annuity of $19,260 for six years commencing at the end of year 1. It has a
present value of $86,400.
The rate of interest (to the nearest whole percent) is %
7 Isabelle is to receive an annuity of $6,529.97 at the end of each of the next 7 years. The present value of the
annuity is $33,995.18 at 8%, the relevant annuity factor (from tables) is
8 A company charges depreciation at the rate of 25% per annum on the reducing balance method on an asset
which cost $40,000.
At the end of year 4 the written down value will be $
State your answer to the nearest cent.
9 An individual placed a sum of money in the bank and left it there for 12 years at 8% per annum. The sum is
now worth $2,728.90.
Using the compound interest formula, the original principal was found (to the nearest whole $) to be
$
10 A mortgage offer has been made at 4% fixed rate for 5 years and 5.7% on the remaining balance thereafter.
You want to borrow $250,000 for a total term of 25 years. What will be your monthly repayment for the first
five years, correct to the nearest $?
29 Financial mathematics 8
1 How much should be invested now (to the nearest $) to receive $24,000 per annum in perpetuity if the
annual rate of interest is 5%?
Answer = $
52 Questions
2 In the formula:
PV =
n
r) 1 r(
1
r
1
+
÷
r = 0.04; n = 16; then PV equals to 2 decimal places.
3 A company is considering purchasing a new machine for $45,000. This would increase the annual cash flow
of the company by $12,400 in each of the next six years. If the cost of capital is 9% per annum, the net
present value of this investment is $
State your answer to the nearest $.
4 The net present value of an investment at 12% is $24,000, and at 20% is –$8,000. The internal rate of return
of this investment is %
State your answer to the nearest whole percent.
5 A building society adds interest to investors' accounts monthly even though interest rates are expressed in
annual terms. The current rate of interest is 3% per annum.
An investor deposits $2,000 on 1 July. How much interest will have been earned by 31 December?
Answer = $ to the nearest cent.
6 An asset which originally cost $400,000 depreciates at 15% per year. Its value after 5 years (to the nearest
$) is $177,482.13.
True
False
7 A single sum of $10,000 is invested at an interest rate of 1% per quarter. The amount to which the principal
will have grown by the end of year 3 is approximately (to the nearest $) $
8 It is estimated that, because of productivity improvements, costs will fall by 8% per annum on a compound
basis. If annual costs are now $420,000 then by the end of four years they will have fallen, to the nearest $,
to $
9 Friendly Bank Co offers depositors a nominal interest rate of 12% per annum, with interest added to their
accounts quarterly. The effective annual percentage rate, to 2 decimal places is
10 $400,000 was invested on 1 January 20X1, earning interest of 5% pa. The value of this investment on 31
December 20X5 will be (to the nearest $)
$1,061,319
$536,038
$510,513
$486,203
Questions 53
30 Financial mathematics 9
1 A fund of $180,000 will be required in 15 years' time. $5,000 will be invested at 8% pa at the end of each
year for 14 years. Use tables to complete the following.
Present value of final fund = $ to the nearest $
Present value of annuity = $ to the nearest $
Payment required at time 15 = $ to the nearest $
2 $8,000 was invested exactly four years ago, at a guaranteed rate of compound interest of 6% per annum. Its
value now (to the nearest $) is $
3 A sum of money invested at compound interest of 7% has grown to $84,848 after 10 years. The original
sum invested, to the nearest $, was $
State your answer to 2 decimal places.
4 After 15 years an investment of $2,400 has grown to $54,600. The annual rate of compound interest applied
is % (to 2 decimal places).
5 A company is currently evaluating a project which requires investments of $5,000 now, and $2,000 at the
end of year 1. The cash inflow from the project will be $7,000 at the end of year 2 and $6,000 at the end of
year 3. The discount rate is 16%. Complete the following table. Use tables to calculate the present values.
Year Cashflow Discount factor Present value
$ $
0
1
2
3
Net present value =
6 A company is considering a project which would cost $26,000 now and would yield $4,200 per annum in
perpetuity, starting one year from now. The cost of capital is 12%.
Present value of perpetuity = $ to the nearest $
Net present value of project = $ to the nearest $
7 An investment will generate cashflows of $3,100 each year in years 3 to 7 (ie first amount to be received 3
years from now). The discount rate is 15% per annum. The present value of the cash flows is $
Use tables to calculate your answer to the nearest $.
8 An investment has a net present value of $8,000 at 10% and one of –$2,000 at 17%. The approximate IRR
(to 1 decimal place) is %.
54 Questions
9 Mr Norton wishes to invest a lump sum at 9% interest per annum. How much should he invest now in order
to have $40,000 at the end of the next three years?
$40,000 – (3 × 0.09 × $40,000)
$40,000 (
3 2
09 . 1
1
09 . 1
1
09 . 1
1
+ + )
09 . 1 3
000 , 40 $
×
3
) 09 . 1 (
000 , 40 $
10 A mortgage of $90,000 for 15 years at 7% has been repaid at the rate of $8,000 at the end of each year. If
the mortgage is to be closed immediately after the eighth annual payment the amount still outstanding
(giving your answer to the nearest $ and using discount factor tables) is $
31 Financial mathematics 10
1 Which of the following statements about the IRR/NPV methods of investment appraisal is/are NOT correct?
If the NPV of an investment at r% is positive, the NPV will be negative at a rate of s% if s% is less than
r%
The IRR can be obtained exactly using algebra whereas the graphical method provides only
an approximate rate for the IRR
The graph of the NPV against the discount rate has a negative slope
An estimate of the IRR requires the calculation of the NPV at two different discount rates
2 In the formula
PV =
n
) r 1 ( r
1
r
1
+
÷
If r = 0.25 and n = 10, then PV equals to 6 decimal places.
3 An investment would involve spending $10,000 now, and getting cash returns of $8,000 one year from now
and $6,000 four years from now. The NPV of this investment at a discount rate of 10% (use your calculator
and not tables) is to the nearest whole number.
4 A company requires a sinking fund of $800,000 in four years' time. They can invest $X at the start of each of
the four years at 4%. The value of X (to the nearest $'000) using tables is $
5 A machine was purchased for $100,000. Depreciation is calculated using the 'reducing balance method'
(that is, a constant percentage is applied each year to the written down value). In the last balance sheet, the
net book value of the machine, exactly four years old, was shown as $50,000.
In the next balance sheet the machine should be shown to have a net book value, rounded to the nearest
$100, closest to $
Questions 55
6 A $100,000 mortgage, with interest compounded at 11% each year, is to be repaid by 10 equal yearend
payments of $X, the first being due one year after the mortgage was contracted.
$X is closest to $
State your answer to the nearest $.
7 Lynn invests $55,000 now. To what value would this sum have grown after the following periods using the
given interest rates. Complete the following table, stating your answers to 2 decimal places.
Value now Investment period Interest rate Final value
$ Years % $
55,000 4 7
55,000 5 14
55,000 4 21
8 A perpetuity is an annuity which lasts for at least 25 years.
True
False
9 Terry has just bought a van which has a life of eight years. At the end of eight years a replacement van will
cost $27,000 and Terry would like to provide for this future commitment by setting up a sinking fund into
which equal annual investments will be made, starting now. The fund will earn interest at 4% per annum.
The equal annual investments to be made = $
State your answer to 2 decimal places.
10 Owen Co is considering whether to make an investment costing $56,000 which would earn $18,000 cash
per annum for four years. The company expects to make a return of at least 12% per annum.
Complete the following table and state whether the project is viable or not.
Year Cashflow Discount factor Present value
$ 12% $
0
1
2
3
4
NPV =
Project viable Yes
No
56 Questions
Interrelationships between variables
Questions 32 to 36 cover interrelationships between variables, the subject of Part E of the BPP Study Text for C3
32 Interrelationships between variables 1
1 If ¯x = 440, ¯y = 330, ¯x² = 17,986, ¯y² = 10,366, ¯xy = 13,467 and n = 11, then the value of r, the
coefficient of correlation, to 2 decimal places, is
2 A rank correlation coefficient is being calculated, using the formula
R = 1 –
( ) 1 n n
d 6
2
2
÷
¯
. If ¯d
2
= 50 and n = 10, R will (to 2 decimal places) be
A –0.30 B 0.69 C 0.30 D 0.70
3 A company's weekly costs ($C) were plotted against production level (P) for the last 50 weeks and a
regression line calculated to be C = 1,000 + 250P. Which statement about the breakdown of weekly costs is
true?
A Fixed costs are $1,000. Variable costs per unit are $5.
B Fixed costs are $250. Variable costs per unit are $4.
C Fixed costs are $250. Variable costs per unit are $1,000.
D Fixed costs are $1,000. Variable costs per unit are $250.
4 The following four data pairs have been obtained: (1, 5), (2, 6), (4, 9), (5, 11). Without carrying out any
calculations, which of the following product moment correlation coefficients best describes the relationship
between x and y?
A –0.98 B –0.25 C 0.98 D 0.25
5 Monthly sales of overcoats (Y in $'000s) are found to be related to the average monthly daytime temperature
(X in degrees C) by the regression equation Y = 32 – 1.6X. Which of the following is true?
A When temperature increases by 1 degree, sales fall by $3,200
B When temperature increases by 1 degree, sales fall by $1,600
C When temperature increases by 1 degree, sales fall by $1.60
D When temperature increases by 1 degree, sales increase by $1,600
6 The value of the correlation coefficient between x and y is 0.9. Which of the following is correct?
A There is a weak relationship between x and y
B x is 90% of y
C If the values of x and y were plotted on a graph, the line relating them would have a slope of 0.9
D There is a very strong relationship between x and y
Questions 57
7 The correlation coefficient between advertising expenditure and sales revenue is calculated to be 0.85. Which
of the following statements is true?
A There is a weak relationship between advertising expenditure and sales revenue
B 85% of the variation in sales revenue can be explained by the corresponding variation in advertising
expenditure
C 72% of the variation in sales revenue can be explained by the corresponding variation in advertising
expenditure
D Sales revenue will increase by 85% more than advertising expenditure will increase
8 If ¯x = 12, ¯y = 42, ¯x
2
= 46, ¯y
2
= 542, ¯xy = 157 and n = 4, find the correlation coefficient.
9 If X denotes advertising expenditure in one period and Y denotes sales revenue in the next period, the
regression equation linking X and Y has been found to be Y = 40 + 10X. Interpret the value '40'.
A When advertising expenditure increases by $1, sales will increase by $40 on average
B If nothing is spent on advertising, sales will be $40 on average
C If $10 is spent on advertising, sales will be $40 on average
D When advertising increases by $1, sales increase on average by $40/10 = $4
10 Five novels were reviewed by two different book critics, and the novels were ranked as follows.
Novel Critic 1 Critic 2
Rank Rank
Sunshine love 1 4 =
Oceanic war 2 = 1
Liasing dangerously 4 3
Dark stranger 5 2
The road to Crockham Hill 2 = 4 =
The rank correlation coefficient is
A –0.425 B +0.425 C –0.368 D +0.368
33 Interrelationships between variables 2
1 The regression equation linking x and y is y = 5x – 24. Which of the following is correct?
I The slope of the equation if plotted on a graph is 5
II The line cuts the yaxis at –24 if plotted on a graph
III The slope of the equation if plotted on a graph is –24
IV The line cuts the yaxis at 4.8 if plotted on a graph
A I only
B I and II only
C I, II and III only
D I, II, III and IV
58 Questions
2 Using data from twelve European countries, it has been calculated that the correlation between the level of
car ownership and the number of road deaths is 0.73. Which of the statements shown follow from this?
I High levels of car ownership cause high levels of road deaths
II There is a strong relationship between the level of car ownership and the number of road deaths
III 53% of the variation in the level of road deaths from one country to the next can be explained by the
corresponding variation in the level of car ownership
IV 73% of the variation in the level of road deaths from one country to the next can be explained by the
corresponding variation in the level of car ownership
A I and II only
B I and III only
C II and III only
D II and IV only
3 20 pairs of values of (X, Y) with X ranging from 15 to 45 were used to obtain the regression equation Y =
480 – 5X. The correlation coefficient is –0.95. It has been estimated that when X = 10, Y = 430. Which of
the following reduces the reliability of the estimate?
A Sample size
B The magnitude of the correlation coefficient
C X = 10 being outside the range of the sample data
D The correlation being negative
4 The relationship between expenditure in $ on advertising (X) in one time period and sales (in $) (Y) in the
next period has been found to be Y = 50 + 7X. Which of the following interprets the value '7' correctly?
A For every $1 spent on advertising, sales increase by $7 on average
B For every $1 increase in sales, $7 must on average be spent on advertising
C For every $1 spent on advertising, sales increase by $8
D When advertising is zero, sales are $50/7
5 In calculating the regression equation linking two variables, the standard formulae for the regression
coefficients are given in terms of X and Y. Which of the following is true?
A X must be the variable which will be forecast
B It does not matter which variable is which
C Y must be the dependent variable
D Y must be the variable shown on the vertical axis of a scattergraph
Questions 59
6 The examination placings of seven students were as follows.
Placings
Student English literature French
1 2 1
2 1 3
3 4 7
4 6 5
5 5 6
6 3 2
7 7 4
The rank correlation coefficient (to 3 decimal places) is
7 The linear relationship between advertising in thousands of dollars (X) and sales in tens of thousands of
dollars (Y) is given by Y = 5 + 2X. Which of the following are correct?
I For every $1,000 spent on advertising, sales revenue increases by $50,000 on average
II When nothing is spent on advertising, the average level of sales is $50,000
III For every extra $1,000 spent on advertising, sales revenue increases by $20,000 on average
IV When nothing is spent on advertising, the average level of sales is $20,000
A I and II only
B II and III only
C II and IV only
D III and IV only
8 The regression equation Y = 3 + 2X has been calculated from 6 pairs of values, with X ranging from 1 to 10.
The correlation coefficient is 0.8. It is estimated that Y = 43 when X = 20. Which of the following are true?
I The estimate is not reliable because X is outside the range of the data
II The estimate is not reliable because the correlation is low
III The estimate is reliable
IV The estimate is not reliable because the sample is small
A I and II only
B I and III only
C II and IV only
D I and IV only
9 The coefficient of rank correlation ranges in value from
A 0 to 1 B –1 to +1 C 0 to 10 D –10 to +10
60 Questions
10 The regression equation linking sales revenue (Y) with advertising expenditure (X) has been found to be Y =
30 + 5X. Which of the following are correct?
I When nothing is spent on advertising, sales revenue will increase on average by $6
II When advertising expenditure increases by $1, sales revenue increases on average by $5
III When nothing is spent on advertising, sales revenue will on average be $5
IV When nothing is spent on advertising, sales revenue will be $30 on average
A I and II
B II and III
C I and IV
D II and IV
34 Interrelationships between variables 3
1 Monthly sales of overcoats (Y in $'000s) are found to relate to the average monthly daytime temperature (X
in degrees C) by the equation Y = 54 – 3X. Which of the following statements are true?
I Sales are zero when the temperature is 18°C
II Sales are positive when the temperature is below 54°C
III Sales are negative when the temperature is greater than 18°C
IV Sales are $54,000 when the temperature is 0°C
A I and II only
B I and III only
C I and IV only
D I, II and III only
2 If ¯X = 100, ¯Y = 400, ¯X
2
= 2,040, ¯Y
2
= 32,278, ¯XY = 8,104 and n = 5 the correlation coefficient (to 2
decimal places) is
3 If ¯X = 100, ¯Y = 400, ¯X
2
= 2,040, ¯Y
2
= 32,278, ¯XY = 8,104 and n = 5 which of the following values for
a and b are correct in the formula Y = a + bX?
a b
A 28 –2.6
B 28 +2.6
C –28 –2.6
D –28 +2.6
4 The coefficient of determination (R
2
) explains the percentage variation in the independent variable which is
explained by the dependent variable.
True
False
5 In a forecasting model based on Y = a + bX, the intercept is $248. If the value of Y is $523 and X is 25, then
the value of the slope, to two decimal places, is
Questions 61
6 In a market research survey of a new dessert, respondents were asked to rank eight desserts in order of
preference regarding taste, and then again rank them for looks, with a rank of 1 indicating nicest taste and
best looks. The rank correlation coefficient was calculated and was 0.94. This means nothing at all, as the
rank correlation cannot be used for this kind of test.
True
False
7 The following four data pairs have been obtained: (1, 5), (2, 6), (4, 9), (5, 11). Without carrying out any
calculations, which of the following product moment correlation coefficients best describes the relationship
between x and y?
A –0.98
B –0.25
C +0.98
D +0.25
The following information is to be used for questions 8 and 9
A scatter diagram shows the weekly total costs of production ($) in a certain factory plotted against the weekly
outputs (units). A broadly linear pattern is evident, with r = 0.9. The regression equation is
Costs = 1,500 + (15 × output)
Fifty data points have been included in the analysis, with output ranging from 100 units to 1,000 units. Output next
week is planned to be 500 units.
8 Which of the following statements about estimates is/are true, all other things being equal?
Weekly fixed costs are approximately $1,500.
Variable costs are approximately $15 per unit on average.
Next week's production costs are likely to be about $9,000.
9 Read the following statements:
(i) There is very little correlation between weekly costs of production and production level.
(ii) 90% of the variation in weekly costs is attributable to the amount produced.
(iii) Given the information, any forecast using the regression equation is likely to be very unreliable.
Which one of the following is justified?
(ii) only
(i) and (iii) only
(ii) and (iii) only
None of them
62 Questions
10 Which of the following could have a value of –2 (minus 2)?
Correlation coefficient
Slope of a regression line
Variance
35 Interrelationships between variables 4
1 The regression equation linking x and y is y = 4x – 15. Which of the following is correct?
The slope of the equation if plotted on a graph is –15
The line cuts the yaxis at 3.75 if plotted on a graph
The slope of the equation if plotted on a graph is 4
The line cuts the yaxis at –15 if plotted on a graph
2 For a set of six data pairs for the variable x (profit) and y (sales) the following values have been found.
¯x = 2
¯y = 15
¯x
2
= 30
¯y
2
= 130
¯xy = 14
The correlation coefficient is to 2 decimal places.
3 What is the equation of the leastsquares regression line of y on x for the following four data pairs?
x y
1 4
2 6
3 10
4 10
y =
4 The following data give five astrologers' marks for technical merit and degree of accuracy.
Astrologer Technical merit Degree of accuracy
Virgo 5.9 5.5
Libra 5.7 5.6
Scorpio 5.4 5.4
Sagittarius 5.2 5.8
Aquarius 6.0 5.9
Spearman's rank correlation coefficient between the two sets of positions is (to 2 decimal
places)
Questions 63
5 If the coefficient of determination is high, this proves that variations in one variable cause variations in the other.
True
False
6 What is the equation of the leastsquares regression line of x on y for the following five data pairs?
x y
9 2
10 3
9 1
8 1
9 2
x =
State each value to 2 decimal places.
7 A company's weekly costs ($C) were plotted against production level (P) for the last 50 weeks and a regression
line calculated to be C = 200 + 30P. Which statement about the breakdown of weekly costs is true?
Fixed costs are $200. Variable costs per unit are $30.
Fixed costs are $30. Variable costs per unit are $200.
Fixed costs are $30. Variable costs per unit are $6.67.
Fixed costs are $200. Variable costs per unit are $6.67.
8 The correlation coefficient between two variables, x and y, is +0.68. The proportion of variation in x that is
explained by variation in y is (to 4 decimal places)
9 A company's market for computer supplies has trebled in value in exactly six years. The annual equivalent
percentage growth rate in this market is (to 2 decimal places) closest to %
10 The calculation of a rank correlation coefficient shows that ten pairs of data are found to be perfectly
negatively correlated.
The value of Ed
2
(to the nearest whole number) equals
36 Interrelationships between variables 5
1 If Y = a + bX, it is best to use the regression of Y upon X where X is the dependent variable and Y is the
independent variable.
True
False
64 Questions
2 The coefficient of determination, r
2
, must always fall within the range
Lowest value =
Highest value =
3 In the market research survey of a new drink, respondents were asked to rank eight drinks in order of
preference regarding taste, and then again rank them for looks, with a rank of 1 indicating nicest taste and
best looks. The rank correlation coefficient was calculated and was 0.95. This means that:
A There appeared to be no correlation between taste and looks.
B The nicest drinks looked the best.
C The bestlooking drinks did not taste very nice.
D Nothing at all, as the rank correlation cannot be used for this kind of test.
4 An icecream supplier has recorded some sales data which he believes show a relationship between
temperature and sales. The results shown below are for ten sample days in the summer.
Temperature
in degrees Celsius Cartons sold
x y
13 10
16 11
17 14
19 15
20 16
21 19
23 24
26 25
27 26
28 27
Intermediate totals are as follows.
¯x = 210
¯y = 187
¯x
2
= 4,634
¯y
2
= 3,865
¯xy = 4,208
The correlation coefficient of temperature and sales is (to 2 decimal places).
Questions 65
5 A company has a fleet of vehicles and is trying to predict the annual maintenance costs per vehicle. The
following data have been supplied for a sample of vehicles.
Vehicle number Age in years Maintenance cost per annum $ × 10
(x) (y)
1 2 60
2 8 132
3 6 100
4 8 120
5 10 150
6 4 84
7 4 90
8 2 68
9 6 104
10 10 140
Using linear regression analysis, calculate the values of a and b in the equation
y = a + bx
b = (to 2 decimal places)
a = (to 2 decimal places)
The equation to use for predicting the likely maintenance cost per vehicle per annum is
where y =
x =
6 A company operates ten factories. Its expenditure ($'000) on 'Training in accident prevention and safety' (TAPS)
and the number of minor accidents there last quarter are shown in the table below. Any accidents were judged by
nursing staff as either 'minor' and treated on site, or 'major' and referred to the local hospital.
Number of minor accidents and expenditure on TAPS ($'000)
Site: A B C D E F G H I J
Minor accidents 17 9 10 4 12 21 25 8 6 3
TAPS ($'000) 6 15 10 22 8 9 5 8 16 30
The Spearman's rank correlation coefficient is (to 4 decimal places).
7 If the correlation coefficient for two variables is –0.8, the coefficient of determination for the same two
variables is
8 The value of b in the regression equation
A Cannot be negative
B Equals one when there is perfect correlation
C Measures the scatter of points around the regression line
D Measures the increase in the y variable for unit increase in x
66 Questions
9 The value of a in the regression equation
A Cannot be negative
B Measures the value of the independent variable
C Is the value of the dependant variable when the value of the independent variable is zero
D Must be positive
10 A correlation coefficient with a value of 0.9
A Indicates that x causes y
B Indicates that y causes x
C Indicates that the relationship between x and y is too strong to have been caused by chance
D Shows that x and y have something in common
Questions 67
Forecasting
Questions 37 to 42 cover forecasting, the subject of Part F of the BPP Study Text for C3
37 Forecasting 1
1 In a time series analysis, the trend equation for a particular product is given by
Trend = 0.0004*YEAR
2
+ 0.2*YEAR + 80.2
Due to the cyclical factor, the forecast for 2006 is estimated at 1.87 times trend.
In whole units, the forecast for 2006 is
A 3,877 B 3,878 C 3,900 D 3,910
2 Over an 18month period, sales have been found to have an underlying linear trend of y = 7.112 + 3.949x,
where y is the number of items sold and x represents the month. Monthly deviations from trend have been
calculated and month 19 is expected to be 1.12 times the trend value.
The forecast number of items to be sold in month 19 is approximately
A 91 B 92 C 93 D 94
3 Based on the last 15 periods the underlying trend of sales is y = 345.12 – 1.35x. If the 16th period has a
seasonal factor of –23.62, assuming an additive forecasting model, then the forecast for that period, in
whole units, is
A 300 B 301 C 324 D 325
4 Unemployment numbers actually recorded in a town for the second quarter of the year 2000 were 4,700.
The underlying trend at this point was 4,300 people and the seasonal factor is 0.92. Using the multiplicative
model for seasonal adjustment, the seasonallyadjusted figure (in whole numbers) for the quarter is
5 A forecasting model is based on the formula y = a + bx. Diagrammatically, this could be depicted as
A y
x
B y
x
C y
x
D Either A or B or C depending on the value of b.
68 Questions
6 Monthly sales have been found to follow a linear trend of y = 9.82 + 4.372x, where y is the number of items
sold and x is the number of the month. Monthly deviations from the trend have been calculated and follow
an additive model. In month 24, the seasonal variation is estimated to be plus 8.5.
The forecast number of items to be sold in month 24 is approximately to the nearest whole
number.
7 A company's management accountant is analysing the reject rates achieved by 100 factory operatives
working in identical conditions. Reject rates, Y%, are found to be related to months of experience, X, by this
regression equation: Y = 20 – 0.25X. (The correlation coefficient was r = –0.9.)
Using the equation, the predicted reject rate for an operative with 12 months' experience is closest to
A 17% B 19% C 20% D 23%
8 A product has a constant (flat) trend in its sales, and is subject to quarterly seasonal variations as follows.
Quarter Q
1
Q
2
Q
3
Q
4
Seasonality +50% +50% –50% –50%
Sales last quarter, Q
2
, were 240 units.
Assuming a multiplicative model for the time series, predicted unit sales for the next quarter, Q
3
, will be
closest to
A 80 B 120 C 160 D 320
9 Based on 20 past quarters, the underlying trend equation for forecasting is y = 28.37 + 4.2x.
If quarter 21 has a seasonal factor of times 1.055, using a multiplicative model, then the forecast for the
quarter, in whole units, is
10 Which of the following are necessary if forecasts obtained from a time series analysis are to be reliable?
I There must be no unforeseen events
II The model used must fit the past data
III The trend must be increasing
IV There must be no seasonal variation
A I only B I and II only C I, II and III only D I, II, III and IV
38 Forecasting 2
1 What is the purpose of seasonally adjusting the values in a time series?
A To obtain an instant estimate of the degree of seasonal variation
B To obtain an instant estimate of the trend
C To ensure that seasonal components total zero
D To take the first step in a time series analysis of the data
Questions 69
2 The following data represents a time series:
X 36 Y 41 34 38 42
A series of three point moving averages produced from this data has given the first two values as 38 39
What are the values of (X, Y) in the original time series?
A (38, 39) B (38, 40) C (40, 38) D (39, 38)
3 Using an additive time series model, the quarterly trend (Y) is given by Y = 65 + 7t, where t is the quarter
(starting with t = 1 in the first quarter of 20X5). If the seasonal component in the fourth quarter is –30,
forecast the actual value for the fourth quarter of 20X6, to the nearest whole number.
A 63 B 546 C 85 D 91
4 The trend for monthly sales ($Y) is related to the month (t) by the equation Y = 1,500 – 3t where t = 1 in the
first month of 20X8. The forecast sales (to the nearest pound) for the first month of 20X9 if the seasonal
component for that month is 0.92 using a multiplicative model is
A $1,377 B $17,904 C $1,344 D $1,462
5 In a time series analysis, the multiplicative model is used to forecast sales and the following seasonal
variations apply:
Quarter 1 2 3 4
Seasonal variation 1.3 1.4 0.5 ?
The actual sales values for the first two quarters of the year 20X0 were:
Quarter 1: $520,000
Quarter 2: $630,000
The seasonal variation for the fourth quarter is to one decimal place.
The following data relate to questions 6 and 7
In a time series analysis, the multiplicative model is used to forecast sales and the following seasonal variations
apply:
Quarter 1 2 3 4
Seasonal variation 1.3 1.4 0.5 ?
6 The actual sales values for the first two quarters of 20X9 were:
Quarter 1: $520,000
Quarter 2: $630,000
Complete the following table.
Quarter
1 2
Seasonal component (S) 1.3 1.4
Actual series (Y) $520,000 $630,000
Trend (T) $ $
70 Questions
7 The trend line for sales has therefore
increased between quarter 1 and quarter 2
decreased
remained constant
8 A time series was analysed using a multiplicative model. The seasonal ratios, given by actual value divided
by trend, are adjusted so that they total 4. Carry out that calculation on the following unadjusted averages for
quarters 1 to 4 respectively.
Quarter
1 2 3 4
Unadjusted average 1.07 0.95 1.15 0.8
A First quarter adjusted average = 1.10
B Second quarter adjusted average = 0.92
C Third quarter adjusted average = 1.1425
D Fourth quarter adjusted average = 0.8075
9 A time series for weeks 1–12 has been analysed into a trend and seasonal variations, using the additive
model. The trend value is 92 + 0.9W, where W is the week number. The actual value for week 7 is 77.8. The
seasonal variation for week 7 is to 1 decimal place.
10 A regression equation Y = a + bX is used to forecast the value of Y for a given value of X. Which of the
following increase the reliability of the forecast?
I A correlation coefficient numerically close to 1
II Working to a higher number of decimal places of accuracy
III Forecasting for values of X outside the range of those used in the sample
IV A large sample is used to calculate the regression equation
A I only B I and II only C I and III only D I and IV only
39 Forecasting 3
1 Complete the following table.
Season
Spring Summer Autumn Winter
Year 1 +5 +6
2 –6 –4 +4 +7
3 –5 –5
Average
Adjustment
Average seasonal adjustment
Questions 71
2 Which of the following is/are not true of cylical variations?
Their period is longer than that of seasonal variations
Their magnitude is constant from one cycle to the next
They always reflect the trade cycle
They always repeat every five to ten years
3 The following data are to be analysed into a trend and seasonal variations, using the additive model, and
assuming that the seasonal variations have a period of three months (ie follow a pattern of rises and falls
which lasts three months).
Month Data
June 16
July 26
August 32
September 22
Trend for July 2 decimal places) =
Seasonal variation (to 2 decimal places) for July =
4 A company analyses the time series of its quarterly sales figures using a multiplicative model. The seasonal
adjustments for Autumn and Winter (based on data up to 20X0) are 97% and 108% respectively.
Seasonallyadjusted figures for 20X1 (based on these adjustments) were $47,921 for autumn and $65,234
for winter. What were the actual sales for these two quarters?
Autumn Winter
$ $
State your answer to the nearest whole number.
5 Which of the following is not one of the four components of a time series?
Random variations
Cyclical variations
Fourquarter totals
Seasonal variations
6 Which of the following components of a single time series would be identified as a cyclical variation?
A component increasing by the same amount each year over the last 50 years.
Occasional peaks which occur unpredictably but on average once every five years.
Regular cycles involving an increase in the first half of each year, followed by a
corresponding decrease in the second half of the year.
A peak in the first three years of every decade, with a corresponding trough in the last five
years of every decade.
72 Questions
7 The following data represents a time series:
X 107 Y 108 99 109 97
A series of three–point moving averages produced from this data has given the first two values as 99 103
What are the values of (X, Y) in the original time series?
A (96, 94) B (98, 99) C (94, 96) D (99, 98)
8 The following data are to be analysed into trend and seasonal variations.
Day Data
Week 1 Week 2
Monday 71 21
Tuesday 82 65
Wednesday 61 71
Thursday 47 49
Friday 49 51
Saturday 42 45
Sunday 38 42
The sevenday total for Friday of week 1 = to the nearest whole number.
9 Shoe sales for a retail outlet for three weeks are as follows:
Sales units
Week 1 Week 2 Week 3
Monday 102 103 107
Tuesday 78 79 80
Wednesday 119 129 130
Thursday 92 95 95
Friday 99 100 107
The manager of the outlet wishes to analyse this time series of sales data.
The most appropriate moving average trend figure for Wednesday of week 3 is to the nearest
whole unit.
10 Under which of the following circumstances would a multiplicative model be preferred to an additive model
in time series analysis?
A When a model easily understood by nonaccountants is required
B When the trend is increasing or decreasing
C When the trend is steady
D When accurate forecasts are required
Questions 73
40 Forecasting 4
1 The quarterly sales (units) of a company are given in the table below.
Year Q
1
Q
2
Q
3
Q
4
1997 13 52 56 79
1998 29 43 48 80
1999 24 55 46 75
Which of the following statements is/are true?
Annual sales are static.
The fourth quarter, Q
4
, has the highest quarterly sales in each of the three years.
The mean sales for the second quarter (Q
2
) equals the mean quarterly sales for the whole
period, 199799.
2 The following data represent a time series for the last seven days:
2 6 10 6 10 14 10
Which ONE of the following moving averages would result in a straightline graph?
A 2point
B 3point
C 4point
D None of these
3 In a time series analysis, the trend equation for a particular product is given by
TREND = 0.0002 × YEAR
2
+ 0.4 × YEAR + 30.4
Due to the cyclical factor, the forecast for the year 2000 is estimated at 1.6 times trend.
In whole units, the forecast for the year 2000 is
A 2,606 B 2,607 C 2,608 D 2,609
4 Profit is denoted by Y ($'000) and is given by the regression equation Y = 0.5t – 12, where t = 1 in the first
month of 20X0. If there is no seasonal variability, in what month will the breakeven point (ie where profit =
0) be reached?
A 6th month of 20X0
B 12th month of 20X1
C Midway between 12th month of 20X0 and 1st month of 20X1
D 12th month of 20X0
74 Questions
5 A multiplicative time series model is used to analyse annual data with a fiveyear cycle. If the annual
components are 0.95, 1.12, 1.25, 0.82 and 0.6 for years 1 to 5 of the cycle respectively, which of the
following are true?
I In year 1 of the cycle, actual values are only 95% of the trend
II In the fifth year of the cycle, actual values are 40% below the trend
III In the fourth year of the cycle, actual values are 18% above the trend
IV Actual values build up steadily and peak in the third year of the cycle
A I only B I and II only C I, II and III only D I, II and IV only
6 A quarterly multiplicative time series model has seasonal components of +20%, –30%, –25% and +35%
respectively. Seasonally adjust the following actual values for quarters 1 to 4 respectively, to the nearest
pound: $500, $300, $330 and $610 and state which of the following are correct.
I The first quarter seasonallyadjusted value is $600
II The second quarter seasonallyadjusted value is $429
III The third quarter seasonallyadjusted value is $413
IV The fourth quarter seasonally adjusted value is $938
A I only B I and II only C II only D II, III and IV only
7 Complete the following table using the data given in order to determine the threemonth moving average for
the period JulyDecember.
Moving total of Moving average
No of 3 months of 3 months
Month ice creams sold ice creams sold ice creams sold
July 2,000
August 2,500
September 1,800
October 1,400
November 900
December 1,000
8 Quarterly sales have a trend given by Y = 5t – 1.5, where Y is sales in $'000 and t is the time period with t =
1 in the first quarter of 20X8. Forecast sales (to the nearest pound) in the second quarter of 20X9 if the
seasonal component using the multiplicative model is –7% in that quarter are
A $26,505 B $7,905 C $19,530 D $21,500
9 Number of moving averages to calculate when there are:
 Odd number of time periods =
 Even number of time periods =
Questions 75
10 Based on the last 9 periods, the underlying trend of profits is p = 273.16 – 1.74C. If the 10th period has a
seasonal factor of 52.19, assuming an additive forecasting model, then the forecast profits for that period, in
whole units is
41 Forecasting 5
1 A company's annual profits have a trend line given by Y = 20t – 10, where Y is the trend in $'000 and t is the
year with t = 0 in 20X0. Forecast profits for the year 20X9 using an additive model if the cyclical component
for that year is –30 are
A $160,000 B $140,000 C $119,000 D $60,000
2 Which of the following are necessary if forecasts obtained from a time series analysis are to be reliable?
I The trend must not be increasing or decreasing
II The trend must continue as in the past
III Extrapolation must not be used
IV The same pattern of seasonal variation must continue as in the past
A II only B II and III only C II and IV only D I and IV only
3 The underlying trend equation for forecasting purposes based on the past 20 months is
y = 30.15 + 3.6x where x is the month number.
If month 21 has a seasonal factor of ×1.02, using the multiplicative model, then the forecast for this month
(to the nearest whole unit) is
A 104 B 106 C 107 D 108
4 Unemployment numbers actually recorded in a town for the second quarter of the year 20X6 were 4,000.
The underlying trend at this point was 3,750 people and the seasonal factor is 0.95. Using the multiplicative
model for seasonal adjustment, the seasonallyadjusted figure (in whole numbers) for the quarter is
A 3,563 B 3,800 C 3,947 D 4,211
5 In a time series analysis, using the additive model, at a certain time, the following data is obtained.
Actual value 170
Trend 182
Seasonal value –12.8
The residual value at this point is
A –0.8 B 0.8 C –24.8 D 24.8
76 Questions
The following information is to be used for questions 6 and 7
In a time series analysis, the multiplicative model is used to forecast sales and the following seasonal variations
apply:
Quarter 1 2 3 4
Seasonal variation 1.2 1.3 0.4 ?
The actual sales values for the first two quarters of 2006 were:
Quarter 1: $125,000
Quarter 2: $130,000
6 The seasonal variation for the fourth quarter is:
A –2.9
B 0.9
C 1.0
D 1.1
7 The trend line for sales:
A Decreased between quarter 1 and quarter 2 .
B Increased between quarter 1 and quarter 2.
C Remained constant between quarter 1 and quarter 2.
D Cannot be determined from the information given.
8 In January, the unemployment in Ruritania is 567,800. If the seasonal factor using an additive time series
model is +90,100, the seasonallyadjusted level of unemployment (to the nearest whole number) is
A 90,100 B 477,700 C 567,800 D 657,900
9 The trend in the quarterly costs of production is given by Y = 300 – 2\t where Y is the trend in $'000 and t is
the time period with t = 1 in the first quarter of 20X4. Using the additive model, forecast costs in the third
quarter if the seasonal component for that quarter is +50 (give your answer to the nearest $'000) are
A $348,000 B $445,000 C $347,000 D $247,000
10 In a multiplicative time series analysis, the seasonal variations are calculated by averaging the Y/T values as
follows.
Quarter Y/T value
1 1.04
2 1.15
3 0.94
4 0.90
What is the new value of the average for quarter 1?
A 0.965 B 1.0325 C 1.0475 D 1.1150
Questions 77
42 Forecasting 6
1 In an additive time series analysis, the seasonal variations given by averaging the (Y – T) values are as
follows.
Year Y – T
1 18
2 30
3 –16
4 –36
The averages are subsequently adjusted so that their total is 0. What is the new value of the current average
for Year 4?
A –32 B –35 C –37 D –40
2 The trend in the number of units sold is given by the equation: Trend = 850 + 27/x, where x is the year with
20X1 denoted by x = 1. Forecast the number of units to be sold in 20X9 if, due to cyclical factors, the
forecast is expected to be 2% below the trend in that year.
A 836 B 97 C 870 D 853
3 Over a twentyfour month period, the underlying trend in the number of items sold (y) is related to the
month (x) by the equation y = 4,320 + 5.2x, where x = 1 is the first month. If sales in the thirteenth month
are known generally to be 15% above the trend, the sales forecast for month 13 to the nearest whole
number is
A 658 B 3,729 C 5,046 D 4,388
4 Using an additive time series model, the underlying trend in sales in $'000 of product A is given by y = 250 –
1.57x, where x is the time period. If the seasonal component in time period 15 is expected to be –28, the
forecast sales of product A for that quarter correct to the nearest $'000 is
A $163,000 B $3,698,000 C $226,000 D $198,000
5 Which one of the following conditions does not need to be met if time series forecasts are to be reliable?
A The seasonal pattern should continue as it has done in the past
B The trend should continue as it has done in the past
C Extrapolation should always be avoided
D Residuals should be small
The following information is to be used for questions 6 and 7 below
In a time series analysis, the multiplicative model is used to forecast sales and the following seasonal variations apply.
Quarter 1 2 3 4
Seasonal variation 0.65 1.32 1.41 ?
The actual sales value for the first two quarters of 20X0 were:
Quarter 1: $320,000
Quarter 2: $500,000
78 Questions
6 The seasonal variation for quarter 4 is
A –3.38 B 0.62 C 1.00 D 1.38
7 The trend line for sales
A remained constant between quarter 1 and quarter 2
B increased between quarter 1 and quarter 2
C decreased between quarter 1 and quarter 2
D cannot be determined from the information given
8 Using an additive time series model, quarterly sales have been analysed and the quarterly seasonal
components found to be +$200, +$400, –$300 and –$300 for quarters 1 to 4 respectively. If the actual sales
for the four quarters are $1,300, $1,600, $1,050 and $1,100 respectively, the seasonallyadjusted sales are
I First quarter seasonallyadjusted sales are $1,100
II Second quarter seasonallyadjusted sales are $2,000
III Third quarter seasonallyadjusted sales are $570
IV Fourth quarter seasonallyadjusted sales are $1,400
A I only B I and II only C I and III only D I and IV only
9 The number of houses flooded in a town during the first quarter of 2000 was 750. The underlying trend at
this point was 600 houses and the seasonal factor is 0.78. Using the multiplicative model for seasonal
adjustment, the seasonallyadjusted figure (in whole numbers) for the quarter is
A 468 B 585 C 769 D 962
10 A monthly multiplicative time series model for sales has seasonal components 0.54, 0.60, 0.73 and 1.09 for
the months January to April. If the actual numbers sold in those months are 550, 650, 750 and 1,190
respectively, the seasonallyadjusted values to the nearest whole number are
A The January seasonallyadjusted sales are 297
B The February seasonallyadjusted sales are 1,083
C The March seasonallyadjusted sales are 606
D The April seasonallyadjusted sales are 1,297
Questions 79
Spreadsheets
Questions 43 to 47 cover spreadsheets, the subject of Part G of the BPP Study Text for C3
43 Spreadsheets 1
1 A chart wizard can be used to generate graphs. Which type of chart would be best used to track a trend over
time?
A A pie chart
B A line graph
C A multiple bar chart
D A radar chart
2 A macro is used for occasional complicated tasks in spreadsheets.
True
False
3 The following statements relate to spreadsheet formulae
I Absolute cell references ($B$3) change when you copy formulae to other locations
II The F4 key is used to change cell references from absolute to relative
III Relative cell references (B3) stay the same when you copy formulae to other locations
Which statements are correct?
A I and II only
B I and III only
C II and III only
D II only
80 Questions
Questions 4 to 6 refer to the spreadsheet shown below
A B C D
1 Unit selling price $65 Annual volume 10,000
2
3 Seasonal variations
4 Quarter 1 20%
5 Quarter 2 35%
6 Quarter 3 10%
7 Quarter 4 45%
8
9 Sales budgets Seasonal variations (units) Quarterly volume Quarterly turnover
10 Quarter 1
11 Quarter 2
12 Quarter 3
13 Quarter 4
14
4 The cell B10 shows the seasonal variation in units for quarter 1. Which of the following would be a suitable
formula for this cell?
A =$D$1/4*B4
B =(D1/4)*B4
C =$D$1/4*B1
D =D1/4*$B$4
5 The cell C10 shows the sales volume in units for quarter 1. Which of the following would be a suitable
formula for this cell?
A =$D$4/1+B10
B =D1/4+$B$10
C =D1+B10
D =($D$1/4)+B10
6 The cell D10 shows the turnover in Quarter 1 Which of the following would be a suitable formula for this
cell?
A =D1*$B$1
B =C10B10
C =C10*$B$1
D =(C10+B10)*$B$1
Questions 81
7 The following spreadsheet can be used to investigate the interrelationship between advertising expenditure
and sales.
A B C D E
1 Monthly advertising Sales
2 Expenditure
3 X Y X
2
Y
2
XY
4 1.2 132.5 1.44 17556.25 159
5 0.9 98.5 0.81 9702.25 88.65
6 1.6 154.3 2.56 23808.49 246.88
7 2.1 201.4 4.41 40561.96 422.94
8 1.6 161.0 2.56 25921.00 257.6
9 7.4 747.7 11.78 117549.95 1175.07
The cell E9 shows the total of the XY values. Which of the following would be a correct entry for this cell?
A =A9*B9
B =SUM(E4:E8)
C =SUM(A9:D9)
D =C9*D9
8 The following spreadsheet is used to forecast sales volumes in each quarter. It involves the use of the linear
regression formula y = a + bx, where x is the quarter number. Enter the formulae for the trend and sales
volume forecasts for the first two quarters of 20X5 in cells B7 and C7 in the spreadsheet template below.
A B
1 a 10000
2 b 400
3 x at 31 December 20X4 36
4 Period 3 months to 31 March 20X5
5 Quarter 1
6 Seasonal variation +500
7 Trend = y
8 Forecast
9 For which of the following tasks would a spreadsheet be used?
Tick box
Cashflow forecasting
Monthly sales analysis by market
Writing a memo
Calculation of depreciation
82 Questions
10 The formula bar displays
A The formula in the active cell and no other information
B The location of the active cell and the formula in the active cell
C The formula in the active cell and the result of the formula
D The location of the active cell, the formula in the active cell and the result of the formula
44 Spreadsheets 2
1 The following statements relate to spreadsheet formulae
I The formula =C4*5 multiplies the value in C4 by 5
II The formula =C4*117.5% reduces the value in C4 by 17.5%
III The formula =C4*B10D1 multiplies the value in C4 by that in B10 and then subtracts the value in D1
from the result
Which statements are correct?
A I and II only
B I and III only
C II and III only
D I, II and III
2 Which of the following formulae gives an answer of 16?
A =113*2
B =32^(1/2)
C =4^4
D =4^2
Questions 3 to 5 refer to the spreadsheet shown below
The list prices of the products, net of sales tax, have been obtained from a catalogue.
A B C D
1 Product
List price
(net)
Sales
tax Gross
2 line $ $ $
3
4 Buster 294.00 51.45 345.45
5 Crusty 362.50 63.44 425.94
6 Dibble 88.20 15.44 103.64
7
3 What formula in cell C4 would calculate sales tax on the product Buster at 17.5%?
Questions 83
4 What is the formula in cell D5?
5
A B C D
1 Product List price Sales tax Gross
2 line $ $ $
3
4 Buster 294.00 51.45 345.45
5 Crusty 362.50 63.44 425.94
6 Dibble 88.20 15.44 103.64
7
8
9 Sales tax 17.50%
10
The current sales tax rate has now been entered in cell B9. What formula in cell C4 would calculate sales tax on the
product line Buster, using the value in this cell?
6 Use of the keys Ctrl + “ enables you to view the formulae in each cell on the spreadsheet itself.
Tick box
True
False
84 Questions
Questions 7 and 8 refer to the spreadsheet shown below
A B C
1 Monthly production
2
3 Month Units
4 Jan 149
5 Feb 247
6 Mar 382
7 Apr 451
8 May 300
9 Jun 298
10 Jul 187
11 Aug 361
12 Sep 85
13 Oct 394
14 Nov 322
15 Dec 400
16
17 Total 3576
18
19 Average 298
7 Which of the following would achieve the total in cell B17?
A Autosum
B Ctrl + s
C Ctrl + t
D F2
8 What is the formula in cell B19?
Questions 85
Questions 9 and 10 refer to the spreadsheet and chart shown below
A B C D E
1
Projected Results for 20X7: New products
2
3 Flipp Bopp Mapp Total
4
5 Sales units 280 640 320
6
7 $ $ $ $
9 Sales 7000 20480 5120 32600
10 Cost of Sales 3360 8960 1600 13920
11 Profit 3640 11520 3520 18680
12
13
14
15
16
17 Selling price 25 32.00 16.00
18 Unit cost 12 14.00 5.00
19
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
Flipp Bopp Mapp
Series2
Series1
9 Which option in chart wizard was selected?
A Clustered bar
B Stacked bar
C Clustered column
D Stacked column
86 Questions
10 The data from which cells were used by chart wizard to prepare the chart?
A B3:D3 B9:D9 and B10:D10
B B9:D9 B10:D10 and B11:D11
C B3:D3 B10:D10 and B11:D11
D B3:D3 B9:D9 B10:D10 and B11:D11
45 Spreadsheets 3
1 The following statements relate to spreadsheet formulae
I The formula =C4*B10 multiplies the value in C4 by the value in B10
II The formula =C4*117.5% adds 17.5% to the value in C4
III The formula =C4+C5+C6/3 adds C4, C5 and C6 together and divides the result by 3
Which statements are correct?
A I and II only
B I and III only
C II and III only
D I, II and III
Questions 2 to 4 refer to the spreadsheet shown below
A B C D E
1 Trading account
2 2008 2007
3 $ $ $ $
4
5 Sales 6402 5747
6 Less: cost of sales
7 opening stock 341 299
8 purchases 3972 3652
9 4313 3951
10 less closing stock (480) (341)
11 3833 3610
12 Gross profit 2569 2137
13
14 Gross profit margin 40.13% 37.18%
2 The format of cell B7 is
A General
B Number to 2 decimal places
C Currency
D Accounting
Questions 87
3 The format of cell D10 is
A General
B Number to 2 decimal places
C Custom
D Accounting
4 The formula in cell C14 is =C12/C5. The format of the cell is
A Fraction
B Number to 2 decimal places
C General
D Percentage to 2 decimal places
Questions 5 to 8 refer to the spreadsheet shown below
The cost card below shows how the cost of producing each unit of the component 214X is built up. Each individual
cost in the total column is found by multiplying the quantity (kg or hours) by the cost per kg or hour.
A B C D
1 Cost Card : Component 214X
2
3 Total
4 Material kg $ $
5
6 mat A 2 2.80 5.60
7 mat S 3 3.60 10.80
8
9 Labour hours $
10
11 skilled 2.4 9.40 22.56
12 unskilled 5.3 6.35 33.66
13
14 Overheads 2.4 12.40 29.76
15
16 Total cost per unit of component 214X 102.38
17
18
19 Rates per hour: $
20 skilled labour 9.40
21 unskilled labour 6.35
22 overhead 12.40
23 absorption
5 The formula in cell D6 is =B6*C6. This has been replicated to cells D7, D11, D12 and D14. What is the
formula in D11?
88 Questions
6 If the skilled labour rate were to change from $9.40 to $9.50 per hour, the values in which cells would
change?
A C20 only
B C20 and C11
C C20, C11 and D11
D C20, C11, D11 and D16
7 Overheads are absorbed into product costs by charging $12.50 for each skilled labour hour worked on the
component. If the skilled labour hours needed for each unit increased to 2.5 hours, the values in which cells
would change?
A B11 and B14 only
B B11, C11 and D16
C B11, B14, D11, D14 and D16
D B11, B14, C11, C14, D11, D14 and D16
8 The text in cells A22 and A23 currently occupies two lines. Which of the following options would keep the
text on one line within cell A22?
I Use a smaller font size
II Increase the row height
III Increase the column width
A I only
B I and II
C I and III
D I, II and III
9 Which of the following statements is true regarding the automatic positioning of items within a cell, before
any editing?
A Text is right aligned
B Numbers are right aligned
C Text is centred
D Numbers are centred
10 If a cell contains ####, this means
A There is not enough room to display the required number in the cell
B There is not enough room to display the required text in the cell
C There is not enough room to display either the required number or text in the cell
D The result of the formula cannot be displayed as the formula is nonsensical
Questions 89
46 Spreadsheets 4
Questions 1 to 3 refer to the spreadsheet shown below
A B C D E F
1
Materials budgets: 50mm x 20mm pine
2
3 September October November Total
4
5 Usage budget units units units units
6
7 Production of tables 250 280 290 820
8
9 metres metres metres metres
10 Raw material usage 625 700 725 ?
11
12
13 Purchases budget metres metres metres metres
14 Production usage 625 700 725 ?
15 Add: closing stock 28 29 30 ?
16 Less: opening stock (25) (28) (29) ?
17 Purchases 628 701 726 2055
18
19 $ $ $ $
20
21 Raw material purchases 5903.20 6589.40 6824.40 19317.00
22
23
24 Raw materials data
25 Usage per unit of production (metres) 2.5
26 Purchase price per metre ($) 9.40
27
28 Assumptions
29 1 The closing stock in one month is 4% of the following month's production requirement
30 2 From December onwards production of tables will plateau at 290
1 Which of the following cells require the input of an actual value rather than a formula relating to another cell
on the spreadsheet?
Tick box
B15
B16
C7
C10
90 Questions
2 Suggest formulae for the following cells:
D14
C16
D17
C21
3 The total column has yet to be completed. Match up the cells below with the appropriate formulae in order to
complete this column.
=E10
E10 =SUM(B16:D16)
=D15
E14 =B15
=SUM(B10:D10)
E15 =D16
=B16
E16 =SUM(B10:E10)
=SUM(B15:D15)
Questions 4 and 5 refer to the spreadsheet shown below
The spreadsheet below calculates the value of orders to be placed for raw materials by comparing the quantity in
stock on a particular date with the level at which an order is needed.
A B C D E F G
1 Raw material orders:28 January
2
3 Product code Reorder Reorder Purchase Stock Place Order
4 level quantity price level order? value
5 $ $
6
7 PY33 500 4000 0.24 600 NO 0
8 BC78 350 2000 1.30 350 YES 2600
9 FLO2 1000 5000 0.10 800 YES 500
10 CJ54 200 1200 0.85 300 NO 0
11
12 Total value of orders required 3100
4 Suggest a conditional formula for cell F7 that can be replicated to cells F8 to F10.
5 Suggest a conditional formula for cell G7 that can be replicated to cells G8 to G10.
Questions 91
Questions 6 to 8 refer to the spreadsheet shown below
A supplier offers a 5% discount on orders of 1000 units or more of material P.
A B C D
1 Sales of material P
2
3 Customer Order Price Sales
4 quantity $ $
5
6 Smith 500 245.00 1225.00
7 Brown 1200 232.75 2793.00
8 Jones 1000 232.75 2327.50
9 Hamdy 2000 232.75 4655.00
10 Campbell 400 245.00 980.00
11 11980.50
12
13 Price per hundred units $245.00
14 Bulk discount% 5
15
6 The formula in cell C6 is
A =IF(B6>=1000,$B$13,$B$13*0.05)
B =IF(B6<1000,$B$13,$B$13*0.05)
C =IF(B6>=1000,$B$13,$B$13*(100$B$14)/100)
D =IF(B6<1000,$B$13,$B$13*(100$B$14)/100)
7 The formula in cell D8 is
A =B8/100*B13
B =B8*245
C =C8/100*B8
D =C8*B8
8 If, instead of 5, the value 5% were entered in cell B14, the spreadsheet would still calculate the discount
correctly.
Tick box
True
False
9 How often should you save your spreadsheet whilst working on it?
A Every 10 minutes
B Every hour
C Every 2 hours
D At the end of the day, or before moving to work on another file
92 Questions
10 Passwords can be set to protect
A An individual cell on a spreadsheet
B A worksheet
C A workbook
D A cell, a worksheet or a workbook
47 Spreadsheets 5
1 The spreadsheet below contains data on the time taken in minutes to produce a batch of 100 units of a
product.
A B C D E F
1 21 17 24 11 37 27
2 20 15 17 23 29 30
3 24 18 24 21 24 20
4
What formula should be entered into the appropriate cell to calculate the median minutes taken?
2
A B
1 Year Cashflow
2 $
3 0 20,000
4 1 7,000
5 2 9,000
6 3 6,000
7 4 4,000
8
9
10 Cost of capital % 10
What is the Excel formula needed to calculate the NPV of the investment in the spreadsheet above?
Questions 93
3
A B C
1 Project cash out 320,000
2 Net project benefits Year 1 32,500
3 Year 2 92,300
4 Year 3 84,500
5 Year 4 101,600
6 Year 5 115,600
7
8 Cost of capital % 12
Using the Excel function ‘AVERAGE’, what is the formula needed to calculate the ROI?
4 What command should be used to count the number of observations in an Excel spreadsheet?
A =SUM
B =COUNT
C =NUMBER
D =ROUND
5
A B C D
1 Month Output Costs Regression line
2 000 units $'000
3 1 20 82 80
4 2 16 70 70
5 3 24 90 90
6 4 22 85 85
7 5 18 73 75
What formula has been inserted in cell D3 and then copied down the column?
6 The cost of a coat is $327.50 plus sales tax of 15%. What Excel formula is needed to calculate the price of
the coat rounded to 2 decimal places?
94 Questions
7
What
Excel formula is needed in the range G3:G9 to calculate the frequency distribution of the output per
employee?
8
A B C D E F G H
1 Weekly output per employee
2 Output Frequency Cum frq
3 1087 850 1084 792 700 0 0
4 924 1226 1012 1205 800 1 1
5 1265 1028 1230 1182 900 1
6 1086 1130 989 1155 1000 2
7 1134 1166 1129 1160 1100 5
8 1200 7
9 1300 4
What formula needs to be entered in cell H4 and copied down the rest of the column?
9 What formula is used to time and date a worksheet?
A =COUNT()
B =NOW()
C =TIMEDATE()
D =DIARY()
10 Which of these formulae should be entered in a spreadsheet cell to find the mean of a number of values
labelled ‘VALUES’ ?
A =MEDIAN(VALUES)
B =MEAN(VALUES)
C =MIDPOINT(VALUES)
D =AVERAGE(VALUES)
A B C D E F G
1 Weekly output per employee
2 Output Frequency
3 1087 850 1084 792 700 0
4 924 1226 1012 1205 800 1
5 1265 1028 1230 1182 900 1
6 1086 1130 989 1155 1000 2
7 1134 1166 1129 1160 1100 5
8 1200 7
9 1300 4
95
Answers
96
Answers 97
1 Basic mathematics 1
1
9
Let length of box = L cm
Let side of square end = s cm
2s = L (equation (1))
Volume of box = (s
2
× L)cm
3
= 1,458 cm
3
L =
2
s
458 , 1
(equation (2))
Sub (2) into (1) 2s =
2
s
458 , 1
Multiply both sides by s
2
2s
3
= 1,458
s
3
= 729
s = 9
2 C
5
3 2
x
) (x
= x
(2×3)–5
= x
1
= x
You should have been able to eliminate Options A and B immediately since your basic mathematical
skills should enable you to see that the correct answer is x or x to the power of something.
Option D is incorrect since x
6
÷ x
5
is x and not x
2
. Note that if the question had been
4
3 2
x
) (x
instead,
the correct answer would have been x
2
.
3
7.90%
% reduction =
99 . 56
49 . 52 99 . 56 ÷
× 100%
= 7.90%
4 B (x
3
)
4
= x
3×4
= x
12
Option A is incorrect because this is the answer to x
3
× x
4
= x
3+4
= x
7
. Remember that when x
3
is
raised to the power of 4, the powers are simply multiplied together.
Option C is incorrect because (x
3
)
4
= x
3+4
= 7x.
Option D is incorrect because (x
3
)
4
= x
3+4
= x/7.
5 A Total cost $30,151 = (100 × $50) + $8,250 + $11,200 + 100x
$30,151 = $24,450 + 100x
100x = $30,151 – $24,450 = $5,701
x =
100
701 , 5 $
= $57.01
If you selected option B, then you forgot to include the 100 units at $50 each.
$30,151 = $8,250 + $11,200 + 100x
$30,151 = $19,450 + 100x
98 Answers
100x = $30,151 – $19,450
x =
100
701 , 10 $
x = $107.01
Option C is incorrect because it does not take account of the batch costing $8,250.
$30,151 = (100 × $50) + $11,200 + 100x
$30,151 = $5,000 + $11,200 + 100x
100x = $30,151 – $5,000 – $11,200
x =
100
951 , 13 $
= $139.51
Option D is incorrect because it does not take account of the batch costing $11,200.
$30,151 = $5,000 + $8,250 + 100x
$30,151 = $13,250 + 100x
100x = $30,151 – $13,250
100x = $16,901
x =
100
901 , 16 $
= $169.01
6 B The term x
–1
equals 1/x by definition.
7
17.395%
% increase =
99 . 45 $
99 . 45 $ 99 . 53 $ ÷
× 100%
= 17.395%
8 B (y
2
)
3
= y
2×3
= y
6
Remember that when y
2
is raised to the power of 3, the powers are simply multiplied together.
9
10
Let selling price = 100%
Profit = 20% of selling price
cost = 80% of selling price
Cost = $40 = 80%
1% = $40/80
20% = profit = ($40/80) × 20 = $10.
It is very important that you understand how to do this question. If you had trouble understanding
the correct answer, go back to your BPP Study Text for Business Mathematics and study Chapter 1
Section 3 again.
10 A x
–¾
= 1/x
¾
Remember that the negative sign represents a reciprocal.
x
¾
can also be written as (x
3
)
¼
Answers 99
¼ represents the fourth root of x
3
=
4
\x
3
x
–¾
= 1/
4
\x
3
2 Basic mathematics 2
1 C
7
8
x
x
= x
8–7
= x
1
= x
Revise the material on roots and powers in Chapter 1 of the BPP Study Text if you got this question
wrong. Understanding basic mathematical techniques is of fundamental importance to your Business
Mathematics studies.
2 A Price = $4 for 2 kgs
Price per kg = $2
Original price per kg = $2.60
Absolute reduction per kg = $(2.60 – 2.00) = $0.60
Percentage reduction per kg = $0.60/$2.60 × 100% = 23%
Option B is incorrect since the percentage reduction has been calculated by comparing the change in
price ($2) with the final price ($2) ie,
00 . 2 $
00 . 2 $ 60 . 2 $ ÷
× 100% = 30% which is not correct.
Options C and D are incorrect because they do not account for the new price of $2 per kg but
interpreted the new price as $4 per kg (and not per 2 kg).
3 B If x = 0, y = 0
If x = 2, y = 2 × 2 = 4
The line goes through (0,0) and (2,4)
It is line B.
4 (x
4
)
–4
= x
(4× – 4)
= x
–16
=
16
x
1
3
16
x
1
100 Answers
5 C Q =
Ch
CoD 2
400 =
Ch
000 , 24 20 2 × ×
Square both sides
400
2
=
Ch
000 , 24 20 2 × ×
Ch =
400 400
000 , 24 20 2
×
× ×
Ch = $6
If you selected one of the other options A, B or D then work through the solution again remembering
that if you do anything to one side of an equation, you must make sure you do the same to the other
side of the equation as well!
6 C 22kg costs $7.00
1kg costs $7.00/22 = $0.3182
Percentage saving =
39 . 0
3182 . 0 39 . 0 ÷
× 100% = 18.4%
Option A is incorrect since it represents the saving in pence, ie 39.0c – 31.8c = 7.2c and not a
percentage saving.
Option B is also incorrect since it has been calculated using a cost per kg of $0.32 instead of
$0.3182, ie a percentage saving of
39 . 0
32 . 0 39 . 0 ÷
× 100% = 17.9%.
Option D is wrong because the incorrect denominator has been used in the calculation.
Percentage saving =
3182 . 0
3182 . 0 39 . 0 ÷
× 100%
= 22.6%
7
644
7
94 y 185 307 y 4 192 286 + + + + + +
= 267
7
y 5 064 , 1 +
= 267
1,064 + 5y = 1,869
5y = 1,869 – 1,064
5y = 805
y =
161
If x = 4 y
x = (4 × 161)
x = 644
Answers 101
8 C Number of defects per 10 hinges = (6 × 0.05) + (3 × 0.2) + (1 × 0.1)
= 0.3 + 0.6 + 0.1
= 1
1 defect in 10 is equivalent to 10% (1/10 × 100% = 10%).
9 D x% of 200 =
100
x
× 200
=
100
x 200
= 2x
Percentages represent one of the basic mathematical techniques that you will need to be able to master
fully for your Business Mathematics studies. Revisit Chapter 1 if you struggled with this question.
10
23%
If gross earnings = $18,435
Tax = $18,435 – $15,000
= $3,435
Taxable income = $18,435 – $3,500
= $14,935
Sylvia's taxable income is taxed at
935 , 14
435 , 3
× 100% = 23%
3 Basic mathematics 3
1 A If profit = revenue – cost
profit = 410P – 22P
2
– (3,800 – 24P)
= 410P – 22P
2
– 3,800 + 24P
= 434P – 22P
2
– 3,800
Option B is incorrect – you have got the sign of 3,800 wrong (it should be negative, not positive).
Option C is incorrect – you have calculated profit as cost – revenue (instead of revenue – cost).
Option D is incorrect since you have not changed the –24P units to +24P when subtracting costs of
3,800 – 24P.
2 B If D = 60 – 5P
D – 60 = –5P
5P = 60 – D
P =
5
D
5
60
÷
P = 12 – D/5
Option A is incorrect since you have divided the 60 by 5 but not the D.
Option C is incorrect since you have forgotten to change the sign of the D from positive to negative
when you took it to the other side of the equation. 5P = 60 – D, 5P = 60 + D.
102 Answers
Option D is also incorrect since you have incorrectly calculated that D = 60 – 5P is D = 55P. This
would only be the case if there were brackets as such (D = (60 – 5)P).
3
5
y
2
= x
2
– 3x + 25
If x = 3, y
2
= 3
2
– (3 × 3) + 25
y
2
= 9 – 9 + 25
y
2
= 25
y = \25
= 5
Make sure that you substitute the value of x into the equation to evaluate y
2
and then take the square
root of this value.
4 D If P = 250 – D/1.2
P – 250 = –D/1.2
2 . 1
D
= 250 – P
D = 1.2(250 – P)
D = 300 – 1.2P
If you incorrectly selected Option A, you have got the incorrect sign for 1.2P (it should be negative,
not positive).
Option B is wrong because you forgot to multiply –P by 1.2.
Option C is also incorrect. You have forgotten to change the signs so that P – 250 becomes –P + 250
(or 250 – P) when changing –D/1.2 to D/1.2.
5
8
When x = 4
y
1/3
= 4
3
– (3 × 4
2
) + (22 × 4) – 102
y
1/3
= 64 – 48 + 88 – 102
y
1/3
= 2
y = 2
3
y = 8
6
15.59
If x = 3
(3)
–0.5
= 0.57735026919
(0.57735026919)
–5
= 15.59 (to two decimal places)
If you selected option B, you only performed the first part of the calculation, ie (3)
–0.5
= 0.58 (to two
decimal places). Option C represents (3
–0.5
)
5
instead of (3
–0.5
)
–5
as required by the question. Do make
sure that you read the question properly.
Answers 103
7 D (x
–3
)
–4
= x
(–3 × –4)
= x
12
8
106.38
$125 =
100
5 . 117
× price excluding sales tax
5 . 117
125 $
× 100 = price excluding sales tax
Price excluding sales tax = $106.38 (to the nearest cent)
9
7%
Selling price at end of year 2 = $30 × 1.05 × 1.06
= $33.39
Change in selling price in year 3 is $(35.73 – 33.39) = $2.34
Percentage change in year 3 was
$33.39
$2.34
× 100% = 7%
10 B
4
3
x
x
=
x
1
= x
–1
Revise the material on roots and powers in Chapter 1 of the BPP Study Text if you got this question
wrong. Understanding basic mathematical techniques is of fundamental importance to your Business
Mathematics studies.
4 Basic mathematics 4
1
319.81
If x = 3
Value = (3
–0.75
)
–7
= 319.81
2 False 3
Selling price = $90.68 = 118%
Selling price excluding tax =
118
100
× $90.68 = $76.85
New price after 20% reduction = (100% – 20%) × $76.85
= $61.48
$61.50 is the new price to 1 decimal place.
104 Answers
3
1
to
2
Company A : Company B
$350,000 : $700,000
$1 : $2
1 : 2
4 $
245.96
1.175 × cost of article = $289
Cost of article =
1.175
£289
= $245.96
5
7
12
7
4 3
x
x
x
) (x
= = x
5
If x = 3, value is 3
5
=
243
If x = 4, value is 4
5
=
1,024
6
–2
%
Selling price at end of year 2 = $27.50 × 1.08 × 1.04
= $30.89
Change in selling price in year 3 is therefore $(30.27 – 30.89) = –$0.62
Percentage change in year 3 was therefore
27 . 30
62 . 0 ÷
= –0.02 = –2%
7 B
49q
aX
Y
2
=
Workings
a
qY
7 X =
a
qY
7
X
=
a
qY
49
X
2
=
49
aX
qY
2
=
49q
aX
Y
2
=
8
384
Answers 105
80 =
2 . 0 6
10 D 2
×
× ×
=
2 . 1
D 20
80
2
=
2 . 1
D 20
6,400 =
2 . 1
D 20
7,680 = 20D
D =
20
680 , 7
= 384
9 B
x
7
÷ x
8
= x
7–8
= x
–1
x
–1
= 1/x
10
x y
3.5 –1.5
5x + 3y = 13 (1)
3x – y = 12 (2)
9x – 3y = 36 (3) (2) × 3
14x = 49 (4) (1) + (3)
x =
14
49
x = 3.5
3(3.5) – y = 12 Substitute into (2)
10.5 – y = 12
y = 10.5 – 12
y = –1.5
5 Basic mathematics 5
1 $
425.53
$500 =
100
5 . 117
× price excluding sales tax
117.5
$500
× 100 = price excluding sales tax
price excluding sales tax = $425.53
106 Answers
2 C
25 kg costs $7.00
1 kg costs
25
$7.00
= $0.28
Percentage saving =
35 . 0
28 . 0 35 . 0 ÷
× 100% = 20%
3 y is
6
y
2
= x
2
– 4x + 36
If x = 4, y
2
= 4
2
– (4 × 4) + 36
y
2
= 16 – 16 + 36
y
2
= 36
y = 36
y = 6
4 $
66.67
Let selling price = 100%
Profit = 25% of selling price
Cost = 75% of selling price
Cost = $200 = 75%
1% =
75
200 $
25% = profit =
75
$200
× 25 = $66.67
5 $
1,021
Let x = telephone costs of company excluding sales tax
x × 1.175 = $10,000
x =
175 . 1
000 , 10 $
= $8,510.63
Central administration share = 60% × $8,510.63
= $5,106.38
Remainder = $8,510.63 – $5,106.38
= $3,404.25
30% of remainder to finance = 30% × $3,404.25
= $1,021 (to the nearest $)
Answers 107
6 B Wages will vary between ($1,000 × 1.1) and ($1,000 × 0.9) = $1,100 and $900
Materials will vary between ($2,000 × 1.2) and ($2,000 × 0.8) = $2,400 and $1,600
Revenue will vary between ($4,000 × 1.1) and ($4,000 × 0.9) = $4,400 and $3,600
Minimum profit = minimum revenue – maximum wages – maximum materials
= $(3,600 – 1,100 – 2,400) = $100
Maximum profit = maximum revenue – minimum wages – minimum materials
= $(4,400 – 900 – 1,600) = $1,900
Profit will be between $100 and $1,900.
You should have been able to eliminate options C and D immediately since the answers are not
absolute values.
Option A is incorrect because it assumes that profit will be based on the maximum costs and the
maximum revenue, ie costs of $3,500 (($1,000 + 10%) + ($2,000 + 20%)) and revenue of $4,400
($4,000 + 10%).
7
X Y
–1 6
y = 7 + X
y = 9 + 3X
0 = 2 + 2X
2X = –2
X =
2
2 ÷
= –1
If X = –1, Y = 7 + (–1)
= 7 – 1
= 6
8 $
24
Workings
Katie's share = $9 = 3 parts.
Therefore one part is worth $9 ÷ 3 = $3.
Total of 8 parts shared out originally
Therefore total was 8 × $3 = $24
$
14.40
Workings
Katie's share = $9 = 5 parts.
Therefore one part is worth $9 ÷ 5 = $1.80
Therefore original total was 8 × $1.80 = $14.40
108 Answers
9 A Workings
Proportion with dark hair = 24/45
Proportion who do not have dark hair =
45
24 – 45
=
45
21
= 0.4667
10 D To ensure that the error is at a maximum, the numerator needs to be as large as possible and the
denominator as small as possible.
Say P = Q = R = 10
P could be measured from 9 to 11
Q could be measured from 8 to 12
R could be measured from 7 to 13.
Maximising P and Q and minimising R gives
PQ
R
=
11 12
7
×
= 18.86
Using the actual values of P = Q = R = 10
PQ
R
=
10 10
10
×
= 10
Error =
1886 10
10
. ÷
× 100% =
886
10
.
× 100% = 88.6%
Option A is incorrect since it is calculated by maximising P, Q and R.
PQ
R
=
13
12 11×
= 10.15
Error =
10
10 15 . 10 ÷
× 100% = 1.5%
Option B is incorrect since it is calculated by minimising P, Q and R.
R
PQ
=
7
8 9×
= 10.29
Error =
10
10 10.29 ÷
× 100% = 2.9%
Option C is incorrect since it is calculated by minimising P and Q and maximising R.
R
PQ
=
13
8 9×
= 5.54
Error =
10
10 5.54 ÷
× 100% = 44.6%
Answers 109
6 Summarising and analysing data 1
1
20.48
Let midpoint of estimate = X.
$21.50 = 100% + 5% of midpoint of estimate = 1.05X
$21.50 = 1.05X
05 . 1
50 . 21 $
= X = $20.48
Midpoint of estimate = $20.48
2 C Systematic sampling is a sampling method which works by selecting every nth item after a random
start.
3 B Cluster sampling is a nonrandom sampling method that involves selecting one definable subsection
of the population as the sample (the school in Croydon), that subsection is then taken to be
representative of the population in question (all school children in Britain).
Option A is incorrect because with quota sampling, interviewers must interview all of the people they
meet up to a certain quota.
Option C is incorrect because with random sampling every item in the population has an equal
chance of being selected (which is not the case).
Stratified sampling involves dividing the population into strata and then selecting a random sample
from each stratum. Option D is therefore incorrect.
4
11.39
x fx f
$ $
10.00 400 400 ÷ 10.00 = 40
12.50 500 500 ÷ 12.50 = 40
11.00 550 550 ÷ 11.00 = 50
12.00 600 600 ÷ 12.00 = 50
2,050 180
x =
f
fx
¯
¯
=
180
050 , 2 $
= $11.39
5 C In order of magnitude scores are
8 9 11 12 14 15 17 21 24 34
Position of median is
2
1 10 +
= 5½ and therefore the median is the average of 5th and 6th items, that
is of 14 and 15. The median is therefore 14.5.
You should also have been able to eliminate option D immediately since it does not represent an
actual score, and if it were the average of two scores, they would be 16 and 17. The scores do not
include a 16 and therefore this option does not appear to be valid.
110 Answers
6 B Total sales for first five months = $8,200 × 5 = $41,000
Total sales for last four months = $8,500 × 4 = $34,000
So total sales for remaining 3 months = $(102,000 – 41,000 – 34,000)
= $27,000,
giving an average of
3
000 , 27 $
= $9,000
7 C The median is the middle value in order of magnitude.
9 12 23 24 28 34 43 56 78 87
In this case there are two middle values, 28 and 34, and so the median is their average = (28 + 34)/2
= 31.
Options B and D represent the two middle values and are therefore incorrect. The average of the two
middle values must be calculated when establishing the median of a set of scores.
Option A is incorrect since it represents the average between the 4th and 5th items (24 and 28) which
is 26.
8
28
If the width of an interval is n times the width of the remaining intervals, then the height of the
corresponding histogram rectangle is given by that interval's frequency divided by n. In this case, n is
3/4, so the height is 21 ÷ 3/4 = 21 × 4/3 = 28.
This was a popular type of objective test question in the old syllabus CQM examinations – do make
sure you understand it!
9 A Frequency is indicated by the area covered by the block on a histogram, rather than by the block's
height. If the width of the block is one and a half the standard width, we must divide the frequency by
one and a half, ie multiply by 0.67 (1/1.5 = 1/
3
/
2
= 2/3 = 0.67).
10 D 80 =
20 10 10
X) 20 ( ) 70 10 ( ) 50 10 (
+ +
× + × + ×
80 × 40 = 500 + 700 + 20X
3,200 – 1,200 = 20X
2,000 = 20X
100 = X
You would need to do a full calculation before you would be able to select the correct option since
none of the distracters are obviously wrong. Remember in a question such as this, however, that you
must calculate a weighted average.
Answers 111
7 Summarising and analysing data 2
1 D When a distribution has unequal class intervals, the heights of the bars have to be adjusted for the
fact that the bars do not have the same width.
Adjustment = 0.8 (100 × 0.8 = 80)
The width of the nonstandard bar must be
8 . 0
20 $
= $25
If the common class width is $20, then a class with a nonstandard class width will not also be $20.
Option C can therefore be eliminated.
If the frequency of one bar is 80% (80/100) of the standard frequency, we must divide the common
class width by 80%, not multiply it by 80% (80% × $20 = $16). Option B is therefore also incorrect.
2 False 3
An ogive is a graph of a cumulative frequency distribution.
3 B A histogram is a chart that looks like a bar chart except that the bars are joined together. On a
histogram, frequencies are represented by the area covered by the bars (compare this with a bar
chart where the frequencies are represented by the heights of the bars).
4
40
The common class width = $10
The width in question = $12.50
The height of the bar must be adjusted by
50 . 12
10
= 0.8
The frequency which must be plotted = 0.8 × 50 = 40
5 D The best diagram to draw to highlight the differences between areas is a simple bar chart .
A simple bar chart is a chart consisting of one or more bars, in which the length of each bar indicates
the magnitude of the corresponding data items. This is the best diagram to draw to highlight the
differences of typical salaries in different areas.
We are not interested in showing the breakdown of the total salary, therefore a pie diagram and a
percentage component bar chart are not really appropriate.
112 Answers
A multiple bar chart is a bar chart in which two or more separate bars are used to present sub
divisions of data. The data available relating to salaries is not subdivided and this type of chart is
therefore not appropriate in this situation.
6 A Systematic sampling is a sampling method which works by selecting every nth item after a random
start.
7 C Total of invoices = average × 10 = 20 × 10
15 + 22 + 14 + 21 + 15 + 20 + 18 + 27 = 152
2X + 152 = 200
2X = 200 – 152 = 48
X = $24
Option B is incorrect because it represents the arithmetic mean of the values (excluding the Xs), ie
152 ÷ 8 = 19. It also represents the median of the values shown.
If you selected option D then this indicates that you only accounted for one $X instead of two.
Option A ($15) represents the mode and is therefore incorrect.
8 B To calculate a mean factory wage we need to determine total wages and total number of employees.
Number of
Department Mean wage employees Total wage
$ $
W 50 × 20 = 1,000
X 100 × 5 = 500
Y 70 × 10 = 700
Z 80 × 5 = 400
40 2,600
Mean factory wage = $2,600/40 = $65
Option A represents the most frequently occurring wage ($50) or the mode and is therefore incorrect.
Option C represents the second most frequently occurring wage ($70) and is also incorrect.
Option D is simply the average of the mean wages (an unweighted average), ie 50 + 100 + 70 + 80 =
300 ÷ 4 = 75. This option is also incorrect.
9 A To calculate a mean speed we need to know the distance and the time of the journey.
Time = 20/30 hr + 10/60 hr = 5/6 hr
Mean speed = 30 miles ÷ 5/6 hr = 36 mph
Option B is incorrectly calculated as follows.
(20 miles × 30 mph) + (10 miles × 60 mph) = 600 + 600 = 1,200
Total distance travelled = 30 miles
Mean speed = 1,200 ÷ 30 = 40 mph (incorrect)
Remember that you need to know the length of time that it took to travel the 30 mile distance.
Option D, 45 mph represents an average of 30 mph and 60 mph (30 + 60 = 90 ÷ 2 = 45). This is also
incorrect.
10 C The mean will tend to overstate the average.
Answers 113
The mode tends to understate the average in highly skewed data and the median is the most
representative average. Not all averages are therefore equally acceptable.
8 Summarising and analysing data 3
1 D In quota sampling, investigators are told to interview all of the people they meet up to a certain quota.
Option A is describing random sampling.
Option B is describing systematic sampling.
Option C is describing cluster sampling.
The correct answer is therefore option D, none of the above.
2 B Pie charts illustrate the way in which one or more totals are broken down into their components.
3 A The coefficient of variation =
Mean
deviation Standard
The coefficients of variation are calculated as follows:
W:
100
10
× 100 = 10%
X:
40
5
× 100 = 12½%
Y:
80
8
× 100 = 10%
Z:
150
12
× 100 = 8%
The correct answer is therefore A, X only, since X has the largest coefficient of variation.
4 A Every fifth item is selected, therefore the sampling interval is 5.
5
40
If a distribution has unequal class intervals, the heights of the bars have to be adjusted for the fact
that the bars do not have the same width.
00 . 5 $
50 . 7 $
= 1.5
$7.50 is one and a half times the standard width so we must therefore divide the frequency of 60 by
1.5, ie 60 ÷ 1.5 = 40.
114 Answers
6
92
The individual weights (in kg) arranged in order are as follows.
53, 59, 69, 84, 94, 97, 105
Median =
2
x 84 +
88 =
2
x 84 +
x = (88 × 2) – 84
= 176 – 84
= 92
7 C The only sampling method that does not require a sampling frame is quota sampling. Therefore all of
the other methods do require a sampling frame, ie random, stratified and systematic (I, II and IV).
The correct answer is therefore C.
8 B Since the class intervals are different, adjusted frequencies need to be calculated. The adjusted frequencies
are calculated as follows. (Standard class width is taken as 2.)
Class interval Size of interval Frequency Adjustment Height of bar
06 6 18 × 2/6 6
68 2 30 × 2/2 30
810 2 18 × 2/2 18
1014 4 12 × 2/4 6
The histogram which represents the above bar heights correctly is Graph 2. The correct answer is
therefore B.
Options A, C and D are incorrect because the class intervals need to be adjusted to take account of
unequal class widths (as shown above).
9
45
The arithmetic mean =
n
x ¯
5 =
19
x ¯
¯x = 19 × 5
= 95
Let x = twentieth number
Sum of twenty numbers = 95 + x
Arithmetic mean = 7
n
x ¯
= 7
20
x 95 +
= 7
95 + x = 7 × 20
95 + x = 140
x = 140 – 95
x = 45
Answers 115
10
30
The median is the value of the middle item of a distribution once all of the items have been arranged
in order of magnitude.
10, 10, 15, 20, 30, 35, 35, 35, 35
middle item
The median is the 5th item in the array (the
2
1 9 +
= 5th item).
The median is therefore 30.
9 Summarising and analysing data 4
1
2
The median is the middle member in the distribution, ie the
2
1 55 +
= 28th member which is 2.
2 A Properties of a positively skewed distribution.
 Its mean, mode and median all have different values
 The mode has a lower value than the median
 The mean has a higher value than the median
 It does not have two halves which are mirror images of each other
3
0.60
Frequency is indicated by the area covered by the block on a histogram, rather than by the block's
height. If the width of the block is 1
2
/3 times the standard width, we must divide the frequency by 1
2
/
3
(1.67) ie multiply by
67 . 1
1
= 0.60.
4 A An ogive is a graph of a cumulative frequency distribution.
5
230
If y = 2.5x
7
94 x 5 . 2 185 307 x 192 286 + + + + + +
= 267
7
x 5 . 3 064 , 1 +
= 267
3.5x = (267 × 7) – 1,064
3.5x = 1,869 – 1,064
3.5x = 805
x =
5 . 3
805
= 230
6 B The quartile deviation is also known as the semiinterquartile range.
7 A Properties of a positively skewed distribution
116 Answers
 Its mean, mode and median all have different values
 The mode will have a lower value than the median
 Its mean will have a higher value than the median
 It does not have two halves which are mirror images of each other
8
360
Let x = the number of cases of Product D purchased.
(40 × $7.84) + (20 × $8.20) + (24 × $8.50) + ($8.60 × x) = $939.60
$(313.6 + 164 + 204) + 8.6x = $939.60
$681.6 + 8.6x = $939.60
8.6x = $(939.60 – 681.6)
8.6x = $258
x = 30
If there are 12 items in each case of Product D, the buyer purchases 30 × 12 items = 360 items.
9 C A sampling frame is a numbered list of all items in a population (not a sample).
Cluster sampling involves selecting one definable subsection of the population which therefore
makes the potential for bias considerable.
Statements II and III are therefore not true. The correct answer is therefore C.
10 C If a distribution has unequal class intervals, remember that the heights of the bars must be adjusted
for the fact that the bars do not have the same width. Thus, if one class is two thirds the standard
width, you need to divide the frequency by 2/3, ie 25 ÷ 2/3 = 37.5.
If you selected option A then you multiplied the frequency by 2/3 instead of dividing it by 2/3.
Option B represents the unadjusted frequency of the class under consideration, which is incorrect; an
adjustment needs to be made.
If you selected option D you incorrectly took 2/3 of 25 (= 16.67) and added this to the unadjusted
class frequency of 25. 25 + 16.67 = 41.67.
10 Summarising and analysing data 5
1 C If an interval is 1¼ times as wide as other classes, the frequency of that class must be divided by 1¼,
which is the same as multiplying it by 0.8 since
4
1
1
1
= 0.8.
2
160
Number of employees in department 2 = 100 – 54 – 24 = 22. For all employees, mean output per
month = 139.
Let x = the mean output per employee per month for department 2.
139 =
100
) 140 24 ( x) 22 ( ) 130 54 ( × + × + ×
Answers 117
139 × 100 = 7,020 + 22x + 3,360
13,900 = 10,380 + 22x
22x = 13,900 – 10,380
x =
22
520 , 3
x = 160
3
112
25 10 20
x) 25 ( ) 60 10 ( ) 50 20 (
+ +
× + × + ×
= 80
55
x 25 600 000 , 1 + +
= 80
1,600 + 25x = 4,400
25x = 4,400 – 1,600
25x = 2,800
x = 112
Remember, in a question like this, you must calculate a weighted average.
4 D x =
n
x
¯
=
5
10 8 6 4 2 + + + +
= 30/5
= 6
Variance =
n
) x (x
2
÷ ¯
x 2 4 6 8 10
(x – x )
–4 –2 0 2 4
(x – x )
2
16 4 0 4 16
Variance =
5
16 4 0 4 16 + + + +
=
5
40
= 8
If you selected option A, you calculated the coefficient of variation (standard deviation ÷ mean = 8 ÷ 6
= 1.33).
Option B is the standard deviation of the data. The question asked you to calculate the variance.
If you selected option C, you calculated the arithmetic mean (and also the median).
118 Answers
5 A
A B C D
Mean 150 175 200 250
Standard deviation 25 20 25 30
Coefficient of variation* 0.167 0.114 0.125 0.120
*Coefficient of variation =
Mean
deviation Standard
The bigger the coefficient of variation, the wider the spread. The largest coefficient of variation is for
that of data set A. The correct answer is therefore A.
The formula for calculating the coefficient of variation is not provided in your examination – you must
therefore know it by heart so that you can answer questions such as this easily.
6 B Semiinterquartile range =
2
quartile Lower  quartile Upper
=
2
438 621÷
=
2
183
= 91.5
Option A is the difference between the upper quartile and the median (which is not the semi
interquartile range).
Option C is the difference between the median and the lower quartile (which is not the semi
interquartile range).
Option D represents the interquartile range (upper quartile – lower quartile). You must divide this
range by 2 to calculate the semiinterquartile range.
7 D Random sampling involves selecting a sample in such a way that every item in the population has an
equal chance of being included.
Option A describes cluster sampling.
Option B describes systematic sampling.
Option C describes quota sampling.
Answers 119
8 If a distribution has unequal class intervals, the heights of the bars have to be adjusted for the fact
that the bars do not have the same width.
12 $
18 $
= 1.5
$18 is one and a half times the standard width so we must therefore divide the frequency of 180 by
1.5, ie 180 ÷ 1.5 = 120.
9 C Negativelyskewed distribution.
Properties of a negativelyskewed distribution:
 Its mean, median and mode all have different values
 The mode will be higher than the median
 The mean will have a lower value than the median (and than most of the distribution)
10 B The coefficient of variation =
Mean
deviation Standard
The coefficients of variation are calculated as follows:
W:
100
10
× 100 = 10%
X:
40
5
× 100 = 12
1
/2%
Y:
80
8
× 100 = 10%
Z:
150
12
× 100 = 8%
The correct answer is therefore B, since Z has the smallest coefficient of variation.
Note that the formula for the coefficient of variation (coefficient of relative spread) is not provided in
your examination.
120 Answers
11 Summarising and analysing data 6
1
41
100 × P
1
/P
0
= 135
P
1
= $55.35
0
P
35 . 55 $ 100×
= 135
135
35 . 55 $ 100×
= P
0
= $41
2 B The annual pension payable from 1 January 20X7 is
$10,000 ×
6 . 135
0 . 142
= $10,472
Options A, C and D are all incorrect since they have been calculated using the incorrect
numerators/denominators as follows.
Option A = $10,000 ×
9 . 137
0 . 142
= $10,297
Option C = $10,000 ×
2 . 130
0 . 142
= $10,906
Option D = $10,000 ×
100
6 . 135
= $13,560
3
97
To change the base date, divide each index by the index corresponding to the new base time point
and multiply the result by 100.
Rebased 20X2 index =
110
107
× 100
= 97
Answers 121
4 C
1984 1998 2000
1984 = 100 100 129
1998 = 100 100 110
Between 1998 and 2000 prices increased by 10%

.

\

×
÷
% 100
100
100 110
The price index for 2000 with 1984 as the base year should also show a 10% increase on the 1998
index of 129.
2000 index with 1984 as base year = 129 × 110% = 129 × 1.1 = 141.90
You should have been able to eliminate options A and B straightaway since the new index will not be
less than or equal to 100.
Option D is incorrect because you have added the 10 points (110 – 100) to the 129 points. It should
be 129 plus 10%.
5 C
Commodity
Price
(P
1
/P
0
) Weight (W)
Relative weight
(W × P
1
/P
0
)
A 20/16 = 1.25 20 25.0
B 50/40 = 1.25 2 2.5
C 105/100 = 1.05 10 10.5
32 38.0
Index =
W
/P P W
0 1
¯
× ¯
=
32
38
× 100 = 118.75 = 119
6 B 20X4:
5.8
7.0
× 100 = 121
20X5:
5.8
7.6
× 100 = 131
20X6:
5.8
8.1
× 100 = 140
7 D A chainbase index shows the rate of change in prices from year to year.
8 B The difference between one year's index and 100 gives the percentage change in price since the
previous year.
122 Answers
9
97.3
216.3
210.5
× 100 = 97.3
10.36
New index value for 1998 =
216.3
208.7
× 100 = 96.5
Price have increased from 96.5 to 106.5
This is a percentage increase of
96.5
96.5 106.5 ÷
× 100 = 10.36%
10
116
Year Index Index
(Base year = 1980) (Base year = 1990)
1980 100
1990 x 100
1998 130* 112
* Total price movement between 1980 and 1998 was 30% 100 × 1.3 = 130.
x
130
=
100
112
x =
112
100 130 ×
= 116
12 Summarising and analysing data 7
1
7,000
Firstly, we need to calculate the cumulative frequency of earnings.
Annual earnings Frequency Cumulative frequency
$
6,000 3 3
7,000 5 8
10,000 3 11
11,000 1 12
12,000 2 14
15,000 1 15
The median is the
2
) 1 15 ( +
= 8th item which has a value of $7,000.
Answers 123
2
Commodity
Price relative Weight Relative weight
A 1.10 10.00 11.00
B 1.20 1.00 1.20
C 1.04 5.00 5.20
D 1.05 4.00 4.20
20.00 21.60
Price index for year 2 based on year 1 (using weighted average of relatives method) =
108
3
Low High
245.2
to
554.8
99% of sales each week lie in the range mean ± 2.58 standard deviations
= 400 ± (2.58 × 60)
= 400 ± 154.8
= 245.2 – 554.8
4 3 The mean is smaller than the median
Properties of a negativelyskewed distribution:
 Its mean, median and mode all have different values
 The mode will be higher than the median
 The mean will have a lower value than the median (and than most of the distribution)
5 C Mean of A + B + C = (120 + 100 + 80)kg = 300 kg
Variance of A + B + C = (20
2
+ 20
2
+ 10
2
) = 900kg
(However, don't forget to calculate the square root of 900 in order to calculate the standard deviation
as required by the question.)
Standard deviation = variance
= 900 = 30kg
Packets of one of each of A, B and C have a mean weight of 300kg and a standard deviation of 30kg.
If you selected option A, you forgot that the overall means should have been added together.
If you selected option B you forgot to add the means together, and you also forgot to take the square
root of the variance in order to calculate the standard deviation.
If you selected option D, you forgot to take the square root of the variance in order to calculate the
standard deviation.
6 C The heights of lampposts is an example of quantitative data as they can be measured. Since the
lampposts can take on any height, the data is said to be continuous.
You should have been able to eliminate options B and D immediately since qualitative data are data
that cannot be measured but which reflect some quality of what is being observed.
124 Answers
7
4
The mode is the most frequently occurring number of loaves required by a shopper, ie 4 loaves.
Remember, the mode is the most frequently occurring item.
8
240
Let x = the number of cases of Delta purchased
$512.80 = (20 × $7.84) + (10 × $8.20) + (12 × $8.50) + (X × $8.60)
$512.80 = $156.80 + $82 + $102 + $8.60X
$(512.80 – 156.80 – 82 – 102) = $8.60X
$172 = $8.60X
$172/$8.60 = X = 20
If there are 12 items in each case of Delta, the buyer purchases 20 × 12 = 240 items.
9 $
239
Price index in 2006 = 148
Price index in 2002 = 124
Therefore $200 ×
124
148
= $239
10 C A histogram is a chart that looks like a bar chart except that the bars are joined together. On a
histogram, frequencies are represented by the area covered by the bars. The correct answer is
therefore C.
13 Summarising and analysing data 8
1
28
13 + 42 + 7 + 51 + 69 + 28 + 33 + 14 + 8 + 15 = 280
280 ÷ 10 = 28
2
24.5
17, 19, 21, 21, 24, 25, 27, 31, 32, 42
Middle item is between 24 and 25, ie 24.5
Answers 125
3
19
kgs
Mean =
10
27 28 x 20 15 21 14 22 x 15 + + + + + + + + +
20 =
10
x 2 162+
200 = 162 + 2x
38 = 2x
x = 19
4
25.45
Value of delivery ($) Cumulative
at least less than Frequency frequency
1 10 3 3
10 20 6 9
20 30 11 20
30 40 15 35
40 50 12 47
50 60 7 54
60 70 6 60
The lower quartile is the value below which 25% of the population fall, ie the ¼ × 60 = 15th item.
The 15th item lies in the class at least 20 but less than 30. There are 11 items in this class and the 15th item
in the whole distribution is the 6th item in this class = 6/11 × (30 – 20) = 6/11 × 10 = 5.45.
We must however add 5.45 to 20 in order to find the value of the 15th item in the distribution which is 25.45
(to 2 decimal places).
5
3
Number of meals eaten out
Frequency Cumulative frequency
(number of people)
0 10 10
1 110 120
2 10 130
3 160 290
4 170 460
5 30 490
6 9 499
499
The median is the middle member in the distribution, ie the
2
1 499 +
= 250th member which is 3 meals (ie
where cumulative frequency = 290).
6 3 The standard deviation will increase by 14%
3 The coefficient of variation will be unaltered
If everybody's salary rises by 14%, the mean salary will also rise by 14%. In computing the standard
deviation, we work out (x – x )
2
for each employee, add up the results, divide by n and then take the square
root. If each employee's salary and the mean salary are all increased by 14%, each (x – x ) will rise by 14%.
126 Answers
Because the squaring is followed by square rooting, the overall effect will be to increase the standard
deviation by 14%.
Since both the standard deviation and the mean increase by 14%, the coefficient of variation, which is the
one divided by the other, will be unchanged.
7 $
128
100 ×
0
1
P
P
= 140
P
1
= 160
P
0
=
125
160 100 ×
= 128
8 3 Relative dispersion
The spreads of two distributions can be compared by using the coefficient of variation (or the coefficient of
relative dispersion).
9 $
151.56
Commodity Price relative* Weight Relative weight**
Brighton 1.25 40.00 50.00
Eastbourne 1.25 4.00 5.00
Worthing 2.10 20.00 42.00
64.00 97.00
* Price relative =
0
1
P
P
** Relative weight = Price relative × weight
Index =
W
P / P W
0 1
¯
× ¯
=
64
97
× 100 = 151.56 (to 2 decimal places)
10 (a) Growing steadily
True 3
(b) Keeping up with inflation
True 3
The sales index for a particular quarter multiplied by the inflation index for a particular quarter is
approximately equal to the sales index of the following quarter.
Real sales are therefore approximately constant and keeping up with inflation.
Answers 127
14 Probability 1
1 D P(male) = 40% = 0.4
P(female) = 1 – 0.4 = 0.6
P(CIMA candidate) = 80% = 0.8
We need to use the general rule of addition (to avoid double counting)
P(female or CIMA candidate)
= P(female) + P(CIMA candidate) – P(female and CIMA candidate)
= 0.6 + 0.8 – (0.6 × 0.8) = 0.92
If you incorrectly selected option A you calculated the probability of a student being female and a
CIMA candidate instead of the probability of a student being female or a CIMA candidate.
Option B represents 1 – P(female and CIMA candidate) = 1 – (0.6 × 0.8) = 1 – 0.48 = 0.52. This
option is also incorrect.
You should have been able to eliminate option C immediately since it is simply the probability that a
candidate is female.
2 A
Large Small Total
Fast payers 20* 10** 30
Slow payers 40 30**** 70***
60 40 100
* 60 – 40 ** 30 – 20 *** 100 – 30 **** 70 – 40
P(fast paying small company) = 10/100 = 0.1
3 D Probability of A or B occurring = P(A) + P(B), provided A and B cannot both be true, so P(sales
remaining the same or falling) = P(same) + P(falling) = 0.21 + 0.23 = 0.44.
You must make sure that you understand the laws of probability so that you can apply them correctly
to objective test questions such as this.
4 B Number of female students = 100 – 30 = 70
P(not studying for Certificate Level) =
100
55 100 ÷
=
100
45
P(female and not studying for Certificate Level) =
70
6 45 ÷
=
70
39
= 0.56
Option A is incorrect since it is the probability that a student is female.
Option C is not correct because it represents the probability that a student is male and is not studying
for Certificate Level (6/30 = 0.20).
Option D is incorrect because it represents the probability that a student is not studying for the
Certificate Level.
128 Answers
5 D Pr(household has either a satellite or a video)
= Pr(satellite) + Pr(video) – Pr(both satellite and video)
= 0.3 + 0.8 – (0.3 × 0.8)
= 0.3 + 0.8 – 0.24
= 0.86
Option A is incorrect because it is the probability that a household has both satellite and video instead
of satellite or video.
Option B is the probability that a household has just satellite television.
Option C is the probability that a household has just a video recorder.
6
0.92
We need to use the general rule of addition.
Pr (digital camera or DVD player) = Pr (digital camera) + Pr (DVD player) – Pr (digital camera and
DVD player)
= 0.6 + 0.8 – (0.6 × 0.8)
= 1.4 – 0.48
= 0.92
7
0.26
Pr (only one is defective) = Pr (defective) × Pr (not defective) = 0.15 × 0.85 = 0.13, or
= Pr (not defective) × Pr (defective) = 0.85 × 0.15 =
0.13
0.26
8
3
%
Pr(sale) = 0.8
Pr(no sale) = 0.2
Pr(sale on third call) = Pr(no sale, no sale, sale)
= 0.2 × 0.2 × 0.8
= 0.032
= 3%
9
0.42
Independent firm
L W
P(sale) 0.3 0.4
P(no sale) 0.7 0.6
Pr(no sale at L and W) = 0.7 × 0.6 = 0.42
10 B Pr(serious error or a minor error) = Pr(serious error) + Pr(minor error)
= 0.06 + 0.12
= 0.18
Answers 129
15 Probability 2
1
75
Expected value = probability × profit
Contract
Expected value
$
X 1/2 × $50,000 25,000
Y 1/3 × $90,000 30,000
Z 1/5 × $100,000 20,000
75,000
Expected value is closest to $75,000.
2 C Assume all people are exposed to the virus and that there are 1,000 employees.
Vaccinated Nonvaccinated Total
Get flu (10% × 500) 50 (30% × 500) 150 200
No flu (90% × 500) 450 (70% × 500) 350 800
500 500 1,000
Probability employee was vaccinated given that she caught influenza =
200
50
= 0.25.
Option A represents the probability that an employee catches influenza and was vaccinated (as
opposed to catching influenza given that she was vaccinated). Option A is therefore incorrect.
There is a 10% chance (probability of 0.1) that the vaccine is not effective, ie option B, which is
incorrect.
3
0.48
Pr (10 on day 1 and 16 on day 2) = 0.4 × 0.6 = 0.24
Pr (16 on day 1 and 10 on day 2) = 0.6 × 0.4 = 0.24
0.48
4 D The expected sales are given by
J: 10,000 × 0.3 + 20,000 × 0.5 + 30,000 × 0.2 = 19,000
K: 10,000 × 0.3 + 20,000 × 0.4 + 30,000 × 0.3 = 20,000
L: 10,000 × 0.2 + 20,000 × 0.6 + 30,000 × 0.2 = 20,000
The correct answer is therefore D since K and L have the highest expected sales.
5 D P(King) = 4/52 = 1/13
P(Heart) = 13/52 = 1/4
P(King of hearts) = 1/52
P(King or heart) = P(King) + P(heart) – P(King of hearts)
= 4/52 + 13/52 – 1/52
= 16/52 = 4/13
Option A is the probability of selecting the King of hearts only.
Option B is the probability of selecting a heart only.
Option C is the probability of selecting a King only.
130 Answers
Note that you need to use the general rule of addition in order to calculate the answer to this
question. This is because the events are not mutually exclusive, ie you can select a king and a heart
at the same time.
6 D The probability of throwing a 3 on a die = 1/6
The probability of a tossed coin coming up tails = 1/2
The probability of throwing a 3 and getting tails on a coin is 1/2 × 1/4 = 1/12
Option A represents the probability of getting tails on the coin only.
Option C represents the probability of getting a 3 when throwing a die.
Note that throwing a die and tossing a coin are independent events (the occurrence of one event
does not affect the outcome of the other event). Such a situation calls for the use of the simple
multiplication law.
7 A Suppose there were 100 volunteers, we could show the results of the test on the 100 volunteers as
follows.
New shampoo Normal shampoo Total
Improvement 50*** 10**** 60
No improvement 20** 20 40
70* 30*** 100
* 70% × 100 = 70
** 2/7 × 70 = 20
*** Balancing figure
**** 1/3 × 30 = 10
If we know that the volunteer shows some improvement we can rewrite the question as P(volunteer
used normal shampoo given that he shows some improvement) or P(volunteer used normal
shampoo/shows some improvement)
= 10/60
Option B(10/100) is the probability that a volunteer used normal shampoo and there was some
improvement.
If you selected option C, you calculated the probability that the volunteer used the new shampoo
given that there was some improvement.
If you selected option D, you calculated the probability that there was some improvement given that
the volunteer used normal shampoo.
8 B Look back at the contingency table in the answer to question 7 above.
P(volunteer used new shampoo/shows no improvement) = 20/40.
If you selected option A, you calculated the probability that there was no improvement given that the
volunteer used the new shampoo.
If you selected option C, you calculated the probability that the volunteer used the new shampoo and
showed no improvement.
If you selected option D, you calculated the probability that there was no improvement, given that the
volunteer used normal shampoo.
Answers 131
9 A Look back at the contingency table in the answer to question 7 above.
We need to rephrase the question first.
P(volunteer showed some improvement/used new shampoo) = 50/70.
Option B is the probability that a volunteer used the new shampoo and showed some improvement.
Option C is the probability that a volunteer used the new shampoo given that there was some
improvement.
Option D is the probability that a volunteer showed some improvement.
10 C P(female) = 70% = 0.7
P(CIMA candidate) = 60% = 0.6
We need to use the general rule of addition to avoid double counting.
P(female or CIMA candidate) = P(female) + P(CIMA candidate) – P(female and CIMA candidate)
= 0.7 + 0.6 – (0.7 × 0.6)
= 1.3 – 0.42
= 0.88
You should have been able to eliminate options B and D immediately. 0.7 is the probability that a
candidate is female and 1.00 is the probability that something will definitely happen – neither of these
options are likely to correspond to the probability that the candidate is both female or a CIMA
candidate.
Option A is the probability that a candidate is both female and a CIMA candidate.
16 Probability 3
1 C The expected value for each project is as follows.
Project A (0.45 × $4,000) + (0.55 × $2,000) = $1,800 + $1,100
= $2,900
Project B (0.64 × $8,000) + (0.36 × ($1,000)) = $5,120 – $360
= $4,760
Project B has a higher expected value of profit which means that it could offer a better return than A,
so Project B should be chosen (with an expected profit of $4,760).
Options A and B are incorrect because project A does not have the highest expected value.
If you selected option D, you forgot to take account of the expected loss of $1,000 and treated it as a
profit instead.
132 Answers
2 B Suppose there were 1,000 volunteers, we could show the results of the test on these volunteers as
follows.
New tablet Placebo Total
Less headaches 600 20 620
No improvement 200 180 380
800 200 1,000
P(used placebo/shows no improvement) = 180/380 = 0.47.
If you selected option A, you calculated the probability that a volunteer took the placebo and showed
no improvement (180/1,000 = 0.18).
If you selected option C, you calculated the probability that a volunteer showed no improvement
given that he took the placebo (180/200 = 0.9).
Option D represents the probability that a volunteer used the new tablet given that he showed no
improvement = 200/380 = 0.53. You have answered the wrong question!
3 C Look back at the contingency table in the answer to question 2 above.
This question can be rewritten as 'What is the probability that a volunteer used the new tablets given
that he has less headaches'.
P(used new tablets/had less headaches) = 600/620 = 0.97.
Option A is incorrect since you have calculated the probability that a volunteer used the new tablets
and had less headaches (600/1,000 = 0.6).
Option B is incorrect since you have calculated P(had less headaches/used new tablets) = 600/800 =
0.75.
You should have been able to eliminate option D immediately since it represents absolute certainty.
4 C Look back at the contingency table in the answer to question 2 above.
P(had less headaches/used the placebo) = 20/200 = 0.1.
If you selected option A, you calculated the probability that a volunteer used the placebo and had less
headaches (20/1,000 = 0.02).
If you selected option B, you calculated the probability that a volunteer used the placebo given that
he had less headaches (20/620 = 0.03).
If you selected option D, you incorrectly calculated 20/1,000 = 0.2 (which is the calculation of the
wrong probability also).
Answers 133
5
0.49
The best way to approach a question such as this is to draw a diagram.
Year 1 Year 2
P(High sales) = 0.8
P(High sales) = 0.3
P(Low sales) = 1 – 0.8 = 0.2
P(High sales) = 0.3
P(Low sales) = 1 – 0.3 = 0.7
P(Low sales) = 1 – 0.3 = 0.7
Therefore, the probability of low sales in both years is shown along the path with the arrows above
and is P(low sales year 1) × P(low sales year 2)
= 0.7 × 0.7
= 0.49
6
Type Expected profit
$'000
I 20
II 15
III 26
IV 23
Workings
Type I
(0.5 × 20) + (0.3 × 20) + (0.2 × 20) = 10 + 6 + 4 = 20
Type II
(0.5 × 50) + (0.3 × 0) + (0.2 × (50)) = 25 + 0 – 10 = 15
Type III
(0.5 × 40) + (0.3 × 20) + (0.2 × 0) = 20 + 6 + 0 = 26
Type IV
(0.5 × 30) + (0.3 × 20) + (0.2 × 10) = 15 + 6 + 2 = 23
If the company wants to maximise profit it should launch Type
III
7 C If A and B are mutually exclusive outcomes then the occurrence of A excludes the possibility of B
happening. It is therefore impossible to have both A and B occurring at the same time.
8 A The general rule of multiplication is P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B/A).
If you selected option B, you incorrectly chose the simple multiplication law.
Option C is the general rule of addition.
Option D represents the simple addition law.
134 Answers
9 C Pr(resident went abroad and bought a new car)
= Pr(went abroad) + Pr(bought a new car) – Pr(went abroad and bought a new car)
= 0.4 + 0.55 – (0.4 × 0.55)
= 0.95 – 0.22
= 0.73
If you selected option A you calculated the probability that a resident went abroad and bought a new
car.
You should have been able to reject option B straightaway since it represents the probability that a
resident bought a new car only.
If you selected option D, you forgot to take account of the probability that a resident went abroad and
bought a new car.
10 D We need to use the simple addition law because we are dealing with mutually exclusive events, ie
sales cannot both remain the same and rise.
Pr(sales remain same or rise) = Pr(sales remain same) + Pr(sales rise)
= 0.44 + 0.18
= 0.62
If you selected option A, you multiplied the probabilities together instead of adding them (0.44 × 0.18
= 0.08).
If you selected option B you did not treat the events as mutually exclusive, ie 0.44 + 0.18 – (0.44 ×
0.18) = 0.54 (you cannot have sales rising and remaining at the same level at the same time).
Option C represents the probability that sales fell or remained the same (0.38 + 0.18 = 0.56).
17 Probability 4
1
0.25
Age of customer
Under 21 21 and over Total
Expenditure
Under $25 55 205 260
$25 to $50 125 80 205
Over $50 10 25 35
190 310 500
Number of customers under 21 spending between $25 and $50 is 125. Therefore, the probability that
a customer is under 21 and spent between $25 and $50 is
500
125
= 0.25
Answers 135
2
0.66
We can rephrase this question to 'given that a customer is aged under 21, what is the probability that
he spent between $25 and $50?'
Instead of being concerned with the whole sample (500) we are only concerned with those who are
under 21 (190).
The table shows that 125 under 21 year olds spent between $25 and $50.
Pr (Customer under 21 spent $25 $50) =
190
125
= 0.66
3
0.61
We can rephrase this question to 'given that a customer spent between $25 and $50, what is the
probability that they are aged under 21?'
Number of customers spending between $25 and $50 = 205, of which 125 are under 21 years.
Pr (Customer spending between $25 and $50 is under 21) =
205
125
= 0.61
4 C Since the probability of an error is 0.2, 0.4 and 0.6 in each section, the probability of no error in each
section must be 0.8, 0.6 and 0.4 respectively.
Section 1 Section 2 Section 3
Error? (0.2) Y N N
Error? (0.4) N Y N
Error? (0.6) N N Y
Probabilities
Pr(Section 1 has error) = 0.2 × 0.6 × 0.4 = 0.048
Pr(Section 2 has error) = 0.8 × 0.4 × 0.4 = 0.128
Pr(Section 3 has error) = 0.8 × 0.6 × 0.6 = 0.288
0.464
The probability of only one error is 0.464.
Option A is incorrect since it represents the probability of no errors (0.8 × 0.6 × 0.4 = 0.192).
Option B is incorrect because it represents the arithmetic mean of the probabilities of getting an error
in each department, ie
3
6 . 0 4 . 0 2 . 0 + +
= 0.4.
Option D is incorrect because it represents the probability of getting at least one error (1 – 0.192 =
0.808).
5 D Pr(dry tomorrow) = 1 – 0.3 = 0.7
Pr(rain day after/rain tomorrow) = 0.6
Pr(dry day after/rain tomorrow) = 1 – 0.6 = 0.4
Pr(rain day after/dry tomorrow) = 0.2
Pr(dry day after/dry tomorrow) = 1 – 0.2 = 0.8
P(dry day after tomorrow) =
136 Answers
P(dry tomorrow) × (dry day after tomorrow/dry tomorrow) + P(rain tomorrow) × (dry day after
tomorrow/rain tomorrow) = (0.7 × 0.8) + (0.3 × 0.4)
= 0.56 + 0.12
= 0.68
If you didn't select option D, work through the correct answer again until you fully understand the
steps involved.
6 C P(T) = 1/4
P(V) = 1/4
P(W) = 1/4
P(X) = 1/4
P(Y) = 1/3
P(Z) = 2/3 (twice as likely to go through Z)
P(T or Y) = P(T) + P(Y) – P(T and Y)
= 1/4 + 1/3 – (1/4 × 1/3)
= 7/12 – 1/12
= 6/12
= ½
7 B Expected value of Project Alpha
(0.5 × $50,000) + (0.5 × $20,000)
= $25,000 + $10,000 = $35,000
Expected value of Project Beta
(0.6 × $60,000) + (0.4 × $10,000)
= $36,000 + $4,000 = $40,000
Project Beta should therefore be chosen since it generates the highest expected profits of $40,000.
8
0.44
P(male) = 1 – P(female) = 1 – 0.8 = 0.2
P(Shops every Saturday) = 30% = 0.3
We need to use the general rule of addition to avoid double counting.
P(male or shops every Saturday) = P(Male) + P(shops every Saturday) – P(male and shops every
Saturday)
= 0.2 + 0.3 – (0.2 × 0.3)
= 0.5 – 0.06
= 0.44
Answers 137
9 B Expected value = probability × profit
Contract Probability Estimated profits Expected value
$ $
A 1/2 500,000 250,000
B 1/5 800,000 160,000
C 1/3
900,000 300,000
2,200,000 710,000
Option A is incorrect because it is just the highest expected value (from Contract C).
Option C is the arithmetic mean of the estimated profits ($2,200,000 ÷ 3 = $733,000).
Option D is the maximum expected profit from any one contract, ie $900,000 from Contract C.
10
35
%
We need to use the general rule of addition to avoid double counting.
P(woman) = 55% = 0.55
P(mathematician) = 10% = 0.10
P(woman or mathematician) = P(woman) + P(mathematician) – P(woman and mathematician)
= 0.55 + 0.10 – (0.55 × 0.10)
= 0.65 – (0.055)
= 0.595
However, the probability that both students are women and mathematicians
= 0.595
2
= 0.354025 = 35%
18 Probability 5
1 A The options are mutually exclusive (they cannot all happen at the same time) so we need to use the
simple addition law.
P(production remaining the same or falling) = P(remaining the same) + P(falling) = 0.3 + 0.15 = 0.45.
If you selected option B you have calculated the probability that production will stay the same or fall
(which is impossible) = 0.3 × 0.15 = 0.045.
If you selected option C you have calculated the probability of production staying the same or falling
as if the events were not mutually exclusive, ie 0.3 + 0.15 – (0.3 × 0.15) = 0.405.
Option D represents the probability that production has increased (the opposite of what is actually
required), ie 0.55.
2 C You will miss the train if it leaves on time or is one minute late.
Pr(miss the train) = Pr(leaves on time) + Pr(one minute late)
= 0.30 + 0.25
= 0.55
If you selected option A, this is incorrect because it represents the probability that the train will be
two minutes late (0.2).
Option B is the incorrect answer since this represents the probability that you will catch the train, not miss it.
3 A At least one of them is impossible
138 Answers
Mutual exclusivity means that for two outcomes X and Y
P(X and Y) = 0
Independence of the two events of which X and Y are outcomes means that
P(X and Y) = P(X) × P(Y).
So P(X) × P(Y) = 0
Therefore at least one of P(X) and P(Y) must be zero, representing an impossible outcome.
4 D The expected value = (1,000 × 0.3) + (4,000 × 0.5) + (8,000 × 0.2) = 3,900
Option A represents the most likely sales level, you forgot to calculate the expected value.
Option B represents the arithmetic mean, you forgot to calculate the expected value.
Option C is the total of estimated sales at different levels of probability, you forgot to calculate the
expected level of sales.
5 D Expected value = ¯px
where x = the value
p = probability of the value
Expected probability =
4
) 12 . 0 1 ( ) 15 . 0 1 ( ) 35 . 0 2 ( × + × + ×
=
4
12 . 0 15 . 0 7 . 0 + +
=
4
97 . 0
= 0.2425
If you selected option A, you forgot to take into account how frequently each area is visited.
If you selected option B, you have averaged the probabilities without referring to how frequently each
area is visited.
Option C is simply the result of all probabilities being added together, you have used the wrong
method and should have calculated the expected probability as ¯px.
6 C Pr(at least one sale) = 1 – Pr(no sales)
Pr(no sales) = (0.6 × 0.55 × 0.5) = 0.165
Pr(at least one sale) = 1 – 0.165
= 0.835
If you selected answer A, you calculated the probability that each person makes one sale (giving a
total of three sales), ie 0.4 × 0.45 × 0.5 = 0.09. The question did not ask this.
If you selected answer B, you calculated the probability of no sale being made which was not the
requirement of the question.
Option D represents the probability that the most successful member of the sales team will make a
sale, ie 0.5. This was not the requirement of the question.
Answers 139
7
0.25
The ways of getting three heads are:
Probability
HHHT 0.5 × 0.5 × 0.5 × 0.5 = 0.0625
HHTH 0.5 × 0.5 × 0.5 × 0.5 = 0.0625
HTHH 0.5 × 0.5 × 0.5 × 0.5 = 0.0625
THHH 0.5 × 0.5 × 0.5 × 0.5 = 0.0625
0.2500
8 C Current expected value
(0.6 × $3,000) + (0.4 × $1,500) = $1,800 + $600
= $2,400
Revised expected value
(0.55 × $3,000) + (0.45 × $1,500) = $1,650 + $675
= $2,325
$
Current expected value 2,400
Revised expected value
2,325
75
There is therefore a fall of $75.
If you selected A, you correctly calculated a change of $75 but it was a fall, not a gain.
If you selected option B, you only accounted for the drop in expected value of the $3,000 profit. You
forgot to take into account the fact that this is partly offset by the $75 from the increase in expected
value of the $1,500 profit.
If you selected option D, you treated the $1,500 as if it were a loss instead of a profit.
9 A Expected daily sales = (100 × 0.23) + (200 × 0.29) + (300 × 0.42) + (400 × 0.06)
= 23 + 58 + 126 + 24
= 231
If you selected option B, you have calculated the arithmetic mean of the four sales levels, without
referring to their associated probabilities.
Option C represents the most likely sales value multiplied by its probability (300 × 0.42 = 126).
Option D is the most likely sales level and is not what was required by the question.
10
38.8
%
P(worker 1 does not make error) = 1 – 0.15 = 0.85
P(worker 2 does not make error) = 1 – 0.20 = 0.80
P(worker 3 does not make error) = 1 – 0.25 = 0.75
Let Y = error made (yes)
N = no error made (no)
140 Answers
Error made by worker
Probabilities
1 2 3
Y N N 0.15 × 0.80 × 0.75 = 0.0900
N Y N 0.85 × 0.20 × 0.75 = 0.1275
N N Y 0.85 × 0.80 × 0.25 = 0.1700
0.3875
0.3875 = 38.8%
19 Probability 6
1 3 Both W and Y
EV(Expert W) = (0.2 × $1m) + (0.3 × $0.5m) + (0.5 × $0.25m)
= $(0.2 + 0.15 + 0.125)m = $0.475m
EV(Expert X) = (0.1 × $1m) + (0.4 × $0.5m) + (0.5 × $0.25m)
= $(0.1 + 0.2 + 0.125)m = $0.425m
EV(Expert Y) = (0.1 × $1m) + (0.6 × $0.5m) + (0.3 × $0.25m)
= $(0.1 + 0.3 + 0.075)m = $0.475m
The highest expected value for the company's estimated annual sales is given by Expert W and Expert Y.
2
0.976
P(at least one error found) = 1 – P(0 errors)
P(0 errors) = 0.2 × 0.3 × 0.4
P(at least one error found) = 1 – (0.2 × 0.3 × 0.4)
= 1 – 0.024
= 0.976
3 Pr(queen or heart) = 4/52 + 13/52 – 1/52 = 4/13
Probability
Queen Heart Queen of hearts Queen or heart
4/52 13/52 1/52 4/13
4 EV of demand =
6,500
units
Workings
Demand Probability Expected value
Units Units
5,000 0.1 500
6,000 0.6 3,600
8,000 0.3 2,400
6,500
Answers 141
5 EV of unit variable costs = $
3.70
(to 2 decimal places)
Workings
Variable costs Probability Expected value
$ $
3.00 0.1 0.30
3.50 0.5 1.75
4.00 0.3 1.20
4.50 0.1 0.45
3.70
6 EV of profit = $
10,950
Workings
$
Sales 6,500 × $10 65,000
Less variable costs 6,500 × $3.70 24,050
Contribution 40,950
Less fixed costs 30,000
10,950
7
19.0
%
A demand of 520 units occurred on 19 days out of a total of 100.
Pr(demand = 520 units) = 19/100 × 100% = 19%
8
0.45
(to 2 decimal places). See question 10 for workings
9
0.40
(to 2 decimal places). See question 10 for workings
10
0.56
(to 2 decimal places).
Workings for questions 8,9 and 10
Given lowfat food Given normal food Total
Lost weight 200 250 450
No weight loss 300 250 550
500 500 1,000
Pr(dog has lost weight) =
000 , 1
450
= 0.45
Pr(dog has lost weight given that it received lowfat food) =
500
200
= 0.40
Pr(dog was given normal food given that it lost weight) =
450
250
= 0.56
142 Answers
20 Probability 7
1
Assembly line Number of plates sampled
X 40
Y 80
Z 120
Workings
The inspector samples finished plates from the assembly lines X, Y and Z in the ratio 1:2:3, and he will
therefore examine the following quantities.
Assembly X =
) 3 2 1 (
1
+ +
× 240 = 40 plates
Assembly Y =
) 3 2 1 (
2
+ +
× 240 = 80 plates
Assembly Z =
) 3 2 1 (
3
+ +
× 240 = 120 plates
2 The probability that a plate sampled is defective is
0.192
(to 3 decimal places).
Contingency table
Assembly Line
X Y Z Total
Defective 2 (W1) 8 (W2) 36 (W3) 46
Not defective 38 (W4) 72 (W5) 84 (W6) 194
40 80 120 240
Workings
(1) = 5% × 40 = 2
(2) =10% × 80 = 8
(3) = 30% × 120 = 36
(4) = 40 – 2 = 38
(5) = 80 – 8 = 72
(6) = 120 – 36 = 84
plates of number Total
plates defective of number Total
=
240
46
= 0.192 (to 3 decimal places)
3
0.725
(to 3 decimal places)
Working
Pr(some improvement) =
000 , 1
725
= 0.725
Answers 143
4
0.545
(to 3 decimal places)
Working
Pr(treatment received/no improvement observed) =
275
150
= 0.545
5 The probability that an African brochure is not selected is
97%
(see workings below).
6 The probability that neither an American nor an Asian brochure is selected is
60%
Workings for questions 5 and 6
The best way to approach these types of question is to draw up a table as follows, which shows the
individual probabilities of the different types of brochure being selected.
Brochure European American Asian African Total
Number 285 90 110 15 500
Proportion/
Probability 0.57 0.18 0.22 0.03 1.00
Pr (African brochure not selected) = 1 – Pr (African brochure selected)
= 1 – (15/500) = 1 – 0.03
= 0.97 = 97%
Pr (Neither American nor Asian brochure selected) =
1 – Pr (American or Asian brochure selected) = 1 – (90/500 + 110/500) =
1 – (0.18 + 0.22) = 1 – 0.4
= 0.6 = 60%
7
0.25
We can calculate the required probability by using the values calculated in the following contingency table.
Pay Default Total
Check 36 4 40
No check 48 12 60
Total 84 16 100
Workings
No check = 60% of 100 = 60
Check = 100 – 60 = 40
No check but pay = 80% of 60 = 48
Check, pay = 90% of 40 = 36
The other figures are balancing figures.
Pr(customer checked/defaults) = 4/16 = 0.25
144 Answers
8 B The best way to approach a question such as this is to draw a diagram.
Therefore, the probability of low sales in both years is shown along the path with the dotted line
above and is P(low sales year 1) × P(low sales year 2).
= 0.7 × 0.8
= 0.56
The correct answer is therefore B.
Option A is incorrect because this is simply the probability of low sales in year 2 only.
Option C is incorrect because this is the probability of high sales in year 2 only.
Option D is incorrect because the probabilities 0.7 and 0.8 have been added (0.7 + 0.8 = 1.5) instead
of multiplied together. This option could have been eliminated straightaway since you cannot have a
probability of more than 1.
9 C Firstly, we need to calculate the expected profit that each product might generate.
Type W
(0.5 × 20) + (0.3 × 20) + (0.2 × 20) = 10 + 6 + 4
= 20
Type X
(0.5 × 50) + (0.3 × 0) + (0.2 × (50)) = 25 + 0 – 10
= 15
Type Y
(0.5 × 40) + (0.3 × 20) + (0.2 × 0) = 20 + 6 + 0
= 26
Type Z
(0.5 × 30) + (0.3 × 20) + (0.2 × 10) = 15 + 6 + 2
= 23
Since the question states that the company wishes to maximise the expected profit, it should launch
Type Y (which has the highest expected profit, $26,000).
Answers 145
10 C The diagram is a Venn diagram illustrating two mutually exclusive outcomes.
Complementary outcomes would be illustrated using the following diagram.
A
21 Probability 8
1 A
u = 55 59
Standard deviation (o) = variance
= 44 . 14
= 3.8
We are therefore looking for the probability corresponding to the shaded area on the graph above.
Using normal distribution tables we can calculate the area (1) above.
z =
ı
ȝ
x 
=
8 . 3
55 59 ÷
= 1.05
A z value of 1.05 corresponds to a probability of 0.3531.
Area (1) = 0.3531 and therefore the shaded area that we are interested in = 0.5 – 0.3531 = 0.1469 = 0.15.
If you incorrectly selected option B, you forgot to deduct the probability of area (1) from 0.5.
You could have eliminated option C immediately. The probability of a score of 55 or more (not 59) is
exactly 0.5.
Option D is also incorrect and represents the probability of a score of 59 or less, ie 0.5 + 0.3531 =
0.8531 or 0.85.
146 Answers
2 C 25% of normal frequencies will occur between the mean and the upper quartile. From normal
distribution tables, 25% of frequencies lie between the mean and a point 0.67 standard deviations
above the mean.
The standard deviation is the square root of the variance and is 25 = 5 in this case.
The upper quartile is therefore 0.67 × 5 = 3.35 above the mean
The upper quartile = 3.35 + 75 = 78.35
You should have been able to eliminate options A and B straightaway since 58.25 and 71.65 are
below the mean. The upper quartile of any distribution will be above the mean. Option B represents
the lower quartile (75 – 3.35).
If you had forgotten to take the square root of the variance in order to obtain the standard deviation,
you would have calculated the upper quartile as being 0.67 × 25 = 16.75 above the mean, ie 75 +
16.75 = 91.75. Option D is therefore also incorrect for this reason.
3 D It is always best to sketch a rough diagram first when tackling a normal distribution question such as
this.
u x
u = 150
o = 20
We need to find the point X such that 30% of the distribution falls between the mean and x.
From normal distribution tables, we can see that 30% of the distribution lies between the mean and
0.84 standard deviations above the mean.
If z =
ı
ȝ  x
0.84 =
20
150 x ÷
x – 150 = 0.84 × 20
x – 150 = 16.8
x = 16.8 + 150
= 166.8
Therefore 80% of the distribution lies below the point 167 (approximately).
You must make sure that you are confident with reading normal distribution tables in OT questions –
you are unlikely to gain any marks at all in such questions if you read them incorrectly.
Answers 147
4 D Total area under normal curve = 1
Therefore each of four areas = 0.25
The table shows the area between 0 and the specified value of Z so we must find the value 0.25 in the
table and the Z value that corresponds most closely to it.
Z = 0.67
Sketch a normal distribution curve and divide it into four areas if you are not convinced about the
answer to this question!
5 A u = 50 cm
o = 5 cm
57 cm is 7 cm above the mean = 1.4 standard deviations above the mean.
Using normal distribution tables, the proportion between the mean and 1.4 standard deviations above
the mean = 0.4192
The percentage of tubes at least 57 cm long is (0.5 – 0.4192) = 0.0808 = 8.08%
The percentage is closest to 8%.
Option B, 42% represents the proportion of tubes between 50 and 57 cm long.
Option C, 58% represents the proportion of tubes below the mean and above 57cm.
Option D represents the proportion of tubes below 57 cm.
6
0.0082
u = 60 72
We are interested in the shaded area shown in the graph above. We can calculate z score using the
following formula.
z =
o
÷
ȝ x
=
25
60 72 ÷
=
5
12
= 2.4
Using normal distribution tables, we can calculate that the probability of a score between 60 and 72
is 0.4918 (where z = 2.4). The probability of a score greater than 72 is 0.5 – 0.4918 = 0.0082.
148 Answers
7 D
u = 150 210
We are interested in the shaded area shown in the graph above. We can calculate the z score using
the following formula.
z =
o
u ÷ x
=
944 , 6
150 210 ÷
= 72 . 0
33 . 83
60
=
From normal distribution tables, the probability of a value between 150 and 210 is 0.2642. Therefore
the probability of a value less than 210 = 0.5 + 0.2642 = 0.7642 or 76.42%.
If you selected option A, you incorrectly subtracted 0.2642 from 0.5 instead of adding it.
If you selected option B, you forgot to add your answer to 0.5.
If you selected option C, you forgot to convert your z score into a probability using normal
distribution tables.
8 B
u = 650
25% of normal frequencies will occur between the mean and the upper quartile. From normal
distribution tables, 25% of frequencies lie between the mean and a point 0.67 standard deviations
above the mean (ie our z score is 0.67).
Let x = upper quartile
If z =
o
u ÷
x
and o = 100 = 10
0.67 =
10
650 x ÷
(0.67 × 10) = x – 650
6.7 = x – 650
x = 650 + 6.7
= 656.7
Therefore the upper quartile = 656.7 and the correct answer is therefore B.
Answers 149
If you selected option A, you calculated the lower quartile of the distribution (the question required
you to calculate the upper quartile).
If you chose option C, you forgot to calculate the standard deviation (and used the value given for the
variance, ie 100).
If you chose option D, you simply took 25% of the mean (650 × 25% = 162.5) and added it to the
mean (162.5 + 650 = 812.5) which is not the correct way to calculate the upper quartile.
9 C Total area under normal curve = 1.
Therefore each of eight areas = 0.125 (0.125 × 8 = 1).
Normal distribution tables show the area between 0 and the specified value of z so we must find the
value of 0.125 in the tables and the z value that corresponds most closely to it.
z = 0.32
Sketch a normal distribution curve and divide it into eight areas if you are not convinced about the
answer to this question!
10 A
5,200 6,000
We are interested in calculating the area of the shaded part of the graph above.
We can find the area of the graph that lies between 5,200kg and 6,000kg as follows.
Using z =
o
u ÷ x
z =
430
200 , 5 000 , 6 ÷
z = 1.86
z = 1.86 corresponds to an area of 0.4686. However, we are interested in the shaded area = 0.5 –
0.4686 = 0.0314.
If you selected option B, you divided the probability obtained (0.4686) by 2 instead of subtracting it
from 0.5.
If you selected option C, you forgot to subtract 0.4686 from 0.5.
If you selected option D, you added 0.4686 to 0.5 instead of subtracting it.
150 Answers
22 Financial mathematics 1
1
8,000
Interest = $5,000 x 12% × 5 years = $3,000
Total value of investment = 5,000 + 3,000 = 8,000
2
7,934
5,000 × (1 + 0.08)
6
= $7,934.37
3
18,785
10,000 × (1 + 0.08)
2
× (1 + 0.1)
5
= 18,784.99
4
11,268
A nominal interest rate of 12% is a monthly rate of 1%
10,000 × (1 + 0.01)
12
= 11,268.25
5
17,910
25,000 × (1 – 0.08)
4
= 17,909.82
6
3,770
5,800/(1 + 0.09)
5
= 3,769.60
7
54,282
120,000/(1 + 0.12)
7
= 54,281.91
Or using tables:
120,000 × 0.452 = 54,240
8
72,658
85,000/(1 + 0.04)
4
= 72,658.36
Or using tables:
85,000 × 0.855 = 72,675
9
18,750
1,500/0.08 = 18,750
10
6,698
1,500 + 1,500/1.06 + 1,500/1.06
2
+ 1,500/1.06
3
+ 1,500/1.06
4
= 6,697.66
Or using tables:
= 1,500 + (1,500 × 3.465)
= 6,697.50
Answers 151
23 Financial mathematics 2
1 B Current rate is 6% pa payable monthly
Effective rate is 6/12% = ½% compound every month
In the six months from January to June, interest earned =
($1,000 × [1.005]
6
) – $1,000 = $30.38
Option A is incorrect since it is simply 6% × $1,000 = $60 in one year, then divided by 2 to give $30
in six months.
Option C represents the annual interest payable (6% × $1,000 = $60 pa).
Option D is also wrong since this has been calculated (incorrectly) as follows.
0.05 × $1,000 = $50 per month
Over six months = $50 × 6
= $300 in six months
2
270
$2,070 = 115% of the original investment
Original investment =
115
100
× $2,070
= $1,800
Interest = $2,070 – $1,800
= $270
Make sure that you always tackle this type of question by establishing what the original investment
was first.
3 C If costs fall by 2½% per annum on a compound basis then at the end of the year they will be worth
0.975 of the value at the start of the year.
Therefore after five years, costs will have fallen to $160,000 × (0.975)
5
= $140,975
Option A is calculated as $160,000 × (0.975)
6
= $137,450, ie the value at the end of six years instead
of five which is incorrect.
Option B is wrong because it has been calculated using 0.875 instead of 0.975 in error (2.5 × 5 =
12.5, 100 – 12.5 = 87.5 or 0.875).
Option D is simply 97.5% of $160,000 = $156,000 which is also wrong.
4 C If a cost declines by 5% per annum on a compound basis, then at the end of the first year it will be
worth 0.95 the original value.
Now = $10,000
End of year 1 = $10,000 × 0.95
End of year 2 = $10,000 × 0.95
2
End of year 3 = $10,000 × 0.95
3
End of year 4 = $10,000 × 0.95
4
At the end of year 4, $10,000 will be worth $10,000 × (0.95)
4
= $8,145
Option A was calculated as $10,000 × 0.95
5
= $7,738 which is incorrect as this gives the value of
$10,000 after five years, not four.
152 Answers
Option B assumes that the cost will have declined by 5% × 4 years = 20% after four years, ie 20% ×
$10,000 = $2,000 giving a cost after four years of $10,000 – $2,000 = $8,000. This option is also
incorrect.
Option D was incorrectly calculated as $10,000 × 0.95
3
= $8,574 (this is the value of $10,000 after
three years, not four).
5 C We need to calculate the effective rate of interest.
8% per annum (nominal) is 2% per quarter. The effective annual rate of interest is [1.02
4
– 1] =
0.08243 = 8.243%.
Now we can use S = X(1 + r)
n
S = 12,000 (1.08243)
3
S = $15,218.81
The principal will have grown to approximately $15,219.
Option A is incorrect because this represents $12,000 × (1.08)
3
= $15,117. You forgot to calculate
the effective annual rate of interest of 8.243%.
Option B represents the present value of $12,000 at the end of three years, ie $12,000 × 0.794 (from
present value tables) at an interest rate of 8%.
Option D represents the cumulative present value of $12,000 for each of the next three years at an
interest rate of 8%.
6 B Effective annual rate = [(1 + r)
12/n
– 1] when n = number of months.
We want a monthly rate and so n = 1.
0.3 = [(1 + r)
12
– 1]
0.3 + 1 = (1 + r)
12
(1.3)
1/12
= 1 + r
1.0221 = 1 + r
0.221 = r
2.21% = r
The formula for calculating the effective annual rate is not provided in your examination, so make sure that
you can reproduce it – that is the only way that you'll get the correct answer to this question.
7 32,000
Sr = R
N
(Ar + P) – P
S × 0.07 = (1.07)
20
[(3,000 × 0.07) + 500] – 500
0.07S = (1.07)
20
(710) – 500
S =
07 . 0
500 ) 710 ( ) 07 . 1 (
20
÷
S = 32,106.8
S = $32,000 to the nearest $'000
Make sure that you can manipulate formulae confidently. In this OT you were given all of the
information that you needed to answer the question correctly – you just needed to use it properly!
Answers 153
8 C S =
1 R
) 1 A(R
2
÷
÷
S × (R – 1) = A(R
2
– 1)
A
S
=
1 R
1 R
2
÷
÷
A
S
=
) 1 (R
)* 1 )(R 1 (R
÷
+ ÷
A
S
= R + 1
R =
A
S
– 1
*(R – 1)(R + 1) = R
2
+R – R – 1 = R
2
– 1
This is another OT question that requires you to be able to manipulate formulae accurately and
confidently. Make sure that you understand this solution before you move onto the next question.
9 D Effective quarterly rate = 1% (4% ÷ 4)
Effective annual rate = [(1.01)
4
– 1]
= 0.0406 = 4.06% pa
Remember that the formula for calculating the effective annual rate is not provided in your
examination.
You should have been able to eliminate options A and B immediately. 1% is simply 4% ÷ 4 = 1%. 4%
is the nominal rate and is therefore not the effective annual rate of interest.
10 C Using the formula S = X(1 + r)
n
where X = $2,500
r = 0.08
n = 3
S = $2,500 × (1 + 0.08)
3
= $3,149 (to the nearest $)
Option A is incorrect as it represents a total growth of 8% for 3 years, ie $2,500 × 1.08 =$2,700.
Option B represents an increase of 24% after 3 years (3 × 8% = 24%), ie $2,500 × 1.24 = $3,100.
This option is incorrect.
Option D represents $2,500 invested four years ago instead of three, ie $2,500 × (1.08)
4
= $3,401.
This is incorrect since the question states that the investment was made exactly three years ago.
154 Answers
24 Financial mathematics 3
1 A The actual rate is 1% per calendar month and so the value of the deposit after 6 months is $500 ×
(1.01)
6
= $530.76.
If you selected option B, you incorrectly calculated 12% of $500.
If you selected option C, you calculated 6% of $500 but have not allowed for monthly compounding.
If you selected option D, you have assumed that the 12% is not nominal and that the rate per
calendar month is actually 0.95%.
2 D If the value of the asset falls by 20% per year, it is worth 80% of its value at the beginning of the year
at the end of each year.
100% – 20% = 80% = 0.8
$100,000 × (0.8)
5
= $32,768
If you selected option A, you incorrectly calculated the present value of $100,000 discounted at 20%
over 5 years.
Option B represents 20% of $100,000 which is incorrect.
If you selected option C you incorrectly depreciated $100,000 at 80% per annum instead of 20%.
3 C If the cost declines by 7% per annum on a compound basis, then at the end of year 5 it will be worth
$20,000 × 0.93
5
= $13,914.
Option A is incorrect as this is the value of $20,000 after 6 years.
Option B assumes that the cost will have declined by 7% × 5 years = 35% after 5 years ie, 35% ×
$20,000 = $7,000. $20,000  $7,000 = $13,000.
Option D is incorrect as this is the value of $20,000 after 4 years.
4 B If house prices rise at 2% per calendar month, this is equivalent to
(1.02)
12
= 1.268 or 26.8% per annum
If you selected option A, you forgot to take the effect of compounding into account, ie 12 × 2% =
24%.
If you chose answer C, you correctly calculated that (1.02)
12
= 1.268 but then incorrectly translated
this into 12.68% instead of 26.8%.
If you selected option D, you forgot to raise 1.02 to the power 12, and instead you multiplied it by 12.
5
8,195
Depreciation of 15% = an annual ratio of 0.85
Depreciation of 10% = an annual ratio of 0.90
Depreciation of 2% = an annual ratio of 0.98
Value of car after 8 years = $17,000 × 0.85
1
× 0.90
5
× 0.98
2
= $8,195
Answers 155
6 A The monthly rate of increase = [(1.21)
1/12
– 1]
= 0.01601
= 1.601%
Therefore, over eight months
$80,000 × (1.01601)
8
= $90,840
If you selected option B, you have incorrectly calculated the increase in house price as
$80,000 × 8/12 × 21% = $11,200
$80,000 + $11,200 = $91,200
You have not taken the compounding effect into account.
If you selected option C, you have incorrectly calculated the increase in house price as follows.
1.21 × 8/12 = 0.80667
$80,000 × 1.080667 = $86,453
If you selected option D, you have correctly calculated that (1.21)
8/12
= 1.135508 but then you have
incorrectly interpreted this as an increase of 11.35508% rather than 13.5508%.
7
10,700
Future value = $6,500 × (1.08)
4
× (1.1)
2
= $10,700
If you didn't get this answer, rework the question, making sure that you apply the correct interest
rates to the correct time periods.
8 D A decline in value of 25% gives an annual value ratio of 0.75 and so the monthly ratio is given by
(0.75)
1/12
= 0.9763. This is equivalent to a monthly rate of decline of 2.37% (100 – 97.63).
If you selected option A, you divided 25% by 12 giving 2.08% and have therefore ignored the effect
of compounding.
If you selected option B, you have correctly calculated (0.75)
1/12
= 0.976 but have incorrectly
translated this into 9.76% decline per month. 0.976 or 97.6% represents a monthly rate of decline of
(100 – 97.6)% = 2.4%.
If you selected option C, you have divided the annual ratio by 12, giving 0.75/12 = 0.0625, and
translated this into 6.25%. The correct calculation is 1 – (0.75)
1/12
.
9 B The price of the bond has increased to
50
75
= 150% over 5 years
The annual increase = (1.5)
1/5
– 1
= 1.084 – 1
= 0.084 or 8.4% pa
If you selected option A, you forgot to take account of compounding and simply divided 50% by 5 =
10% per annum.
If you selected option C, you have incorrectly assumed that a price rise of $25 over 5 years is the
same as a percentage increase of 25% over 5 years or 25%/5 = 5% per annum.
If you selected option D, you have calculated the annual ratio correctly, ie 1.084 but you have
incorrectly translated this into 10.84% instead of 8.4% per annum.
10 C The annual rate of increase = 21%.
156 Answers
Sixmonth rate of increase = (1.21)
1/2
Let value at beginning of six months = x
x × 1.1 = $90,000
x =
1 . 1
000 , 90 £
= $81,818
If you selected option A, you incorrectly calculated the sixmonth rate to be half of the annual rate, ie
21% ÷ 2 = 10.5% and then decreased $90,000 by 10.5%.
If you selected option B, you have forgotten that the original value is not $90,000 × 90% but $90,000
÷ 1.1 = $81,818.
If you selected option D, you did not take account of compounding when calculating the sixmonth
rate (it is not 21% ÷ 2 = 10.5%).
25 Financial mathematics 4
1 D $1,200 × (1 + cumulative present value factor at 14%) = $5,319.60, where 1 in the brackets takes
account of the payment now, at time 0.
1 + cumulative PV factor at 14% = $5,319.60 ÷ $1,200 = 4.433
Cumulative PV factor at 14% = 4.433 – 1 = 3.433
From looking in cumulative PV tables in the 14% column we see that this PV factor corresponds to
that for 5 years from now.
The final payment is 5 years from now but the lease runs out 12 months after the final payment.
The length of the lease is therefore 6 years.
Remember that cumulative present value tables show the present value of $1 per annum, receivable or
payable at the end of each year. Adding 1 to the cumulative present value factor takes account of payments
made now, at time 0 as stated above.
2 C Present value of annuity of $1 for 5 years at 5% is $4.329 (from cumulative PV tables).
If PV = $60,000, annual amount must be
329 . 4
000 , 60 $
= $13,860.
Option A was calculated as follows.
years 5
000 , 60 $
= $12,000 pa (incorrect)
Option B was calculated as follows.
) 1 329 . 4 (
000 , 60 $
+
=
329 . 5
000 , 60 $
= $11,259 (incorrect)
This option assumes that the annuity begins now and not in one year's time.
Option D was calculated (incorrectly) as follows.
$60,000 × (1.05)
5
= $76,577
This option is calculating how $60,000 grows at a rate of 5% per annum (which was not the
requirement of the question).
3 C
Rental payments
Answers 157
NOW 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
YEAR 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Present value of the lease for years 1 – 5 = $500 × 4.1 (from cumulative present value tables)
PV of lease for years 0 – 5 = $500 × (1 + 4.1)
= $500 × 5.1
= $2,550
Option A is incorrect because it uses present value tables over years 16, ie PV = $500 × 6 = $3,000.
$3,000 × 0.666 = $1,998 (0.666 is from PV tables, 6 years at 7%).
Option B is calculated using cumulative PV tables for 6 years at 7% (instead of 1 plus the value for 5
years), ie $500 × 4.767 = $2,383. This calculation is incorrect.
Option D is also incorrect since it uses the cumulative present value tables at 7% for 1 plus 6 years,
ie 1 + 4.767 = 5.767. $500 × 5.767 = $2,883.5 is not the correct answer.
4 A Present value of the lease for years 19 = $8,000 × 5.328
Present value of the lease for years 09 = $8,000 × (1 + 5.328)
= $8,000 × 6.328
= $50,624
Option B is the present value of the lease for years 19 only, ie $8,000 × 5.328 = $42,624. If the first
payments are made now then you must remember to add a 1 to the 5.328.
Option C is the present value of the lease for years 110 (the first payment being made in one year's
time), ie $8,000 × 5.650 = $45,200.
Option D is incorrect because it represents the present value of the lease for years 110 plus an
additional payment now, ie $8,000 × (1 + 5.650) = $53,200.
5 C
Rental payments
Now
1st 2nd 3rd 4th
END
5th
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Let x = annual rental
Present value of the rentals for years 14 = x × 3.170
Present value of the rentals for years 04 = x × (1 + 3.170) = 4.170x
158 Answers
We know that the present value of the rentals is $32,800.
$32,800 = 4.170x
x =
170 . 4
800 , 32 $
= $7,866 (to the nearest $)
Option A is incorrect since this is simply equal to 10% × $32,800 = $3,280.
Option B is also incorrect since this represents $32,800 ÷ 5 years = $6,560 per annum.
Option D is the annual rental in years 15 at 10% starting in one year's time, ie $32,800 ÷ 3.791 =
$8,652.
6 D $
PV of $1,200 in one year = $1,200 × 0.926 = 1,111.20
PV of $1,400 in two years = $1,400 × 0.857 = 1,199.80
PV of $1,600 in three years = $1,600 × 0.794 = 1,270.40
PV of $1,800 in four years = $1,800 × 0.735 = 1,323.00
7 C There are ten flows but one is at time 0. We therefore need to look up the present value of $1 per
annum received at the end of nine years at an interest rate of 8% in cumulative present value tables =
6.247.
Present value of cash flows = $1,000 × (1 + 6.247)*
= $1,000 × 7.247
= $7,247
* We need to add 1 to the annuity factor for years 19 since the first rent is to be paid now.
Option A is incorrect since it represents the present value of the cashflows in years 19 only (and
excludes the first payment that is made now). $1,000 × 6.247 = $6,247.
Option B is incorrect because it represents the ten rental payments starting in one year's time for ten
years, ie $1,000 × 6.710 = $6,710.
Option D represents the present value of 11 payments, the first payment now followed by 10 further
payments = $1,000 × (1 + 6.710) = $1,000 × 7.710 = $7,710. Remember that if there are ten
payments and the first one is made now, there will only be nine further payments (not ten).
8 C The IRR is calculated by equating the present value of costs with present value of benefits.
PV(costs) = 10,000
PV($7,000 in year 1) = 7,000/(1 + r) = 7,000/x
PV($5,000 in year 2) = 5,000/(1 + r)
2
= 5,000/x
2
Equating the present value of costs with the present value of benefits gives:
10,000 =
x
000 , 7
+
2
x
000 , 5
Multiply each term by x
2
10,000x
2
= 7,000x + 5,000
So 10x
2
– 7x – 5 = 0
which is the same as –10x
2
+ 7x + 5
Option C is therefore correct since I, II and III are all equations that would enable you to calculate the IRR.
Answers 159
Once you had established that I and II were valid equations, you should have been able to add III to
your list and reject IV straightway.
9 B The formula to calculate the IRR is a% +
A
A B
NPV
× (b  a) %
NPV  NPV
where a = one interest rate
b = other interest rate
NPV
a
= NPV at rate a
NPV
b
= NPV at rate b
IRR = 9% + % 1
4 22
22
×
+
= 9 + 0.85 = 9.85%
If you selected option A you took A to be 'the other interest rate', and you subtracted the 0.85 instead
of adding it.
You should have spotted that Options C and D were invalid because if the NPV is positive at one rate
and negative at another rate, the IRR will be somewhere between the two rates, ie between 9% and 10%.
10 D Project 4 has the highest NPV. When comparing projects it is the NPVs of each project which should
be calculated and compared. The correct answer is therefore D.
Mutually exclusive projects should not be selected by comparing IRRs. The project with the highest
NPV should be chosen. Option A is therefore incorrect.
Project 2 does not have the highest NPV  the criteria which should be used to select a project.
Option B is therefore incorrect.
Project 3 does not have the highest NPV – the criteria which should be used to select a project.
Option C is therefore incorrect.
26 Financial mathematics 5
1
$1,112.05
Annuity factor =
0.05
1


.

\

÷
23
(1.05)
1
1
= 13.489
Annuity =
f act or Annuit y
PV
=
13.489
180,000
= 13,344.63
Monthly repayment =
12
$13,344.63
= $1,112.05
160 Answers
2 C The following problems arise when using net present values to appraise an investment.
 Estimating future cash flows
 Selecting an appropriate discount rate
 Nonaccountants often find it difficult to understand the concept of net present value
Inflation will often be ignored when two alternative investments are being considered since both will
be affected by it. III is therefore not (generally) a problem with the use of net present values in
appraising projects.
3 D From present value tables, the relevant discount factor for four years at 4% is 0.855.
Present value of $500,000 = $500,000 × 0.855
= $427,500
From cumulative present value tables, the relevant annuity factor is 2.775 for years 13 at 4%. Since
investments are taking place at the beginning of the years, we take account of time 0 by adding 1 to
the annuity factor (1 + 2.775 = 3.775).
Annuity =
factor Annuity
value Present
=
775 . 3
500 , 427 $
= $113,245
= $113,000 (to the nearest $'000)
If you selected option A, you forgot to allow for the 6% growth per year and have simply divided
$500,000 by 4.
If you selected option B, you forgot to take account of the fact that the payments take place at the
beginning of each year and not at the end.
If you selected option C, you forgot to take the first payment (at time 0) into account and only
accounted for payments at the beginning of years 13.
4 B Let A = annual repayments
These repayments, A, are an annuity for 15 years at 9%.
Annuity (A) =
factor Annuity
mortgage of value Present
Present value of mortgage = $30,000
Annuity factor = 8.061 (9%, 15 years from CDF tables)
Annuity =
061 . 8
000 , 30 $
= $3,720 (to the nearest $10)
If you selected option A, you seem to have confused mortgages with sinking funds and have
calculated the present value of the mortgage as if it occurred at time 15 instead of time 0.
If you selected option C, you have forgotten to take account of interest rates (ie 9% for 15 years).
You have simply divided $30,000 by 15.
If you selected option D, you have not taken account of the fact that the repayments happen at the
year end and that the first repayment is in one year's time, not now.
Answers 161
5 C Annual ratio = 1.04 = 3month ratio
4
3 month ratio =
4
1.04 = 1.00985
The percentage rise in prices is therefore (1.00985 – 1) × 100% = 0.985%
6
12.99%
(1 + R) = (1+ r)
n
Option 1: r = 0.031, n = 4
1 + R = 1.031
4
1 + R = 1.1299
R = 12.99%
Option 2: r = 0.047, n = 2
1 + R = 1.047
2
1 + R = 1.0962
R = 9.62%
7 B Present value = Annuity(DF year 6 – DF year 1)
52,765 = Annuity(4.767 – 0.935)
Annuity = 52,765/3.832
= $13,770
If you chose option A you have used the discount factors for years 7 and 2 instead of years 6 and 1.
Remember that the cumulative present value table shows the present value at the end of each year.
8 D The IRR is the discount rate at which the NPV = 0 and hence it is the percentage return paid by the
investment.
There is no special name for the discount rate which should be used in different circumstances.
If the rate charged on loans was to equal the internal rate of return, the investment would not make a profit.
There is no special name for the probability of making a profit on an investment.
9 D Repayments of $3,290 = annuity for fifteen years at 7%
Present value of annuity = $30,000
Mortgage is to be closed immediately after the eighth annual repayment.
PV of annuity = PV of $3,290 at 7% for 8 years + amount outstanding at time 8 at 7%
$30,000 = ($3,290 × 5.971) + (amount outstanding × 0.582)
$30,000 = $19,645 + (amount outstanding × 0.582)
$10,355 = Amount outstanding × 0.582
Amount outstanding =
582 . 0
355 , 10 $
= $17,792
If you selected option A, you have found the amount outstanding at time 9 instead of time 8.
If you selected option B, you have found the amount outstanding immediately before the eighth
payment instead of immediately after it.
If you selected option C, you have forgotten to take into account any interest due $30,000 – (8 ×
$3,290) = $3,680
162 Answers
10 D I Net present value is not directly concerned with price inflation, nor does it just measure costs
unless specifically described as the net present value of costs.
II In general, the project with the highest NPV is preferable but in deciding between two projects
there are also other factors to consider.
III Net present value considers cash flows not profit.
IV A net present value is the amount which, if invested now, would generate the net income of a
project. So A's NPV of $3,000 can be seen as the current amount which is equivalent to A's
net income.
Statements II and IV are therefore correct and the answer is therefore D.
27 Financial mathematics 6
1 A Future value of annuity = A ×
( )
( ) 1 R
1 R
n
÷
÷
where A = $100
n = 6
R = 1 + 0.04 = 1.04
Future value of annuity = $100 ×
) 1 04 . 1 (
) 1 04 . 1 (
6
÷
÷
= $100 × 6.63
= $663
If you selected option B, you used the correct formula but used n = 5 instead of n = 6.
If you selected option C, you seem to have confused the interest rate and the number of time periods
in the formula.
If you selected option D, you have calculated the future value of the annuity, $663 and then
discounted it using the present value tables, ie $633 × 0.822 = $545. This is obviously incorrect as
the question asked for the future value of the annuity.
2
$62,920
Present value = Annuity(DF year 19 – DF year 4)
= $10,000(9.604 – 3.312)
= $62,920
3 A IRR = a% +
A
A B
NPV
(b a) %
NPV NPV
× ÷
÷
Where a = one interest rate = 8%
b = other interest rate = 9%
NPV
a
= NPV at rate A = $18,000
NPV
b
= NPV at rate B = –$11,000
IRR = 8% + % ) 8 9 (
) 000 , 11 $ ( 000 , 18 $
000 , 18 $
÷ ×
÷ ÷
= 8% + 0.62%
Answers 163
= 8.62%
If you selected option B, you used A = NPV at rate B and B = NPV at rate A and therefore divided the
range from 8% to 9% in the ratio 11:18 instead of 18:11.
If you selected option C, you have simply taken the midpoint [(8 + 9) ÷ 2 = 8.50%]. The IRR is the
discount rate where NPV = 0.
If you selected option D, you have not accounted for the fact that the NPV at 9% is negative.
4 A From PV tables, at 8% and at time 15, discount factor = 0.315.
PV of final fund = $55,000 × 0.315
= $17,325
Annuity =
factor Annuity
annuity of PV
Annuity = $2,000
Annuity factor = 8.244 (14 years)
PV of annuity = Annuity × annuity factor
= $2,000 × 8.244
= $16,488
PV of final payment = PV final amount – PV of annuity
= $17,325 – $16,488
= $837
However, we need to know the value of $837 at time 15 (from tables, discount factor = 0.315).
Payment required at time 15 =
315 . 0
837 $
= $2,660 (to 3 significant figures)
If you selected option B, you have failed to account for the growth of the fund at 8%, ie $55,000 –
(14 × $2,000) = $27,000.
If you selected option C, you have forgotten to convert the present value of the final payment ($837)
into the value of the actual payment that will be required at time 15.
If you selected option D, you have assumed that $2,000 will be paid for 15 years (it should be 14
years) so you have carried out the correct method but used an incorrect annuity factor of 8.559
instead of 8.244.
5 B The present value of an annuity from time 310 = present value of annuity from time 110 minus the
present value of annuity from time 12.
PV annuity = $3,000 × (7.360 – 1.833)
= $3,000 × 5.527
= $16,581
If you selected option A, you forgot to subtract the present value of years 12.
If you chose option C, you used the PV tables instead of the cumulative PV tables and subtracted the
PV at time 10 from time 2.
If you selected option D, you have used the correct method but you have subtracted the PV of time
13 instead of the PV of time 12.
164 Answers
6 B The IRR can be calculated using the following formula.
IRR = a% +
A
A B
NPV
(b a) %
NPV NPV
× ÷
÷
where a = 5%
b = 12%
NPV
a
= $230
NPV
b
= $160
IRR = 5% + % ) 5 12 (
160 $ 230 $
230 $
÷ ×
÷
= 5% + [3.2857 × 7]
= 28%
If you chose option A, you must realise that it is possible to use either two positive or two negative
NPVs as well as a positive and negative NPV. Using the former method, however, the results will be
less accurate.
If you selected option C, you have used an NPV of –$160 instead of +$160 in your calculation.
If you selected option D, you have taken the arithmetic mean of 5% and 12% instead of using the IRR
formula.
7
2.05%
(1 + r)
12
= 1.276
1 + r =
12
1.276
1 + r = 1.0205
r = 2.05%
8 C The payments made on a credit card are an annuity of $x per month.
From cumulative present value tables (3%, 12 periods) the annuity factor is 9.954.
If Annuity =
factor Annuity
annuity of PV
Annuity =
954 . 9
500 , 10 $
= $1,055
If you selected option A, you have simply divided $10,500 by 12 without any reference to
discounting.
If you selected option B, you have misread the cumulative present value tables (and used the annuity
factor for 12% and 3 periods instead of 12 periods and 3%).
If you selected option D, you have calculated the present value of $10,500 in 12 time periods at a
discount rate of 3% instead of finding the monthly annuity whose present value over 12 months at
3% gives $10,500.
Answers 165
9 D I The decision rule for NPV is to accept all investments with a positive NPV
II NPV is an absolute measure (usually NPV is given in $) and is therefore superior to IRR which
is a relative measure (percentage)
III As the discount rate increases, the NPV decreases
IV This is the definition of Net Present Value
I, II, III and IV are all correct and option D is therefore the correct answer.
10
$250,000
The perpetuity formula is PV =
r
1
Amount to invest now = $15,000 ×
0.06
1
= $250,000
28 Financial mathematics 7
1
7
%
Present value of an annuity = PV
Annuity = a
Using the formula a =
factor Annuity
PV
1,494.87 =
ctor Annuity fa
500 , 10
Annuity factor = 7.024
An annuity factor of 7.024 corresponds to a period of 10 years at an interest rate of 7% (from cumulative
present value tables).
2
267.65
$200 × (1.06)
5
= $267.65
3 $
5,000
PV = annuity ×


.

\

+
÷
n
r) 1 (
1
1
33,550 = $X ×


.

\



.

\

+
÷
10
) 08 . 0 1 (
1
1
08 . 0
1
$X =
71 . 6
550 , 33
$X = $5,000
166 Answers
4 $
84,000
Year
Payment Discount factor Present value
$ 8% $
0 20,000 1 20,000
1 x 0.926 0.926x
2 x 0.857 0.857x
3 x 0.794 0.794x
4 x 0.735 0.735x
3.312x
The present value of the four equal payments is $26,496.
Therefore each payment = x =
312 . 3
992 , 52
= $16,000.
The total amount to be paid during the lease period is therefore
($20,000 + (4 × $16,000)) = $20,000 + $64,000 = $84,000.
5 False 3
The difference between the total present value of a stream of cashflows at a given rate of discount, and the
initial capital outlay is known as the internal rate of return.
The internal rate of return is the rate of return on an investment.
6
9
%
Annuity =
factor Annuity
annuity of value Present
Annuity factor =
260 , 19
400 , 86
= 4.486
From tables, this annuity factor corresponds to an interest rate of 9% over six years.
7
5.206
Don't get caught out by the irrelevant information given to you in this question. You simply need to look up
8% over 7 periods in the cumulative present value tables which is 5.206.
8 $
12,656.25
Using the compound interest formula, V = X(l + r)
n
, we have X = $40,000, r = –0.25, n = 4
V = 40,000 (1 – 0.25)
4
= 12,656.25
Written down value = $12,656.25
Answers 167
9
1,084
Using the compound interest formula, V = X(1 + r)
n
, we have
V = $2,728.90, r = 0.08, n = 12
2,728.90 = X(1 + 0.08)
12
12
) 08 . 0 1 (
90 . 728 , 2
+
= X = $1,083.68
The original principal to the nearest $ = $1,084
10
$1,333.58
Annuity factor =
0.04
1


.

\

÷
25
(1.04)
1
1
= 15.622
Annuity =
f act or Annuit y
PV
=
15.622
250,000
= 16,002.99
Monthly repayment =
12
$16,002.99
= $1,333.58
29 Financial mathematics 8
1 $
480,000
The present value of a perpetuity is:
PV =
r
a
where a = annuity = $24,000
r = cost of capital as a proportion = 5% = 0.05
PV =
05 . 0
000 , 24
= $480,000
168 Answers
2
11.65
There are no excuses for getting this one wrong! Simply insert the values for r and n into the equation, plug
the numbers into your calculator (in the correct order of course!). Calculate them stepbystep (as we have
shown below) if you are a little uncomfortable using a calculator for more complicated formulae.
PV =
04 . 0
1
–
16
) 04 . 0 1 ( 04 . 0
1
+
= 25 –
16
) 04 . 1 ( 04 . 0
1
= 25 –
87298 . 1 04 . 0
1
×
= 25 –
0749192 . 0
1
= 25 – 13.35
= 11.65
3 $
10,626
Year
Cashflow Discount factor Present value
$ 9% $
0 (45,000) 1 (45,000)
16 12,400 4.486 55,626
NPV =
10,626
Remember to use the cumulative present value tables (and not the present value tables).
4
18
%
The internal rate of return (IRR) of the investment can be calculated using the following formula.
IRR = a% + % a) (b
NPVb NPVa
NPVa


.

\

÷ ×
÷
where a = first interest rate = 12%
b = second interest rate = 20%
NPVa = first NPV = $24,000
NPVb = second NPV = $(8,000)
IRR = 12% + % 12) (20
8,000 24,000
24,000


.

\

÷ ×
+
= 12% + 6% = 18%
5 $
30.19
Current rate is 3% pa payable monthly.
Effective rate is 3/12% = 1/4% compound every month
In the six months from July to December, interest earned
= ($2,000 × (1.0025)
6
) – $2,000
= $30.19
Answers 169
6 False 3
If the value of the asset falls by 15% per year, at the end of each year it is worth 85% of its value at the
beginning of the year.
100% – 15% = 85%
$400,000 × (0.85)
5
= $177,482.13
However, the question asks you to state your answer to the nearest $, ie $177,482.
Remember to read the requirements of questions very carefully!
7 $
11,269
There are 12 quarters in a threeyear period, so n = 12
Future value = $10,000 × (1.01)
12
= $11,269
8 $
300,885
If costs fall by 8% per annum on a compound basis then at the end of the year they will be worth 0.92 of the
value at the start of the year.
Therefore at the end of four years, costs will have fallen to $420,000 × (0.92)
4
= $300,885.
9
12.55
%
Nominal interest rate = 12% pa
=
4
% 12
= 3% compound payable four times per year
APR = [(1 + r)
12/n
– 1]
= (1 + 0.03)
4
– 1
= 12.55% pa
If you selected one of the other options you used the APR formula incorrectly – make sure you go back and
revise this topic.
10 3 $510,513
$400,000 × (1.05)
5
= $510,513
170 Answers
30 Financial mathematics 9
1 Present value of final fund = $
56,700
to the nearest $
Present value of annuity = $
41,220
to the nearest $
Payment required at time 15 = $
49,143
to the nearest $
From PV tables, at 8% and at time 15, discount factor = 0.315.
PV of final fund = $180,000 × 0.315 = $56,700
Annuity =
factor Annuity
annuity of PV
Annuity = $5,000
Annuity factor = 8.244 (14 years)
PV of annuity = Annuity × annuity factor
= $5,000 × 8.244 = $41,220
PV of final payment = PV final amount – PV annuity
= $56,700 – $41,220 = $15,480
However, we need to know the value of $15,480 at time 15 (from tables, discount factor = 0.315)
Payment required at time 15 =
315 . 0
480 , 15 $
= $49,143 (to the nearest $)
2 $
10,100
Using the formula S = X(1 + r)
n
where X = $8,000
r = 0.06
n = 4
S = $8,000 × (1 + 0.06)
4
= $10,099.82
= $10,100 (to the nearest $)
3 $
43,132.42
Using the formula S = X(1 + r)
n
where S = $84,848
n = 10
r = 7% = 0.07
$84,848 = X(1 + 0.07)
10
X =
10
) 07 . 1 (
848 , 84 $
X = $43,132.42 (to 2 decimal places)
Answers 171
4
23.16
%
Using the formula S = X(1 + r)
n
where S = $54,600
n = 15
X = $2,400
$54,600 = $2,400 × (1 + r)
15
400 , 2 $
600 , 54 $
= (1 + r)
15
15
400 , 2
600 , 54
= 1 + r
1.2316 = 1 + r
r = 1.2316 – 1
= 0.2316
= 23.16%
The annual rate of interest is 23.16% to 2 decimal places.
5
Year Cashflow Discount factor Present value
$ $
0 (5,000) 1.000 (5,000)
1 (2,000) 0.862 (1,724)
2 7,000 0.743 5,201
3 6,000 0.641 3,846
Net present value = 2,323
6 Present value of perpetuity = $
35,000
to the nearest $
Net present value of project = $
9,000
to the nearest $
The present value of a perpetuity =
r
a
where a = $4,200
r = 12% = 0.12
PV of cash inflows =
12 . 0
200 , 4 $
= $35,000
$
Present value of cash inflows 35,000
Less: initial investment 26,000
Net present value of project 9,000
172 Answers
7 $
7,855
Using cumulative present value tables:
We require the 15% factor for years 3 – 7.
Cumulative discount factor for years 1 – 7 at 15%
4.160
Less: cumulative discount factor for years 1 – 2 at 15% 1.626
Cumulative discount factor for years 3 – 7 at 15% 2.534
Annuity =
factor discount Cumulative
PV
$3,100 =
534 . 2
PV
PV = $3,100 × 2.534
= $7,855.4
= $7,855 (to the nearest $)
8
15.6
%
The IRR can be calculated using the following formula.
IRR = a% +
A
A B
NPV
(b a) %
NPV NPV
× ÷
÷
where a = 10%
b = 17%
NPV
a
= $8,000
NPV
b
= –$2,000
IRR = 10% + [
) 000 , 2 $ ( 000 , 8 $
000 , 8 $
÷ ÷
× (17 – 10)]%
= 10% + 5.6%
= 15.6%
9 3
3
) 09 . 1 (
000 , 40 $
We need to find the present value of $40,000 received in three years' time. Using the discounting formula
(where x = present value).
X = S ×
n
r) 1 (
1
+
X =
3
) 9 . 0 1 (
000 , 40 $
+
Answers 173
10 $
72,564
Repayments of $8,000 = annuity for fifteen years at 7%
PV of annuity = $90,000
Mortgage is to be closed immediately after the eighth annual repayment.
PV of annuity = PV of $8,000 at 7% for 8 years + amount outstanding at time 8 at 7%.
$90,000 = ($8,000 × 5.971) + (amount outstanding × 0.582)
$90,000 = $47,768 + (amount outstanding × 0.582)
$42,232 = amount outstanding × 0.582
Amount outstanding =
582 . 0
232 , 42 $
= $72,564
31 Financial mathematics 10
1 3 If the NPV of an investment at r% is positive, the NPV will be negative at a rate of s% if s% is
less than r%
The NPV falls as the discount rate increases and so a lower discount rate will result in a higher NPV.
3 The IRR can be obtained exactly using algebra whereas the graphical method provides only an
approximate rate for the IRR
The algebraic and graphical methods both approximate the behaviour of the IRR as discount rates increase
and decrease as linear, whereas the behaviour is curvilinear.
2
3.570503
There are no excuses for getting this one wrong!
Simply insert the values for r and n into the equation, plug the numbers into your calculator (in the correct
order of course!). Calculate them stepbystep (as we have shown below) if you are a little uncomfortable
using a calculator for a more complicated formula.
PV =
25 . 0
1
–
10
) 25 . 0 1 ( 25 . 0
1
+
= 4 –
10
) 25 . 0 1 ( 25 . 0
1
+
= 4 –
4 3283064365 . 2
1
= 4 – 0.4294967296 = 3.570503
174 Answers
3 $
1,371
PV of $8,000 in one year's time =
1 . 1
000 , 8 $
= 7,272.727272
PV of $6,000 in four years' time =
4
) 1 . 1 (
000 , 6 $
=
4,098.080732
11,370.808004
Less: $10,000 spent now
10,000.000000
1,370.808004
$1,370.808004 to the nearest whole number = $1,371
4 $
181,000
From present value tables, the relevant discount factor for four years at 4% is 0.855.
Present value of $800,000 = $800,000 × 0.855
= $684,000
From cumulative present value tables, the relevant annuity factor is 2.775 for years 1 – 3 at 4%. Since
investments are taking place at the beginning of the years, we take account of time 0 by adding 1 to the
annuity factor (1 + 2.775 = 3.775).
Annuity =
factor Annuity
PV
=
775 . 3
000 , 684 $
= $181,192
= $181,000 (to the nearest $'000)
5 $
42,000
We can use compound interest techniques with a negative rate of interest to calculate the depreciation rate
per annum.
Let x = depreciation rate per annum
$100,000 × (1 + (–x))
4
= $50,000
(1 – x)
4
=
000 , 100 $
000 , 50 $
(1 – x)
4
= 0.5
1 – x =
4
5 . 0
1 – x = 0.841
x = 1 – 0.841
x = 0.159
= 16%
Therefore, after another year, the machine will have depreciated by a further 16%, ie
$50,000 × 16% = $8,000
Value of machine = $50,000 – $8,000
= $42,000
Answers 175
6 $
16,980
Final value of mortgage = $100,000 × (1.11)
10
= $283,942
The final value of the mortgage must equal the sum of the repayments.
The sum of the repayments is a geometric progression with
X = X (annuity)
R = 1.11
n = 10
$283,942 =
1 11 . 1
) 1 11 . 1 X(
10
÷
÷
) 1 11 . 1 (
11 . 0 942 , 283 $
10
÷
×
= X
X = $16,980
(The difference of $1 is due to rounding)
7
Value now Investment period Interest rate Final value
$ Years % $
55,000 4 7 72,093.78 (1)
55,000 5 14 105,897.80 (2)
55,000 4 21 117,897.38 (3)
Workings
(1) $55,000 × (1.07)
4
= $72,093.78
(2) $55,000 × (1.14)
5
= $105,897.80
(3) $55,000 × (1.21)
4
= $117,897.38
8 False 3
A perpetuity is an annuity which lasts forever.
9 $
2,817.55
The value of the fund at the end of eight years is a geometric progression with:
A = $A × 1.04
R =1.04
n = 8
The value of the sinking fund at the end of eight years is $27,000
$27,000 =
1 – 04 . 1
) 1 – 04 . 1 ( 04 . 1 A
8
×
A =
) 1 – 04 . 1 ( 04 . 1
04 . 0 000 , 27 $
8
×
176 Answers
=
383311812 . 0
080 , 1 $
= $2,817.55
10
Year Cashflow Discount factor Present value
$ 12% $
0 (56,000) 1.000 (56,000)
1 18,000 0.893 16,074
2 18,000 0.797 14,346
3 18,000 0.712 12,816
4 18,000 0.636 11,448
NPV = (1,316)
Project viable No 3
32 Interrelationships between variables 1
1
r =
) Y) ( Y )(n X) ( X n (
2 2 2 2
Y X XY n
¯ ÷ ¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
=
)) 330 ( ) 366 , 10 11 )(( ) 440 ( ) 986 , 17 11 ((
) 330 440 ( ) 467 , 13 11 (
2 2
÷ × ÷ ×
× ÷ ×
= 63 . 0
) 126 , 5 246 , 4 (
937 , 2
=
×
The above formula is provided in your exam. If you failed to get the correct answer, rework the
calculations carefully. Questions such as this are an easy source of marks as all of the information
required to answer it correctly are given to you in the question – you just need to plug the numbers
into the formula provided.
2 D R =
) 1 n(n
d 6
1
2
2
÷
¯
÷
R =
99 10
50 6
1
×
×
÷ = 0.70
If you selected option A, you omitted the '1' from the equation above.
If you selected option B, you didn't state your answer to two decimal places.
If you selected option C, you forgot to deduct your answer from 1. Make sure you perform the entire
calculation using the complete formula (which is provided in your exam) next time!
3 D If C = 1,000 + 250P, then fixed costs are $1,000 and variable costs are $250 per unit.
4 C From the data given, it is clear that the correlation is positive and strong. The correlation coefficient
describing a positive strong relationship is 0.98.
0.63
Answers 177
5 B If temperatures increase by one degree, X is replaced by (X + 1)
If X = X + 1
Y= 32 – 1.6 (X + 1)
Y = 32 – 1.6X – 1.6
Y = 30.4 – 1.6X
ie sales have now fallen by $32,000 – $30,400 = $1,600
If you selected option C, you have forgotten that sales are given in $'000s.
If you selected option D, you have forgotten that a negative sign in the regression equation means
that as X increases, Y decreases.
6 D The correlation coefficient of 0.9 is very close to 1 and so there is a very strong relationship between
x and y.
7 C Correlation coefficient, r = 0.85
Coefficient of determination, r
2
= 0.85
2
= 0.72
The coefficient of determination tells us that 72% of the variation in sales revenue can be explained
by the corresponding variation in advertising expenditure.
8
0.98
The formula for the correlation coefficient is provided in your exam. There are no excuses for getting
this question wrong.
Correlation coefficient, r =
] Y) ( Y [n ] X) ( X [n
Y X XY n
2 2 2 2
¯ ÷ ¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
=
] 42 542 4 [ ] 12 46 4 [
) 42 12 ( ) 157 4 (
2 2
÷ × ÷ ×
× ÷ ×
=
) 764 , 1 168 , 2 ( ) 144 184 (
504 628
÷ × ÷
÷
=
404 40
124
×
=
12 . 127
124
= 0.98 (to 2 decimal places)
178 Answers
9 B X = advertising expenditure
If X = 0
Y = 40 + 10X
Y = 40 + (10 × 0)
Y = 40
Therefore if nothing is spent on advertising, sales revenue will be $40 on average.
10 A
Critic 1 Critic 2 d d
2
Sunshine love 1.0 4.5 3.5 12.25
Oceanic war 2.5 1.0 1.5 2.25
Liaising dangerously 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.00
Dark stranger 5.0 2.0 3.0 9.00
The road to Crockham Hill 2.5 4.5 2.0 4.00
28.50
R = 1 –
) 1 25 ( 5
5 . 28 6
÷ ×
×
= –0.425
If you selected option B you subtracted 1 from 1.425 instead of the other way around.
If you selected option C, you forgot to subtract 1 from n
2
on the denominator of the equation thereby
having a denominator of 5 × 25 instead of 5 × (25 – 1).
If you selected option D, you forgot to subtract the 1 from n
2
on the denominator of the equation and
you stated the final result as a positive number rather than a negative number, ie
R = 1 –
25 5
5 . 28 6
×
×
= 1 – 1.368
= –0.368 (C) or + 3.68 (D)
Both workings are incorrect.
33 Interrelationships between variables 2
1 B I When an equation has the form y = a + bx, b gives the slope which is 5 in the equation y = 5x – 24.
II When an equation has the form y = a + bx, a gives the intersection on the y axis which is –24
in the equation y = 5x – 24.
III The slope of the equation is 5. The intercept on the y axis is 24.
IV The line cuts the y axis at –24. The line cuts the x axis at 4.8.
I and II are correct and the answer is therefore B.
Answers 179
2 C I High levels of correlation do not prove that there is cause and effect.
II A correlation coefficient of 0.73 would generally be regarded as indicating a strong linear
relationship between the variables.
III The coefficient of determination provides this information and is given by squaring the
correlation coefficient, resulting in 53% in this case.
IV The coefficient of determination provides this information and not the correlation coefficient.
Remember that you must square the correlation coefficient in order to obtain the coefficient of
determination.
Statements II and III are relevant and the correct answer is therefore C.
3 C The value X = 10 does not lie between 15 and 45 so we do not know whether or not the relationship
between the variables still holds for this value of X. We therefore cannot rely upon the estimate.
The sample size is quite large for this type of analysis and will provide reliable estimates. Option A
will not therefore reduce the reliability of the estimate.
The correlation coefficient is very close to –1, indicating a very strong relationship between the
variables which will provide reliable estimates. Option B will not therefore reduce the reliability of the
estimate.
The fact that the correlation coefficient is negative tells us that Y decreases as X increases but it says
nothing about the strength of the relationship between the variables nor the reliability of the
estimates. Option D is therefore an incorrect answer.
4 A Y = 50 + 7X
If we increase expenditure on advertising by $1, we replace X with (X + 1)
Y = 50 + 7(X + 1)
Y = 50 + 7X + 7
Y = 57 + 7X
Therefore, sales are now $57 on average, compared with $50 previously. Sales increase by $7 on
average.
If advertising costs are increased by $7
Y = 50 + 7(X + 7)
Y = 50 + 7X + 49
Y = 99 + 7X
Sales are increased by $49 on average.
Option B is therefore incorrect.
If Y = 50 + 7X
when advertising is zero, X = 0
Y = 50 + (7 × 0)
Y = 50 + 0
Y = 50
Therefore option D is incorrect.
5 C The independent variable is denoted by X and the dependent one by Y.
180 Answers
The variable to be forecast must always be Y. Option A is therefore incorrect.
In calculating the correlation coefficient, it does not matter which variable is X and which is Y, and a totally
different regression line equation will result if X and Y are interchanged. Option B is therefore incorrect.
The scatter diagram is used to show whether or not there is a relationship between X and Y and it
does not matter which variable is associated with a particular axis. Option D is therefore incorrect.
6
0.536
Rank Rank
Student English literature French d d
2
1 2 1 1 1
2 1 3 2 4
3 4 7 3 9
4 6 5 1 1
5 5 6 1 1
6 3 2 1 1
7 7 4 3 9
¯
¯d
2
= 26
Using the formula for Spearman's rank correlation coefficient, R
R = 1 –
) 1 n(n
d 6
2
2
÷
¯
= 1 –
) 1 49 ( 7
26 6
÷ ×
×
= 1 –
336
156
= 0.536
Note that the formula for the coefficient of rank correlation is provided in your exam.
7 B If nothing is spent on advertising, X = 0
Y = 5 + (2 × 0)
Y = 5 + 0
Y = 5
Therefore sales revenue is $5 × 10,000 = $50,000 on average when nothing is spent on advertising. II
is correct. IV is incorrect.
If $1,000 extra is spent on advertising, then X = X + 1
Y = 5 + 2 (X + 1)
Y = 5 + 2X + 2
Y = 7 + 2X
Increase in sales revenue when an extra $1,000 is spent on advertising is $20,000 ((7 – 5) ×
$10,000). III is correct and I is incorrect.
Answers 181
8 D When X = 20, we don't know anything about the relationship between X and Y since the sample data
only goes up to X = 10. I is therefore true.
Since a correlation coefficient of 0.8 would be regarded as strong (it is a high value) the estimate
would be reliable. II is therefore not true.
With such a small sample and the extrapolation required, the estimate is unlikely to be reliable. III is
therefore not true.
The sample of only six pairs of values is very small and is therefore likely to reduce the reliability of
the estimate. IV is therefore true.
The correct answer is therefore D.
9 B The coefficient of rank correlation can be interpreted in exactly the same way as the ordinary
correlation coefficient with values also ranging from –1 to +1.
10 D Y = 30 + 5X
When nothing is spent on advertising, X = 0.
Y = 30, ie sales revenue will be $30 on average (IV is correct).
If advertising expenditure increases by 1, ie if we replace X by (X + 1), we have
Y = 30 + 5(X + 1)
Y = 30 + 5X + 5
Y = 35 + 5X
ie sales revenue increases by $5 on average when expenditure on advertising increases by $1 (II is
correct).
34 Interrelationships between variables 3
1 C If sales are zero (Y = 0)
0 = 54 – 3x
3x = 54
x = 18
If sales (Y) are zero, the temperature is therefore 18°C.
Therefore I is correct and II and III are incorrect. You should have been able to eliminate options B
and D straightaway since sales cannot really be negative.
If temperature is 0°C (x = 0)
y = 54 – 3x
y = 54 – (3 × 0)
y = 54 – 0
y = 54
If the temperature is 0°C, sales are $54,000. IV is correct and the correct answer is C (Statements I
and IV being true).
182 Answers
2
0.99
Correlation coefficient, r =
) Y) ( Y )(n X) ( X n
Y X XY n
2 2 2 2
( ¯ ÷ ¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
=
) 400 278 , 32 5 ( ) 100 040 , 2 5 (
) 400 100 ( ) 104 , 8 5 (
2 2
÷ × × ÷ ×
× ÷ ×
=
390 , 1 200
520
×
=
3 . 527
520
= +0.99
The formula for the product moment correlation coefficient is provided in your examination. Answering a
question such as this is just a matter of plugging the correct numbers into the (given) formula.
3 B The least squares method of linear regression analysis involves using the following formulae for a
and b in Y = a + bX.
b =
2
X) ( X n
Y X XY n
2
¯ ÷ ¯
¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
=
2
100 ) 040 , 2 5 (
) 400 100 ( ) 104 , 8 5 (
÷ ×
× ÷ ×
=
000 , 10 200 , 10
000 , 40 520 , 40
÷
÷
=
200
520
= 2.6
At this stage, you can eliminate options A and C.
a = X b Y ÷
=
5
400
– 2.6 × (
5
100
)
= 28
The formulae above are provided in your examination.
4 False 3
The coefficient of determination (R
2
) explains the percentage variation in the dependent variable which is
explained by the independent variable.
Answers 183
5
11.00
Y = a + bX
If intercept (a) is $248, then Y = 248 + bX
If the value of Y is $523 and X is 25, then using the equation Y = 248 + bX we can determine the unknown
value of b (ie the slope) as follows.
523 = 248 + (b × 25)
523 – 248 = 25b
275 = 25b
b =
25
275
= +11.00
6 False 3
The rank correlation coefficient can be interpreted in exactly the same way as the ordinary correlation
coefficient, but data is given in terms of order or rank. A rank correlation coefficient of 0.94 indicates
that there is strong positive correlation between taste and looks of new desserts.
7 C +0.98
From the data given, it is clear that the correlation is positive and strong. The correlation coefficient
describing a strong positive relationship is +0.98.
8 3 Weekly fixed costs are approximately $1,500.
3 Variable costs are approximately $15 per unit on average.
3 Next week's production costs are likely to be about $9,000.
A linear equation of the form y = a + bx has fixed costs of a and variable costs per unit of b.
Fixed costs = $1,500
Variable costs = $15 per unit
If output = 500, total costs = $1,500 + ($15 × 500)
= $1,500 + $7,500
= $9,000
9 3 None of them
If r = 0.9, there is a high degree of correlation between weekly costs of production and production level.
Statement (i) is not correct.
If r = 0.9, r
2
(coefficient of determination) = 81% (0.9
2
) and 81% of the variation in weekly costs can be
explained by the amount produced. Statement (ii) is not correct.
If r = 0.9 and a linear pattern is evident, forecasts are likely to be reliable, not unreliable. Statement (iii) is not
correct.
10 3 Slope of a regression line
The correlation coefficient values lie between –1 and +1.
The slope of a regression line is its gradient and it is possible to have a gradient of –2.
The variance is the standard deviation squared and is always a positive value.
184 Answers
35 Interrelationships between variables 4
1 3 The slope of the equation if plotted on a graph is 4
3 The line cuts the yaxis at –15 if plotted on a graph
When an equation has the form y = a + bx, b gives the slope which is 4 in the equation y = 4x – 15.
When an equation has the form y = a + bx, a gives the intersection on the yaxis which is –15 in the equation
y = 4x – 15.
2
0.17
r =
] [
2 2 2 2
y) ( y [n ] x) ( x n
y x xy n
¯ ÷ ¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
=
   
2 2
15 130 6 2 30 6
) 15 2 ( ) 14 6 (
÷ × ÷ ×
× ÷ ×
=
555 176
30 84
×
÷
=
54 . 312
54
= 0.172777884
= 0.17 (to 2 decimal places)
3 y =
2 + 2.2x
x y x
2
xy
1 4 1 4
2 6 4 12
3 10 9 30
4 10 16 40
10 30 30 86
n = 4
b =
2 2
x) ( x n
y x xy n
¯ ÷ ¯
¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
=
( )
2
10 30 4
30 10 ) 86 4 (
÷ ×
× ÷ ×
=
20
44
= 2.2
a = y – b x = 
.

\

× ÷
4
10
2 . 2
4
30
= 2
Therefore y = 2 + 2.2x.
Answers 185
4
0.30
Rank
Astrologer Technical Artistic d d
2
Virgo 2 4 2 4
Libra 3 3 0 0
Scorpio 4 5 1 1
Sagittarius 5 2 3 9
Aquarius 1 1 0 0
14
R = 1 –
) 1 n(n
d 6
2
2
÷
¯
= 1 –
) 1 25 ( 5
) 14 6 (
÷ ×
×
= 1 – 0.7
= 0.30 (to 2 decimal places)
5 False 3
Correlation does not prove a causal link and this statement is therefore false.
The coefficient of determination is the square of the correlation coefficient.
6 x =
7.72 + 0.71y
Since the question asks for the regression line of x on y; x and y must therefore be interchanged in the
formula.
x y y
2
xy
9 2 4 18
10 3 9 30
9 1 1 9
8 1 1 8
9 2 4 18
45 9 19 83
n = 5
b =
2 2
x) ( x n
y x xy n
¯ ÷ ¯
¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
=
( )
2
9 ) 19 5 (
9 45 ) 83 5 (
÷ ×
× ÷ ×
=
14
10
=0.71
a = x – b y = 
.

\

× ÷
5
9
71 . 0
5
45
= 7.722 = 7.72 (to 2 decimal places)
Therefore, the equation is x = 7.72 + 0.71y
186 Answers
7 3 Fixed costs are $200. Variable costs per unit are $30.
If C = 200 + 30P, then fixed costs are the constant, $200 and variable costs are $30 per unit.
8
0.4624
The coefficient of determination, r
2
, measures the proportion of the total variation in the value of one variable
that can be explained by variations in the value of the other variable.
r
2
= 0.68
2
= 0.4624
Therefore, only just under half of the variation in one variable can be explained by variation in the other.
9
20.09
%
Let growth factor = x
Let original market size = 1
x
6
= 1 × 3
x
6
= 3
x =
6
3
= 1.2009
= 20.09%
10
330
Perfect negative correlation = –1
R(rank) = 1 –
) 1 n(n
d 6
2
2
÷
¯
–1 = 1 –
) 1 10 ( 10
d 6
2
2
÷
¯
–1 = 1 –
99 10
d 6
2
×
¯
–1 = 1 –
990
d 6
2
¯
990
d 6
2
¯
= 1 + 1
6¯d
2
= 2 × 990
¯d
2
=
6
990 2 ×
¯d
2
= 330
Answers 187
36 Interrelationships between variables 5
1 False 3
When using the regression of Y upon X, X is the independent variable and Y is the dependent variable
(the value of Y will depend upon the value of X).
2 Lowest value =
0
Highest value =
1
The correlation coefficient, r, must always fall within the range –1 to +1, therefore the coefficient of
determination must always fall in the range 0 to 1 (–1
2
= +1).
3 B The rank correlation coefficient can be interpreted in exactly the same way as the ordinary correlation
coefficient, but data is given in terms of order or rank. A rank correlation coefficient of 0.95 indicates
that there is strong positive correlation between taste and looks of new drinks.
4 The correlation coefficient of temperature and sales is
0.98
(to 2 decimal places).
Workings
Correlation coefficient =
] y) ( y [n ] x) ( x [n
y x xy n
2 2 2 2
¯ ÷ ¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
=
] 187 865 , 3 10 [ ] 210 634 , 4 10 [
187 210 208 , 4 10
2 2
÷ × ÷ ×
× ÷ ×
=
681 , 3 240 , 2
810 , 2
×
=
49 . 871 , 2
810 , 2
=
0.98
5
b = 10.05 (to 2 decimal places)
a = 44.50 (to 2 decimal places)
Workings
x y xy x
2
2 60 120 4
8 132 1,056 64
6 100 600 36
8 120 960 64
10 150 1,500 100
4 84 336 16
4 90 360 16
2 68 136 4
6 104 624 36
10 140 1,400 100
60 1,048 7,092 440
188 Answers
b =
2 2
x) ( x n
y x xy n
¯ ÷ ¯
¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
b =
2
60 ) 440 10 (
) 048 , 1 60 ( ) 092 , 7 10 (
÷ ×
× ÷ ×
=
800
040 , 8
= 10.05
a = x b y ÷
a =
10
048 , 1
– (10.05 ×
10
60
)
= 44.5
The equation to use for predicting the likely maintenance cost per vehicle per annum is
y = 44.5 + 10.05x
where y =
maintenance costs ($10)
x =
age
6 The Spearman's rank correlation coefficient is
0.8515
(to 4 decimal places).
Workings
It is necessary to complete the following table and to calculate the difference between the ranking of
accidents and expenditure before using the formula to calculate the rank correlation coefficient.
Number of Rank Rank
Site minor accidents accidents Expenditure expenditure d d
2
$'000
A 17 8 6 9 1 1
B 9 5 15 4 1 1
C 10 6 10 5 1 1
D 4 2 22 2 0 0
E 12 7 8 7.5 0.5 0.25
F 21 9 9 6 3 9
G 25 10 5 10 0 0
H 8 4 8 7.5 3.5 12.25
I 6 3 16 3 0 0
J 3 1 30 1 0 0
24.50
Rs = 1 –
) 1 – n(n
d 6
2
2
¯
Rs = 1 –
( ) 1 100 10
5 . 24 6
÷ ×
×
= 0.8515
Answers 189
7
0.64
The correlation coefficient of determination is calculated by squaring the correlation coefficient.
8 D b is the slope of the line which measures the increase in the y variable for unit increase in x
9 C a is the intercept on the y axis which is the value of the dependant variable when the value of the
independent variable is zero.
10 C A correlation coefficient of 0.9 indicates that the relationship between x and y is too strong to have
been caused by chance.
37 Forecasting 1
1 D Year = 2006
Trend = (0.0004 × 2006
2
) + (0.2 × 2006) + 80.2
= 2,091.0144
Forecast = 1.87 × 2,091.0144 = 3910.196928
Forecast in whole units = 3,910
2 B y = 7.112 + 3.949x
If x = 19, trend in sales for month 19 = 7.112 + (3.949 × 19) = 82.143
Seasonallyadjusted trend value = 82.143 × 1.12 = 92
If you failed to select the correct option, rework the calculation carefully. You shouldn't have too
much trouble with this question since it is just a matter of plugging in a value for x into the equation
given in the question.
3 A If x = 16, y = 345.12 – (1.35 × 16) = 323.52
Forecast = trend + seasonal component = 323.52 – 23.62 = 299.9 = 300 (to nearest unit)
If you selected option B, you calculated the forecast for the fifteenth period and deducted the
seasonal component of the sixteenth period.
If you selected option C, you correctly forecast the trend for the sixteenth period but forgot to deduct
the seasonal component.
If you selected option D, you simply calculated the trend for the fifteenth period instead of the
sixteenth period.
4
5,109
92 . 0
700 , 4
= 5,109 (to the nearest whole number)
5 D Depending on the value of b in the equation y = a + bx, either of the graphs A, B or C could be used to
depict the forecasting model.
If b = negative, y = a + bx could be depicted by graph A.
If b = positive, y= a + bx could be depicted by graph B.
If b = 0, y = a + bx could be depicted by graph C.
190 Answers
6
123
y = 9.82 + (4.372 × 24)
y = 114.748
forecast = 114.748 + 8.5
= 123.248
= 123
7 A Y = 20 – 0.25X
X = 12
Y = 20 – 0.25(12) = 17%
8 A A variation of, for example, +50% means that forecast sales are 50% above the trend value (ie trend
× 150%) whereas a variation of –50% means that forecast sales are 50% below the trend value (ie
trend × 50%).
Trend × seasonal variation = actual
Trend × 150% = 240 (for Q
2
)
Trend = 240 ÷ 1.5 = 160
Variation in Q
3
= – 50%
Forecast = 160 × 50% = 80
If you selected option B, you have simply taken 50% of the trend for Q
2
(50% × 240 = 120).
If you selected option C, you calculated the trend and not the forecast for Q
3
.
If you selected option D, you divided the trend in Q
3
by 50% instead of multiplying it by 50%.
9
123
Forecast for quarter 21 = (28.37 + (4.2 × 21)) × 1.055 = 122.98
= 123 whole units
10 B I Forecasts are made on the assumption that everything continues as in the past.
II If the model being used is inappropriate, for example, if an additive model is used when the
trend is changing sharply, forecasts will not be very reliable.
III Provided a multiplicative model is used, the fact that the trend is increasing need not have any
adverse effect on the reliability of forecasts.
IV Provided the seasonal variation remains the same in the future as in the past, it will not make
forecasts unreliable.
I and II are therefore necessary and hence the correct answer is B.
Answers 191
38 Forecasting 2
1 B Seasonally adjusting the values in a time series removes the seasonal element from the data thereby
giving an instant estimate of the trend.
2 B X = 38 and Y = 40
X + 36 + Y = 38
3
36 + Y + 41 = 39
3
Y = (3 × 39) – 36 – 41 = 40
X + 36 + 40 = 38
3
X = (38 × 3) – 36 – 40 = 38
3 D If t = 1 in the first quarter of 20X5
t = 8 in the fourth quarter of 20X6
Trend (Y) = 65 + (7 × 8)
= 121
Forecast = trend + seasonal component
= 121 + (–30)
= 121 – 30
= 91
If you selected option A, you used t = 4 instead of t = 8 in the fourth quarter of 20X6.
If you selected option B, you calculated the trend as (65 + 7) × 8 = 576 instead of 65 + (7 × 8) = 121.
If you selected option C, you reduced the trend by 30% instead of subtracting 30 from it.
4 C In the first month of 20X9, t = 13
Y = $1,500 – $(3 × 13)
= $1,461
Forecast = trend × seasonal component
= $1,461 × 0.92
= $1,344
If you selected option A, you substituted t = 1 into the trend equation instead of t = 13.
If you selected option B, you calculated the trend as ($1,500 – $3) × 13 = $19,461 and therefore
forecast sales as $19,461 × 0.92 = $17,904.
If you selected option D, you added the seasonal component of 0.92 (as you would for an additive
model) instead of multiplying by 0.92.
192 Answers
5
0.8
As this is a multiplicative model, the seasonal variations should sum (in this case) to 4 (an average of
1) as there are four quarters.
Let x = seasonal variation in quarter 4.
1.3 + 1.4 + 0.5 + x = 4
3.2 + x = 4
x = 4 – 3.2
x = 0.8
6 For a multiplicative model, the seasonal component is as follows.
S = Y/T
T = Y/S
Quarter
1 2
Seasonal component (S) 1.3 1.4
Actual series (Y) $520,000 $630,000
Trend (T) $ 400,000 $ 450,000
7 The trend line for sales has therefore
3 increased between quarter 1 and quarter 2
8 D
Quarter
1 2 3 4 Total
Unadjusted average 1.07 0.95 1.15 0.8 3.97*
Adjustment 0.0075 0.0075 0.0075 0.0075 0.03
Adjusted average 1.0775 0.9575 1.225 0.8075 4.00
* The averages should total 4
4 – 3.97 = 0.03
We therefore need to add 0.03/4 = 0.0075 to each average.
From the table above, it can be seen that the fourth quarter adjusted average is 0.8075 as per option
D.
If you selected option A, you added the entire deficit of 0.03 to the first quarter average instead of
spreading it across all four averages.
If you selected option B, you subtracted the entire deficit of 0.03 from the second quarter average
rather than sharing it across all four averages.
If you selected option C, you have subtracted the deficit of 0.0075 from each quarter's average,
instead of adding it.
Answers 193
9
–20.5
Trend for week 7 = 92 + (0.9 × 7)
= 92 + 6.3
= 98.3
Seasonal variation = actual series – trend
= 77.8 – 98.3
= –20.5
10 D I A correlation coefficient close to +1 or –1 indicates a strong linear relationship between X and
Y. The regression equation is therefore more reliable for forecasting.
II Working to a high number of decimal places gives spurious accuracy unless both the data
itself is accurate to the same degree and the methods used lend themselves to such precision.
III Forecasting for values of X outside the range of the original data leads to unreliable estimates,
because there is no evidence that the same regression relationships hold for such values.
IV The regression equation is worthless unless a sufficiently large sample was used to calculate
it. In practice, samples of about ten or more are acceptable.
I and IV increase the reliability of forecasting.
39 Forecasting 3
1
Season
Spring Summer Autumn Winter
Average –5.5 –4.5 +4.5 +6.5
Adjustment –0.25 –0.25 –0.25 –0.25
Average seasonal
adjustment
–5.75 –4.75 4.25 6.25
Workings
Season
Spring Summer Autumn Winter Total
Year
1
+5 +6
2 –6 –4 +4 +7
3 –5 –5
Total –11 –9 +9 +13
Average (÷2) –5.5 –4.5 +4.5 +6.5 +1.0*
–0.25 –0.25 –0.25 –0.25 –1.0
0
*Averages must sum to zero, therefore adjustments = –1 ÷ 4 = –0.25
194 Answers
2 3 Their magnitude is constant from one cycle to the next
3 They always reflect the trade cycle
3 They always repeat every five to ten years
Cyclical variations are of a longer period than seasonal variations, but do not need to be of a
particular length. Similarly, cyclical variations do not have constant magnitudes. They are not
necessarily connected with the trade cycle, even if the time series is economic in nature. Many time
series are unconnected with economics.
3 Trend for July (to 2 decimal places) =
24.67
Seasonal variation (to 2 decimal places) for July =
1.33
Month Data Threemonth total Three month average (trend) Seasonal variation
June 16
July 26 74 24.67 1.33
August 32
Remember that the actual series = trend + seasonal variation
26 = 24.67 + seasonal variation
So seasonal variation = 26 – 24.67 = 1.33
4
Autumn Winter
$ $
46,483 70,453
Using the multiplicative model, actual sales = trend × seasonal variation
Seasonallyadjusted data are the same as the trend.
Autumn actual sales = $47,921 × 0.97 = $46,483
Winter actual sales = $65,234 × 1.08 = $70,453
5 3 Fourquarter totals
The main features of a time series are:
 A trend
 Seasonal variations
 Cyclical variations
 Random variations
6 3 A peak in the first three years of every decade, with a corresponding trough in the last five
years of every decade.
Cyclical variations occur over a cycle longer than seasonal variations.
Answers 195
7 A X = 96 and Y = 94
99
3
Y 107 X
=
+ +
103
3
108 Y 107
=
+ +
( ) 94 108 107 103 3 Y = ÷ ÷ × =
99
3
94 107 X
=
+ +
( ) 96 94 107 3 99 X = ÷ ÷ × =
8
340
The sevenday total for a day will be made up of the data for the three days before that day, that day
itself and the three days after that day.
Week Day Data Sevenday total
1 Tuesday 82
Wednesday 61
Thursday 47
Friday 49 340
Saturday 42
Sunday 38
2 Monday 21
The required total is 340. As this total includes one figure from each day of the week, it should not
reflect the seasonal variations which affect individual days' figures.
9
104
Sales vary according to the day of the week. Fore example, Tuesday is a day of very low sales and
Wednesday is a day of very high sales. Therefore the most suitable moving average is one which
covers one full weekly cycle, ie a five day moving average. A five day moving total centred on
Thursday of week 2 must be calculated:
Sales units
Week 2 Monday 107
Tuesday 80
Wednesday 130 centre point
Thursday 95
Week 3 Friday 107
Five day moving total 519
Moving average = 519 ÷ 5 = 103.8 units = 104 units.
This moving average of 104 units constitutes a trend figure. The fact that it is lower than the actual
figure for Wednesday of week 3 (130 units) reflects the fact that Wednesday is a day of high sales.
196 Answers
10 B When the trend is increasing or decreasing, additive seasonal components change in their
importance relative to the trend whereas multiplicative components remain in the same proportion to
the trend. Option B is therefore a circumstance in which the multiplicative model would be preferred
to the additive model.
It would generally be agreed that nonnumerate people find the multiplicative model more difficult to
understand than the additive model, perhaps due to problems with percentages. Option A does not
apply in this instance.
When the trend is steady an additive model is acceptable but when it is increasing or decreasing it is
important to use the multiplicative model so that the seasonal components remain the same
proportion of the trend. Option C does not apply in this instance.
Provided the additive model is appropriate, as it is when the trend is steady, it will give forecasts as
accurate as those given by the multiplicative model. Option D does not apply in this instance.
40 Forecasting 4
1 3 Annual sales are static.
3 The fourth quarter, Q
4
, has the highest quarterly sales in each of the three years.
3 The mean sales for the second quarter (Q
2
) equals the mean quarterly sales for the whole
period, 199799.
Annual sales are 200 units each year, ie static.
The fourth quarter, Q
4
, has the highest quarterly sales in each of the three years.
The mean sales for Q
2
= 50 and the mean quarterly sales for 199799 = 600 ÷ 12 = 50.
All three statements are correct.
2 B 3point moving totals are 18, 22, 26, 30 and 34 which change by the same amount (4) each day. The
3point moving average would also change by a constant amount which would result in a straight line
graph if the data were plotted.
3 D Year = 2000
Trend = (0.0002 × 2000
2
) + (0.4 × 2000) + 30.4
= 800 + 800 + 30.4
= 1,630.4
Forecast = 1.6 × 1,630.4
= 2,608.64
Forecast in whole units = 2,609
Answers 197
4 B If Y = 0.5t – 12
The breakeven point is reached where profit = 0, ie where Y = 0
0 = 0.5t – 12
12 = 0.5t
t =
5 . 0
12
t = 24
If t = 1 is the first month of 20X0, t = 24 is the last month (12th month) of 20X1.
If you selected option A, you rearranged the formula (12 = 0.5t) to give t = 6 which is incorrect.
If you selected option C, you rearranged the formula (12 = 0.5t) to give t = 12.5 (adding the 0.5
instead of dividing by it) which is incorrect.
If you selected option D you seem to have confused the variables Y and t (and had t = 0 instead of Y
= 0 in your equation thus leading to an answer of Y = 12 which you have then interpreted as t = 12, ie
the 12th month of 20X0).
5 B I A cyclical component of 0.95 means that actual values are 95% of the trend.
II A cyclical component of 0.6 means that values are only 60% of the trend, ie they are 40%
below the trend.
III A cyclical component of 0.82 means that values are 82% of the trend, ie they are 18% below
the trend, not 18% above it.
IV The seasonal components build up steadily from year 1 to year 3 but whether the actual
values do depends on the trend.
Options I and II are correct, and therefore the answer is B.
6 C
Quarter
1 2 3 4
Actual value $500 $300 $330 $610
Seasonal component +20% –30% –25% +35%
Seasonallyadjusted value $417 $429 $440 $452
II is the only correct calculation. The correct answer is therefore C.
7
Moving total of Moving average
No of ice 3 months of 3 months
Month creams sold ice creams sold ice creams sold
July 2,000
August 2,500 6,300 2,100
September 1,800 5,700 1,900
October 1,400 4,100 1,367
November 900 3,300 1,100
December 1,000
8 A t = 1 in the first quarter of 20X8
198 Answers
t = 6 in the second quarter of 20X9
y = 5t – 1.5
y = (5 × 6) – 1.5
y = 30 – 1.5
y = 28.5
If y = $28,500 and the seasonal component is –7%.
Forecast = $28,500 × 0.93
= $26,505
If you selected option B, you used t = 2 instead of t = 6 (the question is dealing with quarters, not
years).
If you selected option C, you have treated the trend equation Y = 5t – 1.5 as Y = (5 – 1.5)t.
If you selected option D, you have treated the series as if it were an additive model by subtracting 7
from the trend instead of reducing it by 7%.
9  Odd number of time periods =
1
 Even number of time periods =
2
10
308
If C = 10
P = 273.16 – (1.74 × 10) = 255.76
Forecast = trend + seasonal component
= 255.76 + 52.19
= 307.95
= 308 (to the nearest unit)
41 Forecasting 5
1 B In 20X9, t = 9
y = 20t – 10
y = (20 × 9) – 10
y = 180 – 10 = 170
Forecast profits for 20X9 = 170 – 30 = 140
= $140,000
If you selected option A, you used t = 10 in the trend line equation instead of t = 9.
If you selected option C, you have treated the model as if it were multiplicative instead of additive and
reduced the trend by 30% instead of 30.
If you selected option D, you have muddled up the brackets in the trend equation and calculated Y =
(20 – 10)t instead of Y = 20t – 10.
2 C I Provided the multiplicative model is used, it does not matter if the trend is increasing or
decreasing.
Answers 199
II Forecasts are made on the assumption that the previous trend will continue.
III In general, extrapolation does not produce reliable estimates but in forecasting the future
using time series analysis we have no option but to extrapolate.
IV Forecasts are made on the assumption that previous seasonal variations will continue.
II and IV are therefore necessary. The correct answer is C.
3 D Forecast trend, y = 30.15 + 3.6x
In month 21, y = 30.15 + (3.6 × 21)
y = 30.15 + 75.6
y = 105.75
Forecast for month 21 = trend × seasonal factor
= 105.75 × 1.02
= 107.865
= 108 (to the nearest whole unit)
If you selected option A, you divided the trend by the seasonal factor instead of multiplying by the
seasonal factor.
If you selected option B, you correctly forecast the trend but failed to take account of the seasonal factor.
If you selected option C, you rounded 107.865 down to 107 instead of up to 108.
4 D Actual value = trend × seasonal factor
Seasonallyadjusted figure = estimate of trend
Estimate of trend =
factor Seasonal
value Actual
=
95 . 0
000 , 4
= 4,211
If you selected option A you used the underlying trend figure of 3,750 instead of the actual value of
4,000. You also multiplied it by the seasonal factor instead of dividing it.
If you selected option B, you used the actual value of 4,000 and multiplied it by the seasonal factor
instead of dividing it by the seasonal factor.
If you selected option C, you divided the underlying trend value (instead of the actual value) by the
seasonal factor (correct method).
5 B The additive model
Y = T + S + R
where Y = actual value
T = trend
S = seasonal
R = random
200 Answers
R = Y – T – S
R = 170 – 182 – (–12.8)
= 0.8
If you didn't get the correct answer, work through the solution again. Note that the formula for the
additive time series model is provided in your exam.
6 D As this is a multiplicative model, the seasonal variations should sum (in this case) to 4 (an average of
1) as there are four quarters.
Let X = seasonal variation in quarter 4
1.2 + 1.3 + 0.4 + X = 4
2.9 + X = 4
X = 4 – 2.9
X = 1.1
7 A For a multiplicative model, the seasonal component S = Y/T
T = Y/S
Quarter
1 2
Seasonal component (S) 1.2 1.3
Actual series (Y) $125,000 $130,000
Trend (T) (= Y/S) $104,167 $100,000
The trend line for sales has therefore decreased between quarter 1 and quarter 2.
8 B The additive model
Y = T + S
where Y = actual series
T = trend
S = seasonal
The seasonallyadjusted value is an estimate of the trend.
Y = T + S
T = Y – S
T = 567,800 – (+90,100)
T = 477,700
9 C Y = 300 – 2\t
In the third quarter t = 3
Y = 300 – 2\3
= 296.54
Forecast costs = Trend + seasonal
= 296.54 + 50
= 346.54
= $347,000 (to the nearest $'000)
If you selected option A, you calculated 3 2 × instead of 2\3.
If you selected option B, you have confused the multiplicative and additive models, and have
increased the trend by 50% instead of just adding 50.
Answers 201
If you selected option D, you have subtracted the seasonal variation instead of adding it.
10 B
Quarter
Y/T value Adjustment Adjusted average
1 1.04 (0.0075) 1.0325
2 1.15 (0.0075) 1.1425
3 0.94 (0.0075) 0.9325
4 0.90 (0.0075) 0.8925
* must total 4 4.03 (0.03) 4.0000*
If you selected option A, you deducted 0.075 instead of 0.0075.
If you selected option C, you added 0.0075 instead of deducting it.
42 Forecasting 6
1 B
Year
Y – T Adjustment Adjusted average
1 18 1.0 19
2 30 1.0 31
3 –16 1.0 –15
4 –36 1.0 –35
–4 4.0 0
If you selected option A, you added 4 to –36 instead of adding 1 (4/4 = 1).
If you selected option C, you deducted 1 instead of adding 1 to the –36.
If you selected option D, you deducted 4 from –36 instead of adding 1 (4/4 = 1).
2 A In 20X9, x = 9
trend = 850 +
9
27
= 850 + 3
= 853
A 2% reduction in the trend is the same as multiplying the trend by 0.98 (100% – 2% = 98% or 0.98).
Forecast units = 853 × 0.98
= 836 units (to the nearest whole number)
If you selected option B, you calculated trend =
9
27 850 +
= 97 and failed to take account of the
cyclical factors. Note that trend = 850 +
9
27
.
If you chose option C, you have increased the trend by 2% instead of decreasing it by this amount.
If you selected option D, you forecast the number of units correctly but forgot to take account of
cyclical factors.
202 Answers
3 C In month 13, x = 13
y = 4,320 + (5.2 × 13)
y = 4,320 + 67.6
y = 4,387.6
Sales forecast = 4,387.6 × 1.15
= 5,045.74
= 5,046 (to the nearest whole number)
If you selected option A, you have forgotten to add the 15% increase (658) to the trend in order to
calculate the forecast.
If you selected option B, you have reduced the trend by 15% instead of increasing it by this amount.
If you selected option D, you correctly calculated the trend but forgot to increase it by 15%.
4 D Trend, y = 250 – 1.57x
In time period 15, t = 15
Therefore trend, y = 250 – (1.57 × 15)
y = 250 – 23.55
y = 226.45
Forecast sales = trend + seasonal
= 226.45 + (–28)
= 198.45
= $198,000 (to the nearest $'000)
If you selected option A, you have calculated the sales forecast using the multiplicative model (ie
reduced the trend by 28%) instead of the additive model (deducted 28).
If you selected option B, you seem to have subtracted the 1.57 from the 250 and then multiplied by
15 ((250 – 1.57) × 15). Watch your order of operations!
If you selected option C, you forgot to subtract the seasonal component.
5 C Options A, B and D are conditions which need to be met if time series forecasts are to be reliable.
If we wish to make a forecast outside the range of known data (for example, forecasting future
results from historical data) we start by extrapolating the trend line (or extending the trend line)
outside this range. By extrapolating the trend line, judgement is used and it is possible that errors
may be introduced. However, extrapolation is an important tool in forecasting future results from
historical data and should not, therefore, be avoided.
6 B As this is a multiplicative model, the seasonal variations should sum (in this case) to 4 (an average of
1) as there are four quarters.
Let x = seasonal variation for quarter 4.
0.65 + 1.32 + 1.41 = 3.38
3.38 + x = 4
x = 4 – 3.38
x = 0.62
If you selected option A, you forgot to subtract the sum of the seasonal variations for quarters 13
from 4.
If you selected option D, you made an error in your calculation. Try again!
7 C For the multiplicative model, the seasonal component, S = Y/T
Answers 203
T = Y/S
Quarter
1 2
Seasonal component (S) 0.65 1.32
Actual series (Y) $320,000 $500,000
Trend (T) = Y/S $492,308 $378,788
The trend line for sales has therefore decreased between quarter 1 and quarter 2.
If you selected option A, you guessed (incorrectly)!
If you selected option B, you did not take the seasonal component into account and compared
$320,000 with $500,000 instead of $492,308 with $378,788.
If you selected option D, you didn't even try to determine the trend line for sales – it can be
determined from the information given.
8 D
Quarter
1 2 3 4
Actual value (Y) $1,300 $1,600 $1,050 $1,100
Seasonal component (S) +$200 +$400 –$300 –$300
Seasonallyadjusted value (T) $1,100 $1,200 $1,350 $1,400
The seasonallyadjusted value is also known as the trend.
If Y = T + S
T = Y – S
I and IV are therefore correct.
Remember, $1,050 – (–$300) = $1,050 + $300 – a minus and a minus makes a plus!
9 D Seasonallyadjusted data =
factor Seasonal
results Actual
=
78 . 0
750
= 962
If you selected option A you multiplied the underlying trend by the seasonal factor instead of dividing
the actual results by the seasonal factor.
If you selected option B, you multiplied by the seasonal factor instead of dividing by it.
If you selected option C, you divided the underlying trend (instead of the actual results) by the
seasonal factor.
10 B In a multiplicative model, values are seasonally adjusted by dividing by the corresponding seasonal factor.
Month January February March April
Actual 550 650 750 1,190
Seasonal component 0.54 0.60 0.73 1.09
Seasonallyadjusted sales 1,019 1,083 1,027 1,092
204 Answers
43 Spreadsheets 1
1 B A line graph is the best way of illustrating a trend over time.
2
False
A macro is used for automating frequently repeated tasks
3 D II only
Relative cell references (B3) change when you copy formulae to other locations. Absolute cell
references ($B$3) stay the same when you copy formulae to other locations.
4 A =$D$1/4*B4
This formula will divide the annual turnover by 4 and multiply the result by the seasonal variation.
The $ signs show that the cell reference for D1 is absolute so the reference will stay the same when
the formula is copied into the cells below.
5 D =($D$1/4)+B10
This formula will divide the annual turnover by 4 and add the result to the seasonal variation found in
cell B10. The $ signs show that the cell reference for D1 is absolute so the reference will stay the
same when the formula is copied into the cells below. Brackets are needed so that Excel does the
multiplication before the addition.
6 C =C10*$B$1
This formula will multiply the quarterly volume in units from cell C10 by the unit selling price in cell
B1. The $ signs show that the cell reference for B1 is absolute so the reference will stay the same
when the formula is copied into the cells below
7 B =SUM(E4:E8)
This formula will add up the values of XY in the column above to give a total.
8
A B
1 a 10000
2 b 400
3 x at December 20X4 36
4 Period 3 months to 31 March 20X5
5 Quarter 1
6 Seasonal variation +500
7 Trend = y =B1+B2*(B3+B5)
8 Forecast =B7+B6
Answers 205
You need to substitute the appropriate spreadsheet cell references for the a, b and x in the formula y
= a + bx for the quarter in question. The value of a is found in cell B1 whatever the quarter, and so a
in the spreadsheet formula is B1. Likewise the value of b does not change with time. But the value of
x does change and so you cannot simply use B3 but must amend the value in B3 to reflect the
quarter you are dealing with ie add 1 (the value in cell C5) to the value in B3 to get the appropriate
value for x. The forecast is the trend value in cell B7 adjusted by the seasonal variation (the value in
cell B6).
9
Tick box
Cashflow forecasting
3
Monthly sales analysis by market
3
Writing a memo
Calculation of depreciation
3
Spreadsheets are useful for many types of calculation, but are not generally used for memoranda or
report writing, except as an import of eg a table of data.
10 B The formula bar displays the location of the active cell and the formula in the active cell.
44 Spreadsheets 2
1 B I and III only
=C4*117.5% adds 17.5% to the value in C4
2 D
The formulae on the spreadsheet compute as follows.
=113*2 5.00
=32^(1/2) 5.66
=4^4 256.00
=4^2 16.00
A spreadsheet will always carry out a multiplication or division before an addition or a subtraction, so
the formula in option A would only work if parentheses are used: =(113)*2. The symbol ^ means ‘to
the power of’, so B is 32 to the power of ½, in other words the square root of 32. C is 4 to the power
of 4.
3 =B4*17.5% or =B4*17.5/100
4 =B5+C5
5 =B4*B9 or =B4*$B$9
6 False. The keys Ctrl + ` should be used for this.
7 A Ctrl + s will save your work, Ctrl + t does nothing and F2 allows you to amend your entries in a cell.
8 =B17/12 or =SUM(B4:B15)/12
206 Answers
9 D
10 C The product names in B3:D3 are needed for the names of the columns. The cost of sales (B10:D10)
and profit (B11:D11) are then needed for the two components of each column. The sales data has not
been used; if this had been selected also, it would have been stacked on top of the profit and cost of
sales to give a meaningless total. As it is, the cost of sales and profit together give the sales as the
total height of each column.
45 Spreadsheets 3
1 A I and II only
The formula =C4+C5+C6/3 will first divide the value in C6 by 3 then add the result to the total of the
values in C4 and C5. The formula =(C4+C5+C6)/3 will add C4, C5 and C6 together and divide the
result by 3.
2 A The general format shows the number to as many decimal places as are input or result from the
computation of a formula, none in this case. Answer B is incorrect as the number is not shown to 2
decimal places: 341.00. C and D are incorrect as both the currency and accounting fonts show the
currency unit in front of the number:$341.
3 C A custom format has to be adapted to give brackets instead of a negative number.
4 D The percentage format is the only one of the four options given that would show the result of the
formula as a percentage. The custom format has a percentage option, but that was not listed in the
question.
5 =B11*C11
6 D Whilst only one figure needs to be reentered: the new labour rate in C20, the figures in the other
cells will all change to reflect the new rate.
7 C B11 and B14 would have to be amended to the new value of 2.5. The values in D11 and D14 would
then change as a result, as would the total, D16. The rate per hour referred to in cells C11 and C14
are unaffected.
8 C A smaller font size and a wider cell would allow more text to be included in the cell. Increasing the
row height will have no effect on the amount of text that can be included on one line.
9 B
10 A B and C are incorrect as if there is too much text for the size of the cell, it will spill into adjacent cells
if they are empty, or will be hidden by the contents of the adjacent cell. If a nonsensical formula is
entered into a cell, a different response will be given. For example, if your formula results in a value
being divided by 0, #DIV/0! will appear.
Answers 207
46 Spreadsheets 4
1
Tick box
B15
B16
C7
3
C10
The production figures have to be input to this spreadsheet, but the figures in the other three cells
can be calculated as follows.
B15 =C14*0.04
B16 =B14*0.04
C10 =C7*B25 or =C7*$B$25 if replicated from B10
2
D14 =D10 or =D7*B25
C16 =B15 or =C14*0.04
D17 =SUM(D14:D16)
C21 =C17*B26 or =C17*$B$26
3
E10 =SUM(B10:D10)
E14 =E10
E15 =D15
E16 =B16
4 =IF(E7<=B7,"YES","NO") or =IF(E7>B7,"NO","YES")
5 =IF(F7="NO",0,(D7*E7)) or =IF(E7<=B7,(D7*E7),0)
6 D A and B are incorrect as they calculate the price at 5%, rather than deducting the discount from the
price. C is incorrect as the discount is applied to orders below 1000 units by using the > sign
incorrectly.
7 C A and B are incorrect as they ignore the discount that this order qualifies for. D is incorrect as it
applies the price as though it were a price per unit when, in fact, the price given is per hundred units.
8 False The spreadsheet would read this as 0.05 instead of 5, so the existing formulae would calculate
discount at 1/100
th
of its intended value.
9 A You should save your work as often as possible to minimise the loss of work should the system
crash: this happens to everyone once in a while.
10 D Look on Tools, Protection for details of how to do this.
208 Answers
47 Spreadsheets 5
1 =MEDIAN(A1;F3)
2 =NPV(B10,B4:B7)+B3
The initial investment is added as it has been entered as a negative figure.
3 =AVERAGE(C2:C6)/C1
4 B The data in a range is first named (for example ‘MEN’) and the function can then be typed in as
=COUNT(MEN)
5 =FORECAST(B3,$C$3:$C$7,$B$3:$B$7)
Note how absolute cell references are used to ensure that each observation is compared with the entire
range.
6 =ROUND(327.50*1.15,2)
Note that cell references could be used with the ROUND function but you were only given numbers in this
question.
7 =FREQUENCY(A3:D7,F3:F9)
8 =H3+G4
9 =NOW()
If this is typed into the required cell, the time and date will be inserted into that cell.
10 D =AVERAGE(VALUES)
The mean is calculated by using the command AVERAGE. The median and mode can be found by using the
commands MEDIAN and MODE.
209
Mock assessments
210
211
CIMA
Paper C3 (Certificate)
Fundamentals of Business
Mathematics
Mock Assessment 1
Question Paper
Time allowed
2 hours
Answer ALL fortyfive questions
DO NOT OPEN THIS PAPER UNTIL YOU ARE READY TO START UNDER
EXAMINATION CONDITIONS
212
Mock assessment 1: questions 213
Answer ALL 45 questions
1 Mr Singh, Mr Lal and Mr Brown share the profits from their business so that Mr Singh receives twice as
much as Mr Lal, and Mr Brown receives half as much as Mr Lal.
The total profit of the business last year was $91,000.
Mr Brown receives $
2 Three variables x, y and z are related by the equation x = yz
The value of y is estimated to be 2,500 and is subject to a maximum error of 2%. The value of z is estimated
to be 140 and is subject to a maximum error of 5%.
What is the maximum positive error in the value of x in percentage terms?
A 7.1%
B 7.5%
C 7.9%
D 10%
3 What values of X and Y satisfy these equations?
6X + 4Y = 14X – 10Y = 5,800
X
Y
4 A histogram has a standard interval width of 10 units. One interval has a width of 15 units. If the frequency
of this interval is 30, the height of the corresponding bar is (to 1 decimal place)
5
Year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Wages 215 223 235 247 256 292
RPI Index 115 118 122 134 133 135
(a) Using the information in the table above, what are the average weekly wages as index numbers, to
one decimal place? The base year is 2006.
Type your answer as a comma separated list (1,2,3,4,5,6).
(b) If the index for 2011 is going to be 140.5 and the RPI will be 142, express the index for 2011 at
constant 2007 prices (to 1 decimal place).
214 Mock assessment 1: questions
6 A company has produced the following spreadsheet. What should be typed in cell B8 in order to calculate
the acid test ratio?
The formula for the acid test ratio is
s liabilitie Current
inventory  assets Current
You should write your answer within the spreadsheet below.
A B
C
1
Machinery 20,145
2
Wages 36,450
3
Current assets 13,540
4
Motor vehicles 18,500
5
Inventory 5,640
6
Current liabilities 12,560
7
8
Acid test ratio
7 The wages of a production department are distributed as follows:
Wages ($) Frequency (f) Cumulative frequency (cf)
100< wages < 300 4
300< wages < 500 7
500< wages < 700 15
700< wages < 900 8
900< wages < 1100 3
(a) Write as a comma separated list of numbers, the cumulative frequencies in the cf column (eg
2,3,4,5,6)
(b) What is the cumulative frequency of the lower quartile?
8 In a group of 100 CIMA students, 40 are male, 42 are studying for Certificate level and 8 of the male
students are not studying for Certificate level. A student chosen at random is female. What is the probability
that she is not studying Certificate level?
9 What is the average salary this year in terms of prices five years ago? (To the nearest $).
Year Average wages RPI
$ (1990 = 100)
This year 49,000 153.2
Five years ago 32,000 141.6
$
Mock assessment 1: questions 215
10 If five units at $1 each, ten units at $1.25 each and another ten units at $X each have an arithmetic mean of
$1.22, the value of X is $ (to 2 decimal places)
11
A B C
1 Project cash out 320,000
2 Net project benefits Year 1 32,500
3 Year 2 92,300
4 Year 3 84,500
5 Year 4 101,600
6 Year 5 115,600
7
8 Cost of capital or interest rate 12%
9 ROI
10 NPV
(a) Use the Excel function ‘NPV’ to calculate the NPV in cell C10
(b) Use the Excel function ‘AVERAGE’ to calculate the ROI in cell C9
12 The average annual wage of eighty people surveyed was found to be $17,500. The standard deviation was
found to be $3,000. The coefficient of variation (correct to two decimal places) is
13 A company is deciding between two projects, Project A and Project B. The expected profits from each
project are shown below.
Project A Project B
Profit Probability Profit/(Loss) Probability
$ $
4,000 0.45 8,000 0.64
2,000 0.55 (1,000) 0.36
The company should chose Project which has an expected value of $
14 A saleswoman visits areas A, B and C in the ratio 2:1:1. The probabilities that her visits will be successful are
0.35, 0.15 and 0.12 respectively. The expected probability that any given visit is successful is (to
4 decimal places)
15 A normal distribution has a mean of 200 and a standard deviation of 40. Approximately 80% of frequencies
are less than (to the nearest whole number)
216 Mock assessment 1: questions
16 The following data represents a time series:
X 412 Y 360 456 332 396
A series of three point moving averages produced from this data has given the first two values as 415
385
What are the values of (X, Y) in the original time series?
A (332, 450) B (450, 383) C (360, 381) D (383, 450)
17 The present value of a six–year receivable annuity which begins in two years time at 5% per annum
compound is $83,025. What is the annual amount of the annuity?
A $18,033 B $17,175 C $13,671 D $17,756
18 Based on the past 10 quarters, an underlying trend equation has been derived as Y = 21.5 + 2.6X. If quarter
11 has a seasonal factor of 1.08, using a multiplicative model, the forecast for the quarter to the nearest
whole number is
19 A machine costs $30,000 now and will yield net revenues of $25,000 at the end of year 1, $15,000 at the end
of year 2 and $10,000 at the end of year 3. At an interest rate of 6%, the net present value is $ (to
the nearest $)
20 A saver has been offered two different deals:
Option 1: 2.6% compounded every three months
Option 2: 4.1% compounded every six months
The APR of the best option is (to 2 decimal places)
21 An investment has a Net Present Value of $4,000 at 10% and a Net Present Value of –$2,000 at 15%. The
approximate internal rate of return of the investment is % (to 2 decimal places)
22 In a time series analysis, the multiplicative model is used to forecast sales and the following seasonal
variations apply.
Quarter 1 2 3 4
Seasonal variation 0.75 1.6 0.9 ?
The actual sales value for the last two quarters of 20X1 were:
Quarter 3 $520,000
Quarter 4 $540,000
(a) The seasonal variation for the fourth quarter is (to 2 decimal places)
Mock assessment 1: questions 217
(b) The trend line for sales:
Remained constant between quarter 3 and quarter 4
Increased between quarter 3 and quarter 4
Decreased between quarter 3 and quarter 4
Cannot be determined from the information given
23 If ¯x = 10 ¯Y = 78 ¯X
2
= 30
¯Y
2
= 1,266 ¯XY = 134
and n = 5, the correlation coefficient is (to 3 decimal places)
24 The straight lines Y = 2X + 4 and Y = 12 – 2X intersect where
X =
Y =
25 The following formula is used in loan calculations:
R =
) 1 B(N
PC 2
+
When the formula is rearranged, with N in terms of the other letters, N is equal to
RB
PC 2
– 1
RB
1 – PC 2
2PC – 1
none of these
26 The formula 
.

\

÷
1 . 1
1
– 1 S
1 . 1
1
2
simplifies to
1 . 1
S
2
S
2
1 . 1
S 10
2
10S
2
218 Mock assessment 1: questions
27 Unemployment last quarter was 1,565,000. the trend figure for that period was 1,250,000 and the seasonal
factor using the additive model was 32,000.
What is the seasonally adjusted unemployment figure for the last quarter?
A 1,282,000
B 1,597,000
C 1,218,000
D 1,533,000
28 The rank correlation coefficient between the ages and the scrap values of a certain type of machine equals –1.
This value means that
no correlation exists between the ages and the scrap values of these machines.
perfect negative correlation exists.
weak negative correlation exists.
a calculation error has been made.
29
A B C D
1 Month Output Costs Forecast
2 000 units $'000
3 1 20 82
4 2 16 70
5 3 24 90
6 4 22 85
7 5 18 73
Given the scenario above, what Excel formula is required in cell D3 to calculate the forecast (using a least
squared line approach)? The formula needs to be written so that it can be copied into cell D4 through to D7.
A =FORECAST(B3,C3:C7,B3:B7)
B =FORECAST($B$3,$C$3:$C$7,$B$3:$B$7)
C =FORECAST(B3,$C$3:$C$7,$B$3:$B$7)
D =FORECAST(B3,C3:C7,$B$3:$B$7)
30 The staff in the Complaints Department of an airline are available to answer the telephone at random times,
which amount to 20% of the working day on average.
The probability that a customer's call is answered for the first time, on their fifth attempt is (to 3
decimal places)
Mock assessment 1: questions 219
The following data relate to questions 31 and 32
A credit card company charges its customers 2.2% interest each month on the outstanding balance on their
account.
31 The effective annual interest that the company is charging is % (to 2 decimal places)
32 The company decides to reduce its monthly interest rate to 1.8% but also charges customers $8 per year for
having the card. The outstanding balance that a customer should keep on the card in order to benefit from
this change is $ (to the nearest $)
33
On the basis of the scatter diagram above, which of the following equations would best represent the
regression line of Y on X?
A Y= –X + 8
B Y= X + 8
C Y= X – 8
D Y= –X – 8
34 For a certain group of students, the coefficient of rank correlation between their performance in Accounting
and their performance in Law is –1. The coefficient of rank correlation between their performance in Law and
FBSM is also –1. Therefore, the coefficient of rank correlation between their performance in Accounting and
their performance in FBSM is
–2
zero
+1
impossible to determine from the information given.
220 Mock assessment 1: questions
35 In exactly three years from now, a company will have to replace capital equipment which will then cost $0.5
million. The managers have decided to set up a sinking fund into which twelve equal sums will be put at
quarterly intervals, with the first being made three months from now. The rate of compound interest is 2% a
quarter.
The quarterly sums required for the sinking fund are $ (to the nearest $)
The following data relate to questions 36 and 37
A travel agency has kept records of the number of holidays booked and the number of complaints received over the
past ten years. The data are as follows.
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Number of holidays booked 246 192 221 385 416 279 343 582 610 674
Number of complaints received 94 80 106 183 225 162 191 252 291 310
The agency suspects there is a relationship between the number of bookings and the volume of complaints and
wishes to have some method of estimating the number of complaints, given the volume of bookings.
36 Using the method of least squares, the coefficients in the regression line y = a + bx using the above data are
a = (to 3 decimal places)
b = (to 3 decimal places)
37 Using the regression line y = a + bx (with the values you have calculated in question 36) the forecast number
of complaints when 750 holidays are booked is
38 A pilot training school is trying to assess whether there is any correlation between the results of the initial
aptitude tests given to all trainees and the practical examination given after 3 months' training.
The marks awarded for the test and examination for 6 trainees are given below.
Trainee number 1 2 3 4 5 6
Aptitude test 11 14 14 18 19 26
Practical examination 15 16 22 14 17 24
(a) The coefficient of correlation, r, between the marks for the test and the examination is (to
2 decimal places)
(b) The coefficient of determination is (to 2 decimal places)
39 A statistician is carrying out an analysis of a company's production output. The output varies according to
the season of the year and from the data she has calculated the following seasonal variations, in units of
production.
Spring Summer Autumn Winter
Year 1 + 11.2 + 23.5
Year 2 – 9.8 – 28.1 + 12.5 + 23.7
Year 3 – 7.4 – 26.3 + 11.7
Mock assessment 1: questions 221
The average seasonal variation for each season is (to 1 decimal place)
Spring
Summer
Autumn
Winter
40 You are assisting with the work on a maintenance department's budget for the next quarter of 20X4. The
maintenance department's budget for the current quarter (just ending) is $200,000. Its use of materials and
their respective prices, are shown below.
Quantity used Average price payable per unit
in current quarter Current quarter Next quarter
Units $ $
Material A 9 10 10.20
Material B 13 12 12.50
Material C 8 9 9.00
Material D 20 25 26.00
One allitems price index for materials for the next quarter, using the current quarter as base, and the current
quantities as weights is calculated as (to 1 decimal place)
The following data should be used for questions 41 and 42
In an internal audit of 200 invoices, the following numbers of errors were discovered:
Number of errors: 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 or more
Number of invoices: 60 30 40 40 20 10 0
41 The percentage of invoices with errors is
A 30%
B 70%
C 80%
D None of these
42 The expected value of the number of errors per invoice is
1.8
2
2.1
3
222 Mock assessment 1: questions
The following data should be used for questions 43 and 44
A retailer sells computer games. Tabulated below are the unit sales of one of its games for the last 13 quarters. The
trend in sales is linear and described by the equation SALES = 180 – 10T, where T denotes the time period. (T = 1
indicates the first quarter in 1998, T = 2 the second quarter in 1998, T = 5 the first quarter of 1999 and so on.) For
planning purposes, forecasts of sales are required for the remaining three quarters of this year. [The brand was
introduced in 1997.]
Sales Q
1
Q
2
Q
3
Q
4
1998 105 95 150 250
1999 80 70 110 180
2000 50 50 70 110
2001 30
Average seasonal variations for the years 19982001
Q
1
Q
2
Q
3
Q
4
–40% –40% 0 +80%
43 Using the trend equation, predict the trend value for Q
2
2001.
44 Forecast sales (units) for the next three quarters of 2001 are
(a) Forecast for Q
2
2001
(b) Forecast for Q
3
2001
(c) Forecast for Q
4
2001
45
A B C D E
1 BUDGETED SALES FIGURES
2 Jan Feb Mar Total
3 $'000 $'000 $'000 $'000
4 North 2431 3001 2189 7621
5 South 6532 5826 6124 18482
6 West 895 432 596 1923
7 Total 9858 9259 8909 28026
8
If the February sales figure for the South changed from $5,826 to $5,731, what other figures would change
as a result? Give cell references.
223
Answers
DO NOT TURN THIS PAGE UNTIL YOU HAVE
COMPLETED MOCK ASSESSMENT 1
224
Mock assessment 1: answers 225
1
$13,000
If Mr Lal receives $x
91,000 = 2x + x + 0.5x
91,000 = 3.5x
x = 26,000
Mr Brown receives half as much as Mr Lal = 26,000/2 = $13,000
2 A The maximum value of y is 2,500 × 1.02 = 2,550
The maximum value of z is 140 × 1.05 = 147
The maximum value of xy is 2,550 × 147 = 374,850
The estimated value of xy is 2,500 × 140 = 350,000
The maximum positive error is therefore 374,850 – 350,000/350,000 × 100% = 7.1%
3 X
700
Y
400
6X + 4Y = 5,800 (1)
14X – 10Y = 5,800 (2)
60X + 40Y = 58,000 (3) (1) × 10
56X – 40Y = 23,200 (4) (2) × 4
116X = 81,200 (3) + (4)
X = 700
(6 × 700) + 4Y = 5,800 substitute in (1)
4Y = 5,800 – 4,200
4Y = 1,600
Y = 400
4
20
(to 1 decimal place)
The area of a bar represents the frequency of an interval, therefore when the width is increased by 1.5 (10 ×
1.5 = 15) then the height must be reduced by 1.5 (30/1.5 = 20).
5 (a) 96.4,100,105.4,110.8,114.8,130.9
In 2005, the index number = 215/223 × 100 = 96.4
In 2007, the index number = 235/223 × 100 = 105.4 etc
(b)
163.5
RPI in 2007 = 122
RPI in 2011 = 142
226 Mock assessment 1: answers
Index number at constant 2007 prices = 140.5 × 142/122 × 100 = 163.5
6
A B
C
1
Machinery 20145
2
Wages 36450
3
Current assets 13540
4
Motor vehicles 18500
5
Inventory 5640
6
Current liabilities 12560
7
8
Acid test ratio =(B3B5)/B6
7 (a) 4,11,26,34,37
(b) 9.25
The lower quartile is the population below which 25% of the population fall.
25% × 37 = 9.25
8
0.5
The easiest way to answer this questions is using a table:
Not Certificate Certificate Total
Male 8 40 – 8 = 32 40
Female 58 – 8 = 50 60 – 50 = 10 100 – 40 = 60
Total 100 – 42 = 58 42 100
The probability that a randomly chosen female student is not studying for Certificate level is 50/100 = 0.5
9 $
45,290
Average salary this year in terms of prices five years ago
= $49,000 ×
141.6
153.2
= $45,290 (to the nearest $)
10 $
1.30
(to 2 decimal places)
Arithmetic mean =
items of Number
items of values of Sum
$1.22 =
10 10 5
X) $ 10 ( ) 25 . 1 $ 10 ( ) 1 $ 5 (
+ +
× + × + ×
$1.22 =
25
X 10 $ 50 . 12 $ 5 $ + +
$1.22 × 25 = $17.50 + $10X
Mock assessment 1: answers 227
$30.5 – $17.50 = $10X
$13 = $10X
10
$13
= $X
X = $1.30
11 =NPV(C8,C2:C6)C1
The format of the NPV formula is
=NPV(cost of capital, cash inflows) – initial investment
=AVERAGE(C2:C6)/C1)
12
0.17
(correct to 2 decimal places)
Coefficient of variation =
Mean
deviation Standard
=
500 , 17 $
000 , 3 $
= 0.17
13 The company should chose Project
B
which has an expected value of $
4,760
Project A = ($4,000 × 0.45) + ($2,000 × 0.55)
= $2,900
Project B = ($8,000 × 0.64) + (($1,000) × 0.36)
= $5,120 + (–$360)
= $5,120 – $360
= $4,760
14
0.2425
(to 4 decimal places)
Expected value = ¯px
where x = value
p = probability of value occurring
Expected value = (2/4 × 0.35) + (1/4 × 0.15) + (1/4 × 0.12)
= 0.175 + 0.0375 + 0.03
= 0.2425
228 Mock assessment 1: answers
15
234
(to the nearest whole number)
We need to find the point Z standard deviations above the mean, such that 80% of frequencies are below it
and 20% are above it. This means that 50% – 20% = 30% of the frequencies lie between the point Z and the
mean.
From normal distribution tables, 30% of frequencies lie between the mean and 0.84 standard deviations
from the mean.
If Z =
ı
ȝ x ÷
0.84 =
40
200 X ÷
0.84 × 40 = X – 200
33.6 = X – 200
33.6 + 200 = X
233.6 = X
X = 234
16 B X = 450 and Y = 383
X 412 Y
3
+ +
= 415
412 Y 360
3
+ +
= 385
Y = (3 × 385) – 412 – 360 = 383
X 412 383
3
+ +
= 415
X = (415 × 3) – 412 – 383 = 450
17 B Present value = Annuity(DF year 7– DF year 1)
83,025 = Annuity(5.786 – 0.952)
Annuity = 83,025/4.834 = $17,175
If you chose option A you have used the discount factors for years 8 and 2 instead of years 7 and 1.
Remember that the cumulative present value table shows the present value at the end of each year.
18
54
Y = 21.5 + 2.6X
If X = 11, trend for month 11 = 21.5 + (2.6 x 11) = 50.1
Seasonally adjusted forecast = 50.1 x 1.08 = 54.108 = 54 to nearest whole number
Mock assessment 1: answers 229
19 $
15,325
(to the nearest $)
Year
Cashflow Discount factor PV
$ 6% $
0 (30,000) 1 (30,000)
1 25,000 0.943 23,575
2 15,000 0.890 13,350
3 10,000 0.840 8,400
NPV = 15,325
20
10.81%
(1 + R) = (1+ r)
n
Option 1: r = 0.026, n = 4
1 + R = 1.026
4
1 + R = 1.1081
R = 10.81%
Option 2: r = 0.041, n = 2
1 + R = 1.041
2
1 + R = 1.0837
R = 8.37%
21
13.33
% (to 2 decimal places)
IRR = a% +
A
A B
NPV
(b a) %
NPV NPV
× ÷
÷
where a = 10%
b = 15%
NPV
A
= $4,000
NPV
B
= –$2,000
IRR = 10% + % ) 10 15 (
) 000 , 2 ( 000 , 4
000 , 4
÷ ×
÷ ÷
= 10% + 3.33%
= 13.33%
22 (a) The seasonal variation for the fourth quarter is
0.75
(to 2 decimal places)
As this is the multiplicative model, the seasonal variations should sum to 4 (giving an average of 1
per quarter).
Let X = seasonal variation in quarter 4
0.75 + 1.6 + 0.9 + X = 4
3.25 + X = 4
X = 4 – 3.25
X = 0.75
230 Mock assessment 1: answers
(b) The trend line for sales:
3 Increased between quarter 3 and quarter 4
Workings
For a multiplicative model, the seasonal component is as follows.
S = Y/T
T = Y/S
Quarter
3 4
Seasonal component (S) 0.9 0.75
Actual series (Y) $520,000 $540,000
Trend (T = Y/S) $577,778 $720,000
The trend for sales has therefore increased between quarters 3 and 4.
23
–0.992
(to 3 decimal places)
Correlation coefficient, r =
] ) Y ( Y n [ ] ) X ( X [n
Y X XY n
2 2 2 2
¯ ÷ ¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
=
) 084 , 6 266 , 1 5 ( ) 100 30 5 (
) 78 10 ( ) 134 5 (
÷ × × ÷ ×
× ÷ ×
=
) 084 , 6 330 , 6 ( ) 100 150 (
780 670
÷ × ÷
÷
=
) 246 50 (
110
×
÷
=
300 , 12
110 ÷
=
90537 . 110
110 ÷
= –0.992
Mock assessment 1: answers 231
24 X =
2
Y =
8
Workings
Y = 12 – 2X
or Y = –2X + 12
Y = –2X + 12 (1)
Y = 2X + 4 (2)
0 = –4X + 8 (1) – (2)
4X = 8
X = 2
If X = 2, Y = 12 – (2 × 2)
= 12 – 4
= 8
25 3
RB
PC 2
– 1
Workings
R =
) 1 N ( B
PC 2
+
N + 1 =
RB
PC 2
N =
RB
PC 2
– 1
26 3 10S
2
Workings

.

\

÷
1 . 1
1
– 1 S
1 . 1
1
2
=
09090909 . 0
S 909090909 . 0
2
= 10S
2
27 B Seasonally adjusted data = Actual results – seasonal factor
= 1,565,000 – (32,000) = 1,597,000
28 3 perfect negative correlation exists
The coefficient of rank correlation can be interpreted in exactly the same way as the ordinary correlation
coefficient. Its value can range from –1 to +1.
29 C =FORECAST(B3,$C$3:$C$7,$B$3:$B$7)
Absolute cell references are used to ensure that each observation is compared with the entire range.
232 Mock assessment 1: answers
30
0.082
(to 3 decimal places)
Workings
Pr(call answered) = 0.2
Pr(call not answered) = 1 – 0.2 = 0.8
Attempt
1 2 3 4 5
Not answered
3 3 3 3
Answered
3
Probability 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.2
Probability (call answered for first time on fifth attempt) = 0.8
4
× 0.2
= 0.082 (to 3 decimal places)
31
29.84
% (to 2 decimal places)
Workings
Effective annual rate = [(1 + r)
12/n
– 1]
Where r = rate for each time period
n = number of months in time period
Effective annual rate = (1 + 0.022)
12/1
– 1
= 0.2984
= 29.84%
32 $
134
(to the nearest $)
Workings
The new effective annual rate = (1 + 0.018)
12/1
– 1
= 0.2387
= 23.87%
The annual saving in interest per $ outstanding = $(0.2984 – 0.2387) = $0.0597
The minimum balance to be kept on the card to benefit from the change = $8/$0.0597 = $134.
33 A The scatter diagram displays perfect negative correlation. The gradient of the regression line has a
gradient of –1 and cuts the y axis at y=8 (ie when x=0, y=8).
34 3 +1
Say, performance in Accounting is HIGH , Law is LOW
Say, performance in FBSM is HIGH, Law is LOW
Performance in Accounting is HIGH when performance in FBSM is HIGH and they are therefore
positively correlated, ie R = +1
Mock assessment 1: answers 233
35 $
37,280
(to the nearest $)
Workings
Note. If you find it useful to do so, you should draw a time line to identify the time periods and interest rates
involved in the question you are tackling. The formula for the sum of a geometric progression is provided in
your examination.
Use the formula S =
) 1 (R
) 1 A(R
n
÷
÷
, where R = 1.02, S is the value of the fund at the end of 12 quarters and A is
the quarterly sum invested.
Using this formula, the first payment into the fund must be one time period from now.
After 3 years (12 quarters), value of sinking fund =
) 1 02 . 1 (
) 1 02 . 1 A(
12
÷
÷
= 13.412 A
After 12 quarters, the sinking fund must equal $500,000
500,000 = 13.412 A
A = $37,280 = quarterly sum
36 a =
10.560
(to 3 decimal places)
b =
0.453
(to 3 decimal places)
Workings
The method of least squares involves using the following formulae for a and b in y = a + bx.
Let x = the number of holidays booked
Let y = the number of complaints received
b =
2 2
) x ( x n
y x xy n
¯ ÷ ¯
¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
a = x b y ÷
where n = the number of pairs of data
x = the average x value of all the pairs of data
y = the average y value of all the pairs of data
x y xy x
2
y
2
246 94 23,124 60,516 8,836
192 80 15,360 36,864 6,400
221 106 23,426 48,841 11,236
385 183 70,455 148,225 33,489
416 225 93,600 173,056 50,625
279 162 45,198 77,841 26,244
343 191 65,513 117,649 36,481
582 252 146,664 338,724 63,504
610 291 177,510 372,100 84,681
674 310 208,940 454,276 96,100
3,948 1,894 869,790 1,828,092 417,596
234 Mock assessment 1: answers
Therefore, n = 10 (there are ten pairs of data for x and y values)
¯x = 3,948
¯y = 1,894
¯xy = 869,790
¯x
2
= 1,828,092
¯y
2
= 417,596
b =
2 2
) x ( x n
y x xy n
¯ ÷ ¯
¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
=
2
) 948 , 3 ( 092 , 828 , 1 10
) 894 , 1 948 , 3 ( ) 790 , 869 10 (
÷ ×
× ÷ ×
=
704 , 586 , 15 920 , 280 , 18
512 , 477 , 7 900 , 697 , 8
÷
÷
=
216 , 694 , 2
388 , 220 , 1
= 0.453
Therefore a = x b y ÷ = (
10
894 , 1
) – (0.453 ×
10
948 , 3
)
= 189.4 – 178.84
= 10.56
Thus y = 10.56 + 0.453x
37
351
Workings
If the number of holidays booked is 750, then x = 750 and the number of complaints (y) may be forecast as
follows.
y = 10.56 + (0.453 × 750)
= 10.56 + 339.75
= 350.31, say 351 complaints
38 The coefficient of correlation, r, between the marks for the test and the examination is
0.56
(to 2
decimal places)
The coefficient of determination is
0.31
(to 2 decimal places)
Workings
Let X = Aptitude test results
Y = Practical examination results
n = 6
Trainee
number X Y XY X
2
Y
2
1 11 15 165 121 225
2 14 16 224 196 256
3 14 22 308 196 484
4 18 14 252 324 196
5 19 17 323 361 289
6 26 24 624 676 576
¯X = 102 ¯Y = 108 ¯XY = 1,896 ¯X
2
= 1,874 ¯Y
2
= 2,026
Mock assessment 1: answers 235
Using the formula for the coefficient of correlation (r) provided in the examination:
r =
] Y) ( Y ][n X) ( X [n
Y X XY n
2 2 2 2
¯ ÷ ¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
r =
] ) 108 ( ) 026 , 2 6 [( ] ) 102 ( ) 874 , 1 6 [(
) 108 102 ( ) 896 , 1 6 (
2 2
÷ × ÷ ×
× ÷ ×
r =
) 664 , 11 156 , 12 )( 404 , 10 244 , 11 (
016 , 11 376 , 11
÷ ÷
÷
=
492 840
360
×
=
280 , 413
360
= 0.56
The coefficient of correlation, r, between the marks for the test and the examination is 0.56.
The coefficient of determination, r
2
= 0.56
2
= 0.31 (to 2 decimal places)
39 The average seasonal variation for each season is (to 1 decimal place)
Spring
–8.5
Summer
–27.1
Autumn
+11.9
Winter
+23.7
Workings
Spring Summer Autumn Winter Total
Year 1 +11.2 +23.5
Year 2 –9.8 –28.1 +12.5 +23.7
Year 3 –7.4 –26.3 +11.7
Average variation –8.6 –27.2 +11.8 +23.6 –0.4
Adjust total variation to nil +0.1 +0.1 +0.1 +0.1 +0.4
Estimated seasonal variation –8.5 –27.1 +11.9 +23.7 0.0
40
103.5
(to 1 decimal place)
Workings
An aggregate price index is calculated as follows.
Aggregate price index =
W P
W P
0
1
¯
¯
× 100
(W) P
0
P
1
P
0
W P
1
W
Material A 9 10 10.20 90 91.80
Material B 13 12 12.50 156 162.50
Material C 8 9 9.00 72 72.00
Material D 20 25 26.00 500 520.00
818 846.30
236 Mock assessment 1: answers
W = quantity used in current quarter
P
0
= Average price payable per unit in current quarter
P
1
= Average price payable per unit in next quarter
Aggregate price index =
818
30 . 846
× 100
= 103.5 (to 1 decimal place)
41 B Percentages of invoices with errors
Total number of invoices = 60+30+40+40+20+10+0
= 200
Number of invoices without errors = 60
Number of invoices with errors = 200 – 60
= 140
Percentage of invoices with errors =
200
140
× 100%
= 70%
42 3 1.8
Number of errors 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 or more
Number of invoices 60 30 40 40 20 10 0
Probability 0.3 0.15 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.05 0
Expected value of number of errors per invoice
= (0 × 0.3) + (1 × 0.15) + (2 × 0.2) + (3 × 0.2) + (4 × 0.1) + (5 × 0.05) + (6 × 0)
= 0 + 0.15 + 0.4 + 0.6 + 0.4 + 0.25 + 0
= 1.8 errors
43 The trend value for Q
2
2001 is
40
units.
Workings
Q
2
2001 is T = 14
If trend = 180 – 10T
= 180 – (10 × 14)
= 180 – 140
= 40 units
44 (a) Forecast for Q
2
2001:
24
(W1)
(b) Forecast for Q
3
2001:
30
(W2)
(c) Forecast for Q
4
2001:
36
(W3)
Mock assessment 1: answers 237
Workings
(1) Q
2
2001 is T = 14, trend = 40 units
Forecast sales = 40 × 0.6* = 24 units
* (100% – 40%) = 60% = 0.6
(2) Q
3
2001 is T = 15, trend = 180 – (10 × 15) = 180 – 150 = 30 units
Forecast sales = 30 × 1 = 30 units*
* No seasonal variation in this quarter
(3) Q
4
2001 is T = 16, trend = 180 – (10 × 16) = 180 – 160 = 20 units
Forecast sales = 20 × 1.8 = 36 units
45
C7
E5
E7
238 Mock assessment 1: answers
239
CIMA
Paper C3 (Certificate)
Fundamentals of Business
Mathematics
Mock Assessment 2
Question Paper
Time allowed
2 hours
Answer ALL fortyfive questions
DO NOT OPEN THIS PAPER UNTIL YOU ARE READY TO START UNDER
EXAMINATION CONDITIONS
240
Mock assessment 2: questions 241
Answer ALL 45 questions
1 The following price index has undergone a change of base in 2005. Splice the two series together using base
2005.
2000 = 100
2001 165
2002 170
2003 178
2004 183
2005 190
2005 = 100
2006 104
2007 108
2008 115
2009 122
2010 129
Using the new series, the base is now changed to 2004.
Which year now has an index of 98?
2 Product X needs 2 labour hours, product Y needs 5 labour hours, there are 500 hours available. How would
this be expressed as an inequality?
A 2X + 5Y < 500
B 5X + 2Y > 500
C 2X +5Y > 500
D 5X + 2Y < 500
3 $10,000 was invested on 1 January 20X3, earning interest of 5% per annum. The value of this investment on
31 December 20X7 will be (to the nearest $)
A $12,155
B $12,763
C $35,460
D $43,290
4 An annual yearend income of $15,000 is required in perpetuity. Assuming a fixed rate of interest of 9%
each year, and ignoring administrative charges, the sum required now to purchase the annuity is closest to
A $13,650
B $135,000
C $150,000
D $167,000
242 Mock assessment 2: questions
5 George does a number of cycle rides in a week. In a week where his average ride was 22 miles, his individual
ride distances, in miles, were
35, 24, x, 17, y, 23
When x = 2y, the value of x is
6 A health and fitness centre has to buy one of two types of machine, A or B. Machine A would cost $200,000,
half of which would be due on delivery, the remainder a year later. Machine B would cost $240,000, with
payment due in the same way as for machine A. Both machines last for 6 years and have an expected scrap
value of 10% of their original cost price. Taking into account operating costs and maintenance, machine A
would produce yearend net operational cash flows of $40,000 and machine B yearend net operational cash
flows of $50,000. In both cases the relevant cost of capital is 10% each year throughout the period.
The net present value of machine A is $ (to the nearest $)
7 The cost of a piece of equipment is $5,356 plus sales tax of 14.3%. Using the numbers given, what Excel
formula is required to calculate the total price rounded to 2 decimal places?
8 The following has been calculated for a frequency distribution.
E(f) = 50
E(fx) = 1,610
E(fx
2
) = 61,250
The value of the standard deviation (to 1 decimal place) is
9 A company is considering purchasing a new machine for $25,000. This would increase the annual cash flow
of the company by $6,500 in each of the next six years. If the cost of capital is 9% per annum, the net
present value of this investment is
A $4,159
B $10,780
C $10,901
D $14,000
10 An index number is made up of two items, food and nonfood.
Subgroup Weight Index
Nonfood 7 130
Food
3 ?
All items
10 127
The index number for the subgroup Food is closest to
A 120
B 122
C 124
D 126
Mock assessment 2: questions 243
11
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0 20 40 60 80
X
Y
What is the best approximation to the equation of the line drawn through these points?
A y =
3x
2
– 20
B y =
2x
3
+ 20
C y =
3x
2
+ 20
D y =
2x
3
– 20
12 Sample 1: 2, 5, 5, 12
Sample 2: 1, 3, 5, 8, 8
Which of the following statistics has the same value in both samples?
A Arithmetic mean
B Standard deviation
C Median
D Mode
244 Mock assessment 2: questions
13 A company's market value has fallen from $32 billion to $2 billion in four years. The average annual
percentage decline in market value is closest to
20%
40%
50%
100%
14 The net present value of an investment at 10% is $12,000, and at 18% is – $4,000. The internal rate of
return of this investment is
A 12%
B 14%
C 16%
D 22%
15 A mortgage offer has been made at 4% fixed rate for six years and 6.5% on the remaining balance
thereafter.
You want to borrow $150,000 for a total term of 25 years. What will be your monthly repayment for the first
six years, correct to the nearest $?
16 The price indices for three products were:
Product Index
Sherbet 135
Liquorice 152
Aniseed balls 170
All of the indices have the same base year with an index of 100. The weighted price index incorporating the
three products is 148.6. If the weighting used for Sherbet is 60 and for Liquorice was 50, what was the
weighting used for Aniseed balls?
A 50
B 30
C 60
D 40
17 A company is bidding for three contracts which are awarded independently of each other. The board
estimates its chances of winning Contract A as 40%, of winning Contract B as 1 in 4 and of winning Contract
C as 1 in 5. The profits from A, B and C are estimated to be $600,000, $700,000 and $800,000 respectively.
The expected value to the company of the profits from all three contracts will be closest to:
A $240,000
B $575,000
C $700,000
D $800,000
Mock assessment 2: questions 245
18 For a set of six data pairs for the variable x (profit) and y (sales) the following values have been found.
¯x = 2
¯y = 15
¯x
2
= 30
¯y
2
= 130
¯xy = 14
Calculate the values for the intercept and gradient of the linear regression line for this data (to 2 decimal places).
a =
b =
19 When x = 4 the value (to 2 decimal places) of (x
0.65
)
6
=
20 The sales of a product are recorded monthly for 24 months. The fourpoint (centred) moving averages are
calculated and plotted on a graph.
How many moving average points are plotted?
20
21
22
24
21 A company's weekly costs ($C) were plotted against production level (P) for the last 50 weeks and a
regression line calculated to be C = 2,000 + 300P. Which statement about the breakdown of weekly costs is
true?
A Fixed costs are $2,000. Variable costs per unit are $5.
B Fixed costs are $300. Variable costs per unit are $4.
C Fixed costs are $300. Variable costs per unit are $2,000.
D Fixed costs are $2,000. Variable costs per unit are $300.
246 Mock assessment 2: questions
22
A B C D E F
1 Cash forecast for Peter & Sons
2
3 Month 1 Month 2 Month 3
4 $ $ $
5 Opening cash 0 7482 15710
6
7 Receipts 16500 17250 18300
8
9 Payments
10 Staff:
11 Project manager 1800 1800 1900
12 Supervisor 1500 1500 1500
13 Mechanic 1 1200 1200 1200
14 Mechanic 2 1100 1100 1100
15 Mechanic 3 1000 1000 1000
16 Admin staff 1050 1050 1050
17
National insurance
@ 10% 765 765 775
18 Total staff costs 8415 8415 8525
19
20 Insurance 35 35 35
21 Telephone 120 120 120
22 Computer supplies 58 60 62
23 Rent 250 250 250
24 Stationery 10 12 14
25 Accountancy 45 45 45
26 Marketing 55 55 55
27 Other costs 30 30 30
28 Total other costs 603 607 611
29
30 Total payments 9018 9022 9136
31
32 Closing cash 7482 15710 24874
(a) The cell F5 (column F row 5) shows the opening position for month 3. The value in this cell is a
formula.
Which of the following would not be a correct entry for this cell?
A =E7E30+D32
B =E5+E7E30
C =E32
D =15710
Mock assessment 2: questions 247
(b) The formula in D17 (column D row 17) adds a percentage national insurance charge to the sub total
of staff costs. Which of the formulae shown below would be the best formula for cell D17?
A =SUM(D11:D16)*0.1
B =SUM(D11:D16)*$C17
C =SUM(D11:D16)*10%
D =SUM(D11:D16)*C17
(c) The cell D30 (column D row 30) shows the total payments. Which of the following is the correct
formula for this cell?
A =D28+D18
B =SUM(D11:D28)
C =SUM(D7:D28)
D D18+D28
23 You are given a frequency distribution within a spreadsheet as shown below.
A B C D
1 x f fx
2 3 16
3 9 13
4 15 7
5 22 21
6 31 4
7 35 14
8 41 12
9
10 156 87
(a) A formula is entered into cell C2 to calculate fx. This cell is then copied down the column. What
formula is entered in cell C2?
(b) What would be entered into a cell to calculate E fx and into which cell would this be entered?
In cell the formula would be entered
248 Mock assessment 2: questions
24
What Excel formula is needed in the range G3:G9 to calculate the frequency distribution of the average
length per component?
A =FDIST(A3:D7,F3:F9)
B =FDIST(F3:F9,A3:D7)
C =FREQUENCY(A3:D7,F3:F9)
D =FREQUENCY(F3:F9,A3:D7)
25 The correlation coefficient between two variables, x and y, is +0.65. The proportion of variation in x that is
explained by variation in y is (to 4 decimal places)
26 The number of daily complaints to a railway company has an average (arithmetic mean) of 12 and a standard
deviation of 3 complaints.
The coefficient of variation is
A 0.25%
B 4%
C 25%
D 400%
27 The following formula is used in the financial analysis of dividends:
G
P
V
R + 
.

\

=
When the formula is rearranged, with P in terms of the other variables, P is equal to
G
V
R
÷ 
.

\

( )
V
G R÷
G
R
V
÷ 
.

\

( ) G R
V
÷
A B C D E F G
1 Average length of component
2 Length in mm
3 1087 850 1084 792 700
4 924 1226 1012 1205 800
5 1265 1028 1230 1182 900
6 1086 1130 989 1155 1000
7 1134 1166 1129 1160 1100
8 1200
9 1300
Mock assessment 2: questions 249
28 The length of telephone calls to a Software Support line is approximately normally distributed with a mean of
20 minutes and a standard deviation of 5 minutes.
The percentage of calls lasting under 30 minutes is closest to
2%
48%
83%
98%
29 A fixedinterest $200,000 mortgage, with annual interest compounded at 6% each year, is to be repaid by 15
equal yearend repayments of $R.
The annual repayment $R will be closest to
$14,133
$20,593
$31,954
$83,400
30 A company's security system is made up of three separate electronic alarms, which operate independently.
The security system operates provided that at least one of the three alarms is working. The probability of an
alarm failing at any time is 1 in 100.
The probability of the security system failing is
1 in 100
3 in 100
1 in 10,000
1 in 1,000,000
31 You borrow $3,000 and pay 10% each year interest. Ignoring capital, if you pay this interest at the end of
each year, what is the present value of the interest payable at the end of the third year?
(3/10) × $300 × 3
(7/10) × $300
(10/11)
3
× $300
(11/10)
3
× $400
250 Mock assessment 2: questions
32 A manufacturer supplies components in boxes of 10, stating that there is a (independent) chance of 10% of
any one component being faulty.
In a large batch, the percentage of boxes containing no faulty components will be closest to
10%
35%
50%
90%
33 A new lake is to be stocked with fish, according to the numbers in the table below.
Type of fish A B C D
Number of fish 400 300 200 100
Annual % increase 10 20 30 40
After one year, the percentage of fish of Type D in the lake will be closest to
10%
12%
14%
20%
34 In a time series analysis, the trend equation for a particular product is given by
TREND = 0.0002 × YEAR
2
+ 0.4 × YEAR + 30.4
Due to the cyclical factor, the forecast for the year 2007 is estimated at 1.6 times trend.
In whole units, the forecast for the year 2007 is
A 1,639 B 3,211 C 2,608 D 2,622
35 A company's annual profits have a trend line given by Y = 30t – 10, where Y is the trend in $'000 and t is the
year with t = 0 in 20X0. Forecast profits for the year 20X8 using an additive model if the cyclical component
for that year is –25 are
A $235,000 B $205,000 C $161,000 D $260,000
36 The mailorder sales (units) of Brand X in a certain country are shown below. In this country, the
populations of all twenty subgroups are equal. Each customer buys one unit. Ages are given in years.
Mailorder sales of Brand X (units) by region and age in 20X6
Region/Age 21–29 30–39 40–49 50–59 60 + Total
North 100 80 50 40 30 300
South 55 50 45 30 20 200
East 65 60 65 60 50 300
West 20 30 40 50 60 200
240 220
1,000
A customer is to be randomly selected for a holiday prize. The probability that this customer is from the East
and over 39 years of age is to 3 decimal places.
Mock assessment 2: questions 251
37 The mailorder sales (units) of Brand X in a certain country are shown below. In this country, the
populations of all twenty subgroups are equal. Each customer buys one unit. Ages are given in years.
Mailorder sales of Brand X (units) by region and age in 20X6
Region/Age 21–29 30–39 40–49 50–59 60 + Total
North 100 80 50 40 30 300
South 55 50 45 30 20 200
East 65 60 65 60 50 300
West 20 30 40 50 60 200
240 220
1,000
For the North and South the rank correlation coefficient between sales and age is (to the nearest
whole number).
38 If y = aX
b
and a = 8 minutes, X = 12 and b = –0.23. What is the value of Y to two decimal places?
39 An item is made in two stages. At the first stage it is processed by one of four machines – A, B, C, or D –
with equal probability. At the second stage it is processed by one of two machines – E or F – and is twice as
likely to go through F as this machine works twice as quickly.
The probability that an item is processed on A or E is:
A 1/12
B 2/7
C 1/2
D 7/12
40 A bakery produces fresh cakes each day. The variable costs of production are $0.20 per cake and the retail
price is $0.50 per cake. The daily demand for cakes over the last four months is shown in the table below. At
the end of each day, any unsold cakes are sold to a local pig farmer for $0.05 per cake.
Daily demand (cakes) 139 4079 80119 120159 160199
Number of days: 10 20 30 30 10
[For simplicity, the midpoints of the intervals are assumed to be 20, 60, 100 etc]
Complete the daily contribution ($) table shown below.
Daily demand for cakes
20 60 100 140 180
20 6 6 6 6 6
Daily production 60 A 18 18 18 18
of cakes 100 B 30 30 30
140 C 42 42
180 D
Probability of demand
E
252 Mock assessment 2: questions
A
B
C
D
E
The following information is to be used for questions 41 and 42
In a time series analysis, the multiplicative model is used to forecast sales and the following seasonal variations
apply:
Quarter 1 2 3 4
Seasonal variation 1.3 1.6 0.5 ?
The actual sales values for the first two quarters of 2006 were:
Quarter 1: $125,000
Quarter 2: $135,000
41 The seasonal variation for the fourth quarter is:
A 3.4
B 0.6
C 1.0
D 1.1
42 The trend line for sales:
A Decreased between quarter 1 and quarter 2 .
B Increased between quarter 1 and quarter 2.
C Remained constant between quarter 1 and quarter 2.
D Cannot be determined from the information given.
43 In an additive time series analysis, the seasonal variations given by averaging the (Y – T) values are as
follows.
Year Y –T
1 16
2 32
3 18
4 34
The averages are subsequently adjusted so that their total is 0. What is the new value of the current average
for year 4?
Mock assessment 2: questions 253
44 Which of these scatter diagrams shows no linear correlation between x and y?
A B C
×
×
×
×
y y y
x x x
×
×
×
×
×
×
×
×
×
×
×
×
×
D
x
y
×
×
×
×
×
×
×
45 A gas supplier has monitored the monthly volume of gas consumed in an area against the mean temperature
each month. The following results have been produced.
Mean temperature Gas consumption
X Y X
2
Y
2
XY
2.50 26.70 6.25 712.89 66.75
0.80 33.10 0.64 1,095.61 26.48
4.60 28.60 21.16 817.96 131.56
8.90 22.40 79.21 501.76 199.36
14.60 17.30 213.16 299.29 252.58
15.10 10.10 228.01 102.01 152.51
18.30 5.10 334.89 26.01 93.33
21.20 4.20 449.44 17.64 89.04
20.30 4.40 412.09 19.36 89.32
14.20 11.60 201.64 134.56 164.72
10.60 23.50 112.36 552.25 249.10
6.50 24.50 42.25 600.25 159.25
137.60 211.50 2,101.10 4,879.59 1,674.00
Calculate the correlation coefficient for this data (to 3 decimal places).
254 Mock assessment 2: questions
255
Answers
DO NOT TURN THIS PAGE UNTIL YOU HAVE
COMPLETED MOCK ASSESSMENT 2
256
Mock assessment 2: answers 257
1 2003
2005 = 100
2001 165/190 × 100 = 87
2002 170/190 × 100 = 89
2003 178/190 × 100 = 94
2004 183/190 × 100 = 96
2005 100
2006 104
2007 108
2008 115
2009 122
2010 129
When the base is changed to 2004:
2004 = 100
2001 87/96 × 100 = 91
2002 89/96 × 100 = 93
2003 94/96 × 100 = 98
2 A 2X + 5Y < 500
If you answered B or D, you have the letters the wrong way round and if you answered C, the symbol
is greater than instead of less then.
3 B $10,000 is invested at 5% pa for 5 years.
$10,000 × (1.05)
5
= $12,763
Option A is incorrect because it has not included the final year's interest payment ($10,000 × (1.05)
4
= $12,155).
You should have been able to eliminate Options C and D straightaway since commonsense will tell
you that $10,000 invested for five years at 5% is unlikely to give such a great return.
4 D PV =
r
1
PV =
09 . 0
000 , 15 $
= $166,666.67
= $167,000
5
22
35+24+2y +17+ y +23
= 22
6
99+3y
= 22
6
99 + 3y = 132
3y = 33
y = 11
If x = 2y
x = 2 × 11
= 22
258 Mock assessment 2: answers
6 The net present value of Machine A is $
–5,420
(to the nearest $).
Workings
Year Cash outflow Cash inflow Discount factors Present value
$ $ $
0 –100,000 1.000 –100,000
1 –100,000 0.909 –90,900
1 40,000
2 40,000
3 40,000
4 40,000
4.355
174,200
5 40,000
6 40,000
6 20,000 0.564
11,280
Net Present Value
–5,420
7 =ROUND(5356*1.143,2)
8
13.7
Standard deviation =
E
÷
E
2
2 fx
x
f
where x =
f
fX
¯
¯
=
2
61,250 1,610
50 50
 
÷

\ .
=
2
1,225 32.2 ÷
= 188.16
= 13.7
9 A
Year Cashflow Discount factor Present value
$ 9% $
0 (25,000) 1 (25,000)
16 6,500 4.486
29,159
NPV =
4,159
Remember to use the cumulative present value tables (and not the present value tables).
10 A The overall index is an average index and is calculated as follows.
weight Total
weight) index (food weight) index food  (Non × + ×
Let x = index for food subgroup
10
) 3 (x ) 7 130 ( × + ×
= 127
Mock assessment 2: answers 259
910 + 3x = 1,270
3x = 1,270 – 910
x = 360/3
x = 120
11 C y =
3x
2
+ 20
The equation of a straight line is y = ax + b.
The straight line drawn through the points will intercept the y axis at approximately 20 (a) and the
gradient (b) of the line is (change in y/change in x) which is approximately (120/80) = 1.5
12 C Sample 1 median = average of second and third items in the array, ie 
.

\
 +
2
5 5
= 5
Sample 2 median = the middle (third) item in the array ie 5
The median has the same value, therefore, in both samples.
13 3 50%
If 32 × (1 – r)
4
= 2
(1 – r)
4
=
32
2
1 – r =
4
32
2
r = 1–
4
32
2
r = 1 – 0.5
r = 0.5 or 50%
14 C The internal rate of return (IRR) of the investment can be calculated using the following formula.
IRR = a% +
A
A B
NPV
(b a) %
NPV NPV
× ÷
÷
where a = first interest rate = 10%
b = second interest rate = 18%
NPV
A
= first NPV = $12,000
NPV
B
= second NPV = $4,000
IRR = 10% + % ) 10 18 (
000 , 4 000 , 12
000 , 12


.

\

÷ ×
+
= 10% + 6%
= 16%
Option B is incorrect since this is simply the average of 18% and 10% = 14%.
Option D is incorrect because no account has been taken of the fact that when –4,000 is subtracted
from 12,000 the result is 12,000 – (–4,000) = 16,000 and not 12,000 – (–4,000) = 8,000. Hence the
IRR is incorrectly calculated as 10 + 
.

\

× % 8
000 , 8
000 , 12
= 22%.
260 Mock assessment 2: answers
15
800
Annuity factor =
0.04
1

.

\

÷
25
(1.04)
1
1
= 15.622
Annuity =
f act or Annuit y
PV
=
15.622
150,000
= 9,601.84
Monthly repayment =
12
$9,601.84
= $800.15
16 B
Product P
1
/P
0
Weight Relative weight
W × P
1
/P
0
Sherbet 1.35 60 81
Liquorice 1.52 50 76
Aniseed balls 1.70 W 1.7 × W
110 + W 157+ 1.7W
W 110
A 7 . 1 157
+
+
= 1.486
157+ 1.7W = 163.46 + 1.486W
0.214W = 6.46
W = 30
17 B Expected value = probability × profit
Contract
Probability Estimated
profits
Expected value
$ $
A 0.4 600,000 240,000
B 0.25 700,000 175,000
C 0.2
800,000 160,000
2,100,000 575,000
Option A is incorrect because it is just the highest expected value (from Contract A).
Option C is the arithmetic mean of the estimated profits ($2,100,000 ÷ 3 = $700,000)
Option D is the maximum expected profit from any one contract, ie $800,000 from Contract C.
Mock assessment 2: answers 261
18 a =
– 2.40
b =
0.31
b =
2 2
n xy  ( x)( y)
n x  ( x)
E E E
E E
=
2
(6×14) (2×15)
(6×30) 2
=
84 30
180 4
=
54
176
= 0.31
y =
15
6
= 2.5
x =
2
6
= 0.33
a = y bx ÷
= 2.5 – (0.31 × 0.33)
= 2.5 – 0.1023
= 2.40
19
222.86
If x = 4
Value = (4
–0.65
)
–6
= 222.86
20 3 21
If you successively sum the sales data in groups of 4, there will be 21 fourpoint moving averages
calculated. You then need to do a further moving average so that trend values can relate to specific
actual figures.
Jot down months 124, work out where the moving averages would be calculated, and then calculate
how many there are if you are unsure how to arrive at the correct answer.
21 D If C = 2,000 + 300P, then fixed costs are $2,000 and variable costs are $300 per unit.
22 (a) D Putting a value in the cell, such as 15,710, would mean that the cell would not be
automatically updated if changes were later made to the spreadsheet.
(b) In Excel, placing the $ sign in front of a cell reference makes that reference absolute. When you move
or copy a formula, absolute cell references do not change.
(c) The correct formula is = D28 + D18.
Although D18 + D28 looks the same, because it has no = sign, it is not treated as a formula. Both of
the other options count subtotals as well as the cost items.
262 Mock assessment 2: answers
23 (a) =A2*B2 In cell C10 the formula =SUM(C2:C8) would be entered
24 C =FREQUENCY(A3:D7,F3:F9)
25
0.4225
r
2
= 0.65
2
= 0.4225
Therefore only just under half of the variation in one variable can be explained by variation in the
other.
26 C Coefficient of variation =
Mean
tion dard devia tan S
=
12
3
= 0.25
0.25 as a percentage is 25% (0.25 × 100%)
If you selected option A, you forgot to multiply the coefficient of variation by 100%.
If you selected option B, you calculated the coefficient of variation as (mean ÷ standard deviation)
instead of (standard deviation ÷ mean). You also forgot to multiply your answer by 100%.
If you selected option D, you calculated the coefficient of variation as a percentage as (mean ÷
standard deviation × 100%) instead of (standard deviation ÷ mean × 100%).
27 3
G R
V
÷
If G
P
V
R + 
.

\

=
R – G =
P
V
P =
G R
V
÷
28 3 98%
20 30
If z =
ı
ȝ x ÷
=
5
20 30 ÷
=
5
10
= 2
Mock assessment 2: answers 263
Using normal distribution tables, when z = 2, this corresponds to a probability of 0.4772. We must
also remember to take into account the area to the left of u = 20 which corresponds to a probability
of 0.5.
The area that we are interested in shown on the graph above therefore corresponds to a probability of
0.4772 + 0.5 = 0.9772 or 97.72% = 98%
29 3 $20,593
Annuity =
ctor annuity fa
PV
=
712 . 9
000 , 200 $
= $20,593
(Note. The annuity factor is found by looking in the cumulative present value tables where n=15 and
r=6%.)
Alternatively, you could have arrived at the same answer by using the following method.
Final value of loan must equal sum of repayments
Final value of loan = $200,000 × (1.06)
15
= $479,312
The repayments are a geometric progression. The sum of the repayments can be found by using the
formula for the sum of a geometric progression.
S =
1 R
) 1 A(R
n
÷
÷
where S = $479,312
R = 1.06
n = 15
$479,312 =
1 06 . 1
) 1 06 . 1 A(
15
÷
÷
$479,312 × 0.06 = A(1.06
15
– 1)
$28,758.72 = A(1.06
15
– 1)
A =
) 1 06 . 1 (
72 . 758 , 28 $
15
÷
A = $20,593
30 3 1 in 1,000,000
Workings
Since the electronic alarms operate independently, the failure of one alarm in no way affects the
operation of the other two alarms. We need to use the simple multiplication law or AND Law.
Probability of security system failing =
100
1
×
100
1
×
100
1
=
000 , 000 , 1
1
264 Mock assessment 2: answers
31 3 (10/11)
3
× $300
Interest on $3,000 × 10% = $300
Present value of $300 (in year 3) =
3
) 1 . 1 (
300 $
(1.1)
3
can also be written (as a fraction) as
3
10
11

.

\

PV of $300 (in year 3) =
3
) 10 / 11 (
300 $
= $300 × (10/11)
3
32 3 35%
Pr (faulty component ) = 0.1
Pr (no faulty components) = 1 – 0.1 = 0.9
Pr (no faulty components in a box of ten) = 0.9
10
= 0.3487
= 34.87 or 35%
33 3 12%
Type of fish A B C D Total
Number of fish 400 300 200 100
Annual % increase 10 20 30 40
Number after one year 440 360 260 140 1,200
Percentage of Type D fish in lake after one year =
200 , 1
140
× 100%
= 11.67%
= 12%
34 D Year = 2007
Trend = (0.0002 × 2007
2
) + (0.4 × 2007) + 30.4
= 805.6 + 802.8 + 30.4
= 1,638.8
Forecast = 1.6 × 1,638.8
= 2,622.08
Forecast in whole units = 2,622
35 B In 20X8, t = 8
y = 30t – 10
y = (30 × 8) – 10
y = 240 – 10 = 230
Forecast profits for 20X8 = 230 – 25
Mock assessment 2: answers 265
= 205
= $205,000
If you selected A, you used t = 9 instead of t = 8. If you selected C, you have used a multiplicative
instead of an additive model.
If you selected D, you have added rather than subtracted the cyclical component.
36 The probability that this customer is from the east and over 39 years of age is
0.175
to 3 decimal
places.
Workings
Number of customers from the East and over 39 years of age = 65 + 60 + 50 =175
Total number of customers = 1,000
Required probability =
000 , 1
175
= 0.175
37 For the North and South, the rank correlation coefficient between sales and age is
+1
(to the
nearest whole number).
Region/Age 2129 3039 4049 5059 60 +
North 100 80 50 40 30
Ranking 1 2 3 4 5
South 55 50 45 30 20
Ranking 1 2 3 4 5
The rankings for North and South are identical and therefore the rank correlation coefficient is +1.
38
4.52
y = ax
b
= 8 × 12
–0.23
= 4.51729
= 4.52 to two decimal places
39 C P(A) = 1/4
P(B) = 1/4
P(C) = 1/4
P(D) = 1/4
P(E) = 1/3
P(F) = 2/3 (twice as likely to go through F)
P(A or E) = P(A) + P(E) – P(A and E)
= 1/4 + 1/3 – (1/4 × 1/3)
= 7/12 – 1/12
= 6/12
= 1/2
The correct option is therefore C.
266 Mock assessment 2: answers
Option B is incorrect on two counts. Firstly, no account has been taken of the possibility of A and E
(1/4 × 1/3). Secondly, 1/4 + 1/3 = 2/7!
Option A is incorrect since no account has been taken of P(A) + P(E), only P(A and E) = 1/4 × 1/3 = 1/12
Option D is incorrect since the P(A and E), 1/12, has not been subtracted from 7/12
40
A
$ –
B
$12
C
$6
D
$54
E
0.3
Workings
A Production = 60, demand = 20
Revenue = (20 × $0.5) + (40 × $0.05)
= $10 + $2 = $12
Variable costs = 60 × $0.2 = $12
Contribution = Revenue – variable costs
= $12 – $12
= $nil
B Production = 100, demand = 60
Revenue = (60 × $0.5) + (40 × $0.05)
= $30 + $2 = $32
Variable costs = 100 × $0.2 = $20
Contribution = $32 – $20 = $12
C Production = 140, demand = 60
Revenue = (60 × $0.5) + (80 × $0.05)
= $30 + $4 = $34
Variable costs = 140 × $0.2 = $28
Contribution = $34 – $28 = $6
D Production = 180, demand = 180
Revenue = 180 × $0.5 = $90
Variable costs = 180 × $0.2 = $36
Contribution = $90 – $36 = $54
Mock assessment 2: answers 267
E
Daily demand 139 4079 80119 120159 160199
Midpoint 20 60 100 140 180
Number of days 10 20 30 30 10
Total number of days = 10 + 20 + 30 + 30 + 10 = 100
Probability of daily demand for 100 cakes =
100
30
= 0.3
41 B As this is a multiplicative model, the seasonal variations should sum to 4 in this case with an average
of 1 as there are 4 quarters.
If x = seasonal variation for quarter 4
1.3 + 1.6 + 0.5 + X = 4
X = 4 – 3.4
X = 0.6
42 A T = Y/S for the multiplicative model
Quarter
1 2
Seasonal component 1.3 1.6
Actual series $120,000 $135,000
Trend (T) $92,308 $84,375
The trend line for sales has therefore decreased between quarter 1 and quarter 2.
43
–33
Year
Y – T Adjustment Adjusted average
1 16 1 17
2 32 1 33
3 – 18 1 – 17
4 – 34 1 – 33
– 4 4 0
44 C A shows strong negative correlation, B shows weak positive correlation and D shows weak negative
correlation.
268 Mock assessment 2: answers
45
– 0.968
r =
2 2 2 2
n xy  ( x)( y)
[n x  ( x) ][n y  ( y)
E E E
E E E E
=
2 2
(12×1,674) (137.6×211.5)
[(12×2,101.1) 137.6 ][(12× 4,879.59) 211.5 ]
=
20,088 29,102.4
(25,213.2 18,933.76)(58,555.08 44, 732.25)
=
9,014.4
6,279.44×13,822.83
=
9014.4
9,316.63
= – 0.968
269
Mathematical tables
270
Mathematical tables 271
Logarithms
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10
0000 0043 0086 0128 0170
0212 0253 0294 0334 0374
4
4
9
8
13
12
17
16
21
20
26
24
30
28
34
32
38
37
11
0414 0453 0492 0531 0569
0607 0645 0682 0719 0755
4
4
8
7
12
11
15
15
19
19
23
22
27
26
31
30
35
33
12
0792 0828 0864 0899 0934 0969
1004 1038 1072 1106
3
3
7
7
11
10
14
14
18
17
21
20
25
24
28
27
32
31
13
1139 1173 1206 1239 1271
1303 1335 1367 1399 1430
3
3
7
7
10
10
13
12
16
16
20
19
23
22
26
25
30
29
14
1461 1492 1523 1553
1584 1614 1644 1673 1703 1732
3
3
6
6
9
9
12
12
15
15
18
17
21
20
24
23
28
26
15
1761 1790 1818 1847 1875 1903
1931 1959 1987 2014
3
3
6
5
9
8
11
11
14
14
17
16
20
19
23
22
26
25
16
2041 2068 2095 2122 2148
2175 2201 2227 2253 2279
3
3
5
5
8
8
11
10
14
13
16
15
19
18
22
21
24
23
17
2304 2330 2355 2380 2405 2430
2455 2480 2504 2529
3
2
5
5
8
7
10
10
13
12
15
15
18
17
20
19
23
22
18
2553 2577 2601 2625 2648
2672 2695 2718 2742 2765
2
2
5
5
7
7
9
9
12
11
14
14
16
16
19
18
21
21
19
2788 2810 2833 2856 2878
2900 2923 2945 2967 2989
2
2
4
4
7
6
9
8
11
11
13
13
16
15
18
17
20
19
20 3010 3032 3054 3075 3096 3118 3139 3160 3181 3201 2 4 6 8 11 13 15 17 19
21 3222 3243 3263 3284 3304 3324 3345 3365 3385 3404 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
22 3424 3444 3464 3483 3502 3522 3541 3560 3579 3598 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 15 17
23 3617 3636 3655 3674 3692 3711 3729 3747 3766 3784 2 4 6 7 9 11 13 15 17
24 3802 3820 3838 3856 3874 3892 3909 3927 3945 3962 2 4 5 7 9 11 12 14 16
25 3979 3997 4014 4031 4048 4065 4082 4099 4116 4133 2 3 5 7 9 10 12 14 15
26 4150 4166 4183 4200 4216 4232 4249 4265 4281 4298 2 3 5 7 8 10 11 13 15
27 4314 4330 4346 4362 4378 4393 4409 4425 4440 4456 2 3 5 6 8 9 11 13 14
28 4472 4487 4502 4518 4533 4548 4564 4579 4594 4609 2 3 5 6 8 9 11 12 14
29 4624 4639 4654 4669 4683 4698 4713 4728 4742 4757 1 3 4 6 7 9 10 12 13
30 4771 4786 4800 4814 4829 4843 4857 4871 4886 4900 1 3 4 6 7 9 10 11 13
31 4914 4928 4942 4955 4969 4983 4997 5011 5024 5038 1 3 4 6 7 8 10 11 12
32 5051 5065 5079 5092 5105 5119 5132 5145 5159 5172 1 3 4 5 7 8 9 11 12
33 5185 5198 5211 5224 5237 5250 5263 5276 5289 5302 1 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 12
34 5315 5328 5340 5353 5366 5378 5391 5403 5416 5428 1 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11
35 5441 5453 5465 5478 5490 5502 5514 5527 5539 5551 1 2 4 5 6 7 9 10 11
36 5563 5575 5587 5599 5611 5623 5635 5647 5658 5670 1 2 4 5 6 7 8 10 11
37 5682 5694 5705 5717 5729 5740 5752 5763 5775 5786 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10
38 5798 5809 5821 5832 5843 5855 5866 5877 5888 5899 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10
39 5911 5922 5933 5944 5955 5966 5977 5988 5999 6010 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 9 10
40 6021 6031 6042 6053 6064 6075 6085 6096 6107 6117 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10
41 6128 6138 6149 6160 6170 6180 6191 6201 6212 6222 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
42 6232 6243 6253 6263 6274 6284 6294 6304 6314 6325 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
43 6335 6345 6355 6365 6375 6385 6395 6405 6415 6425 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
44 6435 6444 6454 6464 6474 6484 6493 6503 6513 6522 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
272 Mathematical tables
Logarithms
45 6532 6542 6551 6561 6571 6580 6590 6599 6609 6618 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
46 6628 6637 6646 6656 6665 6675 6684 6693 6702 6712 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 7 8
47 6721 6730 6739 6749 6758 6767 6776 6785 6794 6803 1 2 3 4 5 5 6 7 8
48 6812 6821 6830 6839 6848 6857 6866 6875 6884 6893 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 7 8
49 6902 6911 6920 6928 6937 6946 6955 6964 6972 6981 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 7 8
50 6990 6998 7007 7016 7024 7033 7042 7050 7059 7067 1 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8
51 7076 7084 7093 7101 7110 7118 7126 7135 7143 7152 1 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8
52 7160 7168 7177 7185 7193 7202 7210 7218 7226 7235 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 7 7
53 7243 7251 7259 7267 7275 7284 7292 7300 7308 7316 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 7
54 7324 7332 7340 7348 7356 7364 7372 7380 7388 7396 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 7
55 7404 7412 7419 7427 7435 7443 7451 7459 7466 7474 1 2 2 3 4 5 5 6 7
56 7482 7490 7497 7505 7513 7520 7528 7536 7543 7551 1 2 2 3 4 5 5 6 7
57 7559 7566 7574 7582 7589 7597 7604 7612 7619 7627 1 2 2 3 4 5 5 6 7
58 7634 7642 7649 7657 7664 7672 7679 7686 7694 7701 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 7
59 7709 7716 7723 7731 7738 7745 7752 7760 7767 7774 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 7
60 7782 7789 7796 7803 7810 7818 7825 7832 7839 7846 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 6
61 7853 7860 7868 7875 7882 7889 7896 7903 7910 7917 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 6
62 7924 7931 7938 7945 7952 7959 7966 7973 7980 7987 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 6 6
63 7993 8000 8007 8014 8021 8028 8035 8041 8048 8055 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 6
64 8062 8069 8075 8082 8089 8096 8102 8109 8116 8122 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 6
65 8129 8136 8142 8149 8156 8162 8169 8176 8182 8189 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 6
66 8195 8202 8209 8215 8222 8228 8235 8241 8248 8254 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 6
67 8261 8267 8274 8280 8287 8293 8299 8306 8312 8319 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 6
68 8325 8331 8338 8344 8351 8357 8363 8370 8376 8382 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 5 6
69 8388 8395 8401 8407 8414 8420 8426 8432 8439 8445 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 6
70 8451 8457 8463 8470 8476 8482 8488 8494 8500 8506 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 6
71 8513 8519 8525 8531 8537 8543 8549 8555 8561 8567 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5
72 8573 8579 8585 8591 8597 8603 8609 8615 8621 8627 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5
73 8633 8639 8645 8651 8657 8663 8669 8675 8681 8686 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5
74 8692 8698 8704 8710 8716 8722 8727 8733 8739 8745 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5
75 8751 8756 8762 8768 8774 8779 8785 8791 8797 8802 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 5 5
76 8808 8814 8820 8825 8831 8837 8842 8848 8854 8859 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 5 5
77 8865 8871 8876 8882 8887 8893 8899 8904 8910 8915 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
78 8921 8927 8932 8938 8943 8949 8954 8960 8965 8971 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
79 8976 8982 8987 8993 8998 9004 9009 9015 9020 9025 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
80 9031 9036 9042 9047 9053 9058 9063 9069 9074 9079 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
81 9085 9090 9096 9101 9106 9112 9117 9122 9128 9133 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
82 9138 9143 9149 9154 9159 9165 9170 9175 9180 9186 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
83 9191 9196 9201 9206 9212 9217 9222 9227 9232 9238 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
84 9243 9248 9253 9258 9263 9269 9274 9279 9284 9289 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
85 9294 9299 9304 9309 9315 9320 9325 9330 9335 9340 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
86 9345 9350 9355 9360 9365 9370 9375 9380 9385 9390 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
87 9395 9400 9405 9410 9415 9420 9425 9430 9435 9440 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
88 9445 9450 9455 9460 9465 9469 9474 9479 9484 9489 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
Mathematical tables 273
Logarithms
89 9494 9499 9504 9509 9513 9518 9523 9528 9533 9538 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
90 9542 9547 9552 9557 9562 9566 9571 9576 9581 9586 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
91 9590 9595 9600 9605 9609 9614 9619 9624 9628 9633 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
92 9638 9643 9647 9652 9657 9661 9666 9671 9675 9680 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
93 9685 9689 9694 9699 9703 9708 9713 9717 9722 9727 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
94 9731 9736 9741 9745 9750 9754 9759 9763 9768 9773 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
95 9777 9782 9786 9791 9795 9800 9805 9809 9814 9818 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
96 9823 9827 9832 9836 9841 9845 9850 9854 9859 9863 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
97 9868 9872 9877 9881 9886 9890 9894 9899 9903 9908 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
98 9912 9917 9921 9926 9930 9934 9939 9943 9948 9952 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
99 9956 9961 9965 9969 9974 9978 9983 9987 9991 9996 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 4
Tables
Area under the normal curve
This table gives the area under the normal curve between the mean and the point Z standard deviations above the
mean. The corresponding area for deviations below the mean can be found by symmetry.
ı
ȝ) (x
Z
÷
= 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.0 .0000 .0040 .0080 .0120 .0160 .0199 .0239 .0279 .0319 .0359
0.1 .0398 .0438 .0478 .0517 .0557 .0596 .0636 .0675 .0714 .0753
0.2 .0793 .0832 .0871 .0910 .0948 .0987 .1026 .1064 .1103 .1141
0.3 .1179 .1217 .1255 .1293 .1331 .1368 .1406 .1443 .1480 .1517
0.4 .1554 .1591 .1628 .1664 .1700 .1736 .1772 .1808 .1844 .1879
0.5 .1915 .1950 .1985 .2019 .2054 .2088 .2123 .2157 .2190 .2224
0.6 .2257 .2291 .2324 .2357 .2389 .2422 .2454 .2486 .2517 .2549
0.7 .2580 .2611 .2642 .2673 .2704 .2734 .2764 .2794 .2823 .2852
0.8 .2881 .2910 .2939 .2967 .2995 .3023 .3051 .3078 .3106 .3133
0.9 .3159 .3186 .3212 .3238 .3264 .3289 .3315 .3340 .3365 .3389
1.0 .3413 .3438 .3461 .3485 .3508 .3531 .3554 .3577 .3599 .3621
1.1 .3643 .3665 .3686 .3708 .3729 .3749 .3770 .3790 .3810 .3830
1.2 .3849 .3869 .3888 .3907 .3925 .3944 .3962 .3980 .3997 .4015
1.3 .4032 .4049 .4066 .4082 .4099 .4115 .4131 .4147 .4162 .4177
1.4 .4192 .4207 .4222 .4236 .4251 .4265 .4279 .4292 .4306 .4319
1.5 .4332 .4345 .4357 .4370 .4382 .4394 .4406 .4418 .4429 .4441
274 Mathematical tables
ı
ȝ) (x
Z
÷
= 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
1.6 .4452 .4463 .4474 .4484 .4495 .4505 .4515 .4525 .4535 .4545
1.7 .4554 .4564 .4573 .4582 .4591 .4599 .4608 .4616 .4625 .4633
1.8 .4641 .4649 .4656 .4664 .4671 .4678 .4686 .4693 .4699 .4706
1.9 .4713 .4719 .4726 .4732 .4738 .4744 .4750 .4756 .4761 .4767
2.0 .4772 .4778 .4783 .4788 .4793 .4798 .4803 .4808 .4812 .4817
2.1 .4821 .4826 .4830 .4834 .4838 .4842 .4846 .4850 .4854 .4857
2.2 .4861 .4864 .4868 .4871 .4875 .4878 .4881 .4884 .4887 .4890
2.3 .4893 .4896 .4898 .4901 .4904 .4906 .4909 .4911 .4913 .4916
2.4 .4918 .4920 .4922 .4925 .4927 .4929 .4931 .4932 .4934 .4936
2.5 .4938 .4940 .4941 .4943 .4945 .4946 .4948 .4949 .4951 .4952
2.6 .4953 .4955 .4956 .4957 .4959 .4960 .4961 .4962 .4963 .4964
2.7 .4965 .4966 .4967 .4968 .4969 .4970 .4971 .4972 .4973 .4974
2.8 .4974 .4975 .4976 .4977 .4977 .4978 .4979 .4979 .4980 .4981
2.9 .4981 .4982 .4982 .4983 .4984 .4984 .4985 .4985 .4986 .4986
3.0 .49865 .4987 .4987 .4988 .4988 .4989 .4989 .4989 .4990 .4990
3.1 .49903 .4991 .4991 .4991 .4992 .4992 .4992 .4992 .4993 .4993
3.2 .49931 .4993 .4994 .4994 .4994 .4994 .4994 .4995 .4995 .4995
3.3 .49952 .4995 .4995 .4996 .4996 .4996 .4996 .4996 .4996 .4997
3.4 .49966 .4997 .4997 .4997 .4997 .4997 .4997 .4997 .4997 .4998
3.5 .49977
Present value table
Present value of $1 ie (1+r)n where r = interest rate, n = number of periods until payment or receipt.
Periods Interest rates (r)
(n) 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
1 0.990 0.980 0.971 0.962 0.952 0.943 0.935 0.926 0.917 0.909
2 0.980 0.961 0.943 0.925 0.907 0.890 0.873 0.857 0.842 0.826
3 0.971 0.942 0.915 0.889 0.864 0.840 0.816 0.794 0.772 0.751
4 0.961 0.924 0.888 0.855 0.823 0.792 0.763 0.735 0.708 0.683
5 0.951 0.906 0.863 0.822 0.784 0.747 0.713 0.681 0.650 0.621
6 0.942 0.888 0.837 0.790 0.746 0.705 0.666 0.630 0.596 0.564
7 0.933 0.871 0.813 0.760 0.711 0.665 0.623 0.583 0.547 0.513
8 0.923 0.853 0.789 0.731 0.677 0.627 0.582 0.540 0.502 0.467
9 0.914 0.837 0.766 0.703 0.645 0.592 0.544 0.500 0.460 0.424
10 0.905 0.820 0.744 0.676 0.614 0.558 0.508 0.463 0.422 0.386
11 0.896 0.804 0.722 0.650 0.585 0.527 0.475 0.429 0.388 0.350
12 0.887 0.788 0.701 0.625 0.557 0.497 0.444 0.397 0.356 0.319
13 0.879 0.773 0.681 0.601 0.530 0.469 0.415 0.368 0.326 0.290
14 0.870 0.758 0.661 0.577 0.505 0.442 0.388 0.340 0.299 0.263
15 0.861 0.743 0.642 0.555 0.481 0.417 0.362 0.315 0.275 0.239
16 0.853 0.728 0.623 0.534 0.458 0.394
0.339
0.292 0.252 0.218
17 0.844 0.714 0.605 0.513 0.436 0.371 0.317 0.270 0.231 0.198
18 0.836 0.700 0.587 0.494 0.416 0.350 0.296 0.250 0.212 0.180
19 0.828 0.686 0.570 0.475 0.396 0.331 0.277 0.232 0.194 0.164
Mathematical tables 275
Periods Interest rates (r)
(n) 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
20 0.820 0.673 0.554 0.456 0.377 0.312 0.258 0.215 0.178 0.149
Periods Interest rates (r)
(n) 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20%
1
0.901 0.893 0.885 0.877 0.870 0.862 0.855 0.847 0.840 0.833
2 0.812 0.797 0.783 0.769 0.756 0.743 0.731 0.718 0.706 0.694
3 0.731 0.712 0.693 0.675 0.658 0.641 0.624 0.609 0.593 0.579
4 0.659 0.636 0.613 0.592 0.572 0.552 0.534 0.516 0.499 0.482
5 0.593 0.567 0.543 0.519 0.497 0.476 0.456 0.437 0.419 0.402
6 0.535 0.507 0.480 0.456 0.432 0.410 0.390 0.370 0.352 0.335
7 0.482 0.452 0.425 0.400 0.376 0.354 0.333 0.314 0.296 0.279
8 0.434 0.404 0.376 0.351 0.327 0.305 0.285 0.266 0.249 0.233
9 0.391 0.361 0.333 0.308 0.284 0.263 0.243 0.225 0.209 0.194
10 0.352 0.322 0.295 0.270 0.247 0.227 0.208 0.191 0.176 0.162
11 0.317 0.287 0.261 0.237 0.215 0.195 0.178 0.162 0.148 0.135
12 0.286 0.257 0.231 0.208 0.187 0.168 0.152 0.137 0.124 0.112
13 0.258 0.229 0.204 0.182 0.163 0.145 0.130 0.116 0.104 0.093
14 0.232 0.205 0.181 0.160 0.141 0.125 0.111 0.099 0.088 0.078
15 0.209 0.183 0.160 0.140 0.123 0.108 0.095 0.084 0.074 0.065
16 0.188 0.163 0.141 0.123 0.107 0.093 0.081 0.071 0.062 0.054
17 0.170 0.146 0.125 0.108 0.093 0.080 0.069 0.060 0.052 0.045
18 0.153 0.130 0.111 0.095 0.081 0.069 0.059 0.051 0.044 0.038
19 0.138 0.116 0.098 0.083 0.070 0.060 0.051 0.043 0.037 0.031
20 0.124 0.104 0.087 0.073 0.061 0.051 0.043 0.037 0.031 0.026
Cumulative present value table
This table shows the present value of $1 per annum, receivable or payable at the end of each year for n years
r
) r 1 ( 1
n ÷
+ ÷
.
Periods Interest rates (r)
(n) 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
1 0.990 0.980 0.971 0.962 0.952 0.943 0.935 0.926 0.917 0.909
2 1.970 1.942 1.913 1.886 1.859 1.833 1.808 1.783 1.759 1.736
3 2.941 2.884 2.829 2.775 2.723 2.673 2.624 2.577 2.531 2.487
4 3.902 3.808 3.717 3.630 3.546 3.465 3.387 3.312 3.240 3.170
5 4.853 4.713 4.580 4.452 4.329 4.212 4.100 3.993 3.890 3.791
6 5.795 5.601 5.417 5.242 5.076 4.917 4.767 4.623 4.486 4.355
7 6.728 6.472 6.230 6.002 5.786 5.582 5.389 5.206 5.033 4.868
8 7.652 7.325 7.020 6.733 6.463 6.210 5.971 5.747 5.535 5.335
9 8.566 8.162 7.786 7.435 7.108 6.802 6.515 6.247 5.995 5.759
10 9.471 8.983 8.530 8.111 7.722 7.360 7.024 6.710 6.418 6.145
11 10.368 9.787 9.253 8.760 8.306 7.887 7.499 7.139 6.805 6.495
12 11.255 10.575 9.954 9.385 8.863 8.384 7.943 7.536 7.161 6.814
276 Mathematical tables
Periods Interest rates (r)
(n) 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
13 12.134 11.348 10.635 9.986 9.394 8.853 8.358 7.904 7.487 7.103
14 13.004 12.106 11.296 10.563 9.899 9.295 8.745 8.244 7.786 7.367
15 13.865 12.849 11.938 11.118 10.380 9.712 9.108 8.559 8.061 7.606
16 14.718 13.578 12.561 11.652 10.838 10.106 9.447 8.851 8.313 7.824
17 15.562 14.292 13.166 12.166 11.274 10.477 9.763 9.122 8.544 8.022
18 16.398 14.992 13.754 12.659 11.690 10.828 10.059 9.372 8.756 8.201
19 17.226 15.679 14.324 13.134 12.085 11.158 10.336 9.604 8.950 8.365
20 18.046 16.351 14.878 13.590 12.462 11.470 10.594 9.818 9.129 8.514
Periods Interest rates (r)
(n) 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20%
1 0.901 0.893 0.885 0.877 0.870 0.862 0.855 0.847 0.840 0.833
2 1.713 1.690 1.668 1.647 1.626 1.605 1.585 1.566 1.547 1.528
3 2.444 2.402 2.361 2.322 2.283 2.246 2.210 2.174 2.140 2.106
4 3.102 3.037 2.974 2.914 2.855 2.798 2.743 2.690 2.639 2.589
5 3.696 3.605 3.517 3.433 3.352 3.274 3.199 3.127 3.058 2.991
6 4.231 4.111 3.998 3.889 3.784 3.685 3.589 3.498 3.410 3.326
7 4.712 4.564 4.423 4.288 4.160 4.039 3.922 3.812 3.706 3.605
8 5.146 4.968 4.799 4.639 4.487 4.344 4.207 4.078 3.954 3.837
9 5.537 5.328 5.132 4.946 4.772 4.607 4.451 4.303 4.163 4.031
10 5.889 5.650 5.426 5.216 5.019 4.833 4.659 4.494 4.339 4.192
11 6.207 5.938 5.687 5.453 5.234 5.029 4.836 4.656 4.486 4.327
12 6.492 6.194 5.918 5.660 5.421 5.197 4.988 4.793 4.611 4.439
13 6.750 6.424 6.122 5.842 5.583 5.342 5.118 4.910 4.715 4.533
14 6.982 6.628 6.302 6.002 5.724 5.468 5.229 5.008 4.802 4.611
15 7.191 6.811 6.462 6.142 5.847 5.575 5.324 5.092 4.876 4.675
16 7.379 6.974 6.604 6.265 5.954 5.668 5.405 5.162 4.938 4.730
17 7.549 7.120 6.729 6.373 6.047 5.749 5.475 5.222 4.990 4.775
18 7.702 7.250 6.840 6.467 6.128 5.818 5.534 5.273 5.033 4.812
19 7.839 7.366 6.938 6.550 6.198 5.877 5.584 5.316 5.070 4.843
20 7.963 7.469 7.025 6.623 6.259 5.929 5.628 5.353 5.101 4.870
Probability
A·B = A or B. A·B = A and B (overlap). P(B/A) = probability of B, given A.
Rules of addition
If A and B are mutually exclusive: P(A·B) = P(A) + P(B)
If A and B are not mutually exclusive: P(A·B) = P(A) + P(B) ÷ P(A·B)
Rules of multiplication
If A and B are independent: P(A·B) = P(A) * P(B)
If A and B are not independent: P(A·B) = P(A) * P(B/A)
E(X) = expected value = probability * payoff
Mathematical tables 277
Quadratic equations
If aX
2
+ bX + c = 0 is the general quadratic equation, then the two solutions (roots) are given by
X =
a 2
ac 4 b b
2
÷ ± ÷
Descriptive statistics
Arithmetic mean
f
fx
x or
n
x
x
¯
¯
=
¯
=
Standard deviation
n
) x (x
2
÷ ¯
on) distributi (frequency x
f
fx
SD
2
2
÷
¯
¯
=
Index numbers
Price relative = 100 *
0 1
P / P
Quantity relative = 100 *
0 1
Q / Q
Price:
W
P / P W
0 1
¯
× ¯
× 100 where W denotes weights
Quantity:
W
Q / Q W
0 1
¯
× ¯
× 100 where W denotes weights
Time series
Additive model: Series = Trend + Seasonal + Random
Multiplicative model: Series = Trend * Seasonal * Random
278 Mathematical tables
Linear regression and correlation
The linear regression equation of Y on X is given by:
Y = a + bX or
Y ÷ Y = where ), X X ( b ÷
b =
(X) Variance
(XY) Covariance
=
2 2
X) ( X n
Y) X)( ( XY n
¯ ÷ ¯
¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
and a = X b Y÷ ,
or solve ¯Y = na + b¯X
¯XY = a¯X + b¯X
2
Coefficient of correlation (r)
r =
(Y) VAR(X).VAR
(XY) Covariance
=
( ) ( ) ] Y Y n ][ X X n [
Y) X)( ( XY n
2 2 2 2
¯ ÷ ¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
¯ ¯ ÷ ¯
R(rank) =
÷
¯
÷
) 1 n ( n
d 6
1
2
2
Financial mathematics
Compound Interest (Values and Sums)
Future Value of S
1
of a sum X, invested for n periods, compounded at r% interest:
S= X 
n
r 1+
Annuity
Present value of an annuity of £1 per annum receivable or payable, for n years, commencing in one year,
discounted at r% per annum:
PV =
+
÷
n
r] 1 [
1
1
r
1
Perpetuity
Present value of £1 per annum, payable or receivable in perpetuity, commencing in one year discounted at r% per
annum
PV =
r
1
Notes
Notes
Notes
Notes
Notes
Notes
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QUESTIONS
Certificate Paper C3
FUNDAMENTALS OF BUSINESS MATHEMATICS For assessments in 2010 and 2011
Practice & Revision Kit
In this December 2009 new edition Banks of objective test questions on every syllabus area Answers with detailed feedback Two mock assessments Fully up to date as at 1 December 2009 BPP Learning Media's iPass product also supports this paper
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ii
Contents
Page
Revision
Revising with this Kit ....................................................................................................................................................... iv Effective revision.............................................................................................................................................................. vi
The assessment
Assessment technique ..................................................................................................................................................... ix Tackling multiple choice questions.................................................................................................................................. xi Tackling objective test questions .................................................................................................................................... xii
Background
Formulae to learn........................................................................................................................................................... xiv Useful websites.............................................................................................................................................................. xvi
Question and answer checklist/index ..................................................................................................... xvii
Questions Answers
Question practice
Basic mathematics ............................................................................................................................................ 3 .....................97 Summarising and analysing data .................................................................................................................... 10 ...................109 Probability ...................................................................................................................................................... 28 ...................127 Financial mathematics .................................................................................................................................... 43 ...................150 Interrelationships between variables.............................................................................................................. 56 ...................176 Forecasting ..................................................................................................................................................... 67 ...................189 Spreadsheets .................................................................................................................................................. 79 ...................204
Assessment practice
Mock assessment 1 ...................................................................................................................................... 213 ...................225 Mock assessment 2 ...................................................................................................................................... 241 ...................257
Mathematical tables and formulae............................................................................................................ 271 Review form & free prize draw
iii
Revising with this Kit
Have you worked through the Paper C3 Study Text and do you feel ready to start practice and revision? YES NO Go back through your notes and try some of the questions in the Study Text again.
Read 'Effective revision' (page vi).
Read 'Tackling multiple choice questions' (page xi).
Read 'Tackling objective test questions' (page xii).
You might find it useful to read the relevant section of the Paper C3 Passcards before you answer questions on a particular topic.
Attempt a couple of sets of MCQs and OTs in each subject area. Go back through your notes and/or look through the Paper C3 Passcards. Did you get the majority of the questions correct? YES NO
Attempt the remaining MCQs and OTs in each area. Answer all questions. iv
Introduction
Were you happy with your performance on the questions?
NO YES
Have another go at the questions with which you had problems.
Read ‘Assessment technique’ (page ix).
Do the two mock assessments on pages 211 and 239.
Introduction
v
Let everybody know that you're studying and shouldn't be disturbed. and of course. You must remember: Believe in yourself Use time sensibly Believe in yourself Are you cultivating the right attitude of mind? There is absolutely no reason why you should not pass this assessment if you adopt the correct approach. (Some tuition providers are teaching subjects by means of one intensive course that ends with the assessment.) What you must remember Time is very important as you approach the assessment. Are you taking regular breaks? Most people absorb more if they do not attempt to study for long uninterrupted periods of time.Effective revision This guidance applies if you have been studying for an exam over a period of time. sleep. you can pass them again Be calm – plenty of adrenaline but no panicking Be focused – commit yourself to passing the assessment Use time sensibly 1 2 3 4 5 How much study time do you have? Remember that you must eat. How will you split that available time between each subject? A revision timetable. will help you organise your revision thoroughly. Are you rewarding yourself for your hard work? Are you leading a healthy lifestyle? 6 vi Introduction . watch the news headlines) can make all the difference. What is your learning style? AM/PM? Little and often/long sessions? Evenings/ weekends? Do you have quality study time? Unplug the phone. Be confident – you've passed exams before. relax. covering what and how you will revise. A five minute break every hour (to make coffee.
and practise lots of questions on. Breadth of revision Make sure your revision covers all areas of the syllabus. Work carefully through examples and questions in the Text. instead do something about them. Your assessment will test your knowledge of the whole syllabus. You may also find certain areas of the syllabus difficult. Introduction vii . How to revise There are four main ways that you can revise a topic area. and refer back to the Text if you struggle with questions in the Kit. Build up your knowledge by quick tests such as the quick quizzes in your BPP Study Text and the batches of questions in the IPass CD ROM. topics that are likely to yield plenty of questions in your assessment. Write it! Read it! Teach it! Do it! Write it! Writing important points down will help you recall them.What to revise Key topics You need to spend most time on. Difficult areas are Areas you find dull or pointless Subjects you highlighted as difficult when you studied them Topics that gave you problems when you answered questions or reviewed the material DON’T become depressed about these areas. particularly if your notes are presented in a way that makes it easy for you to remember them.
com/cima viii Introduction . testing yourself by doing quick quizzes or Kit questions while you are reading. Practising questions will help you practise technique and discipline. You will get the most benefit by sitting them under strict assessment conditions. Managing your time Producing answers 2 BPP Learning Media's Learning to Learn Accountancy gives further valuable advice on how to approach revision. Teach it! Assessments require you to show your understanding. 1 Start your question practice by doing a couple of sets of objective test questions in a subject area. which can be crucial in passing or failing assessments. can be helpful to both of you. Note down the questions where you went wrong. Teaching what you are learning to another person helps you practise explaining topics that you might be asked to define in your assessment. Teaching someone who will challenge your understanding. attempt the two mock assessments at the end of the Kit. Passcards – Provide you with clear topic summaries and assessment tips iPass CDs – Offer you tests of knowledge to be completed against the clock Success CDs – Help you revise on the move You can purchase these products by visiting www.Read it! You should read your notes or BPP Learning Media Passcards actively. The more questions you do. the more likely you are to pass the assessment. BPP Learning Media has also produced other vital revision aids. someone for example who will be taking the same assessment as you.bpp. However if you do run short of time: Make sure that you have done at least some questions from every section of the syllabus Look through the banks of questions and do questions on areas that you have found difficult or on which you have made mistakes 3 When you think you can successfully answer questions on the whole syllabus. try to identify why you made mistakes and go back to your Study Text for guidance or practice. Do it! Remember that you are revising in order to be able to answer questions in the assessment. so that you gain experience of the vital assessment processes.
Avoid discussion about the assessment with other candidates outside the assessment room. Put new batteries into your calculator and take a spare set (or a spare calculator). Introduction ix . 2 Ensure you follow the instructions on the computer screen In particular ensure that you select the correct assessment (not every student does!). you may feel sleepy if your system is digesting a large meal. You must have the right approach to two things.Assessment technique Format of the assessment The assessment will contain 45 questions to be completed in 2 hours. The day of the assessment Your time in the assessment room The day of the assessment 1 2 3 4 5 6 Set at least one alarm (or get an alarm call) for a morning assessment. Have something to eat but beware of eating too much. Your time in the assessment room 1 Listen carefully to the invigilator's instructions Make sure you understand the formalities you have to complete. have your route worked out in advance and listen to news bulletins to check for potential travel problems. and that you understand how to work through the assessment and submit your answers. Don't forget pens and watch. and half about doing yourself full justice in the assessment. Also make sure you remember entrance documentation and evidence of identity. The questions will be a combination of multiple choice questions and other types of objective test questions. Allow plenty of time to get to the assessment room. Passing assessments Passing assessments is half about having the knowledge.
You should though make a note of answers that you are unsure about. leave it and come back to it later. x Introduction . or if you come back to a question that you are unsure about. That will mean that you have roughly 2½ minutes on average to answer each question. (b) 6 Make sure you submit an answer for every question When there are ten minutes left to go. check your answers before you sign out of the assessment. 5 Deal with problem questions There are two ways of dealing with questions where you are unsure of the answer. You won’t get penalised for wrong answers so take a guess if you're unsure. The risk with this approach is that you run out of time before you do submit an answer. You can always come back and change the answer before you finish the assessment or the time runs out. and check that your answers are in the right format and contain the correct number of words as appropriate. but others will require thinking about. and the question will be marked as not done on the list of questions. Submit an answer. The computer will tell you before you move to the next question that you have not submitted an answer. If after a minute or so you have no idea how to tackle the question. In particular revisit questions that you are unsure about. (a) Don't submit an answer. You will be able to answer some questions instantly. to ensure that you do revisit them later in the assessment.3 Keep your eye on the time In the assessment you will have to complete 45 questions in 120 minutes. concentrate on submitting answers for all the questions that you have not answered up to that point. 7 Check your answers If you finish the assessment with time to spare. BPP Learning Media's Learning to Learn Accountancy gives further valuable advice on how to approach the day of the assessment. 4 Label your workings clearly with the question number This will help you when you check your answers.
giving you a better chance of passing the assessment. If the question seems familiar read the requirement and options carefully – do not assume that it is identical. Check that your calculation is correct. You may wish to follow the approach outlined below. Have you followed the requirement exactly? Have you included every stage of a calculation? You may find that none of the options matches your answer. leave the question and come back to it later. Step 1 Note down how long you should allocate to each MCQ. so you will be spending on average just over two and a half minutes on each question. You may find that you recognise a question when you sit the assessment. Remember however that you will not be expected to spend an equal amount of time on each MCQ. as the distracters are designed to match answers that incorporate common errors. When you come back to a question after a break you often find you are able to answer it correctly straight away. The computer will list any questions for which you have not submitted answers. Revisit questions you are uncertain about. You are not penalised for incorrect answers. You have to choose the option(s) that best answers the question. so never leave a question unanswered! Step 6 Introduction xi . continue to the next question. There is a skill in answering MCQs quickly and correctly. Read the question thoroughly. or you may prefer to adapt it. but you need to return to later. Make a note of any questions for which you have submitted answers. Reread the question to ensure that you understand it and are answering the requirement Eliminate any obviously wrong answers Consider which of the remaining answers is the most likely to be correct and select the option Step 4 Step 5 If you are still unsure. The three incorrect options are called distracters. Step 2 Step 3 Read the four options and see if one matches your own answer. Attempt each question. If you are still unsure have a guess. For this paper you will be answering 45 questions in 120 minutes. Be careful with numerical questions. some can be answered instantly but others will take time to work out. Be aware that the detail and/or requirement may be different. Likewise if you are nowhere near working out which option is correct after a couple of minutes. By practising MCQs you can develop this skill.Tackling multiple choice questions The MCQs in your assessment contain a number of possible answers.
Step 1 Step 2 Work out how long you should allocate to each OT. and how many will be other types of OT. MCQs. Check that your calculations are correct. Be aware that the detail and/or requirement may be different. The timetable for introduction of new types of OTs is uncertain. Attempt each question. True or false. Remember that you will not be expected to spend an equal amount of time on each one. This question format might ask you to identify which cell on a spreadsheet contains a particular format or where on a graph marginal revenue equals marginal cost. Data entry. usually a question. If the question seems familiar read the requirement and options carefully – do not assume that it is identical. Have you followed the requirement exactly? Have you included every stage of the calculation? xii Introduction . Practising all the different types of OTs that this Kit provides will prepare you well for whatever questions come up in your assessment. These questions provide you with a number of options and you have to identify those that fulfil certain criteria. This type of OT requires you to provide figures such as the correct figure for creditors in a balance sheet. Read the question thoroughly. or you may be prepared to adapt it. Multiple response. Hot spots. Dealing with OT questions Again you may wish to follow the approach we suggest. or words to fill in a blank. and a requirement to do something. Step 3 Read any options you are given and select which ones are appropriate. some can be answered instantly but others will take time to work out.Tackling objective test questions What is an objective test question? An objective test (OT) question is made up of some form of stimulus. and note in particular what the question says about the format of your answer and whether there are any restrictions placed on it (for example the number of words you can use). You may find that you recognise a question when you sit the assessment. OT questions in your assessment CIMA is currently developing different types of OTs for inclusion in computerbased assessments. and it is also not certain how many questions in your assessment will be MCQs. You will be asked if a statement is true or false. Read through the information on page (xi) about MCQs and how to tackle them.
so never leave a question unanswered! Introduction xiii . Revisit questions you are uncertain about. You are not penalised for incorrect answers. continue to the next question. Make a note of any questions for which you have submitted answers. When you come back to a question after a break you often find you are able to answer it correctly straight away. but you need to return to later. If you are still unsure have a guess. The computer will list any questions for which you have not submitted answers.Step 4 You may find that you are unsure of the answer. Reread the question to ensure that you understand it and are answering the requirement Eliminate any obviously wrong options if you are given a number of options from which to choose Step 5 Step 6 If you are still unsure.
Change in x Histogram with unequal intervals: Adjustment factor = Standard class width Current class width Standard deviation mean Coefficient of variation = Fixed base index = Chain base index = Value in any given year × 100 Value in base year This year' s value × 100 Last year' s value Index number for base year Index number for given year Deflated/inflated cash flow = Actual cash flow in given year × Probability of achieving the desired result = Expected value (EV) = np Number of ways of achieving desired result Total number of possible outcomes Where = sum of n = outcome p = probability of outcome occurring Simple interest formula: S = X + nrX Where X r n S = = = = the original sum invested the interest rate (expressed as a proportion.Formulae to learn Fraction = Numerator Denominator Percentage change = 'Change' Original value 100% The equation of a straight line: y = a + bx where a = the intercept of the line on the y axis and b = the slope (gradient) of the line b = gradient = Change in y = (y2 – y1 )/(x2 – x1) where (x1 . y2) are two points on the straight line. so 10% = 0. xiv Introduction .1) the number of periods (normally years) the sum invested after n periods. y1) and (x2. consisting of the original capital (X) plus interest earned.
Effective annual rate of interest: (1 + R) = (1 + r)n Where R is the effective annual rate r is the period rate n is the number of periods in a year The terminal value of an investment to which equal annual amounts will be added (the sum of a geometric progression): S= A(R n 1) R 1 is the terminal value is the first term is the common ratio is the number of terms Where S A R n Discounting formula: X=S 1 (1 r)n is the sum to be received after n time periods is the present value (PV) of that sum is the rate of return. expressed as a proportion is the number of time periods (usually years) NPVa (b a) % NPVa NPVb Where S X r n Internal rate of return (IRR) = a Where a is one interest rate b is the other interest rate NPVa is the NPV at rate a NPVb is the NPV at rate b Introduction xv .Compound interest formula when there are changes in the rate of interest: S = X(1 + r1 )y (1 + r2 )ny Where r1 y r2 n–y = = = = the initial rate of interest the number of years in which the interest rate r1 applies the next rate of interest the (balancing) number of years in which the interest rate r2 applies.
BPP For details of other BPP material for your CIMA studies CIMA The official CIMA website www.Use of computer notation in the computer based assessment Make sure that you understand and are able to write formulae in computer notation.com www.cimaglobal.com xvi Introduction .bpp. For example. Useful websites The websites below provide additional sources of information of relevance to your studies for Business Mathematics. you can use * on a computer instead of a multiplication sign. or if you wish to introduce a power.
Question and Answer checklist/index Page number Question 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Basic mathematics 1 Basic mathematics 2 Basic mathematics 3 Basic mathematics 4 Basic mathematics 5 Summarising and analysing data 1 Summarising and analysing data 2 Summarising and analysing data 3 Summarising and analysing data 4 3 4 5 7 8 10 11 13 16 18 21 23 25 28 29 31 33 35 37 38 41 Answer 97 99 101 103 105 109 111 113 115 116 120 122 124 127 129 131 134 137 140 142 145 10 Summarising and analysing data 5 11 Summarising and analysing data 6 12 Summarising and analysing data 7 13 Summarising and analysing data 8 14 Probability 1 15 Probability 2 16 Probability 3 17 Probability 4 18 Probability 5 19 Probability 6 20 Probability 7 21 Probability 8 Introduction xvii .
Page number Question 22 Financial mathematics 1 23 Financial mathematics 2 24 Financial mathematics 3 25 Financial mathematics 4 26 Financial mathematics 5 27 Financial mathematics 6 28 Financial mathematics 7 29 Financial mathematics 8 30 Financial mathematics 9 31 Financial mathematics 10 32 Interrelationships between variables 1 33 Interrelationships between variables 2 34 Interrelationships between variables 3 35 Interrelationships between variables 4 36 Interrelationships between variables 5 37 Forecasting 1 38 Forecasting 2 39 Forecasting 3 40 Forecasting 4 41 Forecasting 5 42 Forecasting 6 43 Spreadsheets 1 44 Spreadsheets 2 45 Spreadsheets 3 46 Spreadsheets 4 47 Spreadsheets 5 Mock assessment 1 Mock assessment 2 43 44 45 46 48 49 50 51 53 54 56 57 60 62 63 67 68 70 73 75 77 79 82 86 89 92 213 241 Answer 150 151 154 156 159 162 165 167 170 173 176 178 181 184 187 189 191 193 196 198 201 204 205 206 207 208 225 257 xviii Introduction .
Questions 1 .
2 .
49.99 has been reduced to $52.01 B $107.99 last year is now $53.250 in total. What is the percentage increase in price to three decimal places? 8 The expression (y²)³ equals A 3 y B y6 C y5 D y3 2 Questions 3 .01 6 The term x–1 equals A –x B 1/x C x2 D x–1 7 A coat which was priced at $45.Basic mathematics Questions 1 to 5 cover basic mathematics.200 in total and the final 100 cost $x each. To two decimal places. One side of the square end therefore measures cms 2 The expression ( x 2 )3 equals x5 B 1 C x D x2 A 0 3 A radio which was priced at $56. The first 100 units cost $50 each. the next 150 units cost $8. The length of the box is twice that of one side of the square end.51 D $169.458cm3. the percentage reduction in price is % 4 The expression (x3)4 equals A x7 B x12 C 7x D x/7 5 A buyer has spent $30. the next batch cost $11.01 C $139.99. The value of x is A $57.151 on 550 units of a particular item. the subject of Part A of the BPP Study Text for C3 1 Basic mathematics 1 1 A squareended rectangular box has a volume of 1.
then Ch is closest in value to Ch B $2.00 4 Questions .000 and Q = 400. if C = $20. but is now sold for $4 for 2 kgs. The percentage reduction per kg is closest to A 23 B 30 C 35 D 53 3 The graph of Y = 2X is shown by which of the following lines? Y 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 X D A B C 4 In which of the following ways could the expression (x4)–4 be written? 4 x4 1 x 16 16 x x16 5 In the formula Q = A $1.45 C $6. D = 24.9 A jacket which cost the retailer $40 is sold at a profit of 20% on the selling price.60 per kg.00 D $12.73 2CD . The profit is therefore $ 10 The term x A 3 4 equals 1 4 x 3 B 3 x 4 C 1 3 x 4 D 4 x3 2 Basic mathematics 2 1 The expression A –1 2 X 8 x7 can be expressed as B x1 C x D x8/7 A product was previously sold for $2.
800 – 24P and revenue = 410P – 22P2. The output of hinges from the three machines is in the ratio 6:3:1. where P = price per unit. were 286. In a week where his average journey was 267 miles.9% C 18. 185. 3 Basic mathematics 3 1 If cost = 3. the value of x is 8 A company uses any one of three machines to produce 'identical' hinges. x. 94 When x = 4y.800 434P – 22P2 + 3. The percentage saving (per kg) from buying a 22 kg bag is closest to A 7.6 A store sells oranges either for 39c per kg.000 net of tax earnings.800 386P – 22P2 – 3. how would you express profit per unit (in terms of price)? (Profit = Revenue – cost) A B C D 434P – 22P2 – 3. She wishes to have gross earnings of $18. his individual journey distances. or in bulk at $7 per 22 kg bag.6% 7 Fred makes a number of deliveries in a week.800 22P2 – 434P + 3. y. The overall percentage of defects is closest to A 8 B 9 C 10 D 11 9 X% of 200 equals A X 20.4% D 22. 192.500 of her earnings and then 22% 23% 24% 25% tax on the remainder of her earnings.2% B 17.800 Questions 5 . The percentage of defects is 5. 20 and 10 respectively. 307. in miles.000 B X 200 C X 2 D 2X 10 Sylvia pays no tax on the first $3.435 and wishes to have $15.
The percentage price change in year 3 was % x3 can be expressed as x4 B x–1 C x D x3/4 10 The expression A –1 6 Questions .2 If demand D = 60 – 5P. what is the value of y when x = 4? 6 When x = 3. At the end of the third year the selling price was $35. what is the value of y if x = 3? 4 If the price of a product (P) = 250 – D/1. what is the value (to two decimal places) of the expression below? (X–0. The price excluding sales tax to the nearest cent is $ 9 Three years ago a retailer sold product TS for $30 each.2P D = 300 – P D = 1. how is the demand of the product expressed in terms of P. how is price (P) expressed in terms of D? A B C D P = 12 – D P = 12 – D/5 P = 12 + D/5 P = D/55 3 If y2 = x2 – 3x + 25.5)–5 7 The expression (x–3)–4 equals A 1/x12 B 4 x 3 C x–1 D x12 8 An article in a sales catalogue is priced at $125 including sales tax at 17. At the end of the first year he increased the price by 5% and at the end of the second year by a further 6%.2P 5 If y1/3 = x3 – 3x2 + 22x – 102.2P – 300 D = 300 – 1.5%. the price? A B C D D = 300 + 1.73 each.2 where D = demand of the product.
The price.000 and total sales of Company B are $700. The ratio of Company A sales to Company B sales (to the nearest whole number) is 4 to . to the nearest cent.50 each.2. to the nearest unit. At the end of the first year they increased the price by 8% and at the end of the second year by a further 4%. An article in a sales catalogue is priced at $289. including sales tax at 17.000. The percentage price change in year three was %.27 each. 7 Which of the following equations is the result of making Y the subject of the equation X 7 qY a A B C D Y qX 49a aX 2 Y 49q Y Y qX 2 49a aX 49q 2DC . if Q = 80.50 (to 2 decimal places).68. then D. C = 10. True False 3 Total sales of Company A are $350. At the end of the third year the selling price was $30. including local sales tax at 18%. is PR 8 In the formula Q Questions 7 . excluding sales tax.75)–7 = An item priced at $90. P = 6 and R = 0.5%.4 Basic mathematics 4 1 2 When x = 3 the value (to 2 decimal places) of (x–0. is $ 5 The numeric value of the expression (x 3 ) 4 when x7 x = 3 is x = 4 is 6 Three years ago a garden centre sold hanging baskets for $27. is reduced in a sale by 20%. The new price before sales tax is added is $61.
000 10% $1.5%. or in bulk at $7 per 25 kg bag.5%. The price excluding sales tax to the nearest cent is $ 2 A greengrocer sells apples either for 35c per kg. Next month wages are expected to be $1.0% The correct answer is option 3 4 If y2 = x2 – 4x + 36 and if x = 4.900 $1. The telephone costs (to the nearest $) to be allocated to Finance will be closest to $ 6 A trader's total costs are made up of wages and materials.0% 25. The percentage saving (per kg) from buying a 25 kg bag is closest to A B C D 7.8% 20. Profit (revenue minus total costs ) next month will be A B C D between $100 and $900 between $100 and $1.000 20% 8 Questions . the value of y is A skirt which cost the retailer $200 is sold at a profit of 25% on the selling price. It has been decided to allocate 60% of these telephone costs.000 20%. Revenue is predicted to be $4. to Finance. to Central Administration and to allocate 30% of the remainder.000. including sales tax at 17. excluding sales tax.000 10%.9 The expression A B C D –1 x–1 1/x2 7/8 x7 can be expressed in which of the following ways? x8 10 The solution to the simultaneous equations: 5x + 3y = 13 3x – y = 12 x y 5 Basic mathematics 5 1 An article in a sales catalogue is priced at $500 including sales tax at 17. The profit (to 2 decimal places) is $ 5 The telephone costs of a company last year were $10.0% 8. excluding sales tax.000 10% and materials $2.
9 There are 45 students in a classroom.5333 10%. then PQ will be subject to a R 10 If P is measured to within maximum error closest to A B C D 1. 24 of whom have dark hair.4667 0. What proportion of the students (to 4 decimal places) do not have dark hair? A B C D 0.5% 2.5334 0. Q to within 20% and R to within 30%.7 The equations of two straight lines are given below: Y=7+X Y = 9 + 3X These lines intersect where the (X. How much money was shared out in the first place? $ How much would have been shared out if Katie had got $9 and the ratio had been 5:3 instead of 3:5? $ State your answers to 2 decimal places. Y) coordinates are equal to X Y 8 Katie and Jamie share out a certain sum of money in the ratio 3:5 and Katie ends up with $9.4666 0.9% 44.6% 90% Questions 9 .
every bottle at an interval of y is then chosen for examination. 12.00 and $12. 15. 17. $12. a manager puts a margin of 5% either side of each cost. 8 The median score is A B C D 14.10 14. 34.50. the unit costs of which were $10. 9. the subject of Part B of the BPP Study Text for C3 6 Summarising and analysing data 1 1 When forecasting future costs. $11. in minutes.00 14.Summarising and analysing data Questions 6 to 13 cover summarising and analysing data. If the upper estimate of a particular cost is stated as $21.50 10 Questions . To the nearest cent. $550 and $600 on items. Starting at the xth bottle filled. 11. The procedure used is that two random numbers are chosen.00 respectively.50. 14.50 16. an interviewer is required to interview all of the students at a school in Croydon to find out what they think of the education system in Britain. 21. $500. the average price paid per item was 5 The following scores are observed for the times taken to complete a task. This type of sampling is known as A B C D Multistage Random Systematic Stratified 3 In a particular sample survey. What is the name used to describe this sampling method? A B C D Quota sampling Cluster sampling Random sampling Stratified sampling 4 Over a period a firm made purchases of $400. to two decimal places. 24. x and y. then the midpoint of the estimate. is 2 A firm which bottles shampoo selects some filled bottles for examination.00.
the value of X is A B C D 60 67 75 100 7 Summarising and analysing data 2 1 The common class width in a histogram is $20. If the score plotted is 80. 10 units at 70c. 9. If the score in that class is 21. and 20 units at Xc is 80c.000 $9. 12. 56. For the last four months of the year sales averaged $8. One class has a nonstandard class width and an actual frequency of 100.6 Sales for the first five months of the year averaged $8. seventh and eighth months must be A B C D $8.00 1. the correct height to plot on the histogram is 9 In a histogram in which one class interval is one and a half times as wide as the remaining classes.50 10 When the mean purchase price of 10 units at 50c. what is the width of the nonstandard class? A B C D $4 $16 $20 $25 Questions 11 .67 0. one class is three quarters of the width of the remaining classes. the height to be plotted in relation to the frequency for that class is A B C D 0.200 7 The median of the scores 34.000.500 $9.75 1.500 per month. 24 and 87 is A B C D 26 28 31 34 8 In a histogram. 43. 78. the average for the sixth. If sales for the year totalled $102. 23.200 per month. 28.500 $10.
the common class width is $10.00. 4 In a histogram.50 and the frequency recorded is 50 respondents.500 20.700 Southeast Midlands Northeast Northwest Southwest The best diagram to draw to highlight the differences between areas is A B C D A pie diagram A multiple bar chart A percentage component bar chart A simple bar chart 12 Questions . True False 3 A histogram uses a set of rectangles to represent a grouped frequency table.2 An ogive is another name for a histogram.800 18. To maintain the accuracy of the histogram identify the frequency which must be plotted on the y axis of the histogram shown below. 5 The following table shows the typical salary of part qualified management accountants in five different regions of England. To be correctly presented. the analyst has set one class at $12. Area Typical salary $ 21. For analysis purposes.500 16.200 17. the histogram must show the relationship of the rectangles to the frequencies by reference to the A B C D Height Area Width Diagonal of each rectangle.
5 and 8.6 A firm which makes batteries selects a sample for examination. $27. then 10 miles at 60 mph. $22. Therefore $X equals A $15 B $19 C $24 D $48 $15. Department Mean wage Number of employees W $50 20 X $100 5 Y $70 10 Z $80 5 The average (mean) wage per employee per week in this factory is A $50 9 B $65 C $70 D $75 A car travels 20 miles at 30 mph. 8 A factory employs staff in four departments for which the average (mean) wage per employee per week is as follows. Starting at the 5th battery. every battery at an interval of 8 is then chosen for examination. The procedure used is that two random numbers are chosen. $21. $20. $18. The mean speed for the whole journey of 30 miles is closest to (mph) A 36 B 40 C 42 D 45 10 Which of the following is true where data is highly positively skewed? A B C D The median is the least representative average All averaging techniques will produce equally acceptable results The mean will tend to overstate the average The mode will tend to overstate the average 8 Summarising and analysing data 3 1 The essence of quota sampling is that A B C D Each element of the population has an equal chance of being chosen Every nth member of the population is selected Every element of one definable subsection of the population is selected None of the above Questions 13 . This type of sampling is known as A B C D Systematic Multistage Stratified Random 7 The arithmetic mean of the following ten invoice values is $20: $X. $X. $15. $14.
in kilograms: Person 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 kg 97 105 53 69 84 59 94 x If the median weight is 88kgs. 13. For analysis purposes.00. amongst others. the running costs of a factory. 23 and 28. When drawing a histogram. 18. 14 Questions . time series graphs and scatter diagrams. is/are A B C D X only Z only X and Y W and Y 4 An accountant is selecting a sample of invoices for checking. The invoices are numbered 8. the height of this class should be 6 Eight people have the following individual weights. the analyst has set one class at $7. as measured by the coefficient of variation. broken down into five categories.50. this class has a corresponding frequency of 60. The graphics to illustrate best the relative sizes of the cost categories in this situation will be A B C D Ogives Piecharts Time series graphs Scatter diagrams 3 Quality control of four independent production processes reveals the length of certain parts (in mm) to be as follows. piecharts. What sampling interval was the accountant using? A B C D 5 8 10 18 5 A frequency distribution has a common class width of $5. Process Mean Standard deviation W 100 10 X 40 5 Y 80 8 Z 150 12 The process(es) with the largest relative variation.2 You have just calculated for the last two sixmonthly periods. then x is (to the nearest whole number). You are using a computer package which can produce ogives.
Days lost per employee At least Less than 0 6 6 8 8 10 10 14 Number of employees 18 30 18 12 Which of the following histograms represents the data most accurately? Questions 15 . II and III only I.7 Which of the following sampling methods require a sampling frame? I II III IV A B C D Random Stratified Quota Systematic I and III only I. II and IV only III only 8 A company has recorded the following data on days lost through employee sickness in a year.
10.9 The arithmetic mean of nineteen numbers is 5. Number of books Frequency Number of people 1 11 16 1 17 3 6 55 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 What is the median number of books read in the last month? 16 Questions . When a twentieth number. 35. 35. 30. 20. 10. 35. 15. 35 The median number of responses from an advertisement was 9 Summarising and analysing data 4 1 The number of books read in the last month by a sample of the public interviewed is shown below. What is the value of x? 10 The number of responses from nine different direct mail advertisements is as follows. x. is added the overall mean becomes 7.
how many items of Product D does he buy? Questions 17 . 20 cases of Product B at $8. If there are 12 items in each case of Product D.20 per case. In a week where his average journey was 267 miles. y. were 286. the height to be plotted (to 1 decimal place) in relation to the frequency for that class is 4 An ogive is A B C D a graph of a cumulative frequency distribution a chart showing a nonlinear relationship another name for a histogram a chart showing any linear relationship 5 A driver makes a number of deliveries in a week. 185.60 in total.50 per case and a number of cases of Product D at $8.5x. in miles. x. 24 cases of Product C at $8.60 per case. the value of x is 6 The quartile deviation is half the difference between the lower and upper quartiles and is also known as the A B C D Interquartile range Semiinterquartile range Standard deviation Mode 7 In a positively skewed distribution A B C D the mean is larger than the median the mean is smaller than the median the mean is the same as the median the mean lies between the median and the mode 8 A buyer purchases 40 cases of Product A at $7. 192.2 A distribution where the mode has a lower value than the median and the median is less than the mean is known as A B C D Positively skewed distribution Normal distribution Negatively skewed distribution Continuous distribution 3 In a histogram in which one class interval is one and two thirds times as wide as the remaining classes. He spends $939.84 per case. his individual journey distances. 94 When y = 2. 307.
the height to be plotted in relation to the frequency for that class is (to two decimal places) A B C D 2 0. it will be free from bias. The mean (arithmetic) output per employee per month for all employees is 139 units. III and IV I.63 0.67 10 Summarising and analysing data 5 1 In a histogram in which one class interval is one and a quarter times as wide as the remaining classes.9 Which of the following statements are not true? I II III IV A B C D If a sample is selected using random sampling.25 A factory employs 100 people and is divided into three departments. 10 units at 60c and 25 units at Xc is 80c.50 41. A sampling frame is a numbered list of all items in a sample. the correct height to plot on the histogram is A B C D 16. investigators are told to interview all the people they meet up to a certain quota. II. What is the mean output per employee per month for department 2? Number of employees in Mean output per Department department employee per month Units 1 54 130 2 ? ? 3 24 140 3 When the mean purchase price of 20 units at 50c. II and III II and III II only 10 In a histogram.80 1. In quota sampling. In cluster sampling there is very little potential for bias.67 25. I.00 37. If the score in that class is 25. the value of X is 18 Questions .25 0. one class is two thirds of the width of the remaining classes.
0 91. 4.4 The number of new orders received by five sales staff last week is as follows. 8. 10 The variance of the number of new orders received is A B C D 1. 6.33 2. Lower quartile Upper quartile Median A B C D 90.0 183.0 = 438 = 621 = 531 What is the value of the semiinterquartile range? 7 The essence of random sampling is that A B C D Every element of one definable subsection of the population is selected Every nth member of the population is selected Members of various strata are selected by the interviewers up to predetermined limits Each element of the population has an equal chance of being chosen Questions 19 .83 6 8 5 Which of the following sets of data have the widest spread? Mean Standard deviation A B C D Data A Data B Data C Data D A 150 25 B 175 20 C 200 25 D 250 30 6 The following information relates to Population Zeta. 2.5 93.
this class has a corresponding frequency of 180. as measured by the coefficient of variation. the analyst has set one class at $18.8 A frequency distribution has a common class width of $12. When drawing a histogram. 9 A distribution where the mode is greater than the median and the median is greater than the mean is known as a A B C D Positivelyskewed distribution Normal distribution Negativelyskewed distribution Continuous distribution 10 Quality control of four independent production processes reveals the length of certain parts (in mm) to be as follows. For analysis purposes. Process W X Y Z Mean 100 40 80 150 Standard deviation 10 5 8 12 The process(es) with the smallest relative variation. the height of this class should be (ring the correct value on the y axis of the graph shown below). is/are A B C D X only Z only X and Y W and Y 20 Questions .
0 The annual pension payable from 1 January 20X7 is closest to A $10. Index of Retail Prices each January (January 20X0= 100) 20X0 100 20X4 130.35 per kg.00 141.906 D $13. the new index may be expressed.000 a year became payable on 1 January 20X5.00 5 The average prices of three commodities and the number of units used annually by a company are given below. Details of the index of Retail Prices are shown below.90 139. to two decimal places. What was the price per kg in the base year? 2 An indexlinked pension of $10.9 20X7 142.10 100. a price index based on 1984 = 100 stood at 129.297 3 B $10.472 C $10. For a continuous estimate of price changes since 1984.560 The following series has a base date of 20X0. Commodity 20X1 Price per unit (P0) $ 16 40 100 20X2 Price per unit (P1) $ 20 50 105 Quantity Units 20 2 10 A B C The price for 20X2 based on 20X1 calculated using the weighted average of relatives method is (to the nearest whole number) A B C D 117 118 119 120 Questions 21 .11 Summarising and analysing data 6 1 The price index for a commodity in the current year is 135 (base year = 100). Index 20X0 100 20X1 104 20X2 107 20X3 109 20X4 110 20X5 111 The base date of 20X0 is now considered to be out of date and when the time series is rebased so that it has a base date of 20X4. In that year it was rebased at 1998 = 100.2 20X5 135. the new index stood at 110. in terms of the old as A B C D 58. By 2000.6 20X6 137. The current price for the commodity is $55. the index for the year 20X2 is: 4 In 1998.
Year Price index (1990 = 100) Price index (2000 = 100) 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 208. What is the chainbase index for this year? A B C D 139 142 118 109 8 Which of the following applies to a chainbase price index which is calculated annually over several years? A B C D The difference between the indices for any two years gives the percentage price change between these years The difference between one year’s index and 100 gives the percentage change in price since the previous year The difference between the spliced indices gives the percentage change in price between the years The difference between the index in a particular year and 100 in the base year gives the percentage price change between these years 9 The following table shows two indices being spliced to give a single price index based on prices in 2000.0 20X5 7. 140 83. 20X5 and 20X6 with a base year of 20X1? A B C D 7 125.1 20X3 6. The price of the item has risen by 9% between last year and this year.5 The value for 1999 prices in the spliced index is (to 1 decimal place) The percentage increase in prices from 1998 to 2002 is (to 2 decimal places) 22 Questions . 76. 131.6 20X6 8.1 Which of these sets of numbers represents fixed base index numbers for the profits for the years 20X4.8 20X2 6.7 210.7 20X4 7.6 20X1 5. 72 104.3 ? ? ? ? 100. 109.6 Year Profits ($m) 20X0 5. 107 The chainbase index for the price of an item last year was 130.5 216.6 106.0 103. 136. 145 121.
10 In 1990. Annual earnings $ 6.000 12. If the total price movement between 1980 and 1998 was an increase of 30%. During 1990.000 11. the number of employees and the annual earnings per employee are shown as follows. it was rebased at 1990 = 100. a price index based on 1980 = 100 had a value of x.000 15. Commodity A B C D Price relative Weight Relative weight Price index for year 2 based on year 1 (using weighted average of relatives method) = to the nearest whole number. the value of x (to the nearest whole number) in 1990 (ie before rebasing) was 12 Summarising and analysing data 7 1 In a supermarket. are given in the following table: Year 1 Year 2 Quantity Commodity Price per unit Price per unit Units $ $ A 10 11 10 B 20 24 1 C 50 52 5 D 100 105 4 Complete the following table (to 2 decimal places).000 Number employed 3 5 3 1 2 1 The median value of annual earnings is 2 The average prices of four commodities along with the number of units used annually by a company.000 10. and in 1998 the new index stood at 112.000 7. Questions 23 .
B and C vary independently and have the following means and standard deviations. What sort of data is being collected in such a survey? A B C D Quantitative Qualitative Quantitative Qualitative Discrete Discrete Continuous Continuous 24 Questions . the mean is larger than the median the mean is smaller than the median the mean is the same as the median the mean lies between the median and the mode 5 The weights of three items. A. B and C. 99% of sales achieved each week lie in the range Low High to Calculate your answer correct to 1 decimal place. What is the mean weight of a packet of one unit each of A. 4 In a negativelyskewed distribution. and the standard deviation of the weights of packets? Mean kg 100 100 300 300 Standard deviation kg 30 900 30 900 A B C D 6 A survey of heights of lampposts is carried out in Britain to find out if there is any variation across the country.3 The number of sales achieved by a sales manager each week has a mean of 400 and a standard deviation of 60. Mean weight Standard deviation kg kg A 120 20 B 100 20 C 80 10 The three items are sold together in a single packet.
He spends $512. 51. 7. 12 cases of Gamma at $8. 8. 42. 15 Questions 25 . There was a contract in force indexlinking the pay for the next five years.20 per case. The results are as follows. how many items of Delta does he buy? 9 In January 2002 the average pay for Grade B workers was $200 per week. with increases effective from 1 January each year.80 in total. To be correctly presented.50 per case and a number of cases of Delta at $8. If there are 12 items in each case of Delta. starting in 2003. 33. 14. Details of the relevant price index for the last four years are: Year Price index $ 2002 124 Index of prices each January (January 1990 = 100) 2003 2004 2005 131 136 140 2006 148 The average weekly pay for Grade B workers during 2006 was (to the nearest $) 10 A histogram uses a set of bars to represent a grouped frequency table.84 per case.60 per case. 28. Number of loaves 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Number of shoppers 2 22 32 2 34 6 12 What is the mode of the number of loaves needed per shopper in a oneweek period? 8 A buyer purchases 20 cases of Alpha at $7. the histogram must show the relationship of the rectangles to the frequencies by reference to the A B C D Height of each bar Width of each bar Area of each bar Diagonal of each bar 13 Summarising and analysing data 8 1 The mean of the following set of data is 13. 10 cases of Beta at $8. 69.7 A group of shoppers were interviewed and asked how many loaves of bread they would need to buy from the bakers over a oneweek period.
25 and 42 years. 22. Number of meals eaten out 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Frequency (number of people) 10 110 10 160 170 30 9 499 The median number of meals eaten out last week is 6 A large publishing company awards a 14% salary increase to every employee.2 A group of people have the following ages: 21. 28 and 27. x . 21. 24. 20. If the individual weights in kgs are 15. 19. 14. 21. 3 The mean weight of ten containers is 20 kgs. 27. x . 32. then the value of x is 4 The following table shows the values of deliveries made to customers last week: Value of delivery ($) at least less than 1 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 60 60 70 Frequency 3 6 11 15 12 7 6 The value of the lower quartile in this frequency distribution (to 2 decimal places) is 5 The number of times members of the public (who were questioned) ate out last week is shown below. 15. 31. Which of the following statements about the distribution of the company's salaries is/are correct? Statement The standard deviation will remain unaltered The standard deviation will increase by 14% The coefficient of variation will remain unaltered 26 Questions . kgs. 17. The median age of the group is to 1 decimal place.
are (a) Growing steadily True False (b) Keeping up with inflation True False Questions 27 . Quarter Sales ($) index Inflation index 1 109 109 2 120 110 3 132 111 4 145 113 'Real' sales. relative dispersion.7 The price index for a commodity in the current year is 125 (base year = 100). Brighton Eastbourne Worthing The price for 20X2 based on 20X1 calculated using the weighted average of relatives method is (to 2 decimal places) $ 10 An inflation index and index numbers of a company's sales ($) for the last year are given below. the percentage variation in one variable caused by variation in another. Commodity 20X1 Price per unit (P0) $ 32 80 100 Price relative 20X2 Price per unit (P1) $ 40 100 210 Weight Quantity Units 40 4 20 Relative weight Brighton Eastbourne Worthing Commodity Complete the following table (correct to 2 decimal places). ie adjusted for inflation. The price (to the nearest $) in the base year was therefore $ 8 The coefficient of variation is used to measure the correlation between two variables. 9 The average prices of three commodities and the number of units used annually by a company are given below. The current price for the commodity is $160. the strength of a relationship between two variables.
the subject of Part C of the BPP Study Text for C3 14 Probability 1 1 In a student survey.40 3 Next year. The sample has been crosstabulated into large/small against fast payers/slow payers.86 6 In a survey. 60% of households have a digital camera and 80% have a DVD player. 55 are studying for the Certificate Level and 6 of the male students are not studying for the Certificate Level.10 B 0. 30 of all the companies are fast payers. 40% of the students are male and 80% are CIMA candidates. 28 Questions . The probability that a household chosen at random had either a satellite television or a video recorder is A 0.70 B 0. The probability that a household chosen at random has either a digital camera or a DVD player is (to 2 decimal places) 7 From past records it is known that 15% of items from a production line are defective.13 D 0.21. The probability that a company chosen at random is a fast paying small company is A 0.44 4 In a group of 100 CIMA students. 30 are male. with the following respective probabilities: 0.56 C 0. 0. The chance of making a sale at any one of them is 80%.45 5 In a survey of a housing estate. What is the probability that she is not studying for the Certificate Level? A 0.80 D 0. The probability of sales remaining the same or falling is A 0.30 D 0. 30% of tenants had satellite television and 80% had video recorders.56.30 C 0.20 C 0.92 A sample of 100 companies has been analysed by size and whether they pay invoices promptly.20 D 0. In total. The probability (to the nearest percent) that a sale is made on the third call only is %.48 2 B 0. If two items are selected at random.05 B 0.Probability Questions 14 to 21 cover probability. 60 of the companies are classified as large of which 40 are slow payers.12 C 0. A student chosen at random is female. fall or remain the same as this year.24 B 0.23 and 0. the probability (to 2 decimal places) that only one is defective is 8 A sales representative makes calls to three separate unrelated customers. sales may rise. The probability that a student chosen at random is either female or a CIMA candidate is A 0.60 D 0.52 C 0.
4 16 0. The probability (to 2 decimal places) of making no sale at all is 10 Invoices produced within a firm are known to contain errors: 3% contain a very serious error. The board estimates its chances of winning contract X as 50%.000.09 0.9 A sales representative visits two independent firms – L and W. Questions 29 . 6% a serious error and 12% a minor error. The effectiveness of the vaccine is known to be 90%.000 respectively. The probability that a randomlychosen invoice will have a serious error or a minor error is A B C D 0. only two outputs are possible from a process. The probability of any nonvaccinated employee getting influenza by chance is 0. and of winning contract Z as 1 in 5. The probability that over a twoday period. Y and Z are estimated to be $50. $90.4. An employee catches influenza.05 0. What is the probability that she was vaccinated? A B C D 0. Probabilities of the outputs are as follows: Output Probability 10 0. the total output will be 26 is State your answer to 2 decimal places.21 0.25 None of the values 3 Because of the nature of a process. The expected value to the company of the profits from all three contracts will be ($'000) 2 A company recommends its employees to have free influenza vaccinations but only 50% do so.3. The profits from X.10 0.18 0.06 15 Probability 2 1 A company is bidding for three contracts which are awarded independently of each other. of winning contract Y as 1 in 3. The probability of making a sale at L is 0.6 Daily production is independent.3 and the probability of making a sale at W is 0.000 and $100.
3 0.) On this evidence.2 $20.000 worth of business as 'fiftyfifty' and K has a 30% chance of selling $30. believing it to be the new antidandruff shampoo.5 0.000 0.4 Three sales representatives – J. what is the probability of getting a king or a heart? A B C D 1/52 1/13 1/4 4/13 6 A die is thrown and a coin is tossed simultaneously. 7 A volunteer shows some improvement. 70% of the volunteers have used the shampoo whereas the others have used a normal shampoo.000 worth. J rates her chances of selling $20.3 0.2 (For example. the highest expected sales will be from A B C D 5 J alone K alone L alone K and L If one card is drawn from a normal pack of 52 playing cards. K and L – rate their (independent) chances of achieving certain levels of sales as follows.000 0.3 0. 8 and 9 A cosmetics company has developed a new antidandruff shampoo which is being tested on volunteers.6 $30.2 0.000 0. What is the probability that he used the normal shampoo? A B C D 8 10/60 10/100 50/60 10/30 A volunteer shows no improvement. 2/7 of those using the new shampoo showed no improvement whereas 1/3 of those using the normal shampoo has less dandruff. What is the probability that he used the new shampoo? A B C D 20/70 20/40 20/100 20/30 30 Questions . Possible sales J K L Probability Probability Probability $10.4 0. What is the probability of throwing a 3 and getting tails on the coin? A B C D 1/2 1/3 1/6 1/12 The following data is required for questions 7.
What is the probability that he shows some improvement? A B C D 50/70 50/100 50/60 60/100 10 In a student survey.64 0. The probability that a student chosen at random is either female or a CIMA candidate is A B C D 0.000 (1.9 A volunteer used the new shampoo. The profits that might be generated from each project are as follows. Project A Probability Profit $ 4.53 Questions 31 .90 D 0.36 Which project should be chosen and what is the associated expected value of profit? Project Expected profit $ 2. believing it to be the new tablet.000 4. 2 A volunteer shows no improvement. What is the probability that he used the placebo? State your answer to two decimal places.70 0.000) 0.900 3.42 0.000 2.47 C 0. ¼ of those using the new tablet reported no improvement in their headaches whereas 1/10 of those using the placebo had less headaches. 70% of the students are female and 60% are CIMA candidates.18 B 0.88 1.45 0.480 A B C D A A B B The following data is required for questions 2.00 16 Probability 3 1 A company must decide between two projects – Project A and Project B.55 0.760 5. A 0. 80% of the volunteers have been given the new tablets whilst the others have been given a placebo (a 'blank' tablet).000 Probability Project B Profit/(loss) $ 8. 3 and 4 A pharmaceutical company has developed a new migraine headache tablet which is being tested on volunteers.
the probability of high sales in the second year is 0.03 C 0.5 20 50 40 30 Medium 0. high or low.02 B 0.20 5 A company is about to launch a new product. It has been predicted that. The probability of low sales in both years is (to 2 decimal places) 6 A company is deciding which one of four products to launch.) A 0.3. the probability of high sales in the second year is 0.8.3 A volunteer has less headaches.2 20 (50) 0 10 Complete the following table. If the first year's sales are high.75 C 0. Type Expected profit $'000 I II III IV If the company wants to maximise the expected profit it should launch Type 7 With reference to events A and B. how would you best describe mutually exclusive outcomes? A B C D 8 A and B are dependent events A and B are independent events The occurrence of event A excludes the possibility of event B from happening Events A and B happen at the same time Which of the following formulae represent the general rule of multiplication? A B C D P(A and B) = P(A) P(B/A) P(A and B) = P(A) P(B) P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B) P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) 32 Questions . Profit Demand Probability Type I Type II Type III Type IV $'000 $'000 $'000 $'000 High 0. What is the probability that he had less headaches? (Answer to two decimal places. in each of the first two years.10 D 0. there are two possible levels of sales. What is the probability that he used the new tablets? (Answer to two decimal places. If sales are low in the first year. The probability of sales being high in the first year is 0.) A 0.60 B 0.3.97 D 1.00 4 A volunteer used the placebo. The expected payoff from each of the products is shown below.3 20 0 20 20 Low 0.
62 17 Probability 4 The following data is required for questions 1. fall or remain the same as this year. The probability that a resident chosen at random either went abroad on holiday or bought a new car is A B C D 0. Questions 33 .55 0. 3 The probability that a customer who spent between $25 and $50 is aged under 21 is: State your answer to 2 decimal places. with the following respective probabilities: 0.73 0.38 and 0.08 0.95 10 Next year. sales at Company X may rise. 2 and 3 High Street Shoe Store has analysed the expenditure habits of a random sample of 500 of its customers and produced the following table showing the number of customers in each category: Under 21 Age of customer 21 and over Total Expenditure Under $25 $25 to $50 Over $50 55 125 10 190 205 80 25 310 260 205 35 500 1 The probability that a customer is aged under 21 and spent between $25 and $50 is State your answer to 2 decimal places.56 0. The probability of sales remaining the same or rising is A B C D 0.44. the probability that he spent between $25 and $50 is: State your answer to 2 decimal places. 0. 40% of residents went abroad on holiday last year and 55% of residents bought a new car.9 In a survey of people living in a town. 2 If a customer is aged under 21.54 0.18.22 0.
68 6 Product Beta is made in two stages. The probability that an item is processed on T or Y is: A B C D 1 12 2 7 1 2 7 12 7 A company must decide between two projects – Project Alpha and Project Beta. The probability that there will be one and only one computer error is A 0.40 C 0.000 $20. What is the probability that it will be dry the day after tomorrow? A 0.192 B 0.000 $10. The probability of rain the day after is 0.000 Probability 0.6 if it rains tomorrow. Project Alpha Probability 0.000 Which project should the company choose? A B C D 8 Project Alpha Project Beta Both projects Neither project In a consumer survey.5 Profit $50. The probability that a consumer chosen at random is either male. 34 Questions .3. but 0.4 Project Beta Profit $60. or X – with equal probability.2.24 B 0.6 respectively. At the second stage it is processed by one of two machines – Y or Z – and is twice as likely to go through Z as this machine works twice as quickly.4 and 0. W. The profits that might be generated from each project are as follows. At the first stage it is processed by one of four machines – T.56 D 0. 0.6 0.400 C 0.5 0. There is never more than one computer error encountered by any one section in a week. or goes shopping every Saturday is to 2 decimal places.4 The independent probabilities that the three sections of an accounts department will encounter one computer error in a week are 0. V.2 if it does not rain tomorrow.808 5 The probability of rain tomorrow is 0. 80% of the consumers are female and 30% go shopping every Saturday.464 D 0.
The probabilities of when it will leave are shown below.000.15 respectively. $800. X and Y are both mutually exclusive and outcomes of independent events. The board estimates its chances of winning Contract A as 50%. 0.55 The train you need to catch is in the station. of winning Contract B as 1 in 5 and of winning Contract C as 1 in 3.000 $710. What is the probability you will miss the train? A B C D 0.10 1.45 0. The expected value to the company of the profits from all three contracts will be closest to: A B C D $300. If two students are chosen at random. The profits from A. waiting to leave.20 0.000 $900.30 and 0.30 1 minute late 0.15 4 minutes late 0. the probability that each of them is a woman or a mathematician (to the nearest percent) is % 18 Probability 5 1 Production next year may increase. stay the same or decline.55.25 2 minutes late 0.000 respectively.000 and $900.405 0.000 $733. 55% of the students are women and 10% of the students are mathematicians. What is the probability of production remaining the same or falling? A B C D 2 0. There is no correlation between gender and subject.45 0.9 A company is bidding for three contracts which are awarded independently of each other.20 3 minutes late 0.55 0. it follows that A B C D At least one of them is impossible At least one of them must happen They are both impossible Their probabilities add up to 1 Questions 35 .00 You are running late for the train and you are going to arrive at the train two minutes late. B and C are estimated to be $500.000 10 In a large business school. with probabilities 0.045 0.75 3 If two outcomes. Probability On time 0.
000 D 3. Each person never makes more than one sale per day and acts independently of the others. B and C in the ratio 2:1:1. 20% and 25% respectively. Find the expected daily sales.835 D 0. 0.5 respectively. 0.2 What is the expected level of sales? A 4. With television advertising.45 and 0.15 and 0.2425 6 A firm employs three sales staff and the probabilities that they will make a sale on a given day are 0.42 and 0. Find the change in expected profit if the probabilities actually turn out to be 0. Find the expected probability that any given visit is successful.29.06 respectively.000 8. % 36 Questions .333 C 13.000 Probability 0. The probability of getting precisely three heads is A project is thought to have a 0. A 231 B 250 C 126 D 300 10 The independent probabilities that an error will be made on any one day by three different workers are 15%.2067 C 0. Find the probability that at least one sale is made on a particular day. with associated probabilities.5 to 2 decimal places.45 respectively.09 B 0.12 respectively.5 0. 0.4 probability of making a profit of $1. The probability that there will be one error made on any particular day is State your answer to 1 decimal place. The probabilities that her visits will be successful are 0.55 and 0.165 C 0. A 0.4 Singers Co is launching a new sewing machine.3 0. 7 8 Four coins are tossed.0063 D 0. sales are estimated to achieve the following levels. Sales Units 1.000 5 B 4.000 and a 0.500.35.62 B 0. 300 or 400 units being sold with probabilities 0. 0. with 100.000 4.4. 200. A 0. A B C D A gain of $75 A fall of $150 A fall of $75 A fall of $225 9 The number of units of a particular product sold every day varies.900 A saleswoman visits areas A.6 probability of making a profit of $3.23.
what is the probability of getting a queen or a heart? Probability Queen Heart Queen of hearts Queen or heart The following information relates to questions 4 – 6 A company sells and manufactures product SX.3 0. 4 5 6 EV of demand = EV of unit variable costs = $ EV of profit = $ units (to 2 decimal places) Questions 37 .3 0.1 0. Fixed costs will be $30.1 Medium ($0.8.2 0.5 0.4 0.000.6.3 The highest expected value for the company's estimated annual sales is given by W only X only Y only Both W and Y 2 Three people are carrying out independent functions during an internal audit.5 0. The probability that at least one of the serious errors will be found is 3 (to 3 decimal places) If one card is drawn from a normal pack of 52 playing cards.00 4. It is known that in each of the three separate areas being investigated there is a serious error.50 0.1 The unit variable costs do not depend on the volume of sales.3 0.7 and 0.19 Probability 6 1 Three independent experts have estimated the probability of a company's future annual sales: Sales Expert W Expert X Expert Y High ($1m) 0. From past experience.00 3.5m) 0. it is estimated that the (independent) chances of the individuals finding the serious error in their area are 0. The selling price of the product is $10 per unit and estimates of demand and variable costs of sales are as follows.000 6.25m) 0.1 0.6 Low ($0.50 4. 0.5 0.6 0. Probability Demand Units 5.000 Probability Variable cost per unit $ 3.1 0.000 8.
some dogs ate the new food and some a normal dog food. 10 20 Probability 7 The data below relate to questions 1 and 2 A porcelain manufacturer has three assembly lines (X. The conditional probability that a dog was given the normal food. given that it received lowfat food is (to 2 decimal places). Daily demand Units 500 510 520 530 540 Number of days 14 18 19 21 28 If these data are representative of the normal pattern of sales. The results of the tests were as follows. The conditional probability that a dog has lost weight. The following data relate to questions 8. 2Y. An inspector samples finished plates from the assembly lines in the ratio 1X. 3Z.000 dogs. given that it lost weight is (to 2 decimal places). 9 and 10 A pet food company has developed a lowfat dog food designed to make overweight dogs lose weight. 38 Questions . Lost weight No weight loss 8 9 Given lowfat food 200 300 Given normal food 250 250 The probability that a dog has lost weight is (to 2 decimal places).7 A sales manager has recorded the following demand for a product over the last 100 days. In field tests on 1. Analysis of past inspection records suggests that the defective rates from the assembly lines are: X 5% Y 10% Z 30% During a shift the inspector examines 240 plates. the probability of a daily demand of 520 units is % (to 1 decimal place). Y and Z) producing decorative plates.
In a test some volunteers have received the treatment and some a placebo (a harmless neutral substance). It employs a credit rating agency and experience shows that of those customers rated a good credit risk. The credit rating agency does not have information on all wouldbe customers.000 volunteers. 5 6 7 The probability that an African brochure is not selected is % % The probability that neither an American nor an Asian brochure is selected is A company sells much of its output on credit. A brochure is selected at random. 60% of customers are not checked by the credit rating agency. Experience shows that of those customers who are given credit without a check from the credit rating agency. The results of the test are as follows. The probability that a customer who defaults was actually checked by a credit rating agency is (to 2 decimal places). Some improvement No improvement Treatment received 600 150 750 Placebo received 125 125 250 Total 725 275 1. however. Currently there is a total of 500 brochures in stock. 90% settle their debts without difficulty.1 Complete the following table which shows the number of plates the inspector samples from each assembly line. 80% settle their debts without difficulty. The following data relate to questions 3 and 4 A pharmaceutical company has developed a new headache treatment which is being field tested on 1. as follows: 285 for European holidays. Assembly line Number of plates sampled X Y Z 2 The probability that a plate sampled is defective is (to 3 decimal places). 90 for American holidays. 110 for Asian holidays and 15 for African holidays.000 3 4 The probability that a volunteer has shown some improvement is (to 3 decimal places) The conditional probability that a volunteer has received the treatment given that no improvement has been observed is (to 3 decimal places) The following data relate to questions 5 and 6 A travel agent keeps a stock of holiday brochures. Questions 39 . The company does not extend credit to those rated a bad credit risk.
5 20 50 40 30 Medium 0.8 A company is about to launch a new product.56 0.9. the probability of high sales in the second year is 0. Profit Demand Probability Type W Type X Type Y Type Z $000 $000 $000 $000 High 0. If the first year's sales are high. The probability of low sales in both years is: A B C D 0.2. high or low. The probability of sales being high in the first year is 0. in each of the first two years. It has been predicted that.8 0.5 9 A company is deciding which one of four products to launch. If sales are low in the first year. the probability of high sales in the second year is 0. The expected payoff from each of the products is shown below.90 1.2 20 (50) 0 10 If the company wants to maximise the expected profit it should launch: A B C D Type W Type X Type Y Type Z 10 What is illustrated in this diagram? A B A B C D A Venn diagram illustrating complementary outcomes A pie chart A Venn diagram illustrating two mutually exclusive outcomes A Pareto chart 40 Questions .3 20 0 20 20 Low 0.3. there are two possible levels of sales.
44.85 A normal distribution has a mean of 75 and a variance of 25.35 91. 80% of the distribution is below (approximately) A B C D 158 170 161 167 4 A normal distribution is to be split into four equal areas. Using normal distribution tables. The probability of a score of 59 or more is approximately A B C D 2 0. The upper quartile of this distribution is therefore A B C D 58. two to the right of Z = 0 and two to the left of Z = 0 (Z = 0 at the mean). The percentage of tubes at least 57 cm long is closest to A B C D 8% 42% 58% 92% 6 A normal distribution has a mean of 60 and a variance of 25.50 0.15 0.675099 5 Production of aluminium tubes is normally distributed with a mean length of 50 cm and a standard deviation of 5 cm.21 Probability 8 1 A normal distribution has a mean of 55 and a variance of 14.3333 0.35 0.75 3 A normal distribution has a mean of 150.0987 0. The probability of a score of 72 or more is approximately (to 4 decimal places) Questions 41 . and a standard deviation of 20.65 78.25 71.1915 0. the Z value that splits the area in this way is closest to A B C D 0.
What percentage of the population is less than 210? (Give your answer to two decimal places. four to the right of Z = 0 and four to the left of Z = 0 (Z = 0 at the mean).42% C 72.58% B 26.9686 42 Questions .42% 8 A normal distribution has a mean of 650 and a variance of 100. The upper quartile of this distribution is therefore A 643.944.00% D 76.7 C 717.2343 C 0. Using normal distribution tables.3 B 656.34 10 The weights of elephants are normally distributed.4686 D 0.5 9 A normal distribution is to be split into eight equal areas.28 B 0.0314 B 0. What is the probability of an elephant weighing more than 6.) A 23.0 D 812. The mean weight is 5. the Z value that splits the area in this way is closest to A 0.30 C 0.32 D 0.7 A normal distribution has a mean of 150 and a variance of 6.000kg? A 0.200kg and the standard deviation is 430kg.
what would you pay for a perpetuity of $1.000 is invested now at a nominal interest rate of 12% with interest compounded monthly. (to the nearest $) 9 If the interest rate is 8%. if a return of 12% pa is available.000 now. How much will the investment have grown to in 6 years’ time? (to the nearest $) 3 Jane invests $10. If Fred can earn 9% pa how much should he invest now? (to the nearest $) 7 Calculate the present value of $120.500 starting in one year’s time? (to the nearest $) Questions 43 . (to the nearest $) 8 Calculate the present value of $85.000 at year 7. What is her investment worth at the end if Year 7? (to the nearest $) 4 $10. For two years it will earn 8% and then for an additional five years it will earn 10%.000 at year 4.000 at 12% simple interest per annum? 2 George invests $5. the subject of Part D of the BPP Study Text for C3 22 Financial mathematics 1 1 How much will an investor have after five years if she invests $5.000 in a building society account earning compound interest of 8% pa.800 at the end of five years from now.000. if a return of 4% pa is available. How much has the investment grown to at the end of the first year? (to the nearest $) 5 If a company buys a machine for $25.Financial mathematics Questions 22 to 31 cover financial mathematics. what will be the value of the machine after 4 years based on a fixed rate of depreciation of 8%? (to the nearest $) 6 Fred needs $5.
is $2. by the end of year 4 the cost will be approximately A $7.117 B $9.38 C $60. The current rate of interest is 6% per annum. How much interest will have been earned by 30 June? A $30. If annual costs are now $160. What is the present value of this investment? (to the nearest $) 23 Financial mathematics 2 1 A building society adds interest monthly to investors' accounts even though interest rates are expressed in annual terms.66% 44 Questions .070.450 B $140.500 now and at the end of each of the next four years at an interest rate of 6%. An investor deposits $1. If the cost now is $10.924 6 An annual percentage interest rate (APR) of 30% is equivalent to a monthly compound interest rate closest to: A 2.528 C $15. because of productivity improvements.000 4 It is estimated that a particular cost will decline by 5% per annum on a compound basis.574 5 If a single sum of $12.000 C $8.10 Diane invests $1.00 2 B $30. to A $137.000 on 1 January. The interest is 3 It is estimated that. the amount to which the principal will have grown by the end of year three is approximately A $15.000 is invested at 8% per annum with interest compounded quarterly. costs will fall by 2½% per annum on a compound basis. to the nearest $.21% C 2.50% D 2.738 B $8.00 D $300 A oneyear investment yields a return of 15%.000 C $140.975 D $156.145 D $8.219 D $30.000 then by the end of five years they will have fallen. The cash returned from the investment. including principal and interest.02% B 2.000.
940 B $13. by the end of year 5 the cost will be approximately A $12.401 24 Financial mathematics 3 1 Interest is stated as 12% per annum but is actually added monthly to accounts.000 C $13. Sr = R (Ar + P) –P where A = amount saved at the start r = rate of interest N = number of periods P = payments added each period R=r+1 S = final sum N If r = 7%.7 The following formula is used in the calculation of the value of savings.06% 10 $2. A = 3.025% D 4.700 B $3. Its value after 5 years (to the nearest pound) is A $40.200 B $20. if a deposit of $500 is made on 1 January.00 C $30. with interest payable quarterly.100 C $3. If the cost is now $20. Its value now (to the nearest $) is A $2. at a guaranteed rate of compound interest of 8% per annum. N = 20 and P = 500.000.000. to make R the subject of the formula.000 depreciates at 20% per year.000 C $32 D $32.914 D $14.149 D $3.500 was invested exactly three years ago.76 2 B $60. Assuming the 12% to be a nominal rate.00 D $29.15 An asset which originally cost $100. how much interest will have been paid by 1 July of the same year? A $30.768 3 It is estimated that a particular cost will decline by 7% per annum on a compound basis.961 Questions 45 . R 1 S 1 A 1 S A C R= D R= 9 A bank offers depositors a nominal 4% pa. where R 1. then S equals (to the nearest $'000) 8 Rearranging the compound interest formula S = results in A R= S A 1 B R= S A A(R 2 1) . What is the effective annual rate of interest? A 1% B 4% C 1.
818 D $81. correct to 2 decimal places? A 2.259 C $13. How much will there be invested after 6 years to the nearest $100? 8 The value of a car declined by 25% last year.08% B 9.37% 9 If a bond rises in price from $50 to $75 over five years.448 25 Financial mathematics 4 1 The annual rent of a building is $1.998 B $2. At an interest rate of 14%. but at the end of year 4 the interest rate changes to 10%. the present value of the rental payments is $5. then 10% per year for five years and thereafter at 2% per year.7% D 12. correct to the nearest pound? 6 If a house was valued at $80. to the nearest pound? A $90.000 at the end of a sixmonth period during which prices had been rising at 21% per annum. what would its price be 8 months later. The annual amount of the annuity. what is the annual rate of increase.860 D $76. is A $12.319.000 B $11. the rentals being paid at the beginning of each year.4 House prices rise at 2% per calendar month. The annual rate of increase correct to one decimal place is A 24% B 26.76% C 6. to the nearest $.883 46 Questions .550 B $81.8% 10 A house was valued at $90.000 C $81. The length of the lease is A 3 years 2 B 4 years C 5 years D 6 years The present value of a fiveyear annuity receivable which begins in one year's time at 5% per annum compound is $60.500 now at 8% compound interest per year. What is its value after eight years.383 C $2.4% C 5% D 10.25% D 2.840 B $91. What was the monthly rate at which the value declined.084 7 Mary invests $6. to the nearest pound? A $80.000 during a period when prices were rising at 21% per year. What was its value at the beginning of the sixmonth period. to one decimal place? A 10% B 8.453 D $89.200 C $86.000 depreciates at 15% in its first year.550 D $2.2% 5 A car costing $17. What is the present value of the lease at 7%? A $1.577 3 A farmer is to lease a field for six years at an annual rent of $500.60.000.200 payable in advance at the beginning of each year.8% C 12.
4
A firm has arranged a tenyear lease, at an annual rent of $8,000. The first rental payment has to be paid immediately, and the others are to be paid at the end of each year. What is the present value of the lease at 12%? A $50,624 B $42,624 C $45,200 D $53,200
5
A financial adviser leases an office for 5 years, the rentals being paid at the beginning of each year. At 10% the present value of the rentals is $32,800. To the nearest $, the annual rental is A $3,280 B $6,560 C $7,866 D $8,652
6
Which is worth most, at present values, assuming an annual rate of interest of 8%? A B C D $1,200 in exactly one year from now $1,400 in exactly two years from now $1,600 in exactly three years from now $1,800 in exactly four years from now
7
An annual rent of $1,000 is to be received for ten successive years. The first payment is due tomorrow. Assuming the relevant interest rate to be 8%, the present value of this stream of cash flows is closest to A $6,247 B $6,710 C $7,247 D $7,710
8
A project requires an investment of $10,000 and will generate returns of $7,000 in the first year and $5,000 in the second year. Which of the following equations would enable you to calculate the IRR given that x = (1 + r)? I 10,000 =
II III IV
7,000 5,000 + x x2 10x2 – 7x – 5 = 0 –10x2 + 7x + 5 = 0 5x2 + 7x – 10 = 0 B I and II only C I, II and III only D I, II, III and IV
A I only 9
A project requiring an investment of $1,200 is expected to generate returns of $400 in years 1 and 2 and $350 in years 3 and 4. If the NPV = $22 at 9% and the NPV = –$4 at 10%, what is the IRR for the project? A 9.15% B 9.85% C 10.15% D 10.85%
10
Which of the following mutually exclusive projects would you advise your client to undertake if only one could be undertaken, given only the following information. Project 1 Project 2 Project 3 Project 4 A Project 1 B Project 2
IRR 18.5% 17.6% 16.7% 15.6% NPV 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600
C Project 3
D Project 4
Questions
47
26 Financial mathematics 5
1 A mortgage offer has been made at 5% fixed rate for 5 years and 6.5% on the remaining balance thereafter. You want to borrow $180,000 for a total term of 23 years. What will be your monthly repayment for the first five years, correct to the nearest $?
2
Which of the following are problems in using net present value to appraise an investment? I II III IV The difficulty of estimating future cash flows The difficulty of selecting an appropriate discount rate It does not take account of inflation The concept of net present value is difficult for nonaccountants to understand B I, II and III only C I, II and IV only D I, II, III and IV
A I and II only 3
A company requires a sinking fund of $500,000 in four years' time. They can invest $X at the start of each of the four years at 4%. The value of X (to the nearest $'000) using tables is A $125,000 B $118,000 C $154,000 D $113,000
4
A mortgage of $30,000 is to be repaid by 15 equal yearend payments. If interest is charged at 9%, the value of the annual payment (using tables) correct to the nearest $10 is A $1,020 B $3,720 C $2,000 D $3,410
5
Over the past year, prices have risen by 4%. What is the percentage rise in prices over the past three months? A 1% B 0.75% C 0.985% D 4%
6
A saver has been offered two different deals: Option 1: 3.1% compounded every three months Option 2: 4.7% compounded every six months The APR of the best option is (to 2 decimal places)
7
The present value of a five–year receivable annuity which begins in two years time at 7% per annum compound is $52,765. What is the annual amount of the annuity? A $14,735 B $13,770 C $10,553 D $37,621
8
What is the 'internal rate of return' of an investment? A B C D The discount rate at which the investment should be appraised The rate charged on loans used to finance the investment The probability of making a profit on the investment The discount rate at which the net present value of the investment is zero
48
Questions
9
A mortgage of $30,000 for 15 years at 7% has been repaid at the rate of $3,290 at the end of each year. If the mortgage is to be closed immediately after the eighth annual payment, use discount factor tables to find the amount still outstanding, giving your answer to the nearest pound. A $19,036 B $21,083 C $3,680 D $17,792
10
At a discount rate of 7%, Project A has a net present value of $3,000 whilst that of Project B is only $2,000. Which of the following statements are correct? I II III IV At present prices, A costs $3,000 and B costs $2,000 All other things being equal, A is preferable to B At present prices, A's profit is $3,000 and B's is $2,000 The cash flows of A are equivalent to investing a net amount of $3,000 now whilst those of B are equivalent to investing only $2,000 B II only C II, III and IV only D II and IV only
A I and II only
27 Financial mathematics 6
1 Fred invested 6 annual payments of $100 into an investment fund earning compound interest of 4% per year. If the first payment was at time zero, calculate the value of the fund at time 5. A $663 2 B $541 C $437 D $545
How much needs to be invested now at 8% per annum to provide an annuity of $10,000 per annum for 15 years starting in five years time (to the nearest $)?
3
When the discount rate is 8%, an investment has a net present value of $18,000. At 9% its net present value is –$11,000 (minus eleven thousand dollars). The internal rate of return of this investment (to two decimal places) is A 8.62% B 8.38% C 8.50% D 10.57%
4
A fund of $55,000 will be required in 15 years' time. $2,000 will be invested at 8% pa at the end of each year for 14 years. Use tables to find the further payment which will be required at time 15, to 3 significant figures. A $2,660 B $27,000 C $837 D $657
5
What is the present value of an annuity of $3,000 per annum discounted at 6% per annum if it starts at the end of the third year and finishes at the end of the 10th year. Use tables and give your answer to the nearest $. A $22,080 B $16,581 C $996 D $14,061
Questions
49
6
The NPV of an investment is $230 when the discount rate is 5% and $160 when it is 12%. Estimate the internal rate of return to 2 decimal places. A B C D It is not possible to estimate the IRR unless one of the NPVs is negative 28% 9.13% 8.5%
7
A credit card company states that its APR is 27.6%. How much interest are they charging customers each month? (to two decimal places)
8
Over a period of 12 months, the present value of the payments made on a credit card is $10,500 at a discount rate of 3% per month. What is the equivalent constant monthly amount, to the nearest pound? A $875 B $4,371 C $1,055 D $7,361
9
Which of the following statements about Net Present Value are correct. I II III IV A B C D An investment with a positive NPV is financially viable Net Present Value is a superior method to Internal Rate of Return The graph of Net Present Value against discount rate has a negative slope Net Present Value is the present value of expected future net cash receipts less the cost of the investment I only I and II only I, II and III only I, II, III and IV
10
How much needs to be invested now at 6% to yield an annual pension income of $15,000 in perpetuity?
28 Financial mathematics 7
1 An investor has funds to invest now to produce an annuity of $1,494.87 per year for ten years commencing in one year. The present value of the annuity to the nearest $ is $10,500. The prevailing interest rate is 2 %
A firm buys a material on a longterm contract which stipulates a price increase per annum of 6% compound. If the current price is $200 per kg, the price in 5 years, to the nearest cent, will be $
3
Joe is to receive a tenyear annuity of $X per year, received at the end of each year. At an interest rate of 8% this annuity has a present value of $33,550. The value of $X = $ State your answer to the nearest $.
50
Questions
4
A leasing agreement is for five years. $20,000 must be paid at the beginning of the first year, to be followed by four equal payments at the beginning of years two, three, four and five. At a discount rate of 8%, the present value of the four equal payments is $52,992. The total amount to be paid during the lease period is $ The difference between the total present value of a stream of cash flows at a given rate of discount, and the initial capital outlay is known as the internal rate of return. True False
5
6
An investor is to receive an annuity of $19,260 for six years commencing at the end of year 1. It has a present value of $86,400. % The rate of interest (to the nearest whole percent) is Isabelle is to receive an annuity of $6,529.97 at the end of each of the next 7 years. The present value of the annuity is $33,995.18 at 8%, the relevant annuity factor (from tables) is A company charges depreciation at the rate of 25% per annum on the reducing balance method on an asset which cost $40,000. At the end of year 4 the written down value will be $ State your answer to the nearest cent.
7
8
9
An individual placed a sum of money in the bank and left it there for 12 years at 8% per annum. The sum is now worth $2,728.90. Using the compound interest formula, the original principal was found (to the nearest whole $) to be $
10
A mortgage offer has been made at 4% fixed rate for 5 years and 5.7% on the remaining balance thereafter. You want to borrow $250,000 for a total term of 25 years. What will be your monthly repayment for the first five years, correct to the nearest $?
29 Financial mathematics 8
1 How much should be invested now (to the nearest $) to receive $24,000 per annum in perpetuity if the annual rate of interest is 5%? Answer = $
Questions
51
2
In the formula: PV r
1 r 1 r(1 r)n
0.04; n
16; then PV equals
to 2 decimal places.
3
A company is considering purchasing a new machine for $45,000. This would increase the annual cash flow of the company by $12,400 in each of the next six years. If the cost of capital is 9% per annum, the net present value of this investment is $ State your answer to the nearest $.
4
The net present value of an investment at 12% is $24,000, and at 20% is –$8,000. The internal rate of return of this investment is % State your answer to the nearest whole percent.
5
A building society adds interest to investors' accounts monthly even though interest rates are expressed in annual terms. The current rate of interest is 3% per annum. An investor deposits $2,000 on 1 July. How much interest will have been earned by 31 December? Answer = $ to the nearest cent.
6
An asset which originally cost $400,000 depreciates at 15% per year. Its value after 5 years (to the nearest $) is $177,482.13. True False
7
A single sum of $10,000 is invested at an interest rate of 1% per quarter. The amount to which the principal will have grown by the end of year 3 is approximately (to the nearest $) $
8
It is estimated that, because of productivity improvements, costs will fall by 8% per annum on a compound basis. If annual costs are now $420,000 then by the end of four years they will have fallen, to the nearest $, to $
9
Friendly Bank Co offers depositors a nominal interest rate of 12% per annum, with interest added to their accounts quarterly. The effective annual percentage rate, to 2 decimal places is
10
$400,000 was invested on 1 January 20X1, earning interest of 5% pa. The value of this investment on 31 December 20X5 will be (to the nearest $) $1,061,319 $536,038 $510,513 $486,203
52
Questions
000 now.000 at 17%. Use tables to complete the following. 8 An investment has a net present value of $8.000 at the end of year 3.000 now and would yield $4. The annual rate of compound interest applied is % (to 2 decimal places).30 Financial mathematics 9 1 A fund of $180. The discount rate is 15% per annum. Its value now (to the nearest $) is $ 3 A sum of money invested at compound interest of 7% has grown to $84. The present value of the cash flows is $ Use tables to calculate your answer to the nearest $. Year Cashflow $ Discount factor Present value $ 0 1 2 3 Net present value = 6 A company is considering a project which would cost $26.000 will be invested at 8% pa at the end of each year for 14 years. starting one year from now.400 has grown to $54. Use tables to calculate the present values. The discount rate is 16%. Complete the following table. Questions 53 . $5. and $2.000 at the end of year 2 and $6.000 at the end of year 1. The original sum invested. at a guaranteed rate of compound interest of 6% per annum. was $ State your answer to 2 decimal places. The cash inflow from the project will be $7. 4 After 15 years an investment of $2.100 each year in years 3 to 7 (ie first amount to be received 3 years from now).600. The approximate IRR (to 1 decimal place) is %.848 after 10 years. The cost of capital is 12%. Present value of final fund = $ Present value of annuity = $ Payment required at time 15 = $ 2 to the nearest $ to the nearest $ to the nearest $ $8. to the nearest $.000 at 10% and one of –$2.000 will be required in 15 years' time.200 per annum in perpetuity. 5 A company is currently evaluating a project which requires investments of $5.000 was invested exactly four years ago. Present value of perpetuity Net present value of project 7 =$ =$ to the nearest $ to the nearest $ An investment will generate cashflows of $3.
000 ( $40.000 – (3 $40.000 at the end of each year.000.000 in four years' time. In the last balance sheet. How much should he invest now in order to have $40. then PV equals 3 An investment would involve spending $10.000 now.09 $40.000 (1.25 and n = 10.09 2 $40.000 four years from now. They can invest $X at the start of each of the four years at 4%.09 1 1. Depreciation is calculated using the 'reducing balance method' (that is. rounded to the nearest $100. a constant percentage is applied each year to the written down value). the NPV will be negative at a rate of s% if s% is less than r% The IRR can be obtained exactly using algebra whereas the graphical method provides only an approximate rate for the IRR The graph of the NPV against the discount rate has a negative slope An estimate of the IRR requires the calculation of the NPV at two different discount rates 2 In the formula PV = 1 r 1 r(1 r)n to 6 decimal places.000 for 15 years at 7% has been repaid at the rate of $8. The value of X (to the nearest $'000) using tables is $ 5 A machine was purchased for $100. closest to $ 54 Questions .09 3 10 A mortgage of $90.000 one year from now and $6.000) 1 ) 1. In the next balance sheet the machine should be shown to have a net book value. and getting cash returns of $8.9 Mr Norton wishes to invest a lump sum at 9% interest per annum. If the mortgage is to be closed immediately after the eighth annual payment the amount still outstanding (giving your answer to the nearest $ and using discount factor tables) is $ 31 Financial mathematics 10 1 Which of the following statements about the IRR/NPV methods of investment appraisal is/are NOT correct? If the NPV of an investment at r% is positive.000 at the end of the next three years? $40. If r = 0. The NPV of this investment at a discount rate of 10% (use your calculator and not tables) is to the nearest whole number. exactly four years old. was shown as $50.09 0.09)3 1 1. the net book value of the machine.000 3 1. 4 A company requires a sinking fund of $800.000.
starting now. 7 Lynn invests $55.000 cash per annum for four years. At the end of eight years a replacement van will cost $27.000 which would earn $18. Year Cashflow $ Discount factor 12% Present value $ 0 1 2 3 4 NPV = Project viable Yes No Questions 55 . The equal annual investments to be made = $ State your answer to 2 decimal places.000 now. Complete the following table and state whether the project is viable or not.000 and Terry would like to provide for this future commitment by setting up a sinking fund into which equal annual investments will be made.6 A $100. is to be repaid by 10 equal yearend payments of $X. $X is closest to $ State your answer to the nearest $.000 8 4 5 4 7 14 21 A perpetuity is an annuity which lasts for at least 25 years. 10 Owen Co is considering whether to make an investment costing $56. The fund will earn interest at 4% per annum. with interest compounded at 11% each year.000 55. Value now $ Investment period Years Interest rate % Final value $ 55. stating your answers to 2 decimal places.000 mortgage. True False 9 Terry has just bought a van which has a life of eight years. Complete the following table. The company expects to make a return of at least 12% per annum. To what value would this sum have grown after the following periods using the given interest rates. the first being due one year after the mortgage was contracted.000 55.
using the formula R=1– A –0.000.69 C 0. the line relating them would have a slope of 0.70 3 A company's weekly costs ($C) were plotted against production level (P) for the last 50 weeks and a regression line calculated to be C = 1.30 D 0. (5.366. R will (to 2 decimal places) be 2 nn 1 B 0. Fixed costs are $250. sales fall by $1. Fixed costs are $1.25 5 Monthly sales of overcoats (Y in $'000s) are found to be related to the average monthly daytime temperature (X in degrees C) by the regression equation Y = 32 – 1.000. (2.6X. 11). Which statement about the breakdown of weekly costs is true? A B C D Fixed costs are $1.986. to 2 decimal places.60 When temperature increases by 1 degree. Which of the following is true? A B C D When temperature increases by 1 degree. Fixed costs are $250.25 C 0. xy = 13. Which of the following is correct? A B C D There is a weak relationship between x and y x is 90% of y If the values of x and y were plotted on a graph.9 There is a very strong relationship between x and y 56 Questions . 5).200 When temperature increases by 1 degree.600 6 The value of the correlation coefficient between x and y is 0.000. Without carrying out any calculations.Interrelationships between variables Questions 32 to 36 cover interrelationships between variables. the subject of Part E of the BPP Study Text for C3 32 Interrelationships between variables 1 1 If x = 440. If d = 50 and n = 10. x² = 17.000 + 250P.600 When temperature increases by 1 degree. sales fall by $1.30 6 d2 2 . Variable costs per unit are $4. 9). 4 The following four data pairs have been obtained: (1. the coefficient of correlation.467 and n = 11.98 B –0. y² = 10. (4. y = 330. sales increase by $1. Variable costs per unit are $5. Variable costs per unit are $250. is 2 A rank correlation coefficient is being calculated. which of the following product moment correlation coefficients best describes the relationship between x and y? A –0.98 D 0. then the value of r.9. sales fall by $3. Variable costs per unit are $1. 6).
7 The correlation coefficient between advertising expenditure and sales revenue is calculated to be 0. sales will be $40 on average If $10 is spent on advertising. sales will be $40 on average When advertising increases by $1.8 if plotted on a graph I only I and II only I. III and IV Questions 57 . sales increase on average by $40/10 = $4 10 Five novels were reviewed by two different book critics. xy = 157 and n = 4. Which of the following statements is true? A B C D There is a weak relationship between advertising expenditure and sales revenue 85% of the variation in sales revenue can be explained by the corresponding variation in advertising expenditure 72% of the variation in sales revenue can be explained by the corresponding variation in advertising expenditure Sales revenue will increase by 85% more than advertising expenditure will increase 8 If x = 12. sales will increase by $40 on average If nothing is spent on advertising. y = 42. and the novels were ranked as follows. find the correlation coefficient. x2 = 46. y2 = 542. Interpret the value '40'.85. 9 If X denotes advertising expenditure in one period and Y denotes sales revenue in the next period. Novel Critic 1 Rank 1 2= 4 5 2= Critic 2 Rank 4= 1 3 2 4= Sunshine love Oceanic war Liasing dangerously Dark stranger The road to Crockham Hill The rank correlation coefficient is A –0.368 33 Interrelationships between variables 2 1 The regression equation linking x and y is y = 5x – 24. A B C D When advertising expenditure increases by $1. the regression equation linking X and Y has been found to be Y = 40 + 10X. II and III only I. II.425 C –0.425 B +0.368 D +0. Which of the following is correct? I II III IV A B C D The slope of the equation if plotted on a graph is 5 The line cuts the yaxis at –24 if plotted on a graph The slope of the equation if plotted on a graph is –24 The line cuts the yaxis at 4.
Y = 430. $7 must on average be spent on advertising For every $1 spent on advertising. sales increase by $7 on average For every $1 increase in sales. Which of the statements shown follow from this? I II III IV A B C D High levels of car ownership cause high levels of road deaths There is a strong relationship between the level of car ownership and the number of road deaths 53% of the variation in the level of road deaths from one country to the next can be explained by the corresponding variation in the level of car ownership 73% of the variation in the level of road deaths from one country to the next can be explained by the corresponding variation in the level of car ownership I and II only I and III only II and III only II and IV only 3 20 pairs of values of (X. it has been calculated that the correlation between the level of car ownership and the number of road deaths is 0.73. the standard formulae for the regression coefficients are given in terms of X and Y. Y) with X ranging from 15 to 45 were used to obtain the regression equation Y = 480 – 5X. Which of the following interprets the value '7' correctly? A B C D For every $1 spent on advertising. Which of the following reduces the reliability of the estimate? A B C D Sample size The magnitude of the correlation coefficient X = 10 being outside the range of the sample data The correlation being negative 4 The relationship between expenditure in $ on advertising (X) in one time period and sales (in $) (Y) in the next period has been found to be Y = 50 + 7X.95.2 Using data from twelve European countries. Which of the following is true? A B C D X must be the variable which will be forecast It does not matter which variable is which Y must be the dependent variable Y must be the variable shown on the vertical axis of a scattergraph 58 Questions . It has been estimated that when X = 10. The correlation coefficient is –0. sales increase by $8 When advertising is zero. sales are $50/7 5 In calculating the regression equation linking two variables.
the average level of sales is $50.000 on average When nothing is spent on advertising. with X ranging from 1 to 10.6 The examination placings of seven students were as follows. The correlation coefficient is 0. Which of the following are correct? I II III IV A B C D For every $1. Which of the following are true? I II III IV A B C D The estimate is not reliable because X is outside the range of the data The estimate is not reliable because the correlation is low The estimate is reliable The estimate is not reliable because the sample is small I and II only I and III only II and IV only I and IV only 9 The coefficient of rank correlation ranges in value from A 0 to 1 B –1 to +1 C 0 to 10 D –10 to +10 Questions 59 .8. Placings Student 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 English literature 2 1 4 6 5 3 7 French 1 3 7 5 6 2 4 The rank correlation coefficient (to 3 decimal places) is 7 The linear relationship between advertising in thousands of dollars (X) and sales in tens of thousands of dollars (Y) is given by Y = 5 + 2X.000 For every extra $1.000 spent on advertising. It is estimated that Y = 43 when X = 20. sales revenue increases by $20.000 spent on advertising. sales revenue increases by $50. the average level of sales is $20.000 on average When nothing is spent on advertising.000 I and II only II and III only II and IV only III and IV only 8 The regression equation Y = 3 + 2X has been calculated from 6 pairs of values.
040. XY = 8. is 60 Questions . X2 = 2. Y = 400. X2 = 2. If the value of Y is $523 and X is 25. to two decimal places.6 +2.278. XY = 8. True False 5 In a forecasting model based on Y = a + bX. sales revenue will increase on average by $6 When advertising expenditure increases by $1. the intercept is $248. Y2 = 32. sales revenue increases on average by $5 When nothing is spent on advertising.104 and n = 5 which of the following values for a and b are correct in the formula Y = a + bX? A B C D a 28 28 –28 –28 b –2.000 when the temperature is 0 C I and II only I and III only I and IV only I.278. II and III only If X = 100.040. Which of the following statements are true? I II III IV A B C D 2 Sales are zero when the temperature is 18 C Sales are positive when the temperature is below 54 C Sales are negative when the temperature is greater than 18 C Sales are $54.10 The regression equation linking sales revenue (Y) with advertising expenditure (X) has been found to be Y = 30 + 5X. sales revenue will be $30 on average I and II II and III I and IV II and IV 34 Interrelationships between variables 3 1 Monthly sales of overcoats (Y in $'000s) are found to relate to the average monthly daytime temperature (X in degrees C) by the equation Y = 54 – 3X.6 +2. Y2 = 32. Y = 400. Which of the following are correct? I II III IV A B C D When nothing is spent on advertising. sales revenue will on average be $5 When nothing is spent on advertising.104 and n = 5 the correlation coefficient (to 2 decimal places) is 3 If X = 100.6 4 The coefficient of determination (R2) explains the percentage variation in the independent variable which is explained by the dependent variable. then the value of the slope.6 –2.
Given the information. 5).6 In a market research survey of a new dessert. (ii) only (i) and (iii) only (ii) and (iii) only None of them Which one of the following is justified? Questions 61 . The rank correlation coefficient was calculated and was 0. (2. This means nothing at all.500 + (15 output) Fifty data points have been included in the analysis.000 units.25 The following information is to be used for questions 8 and 9 A scatter diagram shows the weekly total costs of production ($) in a certain factory plotted against the weekly outputs (units).9. A broadly linear pattern is evident.98 +0.000. The regression equation is Costs = 1. 9 Read the following statements: (i) (ii) (iii) There is very little correlation between weekly costs of production and production level. any forecast using the regression equation is likely to be very unreliable.94.98 –0. Next week's production costs are likely to be about $9. 6). and then again rank them for looks. with a rank of 1 indicating nicest taste and best looks. (4. 9). 11). which of the following product moment correlation coefficients best describes the relationship between x and y? A B C D –0. 8 Which of the following statements about estimates is/are true. (5. Without carrying out any calculations. as the rank correlation cannot be used for this kind of test.25 +0.500. Output next week is planned to be 500 units. all other things being equal? Weekly fixed costs are approximately $1. Variable costs are approximately $15 per unit on average. 90% of the variation in weekly costs is attributable to the amount produced. with r = 0. with output ranging from 100 units to 1. True False 7 The following four data pairs have been obtained: (1. respondents were asked to rank eight desserts in order of preference regarding taste.
75 if plotted on a graph The slope of the equation if plotted on a graph is 4 The line cuts the yaxis at –15 if plotted on a graph 2 For a set of six data pairs for the variable x (profit) and y (sales) the following values have been found.8 5. What is the equation of the leastsquares regression line of y on x for the following four data pairs? x 1 2 3 4 y 4 6 10 10 y= 4 The following data give five astrologers' marks for technical merit and degree of accuracy.4 5. Which of the following is correct? The slope of the equation if plotted on a graph is –15 The line cuts the yaxis at 3.7 5.0 Degree of accuracy 5. Astrologer Virgo Libra Scorpio Sagittarius Aquarius Technical merit 5.6 5.9 Spearman's rank correlation coefficient between the two sets of positions is places) (to 2 decimal 62 Questions .4 5.9 5.2 6. x=2 y = 15 x2 = 30 y2 = 130 xy = 14 The correlation coefficient is 3 to 2 decimal places.5 5.10 Which of the following could have a value of –2 (minus 2)? Correlation coefficient Slope of a regression line Variance 35 Interrelationships between variables 4 1 The regression equation linking x and y is y = 4x – 15.
Variable costs per unit are $30. Fixed costs are $30.68. x and y. 7 A company's weekly costs ($C) were plotted against production level (P) for the last 50 weeks and a regression line calculated to be C = 200 + 30P. Variable costs per unit are $6. this proves that variations in one variable cause variations in the other. 8 The correlation coefficient between two variables. The proportion of variation in x that is explained by variation in y is 9 (to 4 decimal places) A company's market for computer supplies has trebled in value in exactly six years.67.67.5 If the coefficient of determination is high. The value of d2 (to the nearest whole number) equals 36 Interrelationships between variables 5 1 If Y = a + bX. Which statement about the breakdown of weekly costs is true? Fixed costs are $200. Variable costs per unit are $6. True False 6 What is the equation of the leastsquares regression line of x on y for the following five data pairs? x 9 10 9 8 9 y 2 3 1 1 2 x= State each value to 2 decimal places. Fixed costs are $200. it is best to use the regression of Y upon X where X is the dependent variable and Y is the independent variable. Variable costs per unit are $200. True False Questions 63 . is +0. The annual equivalent percentage growth rate in this market is (to 2 decimal places) closest to % 10 The calculation of a rank correlation coefficient shows that ten pairs of data are found to be perfectly negatively correlated. Fixed costs are $30.
95. The nicest drinks looked the best. as the rank correlation cannot be used for this kind of test. must always fall within the range Lowest value Highest value = = 3 In the market research survey of a new drink.2 The coefficient of determination. The bestlooking drinks did not taste very nice.634 = 3. Nothing at all.865 = 4. x y x2 y2 xy = 210 = 187 = 4. The correlation coefficient of temperature and sales is 64 Questions . The rank correlation coefficient was calculated and was 0. The results shown below are for ten sample days in the summer. Temperature in degrees Celsius x 13 16 17 19 20 21 23 26 27 28 Cartons sold y 10 11 14 15 16 19 24 25 26 27 Intermediate totals are as follows.208 (to 2 decimal places). and then again rank them for looks. respondents were asked to rank eight drinks in order of preference regarding taste. r2. 4 An icecream supplier has recorded some sales data which he believes show a relationship between temperature and sales. This means that: A B C D There appeared to be no correlation between taste and looks. with a rank of 1 indicating nicest taste and best looks.
5 A company has a fleet of vehicles and is trying to predict the annual maintenance costs per vehicle. The following data have been supplied for a sample of vehicles. calculate the values of a and b in the equation (to 2 decimal places) (to 2 decimal places) The equation to use for predicting the likely maintenance cost per vehicle per annum is where y= x= 6 A company operates ten factories. Any accidents were judged by nursing staff as either 'minor' and treated on site. If the correlation coefficient for two variables is –0.8. or 'major' and referred to the local hospital. the coefficient of determination for the same two variables is 8 The value of b in the regression equation A B C D Cannot be negative Equals one when there is perfect correlation Measures the scatter of points around the regression line Measures the increase in the y variable for unit increase in x Questions 65 . Its expenditure ($'000) on 'Training in accident prevention and safety' (TAPS) and the number of minor accidents there last quarter are shown in the table below. Vehicle number Age in years (x) 2 8 6 8 10 4 4 2 6 10 Maintenance cost per annum $ × 10 (y) 60 132 100 120 150 84 90 68 104 140 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 y = a + bx b= a= Using linear regression analysis. Number of minor accidents and expenditure on TAPS ($'000) Site: Minor accidents TAPS ($'000) A 17 6 B 9 15 C 10 10 D 4 22 E 12 8 F 21 9 G 25 5 H 8 8 I 6 16 J 3 30 The Spearman's rank correlation coefficient is 7 (to 4 decimal places).
9 A B C D Indicates that x causes y Indicates that y causes x Indicates that the relationship between x and y is too strong to have been caused by chance Shows that x and y have something in common 66 Questions .9 The value of a in the regression equation A B C D Cannot be negative Measures the value of the independent variable Is the value of the dependant variable when the value of the independent variable is zero Must be positive 10 A correlation coefficient with a value of 0.
62.300 people and the seasonal factor is 0.87 times trend. where y is the number of items sold and x represents the month. the trend equation for a particular product is given by Trend = 0.35x.900 D 3.700. assuming an additive forecasting model. The underlying trend at this point was 4. Monthly deviations from trend have been calculated and month 19 is expected to be 1.12 – 1.Forecasting Questions 37 to 42 cover forecasting. in whole units. In whole units. the subject of Part F of the BPP Study Text for C3 37 Forecasting 1 1 In a time series analysis. The forecast number of items to be sold in month 19 is approximately A 91 B 92 C 93 D 94 3 Based on the last 15 periods the underlying trend of sales is y = 345.2 Due to the cyclical factor.878 C 3.112 + 3.949x. the forecast for 2006 is A 3.92. If the 16th period has a seasonal factor of –23. the seasonallyadjusted figure (in whole numbers) for the quarter is 5 A forecasting model is based on the formula y = a + bx.910 Over an 18month period.12 times the trend value.0004*YEAR2 + 0. then the forecast for that period. Using the multiplicative model for seasonal adjustment. the forecast for 2006 is estimated at 1.2*YEAR + 80. sales have been found to have an underlying linear trend of y = 7. Questions 67 . this could be depicted as A y x B y x C y x D Either A or B or C depending on the value of b. Diagrammatically.877 2 B 3. is A 300 B 301 C 324 D 325 4 Unemployment numbers actually recorded in a town for the second quarter of the year 2000 were 4.
in whole units. Y%. Assuming a multiplicative model for the time series.2x. predicted unit sales for the next quarter. by this regression equation: Y = 20 – 0. will be closest to A 80 9 B 120 C 160 D 320 Based on 20 past quarters. III and IV A I only 38 Forecasting 2 1 What is the purpose of seasonally adjusting the values in a time series? A B C D To obtain an instant estimate of the degree of seasonal variation To obtain an instant estimate of the trend To ensure that seasonal components total zero To take the first step in a time series analysis of the data 68 Questions . Monthly deviations from the trend have been calculated and follow an additive model. (The correlation coefficient was r = –0. the seasonal variation is estimated to be plus 8.9. II. the predicted reject rate for an operative with 12 months' experience is closest to A 17% B 19% C 20% D 23% 8 A product has a constant (flat) trend in its sales.) Using the equation.372x. II and III only D I.37 + 4. Reject rates. are found to be related to months of experience. to the nearest whole 7 A company's management accountant is analysing the reject rates achieved by 100 factory operatives working in identical conditions. In month 24. and is subject to quarterly seasonal variations as follows. is 10 Which of the following are necessary if forecasts obtained from a time series analysis are to be reliable? I II III IV There must be no unforeseen events The model used must fit the past data The trend must be increasing There must be no seasonal variation B I and II only C I. Q2.5. were 240 units. where y is the number of items sold and x is the number of the month. then the forecast for the quarter. Quarter Seasonality Q1 +50% Q2 +50% Q3 –50% Q4 –50% Sales last quarter. using a multiplicative model.055. X. the underlying trend equation for forecasting is y = 28.82 + 4.6 Monthly sales have been found to follow a linear trend of y = 9. The forecast number of items to be sold in month 24 is approximately number.25X. Q3. If quarter 21 has a seasonal factor of times 1.
If the seasonal component in the fourth quarter is –30. A 63 B 546 C 85 D 91 4 The trend for monthly sales ($Y) is related to the month (t) by the equation Y = 1. the quarterly trend (Y) is given by Y = 65 + 7t. forecast the actual value for the fourth quarter of 20X6.4 $630. the multiplicative model is used to forecast sales and the following seasonal variations apply: Quarter Seasonal variation 1 1. The following data relate to questions 6 and 7 In a time series analysis.000 Quarter 2: $630. to the nearest whole number.5 4 ? The actual sales values for the first two quarters of the year 20X0 were: Quarter 1: $520.3 2 1.92 using a multiplicative model is A $1.462 5 In a time series analysis. the multiplicative model is used to forecast sales and the following seasonal variations apply: Quarter Seasonal variation 1 1.344 D $1. where t is the quarter (starting with t = 1 in the first quarter of 20X5). Y) in the original time series? A (38.000 Complete the following table. The forecast sales (to the nearest pound) for the first month of 20X9 if the seasonal component for that month is 0. 39) 3 B (38.2 The following data represents a time series: X 36 Y 41 34 38 42 39 A series of three point moving averages produced from this data has given the first two values as 38 What are the values of (X.4 3 0.000 Quarter 2: $630.500 – 3t where t = 1 in the first month of 20X8.3 $520.3 2 1.000 Seasonal component (S) Actual series (Y) Trend (T) $ $ Questions 69 .000 2 1.4 3 0.377 B $17. 38) Using an additive time series model.904 C $1. Quarter 1 1.5 4 ? 6 The actual sales values for the first two quarters of 20X9 were: Quarter 1: $520.000 The seasonal variation for the fourth quarter is to one decimal place. 38) D (39. 40) C (40.
The actual value for week 7 is 77. Quarter 1 2 3 4 Unadjusted average 1. 10 A regression equation Y = a + bX is used to forecast the value of Y for a given value of X. Which of the following increase the reliability of the forecast? I II III IV A correlation coefficient numerically close to 1 Working to a higher number of decimal places of accuracy Forecasting for values of X outside the range of those used in the sample A large sample is used to calculate the regression equation B I and II only C I and III only D I and IV only A I only 39 Forecasting 3 1 Complete the following table. The trend value is 92 + 0. Season Spring Summer Autumn +5 +4 Winter +6 +7 Year 1 2 3 –6 –5 –4 –5 Average Adjustment Average seasonal adjustment 70 Questions .7 The trend line for sales has therefore increased between quarter 1 and quarter 2 decreased remained constant 8 A time series was analysed using a multiplicative model. are adjusted so that they total 4. The seasonal ratios.95 1. given by actual value divided by trend. using the additive model.15 0.10 Second quarter adjusted average = 0.9W.07 0.1425 Fourth quarter adjusted average = 0.92 Third quarter adjusted average = 1. Carry out that calculation on the following unadjusted averages for quarters 1 to 4 respectively.8 A B C D First quarter adjusted average = 1. The seasonal variation for week 7 is to 1 decimal place. where W is the week number.8.8075 9 A time series for weeks 1–12 has been analysed into a trend and seasonal variations.
A peak in the first three years of every decade. Regular cycles involving an increase in the first half of each year. What were the actual sales for these two quarters? Autumn $ Winter $ State your answer to the nearest whole number. Occasional peaks which occur unpredictably but on average once every five years. with a corresponding trough in the last five years of every decade. 5 Which of the following is not one of the four components of a time series? Random variations Cyclical variations Fourquarter totals Seasonal variations 6 Which of the following components of a single time series would be identified as a cyclical variation? A component increasing by the same amount each year over the last 50 years. using the additive model. The seasonal adjustments for Autumn and Winter (based on data up to 20X0) are 97% and 108% respectively. Seasonallyadjusted figures for 20X1 (based on these adjustments) were $47. and assuming that the seasonal variations have a period of three months (ie follow a pattern of rises and falls which lasts three months). followed by a corresponding decrease in the second half of the year.234 for winter. Questions 71 . Month June July August September Data 16 26 32 22 Trend for July 2 decimal places) = Seasonal variation (to 2 decimal places) for July = 4 A company analyses the time series of its quarterly sales figures using a multiplicative model.2 Which of the following is/are not true of cylical variations? Their period is longer than that of seasonal variations Their magnitude is constant from one cycle to the next They always reflect the trade cycle They always repeat every five to ten years 3 The following data are to be analysed into a trend and seasonal variations.921 for autumn and $65.
The most appropriate moving average trend figure for Wednesday of week 3 is whole unit.7 The following data represents a time series: X 107 Y 108 99 109 97 A series of three–point moving averages produced from this data has given the first two values as 99 103 What are the values of (X. 98) The following data are to be analysed into trend and seasonal variations. Y) in the original time series? A (96. 96) D (99. 99) C (94. Shoe sales for a retail outlet for three weeks are as follows: Week 1 102 78 119 92 99 Sales units Week 2 103 79 129 95 100 Week 3 107 80 130 95 107 Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday The manager of the outlet wishes to analyse this time series of sales data. 94) 8 B (98. Day Data Week 1 71 82 61 47 49 42 38 Week 2 21 65 71 49 51 45 42 Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday The sevenday total for Friday of week 1 = 9 to the nearest whole number. 10 to the nearest Under which of the following circumstances would a multiplicative model be preferred to an additive model in time series analysis? A B C D When a model easily understood by nonaccountants is required When the trend is increasing or decreasing When the trend is steady When accurate forecasts are required 72 Questions .
where t = 1 in the first month of 20X0. The fourth quarter.6 times trend.4 YEAR + 30. If there is no seasonal variability.4 Due to the cyclical factor.40 Forecasting 4 1 The quarterly sales (units) of a company are given in the table below. In whole units. The mean sales for the second quarter (Q2) equals the mean quarterly sales for the whole period. 2 The following data represent a time series for the last seven days: 2 A B C D 3 6 2point 3point 4point None of these 10 6 10 14 10 Which ONE of the following moving averages would result in a straightline graph? In a time series analysis.608 D 2. the forecast for the year 2000 is estimated at 1. the forecast for the year 2000 is A 2.0002 YEAR2 + 0.609 4 Profit is denoted by Y ($'000) and is given by the regression equation Y = 0. has the highest quarterly sales in each of the three years. in what month will the breakeven point (ie where profit = 0) be reached? A B C D 6th month of 20X0 12th month of 20X1 Midway between 12th month of 20X0 and 1st month of 20X1 12th month of 20X0 Questions 73 .607 C 2. the trend equation for a particular product is given by TREND = 0. Year 1997 1998 1999 Q1 13 29 24 Q2 52 43 55 Q3 56 48 46 Q4 79 80 75 Which of the following statements is/are true? Annual sales are static. Q4. 199799.606 B 2.5t – 12.
500 1.000 2. Seasonally adjust the following actual values for quarters 1 to 4 respectively.5 A multiplicative time series model is used to analyse annual data with a fiveyear cycle.905 C $19.5. –30%.82 and 0. which of the following are true? I II III IV In year 1 of the cycle.25. 1. Forecast sales (to the nearest pound) in the second quarter of 20X9 if the seasonal component using the multiplicative model is –7% in that quarter are A $26. actual values are 18% above the trend Actual values build up steadily and peak in the third year of the cycle B I and II only C I. where Y is sales in $'000 and t is the time period with t = 1 in the first quarter of 20X8. 0. III and IV only A I only 7 Complete the following table using the data given in order to determine the threemonth moving average for the period JulyDecember. $300. $330 and $610 and state which of the following are correct.800 1.12.500 9 Number of moving averages to calculate when there are: Odd number of time periods Even number of time periods = = 74 Questions . No of ice creams sold Moving total of 3 months ice creams sold Moving average of 3 months ice creams sold Month July August September October November December 8 2.000 Quarterly sales have a trend given by Y = 5t – 1.505 B $7. II and III only D I. –25% and +35% respectively. 1. II and IV only A I only 6 A quarterly multiplicative time series model has seasonal components of +20%.530 D $21.6 for years 1 to 5 of the cycle respectively. If the annual components are 0.400 900 1. I II III IV The first quarter seasonallyadjusted value is $600 The second quarter seasonallyadjusted value is $429 The third quarter seasonallyadjusted value is $413 The fourth quarter seasonally adjusted value is $938 B I and II only C II only D II. to the nearest pound: $500. actual values are 40% below the trend In the fourth year of the cycle.95. actual values are only 95% of the trend In the fifth year of the cycle.
000.74C.8 C –24.947 D 4.211 5 In a time series analysis.000 Which of the following are necessary if forecasts obtained from a time series analysis are to be reliable? I II III IV The trend must not be increasing or decreasing The trend must continue as in the past Extrapolation must not be used The same pattern of seasonal variation must continue as in the past B II and III only C II and IV only D I and IV only A II only 3 The underlying trend equation for forecasting purposes based on the past 20 months is y = 30.8 B 0. assuming an additive forecasting model.000 2 B $140. If month 21 has a seasonal factor of 1.16 – 1.8 D 24.19.02.6x where x is the month number.10 Based on the last 9 periods. then the forecast profits for that period. the following data is obtained. Forecast profits for the year 20X9 using an additive model if the cyclical component for that year is –30 are A $160. If the 10th period has a seasonal factor of 52.000 C $119. The underlying trend at this point was 3.000 D $60. Using the multiplicative model for seasonal adjustment.563 B 3.95. the underlying trend of profits is p = 273. the seasonallyadjusted figure (in whole numbers) for the quarter is A 3. in whole units is 41 Forecasting 5 1 A company's annual profits have a trend line given by Y = 20t – 10. then the forecast for this month (to the nearest whole unit) is A 104 B 106 C 107 D 108 4 Unemployment numbers actually recorded in a town for the second quarter of the year 20X6 were 4. using the multiplicative model. where Y is the trend in $'000 and t is the year with t = 0 in 20X0.8 Questions 75 . Actual value Trend Seasonal value The residual value at this point is A –0.800 C 3.750 people and the seasonal factor is 0.15 + 3. at a certain time. using the additive model.8 170 182 –12.
1150 76 Questions . If the seasonal factor using an additive time series model is +90.0325 C 1. forecast costs in the third quarter if the seasonal component for that quarter is +50 (give your answer to the nearest $'000) are A $348.000 D $247.3 3 0. Remained constant between quarter 1 and quarter 2.000 10 In a multiplicative time series analysis.000 B $445.900 9 The trend in the quarterly costs of production is given by Y = 300 – 2 t where Y is the trend in $'000 and t is the time period with t = 1 in the first quarter of 20X4.90 What is the new value of the average for quarter 1? A 0.800.94 4 0. the seasonal variations are calculated by averaging the Y/T values as follows. 8 In January.0475 D 1. Using the additive model.0 1.000 Quarter 2: $130. the seasonallyadjusted level of unemployment (to the nearest whole number) is A 90.9 0.The following information is to be used for questions 6 and 7 In a time series analysis.1 The trend line for sales: A B C D Decreased between quarter 1 and quarter 2 .4 4 ? The actual sales values for the first two quarters of 2006 were: Quarter 1: $125. the multiplicative model is used to forecast sales and the following seasonal variations apply: Quarter Seasonal variation 1 1.9 1.000 6 The seasonal variation for the fourth quarter is: A B C D 7 –2. Cannot be determined from the information given.04 2 1.000 C $347.965 B 1.800 D 657. the unemployment in Ruritania is 567.100.15 3 0. Quarter Y/T value 1 1. Increased between quarter 1 and quarter 2.700 C 567.2 2 1.100 B 477.
320 + 5. the seasonal variations given by averaging the (Y – T) values are as follows. If the seasonal component in time period 15 is expected to be –28. A 836 B 97 C 870 D 853 3 Over a twentyfour month period.32 3 1.65 2 1. Year Y–T 1 18 2 30 3 –16 4 –36 The averages are subsequently adjusted so that their total is 0. the multiplicative model is used to forecast sales and the following seasonal variations apply.000 $500.000 5 Which one of the following conditions does not need to be met if time series forecasts are to be reliable? A B C D The seasonal pattern should continue as it has done in the past The trend should continue as it has done in the past Extrapolation should always be avoided Residuals should be small The following information is to be used for questions 6 and 7 below In a time series analysis. where x = 1 is the first month. Quarter Seasonal variation 1 0. where x is the year with 20X1 denoted by x = 1.57x. the forecast is expected to be 2% below the trend in that year.046 D 4.000 Questions 77 . the underlying trend in sales in $'000 of product A is given by y = 250 – 1. What is the new value of the current average for Year 4? A –32 2 B –35 C –37 D –40 The trend in the number of units sold is given by the equation: Trend = 850 + 27/x. the sales forecast for month 13 to the nearest whole number is A 658 B 3. the underlying trend in the number of items sold (y) is related to the month (x) by the equation y = 4.000 D $198.000 B $3. the forecast sales of product A for that quarter correct to the nearest $'000 is A $163.698. due to cyclical factors.2x.388 4 Using an additive time series model.42 Forecasting 6 1 In an additive time series analysis. Forecast the number of units to be sold in 20X9 if. If sales in the thirteenth month are known generally to be 15% above the trend.729 C 5. where x is the time period.000 C $226.41 4 ? The actual sales value for the first two quarters of 20X0 were: Quarter 1: Quarter 2: $320.
quarterly sales have been analysed and the quarterly seasonal components found to be +$200.78. 0.400 B I and II only C I and III only D I and IV only A I only 9 The number of houses flooded in a town during the first quarter of 2000 was 750.09 for the months January to April. the seasonallyadjusted values to the nearest whole number are A B C D The January seasonallyadjusted sales are 297 The February seasonallyadjusted sales are 1. Using the multiplicative model for seasonal adjustment.54. The underlying trend at this point was 600 houses and the seasonal factor is 0. If the actual numbers sold in those months are 550.38 B 0. –$300 and –$300 for quarters 1 to 4 respectively. 650. 750 and 1.73 and 1. the seasonallyadjusted sales are I II III IV First quarter seasonallyadjusted sales are $1.083 The March seasonallyadjusted sales are 606 The April seasonallyadjusted sales are 1.38 7 The trend line for sales A B C D remained constant between quarter 1 and quarter 2 increased between quarter 1 and quarter 2 decreased between quarter 1 and quarter 2 cannot be determined from the information given 8 Using an additive time series model. $1. +$400.190 respectively.60.050 and $1.6 The seasonal variation for quarter 4 is A –3.297 78 Questions . $1.000 Third quarter seasonallyadjusted sales are $570 Fourth quarter seasonallyadjusted sales are $1.62 C 1.100 respectively.300. 0.00 D 1. If the actual sales for the four quarters are $1.100 Second quarter seasonallyadjusted sales are $2. the seasonallyadjusted figure (in whole numbers) for the quarter is A 468 B 585 C 769 D 962 10 A monthly multiplicative time series model for sales has seasonal components 0.600.
True False 3 The following statements relate to spreadsheet formulae I II III Absolute cell references ($B$3) change when you copy formulae to other locations The F4 key is used to change cell references from absolute to relative Relative cell references (B3) stay the same when you copy formulae to other locations Which statements are correct? A B C D I and II only I and III only II and III only II only Questions 79 . the subject of Part G of the BPP Study Text for C3 43 Spreadsheets 1 1 A chart wizard can be used to generate graphs. Which type of chart would be best used to track a trend over time? A B C D 2 A pie chart A line graph A multiple bar chart A radar chart A macro is used for occasional complicated tasks in spreadsheets.Spreadsheets Questions 43 to 47 cover spreadsheets.
Which of the following would be a suitable formula for this cell? A B C D =$D$1/4*B4 =(D1/4)*B4 =$D$1/4*B1 =D1/4*$B$4 5 The cell C10 shows the sales volume in units for quarter 1. Which of the following would be a suitable formula for this cell? A B C D =$D$4/1+B10 =D1/4+$B$10 =D1+B10 =($D$1/4)+B10 6 The cell D10 shows the turnover in Quarter 1 Which of the following would be a suitable formula for this cell? A B C D =D1*$B$1 =C10B10 =C10*$B$1 =(C10+B10)*$B$1 80 Questions .Questions 4 to 6 refer to the spreadsheet shown below 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 4 A Unit selling price Seasonal variations Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Sales budgets Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 B $65 C Annual volume D 10.000 20% 35% 10% 45% Seasonal variations (units) Quarterly volume Quarterly turnover The cell B10 shows the seasonal variation in units for quarter 1.
94 257. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 A Monthly advertising Expenditure X 1.49 40561. Enter the formulae for the trend and sales volume forecasts for the first two quarters of 20X5 in cells B7 and C7 in the spreadsheet template below.88 422.56 11. A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 B a b x at 31 December 20X4 Period Quarter Seasonal variation Trend = y Forecast 10000 400 36 3 months to 31 March 20X5 1 +500 9 For which of the following tasks would a spreadsheet be used? Tick box Cashflow forecasting Monthly sales analysis by market Writing a memo Calculation of depreciation Questions 81 .6 2.44 0.5 154.41 2. where x is the quarter number.4 B Sales Y 132.25 23808.00 117549.2 0.1 1.95 XY 159 88.65 246.7 C D E X2 1.6 1175.56 4.6 7.0 747.7 The following spreadsheet can be used to investigate the interrelationship between advertising expenditure and sales.9 1.07 The cell E9 shows the total of the XY values.3 201.96 25921.78 Y2 17556.5 98. Which of the following would be a correct entry for this cell? A B C D 8 =A9*B9 =SUM(E4:E8) =SUM(A9:D9) =C9*D9 The following spreadsheet is used to forecast sales volumes in each quarter.25 9702.4 161. It involves the use of the linear regression formula y = a + bx.81 2.
5% The formula =C4*B10D1 multiplies the value in C4 by that in B10 and then subtracts the value in D1 from the result Which statements are correct? A B C D 2 I and II only I and III only II and III only I.5% reduces the value in C4 by 17.45 63. have been obtained from a catalogue.45 425.00 362.20 51. the formula in the active cell and the result of the formula 44 Spreadsheets 2 1 The following statements relate to spreadsheet formulae I II III The formula =C4*5 multiplies the value in C4 by 5 The formula =C4*117. II and III Which of the following formulae gives an answer of 16? A B C D =113*2 =32^(1/2) =4^4 =4^2 Questions 3 to 5 refer to the spreadsheet shown below The list prices of the products. net of sales tax.64 294.5%? 82 Questions .44 15.50 88.44 3 What formula in cell C4 would calculate sales tax on the product Buster at 17.94 103.10 The formula bar displays A B C D The formula in the active cell and no other information The location of the active cell and the formula in the active cell The formula in the active cell and the result of the formula The location of the active cell. A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 B List price (net) $ C Sales tax $ D Product line Buster Crusty Dibble Gross $ 345.
44 345.00 362.20 51.44 15.50% The current sales tax rate has now been entered in cell B9.45 425.50 88.64 Sales tax 17.4 What is the formula in cell D5? 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 A Product line B List price $ C Sales tax $ D Gross $ Buster Crusty Dibble 294.45 63. using the value in this cell? 6 Use of the keys Ctrl + “ enables you to view the formulae in each cell on the spreadsheet itself. Tick box True False Questions 83 . What formula in cell C4 would calculate sales tax on the product line Buster.94 103.
Questions 7 and 8 refer to the spreadsheet shown below A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Monthly production B C Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total Average Units 149 247 382 451 300 298 187 361 85 394 322 400 3576 298 7 Which of the following would achieve the total in cell B17? A B C D Autosum Ctrl + s Ctrl + t F2 8 What is the formula in cell B19? 84 Questions .
00 14.00 25000 20000 15000 Series2 10000 Series1 5000 0 Flipp Bopp Mapp 9 Which option in chart wizard was selected? A B C D Clustered bar Stacked bar Clustered column Stacked column Questions 85 .00 5.00 16.Questions 9 and 10 refer to the spreadsheet and chart shown below A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 B C D E Projected Results for 20X7: New products Flipp Sales units 280 $ 7000 3360 3640 Bopp 640 $ 20480 8960 11520 Mapp 320 $ 5120 1600 3520 Total Sales Cost of Sales Profit $ 32600 13920 18680 Selling price Unit cost 25 12 32.
10
The data from which cells were used by chart wizard to prepare the chart? A B C D B3:D3 B9:D9 B3:D3 B3:D3 B9:D9 and B10:D10 B10:D10 and B11:D11 B10:D10 and B11:D11 B9:D9 B10:D10 and B11:D11
45 Spreadsheets 3
1 The following statements relate to spreadsheet formulae I II III A B C D The formula =C4*B10 multiplies the value in C4 by the value in B10 The formula =C4*117.5% adds 17.5% to the value in C4 The formula =C4+C5+C6/3 adds C4, C5 and C6 together and divides the result by 3 I and II only I and III only II and III only I, II and III
Which statements are correct?
Questions 2 to 4 refer to the spreadsheet shown below
A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 B Trading account C 2008 $ D E 2007 $
$ Sales Less: cost of sales opening stock purchases less closing stock Gross profit Gross profit margin The format of cell B7 is A B C D General Number to 2 decimal places Currency Accounting
$
6402 341 3972 4313 (480) 3833 2569 40.13% 299 3652 3951 (341)
5747
3610 2137 37.18%
2
86
Questions
3
The format of cell D10 is A B C D General Number to 2 decimal places Custom Accounting
4
The formula in cell C14 is =C12/C5. The format of the cell is A B C D Fraction Number to 2 decimal places General Percentage to 2 decimal places
Questions 5 to 8 refer to the spreadsheet shown below
The cost card below shows how the cost of producing each unit of the component 214X is built up. Each individual cost in the total column is found by multiplying the quantity (kg or hours) by the cost per kg or hour.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 A B Cost Card : Component 214X C D
Material mat A mat S Labour skilled unskilled Overheads
kg 2 3 hours 2.4 5.3 2.4
$ 2.80 3.60 $ 9.40 6.35 12.40
Total $ 5.60 10.80
22.56 33.66 29.76 102.38
Total cost per unit of component 214X
Rates per hour: skilled labour unskilled labour overhead absorption
$ 9.40 6.35 12.40
5
The formula in cell D6 is =B6*C6. This has been replicated to cells D7, D11, D12 and D14. What is the formula in D11?
Questions
87
6
If the skilled labour rate were to change from $9.40 to $9.50 per hour, the values in which cells would change? A B C D C20 only C20 and C11 C20, C11 and D11 C20, C11, D11 and D16
7
Overheads are absorbed into product costs by charging $12.50 for each skilled labour hour worked on the component. If the skilled labour hours needed for each unit increased to 2.5 hours, the values in which cells would change? A B C D B11 and B14 only B11, C11 and D16 B11, B14, D11, D14 and D16 B11, B14, C11, C14, D11, D14 and D16
8
The text in cells A22 and A23 currently occupies two lines. Which of the following options would keep the text on one line within cell A22? I II III A B C D Use a smaller font size Increase the row height Increase the column width I only I and II I and III I, II and III
9
Which of the following statements is true regarding the automatic positioning of items within a cell, before any editing? A B C D Text is right aligned Numbers are right aligned Text is centred Numbers are centred
10
If a cell contains ####, this means A B C D There is not enough room to display the required number in the cell There is not enough room to display the required text in the cell There is not enough room to display either the required number or text in the cell The result of the formula cannot be displayed as the formula is nonsensical
88
Questions
46 Spreadsheets 4
Questions 1 to 3 refer to the spreadsheet shown below
A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 B C D E F Materials budgets: 50mm x 20mm pine
September
Usage budget units
October
units
November
units
Total
units
Production of tables
250
metres 625
280
metres 700
290
metres 725
820
metres
Raw material usage
?
Purchases budget Production usage Add: closing stock Less: opening stock Purchases
metres 625 28 (25) 628
metres 700 29 (28) 701
metres 725 30 (29) 726
metres
? ? ? 2055 $ 19317.00
$
Raw material purchases
$ 6589.40
$ 6824.40
5903.20
Raw materials data Usage per unit of production (metres) Purchase price per metre ($)
2.5 9.40
Assumptions 1 The closing stock in one month is 4% of the following month's production requirement 2 From December onwards production of tables will plateau at 290
1
Which of the following cells require the input of an actual value rather than a formula relating to another cell on the spreadsheet? Tick box B15 B16 C7 C10
Questions
89
2
Suggest formulae for the following cells: D14 C16 D17 C21
3
The total column has yet to be completed. Match up the cells below with the appropriate formulae in order to complete this column. =E10 E10 =SUM(B16:D16) =D15 E14 =B15 =SUM(B10:D10) E15 =D16 =B16 E16 =SUM(B10:E10) =SUM(B15:D15)
Questions 4 and 5 refer to the spreadsheet shown below
The spreadsheet below calculates the value of orders to be placed for raw materials by comparing the quantity in stock on a particular date with the level at which an order is needed.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 A B C Raw material orders:28 January D E F G
Product code
Reorder level
Reorder quantity
Purchase price $ 0.24 1.30 0.10 0.85
Stock level
Place order?
Order value $ 0 2600 500 0 3100
PY33 BC78 FLO2 CJ54
500 350 1000 200
4000 2000 5000 1200
600 350 800 300
NO YES YES NO
Total value of orders required
4
Suggest a conditional formula for cell F7 that can be replicated to cells F8 to F10.
5
Suggest a conditional formula for cell G7 that can be replicated to cells G8 to G10.
90
Questions
Questions 6 to 8 refer to the spreadsheet shown below
A supplier offers a 5% discount on orders of 1000 units or more of material P. A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 6 B Sales of material P Order quantity 500 1200 1000 2000 400 C D
Customer
Price $ 245.00 232.75 232.75 232.75 245.00
Sales $ 1225.00 2793.00 2327.50 4655.00 980.00 11980.50
Smith Brown Jones Hamdy Campbell
Price per hundred units Bulk discount%
$245.00 5
The formula in cell C6 is A B C D =IF(B6>=1000,$B$13,$B$13*0.05) =IF(B6<1000,$B$13,$B$13*0.05) =IF(B6>=1000,$B$13,$B$13*(100$B$14)/100) =IF(B6<1000,$B$13,$B$13*(100$B$14)/100)
7
The formula in cell D8 is A B C D =B8/100*B13 =B8*245 =C8/100*B8 =C8*B8
8
If, instead of 5, the value 5% were entered in cell B14, the spreadsheet would still calculate the discount correctly. Tick box True False How often should you save your spreadsheet whilst working on it? A B C D Every 10 minutes Every hour Every 2 hours At the end of the day, or before moving to work on another file
9
Questions
91
10 Passwords can be set to protect A B C D An individual cell on a spreadsheet A worksheet A workbook A cell.000 7.000 0 1 2 3 4 Cost of capital % 10 What is the Excel formula needed to calculate the NPV of the investment in the spreadsheet above? 92 Questions .000 9.000 6. 1 2 3 4 A 21 20 24 B 17 15 18 C 24 17 24 D 11 23 21 E 37 29 24 F 27 30 20 What formula should be entered into the appropriate cell to calculate the median minutes taken? 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 A Year B Cashflow $ 20. a worksheet or a workbook 47 Spreadsheets 5 1 The spreadsheet below contains data on the time taken in minutes to produce a batch of 100 units of a product.000 4.
3 A B 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Project cash out Net project benefits Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 C 320.50 plus sales tax of 15%.500 101.600 115.300 84. what is the formula needed to calculate the ROI? 4 What command should be used to count the number of observations in an Excel spreadsheet? A B C D =SUM =COUNT =NUMBER =ROUND 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 A Month B Output 000 units C Costs $'000 D Regression line 1 2 3 4 5 20 16 24 22 18 82 70 90 85 73 80 70 90 85 75 What formula has been inserted in cell D3 and then copied down the column? 6 The cost of a coat is $327.500 92.600 Cost of capital % 12 Using the Excel function ‘AVERAGE’.000 32. What Excel formula is needed to calculate the price of the coat rounded to 2 decimal places? Questions 93 .
7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 A Weekly output per employee B C D E F G 1087 924 1265 1086 1134 850 1226 1028 1130 1166 1084 1012 1230 989 1129 792 1205 1182 1155 1160 Output 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 Frequency 0 1 1 2 5 7 4 What Excel formula is needed in the range G3:G9 to calculate the frequency distribution of the output per employee? 8 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 A Weekly output per employee B C D E F G H 1087 924 1265 1086 1134 850 1226 1028 1130 1166 1084 1012 1230 989 1129 792 1205 1182 1155 1160 Output 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 Frequency 0 1 1 2 5 7 4 Cum frq 0 1 What formula needs to be entered in cell H4 and copied down the rest of the column? 9 What formula is used to time and date a worksheet? A B C D =COUNT() =NOW() =TIMEDATE() =DIARY() 10 Which of these formulae should be entered in a spreadsheet cell to find the mean of a number of values labelled ‘VALUES’ ? A B C D =MEDIAN(VALUES) =MEAN(VALUES) =MIDPOINT(VALUES) =AVERAGE(VALUES) 94 Questions .
Answers 95 .
96 .
151 = = $8. Remember that when x3 is raised to the power of 4.450 = $5.151 $30. the powers are simply multiplied together.90% % reduction = 56.458 s2 2s = (equation (2)) Sub (2) into (1) 1. then you forgot to include the 100 units at $50 each.99 100% = 7.151 100x x = = = = x3+4 x3+4 7x.701 $5. x4 the correct answer would have been x2. $30.458 s2 Multiply both sides by s2 2s3 = 1.450 + 100x $30.90% 4 B (x3)4 = x3 4 = x12 Option A is incorrect because this is the answer to x3 x4 = x3+4 = x7. (100 $50) + $8.49 56. Option D is incorrect since x6 x5 is x and not x2.99 52. x/7.200 + 100x $24.200 + 100x $19.458 cm3 L= (equation (1)) 1.250 + $11. Option C is incorrect because (x3)4 Option D is incorrect because (x3)4 5 A Total cost $30.450 + 100x Answers 97 .151 $30.250 + $11. 3 7. Note that if the question had been (x 2)3 instead.1 Basic mathematics 1 1 9 Let length of box = L cm Let side of square end = s cm 2s = L Volume of box = (s2 × L)cm3 = 1.701 = $57.01 100 If you selected option B.151 – $24.458 s3 = 729 s =9 2 C (x 2)3 = x(2 x5 3)–5 = x1 = x You should have been able to eliminate Options A and B immediately since your basic mathematical skills should enable you to see that the correct answer is x or x to the power of something.
200 $13. 10 A x–¾ = 1/x¾ Remember that the negative sign represents a reciprocal.395% 100% 8 B (y2)3 = y2 3 = y6 Remember that when y2 is raised to the power of 3. It is very important that you understand how to do this question.951 100 $139.99 $45.250 $16.200 + 100x $5.000 + $8.151 $30.151 – $19. 17.151 $30. go back to your BPP Study Text for Business Mathematics and study Chapter 1 Section 3 again.901 100 $169. If you had trouble understanding the correct answer.250. x¾ can also be written as (x3)¼ 98 Answers .901 $16.151 – $13.200. the powers are simply multiplied together.250 + 100x $13. $30.151 100x 100x x = = = = = = 6 7 B $5.01 Option C is incorrect because it does not take account of the batch costing $8. 9 10 Let selling price = 100% Profit = 20% of selling price cost = 80% of selling price Cost = $40 = 80% 1% = $40/80 20% = profit = ($40/80) 20 = $10.99 $45.151 – $5.100x x x = = = $30.99 = 17.51 Option D is incorrect because it does not take account of the batch costing $11.395% % increase = $53.01 The term x–1 equals 1/x by definition. $30.000 – $11.000 + $11.450 $10.151 100x x = = = = = (100 $50) + $11.250 + 100x $30.701 100 $107.200 + 100x $30.
0) and (2. y = 2 2 = 4 The line goes through (0.60 Percentage reduction per kg = $0.60 Absolute reduction per kg = $(2. (x4)–4 = x(4 – 4) 4 = x–16 = 1 1 x 16 x 16 Answers 99 .60 100% = 23% Option B is incorrect since the percentage reduction has been calculated by comparing the change in $2.60/$2. y = 0 If x = 2. $2.4) It is line B. 2 A Price = $4 for 2 kgs Price per kg = $2 Original price per kg = $2.60 – 2.00 price ($2) with the final price ($2) ie.60 $2. 3 B If x = 0.00 Options C and D are incorrect because they do not account for the new price of $2 per kg but interpreted the new price as $4 per kg (and not per 2 kg). Understanding basic mathematical techniques is of fundamental importance to your Business Mathematics studies.00) = $0.¼ represents the fourth root of x3 = 4 x3 x–¾ = 1/4 x3 2 Basic mathematics 2 1 C x8 = x8–7 = x1 = x x7 Revise the material on roots and powers in Chapter 1 of the BPP Study Text if you got this question wrong. 100% = 30% which is not correct.
39 Option D is wrong because the incorrect denominator has been used in the calculation.3182 Percentage saving = 0.5 C Q 400 = = 2CoD Ch 2 20 24. B or D then work through the solution again remembering that if you do anything to one side of an equation.000 Ch Square both sides 400 Ch Ch 2 = = 2 20 24.869 – 1.0c – 31.6% 100% 7 644 286 192 4 y 307 185 7 1.869 1. Percentage saving 0.39 0.000 400 400 = $6 If you selected one of the other options A.3182 22. 0.32 $0.00/22 = $0. ie 39.2c and not a percentage saving.3182 0.4% Option A is incorrect since it represents the saving in pence.064 + 5y 5y 5y y = = = = 1. Option B is also incorrect since it has been calculated using a cost per kg of $0.39 100% = 18.39 0.39 0.064 805 161 y 94 = 267 If x = 4 y x = (4 161) x = 644 100 Answers .32 instead of 0. you must make sure you do the same to the other side of the equation as well! 6 C 22kg costs $7.9%.8c = 7.00 1kg costs $7.064 5 y = 267 7 1.000 Ch 2 20 24. ie a percentage saving of 100% = 17.3182 0.3182.
Option C is incorrect – you have calculated profit as cost – revenue (instead of revenue – cost). Option C is incorrect since you have forgotten to change the sign of the D from positive to negative when you took it to the other side of the equation.05) + (3 = 0. 2 B If D D – 60 5P P P = 60 – 5P = –5P = 60 – D 60 D = 5 5 = 12 – D/5 Option A is incorrect since you have divided the 60 by 5 but not the D.2) + (1 0.935 Sylvia's taxable income is taxed at 100% = 23% 3 Basic mathematics 3 1 A If profit profit = revenue – cost = 410P – 22P2 – (3.1) 1 defect in 10 is equivalent to 10% (1/10 9 D x% of 200 = = x 100 200 x 100 200 100% = 10%).6 + 0.800 wrong (it should be negative.935 3. Option D is incorrect since you have not changed the –24P units to +24P when subtracting costs of 3.435 = $18. not positive).800 + 24P = 434P – 22P2 – 3.800 – 24P) = 410P – 22P2 – 3. = 2x Percentages represent one of the basic mathematical techniques that you will need to be able to master fully for your Business Mathematics studies.435 – $15.3 + 0. 5P 60 + D. 5P = 60 – D. Revisit Chapter 1 if you struggled with this question. 10 23% If gross earnings Tax Taxable income = $18.500 = $14. Answers 101 .435 – $3.435 = $18.000 = $3.800 Option B is incorrect – you have got the sign of 3. 435 14.800 – 24P.8 C Number of defects per 10 hinges = (6 0.1 =1 0.
This would only be the case if there were brackets as such (D = (60 – 5)P). 3 5 y2 If x = 3. 5 8 When x y1/3 y1/3 y1/3 y y = = = = = = 4 43 – (3 42) + (22 4) – 102 64 – 48 + 88 – 102 2 23 8 6 15.2.2(250 – P) 300 – 1.57735026919)–5 = 15. y2 y2 y2 y = = = = = = x2 – 3x + 25 32 – (3 3) + 25 9 – 9 + 25 25 25 5 Make sure that you substitute the value of x into the equation to evaluate y2 and then take the square root of this value.2 –D/1.2P (it should be negative.59 If x = 3 (3)–0. 102 Answers . 4 D If P P – 250 D 1.2P If you incorrectly selected Option A.5 = 0. Option C represents (3–0.Option D is also incorrect since you have incorrectly calculated that D = 60 – 5P is D = 55P. Do make sure that you read the question properly.2 D D = = = = = 250 – D/1. not positive).5 = 0.59 (to two decimal places) If you selected option B.5)–5 as required by the question.58 (to two decimal places). ie (3)–0. You have forgotten to change the signs so that P – 250 becomes –P + 250 (or 250 – P) when changing –D/1.5)5 instead of (3–0. Option B is wrong because you forgot to multiply –P by 1. Option C is also incorrect.2 250 – P 1.57735026919 (0. you only performed the first part of the calculation. you have got the incorrect sign for 1.2 to D/1.2.
34 $33.39 100% = 7% 10 B 4 Basic mathematics 4 1 319. Answers 103 . Understanding basic mathematical techniques is of fundamental importance to your Business Mathematics studies.73 – 33.68 = $76.81 If x = 3 Value = (3–0.48 $61.5 –4) = x12 117.7 8 D (x–3)–4 = x(–3 106.85 $76.5 100 price excluding sales tax 100 = price excluding sales tax Price excluding sales tax = $106.81 2 False Selling price = $90.05 = $33.34 Percentage change in year 3 was x3 1 = x–1 = x4 x Revise the material on roots and powers in Chapter 1 of the BPP Study Text if you got this question wrong.68 = 118% Selling price excluding tax New price after 20% reduction = 100 118 $90.38 $125 = $125 117. $2.39 1.38 (to the nearest cent) 9 7% Selling price at end of year 2 = $30 1.75)–7 = 319.85 = (100% – 20%) = $61.50 is the new price to 1 decimal place.39) = $2.06 Change in selling price in year 3 is $(35.
000 : $700.27 – 30.04 Change in selling price in year 3 is therefore $(30.96 1.62 = –0.27 Y aX 2 49q Workings X X 7 X2 49 7 qY a qY a qY a aX 2 qY 49 aX 2 Y 49q 8 104 Answers 384 .175 cost of article = $289 £289 = $245.96 1. value is 35 = If x = 4.08 1.02 = –2% 30.89) = –$0. value is 45 = 6 –2 % Selling price at end of year 2 = $27.3 1 to 2 Company A : Company B $350.89 1.000 $1 : $2 1:2 4 $ 245.024 If x = 3.175 Cost of article = 5 (x ) x7 3 4 12 x = x5 x7 243 1.62 Percentage change in year 3 was therefore 7 B 0.50 = $30.
5 price excluding sales tax = $425.2 20D 1.5 (1) (2) (3) (4) (2) 3 (1) + (3) 3(3.5 – y = y = 10.5 13 12 36 49 = 49 14 = 3.5 100 price excluding sales tax $500 100 = price excluding sales tax 117.2 = 20D = 7.680 = 384 20 x7 x8 = x7–8 = x–1 x–1 = 1/x 10 x 3.80 802 6.5) – y = 10.400 7.53 $500 = 117.5 12 Substitute into (2) 12 5 Basic mathematics 5 1 $ 425.5 – 12 y = –1.53 Answers 105 .680 D 9 B = = = 2 6 20D 1.5 5x + 3y 3x – y 9x – 3y 14x x x = = = = y –1.2 D 10 = 0.2 20D 1.
106. y2 = 42 – (4 y2 = 16 – 16 + 36 y2 = 36 y = 36 y=6 4 $ 66.175 = $8.63 – $5.000 x = 1.67 Let selling price = 100% Profit = 25% of selling price Cost = 75% of selling price Cost = $200 = 75% 1% = $200 75 $200 75 25 = $66.404.38 = $3.510.106.510.28 25 0.35 0.63 = $5.25 30% of remainder to finance = 30% $3.28 0.404.175 = $10.67 25% = profit = 5 $ x 1.38 Remainder = $8.510.2 C 25 kg costs $7.00 1 kg costs $7.25 = $1.000 $10.021 (to the nearest $) 106 Answers .35 100% = 20% Percentage saving = 3 y is 2 2 6 4) + 36 y = x – 4x + 36 If x = 4.00 = $0.021 Let x = telephone costs of company excluding sales tax 1.63 Central administration share = 60% $8.
600 = minimum revenue – maximum wages – maximum materials = $(3.100 and $900 0. Therefore one part is worth $9 3 = $3. You should have been able to eliminate options C and D immediately since the answers are not absolute values.100 – 2. Y = 7 + (–1) =7–1 =6 8 $ 24 Workings Katie's share = $9 = 3 parts.8) = $2.600 0.80 = $14.1) and ($4.400 and $3.000 1.400 – 900 – 1.400) = $100 = maximum revenue – minimum wages – minimum materials = $(4.000 Minimum profit Maximum profit 1.900 Profit will be between $100 and $1.9) = $1.80 Therefore original total was 8 $1.40 Answers 107 .6 B Wages will vary between ($1.500 (($1.400 ($4. Therefore one part is worth $9 5 = $1.2) and ($2.000 1.600) = $1.9) = $4.000 + 10%) + ($2.000 + 10%).000 0.000 Revenue will vary between ($4.400 and $1.1) and ($1. Total of 8 parts shared out originally Therefore total was 8 $3 = $24 $ 14.000 Materials will vary between ($2. 7 X –1 y y 0 2X X = = = = 7+X 9 + 3X 2 + 2X –2 2 = 2 = –1 Y 6 If X = –1.000 + 20%)) and revenue of $4.900.40 Workings Katie's share = $9 = 5 parts.600 – 1. Option A is incorrect because it assumes that profit will be based on the maximum costs and the maximum revenue. ie costs of $3.
PQ R = 11 12 = 10. Maximising P and Q and minimising R gives PQ R = 11 12 = 18. Q and R.15 10 10 100% = 1. Q and R.5% Option B is incorrect since it is calculated by minimising P.86 10 10 100% = 8. the numerator needs to be as large as possible and the denominator as small as possible.29 10 10 Option C is incorrect since it is calculated by minimising P and Q and maximising R.86 10 100% = 88.9% 10.15 13 Error = 10. Say P = Q = R = 10 P could be measured from 9 to 11 Q could be measured from 8 to 12 R could be measured from 7 to 13.4667 = 21 45 10 D To ensure that the error is at a maximum.6% 5.54 13 100% = 44.86 7 Using the actual values of P = Q = R = 10 PQ R Error = = 10 10 = 10 10 18. PQ R Error = = 9 8 = 10.9 A Workings Proportion with dark hair = 24/45 Proportion who do not have dark hair = 45 – 24 45 = 0.54 10 10 108 Answers .29 7 100% = 2. PQ R Error = = 9 8 = 5.6% Option A is incorrect since it is calculated by maximising P.
50 = 100% + 5% of midpoint of estimate = 1.00 = 12.48 2 3 C B Systematic sampling is a sampling method which works by selecting every nth item after a random start. and if it were the average of two scores.48 1.05X $21.50 = X = $20.39 = 180 f 5 C In order of magnitude scores are 8 9 11 12 14 15 17 21 24 34 10 1 = 5½ and therefore the median is the average of 5th and 6th items.48 Let midpoint of estimate = X. interviewers must interview all of the people they meet up to a certain quota. The median is therefore 14.05X $21.00 12.50 = 11.050 = $11. Answers 109 .5. $21. Option A is incorrect because with quota sampling. Option C is incorrect because with random sampling every item in the population has an equal chance of being selected (which is not the case).05 Midpoint of estimate = $20. they would be 16 and 17.6 Summarising and analysing data 1 1 20.50 11. 4 11. Position of median is You should also have been able to eliminate option D immediately since it does not represent an actual score.00 = 12.50 = 1. Option D is therefore incorrect.00 fx $ 400 500 550 600 2. The scores do not include a 16 and therefore this option does not appear to be valid. Stratified sampling involves dividing the population into strata and then selecting a random sample from each stratum.39 x $ 10. that subsection is then taken to be representative of the population in question (all school children in Britain).00 12. that 2 is of 14 and 15.00 = 40 40 50 50 180 x = fx $2. Cluster sampling is a nonrandom sampling method that involves selecting one definable subsection of the population as the sample (the school in Croydon).050 f 400 500 550 600 10.
and so the median is their average = (28 + 34)/2 = 31. however. In this case. If the width of the block is one and a half the standard width.6 B Total sales for first five months Total sales for last four months So total sales for remaining 3 months $27. we must divide the frequency by one and a half.200 – 1. Option A is incorrect since it represents the average between the 4th and 5th items (24 and 28) which is 26. rather than by the block's height.000 4 = $34. This was a popular type of objective test question in the old syllabus CQM examinations – do make sure you understand it! 9 A Frequency is indicated by the area covered by the block on a histogram. giving an average of 7 C The median is the middle value in order of magnitude.5 = 1/3/2 = 2/3 = 0. n is 3/4. 110 Answers .000 = $9.000.67 (1/1. Remember in a question such as this.200 = 20X 2.000 – 41.000 = $(102. so the height is 21 3/4 = 21 × 4/3 = 28. Options B and D represent the two middle values and are therefore incorrect. that you must calculate a weighted average.000 3 = $8.67). 80 = 80 (10 50) (10 70) (20 X) 10 10 20 40 = 500 + 700 + 20X 10 D 3.200 = $8.000 – 34.000 = 20X 100 = X You would need to do a full calculation before you would be able to select the correct option since none of the distracters are obviously wrong. The average of the two middle values must be calculated when establishing the median of a set of scores. 8 28 If the width of an interval is n times the width of the remaining intervals.000) = $27. then the height of the corresponding histogram rectangle is given by that interval's frequency divided by n. ie multiply by 0. 9 12 23 24 28 34 43 56 78 87 In this case there are two middle values. 28 and 34.500 5 = $41.
50 The height of the bar must be adjusted by 10 = 0. Answers 111 . Option C can therefore be eliminated. On a histogram. A simple bar chart is a chart consisting of one or more bars. We are not interested in showing the breakdown of the total salary. we must divide the common class width by 80%.8 5 D The best diagram to draw to highlight the differences between areas is a simple bar chart . the heights of the bars have to be adjusted for the fact that the bars do not have the same width. Option B is therefore also incorrect.7 Summarising and analysing data 2 1 D When a distribution has unequal class intervals. Adjustment = 0.50 50 = 40 The frequency which must be plotted = 0.8 The width of the nonstandard bar must be If the common class width is $20. 40 4 The common class width = $10 The width in question = $12.8 12.8 = 80) $20 = $25 0. in which the length of each bar indicates the magnitude of the corresponding data items.8 (100 0. 2 False An ogive is a graph of a cumulative frequency distribution. frequencies are represented by the area covered by the bars (compare this with a bar chart where the frequencies are represented by the heights of the bars). then a class with a nonstandard class width will not also be $20. not multiply it by 80% (80% $20 = $16). therefore a pie diagram and a percentage component bar chart are not really appropriate. If the frequency of one bar is 80% (80/100) of the standard frequency. 3 B A histogram is a chart that looks like a bar chart except that the bars are joined together. This is the best diagram to draw to highlight the differences of typical salaries in different areas.
ie 50 + 100 + 70 + 80 = 300 4 = 75. Option A ($15) represents the mode and is therefore incorrect. Option D. If you selected option D then this indicates that you only accounted for one $X instead of two.600 W X Y Z Mean factory wage = $2.A multiple bar chart is a bar chart in which two or more separate bars are used to present subdivisions of data. (20 miles 30 mph) + (10 miles 60 mph) = 600 + 600 = 1. Option D is simply the average of the mean wages (an unweighted average). The data available relating to salaries is not subdivided and this type of chart is therefore not appropriate in this situation. 10 112 Answers 2 = 45). Total of invoices = average 10 = 20 = = = = 10 15 + 22 + 14 + 21 + 15 + 20 + 18 + 27 2X + 152 2X X 152 200 200 – 152 = 48 $24 Option B is incorrect because it represents the arithmetic mean of the values (excluding the Xs).200 30 = 40 mph (incorrect) Remember that you need to know the length of time that it took to travel the 30 mile distance. It also represents the median of the values shown.000 = 500 = 700 = 400 2. This option is also incorrect. 45 mph represents an average of 30 mph and 60 mph (30 + 60 = 90 incorrect.200 Total distance travelled = 30 miles Mean speed = 1. 9 A To calculate a mean speed we need to know the distance and the time of the journey. This is also C The mean will tend to overstate the average. Department Mean wage $ 50 100 70 80 Number of employees Total wage $ = 1. Option C represents the second most frequently occurring wage ($70) and is also incorrect. ie 152 8 = 19. Time = 20/30 hr + 10/60 hr = 5/6 hr Mean speed = 30 miles ÷ 5/6 hr = 36 mph Option B is incorrectly calculated as follows. . 8 B To calculate a mean factory wage we need to determine total wages and total number of employees.600/40 = $65 20 5 10 5 40 Option A represents the most frequently occurring wage ($50) or the mode and is therefore incorrect. 6 7 A C Systematic sampling is a sampling method which works by selecting every nth item after a random start.
5. Option A is describing random sampling. ie 60 1. Option B is describing systematic sampling.5 $5. The correct answer is therefore option D. Option C is describing cluster sampling. Every fifth item is selected. X only. The coefficient of variation = Standard deviation Mean The coefficients of variation are calculated as follows: W: X: Y: Z: 10 100 100 5 100 40 8 100 80 12 100 150 = 10% = 12½% = 10% = 8% The correct answer is therefore A. the heights of the bars have to be adjusted for the fact that the bars do not have the same width.The mode tends to understate the average in highly skewed data and the median is the most representative average. therefore the sampling interval is 5. 8 Summarising and analysing data 3 1 D In quota sampling. Not all averages are therefore equally acceptable.5 = 40. 2 3 B A Pie charts illustrate the way in which one or more totals are broken down into their components.50 = 1. none of the above. investigators are told to interview all of the people they meet up to a certain quota.00 $7. 4 5 A 40 If a distribution has unequal class intervals. since X has the largest coefficient of variation. $7. Answers 113 .50 is one and a half times the standard width so we must therefore divide the frequency of 60 by 1.
) Class interval 06 68 810 1014 Size of interval 6 2 2 4 Frequency 18 30 18 12 Adjustment 2/6 2/2 2/2 2/4 Height of bar 6 30 18 6 8 B The histogram which represents the above bar heights correctly is Graph 2. C and D are incorrect because the class intervals need to be adjusted to take account of unequal class widths (as shown above). 59. 69. 84. 94. The adjusted frequencies are calculated as follows. 53. stratified and systematic (I. 9 45 The arithmetic mean = 5 x = = = x 19 19 5 95 x n Let x = twentieth number Sum of twenty numbers = 95 + x Arithmetic mean = 7 x n 95 x 20 95 + x 95 + x x x 114 Answers = = = = = = 7 7 7 20 140 140 – 95 45 . adjusted frequencies need to be calculated. The correct answer is therefore C. 97. The correct answer is therefore B. Options A. Therefore all of the other methods do require a sampling frame. ie random. (Standard class width is taken as 2. 105 Median 88 x = = = = = 84 x 2 84 x 2 (88 2) – 84 176 – 84 92 7 C The only sampling method that does not require a sampling frame is quota sampling. Since the class intervals are different.6 92 The individual weights (in kg) arranged in order are as follows. II and IV).
If the width of the block is 1 2/3 times the standard width. 15.5x 3. 10.064 1.67 4 5 A An ogive is a graph of a cumulative frequency distribution. (1.869 – 1. 9 Summarising and analysing data 4 1 2 The median is the middle member in the distribution.5x x = = = = = = = 6 7 B A 267 267 (267 805 805 3.60 Frequency is indicated by the area covered by the block on a histogram. ie the 2 A Properties of a positively skewed distribution. 20.5x 3. 35.064 The quartile deviation is also known as the semiinterquartile range. 35 middle item 9 1 The median is the 5th item in the array (the = 5th item). we must divide the frequency by 12/3 1 = 0. Properties of a positively skewed distribution Answers 115 . 2 1.064 55 1 = 28th member which is 2.60. rather than by the block's height. 30.10 30 The median is the value of the middle item of a distribution once all of the items have been arranged in order of magnitude. 230 If y = 2. 35. Its mean. 35. 2 The median is therefore 30. mode and median all have different values The mode has a lower value than the median The mean has a higher value than the median It does not have two halves which are mirror images of each other 3 0.5 230 7) – 1.5x 286 192 x 307 7 185 2.5 x 94 3.5 x 7 3. 10.67) ie multiply by 1.
If you selected option A then you multiplied the frequency by 2/3 instead of dividing it by 2/3.67 = 41. which is the same as multiplying it by 0.6x $681. 1 = 0.50) + ($8. The correct answer is therefore C.60 $939. mean output per month = 139. If you selected option D you incorrectly took 2/3 of 25 (= 16. ie 25 2/3 = 37.8 since 1 14 160 Number of employees in department 2 = 100 – 54 – 24 = 22. remember that the heights of the bars must be adjusted for the fact that the bars do not have the same width. Thus.20) + (24 = = = = = $8.6 + 8.6x 8. the buyer purchases 30 A sampling frame is a numbered list of all items in a population (not a sample). 139 = (54 130) (22 x) 100 (24 140) 2 116 Answers . which is incorrect.6) $258 30 12 items = 360 items.6x x 9 C $939. For all employees.60 – 681. Cluster sampling involves selecting one definable subsection of the population which therefore makes the potential for bias considerable. If there are 12 items in each case of Product D.6 + 164 + 204) + 8. Option B represents the unadjusted frequency of the class under consideration. 10 C If a distribution has unequal class intervals.84) + (20 $8. mode and median all have different values The mode will have a lower value than the median Its mean will have a higher value than the median It does not have two halves which are mirror images of each other 8 360 Let x = the number of cases of Product D purchased.6x 8. if one class is two thirds the standard width. Let x = the mean output per employee per month for department 2. you need to divide the frequency by 2/3.67) and added this to the unadjusted class frequency of 25. Statements II and III are therefore not true.8.67. 25 + 16.60 $(313.60 x) = $939.5. an adjustment needs to be made. (40 $7. 10 Summarising and analysing data 5 1 C If an interval is 1¼ times as wide as other classes. the frequency of that class must be divided by 1¼.Its mean.60 $(939.
4 D x = = = = 2 30/5 6 x n 4 6 8 10 5 Variance = x (x – x ) (x – x )2 (x n x)2 2 –4 16 4 –2 4 6 0 0 8 2 4 10 4 16 Variance = = = 16 40 5 8 4 0 5 4 16 If you selected option A. Answers 117 .600 + 25x 25x 25x x Remember.400 – 1.800 112 600 25 x 55 1. mean = 8 6 Option B is the standard deviation of the data. you calculated the coefficient of variation (standard deviation = 1.600 2. If you selected option C.000 x) = 80 = 80 = = = = 4.520 22 160 (20 50) (10 60) (25 20 10 25 1. in a question like this.380 + 22x 13.33). you must calculate a weighted average. you calculated the arithmetic mean (and also the median).900 22x x x 3 112 = = = = = 7. The question asked you to calculate the variance.139 100 13.900 – 10.380 3.020 + 22x + 3.400 4.360 10.
Option B describes systematic sampling. the wider the spread. The correct answer is therefore A. Option C describes quota sampling.120 Standard deviation Mean The bigger the coefficient of variation.167 B 175 20 0. 7 D Random sampling involves selecting a sample in such a way that every item in the population has an equal chance of being included.114 C 200 25 0. Option D represents the interquartile range (upper quartile – lower quartile).5 A Mean Standard deviation Coefficient of variation* *Coefficient of variation = A 150 25 0.Lower quartile 2 621 438 2 183 2 91.125 D 250 30 0.5 Option A is the difference between the upper quartile and the median (which is not the semiinterquartile range). Option C is the difference between the median and the lower quartile (which is not the semiinterquartile range). The largest coefficient of variation is for that of data set A. Option A describes cluster sampling. The formula for calculating the coefficient of variation is not provided in your examination – you must therefore know it by heart so that you can answer questions such as this easily. 6 B Semiinterquartile range = = = = Upper quartile . 118 Answers . You must divide this range by 2 to calculate the semiinterquartile range.
$18 = 1. median and mode all have different values The mode will be higher than the median The mean will have a lower value than the median (and than most of the distribution) 10 B The coefficient of variation = Standard deviation Mean The coefficients of variation are calculated as follows: W: X: Y: Z: 10 100 100 5 100 40 8 100 80 12 100 150 = 10% = 121/2% = 10% = 8% The correct answer is therefore B.8 If a distribution has unequal class intervals. Note that the formula for the coefficient of variation (coefficient of relative spread) is not provided in your examination. Answers 119 . since Z has the smallest coefficient of variation. 9 C Negativelyskewed distribution. Properties of a negativelyskewed distribution: Its mean.5. ie 180 1.5 $12 $18 is one and a half times the standard width so we must therefore divide the frequency of 180 by 1. the heights of the bars have to be adjusted for the fact that the bars do not have the same width.5 = 120.
0 = $10.000 = $10.297 137.000 To change the base date.35 = P0 = $41 135 2 B The annual pension payable from 1 January 20X7 is $10.2 135.0 = $10.9 142.000 142. Rebased 20X2 index = 107 110 100 = 97 120 Answers .11 Summarising and analysing data 6 1 100 41 P1/P0 = 135 P1 = $55.6 Options A.0 = $10.35 = 135 P0 100 $55. C and D are all incorrect since they have been calculated using the incorrect numerators/denominators as follows.000 142. divide each index by the index corresponding to the new base time point and multiply the result by 100.35 100 $55.6 = $13.560 100 Option D 3 97 = $10. Option A Option C = $10.906 130.472 135.
75 = 119 7.90 You should have been able to eliminate options A and B straightaway since the new index will not be less than or equal to 100.1 = 141. Answers 121 . 2000 index with 1984 as base year = 129 110% = 129 1.25 105/100 = 1.0 2.8 7.6 5.8 × 100 = 121 20X4: 20X5: × 100 = 131 20X6: 7 8 D B × 100 = 140 A chainbase index shows the rate of change in prices from year to year.0 5.5 10.05 Relative weight (W P1/P0) 25. The difference between one year's index and 100 gives the percentage change in price since the previous year.4 C 1984 = 100 1998 = 100 1984 100 1998 129 100 2000 110 Between 1998 and 2000 prices increased by 10% 110 100 100 100% The price index for 2000 with 1984 as the base year should also show a 10% increase on the 1998 index of 129.0 Weight (W) 20 2 10 32 Index = 6 B 38 32 = W P1/P0 W 100 = 118. Option D is incorrect because you have added the 10 points (110 – 100) to the 129 points.5 38. 5 C Commodity A B C Price (P1/P0) 20/16 = 1. It should be 129 plus 10%.8 8.25 50/40 = 1.1 5.
3 10.7 96. 2 122 Answers .5 × 100 = 10.3 Price have increased from 96.3 = 130.36 New index value for 1998 = × 100 = 96.36% 208.5 96.5 116 Year Index (Base year = 1980) 100 x 130* Index (Base year = 1990) 1980 1990 1998 100 112 100 1.000 15.5 This is a percentage increase of 10 106.000 11. * Total price movement between 1980 and 1998 was 30% 130 112 = x 100 x= 130 100 112 = 116 12 Summarising and analysing data 7 1 7.000 Firstly.000.000 7.5 216.000 12.000 Frequency Cumulative frequency 3 5 3 1 2 1 3 8 11 12 14 15 The median is the (15 1) = 8th item which has a value of $7.000 10.3 210.5 to 106.5 216.3 × 100 = 97. we need to calculate the cumulative frequency of earnings. Annual earnings $ 6.9 97.
2 Commodity A B C D Price relative 1.2 to 554.8 4 The mean is smaller than the median Properties of a negativelyskewed distribution: Its mean.00 1.20 5. Since the lampposts can take on any height. B and C have a mean weight of 300kg and a standard deviation of 30kg.10 1.00 5.2 – 554.00 Relative weight 11. You should have been able to eliminate options B and D immediately since qualitative data are data that cannot be measured but which reflect some quality of what is being observed.20 21.58 60) = 400 154.8 = 245.04 1.60 Price index for year 2 based on year 1 (using weighted average of relatives method) = 108 3 Low High 245.20 4. and you also forgot to take the square root of the variance in order to calculate the standard deviation. median and mode all have different values The mode will be higher than the median The mean will have a lower value than the median (and than most of the distribution) 5 C Mean of A + B + C = (120 + 100 + 80)kg = 300 kg Variance of A + B + C = (202 + 202 + 102) = 900kg (However.05 Weight 10. the data is said to be continuous.) Standard deviation = = variance 900 = 30kg Packets of one of each of A. 6 C The heights of lampposts is an example of quantitative data as they can be measured.00 4. If you selected option B you forgot to add the means together.8 2. don't forget to calculate the square root of 900 in order to calculate the standard deviation as required by the question. you forgot to take the square root of the variance in order to calculate the standard deviation. Answers 123 . If you selected option A. you forgot that the overall means should have been added together.00 1.20 1.00 20.58 standard deviations 99% of sales each week lie in the range mean = 400 (2. If you selected option D.
60X $172 = $8.60 = X = 20 If there are 12 items in each case of Delta.80 = (20 $7.60) $512. 13 Summarising and analysing data 8 1 28 13 + 42 + 7 + 51 + 69 + 28 + 33 + 14 + 8 + 15 = 280 280 10 = 28 2 24.50) + (X $8. 32.60X $(512. Price index in 2006 = 148 Price index in 2002 = 124 Therefore $200 10 C 148 = $239 124 A histogram is a chart that looks like a bar chart except that the bars are joined together.80 = $156. frequencies are represented by the area covered by the bars.84) + (10 $8. ie 4 loaves. 42 Middle item is between 24 and 25.60X $172/$8.20) + (12 $8.5 17. Remember. the buyer purchases 20 9 $ 239 12 = 240 items. 8 240 Let x = the number of cases of Delta purchased $512. 25. 19. 31. 21. 24. the mode is the most frequently occurring item.80 + $82 + $102 + $8. On a histogram. 27. ie 24. 21. The correct answer is therefore C.80 – 82 – 102) = $8.80 – 156.5 124 Answers .7 4 The mode is the most frequently occurring number of loaves required by a shopper.
3 19 Mean 20 200 38 x = = kgs 15 x 22 14 21 15 20 x 28 27 10 162 2 x 10 = 162 + 2x = 2x = 19 4 25.45.45 (to 2 decimal places). Answers 125 .45 Value of delivery ($) at least less than 1 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 60 60 70 Frequency 3 6 11 15 12 7 6 Cumulative frequency 3 9 20 35 47 54 60 The lower quartile is the value below which 25% of the population fall. 5 3 Number of meals eaten out Frequency (number of people) 10 110 10 160 170 30 9 499 Cumulative frequency 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 10 120 130 290 460 490 499 499 1 2 The median is the middle member in the distribution. 6 The standard deviation will increase by 14% The coefficient of variation will be unaltered = 250th member which is 3 meals (ie If everybody's salary rises by 14%. There are 11 items in this class and the 15th item in the whole distribution is the 6th item in this class = 6/11 (30 – 20) = 6/11 10 = 5. We must however add 5. ie the ¼ 60 = 15th item. The 15th item lies in the class at least 20 but less than 30. In computing the standard deviation. divide by n and then take the square root. the mean salary will also rise by 14%. ie the where cumulative frequency = 290). If each employee's salary and the mean salary are all increased by 14%. each (x – x ) will rise by 14%. we work out (x – x )2 for each employee. add up the results.45 to 20 in order to find the value of the 15th item in the distribution which is 25.
56 (to 2 decimal places) Growing steadily True (b) Keeping up with inflation True The sales index for a particular quarter multiplied by the inflation index for a particular quarter is approximately equal to the sales index of the following quarter. 7 $ 100 128 P1 = 140 P0 P1 = 160 P0 = = 128 8 Relative dispersion The spreads of two distributions can be compared by using the coefficient of variation (or the coefficient of relative dispersion).25 1. 9 $ 151.00 5.00 4.00 97. which is the one divided by the other. will be unchanged.56 Commodity Brighton Eastbourne Worthing P1 P0 weight 100 160 125 Price relative* 1. Real sales are therefore approximately constant and keeping up with inflation.00 Relative weight** 50.00 20.10 Weight 40. the overall effect will be to increase the standard deviation by 14%. 126 Answers .Because the squaring is followed by square rooting.00 42.00 64.25 2.00 * Price relative = ** Relative weight = Price relative Index = = 10 (a) W P1 / P0 W 97 64 100 = 151. the coefficient of variation. Since both the standard deviation and the mean increase by 14%.
8 – (0. Answers 127 . 0.6 P(CIMA candidate) = 80% = 0.52. Option D is incorrect because it represents the probability that a student is not studying for the Certificate Level.6 0.6 + 0.6 option is also incorrect. so P(sales remaining the same or falling) = P(same) + P(falling) = 0.4 = 0. provided A and B cannot both be true.20).8) = 1 – 0.21 + 0.14 Probability 1 1 D P(male) = 40% = 0. This You should have been able to eliminate option C immediately since it is simply the probability that a candidate is female.48 = 0. Option B represents 1 – P(female and CIMA candidate) = 1 – (0. 2 A Fast payers Slow payers Large 20* 40 60 Small 10** 30**** 40 Total 30 70*** 100 * 60 – 40 ** 30 – 20 *** 100 – 30 **** 70 – 40 P(fast paying small company) = 10/100 = 0.92 If you incorrectly selected option A you calculated the probability of a student being female and a CIMA candidate instead of the probability of a student being female or a CIMA candidate.8) = 0. 4 B Number of female students P(not studying for Certificate Level) = 100 – 30 = 70 = 100 55 45 = 100 100 39 45 6 = 70 70 P(female and not studying for Certificate Level) = = 0.44.4 P(female) = 1 – 0. You must make sure that you understand the laws of probability so that you can apply them correctly to objective test questions such as this.23 = 0. Option C is not correct because it represents the probability that a student is male and is not studying for Certificate Level (6/30 = 0.56 Option A is incorrect since it is the probability that a student is female.1 3 D Probability of A or B occurring = P(A) + P(B).8 We need to use the general rule of addition (to avoid double counting) P(female or CIMA candidate) = P(female) + P(CIMA candidate) – P(female and CIMA candidate) = 0.
8 – 0. sale) = 0.6 = 1.42 Pr(serious error or a minor error) = Pr(serious error) + Pr(minor error) = 0.7 10 B 0.2 0.6 9 0.15 = 0.13 0.48 = 0.26 8 3 % Pr(sale) = 0.4 – 0. Option B is the probability that a household has just satellite television.26 Pr (only one is defective) = Pr (defective) × Pr (not defective) = 0.3 + 0.8 – (0. Pr (digital camera or DVD player) = Pr (digital camera) + Pr (DVD player) – Pr (digital camera and DVD player) = 0.15 × 0.42 P(sale) P(no sale) Pr(no sale at L and W) = 0.18 128 Answers . 6 0.2 Pr(sale on third call) = Pr(no sale.8) 7 0.24 = 0.13.8 – (0.12 = 0.8 Pr(no sale) = 0.7 0.85 × 0. no sale.85 = = Pr (not defective) × Pr (defective) = 0.92 0.5 D Pr(household has either a satellite or a video) = Pr(satellite) + Pr(video) – Pr(both satellite and video) = 0. Option C is the probability that a household has just a video recorder.4 0.3 + 0.3 0.8 = 0.86 Option A is incorrect because it is the probability that a household has both satellite and video instead of satellite or video. or 0.92 We need to use the general rule of addition.3 0.8) = 0.06 + 0.2 0.6 + 0.032 = 3% Independent firm L W 0.6 = 0.
3 + 20.000 20.000 0.2 = 20. 5 D P(King) P(Heart) P(King of hearts) P(King or heart) = 4/52 = 1/13 = 13/52 = 1/4 = 1/52 = P(King) + P(heart) – P(King of hearts) = 4/52 + 13/52 – 1/52 = 16/52 = 4/13 Option A is the probability of selecting the King of hearts only.000 (30% (70% Probability employee was vaccinated given that she caught influenza = 50 = 0. Option A is therefore incorrect.4 + 30. There is a 10% chance (probability of 0.2 = 19.000 0.000 $100.000 = 0.000 $90. Get flu No flu (10% (90% 500) 500) Vaccinated 50 450 500 Nonvaccinated 500) 150 500) 350 500 Total 200 800 1.24 0. which is incorrect. 200 Option A represents the probability that an employee catches influenza and was vaccinated (as opposed to catching influenza given that she was vaccinated).1) that the vaccine is not effective.48 Pr (10 on day 1 and 16 on day 2) Pr (16 on day 1 and 10 on day 2) 4 D The expected sales are given by J: 10.000 X Y Z 1/2 1/3 1/5 $50.000 K: 10.000 employees.4 = 0.3 = 20. Answers 129 .000 Expected value is closest to $75.3 + 20. 2 C Assume all people are exposed to the virus and that there are 1.000 0.000. ie option B.000 0.000 L: 10.24 0.2 + 20.5 + 30.000 0.000 30. 3 0.000 0.25.15 Probability 2 1 75 Expected value = probability Contract profit Expected value $ 25. Option B is the probability of selecting a heart only.000 0.6 0.6 = 0.000 0.000 75. Option C is the probability of selecting a King only.48 The correct answer is therefore D since K and L have the highest expected sales.6 + 30.000 0.4 = 0.
New shampoo Normal shampoo Total Improvement 50*** 10**** 60 No improvement 20** 20 40 100 70* 30*** * ** *** **** 70% 100 = 70 2/7 70 = 20 Balancing figure 1/3 30 = 10 If we know that the volunteer shows some improvement we can rewrite the question as P(volunteer used normal shampoo given that he shows some improvement) or P(volunteer used normal shampoo/shows some improvement) = 10/60 Option B(10/100) is the probability that a volunteer used normal shampoo and there was some improvement. Note that throwing a die and tossing a coin are independent events (the occurrence of one event does not affect the outcome of the other event). 7 A Suppose there were 100 volunteers. Option C represents the probability of getting a 3 when throwing a die. you calculated the probability that the volunteer used the new shampoo and showed no improvement. P(volunteer used new shampoo/shows no improvement) = 20/40. If you selected option D. Such a situation calls for the use of the simple multiplication law. we could show the results of the test on the 100 volunteers as follows. If you selected option A. 6 D The probability of throwing a 3 on a die = 1/6 The probability of a tossed coin coming up tails = 1/2 The probability of throwing a 3 and getting tails on a coin is 1/2 1/4 = 1/12 Option A represents the probability of getting tails on the coin only. If you selected option C. 8 B Look back at the contingency table in the answer to question 7 above. you calculated the probability that there was no improvement. If you selected option D. given that the volunteer used normal shampoo. 130 Answers . This is because the events are not mutually exclusive. you calculated the probability that there was no improvement given that the volunteer used the new shampoo. ie you can select a king and a heart at the same time.Note that you need to use the general rule of addition in order to calculate the answer to this question. If you selected option C. you calculated the probability that the volunteer used the new shampoo given that there was some improvement. you calculated the probability that there was some improvement given that the volunteer used normal shampoo.
760). P(female or CIMA candidate) = P(female) + P(CIMA candidate) – P(female and CIMA candidate) = 0. Answers 131 .7 P(CIMA candidate) = 60% = 0.900 = $5. so Project B should be chosen (with an expected profit of $4.55 $8.7 is the probability that a candidate is female and 1.6 We need to use the general rule of addition to avoid double counting.7 = 1. Option A is the probability that a candidate is both female and a CIMA candidate.000) ($1. Options A and B are incorrect because project A does not have the highest expected value.000)) = $1. If you selected option D.3 – 0. you forgot to take account of the expected loss of $1.42 = 0. We need to rephrase the question first. Option D is the probability that a volunteer showed some improvement.000 and treated it as a profit instead.9 A Look back at the contingency table in the answer to question 7 above.760 Project B has a higher expected value of profit which means that it could offer a better return than A.100 = $2. 0.7 + 0.000) + (0. Option C is the probability that a volunteer used the new shampoo given that there was some improvement.36 $2. 16 Probability 3 1 C The expected value for each project is as follows.800 + $1. P(volunteer showed some improvement/used new shampoo) = 50/70. Option B is the probability that a volunteer used the new shampoo and showed some improvement.88 0.00 is the probability that something will definitely happen – neither of these options are likely to correspond to the probability that the candidate is both female or a CIMA candidate.6) You should have been able to eliminate options B and D immediately.6 – (0.000) + (0. Project A Project B (0.64 $4. 10 C P(female) = 70% = 0.45 (0.120 – $360 = $4.
97.2 (which is the calculation of the wrong probability also). You have answered the wrong question! 3 C Look back at the contingency table in the answer to question 2 above. you calculated the probability that a volunteer used the placebo given that he had less headaches (20/620 = 0.000 P(used placebo/shows no improvement) = 180/380 = 0.75.47.000 = 0. This question can be rewritten as 'What is the probability that a volunteer used the new tablets given that he has less headaches'.6). Option A is incorrect since you have calculated the probability that a volunteer used the new tablets and had less headaches (600/1. you calculated the probability that a volunteer used the placebo and had less headaches (20/1. you incorrectly calculated 20/1.18). you calculated the probability that a volunteer took the placebo and showed no improvement (180/1. Option D represents the probability that a volunteer used the new tablet given that he showed no improvement = 200/380 = 0.9).000 = 0.03). If you selected option D. If you selected option C.000 = 0.000 volunteers. you calculated the probability that a volunteer showed no improvement given that he took the placebo (180/200 = 0. New tablet Placebo Total Less headaches 600 20 620 No improvement 200 180 380 800 200 1. 132 Answers . P(had less headaches/used the placebo) = 20/200 = 0.2 B Suppose there were 1. If you selected option A. If you selected option A. we could show the results of the test on these volunteers as follows. If you selected option B. Option B is incorrect since you have calculated P(had less headaches/used new tablets) = 600/800 = 0. You should have been able to eliminate option D immediately since it represents absolute certainty.53. 4 C Look back at the contingency table in the answer to question 2 above.02).1. P(used new tablets/had less headaches) = 600/620 = 0.000 = 0.
2 20) = 10 + 6 + 4 = 20 (50)) = 25 + 0 – 10 = 15 0) = 20 + 6 + 0 = 26 10) = 15 + 6 + 2 = 23 III If the company wants to maximise profit it should launch Type 7 8 C A If A and B are mutually exclusive outcomes then the occurrence of A excludes the possibility of B happening.7 P(Low sales) = 1 – 0. Year 1 Year 2 P(High sales) = 0.49 6 Type Expected profit $'000 20 15 26 23 I II III IV Workings Type I (0. It is therefore impossible to have both A and B occurring at the same time.3 Type III (0. Option D represents the simple addition law.3 Type IV (0. the probability of low sales in both years is shown along the path with the arrows above and is P(low sales year 1) P(low sales year 2) = 0. Option C is the general rule of addition.3 = 0.8 P(High sales) = 0.7 = 0.5 0.5 40) + (0.8 = 0. you incorrectly chose the simple multiplication law.3 20) + (0.5 20) + (0.2 P(High sales) = 0.2 0) + (0.3 P(Low sales) = 1 – 0.7 Therefore.5 30) + (0.2 20) + (0.7 0.3 Type II (0.49 The best way to approach a question such as this is to draw a diagram. The general rule of multiplication is P(A and B) = P(A) P(B/A). Answers 133 .3 = 0.3 P(Low sales) = 1 – 0.5 50) + (0. If you selected option B.2 20) + (0.
10 D We need to use the simple addition law because we are dealing with mutually exclusive events.9 C Pr(resident went abroad and bought a new car) = Pr(went abroad) + Pr(bought a new car) – Pr(went abroad and bought a new car) = 0. Option C represents the probability that sales fell or remained the same (0.95 – 0.44 + 0.08).4 + 0. Pr(sales remain same or rise) = Pr(sales remain same) + Pr(sales rise) = 0. ie sales cannot both remain the same and rise. ie 0.18) = 0.38 + 0.55) = 0.18 = 0.44 0.25 Under 21 Expenditure Under $25 $25 to $50 Over $50 Age of customer 21 and over Total 55 125 10 190 205 80 25 310 260 205 35 500 Number of customers under 21 spending between $25 and $50 is 125.22 = 0. Therefore.18 If you selected option A.18 – (0.62 0.4 0.54 (you cannot have sales rising and remaining at the same level at the same time). you forgot to take account of the probability that a resident went abroad and bought a new car.44 = 0.56).73 If you selected option A you calculated the probability that a resident went abroad and bought a new car. If you selected option D. you multiplied the probabilities together instead of adding them (0.44 + 0. If you selected option B you did not treat the events as mutually exclusive. You should have been able to reject option B straightaway since it represents the probability that a resident bought a new car only.25 500 134 Answers . 17 Probability 4 1 0.55 – (0. the probability that a customer is under 21 and spent between $25 and $50 is 125 = 0.18 = 0.
2 = 1 – 0.6 0.2 Pr(Section 2 has error) = 0.288 0.6 = The probability of only one error is 0. Option A is incorrect since it represents the probability of no errors (0.6 and 0.8 Pr(Section 3 has error) = 0. Pr (Customer under 21 spent $25.2) Error? (0.6 in each section.3 = 0.4 and 0.8.6 0.192 = 0.4 = 0. in each department.4 0. 0. the probability of no error in each section must be 0. Error? (0.4 = 0.4) Error? (0.464 Pr(Section 1 has error) = 0. 5 D Pr(dry tomorrow) Pr(rain day after/rain tomorrow) Pr(dry day after/rain tomorrow) Pr(rain day after/dry tomorrow) Pr(dry day after/dry tomorrow) P(dry day after tomorrow) = Answers = 1 – 0. 0.6 = 0.61 205 4 C Since the probability of an error is 0.2 0.6) Section 1 Y N N Section 2 N Y N Section 3 N N Y Probabilities 0. ie 3 Option D is incorrect because it represents the probability of getting at least one error (1 – 0.4 = 0.128 0.$50) = 125 = 0.2.048 0.2 0. Option B is incorrect because it represents the arithmetic mean of the probabilities of getting an error 0.192).4. of which 125 are under 21 years.2 = 0.464.61 We can rephrase this question to 'given that a customer spent between $25 and $50.6 = 1 – 0.8 0.4 = 0. The table shows that 125 under 21 year olds spent between $25 and $50. Pr (Customer spending between $25 and $50 is under 21) = 125 = 0.4 respectively.808).66 190 3 0. what is the probability that he spent between $25 and $50?' Instead of being concerned with the whole sample (500) we are only concerned with those who are under 21 (190).8 135 . what is the probability that they are aged under 21?' Number of customers spending between $25 and $50 = 205.7 = 0.66 We can rephrase this question to 'given that a customer is aged under 21.8 0.6 = 0.6 0.4 0.
000.000) + (0. 8 P(male) = 1 – P(female) = 1 – 0.3 We need to use the general rule of addition to avoid double counting.3 0.12 = 0. P(male or shops every Saturday) = P(Male) + P(shops every Saturday) – P(male and shops every Saturday) = 0.44 136 Answers .P(dry tomorrow) (dry day after tomorrow/dry tomorrow) + P(rain tomorrow) tomorrow/rain tomorrow) = (0.2 0.2 P(Shops every Saturday) = 30% = 0.3 – (0.000 Expected value of Project Beta = 0.6 $60.000) $25.5 $50.06 = 0. 6 C P(T) = 1/4 P(V) = 1/4 P(W) = 1/4 P(X) = 1/4 P(Y) = 1/3 P(Z) = 2/3 (twice as likely to go through Z) P(T or Y) = P(T) + P(Y) – P(T and Y) = 1/4 + 1/3 – (1/4 1/3) = 7/12 – 1/12 = 6/12 =½ 7 B Expected value of Project Alpha = (0.000 + $4.4) = 0.4 $10.000 = $35.8 = 0.000) $36.56 + 0. work through the correct answer again until you fully understand the steps involved.7 0.68 (dry day after If you didn't select option D.000) + (0.8) + (0.000 = $40.5 – 0.000 (0.44 Project Beta should therefore be chosen since it generates the highest expected profits of $40.3) = 0.2 + 0.5 $20.000 + $10.
595 However.000 2.55 0. ie 0.55 P(mathematician) = 10% = 0. not miss it.30 + 0.055) = 0. 3 A At least one of them is impossible Answers 137 .10) = 0. the probability that both students are women and mathematicians = 0.000 160.200.000 900.000 35 3 = $733.3 + 0.9 B Expected value = probability Contract profit Probability Estimated profits $ 500.045.15 = 0. If you selected option C you have calculated the probability of production staying the same or falling as if the events were not mutually exclusive.000 from Contract C.45. ie 0.55. P(production remaining the same or falling) = P(remaining the same) + P(falling) = 0.000 710.25 = 0. Option B is the incorrect answer since this represents the probability that you will catch the train.10 P(woman or mathematician) = P(woman) + P(mathematician) – P(woman and mathematician) = 0.15) = 0. ie $900. P(woman) = 55% = 0. this is incorrect because it represents the probability that the train will be two minutes late (0. Option D represents the probability that production has increased (the opposite of what is actually required). If you selected option B you have calculated the probability that production will stay the same or fall (which is impossible) = 0.3 0.000 Expected value $ 250. Option C is the arithmetic mean of the estimated profits ($2. Option D is the maximum expected profit from any one contract.200.15 = 0.000 300.405.55 + 0.55 If you selected option A.354025 = 35% 18 Probability 5 1 A The options are mutually exclusive (they cannot all happen at the same time) so we need to use the simple addition law.000).000 A B C 1/2 1/5 1/3 Option A is incorrect because it is just the highest expected value (from Contract C).10 – (0.3 + 0.15 – (0.2). 2 C You will miss the train if it leaves on time or is one minute late.65 – (0.000 800.3 0.5952 = 0. Pr(miss the train) = Pr(leaves on time) + Pr(one minute late) = 0. 10 % We need to use the general rule of addition to avoid double counting.
Option C is simply the result of all probabilities being added together. you forgot to take into account how frequently each area is visited. 138 Answers .900 Option A represents the most likely sales level.09.165 Pr(at least one sale) = 1 – 0. you forgot to calculate the expected level of sales. So P(X) P(Y) = 0 Therefore at least one of P(X) and P(Y) must be zero. If you selected answer B. you have averaged the probabilities without referring to how frequently each area is visited.5. Option B represents the arithmetic mean.165 = 0.Mutual exclusivity means that for two outcomes X and Y P(X and Y) = 0 Independence of the two events of which X and Y are outcomes means that P(X and Y) = P(X) P(Y).15 0.12 4 (1 0.4 0.7 (1 0.15) 4 0. 6 C Pr(at least one sale) = 1 – Pr(no sales) Pr(no sales) = (0. you forgot to calculate the expected value.835 If you selected answer A. 5 D Expected value = px where x = the value p = probability of the value = = = (2 0. you calculated the probability that each person makes one sale (giving a total of three sales). The question did not ask this.000 0. you calculated the probability of no sale being made which was not the requirement of the question.5 = 0.2) = 3.000 0. representing an impossible outcome.3) + (4. you forgot to calculate the expected value. If you selected option B.97 = 0. Option D represents the probability that the most successful member of the sales team will make a sale. ie 0.6 0. you have used the wrong method and should have calculated the expected probability as px.55 0. This was not the requirement of the question.000 0.45 0.12) Expected probability 0.2425 4 If you selected option A. Option C is the total of estimated sales at different levels of probability.5) = 0. 4 D The expected value = (1.5) + (8. ie 0.35) 0.
6 $3.2500 8 C Current expected value (0.5 0. If you selected option D.325 75 Current expected value Revised expected value There is therefore a fall of $75.500) = $1. you have calculated the arithmetic mean of the four sales levels. you treated the $1.42) + (400 0.8 % P(worker 1 does not make error) = 1 – 0.400 2.45 $1.000) + (0.5 0.5 0. not a gain.5 0. If you selected option B.5 0.5 0.20 = 0.5 0.25 The ways of getting three heads are: HHHT HHTH HTHH THHH Probability 0.5 0.42 = 126).325 $ 2.5 0. Option D is the most likely sales level and is not what was required by the question. you correctly calculated a change of $75 but it was a fall. 10 38.000) + (0.500) = $1. without referring to their associated probabilities.75 Let Y = error made (yes) N = no error made (no) Answers 139 .0625 0.0625 0.650 + $675 = $2.25 = 0.4 $1.5 = = = = 0. Option C represents the most likely sales value multiplied by its probability (300 0.29) + (300 0.5 0.5 0. If you selected A.80 P(worker 3 does not make error) = 1 – 0.5 0.85 P(worker 2 does not make error) = 1 – 0.5 0.500 profit. You forgot to take into account the fact that this is partly offset by the $75 from the increase in expected value of the $1.5 0.15 = 0.500 as if it were a loss instead of a profit.5 0.23) + (200 = 23 + 58 + 126 + 24 = 231 0.7 0. 9 A Expected daily sales = (100 0.800 + $600 = $2.0625 0. you only accounted for the drop in expected value of the $3.55 $3.400 Revised expected value (0.0625 0.000 profit.06) If you selected option B.
5m) + (0.8% 19 Probability 6 1 Both W and Y EV(Expert W) EV(Expert X) EV(Expert Y) = (0.25m) $0.000 8.6 $0.5 = $(0.3875 = 38.2 $1m) + (0.600 2.75 = 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.425m = (0.2 0.75 = 0.3 = 1 – 0.85 0.400 6.Error made by worker 1 2 3 Y N N N Y N N N Y Probabilities 0.2 0.80 0.1 $1m) + (0.3 $0.3875 0.125)m = $0.15 + 0.1 $1m) + (0.125)m = $0.5m) + (0.4 0.1275 0.976 P(at least one error found) = 1 – P(0 errors) P(0 errors) = 0.4) P(at least one error found) = 1 – (0. 2 0.25m) $0.976 3 Pr(queen or heart) = 4/52 + 13/52 – 1/52 = 4/13 Queen Heart Probability Queen of hearts Queen or heart 4/52 4 EV of demand = Workings Demand Units 5.6 0.024 = 0.500 units Probability 1/52 4/13 0.85 0.25m) The highest expected value for the company's estimated annual sales is given by Expert W and Expert Y.4 $0.2 + 0.0900 0.5 = $(0.000 6.000 13/52 6.80 0.15 0.075)m = $0.475m $0.5m) + (0.500 140 Answers .3 = $(0.3 0.1 0.3 + 0.475m = (0.1700 0.1 + 0.25 = 0.20 0.3 Expected value Units 500 3.
45 0.20 0.75 1.9 and 10 Lost weight No weight loss Pr(dog has lost weight) = 450 = 0.500 Contribution Less fixed costs 19.950 Workings Sales 6.1 6 EV of profit = $ 10.5 EV of unit variable costs = $ Workings Variable costs $ 3.50 3.050 40.950 7 % A demand of 520 units occurred on 19 days out of a total of 100.56 (to 2 decimal places).5 0.70 Probability 0.1 0.40 0.40 500 Pr(dog has lost weight given that it received lowfat food) = Pr(dog was given normal food given that it lost weight) = 250 = 0.0 $3.00 3.70 (to 2 decimal places) Expected value $ 0. Given lowfat food 200 300 500 Given normal food 250 250 500 Total 450 550 1.70 $ 65.950 30.45 3.000 Workings for questions 8.56 450 Answers 141 .000 10. Pr(demand = 520 units) = 19/100 100% = 19% 8 9 10 0.000 200 = 0.00 4. See question 10 for workings (to 2 decimal places).50 4.30 1. See question 10 for workings (to 2 decimal places).3 0.500 $10 Less variable costs 6.000 24.45 1.
192 (to 3 decimal places). and he will therefore examine the following quantities.20 Probability 7 1 Assembly line Number of plates sampled X Y Z Workings 40 80 120 The inspector samples finished plates from the assembly lines X.000 142 Answers .192 (to 3 decimal places) Total number of plates 240 3 0. Y and Z in the ratio 1:2:3.725 1.725 Working (to 3 decimal places) Pr(some improvement) = 725 = 0. 2 The probability that a plate sampled is defective is Contingency table Defective Not defective Workings X 2 (W1) 38 (W4) 40 Assembly Line Y 8 (W2) 72 (W5) 80 Z 36 (W3) 84 (W6) 120 Total 46 194 240 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) = 5% 40 = 2 =10% 80 = 8 = 30% 120 = 36 = 40 – 2 = 38 = 80 – 8 = 72 = 120 – 36 = 84 Total number of defective plates 46 = = 0. Assembly X = Assembly Y = Assembly Z = 1 (1 2 3) 2 (1 2 3) 3 (1 2 3) 240 = 40 plates 240 = 80 plates 240 = 120 plates 0.
which shows the individual probabilities of the different types of brochure being selected.22 0.545 Working (to 3 decimal places) Pr(treatment received/no improvement observed) = 5 6 150 = 0.545 275 97% (see workings below).18 0. pay = 90% of 40 = 36 The other figures are balancing figures. 60% The probability that an African brochure is not selected is The probability that neither an American nor an Asian brochure is selected is Workings for questions 5 and 6 The best way to approach these types of question is to draw up a table as follows.6 = 60% 7 0.03 = 0.25 We can calculate the required probability by using the values calculated in the following contingency table.4 = 0.4 0. Brochure Number Proportion/ Probability European 285 American 90 Asian 110 African 15 Total 500 0.18 + 0.03 1.22) = 1 – 0.97 = 97% Pr (Neither American nor Asian brochure selected) = 1 – Pr (American or Asian brochure selected) = 1 – (90/500 + 110/500) = 1 – (0.57 0.25 Answers 143 . Check No check Total Workings Pay 36 48 84 Default 4 12 16 Total 40 60 100 No check = 60% of 100 = 60 Check = 100 – 60 = 40 No check but pay = 80% of 60 = 48 Check.00 Pr (African brochure not selected) = 1 – Pr (African brochure selected) = 1 – (15/500) = 1 – 0. Pr(customer checked/defaults) = 4/16 = 0.
9 C Firstly.56 The correct answer is therefore B.7 + 0. Type W (0. 144 Answers . it should launch Type Y (which has the highest expected profit. Option C is incorrect because this is the probability of high sales in year 2 only.7 and 0. Option A is incorrect because this is simply the probability of low sales in year 2 only.8 have been added (0. This option could have been eliminated straightaway since you cannot have a probability of more than 1.2 (50)) 20) + (0.8 B The best way to approach a question such as this is to draw a diagram.5 50) + (0.7 0.5 30) + (0. = 0.3 20) + (0.000). we need to calculate the expected profit that each product might generate.3 Type X (0.2 0) 20) + (0.8 = 0. Therefore.2 20) = 10 + 6 + 4 = 20 = 25 + 0 – 10 = 15 = 20 + 6 + 0 = 26 = 15 + 6 + 2 = 23 0) + (0.8 = 1. the probability of low sales in both years is shown along the path with the dotted line above and is P(low sales year 1) P(low sales year 2). Option D is incorrect because the probabilities 0.3 Type Y (0. $26.5) instead of multiplied together.5 20) + (0.5 40) + (0.3 Type Z (0.2 10) Since the question states that the company wishes to maximise the expected profit.
Using normal distribution tables we can calculate the area (1) above. Area (1) = 0.8 = 1.05 A z value of 1.1469 = 0.3531.5 + 0.5 – 0.5. Answers 145 . You could have eliminated option C immediately.05 corresponds to a probability of 0.15.8531 or 0. Complementary outcomes would be illustrated using the following diagram. Option D is also incorrect and represents the probability of a score of 59 or less.3531 and therefore the shaded area that we are interested in = 0.3531 = 0. If you incorrectly selected option B.10 C The diagram is a Venn diagram illustrating two mutually exclusive outcomes. you forgot to deduct the probability of area (1) from 0.44 = 3. The probability of a score of 55 or more (not 59) is exactly 0.85.8 59 We are therefore looking for the probability corresponding to the shaded area on the graph above.5. z = = x59 55 3. A 21 Probability 8 1 A = 55 Standard deviation ( ) = variance = 14.3531 = 0. ie 0.
Option D is therefore also incorrect for this reason.25 and 71.84 standard deviations above the mean. If z = x= = = = = 150 20 0. 25 = 5 in this case. The upper quartile of any distribution will be above the mean.35 You should have been able to eliminate options A and B straightaway since 58.75 = 91.8 x 0.75.84 20 16.35 above the mean The upper quartile = 3.67 standard deviations above the mean.8 + 150 166.8 16. You must make sure that you are confident with reading normal distribution tables in OT questions – you are unlikely to gain any marks at all in such questions if you read them incorrectly.84 x – 150 x – 150 x Therefore 80% of the distribution lies below the point 167 (approximately).67 5 = 3.35 + 75 = 78. From normal distribution tables. 146 Answers . x = 150 = 20 We need to find the point X such that 30% of the distribution falls between the mean and x.2 C 25% of normal frequencies will occur between the mean and the upper quartile. 25% of frequencies lie between the mean and a point 0.65 are below the mean. Option B represents the lower quartile (75 – 3. From normal distribution tables. If you had forgotten to take the square root of the variance in order to obtain the standard deviation. 3 D It is always best to sketch a rough diagram first when tackling a normal distribution question such as this. we can see that 30% of the distribution lies between the mean and 0. The standard deviation is the square root of the variance and is The upper quartile is therefore 0. ie 75 + 16.35).75 above the mean. you would have calculated the upper quartile as being 0.67 25 = 16.
the proportion between the mean and 1.5 – 0. Answers 147 . we can calculate that the probability of a score between 60 and 72 is 0. Option D represents the proportion of tubes below 57 cm. The probability of a score greater than 72 is 0.4918 = 0.4 standard deviations above the mean = 0.4918 (where z = 2.25 in the table and the Z value that corresponds most closely to it.4 D Total area under normal curve = 1 Therefore each of four areas = 0. Using normal distribution tables.4192) = 0.0082.4192 The percentage of tubes at least 57 cm long is (0.5 – 0.4). 6 0.67 Sketch a normal distribution curve and divide it into four areas if you are not convinced about the answer to this question! 5 A = 50 cm = 5 cm 57 cm is 7 cm above the mean = 1. Z = 0.4 standard deviations above the mean. We can calculate z score using the following formula. Option C. 42% represents the proportion of tubes between 50 and 57 cm long. Option B.4 Using normal distribution tables.25 The table shows the area between 0 and the specified value of Z so we must find the value 0.08% The percentage is closest to 8%.0082 = 60 72 We are interested in the shaded area shown in the graph above. 58% represents the proportion of tubes below the mean and above 57cm.0808 = 8. z = = = x 72 60 25 12 5 = 2.
If you selected option C. Let x = upper quartile If z = x and = 100 = 10 = = = = = 148 0. From normal distribution tables.5. We can calculate the z score using the following formula. If you selected option B.33 0.42%.2642 from 0. If you selected option A.7 656. you forgot to convert your z score into a probability using normal distribution tables.67 standard deviations above the mean (ie our z score is 0. z = = = x 210 150 6. 25% of frequencies lie between the mean and a point 0.5 instead of adding it.72 From normal distribution tables.7 x 650 10 x – 650 x – 650 650 + 6.7 D = 150 210 We are interested in the shaded area shown in the graph above.5 + 0. Answers . you forgot to add your answer to 0.7642 or 76.2642.7 x Therefore the upper quartile = 656.7 and the correct answer is therefore B. you incorrectly subtracted 0. Therefore the probability of a value less than 210 = 0.2642 = 0.944 60 83.67 (0. the probability of a value between 150 and 210 is 0. 8 B = 650 25% of normal frequencies will occur between the mean and the upper quartile.67).67 10) 6.
86 z = 1.5) and added it to the mean (162. If you selected option D.5) which is not the correct way to calculate the upper quartile.200kg and 6. we are interested in the shaded area = 0. you forgot to calculate the standard deviation (and used the value given for the variance.4686 = 0. If you chose option D.125 in the tables and the z value that corresponds most closely to it.5 – 0. If you chose option C. Using z= z= x 6.If you selected option A. However.86 corresponds to an area of 0.000 5. Normal distribution tables show the area between 0 and the specified value of z so we must find the value of 0.32 Sketch a normal distribution curve and divide it into eight areas if you are not convinced about the answer to this question! 10 A 5.125 (0.125 8 = 1).000 We are interested in calculating the area of the shaded part of the graph above.200 6. z = 0.5 instead of subtracting it. you added 0.4686) by 2 instead of subtracting it from 0.5. you calculated the lower quartile of the distribution (the question required you to calculate the upper quartile).200 430 z = 1. you divided the probability obtained (0.5. ie 100). We can find the area of the graph that lies between 5. you forgot to subtract 0. 9 C Total area under normal curve = 1.4686 from 0. If you selected option B.4686. If you selected option C.4686 to 0. you simply took 25% of the mean (650 25% = 162.000kg as follows.5 + 650 = 812.0314. Answers 149 . Therefore each of eight areas = 0.
500 + (1.062 + 1.064 = 6.08)2 × (1 + 0.769.000 + 3.500/1.500 × 3.500/1.675 9 18.500/1.1)5 = 18.36 Or using tables: 85.750 10 1.000 × (1 + 0.240 8 72.000/(1 + 0.500/0.01)12 = 11.000 2 7.785 10.934 5.658.08)6 = $7.268 A nominal interest rate of 12% is a monthly rate of 1% 10.855 = 72.000 Interest = $5.784.06 + 1.697.697.22 Financial mathematics 1 1 8.910 25.063 + 1.452 = 54.000/(1 + 0.50 150 Answers 6.60 7 54.658 85.99 4 11.770 5.000 × (1 – 0.282 120.909.12)7 = 54.281.268.500 + 1.000 = 8.698 .800/(1 + 0.000 Total value of investment = 5.91 Or using tables: 120.000 × (1 + 0.25 5 17.82 6 3.08)4 = 17.08 = 18.04)4 = 72.000 × (1 + 0.500/1.37 3 18.000 x 12% × 5 years = $3.09)5 = 3.000 × 0.465) = 6.000 × 0.66 Or using tables: = 1.934.750 1.
070 = 115% of the original investment Original investment 100 $2.954 (0. (0.5.952 0.000 Over six months 2 270 $2. 100 – 12.000 $10.800 = $270 = = = $50 per month $50 6 $300 in six months Option D is also wrong since this has been calculated (incorrectly) as follows.38 $1. Interest Make sure that you always tackle this type of question by establishing what the original investment was first.000 which is also wrong. 4 C If a cost declines by 5% per annum on a compound basis.5 12.005]6) – $1.953 0.5 or 0.000 = $60 in one year. costs will have fallen to $160.450.000 = $30.95)4 = $8. then divided by 2 to give $30 $1.875). then at the end of the first year it will be worth 0.955 = $7. Now End of year 1 End of year 2 End of year 3 End of year 4 = $10.23 Financial mathematics 2 1 B Current rate is 6% pa payable monthly Effective rate is 6/12% = ½% compound every month In the six months from January to June.070 115 = $1.000 of five which is incorrect.000 = $10. Option D is simply 97. Option A is incorrect since it is simply 6% in six months.000 = $10. Therefore after five years.05 $1. $10.000 = $10. Option C represents the annual interest payable (6% 0.975 of the value at the start of the year.95 the original value. ie the value at the end of six years instead 5= Option B is wrong because it has been calculated using 0.000 0.000 = $60 pa).875 instead of 0. 3 C If costs fall by 2½% per annum on a compound basis then at the end of the year they will be worth 0.145 0.738 which is incorrect as this gives the value of Answers At the end of year 4.5 = 87. 151 . not four.95 0.070 – $1.975 in error (2.000 Option A is calculated as $160.000 = $10.975)6 = $137.5% of $160.000 after five years.800 = = $2.000 Option A was calculated as $10.975)5 = $140.975 (0.000 = $156.000 will be worth $10. interest earned = ($1.000 [1.
000 Sr = S 0.000 at the end of three years. This option is also incorrect. We want a monthly rate and so n = 1. Now we can use S = X(1 + r) 3 S = 12.3)1/12 1. 6 B Effective annual rate = [(1 + r)12/n – 1] when n = number of months. 5 C We need to calculate the effective rate of interest.000 present value tables) at an interest rate of 8%.000 = $2.08)3 = $15.218.07 32.000 to the nearest $'000 Make sure that you can manipulate formulae confidently.000 0.000 = $8. Option A is incorrect because this represents $12.953 = $8.08243 = 8.07)20 (710) 500 0.07) (710) – 500 (1.8 N S = $32. 7 32.000 the effective annual rate of interest of 8.794 (from n 4 0.106. 0. Option D represents the cumulative present value of $12.3 + 1 (1.000 – $2.3 0. The effective annual rate of interest is [1.0221 0.81 (1. Option B represents the present value of $12.Option B assumes that the cost will have declined by 5% 4 years = 20% after four years.08243) S = $15.02 – 1] = 0.21% = = = = = = [(1 + r) – 1] 12 (1 + r) 1+r 1+r r r 12 The formula for calculating the effective annual rate is not provided in your examination.219.000. ie 20% $10.243%.000 three years.07 = 0.07) [(3.000 (1. 8% per annum (nominal) is 2% per quarter.000 for each of the next three years at an interest rate of 8%. so make sure that you can reproduce it – that is the only way that you'll get the correct answer to this question. not four).07S = S S = = R (Ar + P) – P 20 (1.243%. Option D was incorrectly calculated as $10. You forgot to calculate 0. ie $12.117.574 (this is the value of $10.221 2.07) + 500] – 500 20 (1. In this OT you were given all of the information that you needed to answer the question correctly – you just needed to use it properly! 152 Answers .000 after The principal will have grown to approximately $15.000 giving a cost after four years of $10.
500 (1 + 0.08)4 = $3.8 C S= S A(R2 1) R 1 (R – 1) S A S A S A R = = = = = A(R2 – 1) R2 1 R 1 (R 1)(R 1)* (R 1) R+1 S –1 A *(R – 1)(R + 1) = R2 +R – R – 1 = R2 – 1 This is another OT question that requires you to be able to manipulate formulae accurately and confidently.500 r = 0. 1.06% pa Remember that the formula for calculating the effective annual rate is not provided in your examination. ie $2.500 Option B represents an increase of 24% after 3 years (3 This option is incorrect. Make sure that you understand this solution before you move onto the next question.08)3 = $3. ie $2.0406 = 4. ie $2.01)4 – 1] = 0.500 (1. 1% is simply 4% is the nominal rate and is therefore not the effective annual rate of interest. 8% = 24%).24 = $3.100. You should have been able to eliminate options A and B immediately. 4% S Option A is incorrect as it represents a total growth of 8% for 3 years. 10 C Using the formula where X = $2. Answers 153 .08 n=3 = $2. S = X(1 + r)n 4 = 1%. This is incorrect since the question states that the investment was made exactly three years ago. 9 D Effective quarterly rate Effective annual rate = 1% (4% 4) = [(1.08 =$2.149 (to the nearest $) 1.500 invested four years ago instead of three.500 Option D represents $2.401.700.
24 Financial mathematics 3 1 A The actual rate is 1% per calendar month and so the value of the deposit after 6 months is $500 (1. you have assumed that the 12% is not nominal and that the rate per calendar month is actually 0. then at the end of year 5 it will be worth $20. 2% = If you chose answer C.95%. If you selected option D.000 after 6 years.914. $20.195 Depreciation of 15% = an annual ratio of 0. 2 D If the value of the asset falls by 20% per year. 100% – 20% = 80% = 0.935 = $13.000 after 4 years.000 at 80% per annum instead of 20%. 3 C If the cost declines by 7% per annum on a compound basis. If you selected option B. you incorrectly calculated the present value of $100.90 Depreciation of 2% = an annual ratio of 0.000 0. you incorrectly calculated 12% of $500. you forgot to take the effect of compounding into account.000 which is incorrect.195 0. Option B represents 20% of $100.98 Value of car after 8 years = $17.01)6 = $530.268 or 26. Option B assumes that the cost will have declined by 7% $20.85 Depreciation of 10% = an annual ratio of 0. 4 B If house prices rise at 2% per calendar month.000. this is equivalent to (1. you forgot to raise 1.02)12 = 1.8% per annum If you selected option A. 5 years = 35% after 5 years ie.000 = $8.68% instead of 26.02)12 = 1.905 0.$7.000.982 154 Answers .851 0. 35% Option D is incorrect as this is the value of $20. it is worth 80% of its value at the beginning of the year at the end of each year.8)5 = $32. you correctly calculated that (1. If you selected option D.768 If you selected option A. you calculated 6% of $500 but have not allowed for monthly compounding. ie 12 24%.76.000 .000 discounted at 20% over 5 years.000 = $7.8%. If you selected option C you incorrectly depreciated $100.8 $100. Option A is incorrect as this is the value of $20.000 (0. and instead you multiplied it by 12. If you selected option C.02 to the power 12.000 = $13.268 but then incorrectly translated this into 12. 5 8.
000 + $11.084 or 8.500 (1. you have incorrectly calculated the increase in house price as follows.80667 $80.75)1/12.976 or 97.700 Future value = $6. 9 B The price of the bond has increased to 75 = 150% over 5 years 50 The annual increase = (1.200 $80.976 but have incorrectly translated this into 9. If you selected option A.84% instead of 8.4% pa If you selected option A.75)1/12 = 0. you have incorrectly calculated the increase in house price as $80.35508% rather than 13.63).5)1/5 – 1 = 1. rework the question.084 – 1 = 0.6 A The monthly rate of increase = [(1.25%.840 If you selected option B. If you selected option C.5508%.0625.135508 but then you have incorrectly interpreted this as an increase of 11.08% and have therefore ignored the effect of compounding. you have correctly calculated (0. 8 D A decline in value of 25% gives an annual value ratio of 0. Answers 155 . If you selected option C. you divided 25% by 12 giving 2. 0. you have calculated the annual ratio correctly. giving 0. ie 1. If you selected option C.453 If you selected option D. and translated this into 6.08)4 = $10. If you selected option B.700 (1. The correct calculation is 1 – (0.1)2 If you didn't get this answer. making sure that you apply the correct interest rates to the correct time periods.4% per annum.200 = $91. you have correctly calculated that (1.084 but you have incorrectly translated this into 10.000 (1.21 8/12 = 0. over eight months $80.21)8/12 = 1. 7 10. 1.75)1/12 = 0.75/12 = 0.9763. you have incorrectly assumed that a price rise of $25 over 5 years is the same as a percentage increase of 25% over 5 years or 25%/5 = 5% per annum.01601)8 = $90. 10 C The annual rate of increase = 21%.01601 = 1.4%. If you selected option D.6)% = 2. you have divided the annual ratio by 12. This is equivalent to a monthly rate of decline of 2.21)1/12 – 1] = 0.200 You have not taken the compounding effect into account.75 and so the monthly ratio is given by (0.000 8/12 21% = $11. you forgot to take account of compounding and simply divided 50% by 5 = 10% per annum.000 1.601% Therefore.76% decline per month.37% (100 – 97.080667 = $86.6% represents a monthly rate of decline of (100 – 97.
000 $60.818. you have forgotten that the original value is not $90. Option D was calculated (incorrectly) as follows. $60.329 C Rental payments .000 (1.329 This option assumes that the annuity begins now and not in one year's time.000 1.5%.818 If you selected option A. 3 156 Answers $60.329 (from cumulative PV tables).433 From looking in cumulative PV tables in the 14% column we see that this PV factor corresponds to that for 5 years from now. where 1 in the brackets takes account of the payment now. 90% but $90.21)1/2 Let value at beginning of six months = x x x 1.000 = $13. If you selected option B.5% and then decreased $90.860.Sixmonth rate of increase = (1. The final payment is 5 years from now but the lease runs out 12 months after the final payment.200 (1 + cumulative present value factor at 14%) = $5.319.319.000 pa (incorrect) 5 years Option B was calculated as follows.60.577 This option is calculating how $60.000 = $11.000 by 10. 4. at time 0.000 grows at a rate of 5% per annum (which was not the requirement of the question).200 = 4.1 $81.433 – 1 = 3. annual amount must be Option A was calculated as follows. Remember that cumulative present value tables show the present value of $1 per annum.259 (incorrect) = (4.000 1. 1 + cumulative PV factor at 14% = $5.1 = $81. $60. The length of the lease is therefore 6 years. ie 21% 2 = 10.329 1) 5.05)5 = $76. 2 C Present value of annuity of $1 for 5 years at 5% is $4. you did not take account of compounding when calculating the sixmonth rate (it is not 21% 2 = 10. $60.000 £90. Adding 1 to the cumulative present value factor takes account of payments made now.5%). you incorrectly calculated the sixmonth rate to be half of the annual rate. 25 Financial mathematics 4 1 D $1.60 $1. If PV = $60.1 = = = $90.433 Cumulative PV factor at 14% = 4.000 = $12. at time 0 as stated above. receivable or payable at the end of each year.000.000 If you selected option D.
000 (1 + 5.883.000 5.000 5.767 = 5.NOW 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th YEAR 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Present value of the lease for years 1 – 5 = $500 PV of lease for years 0 – 5 = $500 (1 + 4.200. ie $8.170) = 4.998 (0.000.767 = $2. Option C is the present value of the lease for years 110 (the first payment being made in one year's time).170x Answers 157 .000 6.328 Present value of the lease for years 09 = $8. 5 C Rental payments Now 1st 2nd 3rd 4th END 5th Year 0 Let x = annual rental Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Present value of the rentals for years 14 = x Present value of the rentals for years 04 = x 3.000 (1 + 5. Option D is incorrect because it represents the present value of the lease for years 110 plus an additional payment now.000 5.666 is from PV tables.550 4.328. $500 5. 6 = $3.383.650 = $45. If the first payments are made now then you must remember to add a 1 to the 5. ie 1 + 4. 6 years at 7%).624. 4 A Present value of the lease for years 19 = $8.1 = $2.200.000 0.767 = $2. ie $500 4. ie $8. Option D is also incorrect since it uses the cumulative present value tables at 7% for 1 plus 6 years.666 = $1.767.1) = $500 5.328) = $8.624 Option B is the present value of the lease for years 19 only. ie $8.328 = $42.328 = $50.170 (1 + 3. ie PV = $500 $3. Option B is calculated using cumulative PV tables for 6 years at 7% (instead of 1 plus the value for 5 years).650) = $53. This calculation is incorrect.1 (from cumulative present value tables) Option A is incorrect because it uses present value tables over years 16.5 is not the correct answer.
400 in two years PV of $1.710) = $1. there will only be nine further payments (not ten).000 in year 2) = 10.000 = $1.866 (to the nearest $) $32.800. ie $32.000 6.652. We therefore need to look up the present value of $1 per annum received at the end of nine years at an interest rate of 8% in cumulative present value tables = 6.000 = 7.800 Option D is the annual rental in years 15 at 10% starting in one year's time.000 10x2 – 7x – 5 = 0 Multiply each term by x2 So which is the same as –10x2 + 7x + 5 Option C is therefore correct since I.170 $7.111. $32. Present value of cash flows = $1. PV(costs) PV($7.323.800 0.00 There are ten flows but one is at time 0.710 = $7.40 1.857 = 0. 3.000/x = 5.80 1. Option A is incorrect since it represents the present value of the cashflows in years 19 only (and excludes the first payment that is made now).20 1.247 (1 + 6.000 (1 + 6.247. 5 years = $6. Remember that if there are ten payments and the first one is made now.000 5.794 = 0.560 per annum.000 + x x2 10. 158 Answers .735 = $ 1.400 = $1. Option B is incorrect because it represents the ten rental payments starting in one year's time for ten years. 8 C The IRR is calculated by equating the present value of costs with present value of benefits.199.600 in three years PV of $1.000 6.247 = $6.000 in year 1) PV($5.800 in four years 7 C = $1.791 = Option A is incorrect since this is simply equal to 10% Option B is also incorrect since this represents $32.926 = 0.247 * We need to add 1 to the annuity factor for years 19 since the first rent is to be paid now.200 in one year PV of $1.710.800 x = = = 4.247.000 = 7.800 = $3. ie $1.We know that the present value of the rentals is $32.200 = $1.280.000/(1 + r) = 7. II and III are all equations that would enable you to calculate the IRR.710 = $6. $1.000x + 5.000 = $7.800 $8.247)* 7.800 4.270.710. 6 D PV of $1.000 7.170x $32. the first payment now followed by 10 further payments = $1.000x2 = 7.000/(1 + r)2 = 5.600 = $1. Option D represents the present value of 11 payments.000/x2 Equating the present value of costs with the present value of benefits gives: 10.
05)23 = 13. When comparing projects it is the NPVs of each project which should be calculated and compared. Project 3 does not have the highest NPV – the criteria which should be used to select a project. Mutually exclusive projects should not be selected by comparing IRRs.a) % NPVA .Once you had established that I and II were valid equations.05 1 1 (1.the criteria which should be used to select a project. Option A is therefore incorrect. 10 D Project 4 has the highest NPV.85 = 9. ie between 9% and 10%. Option C is therefore incorrect. The correct answer is therefore D.000 13.489 Annuity = 180. You should have spotted that Options C and D were invalid because if the NPV is positive at one rate and negative at another rate.112.344.NPVB IRR = 9 + 0. Option B is therefore incorrect. 9 B The formula to calculate the IRR is a% + where a = one interest rate b = other interest rate NPVa = NPV at rate a NPVb = NPV at rate b = 9% + 22 1% 22 4 NPVA × (b . Project 2 does not have the highest NPV .344. and you subtracted the 0.112.489 $13.85 instead of adding it.63 Monthly repayment = = $1. The project with the highest NPV should be chosen. you should have been able to add III to your list and reject IV straightway. the IRR will be somewhere between the two rates. 26 Financial mathematics 5 1 $1.85% If you selected option A you took A to be 'the other interest rate'.05 Annuity factor = 1 0.05 159 Answers .63 12 = = 13.
not now.500 3. Estimating future cash flows Selecting an appropriate discount rate Nonaccountants often find it difficult to understand the concept of net present value Inflation will often be ignored when two alternative investments are being considered since both will be affected by it. you forgot to take the first payment (at time 0) into account and only accounted for payments at the beginning of years 13. the relevant discount factor for four years at 4% is 0.775 for years 13 at 4%. you have forgotten to take account of interest rates (ie 9% for 15 years).000 = $500.000 = $427. A. If you selected option C.500 0. 160 Answers . we take account of time 0 by adding 1 to the annuity factor (1 + 2.061 (9%. If you selected option D.000 Annuity factor Annuity = 8.245 = $113.720 (to the nearest $10) If you selected option A. If you selected option B.855. 3 D From present value tables. Present value of $500.000 by 4. If you selected option C.2 C The following problems arise when using net present values to appraise an investment. Annuity (A) = Present value of mortgage Annuity factor Present value of mortgage = $30. are an annuity for 15 years at 9%. you have not taken account of the fact that the repayments happen at the year end and that the first repayment is in one year's time.775 = 3. Annuity = = Present value Annuity factor $427.775 = $113. you forgot to take account of the fact that the payments take place at the beginning of each year and not at the end. You have simply divided $30. III is therefore not (generally) a problem with the use of net present values in appraising projects.061 = $3. Since investments are taking place at the beginning of the years.000 (to the nearest $'000) If you selected option A.000 by 15.855 From cumulative present value tables. 15 years from CDF tables) = $30.000 8. the relevant annuity factor is 2. you seem to have confused mortgages with sinking funds and have calculated the present value of the mortgage as if it occurred at time 15 instead of time 0. you forgot to allow for the 6% growth per year and have simply divided $500. 4 B Let A = annual repayments These repayments.775).
04 = 1.0962 R = 9.1299 R = 12.0472 1 + R = 1. There is no special name for the discount rate which should be used in different circumstances.355 Amount outstanding = = = = = ($3.645 + (amount outstanding 0. you have forgotten to take into account any interest due $30.582 $10.355 0.765 = Annuity(4. Remember that the cumulative present value table shows the present value at the end of each year.000 $30. If you selected option C.985% 6 12.582 $17.5 C Annual ratio = 1. you have found the amount outstanding at time 9 instead of time 8.031.000 Mortgage is to be closed immediately after the eighth annual repayment.582) $19.765/3. If you selected option B.767 – 0.000 – (8 $3.290 5. There is no special name for the probability of making a profit on an investment. PV of annuity = PV of $3.792 If you selected option A. the investment would not make a profit.000 $10. 8 D The IRR is the discount rate at which the NPV = 0 and hence it is the percentage return paid by the investment.0314 1 + R = 1. you have found the amount outstanding immediately before the eighth payment instead of immediately after it.04 = 3month ratio4 3 month ratio = 4 1.290 at 7% for 8 years + amount outstanding at time 8 at 7% $30.99% Option 2: r = 0.047.62% 7 B Present value = Annuity(DF year 6 – DF year 1) 52.832 = $13. n = 2 1 + R = 1. If the rate charged on loans was to equal the internal rate of return. n = 4 1 + R = 1.680 Answers 161 .582) Amount outstanding 0.00985 The percentage rise in prices is therefore (1.290) = $3.935) Annuity = 52.290 = annuity for fifteen years at 7% Present value of annuity = $30.00985 – 1) × 100% = 0.971) + (amount outstanding 0.99% (1 + R) = (1+ r)n Option 1: r = 0.770 If you chose option A you have used the discount factors for years 7 and 2 instead of years 6 and 1. 9 D Repayments of $3.
2 $62. would generate the net income of a project. if invested now. you used the correct formula but used n = 5 instead of n = 6. If you selected option C.000 ( $11.822 = $545. you have calculated the future value of the annuity. If you selected option D. the project with the highest NPV is preferable but in deciding between two projects there are also other factors to consider.920 3 A IRR = a% + NPVA NPVA NPVB (b a) % Where a = one interest rate = 8% b = other interest rate = 9% NPVa = NPV at rate A = $18.000 can be seen as the current amount which is equivalent to A's net income.000 NPVb = NPV at rate B = –$11. So A's NPV of $3.04 = $100 = $100 = $663 (1. Statements II and IV are therefore correct and the answer is therefore D.920 Present value = Annuity(DF year 19 – DF year 4) = $10.04 1) 6. 27 Financial mathematics 6 1 A Future value of annuity = A where A n R = = = Rn 1 R 1 $100 6 1 + 0. A net present value is the amount which. nor does it just measure costs unless specifically described as the net present value of costs.04 = 1.63 Future value of annuity If you selected option B. ie $633 0. $663 and then discounted it using the present value tables.62% 162 Answers . Net present value considers cash flows not profit.604 – 3.000(9. you seem to have confused the interest rate and the number of time periods in the formula.10 D I II III IV Net present value is not directly concerned with price inflation.000) 8) % = 8% + 0. In general.000 (9 $18.312) = $62.046 1) (1.000 IRR = 8% + $18. This is obviously incorrect as the question asked for the future value of the annuity.
The IRR is the If you selected option D. PV annuity = $3.360 – 1.488 PV of final payment = PV final amount – PV of annuity = $17. you have forgotten to convert the present value of the final payment ($837) into the value of the actual payment that will be required at time 15. we need to know the value of $837 at time 15 (from tables.000. you used A = NPV at rate B and B = NPV at rate A and therefore divided the range from 8% to 9% in the ratio 11:18 instead of 18:11.244.000 (7. you have failed to account for the growth of the fund at 8%.244 = $16. at 8% and at time 15.62% If you selected option B. you have simply taken the midpoint [(8 + 9) discount rate where NPV = 0. discount factor = 0. Answers 163 . If you selected option D.000 = $17.833) = $3.660 (to 3 significant figures) If you selected option B.581 If you selected option A.527 = $16. you have not accounted for the fact that the NPV at 9% is negative.325 0.244 (14 years) PV of annuity = Annuity annuity factor = $2.315 = $2. PV of final fund Annuity = = $55.50%]. you used the PV tables instead of the cumulative PV tables and subtracted the PV at time 10 from time 2.315 2 = 8. you have used the correct method but you have subtracted the PV of time 13 instead of the PV of time 12. you forgot to subtract the present value of years 12.000) = $27. If you selected option C.000 Annuity factor = 8.000 5. Payment required at time 15 = $837 0.488 = $837 However.315.325 – $16.000 will be paid for 15 years (it should be 14 years) so you have carried out the correct method but used an incorrect annuity factor of 8. If you selected option D. you have assumed that $2. ie $55.000 8. If you chose option C. 4 A From PV tables. discount factor = 0. PV of annuity Annuity factor Annuity = $2.315).= 8. 5 B The present value of an annuity from time 310 = present value of annuity from time 110 minus the present value of annuity from time 12.559 instead of 8.000 – (14 $2. If you selected option C.
954 = $1. 164 Answers . you must realise that it is possible to use either two positive or two negative NPVs as well as a positive and negative NPV. you have used an NPV of –$160 instead of +$160 in your calculation.6 B The IRR can be calculated using the following formula. If you selected option D. however.276 1 + r = 1.500.05% 8 C The payments made on a credit card are an annuity of $x per month.2857 = 28% If you chose option A. 7 2. Using the former method.276 1+r= 12 1. the results will be less accurate. 12 periods) the annuity factor is 9. IRR = a% + where NPVA NPVA NPVB (b a) % a = 5% b = 12% NPVa = $230 NPVb = $160 = 5% + $230 (12 $230 $160 7] 5) % IRR = 5% + [3. If you selected option C.954.055 If you selected option A.05% (1 + r)12 = 1.500 9. you have taken the arithmetic mean of 5% and 12% instead of using the IRR formula. you have calculated the present value of $10.500 in 12 time periods at a discount rate of 3% instead of finding the monthly annuity whose present value over 12 months at 3% gives $10. you have simply divided $10. you have misread the cumulative present value tables (and used the annuity factor for 12% and 3 periods instead of 12 periods and 3%). From cumulative present value tables (3%.500 by 12 without any reference to discounting. If you selected option B. If you selected option D. If Annuity = Annuity = PV of annuity Annuity factor $10.0205 r = 2.
87 = PV Annuity factor 10.024 corresponds to a period of 10 years at an interest rate of 7% (from cumulative present value tables).08)10 $X = $5. III and IV are all correct and option D is therefore the correct answer.500 Annuity factor Annuity factor = 7.494.550 = $X × $X = 33.000 1 (1 r)n PV = annuity × 1 33. II.65 $200 3 $ (1. 10 $250.9 D I II III IV The decision rule for NPV is to accept all investments with a positive NPV NPV is an absolute measure (usually NPV is given in $) and is therefore superior to IRR which is a relative measure (percentage) As the discount rate increases.000 The perpetuity formula is PV = 1 r 1 0.08 (1 0. 2 267. the NPV decreases This is the definition of Net Present Value I.550 6.65 5.06)5 = $267.000 × 28 Financial mathematics 7 1 7 % = PV = a Present value of an annuity Annuity Using the formula a = 1.000 Answers 165 .71 1 1 1 0.000 Amount to invest now = $15.06 = $250.024 An annuity factor of 7.
n = 4 V = 40.735 Present value $ 20.496.25 Using the compound interest formula.857x 0.4 $ 84. 8 $ 12.206 Don't get caught out by the irrelevant information given to you in this question.486 19. The internal rate of return is the rate of return on an investment.25.992 = $16.656. this annuity factor corresponds to an interest rate of 9% over six years.926x 0. 6 9 Annuity = % Present value of annuity Annuity factor 86.794 0. Annuity factor = From tables.25 Written down value = $12. 7 5.25 166 Answers .206.656.25)4 = 12.000 + (4 5 False The difference between the total present value of a stream of cashflows at a given rate of discount. V = X(l + r)n.000 + $64.312x 0 1 2 3 4 The present value of the four equal payments is $26.000 Year Payment $ 20.000. we have X = $40.794x 0.000 0.000.000 = $84. You simply need to look up 8% over 7 periods in the cumulative present value tables which is 5.000 (1 – 0.000 x x x x Discount factor 8% 1 0.312 The total amount to be paid during the lease period is therefore ($20. r = –0.260 $16. 3. and the initial capital outlay is known as the internal rate of return.656. Therefore each payment = x = 52.000.000)) = $20.926 0.400 = 4.857 0.735x 3.
000 r = cost of capital as a proportion = 5% = 0.08.58 Annuity factor = 1 0. n = 12 2.622 $16. V = X(1 + r)n.08)12 The original principal to the nearest $ = $1.728.333.9 1.000 15.99 12 = = 16.58 29 Financial mathematics 8 1 $ 480.084 Using the compound interest formula. we have V = $2.002.08)12 2.04 1 1 (1.90 = X(1 + 0.084 10 $1.04)25 = 15.000 The present value of a perpetuity is: a r where a = annuity = $24.68 (1 0.99 Monthly repayment = = $1.90.728.000 Answers 167 .05 PV = PV = 24. r = 0.90 = X = $1.083.002.728.05 = $480.622 Annuity = 250.000 0.333.
4 18 % The internal rate of return (IRR) of the investment can be calculated using the following formula.400 Discount factor 9% 1 4.486 Present value $ (45.626 Year Cashflow $ (45.35 = 11.000) 12.65 There are no excuses for getting this one wrong! Simply insert the values for r and n into the equation.04 (1 0.04)16 1 0.000) = 12% + 24.000 IRR = 12% + 6% = 18% 5 $ 30.65 3 $ 10.000 = $30. IRR = a% + where NPVa (b NPVa NPVb a) % a = first interest rate = 12% b = second interest rate = 20% NPVa = first NPV = $24. interest earned = ($2.0749192 = 25 – 13.04 1.626 NPV = 0 16 Remember to use the cumulative present value tables (and not the present value tables).000) 55.000 8.000 (20 12) % 24.000 NPVb = second NPV = $(8.04(1. PV = 1 1 – 0.87298 = 25 – = 25 – = 25 – 1 0.19 168 Answers .04 0.19 Current rate is 3% pa payable monthly.626 10. Effective rate is 3/12% = 1/4% compound every month In the six months from July to December.2 11.04)16 1 0.0025)6) – $2.000 (1. Calculate them stepbystep (as we have shown below) if you are a little uncomfortable using a calculator for more complicated formulae. plug the numbers into your calculator (in the correct order of course!).
at the end of each year it is worth 85% of its value at the beginning of the year. 9 12.513 (1.55% pa If you selected one of the other options you used the APR formula incorrectly – make sure you go back and revise this topic.000 (0.13 However. so n = 12 Future value = $10.885.92 of the value at the start of the year. Remember to read the requirements of questions very carefully! 7 $ 11. 10 $400.000 (0.85)5 = $177. Therefore at the end of four years.482.885 If costs fall by 8% per annum on a compound basis then at the end of the year they will be worth 0. 100% – 15% = 85% $400.05)5 = $510.269 There are 12 quarters in a threeyear period.03)4 – 1 = 12.92)4 = $300.6 False If the value of the asset falls by 15% per year. costs will have fallen to $420. the question asks you to state your answer to the nearest $.513 Answers 169 . ie $177.55 % = 12% pa = 12% = 3% compound payable four times per year 4 Nominal interest rate APR = [(1 + r)12/n – 1] = (1 + 0.482.000 (1.000 $510.269 8 $ 300.01)12 = $11.
143 From PV tables.000 r = 0.220 to the nearest $ to the nearest $ to the nearest $ Payment required at time 15 = $ 49.07 $84.06)4 = $10.06 n=4 $15.000 8.42 (to 2 decimal places) 170 Answers .700 Present value of annuity = $ 41.315 S = $8.100 Using the formula where S = X(1 + r)n X = $8.848 n = 10 r = 7% = 0.000 Annuity factor = 8.000 Annuity = PV of annuity Annuity factor 0.132. PV of final fund = $180. at 8% and at time 15.07)10 X= $84.07)10 X = $43.220 = PV final amount – PV annuity = $56.143 (to the nearest $) 0.480 = $49. discount factor = 0.244 (14 years) PV of annuity PV of final payment = Annuity annuity factor = $5. discount factor = 0.000 (1 + 0.848 (1.82 = $10.315) Payment required at time 15 = 2 $ 10.099.480 However.244 = $41. we need to know the value of $15.480 at time 15 (from tables.100 (to the nearest $) 43.848 = X(1 + 0.42 3 $ Using the formula where S = X(1 + r)n S = $84.30 Financial mathematics 9 1 Present value of final fund = $ 56.700 Annuity = $5.315 = $56.315.132.700 – $41.220 = $15.
4 23.862 0.2316 = 23.600 = (1 + r)15 $2.000 9.000) (2.200 = $35.2316 – 1 = 0.12 $4.000 1.12 Present value of cash inflows Less: initial investment Net present value of project $ 35.16% The annual rate of interest is 23.400 $54.000 PV of cash inflows = 0.201 3. 5 Year Cashflow $ Discount factor Present value $ 0 1 2 3 (5.000) (1.846 2.600 n = 15 X = $2.400 $54.000 to the nearest $ to the nearest $ a The present value of a perpetuity = r where a = $4.641 Net present value = (5.724) 5.000 0.000 Answers 171 .200 r = 12% = 0.323 6 Present value of perpetuity = $ 35.000 26.2316 = 1 + r r = 1.600 =1+r 2.600 = $2.743 0.000 6.400 15 (1 + r)15 54.000) 7.16% to 2 decimal places.16 % S = X(1 + r)n Using the formula where S = $54.400 1.000 Net present value of project = $ 9.
7 $ 7.6% = 15. X=S X= 1 (1 r)n $40.534 = $7.000 $8.09)3 We need to find the present value of $40.855.100 = PV PV Cumulative discount factor PV 2.534 8 15. IRR = a% + where NPVA NPVA NPVB (b a) % a = 10% b = 17% NPVa = $8.000 = 10% + [ $8.6% 9 $40.000 NPVb = –$2.160 1.000 received in three years' time.626 2.100 2.855 (to the nearest $) % 4.000 (1 0.000 (1. Cumulative discount factor for years 1 – 7 at 15% Less: cumulative discount factor for years 1 – 2 at 15% Cumulative discount factor for years 3 – 7 at 15% Annuity = $3.4 = $7.855 Using cumulative present value tables: We require the 15% factor for years 3 – 7.534 = $3.000) (17 – 10)]% IRR = 10% + 5. Using the discounting formula (where x = present value).9) 3 172 Answers .6 The IRR can be calculated using the following formula.000 ( $2.
$90.25)10 1 2.232 = amount outstanding Amount outstanding = $42. the NPV will be negative at a rate of s% if s% is less than r% The NPV falls as the discount rate increases and so a lower discount rate will result in a higher NPV. PV = 1 1 – 0. Calculate them stepbystep (as we have shown below) if you are a little uncomfortable using a calculator for a more complicated formula.000 = ($8.582) $90.582 = $72.000 5.000 = annuity for fifteen years at 7% PV of annuity = $90.32830643654 =4– =4– = 4 – 0.25(1 0. PV of annuity = PV of $8.971) + (amount outstanding 0.582) 0.232 0.000 = $47.25(1 0.570503 There are no excuses for getting this one wrong! Simply insert the values for r and n into the equation.10 $ 72.25 0.4294967296 = 3.25)10 1 0. plug the numbers into your calculator (in the correct order of course!).000 Mortgage is to be closed immediately after the eighth annual repayment. whereas the behaviour is curvilinear.564 Repayments of $8.582 0.000 at 7% for 8 years + amount outstanding at time 8 at 7%.768 + (amount outstanding $42.570503 Answers 173 .564 31 Financial mathematics 10 1 If the NPV of an investment at r% is positive. 2 3. The IRR can be obtained exactly using algebra whereas the graphical method provides only an approximate rate for the IRR The algebraic and graphical methods both approximate the behaviour of the IRR as discount rates increase and decrease as linear.
000.855 From cumulative present value tables.000 (to the nearest $'000) 5 $ 42.3 $ 1. Let x = depreciation rate per annum $100.1 $6.727272 4. the relevant annuity factor is 2.000 4 (1 – x)4 = (1 – x)4 = 0.371 4 $ 181. Annuity = = PV Annuity factor $684.000 = $800.000 $50.000 = 1. ie $50.775 = $181.808004 PV of $8.371 7.000 PV of $6.000 = $50.000 = $42.000 $100.1) 4 Less: $10.000 We can use compound interest techniques with a negative rate of interest to calculate the depreciation rate per annum.272.841 x = 0.808004 to the nearest whole number = $1. after another year. the machine will have depreciated by a further 16%.000 in four years' time = = (1.775 = 3.000 16% = $8.098.000 0.000 Value of machine 174 Answers .000 = $684.000 – $8.370.000 in one year's time = $8.192 = $181.080732 11.775 for years 1 – 3 at 4%. the relevant discount factor for four years at 4% is 0.000000 1.159 = 16% Therefore.5 1 – x = 0.370.000 From present value tables. we take account of time 0 by adding 1 to the annuity factor (1 + 2.841 x = 1 – 0.000 (1 + (–x))4 = $50. Since investments are taking place at the beginning of the years.775).808004 10.370.5 1–x = 0.000 spent now $1. Present value of $800.855.000 3.
04 R =1.11 (1.78 (1. The sum of the repayments is a geometric progression with X = X (annuity) R = 1.04 n=8 The value of the sinking fund at the end of eight years is $27.21)4 = $117.04 – 1 $27.897.000 $55.000 $27.048 – 1) 1.093.000 (1.1110 1) = X(1.980 X (The difference of $1 is due to rounding) 7 Value now $ Investment period Years Interest rate % Final value $ 55.000 = $283.942 (1.04 (1.6 $ 16.11 n = 10 $283.11 1 = X = $16.817.897.80 (2) 117.897.000 0.04 (1. 9 $ 2.55 The value of the fund at the end of eight years is a geometric progression with: A = $A 1.11)10 The final value of the mortgage must equal the sum of the repayments.000 55.942 0.14)5 = $105.000 55.80 (1.093.78 (1) 105.000 Workings 4 5 4 7 14 21 72.000 A = = A 1.38 A perpetuity is an annuity which lasts forever.000 $55.38 (3) (1) (2) (3) 8 False $55.04 8 – 1) Answers 175 .942 $283.04 1.07)4 = $72.1110 1) 1.897.980 Final value of mortgage = $100.
126) 0.000 + 250P. 2 D R= 1 R= 1 6 d2 n(n 2 1) 6 50 = 0.448 (1.383311812 = $2.467) (440 330) ((11 17. rework the calculations carefully. you forgot to deduct your answer from 1.986) (440)2)((11 10.000) 16.636 NPV = (56.63 r = n XY X Y 2 (n X 2 ( X) )(n Y 2 ( Y) 2 ) = (11 13. If you selected option B.000 18. The correlation coefficient describing a positive strong relationship is 0. you didn't state your answer to two decimal places. then fixed costs are $1.000 and variable costs are $250 per unit.366) (3302 )) 2.817. If you failed to get the correct answer. If you selected option C.63 = The above formula is provided in your exam.080 0. . it is clear that the correlation is positive and strong. Make sure you perform the entire calculation using the complete formula (which is provided in your exam) next time! 3 4 176 Answers D C If C = 1.55 Cashflow $ Discount factor 12% Present value $ 10 Year 0 1 2 3 4 (56. Questions such as this are an easy source of marks as all of the information required to answer it correctly are given to you in the question – you just need to plug the numbers into the formula provided.074 14.797 0.937 (4.000) 18. From the data given.70 10 99 If you selected option A.816 11.000 1.000 18.246 5.000 18. you omitted the '1' from the equation above.346 12.712 0.= $1.98.316) Project viable No 32 Interrelationships between variables 1 1 0.000 0.893 0.
Y decreases.72 The coefficient of determination tells us that 72% of the variation in sales revenue can be explained by the corresponding variation in advertising expenditure.5 B If temperatures increase by one degree. X is replaced by (X + 1) If X = X + 1 Y= 32 – 1. r = 0.400 = $1. r2 = 0.98 (to 2 decimal places) Answers 177 .000 – $30. 8 0.85 Coefficient of determination.764) = = = 124 40 404 124 127.600 If you selected option C. Correlation coefficient.6X ie sales have now fallen by $32.6 (X + 1) Y = 32 – 1.9 is very close to 1 and so there is a very strong relationship between x and y. If you selected option D.12 = 0.6X – 1. There are no excuses for getting this question wrong.6 Y = 30.852 = 0. Correlation coefficient. 6 7 D C The correlation coefficient of 0. r = n XY [n X 2 2 X Y ( Y)2] ( X) ] [n Y 2 = (4 157) (12 42) [4 46 122 ] [4 542 422 ] 628 504 (184 144) (2. you have forgotten that a negative sign in the regression equation means that as X increases.98 The formula for the correlation coefficient is provided in your exam.168 1. you have forgotten that sales are given in $'000s.4 – 1.
00 28.50 If you selected option B you subtracted 1 from 1.0 2.0 2.00 4.68 (D) Both workings are incorrect. 33 Interrelationships between variables 2 1 B I II III IV When an equation has the form y = a + bx. you forgot to subtract 1 from n2 on the denominator of the equation thereby having a denominator of 5 25 instead of 5 (25 – 1).0 3.5 5 25 = 1 – 1. 178 Answers . The line cuts the x axis at 4.368 (C) or + 3.368 = –0. you forgot to subtract the 1 from n2 on the denominator of the equation and you stated the final result as a positive number rather than a negative number.0 2.5 1.5 1. The slope of the equation is 5. When an equation has the form y = a + bx. sales revenue will be $40 on average. 10 A Sunshine love Oceanic war Liaising dangerously Dark stranger The road to Crockham Hill R =1– 6 28.5 d 3. ie R =1– 6 28.25 1.25 2.5 1.0 5.425 5 (25 1) Critic 1 1.0 3. The line cuts the y axis at –24.425 instead of the other way around. The intercept on the y axis is 24.9 B X = advertising expenditure If X=0 Y = 40 + 10X Y = 40 + (10 0) Y = 40 Therefore if nothing is spent on advertising.0 2. If you selected option C. If you selected option D. a gives the intersection on the y axis which is –24 in the equation y = 5x – 24.0 d2 12.5 Critic 2 4.5 4. I and II are correct and the answer is therefore B.0 4.5 = –0. b gives the slope which is 5 in the equation y = 5x – 24.00 9.8.
Option B will not therefore reduce the reliability of the estimate. resulting in 53% in this case. The fact that the correlation coefficient is negative tells us that Y decreases as X increases but it says nothing about the strength of the relationship between the variables nor the reliability of the estimates. Answers 179 . 3 C The value X = 10 does not lie between 15 and 45 so we do not know whether or not the relationship between the variables still holds for this value of X. Option A will not therefore reduce the reliability of the estimate. A correlation coefficient of 0. If advertising costs are increased by $7 Y = 50 + 7(X + 7) Y = 50 + 7X + 49 Y = 99 + 7X Sales are increased by $49 on average. Sales increase by $7 on average. 4 A Y = 50 + 7X If we increase expenditure on advertising by $1. sales are now $57 on average. we replace X with (X + 1) Y = 50 + 7(X + 1) Y = 50 + 7X + 7 Y = 57 + 7X Therefore. compared with $50 previously. Remember that you must square the correlation coefficient in order to obtain the coefficient of determination. indicating a very strong relationship between the variables which will provide reliable estimates. The coefficient of determination provides this information and is given by squaring the correlation coefficient. The sample size is quite large for this type of analysis and will provide reliable estimates. Statements II and III are relevant and the correct answer is therefore C. 5 C The independent variable is denoted by X and the dependent one by Y.2 C I II III IV High levels of correlation do not prove that there is cause and effect.73 would generally be regarded as indicating a strong linear relationship between the variables. We therefore cannot rely upon the estimate. The correlation coefficient is very close to –1. Option B is therefore incorrect. Option D is therefore an incorrect answer. The coefficient of determination provides this information and not the correlation coefficient. If Y = 50 + 7X when advertising is zero. X = 0 Y = 50 + (7 Y = 50 + 0 Y = 50 0) Therefore option D is incorrect.
II If $1.000 ((7 – 5) $10. Option D is therefore incorrect. III is correct and I is incorrect. Option B is therefore incorrect. Option A is therefore incorrect. IV is incorrect.000 = $50. 6 0.000 is spent on advertising is $20.000 on average when nothing is spent on advertising. 10. R R =1– =1– =1– 6 d2 n(n 2 1) 6 26 7 (49 1) 156 336 = 0. and a totally different regression line equation will result if X and Y are interchanged.000 extra is spent on advertising. 7 B If nothing is spent on advertising.536 Note that the formula for the coefficient of rank correlation is provided in your exam. then X = X + 1 Y = 5 + 2 (X + 1) Y = 5 + 2X + 2 Y = 7 + 2X Increase in sales revenue when an extra $1. X = 0 Y = 5 + (2 Y=5+0 Y=5 0) Therefore sales revenue is $5 is correct.000). In calculating the correlation coefficient. 180 Answers .536 Student 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Rank English literature 2 1 4 6 5 3 7 Rank French 1 3 7 5 6 2 4 d 1 2 3 1 1 1 3 d2 1 4 9 1 1 1 9 26 d2 = Using the formula for Spearman's rank correlation coefficient. The scatter diagram is used to show whether or not there is a relationship between X and Y and it does not matter which variable is associated with a particular axis.The variable to be forecast must always be Y. it does not matter which variable is X and which is Y.
the estimate is unlikely to be reliable. the temperature is therefore 18 C. ie sales revenue will be $30 on average (IV is correct).8 would be regarded as strong (it is a high value) the estimate would be reliable. 9 10 B D The coefficient of rank correlation can be interpreted in exactly the same way as the ordinary correlation coefficient with values also ranging from –1 to +1. Answers 181 . we have Y = 30 + 5(X + 1) Y = 30 + 5X + 5 Y = 35 + 5X ie sales revenue increases by $5 on average when expenditure on advertising increases by $1 (II is correct). Therefore I is correct and II and III are incorrect. 34 Interrelationships between variables 3 1 C If sales are zero (Y = 0) 0 3x x = 54 – 3x = 54 = 18 If sales (Y) are zero. The sample of only six pairs of values is very small and is therefore likely to reduce the reliability of the estimate. sales are $54. Y = 30. The correct answer is therefore D. III is therefore not true. Since a correlation coefficient of 0. IV is therefore true. II is therefore not true. With such a small sample and the extrapolation required. X = 0. ie if we replace X by (X + 1).8 D When X = 20. I is therefore true. You should have been able to eliminate options B and D straightaway since sales cannot really be negative. If temperature is 0 C (x = 0) y y y y = = = = 54 – 3x 54 – (3 0) 54 – 0 54 If the temperature is 0 C.000. Y = 30 + 5X When nothing is spent on advertising. If advertising expenditure increases by 1. IV is correct and the correct answer is C (Statements I and IV being true). we don't know anything about the relationship between X and Y since the sample data only goes up to X = 10.
040) 1002 40. a = Y = bX ( 100 ) 5 400 – 2. 182 Answers . Answering a question such as this is just a matter of plugging the correct numbers into the (given) formula.99 The formula for the product moment correlation coefficient is provided in your examination.000 10.99 Correlation coefficient. 3 B The least squares method of linear regression analysis involves using the following formulae for a and b in Y = a + bX.200 520 200 = 2. 040 1002 ) (5 32.390 520 527.520 10.104) (100 400) (5 2.6 5 = 28 The formulae above are provided in your examination.000 40. 4 False The coefficient of determination (R2) explains the percentage variation in the dependent variable which is explained by the independent variable. b = = = = n XY n X (5 2 X Y ( X)2 8.2 0.3 = +0. r = = = = n XY (n X 2 2 X Y ( X) )(n Y 2 ( Y)2) (5 8.278 4002 ) 520 200 1.6 At this stage.104) (100 400) (5 2. you can eliminate options A and C.
then using the equation Y = 248 + bX we can determine the unknown value of b (ie the slope) as follows.9 and a linear pattern is evident.98.9.000 9 None of them If r = 0. 523 = 248 + (b 25) 523 – 248 = 25b 275 = 25b 275 b= = +11. not unreliable.94 indicates that there is strong positive correlation between taste and looks of new desserts.5 11.500 Variable costs = $15 per unit If output = 500. The slope of a regression line is its gradient and it is possible to have a gradient of –2. A linear equation of the form y = a + bx has fixed costs of a and variable costs per unit of b.000. r2 (coefficient of determination) = 81% (0. Statement (i) is not correct. If r = 0. Answers 183 . Statement (iii) is not correct. there is a high degree of correlation between weekly costs of production and production level.00 Y = a + bX If intercept (a) is $248.98 From the data given.92) and 81% of the variation in weekly costs can be explained by the amount produced. Statement (ii) is not correct. forecasts are likely to be reliable.00 25 6 False The rank correlation coefficient can be interpreted in exactly the same way as the ordinary correlation coefficient. A rank correlation coefficient of 0. The variance is the standard deviation squared and is always a positive value.500 + $7. 7 C +0. it is clear that the correlation is positive and strong. 8 Weekly fixed costs are approximately $1. Variable costs are approximately $15 per unit on average.500 + ($15 500) = $1. Fixed costs = $1.500 = $9. but data is given in terms of order or rank. If r = 0. Next week's production costs are likely to be about $9.9.500. then Y = 248 + bX If the value of Y is $523 and X is 25. The correlation coefficient describing a strong positive relationship is +0. total costs = $1. 10 Slope of a regression line The correlation coefficient values lie between –1 and +1.
2x x 1 2 3 4 10 y 4 6 10 10 30 x2 1 4 9 16 30 xy 4 12 30 40 86 n =4 b = = n xy n x 2 x ( x) y 2 (4 86) 10 30 44 = = 2.2 4 30 102 20 30 4 2. When an equation has the form y = a + bx. 2 r 0.35 Interrelationships between variables 4 1 The slope of the equation if plotted on a graph is 4 The line cuts the yaxis at –15 if plotted on a graph When an equation has the form y = a + bx. b gives the slope which is 4 in the equation y = 4x – 15.2 10 4 =2 a = y –bx = Therefore y = 2 + 2.172777884 312. 184 Answers .17 = = 84 n xy [n x 2 y 2 x 2 ( x) ] [n y ( y)2] (6 14) 6 30 (2 15) 152 22 6 130 = = 30 176 555 54 = 0. a gives the intersection on the yaxis which is –15 in the equation y = 4x – 15.17 (to 2 decimal places) 3 y= 2 + 2.2x.54 = 0.
7 = 0.72 + 0.71 2 14 (5 19) 9 45 5 0. the equation is x = 7.72 + 0.722 = 7. The coefficient of determination is the square of the correlation coefficient.30 (to 2 decimal places) 5 False Correlation does not prove a causal link and this statement is therefore false.71 9 = 7.72 (to 2 decimal places) 5 a = x –by = Therefore. 6 x= 7.4 0.71y Answers 185 . x and y must therefore be interchanged in the formula. x 9 10 9 8 9 45 y 2 3 1 1 2 9 y2 4 9 1 1 4 19 xy 18 30 9 8 18 83 n =5 n xy b = n x2 = (5 x y ( x)2 83) 45 9 10 = =0.71y Since the question asks for the regression line of x on y.30 Rank Astrologer Virgo Libra Scorpio Sagittarius Aquarius 6 d2 n(n2 1) Technical 2 3 4 5 1 Artistic 4 3 5 2 1 d 2 0 1 3 0 d2 4 0 1 9 0 14 R =1– =1– (6 14) 5 (25 1) = 1 – 0.
9 20.682 = 0.7 Fixed costs are $200. $200 and variable costs are $30 per unit.09% 10 330 Perfect negative correlation = –1 R(rank) –1 –1 –1 6 d2 990 6 d2 d2 d2 = 1– = 1– = 1– = 1– 6 d2 n(n2 1) 6 d2 10(102 1) 6 d2 10 99 6 d2 990 = 1+1 = 2 = 2 990 990 6 = 330 186 Answers . only just under half of the variation in one variable can be explained by variation in the other. then fixed costs are the constant.4624 The coefficient of determination.2009 = 20. Variable costs per unit are $30. r2 = 0. If C = 200 + 30P. measures the proportion of the total variation in the value of one variable that can be explained by variations in the value of the other variable. r2.09 % Let growth factor = x Let original market size = 1 x6 x6 x = 1 = 3 = 6 3 3 = 1. 8 0.4624 Therefore.
must always fall within the range –1 to +1.810 2. 2 Lowest value = Highest value = 0 1 The correlation coefficient.400 7. = = = = n [n x 2 xy ( 2 x y y2 ( y) 2 ] x) ][n 10 4.49 5 b= a= 10.056 600 960 1.36 Interrelationships between variables 5 1 False When using the regression of Y upon X.048 xy 120 1. but data is given in terms of order or rank. 3 B The rank correlation coefficient can be interpreted in exactly the same way as the ordinary correlation coefficient.092 x2 4 64 36 64 100 16 16 4 36 100 440 Answers 187 . A rank correlation coefficient of 0.05 44.50 Workings x 2 8 6 8 10 4 4 2 6 10 60 (to 2 decimal places) (to 2 decimal places) y 60 132 100 120 150 84 90 68 104 140 1.98 2.500 336 360 136 624 1.208 210 187 [10 4. r.240 3.865 187 2 ] 2.681 2.810 = 0.871.634 210 2 ][10 3. The correlation coefficient of temperature and sales is Workings Correlation coefficient 4 0.98 (to 2 decimal places). X is the independent variable and Y is the dependent variable (the value of Y will depend upon the value of X).95 indicates that there is strong positive correlation between taste and looks of new drinks. therefore the coefficient of determination must always fall in the range 0 to 1 (–12 = +1).
05x where 60 ) 10 The equation to use for predicting the likely maintenance cost per vehicle per annum is y = maintenance costs ($10) x = age 6 The Spearman's rank correlation coefficient is 0.5 y = 44.25 0 0 24. It is necessary to complete the following table and to calculate the difference between the ranking of accidents and expenditure before using the formula to calculate the rank correlation coefficient.5 3 0 3.b = b = = n xy x y 2 n x ( x) 2 (10 7.092) (60 1.040 800 = 10.05 a = y bx 1.8515 Workings (to 4 decimal places).05 a = 10 = 44.8515 188 Answers .5 0 0 1 1 1 0 0.25 9 0 12.048) (10 440) 60 2 8. Site Number of minor accidents Rank accidents Expenditure $'000 6 15 10 22 8 9 5 8 16 30 Rank expenditure d d2 A B C D E F G H I J Rs Rs =1– =1– 6 d2 n(n 2 – 1) 17 9 10 4 12 21 25 8 6 3 8 5 6 2 7 9 10 4 3 1 9 4 5 2 7.5 + 10.50 6 24.5 3 1 1 1 1 0 0.048 – (10.5 10 100 1 = 0.5 6 10 7.
92 5 D Depending on the value of b in the equation y = a + bx.62 = 299.7 8 9 10 D C C 0.12 = 92 19) = 82. B or C could be used to depict the forecasting model.12 – (1. either of the graphs A.112 + (3. y= a + bx could be depicted by graph B. rework the calculation carefully.2 2. y = a + bx could be depicted by graph C. trend in sales for month 19 = 7.35 16) = 323. 3 A If x = 16. If you selected option D.949x If x = 19.0144 Forecast = 1.196928 Forecast in whole units = 3.9 indicates that the relationship between x and y is too strong to have been caused by chance.143 If you failed to select the correct option.112 + 3.0004 20062) + (0. Answers 189 .64 The correlation coefficient of determination is calculated by squaring the correlation coefficient. If b = negative. If b = 0.109 (to the nearest whole number) 0.949 Seasonallyadjusted trend value = 82.910 2 B y = 7.9 = 300 (to nearest unit) If you selected option B. b is the slope of the line which measures the increase in the y variable for unit increase in x a is the intercept on the y axis which is the value of the dependant variable when the value of the independent variable is zero. 4 5. you correctly forecast the trend for the sixteenth period but forgot to deduct the seasonal component. If you selected option C.700 = 5.143 1. If b = positive. y = a + bx could be depicted by graph A.109 4.2 = 2.091. y = 345.87 2006) + 80.0144 = 3910. A correlation coefficient of 0. You shouldn't have too much trouble with this question since it is just a matter of plugging in a value for x into the equation given in the question.091.52 Forecast = trend + seasonal component = 323. 37 Forecasting 1 1 D Year = 2006 Trend = (0. you calculated the forecast for the fifteenth period and deducted the seasonal component of the sixteenth period. you simply calculated the trend for the fifteenth period instead of the sixteenth period.52 – 23.
Provided a multiplicative model is used. the fact that the trend is increasing need not have any adverse effect on the reliability of forecasts. If you selected option D.25(12) = 17% 8 A A variation of.5 = 123. for example.6 123 y = 9. you divided the trend in Q3 by 50% instead of multiplying it by 50%. If the model being used is inappropriate.2 10 B I II III IV 21)) 1. +50% means that forecast sales are 50% above the trend value (ie trend 150%) whereas a variation of –50% means that forecast sales are 50% below the trend value (ie trend 50%). Provided the seasonal variation remains the same in the future as in the past. 9 123 Forecast for quarter 21 = (28. it will not make forecasts unreliable.248 = 123 7 A Y = 20 – 0.37 + (4. If you selected option B.055 = 122. you have simply taken 50% of the trend for Q2 (50% If you selected option C. if an additive model is used when the trend is changing sharply. you calculated the trend and not the forecast for Q3.82 + (4.25X X = 12 Y = 20 – 0.98 = 123 whole units Forecasts are made on the assumption that everything continues as in the past. Trend Trend seasonal variation = actual 150% = 240 (for Q2 ) Trend = 240 ÷ 1. forecasts will not be very reliable.372 × 24) y = 114.748 + 8.748 forecast = 114. I and II are therefore necessary and hence the correct answer is B. 190 Answers .5 = 160 Variation in Q3 = – 50% Forecast = 160 50% = 80 240 = 120). for example.
500 – $(3 = $1. X = 38 and Y = 40 X + 36 + Y = 38 3 36 + Y + 41 = 39 3 Y = (3 × 39) – 36 – 41 = 40 X + 36 + 40 = 38 3 X = (38 × 3) – 36 – 40 = 38 3 D If t = 1 in the first quarter of 20X5 t = 8 in the fourth quarter of 20X6 Trend (Y) Forecast = 65 + (7 = 121 8) = trend + seasonal component = 121 + (–30) = 121 – 30 = 91 If you selected option A. If you selected option B.92 = $17. you substituted t = 1 into the trend equation instead of t = 13.904. 4 C In the first month of 20X9. you calculated the trend as (65 + 7) 8 = 576 instead of 65 + (7 8) = 121. t = 13 Y = $1. you reduced the trend by 30% instead of subtracting 30 from it.92. If you selected option B.92 (as you would for an additive model) instead of multiplying by 0.461 and therefore If you selected option D. If you selected option C. you calculated the trend as ($1.461 0.461 13) Forecast = trend seasonal component = $1. you added the seasonal component of 0. Answers 191 .344 If you selected option A.500 – $3) forecast sales as $19.38 Forecasting 2 1 2 B B Seasonally adjusting the values in a time series removes the seasonal element from the data thereby giving an instant estimate of the trend. 13 = $19. you used t = 4 instead of t = 8 in the fourth quarter of 20X6.92 = $1.461 0.
0075 to each average.0775 Quarter 2 3 0. 192 Answers .225 4 0.15 0. If you selected option B. you added the entire deficit of 0.3 $520.97 = 0.0075 from each quarter's average.0075 0. 1.000 2 1.00 * The averages should total 4 4 – 3. the seasonal component is as follows.8075 Total 3. the seasonal variations should sum (in this case) to 4 (an average of 1) as there are four quarters.8 0.0075 0.000 $ 450.5 + x 3. If you selected option A.8075 as per option D.97* 0. you subtracted the entire deficit of 0.03/4 = 0.5 0.8 As this is a multiplicative model.2 = 0.03 We therefore need to add 0.9575 1.07 0. Let x = seasonal variation in quarter 4. you have subtracted the deficit of 0.03 to the first quarter average instead of spreading it across all four averages.4 $630.0075 0.95 1.3 + 1. If you selected option C.8 6 For a multiplicative model. From the table above. S = Y/T T = Y/S Quarter Seasonal component (S) Actual series (Y) Trend (T) 7 $ 1 1.4 + 0.2 + x x x =4 =4 = 4 – 3.03 from the second quarter average rather than sharing it across all four averages. it can be seen that the fourth quarter adjusted average is 0.000 The trend line for sales has therefore increased between quarter 1 and quarter 2 8 D Unadjusted average Adjustment Adjusted average 1 1. instead of adding it.03 4.0075 1.000 400.
25 6.0 0 *Averages must sum to zero. Working to a high number of decimal places gives spurious accuracy unless both the data itself is accurate to the same degree and the methods used lend themselves to such precision.25 Season Spring Summer Autumn Winter Total Year 1 2 3 Total Average (÷2) –6 –5 –11 –5.25 +5 +4 +9 +4.5 –0.3 7) Seasonal variation = actual series – trend = 77.5 –0.5 –0.25 +6 +7 +13 +6. In practice. The regression equation is worthless unless a sufficiently large sample was used to calculate it. samples of about ten or more are acceptable.75 +4. I and IV increase the reliability of forecasting.5 –0. Forecasting for values of X outside the range of the original data leads to unreliable estimates.3 = 98. 39 Forecasting 3 1 Season Spring Summer Autumn Winter Average Adjustment Average seasonal adjustment Workings –5.5 –0.25 +6.9 –20.25 4. therefore adjustments = –1 ÷ 4 = –0.0* –1.8 – 98.5 10 D I II III IV A correlation coefficient close to +1 or –1 indicates a strong linear relationship between X and Y.5 –0.5 –0.25 –5.25 +1.25 Answers 193 .3 = –20. because there is no evidence that the same regression relationships hold for such values.25 –4 –5 –9 –4. The regression equation is therefore more reliable for forecasting.5 –0.75 –4.9 = 92 + 6.25 –4.5 Trend for week 7 = 92 + (0.
Many time series are unconnected with economics. but do not need to be of a particular length.67 1. Cyclical variations occur over a cycle longer than seasonal variations.33 Seasonal variation Seasonal variation (to 2 decimal places) for July = Month June July August Data 16 26 32 Threemonth total Three month average (trend) 74 24.67 + seasonal variation So seasonal variation = 26 – 24.08 = $70.453 A peak in the first three years of every decade.67 = 1.2 Their magnitude is constant from one cycle to the next They always reflect the trade cycle They always repeat every five to ten years Cyclical variations are of a longer period than seasonal variations.33 Remember that the actual series = trend + seasonal variation 26 = 24. They are not necessarily connected with the trade cycle. Similarly. actual sales = trend Seasonallyadjusted data are the same as the trend. 194 Answers .483 1. 3 Trend for July (to 2 decimal places) = 24. Autumn actual sales = $47. cyclical variations do not have constant magnitudes.234 5 Fourquarter totals The main features of a time series are: A trend Seasonal variations Cyclical variations Random variations 6 0.921 Winter actual sales = $65. even if the time series is economic in nature.453 seasonal variation Using the multiplicative model.483 70. with a corresponding trough in the last five years of every decade.33 4 Autumn $ Winter $ 46.97 = $46.67 1.
Tuesday is a day of very low sales and Wednesday is a day of very high sales. Therefore the most suitable moving average is one which covers one full weekly cycle. A five day moving total centred on Thursday of week 2 must be calculated: Week 2 Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Week 3 Five day moving total Sales units 107 80 130 95 107 519 centre point Moving average = 519 5 = 103. Week 1 Day Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday Monday Data 82 61 47 49 42 38 21 Sevenday total 340 2 The required total is 340.7 A X = 96 and Y = 94 X 107 Y 99 103 3 107 Y 108 3 Y 3 103 3 99 3 107 108 99 107 94 94 X 107 94 X 8 340 96 The sevenday total for a day will be made up of the data for the three days before that day. This moving average of 104 units constitutes a trend figure. ie a five day moving average. that day itself and the three days after that day. As this total includes one figure from each day of the week. 9 104 Sales vary according to the day of the week. Answers 195 . The fact that it is lower than the actual figure for Wednesday of week 3 (130 units) reflects the fact that Wednesday is a day of high sales.8 units = 104 units. Fore example. it should not reflect the seasonal variations which affect individual days' figures.
30 and 34 which change by the same amount (4) each day. Option D does not apply in this instance. It would generally be agreed that nonnumerate people find the multiplicative model more difficult to understand than the additive model. Annual sales are 200 units each year. When the trend is steady an additive model is acceptable but when it is increasing or decreasing it is important to use the multiplicative model so that the seasonal components remain the same proportion of the trend. Q4. it will give forecasts as accurate as those given by the multiplicative model.609 196 Answers . Option C does not apply in this instance. Q4. Option B is therefore a circumstance in which the multiplicative model would be preferred to the additive model. 40 Forecasting 4 1 Annual sales are static. The fourth quarter. ie static. 26.630. The fourth quarter. Option A does not apply in this instance.4 = 800 + 800 + 30. has the highest quarterly sales in each of the three years. Provided the additive model is appropriate. additive seasonal components change in their importance relative to the trend whereas multiplicative components remain in the same proportion to the trend.10 B When the trend is increasing or decreasing. The mean sales for the second quarter (Q2) equals the mean quarterly sales for the whole period.4 = 2.608. perhaps due to problems with percentages. The mean sales for Q2 = 50 and the mean quarterly sales for 199799 = 600 All three statements are correct.4 = 1. 2 B 3point moving totals are 18.4 = 1.0002 20002) + (0. 199799.64 2000) + 30.4 12 = 50.6 1. The 3point moving average would also change by a constant amount which would result in a straight line graph if the data were plotted. 22. 3 D Forecast Forecast in whole units = 2. as it is when the trend is steady. has the highest quarterly sales in each of the three years. Year = 2000 Trend = (0.630.
700 4.6 means that values are only 60% of the trend. A cyclical component of 0.5t) to give t = 12. The correct answer is therefore C.367 1.100 3.5 (adding the 0. ie they are 40% below the trend.95 means that actual values are 95% of the trend. Moving total of 3 months ice creams sold Moving average of 3 months ice creams sold Month July August September October November December 8 A 2. you rearranged the formula (12 = 0.5 = 24 If t = 1 is the first month of 20X0. Options I and II are correct. ie the 12th month of 20X0). ie they are 18% below the trend.400 900 1. you rearranged the formula (12 = 0.5 instead of dividing by it) which is incorrect. The seasonal components build up steadily from year 1 to year 3 but whether the actual values do depends on the trend. 5 B I II III IV A cyclical component of 0.5t 12 = 0.300 2. A cyclical component of 0.300 5.4 B If Y = 0.5t – 12 The breakeven point is reached where profit = 0.100 t = 1 in the first quarter of 20X8 Answers 197 . If you selected option A. and therefore the answer is B.100 1. If you selected option C. t = 24 is the last month (12th month) of 20X1. If you selected option D you seem to have confused the variables Y and t (and had t = 0 instead of Y = 0 in your equation thus leading to an answer of Y = 12 which you have then interpreted as t = 12. 6 C Quarter 1 $500 +20% $417 2 $300 –30% $429 3 $330 –25% $440 4 $610 +35% $452 Actual value Seasonal component Seasonallyadjusted value 7 No of ice creams sold II is the only correct calculation. not 18% above it.000 2.5t – 12 = 0.800 1.82 means that values are 82% of the trend.900 1.5t) to give t = 6 which is incorrect.500 1. ie where Y = 0 0 12 t t = 0.000 6.
500 and the seasonal component is –7%. If you selected option D. 198 Answers .76 + 52.19 = 307. not years). you have treated the trend equation Y = 5t – 1.74 10) = 255.95 = 308 (to the nearest unit) 41 Forecasting 5 1 B In 20X9. you used t = 2 instead of t = 6 (the question is dealing with quarters.505 0. you have muddled up the brackets in the trend equation and calculated Y = (20 – 10)t instead of Y = 20t – 10. you used t = 10 in the trend line equation instead of t = 9. you have treated the model as if it were multiplicative instead of additive and reduced the trend by 30% instead of 30.500 = $26. Forecast = $28.93 If you selected option B.16 – (1.76 1 2 Forecast = trend + seasonal component = 255.5 y = 28. you have treated the series as if it were an additive model by subtracting 7 from the trend instead of reducing it by 7%. t = 9 y = 20t – 10 y = (20 9) – 10 y = 180 – 10 = 170 Forecast profits for 20X9 = 170 – 30 = 140 = $140.5 y = 30 – 1.000 If you selected option A.5)t.5 If y = $28. If you selected option D. 9 Odd number of time periods = Even number of time periods = 10 308 If C = 10 P = 273. If you selected option C.5 y = (5 6) – 1.5 as Y = (5 – 1.t = 6 in the second quarter of 20X9 y = 5t – 1. it does not matter if the trend is increasing or decreasing. If you selected option C. 2 C I Provided the multiplicative model is used.
II III IV
Forecasts are made on the assumption that the previous trend will continue. In general, extrapolation does not produce reliable estimates but in forecasting the future using time series analysis we have no option but to extrapolate. Forecasts are made on the assumption that previous seasonal variations will continue.
II and IV are therefore necessary. The correct answer is C. 3 D Forecast trend, y = 30.15 + 3.6x In month 21, y = 30.15 + (3.6 21) y = 30.15 + 75.6 y = 105.75 = trend seasonal factor = 105.75 1.02 = 107.865 = 108 (to the nearest whole unit)
Forecast for month 21
If you selected option A, you divided the trend by the seasonal factor instead of multiplying by the seasonal factor. If you selected option B, you correctly forecast the trend but failed to take account of the seasonal factor. If you selected option C, you rounded 107.865 down to 107 instead of up to 108. 4 D Actual value = trend seasonal factor
Seasonallyadjusted figure = estimate of trend Estimate of trend = Actual value Seasonal factor 4,000 = 0.95 = 4,211
If you selected option A you used the underlying trend figure of 3,750 instead of the actual value of 4,000. You also multiplied it by the seasonal factor instead of dividing it. If you selected option B, you used the actual value of 4,000 and multiplied it by the seasonal factor instead of dividing it by the seasonal factor. If you selected option C, you divided the underlying trend value (instead of the actual value) by the seasonal factor (correct method). 5 B The additive model Y=T+S+R where Y = actual value T = trend S = seasonal R = random
Answers
199
R R
=Y–T–S = 170 – 182 – (–12.8) = 0.8
If you didn't get the correct answer, work through the solution again. Note that the formula for the additive time series model is provided in your exam. 6 D As this is a multiplicative model, the seasonal variations should sum (in this case) to 4 (an average of 1) as there are four quarters. Let X = seasonal variation in quarter 4 1.2 + 1.3 + 0.4 + X = 4 2.9 + X = 4 X = 4 – 2.9 X = 1.1 7 A For a multiplicative model, the seasonal component S = Y/T T = Y/S
Quarter 1 2
Seasonal component (S) Actual series (Y) Trend (T) (= Y/S) 8 B The additive model Y=T+S where Y = actual series T = trend S = seasonal
1.2 $125,000 $104,167
1.3 $130,000 $100,000
The trend line for sales has therefore decreased between quarter 1 and quarter 2.
The seasonallyadjusted value is an estimate of the trend. Y=T+S T=Y–S T = 567,800 – (+90,100) T = 477,700 9 C Y = 300 – 2 t In the third quarter t = 3 Y = 300 – 2 3 = 296.54 Forecast costs = Trend + seasonal = 296.54 + 50 = 346.54 = $347,000 (to the nearest $'000) 2 3 instead of 2 3.
If you selected option A, you calculated
If you selected option B, you have confused the multiplicative and additive models, and have increased the trend by 50% instead of just adding 50.
200
Answers
If you selected option D, you have subtracted the seasonal variation instead of adding it. 10 B
Quarter 1 2 3 4 * must total 4 Y/T value 1.04 1.15 0.94 0.90 4.03 Adjustment (0.0075) (0.0075) (0.0075) (0.0075) (0.03) Adjusted average 1.0325 1.1425 0.9325 0.8925 4.0000*
If you selected option A, you deducted 0.075 instead of 0.0075. If you selected option C, you added 0.0075 instead of deducting it.
42 Forecasting 6
1 B
Year 1 2 3 4 Y–T 18 30 –16 –36 –4 Adjustment 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 Adjusted average 19 31 –15 –35 0
If you selected option A, you added 4 to –36 instead of adding 1 (4/4 = 1). If you selected option C, you deducted 1 instead of adding 1 to the –36. If you selected option D, you deducted 4 from –36 instead of adding 1 (4/4 = 1). 2 A In 20X9, x = 9 trend = 850 + 27 9 = 850 + 3 = 853 = 853 0.98 = 836 units (to the nearest whole number) 850 27 = 97 and failed to take account of the 9
A 2% reduction in the trend is the same as multiplying the trend by 0.98 (100% – 2% = 98% or 0.98). Forecast units
If you selected option B, you calculated trend = cyclical factors. Note that trend = 850 + 27 . 9
If you chose option C, you have increased the trend by 2% instead of decreasing it by this amount. If you selected option D, you forecast the number of units correctly but forgot to take account of cyclical factors.
Answers
201
3
C
In month 13, x = 13 y = 4,320 + (5.2 13) y = 4,320 + 67.6 y = 4,387.6 Sales forecast = 4,387.6 1.15 = 5,045.74 = 5,046 (to the nearest whole number)
If you selected option A, you have forgotten to add the 15% increase (658) to the trend in order to calculate the forecast. If you selected option B, you have reduced the trend by 15% instead of increasing it by this amount. If you selected option D, you correctly calculated the trend but forgot to increase it by 15%. 4 D Trend, y = 250 – 1.57x In time period 15, t = 15 Therefore trend, y = 250 – (1.57 15) y = 250 – 23.55 y = 226.45 Forecast sales = trend + seasonal = 226.45 + (–28) = 198.45 = $198,000 (to the nearest $'000)
If you selected option A, you have calculated the sales forecast using the multiplicative model (ie reduced the trend by 28%) instead of the additive model (deducted 28). If you selected option B, you seem to have subtracted the 1.57 from the 250 and then multiplied by 15 ((250 – 1.57) 15). Watch your order of operations! If you selected option C, you forgot to subtract the seasonal component. 5 C Options A, B and D are conditions which need to be met if time series forecasts are to be reliable. If we wish to make a forecast outside the range of known data (for example, forecasting future results from historical data) we start by extrapolating the trend line (or extending the trend line) outside this range. By extrapolating the trend line, judgement is used and it is possible that errors may be introduced. However, extrapolation is an important tool in forecasting future results from historical data and should not, therefore, be avoided. 6 B As this is a multiplicative model, the seasonal variations should sum (in this case) to 4 (an average of 1) as there are four quarters. Let x = seasonal variation for quarter 4. 0.65 + 1.32 + 1.41 = 3.38 3.38 + x x x = 4 = 4 – 3.38 = 0.62
If you selected option A, you forgot to subtract the sum of the seasonal variations for quarters 13 from 4. If you selected option D, you made an error in your calculation. Try again! 7
202
Answers
C
For the multiplicative model, the seasonal component, S = Y/T
T = Y/S
Quarter 1 0.65 $320,000 $492,308 2 1.32 $500,000 $378,788
Seasonal component (S) Actual series (Y) Trend (T) = Y/S
The trend line for sales has therefore decreased between quarter 1 and quarter 2. If you selected option A, you guessed (incorrectly)! If you selected option B, you did not take the seasonal component into account and compared $320,000 with $500,000 instead of $492,308 with $378,788. If you selected option D, you didn't even try to determine the trend line for sales – it can be determined from the information given. 8 D
1 $1,300 +$200 $1,100 Quarter 2 3 $1,600 $1,050 +$400 –$300 $1,200 $1,350 4 $1,100 –$300 $1,400
Actual value (Y) Seasonal component (S) Seasonallyadjusted value (T) If Y = T + S T=Y–S I and IV are therefore correct.
The seasonallyadjusted value is also known as the trend.
Remember, $1,050 – (–$300) = $1,050 + $300 – a minus and a minus makes a plus! 9 D Seasonallyadjusted data Actual results Seasonal factor 750 = 0.78 = 962 =
If you selected option A you multiplied the underlying trend by the seasonal factor instead of dividing the actual results by the seasonal factor. If you selected option B, you multiplied by the seasonal factor instead of dividing by it. If you selected option C, you divided the underlying trend (instead of the actual results) by the seasonal factor. 10 B In a multiplicative model, values are seasonally adjusted by dividing by the corresponding seasonal factor.
Month Actual Seasonal component Seasonallyadjusted sales January 550 0.54 1,019 February 650 0.60 1,083 March 750 0.73 1,027 April 1,190 1.09 1,092
Answers
203
43 Spreadsheets 1
1 2 B A line graph is the best way of illustrating a trend over time. False A macro is used for automating frequently repeated tasks 3 D II only Relative cell references (B3) change when you copy formulae to other locations. Absolute cell references ($B$3) stay the same when you copy formulae to other locations. 4 A =$D$1/4*B4 This formula will divide the annual turnover by 4 and multiply the result by the seasonal variation. The $ signs show that the cell reference for D1 is absolute so the reference will stay the same when the formula is copied into the cells below. 5 D =($D$1/4)+B10 This formula will divide the annual turnover by 4 and add the result to the seasonal variation found in cell B10. The $ signs show that the cell reference for D1 is absolute so the reference will stay the same when the formula is copied into the cells below. Brackets are needed so that Excel does the multiplication before the addition. 6 C =C10*$B$1 This formula will multiply the quarterly volume in units from cell C10 by the unit selling price in cell B1. The $ signs show that the cell reference for B1 is absolute so the reference will stay the same when the formula is copied into the cells below 7 B =SUM(E4:E8) This formula will add up the values of XY in the column above to give a total. 8
A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 B
a b x at December 20X4 Period Quarter Seasonal variation Trend = y Forecast
10000 400 36 3 months to 31 March 20X5 1 +500 =B1+B2*(B3+B5) =B7+B6
204
Answers
You need to substitute the appropriate spreadsheet cell references for the a.5% to the value in C4 A spreadsheet will always carry out a multiplication or division before an addition or a subtraction. and so a in the spreadsheet formula is B1. 3 4 5 6 7 8 A =B4*17. But the value of x does change and so you cannot simply use B3 but must amend the value in B3 to reflect the quarter you are dealing with ie add 1 (the value in cell C5) to the value in B3 to get the appropriate value for x. 9 Tick box Cashflow forecasting Monthly sales analysis by market Writing a memo Calculation of depreciation Spreadsheets are useful for many types of calculation.5% adds 17.5% =B5+C5 =B4*B9 or =B4*$B$9 or =B4*17. 10 B The formula bar displays the location of the active cell and the formula in the active cell.00 5. =113*2 =32^(1/2) =4^4 =4^2 5. The forecast is the trend value in cell B7 adjusted by the seasonal variation (the value in cell B6). Ctrl + t does nothing and F2 allows you to amend your entries in a cell.00 I and III only =C4*117.66 256. in other words the square root of 32. Likewise the value of b does not change with time. C is 4 to the power of 4.00 16. b and x in the formula y = a + bx for the quarter in question. except as an import of eg a table of data. so the formula in option A would only work if parentheses are used: =(113)*2. The value of a is found in cell B1 whatever the quarter. but are not generally used for memoranda or report writing. The keys Ctrl + ` should be used for this. The symbol ^ means ‘to the power of’. 44 Spreadsheets 2 1 2 B D The formulae on the spreadsheet compute as follows. =B17/12 or =SUM(B4:B15)/12 Answers 205 . so B is 32 to the power of ½. Ctrl + s will save your work.5/100 False.
C and D are incorrect as both the currency and accounting fonts show the currency unit in front of the number:$341. as would the total. The formula =(C4+C5+C6)/3 will add C4. 45 Spreadsheets 3 1 A I and II only The formula =C4+C5+C6/3 will first divide the value in C6 by 3 then add the result to the total of the values in C4 and C5. The values in D11 and D14 would then change as a result. the figures in the other cells will all change to reflect the new rate. D16. The cost of sales (B10:D10) and profit (B11:D11) are then needed for the two components of each column. 206 Answers . C5 and C6 together and divide the result by 3. none in this case. =B11*C11 D C Whilst only one figure needs to be reentered: the new labour rate in C20. but that was not listed in the question.00. A custom format has to be adapted to give brackets instead of a negative number. The rate per hour referred to in cells C11 and C14 are unaffected. 2 A The general format shows the number to as many decimal places as are input or result from the computation of a formula. B11 and B14 would have to be amended to the new value of 2. it would have been stacked on top of the profit and cost of sales to give a meaningless total. #DIV/0! will appear.9 10 D C The product names in B3:D3 are needed for the names of the columns. if this had been selected also. If a nonsensical formula is entered into a cell. The sales data has not been used. The percentage format is the only one of the four options given that would show the result of the formula as a percentage. As it is. Increasing the row height will have no effect on the amount of text that can be included on one line. 3 4 C D 5 6 7 8 9 10 C B A B and C are incorrect as if there is too much text for the size of the cell. Answer B is incorrect as the number is not shown to 2 decimal places: 341. the cost of sales and profit together give the sales as the total height of each column. or will be hidden by the contents of the adjacent cell. A smaller font size and a wider cell would allow more text to be included in the cell. it will spill into adjacent cells if they are empty. The custom format has a percentage option. a different response will be given.5. For example. if your formula results in a value being divided by 0.
"YES") =IF(E7<=B7. D is incorrect as it applies the price as though it were a price per unit when."NO".(D7*E7)) or or =SUM(B10:D10) =E10 =D15 =B16 =IF(E7>B7.0. B15 B16 C10 2 D14 C16 D17 C21 3 E10 E14 E15 E16 4 5 6 D =IF(E7<=B7. C is incorrect as the discount is applied to orders below 1000 units by using the > sign incorrectly.46 Spreadsheets 4 1 Tick box B15 B16 C7 C10 The production figures have to be input to this spreadsheet. A and B are incorrect as they ignore the discount that this order qualifies for.0) =D10 or =D7*B25 =B15 or =C14*0. rather than deducting the discount from the price. so the existing formulae would calculate discount at 1/100th of its intended value.04 =SUM(D14:D16) =C17*B26 or =C17*$B$26 =C14*0. but the figures in the other three cells can be calculated as follows. 7 8 9 10 C False The spreadsheet would read this as 0. Answers 207 .05 instead of 5.04 =B14*0. the price given is per hundred units.(D7*E7).04 =C7*B25 or =C7*$B$25 if replicated from B10 A and B are incorrect as they calculate the price at 5%."NO") =IF(F7="NO". in fact. Look on Tools. A D You should save your work as often as possible to minimise the loss of work should the system crash: this happens to everyone once in a while. Protection for details of how to do this."YES".
50*1.F3) =NPV(B10.$C$3:$C$7.B4:B7)+B3 The initial investment is added as it has been entered as a negative figure.F3:F9) =H3+G4 =NOW() If this is typed into the required cell. 6 =ROUND(327. the time and date will be inserted into that cell. 10 D =AVERAGE(VALUES) The mean is calculated by using the command AVERAGE. 7 8 9 =FREQUENCY(A3:D7. The median and mode can be found by using the commands MEDIAN and MODE.$B$3:$B$7) Note how absolute cell references are used to ensure that each observation is compared with the entire range.47 Spreadsheets 5 1 2 =MEDIAN(A1.2) Note that cell references could be used with the ROUND function but you were only given numbers in this question.15. 208 Answers . 3 4 5 =AVERAGE(C2:C6)/C1 B The data in a range is first named (for example ‘MEN’) and the function can then be typed in as =COUNT(MEN) =FORECAST(B3.
Mock assessments 209 .
210 .
CIMA Paper C3 (Certificate) Fundamentals of Business Mathematics Mock Assessment 1 Question Paper Time allowed Answer ALL fortyfive questions 2 hours DO NOT OPEN THIS PAPER UNTIL YOU ARE READY TO START UNDER EXAMINATION CONDITIONS 211 .
212 .
If the frequency of this interval is 30.9% 10% What values of X and Y satisfy these equations? 6X + 4Y = 14X – 10Y = 5. y and z are related by the equation x = yz The value of y is estimated to be 2.5 and the RPI will be 142. Mock assessment 1: questions 213 .800 X Y 4 A histogram has a standard interval width of 10 units.500 and is subject to a maximum error of 2%. express the index for 2011 at constant 2007 prices (to 1 decimal place). Mr Lal and Mr Brown share the profits from their business so that Mr Singh receives twice as much as Mr Lal. to one decimal place? The base year is 2006. the height of the corresponding bar is (to 1 decimal place) 2009 256 133 2010 292 135 5 Year Wages RPI Index (a) 2005 215 115 2006 223 118 2007 235 122 2008 247 134 Using the information in the table above.1% 7. Mr Brown receives $ 2 Three variables x. (b) If the index for 2011 is going to be 140. One interval has a width of 15 units. Type your answer as a comma separated list (1. The total profit of the business last year was $91.2.5% 7.Answer ALL 45 questions 1 Mr Singh.6). What is the maximum positive error in the value of x in percentage terms? A B C D 3 7.3.5. what are the average weekly wages as index numbers.4.000. The value of z is estimated to be 140 and is subject to a maximum error of 5%. and Mr Brown receives half as much as Mr Lal.
Year Average wages $ 49.540 18.inventory Current liabilities You should write your answer within the spreadsheet below.4. 42 are studying for Certificate level and 8 of the male students are not studying for Certificate level.000 32.500 5.450 13. 40 are male.5.2 141. What is the probability that she is not studying Certificate level? 9 What is the average salary this year in terms of prices five years ago? (To the nearest $).560 C 7 The wages of a production department are distributed as follows: Wages ($) 100< wages < 300 300< wages < 500 500< wages < 700 700< wages < 900 900< wages < 1100 Frequency (f) 4 7 15 8 3 Cumulative frequency (cf) (a) Write as a comma separated list of numbers.145 36.6) (b) What is the cumulative frequency of the lower quartile? 8 In a group of 100 CIMA students.000 RPI (1990 = 100) 153. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 A Machinery Wages Current assets Motor vehicles Inventory Current liabilities Acid test ratio B 20.3. What should be typed in cell B8 in order to calculate the acid test ratio? The formula for the acid test ratio is Current assets .6 This year Five years ago $ 214 Mock assessment 1: questions .6 A company has produced the following spreadsheet. the cumulative frequencies in the cf column (eg 2. A student chosen at random is female.640 12.
The expected profits from each project are shown below.64 0.36 The company should chose Project 14 which has an expected value of $ A saleswoman visits areas A.000 Probability Profit/(Loss) $ 8.35. The standard deviation was found to be $3.500 92.600 12% (b) Use the Excel function ‘AVERAGE’ to calculate the ROI in cell C9 12 The average annual wage of eighty people surveyed was found to be $17.55 0.600 115. Project A Profit $ 4. 0.000 32.500.000 (1.300 84. The expected probability that any given visit is successful is 4 decimal places) (to 15 A normal distribution has a mean of 200 and a standard deviation of 40.45 0.10 If five units at $1 each. ten units at $1.25 each and another ten units at $X each have an arithmetic mean of $1. the value of X is $ (to 2 decimal places) 11 A 1 Project cash out 2 Net project benefits 3 4 5 6 7 8 Cost of capital or interest rate 9 ROI 10 NPV (a) Use the Excel function ‘NPV’ to calculate the NPV in cell C10 B Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 C 320.15 and 0.22.500 101. The coefficient of variation (correct to two decimal places) is 13 A company is deciding between two projects. Approximately 80% of frequencies are less than (to the nearest whole number) Mock assessment 1: questions 215 .12 respectively.000. Project A and Project B. The probabilities that her visits will be successful are 0.000) Project B Probability 0. B and C in the ratio 2:1:1.000 2.
000 now and will yield net revenues of $25.6X. an underlying trend equation has been derived as Y = 21. the forecast for the quarter to the nearest whole number is 19 A machine costs $30. If quarter 11 has a seasonal factor of 1.000 at the end of year 1.9 4 ? The actual sales value for the last two quarters of 20X1 were: Quarter 3 Quarter 4 (a) $520.08.000 (to 2 decimal places) The seasonal variation for the fourth quarter is 216 Mock assessment 1: questions . using a multiplicative model.16 The following data represents a time series: X 412 Y 360 456 332 396 A series of three point moving averages produced from this data has given the first two values as 415 385 What are the values of (X.75 2 1. Quarter Seasonal variation 1 0. 383) C (360.000 at the end of year 2 and $10.1% compounded every six months The APR of the best option is (to 2 decimal places) 21 An investment has a Net Present Value of $4.000 at 10% and a Net Present Value of –$2. 450) 17 B (450. At an interest rate of 6%.671 D $17. $15.175 C $13.000 $540.756 18 Based on the past 10 quarters. the net present value is $ the nearest $) (to 20 A saver has been offered two different deals: Option 1: 2. Y) in the original time series? A (332.025.033 B $17. 381) D (383.5 + 2.000 at the end of year 3. the multiplicative model is used to forecast sales and the following seasonal variations apply. The approximate internal rate of return of the investment is % (to 2 decimal places) 22 In a time series analysis. 450) The present value of a six–year receivable annuity which begins in two years time at 5% per annum compound is $83.6 3 0. What is the annual amount of the annuity? A $18.000 at 15%.6% compounded every three months Option 2: 4.
the correlation coefficient is 24 The straight lines Y = 2X + 4 and Y = 12 – 2X intersect where X= Y= 25 The following formula is used in loan calculations: R= 2PC B(N 1) When the formula is rearranged.266 Y = 78 XY = 134 (to 3 decimal places) X2 = 30 and n = 5. N is equal to 2PC –1 RB 2PC – 1 RB 2PC – 1 none of these 26 The formula 1 2 S 1.1 S2 10S 2 1.(b) The trend line for sales: Remained constant between quarter 3 and quarter 4 Increased between quarter 3 and quarter 4 Decreased between quarter 3 and quarter 4 Cannot be determined from the information given 23 If x = 10 Y2 = 1.1 1– 1 simplifies to 1.1 10S2 Mock assessment 1: questions 217 . with N in terms of the other letters.1 S2 1.
a calculation error has been made.000.$B$3:$B$7) =FORECAST(B3.000 and the seasonal factor using the additive model was 32.$B$3:$B$7) =FORECAST(B3. the trend figure for that period was 1. This value means that no correlation exists between the ages and the scrap values of these machines. on their fifth attempt is decimal places) (to 3 218 Mock assessment 1: questions .533.$B$3:$B$7) The staff in the Complaints Department of an airline are available to answer the telephone at random times.597.565. perfect negative correlation exists.250. what Excel formula is required in cell D3 to calculate the forecast (using a least squared line approach)? The formula needs to be written so that it can be copied into cell D4 through to D7. 29 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 A Month B Output 000 units C Costs $'000 D Forecast 1 2 3 4 5 20 16 24 22 18 82 70 90 85 73 Given the scenario above.000 1. which amount to 20% of the working day on average.282.000 1. The probability that a customer's call is answered for the first time.C3:C7.000 28 The rank correlation coefficient between the ages and the scrap values of a certain type of machine equals –1.218.000 1. What is the seasonally adjusted unemployment figure for the last quarter? A B C D 1. weak negative correlation exists.000.27 Unemployment last quarter was 1. A B C D 30 =FORECAST(B3.$C$3:$C$7.$C$3:$C$7.C3:C7.B3:B7) =FORECAST($B$3.
the coefficient of rank correlation between their performance in Accounting and their performance in Law is –1. 31 32 The effective annual interest that the company is charging is % (to 2 decimal places) The company decides to reduce its monthly interest rate to 1.8% but also charges customers $8 per year for having the card.The following data relate to questions 31 and 32 A credit card company charges its customers 2. Mock assessment 1: questions 219 . Therefore. the coefficient of rank correlation between their performance in Accounting and their performance in FBSM is –2 zero +1 impossible to determine from the information given.2% interest each month on the outstanding balance on their account. The outstanding balance that a customer should keep on the card in order to benefit from this change is $ (to the nearest $) 33 On the basis of the scatter diagram above. which of the following equations would best represent the regression line of Y on X? A B C D 34 Y= –X + 8 Y= X + 8 Y= X – 8 Y= –X – 8 For a certain group of students. The coefficient of rank correlation between their performance in Law and FBSM is also –1.
4 – 26. Trainee number Aptitude test Practical examination 1 11 15 2 14 16 3 14 22 4 18 14 5 19 17 6 26 24 (a) (b) 39 The coefficient of correlation.7 – 7.7 – 9. in units of production. r.3 220 Mock assessment 1: questions .1 Year 3 + 11. The data are as follows. 36 Using the method of least squares. given the volume of bookings. Year Number of holidays booked Number of complaints received 1 246 94 2 192 80 3 221 106 4 385 183 5 416 225 6 279 162 7 343 191 8 582 252 9 610 291 10 674 310 The agency suspects there is a relationship between the number of bookings and the volume of complaints and wishes to have some method of estimating the number of complaints. between the marks for the test and the examination is 2 decimal places) The coefficient of determination is (to 2 decimal places) (to A statistician is carrying out an analysis of a company's production output.8 – 28.5 + 23. The marks awarded for the test and examination for 6 trainees are given below. The quarterly sums required for the sinking fund are $ (to the nearest $) The following data relate to questions 36 and 37 A travel agency has kept records of the number of holidays booked and the number of complaints received over the past ten years. with the first being made three months from now. The output varies according to the season of the year and from the data she has calculated the following seasonal variations.5 Year 2 + 12.5 million. the coefficients in the regression line y = a + bx using the above data are a= b= 37 (to 3 decimal places) (to 3 decimal places) Using the regression line y = a + bx (with the values you have calculated in question 36) the forecast number of complaints when 750 holidays are booked is 38 A pilot training school is trying to assess whether there is any correlation between the results of the initial aptitude tests given to all trainees and the practical examination given after 3 months' training. The rate of compound interest is 2% a quarter. a company will have to replace capital equipment which will then cost $0.35 In exactly three years from now. Spring Summer Autumn Winter Year 1 + 11.2 + 23. The managers have decided to set up a sinking fund into which twelve equal sums will be put at quarterly intervals.
1 3 Mock assessment 1: questions 221 .00 Material A Material B Material C Material D One allitems price index for materials for the next quarter.20 12 12.00 25 26. Its use of materials and their respective prices.000. and the current quantities as weights is calculated as (to 1 decimal place) The following data should be used for questions 41 and 42 In an internal audit of 200 invoices.8 2 2. the following numbers of errors were discovered: Number of errors: Number of invoices: 41 0 60 1 30 2 40 3 40 4 20 5 10 6 or more 0 The percentage of invoices with errors is A B C D 30% 70% 80% None of these 42 The expected value of the number of errors per invoice is 1. The maintenance department's budget for the current quarter (just ending) is $200.50 9 9.The average seasonal variation for each season is (to 1 decimal place) Spring Summer Autumn Winter 40 You are assisting with the work on a maintenance department's budget for the next quarter of 20X4. Quantity used in current quarter Units 9 13 8 20 Average price payable per unit Current quarter Next quarter $ $ 10 10. are shown below. using the current quarter as base.
(T = 1 indicates the first quarter in 1998. Forecast sales (units) for the next three quarters of 2001 are (a) (b) (c) Forecast for Q2 2001 Forecast for Q3 2001 Forecast for Q4 2001 A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 B Jan $'000 2431 6532 895 9858 45 C Feb $'000 3001 5826 432 9259 D Mar $'000 2189 6124 596 8909 E Total $'000 7621 18482 1923 28026 BUDGETED SALES FIGURES North South West Total If the February sales figure for the South changed from $5. T = 5 the first quarter of 1999 and so on.The following data should be used for questions 43 and 44 A retailer sells computer games. The trend in sales is linear and described by the equation SALES = 180 – 10T.731. T = 2 the second quarter in 1998. predict the trend value for Q2 2001. where T denotes the time period.] Sales 1998 1999 2000 2001 Q1 105 80 50 30 Q2 95 70 50 Q3 150 110 70 Q4 250 180 110 Average seasonal variations for the years 19982001 Q1 –40% Q2 –40% Q3 0 Q4 +80% 43 44 Using the trend equation.) For planning purposes. Tabulated below are the unit sales of one of its games for the last 13 quarters. 222 Mock assessment 1: questions . forecasts of sales are required for the remaining three quarters of this year. what other figures would change as a result? Give cell references.826 to $5. [The brand was introduced in 1997.
Answers DO NOT TURN THIS PAGE UNTIL YOU HAVE COMPLETED MOCK ASSESSMENT 1 223 .
224 .
5 = 20).200 4Y = 1.550 The maximum value of z is 140 × 1.8.200 (3) + (4) X = 700 (6 × 700) + 4Y = 5. 5 (a) 96.130.500 × 140 = 350. the index number = 235/223 × 100 = 105.000 = 3.02 = 2.5 = 15) then the height must be reduced by 1.800 (2) 60X + 40Y = 58.4 In 2007.850 – 350.110.4.000 If Mr Lal receives $x 91.5 RPI in 2007 = 122 RPI in 2011 = 142 Mock assessment 1: answers 225 .5x 91.850 The estimated value of xy is 2.800 (1) 14X – 10Y = 5. therefore when the width is increased by 1.550 × 147 = 374.8.000 × 100% = 7.500 × 1.600 Y = 400 4 (1) × 10 (2) × 4 20 (to 1 decimal place) The area of a bar represents the frequency of an interval.800 substitute in (1) 4Y = 5.9 In 2005.200 (4) 116X = 81.000/2 = $13.000/350.000 (3) 56X – 40Y = 23.4.000 Mr Brown receives half as much as Mr Lal = 26.4 etc (b) 163.5 (10 1. the index number = 215/223 × 100 = 96.1 $13.114.000 2 A The maximum value of y is 2.100.5x x = 26.105.1% 3 X Y 700 400 6X + 4Y = 5.000 The maximum positive error is therefore 374.800 – 4.05 = 147 The maximum value of xy is 2.5 (30/1.000 = 2x + x + 0.
25 The lower quartile is the population below which 25% of the population fall.50 25 $10X $1. 25% × 37 = 9.25 8 0.26.5 The easiest way to answer this questions is using a table: Not Certificate Male Female Total 8 58 – 8 = 50 100 – 42 = 58 Certificate 40 – 8 = 32 60 – 50 = 10 42 Total 40 100 – 40 = 60 100 The probability that a randomly chosen female student is not studying for Certificate level is 50/100 = 0.290 Average salary this year in terms of prices five years ago = $49.5 9 $ 45.22 $1.2 = $45.22 = $1.5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 7 A Machinery Wages Current assets Motor vehicles Inventory Current liabilities Acid test ratio B 20145 36450 13540 18500 5640 12560 =(B3B5)/B6 C (a) 4.Index number at constant 2007 prices = 140.34.000 141.22 226 = 25 = $17.25) (10 $ X) 5 10 10 $5 $12.50 + $10X Mock assessment 1: answers .5 × 142/122 × 100 = 163.6 153.30 (to 2 decimal places) = Arithmetic mean Sum of values of items Number of items (5 $1) (10 $1.37 (b) 9.11.290 (to the nearest $) 10 $ 1.
cash inflows) – initial investment =AVERAGE(C2:C6)/C1) 12 0.000 = $2.000 $17.760 = ($4.000 0.000) = $5.5 – $17.36) 4.30 =NPV(C8.2425 Expected value = px where x = value p = probability of value occurring 0.120 + (–$360) = $5.175 + 0.$30.64) + (($1.500 = 0.900 0.C2:C6)C1 The format of the NPV formula is =NPV(cost of capital.03 = 0.45) + ($2.0375 + 0.760 (to 4 decimal places) 14 0.15) + (1/4 = 0.17 (correct to 2 decimal places) = = Standard deviation Mean Coefficient of variation $3.17 13 The company should chose Project Project A Project B B which has an expected value of $ 0.000 = ($8.12) Expected value = (2/4 0.35) + (1/4 0.50 $13 $13 10 X 11 = $10X = $10X = $X = $1.2425 Mock assessment 1: answers 227 .120 – $360 = $4.55) 0.
6 + 200 233. such that 80% of frequencies are below it and 20% are above it.1 Seasonally adjusted forecast = 50.6 33. 18 54 Y = 21.5 + (2.15 234 (to the nearest whole number) We need to find the point Z standard deviations above the mean. x If Z = 0. 30% of frequencies lie between the mean and 0.84 40 33. From normal distribution tables.025 = Annuity(5.84 standard deviations from the mean.6 X 16 B = X 200 40 = X – 200 = X – 200 = X = X = 234 X = 450 and Y = 383 X 412 412 3 Y 3 Y = 415 = 385 360 Y = (3 × 385) – 412 – 360 = 383 X 412 3 383 = 415 X = (415 × 3) – 412 – 383 = 450 17 B Present value = Annuity(DF year 7– DF year 1) 83.952) Annuity = 83.108 = 54 to nearest whole number 228 Mock assessment 1: answers .175 If you chose option A you have used the discount factors for years 8 and 2 instead of years 7 and 1. trend for month 11 = 21. Remember that the cumulative present value table shows the present value at the end of each year.1 x 1.5 + 2.84 0.834 = $17.08 = 54.786 – 0. This means that 50% – 20% = 30% of the frequencies lie between the point Z and the mean.6 x 11) = 50.025/4.6X If X = 11.
000 = 10% + 4.041.890 0.37% 21 13.575 13.25 0.1081 R = 10.350 8.000) (15 10) % IRR = 10% + 3.840 NPV = PV $ (30.000 15.000 Discount factor 6% 1 0.6 + 0.400 15.75 Mock assessment 1: answers 229 . Let X = seasonal variation in quarter 4 0.000 4.000 10. the seasonal variations should sum to 4 (giving an average of 1 per quarter).19 $ 15.026.000) 23.943 0.325 Year 0 1 2 3 20 10.000) 25. n = 2 1 + R = 1.25 + X X X = = = = 4 4 4 – 3.000 NPVB = –$2.000 ( 2.0837 R = 8.0412 1 + R = 1.75 (to 2 decimal places) As this is the multiplicative model.75 + 1.81% (to the nearest $) Cashflow $ (30.81% Option 2: r = 0.33% = 13.33% 22 (a) The seasonal variation for the fourth quarter is 0.0264 1 + R = 1. n = 4 1 + R = 1.9 + X 3.325 (1 + R) = (1+ r)n Option 1: r = 0.33 IRR = a% + where % (to 2 decimal places) NPVA NPVA NPVB (b a) % a = 10% b = 15% NPVA = $4.
992 (to 3 decimal places) = n XY X Y [n X 2 ( X)2 ][n Y 2 ( Y)2 ] Correlation coefficient.000 $577.000 Seasonal component (S) Actual series (Y) Trend (T = Y/S) The trend for sales has therefore increased between quarters 3 and 4.75 $540.90537 = –0.000 $720. the seasonal component is as follows.266 6.300 110 110.778 4 0.084) 100) (6. r = = = = = (5 134) (10 78) (5 30 100) (5 1.9 $520.992 230 Mock assessment 1: answers .084) 670 (150 110 (50 246) 780 6. 23 –0. S = Y/T T = Y/S Quarter 3 0.330 110 12.(b) The trend line for sales: Increased between quarter 3 and quarter 4 Workings For a multiplicative model.
909090909S2 = = 10S2 S 1– 0.000 – (32.24 X= Y= 2 8 Workings or Y Y Y Y 0 4X X = 12 – 2X = –2X + 12 = = = = = –2X + 12 2X + 4 –4X + 8 8 2 2) (1) (2) (1) – (2) If X = 2.$C$3:$C$7. Its value can range from –1 to +1.000 perfect negative correlation exists The coefficient of rank correlation can be interpreted in exactly the same way as the ordinary correlation coefficient. Mock assessment 1: answers 231 .1 B Seasonally adjusted data = Actual results – seasonal factor = 1.565. Y = 12 – (2 = 12 – 4 = 8 2PC RB 25 Workings –1 R= 2PC B(N 1) 2PC RB N+1= N= 26 2PC –1 RB 10S2 Workings 27 1 2 1 0. 28 29 C =FORECAST(B3.1 1.09090909 1.597.000) = 1.$B$3:$B$7) Absolute cell references are used to ensure that each observation is compared with the entire range.
2 = 0.87% The annual saving in interest per $ outstanding = $(0.0597 The minimum balance to be kept on the card to benefit from the change = $8/$0.2984 = 29. performance in FBSM is HIGH.8 1 Not answered Answered Probability 2 Attempt 3 4 5 0. The gradient of the regression line has a gradient of –1 and cuts the y axis at y=8 (ie when x=0.0597 = $134.018)12/1 – 1 = 0.2 = 0. ie R = +1 34 232 Mock assessment 1: answers .84 Workings % (to 2 decimal places) Effective annual rate = [(1 + r)12/n – 1] Where r = rate for each time period n = number of months in time period Effective annual rate = (1 + 0.8 0.2387) = $0.2 Probability (call answered for first time on fifth attempt) = 0. y=8). +1 Say.8 0. performance in Accounting is HIGH .022)12/1 – 1 = 0.2 Pr(call not answered) = 1 – 0.082 Workings (to 3 decimal places) Pr(call answered) = 0.8 0.082 (to 3 decimal places) 31 29.2984 – 0. 33 A The scatter diagram displays perfect negative correlation. Law is LOW Performance in Accounting is HIGH when performance in FBSM is HIGH and they are therefore positively correlated.2387 = 23.8 0. Law is LOW Say.84% 32 $ 134 (to the nearest $) Workings The new effective annual rate = (1 + 0.8 4 0.30 0.
124 15.625 26. S is the value of the fund at the end of 12 quarters and A is (R 1) the quarterly sum invested.400 11.504 84.513 146. If you find it useful to do so.000 = 13. value of sinking fund = A(1.836 6.864 48.600 45.426 70.516 36.560 0.0212 1) = 13.828.02.236 33.596 Mock assessment 1: answers 233 .841 148.360 23.453 (to 3 decimal places) (to 3 decimal places) Workings The method of least squares involves using the following formulae for a and b in y = a + bx.841 117.225 173.100 417.056 77. the sinking fund must equal $500.280 (to the nearest $) Workings Note. the first payment into the fund must be one time period from now. Let x = the number of holidays booked Let y = the number of complaints received b= n xy x y n x 2 ( x )2 a = y bx where n = the number of pairs of data x = the average x value of all the pairs of data y = the average y value of all the pairs of data x 246 192 221 385 416 279 343 582 610 674 3.244 36.198 65.510 208.02 1) After 12 quarters.092 y2 8.489 50.649 338.664 177.894 xy 23. Using this formula.000 500.790 x2 60. where R = 1. you should draw a time line to identify the time periods and interest rates involved in the question you are tackling. Use the formula S = A(Rn 1) .276 1.948 y 94 80 106 183 225 162 191 252 291 310 1. After 3 years (12 quarters).481 63.940 869.455 93.724 372.681 96.35 $ 37.100 454.412 A A = $37. The formula for the sum of a geometric progression is provided in your examination.280 = quarterly sum 36 a= b= 10.412 A (1.
31.56 (to 2 0.828.596 = = n xy x y (10 869.697.453x 37 351 Workings If the number of holidays booked is 750.026 234 Mock assessment 1: answers .Therefore.900 7.894) = 2 n x ( x )2 10 1.75 = 350.477.790) (3.280.092 (3.948 1. n = 10 (there are ten pairs of data for x and y values) x y xy x y b 2 2 = 3.948 ) 10 Therefore a = y bx = 189.896 X2 121 196 196 324 361 676 2 X = 1.453 18.874 Y2 225 256 484 196 289 576 2 Y = 2.920 15.56 Thus y = 10.4 – 178.84 = 10.790 = 1.694.453 10 3.216 =( 1.56 + (0.31 (to 2 decimal places) Let X = Aptitude test results Y = Practical examination results n=6 Trainee number 1 2 3 4 5 6 X 11 14 14 18 19 26 X = 102 Y 15 16 22 14 17 24 Y = 108 XY 165 224 308 252 323 624 XY = 1. then x = 750 and the number of complaints (y) may be forecast as follows.092 = 417.586.704 2. between the marks for the test and the examination is decimal places) The coefficient of determination is Workings 0.388 = = 0.948 = 1.948)2 8.453 750) = 10. say 351 complaints 38 The coefficient of correlation.894 ) – (0.894 = 869.828.56 + 0. y = 10. r.512 1.220.56 + 339.
Using the formula for the coefficient of correlation (r) provided in the examination: r =
n XY [n X
2 2
X Y ( Y)2]
( X) ][n Y 2
r =
(6 1,896) (102 108) [(6 1,874) (102)2][(6 2,026) (108)2]
11,376 11,016 (11,244 10,404)(12,156 11,664)
360 840 492
r =
=
=
360 413,280
= 0.56
The coefficient of correlation, r, between the marks for the test and the examination is 0.56. The coefficient of determination, r2 = 0.562 = 0.31 (to 2 decimal places) 39 The average seasonal variation for each season is (to 1 decimal place) Spring Summer Autumn Winter
Workings
–8.5 –27.1 +11.9
+23.7
Spring
Summer
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Average variation Adjust total variation to nil Estimated seasonal variation
40
–9.8 –7.4 –8.6 +0.1 –8.5
–28.1 –26.3 –27.2 +0.1 –27.1
Autumn +11.2 +12.5 +11.7 +11.8 +0.1 +11.9
Winter +23.5 +23.7
Total
+23.6 +0.1 +23.7
–0.4 +0.4 0.0
103.5
Workings
(to 1 decimal place)
An aggregate price index is calculated as follows.
Aggregate price index =
Material A Material B Material C Material D
(W) 9 13 8 20
P1W P0 W
100
P0 10 12 9 25 P1 10.20 12.50 9.00 26.00 P0W 90 156 72 500 818 P1W 91.80 162.50 72.00 520.00 846.30
Mock assessment 1: answers
235
W = quantity used in current quarter P0 = Average price payable per unit in current quarter P1 = Average price payable per unit in next quarter
Aggregate price index
=
846.30 818
100
= 103.5 (to 1 decimal place) 41 B Percentages of invoices with errors Total number of invoices = 60+30+40+40+20+10+0 = 200 Number of invoices without errors Number of invoices with errors = 60 = 200 – 60 = 140 = 140 200 = 70% 100%
Percentage of invoices with errors
42
1.8
Number of errors Number of invoices Probability
0 60 0.3
1 30 0.15
2 40 0.2
3 40 0.2
4 20 0.1
5 10 0.05
6 or more 0 0
Expected value of number of errors per invoice = (0 0.3) + (1 0.15) + (2 0.2) + (3 0.2) + (4 0.1) + (5 0.05) + (6 0) = 0 + 0.15 + 0.4 + 0.6 + 0.4 + 0.25 + 0 = 1.8 errors 43 The trend value for Q2 2001 is
Workings
40
units.
Q2 2001 is T = 14 If trend = 180 – 10T = 180 – (10 14) = 180 – 140 = 40 units 44 (a) (b) (c) Forecast for Q2 2001: Forecast for Q3 2001: Forecast for Q4 2001:
24 30 36
(W1) (W2) (W3)
236
Mock assessment 1: answers
Workings
(1)
Q2 2001 is T = 14, trend = 40 units Forecast sales = 40 0.6* = 24 units * (100% – 40%) = 60% = 0.6 Q3 2001 is T = 15, trend = 180 – (10 Forecast sales = 30 1 = 30 units* * No seasonal variation in this quarter 15) = 180 – 150 = 30 units
(2)
(3) C7 E5 E7
Q4 2001 is T = 16, trend = 180 – (10 16) = 180 – 160 = 20 units Forecast sales = 20 1.8 = 36 units
45
Mock assessment 1: answers
237
238
Mock assessment 1: answers
CIMA Paper C3 (Certificate) Fundamentals of Business Mathematics Mock Assessment 2
Question Paper Time allowed Answer ALL fortyfive questions 2 hours
DO NOT OPEN THIS PAPER UNTIL YOU ARE READY TO START UNDER EXAMINATION CONDITIONS
239
240
763 $35. the base is now changed to 2004. Splice the two series together using base 2005. Which year now has an index of 98? 2 Product X needs 2 labour hours. there are 500 hours available.290 4 An annual yearend income of $15. the sum required now to purchase the annuity is closest to A B C D $13.000 is required in perpetuity.000 $150.650 $135.460 $43.000 $167. How would this be expressed as an inequality? A B C D 2X + 5Y < 500 5X + 2Y > 500 2X +5Y > 500 5X + 2Y < 500 3 $10. 2000 = 100 2001 165 2002 170 2003 178 2004 183 2005 190 2005 = 100 2006 104 2007 108 2008 115 2009 122 2010 129 Using the new series.000 Mock assessment 2: questions 241 . Assuming a fixed rate of interest of 9% each year. product Y needs 5 labour hours. earning interest of 5% per annum.155 $12.000 was invested on 1 January 20X3.Answer ALL 45 questions 1 The following price index has undergone a change of base in 2005. The value of this investment on 31 December 20X7 will be (to the nearest $) A B C D $12. and ignoring administrative charges.
with payment due in the same way as for machine A. The net present value of machine A is $ (to the nearest $) 7 The cost of a piece of equipment is $5.000.000 and machine B yearend net operational cash flows of $50.5 George does a number of cycle rides in a week. the value of x is 6 A health and fitness centre has to buy one of two types of machine.250 The value of the standard deviation (to 1 decimal place) is 9 A company is considering purchasing a new machine for $25.000. half of which would be due on delivery. in miles. In both cases the relevant cost of capital is 10% each year throughout the period. x. Taking into account operating costs and maintenance.780 $10.000.610 61.159 $10. food and nonfood. In a week where his average ride was 22 miles. the net present value of this investment is A B C D 10 $4.000. his individual ride distances. y. This would increase the annual cash flow of the company by $6. 17. A or B. Machine A would cost $200.3%. were 35.500 in each of the next six years. Using the numbers given.356 plus sales tax of 14. (f) = (fx) = (fx2) = 50 1. 23 When x = 2y.000 An index number is made up of two items. what Excel formula is required to calculate the total price rounded to 2 decimal places? 8 The following has been calculated for a frequency distribution. the remainder a year later. If the cost of capital is 9% per annum. machine A would produce yearend net operational cash flows of $40. Both machines last for 6 years and have an expected scrap value of 10% of their original cost price.901 $14. Subgroup Nonfood Food All items Weight 7 3 10 Index 130 ? 127 The index number for the subgroup Food is closest to A B C D 120 122 124 126 242 Mock assessment 2: questions . 24. Machine B would cost $240.
12 1. 3. 5. 5. 8 12 Sample 1: Sample 2: A B C D Which of the following statistics has the same value in both samples? Arithmetic mean Standard deviation Median Mode Mock assessment 2: questions 243 . 5. 8.11 Y 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 20 40 60 80 X What is the best approximation to the equation of the line drawn through these points? A B C D y= y= y= y= 3x – 20 2 2x + 20 3 3x + 20 2 2x – 20 3 2.
The expected value to the company of the profits from all three contracts will be closest to: A B C D $240. The average annual percentage decline in market value is closest to 20% 40% 50% 100% 14 The net present value of an investment at 10% is $12. You want to borrow $150. The weighted price index incorporating the three products is 148.000. and at 18% is – $4.000. $700.000 and $800. What will be your monthly repayment for the first six years.5% on the remaining balance thereafter.000 $575. what was the weighting used for Aniseed balls? A B C D 17 50 30 60 40 A company is bidding for three contracts which are awarded independently of each other.6. If the weighting used for Sherbet is 60 and for Liquorice was 50. The profits from A.000 $700.000 respectively. B and C are estimated to be $600.13 A company's market value has fallen from $32 billion to $2 billion in four years.000 for a total term of 25 years. of winning Contract B as 1 in 4 and of winning Contract C as 1 in 5. correct to the nearest $? 16 The price indices for three products were: Product Sherbet Liquorice Aniseed balls Index 135 152 170 All of the indices have the same base year with an index of 100.000. The internal rate of return of this investment is A B C D 12% 14% 16% 22% 15 A mortgage offer has been made at 4% fixed rate for six years and 6.000 $800.000 244 Mock assessment 2: questions . The board estimates its chances of winning Contract A as 40%.
Which statement about the breakdown of weekly costs is true? A B C D Fixed costs are $2. Variable costs per unit are $5. a= b= 19 20 When x = 4 the value (to 2 decimal places) of (x0.000.18 For a set of six data pairs for the variable x (profit) and y (sales) the following values have been found. Variable costs per unit are $2.000. Variable costs per unit are $300.000 + 300P.000. Fixed costs are $2. Mock assessment 2: questions 245 . Variable costs per unit are $4. How many moving average points are plotted? 20 21 22 24 21 A company's weekly costs ($C) were plotted against production level (P) for the last 50 weeks and a regression line calculated to be C = 2.65)6 = The sales of a product are recorded monthly for 24 months. Fixed costs are $300. Fixed costs are $300. x=2 y = 15 x2 = 30 y2 = 130 xy = 14 Calculate the values for the intercept and gradient of the linear regression line for this data (to 2 decimal places). The fourpoint (centred) moving averages are calculated and plotted on a graph.
The value in this cell is a formula. Which of the following would not be a correct entry for this cell? A B C D =E7E30+D32 =E5+E7E30 =E32 =15710 246 Mock assessment 2: questions .22 A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 (a) B C D E Cash forecast for Peter & Sons Month 1 $ Opening cash Receipts Payments Staff: Project manager Supervisor Mechanic 1 Mechanic 2 Mechanic 3 Admin staff National insurance @ Total staff costs F 0 16500 Month 2 $ 7482 17250 Month 3 $ 15710 18300 1800 1500 1200 1100 1000 1050 10% 765 8415 35 120 58 250 10 45 55 30 603 9018 7482 1800 1500 1200 1100 1000 1050 765 8415 35 120 60 250 12 45 55 30 607 9022 15710 1900 1500 1200 1100 1000 1050 775 8525 35 120 62 250 14 45 55 30 611 9136 24874 Insurance Telephone Computer supplies Rent Stationery Accountancy Marketing Other costs Total other costs Total payments Closing cash The cell F5 (column F row 5) shows the opening position for month 3.
Which of the following is the correct formula for this cell? A B C D =D28+D18 =SUM(D11:D28) =SUM(D7:D28) D18+D28 23 You are given a frequency distribution within a spreadsheet as shown below. Which of the formulae shown below would be the best formula for cell D17? A B C D =SUM(D11:D16)*0. This cell is then copied down the column. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (a) A x 3 9 15 22 31 35 41 156 B f 16 13 7 21 4 14 12 87 C fx D A formula is entered into cell C2 to calculate fx.1 =SUM(D11:D16)*$C17 =SUM(D11:D16)*10% =SUM(D11:D16)*C17 (c) The cell D30 (column D row 30) shows the total payments. What formula is entered in cell C2? (b) What would be entered into a cell to calculate In cell the formula fx and into which cell would this be entered? would be entered Mock assessment 2: questions 247 .(b) The formula in D17 (column D row 17) adds a percentage national insurance charge to the sub total of staff costs.
is +0.F3:F9) =FDIST(F3:F9. The proportion of variation in x that is explained by variation in y is (to 4 decimal places) 26 The number of daily complaints to a railway company has an average (arithmetic mean) of 12 and a standard deviation of 3 complaints.65.A3:D7) The correlation coefficient between two variables.A3:D7) =FREQUENCY(A3:D7. x and y.F3:F9) =FREQUENCY(F3:F9. The coefficient of variation is A B C D 0. with P in terms of the other variables. P is equal to R V R G V V R V R G G G 248 Mock assessment 2: questions .24 A Average length of component B C D E F G 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1087 924 1265 1086 1134 850 1226 1028 1130 1166 1084 1012 1230 989 1129 792 1205 1182 1155 1160 Length in mm 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 What Excel formula is needed in the range G3:G9 to calculate the frequency distribution of the average length per component? A B C D 25 =FDIST(A3:D7.25% 4% 25% 400% 27 The following formula is used in the financial analysis of dividends: R V P G When the formula is rearranged.
000 31 You borrow $3.593 $31. which operate independently.000. The probability of an alarm failing at any time is 1 in 100. The security system operates provided that at least one of the three alarms is working. with annual interest compounded at 6% each year. The percentage of calls lasting under 30 minutes is closest to 2% 48% 83% 98% 29 A fixedinterest $200.400 30 A company's security system is made up of three separate electronic alarms. if you pay this interest at the end of each year.954 $83.000 and pay 10% each year interest. The annual repayment $R will be closest to $14. is to be repaid by 15 equal yearend repayments of $R. Ignoring capital.133 $20.28 The length of telephone calls to a Software Support line is approximately normally distributed with a mean of 20 minutes and a standard deviation of 5 minutes.000 1 in 1. what is the present value of the interest payable at the end of the third year? (3/10) (7/10) (10/11)3 (11/10)3 $300 $300 $300 $400 3 Mock assessment 2: questions 249 . The probability of the security system failing is 1 in 100 3 in 100 1 in 10.000 mortgage.
608 D 2. In this country. In whole units.32 A manufacturer supplies components in boxes of 10. Type of fish Number of fish Annual % increase A 400 10 B 300 20 C 200 30 D 100 40 After one year.6 times trend.4 YEAR + 30. the forecast for the year 2007 is estimated at 1.000 A customer is to be randomly selected for a holiday prize. according to the numbers in the table below. In a large batch. Each customer buys one unit. the forecast for the year 2007 is A 1. the trend equation for a particular product is given by TREND = 0. the percentage of fish of Type D in the lake will be closest to 10% 12% 14% 20% 34 In a time series analysis.000 36 The mailorder sales (units) of Brand X in a certain country are shown below.000 D $260. the populations of all twenty subgroups are equal.000 C $161. Ages are given in years. Forecast profits for the year 20X8 using an additive model if the cyclical component for that year is –25 are A $235.639 35 B 3. stating that there is a (independent) chance of 10% of any one component being faulty. The probability that this customer is from the East and over 39 years of age is to 3 decimal places. where Y is the trend in $'000 and t is the year with t = 0 in 20X0.0002 YEAR2 + 0. Mailorder sales of Brand X (units) by region and age in 20X6 Region/Age 21–29 30–39 40–49 50–59 North 100 80 50 40 South 55 50 45 30 East 65 60 65 60 West 20 30 40 50 240 220 60 + 30 20 50 60 Total 300 200 300 200 1. the percentage of boxes containing no faulty components will be closest to 10% 35% 50% 90% 33 A new lake is to be stocked with fish.622 A company's annual profits have a trend line given by Y = 30t – 10.4 Due to the cyclical factor.211 C 2. 250 Mock assessment 2: questions .000 B $205.
23. The daily demand for cakes over the last four months is shown in the table below. B. At the end of each day. The probability that an item is processed on A or E is: A B C D 1/12 2/7 1/2 7/12 40 A bakery produces fresh cakes each day. X = 12 and b = –0. any unsold cakes are sold to a local pig farmer for $0. At the second stage it is processed by one of two machines – E or F – and is twice as likely to go through F as this machine works twice as quickly. C. In this country. What is the value of Y to two decimal places? 39 An item is made in two stages. Each customer buys one unit.20 per cake and the retail price is $0.05 per cake.000 For the North and South the rank correlation coefficient between sales and age is whole number). the populations of all twenty subgroups are equal. 38 (to the nearest If y = aXb and a = 8 minutes. 100 etc] Complete the daily contribution ($) table shown below. The variable costs of production are $0. Ages are given in years. or D – with equal probability. At the first stage it is processed by one of four machines – A.50 per cake. Daily demand (cakes) Number of days: 139 10 4079 20 80119 30 120159 30 160199 10 [For simplicity. 20 6 A Daily demand for cakes 60 100 140 6 6 6 18 18 18 B Daily production of cakes 20 60 100 140 180 180 6 18 30 30 42 30 42 D C Probability of demand E Mock assessment 2: questions 251 . Mailorder sales of Brand X (units) by region and age in 20X6 Region/Age North South East West 21–29 100 55 65 20 240 30–39 80 50 60 30 220 40–49 50 45 65 40 50–59 40 30 60 50 60 + 30 20 50 60 Total 300 200 300 200 1.37 The mailorder sales (units) of Brand X in a certain country are shown below. the midpoints of the intervals are assumed to be 20. 60.
the seasonal variations given by averaging the (Y – T) values are as follows.000 41 The seasonal variation for the fourth quarter is: A B C D 42 3. Cannot be determined from the information given.1 The trend line for sales: A B C D Decreased between quarter 1 and quarter 2 .4 0.6 1. the multiplicative model is used to forecast sales and the following seasonal variations apply: Quarter Seasonal variation 1 1.6 3 0.3 2 1. Year Y –T 1 2 3 4 16 32 18 34 The averages are subsequently adjusted so that their total is 0.0 1. Remained constant between quarter 1 and quarter 2. 43 In an additive time series analysis.000 Quarter 2: $135.5 4 ? The actual sales values for the first two quarters of 2006 were: Quarter 1: $125.A B C D E The following information is to be used for questions 41 and 42 In a time series analysis. Increased between quarter 1 and quarter 2. What is the new value of the current average for year 4? 252 Mock assessment 2: questions .
095.879.30 21.64 112.33 89.89 449.01 334.89 1.56 552.80 4.60 15.50 24.16 79.51 93.10 159.32 164.25 0.101.72 249.10 28.674.50 137.76 299.30 10.44 412.60 6.25 1.10 5.00 Calculate the correlation coefficient for this data (to 3 decimal places).36 252.40 11.16 228.56 199.64 19.10 18.50 X2 6.25 600. The following results have been produced. Mean temperature X 2.29 102.36 134.25 4.25 2.60 23.58 152.36 42.75 26.01 26.70 33.96 501.61 817.60 Gas consumption Y 26.60 8.20 10.48 131.20 20.10 Y2 712.20 4. Mock assessment 2: questions 253 .64 21.40 17.21 213.90 14.09 201.60 22.50 211.10 4.50 0.59 XY 66.30 14.01 17.04 89.44 Which of these scatter diagrams shows no linear correlation between x and y? y y y y A x B x C x D x 45 A gas supplier has monitored the monthly volume of gas consumed in an area against the mean temperature each month.
254 Mock assessment 2: questions .
Answers DO NOT TURN THIS PAGE UNTIL YOU HAVE COMPLETED MOCK ASSESSMENT 2 255 .
256 .
000 (1. You should have been able to eliminate Options C and D straightaway since commonsense will tell you that $10.67 = $167.000 is invested at 5% pa for 5 years. you have the letters the wrong way round and if you answered C.05)5 = $12.05)4 Option A is incorrect because it has not included the final year's interest payment ($10. the symbol is greater than instead of less then.000 5 22 35 + 24 + 2y +17 + y + 23 = 22 6 99 + 3y = 22 6 99 + 3y = 132 3y = 33 y = 11 If x = 2y x = 2 11 = 22 Mock assessment 2: answers 257 . 4 D PV PV = = 1 r $15.666.000 0. When the base is changed to 2004: 2001 2002 2003 2 A 3 B $10.763 (1.000 = $12.1 2003 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2005 = 100 165/190 × 100 = 87 170/190 × 100 = 89 178/190 × 100 = 94 183/190 × 100 = 96 100 104 108 115 122 129 2004 = 100 87/96 × 100 = 91 89/96 × 100 = 93 94/96 × 100 = 98 2X + 5Y < 500 If you answered B or D.09 = $166.000 invested for five years at 5% is unlikely to give such a great return.155). $10.
food index weight) (food index weight) Total weight Let x = index for food subgroup (130 7) (x 3) = 127 10 258 Mock assessment 2: answers .420 7 8 =ROUND(5356*1.486 NPV = Present value $ (25. Discount factors 0 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 1.280 –5.420 Workings Year Cash outflow $ –100.159 0 16 Remember to use the cumulative present value tables (and not the present value tables).000 40.200 0.000 40.564 Net Present Value 11. (Non .22 2 = = = 13.7 Standard deviation = fx 2 f x 2 where x = fX f = 61.900 4. 10 A The overall index is an average index and is calculated as follows.000 40.225 188.000 –100.143.909 40.500 Discount factor 9% 1 4.7 9 A Year Cashflow $ (25.000 40.610 50 32.355 174.16 1.250 50 1.000) 6.000 Cash inflow $ (to the nearest $).159 4.000 20.2) 13.6 The net present value of Machine A is $ –5.000 0.000 Present value $ –100.000 40.000 –90.000) 29.
000 12.000) = 16. 8.000 is subtracted from 12. Option D is incorrect because no account has been taken of the fact that when –4.000 IRR = 10% + 12.000 – (–4. ie Sample 2 median = the middle (third) item in the array ie 5 The median has the same value.000 IRR is incorrectly calculated as 10 + 8% = 22%.000 NPVB = second NPV = $4.000) = 8.000 4.910 + 3x = 1.5 = 0. Hence the 12. therefore.000 Mock assessment 2: answers 259 .000 and not 12. The straight line drawn through the points will intercept the y axis at approximately 20 (a) and the gradient (b) of the line is (change in y/change in x) which is approximately (120/80) = 1.270 – 910 x = 360/3 x = 120 11 C y= 3x + 20 2 The equation of a straight line is y = ax + b.5 12 C Sample 1 median = average of second and third items in the array.5 or 50% 14 C The internal rate of return (IRR) of the investment can be calculated using the following formula. IRR = a% + NPVA NPVA NPVB (b a) % where a = first interest rate = 10% b = second interest rate = 18% NPVA = first NPV = $12.000 the result is 12.000 – (–4.270 3x = 1.000. in both samples. 5 5 =5 2 13 50% If 32 (1 – r)4 (1 – r)4 1–r r r r = 2 = = 2 32 4 2 32 4 = 1– 2 32 = 1 – 0.000 (18 10) % = 10% + 6% = 16% Option B is incorrect since this is simply the average of 18% and 10% = 14%.
000 700.601.622 = 9.7 A W = 1.000 from Contract C.100.000) Option D is the maximum expected profit from any one contract.46 + 1.100.000 2. Option C is the arithmetic mean of the estimated profits ($2.000 800.7W Sherbet Liquorice Aniseed balls 1.486W 0.52 1. ie $800.486 157+ 1.84 12 = $800.35 1.15 800 Annuity factor = 1 0.000 15. 260 Mock assessment 2: answers .4 0.70 60 50 W 110 + W 157 110 1.84 Monthly repayment = $9.2 $ 240.15 16 B Product P1/P0 Weight Relative weight W × P1/P0 81 76 1.000 Option A is incorrect because it is just the highest expected value (from Contract A).214W = 6.7 × W 157+ 1.000 175.25 0.601.622 Annuity = = 150.000 575.7W = 163.04 1 1 (1.46 W = 30 17 B Expected value = probability Contract Probability profit Estimated profits $ 600.000 Expected value A B C 0.000 160.04) 25 = 15.000 3 = $700.
Jot down months 124.18 a b = b = = = = y= = – 2. absolute cell references do not change.(2 × 15) (6 × 30).40 0. 21 22 D (a) (b) (c) If C = 2.31 0.5 – (0.86 20 21 If you successively sum the sales data in groups of 4.65)–6 = 222.5 – 0. You then need to do a further moving average so that trend values can relate to specific actual figures. placing the $ sign in front of a cell reference makes that reference absolute.( x)( y) n x 2 . The correct formula is = D28 + D18.33) = 2.22 84 . it is not treated as a formula.33 6 x= a = y bx = 2.30 180 .31 176 15 = 2. Although D18 + D28 looks the same. Both of the other options count subtotals as well as the cost items.86 If x = 4 Value = (4–0.5 6 2 = 0.40 19 222.000 and variable costs are $300 per unit. then fixed costs are $2. there will be 21 fourpoint moving averages calculated.710.31 n xy .1023 = 2. work out where the moving averages would be calculated. and then calculate how many there are if you are unsure how to arrive at the correct answer. Mock assessment 2: answers 261 . In Excel. When you move or copy a formula.4 54 = 0. because it has no = sign. such as 15.( x)2 (6 × 14). D Putting a value in the cell.000 + 300P. would mean that the cell would not be automatically updated if changes were later made to the spreadsheet.
4225 r2 = 0. you calculated the coefficient of variation as a percentage as (mean standard deviation 100%) instead of (standard deviation mean 100%). If you selected option B.25 If you selected option A. You also forgot to multiply your answer by 100%. you forgot to multiply the coefficient of variation by 100%.652 = 0.23 24 (a) =A2*B2 In cell C10 the formula =SUM(C2:C8) would be entered C =FREQUENCY(A3:D7. you calculated the coefficient of variation as (mean standard deviation) instead of (standard deviation mean).25 as a percentage is 25% (0. 26 C Coefficient of variation = = S tan dard deviation Mean 3 = 0.4225 Therefore only just under half of the variation in one variable can be explained by variation in the other.F3:F9) 25 0. 27 V R G If R V P V R G V P G R–G= P = 28 98% 20 If z = = = x 30 20 5 10 =2 5 30 262 Mock assessment 2: answers .25 12 100%) 0. If you selected option D.
0615 1) 1.5.000 9.593 Since the electronic alarms operate independently.72 A A 30 1 in 1.) Alternatively.000. you could have arrived at the same answer by using the following method. when z = 2.758.06 n = 15 A(1.4772. The area that we are interested in shown on the graph above therefore corresponds to a probability of 0.000.000 (1.312 = $479.593 (Note.06)15 = $479. Probability of security system failing = = 1 100 1 100 1 100 1 1.312 The repayments are a geometric progression.0615 – 1) = $28.312 R = 1.0615 – 1) = A(1.Using normal distribution tables. The annuity factor is found by looking in the cumulative present value tables where n=15 and r=6%.9772 or 97.4772 + 0.06 $28. We must also remember to take into account the area to the left of = 20 which corresponds to a probability of 0. We need to use the simple multiplication law or AND Law.312 0. The sum of the repayments can be found by using the formula for the sum of a geometric progression.06 1 = A(1.758.000 263 Mock assessment 2: answers . Final value of loan must equal sum of repayments Final value of loan = $200.5 = 0.72% = 98% 29 $20. the failure of one alarm in no way affects the operation of the other two alarms.000 Workings = $20.712 = $20.72 (1. S= A(Rn 1) R 1 S = $479.0615 1) where $479.593 Annuity = = PV annuity factor $200. this corresponds to a probability of 0.
9 Pr (no faulty components in a box of ten) = 0.000 Present value of $300 (in year 3) = (1. t = 8 y = 30t – 10 y = (30 8) – 10 y = 240 – 10 = 230 Forecast profits for 20X8 = 230 – 25 264 Mock assessment 2: answers .4 = 1.1 = 0.87 or 35% 33 12% Type of fish Number of fish Annual % increase Number after one year A 400 10 440 B 300 20 360 C 200 30 260 D 100 40 140 Total 1.8 = 2.1)3 11 10 3 Interest on $3.4 Forecast Forecast in whole units = 2.08 2007) + 30.31 (10/11) 3 $300 10% = $300 $300 (1.3487 = 34.622.6 1.1 Pr (no faulty components) = 1 – 0.8 = 1.8 + 30.200 100% = 11.1)3 can also be written (as a fraction) as PV of $300 (in year 3) = $300 (11/10)3 (10/11)3 = $300 32 35% Pr (faulty component ) = 0.67% = 12% 34 D Year = 2007 Trend = (0.622 35 B In 20X8.910 = 0.0002 20072) + (0.638.200 Percentage of Type D fish in lake after one year = 140 1.638.4 = 805.6 + 802.
you have added rather than subtracted the cyclical component. you have used a multiplicative instead of an additive model. you used t = 9 instead of t = 8.52 to two decimal places 39 C P(A) = 1/4 P(B) = 1/4 P(C) = 1/4 P(D) = 1/4 P(E) = 1/3 P(F) = 2/3 (twice as likely to go through F) P(A or E) = P(A) + P(E) – P(A and E) = 1/4 + 1/3 – (1/4 1/3) = 7/12 – 1/12 = 6/12 = 1/2 The correct option is therefore C.51729 = 4.52 y = axb = 8 12–0. the rank correlation coefficient between sales and age is nearest whole number). Region/Age North Ranking South Ranking 2129 100 1 55 1 3039 80 2 50 2 4049 50 3 45 3 5059 40 4 30 4 60 + 30 5 20 5 +1 (to the The rankings for North and South are identical and therefore the rank correlation coefficient is +1.175 to 3 decimal Number of customers from the East and over 39 years of age = 65 + 60 + 50 =175 Total number of customers Required probability = 1.= 205 = $205.000 = 175 1. If you selected D.000 If you selected A. Mock assessment 2: answers 265 .175 37 For the North and South. 38 4. If you selected C. 36 The probability that this customer is from the east and over 39 years of age is places.23 = 4.000 = 0. Workings 0.
demand = 60 Revenue Variable costs Contribution C = (60 $0.2 = $20 $0. no account has been taken of the possibility of A and E (1/4 1/3).5) + (40 = $30 + $2 = $32 = 100 $0. demand = 60 Revenue Variable costs Contribution D = (60 $0.2 = $36 = $90 – $36 = $54 266 Mock assessment 2: answers . Firstly.2 = $12 $0.5) + (40 = $10 + $2 = $12 = 60 $0.5 = $90 $0. has not been subtracted from 7/12 40 A B C D E Workings $– $12 $6 $54 1/3 = 1/12 0. demand = 20 Revenue Variable costs Contribution = (20 $0. 1/4 + 1/3 2/7! Option A is incorrect since no account has been taken of P(A) + P(E). only P(A and E) = 1/4 Option D is incorrect since the P(A and E).Option B is incorrect on two counts.05) = $32 – $20 = $12 Production = 140. 1/12. demand = 180 Revenue Variable costs Contribution = 180 = 180 $0.2 = $28 $0. Secondly.05) = Revenue – variable costs = $12 – $12 = $nil B Production = 100.05) = $34 – $28 = $6 Production = 180.3 A Production = 60.5) + (80 = $30 + $4 = $34 = 140 $0.
6 42 A T = Y/S for the multiplicative model Quarter 1 1. B shows weak positive correlation and D shows weak negative correlation.000 $92. If x = seasonal variation for quarter 4 1.6 $135.308 2 1. the seasonal variations should sum to 4 in this case with an average of 1 as there are 4 quarters.3 $120.5 + X = 4 X = 4 – 3.E Daily demand Midpoint Number of days 139 20 10 4079 60 20 80119 100 30 120159 140 30 160199 180 10 Total number of days = 10 + 20 + 30 + 30 + 10 = 100 Probability of daily demand for 100 cakes = 41 B 30 = 0. Mock assessment 2: answers 267 .6 + 0.375 Seasonal component Actual series Trend (T) The trend line for sales has therefore decreased between quarter 1 and quarter 2.4 X = 0.000 $84. 43 –33 Year 1 2 3 4 44 C Y–T 16 32 – 18 – 34 –4 Adjustment 1 1 1 1 4 Adjusted average 17 33 – 17 – 33 0 A shows strong negative correlation.3 100 As this is a multiplicative model.3 + 1.
014.822.968 268 Mock assessment 2: answers .18.5) [(12 × 2.45 – 0.213.62 ][(12 × 4.( x)( y) [n x 2 .211.63 = = = = = – 0.44 × 13.59).732.( x)2 ][n y2 .101.4 (25.76)(58.102.4 6.555.088 .( y)2 (12 × 1.52 ] 20.6 × 211.933.2 .674).879.83 9014.137.279.29.08 .25) 9.968 r = n xy .316.1).44.4 9.(137.
Mathematical tables 269 .
270 .
Logarithms 0 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 0000 0414 0792 1139 1461 1761 2041 2304 2553 2788 3010 3222 3424 3617 3802 3979 4150 4314 4472 4624 4771 4914 5051 5185 5315 5441 5563 5682 5798 5911 6021 6128 6232 6335 6435 1 0043 0453 0828 1173 1492 1790 2068 2330 2577 2810 3032 3243 3444 3636 3820 3997 4166 4330 4487 4639 4786 4928 5065 5198 5328 5453 5575 5694 5809 5922 6031 6138 6243 6345 6444 2 0086 0492 0864 1206 1523 1818 2095 2355 2601 2833 3054 3263 3464 3655 3838 4014 4183 4346 4502 4654 4800 4942 5079 5211 5340 5465 5587 5705 5821 5933 6042 6149 6253 6355 6454 3 0128 0531 0899 1239 1553 1584 1847 2122 2380 2625 2856 3075 3284 3483 3674 3856 4031 4200 4362 4518 4669 4814 4955 5092 5224 5353 5478 5599 5717 5832 5944 6053 6160 6263 6365 6464 1875 2148 2175 2405 2648 2672 2878 2900 3096 3304 3502 3692 3874 4048 4216 4378 4533 4683 4829 4969 5105 5237 5366 5490 5611 5729 5843 5955 6064 6170 6274 6375 6474 3118 3324 3522 3711 3892 4065 4232 4393 4548 4698 4843 4983 5119 5250 5378 5502 5623 5740 5855 5966 6075 6180 6284 6385 6484 2923 3139 3345 3541 3729 3909 4082 4249 4409 4564 4713 4857 4997 5132 5263 5391 5514 5635 5752 5866 5977 6085 6191 6294 6395 6493 2945 3160 3365 3560 3747 3927 4099 4265 4425 4579 4728 4871 5011 5145 5276 5403 5527 5647 5763 5877 5988 6096 6201 6304 6405 6503 2967 3181 3385 3579 3766 3945 4116 4281 4440 4594 4742 4886 5024 5159 5289 5416 5539 5658 5775 5888 5999 6107 6212 6314 6415 6513 2989 3201 3404 3598 3784 3962 4133 4298 4456 4609 4757 4900 5038 5172 5302 5428 5551 5670 5786 5899 6010 6117 6222 6325 6425 6522 2695 2718 2742 2765 2430 2455 2480 2504 2529 2201 2227 2253 2279 1614 1903 1931 1959 1987 2014 1644 1673 1703 1732 4 0170 0212 0569 0607 0934 1271 1303 1335 1367 1399 1430 0969 1004 1038 1072 1106 0645 0682 0719 0755 0253 0294 0334 0374 5 6 7 8 9 1 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 13 12 12 11 11 10 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 17 16 15 15 14 14 13 12 12 12 11 11 11 10 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 21 20 19 19 18 17 16 16 15 15 14 14 14 13 13 12 12 11 11 11 11 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 26 24 23 22 21 20 20 19 18 17 17 16 16 15 15 15 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 11 11 10 10 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 30 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 20 19 19 18 18 17 16 16 16 15 15 14 14 13 12 12 11 11 11 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 8 34 32 31 30 28 27 26 25 24 23 23 22 22 21 20 19 19 18 18 17 17 16 15 15 14 14 13 13 12 12 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 9 38 37 35 33 32 31 30 29 28 26 26 25 24 23 23 22 21 21 20 19 19 18 17 17 16 15 15 14 14 13 13 12 12 12 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 Mathematical tables 271 .
Logarithms 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 6532 6628 6721 6812 6902 6990 7076 7160 7243 7324 7404 7482 7559 7634 7709 7782 7853 7924 7993 8062 8129 8195 8261 8325 8388 8451 8513 8573 8633 8692 8751 8808 8865 8921 8976 9031 9085 9138 9191 9243 9294 9345 9395 9445 6542 6637 6730 6821 6911 6998 7084 7168 7251 7332 7412 7490 7566 7642 7716 7789 7860 7931 8000 8069 8136 8202 8267 8331 8395 8457 8519 8579 8639 8698 8756 8814 8871 8927 8982 9036 9090 9143 9196 9248 9299 9350 9400 9450 6551 6646 6739 6830 6920 7007 7093 7177 7259 7340 7419 7497 7574 7649 7723 7796 7868 7938 8007 8075 8142 8209 8274 8338 8401 8463 8525 8585 8645 8704 8762 8820 8876 8932 8987 9042 9096 9149 9201 9253 9304 9355 9405 9455 6561 6656 6749 6839 6928 7016 7101 7185 7267 7348 7427 7505 7582 7657 7731 7803 7875 7945 8014 8082 8149 8215 8280 8344 8407 8470 8531 8591 8651 8710 8768 8825 8882 8938 8993 9047 9101 9154 9206 9258 9309 9360 9410 9460 6571 6665 6758 6848 6937 7024 7110 7193 7275 7356 7435 7513 7589 7664 7738 7810 7882 7952 8021 8089 8156 8222 8287 8351 8414 8476 8537 8597 8657 8716 8774 8831 8887 8943 8998 9053 9106 9159 9212 9263 9315 9365 9415 9465 6580 6675 6767 6857 6946 7033 7118 7202 7284 7364 7443 7520 7597 7672 7745 7818 7889 7959 8028 8096 8162 8228 8293 8357 8420 8482 8543 8603 8663 8722 8779 8837 8893 8949 9004 9058 9112 9165 9217 9269 9320 9370 9420 9469 6590 6684 6776 6866 6955 7042 7126 7210 7292 7372 7451 7528 7604 7679 7752 7825 7896 7966 8035 8102 8169 8235 8299 8363 8426 8488 8549 8609 8669 8727 8785 8842 8899 8954 9009 9063 9117 9170 9222 9274 9325 9375 9425 9474 6599 6693 6785 6875 6964 7050 7135 7218 7300 7380 7459 7536 7612 7686 7760 7832 7903 7973 8041 8109 8176 8241 8306 8370 8432 8494 8555 8615 8675 8733 8791 8848 8904 8960 9015 9069 9122 9175 9227 9279 9330 9380 9430 9479 6609 6702 6794 6884 6972 7059 7143 7226 7308 7388 7466 7543 7619 7694 7767 7839 7910 7980 8048 8116 8182 8248 8312 8376 8439 8500 8561 8621 8681 8739 8797 8854 8910 8965 9020 9074 9128 9180 9232 9284 9335 9385 9435 9484 6618 6712 6803 6893 6981 7067 7152 7235 7316 7396 7474 7551 7627 7701 7774 7846 7917 7987 8055 8122 8189 8254 8319 8382 8445 8506 8567 8627 8686 8745 8802 8859 8915 8971 9025 9079 9133 9186 9238 9289 9340 9390 9440 9489 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 272 Mathematical tables .
Z (x ) 0.3238 .1443 .0199 .02 .0080 .0557 .1915 .2019 .3461 .1141 .4394 0.0675 .3810 .3907 .4 1.3078 .3264 .4332 0.3997 .3485 .05 .3790 .3133 .4251 .1950 .0753 .3389 .2939 .4306 .3686 .04 . The corresponding area for deviations below the mean can be found by symmetry.9 1.1368 .0987 .2291 .1591 .3944 .0 1.3665 .2580 .4049 .2123 .2823 .3708 .1772 .0714 .00 .1879 .3925 .2224 .0438 .0636 .1517 .4162 .2764 .2422 .4131 .1064 .4319 .3 0.0120 .4406 0.1217 .3186 .1026 .0239 .Logarithms 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 9494 9542 9590 9638 9685 9731 9777 9823 9868 9912 9956 9499 9547 9595 9643 9689 9736 9782 9827 9872 9917 9961 9504 9552 9600 9647 9694 9741 9786 9832 9877 9921 9965 9509 9557 9605 9652 9699 9745 9791 9836 9881 9926 9969 9513 9562 9609 9657 9703 9750 9795 9841 9886 9930 9974 9518 9566 9614 9661 9708 9754 9800 9845 9890 9934 9978 9523 9571 9619 9666 9713 9759 9805 9850 9894 9939 9983 9528 9576 9624 9671 9717 9763 9809 9854 9899 9943 9987 9533 9581 9628 9675 9722 9768 9814 9859 9903 9948 9991 9538 9586 9633 9680 9727 9773 9818 9863 9908 9952 9996 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Tables Area under the normal curve This table gives the area under the normal curve between the mean and the point Z standard deviations above the mean.3413 .03 .3051 .3438 .4032 .2 1.1700 .4066 .2 0.3729 .4279 .09 .3980 .1331 .3159 .2995 .2910 .3023 .1628 .1480 .4292 .0478 .1664 .4192 .2157 .3643 .3962 .7 0.3212 .2190 .01 .2734 .3106 .4382 0.3531 .2088 .4345 0.07 .1554 .4429 0.3554 .4357 0.0040 .1406 .1736 .2517 .3508 .2324 .2852 .2611 .2454 .3888 .2794 .5 0.2549 .4015 .3577 .2673 .4418 0.1103 .4236 .0871 .0 0.2881 .0160 .1179 .4 0.4265 .3315 .8 0.2704 .3621 .4099 .08 .3365 .2257 .6 0.2486 .0319 .3340 .4370 0.0398 .1808 .06 .2357 .3749 .2054 .5 Mathematical tables 273 .4147 .0793 .4082 .4207 .0279 .1293 .0596 .4115 .1 0.0000 .2642 .4441 0.1255 .3849 .0948 .3289 .3599 .1985 .1 1.4222 .3869 .1844 .2967 .3770 .3 1.2389 .0517 .3830 .0359 .0910 .0832 .4177 .
4909 .665 0.4906 .722 0.8 2.4943 .4949 .906 0.232 9% 0.4995 .855 0.826 0.4996 .711 0.961 0.933 0.4956 .4875 .744 0.444 0.837 0.350 0.863 0.04 .789 0.4699 .01 . n = number of periods until payment or receipt.4989 .4573 .735 0.4974 .4452 .500 0.4761 .4599 .4505 .820 0.888 0.971 0.4992 .4608 .766 0.4861 .714 0.415 0.661 0.4838 .601 0.4951 .356 0.4984 .4474 .4992 .4996 .8 1.4798 .4945 .231 0.388 0.942 0.429 0.4981 .625 0.4997 0.317 0.917 0.4671 .4936 .362 8% 0.870 0.758 0.4989 .4887 .08 .4929 .577 0.792 0.990 0.4997 .263 0.4983 .888 0.417 0.4962 .813 0.650 0.Z (x ) 0.708 0.4986 .4925 .534 0.905 0.277 274 Mathematical tables .4901 .03 .4985 .4977 .4913 .871 0.527 0.508 0.645 0.350 0.4957 .4783 .570 4% 0.339 0.5 2.4 3.962 0.4916 .4993 .00 .896 0.4625 .4738 .0 3.4976 .4941 .06 .4969 .623 0.239 0.907 0.4987 .747 0.4994 .857 0.275 0.4750 .703 0.4968 .49865 .4922 .980 0.49931 .728 0.4994 .743 0.540 0.614 0.844 0.331 7% 0.547 0.582 0.816 0.1 3.784 0.340 0.642 0.2 2.701 0.4997 0.794 0.980 0.4971 .4940 .4846 .4591 .458 0.4788 .4996 .942 0.1 2.596 0.4812 .864 0.4961 .4808 .4997 0.4974 .4973 .971 0.4686 .840 0.681 0.270 0.4931 .4649 .583 0.4990 .751 0.924 0.4979 .368 0.4633 .386 0.49903 .731 0.822 0.4656 .686 3% 0.319 0.4938 .4 2.746 0.4972 .4946 .4463 .853 0.4564 .4995 .4997 0.4793 .252 0.4995 .4991 .315 0.4719 .4967 .627 0.4582 .763 0.4821 .887 0.4959 .923 0.4981 .926 0.4994 .7 2.4706 .4732 .555 0.861 0.4997 0.909 0.4616 .773 0.9 2.4988 .4842 .513 0.4985 .666 0.502 0.790 0.4834 .4535 .4996 .4525 .4890 .4984 .842 0.4975 .4965 .4871 .4955 .290 0.49977 0.804 0.194 10% 0.442 0.4996 .587 0.4641 .475 Interest rates (r) 5% 0.943 0.497 0.558 0.2 3.853 0.828 2% 0.4756 .424 0.394 0.4977 .605 0.873 0.326 0.07 .585 0.49966 .544 0.4920 .713 0.4989 .4830 .4995 .4893 .49952 .4904 .4982 .4994 .4850 .4744 .467 0.676 0.3 3.4995 .436 0.557 0.4996 .4987 .7 1.0 2.4896 .4693 .623 0.4963 .4960 .4495 .564 0.180 0.4990 .198 0.4953 .422 0. Periods (n) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 1% 0.212 0.292 0.4998 1.494 0.700 0.469 0.772 0.943 0.4948 .961 0.4515 .396 6% 0.4884 .4484 .371 0.4911 .4918 .505 0.4881 .4817 .4978 .3 2.218 0.6 2.952 0.481 0.4934 .4678 .760 0.475 0.4966 .4864 .4988 .4993 .4868 .530 0.879 0.4664 .460 0.4982 .9 3.4878 .397 0.4767 .4997 0.4857 .4778 .889 0.4980 .09 .4554 .6 1.463 0.4994 .513 0.705 0.4826 .4991 .890 0.4964 .914 0.388 0.925 0.951 0.4997 0.299 0.4991 .4970 .164 0.592 0.630 0.4803 .250 0.416 0.836 0.4726 .02 .837 0.683 0.4898 .4713 .621 0.788 0.4993 .681 0.4986 .4854 .4772 .935 0.4992 .4979 .650 0.05 .4932 .4997 0.4545 .4927 .4952 .296 0.823 0.5 Present value table Present value of $1 ie (1+r)n where r = interest rate.915 0.677 0.4992 .
212 4.623 5.962 1.051 17% 0.609 0.941 3.107 0.659 0.352 0.592 0.833 2.335 0.074 0.497 0.717 4.020 7.387 4.124 0.191 0.847 0.718 0. receivable or payable at the end of each year for n years 1 (1 r ) r Periods (n) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 n .884 3.652 8.601 6.170 0.452 5.870 0.125 0.100 4.909 1.076 5.434 0.993 4.232 0.071 0.037 19% 0.314 0.083 0.673 3% 0.229 0.713 5.552 0.452 0.044 0.205 0.658 0.081 0.095 0.258 8% 0.043 0.480 0.031 20% 0.065 0.130 0.026 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Cumulative present value table This table shows the present value of $1 per annum.577 3.917 5.769 0.073 1% 0.901 0.146 0.783 2.351 0.694 0.624 3.024 7.333 0.125 0.385 5% 0.722 8.554 4% 0.162 0.253 9.942 2.243 0.059 0.593 0.284 0.108 7. Interest rates (r) 1% 0.062 0.706 0.377 6% 0.231 0.188 0.152 0.376 0.195 0.820 2% 0.355 4.178 10% 0.368 11.209 0.855 0.162 8.261 0.204 0.432 0.507 0.266 0.391 0.087 14% 0.723 3.863 6% 0.360 7.579 0.499 7.613 0.230 7.853 5.712 0.187 0.327 0.258 0.305 0.756 0.084 0.418 6.163 0.786 8.675 0.943 1.002 6.308 0.099 0.808 4.519 0.902 4.263 0.296 0.890 4.515 7.054 0.886 2.093 0.926 1.168 0.137 0.104 0.482 0.636 0.575 3% 0.812 0.402 0.530 9.917 1.162 0.123 0.693 0.051 0.225 0.731 0.862 0.069 0.814 Mathematical tables 275 .240 3.352 0.802 7.710 7.138 0.148 0.Periods (n) 20 Periods (n) 11% 0.384 7% 0.078 0.499 0.182 0.893 0.840 0.795 6.317 0.160 0.535 5.060 0.031 0.123 0.487 3.868 5.270 0.952 1.160 0.141 0.176 0.417 6.482 0.747 6.641 0.208 0.033 5.209 0.108 0.476 0.153 0.566 9.093 0.787 10.943 8% 0.161 10% 0.370 0.775 3.465 4.531 3.081 0.069 0.170 3.242 6.247 6.736 2.495 6.990 1.070 0.759 2.088 0.286 0.237 0.877 0.760 9.797 0.971 1.124 12% 0.859 2.043 18% 0.080 0.913 2.543 0.580 5.808 2.419 0.194 0.183 0.037 0.093 0.486 5.249 0.410 0.247 0.163 0.995 6.390 0.061 16% 0.111 0.456 0.535 0.116 0.435 8.111 8.322 0.295 0.733 7.456 0.104 13% 0.970 2.980 1.038 0.885 0.285 0.516 0.361 0.329 5.255 2% 0.208 0.546 4.833 0.971 6.052 0.743 0.624 0.325 8.400 0.130 0.145 0.116 0.287 0.731 0.759 6.312 7% 0.051 0.108 0.791 4.783 0.215 9% 0.954 4% 0.404 0.630 4.233 0.572 0.060 0.312 3.567 0.536 9% 0.227 0.112 0.333 0.335 5.534 0.437 0.983 9.389 5.140 0.045 0.257 0.135 0.111 0.582 6.805 7.887 8.376 0.472 7.425 0.210 6.935 1.728 7.178 0.673 3.141 0.145 6.098 0.354 0.181 0.471 10.306 8.829 3.786 6.206 5.279 0.215 0.767 5.149 Interest rates (r) 15% 0.095 0.456 Interest rates (r) 5% 0.139 7.463 7.593 0.
037 3.274 3.950 9.498 3.118 11.070 5.837 4.922 4.174 2.843 4.659 13.696 4.365 8.578 14.210 2.745 9.398 17.690 2.246 2.802 4.611 4.348 12.605 3.847 5.889 6.604 9.361 2.469 13% 0.033 5.327 4.870 Probability A B = A or B.234 5.702 7.583 5.650 5.687 5.566 2.372 9.222 5.842 6.549 7.749 5.039 4.134 13.799 5.127 3.706 3.324 5.849 13. given A.197 5.590 Interest rates (r) 5% 9.885 1.101 20% 0.862 1.058 3.106 12.876 4.594 8% 7.946 5.477 10.092 5.322 2. A B = A and B (overlap).444 3.626 2.118 5.639 4.120 7.675 4.562 16.652 12.839 7.106 2.589 3.679 16.639 3.628 18% 0.991 3.302 6.918 6.718 15.313 8.982 7.292 14.550 6.192 4.992 15.824 8.439 4.462 6.358 8.216 5.122 9.426 5.303 4.199 3.938 7.974 7.344 4.231 4.163 4.893 1.008 5.910 5.342 5.963 12% 0.103 7.754 14.786 8.402 3.132 5.405 5.250 7.836 4.929 17% 0.379 7.046 2% 11.111 4.899 10.453 5.605 2.564 4.954 4.528 2.191 7.201 8.207 6.990 5.793 4.265 6.668 5.283 2.494 4.486 4.226 18.544 8.889 4.146 5.635 11.818 9% 7.851 9.316 5.198 6.296 11.229 5.244 8.605 4.690 3.025 14% 0.475 5.085 12.904 8.537 5. Rules of addition If A and B are mutually exclusive: If A and B are not mutually exclusive: P(A B) = P(A) + P(B) P(A B) = P(A) + P(B) P(A B) Rules of multiplication If A and B are independent: If A and B are not independent: P(A B) = P(A) * P(B) P(A B) = P(A) * P(B/A) E(X) = expected value = probability * payoff 276 Mathematical tables .470 7% 8.059 10.336 10.328 5.122 6.352 3.373 6.750 6.833 1.988 5.986 10.394 9.585 2.288 4.353 19% 0.584 5.812 4.194 6.954 6.462 6% 8.828 11.715 4.847 1.487 7.712 5.775 4.623 1% 12.547 2.367 7.019 5.128 6.575 5.690 12.410 3.031 4.611 4.938 12.534 5.901 1.424 6.295 9.685 4.853 9.468 5.517 3.561 13.878 4% 9.812 4.818 5.998 4.756 8.158 11.730 4.166 13.712 10.487 4.798 3.102 3.142 6.339 4.772 5.877 1.259 16% 0.326 3.840 1.838 11.380 10.938 4.433 3.533 4.968 5.022 8.166 12.004 13.833 5.840 6.713 2.140 2.784 4.659 4.273 5.563 11.877 5.106 10.647 2.604 6.660 5.589 2.606 7.134 13.351 3% 10.160 4.724 5.763 10.467 6.656 4.855 1.811 6.324 14.668 2.451 4.492 6.729 6. P(B/A) = probability of B.047 6.447 9.607 4.914 3.Periods (n) 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Periods (n) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 11% 0.855 3.559 8.061 8.029 5.108 9.207 4.743 3.002 6.274 11.938 6.421 5.514 Interest rates (r) 15% 0.974 3.366 7.865 14.423 4.628 6.870 1.129 10% 7.162 5.078 4.
Quadratic equations If aX2 + bX + c = 0 is the general quadratic equation. then the two solutions (roots) are given by X= b b2 2a 4 ac Descriptive statistics Arithmetic mean x x or x n fx f Standard deviation (x x) 2 n SD fx 2 f x 2 (frequencydistribution) Index numbers Price relative = 100 * P1 / P0 Quantity relative = 100 * Q 1 / Q 0 Price: Quantity: W P1 / P0 × 100 where W denotes weights W W Q1 / Q0 × 100 where W denotes weights W Time series Additive model: Series = Trend + Seasonal + Random Multiplicative model: Series = Trend * Seasonal * Random Mathematical tables 277 .
for n years. discounted at r% per annum: PV = 1 1 1 r [1 r]n Perpetuity Present value of £1 per annum.VAR(Y) = n [n X 2 XY ( 2 X)( Y 2 Y) Y ] 2 X ][n R(rank) = 1 6 d2 n(n 2 1) Financial mathematics Compound Interest (Values and Sums) Future Value of S1 of a sum X. payable or receivable in perpetuity. invested for n periods. or solve Y = na + b X XY = a X + b X2 Coefficient of correlation (r) r = Covariance (XY) VAR(X). commencing in one year. compounded at r% interest: S= X 1 r n Annuity Present value of an annuity of £1 per annum receivable or payable. commencing in one year discounted at r% per annum 1 PV = r 278 Mathematical tables .where = Covariance (XY) n XY ( X)( Y) = Variance (X) n X 2 ( X) 2 b and a = Y bX .Linear regression and correlation The linear regression equation of Y on X is given by: Y Y = a + bX or Y = b(X X ).
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