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Student's t-test

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

A t-test is any statistical hypothesis test in which the test statistic follows a Student's t distribution if the null hypothesis is true. It is most commonly applied when the test statistic would follow a normal distribution if the value of a scaling term in the test statistic were known. When the scaling term is unknown and is replaced by an estimate based on the data, the test statistic (under certain conditions) follows a Student's t distribution.

History

The t-statistic was introduced in 1908 by William Sealy Gosset, a chemist working for the Guinness brewery in Dublin, Ireland ("Student" was his pen name).[1][2][3] Gosset had been hired due to Claude Guinness's innovative policy of recruiting the best graduates from Oxford and Cambridge to apply biochemistry and statistics to Guinness' industrial processes.[2] Gosset devised the t-test as a way to cheaply monitor the quality of stout. He published the test in Biometrika in 1908, but was forced to use a pen name by his employer, who regarded the fact that they were using statistics as a trade secret. In fact, Gosset's identity was unknown to fellow statisticians.[4]

Uses

Among the most frequently used t-tests are:

A one-sample location test of whether the mean of a normally distributed population has a value specified in a null hypothesis. A two sample location test of the null hypothesis that the means of two normally distributed populations are equal. All such tests are usually called Student's t-tests, though strictly speaking that name should only be used if the variances of the two

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we expect the tumor size for many of the patients to be smaller following the treatment. in the t-test comparing the means of two independent samples. This is often referred to as the "paired" or "repeated measures" t-test:[5][6] see paired difference test.[5] A test of the null hypothesis that the difference between two responses measured on the same statistical unit has a mean value of zero. s in the one-sample ttest is . and of the way in which the data are sampled. The assumptions underlying a t-test are that Z follows a standard normal distribution under the null hypothesis 2 ps2 follows a χ distribution with p degrees of freedom under the null hypothesis. in the one-sample t-test Z is . its magnitude tends to be larger when the alternative hypothesis is true). or the BrownForsythe test. If the sample sizes in the two groups being compared are roughly equal. as they are typically applied when the statistical units underlying the two samples being compared are non-overlapping. Student's original t-test is highly robust to the presence of unequal variances [7]. and σ is the population standard deviation of the data. the following assumptions should be met: Each of the two populations being compared should follow a normal distribution (which can be tested using a normality test.e. If the treatment is effective. 2 . the form of the test used when this assumption is dropped is sometimes called Welch's t-test. Bartlett's test. For example. where is the sample standard deviation. These tests are often referred to as "unpaired" or "independent samples" t-tests. these conditions are consequences of the population being studied. Assumptions Most t-test statistics have the form T = Z/s. or assessable graphically using a normal quantile plot). n is the sample size. For example. Z is designed to be sensitive to the alternative hypothesis (i. A test of whether the slope of a regression line differs significantly from 0. As an example. whereas s is a scaling parameter that allows the distribution of T to be determined. the two populations being compared should have the same variance (testable using Levene's test. or which can be assessed graphically using a normal quantile plot). In a specific type of t-test. where p is a positive constant Z and s are independent.populations are also assumed to be equal. Welch's t-test is insensitive to equality of the variances regardless of whether the sample sizes are similar. Typically. suppose we measure the size of a cancer patient's tumor before and after a treatment. If using Student's original definition of the t-test. where is the sample mean of the data. such as the Shapiro-Wilk and Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests. where Z and s are functions of the data.

the formula for a test statistic that either exactly follows or closely approximates a t-distribution under the null hypothesis is given. Unpaired and paired two-sample t-tests Main article: Paired difference test Two sample t-tests for a difference in mean can be either unpaired or paired. For example. if they were sampled in clusters). In a different context. 3 . and then used a two-sample t-test to see whether the mean ages differ by gender. and have greater power than unpaired tests when the paired units are similar with respect to "noise factors" that are independent of membership in the two groups being compared. even though the data are observational.e. The matching is carried out by identifying pairs of values consisting of one observation from each of the two samples. then randomize 50 subjects to the treatment group and 50 subjects to the control group. Dependent samples (or "paired") t-tests typically consist of a sample of matched pairs of similar units. The unpaired. paired t-tests can be used to reduce the effects of confounding factors in an observational study. we have two independent samples and would use the unpaired form of the t-test. The data used to carry out the test should be sampled independently from the two populations being compared. the appropriate degrees of freedom is given in each case. by using additional variables that were measured along with the variable of interest [8]. Also. suppose we are evaluating the effect of a medical treatment. but if the data are known to be dependently sampled (i. or one group of units that has been tested twice (a "repeated measures" t-test). where the pair is similar in terms of other measured variables. In each case. In this case. this would also be an independent samples t-test. This is in general not testable from the data. A dependent t-test based on a "matched-pairs sample" results from an unpaired sample that is subsequently used to form a paired sample. then the classical t-tests discussed here may give misleading results. Paired t-tests are a form of blocking. say for high blood pressure. Each of these statistics can be used to carry out either a one-tailed test or a two-tailed test. one from each of the two populations being compared. This approach is often used in observational studies to reduce or eliminate the effects of confounding factors. and the same subjects are tested again after treatment with a bloodpressure lowering medication. The randomization is not essential here — if we contacted 100 people by phone and obtained each person's age and gender. A typical example of the repeated measures t-test would be where subjects are tested prior to a treatment. or "independent samples" t-test is used when two separate independent and identically distributed samples are obtained. Calculations Explicit expressions that can be used to carry out various t-tests are given below. and we enroll 100 subjects into our study.

or 0. then the null hypothesis is rejected in favor of the alternative hypothesis. Independent one-sample t-test In testing the null hypothesis that the population mean is equal to a specified value µ0. a p-value can be found using a table of values from Student's tdistribution. .. and εi are independent normally distributed random errors with expected value 0 and unknown variance σ2. n are observed.Once a t value is determined. i = 1.. and Yi. Slope of a regression line Suppose one is fitting the model where xi. α and β are unknown. the 0.. n are known. The standard error of the angular coefficient: 4 ..10. i = 1. The degrees of freedom used in this test is n − 1. in which case the hypothesis is that x and y are unrelated).01 level). Let Then has a t-distribution with n − 2 degrees of freedom if the null hypothesis is true. . one uses the statistic where s is the sample standard deviation of the sample and n is the sample size. If the calculated p-value is below the threshold chosen for statistical significance (usually the 0..05.. It is desired to test the null hypothesis that the slope β is equal to some specified value β0 (often taken to be 0.

5 . Violations of these assumptions are discussed below. The t statistic to test whether the means are different can be calculated as follows: where Here is the grand standard deviation (or pooled standard deviation).can be written in terms of the residuals. 2 = group two. 1 = group one. the number. The denominator of t is the standard error of the difference between two means. it can be assumed that the two distributions have the same variance. n. Let Then tscore is given by: Independent two-sample t-test Equal sample sizes. of participants of each group) are equal. equal variance This test is only used when both: the two sample sizes (that is.

2 = group two. n1 + n2 − 2) is the total number of degrees of freedom. see below.For significance testing. 1 = group one. equal variance This test is used only when it can be assumed that the two distributions have the same variance. n = number of participants. the degrees of freedom for this test is 2n − 2 where n is the number of participants in each group. See also Welch's t-test. is an estimator of the common standard deviation of the two samples: it is defined in this way so that its square is an unbiased estimator of the common variance whether or not the population means are the same. and the total sample size minus two (that is. Unequal sample sizes. n − 1 is the number of degrees of freedom for either group. which is used in significance testing. The t statistic to test whether the population means are different can be calculated as follows: where 6 . (When this assumption is violated. Unequal sample sizes. unequal variance This test is used only when the two population variances are assumed to be different (the two sample sizes may or may not be equal) and hence must be estimated separately.) The t statistic to test whether the means are different can be calculated as follows: where Note that the formulae above are generalizations for the case where both samples have equal sizes (substitute n1 and n2 for n and you'll see). In these formulae.

Dependent t-test for paired samples This test is used when the samples are dependent. the differences between all pairs must be calculated. The constant µ0 is non-zero if you want to test whether the average of the difference is significantly different from µ0. the distribution of the test statistic is approximated as being an ordinary Student's t distribution with the degrees of freedom calculated using This is called the Welch-Satterthwaite equation. 2 = group two. The average (XD) and standard deviation (sD) of those differences are used in the equation. that is. Example of matched pairs Pair Name Age Test 1 1 2 2 Jon Jane 35 36 250 340 460 200 Example of repeated measures Number 1 2 3 4 Name Mike Test 1 Test 2 35% 67% 46% 86% 91% Melanie 50% Melissa 90% Jimmy 22 Jessy 21 Mitchell 78% Worked examples Suppose two random samples of screws have weights 7 . Note that in this case. The pairs are either one person's pre-test and post-test scores or between pairs of persons matched into meaningful groups (for instance drawn from the same family or age group: see table). Note that the true distribution of the test statistic actually depends (slightly) on the two unknown variances: see Behrens–Fisher problem.Where s2 is the unbiased estimator of the variance of the two samples. The degree of freedom used is N − 1. For this equation. when there is only one sample that has been tested twice (repeated measures) or when there are two samples that have been matched or "paired". is not a pooled variance. For use in significance testing. This is an example of a paired difference test. 1 = group one. n = number of participants.

Since the degrees of freedom is different from what it is in the unequal variances test. is The sample standard deviations for the two samples are approximately 0. Unequal variances If we follow the approach for unequal variances. Since the sample sizes are equal. discussed above. discussed above. 30. Equal variances If we follow the approach for equal variance. 29.98. The two-tailed test p-value is approximately 0. We will carry out tests of the null hypothesis that the population means underlying the two samples are equal.99. 29. 29.11. we get and Since the sample sizes are equal (both are 6). 29. 30. The difference between the two sample averages.97. which appears in the numerator for all the twosample testing approaches discussed above. 30.959.02.99 and 29.89.30.11.02.98. a test of equality between the two population variances would not be very powerful.05 and 0. the 8 .959.93.01.045. 29. the test statistic is again approximately equal to 1. 29. 29. we get and The test statistic is approximately 1. For such small samples. respectively.091 and the one-tailed p-value is approximately 0. the two forms of the two sample ttest will perform similarly in this example.72.

the two-tailed p-value is approximately 0. For moderately large samples.078. if the sample size is large Slutsky's theorem implies that the distribution of the sample variance has little effect on the distribution of the test statistic. The Welch's t-test is a nearly-exact test for the case where the data are normal but the variances may differ. and the one-tailed p-value is approximately 0. However. the t-test becomes very similar to the Z-test. it is not advisable to conduct separate univariate t-tests to test hypotheses. Multivariate testing A generalization of Student's t statistic. at a cost of lower statistical power. The usual choices for non-parametric location tests are the Mann– Whitney U test for independent samples. Thus if there is good reason to believe that the population variances are equal. the t-test can give misleading results. and that the sample mean and sample variance be statistically independent. For non-normal data. and is therefore robust to moderate violations of the normality assumption for moderate or large sample sizes.039. By the central limit theorem. and the binomial test or the Wilcoxon signed-rank test for paired samples. The t-test and Z-test require normality of the sample means.p-values will differ slightly from what was found above. Alternatives to the t-test for location problems The t-test provides an exact test for the equality of the means of two normal populations with unknown. In this case a single multivariate test is preferable for hypothesis testing. allows for the testing of hypotheses on multiple (often correlated) measures within the same sample. but equal. sample means of moderately large samples are often well-approximated by a normal distribution even if the data are not normally distributed. the results become somewhat more suggestive of a difference in the mean weights for the two populations of screws. The t-test requires in addition that the sample variance follows a scaled Χ2 distribution. Normality of the individual data values is not required if these conditions are met. called Hotelling's T-square statistic. variances. and instead converted to an F distribution. in practice the distribution is rarely used. For instance. Hotelling's T 2 statistic follows a T 2 distribution. as these would neglect the covariance among measures and inflate the chance of falsely rejecting at least one hypothesis (Type I error). the Big Five). a researcher might submit a number of subjects to a personality test consisting of multiple personality scales (e. a non-parametric alternative to the t-test can be used. One-way analysis of variance generalizes the two-sample t-test when the data belong to more than two groups. Because measures of this type are usually highly correlated.g. Here. 9 . To relax the normality assumption. the distribution of the sample variance may deviate substantially from a χ2 distribution. If the data are substantially non-normal and the sample size is small. However.

mcs. http://www. "William Sealy Gosset and William A. High-Yield Behavioral Science (High-Yield Series).jstor.. ^ a b Fadem. ^ Zimmerman. Hagerstwon. Pediatrics 116 (3): 732–5. 10 .2005-1134. "A Note on Interpretation of the Paired-Samples t Test". "Student's t-test". The test statistic is defined as . covariance matrix. doi:10.st-andrews. 4. "Guinness. The Story of Mathematics (Princeton University Press). Gosset. Statistical Science 2 (1): 45–52. http://www-history. is the vector of column means and is a sample Two-sample T 2 test For a two-sample multivariate test.org/stable/1165289. (1997). MacTutor History of Mathematics archive.jstor. the hypothesis is that the mean vectors ( samples are equal. DAP. ^ Raju TN (2005). 5. Joan (1987).uk/Biographies/Gosset.html.1542/peds. Fisher. ^ a b O'Connor. See also Student's t-statistic F-test Conditional change model Notes 1. Donald W. p. ^ Richard Mankiewicz. gretl. 2.One-sample T 2 test For a one-sample multivariate test. MD: Lippincott Williams & Wilkins..158. PMID 16140715. Silverman: two "students" of science".org/stable/2245613. Robertson. ) of two Implementations Most spreadsheet programs and statistics packages. Barbara (2008). and Small Samples". R and PSPP include implementations of Student's t-test. 3. ^ Fisher Box. John J. The test statistic is defined as: where n is the sample size. such as Microsoft Excel.ac. ISBN 0-7817-8258-9. Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics 22 (3): 349–360. SPSS. 6. http://www. the hypothesis is that the mean vector ( ) is equal to a given vector ( ). Edmund F.

616. Press. http://www. HA. Brian P.jstor.org/stable/2684684. Carol A.nr. Cambridge University Press. "Conditions for the Effectiveness of a Preliminary Test of Variance". p. ^ David. Vetterling. ISBN 0-824-77337-3. pp. Markowski. http://www. Flannery (1992). Numerical Recipes in C: The Art of Scientific Computing. ^ Markowski. CRC Press. 8.org/stable/2684360. Sensory Evaluation of Food: Statistical Methods and Procedures.com/. Gunnink. William T.7. 11 . Teukolsky. "The Paired t Test Under Artificial Pairing". ISBN 0-521-43108-5. Michael (1986).. pp. The American Statistician 44 (4): 322–326. Jason L (1997). (1990). William H. The American Statistician 51 (1): 9–12. 487. References O'Mahony. http://www. Edward P.jstor. Saul A.

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