Date : 30th June 2011

SMART INVESTMENT BY SMART PROFIT
BUY LUPIN CMP : 448; Target : 510 in 6 months Headquartered in Mumbai, India, Lupin Limited today is an innovation led transnational pharmaceutical company producing a wide range of quality, affordable generic and branded formulations and APIs for over 70 countries in the world. Lupin remains amongst the prolific R& D spenders in the industry which we believe bodes well for its growth. Lupin can turn out to be a major winner with the recent Japanese crisis by tapping the opportunity. The Japanese subsidiary Kyowa pharma to see rise sale of CNS drugs and anti-infective grew by 16% to Rs. 1,727 Mn during Q3, FY 2010-11 which has 200 brands and adds 11% -12 % revenue to the company. Kyowa also plans to launch atleast 4 – 5 products every year. Lupin remains the 5th largest Generic player in the U.S. in terms of prescriptions (IMS Health). Lupin emerged as the market leader (No. 1 by market share) in 13 out of 29 generic products in the U.S. and 28 out of these 29 generic products rank in the Top 3 positions by market share Key Financial & Performance Highlights- FY 2010-2011 • • • • Net sales grew by 20% to Rs. 57,068 Mn. during FY 2010-11, up from Rs. 47,736 Mn. (FY 200910) Net profits grew by 27% to Rs. 8,626 Mn. during FY 2010-11, as compared to Rs 6,816 Mn. (FY 2009-10) Earnings before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) grew by 20% to Rs. 12,000 Mn. during FY 2010-11, from Rs. 9,981 Mn. (FY 2009-10) Debt Equity Ratio improved to 0.22 as on 31st March, 2011 from 0.37 as on 31st March, 2010 Key Highlights Q4, FY 2010-11 • • • Net sales growth for Q4 FY 2010-11 was 18% at Rs. 15,214 Mn. as against Rs. 12,925 Mn. Advanced markets sales (U.S., EU & Japan) grew by 10% to Rs 7,853 Mn. over Q4 FY 2009-10 Emerging markets sales grew by 45% to Rs. 1,220 Mn, Q4 FY 2010 -11 as against Rs. 840 Mn, Q4 FY 2009-10

and there could be a few more by the end of this fiscal targeting annual revenue of $3 billion. Target : 160 in 1 year SYNDICATE BANK was established in 1925 spanning over 80 years of pioneering expertise. led by slowing disbursements and higher competition. 11.209 Mn. three times that of the revenue in 2010. The company has already expanded its reach from 890 medical representatives 3 years back to 3.500 at present and is looking to hire more employees this fiscal in India. Intact growth in FY 2011-12 in the sector due to 1) Visibility increase in launches in US. 2) OCs launch from Sep 2012E.. 1969 under the Companies Act 1956. REC a listed Public Sector Enterprise Government of India with a net worth of Rs.92 crore on 26. which are located in most of the States. Syndicate Bank has posted sharp growth of 72. Its disbursements are estimated to grow by 20 per cent. We recommend ‘BUY’ on the stock at CMP 430 with a target price of Rs. The company has been rated among the top 500 Global Financial Services brands for 2010 by UK-based plc Brand Finance.03.26 crore in the year ended March 2011 over the year ended March 2010.907 Mn. with some cushion from undisbursed loans of over Rs 100.3) Minimal threat of generic competition to Suprax.68 billion for corresponding quarter a year ago.450 cr on capacity expansion. Target : 300 in 6 months Rural Electrification Corporation Limited (REC). They have close to about 145 filing for America as of now. and net sales outside India grew by 17% recording revenue of Rs. REC is also among the Forbes Global 2000 companies for 2010. . was incorporated on July 25. Lupin has got a rich pipeline for various geographies. We believe the recent fall in stock is a good opportunity point as long term drivers are intact.080 Crore as on 31.510.02% in its net profit at Rs 2.000 crore.• Net sales within India grew by 20% during Q4 FY 2010-11 recording revenue of Rs.89 billion for Q4FY11 as against Rs 1.4% to Rs 2569.10. the board of directors of the company recommended a final dividend of Rs 4 per share for the year ended March 2011 For 2011-12. Rural Electrification Corporation (REC)'s net profit rose 28. BUY RURAL ELECTRIFICATION CORPORATION LIMITED (REC) CMP : 200.7% increase in total income to Rs 8495. 11. 3. under Ministry of Power. the Bank has created for itself a solid customer base comprising customers of two or three generations. Also to post compounded earnings growth of 25 per cent and average return on equity (RoE) of 22 per cent over 2011-12. SALES CAGR – 27% EBIDTA CAGR – 32% PAT CAGR – 38% Lupin is investing Rs. At the time of announcing Q4 results. BUY SYNDICATE BANK CMP : 116. Valuing it at 20x FY2012E earnings. REC provides loan assistance to SEBs/State Power Utilities for investments in rural electrification schemes through its Corporate Office located at New Delhi and 17 field units (Project Offices).. ramping up sales force and launching new products. We have a ‘BUY’ rating on the stock at CMP of 202 due to REC’s robust long-term business outlook and valuations. we expect REC’s loan growth to stabilise around 25 per cent.

We think the stock is cheap at 1.ft in Santacruz West is completed. Work at Savoy chambers. and Hosur and Padappai in Chennai in Tamilnadu.350 crore as on 31. a company with a 25-year track record. It owns the famous Filmistan studio in partnership and has been in news recently that it is selling the land for a whooping amount of Rs.1327 cr in Dec quarter compare to Rs. Thus studying all the aspect we recommend a strong BUY with the target 160 BUY AREVA T&D CMP : 260 . up by 28.1150 cr in previous year’s quarter. The board has recommended a dividend of Rs 3.600 cr. Net sales rose to Rs.Total income of the bank has increased by 24.08. Thus the stock looks attractive investment opportunity. completion of its various projects and its land bank.1000 cr.08. and services for transmission and distribution of electricity in India. Target : 440 in 1 year India Ltd. Since its 52 week high of Rs 164 has been declining in a well defined channel lows and highs. we recommend a STRONG BUY on Kamanwala with it targeted to 70 in 6 months. With total land asset of more than Rs. in Santacruz West has been completed. At its current low of Rs 113.4x estimated FY12 book value. . the company posted revenue of Rs.5% respectively. Kamanwala completed a commercial project “Pinnacle Corporate Park” at Mumbai’s most developing commercial hub Bandra Kurla Complex.1047. Eight new factories were built at three locations: Vadodora in Gujarat.5% in March 2011. based at Mumbai is into construction and development of commercial and residential buildings.86 cr .16 billion for Q4FY11 from Rs 27. They are soon starting with development of 35 acres of land in Hyderabad. the Indian subsidiary of AREVA France SA.946 crore from Rs. Areva managed to retain its leadership position for the third year has posted a net profit of Rs.2011. systems.08 crore in Dec 2010 quarter. Syndicate loan books expected to grow by 20%. a residential project of 60000 sq ft.11450. market is severely undervalued at 40 with market capital of Rs. engages in the design and manufacture of equipment. up by 14% and net profit of Rs. Although the signs of recovery are emerging.03.476 crore. the stock is currently trading at lower valuations that contradict the fundamental. an increase of 30% Y-o-Y. Kamanwala owns 125000 sq ft of land in Oshiwara area. Considering the zeroing of debt the company has undertaken. a commercial project of 67000 sq.95 cr . BUY KAMANWALA HOUSING CONSTRUCTION CMP : 39 . 1. Kamanwala is constructing 5 towers residential project in Malad West .58% at Rs 34.596 crore while advances reached to Rs. Kamanwala holds huge land in Noida and Turbhe as well. Kamanwala’s Savoy Residence. The comply of Areva T&D India’s business at global level by the Consortium of Alstom-Schneider continues to fortify on the stock.35. the stock has underperformed Sensex & Bankex & the close to its book level. Target : 70 in 6 months Kamanwala Housing Construction Limited (KHCL).They are developing SRA project at Mahim. 2. The Global Business of the Bank increased to Rs. 2. The concern negative points appears to be unfreeze & correction in the stock overdone. We expect the stock perform dominant in earning at CMP 265 with a target price of 440. Global deposit reached to Rs. On an annual basis. Building on the strong operating performance with relatively low interest and depreciation cost as proportion to sales and lower tax incidence.43. 88.42 billion for Q4FY10. Inflationary expectations & tight liquidity adversely impacted the NIM (Net Interest Margin) which leads to fall in this stock price.70 a share (37%) for the year 2010-2011.55 cr. 1. we expect company to register CAGR of 13.

04 billion has already been spent on ongoing projects. The company runs the biggest open-pit lignite mines in India and mines around 24 million tonnes of lignite annually for fuel. The company has also planned to develop clean coal technologies like extraction of coal bed methane (CBM) and Underground coal gasification for which several steps have been taken.2 billion on power generation and mining capacity augmentation by 2017. wind and solar power generation projects will add on strength to the cashbook. The Tamil Nadu electricity board has a JV with the Neyveli Lignite Cooperation (NLC) for two projects – A 1000-MW coal-based project at Tuticorin in southy Tamil Nadu at the cost of Rs 4000 crore and the Jayamkondam lignite power project at a cost of Rs 5000 crore for 1000 – MW power plant.BUY NEYVELI LIGNITE CORPORATION LIMITED (NLC) CMP : 100 . The plan also includes development of power projects using other fuel feed. Neyveli Lignite is an open-cast mechanized lignite mine. 3 big mines also supplies a huge amount of sweet water to Chennai. with an installed capacity of 2490 MW of electricity per annum. . Strong expansion & diversification plans to explore coal-based. $2. It is recently announced as “Navratna” by Government of India in April 2011. Target : 150 in 6 months NLC is a government-owned lignite mining Indian company. Of the proposed investment. Recently. which is wholly owned by the Union Government (49%) and administered via coal ministry. the company announced its plans to invest about $8. NLC Neyveli spreads over an area of around 54 square km. comprising Neyveli Township and temporary colonies around 32 blocks. NLC now elaborated its project to Rajasthan also in mining as well as thermal stations. The Company has 50 percent joint venture with Tamil Nadu Electricity Board.

The market view and investment tips expressed on Smart Profit are in no way a guarantee either express or implied.DISCLAIMER:.in ANKITA JAIN (Director) Email: ankita@smartprofit.in . Smart Profit does not guarantee the accuracy.in SHAILESH GOWDA (Associate Executive) Email: shailesh. adequacy or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such information.in MANSINGH RAI (Associate Executive) Email: mansingh.Smart Profit has taken due care and caution in compilation of data for its reports.mangela@smartprofit. However.gowda@smartprofit. SUMAN JAIN (CEO) Email: sumanjain@smartprofit.in DIPAK MANGELA (Research Analyst) Email: dipak.rai@smartprofit.

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