Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1
Agenda
Appendix
2
I. Investment Story Highlights
3
Investment Story Highlights
Competitive Strengths of the Newcomer Group in the Italian Banking Top League
1 2 3 4
4
Investment Story Highlights
Distribution Franchise Strength
5
Investment Story Highlights
Efficiency Advantages
80
– Operatingcosts3/banking volumes4:
0.7% of
70
BPI+BPVN vs 1.0% of competitors
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Demonstrated track record in cost reduction: stable reduction of
general expenses in BPVN (CAGR = - 3.4% in 2002-2005)
(1) Banca Lombarda, BPM, BPU, Capitalia, CR Firenze, Credem, Banca Intesa, MPS, San Paolo, Unicredit (Sept. 2006).
(2) Prometeia benchmark (3) Total Operating costs including depreciation
(4) Banking volumes refer to custormer loans and direct and indirect customer funds 6
Investment Story Highlights
Qualified and Diversified Business Portfolio
High savings rate in Europe 100% of Aletti Gestielle Sgr Market share:
Asset Significant opportunities in the 100% of Bipitalia Gestioni Sgr • BPVN 2.9%
pension business due to the • BPI 1.1%
Mgmt. 28% of Arca Sgr • Arca 4.3%
impending pension reform
100% of Efibanca
Acceleration of opportunities due to
Corporate 100% of Aletti Merchant
Mid-Corporate transformation
Finance
8
II. Value Creation Drivers
9
Value Creation Drivers
Overview 2007-2010 Business Plan
FROM TO
Top-down analysis of the merger project Detailed bottom-up analysis
(16 Oct. 2006) (14 Dec. 2006)
€m pre-tax €m pre-tax
145 500 127 500
146
135
50% of 48% of
220 227
top-down bottom-up
full full
potential potential
Cost
x Revenue
x Improvement
x Total
Total Cost
x Revenue
x Productivity
x Total
Total
synergies synergies in pro-capita synergies synergies alignment
profitability
% of total
Personnel cost savings
Personnel 91
40% – ~1,350 resources
– mainly HQ staff and BO
IT / Back Office
Administrative IT system integration
67 30%
Expenses Back Office optimization
227 100%
Leveraging on track record in achieving
Total
economies of scale
11
Value Creation Drivers
Savings on Personnel Costs
12
Value Creation Drivers
Economies of Scale and Best Practice on IT/BO Costs
13
Value Creation Drivers
Economies of Scale and Best Practice on Other Administrative Costs
-€69m (-9%)
30% of other administrative costs (€ 219m) can be 729 29
40
optimized by 13% through the adoption of best 660
-13%
practices (e.g. facility management) 219 Best practice -19%
cost alignment
materials)
14
Value Creation Drivers
Revenues (2007-2010 Business Plan)
% of total
Revenue 53%
synergies 146
Cross- 31
Enabling Ducato consumer credit products on BPVN
11% network
fertilization
15
Value Creation Drivers
Opportunity to Fill the Productivity Gap (2006 Internal Benchmark excl. Consumer Credit¹)
BPV
CB 265
Average Average (after LLP)³
BPN 197 24% Total revenues per Total revenues per
network employee (€k) network employee (€k)
BPV
223
CB
(1) Based on detailed branch analysis; productivity calculated as network revenues/network employees
excluding Ducato and Linea. (2) High concentration: areas with distance between branches lower than 1
km. (3) Revenues after loan-loss provisions 16
Value Creation Drivers
Productivity Alignment Actions and Targets
189 191
2006 Baseline 2010 Producti- 2010 2006 Baseline 2010 Producti- 2010 2006 Baseline 2010 Producti- 2010
growth vity New growth vity New growth vity New
alignment Group alignment Group alignment Group
4.8% 5.8% 5.7%
# Network
∼5,600 2.4% ∼6,200 ∼3,000 0.3% ∼3,100 ∼5,300 3.0% ∼6,000
employees
(1) Revenues, provisions and employees related to the commercial banking network
CAGR 2006-2010
18
Value Creation Drivers
Share of Wallet and Pricing Opportunities to Realign Productivity
BPI BPN
Revenues after
Revenues after
-34% 35% loan-loss
loan-loss
provisions
100% 24% provisions 100% 31%
-27% 13%
67%
61%
14% 16%
Business Inertial Pricing Mix Share Acquisition Business Inertial Pricing Mix Share Acquisition
Plan growth (1) of of new Plan growth (1) of of new
target Wallet customers target Wallet customers
BPI BPN
131 250
55 133
119
78
48%
58%
Cost of funding
Retail/Corporate Brokerage and Cost of funding Total synergies
- Reduction in BPI cost of funding in Products trading from value chain
EMTN/institutional markets (-15 bps) optimization
21
Value Creation Drivers
Network Empowerment
- Abruzzo
22
Value Creation Drivers
Cross-fertilization on Consumer Credit Products – Ducato
70% penetration on
Volume alignment consumer credit loans (vs.
current 95% Ducato)
- Adoption of Ducato best practice on BPI
product range on personal loans From current
BPVN 417 bps 11 31
- Sharing of BPI highly effective sales to Ducato 450
€ 233 m of new
processes and methods on consumer credit consumer credit bps
loans
7
Pricing/risk metrics alignment
- Adoption of highly developed scoring and
14
risk assessment tools (based in Ducato)
23
Value Creation Drivers
Phasing
Productivity alignment
500
Revenue synergies
413 127 25%
Cost synergies
102 25%
74
27%
24
Value Creation Drivers
Buffers not Included in the Business Plan
Upside from the full potential Up-side from the 52% of commercial network Up to 85
productivity alignment not-included in the
productivity alignment
Business Plan
Up to 215
25
III. Financials & Capital Management
26
Financials 2007-2010 – Banco Popolare Group
Banking Volume Targets
8.7% 9.5%
+40%
400 359 400
27
Financials 2007-2010 – Banco Popolare Group
Profitability Targets
30
Capital management
Overview
Capital
Share
strengthening ~ 3.3% ~ 9.7%
Buybacks
initiatives
• Sale of equity
~ 6.4%
stakes
~ 6.1% • Sale of real
Tier 1 Capital to Basle II
estate assets
Capital finance organic impact
• Issuance of
generated growth in RWAs
hybrid capital
from retained • Reduction of
earnings² RWAs
(1) Preliminary estimates, with BPVN using Basle II Advanced and with BPI using Basle I
(2) Retained earnings over the period 2007-2010 including synergies and restructuring costs
31
Capital adequacy outlook
32
IV. Management Team
33
Management Team
Corporate General Manager: Massimo Minolfi Retail General Manager: Franco Baronio
• RES (External Specialized Networks): Maurizio Di Maio • Group Audit: Giancarlo Castelli
34
V. Timetable
35
Timetable overview
Milestones
‘06 2007
H1 2008
D J F M A M J J A S O N D
13
BoD Approval
15
Authorization from Bank of Italy
Roadshows
10
Approval of the merger project by the
Shareholders’ Meeting
36
Group IT Migration
Migration Timing
13/12 March 07 01/07/07 Aug. 07 Oct. 07 15/12/07 Feb. 08
Shareholders
Board approval
approval
Migration
start up Solutions
Merger project realization
start up start up
Merger effective
Integration of client
credit risk database
Operational test
(40-70 branches)
BPL migration
conclusion
37
VI. Closing Remarks
38
Closing remarks
39
Appendix
40
Appendix
Macro Economic Scenario - Deposit and Loan Growth Rate Forecasts
CAGR
2006 2007 2008 2009
2006-2009
Inflation
2.20% 1.80% 2.00% 1.70% Total Customer loans +6.5%
(Italy)
Em ilia
244 4° 7.3%
Rom agna
2.5%<=X<7.5%
Trentino 21 6° 2.2%
7.5%<=X<15%
Emilia-Romagna
Province BPVN BPI BP Rank Province BPVN BPI BP Rank
Modena 15.3% 1.5% 16.8% 3°
Alessandria 7.2% 1.4% 8.6% 5° Bergamo 13.5% 1.9% 15.4% 3° Parma 5.9% 1.5% 7.4% 3°
Asti 7.2% 0.6% 7.8% 4° Brescia 6.4% 3.0% 9.4% 3° Piacenza 0.9% 3.8% 4.7% 5°
Biella 10.9% - 10.9% 3° Como 2.6% 1.2% 3.8% 8° Ravenna 1.3% 2.8% 4.1% 8°
Piedmont
Cuneo 6.5% 0.2% 6.7% 4° Cremona 1.5% 23.3% 24.8% 1° Reggio Em. 13.3% 0.8% 14.1% 3°
Novara 26.6% - 26.6% 1° Lombardy Lecco 1.9% 1.9% 3.8% 7° Rimini - 1.4% 1.4% 15°
Turin 3.7% 0.7% 4.4% 5° Lodi - 19.1% 19.1% 2° Total 4.9% 2.4% 7.3% 4°
Verbano 26.8% - 26.8% 2° Mantova 6.3% 2.5% 8.8% 4°
Vercelli 21.6% - 21.6% 2° Milan 2.9% 2.9% 5.8% 5° 9°
Arezzo 0.9% 1.4% 2.3%
Total 8.7% 0.5% 9.2% 3° Pavia 8.8% 2.5% 11.3% 3° 4°
Florence 1.7% 4.3% 6.0%
Sondrio - 0.8% 0.8% 5° 3°
Grosseto 4.3% 3.5% 7.8%
Varese 3.7% 4.7% 8.1% 4° 2°
Belluno 2.1% 1.0% 3.1% 8° Livorno 2.1% 24.1% 26.2%
Total 4.9% 4.0% 8.9% 3°
Tuscany
Padova 3.8% 0.7% 4.5% 4° Lucca 2.8% 25.9% 28.7% 1°
Rovigo 1.1% 0.6% 1.7% 11° Massa C. 1.0% 9.6% 10.6% 4°
Veneto
Treviso 3.6% 0.8% 4.4% 6° Genoa 3.3% 12.1% 15.4% 3° Pisa 2.3% 16.5% 18.8% 2°
Venice 10.2% 0.6% 10.8% 3° Imperia 6.8% 1.7% 8.5% 3° Pistoia 3.3% 5.0% 8.3% 3°
Liguria
Verona 22.8% 0.3% 23.1% 2° La Spezia 3.7% 6.1% 9.8% 4° Prato 1.5% 4.5% 6.0% 6°
Vicenza 5.6% 0.6% 6.2% 5° Savona 8.9% 6.7% 15.6% 3° Siena - 1.5% 1.5% 12°
Total 8.6% 0.6% 9.2% 3° Total 4.9% 8.9% 13.8% 3° Total 1.9% 9.4% 11.3% 3°
(1) Subjected to the reapproval by the shareholders’ meeting scheduled on 20th January 2007
(2) In accordance with the Memorandum of Understanding signed on 1 Nov. 2006, the Management Board shall be composed of a minimum of 12 up to a maximum of 15 members, of
which at least two thirds chosen among managers of the new Group and at least one fourth among non-executive representatives.
44
Appendix
One-off Restructuring Costs
Other
costs
300
28%
Personnel
60%
12%
IT
Restructuring costs
45
Appendix
Group Financials 3Q06: Income Statement
BPVN BPI
Tom Lucassen Office: +39 045 867 5537 Nicoletta Zangrandi Office: +39 0371 580.036
Head of Investor Relations e-mail: investor.relations@bpv.it Head of Investor Relations e-mail: investor.relations@bipielle.it
Elena Segura Office: +39 045 867 5484 Chiara Leoni Office: +39 0371 580 073
e-mail: investor.relations@bpv.it e-mail: investor.relations@bipielle.it
Vania Farinati Office: +39 045 867 5580 Elisa Mazzocco Office: +39 0371 580.681
e-mail: investor.relations@bpv.it e-mail: investor.relations@bipielle.it
Office: +39 045 867 5613 Fabio Pelati Office: +39 0371 580.105
Francesca Romagnoli
e-mail: investor.relations@bpv.it e-mail: investor.relations@bipielle.it
48