Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18611

Geography: Kentucky Data Collected: 09/22/2011 - 09/27/2011 Release Date: 09/29/2011 Sponsor: The Courier-Journal Bluegrass / WHAS-TV Poll, (Louisville, KY)

One Month To KY Governor Election, Incumbent Democrat Beshear Overwhelms Republican Challenger: One month until votes are counted in the election for Governor of Kentucky, incumbent Democrat Steve Beshear builds upon his 2:1 advantage over Republican challenger David Williams, according to a SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted for the Courier-Journal newspaper and WHAS-TV in Louisville. 28% of Kentucky Republicans today cross-over to vote Democrat. 24% of Tea Party members cross-over to vote Democrat. Just half of Republican voters back the Republican candidate. When the demographic sub-groups are added up, it's Beshear 57% Williams 26%, a 31-point advantage for the Democrat in a state that in 2010 elected a Tea Party candidate to the U.S. Senate. Independent Gatewood Galbraith gets 8% in an election for Governor today, 10/02/11. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 60 days ago, Williams is down 2 points, Beshear is up 5 points. There is movement to the Democrat in Western KY, where Beshear's lead has nearly tripled since July, and among men, where Beshear had led by 18, now leads by 26. Beshear, elected in 2007 with 59% of the vote, is strong in greater Louisville, where he gets 62% of the vote, among moderates, where he gets 70%, among women, where he gets 60%, among seniors, where he gets 64%, and among pro-choice voters, where he gets 74% of the vote. Williams carries conservatives 5:4. * Beshear has a Plus 31 Favorability Rating, up 4 points since July, impressive in a climate where Democrats elsewhere are struggling. * Williams has a Minus 21 Favorability Rating, down 6 points since July.

This survey includes cell phone respondents and landline respondents. SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Kentucky adults 09/22/11 through 09/27/11. Of the adults, 799 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 569 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/08/11 Gubernatorial election. This survey was conducted multimode. Of the landline respondents (who are 75% of adults, 79% of likely voters), two-thirds were interviewed in the recorded voice of a professional announcer, one-third were interviewed by call center employees, who asked the questions and remained on the line until the interview was completed. Of the cell phone respondents (who are 25% of adults, 21% of likely voters), all were interviewed by call center employees, who hand-dialed the numbers and who remained on the line until the interview was completed. In this data set, cell-phone respondents and landline respondents vote similarly.

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If the election for Kentucky Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican David Williams? Democrat Steve Beshear? Or Independent Gatewood Galbraith? All 26% 57% 8% 9% 100% 100% Gender Male 28% 54% 10% 9% 100% 49% Female 18-34 25% 60% 7% 8% 100% 51% 21% 58% 14% 7% 100% 11% 29% 52% 9% 10% 100% 30% Age 35-49 50-64 28% 55% 9% 8% 100% 33% 65+ 23% 64% 5% 9% 100% 27% <50 / 50+ 18-49 27% 54% 11% 9% 100% 40% 50+ 26% 59% 7% 8% 100% 60% White 28% 54% 9% 9% 100% 92% 5% 92% 2% 0% 100% 7% Race Black Hispani Other ** ** ** ** 100% 0% ** ** ** ** 100% 1% Cell Phone / Lan 23% 58% 9% 10% 100% 21% 28% 56% 8% 8% 100% 79% Party Registration 51% 28% 12% 10% 100% 39% 10% 79% 5% 6% 100% 55% 22% 54% 14% 9% 100% 6%

569 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.2% Williams (R) Beshear (D) Galbraith (I) Undecided Total Composition of Likely Voters

Cell Ph Landlin Republi Democr Indepen

© 2011 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18611 - Page 1

Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18611
Geography: Kentucky Data Collected: 09/22/2011 - 09/27/2011 Release Date: 09/29/2011 Sponsor: The Courier-Journal Bluegrass / WHAS-TV Poll, (Louisville, KY)

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If the election for Kentucky Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican David Williams? Democrat Steve Beshear? Or Independent Gatewood Galbraith? All 26% 57% 8% 9% 100% 100% Tea Party Memb Yes 56% 24% 14% 6% 100% 17% No 20% 65% 7% 8% 100% 79% 47% 37% 8% 9% 100% 43% Ideology Conser Modera Liberal 14% 70% 9% 7% 100% 36% 6% 79% 9% 6% 100% 16% College Grad Yes 28% 53% 11% 8% 100% 40% No 25% 59% 7% 8% 100% 60% Attend Religious Services 31% 55% 6% 8% 100% 55% 22% 61% 9% 7% 100% 25% 19% 58% 16% 7% 100% 20% Abortion 39% 43% 8% 11% 100% 52% 13% 74% 10% 3% 100% 40% Own a Gun? Yes 28% 52% 10% 9% 100% 58% No 23% 65% 6% 6% 100% 40% 17% 67% 7% 9% 100% 35% Income < $40K $40K - > $80K 33% 51% 8% 8% 100% 37% 31% 51% 11% 7% 100% 28%

569 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.2% Williams (R) Beshear (D) Galbraith (I) Undecided Total Composition of Likely Voters

Regular Occasio Almost Pro-life Pro-cho

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If the election for Kentucky Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican David Williams? Democrat Steve Beshear? Or Independent Gatewood Galbraith? All 26% 57% 8% 9% 100% 100% Region Wester Louisvill North C Eastern 22% 63% 4% 11% 100% 24% 27% 62% 6% 5% 100% 28% 27% 53% 13% 7% 100% 33% 29% 46% 10% 15% 100% 16%

569 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.2% Williams (R) Beshear (D) Galbraith (I) Undecided Total Composition of Likely Voters

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Is your opinion of David Williams ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of David Williams? Gender Male 19% 39% 21% 22% 100% 49% Female 18-34 16% 38% 20% 26% 100% 51% 19% 26% 16% 39% 100% 11% 17% 32% 22% 29% 100% 30% Age 35-49 50-64 18% 41% 21% 20% 100% 33% 65+ 17% 47% 19% 17% 100% 27% <50 / 50+ 18-49 17% 30% 21% 32% 100% 40% 50+ 18% 44% 20% 19% 100% 60% White 18% 38% 20% 24% 100% 92% Race Black Hispani Other 10% 49% 17% 25% 100% 7% ** ** ** ** 100% 0% ** ** ** ** 100% 1% Cell Phone / Lan 16% 38% 8% 38% 100% 21% 18% 39% 24% 19% 100% 79% Party Registration 30% 25% 23% 22% 100% 39% 8% 49% 20% 24% 100% 55% 21% 35% 20% 24% 100% 6%

569 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.2% Favorable Unfavorable Neutral No Opinion Total Composition of Likely Voters

All 17% 38% 20% 24% 100% 100%

Cell Ph Landlin Republi Democr Indepen

© 2011 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18611 - Page 2

Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18611
Geography: Kentucky Data Collected: 09/22/2011 - 09/27/2011 Release Date: 09/29/2011 Sponsor: The Courier-Journal Bluegrass / WHAS-TV Poll, (Louisville, KY)

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Is your opinion of David Williams ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of David Williams? Tea Party Memb Yes 36% 21% 30% 13% 100% 17% No 13% 43% 19% 25% 100% 79% 30% 25% 22% 23% 100% 43% Ideology Conser Modera Liberal 10% 50% 22% 18% 100% 36% 5% 52% 15% 28% 100% 16% College Grad Yes 19% 47% 19% 16% 100% 40% No 16% 33% 22% 29% 100% 60% Attend Religious Services 19% 41% 21% 19% 100% 55% 18% 37% 17% 28% 100% 25% 13% 35% 22% 30% 100% 20% Abortion 25% 31% 21% 23% 100% 52% 10% 51% 21% 18% 100% 40% Own a Gun? Yes 19% 37% 24% 21% 100% 58% No 16% 44% 14% 26% 100% 40% 11% 39% 20% 29% 100% 35% Income < $40K $40K - > $80K 23% 36% 20% 21% 100% 37% 18% 43% 19% 19% 100% 28%

569 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.2% Favorable Unfavorable Neutral No Opinion Total Composition of Likely Voters

All 17% 38% 20% 24% 100% 100%

Regular Occasio Almost Pro-life Pro-cho

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Is your opinion of David Williams ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of David Williams? Region Wester Louisvill North C Eastern 16% 37% 19% 28% 100% 24% 16% 45% 19% 20% 100% 28% 17% 37% 22% 23% 100% 33% 21% 31% 21% 26% 100% 16%

569 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.2% Favorable Unfavorable Neutral No Opinion Total Composition of Likely Voters

All 17% 38% 20% 24% 100% 100%

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Is your opinion of Steve Beshear ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Steve Beshear? Gender Male 48% 23% 20% 9% 100% 49% Female 18-34 54% 16% 21% 9% 100% 51% 49% 20% 17% 14% 100% 11% 44% 18% 29% 9% 100% 30% Age 35-49 50-64 52% 22% 18% 8% 100% 33% 65+ 58% 18% 15% 9% 100% 27% <50 / 50+ 18-49 46% 19% 26% 10% 100% 40% 50+ 55% 20% 17% 9% 100% 60% White 49% 21% 21% 9% 100% 92% Race Black Hispani Other 80% 3% 10% 7% 100% 7% ** ** ** ** 100% 0% ** ** ** ** 100% 1% Cell Phone / Lan 49% 16% 25% 10% 100% 21% 51% 21% 20% 8% 100% 79% Party Registration 27% 34% 31% 9% 100% 39% 68% 10% 14% 8% 100% 55% 55% 18% 20% 7% 100% 6%

569 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.2% Favorable Unfavorable Neutral No Opinion Total Composition of Likely Voters

All 51% 20% 20% 9% 100% 100%

Cell Ph Landlin Republi Democr Indepen

© 2011 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18611 - Page 3

Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18611
Geography: Kentucky Data Collected: 09/22/2011 - 09/27/2011 Release Date: 09/29/2011 Sponsor: The Courier-Journal Bluegrass / WHAS-TV Poll, (Louisville, KY)

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Is your opinion of Steve Beshear ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Steve Beshear? Tea Party Memb Yes 23% 45% 26% 7% 100% 17% No 58% 14% 19% 8% 100% 79% 33% 31% 25% 12% 100% 43% Ideology Conser Modera Liberal 63% 15% 18% 4% 100% 36% 69% 5% 16% 9% 100% 16% College Grad Yes 47% 23% 23% 6% 100% 40% No 53% 17% 19% 11% 100% 60% Attend Religious Services 49% 19% 25% 7% 100% 55% 56% 19% 13% 12% 100% 25% 51% 21% 18% 10% 100% 20% Abortion 40% 27% 24% 9% 100% 52% 66% 12% 17% 5% 100% 40% Own a Gun? Yes 48% 22% 22% 8% 100% 58% No 56% 16% 19% 9% 100% 40% 61% 14% 14% 11% 100% 35% Income < $40K $40K - > $80K 49% 21% 22% 8% 100% 37% 43% 24% 29% 5% 100% 28%

569 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.2% Favorable Unfavorable Neutral No Opinion Total Composition of Likely Voters

All 51% 20% 20% 9% 100% 100%

Regular Occasio Almost Pro-life Pro-cho

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Is your opinion of Steve Beshear ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Steve Beshear? Region Wester Louisvill North C Eastern 52% 16% 20% 12% 100% 24% 55% 17% 20% 7% 100% 28% 51% 21% 22% 6% 100% 33% 43% 25% 19% 13% 100% 16%

569 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.2% Favorable Unfavorable Neutral No Opinion Total Composition of Likely Voters

All 51% 20% 20% 9% 100% 100%

** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful. Statement of Methodology: About the Poll: This poll was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. All respondents heard the questions asked identically. The pollster's report includes the geography that was surveyed; the date(s) interviews were conducted, the number of respondents who answered each question and the theoretical margin of sampling error for each question. Where necessary, respondents were weighted using the most recent US Census estimates for age, gender, ethnic origin and region, to align the sample to the population. In theory, one can say with 95% certainty that the results would not vary by more than the stated margin of sampling error, in one direction or the other, had the entire universe of respondents with home telephones been interviewed with complete accuracy. There are other possible sources of error in all surveys that may be more serious than sampling error. These include: the difficulty of interviewing respondents who do not have a home telephone; the refusal by some with home telephones to be interviewed; the order in which questions are asked; the wording of questions; the way and extent to which data are weighted; and the manner in which specialized populations, such as likely voters, are determined. It is difficult to quantify the errors that may result from these and other factors. Research methodology, questionnaire design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ. This statement conforms to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

© 2011 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18611 - Page 4