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Introduction

PopulationandSurveyAnalysts(PASA)hasrecentlycompletedaDemographicUpdateforLake TravisI.S.D.bystudyingstudentresidentiallocations,potentialgrowth,housingtrends,and economicfactorsinherenttotheDistrict.PASAstudiedtheexpectedlongtermtrendsforthe District,andcreatedadatasettouseinplanningforthenexttenyears.Thefindingsofthisreport aredetailedinthefollowingdocument.

Demographic Study Objectives and Methodology


PASAprojectsstudentdataforaSchoolDistrictbyusingforwardlookingtechniquesnotby relyingonpastratesofchange.Asaresult,thedatathatPASAgeneratesismorerigorousand moreusablebyschooldistrictsthandatacreatedbyStateorLocalentitiesbecausetheyassess therealityofdevelopmentontheground.Thestepsinthegatheringofthisdataareoutlined belowandorganizedbychapter.

Chapter1
IntroductorymaterialscomparingtheDistricttosurroundingdistricts Economicdata Recentenrollmenttrendsbygrade Privateschooldata

PASAusesthisdatatounderstandthecompetitiveadvantagetheDistricthasoverother nearbydistrictsorschools,andalsotounderstandrecentenrollmenttrendsbygradeand gradegroup.

Chapter2
PlanningUnitmaps Mapsshowingvariousfactorsthataffectlongtermpotentialforresidential development,includingmunicipalboundaries,watersupplydata,floodplain,and parks/preserves Mapsandspreadsheetsofprojectedhousingoccupanciesbothsingleandmulti familyforthe10yeartimeframe Mapscontainingaerialimageryanddataonparcels,subdivisions,andmultifamily complexes

Inordertoprojectstudentenrollmentaccurately,PASAemployeesassessthe10year developmentpotentialforeachmajorparceloflandintheDistrict.Dataisgatheredfor

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

everysubdivision,apartmentcomplex,andcondoandthenaggregatedintoPlanningUnits, withthePlanningUnitsbeingderivedfromtheCensusdefinedblockgroupsforthearea. Projectedhousingoccupanciesarebasedoninterviewswithupto100realestateexperts, commercialbrokers,cityandcountyofficials,andothers,whoarefamiliarwith developmentexpectedinthearea.

Chapter3
PASAmustunderstandhowmanynewstudentseachnewhousewillyield.Thecommon assumptionisthateachhomecontainsanaverageoftwostudents,butinreality,theratios ofstudentsenrolledintheDistrictatanygiventimeismuchlowerthanthat. Currentratiosofstudentsperhouseholdforbothsingleandmultifamilyhousing units Mapsandspreadsheetsofthisratiodata

Chapter4
Knowingwherenewhomeswillbebuilt(yieldingfuturestudents)isonlyhalfthepicture. PASAmustalsounderstandwherethecurrentstudentsliveandwherestudentshave redistributedwithintheDistrictoverthepastfewyears.Thesemapsillustrateareasin whichexistinghomesarebecomingmoreorientedtofamilieswithschoolagedchildrenand otherchangesthatarethenappliedtotheprojectionsoffuturestudentpopulation. Mapsofthecurrentstudentpopulation,geocodedbytheirhomeaddresses Mapsofpastchangesinthestudentpopulation,showingwhichareasareincreasingor declininginstudents

Chapter5
PASAdevelopsthreescenariosofgrowth,inanattempttobracketinallfuturegrowth patterns.TheModerateScenarioofGrowthisusedasthebasisoflongrangeplanningin thisreport,buttheLowandHighGrowthScenariosmustalsobeconsideredasfeasible possibilitieswhenplanningforfuturefacilityutilization. ThreescenariosofDistrictwide,gradelevelgrowth:LowGrowth,ModerateGrowth, andHighGrowth ChartscontainingprojectionsbyPlanningUnit,basedonallthreescenariosofgrowth MapsdetailingtheprojectionsbyPlanningUnit,basedonallthreescenariosofgrowth

Chapter6
PASAusesthedatapreparedintheDemographicUpdatetoassessthelongtermstabilityof eachexistingattendancezone,andalsoprojectswhenandwhereadditionalfacilitiesmight bewarranted.
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011 2

Chartsofcurrenttransfersbyattendancezone Mapsandchartsdetailingtheprojectedstudentpopulationcomparedtothecapacity ofeachfacility

Student Growth Trends


ThefirstmapshowstheSchoolDistrictasitislocatedinwesternTravisCounty,with116.6square miles.Thenextmapshowsthat,ofthe116.6squaremilesintheDistrict,lessthan1/3rd(33.5 squaremiles)isgenerallybuiltoutordeveloped(showninlightpurpleonthismap).Ofthe remaining83.1squaremilesofundevelopedland,about20.6squaremilesareundevelopable becausetheyrepresentparks,preserves,orwildliferefuges(showningreen)orwaterbodies, floodwayorfloodplain(showninbrightblue). Thenextmapsshowthe2010studentenrollment,basedontelephoneinterviewsconductedat theendofSeptember2010,ratherthanofficialPEIMSenrollmentdata,asthelatterwillnotbe availableuntiltheSpring,2011.ThismapshowstheenrollmentofLakeTravisI.S.D.tobe7,012 students,orachangefromlastyearsPEIMSsnapshotof435students(6.6%).TheAustinarea DistrictsthatgrewatasimilarratethisyearwereallsmallerDistricts:JarrellI.S.D.(6.5%growth= 60students)andHuttoISD(5.9%growth=301students). TrendsinGradeSizesthatAffectFutureEnrollment ThemostrecentdataonStatewideenrollmentisfromthePEIMSsnapshotdateinOctober2009. Atthattime,LakeTravisI.S.D.had7.3%ofitsstudentpopulationinKindergarten,comparedto 7.7%Statewide.The1stgradepopulationwas6%smallerthanthe5thgradepopulation, comparedtothestatewidetrendinwhichthe1stgradeis8%largerthan5thgrade.Thesefigures spellapotentialslowingofgrowthfortheDistrict,asyoungerheadsofhouseholdsareseeing moredifficultiesinobtainingmortgagesforhomesinLakeTravisI.S.D. Likewise,thedistributionofyoungerstudentsthroughouttheDistrictcanhaveavaryingimpact onenrollmentateachElementaryschool.Thenextchartillustratestheattendancezonesin whichtheresident1stgradepopulationislargerthanthe5thgradepopulation(showningreen). Only1oftheelementaryschoolattendancezonescontainsmore1stgradersthan5thgraders, suggestingslightgrowthinthatareaduetonothingmorethantheagingoftheresidents currentlyinplace. Ananalysisofthepastdecadeofenrollmenttrends(refertoHistoricalGrowthTrendschart) showstheexpectedfluctuationinclasssizesfromyeartoyear.Overall,theproportionof studentsineachgradegrouphasremainedverystable.But,theproportionofelementaryschool studentsisslightlylowerrelativetootherDistricts,showingthatLakeTravisI.S.D.isoftena locationnotsuitedforfirsttimehomebuyerswithyoungchildren. ThenextchartcomparesthebirthsbyzipcodeofthebirthmothertotheKindergarten enrollmentintheDistrict(adjusted5years).Bymakingthiscomparison,itispossibletoproject Kindergartentrendsforthenext4yearsinverygeneralterms.Thischartshowsthatoverthe past15years,thenumberofchildrenborntomotherslivingwithinL.T.I.S.D.hasincreased dramatically,withfairlylargefluctuationspresentinanygivenyear.Acontinuedupwardgrowth trendisexpectedintheshortterm.
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011 3

Socioeconomic Characteristics
Manynonspecificqualityoflifeopinionsheldbythepubliccanbestudiedempiricallyusingtwo factorsfromschooldistrictdata.First,thepercentageofstudentswhoqualifyforthe free/reducedpricelunchprogramistightlycorrelatedwithmedianhouseholdincomeandmedian housingvalue.Therefore,analysisofthefree/reducedlunchpopulationoffersanannually updatedassessmentofthisqualityoflifeindicator,asopposedtoCensusdata,whichisnow10 yearsold.L.T.I.S.D.hasonly14.2%ofenrolledstudentswhoareeligibleforthefree/reduced pricelunchprogram,comparedto60%ofallstudentsinTexaswhoparticipateinthisprogramfor economicallydisadvantagedfamilies.ThisranksLakeTravisI.S.D.7thintheStateoutofall170 Districtswith5,000ormorestudents. Anotherqualityoflifeindicatorcommonlybeingusedisperformanceonthestatemandated TAKStest.WhilemostDistrictsfocusonsmallsubsetsofthepopulationandscoresonspecific tests,amoreglobalanalysisprovidesagoodcomparisonofoverallperformancebetween districts.Therefore,PASAsummarizesthepercentageofstudentsinallgradeswhopassedall subjectsoftheTAKStestadministeredinSpring2010.Statewide,about76%ofallstudentsin TexaspublicschoolspassedallsubjectsoftheTAKStest.Comparatively,LakeTravisI.S.D.has anoverallpassagerateof94%,whichranksit4thoutof170DistrictsintheStatewith5,000or morestudents. Thus,analysisoftheeconomicallydisadvantagedpopulationandTAKSperformanceillustrates empiricallytheextremelypositiveperceptionofLeanderISDandpointstothecompetitive advantagethisdistrictholdsoverothersinattractingnewresidents. OthersocioeconomiccharacteristicsaresummarizedfortheDistrictinthenextchart,andLake TravisI.S.D.iscomparedtoothernearbylargeDistrictsandtheStateofTexas.Theageofthe residentpopulationofLakeTravisI.S.D.is41.6years,comparedtothemedianageinTexasof 33.1years,andsimilarlyorientedtofamilieswithchildren(19%ofthepopulationisschoolaged, comparedto19%oftheTexaspopulationinthisagerange).Notsurprisingly,theL.T.I.S.D. populationismoreeducated(54%hasaBachelorsdegreeorhighercomparedto26%inTexas), andthemedianhouseholdincomeisabout$96,387comparedto$48,259inTexasoverall. Interestingly,themedianincomeinLakeTravisI.S.D.declinedslightlysincelastyearsestimate of$97,119asdidtheStatewidemedianincome(downfrom$50,043lastyear). Alsonotsurprisingly,theL.T.I.S.D.populationspendsmoretimecommutingtoworkeachday, anaverageof29.2minuteseachway,comparedto27.6minutesforLeanderI.S.D.and21.1for EanesI.S.D.TheStateofTexasspends24.6minutescommutingonaverage.Theselonger commutetimesillustratethattheresidentsofLakeTravisI.S.D.haveastrongcommitmenttothe Districtandarewillingtospendmoretimecommutinginordertoliveinthearea.
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011 4

Employment Trends and Housing Demand Impacts


LocalEmploymentTrendsoverthePastYearfortheAustinArea: EmploymenttrendsfortheCityofAustinandforTravisCountyareoutlinedforthepastyearand thepastsixmonthsinthischapter.Overall,employmenthasdeclinedslightlyinthearea,atless than1%decline.Theunemploymentrateshavefluctuatedslightlyoverthepastyear,largely remaininginthe67%range. SMUsDeanoftheCoxSchoolofBusiness,AlNiemi,suggeststhatTexasisstrategicallylocated foratleast50%percenthighergrowththanthenationalaverageouttotheyear2030.Hebases thisforecastpartiallyonanearlierBainandCo.studyofCaliforniaCEOspotentialrelocation decisions,with40%ofthemajorfirmsinCaliforniaplanningrelocations.Ofthatgroupof potentialtransferees,36%statedtheyhaveplanstomovetoTexas.HenotesthatTexashasno personalorcorporateincometaxes,hasreasonablepricesforrealestate(andasizeable proportionofundevelopedparcels),andalsothatTexashastheadvantageofbeingcentrally located. Likewise,Texasasawholeduringthetwoyeareconomicdownturnhasstillseenthehighest growth(inactualnumbersofnewresidents)ofanystateinthenation.MoodysAnalytics predictsthatTexascitieswilloutpacetherestofthenationastherecessiongraduallyends.Oil andgas,thehightechsectors,aswellasthemedical/healthindustry,willbeamongthekey providersofjobgrowth.And,Texashomepriceshavebeenonlynegligiblyaffectedinthe recession,butstillarenotthekeydriveroftheeconomyfor2010andinthenearterm.Rather, nonconstructionjobsareprovidingthepulltoTexasandtomajormetrolocationswithinTexas, specificallyinsuburbanlocations. Inthepastyear,theAustinConsolidatedMetroAreahasseenahigherpercentincreasein residentsthananyotherlargemetrolocationinthenation.Probablymostimportant,theAustin BusinessJournalnotedthatthelocaleconomyhasgrownmorethanthoseofanyofthelargest 100Americanmetroareaduringaperiodwhen95%ofthosemetroeconomiescontracted, accordingtoaDecember,2009BrookingsInstitutionreport. EmploymentbySectorforLakeTravisI.S.D. TheAmericanCommunitySurveynowprovidesannuallyupdatedinformationaboutresidentsof LakeTravisI.S.D.,includingtheeconomicsectorsinwhichresidentsareemployed. Notsurprisingly,thelargestemploymentsectorsrepresentedintheDistrictaretheProfessional Servicessector(employs21%ofLISDresidents),EducationalServicessector(employs15%of LISDresidents),andFinanceandInsuranceSector(employs13%ofLISDresidents.)
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Fortunately,thoseemployedingovernmentjobs(basedontheAmericanCommunitySurveys ClassofWorker)representonly10%.ThisisincontrasttosomeotherdistrictsintheAustin area,suchasManorI.S.D.,with24%ofitsworkforceingovernmentpositions,HaysC.I.S.D.at 20%,AustinI.S.D.at17%,EanesI.S.D.at13%,andLeanderI.S.D.with11%inpublicsectorjobs. AlthoughtheStatesexpectedbudgetcutswillsignificantlyimpactgovernmentemployees,the LakeTravisSchoolDistrictismoreinsulatedthanotherdistrictsinthearea. ThisdatahasbeenpulledtogetherintoaShiftShareanalysisofemploymentsectors,which analyzesthecurrentemploymentcharacteristicsandcomparesthosetoprojectedgrowth patternsforthestateandthenation.Manyofthelocal,stateandnationaleconomicforces discussedinChapter2arecontributingtotheprojected65%growthofemploymentofresidents ofL.T.I.S.D.between2008and2018.Thesectorsgainingthemostemployeesareprojectedto betheProfessional,Scientific,Management,Administration,andWasteManagementsector, followedbytheEducationalServices,HealthCare,andSocialAssistancesector,withnosectors expectedtoloseemployees. Althoughtheseemploymentprojectionsbyeconomicsector(above)arebasedonsecondary data,itisinstructivetoemphasizethenewhospitalcomplexanditsassociatedemployment impacts(inPhasesOneandTwoalone)ofapproximately2,618jobs.Also,therewillbeamuch largersecondaryandtertiaryeffectonnewemploymentintheDistrict,possiblyaddingthree timesthisnumberofjobs.ThedevelopersaresuggestingadirecteconomicimpactofPhases OneandTwoof$172million,withatotaleconomicimpactof$222million.Itshouldbe emphasized,however,thatwhilemanyoftheinitialemployeeswillworkinthefacility,theywill likelyliveoutsidetheL.T.I.S.D.boundaries. EmploymentTrendsovertheNextFiveYears Theabovedatashowstheprojectedgrowthinemploymentbyplaceofresidenceoftheworkers thatis,withinL.T.I.S.D.TheAustinregioncontinuedtobeamagnetfornewemployees,evenin thedownturn,duetogoodjobsandabetterthanelsewhereeconomy,notesdemographer SteveMurdockandothers. KeithPhillips,asenioreconomistwiththeFederalReserveinDallassaidthatAustinhadbeen addingjobsatarateof3.1%ratesinceDecember,2009whichisthebestofthelargestmetro areasintheState.And,hightechindustriesareleadingusoutoftherecessionintermsof overallexportsfromtheState,Phillipsindicated(fromtheAustinStatesmanonMay21,2010). InthatsameStatesmanarticle,EdFriedman,adirectoratMoodysEconomy.comwhocoversthe Texaseconomy,wasquotedassuggestingthatAustinisweatheringtherecessionbetterthan DallasandHouston,becauseAustinhassomeofthebestfundamentalsinthecountry, includingstrongpopulationgrowthandawelleducatedbase.Also,heemphasizedthatthe Austinareacontinuestomarketitselfeffectivelytohightechindustriesasalowcostalternative toCalifornia.

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Asnotedabove,theAustinareahashadoneofthelargestincreasesinpopulationofanyother metroareanationally.However,thelackofeasilyobtainablemortgagesandthenationaldebt couldstallAustinareaemploymentgrowth.Infact,manyeconomistssuggestthattherecouldbe anewnormalofhigherunemploymentandlowerlivingstandardsformanyarearesidents.But, AustinRoundRockhasbeeninsulatedfromthedownturnmorethananymajormetroarea(with theexceptionofWashingtonD.C.),atleastintermsofjobsandunemployment.So,thisstable economyshouldcontinuetobeapulltooutsiderswhoareseekingjobsandreasonablypriced housing. PASAsstudentprojectionsareorientedtoalongrecovery,withnoquickreturntotheboomera ofpre2007inTexas,dueequallytothelackofheavyimmigrationandthelackofsubprime mortgages.ThismirrorstheEconomicPolicyInstitutesHeidiShierholzstudy,andthe assessmentsofmanyothereconomists,thatwewilllikelyseeelevatedunemploymentatleast until2014fortheAustinarea,fortheState,andforthenation. PrivateSchoolEnrollment ThefinalchartinthischaptersummarizesthesurveyofareaprivateschoolsconductedbyPASA thisyear.SchoolsincludedinthissurveywereboththoselocatedwithinL.T.I.S.D.boundaries,as wellasthoselocatednearmajoremploymentcentersthatcouldpotentiallyenrollstudentsliving inL.T.I.S.D.Basedontheseinterviewswithheadmastersandenrollmentcoordinatorsateach privateschool,thereareanestimated191studentsinKN12thgradeswholivewithinL.T.I.S.D. thatattendtheseprivateschools.Inotherwords,approximately2.7%ofthepopulationattends privateschools.Thisisaverysmallpercentofthetotalstudentagedpopulationwithinthe District,implyingthattheperceptionofpublicschoolsinLakeTravisI.S.D.isverypositive. Basedontheschoolsplansforexpansionoffacilitiesandenrollmentgoals,theprivateschoolsin theareacoulddrawanadditional49studentsfromtheL.T.I.S.D.publicschoolsystemoverthe nextfiveyears,butduetotheexpectedgrowthinLakeTravisI.S.D.,theproportionofstudent populationinenrolledinprivateschoolsmightactuallydecline. Likewise,ifacontinueddownturnineconomicconditionsweretooccur,thenthiswilldiscourage familiesfromfinancingprivateschooleducations.Thus,L.T.I.S.D.couldreceivesomeofthese projected240studentsintothepublicschoolsystem.

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Lake Travis I.S.D.


Square Miles
Burnet CISD 704.12 Liberty Hill ISD 109.74 Georgetown ISD 180.37

Burnet County

Williamson County

Marble Falls ISD 295.68

Leander ISD 198.14

Round Rock ISD 98.2 Lago Vista ISD 34.67 Johnson City ISD 535.41
Travis County Blanco County

Pflugerville ISD 76.35

Lake Travis ISD 116.62

Eanes ISD 33.71

Dripping Springs ISD 193.66

Austin ISD 228.31

Hays County

Blanco ISD 347.72 Wimberley ISD Comal ISD 586.08 133.54


0 0.5 1 2 3

Del Valle ISD 169.87 Hays CISD 217.66 Highways

*Source: Texas Education Agency Comal County


Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

5 Miles

Counties Lockhart ISD 335.18 Water Bodies


Caldwell County

Deve lo pm e nt De nsi ty
L a k e Tr a v i s I . S . D .
February 2011: 207 students per square mile (sq. mi.) of built-out area Total area of Lake Travis I.S.D. is 116.6 sq. mi. ~33.5 sq. mi. are built-out/developed land [light purple] ~6.5 sq. mi. are currently active [dark purple] ~14.8 sq. mi. are undeveloped, but are planned to develop [orange] ~37.7 sq. mi. are undeveloped with no development plans [light orange] ~3.5 sq. mi. are rural housing on small acreage which could redevelop much later [brown] ~6.3 sq. mi. of the flood plain is built-out, and ~3.7 sq. mi. is undeveloped In the District there are at least ~20.6 sq. mi. of undevelopable land (parks, preserves and water/rivers) and ~59 sq. mi. of undeveloped land remaining (including active, planned and unplanned development)
Map Layers District Boundary Generally Built-OutDeveloped Active Parcels Undeveloped, but Planned Development Undeveloped Land Rural Housing, Possible Distant Redev. Preserves Parks Water/Rivers 100, 500 Year Flood Plain and Floodways Edwards Aquifer Contributing Zone

District Land Uses Sq. Mi. % District 33.5 29% Built-out 6.5 6% Developing 14.8 13% Planned Dev. 37.7 32% Undeveloped 3.5 3% Rural Housing 6.2 5% Water/Rivers 6 5% Parks Preserves 8.4 7%

[
0 1 2 4 Miles

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

To t a l S c h o o l D i s t r i c t E n r o l l m e n t
September 2010 (based on pre-PEIMS estimates)
Lampasas ISD 3,386 Killeen ISD 40,400 Belton ISD 9,280

AUSTIN
Rogers ISD 871

Academy ISD Salado ISD 1,064 1,358 Holland ISD 579 Burnet CISD 3,348 Florence ISD 988 Jarrell ISD 977 Liberty Hill ISD 2,670 Llano ISD 1,850 Bartlett ISD Rockdale ISD 370 1,702 Granger ISD Thorndale ISD 410 536

Georgetown ISD 10,493 Hutto ISD 5,438

Thrall ISD Marble Falls ISD Taylor ISD 666 Round Rock ISD Leander ISD 4,019 3,102 42,683 31,898 Pflugerville ISD Coupland ISD Lago Vista ISD 126 22,641 1,275 Lexington ISD 936 Johnson City ISD Lake Travis ISD Elgin ISD Manor ISD 699 7,012 Eanes ISD 3,964 7,221 7,676 McDade ISD 184 Dripping Springs ISD Austin ISD 4,467 Del Valle ISD 85,714 10,693 Bastrop ISD 9,095

Blanco ISD 973 Wimberley ISD 2,005 Comal ISD Water Bodies 17,103 Counties
< 1,000 1,001 - 3,000 3,001 - 10,000 10,001 - 20,000 20,001 - 40,000 40,001 +

Hays CISD 15,280

Lockhart ISD 4,722 San Marcos CISD 7,432

Smithville ISD 1,712

3.75

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Absolute Change in School District Enrollment


1-Year Change: 2009-10 to 2010-11
(based on pre-PEIMS estimates in September 2010)

AUSTIN

Lampasas ISD 14

Burnet CISD -18

Rogers Belton Academy Killeen ISD ISD ISD ISD 44 Salado ISD 421 797 -11 8 Holland ISD Buckholts Florence 39 ISD ISD Bartlett 2 -32 ISD Jarrell ISD Rockdale -18 60 ISD Granger -51 ISD Liberty Thorndale Georgetown ISD -17 Hill ISD ISD 50 102 -12 Leander ISD 1,444 Round Rock ISD -325 Hutto ISD 301 Taylor ISD -66 Thrall ISD 22 Coupland ISD -10 Lexington ISD 7 Elgin ISD -31 McDade ISD 1

Llano ISD -101

Marble Falls ISD 8

Lago Vista ISD 50 Lake Travis ISD 435 Dripping Springs ISD 136

Pflugerville ISD 581 Eanes ISD 178 Austin ISD 1,038 Manor ISD 289

Johnson City ISD 15

Del Valle ISD 535

Blanco ISD 0 Wimberley ISD 2

Hays CISD 631 Lockhart ISD 86

Bastrop ISD 159

Water Bodies Counties <0 1 - 50 51 - 100 101 - 500 501 - 1,000 1,001 +

Comal ISD 403

San Marcos CISD -2

Smithville ISD 3

3.75

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Pe r c e n t C h a n g e i n S c h o o l D i s t r i c t E n r o l l m e n t
1-Year Change: 2009-10 to 2010-11
(based on pre-PEIMS estimates in September 2010)

AUSTIN
Belton ISD 4.8 % Rogers ISD 5.3 %

Academy ISD Salado ISD Buckholts Holland -1 % 0.6 % ISD ISD Florence 1.2 % 7.2 % Burnet ISD Bartlett CISD -3.1 % ISD Rockdale ISD Jarrell -0.5 % -4.6 % -2.9 % ISD Thorndale Granger 6.5 % ISD ISD Liberty -2.2 % Georgetown -4 % Hill ISD ISD 4% Thrall 0.5 % Taylor ISD Hutto Marble ISD Round 3.4 % Leander ISD Falls ISD Llano -2.1 % Rock ISD 5.9 % ISD 0.2 % ISD -0.8 % 4.7 % Coupland -5.2 % Lago ISD Pflugerville ISD Vista ISD Lexington -7.4 % 2.6 % 4.1 % ISD 0.8 % Elgin ISD Lake Manor ISD Johnson Eanes ISD -0.8 % Travis ISD 4.17 % City ISD McDade 2.4 % 6.6 % 2.2 % ISD 0.5 % Austin Dripping ISD Del Valle Springs ISD 1.2 % ISD 3.1 % 5.3 % Blanco ISD 0% Hays CISD 4.3 % Lockhart ISD 1.9 % Bastrop ISD 1.8 % Smithville ISD 0.2 %

Lampasas ISD 0.4 %

Killeen ISD 2%

Wimberley ISD 0.1 %

Water Bodies Counties < 1.0 1.1 - 2.0 2.1 - 3.0 3.1 - 4.0 4.1 - 5.0 5.1 +

Comal ISD 2.4 %

San Marcos CISD 0%

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Absolute Change in School District Enrollment


5-Year Change: 2005-06 to 2010-11
(based on pre-PEIMS estimates in September 2010)

AUSTIN

Belton ISD Rogers Lampasas ISD 1,745 Academy ISD 34 Salado ISD 36 ISD 128 144 Buckholts Holland ISD ISD Florence Burnet 43 -44 ISD CISD Jarrell Bartlett ISD Rockdale -43 92 ISD -73 ISD 317 Granger -234 Liberty ISD Hill ISD Georgetown -71 Thorndale ISD 614 ISD 9 1,389 Thrall Hutto Taylor Marble ISD Round Leander ISD ISD Llano Falls ISD 106 Rock ISD 2,434 ISD 6 ISD 86 4,836 9,821 -45 Coupland ISD Lago 23 Pflugerville ISD Vista ISD Lexington 3,880 81 ISD Johnson -26 Elgin ISD Lake Manor ISD City ISD Eanes ISD 593 Travis ISD 2,672 McDade 17 521 1,705 ISD -48 Austin ISD Dripping Del 4,559 Springs ISD Valle ISD 905 2,451 Bastrop Blanco ISD ISD 1,112 Hays CISD -20 4,665 Wimberley ISD Smithville 52 ISD -118 Lockhart Comal ISD Water Bodies San Marcos ISD Counties 3,699 <0 CISD 171 1 - 300 301 - 2,000 251

Killeen ISD 5,816

2,001 - 4,000 4,001 - 5,000 5,001 +

3.75

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Pe r c e n t C h a n g e i n S c h o o l D i s t r i c t E n r o l l m e n t
5-Year Change: 2005-06 to 2010-11
(based on pre-PEIMS estimates in September 2010)

AUSTIN
Belton ISD 23.2 %

Lampasas ISD 1%

Burnet CISD 2.8 %

Llano ISD -2.4 %

Marble Falls ISD 2.2 %

Rogers Academy ISD ISD 13.7 % 4.3 % Salado ISD Buckholts Holland 11.9 % ISD ISD -20.2 % Florence 8% ISD Rockdale ISD -4.2 % Bartlett ISD -12.1 % Jarrell -16.5 % ISD Thorndale 48 % Granger ISD Liberty ISD -14.8 % Hill ISD 1.7 % Georgetown 29.9 % ISD Thrall 15.3 % Taylor ISD Hutto ISD Round 18.9 % ISD 0.2 % Leander ISD Rock ISD 81 % 44.5 % Coupland 12.8 % Lago ISD Lexington Pflugerville ISD Vista ISD 22.3 % ISD 20.7 % 6.8 % -2.7 % Killeen ISD 16.8 % Eanes ISD 7.3 % Austin ISD 5.6 % Manor ISD 58.74 % Elgin ISD 17.6 %

Johnson City ISD 2.5 %

Lake Travis ISD 32 % Dripping Springs ISD 25.4 %

McDade ISD -20.7 %

Del Valle ISD 29.7 % Bastrop ISD 13.9 % Smithville ISD -6.4 %

Blanco ISD -2 %

Wimberley ISD 2.7 %

Hays CISD 43.9 %

Water Bodies Counties <5% 5 - 10 % 10 - 20 % 20 - 25 % 25 - 40% > 40 %

Comal ISD 27.6 %

San Marcos CISD 3.5 %

Lockhart ISD 3.8 %

3.75

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K i n d e r g a r t e n S t u d e n t s a s Pe r c e n t o f To t a l E n ro l l m e n t
Fall 2009
Lampasas ISD 6.3% San Saba ISD 7.2% Killeen ISD 8.2% Belton ISD 7.9% Salado ISD Bell 6.1% Holland ISD 5.9% Burnet CISD 6.5% Florence ISD 7% Bartlett ISD 7% Rockdale ISD 7.2% Granger ISD 4.9% Buckholts ISD Cameron ISD 8.7% 8.5% Academy ISD 6%

AUSTIN
Rogers ISD 6%

Burnet

Jarrell ISD 8.7%

Milam

Liberty Hill ISD 6.3%

Williamson
Georgetown ISD 7.2%

Llano ISD 7.2%

Llano

Marble Falls ISD 7.2%

Hutto ISD 8.9% Leander ISD 8.6% Lago Vista ISD 6.8% Round Rock ISD 8% Pflugerville ISD 7.8%

Taylor ISD 7.8%

Thrall ISD 6.1%

Thorndale ISD 6.4%

Coupland ISD 4.4%

Lexington ISD 7%

Lee
Johnson City ISD 6%

Lake Travis ISD 7.3%

Travis
Eanes ISD 6.2%

Manor ISD 9%

Elgin ISD 6.9% Mcdade ISD 17.5% Giddings ISD 6.1%

Blanco
Dripping Springs ISD 7.6% Austin ISD 9.1% Del Valle ISD 8.1% Bastrop ISD 7.7% Blanco ISD 8% Wimberley ISD 7.3%

Bastrop

Hays

Hays CISD 8% Smithville ISD 6.3%

Comal ISD 7.2%

San Marcos CISD 7%

Lockhart ISD 7.1%

Caldwell Fayette
Prairie Lea ISD 5.3% Flatonia ISD 8.1% Luling ISD 9.2% Waelder ISD 7.2% Gonzales ISD 8.5%

Comal
Water Bodies Counties No High School

School Districts

< 5.5% 5.6% - 6.5% 6.6% - 7.0% Schertz-Cibolo-U City ISD 7.1% Bexar 7.5% East ISD 6.7% North 7.6% - 8.0% Judson8.0% 7.5% > ISD Marion ISD

New Braunfels ISD 7.9%

Navarro ISD 6.2%

Guadalupe
Seguin ISD 7.1%

Gonzales
Moulton ISD Lavaca 5.8%
15

7.5%

6.8%
0

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

4.5

18 Miles

Source: Texas Education Agency, Public Education Information Management System Division

Difference in 1st and 5th Grade Enrollment


Fall 2009
Lampasas ISD 3.9% Killeen ISD 24.3% Belton ISD 8.3% Salado ISD Bell -1.1% Holland ISD -15.6% Florence ISD 0% Bartlett ISD 7.4% Rockdale ISD 2.4% Granger ISD -48.9% Academy ISD -9.6%

AUSTIN
Rogers ISD -9.3% Buckholts ISD -14.3% Cameron ISD 50.5%

San Saba ISD -3.8%

Llano ISD -3.4% Burnet CISD 2.5%

Burnet

Jarrell ISD 3.3%

Milam

Liberty Hill ISD -21.6%

Williamson
Georgetown ISD -9.5%

Llano ISD -3.4%

Llano

Marble Falls ISD -3.1%

Hutto ISD 10.3% Leander ISD 6.3% Lago Vista ISD -26.2% Round Rock ISD 5.7% Pflugerville ISD 12%

Taylor ISD 3.9%

Thrall ISD -6.7%

Thorndale ISD 20%

Coupland ISD 12.5%

Lexington ISD -12.5%

Lee
Johnson City ISD -6%

Lake Travis ISD -6%

Travis
Eanes ISD -8.6%

Manor ISD 22%

Elgin ISD 15% Mcdade ISD 22.2%

Blanco
Dripping Springs ISD -4.9% Austin ISD 22.1% Del Valle ISD 12.6% Bastrop ISD -0.6% Blanco ISD -35.5% Wimberley ISD -6.3%

Bastrop

Hays

Hays CISD 4.3% Smithville ISD -3.3%

Boerne ISD -23.3%

Comal ISD 2.9%

San Marcos CISD -5.2%

Lockhart ISD -11.4%

Caldwell Fayette
Prairie Lea ISD -20.8% Flatonia ISD -17.5% Luling ISD 4.5% Waelder ISD 5.9% Gonzales ISD 9.8%

Comal
Water Bodies Counties

School Districts

< -4% -3.9% - 0% 0.1% - 4% Schertz-Cibolo-U City ISD 4.1% Bexar10% East ISD -7.5% North 10.1% - 15% Judson ISD 0.9% Marion ISD > 15%

New Braunfels ISD 12.4%

Navarro ISD -14%

Guadalupe
Seguin ISD 3.9%

Gonzales

3%

Moulton ISD 0% Positive Percentages: 1st > 5th Lavaca Negative Percentages: 5th > 1st
16

-31.8%
0

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

4.5

18 Miles

Source: Texas Education Agency, Public Education Information Management System Division

LakeTravisI.S.D.: ComparisonofGrade1andGrade5 bySchoolZone,201011


1st 5th Difference % Difference grade grade (1st-5th) 102 105 125 92 81 505 106 106 103 111 125 551
Yellow: 5th > 1st Green: 1st > 5th **Number of students is based on current geo-coded 1st and 5th grade students.

School Bee Cave Lake Pointe Lake Travis Lakeway Serene Hills Total

-4 -1 22 -19 -44 -46

-4% -1% 21% -17% -35% -8%

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

17

Historical Growth Trends by Grade and Grade Group in Lake Travis I.S.D.
% Chg. 2003-04 03-04/ 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 04-05/ 05-06/ 06-07/ 07-08/ 08-09/ 09-10/ 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 % Chg. % Chg. % Chg. % Chg. % Chg. % Chg. 2010-11 % Chg. 10-11/ 09-10

% Chg.

2001-02 2002-03

02-03/

01-02

25 0 347 369 374 363 383 365 373 388 391 462 353 337 273 -7.46% 316 15.75% 312 -1.27% 353 13.14% 15.02% 362 7.42% 402 11.05% 406 1.00% 426 373 3.22% 430 21.81% 415 -3.49% 441 6.27% 449 19.07% 456 -1.30% 483 5.92% 472 -2.28% 505 -2.74% 390 -0.26% 410 5.13% 436 6.34% 476 9.17% 6.99% 1.81% 4.93% 5.67% -1.02% 401 3.35% 413 2.99% 450 8.96% 460 2.22% -2.10% 386 3.49% 414 7.25% 427 3.14% 463 8.43% 482 473 469 535 485 436 395 4.89% 389 6.58% 405 4.11% 436 7.65% 474 8.72% 456 11.99% 377 -1.57% 407 7.96% 453 11.30% 437 -3.53% 488 -3.97% 392 7.99% 427 8.93% 417 -2.34% 457 9.59% 506 10.72% 11.67% -3.80% 4.10% 2.83% -1.47% 5.94% 8.02% 2.35% 5.90% 4.47% 394 5.35% 393 -0.25% 438 11.45% 474 8.22% 473 -0.21% 4.53% 376 1.90% 410 9.04% 429 4.63% 435 1.40% 468 7.59% -4.41% 387 11.53% 390 0.78% 398 2.05% 410 3.02% 456 11.22% 481 488 497 495 549 519 487 510 510 539 538 460 419 n/a 0 n/a 0 n/a 0 n/a 0 n/a 0 n/a 49

36

44.00%

40

11.11%

19

-52.50%

26

36.84%

22

-15.38%

32

45.45%

22

-31.25%

36

63.64% n/a 5.48% 4.27% 5.07% -2.17% 12.50% 13.82% 1.04% 7.82% 8.74% 0.75% 10.93% 5.50% 6.08%

7 97 506 507 514 515 539 561 541 521 551 573 542 519 447

-80.56% 97.96% 5.20% 3.89% 3.42% 4.04% -1.82% 8.09% 11.09% 2.16% 8.04% 6.31% 0.74% 12.83% 6.68%

n/a

326

363

11.35%

340

353

3.82%

336

358

6.55%

331

378

14.20%

335

342

2.09%

366

348

-4.92%

370

381

2.97%

375

392

4.53%

334

402

20.36%

360

388

7.78%

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

301

342

13.62%

314

293

-6.69%

EE PK KG 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
5.33% 5,307 4.57% 5,578 5.11% 5,871 5.25% 6,144 4.65% 6,577

263

295

12.17%

Total

4,376 4,671 6.74% 4,818 3.15% 5,075

7.05%

6,940 5.52%

EE-5th

6th-8th

9th-12th

2,059 2,178 1,079 1,175 1,238 1,318


46.51% 23.91% 29.58% 30.82% 23.19% 23.31% 30.37% 45.99% 46.32% 46.49% 23.54% 29.97%

6% 9% 6%
2,241 1,152 1,425 2,334 1,177 1,564 2,458 1,237 1,612 2,593 1,313 1,672

3% -2% 8%

4% 2% 10%

5% 5% 3%

5% 6% 4%

2,719 1,399 1,753


46.31% 23.83% 29.86%

5% 7% 5%

2,869 1,424 1,851


46.70% 23.18% 30.13%

6% 2% 6%

3,114 1,507 1,956


47.35% 22.91% 29.74%

9% 6% 6%

3,246 1,613 2,081


46.77% 23.24% 29.99%

4% 7% 6%

% EE-5th

47.05% 46.63%

% 6th-8th

24.66% 25.16%

% 9th-12th 28.29% 28.22%

18

Lake Travis I.S.D. : Kindergarten Enrollment Compared to Births (Moved Five Years Forward)

1999-00

2000-01

2001-02

2002-03

2003-04

2004-05

2005-06

2006-07

2007-08

2008-09

2009-10

2010-11

2011-12

2012-13

2013-14

2014-15

Kindergarten Enrollment

261 240 254 278 286 298 349 397 391 393 417 436 437 466

321

326

363

347

387

390

398

410

456

481

506

506

540

492 425

526 454

Births (Adjusted 5 years)

236

KN Enrollment vs Births

600

550

500

Students

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011


Kindergarten Enrollment Births (Adjusted 5 years)

450

400

350

300

250

200

1999- 2000- 2001- 2002- 2003- 2004- 2005- 2006- 2007- 2008- 2009- 2010- 2011- 2012- 2013- 201400 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15

Year

19

Population and Survey Analysts

E c o n o m i c a l l y D i s a d v a n t a g e d S t u d e n t Po p u l a t i o n

2009-2010 School Year


Salado ISD 27.2% Florence ISD 55.3% Jarrell ISD 58.1% Bartlett ISD 76.8% Holland ISD 52.2% Buckholts ISD 74.4%

AUSTIN
Cameron ISD 73.1% Burnet CISD 55.1%

Water Bodies Counties

School Districts

Milam
Milano ISD 54.5%

0% - 25% 25.1% - 40% 40.1% - 55% 55.1% - 65% 65.1% - 80% 80.1% - 100%

Burnet
Liberty Hill ISD 25.8% Georgetown ISD 42.8% Granger ISD 58.1%

Williamson

Llano
Marble Falls ISD 57.9% Leander ISD 22.5% Lago Vista ISD 29.4% Pflugerville ISD 49% Johnson City ISD 40.8% Round Rock ISD 28.6% Hutto ISD Taylor ISD 44% 64.9% Thrall ISD 30.6%

Thorndale ISD 46.2%

Rockdale ISD 64.1%

Burleson
Caldwell ISD 50.3%

Llano ISD 57.5%

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011


Coupland ISD 38.2% Lexington ISD 44.6% Elgin ISD 68.6% McDade ISD 63.9% Giddings ISD 62.6% Del Valle ISD 84.5%

Gillespie Travis
Lake Travis ISD 14.2% Eanes ISD 2.5%

Manor ISD 78.8%

Lee

Dime Box ISD 61.8%

Fredericksburg ISD 50.8%

Blanco
Dripping Springs ISD 13.2% Austin ISD 63.4%

Blanco ISD 45.9% Wimberley ISD 26%

Hays
Hays CISD 48.6% Bastrop ISD 63.2% Lockhart ISD 65.4% San Marcos CISD 68.6%

Bastrop
Smithville ISD 52.3%

Round Top-Carmine ISD 37.1% La Grange ISD 51.9% Fayetteville ISD 21.1%

Comfort ISD 57.6%

Kendall

Boerne ISD 20.1% Comal ISD 31.5%

Caldwell

Fayette

Comal

20
20 Miles

Guadalupe
New Braunfels ISD 40.7% Navarro ISD 38.7% Prairie Lea ISD 60.9% Luling ISD 61.8% Waelder ISD 88.3%

Flatonia ISD 60.9%

Schulenburg ISD 53.3%


Source: Texas Education Agency, Public Education Information Management System Division

10

Economically Disadvantaged Population PEIMS Snapshot 2009 All Districts with 5,000+ Students
Total Enrollment
6,448 7,745 7,498 5,970 9,982 33,973

Rank District Name


1 2 3 4 5 6 HIGHLAND PARK ISD CARROLL ISD EANES ISD FRIENDSWOOD ISD COPPELL ISD FRISCO ISD

Economically Disadvantaged
0 134 191 371 967 4,313

Percent Economically Disadvantaged


0.0% 1.7% 2.5% 6.2% 9.7% 12.7%

7
8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 170

LAKE TRAVIS ISD


ALLEN ISD GRAPEVINE-COLLEYVILLE ISD KELLER ISD BOERNE ISD LEANDER ISD CLEAR CREEK ISD MIDLOTHIAN ISD NORTHWEST ISD ROCKWALL ISD PLANO ISD TOMBALL ISD PEARLAND ISD LEWISVILLE ISD MONTGOMERY ISD SCHERTZ-CIBOLO-U CITY ISD FORNEY ISD WYLIE ISD MCKINNEY ISD MIDWAY ISD ROUND ROCK ISD CANYON ISD KATY ISD COMAL ISD HUMBLE ISD COLLEGE STATION ISD BURLESON ISD FORT BEND ISD CONROE ISD KLEIN ISD MANSFIELD ISD FRENSHIP ISD NEDERLAND ISD EAGLE MT-SAGINAW ISD NORTH FOREST ISD

6,577
18,242 13,671 31,569 6,392 30,453 37,611 7,329 14,164 13,843 54,939 10,266 18,308 50,840 6,714 11,718 7,813 12,063 23,933 6,883 43,008 8,745 59,078 16,700 34,923 10,102 9,896 69,374 49,629 44,824 31,662 7,342 5,041 16,126 ,, ,, ,, ,, , 7,665

935
2,895 2,465 5,834 1,282 6,865 8,525 1,664 3,234 3,237 12,903 2,432 4,474 12,946 1,711 3,066 2,067 3,214 6,425 1,885 12,304 2,510 17,048 5,262 11,298 3,333 3,383 24,305 17,749 16,179 11,452 2,798 1,923 6,175 , , , , ,, , ,, 7,660

14.2%
15.9% 18.0% 18.5% 20.1% 22.5% 22.7% 22.7% 22.8% 23.4% 23.5% 23.7% 24.4% 25.5% 25.5% 26.2% 26.5% 26.6% 26.8% 27.4% 28.6% 28.7% 28.9% 31.5% 32.4% 33.0% 34.2% 35.0% 35.8% 36.1% 36.2% 38.1% 38.1% 38.3% 99.9%

Statewide Average

3,761,932

2,224,660

59.1%

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

21

Pe r c e n t o f S t u d e n t s M e e t i n g 2 0 1 0 TA K S S t a n d a r d s

Fall 2010
Lampasas
Cor yell
Troy ISD 80%

AUSTIN
Lampasas ISD 73% Killeen ISD 72% Copperas Cove ISD 80% Belton ISD 81%

San Saba ISD 72%

San Saba

Richland Springs ISD Cherokee ISD 54% 54%

Mason ISD 91%

Llano

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Mason

Llano ISD 82%

Gillespie Blanco
Austin ISD 73%

Harper ISD 93%

Westphalia ISD 88% Bremond ISD Calvert ISD Rogers ISD 65% 81% Bell Temple ISD 77% Rober tson Rosebud-Lott ISD 65% Academy ISD Salado ISD Franklin ISD 67% Cameron ISD 84% 89% 89% Hearne ISD 74% Bartlett ISD Buckholts ISD 50% 59% Florence ISD 59% Holland ISD Rockdale ISD 76% Burnet CISD Jarrell ISD 83% 72% Gause ISD Bryan ISD 74% 78% 69% 88% Milano ISD Williamson Granger ISD Mumford ISD Burnet Milam 73% 74% Georgetown ISD 94% 84% Taylor ISD Thorndale ISD Snook ISD Round Rock ISD 69% 71% 69% 86% Liberty Hill ISD Caldwell ISD Thrall ISD 87% Marble Falls ISD 77% 80% Pflugerville ISD Leander ISD 75% Burleson 77% 86% Coupland ISD Dime Box ISD Hutto ISD 82% Lexington ISD 66% 72% Lake Travis ISD Dripping Springs ISD 94% 82% Somerville ISD 89% McDade ISD Lago Vista ISD 63% Manor ISD Elgin ISD 74% 87% Johnson City ISD Brenham ISD Lee 60% Eanes ISD 63% 82% 79% 96% Travis Del Valle ISD 66% Giddings ISD 69% Bastrop ISD 69%

Fredericksburg ISD 80%

Washington
Burton ISD 75%

Kerrville ISD 86%

Bastrop
Blanco ISD 79%

Center Point ISD 69% Comfort ISD Wimberley ISD 87%

Hays

Round Top-Carmine ISD 89% Hays CISD 76% Smithville ISD 77% Lockhart ISD 80%

Fayetteville ISD 86%

Austin
Bellville ISD 82% La Grange ISD 77%

Kerr

76%

Kendall

Fayette

Water Bodies Counties

School Districts

Boerne ISD 91%

Comal ISD 85% Comal

Flatonia ISD 87%

Columbus ISD 73% Schulenburg ISD Colorado 79% Weimar ISD Rice CISD Moulton ISD 62% 78% 84%

22

0 - 55 56 - 65 66 - 73 Bandera ISD 7480% - 82 Bandera 83 - 88 Hondo 89 - 100 ISD

69%

San Marcos CISD Caldwell New Braunfels ISD 71% Gonzales ISD Seguin ISD 82% 72% Navarro ISD 71% Northside ISD 82% Prairie Lea ISD Waelder ISD Judson ISD Luling ISD 80% 56% 59% 69% Schertz-Cibolo-Universal City ISD 62% Bexar Guadalupe 82% North East ISD Gonzales 80%

Lavaca
Source: Texas Education Agency, Public Education Information Management System Division

4.5

18 Miles

TAKS2010 PercentofStudentsMeetingStateStandard AllGrades,AllTestsTaken AllDistrictsof5,000+Students

Rank
1 2 3

District Name
Highland Park ISD Carroll ISD Eanes ISD

Enrollment 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2009-10


6,448 7,745 7,496 98% 97% 96% 94% 94% 93% 93% 91% 90% 90% 89% 89% 88% 88% 88% 87% 87% 87% 87% 87% 87% 86% 86% 86% 86% 86% 86% 86% 86% 85% 85% 85% 85% 85% 84% 84% 84% 83% 83% 54% 99% 95% 95% 93% 93% 91% 92% 92% 86% 88% 88% 87% 86% 85% 86% 85% 85% 85% 83% 85% 84% 84% 83% 85% 81% 84% 86% 84% 83% 83% 81% 81% 80% 82% 80% 82% 80% 80% 76% 50% 98% 94% 94% 93% 92% 90% 89% 89% 88% 86% 86% 85% 83% 84% 83% 84% 83% 84% 82% 82% 80% 82% 79% 81% 76% 83% 85% 81% 81% 80% 79% 79% 75% 79% 80% 81% 76% 76% 72% 44% 96% 94% 93% 93% 91% 87% 87% 85% 87% 87% 83% 87% 83% 84% 84% 85% 82% 81% 81% 84% 78% 81% 82% 80% 75% 84% 85% 81% 84% 80% 78% 78% 71% 76% 79% 81% 76% 73% 71% 41% 97% 93% 92% 91% 89% 87% 85% 88% 85% 86% 83% 85% 82% 78% 83% 80% 81% 79% 78% 83% 75% 78% 82% 75% 76% 86% 82% 81% 80% 79% 76% 78% 69% 77% 75% 79% 77% 70% 67% 38% 95% 90% 91% 86% 86% 84% 83% 84% 81% 83% 81% 84% 80% 75% 80% 78% 76% 76% 73% 79% 73% 75% 79% 73% 73% 85% 76% 77% 76% 76% 72% 75% 68% 75% 72% 75% 72% 67% 63% 34%

4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 170

Lake Travis ISD


Coppell ISD Friendswood ISD Allen ISD Frisco ISD Boerne ISD Montgomery ISD Grapevine-Colleyville ISD Clear Creek ISD Plano ISD Lewisville ISD Keller ISD Rockwall ISD Katy ISD Midlothian ISD Frenship ISD Hurst-Euless-Bedford ISD College Station ISD Northwest ISD Leander ISD Pearland ISD Richardson ISD Forney ISD McKinney ISD Midway ISD Round Rock ISD Angleton ISD Conroe ISD Comal ISD Deer Park ISD Sharyland ISD Wylie ISD Tomball ISD Georgetown ISD Canyon ISD Lamar CISD Los Fresnos CISD yp y Lancaster ISD

6,577
9,982 5,970 18,242 33,973 6,392 6,714 13,671 37,611 54,939 50,840 31,569 13,843 59,078 7,329 7,342 20,762 10,102 14,164 30,454 18,308 34,843 7,813 23,933 6,883 43,008 6,338 49,629 16,700 12,502 9,566 12,063 10,266 10,443 8,745 23,864 9,734 , ,,, ,, , , ,, 6,176

94% 91% 90% 90% 87% 84%

State of Texas

76% 72% 70% 68% 65% 62%

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

23

SelectedSocioeconomicCharacteristicsforLakeTravisI.S.D. ComparedwithAdjacentand/orComparableSchoolDistrictsintheAustinArea

Lake Travis ISD


35,201
34,887
Number Percentage Number Percentage Number Percentage

Leander ISD
158,738
65,719 644,343
Number Percentage

Eanes ISD

Hays CISD

Austin ISD

State of Texas
24,782,302
Number Percentage

Total Population
Number Percentage

Housing

Total housing units

Occupied housing units

Vacant housing units

15,496 13,392 2,104 86% 14% 93% 7% 93% 7% 95% 5%

58,351 54,262 4,089

14,280 13,346 934

19,767 18,822 945

281,432 258,212 23,220

92% 8%

9,724,258 8,527,938 1,196,320

88% 12%

Age

Under 5 years

5 to 9 years

10 to 14 years

15 to 19 years

5 to 17 years

20 to 24 years

25 to 34 years

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011


7% 7% 9% 5% 19% 3% 10% 15% 20% 8% 6% 7% 3% 1% 9% 10% 6% 5% 20% 6% 17% 19% 14% 5% 3% 4% 1% 0% 6% 8% 8% 7% 22% 3% 11% 15% 19% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 10% 11% 8% 6% 22% 6% 16% 18% 13% 3% 4% 3% 1% 0% 8% 6% 5% 6% 14% 8% 24% 15% 12% 5% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2,454 2,367 3,036 1,841 6,818 1,104 3,569 5,254 6,890 2,803 2,268 2,450 916 249 41.6 14,510 15,611 10,097 8,725 31,565 9,738 26,528 29,412 22,430 7,840 4,900 6,809 1,620 518 33.0 2,151 2,742 2,768 2,460 7,518 955 3,943 5,168 6,651 3,185 2,011 1,566 787 500 39.7 6,474 7,013 5,337 4,133 14,566 3,962 10,193 12,096 8,462 2,172 2,571 2,281 784 241 30.8 49,419 38,669 32,713 38,643 89,545 53,830 156,980 95,882 75,567 33,092 23,822 23,666 15,327 6733 31.5 2,065,983 1,904,936 1,850,359 1,802,207 4,822,496 1,797,260 3,627,940 3,423,190 3,342,194 1,331,123 1,102,112 1,388,416 829,968 316,614 33.1 12,944 1,761 2,327 0 76% 10% 14% 0% 70,253 9,199 5,401 72 83% 11% 6% 0% 12,792 2,232 2,137 0 75% 13% 12% 0% 24,082 6,214 1,292 0 76% 20% 4% 0% 265,333 61,884 28,531 530 74% 17% 8% 0% 8,804,240 1,595,997 794,195 17,179 4% 2% 3% 7% 8% 14% 15% 21% 11% 16% 2% 2% 6% 6% 12% 22% 13% 22% 8% 7% 2% 1% 5% 4% 7% 12% 10% 19% 13% 26% 2% 2% 7% 8% 16% 18% 16% 23% 7% 1% 8% 5% 11% 11% 16% 18% 11% 12% 4% 4% 13,392 577 230 386 959 1,032 1,860 1,956 2,767 1,467 2,158 $96,387 54,262 1,131 908 3,132 3,218 6,770 11,878 7,039 11,928 4,311 3,947 $75,610 13,346 213 165 665 568 915 1,661 1,376 2,579 1,685 3,519 $120,099 18,822 377 378 1,267 1,579 2,959 3,428 3,103 4,240 1,234 257 $71,310 258,212 21,558 12,414 27,948 29,012 40,685 46,790 28,368 31,093 9,401 10,943 $48,908 8,527,938 698,426 511,654 1,012,918 947,938 1,239,920 1,522,582 975,619 956,022 336,422 326,437 $48,259

35 to 44 years

45 to 54 years

55 to 59 years

60 to 64 years

65 to 74 years

75 to 84 years

85 years and over

8% 8% 7% 7% 19% 7% 15% 14% 13% 5% 4% 6% 3% 1%

Median Age

Class of Worker

Private wage and salary

Government

Self-employed

Unpaid family workers

79% 14% 7% 0%

Income and Benefits

Total households

less than $10,000

$10,000 to $14,999

$15,000 to $24,999

$25,000 to $34,999

$35,000 to $49,999

$50,000 to $74,999

$75,000 to $99,999

$100,000 to $149,999

24

$150,000 to $199,999

$200,000 or more

8% 6% 12% 11% 15% 18% 11% 11% 4% 4%

Median household income

* Data Gathered From the 2007-2009 American Community Survey

SelectedSocioeconomicCharacteristicsforLakeTravisI.S.D. ComparedwithAdjacentand/orComparableSchoolDistrictsintheAustinArea

Lake Travis ISD


35,201
34,887
Number Percentage Number Percentage Number Percentage

Leander ISD
158,738
65,719 644,343
Number Percentage

Eanes ISD

Hays CISD

Austin ISD

State of Texas
24,782,302
Number Percentage

Total Population
Number Percentage

Educational Attainment

Population 25 years & over

Less than 9th grade

9th to 12th grade, no diploma

H.S. graduate

Some college, no degree

Associate's degree

Bachelor's degree

Graduate or professional degree

24,399 436 733 3,255 5,529 1,182 9,078 4,186 2% 3% 13% 23% 5% 37% 17% 95% 54% 2% 3% 16% 29% 7% 30% 13% 95% 44% 1% 1% 5% 12% 3% 41% 37% 98% 78% 4% 10% 23% 27% 10% 21% 6% 86% 27%

100,057 1,762 3,421 15,669 28,901 6,663 30,181 13,460

23,811 265 207 1,100 2,942 805 9,732 8,760

38,800 1,558 3,763 9,092 10,319 3,767 7,962 2,339

431,069 37,135 34,001 74,962 78,055 22,406 118,022 66,488

15,361,557 1,561,235 1,532,431 3,906,082 3,500,412 944,093 2,618,635 1,298,669 9% 8% 17% 18% 5% 27% 15% 83% 43%

H.S. graduate or higher

Bachelor's degree of higher

10% 10% 25% 23% 6% 17% 8% 80% 26%

Residence 1 year ago

Population 1 year & over

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011


34,904 31,107 3,632 1,887 1,745 923 822 165 89% 10% 5% 5% 3% 2% 0% 82% 18% 9% 9% 6% 3% 1% 85% 14% 9% 6% 3% 2% 0% 155,986 127,132 27,552 13,430 14,122 9,884 4,238 1,302 34,541 29,445 4,986 3,075 1,911 1,208 703 110 64,531 54,646 9,818 2,668 7,150 5,747 1,403 67 85% 15% 4% 11% 9% 2% 0% 633,534 471,036 155,650 108,483 47,167 29,397 17,770 6848 74% 25% 17% 7% 5% 3% 1% 24,383,855 19,961,581 4,244,138 2,723,992 1,520,146 1,013,259 506,887 178,136 73% 9% 0% 1% 1% 16% 79% 8% 0% 0% 2% 10% 81% 5% 0% 1% 1% 12% 83% 11% 0% 1% 1% 5% 71% 11% 6% 3% 4% 6% 16,696 12,222 1,461 80 112 199 2,622 29.2 84,336 66,990 7,112 260 170 1723 8,081 27.6 16,944 13,717 770 17 187 227 2,026 21.1 31,078 25,830 3,341 0 283 176 1,448 31.2 349,356 248,189 38,141 19996 8837 14935 19,258 22.6 11,074,127 8,812,987 1,259,544 176,212 192,756 215,128 417,500 24.6

Same house

Different house in the U.S.

Same county

Different county

Same state

Different state

Abroad

82% 17% 11% 6% 4% 2% 1%

Commuting to work

Workers 16 years & over

Car, truck or van--drove alone

Car, truck or van--carpooled

Public transportation (excluding taxis)

Walked

Other means

Worked at home

80% 11% 2% 2% 2% 4%

Mean travel time to work (mins.)

25

* Data Gathered From the 2007-2009 American Community Survey

RecentEmploymentTrends LakeTravisI.S.D.

December 2009 City of Austin Employment Unemployment Rate Travis County Employment Unemployment Rate

June 2010

December 2010

6 Month Percent Change

Annual Percent Change

406,068 6.2 527,234 6.6

402,620 6.9 525,438 7.2

403,615 6.3 526,736 6.6

-0.85%

-0.60%

-0.34%

-0.09%

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

26

Lake Travis ISD Employment Sector (Out of Civilian Employed Population 16 Years and Over) Employed Population: 17,032 (out of 35,201 in LTISD)
As Reported by 2007-2009 American Community Survey
Public Administration 4% Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, and mining 1% Construction 6% Manufacturing 10%

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Other services, except public administration 4% Arts, entertainment, and recreation, and accomodation, and food services 7%

Wholesale Trade 4%

Educational services, and health care and social assistance 15%

Retail Trade 11%

Transportation and warehousing, and utilities 2%

Professional, scientific, and management, and administrative and waste management services 21%

Finance and insurance, and real estate and rental and leasing 13%

Information 2%

27

LeadingIndicators(ShiftShare)AnalysisofEmploymentTrends: ProjectionsofEmployedResidentsLivinginL.T.I.S.D.byEconomicSector
Employment in LTISD
Avg. of 2005, 2006 Avg. of 2006, 2007 Avg. 2005-07 & 2007 & 2008 Relative to 2006-08 Avg. 2005-07 Relative to 2006-08

Employment in LTISD 2018


Avg. of 2006-08 Relative to 2018

Absolute Change in Employment

Percent Change in Employment Absolute Change in Employment

Projected Employment in LTISD

Percent Change in Employment


Avg. of 2006-08 Relative to 2018

INDUSTRY -59 193 302 203 477 -5 -37 220 727 2,679 2,062 1,058 687 582 14,170 3,406 2,607 1,228 683 712 17,032 545 170 -4 130 2,862 26% 16% -1% 22% 20% 5,124 1,807 1,057 1,065 28,036 35% -2% -9% 11% 27% 38% 21% 21% 1,552 2,538 793 2,550 478 692 2,869 7,371 -31% 138

Agriculture, forestry, fishing, hunting, mining 189 900 1,458 536 1,377 1,854 739 1,760 1,093 130

8 459 778 54 696 217 303 699 3,965 2,517 579 374 353 11,004

6% 42% 44% 7% 38% 83% 78% 32% 116% 97% 47% 55% 50% 65%

Construction

Manufacturing

Wholesale trade

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Retail trade 266 426 1,950 2,170 261 389

Transportation, warehousing, utilities

Information Finance, insurance, real estate, rental, leasing

Professional, scientific, management, admin., waste management

Educational services, health care, social assistance Arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation, food services Other services

Government

28

TOTAL EMPLOYMENT

Trends in Private School Enrollment Lake Travis I.S.D.


Current Enrollment Projected Enrollment in 5 Years

December 2010

School Name 2 yr - 6th PK - 9 yr K - 12th PK - 4th PK - 6 2 Yr - PK K - 8th

Address

Grades

% of Students Estimated % of from Current Students enrollment LTISD Enrollment from LTISD that are KN+ Estimated Estimated % of Estimated Students from Enrollment Students enrollment Students from LTISD in KN+ in 5 yrs. from LTISD that are KN+ LTISD in KN+

Additional Information
Expanding this September. Students coming from Downtown Austin and as far as RRISD

Abercorn International School

601 Ranch Road 620 S

90% 5% 2% 50% 3% 6% 0% 0% 0% 5% 66% 115 76 29% 22 66 3 9% 0 40 0 13% 0 80 90 100 465 2 93% 2 550 20 0 100% 0 40 0 2 0 5 66 62 4 0% 0 100 6 163 5 63% 3 170 5 70 35 43% 15 80 40 43% 63% 0% 100% 93% 13% 9% 29% 405 7 75% 5 415 7 75% 325 15 57% 9 345 16 57% 9 5 17 3 0 0 2 0 0 19

22

20

40%

95

86

40%

34

Austin Montessori School

6819 Great Northern Blvd

Austin Waldorf School

8700 South View Rd

No plans to expand. Near capacity.

Bluebonnet Montessori School

15099 Debba Dr

Might build a new building in next 5 years, but unlikely. Other 50% of students from Leander. No plans to expand

Cedars Montessori School

9704 Circle Dr

Cypress Creek Montessori School

2006 Sunchase Blvd

Most students from Leander. No plans to expand. Plan to add a grade every year.

Dripping Springs Christian Academy

28710 Ranch Road 12

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011


Inf - 2nd Inf - K Inf - 4th
No plans to expand No plans to expand

Hill Country Christian School 12124 Ranch Road 620 S PK - 12th of Austin

Lago Vista Academy Inc

Lohmans Ford Rd

Plan to start enrollment at toddlers next year. Capacity is 186.

Lake Hills Montessori

600 N Cuernavaca Dr

Lake Hills Montessori Bee Cave

3930 FM 620 S

Montessori School of the Epiphany - Lake Travis Inf - K K - 12 PK - 8 9th - 12th 6th - 12th K - 8th

13709 West Highway 71

Primrose School of Bee Cave

3801 Juniper Trce

59% 4% 7% 6% 1% 9% 660 417 4,632 420 369 25 25 7 36 378 District Enrollment 860 35

175

103

9% 100% 92% 100% 100% 100%

9 35 23 25 7 36 191 6,940

190 880 375 450 680 525 5,070

112 36 25 27 7 63 418

24% 100% 92% 100% 100% 100%

27 36 23 27 7 63 240 9,263

Plan to have 42 in K next year. No plans to expand. No plans to expand

Regent School of Austin

3230 Travis Country Cr

St Gabriel's Catholic School

2500 Wimberly Ln

No plans to expand

St Michael's Catholic Academy

3000 Barton Creek

Plan to have class sizes target 100 students, but no huge increase is expected. No plans to expand

St Stephens Episcopal School

2900 Bunny Run

Trinity Episcopal School

3901 Bee Cave Rd

Planning to take 3 years to aquire projected enrollment of 525.

TOTAL

29

Overall percentage of LTISD residents in private schools:

2.7%

2.5%

Private Schools listed in italics are located outside LTISD boundaries.

Housing Projections

AmajorcomponentofanyDemographicUpdateistheneedtounderstandthefuturehousing stockintheDistrict.Thisdatacanbeextremelylengthy,soformostofthisdocument,thedatais organizedbyPlanningUnits.PlanningUnitsaresmallportionsoftheDistrictthatarebasedon CensusdefinedblockgroupsandarefurthersubdividedwhennecessarybasedontheDistrict attendancezones,subdivisionboundariesandapartments,roadways,etc.Thefirstmapinthe chapterdetailsthePlanningUnitsintheDistrict.

Maps of Existing Land Use and Housing Stock


Inordertoaccuratelyassessplattingactivity,cityordinances,ordevelopmentplans,PASAmust haveaverycompletemapoftheDistrict.Maplayersinclude,butarenotlimitedto,the following: PlanningUnits o Provideanorganizationalstructuretothedataandareusedasbuildingblocksfor attendancezonedesign AerialImages o Providestheabilitytoseeclearingofland,construction,andchangesinlanduse forfuturedevelopmentandalsodepictsbuiltout,active,andplanned subdivisions,aswellasallapartmentsandmobilehomeparks MunicipalitiesandETJBoundaries/PlannedThoroughfares o Showtheboundariesoftheseentitiessothattheimpactofvariousordinances regardinglotsizes,setbacks,heightrequirements,andotherfactorscanbe assessed o Depicttheplannednewarterialsand/orroadwayimprovementsthatwillimpact theDistrictsfuturegrowth ParcelOwnership,typicallyfromtheAppraisalDistrict o Allowsfuturedevelopmentpatternstobepinpointedbyparcelandchangesin ownershipassessedonanannualizedbasis ActiveOilandGasEasements o Illustratestheportionsofparcelsthatmayhaveinhibitorstodevelopment
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011 30

ConceptPlansandPlattingActivity o Showstheshorttermexpecteddevelopment,basedoninitialconceptplans, preliminaryandfinalplats Existing,Active,andFutureSubdivisionsandDevelopments o CreatesavisualimageofwhichportionsoftheDistrictaregrowingrapidlyand whicharemorestable,aswellasoutliningthespecificboundariesofeachcurrent andfuturedevelopment ExistingandFutureApartmentComplexes o Pinpointscurrentandfuturelocationsofhighstudentdensity ExistingSchoolsandFutureSchoolSites o Showswhichparcelstotakeofflineforfutureresidentialorcommercial developmentandenablesviablelongtermattendancezoneplanning

Methodology for Developing Housing Projections


ThenextmapsshowthenewhomesandapartmentsprojectedbyPlanningUnit.Thesedata havebeendevelopedthrough: Interviews withcityandcountyplanners,engineers,commercialrealtorsandotherrealtors,builders, developers,landowners,andotherexperts HistoricalDataAnalysis analysisofCensusdata,especiallythe4%surveysamplethatistheAmericanCommunity SurveyforLakeTravisI.S.D.,andhistoricaltrendanalysis(ofboththeDistrictandof comparableand/orsurroundingdistricts) evaluationofthemannerinwhichstudentgrowthtrendsarecorrelatedwithhousingresale trends,suchastheregenerationordeclineofspecificneighborhoodsintheDistrict OverlayingofZoning,FutureLandUsePlans,andOrdinances incorporationofexpectedimpactsofcity(andcounty)zoning,futurelanduseplans,and ordinancesregardingresidentialdevelopment accountingfordrainage,floodplain,andothertopologicalfeaturesthatwouldpreventfull development inclusionofmajorthoroughfareplansand/orroadwayimprovementsthatwillaffecthousing growth ParcelAssessment assessmentofthepotentialuseofparcelsthatarenowinnonresidentialuseasultimately eithersinglefamilyormultifamilylanduses
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011 31

assessmentofsparselydevelopedparcelsforpotentialreplacementwithhigherdensity residentialuses,orothertypesoflanduses

Byutilizingtheabovereferenceddatabases,PASAwasabletoprojectnewhousingunitsforall subdivisions,apartments,townhomedevelopments,andmobilehomeparks.Theseprojections aresummedatthePlanningUnitlevel,andareusedmostoftenintheremainderofthereportby PlanningUnit.Thelastspreadsheetinthischapter,however,showsthedatabyprojected development,indetail.

Reliability of Projections
Theprojectionsareconsideredmostusefulforthenextfiveyears,asfewdevelopersorland ownershavelongtermplansthatexceedafiveyeartimetable.Thus,onlythefirstfiveyearsof residentialprojectionsareconsideredreliableandusefulforshorttermplanning,andthe remainingyearsareincludedforcompleteness,representingusefulbenchmarkdatafor applicationstoschoolfacilityplanning. PASAdevelopedtheseprojectionswithstudyof,butwithoutheavyconsiderationof,pasttrends. Thus,thisassessmentisauniquelyindependentanalysisgearedtowardfuturetrendsratherthan adependencyonpasttrends. Somelandowners,builders,ordeveloperswilleithergetaheadorbehindtheirconstruction schedule.ForLakeTravisI.S.D.,PASAhasattemptedtodevelopaconservativeModerate GrowthScenarioforexistingsubdivisions,andthebuildoutpotentialofasyettobedeveloped subdivisions.Thus,therewillbeastrongpotentialfortheprojectednumberofnewhousingunits tobeslightlylowrelativetoactualhomesconstructedforeachyearoftheprojectedtimeframe.

Effects of Recovery Trends and Employment Trends


Someeconomistswarnthatjobslostintherecessionmayneverreturntothelowest unemploymentlevelswithanewnormalofhigherjoblessnessandlowerstandardsoflivingfor many.Therationaleisthat(1)manufacturingmayneverreturntotheU.S.andalso(2)many smallandmidsizebusinessesmaystrugglealongtimetoobtainbankloanstoexpand.Finally,(3) uppersocioeconomichouseholdsarespendinglessbecauseoflossesontheirhomes,lossesto retirementplansandotherinvestments,andbecausetheycannotborrowliketheyoncedid. MoodysAnalyticsforecaststhatTexasmetroareaswillleadtherecoveryandalsoindicatethat Texaslargemetroareaswillhavemadeupforemploymentlostby2011orearly2012.But, housingconstructionandthehousingsectorgenerallywilllagotheremploymentsectors.This factwillkeeptheAustinareagrowthstationarytosomeextent,asconstructionwassuchan importantsectorofjobgrowthpriortotherecession.

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

32

General Factors Affecting Development in L.T.I.S.D.


ThesixmunicipalitiesandtheirExtraTerritorialJurisdictionsallhavedifferingregulations regardingdevelopment,andeachofthesemustbetakenintoaccountforlongtermenrollment projectionsforLakeTravisI.S.D.Thenextmapinthischapterillustratestheboundariesofthese municipalitiesintheDistrict.Theparcelsthatareoutsidethesemunicipalboundarieshavegreat potentialforcosteffectiveandrapidgrowthduetothelackofconstraintsofcityregulations. However,onthewhole,therearenocommitmentsforwaterandwastewateravailableforthe majorityoftheseundevelopedparcels,andLCRAisemphasizingthattheywillsoonreachtheir capacitytoprovidewaterfornewsubdivisions.Likewise,LCRAseekstohavelessened(orno) responsibilityforwaterandwastewatersupplycompaniesandrelatedentities.So,theselarge tractsinthesouthwestofL.T.I.S.D.cannoteasilydevelop,eventhough,overthenearterm,there willbesignificantresidentialdemand. Thenextmapshowsthestudentdistributionbymunicipality.TheCityofLakewaycontainsjust over30%ofthestudentpopulation,whiletheCityofAustinETJcontains16.5%ofthestudent population. Additionally,LakeTravisI.S.D.facesuniqueinhibitorstodevelopmentthatarenotexperiencedin eitheroftheothermajormetropolitanareasofTexas.Thefollowingmapsillustratesomeof theseecologicalbarriersaswellasvariousaquifersavailabilityforusebyresidentsinL.T.I.S.D. Thefirstmapemphasizesgeographicfeaturesthatimpederesidentialdevelopment,including theEdwardsAquiferRechargeZoneandContributingZone,aswellasfloodplains,floodways, parks,andnaturepreserves. AsecondmapdelineatestheaquifersthatcanpotentiallysupplywatertotheAustinregion, includingtheEdwardsandtheTrinityaquifers,thelatterofwhichwilllikelyhaveincreased utilizationbythesouthwestL.T.I.S.D.parcelsthatarenotyetdeveloped. AthirdmapinthischaptershowstheslopeoftheterraininL.T.I.S.D.Insum,thedramatic changesinelevationsthroughoutL.T.I.S.D.providetopographicchallengesthathavelimited growth,andthatwillcontinuetolimitdevelopmentinspecificlocations. Thefourthmapdetailsthatthereare33.5squaremilesthatarepresentlydeveloped,andshows approximately59squaremileslefttobedevelopedagaindelineatingsomeofthelimiting topographicfactorstodevelopment. RegenerationofExistingHomes ManyoldersectionsintheCityofLakewayandtheHillsofLakewayledtheareainexistinghome salesinthelast12months(with247thispast12monthsrelativeto216fortheprevious12 months).TheHillsofLakewaysold77homes(relativeto75intheprevious12months)and LohmansCrossingsold26(relativeto25intheprevious12months.)
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011 33

Also,Briarcliffhad104salesandApacheShoreshad146salesbotholder,builtoutsubdivisions. Theaboveexamplessignifythattheregenerationprocesshadbeguninearnest.Manyofthe homesintheareaarereaching34yearsofage,andthisisoftenthetippingpointforwhenthey aresoldtoyoungerheadsofhouseholdswithschoolagedchildren. KeyFactorsAffectingResidentialandCommercialDevelopment ManyparcelswestofRR620onbothsidesofSH71havenosewerandnowatersupply.LCRA mayprovidesewerwithin5ormoreyears,butispresentlyattemptingtoselloffthewatersupply andalsothewastewatertreatmententities,andconcentrateonelectricalutilitysupplies(as notedabove).Thislackofsewerislimitingmultifamilydevelopment,despitethegreatdemand onbothsidesofSH71forapartmentdevelopments. ItisalsopossiblethatLCRAwilllimitanyfuturemajorwatersupplysystems,asthecurrent subdivisions(withwaterprovidedbyLCRA),ifbuiltout,wouldmeetLCRAscapacity. Manylargetracts,particularlyonLakeAustinandBartonCreek,couldbecomeconservation districts,preserves,orparks.AmongtheseparcelsarePatriciaMurfinstwotractsinPlanning Units6A&5B,PatriciaandRobertAyerstractsin3F&3E,MitchellWongstractsin3G,andother similarparcels,someofwhicharealreadyadjacenttotheCityofAustin,TravisCounty,orthe UniversityofTexasownedparcels. Thereareseveralolder,unpavedroadsthatcouldbeallowedtodevelopasmajorarterialsover thelongterm.ThemostdiscussedsuchroadisPeacockReimersRoad,withadditional possibilityofacurrentlaneononeoftheGrumblesparcelsthatcouldbecomeasecondarterialto provideaccessbetweenHamiltonPoolRoadandSH71. QualityofLifeFactorsandResidentialDevelopment ResidentialandpopulationgrowthhasbeenencouragedtotheeastofIH35,duetotheCityof AustinsSmartGrowthInitiative,preparedin2004,andimplementedoverthelasteightyears. Muchofeasterndevelopmentthathasensuedhasbeensuccessful,butatlowerpricerangesthan thedevelopmentinL.T.I.S.D.ThisdemandforhomesinL.T.I.S.D.isamonghigher socioeconomichouseholdsduetothefactthatthecostofbuildinginthewesternportionof TravisCountytendstobemoretopographicallychallenging(andthusmorecostly),andthe demandforlakesideproximitycontinues,whichisalsocostly.Insum,despitetheemphasison developmentintheeasternsectorofTravisCounty,awayfromtheEdwardsAquiferandits contributoryzone,thedemandforhousingintheaestheticallypleasinglocationsnearLake AustinandLakeTravishasremainedhigh,evenduringtheeconomicdownturn. AnothercriticalfactorinLakeTravisI.S.Dsaccelerationofresidential,population,andstudent growthhasbeentheincreasingTAKStestscores.Eachyearforapproximatelytenyears,TAKS scoresinL.T.I.S.D.haverisen,andarebecomingcomparabletoEanesI.S.D.(thelatterofwhich thisyearhada96%passagerate,comparedtothe94%passagerateinL.T.I.S.D.).TAKSpassage
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011 34

ratesareroughlycorrelatedwithotherqualityoflifefactors,suchasmedianincome,median educationallevelsofthose25+,andmedianhousingvalues.Insum,commercialbrokers,whosell largeparcels,anddevelopersalso,areveryinterestedininvestmentinL.T.I.S.D.,aninterest whichwillcontinuetospawnnewresidentialdevelopmentintheDistrict. BecauseEanesI.S.D.hasbeenthemosthighlyregardeddistrictintheAustinregion,ithastended toattractuppersocioeconomicstudentsformorethanthreedecades.Now,theEanesSchool Districthasbecomealmostbuiltout,andtheinfrastructure(suchasutilitiesandschools)isaging. TheschoolsinEanesI.S.D.rangefrom19yearsoldto40yearsold(average30yearsold),while L.T.I.S.D.schoolsarerelativelynew(326yearsold,average12yearsold).Withthesignificant newutilitybasedinfrastructure,manynewlyaddedsubdivisions,anewhospitalcomplex,and significantnewretailandofficeactivity,LakeTravisI.S.D.isdevelopingacompetitiveadvantage overotherhighlyregardedschooldistrictsinthearea,suchasEanesI.S.D.

Recent Changes in Housing Values


Therecentmarketisthedrivingforceinkeepingsalespricesdownsomewhat.Tosomeextent, thiscreatesapotentialgrowthsituationforL.T.I.S.D.asfamilieswithchildrenhavethenew opportunitytoaffordhomesinthisschooldistrict. TheoverallappraisedvaluesofhomesinTravisCountyhavedropped,withthe2010valuations forTravisCountythelowestsince2003(duringthetechbust).Inevaluatingtheseimpactsfor bothLakeTravisI.S.D.andfortheAustinregionasawholeitisusefultorealizethattheworst ofthelowerappraisalshasprobablyalreadyoccurred,sothatappraisedvaluesfor2010are reflectingtransactionsfromthelasttwoyears.Fromaforecastingstandpoint,itmaybe importanttothinkintermsofwhatwilloccuroverthenexttwoyears,whenvaluesshouldbegin creepingupagain.

Recent Trends by Residential Development


ResidentStudentsbySubdivisionandApartmentComplex Thisyear,51%ofnewstudentsaddedtoLakeTravisI.S.D.movedintoactivelybuilding subdivisions,while35%movedintohomesinbuiltoutareas.Theremainingbalanceofnew studentsmovedintotownhomes/condos,mobilehomeparks,orapartments,withthenext largestgainsintownhomes/condos.Thistrendofstudentsmovingintoexistinghousingunitsis consistentlyoccurringthroughouttheState. Thistrendcouldbeexplainedbyanumberoffactors:(1)theglutofexistinghomesreturningto themarketduetoforeclosureoreconomichardshiphasallowedfamilieswithchildrentobuy affordablesinglefamilyhomesinadesirableschooldistrict,or(2)economichardshiphasdriven

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

35

manyfamiliestomoveinwithgrandparentsorotherfamilymembers,sothattwonuclear familiesarelivinginonehome,or(3)theeconomicdownturnhaspushedfamiliesinto apartmentsandtownhomes,ratherthanonlyconventionalsinglefamilydwellings. Thebreakdownofthesefiguresisshownonthefollowingchart:

Type of development Apartments Condos - built-out Condos - developing MHP Subdivisions - built-out Subdivisions - actively building

Added Students 2009 to 2010 Resident Resident Percent Students in Students Actual in 2010 Change Change 2009 143 156 13 9% 160 189 29 18% 10 26 16 160% 10 16 6 60% 4,106 4,274 168 4% 1,604 1,847 243 15% Percent of Growth 2009 to 2010 3% 6% 3% 1% 35% 51%

Apartments Condos - built-out Condos - developing MHP Subdivisions - built-out Subdivisions - actively building

TheactivelygrowingsubdivisionsthataddedthemoststudentsthisyearincludedFalconhead West(68students),RidgeatAltaVista(26students),FalconheadTheChampions(24students), WestCypressHills(24students)andPalefaceRanch(21students).Ofthe243studentsaddedto activelybuildingsubdivisions,about116ofthem(48%)wereelementarystudents,suggesting thatthegrowthintheseactive,newneighborhoodsisnotnecessarilyduetoonlyyoung homebuyerswithyoungchildrenbutisbalancedwithfamilieswitholderchildrenaswell. Theolder,builtoutsubdivisionsbothaddedandloststudentsinvariousareas,withanetgainof 168students.Someareasgainedsignificantnumbersofstudents(LakePointeTheEstates:21 students,TravisLanding2:14students),whileotherareasloststudents(TheUplands:11 studentsandTravisLanding:8students).Justover51%ofthegaininthesesubdivisionswasin theelementarygrades.

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

36

Housing Trends in the Next Five Years


Populationdemandhasfueledhousinggrowthoverthepastdecade,andthefuturepopulation pullstoWilliamson,Hayes,andTraviscountieswillcontinuetodrivehousinggrowth.The TexasStateDataCenterprojectionsforthenextfiveyearssuggestTravisCountycouldsee almost13%growthbetween2010and2015.And,AngelosAngelouhasforecastthearrivalof 110,000peopleoverthenexttwoyears,with60%ofthatgrowthresultingfrominmigrationfrom outsidethemetroarea,andthe40%remainderaccountedforbyincreasingbirths. Arankofnewhomepermitsper1,000population(throughMarch,2010)showedthat,ofalllarge metroareasinthenation,AustinRoundRockrankedfirst,with8,620newhomepermitsbetween March,2009andMarch,2010(ReedConstruction). AccordingtoTedWilsonofResidentialStrategies,Austinareabuildershavestarted1,391homes inthethirdquarterof2010(thethreemonthsthroughSept.2010).Thiswasdownfromthe2,260 startsinthethirdquarterof2009.WilsondidemphasizeintheAustinBusinessJournal(Oct.11, 2010)thatbuildersareinarechargingmodesincethehousingtaxcreditsexpiredseveral monthsago(inApril,2010). Metrostudysmostrecentsurvey(referencedbyEldonRudeonDec.3,2010inAustinMarket) indicatedthattherewerejustover3,200newhomesininventoryintheAustinmarket,downfrom nearly9,000homesin2006.Thisrepresentsthelowestlevelofnewhomeinventoryin13years. Also,RudeemphasizedthattheAustinmarkethada6.5monthsupplyofhomesinOctober,2010 thelowestofanyofthefivemajormetropolitanareasinTexas.But,Rudealsofocusedonthe factthatnewhomesalesaredownover60%fromfouryearsago.Thisisjustonefactor constrainingnewhomespurchases,inthatthereiscontinuinglowconsumerconfidenceandthe evertighteningmortgageunderwritingcriteria. SingleFamilyTrendswithaPotentialFiveYearImpact Onedemographicfeatureofhousingdemandistherawnumberofpotentialbuyers.The demandforhousingintheU.S.,theState,andintheAustinareahassomepotentialof returningtopre2007levelsduetoanewhomebuyerbulge.Infact,housingdemandcould evenbebiggerthanitwasintheearly2000s,solelyduetothefactthatthenationsechoboom generation(~83,400,000personsages2544)isactuallyalargercohortthanthebabyboomers (~76,000,000).Thisechoboomwillhelpkeepdemandforhousingstrongforthenexttenyears andbeyond,creatingmarketsineveryschooldistrictforsinglefamilyhousing,andforrental complexes. Another,countervailingtrendtotheBabyBoomersEchodiscussedaboveisthedropinnew householdsduethedownturn.Perhaps6%ofallLakeTravisI.S.D.nuclearfamilieshavehadto moveinwithrelativesand,insomecases,friends.Insum,therehasbeenanincreaseintwo nuclearfamilieslivinginonehousingunit.Thishashelpedkeepthenumberofforeclosures
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011 37

lower,buthasaffectedthenumberofnewhousesrequired,orindemand.Nationally,basedona studybytheJointCenterforHousingStudies(HarvardUniversity)1.5millionnewhomescreated byoverbuildingduringthehousingboomwouldbegonebynow,IFhouseholdformationrates hadnotfallenbelowhistoriclevels.Demographersandhousingexpertsattributethisdropin householdformationstomillionsofindividualdecisiontoforgoimmigrationtotheU.S.,ortoput offamoveandbunkwithrelativesandfriends(AnnysShin,TheWashingtonPost). Tothinkabouthouseholdformationsasrelatedtoimmigrationaswasnotedaboveahigh percentofnewhouseholdformationsintheAustinareabetween2001and2007wereafunction ofhighimmigrationpushingnewcomersintotheinnercoreofmetroareas,whileallowing growthoutwardtosuburbanlocationsforthosewhowishedtoleavelifeinsidetheloops.So, immigrationhashadamajorimpactonthetremendouspopulationandhousinggrowthbetween 2001and2007withinTexassuburbanschooldistricts.But,inflowsofimmigrantshaveslowed, andillegalimmigrantsnetinmigrationisdowntoaveryslowgrowthinTexas(PewHispanic Center).Thisimmigrationdownturnnotonlyaffectsdemandforhomes,butalsoaffectsthe availabilityofconstructionworkers,ashomebuildersinLakeTravisI.S.D.seektospeeduptheir newhomestarts. Also,Texas,liketherestofthenation,sawtremendousincreasesinhomepurchasesduetothe subprimeloanavailabilitybetween2002and2007.PASAsdemographicteam,alongwithmost economists,feelsthattheU.S.,theState,andtheAustinregionspecifically,willnothaveany subprime,oranyothertypeofreadilyavailable,mortgageloansineithertheshorttermorinthe longterm. Inassessingsinglefamilytrendsforthenextfiveyears,theagingofthepopulationshouldbe keptinmind.TheLakeTravispopulationcouldstarttoseehigherratesofgrowthintheages50+ thaninyoungerheadsofhouseholdsforsomespecificsubdivisionsandtownhomes.Hopefully, housingthatappealstotheyounghomeownercohortwillcontinuetobemadeavailable.Also, PASAdoesassumethatmanyhomesinolderneighborhoodssuchasthoseinLakewaywill acceleratehomesalestoyoungerheadsofhouseholds. Nationally,throughOctober,2010,housingsalesweredownanother25%fromthesamequarter lastyear,andstillwere30%lessvaluedthanin2006.So,demandintheAustinregionhasbeen muchmorepronouncedandpositivethanthenationasawhole,whilestillshaky.Also, nationally,loanmodificationshavehelped100sof1,000sofhomeowners,buthelphasbeen neededformillions.Likewise,thebanksandothermortgagecompaniesintheAustinregion havebecomeverystringentinprovidingpotentialhomeownerswithloans.And,bankregulators donotdistinguishamongstatesinsettingstringentdevelopment,builder,andotherloan requirements,thusverybadlyaffectingTexaspotentialforresidentialdevelopment,aswellas forhomeloans. JamesGaines,economistattheRealEstateCenteratTexasA&MUniversitysuggeststhat: Everyoneshouldbecautiousindeclaringthehousingmarkettohavebottomed.Somuchofthe datajustdonotsupportitforeclosures,theshadowinventory,newhomesalesrunningroughly halfofthelongtermnormlevel,andsalesdeclinesafterthetaxcreditexpired.
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011 38

Jobscannotbedownplayedinthehousingdemandequation,inthatthebiggestpredictorof housingdemandistypicallynewjobcreation,aswellasjobstabilityandsecurity.Previously,the housingmarkethasbroughtotherrecessionsout,butthistimethehousingmarketwillbelagged behindjobavailabilityandsecurity. Also,itisworthwhiletorecallthe811yearrecoverytimeexperiencedintheTexaseconomicbust ofthelate1980sandearly1990s.Texasisnowonlyinits3rdto4thyearofthiscycle,andthe nationinits4thyear,withaslowrecoveryasthemostrealisticeconomicfuture.Insum,for Texas,thisrecoverycouldtakeanother5years.Withthissaid,manyeconomistsandother punditscontinuetosuggestthatTexaswilllikelybethefirststatetopulloutofthedownturn.

Single Family and Multi-Family Projections


TheAmericanCommunitysurveyestimatesthat,in2008,therewere1,934multifamilyunitsin theLakeTravisI.S.D.andapproximately13,562singlefamilyhousingunits.Thismeansthere wasamixof12%apartmentsand88%singlefamilyhomes. Single Family Multi-Family Total Housing Units # units % # units % Most Recent ACS (2008) 13,562 88% 1,934 12% 15,496 Projected Growth (2008-2020) 9,264 77% 2,717 23% 11,981 Projected Totals: 2020 23,298 83% 4,745 17% 28,043 Inthenexttenyears,PASAprojectsapproximately2,417multifamilyunitsaddedtoL.T.I.S.D. housingstockand8,864singlefamilyunits.Thus,thenewmix(by2020),includingtheestimated growthbetween2008and2010,willberoughly23,298(or83%)singlefamilyhomes,and4,745 (or17%)multifamilyunits,byOctober,2020. Theresidentialdevelopmentsprojectedtogainthemostnewhousingunitsduringthis10year projectionperiodinclude:

PU
3D 3A 2C 5B 3D 3H 2C 8D 3D

Largest Residential Developments


Sweetwater Ranch West Cypress Hills Rough Hollow Alta Vista Reserve Sweetwater Ranch MF Cassandra Interests MF Rough Hollow MF Serene Hills MF Artie, Robert, & Grumbles parcels MF

Projected New Housing Occupancies: 2010-2015


147 197 125 225 100 100 70 100 50

2015-2020
425 335 357 150 250 250 250 220 250

2010-2020
572 532 482 375 350 350 320 320 300


Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

39

TheseprojectionsaredetailedbyPlanningUnitandyearforallsubdivisions, townhomes/condos,apartments,andmobilehomeparksinspreadsheetandmapform,atthe endofthischapter. HousingProjectionsThroughBuildOutoftheDistrict PASAhasalsoconductedananalysisofthepotentialhousingsupplythroughBuildOutofthe district.Itshouldbenotedthat,relativetolastyearssimilarbuildoutanalysis,therehavebeen severallargeparcelssetasideforconservation,parkandotherpurposes,sothattheprojected numberofnewhousingunitshasdeclinedinsomelocations. Secondly,threepotentialmultifamilydevelopmentshavebeenaddedtothebuildoutdata, thusincreasingthenumberofnewhousingunitsinthreePlanningUnits(after2020).Itshouldbe emphasizedthatmultifamilydevelopmentsmayoccurinlocationsnotheretoforeconsidered possibleforhigherdensitydevelopmentatanyyearduringthegradualbuildoutperiod,andare verydifficulttopinpointlocationally.Insum,thesebuildoutprojectionswillunderestimatethe actualnumberofhighdensitydevelopments,sincethemunicipalitiesarenotallowingsuch growthatthistime(butarealmostcertaintodosointhefuture).Also,fortheparcelsnotin municipalities,thereisnoinfrastructuretoallowhighdensitydevelopmentinthenearfuture, and,insomecases,mayneverbeavailableinsomelocations(evenpost2020)primarilydueto environmentalandtopographicconstraints. Bothhighdensity,aswellasconventionalsinglefamily,developmentwilloccurwhenLCRA allowsnewwastewaterpipelinesalongSH71,ormakescommitmentsforwaterandwastewater inthesouthwesternPlanningUnitswithintheDistrict.(Inthesouthwestatthistime,theAyers ~6,700acres,thePuryearparcelsouthofRockyCreekRanch,theMitchellWong~750acres southwestofSpanishOaks,andthePeacock[i.e.,HuthnanceandHolland]tractshaveno commitmentsfromLCRA,althoughthereareconceptplansfortwooftheselandownersparcels. And,itislikelythatotherwatersources(otherthanLCRA)willhavetobeusedintheDistrictto allowfullbuildoutpotential.TheTrinityAquifer,andeventheCarrizoWilcoxAquifer,haveboth beendiscussedforutilizationwithinL.T.I.S.D. Insum,thebuildouthousingprojectionswillchangeeachyear,and,justaswithalllongrange planningefforts,changeisthenorm.Atthesametime,itisanticipatedthatthefirstfiveyearsof theprojectionperiod(20112015)willyieldreliablehousingprojections,althoughtheseestimates canexceedorlagthetimeframesofexpecteddevelopment.Thelastfiveyears(20162020)of thetenyearstudytimeframeareusedasapproximationsofthelocationalconfigurationof growth,andannualorperiodicrevisionswillberequired,justaswiththebuildoutprojections.

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

40

Pl ann ing Uni ts


L a k e Tr a v i s I . S . D .

Map Layers
District Boundary Planning Units Streets

Pace Ben d

Rd

H
n ili

12B
s Hud

e . Rd

an

en d

Th ur m

s t Cree k Rd

Hu r

Clu bh o

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9A
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9C

2B

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ew

2C
la High

La

L R vd . a kew a B ay Bl lvd .

62

3A

ay

D R.O.

ld
y

1A
R

10C
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r Fer

Ben d Rd. on

2A

d oa
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12A

RM 620

1B

9F

11C 10B 11A


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.

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8B 8G 8E 8C
SH 71

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3C
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8A

nR

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5B
RM
0 62

5A 5C
SH 71
F M 22
44

0 0.5 1

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

3D

8F

Rd

4 3J
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Crum ley

3G

3H

3E

Ra n ch

3F
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[
2 3 4 Miles

Ro

41

Mu ni ci p al J u ri sd ic ti on s
L a k e Tr a v i s I . S . D .

P ace Bend Rd

Hi

e lin . Rd

12B
s Hud

1A

LAGO VISTA LAGO VISTA ETJ


1B
.
Cre ek Rd

10C

Ben d Rd. on

BRIARCLIFF

12A

AUSTIN ETJ
11A ro ve 10A Blvd ew 11D . Running art Rd De . er 7E Tr Ko l. . l lm 11B Dr e ye se D r. 6C
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St

BRIARCLIFF ETJ
2A
B
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e

ak

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11C 11E

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LAKEWAY
9C 2C
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7B

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2B

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9E
e

7D

3B

2E 8E 8D 8C 3D

8G

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LAKEWAY ETJ

2D

8B

6D

62

C e ekR oa

Map Layers
District Boundary 3C
Ha m ilt Planning Units on

Streets

Municipalities
AUSTIN

oo

AUSTIN LTD
Crum l ey R n c a

BEE CAVE BEE CAVE ETJ BRIARCLIFF BRIARCLIFF ETJ LAGO VISTA LAGO VISTA ETJ LAKEWAY LAKEWAY ETJ THE HILLS

AUSTIN ETJ

3E

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

7C
d.

7A

Mu

7F

rfi n

6B
Rd .

AUSTIN LTD

THE HILLS

6A

AUSTIN
5B
RM
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5C 5A
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3J 3G 3H

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Hamilto

AUSTIN ETJ
3F

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oad

[
0 0.5 1 2 3 4 Miles
42

Stu d en t D ist rib u ti on by Mu n ic i pa l Ju r i sdi c ti on


L a k e Tr a v i s I . S . D .
Jurisdiction City of Austin ETJ City of Austin LTD City of Bee Cave City of Bee Cave ETJ City of Lago Vista ETJ City of Lakeway City of Lakeway ETJ Village of Briarcliff Village of Briarcliff ETJ Village of The Hills Unincorporated LTISD Students 16.5% 0.3% 12.2% 13.2% 0.7% 30.1% 5.9% 3.1% 0.2% 7.2% 10.6%

Map Layers
District Boundary Streets

Municipalities
0.2 - 0.7 0.8 - 3.1 3.2 - 7.2 7.3 - 13.2 13.3 - 16.5 16.6 - 30.1
H

BRIARCLIFF ETJ
c e Bend Rd

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anc
h Road

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

43

Major Aq uife r s
L a k e Tr a v i s I . S . D .
Brown County Brookesmith ISD Mullin ISD Hamilton County Star ISD Mills County Goldthwaite ISD Richland Springs ISD Lometa ISD Lampasas County Evant ISD Jonesboro ISD Coryell County Gatesville ISD Crawford ISD Oglesby ISD McGregor ISD Waco ISD Robinson ISD Lorena ISD McLennan County Chilton ISD

San Saba ISD San Saba County

TRINITY AQUIFER
Killeen ISD Lampasas ISD Copperas Cove ISD

Moody ISD Bruceville-Eddy ISD (McLennan) Falls County Troy ISD Westphalia ISD Belton ISD Rosebud-Lott ISD Temple ISD Rogers ISD Academy ISD

Bell County Cherokee ISD

Salado ISD

Holland ISD Florence ISD Mason ISD Llano ISD Mason County Llano County Liberty Hill ISD Georgetown ISD Williamson County Granger ISD Bur net Cons ISD Burnet County Jarrell ISD Bar tlett ISD

Buckholts ISD Rockdale ISD Milam County Thorndale ISD

Marble Falls ISD Doss Cons CSD

Hutto ISD Leander ISD Lago Vista ISD Round Rock ISD Pfluger ville ISD Taylor ISD

Thrall ISD

EDWARDS-TRINITY AQUIFER
Gillespie County Fredericksburg ISD Johnson City ISD Blanco County

Coupland ISD Lexington Lee County ISD

Lake Travis ISD Eanes ISD

Manor ISD

Elgin ISD McDade ISD

Harper ISD

Travis County Dripping Springs ISD Austin ISD Del Valle ISD

Kerrville ISD Bastrop ISD Wimberley ISD Hays Cons ISD Hays County Smithville ISD Lockhar t ISD Boer ne ISD Comal ISD Comal County New Braunfels ISD San Marcos Cons ISD Caldwell County Prairie Lea ISD Luling ISD Fayette County Flatonia ISD Bastrop County

Blanco ISD Comfort ISD Kerr County Center Point ISD Kendall County

Bandera ISD Bandera County

Navarro ISD

Waelder ISD

Northside ISD (Bexar)

EDWARDS AQUIFER
Hondo ISD Medina Medina Valley ISD County

Schertz-Cibolo-Universal City North East ISD Marion ISD ISD Alamo Heights Randolph Field ISD ISD Judson ISD

Guadalupe County Seguin ISD Gonzales ISD Gonzales County

Moulton ISD

Ft Sam Houston ISD Edgewood San Antonio ISD ISD (Bexar)

Bexar County Lackland ISD South San East Central ISD Antonio ISD Harlandale Southwest ISD ISD Somerset ISD

La Vernia ISD

CARRIZO AQUIFER
Nixon-Smiley Cons ISD Stockdale ISD Cuero ISD

Shiner ISD Lavaca County

Yoakum ISD

Natalia ISD Lytle ISD Southside ISD Floresville ISD

Wilson County De Witt County Poth ISD Karnes County Westhoff ISD Yorktown ISD

Devine ISD

5 10

20

Atascosa County Poteet ISD

30

Frio County Pearsall ISD

40 Pleasanton ISD Miles

Falls City ISD Karnes City ISD

Meyersville ISD

[G

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

44

Aqu i fe r s
L a k e Tr a v i s I . S . D .

Map Layers
District Boundary Planning Units Streets Lakes and Rivers Edwards Aquifer Contributing Zone Trinity Aquifer
Rd

Pace Ben d

H
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12B

e . Rd

1A
O

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an

B en

Th ur m

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9B
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9D

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7D 7G

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10C
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2A

d oa
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1B 11C 9F O
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9E

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High
B la nds

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ro 11A 11E ve B 11D t e 10A lvd wa . Running rt De Rd er . 7E Tr l. r. 11B D se Ko m ey er D 6C r. 7C


S

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8B

7F

6A

6D 5B

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0 62

8A

3C
SH 71

5A 8F 5C
SH 71
FM 22
44

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Po ol
Rd

3D

4 3J
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Crum ley R a n ch

3G

3H

3E

3F

Ro

ad

0 0.5 1

4 Miles
45

In hi bi tor s to Devel op m e nt
L a k e Tr a v i s I . S . D .
Area of Development Inhibitors
Parks Preserves Water/Rivers Contributing Zone Sq. Mi. 6 8.5 6.2 29.3 % District 5% 7% 5% 25.1%
Map Layers
District Boundary Planning Units Streets

Development Inhibitors
Edwards Aquifer Contributing Zone Parks Preserves Water/Rivers

Pace Ben d

Rd

H
n ili

12B

e . Rd

1A
O

s Hud

an

B en

Th ur m

Cree k Rd

9B
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Clu bho

3A

D R. O.

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9D

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7D 7G

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2B

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10C
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Ben d Rd. on

2A

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1B 11C 9F O
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9E

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S

8C
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Lak ew yD a

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Po ol
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Crum ley R a n ch

3G

3H

3E

3F

Ro

ad

[
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

0 0.5 1

4 Miles
46

Sl op e of Ter r ain
L a k e Tr a v i s I . S . D .
Map Layers
District Boundary Planning Units Streets Water Bodies Rivers and Streams

Slope in Degrees
0 - 1.84 1.85 - 4.29 4.3 - 7.05 7.06 - 10.4
Pace B en

14.5 - 19 19.1 - 24.8 24.9 - 33.4 33.5 - 78.2


Fe Old

dR

10.5 - 14.4

in Hil

12B

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1A

Hu d
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10C
R

ry

Th ur ma n

Be

nd

r ee R k

st Creek Rd.

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20

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RM 6

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r ive R. O. D

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Dr.

9A 2C
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Sa

wind

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Clu b h

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ke

2A

d oa

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1B 9F
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Gr

11C 10B 11A 11D 11E


Running D
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3B

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9E
. Dr

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er ast ilm

ove Blv Ste 10A d. war t Rd .

9D

. e Dr

Ko l lmey er

11B
D
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7G

6C
Mu rfin Rd.

s C ro

. l vd

r. 7C B a kew a y d .
lv

6B

7A

8B

7F

6A

2D 2E 8E 8D 8C
Ha m
RM

8G

6D 5B
0 62

8A

3C
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5A 8F 5C
SH 71
FM 2 244

SH 71

Po ol
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3G

3H

3E

C ru mley

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0 0.5 1

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[
47

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Deve lo pm e nt De nsi ty
L a k e Tr a v i s I . S . D .
February 2011: 207 students per square mile (sq. mi.) of built-out area Total area of Lake Travis I.S.D. is 116.6 sq. mi. ~33.5 sq. mi. are built-out/developed land [light purple] ~6.5 sq. mi. are currently active [dark purple] ~14.8 sq. mi. are undeveloped, but are planned to develop [orange] ~37.7 sq. mi. are undeveloped with no development plans [light orange] ~3.5 sq. mi. are rural housing on small acreage which could redevelop much later [brown] ~6.3 sq. mi. of the flood plain is built-out, and ~3.7 sq. mi. is undeveloped In the District there are at least ~20.6 sq. mi. of undevelopable land (parks, preserves and water/rivers) and ~59 sq. mi. of undeveloped land remaining (including active, planned and unplanned development)
Map Layers District Boundary Generally Built-OutDeveloped Active Parcels Undeveloped, but Planned Development Undeveloped Land Rural Housing, Possible Distant Redev. Preserves Parks Water/Rivers 100, 500 Year Flood Plain and Floodways Edwards Aquifer Contributing Zone

District Land Uses 33.5 29% Built-out 6.5 6% Active 14.8 13% Planned Dev. 37.7 32% Undeveloped 3.5 3% Rural Housing 6.2 5% Water/Rivers 6 5% Parks 8.4 7% Preserves

[
0 1 2 4 Miles

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

48

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentSortedAlphabetically,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 5C 1B 9F 11D 7E 3H 12A 3D 2B 2A 7E 10A 3D 1B 1A 9E 10A 6A 6C 11A 11C 9E 9E 8G 12A 10A/10B 6A 9E 1B 8E 1B 3D 1B 8B 5B

Name Alexan Galleria Angel Bay Annie Stewart Addition Apache Shores Arbolago Barton Creek Preserve Beby's Ranch Bee Cave West Bee Creek Estates Bee Creek Ranchettes Bella Montagna Estates Bella Strada Belvedere Big Bee Creek Briarcliff Brooks Hollow Buffalo Gap Canyonlands at Cardinal Hills Canyons at Cardinal Hills Cardinal Hills Estates Cardinal Hills Estates 2 Casa Verde Cedar Glen Cherry Mountain Commanders Point Costa Bella Courtyard at the Preserve Cove at Lakeway Coves at Lake Travis Creekside Crosswind Destiny Hills Edgewater Beach Enclave Enclave North

Class Apartment Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes

Phase Existing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Developing Developing Developing Existing Developing Existing Existing Developing Developing Developing Developing Existing Developing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing

Fall 09 to Fall 10 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th Yr. Blt. EE-12th EE-5th EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 2008 26 19 37 17 11 42% -2 -11% 2005 0 0 1 0 1 100% 0 0% 1982 21 10 22 10 1 5% 0 0% 1995 545 277 589 304 44 8% 27 10% 2004 16 9 20 11 4 25% 2 22% 2001 6 2 6 3 0 0% 1 50% 1984 8 5 8 6 0 0% 1 20% 1989 10 1 6 1 -4 -40% 0 0% 2008 6 2 11 5 5 83% 3 150% 1999 6 2 7 2 1 17% 0 0% 2006 15 5 17 6 2 13% 1 20% 2008 1 0 1 0 0 0% 0 0% 2005 21 11 32 22 11 52% 11 100% 1976 9 2 6 2 -3 -33% 0 0% 1997 197 101 210 104 13 7% 3 3% 1989 21 5 16 4 -5 -24% -1 -20% 1989 0 0 1 1 1 100% 1 100% 2005 54 32 51 29 -3 -6% -3 -9% 1999 64 38 81 39 17 27% 1 3% 2000 19 8 16 12 -3 -16% 4 50% 2005 7 5 10 6 3 43% 1 20% 6 4 15 7 9 150% 3 75% 1994 13 4 6 2 -7 -54% -2 -50% 2001 9 2 7 1 -2 -22% -1 -50% 1992 0 0 1 1 1 100% 1 100% 2002 28 16 35 20 7 25% 4 25% 56 20 58 24 2 4% 4 20% 2002 7 4 8 4 1 14% 0 0% 2003 9 7 8 6 -1 -11% -1 -14% 1994 1 0 1 0 0 0% 0 0% 1992 15 7 19 12 4 27% 5 71% 2003 11 6 12 6 1 9% 0 0% 1978 5 1 8 1 3 60% 0 0% 2000 0 0 8 3 8 100% 3 100% 8 2 11 4 3 38% 2 100%

49

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentSortedAlphabetically,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

Name Enclave South Falconhead Falconhead - St. Andrews Falconhead - The Champions Falconhead - The Heights Falconhead - The Legends Falconhead - The Links Falconhead - West Flint Rock Estates Flintrock at Hurst Creek Glen Heather Greens Condos Hamilton Hills Hazy Hill Ranchettes Highland Club Village Highland Creek Lakes Hill Top Manor Hills of Lakeway Hudson Bend Colony La Hacienda Estates La Hacienda RV Park La Isla at Angel Bay Lake Chandon Lake Country Estates Lake Oak Estates Lake Pointe - Canyon Vista Lake Pointe - The Estates Lake Pointe - The Landing Lake Pointe - The Preserve Lake Pointe - The Setting Lake Pointe - Vista Pointe Subdivision Existing 1988 1,058 22 437 10 1,096 22 451 11 38 0 4% 0%

Class Townhomes Apartment Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision MHP Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision

Phase Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Developing Existing Developing Existing Developing Developing Existing Developing Existing Existing Developing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Developing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing

Fall 09 to Fall 10 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th Yr. Blt. EE-12th EE-5th EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 16 5 23 8 7 44% 3 60% 2003 74 25 70 25 -4 -5% 0 0% 2006 24 14 29 14 5 21% 0 0% 2006 169 81 193 103 24 14% 22 27% 2006 26 15 30 18 4 15% 3 20% 2004 5 5 5 4 0 0% -1 -20% 2005 24 10 26 12 2 8% 2 20% 2009 72 37 140 73 68 94% 36 97% 1999 1 0 1 0 0 0% 0 0% 2006 89 37 93 42 4 4% 5 14% 1978 4 1 1 0 -3 -75% -1 -100% 1999 1 0 1 0 0 0% 0 0% 1998 2 1 1 0 -1 -50% -1 -100% 1989 11 2 7 1 -4 -36% -1 -50% 1988 7 6 5 3 -2 -29% -3 -50% 2000 10 4 11 5 1 10% 1 25% 2002 4 2 4 2 0 0% 0 0% 1997 432 203 482 227 50 12% 24 12% 1983 34 12 31 12 -3 -9% 0 0% 1991 41 20 45 23 4 10% 3 15% 2008 0 0 6 2 6 100% 2 100% 2005 3 2 3 2 0 0% 0 0% 2006 0 0 2 2 2 100% 2 100% 2000 6 2 4 2 -2 -33% 0 0% 1999 40 27 52 27 12 30% 0 0% 2003 46 32 51 37 5 11% 5 16% 1999 373 215 394 219 21 6% 4 2% 2000 44 29 45 24 1 2% -5 -17% 2000 83 54 85 53 2 2% -1 -2% 1999 87 46 93 52 6 7% 6 13% 2004 130 62 125 52 -5 -4% -10 -16% 14 1 3% 10%

PU 5B 8A 8A 8A 8A 8A 8A 8C 2E 8G/8E 7F 8B 3C 2A 11C 3E 3E 8B 12B 10C 10C 1B 9C 2E 6C 5A 5A 5A 5A 5A 5A 7A/7B/7C 7G/9A/9B 9C/9D/9E 9C Townhomes Existing

Lakeway

Lakeway Patio Homes

50

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentSortedAlphabetically,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 1B 12A 1A 6D 3A 7D 3D 2E 11A 1A 9D 8B 3G 10A 3E 7E 7E 1A 2A 3A 7E 4 3C 10C/12B 1B 8B 5B 2C 2C 2C 2C 3E 2B 9C 1B

Name Lakewood Estates Lakewind Estates Las Entradas on Lake Travis Laws Addition Lick Creek Ranch Lohmans Crossing Estates Madrone Ranch Majestic Hills Ranchettes Maravilla Marina Club Villas Marina Village Masters at the Hills Meadowfox Estates Mountain Acres Mountain Creek Lakes North Lakeway Village North Lakeway Village Old Ferry Paleface Ranch Perdenales Canyon Pinnacle at North Lakeway Preserve at Barton Creek Ranches at Hamilton Pool Reserve at Hudson Bend Reserve at Lake Travis Retama Ridge at Alta Vista Rough Hollow - East Rim Rough Hollow - The Bluffs Rough Hollow - The Enclave Rough Hollow - Water's Edge Saddletree Ranch Sadik Santorini Villas Siesta Shores

Class Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision MHP Townhomes Subdivision

Phase Existing Existing Developing Existing Existing Existing Developing Existing Developing Existing Developing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Developing Existing Developing Developing Developing Existing Developing Existing Developing Existing Developing Developing Developing Developing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing

Fall 09 to Fall 10 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th Yr. Blt. EE-12th EE-5th EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 1984 13 5 17 8 4 31% 3 60% 2002 31 12 25 9 -6 -19% -3 -25% 2002 3 0 3 1 0 0% 1 100% 2005 14 6 16 6 2 14% 0 0% 1996 15 4 15 7 0 0% 3 75% 1990 197 92 202 96 5 3% 4 4% 1999 8 2 6 1 -2 -25% -1 -50% 1999 24 9 22 7 -2 -8% -2 -22% 2004 28 10 33 8 5 18% -2 -20% 1981 5 3 4 2 -1 -20% -1 -33% 0 0 1 1 1 100% 1 100% 2 1 3 0 1 50% -1 -100% 2000 15 7 13 5 -2 -13% -2 -29% 1995 4 0 2 1 -2 -50% 1 100% 1999 14 8 13 7 -1 -7% -1 -13% 2009 1 0 3 1 2 200% 1 100% 2009 3 3 11 9 8 267% 6 200% 1983 23 13 23 8 0 0% -5 -38% 2003 0 0 21 8 21 100% 8 100% 1996 4 0 2 0 -2 -50% 0 0% 1 0 6 1 5 500% 1 100% 2004 26 16 28 16 2 8% 0 0% 2008 0 0 3 2 3 100% 2 100% 2004 36 22 40 23 4 11% 1 5% 2009 0 0 1 1 1 100% 1 100% 12 6 16 5 4 33% -1 -17% 2007 241 125 267 134 26 11% 9 7% 2007 4 2 3 2 -1 -25% 0 0% 2009 0 0 2 0 2 100% 0 0% 2007 11 9 17 13 6 55% 4 44% 2008 3 1 6 2 3 100% 1 100% 2001 61 30 58 25 -3 -5% -5 -17% 10 7 10 6 0 0% -1 -14% 2 2 2 2 0 0% 0 0% 1987 21 7 18 7 -3 -14% 0 0%

51

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentSortedAlphabetically,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 3H 9C 6A 6C 3G 4 1B 2A 12A 12A/12B 6A 1B/2B 3E 3E 8G 8B 10B 2A 11C 10C 1B 6A 3E 3A 1A 11A 11C 3H 2A 10C/12B 9A 8B

Name Spanish Oaks Stoney Creek Terrace at the Preserve The Enclave @ Kollmeyer Sprgs The Homestead The Uplands Thurman Bend Estates Tiburon Hills Travis Landing Travis Landing 2 Travis Oak Trails Travis Settlement Twin Lake Hills Valley Lake Hills Villas at Flintrock Villas at the Hills Vineyard Bay Vista Estates Vista Grande Vista Grande Amend Vistas @ Lake Travis Vistas at Lakeway West Cave Estates West Cypress Hills Whitecliff Windmill Bluff Estates Windmill Bluff Estates Windsor at Bee Cave Windy Walk Estates Woods of Lake Travis World of Tennis Townhomess Yaupon Creek

Class Subdivision Townhomes Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Apartment Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision

Phase Developing Existing Developing Developing Existing Existing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Developing Developing Developing Existing Developing Existing Existing Developing Existing Existing Developing

Fall 09 to Fall 10 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th Yr. Blt. EE-12th EE-5th EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 2006 70 38 71 34 1 1% -4 -11% 1975 4 4 6 5 2 50% 1 25% 6 3 13 8 7 117% 5 167% 2005 7 1 9 2 2 29% 1 100% 1997 88 25 81 29 -7 -8% 4 16% 2000 162 69 151 63 -11 -7% -6 -9% 2002 2 0 6 4 4 200% 4 100% 2003 3 0 5 1 2 67% 1 100% 1988 51 22 43 16 -8 -16% -6 -27% 1988 90 44 104 60 14 16% 16 36% 1992 19 7 21 11 2 11% 4 57% 2002 110 51 102 49 -8 -7% -2 -4% 2002 39 21 37 19 -2 -5% -2 -10% 2003 29 14 38 18 9 31% 4 29% 1 1 1 1 0 0% 0 0% 3 0 2 0 -1 -33% 0 0% 1998 35 18 33 16 -2 -6% -2 -11% 2005 5 2 6 2 1 20% 0 0% 1993 14 9 13 7 -1 -7% -2 -22% 1987 2 1 1 1 -1 -50% 0 0% 1988 33 11 32 11 -1 -3% 0 0% 3 0 4 0 1 33% 0 0% 2000 67 36 66 33 -1 -1% -3 -8% 2007 58 30 82 39 24 41% 9 30% 1982 1 0 2 1 1 100% 1 100% 1999 12 3 12 2 0 0% -1 -33% 1998 19 5 17 6 -2 -11% 1 20% 1991 43 21 49 27 6 14% 6 29% 2007 0 0 3 2 3 100% 2 100% 1994 37 10 35 10 -2 -5% 0 0% 27 7 29 10 2 7% 3 43% 2006 3 2 1 0 -2 -67% -2 -100%

Total:

6,033

2,860

6,508

3,092

475

8%

232

8%

52

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentforSubdivisionsSortedbyGainandLoss,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 4 1B/2B 12A 9E 3G 12A 9E 5A 3D 2A 6A 11A 7F 1B 12B 3E 1B 8G 2E 3D 3A 3E 8B 11C 2E 3G 10A 10B 11C 10C/12B 1B 3C 3E 2C

Name The Uplands Travis Settlement Travis Landing Cedar Glen The Homestead Lakewind Estates Brooks Hollow Lake Pointe - Vista Pointe Bee Cave West Hazy Hill Ranchettes Canyonlands at Cardinal Hills Cardinal Hills Estates Glen Heather Big Bee Creek Hudson Bend Colony Saddletree Ranch Siesta Shores Cherry Mountain Lake Country Estates Madrone Ranch Perdenales Canyon Twin Lake Hills Yaupon Creek Highland Club Village Majestic Hills Ranchettes Meadowfox Estates Mountain Acres Vineyard Bay Windmill Bluff Estates Woods of Lake Travis Coves at Lake Travis Hamilton Hills Mountain Creek Lakes Rough Hollow - East Rim

Phase Avg. Yr. Blt. Existing 2000 Developing 2002 Existing 1988 Developing 1994 Existing 1997 Existing 2002 Existing 1989 Existing 2004 Existing 1989 Existing 1989 Developing 2005 Developing 2000 Developing 1978 Existing 1976 Existing 1983 Existing 2001 Existing 1987 Developing 2001 Developing 2000 Developing 1999 Developing 1996 Developing 2002 Developing 2006 Existing 1988 Existing 1999 Existing 2000 Existing 1995 Existing 1998 Existing 1998 Existing 1994 Developing 2003 Developing 1998 Developing 1999 Developing 2007

Fall 2009 EE-12th EE-5th 162 69 110 51 51 22 13 4 88 25 31 12 21 5 130 62 10 1 11 2 54 32 19 8 4 1 9 2 34 12 61 30 21 7 9 2 6 2 8 2 4 0 39 21 3 2 7 6 24 9 15 7 4 0 35 18 19 5 37 10 9 7 2 1 14 8 4 2

Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th 151 63 102 49 43 16 6 2 81 29 25 9 16 4 125 52 6 1 7 1 51 29 16 12 1 0 6 2 31 12 58 25 18 7 7 1 4 2 6 1 2 0 37 19 1 0 5 3 22 7 13 5 2 1 33 16 17 6 35 10 8 6 1 0 13 7 3 2

Fall 09 to Fall 10 EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. -11 -7% -6 -9% -8 -7% -2 -4% -8 -16% -6 -27% -7 -54% -2 -50% -7 -8% 4 16% -6 -19% -3 -25% -5 -24% -1 -20% -5 -4% -10 -16% -4 -40% 0 0% -4 -36% -1 -50% -3 -6% -3 -9% -3 -16% 4 50% -3 -75% -1 -100% -3 -33% 0 0% -3 -9% 0 0% -3 -5% -5 -17% -3 -14% 0 0% -2 -22% -1 -50% -2 -33% 0 0% -2 -25% -1 -50% -2 -50% 0 0% -2 -5% -2 -10% -2 -67% -2 -100% -2 -29% -3 -50% -2 -8% -2 -22% -2 -13% -2 -29% -2 -50% 1 100% -2 -6% -2 -11% -2 -11% 1 20% -2 -5% 0 0% -1 -11% -1 -14% -1 -50% -1 -100% -1 -7% -1 -13% -1 -25% 0 0%

53

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentforSubdivisionsSortedbyGainandLoss,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 10C 1B 3E 1A 11C 10A 8E 8A 3E 1B 1A 11A 3H 12A 2E 3A 1A 1B 2A 3E 1B 3H 9F 10A 12A 9E 3D 5A 2A 1A 7E 7E 2C 6C

Name Vista Grande Amend Vistas @ Lake Travis West Cave Estates Marina Club Villas Vista Grande Bella Strada Creekside Falconhead - The Legends Hill Top Manor La Isla at Angel Bay Las Entradas on Lake Travis Windmill Bluff Estates Barton Creek Preserve Beby's Ranch Flint Rock Estates Lick Creek Ranch Old Ferry Angel Bay Bee Creek Ranchettes Highland Creek Lakes Reserve at Lake Travis Spanish Oaks Annie Stewart Addition Buffalo Gap Commanders Point Cove at Lakeway Destiny Hills Lake Pointe - The Landing Vista Estates Whitecliff Bella Montagna Estates North Lakeway Village Rough Hollow - The Bluffs The Enclave @ Kollmeyer Sprgs

Phase Avg. Yr. Blt. Developing 1987 Developing 1988 Developing 2000 Existing 1981 Existing 1993 Developing 2008 Developing 1994 Developing 2004 Developing 2002 Developing 2005 Developing 2002 Developing 1999 Existing 2001 Existing 1984 Existing 1999 Existing 1996 Existing 1983 Developing 2005 Developing 1999 Developing 2000 Developing 2009 Developing 2006 Existing 1982 Existing 1989 Existing 1992 Existing 2002 Existing 2003 Existing 2000 Existing 2005 Existing 1982 Developing 2006 Developing 2009 Developing 2009 Developing 2005

Fall 2009 EE-12th EE-5th 2 1 33 11 67 36 5 3 14 9 1 0 1 0 5 5 4 2 3 2 3 0 12 3 6 2 8 5 1 0 15 4 23 13 0 0 6 2 10 4 0 0 70 38 21 10 0 0 0 0 7 4 11 6 44 29 5 2 1 0 15 5 1 0 0 0 7 1

Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th 1 1 32 11 66 33 4 2 13 7 1 0 1 0 5 4 4 2 3 2 3 1 12 2 6 3 8 6 1 0 15 7 23 8 1 0 7 2 11 5 1 1 71 34 22 10 1 1 1 1 8 4 12 6 45 24 6 2 2 1 17 6 3 1 2 0 9 2

Fall 09 to Fall 10 EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. -1 -50% 0 0% -1 -3% 0 0% -1 -1% -3 -8% -1 -20% -1 -33% -1 -7% -2 -22% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% -1 -20% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 1 100% 0 0% -1 -33% 0 0% 1 50% 0 0% 1 20% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 3 75% 0 0% -5 -38% 1 100% 0 0% 1 17% 0 0% 1 10% 1 25% 1 100% 1 100% 1 1% -4 -11% 1 5% 0 0% 1 100% 1 100% 1 100% 1 100% 1 14% 0 0% 1 9% 0 0% 1 2% -5 -17% 1 20% 0 0% 1 100% 1 100% 2 13% 1 20% 2 200% 1 100% 2 100% 0 0% 2 29% 1 100%

54

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmenforApartmentsbyGainandLoss,LakeTravisISD

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 8A 3H 5C

Name Falconhead Windsor at Bee Cave Alexan Galleria

Class Apartment Apartment Apartment

Phase Existing Existing Existing

Fall 09 to Fall 10 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th Yr. Blt. EE-12th EE-5th EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 2003 74 25 70 25 -4 -5% 0 0% 1991 43 21 49 27 6 14% 6 29% 2008 26 19 37 17 11 42% -2 -11%

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Total

143

65

156

69

13

9%

3%

55

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentforTownhomesbyGainandLoss,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 8B 8B 9C 9C 8G 9D 6A 8B 9C 6A 9C 9A 5B 8B 7E 6A 5B 9E

Name Villas at the Hills Greens Condos Lakeway Patio Homes Santorini Villas Villas at Flintrock Marina Village Vistas at Lakeway Masters at the Hills Lake Chandon Courtyard at the Preserve Stoney Creek World of Tennis Condos Enclave North Retama Pinnacle at North Lakeway Terrace at the Preserve Enclave South Casa Verde

Phase Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Existing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Existing Existing

Fall 2009 EE-12th EE-5th 3 0 1 0 22 10 2 2 1 1 0 0 3 0 2 1 0 0 56 20 4 4 27 7 8 2 12 6 1 0 6 3 16 5 6 4

Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th 2 0 1 0 22 11 2 2 1 1 1 1 4 0 3 0 2 2 58 24 6 5 29 10 11 4 16 5 6 1 13 8 23 8 15 7

Fall 09 to Fall 10 EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. -1 -33% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 1 10% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 1 100% 1 100% 1 33% 0 0% 1 50% -1 -100% 2 100% 2 100% 2 4% 4 20% 2 50% 1 25% 2 7% 3 43% 3 38% 2 100% 4 33% -1 -17% 5 500% 1 100% 7 117% 5 167% 7 44% 3 60% 9 150% 3 75%

Total

170

65

215

89

45

26%

24

11%

56

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentforMobileHomeCommunitiesbyGainandLoss,LakeTravisISD

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 2B 10C 2008

Name Sadik La Hacienda RV Park

Phase Existing Existing

Yr. Blt.

Fall 2009 EE-12th EE-5th 10 7 0 0

Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th 10 6 6 2

Fall 09 to Fall 10 EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 0 0% -1 -14% 6 100% 2 100%

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Total

10

16

60%

6%

57

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentforSubdivisionsSortedbyGainandLoss,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 8A 5A 6D 4 2A 6A 11C 3C 2C 2A 1B 8A 8G/8E 1B 7E 1B 10C 1B 10C/12B 2B 11A 8A 5A 7D 2C 5A 10A/10B 7E 8B 3E 3D 6C 1A 12A/12B

Name Falconhead - The Links Lake Pointe - The Preserve Laws Addition Preserve at Barton Creek Tiburon Hills Travis Oak Trails Cardinal Hills Estates 2 Ranches at Hamilton Pool Rough Hollow - Water's Edge Windy Walk Estates Edgewater Beach Falconhead - The Heights Flintrock at Hurst Creek Thurman Bend Estates Arbolago Crosswind La Hacienda Estates Lakewood Estates Reserve at Hudson Bend Bee Creek Estates Maravilla Falconhead - St. Andrews Lake Pointe - Canyon Vista Lohmans Crossing Estates Rough Hollow - The Enclave Lake Pointe - The Setting Costa Bella North Lakeway Village Enclave Valley Lake Hills Belvedere Lake Oak Estates Briarcliff Travis Landing 2

Phase Avg. Yr. Blt. Existing 2005 Existing 2000 Existing 2005 Existing 2004 Existing 2003 Existing 1992 Developing 2005 Developing 2008 Developing 2008 Developing 2007 Existing 1978 Developing 2006 Developing 2006 Developing 2002 Existing 2004 Existing 1992 Existing 1991 Existing 1984 Existing 2004 Developing 2008 Developing 2004 Existing 2006 Existing 2003 Existing 1990 Developing 2007 Existing 1999 Existing 2002 Developing 2009 Existing 2000 Developing 2003 Developing 2005 Developing 1999 Developing 1997 Existing 1988

Fall 2009 EE-12th EE-5th 24 10 83 54 14 6 26 16 3 0 19 7 7 5 0 0 3 1 0 0 5 1 26 15 89 37 2 0 16 9 15 7 41 20 13 5 36 22 6 2 28 10 24 14 46 32 197 92 11 9 87 46 28 16 3 3 0 0 29 14 21 11 40 27 197 101 90 44

Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th 26 12 85 53 16 6 28 16 5 1 21 11 10 6 3 2 6 2 3 2 8 1 30 18 93 42 6 4 20 11 19 12 45 23 17 8 40 23 11 5 33 8 29 14 51 37 202 96 17 13 93 52 35 20 11 9 8 3 38 18 32 22 52 27 210 104 104 60

Fall 09 to Fall 10 EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 2 8% 2 20% 2 2% -1 -2% 2 14% 0 0% 2 8% 0 0% 2 67% 1 100% 2 11% 4 57% 3 43% 1 20% 3 100% 2 100% 3 100% 1 100% 3 100% 2 100% 3 60% 0 0% 4 15% 3 20% 4 4% 5 14% 4 200% 4 100% 4 25% 2 22% 4 27% 5 71% 4 10% 3 15% 4 31% 3 60% 4 11% 1 5% 5 83% 3 150% 5 18% -2 -20% 5 21% 0 0% 5 11% 5 16% 5 3% 4 4% 6 55% 4 44% 6 7% 6 13% 7 25% 4 25% 8 267% 6 200% 8 100% 3 100% 9 31% 4 29% 11 52% 11 100% 12 30% 0 0% 13 7% 3 3% 14 16% 16 36%

58

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentforSubdivisionsSortedbyGainandLoss,LakeTravisISD

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

Name Canyons at Cardinal Hills Paleface Ranch Lake Pointe - The Estates Falconhead - The Champions West Cypress Hills Ridge at Alta Vista Existing Existing Existing Developing 1995 1997 2009 545 432 72 277 203 37 589 482 140 304 227 73 1988 1,058 437 1,096 451 38 44 50 68 4% 8% 12% 94%

Phase Avg. Yr. Blt. Developing 1999 Developing 2003 Existing 1999 Developing 2006 Developing 2007 Developing 2007

Fall 2009 EE-12th EE-5th 64 38 0 0 373 215 169 81 58 30 241 125

Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th 81 39 21 8 394 219 193 103 82 39 267 134

Fall 09 to Fall 10 EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 17 27% 1 3% 21 100% 8 100% 21 6% 4 2% 24 14% 22 27% 24 41% 9 30% 26 11% 9 7% 14 27 24 36 3% 10% 12% 97%

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

PU 6C 2A 5A 8A 3A 5B 7A/7B/7C 7G/9A/9B 9C/9D/9E 11D 8B 8C

Lakeway

Apache Shores Hills of Lakeway Falconhead - West

Total

5,710

2,723

6,121

2,926

411

7%

203

3%

59

Lake Tr av is I.S. D.
S t u d e n t Tr e n d s b y D e v e l o p m e n t E E - 1 2 t h G r a d e A b s o l u t e a n d P e r c en t C h a n g e f o r A p a rt m e n t s , F a l l ' 0 9 t o S p r i n g ' 11
7C 6C

7A

Mu rfin Rd .

6B 6A

[
Map Layers
District Boundary Planning Units Streets

7F 8B

RM

6 20

Apartments

Absolute Change
6D

-4 6
5B

8G

11

8E

Falconhead -4, -0.05%


RM 6 20

8A 8C

5A
SH 71

8F

Alexan Galleria 11, 0.42%


3D
SH 71

5C
FM 2244

Hamilton Pool Ro a d

Windsor at Bee Cave 6, 0.14%


4 3J

3H 3G

3F

0.25

0.5

1 Miles

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

60

Lake Tr av is I.S. D.
S t u d e n t Tr e n d s b y D e v e l o p m e n t E E - 1 2 t h G r a d e A b s o l u t e a n d P e r c en t C h a n g e f o r S u b d i v i s i o n s , F a l l ' 0 9 t o S p r i n g ' 11

Las Entradas on Lake Travis 0, 0% Old Ferry 0, 0% Whitecliff 1, 1% Marina Club Villas -1, -0.2%

See Next Page

H
ilin

12B

1A
Lakewood Estates 4, 0.31% Reserve at Lake Travis 1, 1% Thurman Bend Estates 4, 2% Edgewater Beach 3, 0.6% Coves at Lake Travis -1, -0.11%

10C

d. eR

o Huds

Be

nd

Th ur ma n

F Ol d
Paleface Ranch 21, 1% Perdenales Canyon -2, -0.5% Lick Creek Ranch 0, 0%

end Rd. nB

er ry

2A

Bee Creek Ranchettes 1, 0.17% Hazy Hill Ranchettes -4, -0.36% Tiburon Hills 2, 0.67% Vista Estates 1, 0.2% West Cypress Hills 24, 0.41%

9E

Vistas @ Lake Travis Big Bee Creek -1, -0.03% -3, -0.33% Crosswind 4, 0.27%

9B
L a ke w
ay

3A

9A 2C

ds B l Highla n

d.

Sadik 0, 0%

Travis Settlement -8, -0.07% Bee Creek Estates 5, 0.83%

La

ke

wa

2B

D 9C . y B l vd

7G o L u ck e 7C 7B D r Lak e wa B l vd. 7A
Clu bh

us e

9D

Hur st Creek

Windy Walk Estates 3, 1%

Rd.

r.

ad Ro
Be e
Cr

Briarcliff 13, 0.07%

Rd.

12A
Commanders Point 1, 1%

ee k

Angel Bay 1, 1%

R M 620

1B

La Isla at Angel Bay 0, 0%

oad

11C 9F
k Oa

10B

Siesta Shores -3, -0.14%

7D
d. ossi n g R

Gr o ve 11E 10A Bl v 11A d. 11D Ste Running D war t Rd eer . Trl . 7E Koll 11B m ey er r. Dr. D

8B 2D

Lohm

Cr ans

6C
M
0 62

ak

6B
Mu rfin Rd .

7F 6A

3B 2E 8E 8D 8C 3C
Ranches at Hamilton Pool 3, 1% Hamilton Hills -1, -0.5% Belvedere 11, 0.52% Madrone Ranch -2, -0.25%

8G

6D

5B
RM

0 62

8A 8F

5A 5C
SH 71
FM 2 244

SH 71

3D
Bee Cave West -4, -0.4%

4
Destiny Hills 1, 0.09%

3J

Meadowfox Estates -2, -0.13% The Homestead -7, -0.08%

3H

Preserve at Barton Creek 2, 0.08%

Hamilton Pool R o a d

3G

Spanish Oaks 1, 0.01%

Map Layers
District Boundary Planning Units Streets

Saddletree Ranch -3, -0.05%

Hill Top Manor 0, 0%

Subdivisions

Twin Lake Hills 3E -2, -0.05% West Cave Estates Valley Lake Hills -1, -0.01% 9, 0.31% Mountain Creek Lakes -1, -0.07% Highland Creek Lakes 1, 0.1%

Barton Creek Preserve 0, 0%

C ru mley

3F

R an

ch Road

Absolute Change
-11 - -5 -4 - 0 1-5 6 - 14 15 - 26 27 - 68

[
0 0.5 1 2 3 4 Miles
61

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Lake Tr av is I.S. D.
S t u d e n t Tr e n d s b y D e v e l o p m e n t E E - 1 2 t h G r a d e A b s o l u t e a n d P e r c en t C h a n g e f o r S u b d i v i s i o n s , F a l l ' 0 9 t o S p r i n g ' 11
0 0.5 1 2 Miles
Map Layers
Woods of Lake Travis -2, -0.05% Hudson Bend Colony -3, -0.09%

12B

[
Thurman Bend Estates 4, 2% Reserve at Lake Travis 1, 1% Edgewater Beach 3, 0.6%

District Boundary Planning Units Streets

Reserve at Hudson Bend 4, 0.11%

Travis Landing 2 14, 0.16%

Subdivisions

10C

La Hacienda RV PArk 6, 1%

Absolute Change
-11 - -5 -4 - 0 1-5 6 - 14 15 - 26 27 - 68
La Isla at Angel Bay 0, 0% Annie Stewart Addition 1, 0.05% Brooks Hollow -5, -0.24% Vineyard Bay -2, -0.06% Costa Bella 7, 0.25% La Hacienda Estates 4, 0.1%

Travis Landing -8, -0.16%

12A
Vista Grande Amend -1, -0.5% Lakwind Estates -6, -0.19% Beby's Ranch 0, 0% Commanders Point 1, 1%

1B

Coves at Lake Travis -1, -0.11% Angel Bay 1, 1%

Vista Grande -1, -0.07% Highland Club Village -2, -0.29%

10B

62

Cardinal Hills Estates 2 3, 0.43%

11C
Maravilla 5, 0.18% Windmill Bluff Estates 0, 0%

Windmill Bluff Estates -2, -0.11%

9F

Marina Village 1, 1%

Cove at Lakeway 1, 0.14% Buffalo Gap 1, 1% 11A Bella Strada Lochan Ora Addition 0, 0% Cedar Glen -1, -1% 10A 9E -7, -0.54% Mountain Acres Casa Verde Arbolago -2, -0.5% Cardinal Hills Estates 9, 1.5% 4, 0.25% -3, -0.16% Lakeway North Lakeway Village 14, 0.04% 8, 2.67%

11E

11D
Apache Shores 44, 0.08%

r.

7D 9D
Lohmans Crossing Estates 5, 0.03%

The Enclave 6, 0.55% Water's Edge 3, 1% East Rim -1, -0.25%

Flami n

Hig h

0, 0%Lake Chandon Stoney Creek2, 1% 2, 0.5% Villas at the HillsRetama World of Tennis Condos -1, -0.33% 4, 0.33% 2C 2, 0.07% Masters at the Hills The Bluffs 1, 0.5% 2, 1% Greens Condos ds Blv d . 0, 0% lan Hills of Lakeway 50, 0.12%

Lakeway 16, 0.04%

. lvd Santorini Villas go B 0, 0% 9C Lakeway Patio Homes

La ke

9A

wa

9B

yD

North Lakeway Village 2, 2%

11B

Lakeway 8, 0.11%

The Enclave @ Kollmeyer Sprgs 2, 0.29% Pinnacle at North Lakeway 5, 5% Lake Oak Estates 12, 0.3% 7E

7G
Lakeway 1, 0.01%

7B lv Lake wa y B
Lakeway -3, -0.04%

Bella Montagna Estates 2, 0.13% Lakeway 6C 2, 0.02% Canyons at Cardinal Hills 7C 17, 0.27%

Kollm eyer Dr .

d.
Courtyard at the Preserve Mu 2, 0.04% rfin at the Preserve Rd. 7FTerrace7, 1.17% Canyonlands at Cardinal Hills -3, -0.06%

6B

7A

Glen Heather Travis Oak Trails 2, 0.11% -3, -0.75% Vistas at Lakeway 1, 0.33% Yaupon Creek -2, -0.67% Laws Addition 2, 0.14% Ridge at Alta Vista

6A

2D

8B 2E

Enclave Majestic Hills Ranchettes 8, 1% -2, -0.08% Lake Country Estates -2, -0.33% Flint Rock Estates 0, 0% Creekside 0, 0%

Villas at Flintrock 8G 0, 0% Flintrock at Hurst Creek 4, 0.04%

6D

26, 0.11%

5B

8E

Enclave South Cherry Mountain Enclave North 7, 0.44% -2, -0.22% 3, 0.38%

8D
Falconhead - West 68, 0.94%

8C
SH 71

Falconhead - St. Andrews 8A 5, 0.21% Falconhead - The Links 2, 0.08% Falconhead - The Legends Falconhead - The Champions RM 0, 0% 24, 0.14% Falconhead - The Heights 4, 0.15%

Lake Pointe - Vista Pointe -5, -0.04%

8F
Bee Cave West -4, -0.4%

5C

3D

Lake Pointe - Canyon Vista 5, 0.11% Lake Pointe - The Preserve 2, 0.02% Lake Pointe - The Setting 6, 0.07% Lake Pointe - The Landing 1, 0.02% Lake Pointe - The Estates 21, 0.06%

5A

620

n Pool R o ad H amilto
Destiny Hills 1, 0.09%

SH 71

3G

3H
Spanish Oaks 1, 0.01%

44 FM 2 2

3J

Meadowfox Estates -2, -0.13% The Homestead -7, -0.08%

Preserve at Barton Creek 2, 0.08%

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

62

Lake Tr avi s I.S .D. Deve l op m en t O ver v i ew


Northeast
Legend
District Boundary Planning Units Planned Thoroughfares Owner Changes '10-'11 Streets

0.25

0.5

1 Miles

Multi-Family
Existing Multi-family Developing Multi-Family Renovations Likely Multi-family Townhomes Existing Townhomes Developing Townhomes Future
WEST BEACH LIMITED PARTNERSHIP 43.93 LOWER COLORADO RIVER AUTHORITY 102.09

LCRA ~96.65

WEBB EVELYN & MARGARET WEBB WI ~78.44 SIKES CAROLE MCINTOSH TRUST 50.85

Emerald Point
Y
C

BOHL RICHARD 15.2 LAKE TRAVIS LODGES MARINA ASSO 25.15


DR

THE WO OF

DR

EA CH

IFF LN

School, Existing School, Planned School, Future

LAG

Developing Existing Mobile Home Comm. Planned Likely SF

ME DI

Single Family

LTISD Facilities

CL

RO C

Park Landmark MPC, Existing


OU
THR

S DOS

A W

LN

La Hacienda RV Park
HU D
N SO

A LT

RI T

10C

RD

AL LE NW

R D

PO OL

TE L NH AK O EV LO IEW NG E DR HO RN LA N D IN G

Other Land Uses

CA NY ON

LA

'11 WC PARADISE COVE MARINA LP R O C 10.58 K Y R ID G

RI DG E

RD

KY

BEACON LAND COMPANY LLC 17.05 DR ORE TRAVIS LANDING PROPERTY OWNERS INC SH S 83 OD D R U
KE SI DE

RD

TR L

Woods A UN of Lake '10 PARADISE COVE MARINA & YACHT C Travis '11 '10 PARADISE COVE MARINA & YACHT C Reserve at Hudson Bend ~257.4
HE R

WE ST

T R AIL

AN

RD

500 year

WEST BEACH MARINA LTD 11.6


T FEA

Hudson Bend Colony

HO

12B

100 year

PK

IN S

Flood Plain

O WEST BEACH MARINA LTD LOWER COLORADO RIVER AUTHORITY ~47.44 20.9

RE

ST

W
V

D R

AC O

BE

WA R PR IKA DR YO R LN SIO U XL N CR EE LN K MOUN MC C O RMIC

KIDD LN

Lakewood Estates

RESERVE AT LAKE TRAVIS LLC THE 31.23

La Hacienda Estates
SOONER ST

KA

Thurman Bend Estates


FF DR '10 SCHILFFARTH RICHARD A JR & '11 KIPP JAMES M & CYNTHIA S 11.39
KNIGH

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ANG EL

COVES ON LAKE TRAVIS HOMEOWNER 17.65 Lago Vista ETJ


Y

LEHMANN PROPERTIES 10.25


WACO ST

Lakewind Estates

ARITA AG

DR Coves

at A N D C Travis Lake
RD

RM 620

Villas on Lake Travis Enclave Hudson Bend DAM CT ELD


MANSFI
NT ST

AG

Commanders Point RD
A
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~34.88

Cashion
R D T D
SC OT TD R

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MCADAM BROOKS W LIVING TRUST FORD CREED L & LYNN 10.97 18.56

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OKLAHO MA S T

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62

ANSFIE M LD

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N BEND

NG F LYI

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Reserve at Lake Travis


LCRA ~259.03 TRAVIS COUNTY WCID #17 57.2

CI

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CH

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RESERVE AT LAKE TRAVIS LLC THE 12.14 Y


B LV D

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LN

Edgewater R Beach

D AN

LOO K

9F
CI R

COYOTE CT

LAZY J LAKE TRAVIS LTD 12.72 WATERFORD LT PARTNERS LP 114.92

Hurs HURST HO tC LW r e ek Rd.

RE E

BEL

PA LC H

DR

LA

FO

BROOKS HOLLOW

RD

TAINE

FO

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B IT

Stewart H AdditionST U R

LA

HANSON BETTY ANN STEWART & 27.08 CHIP


RST R

CT

FALCON OF LAKE TRAVIS INC ~11.85


AD RI V

V VineyardABay

CH AT EAU

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LA FAMILIA PARTNERSHIP LTD 19.17

BECKER GARY TRUSTEE OF THE 11.73

FABBIO ROBERT A LIFE ESTATE 16.65

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WA

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LA

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Cardinal Hills O PC Estates 2 HOLDINGS GROUP LLC IC 16.6 Canyons S C EN at Lake Travis
CANYO

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La Isla at Angel Bay LA

ID

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EXPLO R

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Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

9A

LAKEWAY WATER PROPERTIES LTD 25.21

SA

Lakeway

E AK

Lakeway

Hurst Creek Greenbelt

CT Crossing

SH A

F IL

IS

Y A

DR

PE OP

CO

Estates

E RL

AL

Lohmans
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C IR

FO Y

RP S

Lakeside Pinnacle at Greenbelt at North KO 6CLLM North North Lakeway Village Lakeway EY ER Lakeway Lakeway Lake Travis Elementary 7G DR
T RS HU

DR

I AC

M Marina Village

NA

9B

C HAL

TSJC CORP 28.44

7D
LA DI N

SS ING IRO N PA RD D THUNDE HEA R

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11B

CH

RL

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9D

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Lakeway
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7E

COLT D

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CO E AG

BE A

BA R

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Park

IN O A RB O RO UNSan Casciano Arbolago D M at North CE Round Mountain Ranch CL D A Lakeway SEND E Hamilton
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ST

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UP

HARVEY CT

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"Lake Travis Ranch"

Lakewa y ET J Lake way

EW

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Bella Strada
TECK CIR

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10A

11A

SC O TT L N

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LN

LCRA ~122.56

EN

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Siesta BAY C IR Shores

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Brooks Hollow

Buffalo Gap
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B Costa Bella A

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RL Maravilla

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IN

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d.

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~25.41

end Rd. dson B Hu

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IN TA

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HUTH JOHN MICHAEL 18.17


M C IN

~131.98

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Beby's Ranch
RD

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63

Lake Tr avi s I.S .D. Deve l op m en t O ver v i ew


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LLEN G ER CHA

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1 Miles

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TR L

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DARW Vistas at Lakeway IN

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Cherry Hill Farms


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AQUA LAND LAKEWAY MEDICAL DEVELOPMENT LLC 51.7 Discovery Point KNOP TODD J & LAURA S ~18.8
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ROBERT B III & DOROTHY ~18.8

RD

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Bee Cave Elementary


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REESE COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES LTD 19.18

16.8

Creeks Edge

3J

HAMILTON POOL RD City

of Austin

N WOOLLEY S ADAM & JUDY I TO 31.02 Spring Creek Estates AMIL H

3G

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71

MA RK

SH 71

3H

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RD 44 F M 22

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LAKE TRAVIS ISD 136.06

BA

Ladera Ranch
WY PK

FAIR

Sweetwater Ranch (in Austin ETJ)

Future HS

MCDANIEL JOE W & ALMA R CAMPA INVESTMENTS L L C 1 10.04 GRUMBLES ARTIE ET AL CITY OF AUSTIN GRUMBLES AUBREY ELDON ~96.37 BORGELT LTD & ROGER & 23.27 AV 78.04 IS 18.95 Grumbles Parcel PA

TARGET CORPORATION WY 47.3 PK SOVEREIGN BANK VE CA 80.32 EE


ILL D R N H OW

CH

3D

- The Champions

AM

SH 71

W STATE HWY 71

GA

ANCH LO L L M AN R O P Falconhead

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NG A LE HT I
L BE LA

C IR

LN

LAKEWAY M U D

I AC

11B

CITY OF AUSTIN KO ~29.8 LLM


EY ER
D
R

MO

Legend
CITY OF AUSTIN ~334.8

NB

LN FL AM Canyons at IN GO CardinalOF AUSTIN DR CITY

District Boundary Planning Units Planned Thoroughfares Owner Changes '10-'11

Kollme

IR D

Hills

11.8

DR

LN

PLACE LLP 10

6B

ew Lak a
CO L
DW E AT

Lakeway

CITY OF AUSTIN 12.9 CITY OF AUSTIN ~350.35

R HE

Streets TRAVIS COUNTY LAKEWAY


~191.86

LAKEWAY ETJ
Travis Flood Plain County

GR EE

DR

Courtyard at the Preserve

RI ED R JO SE PH DR DO RO TH Y DR

BA R

Mu rfin

100 year

LANGLE JEFFREY G ~13.02

CULVER JOSEPH H CAPITOL ROD & GUN CLUB 28 20 HORTON WILMOT ROBERDEAU & 27

C HAL

RD

TSJC CORP 28.44

AR

RA

SEND E

RD D X THUNDE HEA R FO D RE

RD

Round Mountain Ranch


O

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Lakeway
RO C
EX

DE

W ASH

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2A

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AC

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North Lakeway Village RO


N

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M
N CLAR A VA DR MO CO KE LA N D R AI NT LN U ST HUR

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AG

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E

HURST CR

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BE

Park

7E Arbolago

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LA

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AT NT ER E RS PA DR SS

SA

HO

KAT HY L N

CAPITOL ROD & GUN CLUB ~51.77

IL LY

RD

AP

Mountain Acres S te wa rt R d.

ST EW AR T

DR

Bee Creek Ranchettes

COVERT ROX B & DUKE M & 117.77


IREB

CV

9E

SP

G RIN

UP

O LC

~12.51

C IR

11A
TRL

Cardinal Hills Estates


RUNNIN G

CRA Z

'10 ONEILL HELEN '11 O'NEILL HELEN LIFE ESTATE 16.78


IR

E WA

RA

Cedar Glen

OA K

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ST

ST RO

HARVEY CT

DR

IN D

COVERT DUKE M & ROX COVERT & D 157.98

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TECK CIR

IA N

ov eB

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OR

Siesta Shores

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9F

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LLA
MA CI

RADOJEVICH MILOS & MADEZDA ~39.4


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Brooks Hollow

AB B

Annie HU T RS RU Stewart D IR Addition


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ULL

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P O
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10A

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10B

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Apache Shores

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lvd .

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C i t y o f B e e Ca v e
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0.25

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1 Miles

[
6D RANCH LTD 40.75

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HE R

TON K

ASS

T DR OU

HELLER ANDREW R & MARY ANN 10.18


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Enclave North
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Flint Rock Estates Flintrock at Hurst ENE HI LS D Creek L ER


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8G

A JO NAV

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TRADD ALEXANDER S II & SUSAN E ~19.7

Alta Vista/Reserve
RM 6

CITY OF AUSTIN 812.67


PA

Lake Travis High

20

SLC AUSTIN PARTNERS LP 38.38

S POIN DE SA LI

TE L N

Heritage Park

5B
Cottages at Spillman Ranch Falconhead - St. Andrews
S

6D RANCH LTD 260.69

6D RANCH LTD 77.84

W O SN O D IA N

HA

RU FALCONHEAD WEST LP TAU 122.89 FALCONHEAD WEST LP O Z 20.63 A

SW

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Creeks Edge

KE NO

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COUNTRY STORE GALLERY INC ~11.92 SBS REAL ESTATE LLC CLARK BARRY LYNN 49.86 12.81

CCNG REAL ESTATE INVESTORS II LP CCNG REAL ESTATE INVESTORS II LP 27.22 30.8 CCNG REAL ESTATE INVESTORS II LP 18.72

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71

KE

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ET RD

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Bee Cave West


IR AC EV CU

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TEHAMA C T

BALDWIN ROBERT B III & DOROTHY ~18.8

CDDR

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H IL LC O
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Galleria Park
O

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N SA

LAKE TRAVIS ISD 136.06

E DG RI

LN

3D

GRUMBLES ARTIE ET AL ~96.37

CITY OF AUSTIN 23.27

5C

LCRA 12.27

BAY

C Pointe DR WEST TRAVIS COUNTY MUD NO 5 EO AT 22.84 The Estates TN M


AD ELAN

RL

MCDANIEL JOE W & ALMA R 1 CAMPA INVESTMENTS L L C 10.04

BR

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SOVEREIGN BANK 80.32


HILL DR

DD

8F

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Sweetwater Ranch (in Austin ETJ)

TARGET CORPORATION 47.3


MO N TO UL

K EP AV EC BE

WY

T IN O

LN

Preserve Lake LAKE S TONE DR Pointe The Landing


DR

VA DA - The DR

PI O

Lake Pointe Canyon Vista


6D RANCH LTD 49.75

PEM-JTOC LLC 17.57 VILLAGE OF BEE CAVE 50 WY DEJORIA JOHN PAUL FAMILY TRUST THE PK CCNG REAL ESTATE INVESTORS II LP E V 17.57 15.36 SKAGGS TIM & BRENDA 37.5

Ladera Ranch

ave Bee C ay Parkw

SB AD

Village Central Park

Lake
E

EME RA SO LD NO FA MA LL CV SD CA Lake Pointe R SC AD - TheFSetting E AL LS

FA IR W

POI

FALCONHEAD WEST LP 11.79

DR

CH LOO RAN P

WEST TRAVIS COUNTY MUD NO 5 93.19

NE

NT

C HCH LAND PARTNERS LTD H LO 13.32


BE

HD DEVELOPMENT PROPERTIES LP 39.14

ST A

RE SA

WA Y

INTERNATIONAL RAM ASSOCIATES 23

Falconhead - The Heights

5A

S EA E A G L

ER AZ RG

CV

Lake Pointe

CA BL VD
VIE W

Falconhead - The Champions

BLV D FALC ON H EAD

62

City of Austin
D

0 620 R

Falconhead - The Legends


V ON C ALC RF

MARGOLIS KENNETH C TRUSTEE 35.73

CITY OF AUSTIN 390.72

AS PLELake

T AN

PANORAMA VW

WEST TRAVIS COUNTY MUD NO 5 ~35.15

F
M

DR

Y WA

RS

GY

CT

RA

PAS S

SE

GILLIANS

HI

Meadowfox Estates
CITY OF AUSTIN ~296.93 CITY OF AUSTIN 167.03

RI DE

GH

NE

WA

LO

CA

LK

O NY

PE C

AN

Spanish Oaks
E

ENDA R CI

CI R

~28.02
D ENHA I R L
N

TE XA

CITY OF AUSTIN ~151.07

The Homestead

'10 SPANISH OAKS LP '11 COMERICA BANK 9.24

SPANISH OAKS LP 31.08

'10 126 BEE CAVE INVESTMENTS L P '11 CASSANDRA INTERESTS LTD 10.55

'10 SPANISH OAKS LP '11 COMERICA BANK 23.36

Preserve at Barton Creek


G
DE
ER

W I L DL IF

City of Austin

CITY OF AUSTIN 18.81

E TRL

LA BA R

ON EDO

U IT A

OVERLA ND

BR

S C LUB BLVD

MA I

PASS

CITY OF AUSTIN ~305.01


BYRDS

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NE S

CH

YL ER R

U H

3G
DR
S

CIR OP DT UN RO

EL T E R AU R

LIMESTONE COOPER PROP LP ETAL 63.77

A AL M

LY

LIMESTONE SPRINGS PROPERTIES L 47.83

CV

D SA

CK BA LE

S PA

EMO

ON
UF BL

R IM
CA LA BR IA

A US

'10 SPANISH OAKS LP '11 COMERICA BANK 9.43

MU SK E

MOCKFORD PHIL ET AL ~116.5

RY O A

K LN

IR
N

TR IM

EL

3F

'10 WONG MITCHELL '11 ~202.1

KR

MOCKFORD PHIL ET AL 26.29 '10 SPANISH OAKS LP


'10 WONG MITCHELL '11 MRW GRIT LTD 203.07 '11 COMERICA BANK 9.1

'10 WONG MITCHEL & ROSE T '11 MRW GRIT LTD 17

MOCKFORD PHIL ET AL DALE MOCKFORD 11.95 University of Texas UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS '10 WONG MITCHEL '11 MRW GRIT LTD ~12.57
255.3

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

H A

C RO

I SW

Pointe - Vista Pointe V E

LM SPIL

N LCO BAT FA

KI
ES

SS AL CT PS

MYRTL E

AN
A R

MI

DR

H DR AC

DR

P O
OL D
S

WN RO

LE NW OO D

LN

CT

A M R

ND

H NT SA
BAY TO

L IL

CT

SONOMA Lake DR

Pointe Elementary
D 4R

2 FM 2244

D 4R 24

FM 2244

6D RANCH LTD 9.63

Legend
District Boundary Planning Units Planned Thoroughfares

PA A D

O RC O
DR

DR

RE

T TO C
RE IM

RY BL VD

2244 RD FM

F M 2244 R D

CA SA

D BLV

4 F M 22

LAKE HILLS CHURCH 16.47

SC T

BEE CAVE H S GALLERIA I LP & OP 40.68 SP


KWY

22 LOWER COLORADO RIVER AUTHORITY M F 11.16

44

RD

N DR

UPLANDS RIDGE DR

N EN B

n rto Creek Ba

Owner Changes '10-'11 Streets BEE CAVE

YD HA

D F M 2244 R

SPC BEE CAVE PARTNERS LTD 24.34


CO LL EY V

E RC RT

The Uplands
AS TO

RI A

DR

NATURE CONSERVANCY THE ~186.13

BEE CAVE ETJ

SPANISH OAKS LP 28.29


SPANIS H
OAKS CLU

BEE CAVE GALLERIA I LP & 14.07

Flood Plain
4
Nature Conservancy of Texas

Windsor at Bee Cave


B DR

IL

LE

DR

100 year 500 year

G ID

'10 126 BEE CAVE INVESTMENTS L P WONG '11 CASSANDRA INTERESTS LTD 20.98 '10 126 BEE CAVE INVESTMENTS L P '11 CASSANDRA INTERESTS LTD 9.64 '10 126 BEE CAVE INVESTMENTS L P ~20.1 '11 CASSANDRA INTERESTS LTD 83.39

MITCHEL & ROSE T 10.47

Single Family
Developing Existing Mobile Home Comm. Planned Likely SF

L TR

NATURE CONSERVANCY THE 41.41


TO

3J
IN RB CA
STAGE STO P C

3H

IVID T D EA GR

LIMESTONE SPRINGS PROPERTIES L 51.35


ILLA F L AT RT

E DR

SPAN

A R Z

Verde Trails
LA ZO
N B

Multi-Family
Existing Multi-family Developing Multi-Family Renovations Likely Multi-family

IN

IS H

IR

AK

TR

T OT
HO EN ME

R PA AI SO

SPEARFISH C ANYON

Townhomes Existing Townhomes Developing Townhomes Future

LIMESTONE CREEK PROPERTIES L P 65.42

M US KE

PK
W Y

OV ER LO OK

W
M

AR

PASS

BL ER

CT
R RO

LTISD Facilities
YO C

SPANISH OAKS LP 56.5

F PL
DU AD X C

LE

School, Existing
O N DR

DG

School, Planned School, Future

Barton Creek Preserve

LIMESTONE SPRINGS PROPERTIES L OWEN SPIKE DEE & GAIL 40 26.3

Y AN

Other Land Uses


Park Landmark MPC, Existing

66

Lake Tr avi s I.S .D. Deve l op m en t O ver v i ew


Southeast
Sweetwater Ranch Sweetwater Ranch (in Austin ETJ) Future HS Grumbles Parcel
Bee Cave West TRAVIS COUNTY TRUSTEE AV AY I S PA W 18.65 WOOLLEY S ADAM & JUDY I Bee Cave Elementary 31.02
CU EVA DR

0.25

0.5

1 Miles

[
BE

8F
SH 7 1

RK E

GA

TS T

Village Central Park

LLE R IA

MA

C IR

RA

CREEKS EDGE LTD 58.77 HATCHETT JOHN & SANDRA ~425.53 JPH CAPITAL LTD ETAL ~483.99
INY ST DE CV

AL

SW

Belvedere

Destiny Hills
DES TINY

3D

GILLIAN

DR

HA

AN D

'10 SIERRA ASSOCIATES GROUP INC '11 BERDOLL PHIL & LINDA 12.56

PEPPER CLIFTON G 12.52 VOUDOURIS MARION 16.73

City of Austin
C

CI R

~28.02
AN SP IS H O

3H
SPANISH OAKS LP 31.08
LA BA RZ
LAB O

ET

A P RI OU

VE

PAS S

Bee

Hamilto n Poo
Y CR E
PEA

l Road

RIDER CHARLES R III 19.21

Cave

Aust in
in st Au

ETJ
D SA D

RO

UN

ETJ

CK BA LE

UH

HANSON KATHLEEN M & RICHARD R 26.42

CV

CITY OF AUSTIN ~305.01

3G

C OP DT

IR

LIMESTONE COOPER PROP LP ETAL QU I A AL 63.77 M

LY

TA

The Homestead

KS

'10 SPANISH OAKS LP '11 COMERICA BANK CLUB BLV 9.24 D

Verde Trails
D N

LIMESTONE SPRINGS PROPERTIES L 47.83

SH RU

LN

'11 COMERICA BANK 9.43 '10 WONG MITCHELL '11 ~202.1


A USE

PA S

CI R

MUSKET

AK IR MOCKFORD PHIL ET AL LN O ~116.5 '10 SPANISH OAKS LP

T R IM
MUSKET CV

PK W Y

RIM

E MO

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LIMESTONE CREEK PROPERTIES L P 65.42

SPEARFISH CANYO N

~19.53

O RL OV E

OK

OY

KR

AYRES ROBERT ATLEE & PATRICIA SHIELD AYRES ~140.49 AYRES PATRICIA SHIELD & 40

MOCKFORD PHIL ET AL 26.29 '10 WONG MITCHELL


'11 MRW GRIT LTD 203.07

Barton Creek Preserve SPANISH OAKS LP


56.5 OWEN SPIKE DEE & GAIL 26.3

TE XA

av e

CITY OF AUSTIN ~151.07

Spanish Oaks

'10 SPANISH OAKS LP '11 COMERICA BANK 23.36

PA

CITY OF AUSTIN 18.81


G Z A R IN

RL

Preserve at Barton
EE Creek R TR L

C
AN

'10 LEGACY TEXAS BANK '11 RC TRAVIS LP 10

anch

'10 LEGACY TEXAS BANK '11 RC TRAVIS LP 260.39 '10 LEGACY TEXAS BANK '11 RC TRAVIS LP 10

R o ad

'10 WONG MITCHEL & ROSE T '11 MRW GRIT LTD 17

UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS ~31.89

ley R

Rocky Creek Ranch


'10 LEGACY TEXAS BANK '11 RC TRAVIS LP 11.8

MOCKFORD PHIL ET AL 42.21

FORMBY WILLIAM L & KATRINE S 89.01

University of Texas

Crum

LOWENTHAL EUGENE & LINDA ~56.28 KRAFT AUGUST C & DORIS E 21.5 POUTTU MAURI E KRAFT AUGUST C & DORIS E 40 ~35.42 SPECK ELIZABETH RICE B & VAN ACKEREN TIMOTHY L & TERRI S ~96.28 17.93
CRUML E Y

'10 WONG MITCHELL '11 MRW GRIT LTD 17

UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS ~147.84


'10 WONG MITCHEL '11 MRW GRIT LTD 255.3

NATURE CONSERVANCY THE ~415.22

3F

AYRES ROBERT ATLEE & PATRICIA SHIELD AYRES ~6498.98

'10 WONG MITCHEL '11 MRW GRIT LTD 75.03

3E
"Puryear" Parcel

RA N

CH RD

Bart o n Cr eek

CRUMLEY MARVIN E 41.23 GRUMBLES CAROLYN 32.97 CRUMLEY MARVIN E 9.76

Legend
District Boundary
BOLTON RONALD H 15 BURNS WILLIAM & LAURA & 14.98 GALBRAITH ARTIE LUELLA CRUMLEY 66.26 SMITH GEOFF 10.01 ~10.66 WAHLBERG CHRISTOPHER S 75.72 AYRES PATRICIA SHIELD 22.5 STINSON JOHN H ~196.17

W I DLIFE TRL L

IL LS

PO ON MILT

CITY OF AUSTIN 167.03

3J

ENDA CI HA

DYE THOMAS J III LIFE ESTATE D R 10 OL

CITY OF AUSTIN ~296.93

Meadowfox Estates

L O NE R IDE R

PEC

AN

TR

Windsor at Bee Cave


D RI

'10 126 BEE CAVE INVESTMENTS L P '11 CASSANDRA INTERESTS LTD 83.39

NATURE CONSERVANCY THE 41.41


FL AT LA

SS

Barto n

RUSSELL GROVER M JR & SUE A 13.4

MEISSNER LIVING TRUST 36.69 KRATZER FAMILY TRUST 17.5

Spring Creek Estates

SPANISH OAKS LP 28.29


SE
K

TE

LL EY

KE NO

Creeks Edge

SBS REAL ESTATE LLC 49.86

CT

HEFFINGTON HENRY R 196.32

COUNTRY STORE GALLERY INC ~11.92

CCNG REAL ESTATE INVESTORS II LP 27.22 BEE CAVESGALLERIA I LP & HO PS CCNG REAL ESTATE INVESTORS II LP 40.68PK WY 18.72

R SO NOMA D Lake Pointe 4 RD Elementary Alexan Galleria Lake F M 2244 RD 5A F M 224 JU Galleria Park N Pointe - Bee Cave City Limit R D 5C The Estates GE UPL RI D

The Uplands
AS TO RI

SPC BEE CAVE PARTNERS LTD W ST 24.34 A CO


Y
VI

NATURE CONSERVANCY THE ~186.13

STONE KEYES HOLDINGS LLC 10.22

'10 126 BEE CAVE INVESTMENTS L P '11 CASSANDRA INTERESTS LTD 20.98

WONG MITCHEL & ROSE T 10.47

71

LL

E DR

4
Nature Conservancy of Texas

k ee Cr

Y O N DR

Be

LOWER COLORADO RIVER AUTHORITY 11.16


E RC

A N DS

ve Ca

J ET

TWIN ACRES
IN RB CA
STAGE STO P C IR

VE CA

IPE

PK

RT

R TO

TI L

GR
IVIDE DR TD EA

SS

I RA PA

RO C

US K M

SO

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

B EK LVD

N
UF BL

AR

ET J

F PL

Planning Units Planned Thoroughfares Owner Changes '10-'11 Streets

Flood Plain
100 year 500 year

Multi-Family
Existing Multi-family Developing Multi-Family Renovations Likely Multi-family Townhomes Existing Townhomes Developing Townhomes Future

Tr av

is

Co un ty

Single Family
Developing Existing Mobile Home Comm.
Ha ys Co un t

LTISD Facilities
School, Existing School, Planned School, Future

Planned
y
FLEMING KEVIN A 11.59 '10 MARTINEZ ALFONSO G
'11 WORLEY GINNEY S 55.74

Other Land Uses


Park Landmark MPC, Existing

Likely SF

67

Lake Tr avi s I.S .D. Deve l op m en t O ver v i ew


Southwest
GR A ND S UMM IT

0.25

0.5

1 Miles

[
Sweetwater Ranch MCCALLA DUDLEY D
37.67

ers R

'10 HOOGLAND KEVIN J '11 AMINI RON 10

'10 JOSHUA HOLDINGS LP VD '11 STANASZEK THEODORE F & VALERIE A BL 15.35

ck

Stagecoach Ranch

PELZ DAVID TODD & JOANN 24.23 COLDWATER DEVELOPMENT LTD GULLAPALLI KIRAN KUMAR & NEELIMA 15.05 17.46 ELLSWORTH CRAIG M KHOLLMAN MAURICE S & MARGO A 15.31 15.23 FILIPOVICH SILVIO S & LAURA C 15.42

d.
MOORE ROBIN M 22.21 PRESERVATION RANCH LIMITED PAR ~445.04 HARRIS JAN M ETAL 389.03

Pe

im Re o ac

"Holland Trust"

Sweetwater Ranch (in Austin ETJ)

LAKE TRAVIS ISD 136.06

Future HS

Grumbles Parcel

Ranches at Hamilton Pool


Ha
COLDWATER DEVELOPMENT LTD ~29.22 ys NASSOUR JIMMY Co un 100

RANCHO PETITE LP 72.52


CV

MOORE ROBIN M ~22.19 SISK RUBY 22.2 COSTELLO ARTHUR P ~22.46


REES E

DR

PRESERVATION RANCH LIMITED PAR ~114.12


NC
UR HB

HEFFINGTON HENRY R 196.32

PERKINS CECIL D & MOZELLE W 16.96

Creeks Edge
CREEKS EDGE LTD 58.77 HATCHETT JOHN & SANDRA ~425.53 JPH CAPITAL LTD ETAL ~483.99
IN ST DE V YC

DR

ty

3C
V

MO R

CALICANTO CONSTRUCTION LLC TIN C Hamilton Hills R 26.36 MA SIVLEY STEVE R 22.22 DAHM JONATHAN C & MARY L 64.39 SIVLEY STEVE R 16.69
LN

SESSIONS DENA 9.68


S IS K

MEISSNER LIVING TRUST 36.69

GRAUL JOHN M 137.62 MURPHY MICHAEL ALLEN ~395.78

3D

LY

FL AG LE R

HAMILTON BEE CAVE LP 31


DR

Destiny Hills
DES T INY

RUSSELL GROVER M JR & SUE A 13.4

HAMILTON BEE CAVE LP 16.16


VER

IL LS

DYE THOMAS J III LIFE ESTATE 10


DR

3J
CITY OF AUSTIN 167.03

~436.66

BELYO STEVEN C & CATHERINE M ~21.78 HARGADON PATRICK C & JANN D 29.99 DORSETT C ROBERT TRUSTEE FOR ~20.16
RD GS

SERENGETI FOUNDATION THE 393.26


MA

DE ME

Belvedere
~41.55

'10 SIERRA ASSOCIATES GROUP INC '11 BERDOLL PHIL & LINDA 12.56

PEPPER CLIFTON G 12.52 VOUDOURIS MARION 16.73

City of Austin
C

VE SA CO

Be

LA BE L

Madrone Ranch
MOFFETT JANICE ELAINE BELK 1.47 MOFFETT MELVIN L 10

av e

ON DR E N RA

ROLL I NS DR

SP

SCHMIDT REBECCA ANNE SCHENCK & ~58.96

RI N

ER GL F LA

ET J

IA NC

R D

~38.22

PRIOUR JOSEPH DAMIEN & PAULA P ~44.43

HANSON KATHLEEN M & RICHARD R 26.42 RIDER CHARLES R III 19.21

CH

TRL

LA HIGH P INS DR

DUNCAN ERNEST M & KATHLEEN R ~11.14 STOWE DAVID L & SYLVIA ~14.53 SAN RAY CORPORATION
BE

LL

ton Pool Road Hamil


Y CR E

RO C

67.91

ROSELLE LEDA R J 62.59


D R

FESCU
E

in st Au

BRADFIELD THOMAS G & KATHERINE K RD 19.98 L


ON LT MI HA P OO

LN

PEA

DR

SA DDLEHORN

SH RU

B EK

CI R

R Y ~19.53

WI L

LVD

ET

ET D R

WIN C H ESTER DR

~11.5
TWIN
DR

SAATI FAMILY LIVING TRUST 58.14

AYRES ROBERT ATLEE & PATRICIA SHIELD AYRES ~140.49

NK

BROOKS RANCH

SA

Hill TopL ManorI IN KVIE L


P

Rocky Creek Ranch


~63.57
'10 LEGACY TEXAS BANK '11 RC TRAVIS LP 10

DR

BL A

NK

AYRES PATRICIA SHIELD & 40

RD

TE

S ADD L E

DR

RY

Saddletree Ranch

SE SH OE

WE

ST

E LOO P

HOR

SS

12

SHE

RR

RKW

GE OR

GE

Valley Lake Hills 3E


CR EE

HI

AWAY CV

Twin Lake Hills LA


K

LL D

ERDS PH

CORRAL

AK

HID E

SK VIL W Y LA
E G

'10 LEGACY TEXAS BANK '11 RC TRAVIS LP 11.8

ST WE

B VE LV CA

DEER CREEK RANCH PROPERTY 18.25 DR


R CI

LAK E

NT

MO

KE

Legend
District Boundary Planning Units Planned Thoroughfares Owner Changes '10-'11 Streets

Multi-Family
Existing Multi-family Developing Multi-Family Renovations Likely Multi-family Townhomes Existing Townhomes Developing Townhomes Future

PAN O

A D

RA M

Flood Plain
100 year 500 year

Single Family
Developing Existing Mobile Home Comm. Planned Likely SF

LTISD Facilities
School, Existing School, Planned School, Future

Other Land Uses


Park Landmark MPC, Existing

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

BL

NO

BUBB AS

LA KE

FA W NS

N XI

M A

C
IR

MA RA

B EAC

LA
KE
PA

N SO

DR

ECI

TO

VD BL

N XO DI

PARK

DR

LITT LE

West Cave Estates


D

LOWENTHAL EUGENE & LINDA ~56.28KRAFT AUGUST C & DORIS E 21.5 POUTTU MAURI E KRAFT AUGUST C & DORIS E 40 ~35.42 SPECK ELIZABETH RICE B & VAN ACKEREN TIMOTHY L & TERRI S ~96.28 17.93
CRUML E Y
RA NC HR D

IR

Crum ley

PA

CI

H I LL

G H

JA N
RN

HAWKEN ANNE A 20 IEW


L VA Y LE V

ET

'10 LEGACY TEXAS BANK '11 RC TRAVIS LP 260.39

Ran ch R

IN CH

SK

ES

'10 LEGACY TEXAS BANK '11 RC TRAVIS LP 10

o ad

LO

IR

IN

U R

HI LL

ST

YL

D D LE

"Driftwood Land Co."


P LTO HIL

DR

DR

LO N

CO M

TWIN
L

DR

O
D O DR

O LO P

O TH

S LN MA

Mountain Creek Lakes


O

E OR SH

3F

DR

RK

LA

DR

Highland Creek Lakes


PURYEAR ELMER ODEAN DECENDENTS TRUST & FLANNERY JOHN & KIM ~424.77 13 COATS JOHN D 10.01 YARBROUGH VIRGIL L & CAROL G ARNOLD 11.15 N
BO
H A M
RA

"Puryear" Parcel

CRUMLEY MARVIN E 41.23 GRUMBLES CAROLYN 32.97 CRUMLEY MARVIN E 9.76

N CH

O'HARA RAYMOND J ~15.58


RD

~39.62

USENER GERALD DAVID & CINDA L ~19.83 BURNS WILLIAM & LAURA & 14.98 GALBRAITH ARTIE LUELLA CRUMLEY SWAN JERRY & ITALIA SHAR SWAN 66.26 9.81 SMITH GEOFF AYRES PATRICIA SHIELD 10.01 22.5 ~10.66 WAHLBERG CHRISTOPHER S 75.72

STINSON JOHN H ~196.17

Tr av

is

Co un ty

Cr ton Bar

eek

68

Lake Tr avi s I.S .D. Deve l op m en t O ver v i ew


We s t
Lick Creek Ranch
MORAN T J FAMILY RANCH LTD 207.19 GUY W RAY 16.27
REE TH
M ILESTO N E RD
RD
C R EEK TRL

0.25

0.5

1 Miles

DR

BODHICITTA TRUST THE 38.06


E VE R D

LL O

HALE MARTY L 12.68

RC ANY ON

FORD RD

STA

D R

RA DO

KR DR I D GE

KEHU LA

ZY

TRAVIS COUNTY TRUSTEE ~513.38

IG H

CROSSW I ND DR

Legend
Planning Units Planned Thoroughfares Owner Changes '10-'11 Streets

BL VD

9A
D
U D

TA

ES

e Creek Ro Be a

EN R

CK

SR AN

CYPRESS RANCH LTD BLV CH 35.46


WR
RO

oss

A RITO

Developing Existing Mobile Home Comm. Planned Likely SF


REIMERS RANDAL & 80

Future Elem.

LN

REIMERS LENORA 267.93

d.

CV
TACK C V YS HA

HO

RS E

EN

2B

CV

I EV

RE EK

er Reim
REIMERS LENORA 19.33 LAKE TRAVIS I S D 43.29

co ea sP

PFLUGER MICHAEL 16.7


SE

Future Rough Hollow

S LAS VENTANAS LAND PARTNERS LTD W E B LVD S HIGH L A ND ~36.25

TE

SS LN R RO

KI

HIG HL A NDS B

Canyonlands Park Serene Hills


SE

Rough Hollow
Bee Creek Estates
AN AV ER Y

SH 71
N

Potential Elem
PATH
HIGHLANDS BLV D

71

Developing Multi-Family Renovations Likely Multi-family Townhomes Existing Townhomes Developing Townhomes Future
WATSON DIANE 167.07

CASTLETOP CAPITAL RUTTER LP 621.47

Future MS
RGK RENTALS LTD 51.38

KOZMETSKY GREGORY A & 399.34

EL

EC

D GE

West Cypress Hills - ph. II and III

KOZMETSKY GREGORY A ETAL 10.1

AG&M BEE CAVES INVESTMENTS LTD 19.24

LAS VENTANAS LAND PARTNERS LTD ~492.89

Future MS

WILEMON S JAY & TERRY L 20


IC

RGK RENTALS LTD KOZMETSKY GREGORY A TRUSTEE ~37.07 109.73

RGK Ranch

SWEETWATER AUSTIN PROPERTIES LLC 10.92

RI

HON

ORS

SE R

E NE

TR

LTISD
I C AVE

WILLIAMS LAWRENCE E & JEANENE C 100.12

2D
BAKER JOHN HICKMAN 24.61

R HILLS D

RE

Existing Multi-family

H W

'10 DRIFTWOOD LAND COMPANY LTD '11 LAKE TRAVIS INDEPENDENT SCHOOL DISTRICT 88.98

IL L S

RGK RENTALS LTD ~136.5

LAS VENTANAS LAND PARTNERS LTD ~167.58

3B
RGK RENTALS LTD 19.91 RGK RENTALS LTD 669.2

LTISD Facilities
School, Existing School, Planned School, Future

SWEETWATER AUSTIN PROPERTIES LLC ETAL 10.2

Serene Hills
r Ped e Su m m

C MYERS NORMAN A & SUZANNE CK R D Creek 15.65 WELLS HARRIETTE A Palomba at 20.13

BL

MYERS NORMAN A & SUZANNE 23.26

8G 2E Flint Rock Estates Flintrock R


FL T IN

at Hurst

AC K

ARMFAMINT LLC ARMFAMINT LLC 18.34 11.48

MYERS NORMAN A & SUZANNE C AJES T Lake Country 41.45

Estates

3C

Flintrock Creekside D
KA
EN

Other Land Uses


Park MARVIN & MERLENE
429.1

Landmark MPC, Existing

HUTHNANCE WILLIAM W & ~1389.78 SWEETWATER AUSTIN 16.2

le it Pk s wy

WY

na

SERENE HILLS LTD 310.26

PK

Potential Elem
PED E R NAL

ES

SUM

M IT

3D
SWEETWATER AUSTIN PROPERTIES LLC 1392.24

!
71

8D
La ke w ay ET Au J st in ET J

KESTER JIM HALL (VLB) 11.38 LANE SHERI 10 ELKINS DANIEL RAY JR & 11.18

Po H oA lM RId LT

"Holland Trust"
N

Sweetwater Ranch

DAVIS FLOYD H 267.82

HOLLAND MARY ANN HARRISON ETAL 1474.86


P

Falconhead - West
FALCONHEAD WEST LP 11.79

Ha

ys

GR A ND S U

Co WHITE SUSAN un 10 ty Stagecoach Ranch

RD LOWMAN RONALD C 15.35 CHILDS ALLEN 15.9

OL

PRESERVATION RANCH LIMITED PAR 362 MCCALLA DUDLEY D 79.1 MCCALLA DUDLEY D 37.67

BLVD '10 JOSHUA HOLDINGS LP MIT '11 M STANASZEK THEODORE F & VALERIE A 15.35

Sweetwater Ranch (in Austin ETJ)

PELZ DAVID TODD & JOANN 24.23 Ranches at Hamilton Pool COLDWATER DEVELOPMENT LTD 17.46 GULLAPALLI KIRAN KUMAR & NEELIMA 15.05 MOORE ROBIN M 22.21

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

69

PA

Madrone Canyon
S

Multi-Family

W KOZMETSKY GREGORY A & ST AT 52.06

CHAPMAN KYLE & MARTHA A CHAPMA 17.58

ID DE

WHITE RON 20

8B
C

Hills of Lakeway
R

Majestic Hills Ranchettes D


DR

F OL W

WAY

8E LN

Henning Heights

8C

Future HS
Grumbles Parcel

LV

LN

DR

Single Family

TRAVIS COUNTY TRUSTEE 212.08

AG

HOLT JACK H & LINDA D 10 MERSHON CACIE COLLIER & LENORA REIMERS 11.26

CO RD ILL

RI

Sadik

LAAS SARA PUIG 20

IR L
CV WIND

2C

HI TE

Cypress Ridge

D UFFY LN

500 year

West Cypress Hills

Y LN U MM

MANNINGD DAYNA G & KEVIN L C REEK R 12.53

ET C BISS

HI G

LN

LL DR

GEPO LE

L U EBE

HL A

100 year

Cr

LN
BE E

LAS VENTANAS LAND PARTNERS LTD ~416.8

The WoodlandsDS B N Future T The Condos World of Bluffs The Overlook Tennis Condos
L

VD

Flood Plain

TE

TRAVIS COUNTY TRUSTEE 225.11

WORKMAN KYLE & CHRISTEN '10 HUTH HANS J B MARIA H R & LN ELLISON BOYD K & GLORIA M LANTZ 10 '11 HUTH FAMILY REVOCABLE TRUST 11.17 10 V Y C DA SIMMONS GLENNIS H ON EDWARDS CHERRY NO 10 18.42 ARNOLD STEVEN J Travis 15 '10 FELTNER FRITZ W & JACKS HARVEY A '11 JETT VIRGINIA M REVOCABLE TRUST Settlement 1 13.47
AU G ER

VI

Dr.

TA VE

CYPRES

BRANCH SANDRA HUNTER 12.39 BUTLER WILLIAM C TRUST ETAL 11.69


RD

O R N RD

HORNSBY LN

GH

HO LL O

win d

CO East Rim

JH WEST LAND VENTURES LTD 307.2

DR

DR DR BA CORENBLITH JAY C BA RN Colonia P Serendipity YOUMANS DONALD E R LAKEHURST VISTAS LP The Enclave ET 12.19 TG LE FOLK ROBERT L & MARJORIE T 17.82 27.47 ARTINI NR QU M PARSE MELVIN DOUGLAS & ROBIN L LUMPEE PROPERTIES LTD D E PAS 25.6 '10 SPICEWOOD 71 DEVELOPMENT LTD K & K BURNETT TRUST YA LTD S ROUGH HOLLOW YACHT CLUBCHT C R ~33 12.65 '11 DECKER KENNETH L & LORRAINE R R 15.42 CH 21.56 Y B N JGW INVESTMENTS O D LLC ~19.98 WA CV 14.17 ~20.31 Crosswind BO R RA TRAVIS COUNTY TRUSTEE SHARPLIN ARTHUR & KATHRYN R '10 RICKETTS GARY R NO 11.46 R N AC LARRY D BILAWSKY GLENN P Yacht Club Villas MCDONALDK H '11 A 1159.66 62.19 YO H TYLER RICHARD JH WEST LAND VENTURES LTD N LCRA ~30.72 10 14.62 IL L CA Water's Edge 15.06 15.92 ~27.45 DRIFTWOOD LAND COMPANY LTD ZHOU YAN & ZHU WANG 107.09 WALLACE DEAN EDWARD BUTLER WILLIAM C TRUST ETAL SCT 10.06 RYAN WILLIAM J & SALLY D TE 3A 24.01 Vista 17.81 20.83 RD DOVE LIFE N & LINDA Z E IR Estates 12.51 W TA
Y
L TR
V C T

E TR

EDWARDS THOMAS A & BONNIE K 31.49

E A T

TRL LIMESTONE

SPRINGS PROPERTIES LP 10.01

DYE BOBBY G JR ~14.58


P A O

SE

RE

C STOFFA PAUL & DONNA J ND 13.4 I


PIT

R T TiburonRHills AM

BE

Vistas @ Lake Travis FIS

AL

A B AR

R.O. Drive

RBUDA

ALAB

R A

EA G

LE
E AGL E

HI

Creek

H C ROS ER L SW N IN D

Lakeway

CAPR

IN G
A
L TR

R AW

Travis County

RS

DO

PARKER LARRY DON & KAREN C 12.83

1B

ES

S DR

T ON FR TE R WA

E AV

ASS UT ER RIN MA
L

9B
I

LA GH N

Dl B LVB o i Og NGn L AM m FlaI

9C
DR

UT

ILUS AV E

Lakeway Airpark
TENNIS SQ

S CHOONER DR
WORLD OF

C D E OR I NTH IAN R

MANN MITCHELL A & JULIE 5


K ROC

TR L

HONEY

ER

2A MCCASKILL VIRGINIA 15.54 WLECZYK DALE R & VALERIE K 1 TERRY DUANE JAMES & PATRICIA B 10.67
ER ES N
S

BE

A G

Hazy Hill Ranchettes

LANGLE JEFFREY G 24.04

LN

ALLBRITTON DAVID & CRYSTAL ~15.12


N

PENNY PHIL & BRIGITTE 15.55


D

TA

IL L

ZY

R ales ern Ped

r ive

LE T

BAZZLE S WAYNE & CHERYL C 22.62

10.02 TAYLOR GENE K & STEPHANIE 29.55

CULVER JOSEPH H CAPITOL ROD & GUN CLUB 28 20 HORTON WILMOT ROBERDEAU & 27 BEE CREEK HILL L P
LOOP

A ND GU N

U CL

ALBEE RONALD J & MARILYN A 21.5


TTLE EK LI C RE
L TR
CA

10.16
O H O LL

TA IN

KN '10 REESE MARIANNE & MARY A OLMSTEAD & VE R DE '11 THERING MICHAEL R & DOROTHY A 12.13 R LD OL KN THERING MICHAEL R & DOROTHY

KAT HY

LN

CAPITOL ROD & GUN CLUB ~51.77


D R

P O

O M

MURPHY PAUL MARCUS 13.05 RAY CHRISTOPHER A & CAROL L

KUHLES DEAN J & PATRICIA M 10.01

BARKER JOE F & BRENDA C 32.05

WILLIAMS BRYAN KEITH 15.05

Bee Creek Ranchettes

SIE S

TA S

OR E

OL

VE CANTU DIANA N CO L 10

Tierra Vista

'10 ONEILL HELEN '11 O'NEILL HELEN LIFE ESTATE 16.78


D L IL
CIR

DR

"Lake Travis Ranch"


COVERT ROX B & DUKE M & 117.77

Z A Y

RO

Lakeway

ETJ

A SP

H IS

W PK

PE

12.46 BE BE Q E EH U H EE IV IL H E O N NB LN L C EY IR BE EE BEE CREEK UNITED METHODIST CHURCH B E L H E OL 24.05 E L N N Big Bee O A


W LO

SS PA

BUTLER WILLIAM C TRUST ETAL 13.6


IN
V

ES AL RN DE

LN

RN

O NY

NS O LS

CT

LN

U L A KE H

O B

. vd

LU

T RD RS

U IF

L P

LA K

ER DASH

EWA

H AP

W LL O N PY H VER TA

RO

A UGE

ER

R O

DR

C K Y

DR

T AS

IL H

CV

CR

LE T A N O LD TM ES

S XA

N RE E HI LL
D KS OA AUTU M N

NE

N RU

HAN I E STEP

S ER E N

E
S DR HILL

m Ha on ilt

Lake Tr avi s I.S .D. Deve l op m en t O ver v i ew


Northwest
Legend
District Boundary
LA

0.25

0.5

1 Miles

THOMAS RALPH BOWMAN 78.34


A SH
M

L TR

Planning Units Planned Thoroughfares


MAT

~940.59
DR

I GR

SH

IR HIS C

E OR

Pace Bend Park

Flood Plain
100 year
RD

500 year MPC, Existing

CASTLETOP RANCH LTD 24.99

LAKE

E OR SH

BE N

Multi-Family
Existing Multi-family Developing Multi-Family

PA CE

BF PRIVATE CAPITAL L P 51.96


E LS RD

Las Entradas on Lake Travis


IE NAUMANNS CAMP FLA SUBD HOMEOWNERS T 12.32 RD HA YN

A CH MP CA

Likely Multi-family Townhomes Existing Townhomes Developing Townhomes Future

IN

ITY

Renovations

LARSON GEORGE N & MARY ~21.72


C

L TR

TAYLOR STEVEN PAUL 32.74


LA

PAGGI MICHAEL H 111.79


WH ITN EY DR LEA TH AL N D R EW W D DR R
N

Old Ferry
LA K

Pace Bend Rd

"Paggi Grandinetti"

LCRA 28.14 WILEY T E JR & VIRGINIA M ~47.62

EN TR AD COVES AT AS DR

SKY RANCH DEVELOPMENT LLC 26.68

LTISD Facilities
School, Existing School, Planned School, Future

ELLIOTT JEFFREY TAYLOR 10

FEL

ICIA

'10 MAGICLAND LTD '11 LYTAL JAMES & MARY BETH 9.39 '10 SEWELL DOUGLAS W & '11 SIMS GRANT E SIMS & PATRICIA S 11.43

PED E

FE

LL OW

RNA FF LES LI C

RR Y

Other Land Uses


Park Landmark

MILLER PHILLIP J & NAOMI 12.98

1A
BEND N PACE

WILEY T E JR & VIRGINIA M 467.37

H CAT

GABRIELSON TERRANCE ROY & KAROL 15

PEURIFOY MARLEE PAUL 47

WILEY T E JR & VIRGINIA M ~18.48 41.62

CL UB

L TR

LD

Marina Club Villas

DR

MCFARLANE JOHN R & SUZANNE F 85.71

DIBRELL JAYNE W & 120.85

Resort Ranch of Lake Travis

Whitecliff

MOCK KENNETH & JUDY M ~12.23

TA U

UA

ER R IV RD

RD

DR

A
IE EV

RD

DR

IFF

Single Family
Developing Existing Mobile Home Comm. Planned Likely SF Owner Changes '10-'11
RD
TATU

DR

RO L

NC

PAUL ARCHIE L 223.57

NR ON AY

B
BUCKLAND REAL ESTATE L P 203.45

J ET if f rcl ria

BERTHIAUME SHERIDAN 20.81


SL E

BR IA R

AL D R W

R AI CL IN

DR

AT

CL

DR
R TARBE T D

'10 ECKERT ROBERT L JR '11 CITY OF LAGO VISTA 106.33

ER

KE L D DR

CONE

OBAN

Briarcliff OERTEL RUSSELL L & ELAINE G 20 PAUL FREDERIC LEE R 39.75 TD FFA BRIARCLIFF PROPERTY M O OWNERS DR L 12.53 IL D
ALL O W AY
DU N

DR

RD

SKYLINE DR

JO H
W ON NS

HF PROPERTIES LTD 91.97

AY
CE

RESERVE AT LAKE TRAVIS LLC THE 31.23

R THU MAN B L

MO C

Lakewood

KING B Estates IR A R LN LN
D

Thurman Bend Estates


F DR

FLYING J
KNIGH

UF

VI

SUCCE SS OR

DR

E DR

BR IA

S CO WAL D

Be nd

I SLEY DR

LA CE

Th ur m an

'10 KELBRO INC '11 WILLIAMS DAVID W & PATRICIA S 20

RO S CO TRE

Lim it

Pedernales

Paleface Ranch
H
OS C

2A

Br ia r

'10 CAUSEY JOHN W & SANDRA '11 CAUSEY INVESTMENTS - PEDERNALES LLC 7.34

TRCE

iar cli f

Perdenales Canyon

LI N

RL

HWY 71

PACE CHEYNE C & SANDRA A UR SP ADAMS MARK S & 68.35 24'10 KASPAR TRACY & CHERYL D PACE CHEYNE C & SANDRA A 32.39
'11 FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION 9.62

INDIAN DIV

IDE COVE

CKL

Br

YS U

NL IGH T

LA

CAMPBELL BENJAMIN J & ~51.61

LN

NE

RK H

HOLT JACK H & BETTY L ~14.96 NEWTON LESLIE A & ANN M 14.7 PACE CHEYNE CONARD PHILLIP R & 43.94 14.84 LOIS
LN

fE TJ

LMJ CORP 51.3


AR
D

E M CV

ELLIS CHRIS T & AMY G ELLIS 38.94 30 ACRE SPICEWOOD L L C 17.62


Y W 71

HOGGE JOHN 69.1

KT ON D

cli ff

AVELLAN ELIZABETH 110.36

COLE RONALD R & KAREN R COLE RMER 12.15 PE R FO


RD
RD

PEDERNALES GOLF CLUB INC 75.56 P


DA VI OT

R ST

Ci ty

r ve Ri

CI

LO C

SA L

DR

~610.24

ROVE R IMP

HO

LMJ CORP 20.26


OSE T ER

LL A

1B
"Lake Travis Ranch"

CENIZA WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT & ECOLOGICAL SLA CV LAZY J-LAKE TRAVIS LTD 22.99 LA FAMILIA PARTNERSHIP LTD 59.67 19.17 LAZY J LAKE TRAVIS LTD 12.55

La Isla at AngelLA Bay


I

PALEFACE RANCH ASSOCIATION INC 11.39 er ales Riv

RL

E R TRL

TA

3A
PE DE RN

DZOGCHEN FOUNDATION INC 1

DE

TY X

AL ES

AIL
TR L EE K

Travis County

L OL VERDE KN

DR

TH

THERING MICHAEL R & DOROTHY A 10.16

Y LN

CAPITOL ROD & GUN CLUB ~51.77

9D

Lakeway

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

70

LENG AL E CH

THRE

MORAN T J FAMILY RANCH LTD 207.19

N YO
N
L TR

'10 ONEILL HELEN '11 O'NEILL HELEN LIFE ESTATE 16.78


IR

SI E

TR

TWC-HWY 71 RETAIL LP BSG 10 16.49 MCDONALD STEPHANIE 12.7


TR AIL

HATCH MICHAEL T 23.06 HOSTETLER ALLEN & MELODY 45.7


L IL D

SI ES

SPITZACK RONALD J & LINNEA E VE 10 CANTU DIANA N CO LL 10 NO


VE RDE

COVERT DUKE M & ROX COVERT & D 157.98

S TA

C EB

Siesta Shores

IN W R O SH

DY

DR

25.02

CK

13.24

CHORLEY TRUST 20 BROWN OLA BUTLER 10

LMJ CORP 234.4

SH

JONES ROBERT RAEBURN JR 15

SH OR

Vistas at Perdenales Lick Creek Ranch Canyon DZOGCHEN FOUNDATION INC L HIGHWAY 71 JHM LC OUT TR BA

rn Pede

LMJ CORP 299.61

'10 THURMAN BEND 150 LLC '11 HF PROPERTIES LTD 146.05


K RD

Tierra Vista

ES

RD ND BE CE KING DAVID PA

OR

10

LAKE TRAVIS I S D 20

Windy Walk Estates

DR

Bee
k ee Cr

LAZY J LAKE TRAVIS LTD 136.02 CATHOLIC DIOCESE OF AUSTIN 11.31 LAZY J LAKE TRAVIS LTD 23.68
S

MO

LN

BAY C IR

AS

EN

DR

ST OW

OW

TL

LAUD

PA

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BODHICITTA TRUST THE 38.06

JACOBY JEFFREY 10.03

WILLIAMS BRYAN KEITH Bee Creek Ranchettes 15.05 A

COVERT ROX B & DUKE M & 117.77

FOWLER SUSIE 33.26

TINER THOMAS D ~71.43

LI N

AW

EL LIGH A NG

CARSON HOLLY & PAUL 10.1 AS RD


A SC O

LI K

BRIARCLIFF PROPERTY OWNERS DR SHO TTS 19.65


RCLIFF IA

T DR

ED

HF PROPERTIES LTD ~372.3

BOGUSKIE JERRY COVES ON LAKE TRAVIS HOMEOWNER G 15.1 CV Lago Vista ETJ 17.65 FORD CREED L III & LYNN S 14.73 Y DR Coves at A N D C Travis Lake BURKE MIRIAM M 10.08 SERENDIPITY HOLDINGS LLC BURKE MIRIAM M ~34.88 12.53 15.68 MCADAM BROOKS W LIVING TRUST FORD CREED L & LYNN 10.97 18.56 FUNG COLEMAN F 12.12
AN
L GE BA

EW AT ER D

JACKSON ANDREW C & M DIANE DWI ~80.3

FI F

R d.

FISH

RC L BRIA

RO

AN OB

Edgewater R Beach

LN

R E P LIC

NA Y

WILLIAMS & LANE REVOCABLE MANABE CE DOTIE TR 48.98 PA


R L
ESS EN

O LD

RD

DR

LS GA

Streets

BUCKLAND REAL ESTATE L P 213.77

EW

LTISD

RD

TO

MTR AI L

OLD
TU TA M
VI E IFF CL

DR

DR

RYAN D R

KYLE DR

R D

FF

RG CA

LEONARD DAVID N & BEVERLY K ~53.86


RMAN D THU B E ND R

'10 SCHILFFARTH RICHARD A JR & '11 KIPP JAMES M & CYNTHIA S 11.39

TS

CH

ANCE L

AY BARBARO W
N

RESERVE AT LAKE TRAVIS LLC THE 12.14


B LV D

DR

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J BLVD

Reserve at Lake Travis


LCRA ~259.03

SCHNEIDER WALTER B 15.27 Angel Bay HALE JOHN J & BETH E 40.03
GEL S O N AN

SCENIC DR

MO
D U N D

DR

R D

DR

RS H EC O

R ER D

AN GEL

LIG H

R T D

R EC BE
EE

OP LO

Road

X TY

E AT ST

HW Y 71

9E
R

SH

71

Pro je c ted New Hou si ng O c c u pan ci e s


D e c e m b e r 2 0 1 0 t o O c t o b e r 2 0 11

7
1A
Pace Bend Rd

H
n ili

0
12B
s Hud

e . Rd

Th ur m an

B en

Cre ek Rd

9E

Hu rs t

kewa y

Dr .

R. O
1 SH 7

Club ho u

20
3A

9D

win d

9A

7
2B

s os Cr

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41
2C

La

0 10
8B 7A

RM

0
2D

0
3B

2
2E

0
8D
Ha m ilt

4
3C
on
ol Rd Po

131
8C

9
3D

Map Layers
District Boundary Planning Units Streets

Hamilto

oo

l Ro a

23
3E

0
3F

Planning Units
0 - 10 11 - 40 41 - 80 81 - 200 201 - 500 >500

hR

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

La

ld
r Fer

3
10C

Ben d Rd. on

11
2A

d oa
r Bee C
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Rd .

7
12A

RM 6 20

14
1B

7 0 0
9F 10B 11C

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3 0
9B
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1
10A

9
11A

0 0
11D 11E

57
7E r. eD
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0
7D 0

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11B
r.

9C Blv d. 7B wa y

7G

0
20 Mu

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6C
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7C

0
6B
Rd .

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7F

11
6A

18 2
8G 8E

0
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3
5B

12
8A

1
5A

20

0
8F

0
5C

FM

224 4

0 1
3J 4
S
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0
3G

16
3H

71

Crum l ey R n c a
oad

[
0 0.5 1 2 3 4 Miles
71

Pro je c ted New Hou si ng O c c u pan ci e s


December 2010 to October 2015

50
1A
Pace Bend Rd

H
n ili

46
12B
s Hud

e . Rd

Th ur m an

B en

Cre ek Rd

9E

Hu rs t

ld
r Fer

18
10C

Ben d Rd. on

70
2A

d oa
r Bee C
eek

Rd .

49
12A

RM 6 20

172
1B

76 8 0
9F 10B 11C

3A

Dr .

R. O
1 SH 7

Club ho u

249

ve . D ri
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46
2B

s os Cr

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529
2C

La

13 122
8B 7A

RM

ad Ro

17 0
9B

8
10A

57
11A

2 1
11D 11E

344
7E r. eD
Ko l lm ey e

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35 d. lv 9D B 36

0
7D 0

2
11B
r.

7G

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20 Mu

89
6C
rfi n

9C Blv d. 7B wa y

7C

21
6B
Rd .

25
2D

2
7F

90
6A

0
3B

23
2E

117 50
8E 8G

0
6D

182
8D
Ha m ilt

243 179
8A

RM
0 62

5B

67
3C
on
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221
8C

6
5A

147 416
3D 8F

21
5C

FM

224 4

0 32
P

4
S
H

Map Layers
District Boundary Planning Units Streets

Hamilto

oo

l Ro a

3J

33
3G

188
3H

71

Crum l ey R n c a

209
3E

0
3F

Planning Units
0 - 10 11 - 40 41 - 80 81 - 200 201 - 500 >500

hR

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

oad

[
0 0.5 1 2 3 4 Miles
72

Pro je c ted New Hou si ng O c c u pan ci e s


October 2016 to October 2020

110
1A
Pace Bend Rd

H
n ili

35
12B
s Hud

e . Rd

Th ur m an

B en

Cre ek Rd

9E

Hu rs t

kewa y

Dr .

R. O
1 SH 7

Club ho u

537
3A

9D

win d

9A

62
2B

s os Cr

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681
2C

La

45
2D

185
8B

79 7A33
7F

RM

0
3B

64
2E

419
8D
Ha m ilt

198
3C
on
ol Rd Po

1205
3D

Map Layers
District Boundary Planning Units Streets

Hamilto

oo

l Ro a

428
3E

0
3F

Planning Units
0 - 10 11 - 40 41 - 80 81 - 200 201 - 500 >500

hR

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

La

ld
r Fer

13
10C

Ben d Rd. on

100
2A

d oa
r Bee C
eek

Rd .

62
12A

RM 6 20

283
1B

42 29 0
9F 10B 11C

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3 0
9B
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6
10A

70
11A

0 0
11D 11E

172
7E r. eD
Ko l lm ey e

0
7D 0

0
11B
r.

9C Blv d. 7B wa y

7G

0
20 Mu

26
6C
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28
6B
Rd .

135
6A

104 127
8E 8G

0
6D

419 339
8A

RM
0 62

5B

0
8C

3
5A

349
8F

14
5C

FM

224 4

0 38
3J 4
S
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195
3G

324
3H

71

Crum l ey R n c a
oad

[
0 0.5 1 2 3 4 Miles
73

Pro je c ted New Hou si ng O c c u pan ci e s


Decenber 2010 to October 2020

160
1A
Pace Bend Rd

H
n ili

81
12B
s Hud

e . Rd

Th ur m an

B en

Cre ek Rd

9E

Hu rs t

ld
r Fer

31
10C

Ben d Rd. on

170
2A

d oa
r Bee C
eek

Rd .

111
12A

RM 6 20

455
1B

118 37 0
9F 10B 11C

3A

Dr .

R. O
1 SH 7

Club ho u

786

ve . D ri
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108
2B

s os Cr

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1210
2C

La

70
2D

307
8B

92 7A35
7F

RM

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20 0
9B

14
10A

127
11A

2 1
11D 11E

516
7E r. eD 6C
20 Mu
Ko l lm ey e

0 ing Flam 9A

37 d. lv 9D B 42

0
7D 0

2
11B
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7G

115
rfi n

9C Blv d. 7B wa y

7C

49
6B
Rd .

225
6A

0
3B

87
2E

221 177
8E 8G

0
6D

601
8D
Ha m ilt

662 518
8A

RM
0 62

5B

265
3C
on
ol Rd Po

221
8C

9
5A

496 1621
3D 8F

35
5C

FM

224 4

0 70
P

4
S
H

Map Layers
District Boundary Planning Units Streets

Hamilto

oo

l Ro a

3J

228
3G

512
3H

71

Crum l ey R n c a

637
3E

0
3F

Planning Units
0 - 10 11 - 40 41 - 80 81 - 200 201 - 500 >500

hR

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

oad

[
0 0.5 1 2 3 4 Miles
74

Pro je c ted New Hou si ng O c c u pan ci e s


October 2020 to Build-out

605
1A
P ace Bend Rd

Hi

13
12B
s Hud

e lin . Rd

Th ur m an

B en

Cre ek Rd

9E

Hu rs t

kewa y

Dr .

R. O
1 SH 7

Club ho u

1141
3A

9D

win d

9A

289
2B

s os Cr

ke

826
2C

La

22 44
8B 7A

RM

55
2D

1400
3B

58
2E

54
8D
Ha m ilt

1110
3C
on
ol Rd Po

3008
3D

Map Layers
District Boundary Planning Units Streets

Hamilto

oo

l Ro a

1903
3E

0
3F

Planning Units
0 - 10 11 - 40 41 - 80 81 - 200 201 - 500 >500

hR

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

La

ld
r Fer

5
10C

Ben d Rd. on

612
2A

d oa
r Bee C
eek

Rd .

18
12A

RM 6 20

421
1B

60 220 0
9F 10B 11C

ve . D ri

ad Ro

0 0
9B
r.

0
10A

115
11A

0 0
11D 11E

97
7E r. eD
Ko l lm

0
7D 0

e ye

0
11B
D

9C Blv d. 7B wa y

7G

0
20 Mu

0
6C
rfi n

r.

7C

0
6B
Rd .

6
7F

40
6A

0 107
8E 8G

0
6D

100 80
8A

RM
0 62

5B

0
8C

0
5A

404
8F

150
5C

FM

224 4

0 0
3J 4
S
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0
3G

535
3H

71

Crum l ey R n c a
oad

[
0 0.5 1 2 3 4 Miles
75

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Old Ferry


basically built-out but 564 of those lots are not owned by the adjacent homeowner, Highland Lakes Baptist = 241 ac. so these will be the lots that will develop in the future; Nov. 2009: 497 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 6 UC & 765 dev'ed lots LTBO with 194 lot owners also owning the adjacent lot Dec. 2010: 504 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 5 UC & 758 dev'ed lots LTBO; Dec. 2010: built out Encampment has 456 ac.; 1,268 total lots

1A
Briarcliff Whitecliff condos
in this PU; Girl Scout

1A
Marina Club Villas & LCRA has over 1,700 ac.

1A

1A

1A

1A
Resort Ranch of Lake Travis
36.42 +160.61 + 35.17 = 232.2 total acres Dec. 2010: is a resort that has rustic cabins and cottages for short-term stays; it also has 31 RV sites and tent sites; there is also conference rooms with an outdoor pavillion [PASA: strong potential for SF dev. at a later time]

Las Entradas on Lake Travis

17 total lots; gated; W. off Pace Bend Rd.

Dec. 2010: 12 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 5 dev'ed lots LTBO;

Nov. 2009: 12 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 5 dev'ed lots LTBO;

Nov. 2009: have all but 1-2 occ'ed & did have in-fill (on Cat Hollow Club Dr.)

NEW

Nov. 2008: 8 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 1 UC & 8 dev'ed lots LTBO;

HOUSING

Keller Williams - 925-9182

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 37 42 79 8 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 8 0 9 0 7 0 8 0 6 0 1 1 2 1 0 1 0 1 0 5 2 7

0 0 0 0 2 4 5 7 8 10 2 34 36

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

1 2 3 5

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.39

0.13

0.38

0.11

0.38

0.38

76

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT
Michael Paggi has 111.83ac.; Janet Paggi Grandietti has 63 ac. Jayne Dibrell has 121 ac.; Steven Taylor has 63 ac. John McFarlane has 80 ac.; Jeffrey Elliott has 10 ac.; but 6 heirs given land w/agreement not to dev, so would lose share . if try to dev.; adj. to Briarcliff w/ access off Thurman Bend Rd.; sold off ~120 ac. earlier; in 2010, had Aquapalooza at Ranch; Also, not conducive to dev. since no lake view corridors, except Dick Pickens has 30 ac.; Frederic Paul has 39 ac. BF Private Capital has 52 ac.; Marlee Peurifoy has 48 ac. Michael Mohan has 50 ac.; Sheridan Berthiaume has 21 ac.; Russell Oertel has 28 ac.

1A
Northern portion of Planning Unit is
Dec. 2010: expect dev. as SF & part for pot. MF-long-term,

1A
Big Bee Creek built out Holmes Family (HF Prop's) = 391 + 92 + 146 ac. = 629 ac. public domain

1A

1B

1B

1B
"Vizcaya"-Covert tracts: 602 + 158 + 15 + 120 = 895 ac.
Dec. 2010: plan earlier approved for 394 SF & ~46 condos= ~440 total lots-California dev'er; 2 yrs. to dev. infrastructure-perhaps slowed by downturn; incl's dev. of sewer treatment plant; access off Siesta Shores or Thurman Bend Rd. Nov. 2009: no activity, but has plans for SF & condos

Virginia & T.E. Wiley

have 468 & 42 & 47.65 ac.

Dec. 2010: S. of Resort Ranch

and W. off Pace Bend Rd.

NEW TOTAL:
part on Lake; family suggests that they will not dev.

no known interest in dev.

HOUSING

(no realtor is aware of any

OCCUPANCIES:

interest in selling)

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 7 9 9 11 14 17 20 21 24 28 50 110 160 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 4 5 6 6 8 4 29 33

0 9 13 17 21 24 26 29 31 33 60 143 203

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

0 0 0 0

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.38

0.38

0.29

0.36

0.45

77

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Reserve at Lake Travis has 300-ac. w/ all of Frost Bank's 139 ac. & 37+ ac.
Dec. 2010: 3 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 4 UC & 111 dev'ed lots LTBO & 37 cottages left to build; Nov. 2009: 0 Occ'ed, 0 Aavil., 3 UC, & 115 dev'ed lots LTBO; In 2008: LCRA tract purchased also; w/186 ac. to dev. and w/118 lots (was 129 lots) &~37 (was 25) cottages, so 155 hs. units;
Dec. 2009; had pre-sold 55 lots worth $300,000 to $4 mil.w/1-5 ac. lots; had largest marketing effort in Lake Travis history-already $40 mil. in sales; 250 boat slips; swim center w/400'lazy river, no golf course, open air pavilion

1B
John & Beth Hale have 41 ac. & Walter Schneider = 15 ac.
both bet. Angel Bay & Coves at Lake Travis S. off Thurman Bend Rd.

1B

1B

1B
The Vistas at Lake Travis
245 total lots
E. side of Bee Cave Rd., N. on Lakehurst Rd.

Angel Bay & La Isla at Angel Bay

Angel Bay- Dec. 2010: 11 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 2 UC & 32 dev'ed lots LTBO;

Nov. 2009: 10 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 1 UC & 34 dev'ed lots LTBO,

Creed Ford owns 5 tracts that = 81.12 ac.

Dec. 2010: 84 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 1 UC & 160 dev'ed lots LTBO Nov. 2009: 82 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 1 UC, & 163 dev'ed lots LTBO

NEW
(at old Sunshine Boys Club) w/restaurant; equestrian (English & Western); covered & uncovered paddocks; trails;

La Isla at Angel Bay- Dec. 2010: 8 Occ'ed & 11 dev'ed lots LTBO;

HOUSING

Nov. 2009: 8 Occ'ed & 11 dev'ed lots LTBO;

OCCUPANCIES:

Nov. 2008: under 16 homes occ'ed

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

2 3 3 2 4 2 3 3 2 4 14 14 28 16 61 83 144 14 15 17 21 18 15 12 9

0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 4

2 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 3 16 17 33

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.03

0.09

0.34

0.49

78

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Edgewater Beach Lakewood Estates built-out


35 total lots; gated Dec. 2010: 22 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC, & 13 dev'ed lots LTBO Nov. 2009: 22 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC, & 13 dev'ed lots LTBO slow growth, indiv. wells & septic 21 Occ'ed & 12 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: all off of Bee Creek Rd. 12 dev'ed lots LTBO; Dec. 2010: 21 Occ'ed &

1B
Crosswind basically built-out also refer to PU 2B Thurman Bend Estates Travis Settlement Dec. 2010: Lazy J Lake Travis LTD has built-out

1B

1B

1B

1B

1B

1B

1B
59.67+136.02+23.68+12.55+12.72+8.73= 253.37 ac. used for farming and summer camps-no development Joe Barker has 32.05 ac.; Joseph Culver has 28 ac.; Wilmot Horton has 27+26.23=53.23 acres; La Familia Partnership Ltd has 19.17 ac.; Bauman-Ceniza Wildlife Mgmthas 58.82 acres

1B
Siesta Shores built-out older subdivision; [median home age=1979] could have some regeneration within 5-7 yrs.

Siesta Shores

Coves at Lake Travis

built-out

53 total lots; gated

Dec. 2010: 29 Occ'ed, 0 Avail.,

1 UC & 23 dev'ed lots LTBO;

NEW

Nov. 2009: 29 Occ'ed, 0 Avail.,

HOUSING

~1-2 UC, & 24 dev'ed lots LTBO

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 2 1 0 2 1 2 2 1 2 6 8 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 7 6 13 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 2 3 5 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0

0 1 0 1 0 2 1 1 2 0 2 6 8

1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

0 0 0 0

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.18

0.08

0.13

0.29

0.53

0.08

0.55

0.08

0.16

79

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT
Capital Rod and Gun Club will not likely dev., due to lead in soil, etc. Bee Creek Hill LTD still has 18 ac.& Jeffrey Langle=23.8 ac.; Joni Langle; Bee Creek Realty - 264-1565; July 2008: 4 occ'ed & 2 UC Ronald Albee has 21.5 ac. off of Hwy. 71; Phil Penny has 15.5 ac.; JGW Investments has 11.5 ac.; George Scott =19 ac. (formerly Spicewood 71 Dev.); Bennie McWilliams =56.31 ac.; Gene Taylor=29.5 ac.; Jeffrey Langle has 24+12.75=36.75 ac.; Robert Woods has 19.5 ac.; Michael Hatch has 23.06 ac.; all=potential to be used for higher density development, but many will remain as large single-family homesites Nov. 2009: 9 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC, & 12 dev'ed lots LTBO; Thomas Tiner has 71.4 ac.; John Hogge has 69 ac.-both prime for dev. off of S. Pace Bend; Dec. 2010: 10 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 11 dev'ed lots LTBO; Archie/Mary Paul off Bee Creek Rd. have 223.57 ac.; Russell Jedlicka has 64.09 ac.;

1B
Bee Creek Ranchettes-older dev. by Bee Creek UMC
Dec 2010: Allen Hostetlerhas 45.7ac.; Phillip Miller has 25.19+12.98= 38.17 ac.;

1B

2A

2A

2A
Colonia Serendipity
14 total lots just off of Crawford Rd. Dec. 2010: 3 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 11 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: 3 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC, & 11 dev'ed lots LTBO

Lakewood Estates

built-out

NEW TOTAL:

HOUSING

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 14 29 35 43 51 56 55 54 57 61 172 283 455 1 4 7 11 1 2 1 2 3 2 3 3 3 8 14 22 1 1 1 2 1 2 0 1

1 1 2 1 2 1 1 0 1 1 7 4 11

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

0 0 0 0

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.29

0.45

0.22

80

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Windy Walk Estates


Wayne Bazzle has 22.62 ac.; Jim Roquemore has 15 ac.; Robert Jones has 15 ac.; Williams & Lane Mana Revocable Trust has 49 ac.; Bee Creek Hill LLP has 18.5+12.5+12.86=43.86 ac., could have some small dev. there is ~50 other parcels that are 10+ acres in this PU, which will potentially be large homesites w/some minor potential for higher densities Vista Estates 15 total lots Dec. 2010: 3 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 1 UC & 11 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: 2 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC, & 13 dev'ed lots LTBO (part of the undev'ed lots are double lots) recently annexed into LTISD Pedernales River to the West; N. off Hwy 71 across lots not yet utilized & 3 under construction; Jan., 2011: 160 total lots w/~68

2A
Paleface Ranch
Tiburon Hills basically built-out basically built-out

2A

2A

2A

2A

NEW

HOUSING

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

1 2 3 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 11 1 12 4 15 20 35 4 1 1 4 6 10 4 2 5 0 3 2 2 0 3 1 4 0 3 1

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.12

0.45

0.45

1.25

81

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Bee Creek Estates


Dec. 2010: 14 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 25 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: 13 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 0 UC & 25 dev'ed lots LTBO
Nov. 2008: 7 occ'ed & 5 under const.

2A
Travis Settlement
also refer to PU 1B Dec. 2010: 183 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 2 UC & 93 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: 176 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 2 UC, & 99 dev'ed lots LTBO

2A

2B

2B

2B
Lawrence Williams has 100 ac.; Bee Creek Stables - 17.5 ac.; AG&M Bee Caves Invest's - 19.24 ac. Kyle Chapman has 17.58 acres Armfamint LLC - 18.34+11.48=29.82 ac.; all are N. of Hwy 71 & W. of Bee Creek Rd.
(& it may be possible that LTISD 89 ac. would resell)

Tierra Vista - LMJ Corporation -688 ac.-Willie Nelson

41 lots in Ph . I on 63 acres w/Bobby Day (dev'er/friend) with 1 & 2 ac. lots Dec. 2010: no activity, but developed section(s) Cindy Schumann realtor - (512) 736-0420 gated

overlooking River & P. Bridge; Dev. will be like Barton Cr. Lakeside

NEW TOTAL:

Nov. 2009: no home construction yet, but lots are available;

HOUSING

developer has 607 acres to build ~420 large homesite lots in the future

OCCUPANCIES:

232 + 302 + 53 + 63 + 20 ac.-670 ac. on CAD + 18 ac.-was for school, but resold

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

1 11 11 17 17 14 20 18 20 20 22 70 100 170 3 8 13 21 3 2 3 2 3 1 2 6 4 5 6 5 5 6 5 24 27 51 2 4 3 5 6 6 8 9 9 10 12 21 48 69

1 3 2 2 1 0 1 3 2 2 9 8 17

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.49

0.08

0.64

0.36

82

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT New Middle


Rough Hollow (was Lakeway Highlands=1,492 SF/condos in this Ph.II(apart from current Rough Hollow)

2B
School site e further col's for existing subdivisions' data in Rough Hollow 2011: 58 occ'ed & 728 lots remaining in dev'ed subd
also in this PU 35 acres for commercial; 10 acres for hotel; 8 acres for yacht club; 300+ acres for parks
Nov. 2008: Phase II will occur in 3-5 yrs.; big infrastructure investment incl.

2B
dev'er has ~1,455 ac. for 1,162 homesite lots & ~330 fut. condos; so ~1,492 total housing units;

2C

2C
Rough Hollow (Highlands) pot.condos to develop with higher density units nearer the end of the projection period as Rough Hollow gets more built-out could be very oriented to students or could be oriented ot 2nd homeowners
2011: by The Overlook, expect TH's/condos-6/ac.;

S. off R.O. Dr.: James Spencer has 15 ac.; Laas Sara Puig has 20 ac.;

Jett Revocable Trust has 13.47 ac.; Travis Hausman has 11.48 ac.;

Steven Arnold has 15 ac.; Glennis Simmons has 10 ac.;

Kyle Workman has 10 ac.; Paul Workman has 10 ac.;

NEW
S. Shore Yacht Club & Marina; Las Ventanas also has Lakeway Highlands

Life N Dove - 12.5 ac.; Hans Huth has 11.17 ac.; Robert Folk has 25.6 ac.;

HOUSING TOTAL:
w/Rough Hollow (1,500 ac.); Potter: 340 condos & 1,404 SF=1,744 units;

Yan Zhou has 10.06 ac.; Richard Tyler has 15.06 ac.;

OCCUPANCIES:

Christopher Mollo=20.36 ac.; Kenneth Decker=14.17+ 11.47= 25.64 ac.;

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

1 7 11 11 7 10 10 11 13 15 13 46 62 108 73 78 86 125 357 482 65 55 49 43 31 2 2 1 0 1 2 2 3 4 3 5 14 19

0 0 0 20 50 50 50 50 50 50 70 250 320

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.45

0.36

0.08

83

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Rough Hollow-Enclave


81 total lots; gated Dec. 2010: 4 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC, 5 dev'ed lots & 19 undev'ed lots LTBO Nov. 2009: 4 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC 5 dev'ed lots LTBO & 21 undev'ed lots LTBO; prices are $1.4 and up custom homesites in the $1.5 mil. and up 32 dev'ed lots LTBO; 95'-100' wide; 47 dev'ed lots LTBO; 60'-65' wide, $380s builders: Coventry & Scott Felder Homes Nov. 2009: 8 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 1 UC & Nov. 2009: 9 Occ'ed, 3 Avail., 0 UC, & 29 dev'ed lots LTBO; 41 dev'ed lots LTBO; Dec. 2010: 11 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 1 UC & Dec. 2010: 11 Occ'ed, 3 Avail., 4 UC & 28 garden homes 42 total lots 59 total lots

2C
Rough Hollow-Yacht Club Villas Rough Hollow-Waters Edge Rough Hollow-East Rim

2C

2C

2C

2C
Rough Hollow-The Bluffs
53 total lots Dec. 2010: 5 Occ'ed, 2 Avail., 0 UC & 46 dev'ed lots LTBO Nov. 2009: no home construction but infrastructure is in place now custom homesites in the $800s

Dec. 2010: 18 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 1 UC & 62 dev'ed lots LTBO Phil Briggs 800-984-3810; $729s-78'-85' wide

Nov. 2009: 18 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 1 UC & 62 dev'ed lots LTBO

NEW
Rough Hollow dev.=Haythem Dawlett

HOUSING

builders: Monterey Homes & custom home builders

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

2 4 8 10 12 11 10 6 0 0 36 27 63 0 24 0 24 0 21 10 31 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 7 5 6 6 5 5 4 9 11 10 4 2 0 0 0 42 6 48 5 3 7

8 10 9 9 8 0 0 0 0 0 44 0 44

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.28

0.08

0.55

0.27

0.4

84

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Rough Hollow-The Woodlands Rough Hollow-Cypress Ridge


64 total lots Dec. 2010: 8 Occ'ed, 5 Avail., 1 UC & 50 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: roads being constructed; 80'-85' wide lots; $300s and up builder: Grand Haven Homes Nov. 2009: roads are being put in Grand Haven Homes Dec. 2010: no activity Expect ~80+ ac. to be SF or townhomes builders: Standard Pacific & W. of Serene Hills Elementary and Lakeway MUD as Las Ventanas 4 UC & 78 dev'ed lots LTBO; S. of Lake Highlands Blvd. & City of Lakeway Dec. 2010: 0 Occ'ed, 6 Avail., but this dev. is 33 SF lots on 46 ac. ~126 ac. excluding 88 total lots (Bill & Robt Arhos had 31 ac.), 15+ ac. which =

2C
Madrone Canyon dev. as Highlands Blvd. is opened; and builds out TOTAL: 6 parcels of Parcels will Flint Rock Estates
July 2008: built-out older, small subd.

2C

2C

2C

2D

2D

2D

2E

2E
Creekside at Flintrock
11 total lots on Kaden Way Dec. 2010: no construction; Nov. 2009: no construction
on 33.25 ac.-100' wide lots

Rough Hollow-Overlook

55 total lots

Dec. 2010: 1 Occ'ed, 3 Avail., 0 UC &

51 dev'ed lots LTBO

NEW TOTAL: Nov. 2009: no activity

Nov. 2009: 0 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 3 UC, &

HOUSING

52 dev'ed lots LTBO; lots are 60'-65' wide; $300s

OCCUPANCIES:

builder: Grand Haven Homes

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

5 41 61 103 146 178 146 140 131 128 136 529 681 1210 1 0 21 12 33 1 5 5 6 7 1 3 3 6 6 8 10 4 33 37 6 0 2 0 9 12 12 9 5 1 1 0 0 49 7 56 0 65 23 88 0 1 9 13 17 15 13 9 12

0 2 6 8 9 8 11 7 9 10 25 45 70

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 0 0 7 4 11

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

12

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

15 1 0 0 0

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

12

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

0 53 1 54

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.4

0.4

0.22

0.63

0.3

1.5

0.18

85

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Majestic Hills Ranchettes & Norman Myers has tracts of 15+23+41 ac.
along the Westside of PU and other large landowners are developed ranchette lots Dec. 2010: built out Nov. 2009: 35 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 2 UC & 2 dev'ed lots LTBO

2E
Harriette Wells has 20.12 ac.- rd cuts through tract existing subdivision, which is built-out Wells tract will be opened up with Serene Hills now complete; arterial to be thoroughfare through PU & to also open up Heard tract (2nd means of access) TOTAL: Travis County has 1,160 ac. Lick Creek Ranch

2E

2E

2E

3A

3A

3A
Dec 2010: Cheyne Pace has 44 & 32 & 68 ac.;
Moran Family has 207 ac.; Dzogchen Foundation has 25 ac.; Thomas Edwards has 32+37=69 ac.; Melvin Parse has 32 ac.; Arthur Sharplin has 62 ac.; Bodhicitta Trust has 38 ac.; Blazing Saddles Real Estate=30.7 ac; and ~67 3-15 ac. dev'ed tracts off both sides of Little Creek mainly will remain large homesites for SF homes

Lake Country Estates

19 toal lots

Dec. 2010: 15 Occ'ed, 0 Avail.,

0 UC & 4 dev'ed lots LTBO;

NEW

Nov. 2009: 15 Occ'ed

HOUSING

& 4 dev'ed lots LTBO

OCCUPANCIES:

Nov. 2008: 15 Occ'ed

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

1 2 2 4 9 6 11 10 12 14 17 23 64 87 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 14 58 72 13 11 9 8 5 6 3 0

1 2 1 3 1 1 1 0 2 2 8 6 14

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

0 2 2 4

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.27

0.63

0.63

0.45

0.37

0.45

86

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT West Cypress Hills -1,481 tot. lots-all phases (Topfer Family-Castletop Capital=dev'er-starting Ph. 3 in ~3 to 4 years)
Dec. 2010: 113 Occ'ed, 12 Avail., 3 UC & 103 dev'ed lots LTBO; developer (Allen Topler)=858.7 ac. to build Ph. 2 & 3, which should have ~1,050 to 1,250 fut. lots (Castletop Capital Rutter LP); builders in 2011: Milestone & Streetman Homes; Jan., 2011; dev'er states that there should be 45 closings in 2011; 60 in 2012; 80 in 2013; 90 in 2014; 100 in 2015; Nov. 2009: 89 Occ'ed, 7 Avail. (2 models), 2 UC, & 133 dev'ed lots LTBO, & still 192 undev'ed lots left in Ph.1; Nov. 2008: dam problems previously & sediment that polluted Lick Creek; 423 total lots in 1st phase & West Cypress Hills/The Creek; need 2nd water well to continue develop;

3A

3A

3A
Jeff Maddux ~130 ac. S. on Hwy 71, but
Driftwood Land Co. (Ranches and Rivers Realty) (but, could still have high density in 3-4 yrs.);

Lenora Reimers=~298 ac.; as of Dec. 2011, Reimers nephew

had 292 ac. for sale & Mrs. Reimers may still reside on tract;

Precinct 3 Co. Comsr. Huber has not wished to construct Reimers-

Peacock Rd.; also, "Hamilton Pool Rd. Scenic Corridor" has lobbied

also, likely 1+ ac. residential because have a prelim. plat for ~120 ac. w ~92 lots;
Alan Topfer has offered water supply; & LCRA also could provide sewer in 5+ yrs, so could have MF)

NEW

against it; but the engineering study for this road is complete, and

HOUSING

Comsr. Huber may not stop dev. if LTISD needs, etc.

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 0 0 3 15 17 21 21 24 28 18 111 129 70 197 335 532 70 70 70 55 52 49 45 32

19

0 0 0 7 9 12 13 15 17 18 16 75 91

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.37

0.76

0.56

87

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Perdenales Canyon


PU=difficult for MF on Hwy 71 w/no trt. plant; this PU is dependent on well water; but could have 2,000-8,000 housing units, if Citgy of Marble Falls provides water, i.e., pipeline cost=$1.25 mil./every 5 mi. LCRA will not likely supply-new philosophy; b ut, there are still plans to get a strong MUD underway 32 lots Dec. 2010: 22 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 10 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: 22 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC, & 10 dev'ed lots LTBO

3A
RGK Ranch - Kozmetsky & RGK Rentals - 1,561 ac.; 1,400 maximum

3A

3A

3B
lots based on water and waste water commitments fromTravis County (Rick Wheeler); Nov. 2011: No activity: held in trusts for children/grandchildren by Greg Kozmetsky & his sister These parcels will not begin dev. until 1/2 or even 3/4 of Sweetwater is complete; SW off Hwy 71 and west of Sweetwater subdivision (family is enjoying parcels as recreational at this time & may donate parcels to have as a park/conversation area; otherwise, there will be ~350 MF units

3B

Vistas at Pedernales Canyon Trail

10 total lots - off Pedernales Canyon Trail

Dec. 2010: no activity;

Nov. 2009: no construction yet;

NEW TOTAL

Nov. 2008: may be using only rain water

HOUSING

containment as the only water supply

OCCUPANCIES:

no wells & no LCRA

TOTAL

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 20 37 49 65 78 90 106 108 114 119 249 537 786 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 1 2 0 1 1 0 6 4 10 1 4 6 10 0 1 1 3 0 1 2 1

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.37

0.35

0.34

88

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Ranches at Hamilton Pool


17-121 ac. lots w/29 total lots, but only 20 lots in District Dec. 2010: 5 Occ'ed & 15 dev'ed lots LTBO; slow to develop; Nov. 2009: 5 Occ'ed & 20 dev'ed lots LTBO; 0 UC, & 6 dev'ed lots LTBO Nov. 2009: 8 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., Dec. 2010: 8 Occ'ed & 6 dev'ed lots LTBO; out of the Dist. on the W.) 14 total lots (have to access best off FM 12 &

3C
Stagecoach Ranch Rajendra Persaud has 10 ac.; Steven Steigmeyer has 10 ac.; Jimmy Nassour has 100 ac.; Michael Sanders has 10 ac.; Jonathan Dahm has 64 ac.; Randy Heckman has 26 ac.; Herbert Chapman has 15 ac.; Robert Dorsett has 20+13= 33 ac.; Calicanto Construction - 26 ac.; Jueri Svjagintsev has 17 ac.; all tracts are south off Hamilton Pool Rd. 2009: Petite Rancho=72.5 ac.; Davis Floyd=288 ac. S. off H. Pool

3C

3C

3C

3C
Nov. 2009: Steve Sivley has 22 ac.; Paul Calabro has 25 ac.; Arthur Costello has 21+17= 38 ac.; Ruby Sisk has 22 ac.; Robin Moore has 22+21= 43 ac.;
all tracts are nrth off Hamilton Pool Rd.

Hamilton Hills

Dec. 2010: 19 Occ'ed & 24 dev'ed lots LTBO;

Nov. 2009: 16 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC, &

27 dev'ed lots LTBO;

NEW

2008: 2 houses listed for $600+

HOUSING

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

1 1 2 2 3 2 2 1 1 0 9 6 15 1 3 3 6 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 2 3 2 3 3 4 1 3 8 14 22 1 0

1 0 1 0 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 17 21

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

0 14 10 24

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.34

0.22

0.28

0.36

0.49

89

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Mary Ann Harrison Holland-1,475 ac.- 2 sisters


(sister's husband: William [Bill] Huthnance-former Frost Bank Pres.)

3C
Madrone Ranch 34 sites, equestrian focus, custom homes
large custom homes, 223 total lots in 2 phases Dec. 2010: 39 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 8 UC, 120 dev'ed lots LTBO & 55 undev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: 37 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 2 UC, & 120 dev'ed lots LTBO developer is planning on having another 63 lots in the future dev'er: Joel Robuck (214)361-7830 - Eng. John Clark LJA Co.

3C
Belvedere avg. parcel size=3 ac.;
Dec. 2010: 14 Occ'ed & 20 dev'e d lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: 14 Occ'ed & 20 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2008: 7- 8 houses occ.
TOTAL

3D

3D

3D
Destiny Hills
built out

N. of Hamilton Pool Rd. & over to LTISD boundary; may sell 200 ac. as of 2010; & have concept plan in west portion of 3C, but no commitment for utilities (i.e., no water or sewer);

NEW

HOUSING

these parcels are referred to as Peacock Ranch - for both sisters' tracts

OCCUPANCIES:

could potentially dev. up to 1/2, but very rugged terrain, esp. in east;

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 4 5 9 20 29 34 42 42 39 41 67 198 265 1 5 6 11 2 0 2 1 1 2 0 1 10 11 12 12 14 15 15 16 16 53 76 129 0 0 11 18 24 29 30 32 33 29 148 177

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.36

0.4

0.79

1.71

90

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Sweetwater Ranch (Lazy 9 Ranch) - Pedernales Summit Pkwy=UC; plan=1,808 lots; LCRA contract for water; expect 20-30 ac. of MF w/own MUD sewer system and own opportunity for affluent spray for large parcel anticipate 300 or more units in reserve parcel -- which will develop later in the projection period
unknown price in Nov. 2010; Perdernales Summit Pkwy. will continue to have construction; LCRA contract for water; has own MUD; (orig. up to 3,200 lots on ~1,000 ac.) Engineer: Rick Wheeler of Malone/Wheeler; replica of Lake Pointe , so 50'+ lots Don Fry suggests they sold 1000 ac. & will dev 1000 homes

3D
Sweetwater Ranch (Lazy 9 Ranch) - Pedernales Summit

3D

3D
Creeks Edge - 32 lots platted
Competitive Design Development-59 ac. Michael Moore Group = dev'er (Ed Moore) 512-442-0377; 900 feet N. of Caudill Ln. & Hamilton Pool Rd. Dec. 2010: no activity

Dec. 2010: Bank Midsest reclaimed tract in auction for $34 mil., then bought by Wheelock Street Capital for

original plan was on 1,000 ac. with 1,808 lots; Wheelock will newly capitalize MUD for ~1,700 units

NEW

HOUSING

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 9 35 48 55 60 65 90 100 110 147 425 572 50 50 50 50 100 250 350 50 50 50 0 0

0 2 4 5 6 6 4 3 1 1 17 15 32

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.51

0.17

0.51

91

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Following tracts=no water: Preservation Ranch=445+367+113= 925 ac.; Serengeti Fdtn has 393 ac.; John Graul has 138 ac. Michael Murphy = 399 ac.; Jan Harris = 396 ac.;
but part of Grumbles~350 ac.=newly152 ac. for sale & these tracts are just E. of the planned new high school site ; [old rd. out to Hamilton Rd. is in other portions of the Grumbles parcels]; this 152 ac. is also in ETJ w/no zoning; expectMF w/sewer from Sweetwater (see next col.), & office/warehouse space -- all in the 152 ac.; In this PU, ~90 ac. has caves, springs, waterfalls, & hiking trails (portion is just E. of Sweetwater)

3D
Artie, Robert, Carolyn, & Ferrell Grumbles parcels: Jan., 2011: no activity, 73+76+78+ 110= 337 ac.,

3D

3D

3D
Artie, Robert, & Ferrell Grumbles parcels: should have one reserve tract that will be MF, but this cannot occur without wastewater line S. along Hwy 71 from Lowe's w/line out to potentially W. Cypress Hills
(one portion of Grumbles land is S. of Hamilton Pool Rd).; expect long-term potential for MF

Henry Heffington has ~196 ac.;

or, up to 300 ac., but not on Travis CAD;

& is putting in an improved road &

already had entitlements for

JPH Capital LTD=484 ac.; John Hatchett = 425 ac. Cecil Perkins has ~45 ac.; & Ann Bettis has 201 ac. LCRA may decline new subdivisions in long-term; rugged terrain Parcels above & 1 sm. tract=~3,500 ac., but no water yet

NEW

water supply, evidently

HOUSING

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 0 0 5 9 11 13 15 15 17 14 71 85 13 14 14 17 20 70 90 12 11 7 2 0

0 0 0 0 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 250 300

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

11 10 42 52

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.51

0.31

0.49

0.12

92

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Rocky Creek


Dec. 2010: 0 occ'ed, 1model avail.,14 UC, 155 dev'ed lots LTBO & 244 undev'ed lots LTBO builders: Drees & Highland-$300s ; Nov. 2009: constructing the roads & establishing infrastructure, prelim plan is 414 lots with plenty of green space; Nov. 2008: was James Kerby=dev'er; was Rebecca Hudson's-512-264-9165; Kerby = 676 ac. W. of Dr. P. Spgs-Scenic Gardens have sewer treatment plant & Geo. Murfee=getting H2O to site; $5-6 million needed for wastewater trt. plant; Initial plan for 464-480 lots on 500 ac. w/300 ac. green space;

3D
and Highland Creek Lakes

3D

3E

3E
Twin Lake Hills; Valley Lake Hills; Mountain Creek Lakes; Dec. 2010: 318 Occ'ed, 5 Avail., 5 UC & 738 dev'ed lots;
Nov. 2009: 313 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 3 UC & 750 dev'ed lots LTBO; slow growth do to infrastructure & expect several double lots; will have continued in-fill, but needs improved infrastructure (water)

Bee Cave West

(N. off Hamilton Pool Rd.

& S. of Hwy 71)

built-out

NEW TOTAL

HOUSING

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 9 22 53 133 199 210 220 245 257 273 416 1205 1621 27 67 125 192 27 25 24 22 19 16 14 11

6 9 11 13 11 12 12 13 13 12 50 62 112

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

0 0 0 0

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.23

0.49

0.49

93

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Deer Creek & Hilltop Manor & new "Deer Creek" w/~$200,000 home values; Hilltop Manor- Dec. 2010: 9 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 8 UC, 118 dev'ed lots LTBO & 73 undev'ed lots LTBO builder: D.R. Horton ;
Nov. 2009: 128+80 lots w/ 60 dev'ed lots LTBO; grandfathered plat from 1972-starting home const.-2010; was ~1,000 ac.; August Kraft has 35 & 20 ac.; Elizabeth Speck=94 ac.

3E
Elmer Puryear =425 ac may dev. soon (2011: Jeff Maddux);
Artie Galbreath=65 ac.; Saati Family=56 ac.; other small parcels; plus, Robert Ayres=~140 ac. & Patricia Ayres=40 ac.; & other small tracts, incl. new purchase of 15 ac. by Harold Sawyer

3E

3E

3E
Saddletree Ranch (~2/5's of this subd.
is in the District) built-out

3E

West Cave Estates

Dec. 2010: 105 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC

& 55 dev'ed lots LTBO;

Nov. 2009: 105 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., in this new development of Deer Creek; older parts of Deer Creek has many complaints about water supply; for new dev., water from LCRA (older homes=Deer Creek Water Corp) Nov. 2009: Driftwood Land Co. has 98 ac. termed new "Deer Creek"; could add another ~330 SF lots in the future

Dec. 2010: Driftwood Land Co. has 98 ac. termed new "Deer Creek";could add another ~330 SF lots in the future

NEW

0 UC, & 55 dev'ed lots LTBO

HOUSING

Nov. 2008: capable of further in-fill, but

in this PU, but Ayres have 6,692 ac. in this PU & in


PU 3F; all these parcels are S. off FM 3238 (Hamilton Pool Rd.)

OCCUPANCIES:

needs improved infrastructure (water)

TOTAL

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

1 12 14 17 20 23 26 26 27 28 72 130 202

0 0 0 3 8 14 18 21 24 26 11 103 114

0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1

23 33 41 51 61 73 82 86 92 95 209 428 637

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2 8 8 16

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.48

0.49

0.49

0.76

94

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT The Homestead built-out


S. of, Hwy 71 could be MF & mixed 2010 sold or renamed: MRW GRIT LTD w/ 201 & 202 & 6 & 20 & 23 ac. & part of 255 ac. in this PU south of The Homestead subdivision-owns parcels down to Barton Creek

3F
Meadow Fox Ests built-out use, including CCNG's 31 ac. for potential TH's/ condos or lofts TOTAL
(part could become preserve/park)

3F
Other smaller parcels along, and Mitchell Wong did own, but in

3G

3G

3G

3G

3G

3H
Spanish Oaks @ Bee Cave - 2011; moving out of bankruptcy
gated; 477 total lots; $600-$2.5 mill. 100'-200' wide lots, except Spanish Oaks/Verde w/20 - 70' lots Dec. 2010: ~108 occ'ed (excl. Verde) and ~12 under construction Nov. 2009: 93 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 4 UC, & 245 dev'ed lots LTBO developer still has 134 lots still to develop in the future

Robert M. Jr. & Patricia Ayres =

6,499 ac. in this PU, & ~160 ac.

in PU (3E); all these parcels are S.

off FM 3238 (Hamilton Pool Rd.)

NEW TOTAL:

w/no known dev. plans at this time

HOUSING

on Barton Creek to the E.; pot. for 50%

OCCUPANCIES:

to be conservation district or preserve

Nov. 2008: 39 occ'ed

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 3 30 33 0 0 7 0 0 5 33 34 36 30 165 195 0 0 6 32 0 0 4 30 0 0 3 20 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 10 23 34 38 38 41 44 33 195 228 0 0 0 0 0 0

14 15 15 16 15 14 15 15 15 15 75 74 149

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

0 0 0 0

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.49

0.47

2.17

0.08

0.35

0.43

95

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Cassandra Interests (was CCNG) has


83 + 18 + 14 + 11 ac.-expect part to be MF/TH's Limestone Springs=53 ac. CCNG still has 19 ac. S off Hwy 71 (TH's were planned) PASA=all the above investments=MF pot. or use as mixed use w/lofts or townhomes CCNG parcel could become more MF at 10/ac or 15/ac. & potential for park/preserve if bought out but access challenges PASA=expectation for SF, down to Barton Creek; Phil Mockford = 26 +12 + 42 + ~116 ac. which could be used for potential SF;

3H
William Formby=89 ac. on Barton Creek, Formerly Los Robles apts 293 units-across from HEB 95% Occ. Ratio = 0.14 built-out Windsor at Bee Cave apts Barton Creek Preserve

3H

3H

3H

3H

3H
The University of Texas parcels reach outside the School District, but 22 + 13 ac. & other parcels are in L.T.I.S.D. just N. of Barton Creek

3H
Senna Hills is out of the District

Verde Trails

20 lots

in Spanish Oaks

unknown no. occupied

NEW

as of Jan., 2011

HOUSING

OCCUPANCIES:

TOTAL:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

2 0 0 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 100 250 350 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

16 18 18 69 67 64 65 65 65 65 188 324 512

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

0 13 0 13

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.63

0.08

0.17

0.14

0.54

0.63

96

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT City of Austin


Nature Conservancy of Texas has 172 ac. and LCRA has 11 ac. - N. of Hwy 71

3J
Preserve at Barton Creek Mitchell Wong has no activity;
undev'ed parcel N. of Hwy 71 - 10.5 ac., but all other parcels are develooped likely commercial all lots built-out in past year mature, none sold or dev.

3J
Uplands has 333 + 162 +
167 = 258 ac.

3J
mature development

5A
Lake Pointe built out

5A
Lake Pointe-Canyon Vista built-out

Spring Creek Estates - CCNG = CR IV land had 116 ac.,

but only 50 ac. now owned by SBS Real Estate, w/earlier application for 30-34 condos

as well as applic. for SF lots (SF-20) via the Village of Bee Cave;

Dec. 2010: 2 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC &

in this PU S. of the CCNG parcels TOTAL:


land use

NEW

6 dev'ed lots LTBO, has plans for 64 future lots;

HOUSING

also, the remainderof CCNG=split between 8-10 other owners &

OCCUPANCIES:

Bee Cave expects potential for lofts or condos on these small tracts

TOTAL:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

1 1 3 7 9 12 15 11 8 3 1 32 38 70 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 9 12 15 11 8 3 1 32 38 70 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.61

0.72

0.63

0.97

0.54

1.19

97

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Lake Pointe-The Setting


West Travis County MUD 87.56 + 94.84 + 35.15 + 22.86 = 240.41 ac. -all in this PU, partially south of and adj. to River

5A
Lake Pointe-Vista Pointe 85 lots in this section
Dec. 2010: 10 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 9 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: 9 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC, & 10 lots LTBO

5A
Lake Pointe-Heritage Park has 41 ac. in the District, and parts of other tracts, but are predominately OOD; Stonehenge Star Prop's has 7.6 ac. on Lake Austin; TOTAL: 6D Ranch LTD built-out entire Lake Pointe dev.= is now 944 total lots $500-$3,000,000 are the diverse prices for these homes built-out built-out

5A

5A

5A

5A

5A

5A

5B
The Ridge at Alta Vista at Lakeway 287 lots total
Dec. 2010: 269 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 2 UC & 16 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: 265 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 2 UC, & 19 dev'ed lots LTBO 2008:17 homes UC &25 dev'ed lots LTBO

Lake Pointe-The Estates Lake Pointe-The Landing Lake Pointe-The Preserve

built-out

NEW

HOUSING

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 3 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0

1 1 2 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 6 3 9

3 4 5 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 17 1 18

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

0 0 0 0

2010 -11 RATIO:

1.08

0.9

0.77

0.78

0.9

0.55

0.54

98

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Enclave at Alta Vista


City of Austin=819.7+390.7 +

5B
Enclave at Alta Vista (is now Enclave South)
the 40 ac. at 3501 RM 620, but as of Jan., 2011, sale sign remained for 78 ac. (w/adj. 38.3 ac.); 2009: planned 147 townhomes/condos; but,in 2011: Village of Bee Cave (ETJ) suggests the orig. plan could be used, or more likely, MF as a Ph. II of Alta Vista Reserve; site is in ETJ; [Bury & Partners/Megan Perry were involved] adjacent 40 ac.; mixed use but still has a for sale sign with the 2011: Bee Cave has plat for 375 MF

5B
AmStar Southern Cielo may still own and 487.5 + 59 ac.; and City of Lakeway=100 ac. Alta Vista Reserve (is now Enclave North) Nov. 2009: built-out and Nov. 2009: built-out and fully occupied 92 total lots (w/42 in N. and 42 in S.) and 42 in S.) owner w/38.3 ac. TOTAL: 92 total lots (w/42 in N. SLC Austin Partners=likely still fully occupied

5B

5B

5B

5B

5C
Alexan Galleria 512-265-2500 309 total units 294 are occupied: Jan 2011 95% Occ. Ratio = 0.13

Patricia Murfin has 108

ac. adj. to Lake Austin

(also 148 ac. in PU 6A)

NEW

HOUSING

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 0 250 250 0 50 0 50 0 50 0 50 0 0 75 75 75 0 0 0 225 150 375 0 0 75 0 0 75 0 0 0

3 4 80 78 78 128 128 54 54 55 243 419 662

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

5 1 18 19

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.44

0.13

0.59

0.09

0.09

0.13

99

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT City of Austin


has 819.7 + 390.7 + 290 lots Dec. 2010: 157 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 2 UC &
built-out The Preserve was Cardinal Hills 4 & 6 131 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: 138 Occ'ed, 2 Avail., 3 UC, &

5C
Canyonlands at Cardinal Hills Trails
54 tot lots; (MS)

5C
Travis Oak 106 condos - 60'-80' wide lots $192-$700
The Courtyard was Cardinal Hills 4 & 6

6A
Terrace at the Preserve Courtyard at the Preserve

6A

6A

6A

6A
Vistas at Lakeway - townhomes
102 Glen Heather Ct.-was Toll Brothers (Toll's no. is 512-263-8490); original plan for 175 units, but, as of 2011, may be 150;

~40+ TH's could dev. on small tracts off RM 620 487.5 + 59 ac. City of Lakeway has
& newly platted Dec. 2010: 34 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 12 UC & 6 dev'ed lots LTBO; Meritage Homes Nov. 2009: 28 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 3 UC, & 17 dev'ed lots LTBO

Also, 3 small tracts N.of Hwy 71 & E. of RR 620 could

evolve as MF, but City has more MF than allowed

as a percent of land use (Village of Bee Cave), so,

NEW
100 dev'ed lots LTBO; plans for ~45 more lots Trails East all built out

other than townhomes, expect 1 more MF max;

100 ac.; TOTAL:

Travis Oaks

Nov. 2009: built-out


July 2008: 30 LTBO
builder: Centex Homes

Jan. 2011: process of being repurchased


Dec. 2010: 32 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 to 5 UC & 9 dev'ed lots LTBO;

HOUSING

2011: Robert Rodriquez had Troublemaker Studios w/

OCCUPANCIES:

12.48 ac. N. of Pkwy., but trying to sell (on a rise);

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 0 0 6 7 8 6 6 2 0 0 21 14 35 9 23 35 58 0 0 0 0 8 0 6 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 19 0 19 5 0 0 6 0 0 4 0 2 6 0 4 4 0 7

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

2 8 10 11 16 19 22 22 18 0 47 81 128

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

0 21 14 35

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.12

0.25

0.18

0.32

0.64

100

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT
City of Austin 434 ac. & pt. of 487 ac.

6A
Fred Zimmerman has 6 ac.;
City of Austin has 433.8 & 460.4 + other ac. Travis County has 301 & 26+ other ac. & 17 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: no construction yet 0 UC, & 31 dev'ed lots LTBO Dec. 2010: 2 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC Nov. 2009: 54 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., between Meadowlark St. & Whippoorwill 2008: 8 lots LTBO & 15 lots total; 0 UC & 34 dev'e dlots LTBO; 31 lots on 5.9 ac.; $180-$250 Nov. 2009: 11 Occ'ed & 3 dev'ed lots LTBO Dec. 2010: 70 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., garden Homes

6A
Lake Oak Estates ~$1M homes;
Dec. 2010: 11 Occ'ed & 3 dev'ed lots LTBO;

6B
Mirabella Kollmeyer Springs/Enclave R. Hull = 9 ac.; R. Jones=5 ac.; Schmid Investments=33 ac.; MSMJM LAM has 56 ac that is
isolated & off Kollmeyer & on Lake Austin;

6B

6C

6C

6C

6C
Canyons at Cardinal Hills 316 lots in 3 phases
Dec. 2010: 255 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 6 UC & 55 dev'ed lots LTBO;

Patricia Murfin

has 148.5

ac. in this PU

adj. to Lake Austin

NEW
Christorpher Layton has 10 ac.

(also 108 ac. in 5B) TOTAL


all adj. to & on Lake Austin

Nov. 2009: 205 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 2 UC, & 22 dev'ed lots LTBO

HOUSING TOTAL

no known dev. plans

Kollmeyer Springs/Overlook
2008: ~3 lots LTBO

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 11 19 20 17 23 27 31 32 30 15 90 135 225 9 21 28 49 9 21 28 49 0 29 5 34 8 8 0 6 6 0 0 14 3 17 1 0 4 4 1 1 1 1 3 2 9 9 5 3 6 6 5 4 4 4 7 4 2 2 7 2 0

0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 3

7 8 9 9 11 8 6 2 1 0 44 17 61

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

6 1 19 20

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.15

0.37

0.67

0.29

0.33

101

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT
Laws Addition Marjorie Winborn

6C
Discovery Point (Honey Creek) mixed use; 3101-3209 RM 620 S.
S. of Lakeway Elem and E. of Lohmans, w/part used for a town center-lofts/mixed use; Also, continuation of Tuscan w/ age-restricted nursing/assisted living; Dec. 2010: no activity; plans for mixed use Nov. 2009: 13.5 acres-used for office/retail/restaurants 2 phases-finished with 1st phase & working on 2nd phase

6C
Lakeway MUD=82.5 ac. built-out
west of Laws Addition

6D
has 33.86 ac

6D

6D

6D

7A

7A
JTT Enterprises - 43.4 ac. & Witt-5 ac.
(Don Kahn did have JTT parcel) for

7A
The Summit *Assisted Living 95 units

Katherine Allen=12.4 ac.;

Jay Campana = 7.5 ac.;

& potentially L.T.I.S.D.

possible town center-mixed use that will have lofts, etc. and willl be pot. merged with current Glen Heather subd. to reposition this subdivision also

will sell off back half of

NEW TOTAL
Dawlett has no final plans for ~12 ac.

Lake Travis Elem., due to

HOUSING TOTAL

low trough (creek) making this

OCCUPANCIES:

this site not useful for sch. uses

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 13 18 20 19 19 13 9 3 1 0 89 26 115 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 2 11 12 14 16 18 19 13 79 92

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

6 6 17 23

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.33

0.9

0.56

0.07

0.08

0.23

102

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Lakeway


Lohman's Crossing Estates Nov. 2009: 37-38 occ'ed built-out as of 2009 upper SES custom homes which is in PU's 7A, 7B, 9A, 9B, 9C, & 9D is basically built-out built-out is basically 7B, 9A, 9B, 9C, & 9D which is in PU's 7A,

7A
Lakeway built out Arbolago on Lake Travis

7A

7B

7B

7C

7C

7D

7D

7E

7E
North Lakeway Village - Overlook at North Lakeway
71 SF lots; 60'-80' wide lots; 81.3 & 18 ac. on E. side of Clara Van

Lakeway

built-out

Dec. 2010: 31 Occ'ed, 5 Avail., 7 UC & 75 dev'ed lots LTBO builder: Ryland - $250-$270 Nov. 2009: 9 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 4 UC & 57 dev'ed lots LTBO

NEW TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL

HOUSING

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 0 0 0 2 11 12 14 16 18 19 13 79 92 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

14 18 20 17 12 4 1 1 0 0 81 6 87

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

0 0 0 0

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.25

0.25

0.19

0.69

0.61

0.42

103

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT San Casciano at North Lakeway


12 lots; $170s-$265s Dec. 2010: 0 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 1 UC
&108 either existing LTBO or fut. lots

7E
Round Mountain Ranch
4 lots Dec. 2010: land is being cleared just off Clara Van Dr. septic systems; WCISD # 17
[31 ac.=greenbelt? & 51 ac. of pot. mixed

7E
Lakeside at North Lakeway
Dec. 2010: ~19 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 2 UC,

7E
North Lakeway Village = 88 condos

7E

7E
(The Pinnacle of Lakeway - 512-266-6655) 88 units total w/heavy ratio of students now Ryland Homes-all No. Lakeway are on both sides of Clara Van now selling these condos -- 3 UC Jan. 2011: 15 occ'ed w/portion as 2nd homes

7E
Mira Lago at Harbor Hills-22 lots 8 lots with 3 homes UC and none occ'ed (just placed in ETJ for C. of Lakeway)

North Lakeway Village - Pinnacle at North Lakeway

88 total - builder: Ryland Homes & 11 dev'ed lots LTBO

Dec. 2010: 23 Occ'ed, 2 Avail., 6 UC & 59 dev'ed lots LTBO;

Nov. 2009: 7 units Occ'ed, 4 Avail., 12 UC, & 65 dev'ed unit lots LTBO

for 130 SF lots tot (Shannon Burke-2011) use? could there be other SF or MF?] builder: Ryland Homes

NEW

HOUSING

(total for all of North Lakeway Village is 160 ac.

OCCUPANCIES:

with both SF & commercial)

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

14 15 15 13 6 3 1 0 0 0 63 4 67 0 8 3 11 0 4 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 14 5 0 0 76 35 111 2 0 16 1 1 17 2 1 16 2 1 15 2 1 15

13

14 16 14 11 14 13 15 14 18 19 69 79 148

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.42

0.14

0.35

0.14

0.48

0.09

104

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Lakeway MUD has 75 ac. of which 18 ac. will be for
Dec. 2010: 8 older homes and MH; no new activity; Nov.. 2009: only had 8 occ'ed, old area with MHs and no activity but will ultimately build-out 2008: plans for 28 ac. owned by Don Kahn; to be mixed use; with some residential, & incorporating Glen Heather into a town

7E
Glen Heather built-out Lakeway Dawlett's fut. retiree living & also "mixed use", inl. lofts, maybe MF) & Larry Niemann's Trust of 35+ ac. that will be exclusively comm-no MF TOTAL
square concept w/lofts, etc.;

7E

7E

7F

7F

7G

7G

8A
Falconhead - The Champions
240 total lots - builder: Monterrey Homes Dec. 2010: 233 Occ'ed, 2 Avail., 3 UC & 4 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: 200 Occ'ed, 4 Avail., 1 UC & 35 dev'ed lots LTBO;

Bella Montagna Estates - 87 lots

Dec. 2010: 15 Occ'ed, 0 Avail.,

1 UC & 71 dev'ed lots LTBO;

Monterrey Homes

NEW TOTAL

$800-$1.5 mil. homes

HOUSING

$730-$1.8 mil.;

OCCUPANCIES:

septic systems; WCISD # 17

TOTAL

Nov. 2008: ~144 occ'ed& 96-99 LTBO

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

1 57 68 78 75 66 54 44 28 23 23 344 172 516 8 2 33 35 8 7 6 4 2 2 4 6 7 8 8 2 33 35 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 4 5 5 6 5 4 12 25 37 0 31 20 51 0 2 7 11 11 11 9 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

6 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 9

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.42

0.23

0.82

105

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Falconhead - The Legends


Dec. 2010: 15 Occ'ed & 1 dev'ed lot LTBO Nov. 2009: 15 Occ'ed & 1 dev'ed lots LTBO Nov. 2008: have ~15 LTBO & 13-14 LTBO Nov. 2008: ~53 occ'ed built-out and for some commercial Nov. 2009: built-out Nov. 2009: which could be used for more SF 66 total lots, 55' wide lots

8A
Falconhead - The Links St. Andrews
Spillman has 49 & 61 ac.,

8A
Falconhead completed in 2003 248 Total Units 91% occ. Ratio = 0.03 Falconhead Falconhead Apts.

8A

8A

8A

8A

8A
SW corner of Falconhead & RR 620 =MF Had been planned for MF; now Cottages (was MF w/Spanos-Greek billionaire for 300 units -- Barry Lewis had permitted for MF earlier)

Falconhead - The Heights

61 total lots - builder: Drees Homes

Dec. 2010: 37 Occ'ed, 1 Avail.,

1 UC & 21 dev'ed lots LTBO;

NEW

Nov. 2009: 37 Occ'ed, 0 Avail.,

HOUSING

0 UC, & 23 dev'ed lots LTBO

OCCUPANCIES:

Nov. 2008: 24 occ'ed

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

3 4 4 5 3 3 1 0 0 0 19 4 23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 25 32 103 135 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 19 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 30 50 50 50 50 50 20 80 220 300

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.76

0.27

0.47

0.83

0.52

0.03

0.09

106

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT (Cottages at) Spillman Ranch


51 detached units on 9.4 ac.S. off Falconhead Blvd. & N. Dec. 2010: 0 Occ'ed, 2 Avail., 4 UC & Nov. 2009: 39 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 1 UC, & 5 dev'ed lots LTBO Nov. 2008: 45 dev'ed lots & 6 lots LTBO; $300s-$400s;
250 lots orig. planned for 75-ac. & of this 250, 185 were SF & 70 were condos; but now 32 ac. purchased for retirement cetner by ARC; WCISD #17

8A
Yaupon Creek
Dec. 2010: 42 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 1 UC & 2 dev'e dlots LTBO; almost built out; Nov. 2009: no activity yet Nov. 2008: 90 condos based on old general dev. plan approved by Austin & by Lakeway on both sides of the Creek & behind Lohman's Crossing retail

8A
Yaupon Creekside
Dec. 2010: no activity; for sale by C.B.R.E.;

8B

8B

45 dev'ed lots LTBO; builder: Ash Creek Homes-$230s 2009: trying to get a 51 unit develoment going, (shows GIS ownership as John Franklin

NEW TOTAL

HOUSING

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

3 12 13 21 56 77 78 72 71 73 45 179 339 518 0 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 7 9 10 10 8 2 1 1 0 39 12 51

0 0 7 13 18 22 19 8 2 1 38 52 90

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.16

0.03

0.12

107

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Tuscan Village


61 acres total; Mixed Use; also set up as an Age Restricted Community (55+) Nov.. 2009: built-out
community

8B
Retama Garden Homes
53 total 2008: all built out, w/1 LTBO in Est's misc. bldrs & $330-$1.2 mil 70-110' wide lots Dec. 2010: built out Nov. 2009: built-out 21 units Nov. 2009: an assisted living

8B
Hills of Lakeway Villas Greens Condos Vista Oaks at Lakeway

8B

8B

8B

8B
Lake Travis Community Library Dec. 2010: under construction at 1930 Lohmans Crossing

S. of Lohmans Crossing-104 S/F cottages, 66 TH's & 100 condo units = 270 total units on 42 ac.

also will have on this side: 30,000-60,000 sq.ft. of office/retail space & 10,000-15,000 sq.ft. Library

NEW
Nov. 2008: 1930 Lohmans Crossing, some S/F & M/F, remainder=office/retail/library

N. of Lohmans Crossing-210 M/F units & a 50,000 sq.ft. office/retail spce on 19 acres

HOUSING

Dec. 2010: 2 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 9 UC & 258 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: being cleared;

OCCUPANCIES:

TOTAL

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

9 13 17 20 22 24 26 27 27 29 81 133 214 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

10 14 25 33 40 46 45 35 29 30 122 185 307

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.66

0.47

0.47

108

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Falconhead West


Was Wm. Matthew Grumbles = 79.1 ac., but 57 ac., is now owned by Rocky Navarro and his partners; subdivided into 7 tracts-w/plans for recreational uses, incl.: Nitro Swim in-door Olympic (2-Pool) swim training center; pot.indoor soccer & lacrosse stadium-90,000 sq. ft.; pot. baseball batting cages; other entertain. uses & now NO MF since wastewater (sewer) to be provided by LCRA could be 5 yrs in fut. S. from Lowes down the S. side of Hwy 71 & now NO MF since wastewater (sewer) to be provided by LCRA could be 5 yrs in future,if at all; but could still hae 1 MF tract

8C

8C

8C

8D
Serene Hills - Drees Homes - 2011: new sec. 1 will be in NE;
300+ SF w/100 ac. of commercial; 2011: considering smaller lots & 40 ac. of greenbelt (no middle sch.); was Heard Brothers; Mason Wood=dev'er; SF-dev'er=Meredith 425 ac. recently removed from Austin ETJ to Lakeway ETJ Dec. 2010: no activity; but roads & infrastructure is going in;

152 lots in Ph. I and 301 future lots by Dec. 2009, so total of 453 lots;

Dec. 2010: 232 Occ'ed, 17 Avail. (7 are models), 28 UC & 176 dev'ed lots LTBO;

builders: Drees, Ryland, & Taylor Morrison Homes

NEW TOTAL

Nov. 2009: 91 Occ'ed, 23 Avail. (7 are models), 40 UC, & 148 dev'ed lots LTBO;

HOUSING

developer has 106 dev'ed lots still to be leveled; developer also is planning

OCCUPANCIES:

to put in another 45 lots in the future

Nov. 2009: roads & infrastructure are going in

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

131 131 84 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 221 0 221 84 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 221 0 221 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 8 17 25 32 35 37 40 42 45 82 199 281

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.66

0.12

0.67

109

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT New HEB


20 total lots Dec. 2010: 5 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 15 dev'ed lots LTBO on W. Tonkawa Trail Dec. 2010: no construction yet; Nov. 2009: no homes yet Not in GIS develop as SF/MF/condos there are 12 other small parcels just purchased 10 adj. acres Phillip Costa has 6 ac.; Edwin Ragan has 7 ac. & Lee Thomas=7 & 38 ac. & HJ Winnett has 5 ac.; Nov. 2009: 5 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 15 dev'ed lots LTBO off of Flintrock Rd. & 8 large lots S. of Flintrock; James Weems has 12 ac.; likely will become Prescott Stark has 26 ac.;

8D
Henning Heights 14 total lots Palomba at Flintrock Todd Knop has 18.5 ac. Andrew Heller has 10 & 5 ac.;

8D

8E

8E

8E

8E

8E
Flintrock Estates-Rusty Parker=dev'er;
R2 Development Prop. owns 101.2 ac. south off Flintrock Rd; now in City of Lakeway; as of2011: dev'er wants smaller lots, but still 15,000 sq. ft. lots; thus, new max.=2.9 lots/ac., so may increrase no. of lots; in the earlier July, 2008 plan, was to be 110 fut. lots

8E

Serene Hills - 300-400 MF

Trammel Crowe=builder as of July 2008

James Power Heard Jr tract.

and with advent of wastewater line W.

NEW so ~73 ac. potentially to TOTAL

down Hwy 71 to Vail Divide - planned 300-350

HOUSING

units for the "Serene Hills" MF

OCCUPANCIES:

TOTAL

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 0 8 17 75 82 85 57 90 92 95 182 419 601 1 8 5 13 1 9 5 14 7 2 20 22 2 0 5 1 1 4 1 1 3 0 2 1 1 2 1 2 3 3 2 4 3 4 15 19 2 3 0 1 3 2 1 1 1 1 0 0

0 0 5 9 13 15 16 16 17 18 27 82 109

2 2 12 15 19 21 24 24 28 30 50 127 177

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

50

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

50

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

50

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

20

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

50

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

50

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

50 100 220 320

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.17

0.44

0.5

0.5

0.5

110

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Ladera Ranch - earlier considerations for MF;


Vlg. of Bee Cave approv'ed 450 tot. units N. at intersection of Hamilton Pool Rd., but Bee Cave is very concerned about high ratio of MF to SF, so this may be stalled; also, the mixed use zoning for tract by Skaggs tract & S. of Home Depot will likely have some MF land uses/lofts/condos/TH's Village suggests the 1:1 ratio of MF to SF prohibits more MF) uses N. off Hwy 71 & W. off RM 620; (demand also for MF, but Also, other smaller parcels that will likely have only commercial likely mixed use & higher density incl. lofts/SF/MF/condos;

8F
Reese Commercial=19 ac.; John Paul Dejoria=18 ac. Tim & Brenda Skaggs=37+ ac.; PEM-JTOC=17 ac.; Kenneth Margolis (Pacific Summit Ptnrs)=36 ac. Estates at Cherry Mountain

8F

8F

8F

8G
Dec. 2010: 13 Occ'ed & 25 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: 12 Occ'ed & 26 dev'ed lots LTBO;
Nov. 2008: just been annexed by City of Lakeway and are 1-ac., single-family (R-1)

8G
Cherry Hill Farms (previously Hutto & Mitchum parcels) 28 large SF lots near Est's of Flintrock

PCG Summit Ladera Ranch -- 335 SF lots

has 51.8 & 30 ac. (formerly Edward Morgan)

Jan., 2011: no activity, but moving out of bankruptcy

with Taylor Morrison having under contract;

NEW TOTAL

50 ac. was to be 335 SF (incl. attached SF);

HOUSING

& rumored apts N. at intersection of Hamilton

OCCUPANCIES:

Pool Rd. (refer to the next col.) - on hold now

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 0 17 30 45 55 60 67 70 74 78 147 349 496 12 22 24 26 28 31 32 33 35 84 159 243 22 24 98 122 22 20 18 16 14 10 0 0

1 2 3 3 2 2 3 4 3 2 11 14 25

0 0 0 3 5 4 3 3 2 1 8 13 21

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

11

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

15

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

16

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

18

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

18

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

19

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

21 39 92 131

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.38

0.12

0.51

0.54

0.5

111

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Flintrock/Overlook 7 total lots; $750--$1.5 mil


358 lots - $400-$1.4 mill.-Mercedes Homes Dec. 2010: 204 Occ'ed, 3 Avail., 7 UC & 152 dev'ed lots LTBO Nov. 2009: Ph. I-built-out & Ph. II- 21 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 1 UC & 10 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2008: Thee are 15 LTBO in both phases 14 LTBO at Ph. II & 1 LTBO at Ph. I Dec. 2010: Villa I-built out, Villa II- 22 Occ'ed, 1 UC & 10 dev'ed lots LTBO; Villas Ph. I-45 units & Villas II-33 units Dec. 2010: 5 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 2 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: 4 LTBO, 1 Avail., 0 UC

8G
Flintrock/ Flintrock Falls Flintrock Falls/Villas I & Villas II
3 total lots

8G

8G

8G

8G

8G

9A
World of Tennis condos and Portion of Lakeway and Club Corp. Golf of Texas has 14.71 ac.

9A

Flintrock

The Overlook at

Flintrock/Bluffs

Pawnee Pass

7 tot. lots Nov. 2009: 184 Occ'ed, 4 Avail., 4 UC, & 150 dev'ed lots LTBO Nov. 2008: ~82 LTBO

$700-$1.2 mil & 2 dev'ed lots LTBO

Dec. 2010: 2 Occ'ed, 0 Avail.,

NEW

0 UC & 1 dev'ed lot LTBO

HOUSING

OCCUPANCIES:

TOTAL

all built out

TOTAL

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 2 4 85 77 162 0 12 0 18 0 23 0 20 0 19 1 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 10 0 19 2 1 17 3 0 16 2

14

18 21 24 27 27 26 29 25 17 7 117 104 221

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

0 0 0 0

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.45

0.48

0.45

0.44

0.06

1.07

112

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Lake Chandon


24 patio home lots NW corenr of Lakeway Dr. & Lakeway Blvd. Dec. 2010: 12 Occ'ed & 12 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: 12 Occ'ed & 12 lots LTBO July 2008: 6 UC & 18 dev'ed lots LTBO 0 UC, & 32 dev'ed lots LTBO Nov. 2009: 2 Occ'ed, 2 Avail., 0 UC & 30 dev'ed lots LTBO; Dec. 2010: 6 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., Nov. 2009: built out Dec. 2010: built out Dec. 2010: built out 36 total lots

9B
Stoney Creek Santorini Villas Lakeway Patio Homes The Boulevard at Lakeway Marina Village at Lakeway
70 total waterfront condos

9B

9C

9C

9C

9C

9C

9C

9D
Dec. 2010: 50 units are built & 20 units still need to be completed; Nov. 2009: but only 40 now built Nov. 2008: demolished the casitas &

9D
Built-out
portion of

9D
Lakeway

Lakeway/Waterfront

built-out

and portion of

Lakeway

NEW TOTAL

built-out

HOUSING

OCCUPANCIES:

TOTAL

started construction on the condos

TOTAL

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 4 7 9 9 7 2 2 0 1 0 26 4 30 1 1 0 36 6 42 2 3 2 2 0 1 1 0 0 10 2 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 5

7 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 0 0 35 2 37

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

7 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 0 0 35 2 37

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015 2015-2020 2010-2020

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.6

0.08

0.16

0.11

0.11

0.43

0.03

0.78

113

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Brooks Hollow built-out


Nov. 2009: built out Nov. 2008: 1 avail 3 vacant dev'ed lots and two other small parcels remain also have remaining tracts subdivisions are built-out Dec. 2010: built out are both built-out Leonard Marine Corp. Costa Bella townhomes and and

9E
Estates above Hurst Harbor 6 total lots lots ready for construction TOTAL TOTAL built-out & Lochan Ora addn. Lakeway/Cove Casa Verde Lakeway Annie Stewart Addn. MOF Yacht Harbor Mountain Acres

9E

9E

9E

9E

9E

9E

9F

9F

10A

10A

10A
Bella Strada - (previously part of Costa Bella)
Dec. 2010: 6 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 1 UC & 12 dev'ed lots LTBO; Nov. 2009: 5 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC, & 14 dev'ed lots LTBO July 2008: 4 homes avail. & 4 dev'ed SF lots ($1.3 mil-$2.5 mil) & 10 attached units

Cedar Glen III

on Brooks Hollow Dr.

Dec. 2010: 41 Occ'ed, 1 Avail.,

1 UC & 14 dev'ed lots LTBO;

NEW

Nov. 2009: 40 Occ'ed, 2 Avail.,

HOUSING

0 UC, & 13 dev'ed lots LTBO

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

2 3 3 4 5 2 2 1 0 0 0 17 3 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1 1 2 2 0 2 1 1 1 1 6 6 12

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015

13

2015-2020

2010-2020

16

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.15

0.42

0.2

0.75

0.12

0.3

0.1

0.24

0.46

0.17

114

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Costa Bella


built-out Gayle Elliott has 20 ac. all on & S. of Lake Travis & flood plain/floodway challenges; Milo Radojevich has ~39 ac.; NW off RM 620 & both MF pot. is also in PU 12B) built-out Willard Hanzlik has 47 ac.; &

10A
Vineyard Bay MUD # 17 has
18 total attached units platted; and Nov. 2009: 41 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 1 UC, & 13 dev'ed lots LTBO slow growth - because it is an older neighborhood 1 UC & 12 dev'ed lots LTBO Dec. 2010: 45 Occ'ed, 0 Avail.,

10A
Jess King has 6.47; RV Park 58 ac. in this PU and in PU 10C & Reserve at Hudson Bend other PU's
(part of this subd.

10B
Travis County La Hacienda Estates La Hacienda Estates Vista Grande

10B

10B

10B

10C

10C

10C

10C
13 smaller parcels
in floodway and on Lake Travis that can still be subdivided with 4 homes under const. at this time - need to channel & improve drainage for lots

10C
LCRA has two parcels in this PU

Buffalo Gap

built out

NEW TOTAL

HOUSING

OCCUPANCIES:

TOTAL

TOTAL

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 1 2 2 3 0 2 1 1 1 1 8 6 14 0 0 37 37 0 0 29 29 0 0 8 8 4 4 8 0 7 0 7 1 0 6 0 6 1 0 6 0 6 0 0 5 0 5 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 3 0 5 0 5 1 0 0 3 0 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 1 1 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 2 0 1 1 2 5 6 0

1 2 1 2 1 0 1 0 1 0 7 2 11 9

3 5 3 4 3 3 2 2 3 3 18 13 31

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015

2015-2020

2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.34

0.67

0.4

0.12

1.08

0.06

0.13

0.34

115

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Windmill Bluff Estates


Dec. 2010: 28 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 72 dev'ed lots LTBO Nov. 2009: 27 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC, & 48 dev'ed lots LTBO; has some streets unpaved & other 30 lots potentially from earlier planned development (dev'ed in 1950-60's) 2008: 14 vacant lots; 13 units condo const. & 10 for sale - but no SF activity 2008: ~94 occ'ed & project on hold due to poor const. & complaints Nov. 2009: 103 Occ'ed, 4 Avail., 5 UC, & 109 dev'ed lots LTBO; slow growth Dec. 2010: 111 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 2 UC & 107 dev'ed lots LTBO 119 lots in Miravilla & 102 in M. Hills- 221 tot. lots - $330-$850

11A
Maravilla & Maravilla Hills Apache Shores

11A

11A

11A

11B
Nov. 2009: basically built-out also refer to PU's 11D & 11E

11B
Balcones Canyonland Preserve, with
no development in this permanent environmental preserve

Cardinal Hills Estates

Dec. 2010: 49 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 61 dev'ed lots LTBO;

Nov. 2009: 34 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 29 dev'ed lots LTBO;

July 2008: S. of Foy Rd & N. off Killmeyer Rd.

NEW TOTAL

are $1 mil.+ homes with 3 LTBO & 25 vacant lots

HOUSING

OCCUPANCIES:

TOTAL

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

4 3 2 4 3 4 3 4 2 4 16 17 33 19 10 9 3 1 8 10 32 43 75 2 9 3 9 1 7 2 8 3 6 2 8 1 6

9 10 12 13 13 12 15 15 11 17 57 70 127

0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2

0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015

2015-2020

2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.45

0.57

0.33

0.66

116

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Highland Club Village Cashion development built-out


Dec. 2010: no activity Nov. 2009: no activity 51 dev'ed lots LTBO Nov. 2009: 12 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 2 UC, & ~44 dev'ed lots LTBO 2-4 new homes thisa decade with Windmill Est's adding still adding in-fill homes Dec. 2010: 28 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 2 UC &

11C
Cardinal Hill Estates II & Windmill Bluff Estates Highland Club Village

11C

11C

11C

11C

11C

11D
Apache Shores
Nov. 2009: built-out in PU 11 D also refer to PU's 11B & 11E

11D

Canyons at Lake Travis - 63 SF on 130 ac.

Preliminary Plan filed in Jan. 2008-CW Capital Fund One = 70 lots (63 SF, 6 Open, & 1 ROW)

Dec. 2010: no home construction, but infrastructure is in; waiting on varience; gated

Nov. 2009: no home construction yet; electricity and water and other infrastructure are in;

but approx. 18 ac. with MF/TH &


commercial potential

NEW

variance filed to build on steep slope, Planning Dept., City of Austin recommended acceptance

HOUSING

(part may have been planed Cloudy Ridge dev. w/398 apt. units, but need continued review)

OCCUPANCIES:

TOTAL

TOTAL

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

2 6 7 9 10 9 8 6 4 2 34 29 63 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 40 13 53 0 0 8 0 0 11 0 0 11 0 0 8 0 0 6

1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2

7 12 16 20 21 17 11 8 4 2 76 42 118

0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1

0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015

2015-2020

2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.66

0.22

0.34

0.33

0.43

0.66

117

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Travis Landing basically built-out


6 developed lots
was owned by William O. Keyes - 45.5 ac.

11E
Lakewind on Lake Travis The Enclave at Hudson Bend
22 townhomes total Dec. 2010: 10 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 12 dev'ed lots LTBO Nov. 2009: 2 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 6 UC, & 14 dev'ed lots LTBO some clearing of the land; Garret-Ihnen Engr. (Aaron Pesek - 512-454-2400) Nov. 2009: no home construction yet; land; Michael Marino-214-696-3968 Dec. 2010: no activity; some clearing of built out

11E
Beby's Ranch Point built-out Vistas of McCormick Mountain - 71 lots Commander's and
$500-$700

12A

12A

12A

12A

12A

12A

12A
Villas on Lake Travis (was Villas at Commander's Point)
Dec. 2010: 48 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 2 UC & 28 dev'ed lots LTBO; gated Nov. 2009: 48 Occ'ed & ~27 dev'ed lots LTBO July 2008: 50'wide lots; ~44 UC/occ'ed, 39

Apache Shores

Nov. 2009: basically built-out

in PU 11 E

also refer to PU's 11D & 11B

Lakewind Estates basically built-out TOTAL

NEW

HOUSING

vacant lots & 10 avail.; potentially 74 total lots when completed; $400-$800

OCCUPANCIES:

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 13 0 12 0 6 0 0 0 7 0 12 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 7 7 8 9 16 37 53 1 0 0 0 6 2 0 0 0 5 1 0 1 0 5 1 0 1 0 4 2 0 6 0 2

0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 3

2 2 3 4 3 4 2 3 4 3 14 16 30

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

2010-2015

2015-2020

2010-2020

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.66

0.12

0.68

0.12

0.44

0.06

0.67

0.05

118

Projected New Housing Occupancies by Subdivision and Planning Unit

Lake Travis I.S.D.

PLANNING UNIT Beacon Ridge Townhomes/Condos


Dec. 2010: no activity, some land clearing Nov. 2009: No construction; clearing the site In July 2008, applicant proposed to construct 50 condominiums with other associated improvements MRG 15 LLP may be the owner of the parcel

12A
Hudson Bend Colony Reserve at Hudson Bend basically built-out 2004: built-out
(part of this subd. is also in PU 10C)

12B
Emerald Point-plat submission and now in floodway of Lake Travis, but could have higher density residential land uses, and do not expect any commercial use TOTAL 16 parcels which are smaller 39 lots built-out

12B

12B

12B

12B

12B

12B
GRAND TOTAL

Woods of Lake Travis

built-out

NEW

HOUSING

Single Family Housing Total


0 6 10 12 18 14

MultiFamily Housing Total

OCCUPANCIES:

TOTAL

Dec 2010-Oct 2011

7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 14 50 2 0 36 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 11 1 0 14 3 3 4 4 4 5 8 20 28 0 0 10 2 1 0 7 2 0 0 5 1

Oct 2011-Oct 2012

12

Oct 2012-Oct 2013

Oct 2013-Oct 2014

11

Oct 2014-Oct 2015

10

Oct 2015-Oct 2016

14

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Oct 2016-Oct 2017

10

6 6 4 5 46 35 81

Oct 2017-Oct 2018

12

Oct 2018-Oct 2019

13

Oct 2019-Oct 2020

13

2010-2015

49

2015-2020

62

2010-2020

111

437 549 731 888 993 1,068 1,094 1,016 1,024 1,064 3,598 5,266 8,864
0.34 0.11 x

17 35 51 252 358 355 324 349 352 324 713 1,704 2,417

454 584 782 1,140 1,351 1,423 1,418 1,365 1,376 1,388 4,311 6,970 11,281

2010 -11 RATIO:

0.45

0.06

0.13

1.08

119

of Ratios

3 Students per Household


Ratios of Students per Household Single Family Housing

Whilethecommonassumptionisthateveryhomecontainsanaverageoftwostudents,inreality thisratioofstudentsperhomeisactuallymuchlower.MostsuburbanDistrictsaverageabout0.5 to0.75studentsperhomeoverall,butmoreimportantly,somespecificneighborhoodshave muchhigherandmuchlowerratios.ItisimportantforPASAtounderstandwhichneighborhoods aremorestudentorientedandwhichneighborhoodshousemoreemptynestfamiliessothat comparableratioscanbeappliedtotheprojectednewhousing.

Thefirstmapandchartinthischaptershowratiosofstudentsforsinglefamilyunitswithinmajor subdivisions.Theseratiosweregatheredthroughfieldworktoanalyzethenumberofcurrently occupiedhomesoneachstreetforrepresentativesubdivisionsthroughouttheDistrict. Theratiosofstudentsperhomerangedfrom0.00 to 3.00inspecificsubdivisions(withthe latterfromasubdivisionwithaverysmallsamplesize),andtheweightedaveragethroughoutthe Districtwas0.57studentspersinglefamilyhome. Thehighestratiosofstudentsperoccupiedhomewerefoundinthefollowingsubdivisions:

Planning Unit
2A 3G 3D 2A 5A 5A 10C/12B 9A 6C 5B 2A

Development
Bee Creek Ranchettes Meadowfox Estates Destiny Hills Tiburon Hills Lake Ponte - Canyon Vista Lake Pointe - The Estates Reserve at Hudson Bend Lakeway The Enclave at Kollmeyer Springs Ridge at Alta Vista Windy Walk Estates

Ratio
3.00 2.17 1.71 1.25 1.19 1.08 1.08 1.07 1.00 1.00 1.00

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

120

Thelowestratioswerefoundinthefollowingsubdivisions:

Planning Unit
10A 8E 9F 8B 2C 2C 10C 9C

Development
Buffalo Gap Henning Heights Lochan Ora Addition Retama Garden Homes Rough Hollow - The Overlook Rough Hollow - The Woodlands La Hacienda Estates RV Park Lake Chandon

Ratio
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.08

Suchdataarehelpfulinunderstandingwhystudentsaremoredenseinspecificlocationsand whichneighborhoodsareemptynestareas.Theyalsopointtoneighborhoodsthatare disproportionatelyorientedtoolderstudentsortoyoungstudents.Theratioshelptoestimate thegradegroupsthatwillliveintheseneighborhoodsovertime,and,mostimportantly,assistin establishingthepotentialratioofstudentspergradegroupforcomparablenewsubdivisionsand newapartmentcomplexes. Althoughtheseratiosareutilizedtoobtainprojectionsofaddedstudentsforallnewsubdivisions andPlanningUnits,itisnecessarytocontinueevaluatinglongtermtrendsintheratios,asthey willchangeasasubdivisionorapartmentcomplexages.

Ratios of Students per Household Multi-Family Housing 0.17

Inmultifamilyapartmentcomplexes,theratiosofstudentsperunitrangedfrom0.03 to inspecificcomplexes,andtheweightedaveragethroughouttheDistrictwas0.11 studentsper apartmentunit.Approximately831unitsofthe890withintheDistrictareoccupied(withan overall93%occupancyrate),with91studentsresidinginthoseapartments.WindsoratBeeCave hadthehighestratioofstudentsperunit,at0.17,whileFalconheadandMarinaVillageat Lakeway,bothhad0.03studentsperoccupiedunit.

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

121

Historical Trends in Ratios


Theratiosofstudentsperoccupiedhomeisslightlyhigherthisyearthaninpastyears,although thiscouldbeduetotheparticularsubdivisionschosenformeasurement.Overthepastfiveyears, theDistrictwideratioshaverangedbetween0.44and0.57,whicharelowforsuchahighly regardeddistrictasLakeTravisI.S.D.AstheDistrictcontinuestobeadesirableplaceforfamilies withschoolagedchildren,PASAanticipatestheratiosofstudentspersinglefamilyhomecould continuetorise.

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

122

Lake Travis I.S.D.: Ratio of Students per Single Family Home by Subdivision
Street Name Brass Buttons Trail Chisholm Trail White Dove Pass Whitebead Trail Branding Iron Pass Colt Dr 1.40 28 20 15 0.75 7 0.35 1.25 40 32 22 0.69 7 0.22 0.74 14 19 10 0.53 0 0.00 4 11 6 0.48 10 21 5 0.24 2 0.10 3 0.29 8 28 0 0.00 5 0.18 3 0.28 15 54 6 0.11 4 0.07 5 0.09 0.11 0.14 0.21 0.34 0.30 Ratio Students Homes Students Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Total # of # of

Planning

Unit

Subdivision

PK-5th

6th-8th

9th-12th

11B 11D 11E

Apache Shores

Weighted Ratio: 115 Percent by Grade Group:


Sendera Bonita Camino Arbolago Arroyo Claro 1.00 6 6 1 0.17 0.29 4 14 3 0.21 0.77 10 13 7 0.54 1 0 1

0.66 174 50%

58

0.33

25

0.14 22%
0.08 0.00 0.17

32

0.18 28%
2 1 4 0.15 0.07 0.67

7E

Arbolago
Weighted Ratio: 20 Percent by Grade Group:
Hornsby Hill Rd 0.18 4 22 4

0.61 33

11

0.33 55%
0.18

0.06 10%
0 0.00

0.21 35%
0 0.00

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

12A
Weighted Ratio: 4 Percent by Grade Group:
Avispa Way Cueva Circle Cueva Drive 0.22 0.00 0.29 4 0 2 14 3 9

Beby's Ranch
0.18 22

0.18 100%
0 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.11

0.00 0%
1 0 0 0.07 0.00 0.00

0.00 0%
3 0 1 0.21 0.00 0.11

3D

Bee Cave West


Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Dill Cir 3.00

0.23 6
3

1 26

0.04 17%
1 1 1.00

0.04 17%
1 1.00

0.15 67%
1 1.00

2A
Weighted Ratio:

Bee Creek Ranchettes

3.00 3 1

1.00 33%
0.17 1 6 0 0.00

1.00 33%
1 0.17

1.00 33%
0 0.00

Percent by Grade Group:


Bella Strada Cove

10A

Bella Strada

Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:

0.17 1 6

0.00 0%

0.17 100%

0.00 0%

123

Lake Travis I.S.D.: Ratio of Students per Single Family Home by Subdivision
Street Name Flagler Lynchburg Glenville Cv Bellancia 1.50 3 2 3 1.50 0 0.00 0 1.20 6 5 4 0.80 1 0.20 1 0.77 10 13 6 0.46 2 0.15 2 0.54 7 13 6 0.46 0 0.00 1 0.08 0.15 0.20 0.00 Ratio Students Homes Students Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Total # of # of

Planning

Unit

Subdivision

PK-5th

6th-8th

9th-12th

3D

Belvedere
Weighted Ratio: 26 Percent by Grade Group:
Lake Drive Rd Oak Ridge Dr Cory Ln 0.00 0 2 0 0.00 0.45 5 11 1 0.09 3 0 0.00 0 4 0 0.00 0

0.79 33 73% 12%


0.00 0.27 0.00

19

0.58

0.09

0.12 15%
0 1 0 0.00 0.09 0.00

1B

Big Bee Creek


Weighted Ratio: 5 Percent by Grade Group:
Brooks Hollow Rd (800-1113) 0.42 5 12 0

0.29 17 20%
0.00

0.06

0.18 60%
1 0.08

0.06 20%
4 0.33

9E
Weighted Ratio: 5 Percent by Grade Group:
Buffalo Gap Rd (1488-1899) 0.00 0 10 0

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Brooks Hollow
0.42 12

0.00 0%
0.00

0.08 20%
0 0.00

0.33 80%
0 0.00

10A
Weighted Ratio: 0 Percent by Grade Group:
Delsie Sledge Barrie Joseph 0.16 0.39 0.21 0.14 2 4 14 5

Buffalo Gap
0.00

0 10

0.00 0%
14 25 36 24 1 3 10 3 0.07 0.12 0.28 0.13

0.00 0%
1 0 2 2 0.07 0.00 0.06 0.08

0.00 0%
0 1 2 0 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.00

6A

Canyonlands at Cardinal Hills


Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Scott Blanchard Kinsey Richerson

0.25 25
2.00 0.29 0.00 0.00 4 2 0 0

17 99

0.17 68%
2 7 4 5 2 2 0 0 1.00 0.29 0.00 0.00

0.05 20%
2 0 0 0 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

0.03 12%
0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

11C

Cardinal Hill Estates II

124

Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:

0.33 6 18

0.22 67%

0.11 33%

0.00 0%

Lake Travis I.S.D.: Ratio of Students per Single Family Home by Subdivision
Street Name Oak Glen Oak Bluff Crescent Bluff (100-214) 0.19 4 21 2 0.10 0 0.00 2 0.00 0 15 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 5 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.10 Ratio Students Homes Students Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Total # of # of

Planning

Unit

Subdivision

PK-5th

6th-8th

9th-12th

9E

Cedar Glen
Weighted Ratio: 4 Percent by Grade Group:
Wild Cherry Peak Lookout 0.50 6 12 1 0.08 1 1.00 1 1 0 0.00 0 0.00 0.08

0.15 26 50% 0%

0.08

0.00

0.08 50%
1 4 1.00 0.33

8G
Weighted Ratio: 7 Percent by Grade Group:
Agarita Rd 0.67 2 3 1 0.33

Cherry Mountain
0.54 13 14%
1

0.08

0.08 14%
0.33

0.38 71%
0 0.00

12A
Weighted Ratio: 2 Percent by Grade Group:
Bella Cima Dr Bella Riva Dr Bella Vista Cv 0.17 1 0.70 7 10 6 0.77 20 26 12 5 0

Commanders Point
0.67 3 1

0.33 50%
0.46 0.50 0.00

0.33 50%
4 1 0 0.15 0.10 0.00

0.00 0%
4 1 1 0.15 0.10 0.17

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

10A 10B
Weighted Ratio: 28 Percent by Grade Group:
Cypress Knee White Magnolia Cir Juniper Berry 0.75 0.73 0.38 10 38 8 26 51 11

Costa Bella
0.67

17 42

0.40 61%
6 14 3 0.23 0.27 0.27

0.12 18%
2 11 2 0.08 0.22 0.18

0.14 21%
2 13 3 0.08 0.25 0.27

6A

Courtyard at the Preserve


Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Tradewind Dr Crosswind Cir

0.64 56
0.42 1.00 5 3

23 88

0.26 41%
12 3 2 0 0.17 0.00

15

0.17 27%
2 1 0.17 0.33

18

0.20 32%
1 2 0.08 0.67

1B
Weighted Ratio:

Crosswind

0.53 8 15

0.13 25%

0.20 38%

0.20 38%

Percent by Grade Group:

125

Lake Travis I.S.D.: Ratio of Students per Single Family Home by Subdivision
Street Name Destiny Cv Destiny Hills Dr 2.50 10 4 5 1.25 3 0.75 2 0.67 2 3 1 0.33 1 0.33 0 0.00 0.50 Ratio Students Homes Students Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Total # of # of

Planning

Unit

Subdivision

PK-5th

6th-8th

9th-12th

3D
Weighted Ratio: 12 Percent by Grade Group:
Timberline Dr Overlook Cir Edgewater Dr 0.08 1 13 1 0.08 0 0.29 2 7 0 0.00 2 0.00 0 4 0 0.00 0 0.00 0.29 0.00

Destiny Hills
1.71 7 50% 33%
0 0 0

0.86

0.57

0.29 17%
0.00 0.00 0.00

1B

Edgewater Beach
Weighted Ratio: 3 Percent by Grade Group:
1.00 11 11 2 0.18

0.13 24 33%

0.04

0.08 67%
6 0.55

0.00 0%
3 0.27

6C
1.00 11 Percent by Grade Group:
Bat Hawk Circle Bat Falcon Dr Hookbilled Kite Spillman Ranch Loop 0.79 92 0.73 19 0.83 19 23 26 116 1.04 25 24 11 9 12 54

The Enclave at Kollmeyer Circle Kollmeyer Springs Weighted Ratio:


2 11

0.18 18%
0.46 0.39 0.46 0.47

0.55 55%
6 3 5 13 0.25 0.13 0.19 0.11

0.27 27%
8 7 2 25 0.33 0.30 0.08 0.22

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

8A

Falconhead - The Champions


Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Heron Bay Cove Sugarloaf Dr Myrtle Beach Dr Piper Glen Dr 1.25 0.56 0.83 0.57 10 9 5 4

0.82 155 189

86

0.46 55%
8 16 6 7 9 1 4 2 1.13 0.06 0.67 0.29

27

0.14 17%
1 2 0 1 0.13 0.13 0.00 0.14

42

0.22 27%
0 6 1 1 0.00 0.38 0.17 0.14

8A

Falconhead - The Heights


Weighted Ratio:

0.76 28 37

16

0.43 57%
0.27 4 15 4 0.27

0.11 14%
0 0.00

0.22 29%
0 0.00

Percent by Grade Group: 0.27 4 Percent by Grade Group: 15 4

8A

Falconhead - The Gyrfalcon Cove Legends Weighted Ratio:

0.27 100%

0.00 0%

0.00 0%

126

Lake Travis I.S.D.: Ratio of Students per Single Family Home by Subdivision
Street Name American Kestrel Dr Coopers Hawk Cove 0.20 3 15 2 0.13 0 0.00 1 0.58 21 36 9 0.25 4 0.11 8 0.22 0.07 Ratio Students Homes Students Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Total # of # of

Planning

Unit

Subdivision

PK-5th

6th-8th

9th-12th

8A
Weighted Ratio: 24 Percent by Grade Group:
Broadwinged Hawk Dr (14300-14532) Broadwinged Hawk Cove (3700-3720) 0.29 2 7 2 0.29 0 0.96 27 28 12 0.43 8 0.29 0.00

Falconhead - The Links


0.47 51 46% 17%
7 0

11

0.22

0.08

0.18 38%
0.25 0.00

8A
Weighted Ratio: 29 Percent by Grade Group:
Vail Divide Swiss Alps Ct Mont Blanc Snowdonia Cv 0.71 10 14 5 0.66 37 56 17 0.14 1 7 1 0.14 0.30 0.36 0.72 38 53 23 0.43

Falconhead - St Andrews
0.83 35 48%
7 0 8 1

14

0.40

0.23 28%
0.13 0.00 0.14 0.07

0.20 24%
8 0 12 4 0.15 0.00 0.21 0.29

8C

Falconhead - West
Weighted Ratio: 86 Percent by Grade Group:
Henning Dr Shane Landon 0.00 0 0.00 0 4 1 0 0

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

0.66 130

46

0.35 53%
0.00 0.00

16

0.12 19%
0 0 0.00 0.00

24

0.18 28%
0 0 0.00 0.00

8E
Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Highland Dr (3700-4029) Lago Vista Dr 0.08 0.36 1 4

Henning Heights
0.00 0

0 5

0.00 0%
13 11 0 3 0.00 0.27

0.00 0%
1 1 0.08 0.09

0.00 0%
0 0 0.00 0.00

11C
Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Autumn Oaks Dr Stillmeadow Dr (1-75) Drifting Wind Run Falling Oaks Trl Hedgebrook Way

Highland Club Village

0.21 5
0.69 0.60 0.85 0.67 0.61 22 25 17 12 17

3 24

0.13 60%
32 42 20 18 28 8 7 9 5 8 0.25 0.17 0.45 0.28 0.29

0.08 40%
7 8 3 2 2 0.22 0.19 0.15 0.11 0.07

0.00 0%
7 10 5 5 7 0.22 0.24 0.25 0.28 0.25

8B

Hills of Lakeway

127

Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:

0.66 93 140

37

0.26 40%

22

0.16 24%

34

0.24 37%

Lake Travis I.S.D.: Ratio of Students per Single Family Home by Subdivision
Street Name 5220 Hudson Bend Road 0.06 6 104 2 0.02 2 0.02 2 0.02 Ratio Students Homes Students Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Total # of # of

Planning

Unit

Subdivision
Weighted Ratio: 6 Percent by Grade Group:
Lake Chandon 0.08 1 12 1 0.08 0 0.00

PK-5th

6th-8th

9th-12th

10C
0.06 104 33% 0.08 1 Percent by Grade Group:
Travis Vista Raynham Hill 0.00 0 4 0 0.00 0.43 3 7 2 0.29 1 0

La Hacienda Estates RV Park


2 33%
0

0.02

0.02

0.02 33%
0.00

9C
Weighted Ratio: 12 100% 0%
0.14 0.00

Lake Chandon
1 0.08 0 0.00

0.00 0%
0 0 0.00 0.00

2E
Weighted Ratio: 3 Percent by Grade Group:
Pointe View Dr 1.19 51 43 37

Lake Country Estates


0.27 11 67%
0.86

0.18

0.09 33%
9 0.21

0.00 0%
5 0.12

5A
Weighted Ratio: 51 Percent by Grade Group:
Carlsbad Dr Fairfax Ridge Pl Loomis Dr 1.31 17 1.03 30 1.05 62 59 29 13 37 13 9

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Lake Pointe Canyon Vista


1.19 43 37

0.86 73%
0.63 0.45 0.69

0.21 18%
13 7 5 0.22 0.24 0.38

0.12 10%
12 10 3 0.20 0.34 0.23

5A

Lake Pointe - The Estates


Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Sterling Panorama Ct Sterling Panorama Terrace 1.08 0.84 13 31

1.08 109 101

59

0.58 54%
12 37 7 16 0.58 0.43

25

0.25 23%
6 10 0.50 0.27

25

0.25 23%
0 5 0.00 0.14

5A
Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Windswept Dr Lake Stone Dr (11900-12220) Nevada Dr

Lake Pointe - The Landing

0.90 44
0.65 0.84 0.80 15 27 8

23 49

0.47 52%
23 32 10 6 20 7 0.26 0.63 0.70

16

0.33 36%
6 5 1 0.26 0.16 0.10

0.10 11%
3 2 0 0.13 0.06 0.00

5A

Lake Pointe - The Preserve

Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:

0.77 50 65

33

0.51 66%

12

0.18 24%

0.08 10%

128

Lake Travis I.S.D.: Ratio of Students per Single Family Home by Subdivision
Street Name Emerald Falls Sundown Dr Cascade Falls Dr 1.00 36 36 17 0.47 4 0.11 15 0.65 11 17 5 0.29 5 0.29 1 0.64 27 42 18 0.43 6 0.14 3 0.07 0.06 0.42 Ratio Students Homes Students Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Total # of # of

Planning

Unit

Subdivision

PK-5th

6th-8th

9th-12th

5A

Lake Pointe - The Setting


Weighted Ratio: 74 Percent by Grade Group:
Palisades Pointe Ln Sea Eagle View Pleasant Panorama View 0.77 30 39 12 0.31 9 0.96 25 26 15 0.58 6 1.05 23 22 7 0.32 6 0.27 0.23 0.23

0.78 95 54% 20%

40

0.42

15

0.16

19

0.20 26%
10 4 9 0.45 0.15 0.23

5A

Lake Pointe - Vista Pointe


Weighted Ratio: 78 Percent by Grade Group:
S El Dorado Saltillo Ct White Sands Dr 0.46 11 24 4 0.21 3 14 3 0.08 2 25 2

0.90 87 44%
0.08 0.21 0.17

34

0.39

21

0.24 27%
0 0 5 0.00 0.00 0.21

23

0.26 29%
0 0 2 0.00 0.00 0.08

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

7A 7B
Weighted Ratio: 16 Percent by Grade Group:
Lakeway Blvd Schooner Dr Tallstar Dr 0.47 0.96 26 9 1.39 61 44 27 19 21 16 5

Lakeway
0.25 63

0.14 56%
0.48 0.59 0.26

0.08 31%
18 6 2 0.41 0.22 0.11

0.03 13%
22 4 2 0.50 0.15 0.11

9A

Lakeway
Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Eagle Dragon Mariner 0.79 0.94 0.22

1.07 96
33 17 8

42 90

0.47 44%
42 18 36 17 9 3 0.40 0.50 0.08

26

0.29 27%
9 2 1 0.21 0.11 0.03

28

0.31 29%
7 6 4 0.17 0.33 0.11

9B

Lakeway
Weighted Ratio:

0.60 58 96

29

0.30 50%
0.39 0.39 0.60 9 24 12 23 61 20 3 12 6 0.13 0.20 0.30

12

0.13 21%
1 3 2 0.04 0.05 0.10

17

0.18 29%
5 9 4 0.22 0.15 0.20

Percent by Grade Group:


Biscayne Vanguard Blue Jay Dr

9C

Lakeway

129

Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:

0.43 45 104

21

0.20 47%

0.06 13%

18

0.17 40%

Lake Travis I.S.D.: Ratio of Students per Single Family Home by Subdivision
Street Name Porpoise Bermuda Sunfish 2.00 28 14 14 1.00 4 0.29 10 0.30 7 23 3 0.13 1 0.04 3 0.52 12 23 6 0.26 3 0.13 3 0.13 0.13 0.71 Ratio Students Homes Students Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Total # of # of

Planning

Unit

Subdivision

PK-5th

6th-8th

9th-12th

9D

Lakeway
Weighted Ratio: 47 Percent by Grade Group:
Challenger (905-1240) Electra Snapper 0.71 12 17 2 0.12 4 0.32 13 41 3 0.07 2 0.24 21 87 6 0.07 6 0.07 0.05 0.24

0.78 60 49% 17%

23

0.38

0.13

16

0.27 34%
9 8 6 0.10 0.20 0.35

9E

Lakeway
Weighted Ratio: 46 Percent by Grade Group:
Lago Viento Laguna Grande 0.71 5 7 4 0.67 16 24 4

0.32 145 24%


0.17 0.57

11

0.08

12

0.08 26%
3 0 0.13 0.00

23

0.16 50%
9 1 0.38 0.14

12A
Weighted Ratio: 21 Percent by Grade Group:
Ameno Dr Far Vela Ln 0.63 10 1.80 9 5 16 2 4

Lakewind Estates
0.68 31 8

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

0.26 38%
0.40 0.25

0.10 14%
2 4 0.40 0.25

10

0.32 48%
5 2 1.00 0.13

6D
Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Casablanca Ln 0.00 0

Laws Addition
0.90 19

6 21

0.29 32%
3 0 0.00

0.29 32%
0 0.00

0.33 37%
0 0.00

9F
Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Sailors Run Mooring Cir Deerhorn Ct

Lochan Ora Addition

0.00 0
1.18 0.67 0.32 20 26 6

0 3

0.00 0%
17 39 19 7 12 1 0.41 0.31 0.05

0.00 0%
4 7 3 0.24 0.18 0.16

0.00 0%
9 7 2 0.53 0.18 0.11

7D

Lohmans Crossing Estates


Weighted Ratio:

0.69 52 75

20

0.27 38%

14

0.19 27%

18

0.24 35%

Percent by Grade Group:

130

Lake Travis I.S.D.: Ratio of Students per Single Family Home by Subdivision
Street Name Kevin Pamela Ct Lariat Trl Sutton Dr 0.67 2 3 0 0.00 0 0.00 2 0.44 11 25 1 0.04 4 0.16 6 0.15 2 13 2 0.15 0 0.00 0 0.26 5 19 2 0.11 1 0.05 2 0.11 0.00 0.24 0.67 Ratio Students Homes Students Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Total # of # of

Planning

Unit

Subdivision

PK-5th

6th-8th

9th-12th

11A

Maravilla
Weighted Ratio: 20 Percent by Grade Group:
Cat Hollow Club Dr (600-1309) 0.11 4 36 2 0.06 1

0.33 60 25% 0.11 4 36 50%


2.17 13 6 5 0.83 4

5 25%
0.03

0.08

0.08

10

0.17 50%
1 0.03

1A
Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Lone Rider Trl (13700-13951)

Marina Club Villas


2 0.06 1

0.03 25%
0.67

0.03 25%
4 0.67

3G
Weighted Ratio: 13 Percent by Grade Group:
Debba Dr (15700-15816) 0.25 2 8 1

Meadowfox Estates
2.17 6 5

0.83 38%
0.13

0.67 31%
1 0.13

0.67 31%
0 0.00

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

10A
Weighted Ratio: 2 Percent by Grade Group:
Lambardia Bellagio Lake Como Montalcino 0.20 0.14 0.73 0.00 0 11 1 1 4 15 7 5

Mountain Acres
0.25 8

0.13 50%
0 6 1 0 0.00 0.40 0.14 0.00

0.13 50%
0 3 0 1 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.20

0.00 0%
0 2 0 0 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.00

7E

North Lakeway Village


Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Whitney Dr Leatha Ln Lakeview Dr 0.29 0.00 0.09

0.42 13
5 0 2

7 31

0.23 54%
17 13 23 1 0 0 0.06 0.00 0.00

0.13 31%
2 0 0 0.12 0.00 0.00

0.06 15%
2 0 2 0.12 0.00 0.09

1A

Old Ferry
Weighted Ratio:

0.13 7 53

0.02 14%

0.04 29%

0.08 57%

Percent by Grade Group:

131

Lake Travis I.S.D.: Ratio of Students per Single Family Home by Subdivision
Street Name Top of Texas Trl Texas Wildlife Trl Native Texas Trl 1.00 3 3 1 0.33 1 0.33 1 0.53 8 15 5 0.33 2 0.13 1 1.00 7 7 5 0.71 2 0.29 0 0.00 0.07 0.33 Ratio Students Homes Students Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Total # of # of

Planning

Unit

Subdivision

PK-5th

6th-8th

9th-12th

Preserve at Barton Creek


Weighted Ratio: 18 Percent by Grade Group:
Laguna Cliff Ln French Harbour Ct 1.20 6 5 2 0.40 3 1.06 34 32 21 0.66 8 0.25 0.60

0.72 25 61% 28%

11

0.44

0.20

0.08 11%
5 1 0.16 0.20

10C 12B
Weighted Ratio: 40 Percent by Grade Group:
Retama 0.00 0 53 0 0.00

Reserve at Hudson Bend


1.08 37 58%
0

23

0.62

11

0.30 28%
0.00

0.16 15%
0 0.00

8B
Weighted Ratio: 0 Percent by Grade Group:
Sunrise Ridge 1.00 18 18 7

Retama Garden Homes


0.00 53 0

0.00 0%
0.39

0.00 0%
6 0.33

0.00 0%
5 0.28

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

5B Weighted Ratio: 18 Percent by Grade Group:


Rocky Coast Feritti 0.33 0.00 0 3 2 9

Ridge at Alta Vista


1.00 18

0.39 39%
0 2 0.00 0.22

0.33 33%
0 0 0.00 0.00

0.28 28%
0 1 0.00 0.11

2C
Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
0.40

Rough Hollow East Rim


0.27

2 3
2

0.18 11 67%
5 0 0.00

0.00 0%
1 0.20

0.09 33%
1 0.20

2C

Rough Hollow - The Bisset Ct Bluffs Weighted Ratio:


Percent by Grade Group:

0.40 2
0.00 0

0 5

0.00 0%
1 0 0.00

0.20 50%
0 0.00

0.20 50%
0 0.00

2C

Rough Hollow - The Bonaire Ct Overlook Weighted Ratio:


Percent by Grade Group:

0.00 0 1

0.00 0%

0.00 0%

0.00 0%

132

Lake Travis I.S.D.: Ratio of Students per Single Family Home by Subdivision
Street Name Stone Shadow Cv Canyon Turn Trl Rought Hollow Cv 0.00 0 2 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.25 2 8 2 0.25 0 0.00 0 4.00 4 1 0 0.00 3 3.00 1 1.00 0.00 0.00 Ratio Students Homes Students Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Total # of # of

Planning

Unit

Subdivision

PK-5th

6th-8th

9th-12th

2C

Rough Hollow Water's Edge


Weighted Ratio: 6 Percent by Grade Group:
Kildrummy Duffy 0.00 0 6 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 2 0 0.00 0 0.00 0.00

0.55 11 33% 50%

0.18

0.27

0.09 17%
0 0 0.00 0.00

2C
Weighted Ratio: 0 Percent by Grade Group:
Saddlehorn (106-611) Winchester Dr (300-408) 0.87 13 15 8 0.72 34 47 15 0.32 0.53

Rough Hollow - The Woodlands


0.00 8 0%
8 5

0.00

0.00 0%
0.17 0.33

0.00 0%
11 0 0.23 0.00

3E
Weighted Ratio: 47 Percent by Grade Group:
Debco (900-1109) Windy Shores Loop Moon Dance 0.17 2 0.15 5 0.27 4 15 34 12 2 3 1

Saddletree Ranch
0.76 62 23

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

0.37 49%
0.13 0.09 0.08

13

0.21 28%
1 0 1 0.07 0.00 0.08

11

0.18 23%
1 2 0 0.07 0.06 0.00

1B

Siesta Shores
Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Mountain Terrace Stone Terrace Green Terrace 0.33 0.43 0.21 2 6 3

0.18 11 61

0.10 55%
6 14 14 0 3 3 0.00 0.21 0.21

0.03 18%
0 1 0 0.00 0.07 0.00

0.05 27%
2 2 0 0.33 0.14 0.00

6A

Terrace at the Preserve


Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Bertram Ln

0.32 11
1.25 5

6 34

0.18 55%
4 1 0.25

0.03 9%
1 0.25

0.12 36%
3 0.75

2A
Weighted Ratio:

Tiburon Hills

1.25 5 4

0.25 20%

0.25 20%

0.75 60%

Percent by Grade Group:

133

Lake Travis I.S.D.: Ratio of Students per Single Family Home by Subdivision
Street Name Arroyo Rd Lands End Rainbow One 0.17 5 30 2 0.07 2 0.07 1 0.06 2 36 1 0.03 1 0.03 0 0.17 4 24 1 0.04 2 0.08 1 0.04 0.00 0.03 Ratio Students Homes Students Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Total # of # of

Planning

Unit

Subdivision

PK-5th

6th-8th

9th-12th

12A

Travis Landing
Weighted Ratio: 11 Percent by Grade Group:
Mettle Dr Parker Bend Strader Circle 0.55 6 11 2 0.18 1 0.00 0 12 0 0.00 0 0.10 2 21 0 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.09

0.12 90 36% 45%

0.04

0.06

0.02 18%
2 0 3 0.10 0.00 0.27

6A

Travis Oak Trails


Weighted Ratio: 8 Percent by Grade Group:
Fontaine Ave Canard Cir Chateau Ave 0.44 8 18 4 0.00 0 6 0 0.45 13 29 6

0.18 44 25%
0.21 0.00 0.22

0.05

0.02 13%
4 0 1 0.14 0.00 0.06

0.11 63%
3 0 3 0.10 0.00 0.17

10B

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Vineyard Bay
Weighted Ratio: 21 Percent by Grade Group:
Vista Estates Dr Vista Estates Ct 0.43 3 0.50 2 4 7

0.40 53

10

0.19 48%
1 1 0.25 0.14

0.09 24%
0 1 0.00 0.14

0.11 29%
1 1 0.25 0.14

2A
Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:
Pescado Conejo Culebra Gavilan 0.14 0.00 0.33 0.00 1 0 1 0

Vista Estates
0.45

2 5 11

0.18 40%
7 3 3 3 0 0 1 0 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.00

0.09 20%
1 0 0 0 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00

0.18 40%
0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

10C

Vista Grande
Weighted Ratio:

0.13 2 16

0.06 50%
0.27 0.83 0.00 0.38 7 19 0 3 26 23 2 8 2 9 0 0 0.08 0.39 0.00 0.00

0.06 50%
1 5 0 1 0.04 0.22 0.00 0.13

0.00 0%
4 5 0 2 0.15 0.22 0.00 0.25

Percent by Grade Group:


Lakehurst Lp Lakehurst Rd Fisher Crosswinds

1B

134

Vistas at Lake Travis

Weighted Ratio: Percent by Grade Group:

0.49 29 59

11

0.19 38%

0.12 24%

11

0.19 38%

Lake Travis I.S.D.: Ratio of Students per Single Family Home by Subdivision
Street Name Rose Grass Ln Cypress Ranch Texas Blue Bell Rock Wren 0.18 2 11 2 0.18 0 0.00 0 1.02 42 41 23 0.56 12 0.29 7 0.54 14 26 6 0.23 4 0.15 4 0.86 12 14 3 0.21 3 0.21 6 0.43 0.15 0.17 0.00 Ratio Students Homes Students Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Total # of # of

Planning

Unit

Subdivision

PK-5th

6th-8th

9th-12th

3A

West Cypress Hills


Weighted Ratio: 70 Percent by Grade Group:
Windy Harbor Dr Cloudy Ridge Rd Fallen Timber Dr 0.25 1 4 1 0.25 0.92 12 13 5 0.38 2 0 0.44 4 9 0 0.00 1

0.76 92 49% 27%


0.11 0.15 0.00

34

0.37

19

0.21

17

0.18 24%
3 5 0 0.33 0.38 0.00

11C

Windmill Bluff Estates


Weighted Ratio: 17 Percent by Grade Group:
Windy Walk Cove 1.00 3 3 2

0.65 26 35%
0.67

0.23

0.12 18%
1 0.33

0.31 47%
0 0.00

2A
Weighted Ratio: 3 Percent by Grade Group: 3 1.00 2

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Windy Walk Estates

0.67 67%

0.33 33%

0.00 0%

TOTAL:

1,973

3,487

962 0.28 0.49

460 0.13 0.23

551 0.16 0.28

January 2011 , TOTAL WEIGHTED RATIO:

0.57

PERCENT BY GRADE GROUP (WEIGHTED):

135

Rati os of Stu de nts p er O c c u pi e d Ho us ing Uni t


By Subdivision

Map Layers
District Boundary
dR

Subdivision Ratios
0.00 - 0.13 0.14 - 0.27 0.28 - 0.49 0.50 - 0.68
Reserve at Hudson Bend 12B 1.08

Pace Be n

Planning Units Streets

Old Ferry 0.13

1A
Marina Club Villas 0.11

0.69 - 0.90 0.91 - 3.00


10C
La Hacienda RV PArk 12A 0.06 Travis Landing 0.12

Be

C re ek

Th urm

an

wa y

dD

Vista Estates 0.45 West Cypress Hills 0.76

r.

Water's Edge 0.55

9A

6 20

3A

2D 3B

ew

s ro s

ay

2B

w in

O ld
er
F

ry

2A

Ro ad
d Rd.
Edgewater Beach 0.13 Beby's Ranch 0.18 Lakewind Estates 0.68 Commanders Point Vista Grande 0.67 0.13 11C Highland Club Village 0.21 Cardinal Hills Estates 2 0.33 Windmill Bluff Estates Maravilla 0.65 0.33

Be e

1B 10B 9F
Brooks Hollow 0.42 Cedar Glen 0.15 Vineyard Bay 0.4 Costa Bella 0.67

Windy Walk Estates 1 Bee Creek Ranchettes 3

Tiburon Hills 1.25

o ad
0.29

Siesta Shores 0.18

10A Bella Strada


0.17 Mountain Acres Arbolago 0.25 0.61

11A

11E 11D
Apache Shores 0.66

9E

Marina Village Lakeway 0.78 0.03 Vistas @ Lake Travis Big Bee Creek 0.49 Crosswind 0.53

9B
Lakeway 0.43

7D North Lakeway Village 9D Lohmans Crossing Estates 0.42 0.69 Lakeway 7E 0.32 7G
Lakeway 7C 1.07 Lakeway Lake Chandon RM 0.6 7B 9C 0.08 Lakeway Blv d . Courtyard at the Preserve 0.25 0.64 Terrace at the Preserve M L ak 7A urfi 0.32 nR 8B Canyonlands at Cardinal Hills d. 0.25 Hills of Lakeway 0.66 6A 7F Travis Oak Trails 0.18

11B

La k

Dr.

6C

Koll meyer

D r.

2C

East Rim 0.27 The Bluffs 0.4

6B

Lake Country Estates 0.27

8G

2E 8E 8D 3C

Laws Addition 0.9 Ridge at Alta Vista 6D 1

Cherry Mountain 0.54 Falconhead - The Links 0.47 8C Falconhead - St. Andrews 8A Falconhead - West 0.83 Falconhead - The Legends 0.66 Falconhead - The Champions 0.27 SH 71 0.82 Falconhead - The Heights 0.76 Bee Cave West 0.23 Meadowfox Estates 2.17

5B 5A
Lake Pointe - Vista Pointe 0.9 Lake Pointe - Canyon Vista 1.19 Lake Pointe - The Preserve 0.77 Lake Pointe - The Landing 5C 0.9 Lake Pointe - The Setting SH 71 Lake Pointe - The Estates 0.78 1.08

RM

Ha

3D

8F

620

n Pool Rd milto
Belvedere 0.79

Destiny Hills 1.71

3J
Preserve at Barton Creek 0.72

3G
Ro Ham ilton Pool ad

3H

Saddletree Ranch 0.76

3E
Cru m ley R

3F

an

ch

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Road

4 Miles
136

LakeTravisI.S.D.: RatioofStudentsPerApartmentUnit

6th-8th
Students Ratio

9th-12th
Students Ratio

PU
12601 Bee Caves Pkwy 13401 Galleria Circle 3400 Ranch Road 620 S 3400 FM 620 S Marina Village Cove 100% 1 40 33 82% 14% 7 248 226 91% 46% 19% 0.00 1 14% 0.03 0 0% 37 309 294 95%

Apartment Complex

Street Address

Total Students

Total Units

EE-5th Occupied % Students per Students Ratio Units Occupied Occ Unit

5C
17 0.06 7

Alexan Galleria

0.13 0.03
1

0.02

13 35% 0.00 5 71% 0.00 0 0%

0.04

8A

Falconhead

0.02

9D
1

Marina Village at Lakeway

0.03

0.00

*Typically vacation homes

7A

Summit

*Not Included in Total - Assisted Living

8G
12531 W HWY 71 46 293 278 95%

Tuscan

*Not Included in Total - Retirement Oriented

3H

Windsor at Bee Cave

0.17 0.11

26 57%

0.09

8 17%

0.03

12 26%

0.04

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Formerly Los Robles

January 2011 TOTAL WEIGHTED RATIO:

91

890

831

93%

45 49%

0.05

16 18%

0.02

30 33%

0.04

WEIGHTED PERCENT BY GRADE GROUP:

137

Rati os of Stu de nts p er O c c u pi e d Ho us ing Uni t


By Apartment
n d Rd
12B

ce

Be

10C 1A

d s on Bend R d.

Pa

Th ur m

an

Be

nd R d .

12A

1B

H
9F 10B

R M 620
11C

Ro a d

Rd.

H ur s t Cree k

wa y

La ke

Fla
Dr.

l oB mi n g

C lu

ive R.O. Dr

. vd
9C

7G

bh

ou

in d

sw

Cro
2B

La

2C

ke w a y B

B lv

Highl a n

ek Bee Cre
3C

10A

Oa

kG

r ov eB

11E

9E 2A

Ste war
7E

lvd .

11A 11D

t Rd

Running
.

De e

rT rl.

. Dr
9D

Loh m

9B

7D

r. se D
6C

11B

ng s si R d. Cro ans

ck Du
7B

Koll meyer

7C

D r.

La k

9A

eD

lvd.

r. L a k ew

20 M6

ay

d.

7A

Mu rfi
6A

6B

ds B lv d

nR d.

7F 8B

2D

6D 3B 2E 8G 5B

Map Layers
8E

District Boundary Planning Units Streets

Falconhead 0.03
RM
0 62
8A 5A

8D 8C

Apartment Ratios
0.03 0.13 0.17
3D

SH 71
8F

Alexan Galleria 0.13


5C

SH 71

FM 2 2 44
4

3J

Windsor at Bee Cave 0.17


3G 3H

lR Ha mil ton Poo oad

3F 3E

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Cr umley

Ra nch
Road

[
0 0.5 1 2 Miles
138

LakeTravisI.S.D.:TrendsinRatiosofStudentsperHousehold
Planning Unit 5B 11B, 11D, 11E 7E 12A 3D 2B 2A 10A 3D 1B 1B 9E 10A 6A 6A 6C 11A 11C 9E 8A 12A 10A & 10B 6A 9E 1B 3D 1B 6C 5B 5B 8G 8A 8A 8A 8A 8A 8C 8B 8D 2D 7A 3C 8B 11A 11C 8D 3E 3G 12B 10C 10C 9C 2D 6C 5A 5A 5A 5A 5A 5A 7E Subdivision Alta Vista - The Ridge Apache Shores Arbolago Beby's Ranch Bee Cave West Bee Creek Esates Bee Creek Ranchettes Bella Strada Belvedere Big Bee Creek Briarcliff Brooks Hollow Buffalo Gap Canyonlands at Cardinal Hills Cardinal Hills Cardinal Hills Cardinal Hills Estates Cardinal Hill Estates II Cedar Glen Cherry Mountain Commanders Point Costa Bella Courtyard at the Preserve Cove at Lakeway Crosswind Destiny Hills Edgewater Beach The Enclave at Kollmeyer Springs Enclave North Enclave South Estates at Flintrock Falconhead - Saint Andrews Falconhead - The Champions Falconhead - The Heights Falconhead - The Legends Falconhead - The Links Falconhead - West Flint Rock at Hurst Creek - Flint Rock Falls Flint Rock at Hurst Creek - Villas at Flintrock Flint Rock Estates Glen Heather Hamilton Hills Henning Heights Highland Club Village Highland Club Village Hills of Lakeway Hilltop Manor, Twin Lake Hills, Valley Lake Hills The Homestead Hudson Bend Colony La Hacienda Estates La Hacienda Estates RV Park Lake Chandon Lake Country Estates Lake Oak Estates Lake Pointe - Canyon Vista Lake Point - The Estates Lake Pointe - The Landing Lake Pointe - The Preserve Lake Pointe - The Setting Lake Pointe - Vista Pointe Lakeside at North Lakeway October 2006 0.91 0.61 July 2008 0.34 0.38 November 2009 January 2011 0.66 0.61 0.18 0.23 3.00 0.17 0.79 0.29 0.42 0.00 0.25

0.39 0.62 0.08

0.60

0.20 0.35 0.35 0.20

0.23 0.13 0.50

0.26 0.13 0.42

0.45 0.20 0.42 0.36 0.34 0.33 0.15 0.54 0.67 0.67 0.64 0.53 1.71 0.13 1.00

0.46 0.11 0.27 1.08

0.13 0.59 0.33 0.49 0.88 0.08 0.42 0.44 0.04 1.50 0.56 0.67 0.00 0.22 0.18 0.29 0.61 0.33 0.49 0.88 0.08 0.42 0.44 0.04 0.44 0.69 0.83 0.75 0.40 0.48 0.83 0.82 0.76 0.27 0.47 0.66

0.00 0.15 0.47 0.61 0.14 0.83 0.47 0.13 0.06 0.08 0.27 1.19 1.08 0.90 0.77 0.78 0.90 0.21 0.66

0.40 0.49 0.77 1.06 0.31 0.31 0.70 1.03

0.40 0.89 0.91 1.40 0.56 0.57 1.03

0.00 0.67 1.00 1.05 0.88 0.50 0.64 1.21 0.00

"Green" subdivisions indicate continued increases in the number of students per home. "Yellow" subdivisions show areas where ratios are declining.

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

139

LakeTravisI.S.D.:TrendsinRatiosofStudentsperHousehold
Planning Unit 5B 7A 7B 7C 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 12A 1C 6D 3A 7D 2D 11A 1A 3G 10A 7E 1A 7E 2A 4 10C, 12B 8B 5B 2C 2C 2C 2C 2C 2C 3F 1C 3H 6A 2A 12A 6A 2B 4 3E 8G 8B 10B 2A 11C 1B 3E 3A 8G 11A 2A 12B 8B Subdivision Alta Vista - The Ridge Lakeway Lakeway Lakeway Lakeway Lakeway Lakeway Lakeway Lakeway Lakewind Estates Lakewood Estates Laws Addition Lick Creek Ranch Lohmans Crossing Estates Majestic Hills Ranchettes Maravilla Marina Club Villas Meadow Fox Estates Mountain Acres North Lakeway Village Old Ferry Overlook at North Lakeway Pale Face Ranch Preserve at Barton Creek Reserve at Hudson Bend Retama Garden Homes Ridge at Alta Vista Rough Hollow Rough Hollow - East Rim Rough Hollow - The Bluffs Rough Hollow - The Overlook Rough Hollow - Water's Edge Rough Hollow - The Woodlands Saddletree Ranch Siesta Shores Spanish Oaks Terrace at the Preserve Tiburon Hills Travis Landing Travis Oak Trails Travis Settlement The Uplands Twin Lake Hills Villas at Flintrock Villas at the Hills Vineyard Bay Vista Estates Vista Grande Vistas at Lake Travis West Cave Estates West Cypress Hills Wild Cherry Windmill Bluff Estates Windy Walk Estates Woods of Lake Travis Yaupon Creek October 2006 0.91 0.33 0.19 0.36 0.43 0.19 0.25 0.25 1.07 0.60 0.43 0.78 0.32 0.68 0.90 0.30 0.63 0.10 0.00 0.44 0.35 2.33 0.33 0.11 2.17 0.25 0.42 0.13 0.30 0.69 July 2008 November 2009 January 2011

0.33 0.54 0.71 0.31 0.31

0.25 0.45 0.29

0.82

0.82

0.25 0.12 0.54 1.50 0.00 0.65 0.28

0.72 1.08 0.00 1.00 0.27 0.40 0.00 0.55 0.00 0.76 0.18 0.32 1.25 0.12 0.18

0.89 0.21

0.21 0.64

0.63 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.20 0.64

0.44 0.97 0.16

0.02 0.10 0.19 0.38 0.56 0.59 0.19 0.10 0.40 0.45 0.13 0.49 0.76 0.65 1.00

0.59 1.00

0.56 0.42 0.57 0.45 0.03

0.06

Districtwide Ratio:

0.48

0.45

0.44

0.57

"Green" subdivisions indicate continued increases in the number of students per home. "Yellow" subdivisions show areas where ratios are declining.

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

140

Current Students

ThefirststepinprojectingfuturestudentpopulationislocatingeachcurrentLakeTravisI.S.D. studentonacomputergeneratedmap.PASAhasgeocodedeachstudentusingalatitude longitudecoordinatecorrespondingtohisorheraddress.Thedatafileusedforthisanalysiswas downloadedfromtheDistrictsdatabaseinJanuary,2011andcontained7,012EE12thgrade students. PASAalsoneededtounderstandwhereareasofgrowthanddeclinehaverecentlyoccurred withintheDistrictboundaries.TheredistributionofstudentswithinexistinghomesinL.T.I.S.D. isonedrivingforceofenrollmentchangeinthisDistrict,soitisimportantthatPASAunderstands whichneighborhoodsaregainingandlosingstudents.Toaccomplishthistask,adatasetfrom September2009wasgeocodedandcomparedtothemappedcurrentstudents.

Enrollment Trends
ResidentStudentsbyPlanningUnit Thefirstsetofmapsinthischaptershowsthetotalnumberofstudentscurrentlylivingineach PlanningUnit.Alsoshownarethepercentandabsolutechangeinstudentslivingineach PlanningUnitbetweenSeptember,2009andJanuary,2011. ThelargestincreaseinstudentpopulationovertheyearoccurredinPU8C,whichcontains Falconhead,adevelopingsubdivision.ThesecondgreatestincreaseoccurredinPU8B,whichis almostentirelymadeupoftheHillsofLakeway.Thisisastable,builtoutmunicipality,but increasedinstudentpopulationduetoincreasesinstudentsashomeswereboughtbyyounger headsofhouseholdswithschoolagedchildren. ResidentStudentsbySubdivisionandApartmentComplex Thisyear,51%ofnewstudentsaddedtoLakeTravisI.S.D.movedintoactivelybuilding subdivisions,while35%movedintoexistinghomesinbuiltoutareas.Thebalanceofnew studentsmovedintotownhomes/condos,mobilehomeparks,orapartments,withthenext largestgainsintownhomes/condominiums.Thistrendofstudentsmovingintobuiltoutareasis atrendoccurringthroughoutthestate.Thischaracteristiccouldbeexplainedbyanumberof hypotheses:(1)theglutofexistinghomesreturningtothemarketduetoforeclosureoreconomic hardshipallowedfamilieswithchildrentobuyaffordablehomesinadesirableschooldistrict,or (2)economichardshipdrovemanyfamiliestomoveinwithgrandparentsorotherfamily
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011 141

members,sothattwonuclearfamilieswerelivinginonehome,and(3)relocationinto townhomesormultifamilyunits,duealsototheeconomicdownturn. Thebreakdownofthesefiguresisshownonthefollowingchart:

Type of development Apartments Condos - built-out Condos - developing MHP Subdivisions - built-out Subdivisions - actively building

Added Students Resident Resident 2009 to 2010 Percent Students in Students Actual 2009 in 2010 Change Change 143 156 13 9% 160 189 29 18% 10 26 16 160% 10 16 6 60% 4,106 4,274 168 4% 1,604 1,847 243 15% Percent of Growth 2009 to 2010 3% 6% 3% 1% 35% 51%

Apartments Condos - built-out Condos - developing MHP Subdivisions - built-out Subdivisions - actively building

TheactivelygrowingsubdivisionsthataddedthemoststudentsthisyearincludedFalconhead West(68students),RidgeatAltaVista(26students),FalconheadTheChampions(24students), WestCypressHills(24students)andPalefaceRanch(21students).Ofthe243studentsaddedto activelybuildingsubdivisions,about116ofthem(48%)wereelementarystudents,suggesting thatthegrowthintheseactiveneighborhoodsisevenlydistributedbetweenyoungerandolder students. Theolder,builtoutsubdivisionsbothaddedandloststudentswithanetgainof168students. Someareasgainedsignificantnumbersofstudents(LakePointeTheEstates:21students, TravisLanding2:14students),whileothersubdivisionsloststudents(TheUplands:11students andTravisLanding:8students).Justover51%ofthegaininthesesubdivisionswasinthe elementarygrades. ResidentStudentsbyAttendanceZone Finally,thedataregardingtrendsinstudentresidencesoverthepastyearhasbeenaggregated intoattendancezonesinordertoassessmoreglobaltrends.BeeCaveElementarygainedthe mostresidentstudents(74),followedbyLakeway(60)andLakeTravis(58).LakePointe
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011 142

Elementarylost20studentsduringthesametime. AttheMiddleSchoollevel,bothschoolsgainedstudents,withHudsonBendgaining83students andLakeTravisMiddleSchoolgaining39students. Thelastmapshowsthechangeinthefreeandreducedlunchpopulationbyelementaryschool attendancezone.Allschoolsgainedstudentswiththischaracteristic,butallofthegainswere small(between1and27students).

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

143

Lake Tr av is I.S. D.
C u r r e n t G e o - c o d e d E E - 1 2 t h G r a d e S t u d e n t s , J a n u a r y 2 0 11

265
lin Hi

104

123

62 0

19 0 140

102 13

19 358
RM
20

RM

d Pe

eR

4
Tr av is

er
Co u nt y

d.

al es Ri v

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

O ld
Fe

146
ad

er
7 SH 1

136

rry

Ro

135
Be eC
0 62
re

151 372

22

57 55

48

O R.

e ri v .D

127

ek

Ro
ad

63 177 37 375 5

73 143 85 201 90 78 150 175 126 50 Mu rfin 70 Rd . 29 151 527 1 10 306


6

SH 71
SH 7 1

793 37
F M 22 4

88
lR ton Po o

183
oa
d

2 94 132

Hamil

Ha y

229
Co un ty

2
Barton Cree k

144

Lake Tr av is I.S. D.
Absolute and Percent Change in Geo-coded EE-12th Grade S t u d e n t s , S e p t e m b e r 2 0 0 9 t o J a n u a r y 2 0 11

al es Ri v

15 6%
Ro
ad

-14 -12% 18 14% 0 0% 0 R 3 0% 0 1 6% 1 30 1 11 0% 2% 2% 20% 3% 3% 5 21 3% 40% 10 3 7 9% 3% -3 3 10 2% 31 5 3 -3% 4% 26% 6% 0 4% 6% Mu -4 rfin 9 Rd 0% 58 -5% 6 . -3 45% 0 4% 12% -75% 0% -4 2 3 -17% -3 3% 12% 34 0 -19% 13% RM 31 0% 66 20 89% SH 71 9% 0 23 11 3% SH 7 0% 1 4 42% -11 5% -6% -1 ad Ro -33% 3 -9 Po o l Hamilton 2% -9% 15 11% 2 1% 0 0%
Barton Cree k
M

16 15%

1 33%
Tr av is Co u nt y

d Pe er
n

O ld
Fe

er
7 SH 1

23 20%

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

rry

O. R.

0 0%

Ha y

Be eC
i ve Dr

0 62

-5 -4%

re

ek

Ro
ad

Co un ty

145

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentSortedAlphabetically,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 5C 1B 9F 11D 7E 3H 12A 3D 2B 2A 7E 10A 3D 1B 1A 9E 10A 6A 6C 11A 11C 9E 9E 8G 12A 10A/10B 6A 9E 1B 8E 1B 3D 1B 8B 5B

Name Alexan Galleria Angel Bay Annie Stewart Addition Apache Shores Arbolago Barton Creek Preserve Beby's Ranch Bee Cave West Bee Creek Estates Bee Creek Ranchettes Bella Montagna Estates Bella Strada Belvedere Big Bee Creek Briarcliff Brooks Hollow Buffalo Gap Canyonlands at Cardinal Hills Canyons at Cardinal Hills Cardinal Hills Estates Cardinal Hills Estates 2 Casa Verde Cedar Glen Cherry Mountain Commanders Point Costa Bella Courtyard at the Preserve Cove at Lakeway Coves at Lake Travis Creekside Crosswind Destiny Hills Edgewater Beach Enclave Enclave North

Class Apartment Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes

Phase Existing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Developing Developing Developing Existing Developing Existing Existing Developing Developing Developing Developing Existing Developing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing

Fall 09 to Fall 10 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th Yr. Blt. EE-12th EE-5th EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 2008 26 19 37 17 11 42% -2 -11% 2005 0 0 1 0 1 100% 0 0% 1982 21 10 22 10 1 5% 0 0% 1995 545 277 589 304 44 8% 27 10% 2004 16 9 20 11 4 25% 2 22% 2001 6 2 6 3 0 0% 1 50% 1984 8 5 8 6 0 0% 1 20% 1989 10 1 6 1 -4 -40% 0 0% 2008 6 2 11 5 5 83% 3 150% 1999 6 2 7 2 1 17% 0 0% 2006 15 5 17 6 2 13% 1 20% 2008 1 0 1 0 0 0% 0 0% 2005 21 11 32 22 11 52% 11 100% 1976 9 2 6 2 -3 -33% 0 0% 1997 197 101 210 104 13 7% 3 3% 1989 21 5 16 4 -5 -24% -1 -20% 1989 0 0 1 1 1 100% 1 100% 2005 54 32 51 29 -3 -6% -3 -9% 1999 64 38 81 39 17 27% 1 3% 2000 19 8 16 12 -3 -16% 4 50% 2005 7 5 10 6 3 43% 1 20% 6 4 15 7 9 150% 3 75% 1994 13 4 6 2 -7 -54% -2 -50% 2001 9 2 7 1 -2 -22% -1 -50% 1992 0 0 1 1 1 100% 1 100% 2002 28 16 35 20 7 25% 4 25% 56 20 58 24 2 4% 4 20% 2002 7 4 8 4 1 14% 0 0% 2003 9 7 8 6 -1 -11% -1 -14% 1994 1 0 1 0 0 0% 0 0% 1992 15 7 19 12 4 27% 5 71% 2003 11 6 12 6 1 9% 0 0% 1978 5 1 8 1 3 60% 0 0% 2000 0 0 8 3 8 100% 3 100% 8 2 11 4 3 38% 2 100%

146

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentSortedAlphabetically,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

Name Enclave South Falconhead Falconhead - St. Andrews Falconhead - The Champions Falconhead - The Heights Falconhead - The Legends Falconhead - The Links Falconhead - West Flint Rock Estates Flintrock at Hurst Creek Glen Heather Greens Condos Hamilton Hills Hazy Hill Ranchettes Highland Club Village Highland Creek Lakes Hill Top Manor Hills of Lakeway Hudson Bend Colony La Hacienda Estates La Hacienda RV Park La Isla at Angel Bay Lake Chandon Lake Country Estates Lake Oak Estates Lake Pointe - Canyon Vista Lake Pointe - The Estates Lake Pointe - The Landing Lake Pointe - The Preserve Lake Pointe - The Setting Lake Pointe - Vista Pointe Subdivision Existing 1988 1,058 22 437 10 1,096 22 451 11 38 0 4% 0%

Class Townhomes Apartment Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision MHP Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision

Phase Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Developing Existing Developing Existing Developing Developing Existing Developing Existing Existing Developing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Developing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing

Fall 09 to Fall 10 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th Yr. Blt. EE-12th EE-5th EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 16 5 23 8 7 44% 3 60% 2003 74 25 70 25 -4 -5% 0 0% 2006 24 14 29 14 5 21% 0 0% 2006 169 81 193 103 24 14% 22 27% 2006 26 15 30 18 4 15% 3 20% 2004 5 5 5 4 0 0% -1 -20% 2005 24 10 26 12 2 8% 2 20% 2009 72 37 140 73 68 94% 36 97% 1999 1 0 1 0 0 0% 0 0% 2006 89 37 93 42 4 4% 5 14% 1978 4 1 1 0 -3 -75% -1 -100% 1999 1 0 1 0 0 0% 0 0% 1998 2 1 1 0 -1 -50% -1 -100% 1989 11 2 7 1 -4 -36% -1 -50% 1988 7 6 5 3 -2 -29% -3 -50% 2000 10 4 11 5 1 10% 1 25% 2002 4 2 4 2 0 0% 0 0% 1997 432 203 482 227 50 12% 24 12% 1983 34 12 31 12 -3 -9% 0 0% 1991 41 20 45 23 4 10% 3 15% 2008 0 0 6 2 6 100% 2 100% 2005 3 2 3 2 0 0% 0 0% 2006 0 0 2 2 2 100% 2 100% 2000 6 2 4 2 -2 -33% 0 0% 1999 40 27 52 27 12 30% 0 0% 2003 46 32 51 37 5 11% 5 16% 1999 373 215 394 219 21 6% 4 2% 2000 44 29 45 24 1 2% -5 -17% 2000 83 54 85 53 2 2% -1 -2% 1999 87 46 93 52 6 7% 6 13% 2004 130 62 125 52 -5 -4% -10 -16% 14 1 3% 10%

PU 5B 8A 8A 8A 8A 8A 8A 8C 2E 8G/8E 7F 8B 3C 2A 11C 3E 3E 8B 12B 10C 10C 1B 9C 2E 6C 5A 5A 5A 5A 5A 5A 7A/7B/7C 7G/9A/9B 9C/9D/9E 9C Townhomes Existing

Lakeway

Lakeway Patio Homes

147

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentSortedAlphabetically,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 1B 12A 1A 6D 3A 7D 3D 2E 11A 1A 9D 8B 3G 10A 3E 7E 7E 1A 2A 3A 7E 4 3C 10C/12B 1B 8B 5B 2C 2C 2C 2C 3E 2B 9C 1B

Name Lakewood Estates Lakewind Estates Las Entradas on Lake Travis Laws Addition Lick Creek Ranch Lohmans Crossing Estates Madrone Ranch Majestic Hills Ranchettes Maravilla Marina Club Villas Marina Village Masters at the Hills Meadowfox Estates Mountain Acres Mountain Creek Lakes North Lakeway Village North Lakeway Village Old Ferry Paleface Ranch Perdenales Canyon Pinnacle at North Lakeway Preserve at Barton Creek Ranches at Hamilton Pool Reserve at Hudson Bend Reserve at Lake Travis Retama Ridge at Alta Vista Rough Hollow - East Rim Rough Hollow - The Bluffs Rough Hollow - The Enclave Rough Hollow - Water's Edge Saddletree Ranch Sadik Santorini Villas Siesta Shores

Class Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision MHP Townhomes Subdivision

Phase Existing Existing Developing Existing Existing Existing Developing Existing Developing Existing Developing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Developing Existing Developing Developing Developing Existing Developing Existing Developing Existing Developing Developing Developing Developing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing

Fall 09 to Fall 10 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th Yr. Blt. EE-12th EE-5th EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 1984 13 5 17 8 4 31% 3 60% 2002 31 12 25 9 -6 -19% -3 -25% 2002 3 0 3 1 0 0% 1 100% 2005 14 6 16 6 2 14% 0 0% 1996 15 4 15 7 0 0% 3 75% 1990 197 92 202 96 5 3% 4 4% 1999 8 2 6 1 -2 -25% -1 -50% 1999 24 9 22 7 -2 -8% -2 -22% 2004 28 10 33 8 5 18% -2 -20% 1981 5 3 4 2 -1 -20% -1 -33% 0 0 1 1 1 100% 1 100% 2 1 3 0 1 50% -1 -100% 2000 15 7 13 5 -2 -13% -2 -29% 1995 4 0 2 1 -2 -50% 1 100% 1999 14 8 13 7 -1 -7% -1 -13% 2009 1 0 3 1 2 200% 1 100% 2009 3 3 11 9 8 267% 6 200% 1983 23 13 23 8 0 0% -5 -38% 2003 0 0 21 8 21 100% 8 100% 1996 4 0 2 0 -2 -50% 0 0% 1 0 6 1 5 500% 1 100% 2004 26 16 28 16 2 8% 0 0% 2008 0 0 3 2 3 100% 2 100% 2004 36 22 40 23 4 11% 1 5% 2009 0 0 1 1 1 100% 1 100% 12 6 16 5 4 33% -1 -17% 2007 241 125 267 134 26 11% 9 7% 2007 4 2 3 2 -1 -25% 0 0% 2009 0 0 2 0 2 100% 0 0% 2007 11 9 17 13 6 55% 4 44% 2008 3 1 6 2 3 100% 1 100% 2001 61 30 58 25 -3 -5% -5 -17% 10 7 10 6 0 0% -1 -14% 2 2 2 2 0 0% 0 0% 1987 21 7 18 7 -3 -14% 0 0%

148

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentSortedAlphabetically,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 3H 9C 6A 6C 3G 4 1B 2A 12A 12A/12B 6A 1B/2B 3E 3E 8G 8B 10B 2A 11C 10C 1B 6A 3E 3A 1A 11A 11C 3H 2A 10C/12B 9A 8B

Name Spanish Oaks Stoney Creek Terrace at the Preserve The Enclave @ Kollmeyer Sprgs The Homestead The Uplands Thurman Bend Estates Tiburon Hills Travis Landing Travis Landing 2 Travis Oak Trails Travis Settlement Twin Lake Hills Valley Lake Hills Villas at Flintrock Villas at the Hills Vineyard Bay Vista Estates Vista Grande Vista Grande Amend Vistas @ Lake Travis Vistas at Lakeway West Cave Estates West Cypress Hills Whitecliff Windmill Bluff Estates Windmill Bluff Estates Windsor at Bee Cave Windy Walk Estates Woods of Lake Travis World of Tennis Townhomess Yaupon Creek

Class Subdivision Townhomes Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Subdivision Apartment Subdivision Subdivision Townhomes Subdivision

Phase Developing Existing Developing Developing Existing Existing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Developing Developing Developing Existing Developing Existing Existing Developing Existing Existing Developing

Fall 09 to Fall 10 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th Yr. Blt. EE-12th EE-5th EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 2006 70 38 71 34 1 1% -4 -11% 1975 4 4 6 5 2 50% 1 25% 6 3 13 8 7 117% 5 167% 2005 7 1 9 2 2 29% 1 100% 1997 88 25 81 29 -7 -8% 4 16% 2000 162 69 151 63 -11 -7% -6 -9% 2002 2 0 6 4 4 200% 4 100% 2003 3 0 5 1 2 67% 1 100% 1988 51 22 43 16 -8 -16% -6 -27% 1988 90 44 104 60 14 16% 16 36% 1992 19 7 21 11 2 11% 4 57% 2002 110 51 102 49 -8 -7% -2 -4% 2002 39 21 37 19 -2 -5% -2 -10% 2003 29 14 38 18 9 31% 4 29% 1 1 1 1 0 0% 0 0% 3 0 2 0 -1 -33% 0 0% 1998 35 18 33 16 -2 -6% -2 -11% 2005 5 2 6 2 1 20% 0 0% 1993 14 9 13 7 -1 -7% -2 -22% 1987 2 1 1 1 -1 -50% 0 0% 1988 33 11 32 11 -1 -3% 0 0% 3 0 4 0 1 33% 0 0% 2000 67 36 66 33 -1 -1% -3 -8% 2007 58 30 82 39 24 41% 9 30% 1982 1 0 2 1 1 100% 1 100% 1999 12 3 12 2 0 0% -1 -33% 1998 19 5 17 6 -2 -11% 1 20% 1991 43 21 49 27 6 14% 6 29% 2007 0 0 3 2 3 100% 2 100% 1994 37 10 35 10 -2 -5% 0 0% 27 7 29 10 2 7% 3 43% 2006 3 2 1 0 -2 -67% -2 -100%

Total:

6,033

2,860

6,508

3,092

475

8%

232

8%

149

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentforSubdivisionsSortedbyGainandLoss,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 4 1B/2B 12A 9E 3G 12A 9E 5A 3D 2A 6A 11A 7F 1B 12B 3E 1B 8G 2E 3D 3A 3E 8B 11C 2E 3G 10A 10B 11C 10C/12B 1B 3C 3E 2C

Name The Uplands Travis Settlement Travis Landing Cedar Glen The Homestead Lakewind Estates Brooks Hollow Lake Pointe - Vista Pointe Bee Cave West Hazy Hill Ranchettes Canyonlands at Cardinal Hills Cardinal Hills Estates Glen Heather Big Bee Creek Hudson Bend Colony Saddletree Ranch Siesta Shores Cherry Mountain Lake Country Estates Madrone Ranch Perdenales Canyon Twin Lake Hills Yaupon Creek Highland Club Village Majestic Hills Ranchettes Meadowfox Estates Mountain Acres Vineyard Bay Windmill Bluff Estates Woods of Lake Travis Coves at Lake Travis Hamilton Hills Mountain Creek Lakes Rough Hollow - East Rim

Phase Avg. Yr. Blt. Existing 2000 Developing 2002 Existing 1988 Developing 1994 Existing 1997 Existing 2002 Existing 1989 Existing 2004 Existing 1989 Existing 1989 Developing 2005 Developing 2000 Developing 1978 Existing 1976 Existing 1983 Existing 2001 Existing 1987 Developing 2001 Developing 2000 Developing 1999 Developing 1996 Developing 2002 Developing 2006 Existing 1988 Existing 1999 Existing 2000 Existing 1995 Existing 1998 Existing 1998 Existing 1994 Developing 2003 Developing 1998 Developing 1999 Developing 2007

Fall 2009 EE-12th EE-5th 162 69 110 51 51 22 13 4 88 25 31 12 21 5 130 62 10 1 11 2 54 32 19 8 4 1 9 2 34 12 61 30 21 7 9 2 6 2 8 2 4 0 39 21 3 2 7 6 24 9 15 7 4 0 35 18 19 5 37 10 9 7 2 1 14 8 4 2

Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th 151 63 102 49 43 16 6 2 81 29 25 9 16 4 125 52 6 1 7 1 51 29 16 12 1 0 6 2 31 12 58 25 18 7 7 1 4 2 6 1 2 0 37 19 1 0 5 3 22 7 13 5 2 1 33 16 17 6 35 10 8 6 1 0 13 7 3 2

Fall 09 to Fall 10 EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. -11 -7% -6 -9% -8 -7% -2 -4% -8 -16% -6 -27% -7 -54% -2 -50% -7 -8% 4 16% -6 -19% -3 -25% -5 -24% -1 -20% -5 -4% -10 -16% -4 -40% 0 0% -4 -36% -1 -50% -3 -6% -3 -9% -3 -16% 4 50% -3 -75% -1 -100% -3 -33% 0 0% -3 -9% 0 0% -3 -5% -5 -17% -3 -14% 0 0% -2 -22% -1 -50% -2 -33% 0 0% -2 -25% -1 -50% -2 -50% 0 0% -2 -5% -2 -10% -2 -67% -2 -100% -2 -29% -3 -50% -2 -8% -2 -22% -2 -13% -2 -29% -2 -50% 1 100% -2 -6% -2 -11% -2 -11% 1 20% -2 -5% 0 0% -1 -11% -1 -14% -1 -50% -1 -100% -1 -7% -1 -13% -1 -25% 0 0%

150

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentforSubdivisionsSortedbyGainandLoss,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 10C 1B 3E 1A 11C 10A 8E 8A 3E 1B 1A 11A 3H 12A 2E 3A 1A 1B 2A 3E 1B 3H 9F 10A 12A 9E 3D 5A 2A 1A 7E 7E 2C 6C

Name Vista Grande Amend Vistas @ Lake Travis West Cave Estates Marina Club Villas Vista Grande Bella Strada Creekside Falconhead - The Legends Hill Top Manor La Isla at Angel Bay Las Entradas on Lake Travis Windmill Bluff Estates Barton Creek Preserve Beby's Ranch Flint Rock Estates Lick Creek Ranch Old Ferry Angel Bay Bee Creek Ranchettes Highland Creek Lakes Reserve at Lake Travis Spanish Oaks Annie Stewart Addition Buffalo Gap Commanders Point Cove at Lakeway Destiny Hills Lake Pointe - The Landing Vista Estates Whitecliff Bella Montagna Estates North Lakeway Village Rough Hollow - The Bluffs The Enclave @ Kollmeyer Sprgs

Phase Avg. Yr. Blt. Developing 1987 Developing 1988 Developing 2000 Existing 1981 Existing 1993 Developing 2008 Developing 1994 Developing 2004 Developing 2002 Developing 2005 Developing 2002 Developing 1999 Existing 2001 Existing 1984 Existing 1999 Existing 1996 Existing 1983 Developing 2005 Developing 1999 Developing 2000 Developing 2009 Developing 2006 Existing 1982 Existing 1989 Existing 1992 Existing 2002 Existing 2003 Existing 2000 Existing 2005 Existing 1982 Developing 2006 Developing 2009 Developing 2009 Developing 2005

Fall 2009 EE-12th EE-5th 2 1 33 11 67 36 5 3 14 9 1 0 1 0 5 5 4 2 3 2 3 0 12 3 6 2 8 5 1 0 15 4 23 13 0 0 6 2 10 4 0 0 70 38 21 10 0 0 0 0 7 4 11 6 44 29 5 2 1 0 15 5 1 0 0 0 7 1

Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th 1 1 32 11 66 33 4 2 13 7 1 0 1 0 5 4 4 2 3 2 3 1 12 2 6 3 8 6 1 0 15 7 23 8 1 0 7 2 11 5 1 1 71 34 22 10 1 1 1 1 8 4 12 6 45 24 6 2 2 1 17 6 3 1 2 0 9 2

Fall 09 to Fall 10 EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. -1 -50% 0 0% -1 -3% 0 0% -1 -1% -3 -8% -1 -20% -1 -33% -1 -7% -2 -22% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% -1 -20% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 1 100% 0 0% -1 -33% 0 0% 1 50% 0 0% 1 20% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 3 75% 0 0% -5 -38% 1 100% 0 0% 1 17% 0 0% 1 10% 1 25% 1 100% 1 100% 1 1% -4 -11% 1 5% 0 0% 1 100% 1 100% 1 100% 1 100% 1 14% 0 0% 1 9% 0 0% 1 2% -5 -17% 1 20% 0 0% 1 100% 1 100% 2 13% 1 20% 2 200% 1 100% 2 100% 0 0% 2 29% 1 100%

151

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentforSubdivisionsSortedbyGainandLoss,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 8A 5A 6D 4 2A 6A 11C 3C 2C 2A 1B 8A 8G/8E 1B 7E 1B 10C 1B 10C/12B 2B 11A 8A 5A 7D 2C 5A 10A/10B 7E 8B 3E 3D 6C 1A 12A/12B

Name Falconhead - The Links Lake Pointe - The Preserve Laws Addition Preserve at Barton Creek Tiburon Hills Travis Oak Trails Cardinal Hills Estates 2 Ranches at Hamilton Pool Rough Hollow - Water's Edge Windy Walk Estates Edgewater Beach Falconhead - The Heights Flintrock at Hurst Creek Thurman Bend Estates Arbolago Crosswind La Hacienda Estates Lakewood Estates Reserve at Hudson Bend Bee Creek Estates Maravilla Falconhead - St. Andrews Lake Pointe - Canyon Vista Lohmans Crossing Estates Rough Hollow - The Enclave Lake Pointe - The Setting Costa Bella North Lakeway Village Enclave Valley Lake Hills Belvedere Lake Oak Estates Briarcliff Travis Landing 2

Phase Avg. Yr. Blt. Existing 2005 Existing 2000 Existing 2005 Existing 2004 Existing 2003 Existing 1992 Developing 2005 Developing 2008 Developing 2008 Developing 2007 Existing 1978 Developing 2006 Developing 2006 Developing 2002 Existing 2004 Existing 1992 Existing 1991 Existing 1984 Existing 2004 Developing 2008 Developing 2004 Existing 2006 Existing 2003 Existing 1990 Developing 2007 Existing 1999 Existing 2002 Developing 2009 Existing 2000 Developing 2003 Developing 2005 Developing 1999 Developing 1997 Existing 1988

Fall 2009 EE-12th EE-5th 24 10 83 54 14 6 26 16 3 0 19 7 7 5 0 0 3 1 0 0 5 1 26 15 89 37 2 0 16 9 15 7 41 20 13 5 36 22 6 2 28 10 24 14 46 32 197 92 11 9 87 46 28 16 3 3 0 0 29 14 21 11 40 27 197 101 90 44

Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th 26 12 85 53 16 6 28 16 5 1 21 11 10 6 3 2 6 2 3 2 8 1 30 18 93 42 6 4 20 11 19 12 45 23 17 8 40 23 11 5 33 8 29 14 51 37 202 96 17 13 93 52 35 20 11 9 8 3 38 18 32 22 52 27 210 104 104 60

Fall 09 to Fall 10 EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 2 8% 2 20% 2 2% -1 -2% 2 14% 0 0% 2 8% 0 0% 2 67% 1 100% 2 11% 4 57% 3 43% 1 20% 3 100% 2 100% 3 100% 1 100% 3 100% 2 100% 3 60% 0 0% 4 15% 3 20% 4 4% 5 14% 4 200% 4 100% 4 25% 2 22% 4 27% 5 71% 4 10% 3 15% 4 31% 3 60% 4 11% 1 5% 5 83% 3 150% 5 18% -2 -20% 5 21% 0 0% 5 11% 5 16% 5 3% 4 4% 6 55% 4 44% 6 7% 6 13% 7 25% 4 25% 8 267% 6 200% 8 100% 3 100% 9 31% 4 29% 11 52% 11 100% 12 30% 0 0% 13 7% 3 3% 14 16% 16 36%

152

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentforSubdivisionsSortedbyGainandLoss,LakeTravisISD

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

Name Canyons at Cardinal Hills Paleface Ranch Lake Pointe - The Estates Falconhead - The Champions West Cypress Hills Ridge at Alta Vista Existing Existing Existing Developing 1995 1997 2009 545 432 72 277 203 37 589 482 140 304 227 73 1988 1,058 437 1,096 451 38 44 50 68 4% 8% 12% 94%

Phase Avg. Yr. Blt. Developing 1999 Developing 2003 Existing 1999 Developing 2006 Developing 2007 Developing 2007

Fall 2009 EE-12th EE-5th 64 38 0 0 373 215 169 81 58 30 241 125

Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th 81 39 21 8 394 219 193 103 82 39 267 134

Fall 09 to Fall 10 EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 17 27% 1 3% 21 100% 8 100% 21 6% 4 2% 24 14% 22 27% 24 41% 9 30% 26 11% 9 7% 14 27 24 36 3% 10% 12% 97%

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

PU 6C 2A 5A 8A 3A 5B 7A/7B/7C 7G/9A/9B 9C/9D/9E 11D 8B 8C

Lakeway

Apache Shores Hills of Lakeway Falconhead - West

Total

5,710

2,723

6,121

2,926

411

7%

203

3%

153

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmenforApartmentsbyGainandLoss,LakeTravisISD

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 8A 3H 5C

Name Falconhead Windsor at Bee Cave Alexan Galleria

Class Apartment Apartment Apartment

Phase Existing Existing Existing

Fall 09 to Fall 10 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th Yr. Blt. EE-12th EE-5th EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 2003 74 25 70 25 -4 -5% 0 0% 1991 43 21 49 27 6 14% 6 29% 2008 26 19 37 17 11 42% -2 -11%

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Total

143

65

156

69

13

9%

3%

154

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentforTownhomesbyGainandLoss,LakeTravisISD

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 8B 8B 9C 9C 8G 9D 6A 8B 9C 6A 9C 9A 5B 8B 7E 6A 5B 9E

Name Villas at the Hills Greens Condos Lakeway Patio Homes Santorini Villas Villas at Flintrock Marina Village Vistas at Lakeway Masters at the Hills Lake Chandon Courtyard at the Preserve Stoney Creek World of Tennis Condos Enclave North Retama Pinnacle at North Lakeway Terrace at the Preserve Enclave South Casa Verde

Phase Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Existing Developing Existing Existing Existing Existing Existing Developing Developing Existing Existing

Fall 2009 EE-12th EE-5th 3 0 1 0 22 10 2 2 1 1 0 0 3 0 2 1 0 0 56 20 4 4 27 7 8 2 12 6 1 0 6 3 16 5 6 4

Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th 2 0 1 0 22 11 2 2 1 1 1 1 4 0 3 0 2 2 58 24 6 5 29 10 11 4 16 5 6 1 13 8 23 8 15 7

Fall 09 to Fall 10 EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. -1 -33% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 1 10% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 1 100% 1 100% 1 33% 0 0% 1 50% -1 -100% 2 100% 2 100% 2 4% 4 20% 2 50% 1 25% 2 7% 3 43% 3 38% 2 100% 4 33% -1 -17% 5 500% 1 100% 7 117% 5 167% 7 44% 3 60% 9 150% 3 75%

Total

170

65

215

89

45

26%

24

11%

155

StudentTrendsbyDevelopmentforMobileHomeCommunitiesbyGainandLoss,LakeTravisISD

Gain: Existing Subdivisions - 53%; Active Subdivisions - 35%; Existing THs - 6%; Active THs - 3%; Apartments - 3%, Mobile Home Communities - 1%

PU 2B 10C 2008

Name Sadik La Hacienda RV Park

Phase Existing Existing

Yr. Blt.

Fall 2009 EE-12th EE-5th 10 7 0 0

Fall 2010 EE-12th EE-5th 10 6 6 2

Fall 09 to Fall 10 EE-12th EE-5th Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. Abs.Chg. Pct.Chg. 0 0% -1 -14% 6 100% 2 100%

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Total

10

16

60%

6%

156

Lake Tr av is I.S. D.
Ab s o l u t e a n d P e r c e n t C h a n g e i n G e o - c o d e d E E - 5 t h Gr a d e S t u d e n t s , S e p t e m b e r 2 0 0 9 t o J a n u a r y 2 0 11

Hi lin

62
RM

D O. R.

e ri v

Bee Cave 74 14%

Serene Hills 21 4%

Lake Travis 58 8%
Mu rf in R d.

SH

71

Lakeway 60 10%
SH 7 1

Ha ys

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Lake Pointe -20 -3%

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Bart on Cree k

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

d Pe

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Lake TrA b sis uI.S.n d P e r c e n t av o l t e a D.

Ch a n g e i n G e o - c o d e d 6 t h - 8 t h G r a d e S t u d e n t s , S e p t e m b e r 2 00 9 t o J a n u a r y 2 0 11

Hi lin

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Lake Travis 39 6%
SH 71

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Mu rf
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Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Ba rt

un ty

158

Lake Tr av is I.S. D.
A b s o l u t e a n d P e r c e n t C h a n g e i n G e o - c o d e d F r e e a n d R e du c e d L u n c h E E - 5 t hG r a d e S t u d e n t s , S e p t e m b e r 2 0 0 9 t o J a n u a r y 2 0 11

Hi lin

62
RM

D O. R.

e ri v

Bee Cave 12 17%

Serene Hills 3 4%

Lake Travis 27 9%
Mu rf in R d.

SH

71

Lakeway 1 5%
SH 7 1

Ha ys

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Lake Pointe 1 4%

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Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

d Pe

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159

Student Projections

PASAsapproachtodevelopingstudentenrollmentprojectionstakesintoconsiderationpast ratesofgrowth,butreliesprimarilyonforwardlookinganalyses,including: projectednewhousingoccupancies; regenerationofexistinghousingwithyoungerfamilies; economicandemploymenttrendsinthelocalareaandnationally; thechangingdistributionofstudentsineachgradegroup,aswellasgeographically throughouttheDistrict;and thefutureeffectsofstudentregeneration,aswellasstudentdecline,intheexisting housingsupply.

Model for Developing Student Projections


Thestudentprojectionsdevelopedinthisstudyarebasedonamodelthatincorporatesanumber offactorsdiscussedthroughoutthisreport. Newhousingconstructionisthemostsignificantcontributortonewstudentgrowthinthis model,basedondatagatheredfromnumerousinterviews(seeChapter2).Shorttermnew housingisprojectedbasedonpreliminaryandfinalplats,developersplans,andother informationgatheredfromnumeroussources.Thenewhousesprojectedtobebuiltinthefirst fiveyearsofthisprojectionperiodrepresentthesourceofabout70%ofthenewstudents projectedtobeenrolled. Thismodelforstudentprojectionsalsoincorporatestherecenttrendofnewstudentsmoving intoexistinghomesforresale.ThetablesandmapsinChapter4titled,StudentTrendsby Developmentoutlineindepththetrendsthatoccurredoverthepasttwoyearswithregardto thetypeofhousingattractingnewstudents.Around35%ofallnewstudentsmovedinto subdivisionswithnonewconstruction.Thisregenerationofexistinghomeswithyoungerheads ofhouseholdorthepurchaseofformerlysecondhomesasprimaryresidencesisanimportant trendinLakeTravisI.S.D.thathasbeenincorporatedintotheprojectionsmodel.
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011 160

Projected Student Enrollment Districtwide


ThreescenariosofgrowthhavebeendevelopedforLakeTravisI.S.D.,withthefollowingsetsof assumptionsforeach. LowGrowthScenarioItiscriticaltoconsiderthelowestprojectionscenarioinmakingfiscal planningdecisions,giventheunprecedentedeconomiccrisiscurrentlyexperiencedbytheState andlocaldistrictsinregardtofundingforschools.UndertheLowGrowthScenario,theDistrict wouldadd1,741studentsinthefirstfiveyears,andwouldadd2,234studentsinthelastfiveyears. Therefore,byFall2015,LakeTravisI.S.D.couldhouse8,681students,andbyFall2020,10,915 studentscouldbeenrolledunderthisLowGrowthScenario.Annualgrowthratescouldrange between4.2%and5.1%overtheprojectionperiod. ALowGrowthScenariowouldassumethefollowing: Theslowerhousingstartsofnewhomes(duetothecontinuedslowrecovery)keepsthe studentpopulationgrowthlow,aswillthedampenedsalesofexisting,olderhomesalesin LakeTravisI.S.D.withnonewapartmentcomplexesconstructed; Theunemploymentrateremainsat7%intheAustinarea,anddoesnotreturnto4.5% unemploymentfor5ormoreyears; Householdrelocations(nowata60yearlow)remainstable,withlessenedinterestin relocatingtoL.T.I.S.D.; Stockpricesagainstartdroppingorremainstationeryinthenext35years; Consumerconfidencealsoremainsstationaryoragaindeclines,withapossiblerenewed recession; IncreasedterroristactivitywithintheU.S.;and LongtermIranian,Afghan,NorthKorean,orothergeopoliticalwareffort. ModerateGrowthScenarioTheModerateGrowthprojectionsseriesshowsaprojectedincrease of2,323studentsoverthenextfiveyears,withanadditional3,080studentsprojectedinthelast fiveyearsoftheprojectionperiod.Therefore,byFall2015,LakeTravisI.S.D.couldhavea projectedenrollmentof9,263studentsandbyFall2020atotalof12,344students.Annual growthratescouldrangefrom5.7%to6.3%. Overthepasttenyears,theDistricthasgrownby58.6%(from4,376studentsin2000to6,940by theendofOctober2010).TheModerateScenarioofGrowthsuggestsa77.9%increaseoverthe next10years(from6,940thisOctoberto12,344studentsinL.T.I.S.D.schoolsin2020).Aprimary factorinthisaccelerationoverthenextdecadeistheincreasingTAKStestscoresinLakeTravis

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

161

I.S.D.TAKSscoresinL.T.I.S.D.arebecomingcomparabletoEanesI.S.D.,whichthisyearhada 96%passagerate,forexample,comparedtothe94%passagerateinL.T.I.S.D. Whilenewsubdivisionsarehousingjustoverhalfofallnewstudents,builtoutsubdivisionsare continuingtoseegains,with35%ofallnewstudentsmovingtotheseolderhomes.Thistrend shouldcontinueandaccelerate,duetotheageofthehousingunits,andduetothehightest scoresandotherperceivedqualityoflifefactorsintheDistrict.Also,theagesofmanyofthe LakewayandHillsofLakewayhousingunitsisreaching34yearsorgreater,theageatwhichthey maylikelyberesoldtoyoungerheadsofhouseholdswithschoolagedchildren. TheModerateGrowthScenarioassumesthefollowing: Thedemandforexisting,olderhomesandfornewhomeswillremainsimilartotodays market,butwithaslightaccelerationeachyearduetothecreepingrecoveryoftheeconomy; Studentpopulationcontinuestogrowatthisschoolyearsgrowthratesbygradegroup, acknowledgingthatthereislessavailabilityofhomemortgagesforyoungerhouseholds,i.e., entrylevelbuyers,whoalsohaveyoungerstudents; Unemploymentratesremainat7%intheAustinareaoverthenextyear,butslowlyreturnto 4.5%overthenext4years; Employmentgrowthwillbereflectiveofincreasesinspecificeconomicsectors,andnew employmentcenters,impactingmedical/healthrelatedjobs,forexample; TherewillbeaslightincreaseinthepercentofimmigrantsenteringtheAustinregion (relativeto20082009rates),spawningsomeincreaseindemandforL.T.I.S.D.housingdue totheimmigrantsdemandforhousinginsidetheurbancoredrivingurbancoreresidentsto suburbanlocations; Interestratesdonotincreasebymorethan2%overcurrentlevelsforthenextfiveyears;and Iranian,Afghan,NorthKorean,andotherglobalconcernsdonotaccelerate. HighGrowthScenarioUndertheHighGrowthScenario,theDistrictcouldgain2,902students inthefirstfiveyears,andanadditional3,849studentswouldbeexpectedinthelastfiveyearsof theprojectionperiod.Thus,underthesehighgrowthassumptions,LakeTravisI.S.D.could contain9,842studentsby2015and13,692studentsby2020. TheHighGrowthScenarioassumesthefollowing: ThecontinueddemandforhousingintheDistrictduetoincreasedemploymentcentersand continuedshortertraveltimestowork;

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

162

ThedemandforhousinginL.T.I.S.D.continuestoaccelerate,duetocontinuedpositive perceptionoftheDistrictsschools; Studentpopulationcontinuestosignificantlyincreaseduetoaccelerateddemandforboth newhomesandforexisting,olderhomes,aswellasforapartments; TheAustinareaunemploymentratesbegintoretreatannuallystartingin2011andreturn to4.5%within23years; Immigrationratesrisesignificantly,furtherencouragingpurchasesofhomesinsuburban Austinarealocations; Interestratesdonotrisemorethan2%inthenext5years; TheU.S.hasshorttermdeploymentinIraq,Afghanistan,andNorthKorea,andnoother globalwars,andnoincreaseinterroristactivitywithinthecountry.

Projected Resident Students by Planning Unit


PresentedinthischapterarethenumberofstudentsprojectedtoliveineachPlanningUniteach year,undertheLowGrowthScenario,ModerateGrowthScenario,andtheHighGrowthScenario. ThesechartsandmapscanbeutilizedbytheDistrictinassessingandmakingdecisionsabout futureutilizationofeachcampus.TheModerateScenarioismostusefulforshorterterm decisionssuchasstaffing,placementofspecialprograms,andtransferpolicies.TheHighGrowth Scenarioshouldbeconsideredasaplausiblepossibilityandcouldbereferencedwhenmaking decisionsaboutlongtermfacilityutilizationandthepossibilityofneedinganadditionalcampus. TheImportanceofTransfers Itisimportanttorememberthatthesestudentprojectionsincludeonlytheprojectedresident students,exclusiveofinterandintraDistricttransfers.Alltransferswouldalsoneedtobe analyzedwhenassessingfacilityutilization(refertoChapter6)includingbothvoluntarytransfers forpersonalreasons,aswellastransfersforspecialprograms.Transferswillchangefromyearto year,andarethususefulforanalysisforonlyashortperiod.

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

163

Low Growth Scenario by Grade and Grade Group: 2011-2020 Projected Enrollment at PEIMS Snapshot Date
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Added Students 2010-2015

Lake Travis I.S.D.

Enrollment at PEIMS Snapshot Date

GRADE: 7 97 506 507 514 515 539 561 541 521 551 573 542 519 1.09026 1.06300 1.05086 1.07982 1.04144 1.04615 1.04766 1.06237 1.13062 0.99118 0.96446 0.93981 7,247 4.43 7,564 4.37 7,898 4.41 8,270 4.71 8,681 4.97 485 487 506 547 551 598 9,121 5.07 646 9,552 4.73 642 9,995 4.63 447 6,940 6.04 395 651 10,412 4.17 7 103 529 547 534 535 551 556 583 563 550 619 564 520 8 109 552 572 577 557 574 569 580 609 597 620 612 543 8 115 578 597 603 601 596 592 591 603 642 669 610 586 8 121 608 626 630 630 644 617 616 616 637 722 660 585 9 127 639 660 663 660 677 669 646 647 656 722 717 638 9 134 673 695 700 695 711 703 698 676 686 740 714 690 10 141 709 730 735 732 746 736 733 729 715 772 731 686 10 149 748 769 772 769 786 774 767 765 772 806 763 702 11 156 783 805 807 801 819 808 799 794 802 861 788 726 11 164 823 846 848 841 857 846 838 830 836 899 846 754 676

2007

2008

2009

2010

Average Growth, Retention, Attrition 2007-10

Added Students 2015-2020 2 30 133 153 149 145 138 108 105 126 105 149 175 119 104 3 37 183 186 185 181 180 177 192 183 180 178 129 116 126

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011


10,915 4.84 1,741

EE PK KN 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

0 32 410 435 474 457 437 474 463 460 476 505 449 426

0 27 458 472 471 505 486 453 483 471 471 535 486 441

16 49 481 488 497 495 549 518 487 510 510 539 538 460

12

373

393

408

TOTAL: PCT. INC. ACTUAL INC.

5,871 5.25 293

6,152 4.79 281

6,545 6.39 393

2,234

307
3,363 1,697 2,188 3.60% 5.19% 5.14% 4.61% 5.24% 3.34% 4.91% 2.85% 4.86% 5.27% 1.82% 6.09% 3,518 1,786 2,261 3,690 1,837 2,371 3,885 1,870 2,515

317

333

372

411
4,106 1,949 2,627 5.68% 4.20% 4.45%

440
4,320 2,060 2,742 5.22% 5.70% 4.37%

431
4,540 2,177 2,835

442
4,778 2,304 2,913

417
4,991 2,395 3,026

504
5,236 2,504 3,175

Enrollment by Grade Group


3,246 1,613 2,081 4.95% 7.03% 6.99%

Enrollment by Grade Group

EE-5th 6th-8th 9th-12th

2,719 1,399 1,753

2,872 1,425 1,855

3,093 1,507 1,945

% Change by Grade Group

% Change by Grade Group


5.09% 5.72% 3.41% 5.24% 5.82% 2.73% 4.46% 3.94% 3.90% 4.93% 4.55% 4.92%

EE-5th 6th-8th 9th-12th

4.86% 6.55% 4.84%

5.63% 1.86% 5.82%

7.69% 5.75% 4.85%

% Students in each Grade Group


46.8% 23.2% 30.0%

EE-5th

46.3%

46.7%

47.3%

6th-8th

23.8%

23.2%

23.0%

9th-12th

29.9%

30.2%

29.7%

46.4% 23.4% 30.2%


117 84 107 38.0% 27.2% 34.8%

46.5% 23.6% 29.9%


155 89 73 48.9% 28.1% 23.1%

46.7% 23.3% 30.0%


173 51 110 51.8% 15.3% 32.9%

% Students in Each Grade Group 47.0% 47.3% 47.4% 47.5% 22.6% 22.4% 22.6% 22.8% 30.4% 30.3% 30.1% 29.7% Added Students by Grade Group
194 34 144 52.2% 9.0% 38.8% 221 78 112 53.7% 19.1% 27.2% 214 111 115 48.7% 25.2% 26.1% 220 118 94

47.8% 23.1% 29.1%


238 127 77

47.9% 23.0% 29.1%


213 91 114

48.0% 22.9% 29.1%


246 109 149

Added Students by Grade Group


153 106 136 38.7% 26.8% 34.4%

EE-5th 6th-8th 9th-12th

126 86 81

153 26 102

221 82 90

164

% Added Students by Grade Group

% Added Students by Grade Group


51.0% 27.3% 21.7% 53.8% 28.7% 17.5% 51.0% 21.7% 27.2% 48.8% 21.6% 29.5%

EE-5th 6th-8th 9th-12th

43.0% 29.4% 27.6%

54.4% 9.3% 36.3%

56.2% 20.9% 22.9%

Moderate Growth Scenario by Grade and Grade Group: 2011-2020 Projected Enrollment at PEIMS Snapshot Date
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Added Students 2010-2015

Lake Travis I.S.D.

Enrollment at PEIMS Snapshot Date

GRADE: 7 97 506 507 514 515 539 561 541 521 551 573 542 519 1.09026 1.06300 1.05086 1.07982 1.04144 1.04615 1.04766 1.06237 1.13062 0.99118 0.96446 0.93981 7,350 5.91 7,774 5.76 8,219 5.73 8,715 6.04 9,263 6.29 492 500 527 577 588 646 9,850 6.34 705 10,425 5.84 708 11,015 5.65 447 6,940 6.04 395 730 11,672 5.97 7 105 536 554 542 543 559 564 592 571 558 628 572 527 8 112 567 588 593 572 589 585 596 626 613 637 629 558 8 120 602 621 628 625 620 616 615 628 668 697 635 609 9 128 641 660 664 663 679 650 650 649 672 761 696 617 9 136 682 705 708 704 723 714 690 690 700 770 765 680 10 145 727 751 756 750 767 760 754 730 740 799 771 745 11 154 774 797 802 799 815 804 800 796 781 843 797 749 11 164 824 848 851 847 867 853 846 843 850 888 841 774 12 175 878 902 905 898 919 906 896 890 899 965 884 814 13 186 930 957 959 951 969 957 948 938 945 1017 957 852 765

2007

2008

2009

2010

Average Growth, Retention, Attrition 2007-10

Added Students 2015-2020 2 39 176 198 194 189 184 153 149 169 149 197 223 161 141 3 49 248 252 251 247 247 243 259 248 245 247 191 172 177

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011


12,344 5.76 2,323

EE PK KN 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

0 32 410 435 474 457 437 474 463 460 476 505 449 426

0 27 458 472 471 505 486 453 483 471 471 535 486 441

16 49 481 488 497 495 549 518 487 510 510 539 538 460

12

373

393

408

TOTAL: PCT. INC. ACTUAL INC.

5,871 5.25 293

6,152 4.79 281

6,545 6.39 393

3,080

410
3,411 1,721 2,219 5.07% 6.68% 6.63% 5.99% 6.64% 4.71% 6.24% 4.15% 6.18% 6.60% 3.11% 7.43% 3,615 1,835 2,324 3,841 1,911 2,467 4,094 1,971 2,651

423

445

496

548
4,381 2,079 2,803 7.01% 5.50% 5.76%

587
4,665 2,224 2,961 6.49% 6.97% 5.63%

575
4,955 2,376 3,095

589
5,265 2,539 3,210

657
5,594 2,685 3,393

672
5,922 2,831 3,591

Enrollment by Grade Group


3,246 1,613 2,081 4.95% 7.03% 6.99%

Enrollment by Grade Group

EE-5th 6th-8th 9th-12th

2,719 1,399 1,753

2,872 1,425 1,855

3,093 1,507 1,945

% Change by Grade Group

% Change by Grade Group


6.20% 6.84% 4.51% 6.27% 6.86% 3.73% 6.25% 5.72% 5.69% 5.85% 5.47% 5.84%

EE-5th 6th-8th 9th-12th

4.86% 6.55% 4.84%

5.63% 1.86% 5.82%

7.69% 5.75% 4.85%

% Students in each Grade Group


46.8% 23.2% 30.0%

EE-5th

46.3%

46.7%

47.3%

6th-8th

23.8%

23.2%

23.0%

9th-12th

29.9%

30.2%

29.7%

46.4% 23.4% 30.2%


165 108 138 40.1% 26.3% 33.6%

46.5% 23.6% 29.9%


204 114 105 48.3% 27.0% 24.7%

46.7% 23.3% 30.0%


226 76 144 50.6% 17.1% 32.3%

% Students in Each Grade Group 47.0% 47.3% 47.4% 47.5% 22.6% 22.4% 22.6% 22.8% 30.4% 30.3% 30.1% 29.7% Added Students by Grade Group
253 60 183 51.1% 12.0% 36.9% 287 108 153 52.4% 19.8% 27.9% 284 145 158 48.4% 24.7% 26.9% 289 152 134

47.8% 23.1% 29.1%


311 163 115

47.9% 23.0% 29.1%


329 145 183

48.0% 22.9% 29.1%


327 147 198

Added Students by Grade Group


153 106 136 38.7% 26.8% 34.4%

EE-5th 6th-8th 9th-12th

126 86 81

153 26 102

221 82 90

165

% Added Students by Grade Group

% Added Students by Grade Group


50.3% 26.5% 23.2% 52.7% 27.7% 19.6% 50.1% 22.1% 27.8% 48.7% 21.8% 29.5%

EE-5th 6th-8th 9th-12th

43.0% 29.4% 27.6%

54.4% 9.3% 36.3%

56.2% 20.9% 22.9%

High Growth Scenario by Grade and Grade Group: 2011-2020 Projected Enrollment at PEIMS Snapshot Date
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Added Students 2010-2015

Lake Travis I.S.D.

Enrollment at PEIMS Snapshot Date

GRADE: 7 97 506 507 514 515 539 561 541 521 551 573 542 519 1.09026 1.06300 1.05086 1.07982 1.04144 1.04615 1.04766 1.06237 1.13062 0.99118 0.96446 0.93981 7,453 7.39 7,981 7.09 8,537 6.97 9,157 7.27 9,842 7.48 499 513 547 606 624 693 10,576 7.45 764 11,294 6.79 773 12,030 6.52 447 6,940 6.04 395 804 12,851 6.82 8 106 544 562 549 550 567 572 600 579 566 637 580 534 8 115 583 604 608 588 605 601 612 643 629 654 645 573 9 125 625 645 652 649 644 640 639 652 694 724 659 633 9 134 673 693 698 697 714 683 683 682 706 800 731 648 10 145 725 749 752 748 768 758 733 733 743 818 813 723 11 156 780 806 812 806 824 815 810 783 795 858 828 800 12 167 838 863 869 865 883 871 867 862 846 913 864 811 12 179 900 926 929 925 947 931 924 921 929 970 918 845 13 193 966 993 996 989 1011 998 986 979 990 1063 973 896 14 206 1032 1061 1064 1055 1075 1061 1052 1041 1048 1128 1061 945 848

2007

2008

2009

2010

Average Growth, Retention, Attrition 2007-10

Added Students 2015-2020 3 48 219 242 238 233 229 197 192 212 192 245 271 204 177 4 61 307 313 312 306 307 303 319 308 305 310 248 222 224

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011


13,692 6.54 2,902

EE PK KN 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

0 32 410 435 474 457 437 474 463 460 476 505 449 426

0 27 458 472 471 505 486 453 483 471 471 535 486 441

16 49 481 488 497 495 549 518 487 510 510 539 538 460

12

373

393

408

TOTAL: PCT. INC. ACTUAL INC.

5,871 5.25 293

6,152 4.79 281

6,545 6.39 393

3,849

513
3,458 1,745 2,250 6.53% 8.17% 8.12% 7.33% 7.98% 6.03% 7.48% 5.37% 7.43% 7.83% 4.31% 8.67% 3,711 1,884 2,386 3,989 1,985 2,563 4,302 2,071 2,785

528

556

620

685
4,655 2,209 2,978 8.21% 6.69% 6.95%

733
5,009 2,388 3,179 7.61% 8.09% 6.74%

718
5,367 2,574 3,352

736
5,751 2,773 3,506

821
6,160 2,956 3,736

840
6,568 3,141 3,983

Enrollment by Grade Group


3,246 1,613 2,081 4.95% 7.03% 6.99%

Enrollment by Grade Group

EE-5th 6th-8th 9th-12th

2,719 1,399 1,753

2,872 1,425 1,855

3,093 1,507 1,945

% Change by Grade Group

% Change by Grade Group


7.16% 7.80% 5.45% 7.15% 7.73% 4.58% 7.11% 6.58% 6.55% 6.63% 6.25% 6.62%

EE-5th 6th-8th 9th-12th

4.86% 6.55% 4.84%

5.63% 1.86% 5.82%

7.69% 5.75% 4.85%

% Students in each Grade Group


46.8% 23.2% 30.0%

EE-5th

46.3%

46.7%

47.3%

6th-8th

23.8%

23.2%

23.0%

9th-12th

29.9%

30.2%

29.7%

46.4% 23.4% 30.2%


212 132 169 41.4% 25.7% 32.9%

46.5% 23.6% 29.9%


253 139 136 48.0% 26.4% 25.7%

46.7% 23.3% 30.0%


278 101 177 49.9% 18.2% 31.9%

% Students in Each Grade Group 47.0% 47.3% 47.4% 47.5% 22.6% 22.4% 22.6% 22.8% 30.4% 30.3% 30.1% 29.7% Added Students by Grade Group
313 86 222 50.4% 13.8% 35.8% 353 138 193 51.5% 20.2% 28.2% 354 179 201 48.3% 24.4% 27.4% 359 186 173

47.8% 23.1% 29.1%


384 199 154

47.9% 23.0% 29.1%


409 182 229

48.0% 22.9% 29.1%


408 185 247

Added Students by Grade Group


153 106 136 38.7% 26.8% 34.4%

EE-5th 6th-8th 9th-12th

126 86 81

153 26 102

221 82 90

166

% Added Students by Grade Group

% Added Students by Grade Group


49.9% 25.9% 24.1% 52.1% 27.0% 20.9% 49.8% 22.2% 28.0% 48.6% 22.0% 29.4%

EE-5th 6th-8th 9th-12th

43.0% 29.4% 27.6%

54.4% 9.3% 36.3%

56.2% 20.9% 22.9%

Pro je c ted Re si d ent E E-5 th G rad e St u de nt s


2011, 2015, and 2020

Low Growth Scenario


Old
F

Hudson Bend R d

1A 135 155 174


Ro
ur

10C 70 56 59
Bend
Road

12B 36 38 41

Ben d

Th

an

ce

Pa

ry er
ad

12A 73 68 71

Be
eC

ree

al es

2A 57 81 108

1B 61 79 119

3A 66 152 314
R

Hwy

2B 64 71 84
71

9B 66 9A 68 74 68 72 72 2C 24 104 185 2D 2 12 20 2E 6 9 8D 27 0 36 117

3B 0 0 0

3C 3 12 47

3D 51 143 356
ad

ilt o H am

Ro ool nP

11C 27 10B 9F 43 27 8 55 11E 10A 21 11A 9 11D 18 9E 22 23 25 9 104 16 102 41 11 125 16 103 54 9D 11 125 103 11B 46 7E 7D 201 29 38 101 7G 6C 194 29 120 42 7C 86 74 194 9C 120 35 32 109 95 62 35 36 6B 7B 100 72 0 19 7A 36 73 4 19 31 7F 6A Mur 8B fin 86 19 25 0 Ro 9 244 ad 28 0 96 271 102 7 274 6D 8G 4 52 1 5B 82 8E 159 1 4 121 188 8A FM 8C 16 209 192 62 5A 108 45 0 226 8F 427 150 263 5C 0 401 161 20 19 402 68 Hwy 71 25 22 4 4 FM 25 4 3J 74 0 60 10 3H 3G 60 21 76 36 110 41 134 69

oa
d

N
Ped

Roa

an ch

mle yR

Cru

er

y on an

3E 110 166 258

3F 2 4 4

Added Students 2010-2020


<0 1-9 10 - 19 20 - 49 50 - 99 100 - 199 200 +

[
Miles 0 0.5 1 2

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

167

Pro je c ted Re si d ent 6 th -8 th Gr ad e Stu d e nts


2011, 2015, and 2020

Low Growth Scenario


Old
F

Hudson Bend R d

1A 61 66 76
Ro
ur

10C 36 45 46
Bend
Road

12B 28 26 28

Ben d

Th

an

ce

Pa

ry er
ad

12A 24 30 31

Be
eC

ree

al es

2A 25 30 44

1B 34 48 67

3A 32 59 138
R

Hwy

2B 30 34 40
71

9B 41 9A 37 47 37 39 39 2C 11 34 74 2D 4 4 9 2E 6 5 8D 14 0 11 50

3B 0 0 0

3C 2 5 21

3D 19 47 151
ad

ilt o H am

Ro ool nP

11C 8 10B 9F 14 15 5 20 11E 10A 18 11A 5 11D 9 9E 13 19 18 5 34 12 104 13 18 37 12 83 20 9D 18 37 83 11B 10 7E 7D 81 30 25 45 7G 6C 89 30 41 27 7C 34 42 90 9C 41 31 12 45 40 36 31 13 6B 7B 43 36 1 10 7A 13 36 1 11 18 7F 6A Mur 8B fin Ro 4 27 11 22 0 147 ad 24 0 34 125 36 3 127 6D 8E 8G 6 19 1 7 5B 33 4 72 7 53 18 80 8A FM 8C 90 62 73 5A 53 0 92 8F 215 70 5C 111 0 233 76 5 6 233 30 Hwy 71 5 22 4 4 FM 5 4 3J 45 0 48 3 3H 3G 48 9 31 18 36 22 48 36

oa
d

N
Ped

Roa

an ch

mle yR

Cru

er

y on an

3E 66 82 127

3F 0 0 0

Added Students 2010-2020


<0 1-9 10 - 19 20 - 29 30 - 49 50 - 99 100 +

[
Miles 0 0.5 1 2

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

168

Pro je c ted Re si d ent 9 th -1 2 th Gr ad e Stu d e nts


2011, 2015, and 2020

Low Growth Scenario


Old
F

Hudson Bend R d

1A 84 86 96
Ro
ur

10C 41 44 45
Bend
Road

12B 38 41 42

Ben d

Th

an

ce

Pa

ry er
ad

12A 41 42 43

Be
eC

ree

al es

2A 54 64 77

1B 54 66 86

3A 44 91 170
R

Hwy

2B 38 42 49
71

9B 41 9A 41 57 41 62 62 2C 10 53 92 2D 4 10 14 2E 6 11 8D 20 0 22 61

3B 0 0 0

3C 0 7 24

3D 28 77 181
ad

ilt o H am

Ro ool nP

11C 16 10B 9F 26 15 8 31 11E 10A 18 11A 7 11D 10 9E 17 19 24 7 56 11 157 30 19 54 11 156 37 9D 19 54 156 11B 29 7E 7D 103 27 30 63 7G 6C 106 27 65 23 7C 57 43 106 9C 65 24 35 68 53 36 24 32 6B 7B 55 41 3 19 7A 32 41 5 18 20 7F 6A Mur 8B fin Ro 8 46 18 22 0 159 ad 23 1 48 166 51 4 168 6D 8E 8G 8 38 7 8 5B 52 13 95 8 71 27 108 8A FM 8C 118 117 62 5A 63 0 128 8F 179 83 146 5C 0 200 88 14 11 200 35 Hwy 71 14 22 4 4 FM 14 4 3J 57 2 59 7 3H 3G 59 12 43 39 52 42 64 56

oa
d

N
Ped

Roa

an ch

mle yR

Cru

er

y on an

3E 73 104 148

3F 1 1 1

Added Students 2010-2020


<0 1-9 10 - 19 20 - 29 30 - 49 50 - 99 100 +

[
Miles 0 0.5 1 2

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

169

Projected Students by Grade Group 2011 through 2020 Low Growth Scenario Planning Unit 1A 1B 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E 3F 3G 3H 3J 4 5A 5B 5C 6A 6B 6C 6D 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E 7F 7G 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E 8F 8G 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 9F 10A 10B 10C 11A 11B 11C 11D 11E 12A 12B Total 2011 6th-8th 9th-12th 61 34 25 30 11 4 6 32 0 2 19 66 0 18 31 0 45 215 72 5 27 1 42 6 18 10 12 45 25 0 27 73 147 53 0 1 0 19 47 41 36 10 104 5 13 15 36 18 81 8 34 9 24 28 1,697 84 54 54 38 10 4 6 44 0 0 28 73 1 39 43 2 57 179 95 14 46 3 43 8 20 19 35 63 30 0 23 117 159 63 0 7 0 38 57 41 36 29 157 8 17 15 41 24 103 16 56 10 41 38 2,188 2012 6th-8th 9th-12th 66 34 23 26 15 2 4 39 0 3 23 70 0 22 33 1 48 239 77 4 33 1 44 7 23 11 16 44 23 0 25 76 141 66 1 0 1 20 45 37 39 19 87 4 14 18 42 16 82 11 42 11 29 26 1,786 81 55 54 38 14 6 8 51 0 1 32 76 1 38 42 1 58 198 98 13 46 3 45 8 21 18 32 64 37 0 24 115 164 76 1 7 1 38 62 41 38 26 154 7 18 18 42 25 105 17 54 10 41 37 2,260

EE-5th 135 61 57 64 24 2 6 66 0 3 51 110 2 36 76 0 74 427 159 20 86 0 74 4 31 19 32 101 38 0 42 192 244 108 0 4 0 52 74 66 62 46 102 8 22 27 70 25 201 27 104 18 73 36 3,362

EE-12th 280 150 136 133 46 11 19 142 0 5 98 249 3 93 150 2 176 821 327 39 159 4 160 18 70 48 79 210 94 0 92 383 550 224 0 12 0 109 179 148 134 84 363 21 52 57 147 68 384 50 194 38 138 102 7,247

EE-5th 143 66 64 69 40 4 5 82 0 2 65 122 3 35 86 1 65 404 164 23 89 0 79 0 27 20 31 109 56 0 43 202 257 138 3 6 2 61 71 69 64 38 105 8 18 21 62 29 201 29 117 16 68 35 3,517

EE-12th 290 156 141 133 69 12 17 172 0 6 119 269 4 95 161 3 170 840 338 41 168 5 168 16 71 49 78 217 116 0 91 394 562 280 5 13 3 119 177 148 141 84 346 20 49 57 147 70 388 57 212 37 139 98 7,563
170

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Projected Students by Grade Group 2011 through 2020 Low Growth Scenario Planning Unit 1A 1B 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E 3F 3G 3H 3J 4 5A 5B 5C 6A 6B 6C 6D 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E 7F 7G 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E 8F 8G 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 9F 10A 10B 10C 11A 11B 11C 11D 11E 12A 12B Total 2013 6th-8th 9th-12th 65 44 27 33 22 3 4 46 0 2 31 73 0 20 33 1 48 232 77 5 33 0 38 7 22 11 13 41 29 0 31 88 125 69 3 2 2 28 39 37 35 30 83 5 18 18 45 12 89 11 37 12 30 25 1,836 83 58 57 40 25 7 9 62 0 2 42 84 1 39 44 3 59 199 102 14 47 3 48 8 21 18 32 65 45 0 24 119 165 79 4 8 2 42 62 41 39 27 155 7 18 18 43 27 106 20 54 11 41 38 2,370 2014 6th-8th 9th-12th 65 45 28 33 26 4 4 50 0 3 35 76 0 20 34 2 48 232 78 5 33 1 39 7 22 11 13 41 31 0 31 90 125 69 5 3 3 30 39 37 35 30 83 5 18 18 45 13 89 12 37 12 30 25 1,870 85 63 61 41 41 9 11 78 0 5 60 96 1 40 49 5 59 199 105 14 48 4 51 8 21 18 32 65 53 0 24 124 165 81 14 11 7 48 62 41 40 27 156 7 19 18 44 29 106 23 54 11 42 39 2,514

EE-5th 150 67 71 67 58 7 6 104 0 4 86 134 4 35 98 3 60 400 178 24 94 1 87 1 25 19 36 120 67 0 35 211 269 143 9 9 5 65 72 68 70 29 102 9 11 21 54 35 194 33 125 15 68 34 3,690

EE-12th 298 169 156 140 105 18 19 211 0 8 159 292 5 94 175 7 166 832 357 43 175 5 172 16 68 48 81 226 142 0 90 418 559 291 16 19 9 136 173 146 144 86 340 22 47 57 142 74 389 64 217 38 139 97 7,896

EE-5th 152 73 76 69 80 10 8 126 0 7 109 149 4 37 104 6 60 400 183 25 95 2 91 1 25 19 36 120 78 0 35 218 270 147 21 12 11 74 72 68 71 29 103 9 11 21 55 38 194 38 125 15 68 36 3,885

EE-12th 302 181 166 143 148 22 23 254 0 15 204 321 5 98 187 13 166 832 366 43 176 7 180 16 68 48 81 226 162 0 90 432 560 297 41 25 21 151 173 146 147 86 341 22 47 57 144 80 389 73 217 38 139 100 8,268
171

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Projected Students by Grade Group 2011 through 2020 Low Growth Scenario Planning Unit 1A 1B 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E 3F 3G 3H 3J 4 5A 5B 5C 6A 6B 6C 6D 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E 7F 7G 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E 8F 8G 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 9F 10A 10B 10C 11A 11B 11C 11D 11E 12A 12B Total 2015 6th-8th 9th-12th 66 48 30 34 34 4 5 59 0 5 47 82 0 22 36 3 48 233 80 5 34 1 40 7 22 11 13 41 34 0 31 92 125 70 11 4 6 33 39 37 36 30 83 5 18 18 45 13 89 14 37 12 30 26 1,948 86 66 64 42 53 10 11 91 0 7 77 104 1 42 52 7 59 200 108 14 48 5 53 8 22 18 32 65 57 1 24 128 166 83 22 13 11 52 62 41 41 27 156 7 19 18 44 30 106 26 54 11 42 41 2,626 2016 6th-8th 9th-12th 68 51 33 35 43 5 6 73 0 8 65 91 0 24 39 5 48 233 83 5 34 1 41 7 22 11 13 41 37 1 31 96 126 72 19 7 10 37 39 37 36 30 83 5 18 18 45 15 89 16 37 12 31 27 2,059 88 70 67 43 62 11 13 105 0 10 95 114 1 45 55 9 59 200 111 14 48 5 54 8 22 18 32 65 60 1 24 132 167 84 30 16 15 57 62 41 41 27 156 7 19 19 44 32 106 28 54 11 42 42 2,741

EE-5th 155 79 81 71 104 12 9 152 0 12 143 166 4 41 110 10 60 401 188 25 96 4 95 1 25 19 36 120 86 0 35 226 271 150 36 16 19 82 72 68 72 29 103 9 11 21 56 41 194 43 125 16 68 38 4,105

EE-12th 307 193 175 147 191 26 26 302 0 24 267 353 5 104 198 19 166 833 375 44 178 10 188 16 69 48 81 226 178 1 90 446 562 303 69 34 35 168 173 146 149 86 341 22 47 58 145 84 389 83 217 38 140 105 8,679

EE-5th 158 87 87 73 121 14 12 178 0 18 177 183 4 46 115 14 60 401 194 25 97 4 97 1 26 19 36 120 92 1 35 234 272 152 51 21 27 91 72 68 73 29 103 9 11 21 57 43 194 47 125 16 69 40 4,320

EE-12th 313 208 188 152 227 30 31 357 0 36 336 388 5 115 208 28 166 833 388 44 179 11 193 16 70 48 81 226 189 3 90 462 565 308 99 44 52 186 173 146 150 86 341 22 48 58 146 89 389 91 217 38 142 109 9,120
172

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Projected Students by Grade Group 2011 through 2020 Low Growth Scenario Planning Unit 1A 1B 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E 3F 3G 3H 3J 4 5A 5B 5C 6A 6B 6C 6D 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E 7F 7G 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E 8F 8G 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 9F 10A 10B 10C 11A 11B 11C 11D 11E 12A 12B Total 2017 6th-8th 9th-12th 70 55 36 36 52 7 8 90 0 11 84 101 0 27 41 7 48 233 86 5 35 2 42 7 23 11 13 41 40 1 31 100 127 73 26 10 15 43 39 37 36 30 83 5 18 18 46 16 89 17 37 12 31 28 2,177 89 73 69 44 69 12 14 119 0 13 110 122 1 47 57 10 59 200 113 14 49 6 55 8 22 18 32 65 62 1 24 135 167 85 35 18 19 61 62 41 41 27 156 7 19 19 45 33 106 29 54 11 42 42 2,835 2018 6th-8th 9th-12th 72 60 39 38 61 7 10 109 0 15 109 112 0 30 44 8 48 233 88 5 35 2 43 7 23 11 13 41 42 2 31 104 127 75 35 13 20 48 39 37 36 30 83 5 18 19 46 18 89 19 37 12 31 28 2,304 90 76 71 45 75 12 15 131 0 16 125 128 1 49 58 11 59 200 115 14 49 6 55 8 22 18 32 65 63 2 24 137 167 86 41 20 23 64 62 41 41 27 156 7 19 19 45 34 106 30 54 11 43 42 2,912

EE-5th 161 94 92 75 138 16 15 211 0 25 213 202 4 51 120 17 60 401 200 25 98 5 99 1 26 19 36 120 97 2 35 241 273 155 65 26 36 101 72 68 73 29 103 9 11 22 57 46 194 50 125 16 70 41 4,540

EE-12th 320 223 196 156 259 35 37 420 0 50 408 425 5 125 218 34 166 833 399 44 181 12 196 16 71 48 81 226 198 5 90 477 567 314 125 54 71 205 173 146 150 86 342 22 48 59 148 94 389 97 217 38 143 110 9,552

EE-5th 165 102 98 78 154 17 18 246 0 33 259 222 4 57 125 20 60 401 203 25 99 6 100 1 27 19 36 120 101 4 35 249 274 158 82 32 47 110 72 68 73 29 103 9 11 22 57 49 194 53 125 16 70 41 4,778

EE-12th 327 238 208 161 289 37 43 485 0 64 494 462 5 136 227 39 166 834 405 44 183 14 198 16 72 48 81 226 205 8 90 491 568 319 158 65 90 222 173 146 150 86 342 22 48 59 148 100 389 101 217 38 143 111 9,993
173

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Projected Students by Grade Group 2011 through 2020 Low Growth Scenario Planning Unit 1A 1B 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E 3F 3G 3H 3J 4 5A 5B 5C 6A 6B 6C 6D 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E 7F 7G 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E 8F 8G 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 9F 10A 10B 10C 11A 11B 11C 11D 11E 12A 12B Total 2019 6th-8th 9th-12th 73 63 41 39 67 8 11 122 0 18 128 120 0 33 46 9 48 233 89 5 36 3 43 7 23 11 13 41 43 3 31 107 127 76 42 15 25 51 39 37 36 30 83 5 18 19 46 18 89 19 37 12 31 28 2,394 93 80 73 47 82 13 17 148 0 19 149 138 1 52 61 11 59 200 116 14 50 7 55 8 23 18 32 65 65 3 24 141 167 88 49 23 28 68 62 41 41 27 156 7 19 19 45 35 106 31 54 11 43 42 3,025 2020 6th-8th 9th-12th 76 67 44 40 74 9 14 138 0 21 151 127 0 36 48 9 48 233 90 5 36 4 43 7 24 11 13 41 45 3 31 111 127 76 50 18 30 53 39 37 36 30 83 5 18 19 46 20 90 20 37 12 31 28 2,503 96 86 77 49 92 14 20 170 0 24 181 148 1 56 64 12 59 200 118 14 51 8 55 8 23 18 32 65 68 4 24 146 168 88 61 27 35 71 62 41 41 27 156 7 19 19 45 37 106 31 54 11 43 42 3,174

EE-5th 169 110 103 81 168 19 22 277 0 39 303 241 4 63 129 20 60 401 205 25 100 7 100 1 28 19 36 120 104 5 35 256 274 161 98 38 56 117 72 68 73 29 103 9 11 22 58 50 194 54 125 16 70 41 4,991

EE-12th 335 253 217 167 316 40 51 547 0 76 580 499 5 147 236 41 166 834 410 44 185 17 198 16 74 48 81 226 213 11 90 504 568 325 189 76 109 235 173 146 151 86 342 22 48 60 149 103 389 104 217 38 144 111 10,411

EE-5th 174 119 108 84 185 20 27 314 0 47 356 258 4 69 134 21 60 402 209 25 102 9 100 1 28 19 36 120 109 7 35 263 274 161 117 45 68 121 72 68 73 29 103 9 11 23 59 54 194 55 125 16 71 41 5,236

EE-12th 346 272 229 173 351 43 61 622 0 92 688 533 5 161 247 41 166 836 418 44 189 20 198 16 75 48 81 227 222 14 90 520 569 325 228 90 132 245 173 146 151 86 342 22 49 61 151 110 390 106 217 38 145 112 10,914
174

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Pro je c ted Re si d ent E E-5 th G rad e St u de nt s


2011, 2015, and 2020

Moderate Growth Scenario


Old
F

Hudson Bend R d

1A 136 160 192


Ro
ur

10C 70 61 71
Bend
Road

12B 37 42 52

Ben d

Th

an

ce

Pa

ry er
ad

12A 74 73 82

Be
eC

ree

al es

2A 57 86 122

1B 62 85 135

3A 67 160 339
R

Hwy

2B 64 75 95
71

9B 67 9A 74 76 81 78 86 2C 25 110 200 2D 2 14 26 2E 6 12 8D 35 0 38 123

3B 0 0 0

3C 3 13 49

3D 51 150 382
ad

ilt o H am

Ro ool nP

11C 27 10B 9F 47 27 8 64 11E 10A 24 11A 11 11D 18 9E 22 31 25 15 110 18 105 44 14 141 22 115 63 9D 19 150 129 11B 47 7E 7D 201 34 40 102 7G 6C 200 40 127 43 7C 93 74 213 9C 136 38 32 122 99 63 44 39 6B 7B 112 78 0 19 7A 45 86 4 22 31 7F 6A Mur 8B fin 87 26 28 0 Ro 10 252 ad 37 0 101 293 115 7 314 6D 8G 4 52 3 5B 87 8E 161 7 4 135 196 8A FM 8C 18 230 193 62 5A 113 53 0 235 8F 431 160 287 5C 0 422 179 20 20 448 72 Hwy 71 27 22 4 4 FM 32 4 3J 75 0 65 10 3H 3G 74 22 76 36 114 45 147 81

oa
d

N
Ped

Roa

an ch

mle yR

Cru

er

y on an

3E 111 175 281

3F 2 4 4

Added Students 2010-2020


<0 1-9 10 - 19 20 - 49 50 - 99 100 - 199 200 +

[
Miles 0 0.5 1 2

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

175

Pro je c ted Re si d ent 6 th -8 th Gr ad e Stu d e nts


2011, 2015, and 2020

Moderate Growth Scenario


Old
F

Hudson Bend R d

1A 61 68 84
Ro
ur

10C 37 47 52
Bend
Road

12B 28 28 33

Ben d

Th

an

ce

Pa

ry er
ad

12A 24 32 36

Be
eC

ree

al es

2A 25 32 50

1B 35 51 75

3A 32 64 152
R

Hwy

2B 31 35 45
71

9B 42 9A 39 48 42 42 46 2C 12 39 83 2D 4 5 11 2E 6 6 8D 17 0 13 54

3B 0 0 0

3C 2 5 23

3D 19 53 166
ad

ilt o H am

Ro ool nP

11C 8 10B 9F 16 16 5 24 11E 10A 19 11A 6 11D 9 9E 13 22 18 8 38 12 106 15 19 45 15 88 24 9D 22 49 95 11B 10 7E 7D 81 32 26 46 7G 6C 91 34 44 27 7C 38 42 98 9C 48 33 12 52 42 37 36 14 6B 7B 49 39 1 10 7A 17 42 1 12 19 7F 6A Mur 8B fin Ro 4 28 14 23 0 151 ad 27 0 36 135 42 4 146 6D 8E 8G 6 19 1 7 5B 35 6 73 9 59 22 83 8A FM 8C 100 74 62 5A 54 0 96 8F 218 75 122 5C 0 241 84 5 7 254 32 Hwy 71 6 22 4 4 FM 8 4 3J 45 0 50 4 3H 3G 54 10 31 19 38 23 55 41

oa
d

N
Ped

Roa

an ch

mle yR

Cru

er

y on an

3E 66 87 139

3F 0 0 0

Added Students 2010-2020


<0 1-9 10 - 19 20 - 29 30 - 49 50 - 99 100 +

[
Miles 0 0.5 1 2

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

176

Pro je c ted Re si d ent 9 th -1 2 th Gr ad e Stu d e nts


2011, 2015, and 2020

Moderate Growth Scenario


Old
F

Hudson Bend R d

1A 84 90 106
Ro
ur

10C 41 47 53
Bend
Road

12B 38 43 48

Ben d

Th

an

ce

Pa

ry er
ad

12A 42 45 50

Be
eC

ree

al es

2A 54 67 85

1B 54 70 96

3A 44 97 188
R

Hwy

2B 38 45 55
71

9B 42 9A 45 58 49 66 71 2C 10 58 104 2D 4 11 18 2E 6 13 8D 25 0 23 66

3B 0 0 0

3C 0 8 26

3D 28 82 201
ad

ilt o H am

Ro ool nP

11C 16 10B 9F 28 15 8 37 11E 10A 20 11A 9 11D 10 9E 17 24 24 11 61 12 159 32 20 64 14 163 42 9D 23 68 170 11B 30 7E 7D 103 30 30 64 7G 6C 110 33 69 23 7C 62 43 117 9C 74 26 35 77 56 37 30 34 6B 7B 63 45 3 19 7A 37 49 5 20 21 7F 6A Mur 8B fin Ro 8 46 23 24 0 164 ad 28 1 51 180 58 4 190 6D 8E 8G 8 38 7 10 5B 55 14 96 12 79 32 113 8A FM 8C 130 118 62 5A 65 0 133 8F 183 89 160 5C 0 213 99 14 12 226 38 Hwy 71 15 22 4 4 FM 18 4 3J 58 2 62 7 3H 3G 66 13 43 39 55 44 72 63

oa
d

N
Ped

Roa

an ch

mle yR

Cru

er

y on an

3E 74 110 164

3F 1 1 1

Added Students 2010-2020


0 1-9 10 - 19 20 - 29 30 - 49 50 - 99 100 +

[
Miles 0 0.5 1 2

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

177

Projected Students by Grade Group 2011 through 2020 Moderate Growth Scenario Planning Unit 1A 1B 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E 3F 3G 3H 3J 4 5A 5B 5C 6A 6B 6C 6D 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E 7F 7G 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E 8F 8G 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 9F 10A 10B 10C 11A 11B 11C 11D 11E 12A 12B Total 2011 6th-8th 9th-12th 61 35 25 31 12 4 6 32 0 2 19 66 0 19 31 0 45 218 73 5 28 1 42 6 19 10 12 46 26 0 27 74 151 54 0 1 0 19 48 42 37 10 106 5 13 16 37 18 81 8 38 9 24 28 1,721 84 54 54 38 10 4 6 44 0 0 28 74 1 39 43 2 58 183 96 14 46 3 43 8 21 19 35 64 30 0 23 118 164 65 0 7 0 38 58 42 37 30 159 8 17 15 41 24 103 16 61 10 42 38 2,218 2012 6th-8th 9th-12th 66 35 24 27 15 2 5 40 0 3 23 71 0 22 34 1 49 244 78 4 34 1 44 8 23 12 16 45 24 0 26 77 149 69 1 0 1 20 46 39 41 20 91 4 14 18 43 16 82 12 48 11 30 27 1,835 82 56 54 38 16 6 8 52 0 1 33 78 1 39 42 2 59 204 99 13 47 3 45 8 21 18 32 66 39 0 24 117 172 80 1 7 1 39 63 42 39 27 158 7 18 18 43 25 105 17 61 10 42 37 2,322

EE-5th 136 62 57 64 25 2 6 67 0 3 51 111 2 36 76 0 75 431 161 20 87 0 74 4 31 19 32 102 40 0 43 193 252 113 0 4 0 52 76 67 63 47 105 8 22 27 70 25 201 27 110 18 74 37 3,411

EE-12th 280 151 137 133 47 11 19 144 0 5 99 251 3 94 150 2 178 832 329 39 161 4 160 18 70 48 79 213 96 0 93 385 566 232 0 12 0 110 182 150 137 86 370 21 52 58 148 68 384 51 208 38 140 103 7,350

EE-5th 143 68 65 69 41 4 5 84 0 3 66 124 3 36 87 1 67 414 166 23 91 0 80 1 28 21 32 112 58 0 44 204 272 145 3 6 2 62 73 71 67 41 111 9 18 22 64 30 201 29 129 16 70 36 3,615

EE-12th 291 159 142 134 72 12 18 176 0 7 122 273 4 97 163 3 174 862 342 41 172 5 170 17 72 51 80 223 122 0 94 398 593 293 6 13 4 121 183 152 147 88 360 21 51 58 150 71 388 58 238 37 142 100 7,772
178

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Projected Students by Grade Group 2011 through 2020 Moderate Growth Scenario Planning Unit 1A 1B 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E 3F 3G 3H 3J 4 5A 5B 5C 6A 6B 6C 6D 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E 7F 7G 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E 8F 8G 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 9F 10A 10B 10C 11A 11B 11C 11D 11E 12A 12B Total 2013 6th-8th 9th-12th 66 46 28 33 24 4 4 48 0 2 33 76 0 21 34 2 49 239 79 5 35 0 39 7 23 11 13 43 32 0 32 90 133 72 4 3 2 29 41 38 37 31 87 6 18 19 46 13 90 12 44 12 31 26 1,910 84 60 59 41 28 8 10 65 0 2 45 88 1 40 46 3 60 207 104 14 49 4 49 9 22 19 33 67 48 0 25 121 175 84 5 9 3 43 65 43 41 28 160 8 19 19 45 28 107 21 62 11 43 39 2,467 2014 6th-8th 9th-12th 66 48 30 34 30 4 5 54 0 3 39 80 0 21 36 2 50 240 81 5 35 1 40 7 23 11 14 43 34 0 32 92 134 73 7 4 3 32 41 38 38 31 87 6 19 19 46 13 90 13 44 12 31 27 1,969 87 66 63 43 44 10 12 82 0 5 63 100 1 42 51 5 61 210 109 15 50 4 53 9 23 20 33 68 56 0 26 128 177 87 14 12 7 50 66 44 43 29 162 8 20 20 46 30 109 25 63 12 44 41 2,650

EE-5th 152 70 73 68 62 8 6 108 0 4 89 138 4 37 100 4 62 413 182 25 97 1 88 2 26 20 37 124 72 0 37 215 285 151 9 9 5 67 75 71 73 32 110 10 12 22 57 36 195 35 139 16 70 36 3,841

EE-12th 301 176 160 143 114 19 20 221 0 9 167 301 5 98 179 8 172 858 365 44 180 5 176 18 71 50 84 234 152 0 94 426 593 306 18 21 10 140 180 153 152 91 357 24 49 60 147 77 392 67 245 39 143 101 8,217

EE-5th 155 77 80 71 85 11 9 132 0 8 114 155 4 40 107 6 64 417 189 26 99 2 94 2 27 21 38 125 83 0 37 224 289 155 22 13 11 77 77 72 76 33 113 11 13 23 59 40 198 40 140 17 71 39 4,094

EE-12th 309 190 173 148 159 25 26 268 0 16 216 335 5 103 194 14 175 867 379 46 184 8 187 19 73 52 85 237 174 0 96 445 600 315 43 28 22 158 183 155 157 93 362 25 51 62 151 84 397 78 248 40 146 107 8,713
179

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Projected Students by Grade Group 2011 through 2020 Moderate Growth Scenario Planning Unit 1A 1B 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E 3F 3G 3H 3J 4 5A 5B 5C 6A 6B 6C 6D 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E 7F 7G 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E 8F 8G 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 9F 10A 10B 10C 11A 11B 11C 11D 11E 12A 12B Total 2015 6th-8th 9th-12th 68 51 32 35 39 5 6 64 0 5 53 87 0 23 38 4 50 241 83 6 36 1 42 7 23 12 14 44 38 0 33 96 135 75 13 6 7 35 42 39 39 32 88 6 19 19 47 15 91 16 45 12 32 28 2,077 90 70 67 45 58 11 13 97 0 8 82 110 1 44 55 7 62 213 113 15 51 5 56 10 24 20 34 69 62 1 26 133 180 89 23 14 12 55 66 45 45 30 163 9 20 20 47 32 110 28 64 12 45 43 2,803 2016 6th-8th 9th-12th 71 55 36 37 49 7 8 79 0 8 71 97 0 26 42 6 51 244 88 6 37 2 44 8 24 12 14 45 41 1 33 102 138 77 21 8 11 41 42 40 39 32 89 7 19 20 48 16 93 18 46 13 33 30 2,222 92 75 71 47 68 13 15 113 0 11 102 121 1 48 59 9 63 216 118 16 52 5 58 10 24 20 34 70 65 1 27 139 182 92 31 18 16 61 67 45 45 30 165 9 21 21 48 34 111 31 65 12 46 45 2,961

EE-5th 160 85 86 75 110 14 12 160 0 13 150 175 4 45 114 10 65 422 196 27 101 4 99 3 28 22 39 127 93 0 38 235 293 160 38 18 20 87 78 74 78 34 115 11 14 24 61 44 200 47 141 18 73 42 4,381

EE-12th 318 206 184 155 207 31 31 321 0 26 284 372 5 112 208 21 177 876 392 48 188 11 197 20 75 53 87 240 193 1 98 465 608 324 73 38 38 178 186 157 161 95 367 26 53 64 155 91 401 90 250 42 149 114 9,262

EE-5th 165 94 94 78 129 16 15 188 0 19 186 194 4 51 121 15 67 427 204 28 103 4 103 4 30 22 40 128 100 1 39 246 298 164 53 24 28 97 79 75 80 35 118 12 15 25 63 47 202 52 143 18 75 45 4,665

EE-12th 328 224 201 162 245 36 37 380 0 38 359 412 5 125 221 30 180 887 410 50 193 11 206 21 78 55 89 243 206 3 100 487 618 332 105 50 56 198 189 160 165 97 372 27 55 66 159 97 407 101 253 44 154 120 9,848
180

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Projected Students by Grade Group 2011 through 2020 Moderate Growth Scenario Planning Unit 1A 1B 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E 3F 3G 3H 3J 4 5A 5B 5C 6A 6B 6C 6D 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E 7F 7G 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E 8F 8G 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 9F 10A 10B 10C 11A 11B 11C 11D 11E 12A 12B Total 2017 6th-8th 9th-12th 74 60 39 39 58 8 10 98 0 12 92 108 0 30 45 8 52 246 92 7 38 2 46 8 25 13 15 45 45 1 34 107 140 79 28 12 16 47 43 40 40 33 91 7 20 20 49 18 94 20 46 13 34 30 2,375 95 79 74 48 76 14 16 130 0 14 120 131 1 51 61 11 63 217 121 16 53 6 60 10 25 21 35 71 68 2 27 144 184 94 38 20 21 66 68 46 46 31 166 9 21 21 49 36 112 33 65 13 47 46 3,094 2018 6th-8th 9th-12th 77 65 43 41 67 9 12 118 0 17 118 120 0 34 48 9 52 249 95 7 39 3 47 8 25 13 15 46 47 2 34 112 142 81 38 15 22 52 44 41 41 33 92 7 20 21 50 20 95 22 47 13 34 31 2,538 97 83 77 50 83 15 18 144 0 18 139 140 1 54 64 12 64 219 123 16 54 6 60 11 26 21 35 71 70 2 28 148 185 95 45 23 25 70 68 46 46 31 167 10 22 22 50 37 113 34 66 13 47 46 3,210

EE-5th 171 103 99 82 147 19 19 224 0 26 226 216 4 58 127 18 68 431 212 29 106 5 106 4 31 23 41 130 106 3 40 255 302 168 68 30 38 108 81 76 81 36 120 12 15 26 65 51 205 56 144 19 77 47 4,955

EE-12th 339 242 212 169 281 42 45 451 0 53 438 455 5 139 233 37 183 895 426 51 197 13 212 23 81 56 91 246 218 5 101 506 626 340 134 62 75 221 191 162 167 99 377 29 57 68 163 105 411 109 256 45 157 123 10,424

EE-5th 177 113 107 86 165 21 23 262 0 35 276 239 4 65 134 21 70 436 218 29 108 6 108 5 33 24 42 131 111 4 41 266 306 172 86 37 49 119 82 77 83 37 123 13 16 28 66 54 207 59 146 20 78 48 5,266

EE-12th 351 261 227 177 315 45 53 524 0 69 533 499 5 152 246 42 186 904 436 53 202 15 216 24 84 58 92 249 228 8 103 526 633 349 169 75 96 242 194 165 170 101 381 30 58 70 166 112 416 115 259 46 160 126 11,013
181

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Projected Students by Grade Group 2011 through 2020 Moderate Growth Scenario Planning Unit 1A 1B 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E 3F 3G 3H 3J 4 5A 5B 5C 6A 6B 6C 6D 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E 7F 7G 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E 8F 8G 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 9F 10A 10B 10C 11A 11B 11C 11D 11E 12A 12B Total 2019 6th-8th 9th-12th 80 70 47 43 75 10 14 135 0 20 141 131 0 37 51 9 53 251 97 7 41 3 48 9 26 14 16 47 50 3 35 117 144 83 46 19 27 56 45 42 42 34 93 8 21 22 51 22 96 23 48 14 35 32 2,683 101 89 80 53 93 16 21 165 0 22 168 153 1 58 68 12 65 222 127 17 56 7 61 11 27 22 36 72 73 3 29 154 188 98 55 27 31 75 69 47 48 32 168 10 22 23 51 39 115 35 67 14 48 47 3,393 2020 6th-8th 9th-12th 84 75 50 45 83 11 17 152 0 23 166 139 0 41 55 10 54 254 100 8 42 4 49 9 27 14 17 48 52 4 36 122 146 84 54 22 32 59 46 42 42 34 95 8 22 22 52 24 98 24 49 15 36 33 2,830 106 96 85 55 104 18 25 188 0 26 201 164 1 63 72 13 66 226 130 18 58 8 63 12 28 23 37 74 77 4 30 160 190 99 66 32 38 79 71 49 49 33 170 11 23 24 53 42 117 37 68 14 50 48 3,591

EE-5th 184 124 114 91 182 24 28 300 0 42 328 262 4 73 141 22 72 442 224 31 111 8 110 6 35 25 43 134 116 6 43 277 310 177 105 44 60 128 84 79 84 38 126 14 18 29 69 58 210 62 148 21 80 50 5,595

EE-12th 365 283 241 187 349 51 63 600 0 83 637 546 5 168 260 44 190 915 448 55 208 18 220 26 88 60 95 253 239 12 106 548 641 358 205 90 119 260 198 168 174 104 388 32 61 74 171 119 422 120 263 49 164 129 11,671

EE-5th 192 135 122 95 200 26 35 339 0 49 382 281 4 81 147 22 74 448 230 32 115 10 112 7 37 26 45 136 122 7 44 287 314 179 123 53 72 135 86 81 86 40 129 15 19 31 71 63 213 64 150 22 82 52 5,922

EE-12th 381 305 256 196 387 56 76 678 0 98 748 585 5 184 274 44 194 928 460 58 215 22 223 28 92 63 98 258 251 15 109 569 650 362 244 107 142 273 202 172 177 107 394 34 64 77 176 129 429 125 267 51 168 133 12,343
182

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Pro je c ted Re si d ent E E-5 th G rad e St u de nt s


2011, 2015, and 2020

High Growth Scenario


Old
F

Hudson Bend R d

1A 137 167 206


Ro
ur

10C 71 65 77
Bend
Road

12B 37 46 55

Ben d

Th

an

ce

Pa

ry er
ad

12A 75 76 87

Be
eC

ree

al es

2A 58 91 130

1B 63 91 146

3A 68 169 366
R

2B 65 79 101 3B 0 0 0

9B 68 9A 77 77 86 82 92 2C 26 133 303 2D 2 15 25 2E 7 13 8D 35 0 46 165

3C 3 14 54

3D 52 175 503
ad

ilt o H am

Ro ool nP

11C 28 10B 9F 50 27 9 66 11E 10A 26 11A 12 11D 19 9E 22 31 26 13 111 19 107 46 15 146 21 124 65 9D 19 156 146 11B 47 7E 7D 202 36 42 103 7G 6C 209 41 132 43 7C 99 76 231 9C 143 41 33 129 104 64 46 41 6B 7B 119 82 0 19 7A 46 90 5 23 31 7F 6A Mur 8B fin 88 26 30 0 Ro 11 254 ad 38 1 105 305 121 8 340 6D 8G 5 53 4 5B 92 8E 162 5 4 144 204 8A FM 8C 20 247 195 62 5A 118 54 0 246 8F 435 168 310 5C 0 441 190 20 21 488 78 Hwy 71 28 22 4 4 FM 31 4 3J 76 0 70 11 3H 3G 80 24 77 37 120 47 156 86

oa
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Ped

Roa

an ch

mle yR

Cru

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3E 113 190 335

3F 2 4 4

Added Students 2010-2020


<0 1-9 10 - 19 20 - 49 50 - 99 100 - 199 200 +

[
Miles 0 0.5 1 2

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

183

Pro je c ted Re si d ent 6 th -8 th Gr ad e Stu d e nts


2011, 2015, and 2020

High Growth Scenario


Old
F

Hudson Bend R d

1A 62 71 90
Ro
ur

10C 37 49 54
Bend
Road

12B 28 30 34

Ben d

Th

an

ce

Pa

ry er
ad

12A 24 33 38

Be
eC

ree

al es

2A 26 35 54

1B 35 53 80

3A 33 70 166
R

Hwy

2B 31 37 48
71

9B 42 9A 40 48 45 43 48 2C 12 50 133 2D 4 6 11 2E 6 7 8D 17 0 17 74

3B 0 0 0

3C 2 6 25

3D 20 64 224
ad

ilt o H am

Ro ool nP

11C 8 10B 9F 17 16 5 25 11E 10A 20 11A 7 11D 9 9E 14 22 18 7 38 13 107 16 20 47 14 92 25 9D 22 52 103 11B 10 7E 7D 82 33 27 46 7G 6C 95 35 46 27 7C 41 43 106 9C 52 34 13 56 45 37 6B 7B 36 15 52 40 1 11 7A 17 44 2 12 19 7F 6A Mur 8B fin Ro 5 28 14 24 0 152 ad 28 0 38 141 45 4 158 6D 8E 8G 6 20 1 8 5B 38 6 74 8 64 23 88 8A FM 8C 108 75 62 5A 56 0 101 8F 220 79 133 5C 0 250 89 5 8 272 35 Hwy 71 6 22 4 4 FM 7 4 3J 46 0 52 4 3H 3G 57 11 32 19 41 25 59 43

oa
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Ped

Roa

an ch

mle yR

Cru

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3E 67 94 165

3F 0 0 0

Added Students 2010-2020


0 1-9 10 - 19 20 - 29 30 - 49 50 - 99 100 +

[
Miles 0 0.5 1 2

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

184

Pro je c ted Re si d ent 9 th -1 2 th Gr ad e Stu d e nts


2011, 2015, and 2020

High Growth Scenario


Old
F

Hudson Bend R d

1A 85 94 114
Ro
ur

10C 42 50 56
Bend
Road

12B 39 45 51

Ben d

Th

an

ce

Pa

ry er
ad

12A 42 47 52

Be
eC

ree

al es

2A 55 70 91

3A 45 104 207
R

Hwy

2B 39 47 59
71

3B 0 0 0

3C 1 8 29

11C 16 10B 9F 30 16 8 39 11E 10A 21 11A 9 11D 10 9E 17 24 25 10 61 13 160 34 21 67 14 169 44 9D 23 73 181 11B 30 7E 9B 7D 104 31 31 42 65 7G 6C 115 34 9A 47 72 24 7C 66 44 127 9C 59 51 78 28 35 82 59 37 69 6B 7B 31 35 67 47 74 3 19 7A 38 51 6 21 21 7F 6A Mur 2C 2D 8B fin Ro 9 47 22 25 0 11 4 166 ad 29 1 54 71 12 188 62 5 161 17 206 6D 2E 8G 8 6 39 10 5B 14 59 8E 97 11 8D 25 7 85 118 0 8A 15 FM 8C 141 28 120 62 5A 69 33 90 0 140 8F 185 96 174 5C 3D 0 224 107 14 29 13 250 97 43 Hwy 71 16 22 4 4 FM 17 269 4 3J 58 2 65 ad l Ro 8 3H 3G 70 P oo n ilt o 14 44 39 H am 59 46 78 66 1B 55 74 103 3E 75 120 196
Roa

oa
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N
Ped

an ch

mle yR

Cru

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y on an

3F 1 1 1

Added Students 2010-2020


0 1-9 10 - 19 20 - 29 30 - 49 50 - 99 100 +

[
Miles 0 0.5 1 2

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

185

Projected Students by Grade Group 2011 through 2020 High Growth Scenario Planning Unit 1A 1B 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E 3F 3G 3H 3J 4 5A 5B 5C 6A 6B 6C 6D 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E 7F 7G 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E 8F 8G 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 9F 10A 10B 10C 11A 11B 11C 11D 11E 12A 12B Total 2011 6th-8th 9th-12th 62 35 26 31 12 4 6 33 0 2 20 67 0 19 32 0 46 220 74 5 28 1 43 6 19 11 13 46 27 0 27 75 152 56 0 1 0 20 48 42 37 10 107 5 14 16 37 18 82 8 38 9 24 28 1,745 85 55 55 39 11 4 6 45 0 1 29 75 1 39 44 2 58 185 97 14 47 3 44 8 21 19 35 65 31 0 24 120 166 69 0 7 0 39 59 42 37 30 160 8 17 16 42 25 104 16 61 10 42 39 2,250 2012 6th-8th 9th-12th 68 36 25 28 16 3 5 41 0 3 24 73 0 23 35 1 50 248 80 5 35 1 46 8 24 12 16 46 25 0 26 79 151 72 1 1 1 21 47 39 42 21 92 5 14 19 44 17 84 12 49 12 31 28 1,883 84 58 56 39 17 6 9 54 0 1 34 80 1 40 43 2 60 209 101 13 48 3 47 9 22 19 33 68 41 0 25 119 176 85 1 7 1 40 65 43 41 28 161 8 19 19 45 26 108 18 63 11 43 38 2,387

EE-5th 137 63 58 65 26 2 7 68 0 3 52 113 2 37 77 0 76 435 162 20 88 0 76 5 31 19 33 103 42 0 43 195 254 118 0 4 0 53 77 68 64 47 107 9 22 27 71 26 202 28 111 19 75 37 3,458

EE-12th 284 153 139 135 49 11 19 147 0 6 100 255 3 95 153 2 180 841 333 39 163 4 162 19 71 49 80 215 99 0 94 390 572 243 0 12 0 112 184 152 138 87 374 22 53 59 150 69 389 52 210 38 141 104 7,453

EE-5th 146 70 67 71 42 4 6 86 0 3 67 127 3 37 89 1 69 422 169 24 93 0 82 1 29 22 33 114 60 0 46 209 277 150 3 7 2 63 75 73 69 42 115 10 20 23 66 31 205 30 131 17 72 37 3,711

EE-12th 298 164 147 138 75 13 20 181 0 7 126 280 4 100 167 4 179 879 350 43 176 5 174 18 75 53 82 228 127 0 97 407 604 307 6 14 4 125 187 156 151 91 369 22 53 60 155 74 397 61 243 39 145 104 7,981
186

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Projected Students by Grade Group 2011 through 2020 High Growth Scenario Planning Unit 1A 1B 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E 3F 3G 3H 3J 4 5A 5B 5C 6A 6B 6C 6D 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E 7F 7G 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E 8F 8G 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 9F 10A 10B 10C 11A 11B 11C 11D 11E 12A 12B Total 2013 6th-8th 9th-12th 68 47 30 35 26 4 5 51 0 3 35 79 0 22 36 2 51 245 82 6 36 1 41 7 23 12 14 45 34 0 33 94 137 75 4 3 2 31 42 39 38 32 89 6 19 19 47 14 93 13 45 12 32 27 1,984 87 63 61 43 30 8 10 68 0 2 47 91 1 41 48 3 62 215 108 15 50 4 51 9 23 20 34 69 51 0 26 125 180 89 5 9 3 45 66 45 43 29 164 8 20 20 46 29 111 22 65 12 44 41 2,564 2014 6th-8th 9th-12th 69 50 32 36 33 5 6 58 0 4 43 84 0 23 38 3 51 247 84 6 37 1 42 8 24 12 15 45 37 0 33 97 139 77 8 4 4 34 43 40 39 32 91 7 20 20 48 15 94 15 46 13 33 28 2,070 91 69 66 45 48 11 13 87 0 5 67 106 1 44 54 5 64 220 114 16 53 5 56 10 24 21 35 71 60 0 27 134 185 93 16 13 8 53 68 46 46 31 167 9 21 21 48 32 114 27 66 12 46 43 2,786

EE-5th 156 73 76 71 65 9 7 112 0 4 92 144 4 39 103 4 66 426 188 26 100 1 92 3 28 21 39 127 75 0 38 222 294 158 10 10 5 70 78 74 76 34 117 11 13 24 60 38 201 36 142 17 72 38 3,989

EE-12th 312 183 167 149 120 21 22 231 0 9 175 313 5 102 186 9 179 885 378 47 187 6 184 19 74 53 87 242 159 0 98 441 611 322 19 23 10 146 187 158 157 95 370 25 52 63 153 81 405 71 252 41 149 106 8,537

EE-5th 162 82 84 75 90 12 11 139 0 8 120 164 4 43 112 7 68 433 197 28 103 3 99 4 29 23 41 130 88 0 40 234 300 163 24 15 12 81 81 76 80 35 121 12 15 25 63 43 206 43 144 18 75 42 4,302

EE-12th 322 200 183 156 171 28 29 285 0 17 231 353 5 109 204 15 183 900 395 49 192 8 197 21 77 55 90 246 185 0 101 464 623 334 48 32 24 168 192 162 164 98 379 27 55 66 159 89 413 84 256 43 153 113 9,157
187

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Projected Students by Grade Group 2011 through 2020 High Growth Scenario Planning Unit 1A 1B 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E 3F 3G 3H 3J 4 5A 5B 5C 6A 6B 6C 6D 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E 7F 7G 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E 8F 8G 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 9F 10A 10B 10C 11A 11B 11C 11D 11E 12A 12B Total 2015 6th-8th 9th-12th 71 53 35 37 50 6 7 70 0 6 64 94 0 25 41 4 52 250 88 6 38 2 45 8 24 12 15 46 41 0 34 101 141 79 17 6 8 38 43 40 40 33 92 7 20 20 49 16 95 17 47 13 33 30 2,208 94 74 70 47 71 12 14 104 0 8 97 120 1 46 59 8 65 224 118 16 54 6 59 10 25 21 35 72 66 1 28 140 188 96 28 15 13 59 69 47 47 31 169 9 21 21 50 34 115 30 67 13 47 45 2,979 2016 6th-8th 9th-12th 75 58 39 39 67 7 8 86 0 9 92 108 0 28 44 7 53 254 93 7 39 2 47 8 25 13 15 47 45 1 34 108 144 81 28 9 12 44 44 41 41 33 94 7 20 20 50 18 97 20 48 13 35 31 2,387 97 79 75 49 91 13 15 122 0 12 128 135 1 50 62 10 66 229 124 16 55 6 62 10 26 21 36 73 70 1 28 147 192 98 40 19 18 65 70 48 48 32 171 9 22 22 51 36 118 33 68 13 48 47 3,180

EE-5th 167 91 91 79 133 15 13 169 0 14 175 190 4 47 120 11 70 441 204 28 105 5 104 4 30 23 41 132 99 1 41 246 305 168 46 20 21 92 82 77 82 36 124 12 15 26 65 46 209 50 146 19 76 46 4,655

EE-12th 333 218 195 163 254 33 33 343 0 28 336 405 5 118 219 23 186 915 410 51 197 12 209 22 79 56 91 250 206 1 102 487 634 343 91 42 42 189 195 165 169 100 385 28 56 67 163 96 420 97 259 44 156 120 9,843

EE-5th 173 100 99 82 168 17 16 201 0 21 229 217 4 54 126 16 72 449 215 29 108 5 109 4 32 23 42 134 106 1 42 258 312 173 68 26 31 103 84 79 84 37 128 12 16 27 67 49 213 55 147 19 79 49 5,009

EE-12th 345 238 213 171 326 38 40 409 0 42 449 460 5 132 233 33 190 932 432 52 202 13 217 22 82 57 93 254 220 3 104 514 648 352 136 53 61 212 198 168 173 102 393 28 58 69 168 103 427 107 263 45 162 127 10,576
188

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Projected Students by Grade Group 2011 through 2020 High Growth Scenario Planning Unit 1A 1B 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E 3F 3G 3H 3J 4 5A 5B 5C 6A 6B 6C 6D 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E 7F 7G 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E 8F 8G 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 9F 10A 10B 10C 11A 11B 11C 11D 11E 12A 12B Total 2017 6th-8th 9th-12th 78 64 42 41 85 9 10 106 0 14 122 123 0 32 48 9 54 257 98 7 40 2 49 8 25 13 16 48 48 1 35 114 147 84 38 13 18 50 45 42 42 33 96 7 20 21 51 20 99 22 48 13 35 32 2,574 101 84 78 51 108 15 17 141 0 16 156 149 1 54 66 12 67 232 129 17 56 6 64 10 26 21 36 74 73 2 29 153 194 101 50 22 23 71 71 48 49 32 173 9 22 22 52 38 119 35 69 13 49 48 3,353 2018 6th-8th 9th-12th 82 69 47 44 103 9 12 128 0 18 159 139 0 36 52 10 55 262 101 7 42 3 50 8 26 13 16 49 51 2 35 120 150 86 52 16 24 56 46 43 43 34 98 7 21 21 52 22 101 23 49 13 36 33 2,773 104 89 81 53 122 15 19 158 0 20 184 162 1 57 69 13 67 236 132 17 57 7 64 10 27 22 36 75 75 2 29 158 197 103 61 24 28 76 71 49 49 32 174 9 22 23 52 39 121 36 69 13 50 48 3,507

EE-5th 180 110 106 86 202 20 19 241 0 29 288 246 4 62 133 20 73 456 224 29 110 6 112 4 33 24 43 135 112 3 42 270 318 177 89 32 42 115 85 80 85 38 131 12 17 28 69 53 216 59 149 19 80 50 5,368

EE-12th 358 258 226 179 395 43 47 488 0 59 566 518 5 147 247 41 193 946 451 53 207 14 224 22 84 58 94 258 233 6 106 537 660 361 178 66 83 236 201 170 175 103 400 29 59 71 172 111 434 115 266 46 165 130 11,295

EE-5th 187 121 115 91 237 22 24 282 0 38 358 277 4 69 141 23 75 464 231 30 113 7 114 4 34 24 43 137 117 5 43 282 324 182 114 39 54 127 87 81 86 39 135 13 17 29 71 57 220 62 151 20 82 52 5,751

EE-12th 372 279 243 187 461 46 55 568 0 76 701 578 5 162 261 46 197 961 463 53 212 17 229 23 87 59 96 261 243 9 107 560 671 371 227 79 106 259 205 173 178 105 407 29 60 72 175 118 441 121 269 47 168 133 12,031
189

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Projected Students by Grade Group 2011 through 2020 High Growth Scenario Planning Unit 1A 1B 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E 3F 3G 3H 3J 4 5A 5B 5C 6A 6B 6C 6D 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E 7F 7G 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E 8F 8G 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E 9F 10A 10B 10C 11A 11B 11C 11D 11E 12A 12B Total 2019 6th-8th 9th-12th 86 75 50 46 118 10 14 147 0 22 191 153 0 39 55 11 56 267 105 7 43 4 51 8 27 13 16 50 53 3 36 127 154 88 63 19 30 61 47 44 43 34 100 7 21 22 53 23 103 24 50 14 37 34 2,955 108 95 86 56 140 16 22 181 0 24 224 180 1 61 73 14 69 242 136 17 60 8 66 11 28 22 37 77 78 4 30 166 201 106 75 29 35 81 73 50 50 33 177 10 23 23 54 41 124 38 71 14 51 49 3,737 2020 6th-8th 9th-12th 90 80 54 48 133 11 17 166 0 25 224 165 0 43 59 11 57 272 108 7 45 5 52 8 28 14 17 52 56 4 36 133 158 89 74 23 35 64 48 45 44 35 103 7 22 22 54 25 106 25 52 14 38 34 3,140 114 103 91 59 161 17 25 207 0 29 269 196 1 66 78 14 70 250 141 17 62 9 67 11 29 22 38 78 82 5 31 174 206 107 90 33 43 85 74 51 51 34 181 10 23 24 56 44 127 39 73 14 52 51 3,984

EE-5th 196 134 122 96 270 23 29 324 0 46 429 308 4 78 148 24 78 475 239 30 117 9 117 5 36 25 45 140 123 6 45 296 332 187 139 46 66 137 90 83 88 40 141 13 18 30 74 60 225 64 153 20 84 54 6,160

EE-12th 390 303 258 198 527 50 65 651 0 92 844 641 5 178 277 48 202 984 479 54 219 20 234 23 91 61 98 267 254 13 110 589 687 381 277 94 131 279 210 177 182 107 418 30 62 75 181 125 452 126 274 48 173 137 12,852

EE-5th 206 146 130 101 303 25 35 366 0 54 503 335 4 86 156 24 80 488 247 31 121 11 119 5 38 26 46 143 129 8 46 310 340 190 165 54 78 144 92 86 90 41 146 13 19 31 77 65 231 66 156 21 87 55 6,569

EE-12th 410 329 275 208 597 54 77 738 0 109 996 696 6 196 292 49 208 1,010 496 56 228 24 238 24 95 62 100 274 267 17 113 616 703 386 330 110 157 292 215 181 186 110 430 30 64 78 187 134 464 129 280 49 178 141 13,693
190

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

Long Range Planning

Thischapterprovidesalookatthelongtermfacilityneedsforthedistrictbycomparingthe10 yearenrollmentprojectionstothecurrentcapacitiesofLakeTravisI.S.D.schoolfacilities.The projectionsunderallthreescenariosofgrowtharecomparedtothefacilitiescapacitiesto illustrateareasofthedistrictthatmaybeinneedofadditionalcapacityinfutureyears.

Transfers
ThedatathatPASAgeneratesforlongrangeplanningpurposesrepresentsthenumberof studentsprojectedtolivewithineachattendancezone(residentstudentsorgeocodedstudents) anddoesntnecessarilyindicatethenumberofstudentsprojectedtoattendeachschooldueto interandintraDistricttransfers.Forthesepurposes,transfersaredefinedasanystudent attendingaschoolotherthanhis/herschoolofresidenceforanyreason(voluntarytransfer requests,childrenofdistrictemployees,programmatictransfers,etc.).Thetransferpatternsof thecurrentstudentsinthe201011schoolyearareincludedinthefirsttablesinthischapterand canbeusedinconjunctionwiththeresidentstudentprojectionsforshorttermplanning purposes.However,PASAdoesnottypicallyusethesetransfersinlongrangefacilitiesplans,due tothefactthatthetransferpatternsinanydistrictcanchangemarkedlyoverashortperiodof time.

Long Range Planning


ElementarySchoolPlanning Thefirstthreemapsofthischaptershowthenumberofstudentsprojectedtoliveineachofthe currentelementaryattendancezones(exclusiveoftransfers),undertheLowGrowth,Moderate Growth,andHighGrowthScenarios.Thisdataisshownfortheyears2011,2015,and2020onthe map,anditisshownforeachyearoftheprojectionperiodonthechartthatfollows. Allfiveelementaryattendancezonesareprojectedtoincreaseinstudentpopulation,thoughBee Caveleadsthegrowthwithalmost1,200newstudentsprojectedtoliveinthisareainthe upcomingdecade(undertheModerateGrowthScenario).SereneHillsisprojectedtogrowby ~450students,LakewayandLakeTravisareprojectedtogainover300studentseach,andLake Pointeisanticipatedtoseealmost200newstudents.
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011 191

UndertheModerateGrowthScenario,L.T.I.S.D.overallisprojectedtogainover2,600new ElementarystudentsbetweenOctober2010andOctober202o.Importantly,almost50%ofthis growthisprojectedtooccurinthecurrentBeeCaveattendancezone,andBeeCaveElementary isprojectedtoexceeditspracticalcapacityof850studentsbythe201314schoolyear.Thus,the DistrictwouldbebestservedtoplanforElementary#6inalocationthatcanpullstudentsfrom thecurrentBeeCaveattendancezone. MiddleSchoolandHighSchoolPlanning Thelastmapsandspreadsheetsinthischapteraredevotedtocomparingprojected6th12thgrade population(underLow,ModerateandHighGrowthScenarios)tothecapacitiesattheMiddleand HighSchools.UndertheModerateGrowthScenario,theDistrictasawholeisprojectedto increasebyabout1,200MiddleSchoolstudentsand1,900HighSchoolstudentsoverthenext decade. ThemostpressingovercrowdingissueisdevelopingattheMiddleSchoollevel,withbothMiddle Schoolsprojectedtoreachtheirpracticalcapacities(900studentseach)bythe201314school yearundertheModerateGrowthScenario.Likewise,LakeTravisHighSchoolisprojectedto exceedits2,500studentcapacitybythe201415schoolyearundertheModerateGrowth Scenario. Onepossibilitycurrentlyunderdiscussionforaccommodatingthisprojectedpopulationgrowth involvestheexpansionofLakeTravisHighSchoolintotheLakeTravisMiddleSchoolfacility. Underthisscenario,theDistrictwouldrenovatetheLTMSfacilitytoaddcapacityof1,000 studentstoLTHS,buildanew,largerLTMSfacilityonadifferentsite,andwouldalsoexpandthe currentHudsonBendMiddleSchool.ByexpandingtheLTHScapacityto3,500andthetwo MiddleSchoolscapacitiesto1,200studentseach,theDistrictcouldpostponetheneedforathird MiddleSchoolandasecondHighSchoolconsiderably.Tablesoutliningthedetailsofthis AlternativeFacilityUtilizationplanareincludedinthischapter.

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

192

ElementarySchoolTransfers LakeTravisI.S.D.
Transferring Into: 104 101 102 Lake Pointe Lake Travis Lakeway Total Transfers Out: Net Transfers

103 Bee Cave Transferring From: Bee Cave Lake Pointe Lake Travis Lakeway Serene Hills Unknown Total Transfers In:

105 Serene Hills

6 1 3 1 0 32 37 2 5 0 5 18

20 5 10 26 27 88

3 2 6 6 13 30

2 0 8 9 3 22

31 8 19 25 32 80 195

6 10 69 5 -10 ---

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

193

MiddleSchoolTransfers LakeTravisI.S.D.
Transferring Into: 042 041 Hudson Bend Lake Travis
Transferring From: Total Transfers Out: Net Transfers

Hudson Bend Lake Travis Unknown


Total Transfers In:

12 8 9 17 14 26

12 8 23 43

5 18

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

194

Pro je c ted Re si d ent E E-5 th G rad e St u de nt s


2011, 2015, and 2020

Low Growth Scenario


Old
F
Road

Ro

Ben d

Th

ur

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Pa

an

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Bend

al es

Bee Cave 2011: 693 2015: 1,064 2020: 1,715

Serene Hills 2011: 584 2015: 724 2020: 913


Th
ls e H il

Lake Travis 2011: 801 2015: 894 2020: 976


Mu rf in Ro ad

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Ro ool nP

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Lake Pointe 2011: 597 2015: 615 2020: 689

Re s
F M 22 44
Cru

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Miles 0 0.5 1 2

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Feb 2011 Update


195

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

aca

Lakeway 2011: 686 2015: 809 2020: 941

Hudson Bend R d

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Lake Travis I.S.D. Elementary Long Range Planning Projected Resident EE-5th Grade Students by Elementary Attendance Zone Low Growth Scenario Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Bee Cave Elementary Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Lake Pointe Elementary Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Lake Travis Elementary Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Lakeway Elementary Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Serene Hills Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Total Practical Capacity Students Projected Student Margin 4,250 3,361 889 4,250 3,517 733 4,250 3,692 558 4,250 3,886 364 4,250 4,106 144 4,250 4,320 -70 4,250 4,541 -291 4,250 4,779 -529 4,250 4,989 -739 4,250 5,234 -984 850 693 82% 157 850 597 70% 253 850 801 94% 49 850 686 81% 164 850 584 69% 266 850 790 93% 60 850 580 68% 270 850 820 96% 30 850 717 84% 133 850 610 72% 240 850 868 102% -18 850 587 69% 263 850 839 99% 11 850 758 89% 92 850 640 75% 210 850 955 112% -105 850 600 71% 250 850 867 102% -17 850 783 92% 67 850 681 80% 169 850 1,064 125% -214 850 615 72% 235 850 894 105% -44 850 809 95% 41 850 724 85% 126 850 1,177 138% -327 850 628 74% 222 850 914 108% -64 850 839 99% 11 850 762 90% 88 850 1,300 153% -450 850 642 76% 208 850 933 110% -83 850 868 102% -18 850 798 94% 52 850 1,442 170% -592 850 658 77% 192 850 948 112% -98 850 896 105% -46 850 835 98% 15 850 1,571 185% -721 850 671 79% 179 850 957 113% -107 850 919 108% -69 850 871 102% -21 850 1,715 202% -865 850 689 81% 161 850 976 115% -126 850 941 111% -91 850 913 107% -63

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

196

Pro je c ted Re si d ent E E-5 th G rad e St u de nt s


2011, 2015, and 2020

Moderate Growth Scenario


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Bee Cave 2011: 702 2015: 1,123 2020: 1,881

Serene Hills 2011: 595 2015: 790 2020: 1,072

Lake Travis 2011: 812 2015: 961 2020: 1,133


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Lake Pointe 2011: 602 2015: 648 2020: 773

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Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

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Lakeway 2011: 697 2015: 860 2020: 1,063

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Lake Travis I.S.D. Elementary Long Range Planning Projected Resident EE-5th Grade Students by Elementary Attendance Zone Moderate Growth Scenario Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Bee Cave Elementary Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Lake Pointe Elementary Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Lake Travis Elementary Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Lakeway Elementary Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Serene Hills Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Total Practical Capacity Students Projected Student Margin 4,250 3,408 842 4,250 3,617 633 4,250 3,839 411 4,250 4,091 159 4,250 4,382 -132 4,250 4,663 -413 4,250 4,954 -704 4,250 4,250 4,250 5,266 5,596 5,922 -1,016 -1,346 -1,672 850 702 83% 148 850 602 71% 248 850 812 96% 38 850 697 82% 153 850 595 70% 255 850 807 95% 43 850 593 70% 257 850 844 99% 6 850 739 87% 111 850 634 75% 216 850 898 106% -48 850 605 71% 245 850 876 103% -26 850 786 92% 64 850 674 79% 176 850 997 117% -147 850 625 74% 225 850 918 108% -68 850 821 97% 29 850 730 86% 120 850 1,123 132% -273 850 648 76% 202 850 961 113% -111 850 860 101% -10 850 790 93% 60 850 1,252 147% -402 850 671 79% 179 850 996 117% -146 850 903 106% -53 850 841 99% 9 850 1,395 164% -545 850 693 82% 157 850 1,031 121% -181 850 942 111% -92 850 893 105% -43 850 1,557 183% -707 850 718 84% 132 850 1,059 125% -209 850 984 116% -134 850 948 112% -98 850 1,721 202% -871 850 746 88% 104 850 1,096 129% -246 850 1,024 120% -174 850 1,009 119% -159 850 1,881 221% -1031 850 773 91% 77 850 1,133 133% -283 850 1,063 125% -213 850 1,072 126% -222

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

198

Pro je c ted Re si d ent E E-5 th G rad e St u de nt s


2011, 2015, and 2020

High Growth Scenario


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Bee Cave 2011: 716 2015: 1,206 2020: 2,145

Serene Hills 2011: 605 2015: 857 2020: 1,257

Lake Travis 2011: 824 2015: 1,012 2020: 1,196


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Lake Pointe 2011: 608 2015: 680 2020: 833

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Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

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Lakeway 2011: 704 2015: 901 2020: 1,138

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Lake Travis I.S.D. Elementary Long Range Planning Projected Resident EE-5th Grade Students by Elementary Attendance Zone High Growth Scenario Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Bee Cave Elementary Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Lake Pointe Elementary Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Lake Travis Elementary Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Lakeway Elementary Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Serene Hills Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Total Practical Capacity Students Projected Student Margin 4,250 3,457 793 4,250 3,710 540 4,250 3,989 261 4,250 4,307 -57 4,250 4,656 -406 4,250 5,010 -760 4,250 4,250 4,250 4,250 5,366 5,754 6,161 6,569 -1,116 -1,504 -1,911 -2,319 850 716 84% 134 850 608 72% 242 850 824 97% 26 850 704 83% 146 850 605 71% 245 850 828 97% 22 850 606 71% 244 850 867 102% -17 850 755 89% 95 850 654 77% 196 850 933 110% -83 850 626 74% 224 850 909 107% -59 850 815 96% 35 850 706 83% 144 850 1,051 124% -201 850 653 77% 197 850 967 114% -117 850 860 101% -10 850 776 91% 74 850 1,206 142% -356 850 680 80% 170 850 1,012 119% -162 850 901 106% -51 850 857 101% -7 850 1,369 161% -519 850 707 83% 143 850 1,050 124% -200 850 950 112% -100 850 934 110% -84 850 1,549 182% -699 850 733 86% 117 850 1,083 127% -233 850 996 117% -146 850 1,005 118% -155 850 1,747 206% -897 850 764 90% 86 850 1,117 131% -267 850 1,041 122% -191 850 1,085 128% -235 850 1,948 229% -1098 850 797 94% 53 850 1,154 136% -304 850 1,091 128% -241 850 1,171 138% -321 850 2,145 252% -1295 850 833 98% 17 850 1,196 141% -346 850 1,138 134% -288 850 1,257 148% -407

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

200

Pro je c ted Re si d ent 6 th -8 th Gr ad e Stu d e nts


2011, 2015, and 2020

Low Growth Scenario


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Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

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Hudson Bend 2011: 884 2015: 938 2020: 1,076


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Lake Travis 2011: 807 2015: 1,010 2020: 1,428

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Lake Travis I.S.D. Middle School Long Range Planning Projected Resident 6th-8th Grade Students by Middle School Attendance Zone Low Growth Scenario Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Hudson Bend Middle School Practical Capacity 900 Students Projected 884 Percent Utilization 98% 16 Student Margin Lake Travis Middle School Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Total Practical Capacity 1,800 Students Projected 1,691 Student Margin 109 1,800 1,783 17 1,800 1,834 -34 1,800 1,870 -70 1,800 1,948 -148 1,800 2,059 -259 1,800 2,179 -379 1,800 2,307 -507 1,800 2,397 -597 1,800 2,504 -704 900 807 90% 93 900 905 101% -5 900 878 98% 22 900 901 100% -1 900 933 104% -33 900 914 102% -14 900 956 106% -56 900 938 104% -38 900 1,010 112% -110 900 969 108% -69 900 1,090 121% -190 900 1,001 111% -101 900 1,178 131% -278 900 1,030 114% -130 900 1,277 142% -377 900 1,049 117% -149 900 1,348 150% -448 900 1,076 120% -176 900 1,428 159% -528

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

202

Lake Travis I.S.D. Middle School Long Range Planning Projected Resident 6th-8th Grade Students Low Growth Scenario Alternate Facility Utilization: New LTMS and Renovated HBMS Each Have 1,200 Student Capacity

Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Hudson Bend Middle School Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin 1,200 901 75% 299 1,200 914 76% 286 1,200 956 80% 244 2,400 1,870 530 1,200 938 78% 262 1,200 1,010 84% 190 2,400 1,948 452 1,200 969 81% 231 1,200 1,090 91% 110 2,400 2,059 341 1,200 1,001 83% 199 1,200 1,178 98% 22 2,400 2,179 221 1,200 1,030 86% 170 1,200 1,277 106% -77 2,400 2,307 93 1,200 1,049 87% 151 1,200 1,348 112% -148 2,400 2,397 3 1,200 1,076 90% 124 1,200 1,428 119% -228 2,400 2,504 -104

Lake Travis Middle School Practical Capacity 1,200 Students Projected 933 Percent Utilization 78% Student Margin 267 Total Practical Capacity 2,400 Students Projected 1,834 Student Margin 566

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

203

Pro je c ted Re si d ent 6 th -8 th Gr ad e Stu d e nts


2011, 2015, and 2020

Moderate Growth Scenario


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Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

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Hudson Bend 2011: 904 2015: 1,011 2020: 1,246


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Lake Travis 2011: 816 2015: 1,066 2020: 1,584

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Lake Travis I.S.D. Middle School Long Range Planning Projected Resident 6th-8th Grade Students by Middle School Attendance Zone Moderate Growth Scenario Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Hudson Bend Middle School Practical Capacity 900 Students Projected 904 Percent Utilization 100% -4 Student Margin Lake Travis Middle School Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Total Practical Capacity 1,800 Students Projected 1,720 80 Student Margin 1,800 1,835 -35 1,800 1,912 -112 1,800 1,968 -168 1,800 2,077 -277 1,800 2,225 -425 1,800 2,377 -577 1,800 2,533 -733 1,800 1,800 2,683 2,830 -883 -1,030 900 816 91% 84 900 939 104% -39 900 896 100% 4 900 948 105% -48 900 964 107% -64 900 968 108% -68 900 1,000 111% -100 900 1,011 112% -111 900 1,066 118% -166 900 1,061 118% -161 900 1,164 129% -264 900 1,106 123% -206 900 1,271 141% -371 900 1,150 128% -250 900 1,383 154% -483 900 1,200 133% -300 900 1,483 165% -583 900 1,246 138% -346 900 1,584 176% -684

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

205

Lake Travis I.S.D. Middle School Long Range Planning Projected Resident 6th-8th Grade Students Moderate Growth Scenario Alternate Facility Utilization: New LTMS and Renovated HBMS Each Have 1,200 Student Capacity

Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Hudson Bend Middle School Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin 1,200 948 79% 252 1,200 968 81% 232 1,200 1,000 83% 200 2,400 1,968 432 1,200 1,011 84% 189 1,200 1,066 89% 134 2,400 2,077 323 1,200 1,061 88% 139 1,200 1,164 97% 36 2,400 2,225 175 1,200 1,106 92% 94 1,200 1,271 106% -71 2,400 2,377 23 1,200 1,150 96% 50 1,200 1,383 115% -183 2,400 2,533 -133 1,200 1,200 100% 0 1,200 1,483 124% -283 2,400 2,683 -283 1,200 1,246 104% -46 1,200 1,584 132% -384 2,400 2,830 -430

Lake Travis Middle School Practical Capacity 1,200 Students Projected 964 Percent Utilization 80% Student Margin 236 Total Practical Capacity 2,400 Students Projected 1,912 Student Margin 488

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

206

Pro je c ted Re si d ent 6 th -8 th Gr ad e Stu d e nts


2011, 2015, and 2020

High Growth Scenario


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Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

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Hudson Bend 2011: 912 2015: 1,073 2020: 1,376


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Lake Travis 2011: 830 2015: 1,136 2020: 1,761

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Lake Travis I.S.D. Middle School Long Range Planning Projected Resident 6th-8th Grade Students by Middle School Attendance Zone High Growth Scenario Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Hudson Bend Middle School Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Lake Travis Middle School Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin Total Practical Capacity 1,800 Students Projected 1,742 58 Student Margin 1,800 1,885 -85 1,800 1,986 -186 1,800 2,073 -273 1,800 2,209 -409 1,800 2,388 -588 1,800 2,574 -774 1,800 1,800 1,800 2,774 2,954 3,137 -974 -1,154 -1,337 900 912 101% -12 900 830 92% 70 900 963 107% -63 900 922 102% -22 900 982 109% -82 900 1,004 112% -104 900 1,021 113% -121 900 1,052 117% -152 900 1,073 119% -173 900 1,136 126% -236 900 1,134 126% -234 900 1,254 139% -354 900 1,192 132% -292 900 1,382 154% -482 900 1,255 139% -355 900 1,519 169% -619 900 1,311 146% -411 900 1,643 183% -743 900 1,376 153% -476 900 1,761 196% -861

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

208

Lake Travis I.S.D. Middle School Long Range Planning Projected Resident 6th-8th Grade Students High Growth Scenario Alternate Facility Utilization: New LTMS and Renovated HBMS Each Have 1,200 Student Capacity

Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Hudson Bend Middle School Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin 1,200 982 82% 218 1,200 1,021 85% 179 1,200 1,052 88% 148 2,400 2,073 327 1,200 1,073 89% 127 1,200 1,136 95% 64 2,400 2,209 191 1,200 1,134 95% 66 1,200 1,254 105% -54 2,400 2,388 12 1,200 1,192 99% 8 1,200 1,382 115% -182 2,400 2,574 -174 1,200 1,255 105% -55 1,200 1,519 127% -319 2,400 2,774 -374 1,200 1,311 109% -111 1,200 1,643 137% -443 2,400 2,954 -554 1,200 1,376 115% -176 1,200 1,761 147% -561 2,400 3,137 -737

Lake Travis Middle School Practical Capacity 1,200 Students Projected 1,004 Percent Utilization 84% Student Margin 196 Total Practical Capacity 2,400 Students Projected 1,986 Student Margin 414

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

209

Lake Travis I.S.D. High School Long Range Planning Projected 9th-12th Grade Students

Low Growth Scenario Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Lake Travis High School Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin 2,500 2,188 88% 312 2,500 2,261 90% 239 2,500 2,371 95% 129 2,500 2,515 101% -15 2,500 2,627 105% -127 2,500 2,742 110% -242 2,500 2,835 113% -335 2,500 2,913 117% -413 2,500 3,026 121% -526 2,500 3,175 127% -675

Moderate Growth Scenario Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Lake Travis High School Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin 2,500 2,219 89% 281 2,500 2,324 93% 176 2,500 2,467 99% 33 2,500 2,651 106% -151 2,500 2,803 112% -303 2,500 2,961 118% -461 2,500 3,095 124% -595 2,500 3,210 128% -710 2,500 3,393 136% -893 2,500 3,591 144% -1,091

High Growth Scenario Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Lake Travis High School Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin 2,500 2,250 90% 250 2,500 2,386 95% 114 2,500 2,563 103% -63 2,500 2,785 111% -285 2,500 2,978 119% -478 2,500 3,179 127% -679 2,500 3,352 134% -852 2,500 2,500 2,500 3,506 3,736 3,983 140% 149% 159% -1,006 -1,236 -1,483

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

210

Lake Travis I.S.D. High School Long Range Planning Projected 9th-12th Grade Students Alternate Facility Utilization: Expansion of LTHS into the LTMS Facility

Low Growth Scenario Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Lake Travis High School Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin 3,500 2,627 75% 873 3,500 2,742 78% 758 3,500 2,835 81% 665 3,500 2,913 83% 587 3,500 3,026 86% 474 3,500 3,175 91% 325

Moderate Growth Scenario Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Lake Travis High School Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin 3,500 2,803 80% 697 3,500 2,961 85% 539 3,500 3,095 88% 405 3,500 3,210 92% 290 3,500 3,393 97% 107 3,500 3,591 103% -91

High Growth Scenario Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall Fall 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Lake Travis High School Practical Capacity Students Projected Percent Utilization Student Margin 3,500 2,978 85% 522 3,500 3,179 91% 321 3,500 3,352 96% 148 3,500 3,506 100% -6 3,500 3,736 107% -236 3,500 3,983 114% -483

Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update Feb 2011

211