Will Americans Be Deceived Into a War With Iran?

The IAEA reports Iran is building a nuclear weapons program, and the warrior class heats up the call for war. As with Iraq, the justification is no more persuasive and the moral authority of those seeking to go on the attack is suspect. Just as we are withdrawing from Iraq and have a plan in motion to withdraw from Afghanistan, the drumbeats for war rise again. The instigator is the International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA) most recent report indicating that Iran is experimenting with technologies that lead to development of a nuclear weapons program. That’s enough for America’s hawks again to call for war and air strikes by Israel or the United States on Iran. However, the report is in contradiction to earlier IAEA determinations. According to its former Director General, Mohamed Elbaradei, there is “no credible evidence” of an Iranian nuclear weapons program. It’s a contradiction of the 2007 National Intelligence Estimate, as well. The new IAEA report comes from its current Director General, Yukio Amano, who Ramesh Thakur, director of the Centre for Nuclear Non-proliferation and Disarmament at Australian National University, says, is “‘solidly in the U.S. court’ on Iran, according to a U.S. diplomatic cable. In September, the 117 countries of the non-aligned movement expressed concerns at Amano’s ‘departure from standard verification language.’ They were unhappy also with his uncritical acceptance of western-sourced intelligence on Iran’s nuclear activities.” Thakur’s view is that “The new report from the International Atomic Energy Agency on Iran’s alleged nuclear weapons program is both preposterous and dispiriting. Preposterous, because the agency has reinterpreted ‘old’ facts instead of discovering new evidence. Dispiriting, because the reinterpretation may feed the growing punish-and-bomb Iran frenzy.” As Thakur says, “Iran has the legal right to enrich uranium. It might have an interest in doing so for weapons-related purposes precisely because it lives in a particularly threatening environment that includes five nuclear-armed states (Israel, Pakistan, India, Russia, China). American ground troops are deployed in large numbers in Iraq and Afghanistan and U.S. warships ply the seas

around Iran. Britain and the U.S. have repeatedly intervened in Iran and have a record of almost unbroken bellicose rhetoric against the Islamic republic.” As with our support for Iraq with its invasion of Iran during the Iran-Iraq War, in the 1950’s, the United States assisted Iran with its nuclear program, continuing up to the 1979 Iranian Revolution that toppled the Shah of Iran. Following the revolution, Iran disbanded the program and then later revived the program leading to today’s controversy as to whether their program is power or weapons based. Despite early objections from the United States, Iran's first nuclear power plant, Bushehr I reactor, was put online on September 12, 2011. We went to war against Iraq based on miscalculated and misleading intelligence reports, and, “fixed [intelligence reports] to justify the predetermined decision to go to war.” Now, there is the threat that we could repeat that mistake. Michael Mullen, former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said, “We’ve not had a direct link of communication with Iran since 1979. And I think that has planted many seeds for miscalculation. When you miscalculate, you can escalate and misunderstand.” Ramesh Thakur theorizes, “Now Amano is turning the IAEA into an instrument for justifying aggression against Iran. Also reminiscent of 2003, his report relies on innuendo and insinuation rather than verifiable evidence and facts. “As with Iraq, the justification is no more persuasive, the risks of wider unintended consequences are grave, and the moral authority of those seeking to go on the attack is suspect.”

Sources: Fareed Zakaria, Don't rush to war with Iran, CNN Julian Borger and Richard Norton-Taylor, 'No credible evidence' of Iranian nuclear weapons, says UN inspector, guardian.co.uk National Intelligence Estimate: Iran - Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities, Council on Foreign Relations

Ramesh Thakur, Another nuclear shell game, TheStar.com Ali Gharib, Adm. Mike Mullen Supports Opening Up ‘Any Channel’ Of Communication With Iran, ThinkProgress.org Roe, Sam (28 January 2007), "An atomic threat made in America", Chicago Tribune. Iran Affairs, "Iran Affairs: Blasts from the Past:"Western Support for Iran's Nuclear program". Associated Press, "Iran Plans 19 Nuclear Power Plants", FOX News "Iran sees Bushehr plant at full capacity in one year", Agence France-Presse

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