HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 singularity - Transcendent Money Confidential All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 singularity - Transcendent Money Confidential All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 singularity - Transcendent Money Confidential All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY TRANSCENDENT MONEY KEY CONCEPTS Singularity Exponential vs Linear Growth Trends Law of Accelerating Returns vs Law of Diminishing Returns Financial Oppression Internet Reformation Transcendent Money Monetary Singularity 02
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY - MATHEMATICAL Source: Ray Kurzweil, 1999 03
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY SCHWARZCHILD BLACK HOLE 04
All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited. SINGULARITY MOTHER OF ALL Big Bang - (Keplers) Supernova nucleosynthesis. 05
HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY TECHNOLOGICAL The singularity will allow us to transcend the limitations of our biological bodies and brains. There will be no distinction, post singularity, between human and machine. Source: Ray Kurzweil, 1999 06 COUNTDOWN TO SINGULARITY
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY EXPONENTIAL TREND Linear vs Exponential trend growth. Note the initial imperceptible growth which accelerates at a point in time called the Knee of the curve. Source: Ray Kurzweil, 1999 07 LINEAR VS EXPONENTIAL GROWTH
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY LAW OF ACCELERATING RETURNS Exponential curve on Log Scale the exponential of the rate of exponential. Source: Ray Kurzweil, 1999 08 EXPONENTIAL GROWTH OF COMPUTING
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY MOORES LAW Dynamic RAM (Random Access Memory) illustrates Moores Law. DRAM size shrink by half every 5.4 years. Cost of DRAM per square millimeter falling - DRAM bits per dollar doubles every 1.5 years. Source: Ray Kurzweil, 1999 09 DYNAMIC RAM PRICE DYNAMIC RAM SINGULARITY - PRODUCTIVITY Half-lifes or Doubling times. Source: Ray Kurzweil, 1999
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential 10
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY PROGRESSIVE PURCHASING POWER Source: Ray Kurzweil, 1999 11 PROCESSOR PERFORMANCE
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY PRODUCTIVITY Demand outstrips deation in cost of information technologies. Source: Ray Kurzweil, 1999 12 TOTAL BITS SHIPPED
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY LAW OF DIMINISHING RETURNS Source: Marc Faber Gloom Doom Boom Report 14 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 S e p - 6 0 S e p - 6 3 S e p - 6 6 S e p - 6 9 S e p - 7 2 S e p - 7 5 S e p - 7 8 S e p - 8 1 S e p - 8 4 S e p - 8 7 S e p - 9 0 S e p - 9 3 S e p - 9 6 S e p - 9 9 S e p - 0 2 S e p - 0 5 S e p - 0 8 Annual change in GDP divided by the annual change in total debt to GDP, 4Q mov average.
DIMINISHING RETURNS FROM AN ADDITIONAL $1 OF DEBT IN THE US ECONOMY
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY LINEAR DEBT TRENDS 15 400% 200% 0% -200% -400% -600% -800% -10,00% -1,200% -1,400% -1,600% -1,800% Italy Germany France Portugal United States United Kingdom Spain Ireland Greece Source: EU Commission, Eurostat, CBO, IMF, Morgan Stanley Research TOTAL DEBT & LIABILITIES AS % OF GDP Cost of ageing Structural deficit Initial debt level
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY EXPONENTIAL DEBT TRENDS 16 0.0 2,000.0 4,000.0 6,000.0 8,000.0 10,000.0 12,000.0 D e c - 5 8 D e c - 6 0 D e c - 6 2 D e c - 6 4 D e c - 6 6 D e c - 6 8 D e c - 7 0 D e c - 7 2 D e c - 7 4 D e c - 7 6 D e c - 7 8 D e c - 8 0 D e c - 8 2 D e c - 8 4 D e c - 8 6 D e c - 8 8 D e c - 9 0 D e c - 9 2 D e c - 9 4 D e c - 9 6 D e c - 9 8 D e c - 0 0 D e c - 0 2 D e c - 0 4 D e c - 0 6 D e c - 0 8 D e c - 1 0 D e c - 1 2 M2 (USD billion) Exponential Forcast 0.0 10,000.0 20,000.0 30,000.0 40,000.0 50,000.0 60,000.0 D e c - 5 8 D e c - 6 0 D e c - 6 2 D e c - 6 4 D e c - 6 6 D e c - 6 8 D e c - 7 0 D e c - 7 2 D e c - 7 4 D e c - 7 6 D e c - 7 8 D e c - 8 0 D e c - 8 2 D e c - 8 4 D e c - 8 6 D e c - 8 8 D e c - 9 0 D e c - 9 2 D e c - 9 4 D e c - 9 6 D e c - 9 8 D e c - 0 0 D e c - 0 2 D e c - 0 4 D e c - 0 6 D e c - 0 8 D e c - 1 0 D e c - 1 2 Total Debt (USD billion) Exponential Forcast THE US M2 FITTED TO AN EXPONENTIAL TREND THE US TOTAL DEBT (IN USD BILLION) FITTED TO AN EXPONENTIAL TREND
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY LOG MONETARY TREND 17 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 D e c - 9 5 J u l - 9 6 F e b - 9 7 S e p - 9 7 A p r - 9 8 N o v - 9 8 J u n - 9 9 J a n - 0 0 A u g - 0 0 M a r - 0 1 O c t - 0 1 M a y - 0 2 D e c - 0 2 J u l - 0 3 F e b - 0 4 S e p - 0 4 A p r - 0 5 N o v - 0 5 J u n - 0 6 J a n - 0 7 A u g - 0 7 US MONETARY BASE (LOG TERMS)
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY MONEY VELOCITY 18 -12% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% J u n - 6 1 J u n - 6 4 J u n - 6 7 J u n - 7 0 J u n - 7 3 J u n - 7 6 J u n - 7 9 J u n - 8 2 J u n - 8 5 J u n - 8 8 J u n - 9 1 J u n - 9 4 J u n - 9 7 J u n - 0 0 J u n - 0 3 J u n - 0 6 J u n - 0 9 Recessions Monetary Velocity YoY MONETARY VELOCITY YOY
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY PUMPTY PUMPTY PUMP... 19
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY E.F.S.F. European Financial Stability Facility or European FUBAR Slush Fund? It is tied to higher risks of losses and to increased sharing of risks. The way they are constructed, the leveraging instruments are not too different from those which are responsible for creating the crisis, because they are concealed risks. Jens Weidmann, President of the German Bundesbank 20
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential 21 SINGULARITY MONOLINE AMBAC: the muni and sub-prime monoline insurer. A taste of things to come for the EFSF monoline insurer? 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0 J u l - 9 1 J u l - 9 2 J u l - 9 3 J u l - 9 4 J u l - 9 5 J u l - 9 6 J u l - 9 7 J u l - 9 8 J u l - 9 9 J u l - 0 0 J u l - 0 1 J u l - 0 2 J u l - 0 3 J u l - 0 4 J u l - 0 5 J u l - 0 6 J u l - 0 7 J u l - 0 8 J u l - 0 9 J u l - 1 0 J u l - 1 1 AMBAC US (SHARE PRICE)
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY GLOBAL MONETARY TRENDS UK QE has been 45% bigger than the Feds QE. 22 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 J u n - 0 6 S e p - 0 6 D e c - 0 6 M a r - 0 7 J u n - 0 7 S e p - 0 7 D e c - 0 7 M a r - 0 8 J u n - 0 8 S e p - 0 8 D e c - 0 8 M a r - 0 9 J u n - 0 9 S e p - 0 9 D e c - 0 9 M a r - 1 0 J u n - 1 0 S e p - 1 0 D e c - 1 0 M a r - 1 1 J u n - 1 1 S e p - 1 1 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 J u n - 0 6 S e p - 0 6 D e c - 0 6 M a r - 0 7 J u n - 0 7 S e p - 0 7 D e c - 0 7 M a r - 0 8 J u n - 0 8 S e p - 0 8 D e c - 0 8 M a r - 0 9 J u n - 0 9 S e p - 0 9 D e c - 0 9 M a r - 1 0 J u n - 1 0 S e p - 1 0 D e c - 1 0 M a r - 1 1 J u n - 1 1 S e p - 1 1 BANK OF ENGLAND TOTAL ASSETS ECB TOTAL ASSETS
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY GLOBAL MONETARY TRENDS The illusion of sobriety. 23 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% O c t - 0 8 D e c - 0 8 F e b - 0 9 A p r - 0 9 J u n - 0 9 A u g - 0 9 O c t - 0 9 D e c - 0 9 F e b - 1 0 A p r - 1 0 J u n - 1 0 A u g - 1 0 O c t - 1 0 D e c - 1 0 F e b - 1 1 A p r - 1 1 J u n - 1 1 A u g - 1 1 O c t - 1 1 Agencies MBS US Treasuries COMPOSITION OF FED BALANCE SHEET, SECURITIES PORTFOLIO 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1,800,000 A p r - 9 8 O c t - 9 8 A p r - 9 9 O c t - 9 9 A p r - 0 0 O c t - 0 0 A p r - 0 1 O c t - 0 1 A p r - 0 2 O c t - 0 2 A p r - 0 3 O c t - 0 3 A p r - 0 4 O c t - 0 4 A p r - 0 5 O c t - 0 5 A p r - 0 6 O c t - 0 6 A p r - 0 7 O c t - 0 7 A p r - 0 8 O c t - 0 8 A p r - 0 9 O c t - 0 9 A p r - 1 0 O c t - 1 0 A p r - 1 1 JAPAN BOJ BALANCE SHEET TOTAL ASSETS (100 MILL JPY)
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY PRICE TRENDS QE impact on corporate bond spreads, S&P500, Commodities and Dollar. 24 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 J a n - 0 6 A p r - 0 6 J u l- 0 6 O c t - 0 6 J a n - 0 7 A p r - 0 7 J u l- 0 7 O c t - 0 7 J a n - 0 8 A p r - 0 8 J u l- 0 8 O c t - 0 8 J a n - 0 9 A p r - 0 9 J u l- 0 9 O c t - 0 9 J a n - 1 0 A p r - 1 0 J u l- 1 0 O c t - 1 0 J a n - 1 1 A p r - 1 1 J u l- 1 1 O c t - 1 1 400 420 440 460 480 500 QE1 On Hold to 2013 Continuous Commodity Index Asian Currency Index (RHS) QE2 CONTINUOUS COMMODITY INDEX AND ASIAN CCY INDEX 500 700 900 1,100 1,300 1,500 1,700 1,900 J a n - 0 6 A p r - 0 6 J u l- 0 6 O c t - 0 6 J a n - 0 7 A p r - 0 7 J u l- 0 7 O c t - 0 7 J a n - 0 8 A p r - 0 8 J u l- 0 8 O c t - 0 8 J a n - 0 9 A p r - 0 9 J u l- 0 9 O c t - 0 9 J a n - 1 0 A p r - 1 0 J u l- 1 0 O c t - 1 0 J a n - 1 1 A p r - 1 1 J u l- 1 1 O c t - 1 1 QE1 QE2 On Hold to 2013 S&P BAA Corp Spread (scaled) BAA CORP SPREAD AND S&P RATIO
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY COMMODITY VS FIAT PAPER MONEY Gold price (y) or (1/x) is an inverse function of paper money (x). 25 Purch asing Power of Fiat Money (incr easing) > Gold Price PURCHASING POWER OF FIAT MONEY AND THE GOLD PRICE
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY FINANCIAL OPPRESSION Monetary and Fiscal Policy at a practical limit Financial Legislation, regulation and taxation enables Capital Conscription Conscripted Capital ie grab capital mandatorily s Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (nancial repression)
s Dodd-Frank esque Global Financial Regulation Acts
s Nationalisation of Money Centres and Pension companies
s FATCA, FTT or Tobin Tax, Double Tax Treaties (US, UK and Switzerland) s Mining Taxes, Windfall Taxes, Nationalisation of Mines 26
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY FINANCIAL OPPRESSION Game of Twist(er) anyone? 27 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 J a n - 8 0 J a n - 8 2 J a n - 8 4 J a n - 8 6 J a n - 8 8 J a n - 9 0 J a n - 9 2 J a n - 9 4 J a n - 9 6 J a n - 9 8 J a n - 0 0 J a n - 0 2 J a n - 0 4 J a n - 0 6 J a n - 0 8 J a n - 1 0 US 30Y GOVERNMENT BOND YIELDS
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY FINANCIAL OPPRESSION Net central bank purchases of US Treasuries as a % of total issuance. Central Bank printers nancing US government. Source: Russell Napier, CLSA 28 HINDE GOLD FUND OUTPERFORMANCE (BASED AT 100 ; OCTOBER 2008) 75 100 125 150 175 O c t - 0 8 D e c - 0 8 F e b - 0 9 A p r - 0 9 J u n - 0 9 A u g - 0 9 O c t - 0 9 D e c - 0 9 F e b - 1 0 A p r - 1 0 J u n - 1 0 A u g - 1 0 O c t - 1 0 D e c - 1 0 F e b - 1 1 A p r - 1 1 J u n - 1 1 Cumulative Net Overall Alpha Cumulative Strategic (Gross) Cumultaive Juniors (Gross) 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 (20) (40) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 NET CENTRAL - BANK PURCHASES OF US TREASURIES AS A % OF ISSUANCE (%) FOREIGN CENTRAL BANKS SHARE OF TREASURY MARKET HAS PEAKED 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20 18 22 24 26 28 30 30 34 36 38 40 (%) SHARE OF TREASURY MARKET NOT OWNED BY CENTRAL BANKS 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 (%) US PAPER COMMERCIAL OUTSTANDING 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 (US$bn) US CORPORATE PROFITS AFTER TAX (NIPA DATA) AND S&P500 REPORTED EPS 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 1,100 1,100 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 US CORPORATE PROFITS AFTER TAX S&P500 REPORTED EARNINGS (RHS) (US$bn) (%) 1 50 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 10 CORPORATE TAX TAKE AS A % OF GDP
All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY FINANCIAL OPPRESSION Foreign central banks Treasury market share peaked at close to 40%. Source: Russell Napier, CLSA 29 HINDE GOLD FUND OUTPERFORMANCE (BASED AT 100 ; OCTOBER 2008) 75 100 125 150 175 O c t - 0 8 D e c - 0 8 F e b - 0 9 A p r - 0 9 J u n - 0 9 A u g - 0 9 O c t - 0 9 D e c - 0 9 F e b - 1 0 A p r - 1 0 J u n - 1 0 A u g - 1 0 O c t - 1 0 D e c - 1 0 F e b - 1 1 A p r - 1 1 J u n - 1 1 Cumulative Net Overall Alpha Cumulative Strategic (Gross) Cumultaive Juniors (Gross) 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 (20) (40) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 NET CENTRAL - BANK PURCHASES OF US TREASURIES AS A % OF ISSUANCE (%) FOREIGN CENTRAL BANKS SHARE OF TREASURY MARKET HAS PEAKED 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20 18 22 24 26 28 30 30 34 36 38 40 (%) SHARE OF TREASURY MARKET NOT OWNED BY CENTRAL BANKS 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 (%) US PAPER COMMERCIAL OUTSTANDING 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 (US$bn) US CORPORATE PROFITS AFTER TAX (NIPA DATA) AND S&P500 REPORTED EPS 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 1,100 1,100 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 US CORPORATE PROFITS AFTER TAX S&P500 REPORTED EARNINGS (RHS) (US$bn) (%) 1 50 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 10 CORPORATE TAX TAKE AS A % OF GDP
All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY FINANCIAL OPPRESSION Treasury Market share not owned by central banks. Source: Russell Napier, CLSA 30 HINDE GOLD FUND OUTPERFORMANCE (BASED AT 100 ; OCTOBER 2008) 75 100 125 150 175 O c t - 0 8 D e c - 0 8 F e b - 0 9 A p r - 0 9 J u n - 0 9 A u g - 0 9 O c t - 0 9 D e c - 0 9 F e b - 1 0 A p r - 1 0 J u n - 1 0 A u g - 1 0 O c t - 1 0 D e c - 1 0 F e b - 1 1 A p r - 1 1 J u n - 1 1 Cumulative Net Overall Alpha Cumulative Strategic (Gross) Cumultaive Juniors (Gross) 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 (20) (40) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 NET CENTRAL - BANK PURCHASES OF US TREASURIES AS A % OF ISSUANCE (%) FOREIGN CENTRAL BANKS SHARE OF TREASURY MARKET HAS PEAKED 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20 18 22 24 26 28 30 30 34 36 38 40 (%) SHARE OF TREASURY MARKET NOT OWNED BY CENTRAL BANKS 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 (%) US PAPER COMMERCIAL OUTSTANDING 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 (US$bn) US CORPORATE PROFITS AFTER TAX (NIPA DATA) AND S&P500 REPORTED EPS 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 1,100 1,100 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 US CORPORATE PROFITS AFTER TAX S&P500 REPORTED EARNINGS (RHS) (US$bn) (%) 1 50 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 10 CORPORATE TAX TAKE AS A % OF GDP
All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY FINANCIAL OPPRESSION US commercial paper outstanding is falling as government issuance crowds out private sector. Source: Russell Napier, CLSA 31 HINDE GOLD FUND OUTPERFORMANCE (BASED AT 100 ; OCTOBER 2008) 75 100 125 150 175 O c t - 0 8 D e c - 0 8 F e b - 0 9 A p r - 0 9 J u n - 0 9 A u g - 0 9 O c t - 0 9 D e c - 0 9 F e b - 1 0 A p r - 1 0 J u n - 1 0 A u g - 1 0 O c t - 1 0 D e c - 1 0 F e b - 1 1 A p r - 1 1 J u n - 1 1 Cumulative Net Overall Alpha Cumulative Strategic (Gross) Cumultaive Juniors (Gross) 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 (20) (40) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 NET CENTRAL - BANK PURCHASES OF US TREASURIES AS A % OF ISSUANCE (%) FOREIGN CENTRAL BANKS SHARE OF TREASURY MARKET HAS PEAKED 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20 18 22 24 26 28 30 30 34 36 38 40 (%) SHARE OF TREASURY MARKET NOT OWNED BY CENTRAL BANKS 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 (%) US PAPER COMMERCIAL OUTSTANDING 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 (US$bn) US CORPORATE PROFITS AFTER TAX (NIPA DATA) AND S&P500 REPORTED EPS 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 1,100 1,100 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 US CORPORATE PROFITS AFTER TAX S&P500 REPORTED EARNINGS (RHS) (US$bn) (%) 1 50 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 10 CORPORATE TAX TAKE AS A % OF GDP
All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY FINANCIAL OPPRESSION Corporate prots too high in US. Source: Russell Napier, CLSA 32 HINDE GOLD FUND OUTPERFORMANCE (BASED AT 100 ; OCTOBER 2008) 75 100 125 150 175 O c t - 0 8 D e c - 0 8 F e b - 0 9 A p r - 0 9 J u n - 0 9 A u g - 0 9 O c t - 0 9 D e c - 0 9 F e b - 1 0 A p r - 1 0 J u n - 1 0 A u g - 1 0 O c t - 1 0 D e c - 1 0 F e b - 1 1 A p r - 1 1 J u n - 1 1 Cumulative Net Overall Alpha Cumulative Strategic (Gross) Cumultaive Juniors (Gross) 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 (20) (40) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 NET CENTRAL - BANK PURCHASES OF US TREASURIES AS A % OF ISSUANCE (%) FOREIGN CENTRAL BANKS SHARE OF TREASURY MARKET HAS PEAKED 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20 18 22 24 26 28 30 30 34 36 38 40 (%) SHARE OF TREASURY MARKET NOT OWNED BY CENTRAL BANKS 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 (%) US PAPER COMMERCIAL OUTSTANDING 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 (US$bn) US CORPORATE PROFITS AFTER TAX (NIPA DATA) AND S&P500 REPORTED EPS 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 1,100 1,100 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 US CORPORATE PROFITS AFTER TAX S&P500 REPORTED EARNINGS (RHS) (US$bn) (%) 1 50 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 10 CORPORATE TAX TAKE AS A % OF GDP
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY FINANCIAL OPPRESSION Corporate tax rate only going to rise. Source: Russell Napier, CLSA 33 HINDE GOLD FUND OUTPERFORMANCE (BASED AT 100 ; OCTOBER 2008) 75 100 125 150 175 O c t - 0 8 D e c - 0 8 F e b - 0 9 A p r - 0 9 J u n - 0 9 A u g - 0 9 O c t - 0 9 D e c - 0 9 F e b - 1 0 A p r - 1 0 J u n - 1 0 A u g - 1 0 O c t - 1 0 D e c - 1 0 F e b - 1 1 A p r - 1 1 J u n - 1 1 Cumulative Net Overall Alpha Cumulative Strategic (Gross) Cumultaive Juniors (Gross) 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 (20) (40) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 NET CENTRAL - BANK PURCHASES OF US TREASURIES AS A % OF ISSUANCE (%) FOREIGN CENTRAL BANKS SHARE OF TREASURY MARKET HAS PEAKED 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20 18 22 24 26 28 30 30 34 36 38 40 (%) SHARE OF TREASURY MARKET NOT OWNED BY CENTRAL BANKS 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 (%) US PAPER COMMERCIAL OUTSTANDING 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 (US$bn) US CORPORATE PROFITS AFTER TAX (NIPA DATA) AND S&P500 REPORTED EPS 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 0 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 1,100 1,100 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 US CORPORATE PROFITS AFTER TAX S&P500 REPORTED EARNINGS (RHS) (US$bn) (%) 1 50 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 10 CORPORATE TAX TAKE AS A % OF GDP
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY OCCUPY WALL STREET A singular misjudgment by protestors? 34
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY INTERNET REFORMATION An exponential social paradigm the World Wide Web. Source: Ray Kurzweil, 1999 35 MASS USE OF INVENTIONS SINGULARITY GOVT INDUCED MONEY AMNESIA Dalis Disintegration of Memory A metaphor for government induced Money Amnesia?
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential 36
All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited. SINGULARITY EVOLUTION OF FACEBOOK Facts & gures: Since 2004 People on Facebook More than 800 million active users More than 50% of our active users log on to Facebook in any given day Activity on Facebook More than 900 million objects that people interact with (pages, groups, events and community pages) On average, more than 250 million photos are uploaded per day Global Reach More than 70 languages available on the site Platform On average, people on Facebook install apps more than 20 million times every day Mobile More than 350 million active users currently access Facebook through their mobile devices More than 475 mobile operators globally work to deploy and promote Facebook mobile products Source: www.website-monitoring.com 37
HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY Twitter, and Facebook more widely used in India, Indonesia vs any other countries. 38
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY THE FACEBOOK REVOLUTION Social consequences of the evolution of the World Wide Web. Money wont create success, the freedom to make it will. Nelson Mandela 39
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY DEMOTIX A citizen journalism and photo agency website. Co-founded by Jonathan Tepper of Hinde Capital. Now in partnership with Corbis, a Bill Gates owned company. A Hindu woman lights lamps on the occasion of Diwali and Laxmi Puja. Diwali is popularly known as the Festival of Lights. 40
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY TRANSFORMATIONAL TECHNOLOGY Snaptu: A world of free apps on any phone! Social networking & lifestyle applications running in the Cloud. s Founded August 2007, acquired by Facebook April 2011 for $70m s 42m users, growing at 3.5m per month s Funded by Sequoia Capital (Google, YouTube, Yahoo) 41
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY EXPONENTIAL ADOPTION RATES Source: Snaptu marketing presentation 2011 42 45,000,000 40,000,000 35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 J A N
0 9 M A R
0 9 M A Y
0 9 J U L
0 9 S E P
0 9 N O V
0 9 J A N
1 0 M A R
1 0 M A Y
1 0 J J U L
1 0 S E P
1 0 N O V
1 0 J A N
1 1 M A R
1 1 0 TOTAL SNAPTU UNIQUE USERS POWER LAW OF PARTICIPATION COLLABORATIVE INTELLIGENCE COLLECTIVE INTELLIGENCE PERIPHERY CORE HIGH ENGAGEMENT WITH COMMUNITY LOW THRESHOLD WITH TOOL READ FAVORITE TAG COMMENT SUBSCRIBE SHARE NETWORK WRITE REFACTOR COLLABORATE MODERATE LEAD
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY POWER LAW OF PARTICIPATION Power Law of Participation. Content created by the few taken up by the many. 43 45,000,000 40,000,000 35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 J A N
0 9 M A R
0 9 M A Y
0 9 J U L
0 9 S E P
0 9 N O V
0 9 J A N
1 0 M A R
1 0 M A Y
1 0 J J U L
1 0 S E P
1 0 N O V
1 0 J A N
1 1 M A R
1 1 0 TOTAL SNAPTU UNIQUE USERS POWER LAW OF PARTICIPATION COLLABORATIVE INTELLIGENCE COLLECTIVE INTELLIGENCE PERIPHERY CORE HIGH ENGAGEMENT WITH COMMUNITY LOW THRESHOLD WITH TOOL READ FAVORITE TAG COMMENT SUBSCRIBE SHARE NETWORK WRITE REFACTOR COLLABORATE MODERATE LEAD US $ Trillion US $ Trillion
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY EXPONENTIAL ASSET GROWTH Global fnancial assets have risen 17-fold over the last 3 decades from $12.3 trillion to nearly $210 trillion. Gold has not kept up with this rate of growth, and this doesn't account for the quadrillion dollars in worldwide derivatives. Source: World Federation of Exchanges, The Economist, McKinsey, IMF and CPM Group 44 Percent Percent
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY GOLD ADOPTION RATES LOW Gold investor holdings stands at $2.0 trillion (Nov 2011j, 0.96% of Global Financial Assets (GFAj. ln 2000 gold holdings were worth $227 billion, or 0.2% of GFA, but this isn't the whole story... Source: World Federation of Exchanges, The Economist, McKinsey, IMF and CPM Group, as of end of Dec. 2010 45 Gold Investor Holdings = 0.96% of Global Financial Assets (Nov 2011)
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY GOLD ADOPTION RATES LOW s Today 0.2% would be worth $1.45 trillion ($1800 troy oz. Auj or 0.7% of Global Financial Assets (GFAj. s Therefore new investment gold only provided 0.26% increase in % gold holdings. s ln 1968 to 1970 % gold holdings of GFA = 5%, to attain this % at current values of gold ($1,800j, $10.4 trillion dollars need to be invested. s $10.4 trillion is equivalent to 5.8 billion troy oz at $1,800 or 1.2 x gold ever produced. s 5.8 billion troy oz. is 3.6 x known gold reserves (based on US Geological Surveyj. s Clearly not only is public ownership miniscule, but to return to the 70s % holdings requires too much gold than these prices can handle. s This transfer of gold will take place at much higher prices. 46
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential 47 SINGULARITY GOLD NOT EXPONENTIAL YET The US monetary base is backed 15% by gold. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 $0 $300 $600 $900 $1,200 $1,500 $1,800 $2,100 $2,400 $2,700 Gold Reserves to Money Supply Ratio Low (Gold Undervalued) Gold Reserves to Money Supply Ratio High (gold Exp ensive) Money Supply Doubles G o l d
R e s e r v e s
a s
P e r c e n t
M o n e y
S u p p l y US GOLD RESERVES AND MONEY SUPPLY
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY GOLD LINEAR PRICE TARGETS Gold is re-setting. The minimum target is US$4,000 formulated on 40% base money, which is the non-levered component ie exclusive of credit. This is the linear price target. 48 $10 $100 $1,000 $10,000 1 9 2 0 1 9 4 5 1 9 5 4 1 9 5 9 1 9 6 4 1 9 6 9 1 9 7 4 1 9 7 9 1 9 8 3 1 9 8 8 1 9 9 3 1 9 9 8 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 8 100% of Monetary Base = $10,158/oz 40% of Monetary Base = $4,063/oz Actual Spot Gold Price = $1,720/oz P r i c e
o f
G o l d
( $
o z ) 100% Monetary Base 40% Monetary Base Spot Gold Px US GOLD RESERVES AND GOLD PRICE
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY GOLD EXPONENTIAL PRICE TARGETS Gold is re-setting itself. The conuence of existing exponential global monetary growth, plus the spread of gold information virally via the Web will lead to rejection of at currency. 49 *The underlying methodology is worth emphasizing. Global means the ECB, Fed and the PBOC (China) The implied value of Gold is found by taking the average gold backing 2010/11 times latest gold price and assuming a 40% backing The gold used as backing of the money supply is equal to the latest holdings of Gold in FX reserves held by the ECB, the Fed and the PBOC (IMF data) 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% J a n - 9 9 J u l- 9 9 J a n - 0 0 J u l- 0 0 J a n - 0 1 J u l- 0 1 J a n - 0 2 J u l- 0 2 J a n - 0 3 J u l- 0 3 J a n - 0 4 J u l- 0 4 J a n - 0 5 J u l- 0 5 J a n - 0 6 J u l- 0 6 J a n - 0 7 J u l- 0 7 J a n - 0 8 J u l- 0 8 J a n - 0 9 J u l- 0 9 J a n - 1 0 J u l- 1 0 J a n - 1 1 J u l- 1 1 24,504 63,849 16,336 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 Global M2 Total Credit (US) US M2 GLOBAL MONEY SUPPLY BACKED BY GOLD IMPLIED GOLD PRICE IN USD ASSUMING 40% BACKING OF MONEY SUPPLY
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY AUSSIE GOLD HOLDINGS If we assume a 40% backing of gold using the gold reserves of Australia, the gold price in USD would be 232,857 USD, but clearly this gure is nonsensical as Australian gold holdings are next to none! 50 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% N o v - 8 4 N o v - 8 5 N o v - 8 6 N o v - 8 7 N o v - 8 8 N o v - 8 9 N o v - 9 0 N o v - 9 1 N o v - 9 2 N o v - 9 3 N o v - 9 4 N o v - 9 5 N o v - 9 6 N o v - 9 7 N o v - 9 8 N o v - 9 9 N o v - 0 0 N o v - 0 1 N o v - 0 2 N o v - 0 3 N o v - 0 4 N o v - 0 5 N o v - 0 6 N o v - 0 7 N o v - 0 8 N o v - 0 9 N o v - 1 0 AUSTRALIAN MONEY SUPPLY (M3) BACKED BY GOLD
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY AUSSIE GOLD PROTECTION Aussie house prices have increased strongly in AUD terms, but they have fallen in gold terms. In addition, there seems to be a good correlation between declines in house prices (in AUD terms) and the price of gold (in AUD terms). An investment in gold for an AUD dominated investor with a high exposure to the real estate market is a good hedge. 51 -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% D e c - 0 2 A p r - 0 3 A u g - 0 3 D e c - 0 3 A p r - 0 4 A u g - 0 4 D e c - 0 4 A p r - 0 5 A u g - 0 5 D e c - 0 5 A p r - 0 6 A u g - 0 6 D e c - 0 6 A p r - 0 7 A u g - 0 7 D e c - 0 7 A p r - 0 8 A u g - 0 8 D e c - 0 8 A p r - 0 9 A u g - 0 9 D e c - 0 9 A p r - 1 0 A u g - 1 0 D e c - 1 0 A p r - 1 1 A u g - 1 1 -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% Gold in AUD, QoQ, smoothed Australian House Prices, QoQ (inverse) 45 65 85 105 125 145 165 D e c - 0 2 A p r - 0 3 A u g - 0 3 D e c - 0 3 A p r - 0 4 A u g - 0 4 D e c - 0 4 A p r - 0 5 A u g - 0 5 D e c - 0 5 A p r - 0 6 A u g - 0 6 D e c - 0 6 A p r - 0 7 A u g - 0 7 D e c - 0 7 A p r - 0 8 A u g - 0 8 D e c - 0 8 A p r - 0 9 A u g - 0 9 D e c - 0 9 A p r - 1 0 A u g - 1 0 D e c - 1 0 A p r - 1 1 A u g - 1 1 In AUD In Gold AUSTRALIA ESTABLISHED HOUSE PRICE INDEX (2003 - 2004 = 100) AUSTRALIA ESTABLISHED HOUSE PRICE INDEX IN AUD AND GOLD (2003 - 2004 = 100)
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY HYPER ( BOLE ) METAL CRITICALITY? 52 y = 2E-13x 4 - 2E-08x 3 + 0.0011x 2 - 21.005x + 152036 -1,000.0 0.0 1,000.0 2,000.0 3,000.0 4,000.0 5,000.0 6,000.0 7,000.0 D e c - 5 8 D e c - 6 1 D e c - 6 4 D e c - 6 7 D e c - 7 0 D e c - 7 3 D e c - 7 6 D e c - 7 9 D e c - 8 2 D e c - 8 5 D e c - 8 8 D e c - 9 1 D e c - 9 4 D e c - 9 7 D e c - 0 0 D e c - 0 3 D e c - 0 6 D e c - 0 9 D e c - 1 2 D e c - 1 5 D e c - 1 8 D e c - 2 1 Gold USD per oz 4th order polynomial forecast GOLD PRICE IN US DOLLAR FITTED TO A POLYNOMIAL TREND
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY CRITICAL EVENTS Silver Criticality a taste of what is to come? A mini-parabola in Silver manifested by Internet Chatter about Silver shortages. Originated by a few spread by a many. 53
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY HYPER ( BOLE ) INFLATION? High (Hyper) Ination is a political occurrence. The gures demonstrate clearly that decits amounting to 40 per cent or more expenditures cannot be maintained. They lead to high ination and hyperinations... Peter Bernholz Monetary Regimes & Ination pp.71 High (hyper) ination is caused by nancing huge public decits through money creation. Even 20% decits were behind but four cases of hyperination. The US government decit is 10% of GDP, but currently the US decit is over 30% of all government spending. The world reserve currency is in the red. 54
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY HYPERINFLATION Decit levels relative to expenditures before hyperination. Source: Monetary Regimes and Ination, Peter Bernholz 55 BUDGET DEFICITS BEFORE FIVE HYPERINFLATIONS 30% -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 20% 40% 60% FRANCE 80% 100% Years prior to money reform %
o f
S p e n d i n g
m o n e t i s e d BOLIVIA BRAZIL POLAND GERMANY
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY MONEY ALIVE OR DEAD? 56
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY MONETARY SINGULARITY 57 SINGULARITY LAW OF ACCELERATING RETURNS LAW OF DIMINISHING RETURNS FINANCIAL OPPRESSION INTERNET REFORMATION TRANSCENDENT MONEY MONETARY SINGULARITY TRANSCENDENT MONE
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential SINGULARITY Gold the secret key to the nancial universe. 58
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential HINDE GOLD FUND Hinde Gold Fund maintains a managed long exposure to the precious metals complex, primarily physical gold bullion. The Fund offers investors the opportunity to seek preservation of, and an increase in, capital. s The Fund targets a signicant return in excess of its designated benchmark, the USD spot gold bullion price. s The core of the Funds investment is in allocated physical gold stored in secure vaults in a leading Swiss private bank, Julius Baer. s The Fund provides exposure to the upside appreciation in the precious metals sector while smoothing out downside volatility. s The Fund also has an allocation to companies engaged in mining, exploration and production in the precious metals sector. 59
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential 60 HINDE GOLD FUND TRACK RECORD
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential 61 HGF NOW 79% AHEAD OF ITS BENCHMARK From November 2008 (until October 2011), gold is up 136%, while HGF is up 215%. This equates to an outperformance of 79% points, net of all fees. HGF - TOTAL 'OUTPERFORMANCE' TO GOLD FROM NOV 2008 -10% 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% F e b - 0 9 A p r - 0 9 J u n - 0 9 A u g - 0 9 O c t - 0 9 D e c - 0 9 F e b - 1 0 A p r - 1 0 J u n - 1 0 A u g - 1 0 O c t - 1 0 D e c - 1 0 F e b - 1 1 A p r - 1 1 J u n - 1 1 A u g - 1 1 O c t - 1 1 HGF's outperformance to gold in % pts from November 2008 stands at almost 79% (net of fees).
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential HINDE GOLD FUND OUTPERFORMANCE s HGF is solidly outperforming other gold funds. s Hinde Gold Fund is outperforming its benchmark. The benchmark until October 2008 was 50% gold and 50% gold equities. From November 2008 onwards, the benchmark has been 100% gold. 62 HGF ABOVE ITS BENCHMARK 20 70 120 170 220 J a n - 0 8 A p r - 0 8 J u l - 0 8 O c t - 0 8 J a n - 0 9 A p r - 0 9 J u l - 0 9 O c t - 0 9 J a n - 1 0 A p r - 1 0 J u l - 1 0 O c t - 1 0 J a n - 1 1 A p r - 1 1 J u l - 1 1 O c t - 1 1 Benchmark was 50% gold/50% gold equities until October 2008. Thereafter, the benchmark has been 100% gold. Well Known Gold Equity Fund I Benchmark Hinde Gold Fund Well Known Gold Equity Fund II
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential HINDE GOLD FUND - LOWER VOLATILITY s Hinde Gold Funds volatility has been very close to that of its benchmark. s Other funds have displayed considerably more volatility. 63 HGF - LOW VOLATILITY (12M VOL, ANNUALIZED) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% J a n - 0 9 M a r - 0 9 M a y - 0 9 J u l - 0 9 S e p - 0 9 N o v - 0 9 J a n - 1 0 M a r - 1 0 M a y - 1 0 J u l - 1 0 S e p - 1 0 N o v - 1 0 J a n - 1 1 M a r - 1 1 M a y - 1 1 J u l - 1 1 S e p - 1 1 HGF has shown less volatility in its returns than other well-known gold funds Well Known Gold Equity Fund I Benchmark Hinde Gold Fund Well Known Gold Equity Fund II
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential 64 HINDE GOLD FUND OUTPERFORMANCE: QOQ HINDE GOLD FUND: QUARTER ON QUARTER SOURCE OF ALPHA GENERATION -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Q 3
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential WHY HINDE GOLD FUND? s Hinde Gold Fund exposes investors to upside appreciation in the precious metals sector while smoothing out any downside volatility. s ETFs track the gold price, with a cost. They are also a paper promise: there is no direct gold ownership. Other funds merely exaggerate the gold price, potentially losing investors more on the downside, and with higher return volatility. s Hinde Gold Fund aims to signicantly outperform the spot gold price each year, net of all fees. Spot Gold -25% -15% 0% +15% +25% Typical ETF -25.4% -15.4% -0.4% +14.6% +24.6% Typical Gold Equity -50% -30% 0% +30% +50% Fund Hinde GF* -10% 0% +15% +30% +40% (table is illustrative) *Idealized returns on a 12m rolling basis for given return in gold. Actual return may deviate from this. 65
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential 66 HINDE GOLD FUND INVESTMENT SUMMARY Hinde Gold Fund is an ideal way to gain exposure to a managed investment in gold: s A long bias gold bullion fund, which smooths downside volatility s Aim to create a solid return above the USD spot gold price s Invests up to 25% in small-cap gold mining holdings; average is 15% s A secure method of owning allocated physical gold (held in Swiss Private Bank, Julius Baer) s Three share classes available: USD, EUR and GBP s A liquid investment no subscription or redemption fees, and same month dealing s Listed on the Cayman Stock Exchange
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HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential 67 HINDE CAPITAL: A HIGHLY SECURE INVESTMENT ETFs and other vehicles for gold investment have inherent risks investors may be unaware of. An investment in gold should hedge out all possible credit risks. Hinde Gold Fund achieves this by investing in allocated gold bullion. Hinde Gold Fund employs KPMG Switzerland to undertake an annual audit of its gold holdings. Allocated Gold Bullion (stored at secure vaults in viable jurisdiction) Unallocated Gold Bullion Comex & Tocom Futures (warning potential hotspot) Physical Bullion ETFs (warning hotspot) Swaps & Derivatives Other Wealth Store Default Risk Safer Increased Risk Default Risk Wealth Store Increased Risk Safer
All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential 68 HINDE CAPITAL: ORGANIZATION Hinde Capitals structure ensures the Firms operations are thoroughly audited and transparent. Investment Manager Hinde Gold Fund Ltd (BVI) Hinde Equity Fund Ltd (Cayman) Auditor KPMG (Ireland) Hinde Gold Feeder Fund L.P. (Delaware) Hinde Gold Feeder Fund Ltd (Cayman Stock Exchange listed) Hinde Equity Feeder Fund L.P. (Delaware) Hinde Equity Feeder Fund Ltd (Cayman) Prime Broker Newedge (UK) Legal UK Cummings Legal BVI/Catman Appleby Bullion Custodian Bank Julius Bar Zurich (Switzerland) Administrator Swiss Financial Services (Ireland)
All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential HINDE CAPITAL: INVESTMENT MANAGERS Ben Davies (CEOj and Mark Mahaffey (CFOj, former colleagues from RBS Greenwich Capital, established Hinde Capital in early 2007, primarily to focus on the precious metals and commodity sector. Hinde Gold Fund, Bvl Ltd, was launched in October 2007. The Fund is now into its fourth year. Ben Davies has over 17 years experience within fnancial and commodity markets, starting his career in 1994 trading credit fxed-income at Credit Lyonnais. ln 1999 Ben moved to Greenwich Capital in London where he traded multi-asset classes. He left Greenwich in 2001 following the merger with RBS and took a position as a portfolio manager for Blue Sky Capital Australia, a Japan equity hedge fund. ln 2002 he returned to Greenwich Capital to take up the position as Head of Fixed lncome and Macro Proprietary Trading. ln 2007 Ben co-founded Hinde Capital with Mark Mahaffey to focus on the precious metals and commodities sectors. Hinde Gold Fund has proven itself to be an exemplary performer in the precious metals sector. Mark Mahaffey has 26 years experience in the international markets having held senior posts at several leading investment banks. He trained as a fxed income specialist at Daiwa Securities before joining Midland Montagu as Director of the US government trading desk. ln 1990 he jointly set up the Greenwich Capital offce in London where he managed a portfolio focusing on global macro themes, before joining lBJl in 2001. His most recent appointment from 2005 was Managing Director of Bank of America London Proprietary desk. ln 2007 Mark left BoA to set up Hinde Capital. 69
All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential HINDE CAPITAL: KEY PERSONNEL Jonathan Tepper started his career as generalist equity analyst at SAC Capital in Stamford, Connecticut concentrating on special situations: recapitalizations, spinoffs, and restructurings. After working alongside Mark Mahaffey at Bank of America he has worked at various funds intensifying his research into the resource sector as both a macro and mining analyst. He is a Rhodes Scholar with an M.Litt. in modern history from Oxford University. He graduated with highest honours in history and economics from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill in 1998. Simon White is a University of Cambridge mathematics graduate with a background in interest rate and proprietary trading. After graduation Simon joined JPMorgan on the USD Rates desk, followed by a position at Bank of America as a proprietary trader, where he worked with both Mark Mahaffey and Jonathan Tepper. After a position at a start-up macro hedge fund, he joined Hinde Capital in October 2008. Paul Burton is Managing Director and partner of GFMS World Gold Analyst. Paul was formerly editor of the World Gold Analyst, a position he held for over eleven years. ln August 2002, Paul completed a management buyout of World Gold Analyst from the Mining Communications Ltd. Before joining the Mining Journal in 1996, Paul spent over twenty years in various positions within the mining industry. After initially working as a mining engineer he spent much of his career in mineral economics, most notably at Gold Fields, and minerals marketing in South Africa. 70
All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential 71 HINDE CAPITAL: CONTACT INFORMATION Website www.hindecapital.com Email Ben Davies, CEO: ben.davies@hindecapital.com Mark Mahaffey, CFO: mark.mahaffey@hindecapital.com Phone +44 (0)20 7648 4600 Hinde Capital 10 New Street London EC2M 4TP United Kingdom
All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
HINDE GOLD FUND November 2011 Singularity Transcendent Money Condential 72 HINDE CAPITAL: DISCLAIMER Hinde Gold Fund Ltd is an open-ended multi-class investment company incorporated in the British virgin lslands. This document is issued by Hinde Capital Limited, 10 New Street, London EC2M 4TP, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. This document is for information purposes only. ln no circumstances should it be used or considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offers to buy the securities mentioned in it. The information in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. The information concerning the performance track record is given purely as a matter of information and without legal liability on the part of Hinde Capital. Any decision by an investor to offer to buy any of the securities herein should be made only on the basis of the information contained in the relevant Offering Memorandum. Opinions expressed herein may not necessarily be shared by all employees and are subject to change without notice. The securities mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in some states or countries and will not necessarily be suitable for all types of investor. Questions concerning suitability should be referred to a fnancial adviser. The fnancial products mentioned in this document can fuctuate in value and may be subject to sudden and large falls that could equal the amount invested. Changes in the rate of exchange may also cause the value of your investment to go up and down. Past performance may not necessarily be repeated and is not a guarantee or projection of future results. The Fund is categorised in the United Kingdom as an unregulated collective investment scheme for the purposes of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 and their Shares cannot be marketed in the UK to general public other than in accordance with the provisions of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotionj Order 2005, the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Promotion of Collective lnvestment Schemesj (Exemptionj Order 2001, as amended, or in compliance with the rules of the Financial Services Authority made pursuant to the FSMA. Participants in this investment are not covered by the rules and regulations made for the protection of investors in the UK. Participants will not have the beneft of the rights designed to protect investors under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. ln particular, participants will lose the right to claim through the Financial Services Compensation Scheme. The securities referenced in this document have not been registered under the Securities Act of 1933 (the 1933 Act"j or any other securities laws of any other U.S. jurisdiction. Such securities may not be sold or transferred to U.S. persons unless such sale or transfer is registered under the 1933 Act or is exempt from such registration. This information does not constitute tax advice. lnvestors should consult their own tax advisor or attorney with regard to their tax situation.