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Title: Serbia: The Milosevic Regime on the Eve of the September Elections Authors: International Crisis Group (ICG) Keywords: International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia (ICTY) Issue Date: 27-Feb-2009 Publisher: International Crisis Group (ICG) Abstract: The regime in Serbia has recovered its footing after the 1999 war with NATO and remains as hard-line as ever. Learning and gaining experience over the years has enabled the regime to improve its performance and become more efficient. Most analysts in Serbia agree that Milosevic will be able to stay in power indefinitely. The process of internal consolidation after a lost war and loss of Kosovo has been mostly
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successful. The Serbian state security apparatus is pervasive. Its only task remains to secure the rule of federal President Slobodan Milosevic; the enemy is whatever threatens that rule. Information collected is used selectively to intimidate, blackmail or inflict political damage on opponents. The police are estimated now to be 80-100,000 strong; their consolidation was completed in June. New laws have given the police new power and the Law on Terrorism is expected to further enhance their authority and legal power. Despite claims of victory over NATO forces last year, the whole affair was a sobering experience for the Yugoslav army. The changes at the top that followed were successful in securing control over the top layer of the military, but not of the whole structure. The regime cannot count any more on the army as a reserve in case of civil unrest and other Serbian internal problems. Despite claims of victory over NATO forces last year, the whole affair was a sobering experience for the Yugoslav army. The changes at the top that followed were successful in securing control over the top layer of the military, but not of the whole structure. The regime cannot count any more on the army as a reserve in case of civil unrest and other Serbian internal problems. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/20817

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