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From:

HOO Hoc
Tuesday, April 19, 2011 2:38 PM
LIA07 Hoc; LIA08 Hoc; OST01 HOC
FW: Update of forecast wind conditions for Fukushima Daiichi 1
WRFJl-ukushimaNPP Forecast_2011-04-19 12Z (5km).xlsx

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Headquarters Operations Officer
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
Phone: 301-816-5100
Fax: 301-816-5151
Secure e-mail: hool@nrc.sgov.gov
e-mail: hoo.hoccnrc.gov
----Original Message ----From: Simpson, Matthew D. [mailto:simpson35@llnl.gov]
Sent: Tuesday, April 19, 2011 2:20 PM
To: HOO Hoc; PMT02 Hoc; PMTO1 Hoc; CMHT@nnsa.doe.gov; nitops@nnsa.doe.gov; alan.remick@nnsa.doe.gov;
I'hVA)
'na30ecc@nr.doe.gov;[(bl(6)
Cc: narac@llnl.gov
Subject: Update of forecast wind conditions for Fukushima Daiichi 1

A spreadsheet is attached containing the latest forecast wind conditions at the Fukushima Power Plant.
The forecast time series is derived from the latest NARAC WRF simulation with 5 km horizontal grid spacing.

NOTE: Onshore winds and precipitation during forecast period

Fukushima Power Plant Forecast Summary:
19 April 18:00 Z to 20 April 23:00 Z:
precipitation possible.
20 April 23:00 Z to 21 April 10:00Z:
21 April10:00Z

to end of forecast period:

Northwest to Northerly winds at 4 - 8 m/s. Period of light

Southeast (onshore) to Southerly winds at 3 - 5 m/s.
Southwesterly winds at 4 m/s.

Matthew Simpson
NARAC Atmospheric Scientist

I

Forecast Model: WRF
Horizontal Grid Spacing: 5 km
Vertical Levels: 44
Forecast Location: Fukushima NPP, Japan
Data Produced by Matthew Simpson (NARAC, 925 / 422-7627)

YEAR

MO

--.--

DY

HR

WSP

--

(UTC)

(m/s)

2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
.2011
2011
2011
2011
2011

4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4

19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
20

18
19
20
21
22
23
0
1
2
3

8.2
7.7
8.1
7.7
8
7.8
8
7.9
7.7
7.5

2011

4

20

4

2011;
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011

4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4

20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
21
21
21
21
21
21
21
21

5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

WDR

CLASS

.......-

Temp (2m)

RAIN

(C)

(in/hr)

322
324
328
327
330
329
335
343
341
336

D
D
D
D
C
C
C
C
C
C

1
1
1
1
3
4
5
7
8
9

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

7.3

344

C

9

0

7.4
7
5.4
3.6
2.2
2.2
2.9
1.9
3.1
4
4.1
4.2
4.1
3.8
3.7
3.8
3.3
0.7
0.9
2
3.2
3.8
4.5
5.5
5.5
5.2
4.7

349
4
30
15
346
346
343
300
303
281
288
290
291
290
290
277
265
267
149
119
120
129
138
147
157
155
170

C
C
C
D
D
D
D
F
D
E
E
D
E
E
E
E
E
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C

9
9
6
5
5
5
5
3
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
5
6
7
8
9
9
9
9
8
8

0
0
0
0.01
0.02
0.04
0.01
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

2011
2011
2011

4
4
4

2011

2011

21
21
21

8
9
10

3.9
3.2
3.3

176
195
228

4

21

11

4.1

4

21

12

4.3

C
E
E

8
7
6

0
0
0

234

E

6

0

235

D

6

0