PITCHING FORECAST

Bullpen
Pitcher Tim Dillard IP 28.2 PTN% 58 0.609

Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers
April 13-15 @ Turner Field

OPS vs. RHH

OPS vs. LHH 1.057

K% 14.9

K/BB 1.94

WPA -0.04

fWAR 0.3

xFIP 2.82

Four-seam — 5% (93.10); Sinker — 63% (89.84); Slider — 27% (77.71); Changeup — 5% (82.82)

Manny Parra (L) ^

122

22

0.809

0.807

20.0

1.84

-1.92

0.4

3.81

Four-seam — 56% (93.00); Curveball — 16% (77.19); Splitter — 27% (84.97)

Marco Estrada

92.2

54

0.704

0.798

22.7

2.78

-1.22

0.8

3.58

Four-seam — 46% (91.68); Sinker — 8% (90.77); Curveball — 22% (80.32); Changeup — 22% (78.68)

Kameron Loe

72.0

53

0.676

0.836

13.9

1.85

-1.42

1.2

2.78

Four-seam — 10% (89.91); Sinker — 65% (89.94); Curveball — 19% (78.35)

Jose Veras

71.0

46

0.665

0.712

23.2

1.87

0.08

0.5

3.87

Sinker — 60% (95.28); Curveball — 32% (79.28); Splitter — 8% (85.16)

Francisco Rodriguez

71.2

49

0.548

0.643

30.2

2.84

2.13

1.4

3.08

Four-seam — 48% (92.97); Sinker — 8% (90.79); Curveball — 25% (79.85); Changeup — 18% (84.34)

John Axford

73.2

52

0.575

0.567

30.2

2.92

4.29

1.9

2.85

Four-seam — 68% (95.97); Slider — 13% (85.32); Curveball — 19% (81.47)

Compiled by Kevin Orris @ www.CapitolAvenueClub.com

HITTING FORECAST
BA-LHP C — Jonathan Lucroy 1B — Mat Gamel * 2B — Rickie Weeks SS — Alex Gonalzez 3B — Aramis Ramirez LF — Ryan Braun CF — Nyjer Morgan RF — Corey Hart Starter Average 0.291 0.264 0.261 0.267 0.305 0.350 0.209 0.333 0.285 BA-RHP 0.259 0.264 0.271 0.232 0.307 0.327 0.316 0.270 0.281 0.322 0.341 0.375 0.287 0.348 0.433 0.261 0.430 0.350 0.310 0.341 0.343 0.264 0.365 0.387 0.370 0.355 0.339

Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers
April 13-15 @ Turner Field
SLG-RHP 0.352 0.433 0.471 0.349 0.519 0.591 0.439 0.479 0.454 wOBA-LHP 0.373 0.335 0.362 0.314 0.357 0.433 0.243 0.451 0.359 wOBA-RHP 0.294 0.335 0.354 0.268 0.378 0.419 0.355 0.353 0.345 DRS -6 5 -6 9 -21 3 5 -1 -1.5 0.547 0.433 0.457 0.438 0.477 0.617 0.279 0.627 0.484

OBP-LHP OBP-RHP SLG-LHP

^ DRS is taken using the most recent year’s number for that player, for the position he is currently playing, and then scaled to a 162 game value. For some players that only played a small number of games at a given position the previous year, this may provide extreme numbers. *Castro did not play in 2011, these are 2010 numbers ** These are ZiPS projections for Marwin Gonzelez, as this is his first MLB season, his DRS is estimated based on scouting reports.

C- Jonathan Lucroy- Bats R Throws R: Offense first catcher with huge platoon splits, the Brewers may be well served to just use Kottaras and Lucroy in a straight platoon. However, that doesn’t seem to be the plan. Excellent against LHP, feeble against RHP. Likes the ball on the inner third of the plate and down. 1B- Matt Gamel- Bats S Throws R: Just don’t make a mistake down the middle and you will be fine. Has major trouble with anything not a grooved fastball. Profiles as a good defensive first baseman. 2B- Rickie Weeks- Bats R Throws R: Very good power. Likes the ball out away from him and up in the zone where he can get his arms extended and drive the ball. Good power to all fields, classic spray hitter. SS- Alex Gonzalez- Bats R Throws R: Decent power on mistakes. Swings at a lot of bad pitches that he can’t do anything with. No need to throw him a strike in many counts. Let him get himself out, which he is very adept at doing. Still a very good defender, though his range is slowly eroding. 3B- Aramiz Ramirez- Bats R Throws R: Low ball hitter with nearly dead even platoon splits. Still has major power on balls thigh high over the middle, but his bat

no longer has the speed to catch up to power pitches up in the zone. LF- Ryan Braun- Bats R Throws R: Excellent power hitter with good power across the entire zone and a good batting eye. Can hit pitches with power anywhere in the strike zone and doesn’t swing at poor pitches very often. Offensively he just doesn’t have a weakness. Tends to pull ground balls, but fly balls and line drives are hit to all fields. CF- Nyjer Morgan- Bats L Throws L: Decent hitter against RHP, brutally awful against LHP. Can pop a ball into the gap against a RHP when a mistake is made down the middle. RF- Corey Hart- Bats R Throws R: Absolutely destroys LHP. Likes the ball up in the zone. Can turn on the inside pitch or drive a ball out away from him with authority. Hits to all fields with power. Bench: Oddly, despite the fact that the Brewers lineup is primarily righty dominant, their bench is as well, with only Kottaras being particularly adept at hitting RHP. Izturis and Carlos Gomez are great defensive substitutions, however, their primary places they would sub already have very good defenders at the positions. The bench construction seems quizzical at best.

Compiled by Franklin Rabon @ www.CapitolAvenueClub.com

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