April 2012 Omnibus Week 3 Princeton Survey Research Associates International for National Journal Final Topline Results

April 23, 2012 Total: Registered Voters (RV’s): 1,004 adults age 18 and older Margin of error: Plus or minus 3.7 percentage points 799 adults age 18 and older Margin of error: Plus or minus 4.2 percentage points

Interviewing dates: April 19 – 22, 2012

Notes: Due to rounding, percentages may not add to 100. An asterisk (*) indicates values less than 0.5%.

Princeton Survey Research Associates International April 2012 Omnibus Week 3

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READ TO ALL: Thinking about the 2012 elections… ASK ALL CC1. As you may know, Republicans currently control a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives and Democrats control a majority in the U.S. Senate. After the 2012 elections, which of the following outcomes would you prefer? First/Next, [READ ITEMS IN ORDER].

Based on registered voters (n=799)
a. Would you rather see the Republicans keep control of the U.S. House of Representatives, OR the Democrats win enough seats to take over control of the House?1  

  Apr 19-22 Oct 27-30 2012 2011 43 41 Republicans keep control of the U.S. House 46 43 Democrats win enough seats to take over control of the House 6 6 Neither/Other [VOL. DO NOT READ] 6 9 Don’t know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ]   b. Would you rather see the Democrats keep control of the U.S. Senate, OR the Republicans win enough seats to take over control of the Senate?  

Apr 19-22 2012 50 Democrats keep control of the U.S. Senate 39 Republicans win enough seats to take over control of the Senate 5 Neither/Other [VOL. DO NOT READ] 6 Don’t know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ]   c. Would you rather see Democrat Barack Obama OR Republican Mitt Romney win the presidency?   Apr 19-22 2012 47 39 9 5      
1

Democrat Barack Obama Republican Mitt Romney Neither/Other [VOL. DO NOT READ] Don’t know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ]

From PSRAI/CC Omnibus Oct11 Wk4. Question stem was “Thinking about the 2012 elections, which of the following outcomes would you prefer…” Trend based on registered voters, n=770.

Princeton Survey Research Associates International April 2012 Omnibus Week 3

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ASK ALL CC2. And thinking about the major problems facing this country today…do you think Washington is more likely to make progress on them after the 2012 election if [READ 1-3]:   Apr 19-22 2012 25 Republicans control the White House and both the House and Senate, 28 Democrats control the White House and both the House and Senate, OR 33 Control of the White House and Congress is divided between the parties? 14 Don’t know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ]                                                                          
Princeton Survey Research Associates International April 2012 Omnibus Week 3

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ASK ALL CC3. Do you think the representative in Congress from your district has performed his or her job well enough to deserve re-election, or do you think it’s time to give a new person a chance?

Based on registered voters (n=799)
Deserves re-election 38 34 31 34 34 49 43 Time for new person 48 50 53 58 55 42 47 (VOL.) Depends on candidates 1 2 1 3 3 2 1 (VOL.) Don’t know/ Refused 13 14 14 5 8 7 9

Apr 19-22, 2012 RV Dec 8-11, 20112 RV Jul 28-31, 20113 Oct 21-26, 20104 LV Sept 10-14, 2010 RV Oct 27-31, 2006 LV Oct 5-8, 2006 RV

ASK ALL CC4. Do you think most members of Congress have done a good enough job to deserve reelection, or do you think it’s time to give new people a chance?

Based on registered voters (n=799)
Deserve re-election 13 7 10 8 12 9 9 10 8 16 13 Time for new people 77 80 79 80 78 79 82 78 81 70 78 (VOL.) Depends on candidates 5 6 4 8 7 6 5 7 6 7 3 (VOL.) Don’t know/ Refused 6 6 7 4 3 6 4 5 5 7 6

Apr 19-22, 2012 RV Dec 8-11, 20115 RV Jul 28-31, 20116 Oct 21-26, 20107 LV Sept 10-14, 2010 RV Jun 16-21, 20108 May 20-24, 20109 Apr 5-12, 201010 Feb 5-10, 2010 Oct 27-31, 2006 LV Oct 5-8, 2006 RV
2 3

December and July 2011 are PSRAI/CC Omnibus trends. For December RV’s, n=774. Not asked of registered voters. 4 All other trends are CBS News/New York Times. 5 December and July 2011 are PSRAI/CC Omnibus trends. For December RV’s, n=774. 6 Not asked of registered voters. 7 All other trends are CBS News/New York Times; national sample including oversample of AfricanAmericans. 8 National sample including oversample of coastal counties in Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi 9 CBS News only. 10 National sample including oversample of Tea Party supporters.

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READ TO ALL: Next… ASK ALL CC5. Thinking about the elections for Congress this year, please tell me whether you would be more likely or less likely to vote for a candidate with each of the following characteristics, or whether it would make no difference in your vote either way. First, [INSERT ITEM; RANDOMIZE]? Next, what about [NEXT ITEM]? [IF NECESSARY: would you be more likely, less likely, or would it make no difference in your vote either way?]11 More likely to vote for a. If a candidate is an incumbent running for re-election   Apr 19-22, 2012 Sept 30-Oct 3, 2010 May 20-23, 201012 b. If a candidate has never held elective office   Apr 19-22, 2012 Sept 30-Oct 3, 2010 May 20-23, 2010 c. If a candidate would vote most of the time to support Barack Obama   Apr 19-22, 2012 d. If a candidate would vote most of the time to support Mitt Romney Apr 19-22, 2012 e. If a candidate would oppose any tax increases Apr 19-22, 2012 f. If a candidate would vote to raise taxes on those earning more than $250,000 per year Apr 19-22, 2012 14 12 15 23 21 24 30 23 38 Less likely to vote for 21 26 27 21 27 28 35 34 30 No difference either way 56 53 51 50 47 43 31 38 27 (VOL.) Don’t know/ Refused 9 9 8 5 5 6 3 5 4

48

25

24

3

11

Stem from PSRAI/CC July11 Wk4 Omnibus; stem and some items from Pew/CC Sept10 Wk5 Omnibus and Pew/CC May10 Wk3 Omnibus. 12 In May 2010, the question asked about “a candidate who…” and the wording of items matched the question wording.

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DEMOGRAPHICS I have one last set of questions to help us better understand the people who took part in our survey. SEX Respondent’s Sex 48 52 Male Female

EMPLOY Are you now employed full-time, part-time, or not employed? 44 14 41 * PAR Employed full-time Employed part-time Not employed (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/ Refused

Are you the parent or guardian of any children under 18 years of age? 32 67 1 Yes No (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

AGE

What is your age? 20 34 26 17 3 18 to 29 30 to 49 50 to 64 65 and older (DO NOT READ) Refused

EDUC What is the highest level of school you have completed or the highest degree you have received? 1 10 30 17 11 15 2 12 1 Less than high school (Grade 1-8 or no formal schooling) High school incomplete (Grades 9-11 or Grade 12 with NO diploma) High school graduate (Grade 12 with diploma or GED certificate) Some college, no degree (includes community college) Two year associate degree from a college/university Four year college or university degree/Bachelor’s degree Some postgraduate or professional schooling, no postgraduate degree Postgraduate or professional degree, including master’s, doctorate, medical or law degree (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

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HISP Are you of Hispanic or Latino background, such as Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban or other Spanish background? 12 87 1 Yes No (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

RACE What is your race? Are you white, black, Asian, or some other race? [IF R SAYS HISPANIC OR LATINO, PROBE: Do you consider yourself a WHITE (Hispanic/Latino) or a BLACK (Hispanic/Latino)? 69 29 11 12 2 4 2 INC INC1 INC2 INC3 White non-Hispanic Total non-White Black non-Hispanic Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander Other non-Hispanic (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

Last year, that is in 2011, approximately what was your total family income before taxes – just tell me when I get to the right category. (IF “DON’T KNOW” OR “REFUSED”) Keeping in mind that this is a completely confidential survey, can you please tell me if your total household income BEFORE taxes last year was over or under $75,000? (IF UNDER $75,000) Was it over or under $50,000? (IF UNDER $50,000) Was it over or under $30,000? 26 16 19 34 6 $75,000 or more $50,000 to under $75,000 $30,000 to under $50,000 Under $30,000 Undesignated

REG

Which of these statements best describes you? 72 7 21 * Are you ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN that you are registered to vote at your current address Are you PROBABLY registered, but there is a chance your registration has lapsed [OR] Are you NOT registered to vote at your current address? (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

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PARTY In politics TODAY, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent? 26 33 33 3 1 3 Republican Democrat Independent No preference (VOL.) Other party (VOL.) Don't know/Refused (VOL.)

That completes the interview. Thank you very much for your time and cooperation. Have a nice day/evening.

Princeton Survey Research Associates International April 2012 Omnibus Week 3

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