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Elections Supplement

DDI 2008 SS
Risha

Index
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Index........................................................................................................................................................................1
1NC..........................................................................................................................................................................................................4
1NC..........................................................................................................................................................................4
1NC..........................................................................................................................................................................................................5
1NC..........................................................................................................................................................................5
1NC..........................................................................................................................................................................................................6
1NC..........................................................................................................................................................................6
Uniqueness – Deadlock in Congress........................................................................................................................................................7
Uniqueness – Deadlock in Congress.....................................................................................................................7
Uniqueness – Obama Winning.................................................................................................................................................................8
Uniqueness – Obama Winning..............................................................................................................................8
Uniqueness – Obama Winning.................................................................................................................................................................9
Uniqueness – Obama Winning..............................................................................................................................9
Uniqueness – Obama Winning – Swing States......................................................................................................................................10
Uniqueness – Obama Winning – Swing States..................................................................................................10
Uniqueness – Obama Winning – Swing States......................................................................................................................................11
Uniqueness – Obama Winning – Swing States..................................................................................................11
Uniqueness – A2: USA Today/Gallup Poll Says McCain Winning.......................................................................................................12
Uniqueness – A2: USA Today/Gallup Poll Says McCain Winning..................................................................12
Internal Link – McCain Will Push Plan................................................................................................................................................13
Internal Link – McCain Will Push Plan...........................................................................................................13
Internal Link - McCain Will Push Plan..................................................................................................................................................14
Internal Link - McCain Will Push Plan.............................................................................................................14
Internal Link – McCain Will Push Plan – Distancing from Bush..........................................................................................................15
Internal Link – McCain Will Push Plan – Distancing from Bush...................................................................15
Internal Link – McCain Will Push Nuclear Power................................................................................................................................16
Internal Link – McCain Will Push Nuclear Power...........................................................................................16
Internal Link – McCain Won’t Push Incentives....................................................................................................................................17
Internal Link – McCain Won’t Push Incentives..............................................................................................17
Internal Link – Obama Won’t Push Plan...............................................................................................................................................18
Internal Link – Obama Won’t Push Plan..........................................................................................................18
Internal Link – Obama Won’t Push Plan if McCain Does.....................................................................................................................19
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Elections Supplement
DDI 2008 SS
Risha

Internal Link – Obama Won’t Push Plan if McCain Does..............................................................................19
Internal Link – Economy = Energy.......................................................................................................................................................20
Internal Link – Economy = Energy....................................................................................................................20
Internal Link - Energy Key – McCain Win...........................................................................................................................................21
Internal Link - Energy Key – McCain Win.......................................................................................................21
Internal Link – Energy Key – McCain Win – Distancing from Bush..................................................................................................22
Internal Link – Energy Key – McCain Win – Distancing from Bush............................................................22
Internal Link – Energy Key – McCain Win – Independents/Moderates...............................................................................................23
Internal Link – Energy Key – McCain Win – Independents/Moderates........................................................23
Internal Link – Energy Key – McCain Win – No Oil Drilling..............................................................................................................24
Internal Link – Energy Key – McCain Win – No Oil Drilling........................................................................24
Internal Link – Climate Change Key – McCain Win – Distancing from Bush.....................................................................................25
Internal Link – Climate Change Key – McCain Win – Distancing from Bush.............................................25
Internal Link – Climate Change Key – McCain Win – Distancing from Bush ....................................................................................26
Internal Link – Climate Change Key – McCain Win – Distancing from Bush ............................................26
Internal Link – Climate Change Key – McCain Win – Distancing from Bush ....................................................................................27
Internal Link – Climate Change Key – McCain Win – Distancing from Bush ............................................27
A2: Didn’t Show Up/Vote for Warner-Lieberman.................................................................................................................................28
A2: Didn’t Show Up/Vote for Warner-Lieberman............................................................................................28
Internal Link – Bush Key.......................................................................................................................................................................29
Internal Link – Bush Key....................................................................................................................................29
Internal Link – Bush Key - Conservatives.............................................................................................................................................30
Internal Link – Bush Key - Conservatives........................................................................................................30
Impact - Obama Good – Global Warming.............................................................................................................................................31
Impact - Obama Good – Global Warming........................................................................................................31
Impact – Obama Good – Global Warming............................................................................................................................................32
Impact – Obama Good – Global Warming........................................................................................................32
Impact – Obama Good – Soft Power.....................................................................................................................................................33
Impact – Obama Good – Soft Power..................................................................................................................33
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***RANDOM AFF STUFF***............................................................................................................................................................34
***RANDOM AFF STUFF***..........................................................................................................................34
Public Perceives Alternative Energy to Hurt Economy.........................................................................................................................35

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Elections Supplement
DDI 2008 SS
Risha

Public Perceives Alternative Energy to Hurt Economy...................................................................................35
Polls = Inaccurate...................................................................................................................................................................................36
Polls = Inaccurate.................................................................................................................................................36

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something Obama opposes. Obama is winning the elections now but McCain is close behind because he’s supporting popular energy policies CS Monitor. probably because his energy policy is more in line in Pennsylvania – the Three Mile Island state where a surprising six in 10 voters now favor building new nuclear power plants.com/monitorbreakfast/2008/08/01/obamas-lead-narrows- amid-energy-worries/ Energy has played a key role in Senator McCain’s improved position in the battleground state polls. B.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha 1NC A. “Senator McCain has narrowed Sen. “ Richards said. 8/1/08. McCain favors increased offshore drilling for oil. *link 4 .csmonitor. Barrack Obama’s lead in Pennsylvania by five points. Richards said. http://features.

You get John McCain in the White House. and he's filled it.html?mod=fpa_mostpop> [] The McCain campaign can't expect to win the election on the strength of their man's personal appeal or character. he's threatening the Iranians. "that is straight talk. we'll not only be fighting this war but starting new wars. Here Mr. “McCain Camp Sees Energy as Winning Issue” http://www. He has found a political niche. and both President Bush and Congressional Republicans have begun spotlighting the issue. arguing that Obama "refuses to embrace real solutions. Mr. and the size and scope of government. He is most likely to win by engaging Mr. Republicans believe they are winning the perception battle on energy. Wall Street Journal.." says pollster Scott Rasmussen. John McCain is a bellicose. Tackling concerns about energy and food costs are key." Buchanan went on. usually help Republicans." Buchanan answered. "He talked about promising that more wars were coming... A dozen years later. Presidential candidate John McCain shocked observers on Sunday when he told a crowd of supporters.. "He expects more wars. I think he's talking straight. McCain has an opening. if he gets in the White House.. look. He's in Putin's face." "Not a happy message. In the Democratic primaries. His whole career is wrapped up in the military." commented Scarborough. the country still leans right of center. E. In last week's Washington Post poll. Is that what conservative Republicans want? "I don't say he's starting them. McCain will push the plan CBS News. national security. "The rap on McCain is he didn't have much on the economy. 50% of voters favored a smaller government with fewer services while 45% wanted a bigger government with more services – the same percentage breakdown as in June 2004. angry guy. and forcing debates over competing visions of foreign policy. We will never surrender but there will be other wars. he is in everybody's face. Is he so desperate to get off the economic issue?" Pat Buchanan replied that McCain never used the word "promise" but simply said there would be more wars. Bush in June and July. McCain Isn’t ‘Doomed’” < http://online. ." MSNBC's Joe Scarborough asked old-line conservative Pat Buchanan about McCain's remarks.shtml?source=mostpop_story Nonetheless. He won by only five and a half points.. "There's going to be other wars.. I'm sorry to tell you.com/stories/2008/07/29/politics/main4304929. a focused McCain campaign that clearly contrasts conservative and liberal approaches to the issues should have a good chance of winning. "This election is remarkably fluid with two nonincumbents running. who constantly explodes. 'he's in everybody's face' "More wars" could prove to be the oddest of all presidential campaign slogans. . . He lost by eight points in the fall." D. McCain can spin energy initiatives to win him the election John Fund. and a third of independent voters aren't paying much attention yet. because if you take a look at the McCain foreign policy. In 1992.. McCain will attack Iran David Edwards & Muriel Kane 1/28/08 (“Buchanan: McCain win would mean war with Iran”." "It's important for McCain to show his action plan for domestic issues. Obama's ideas were rarely challenged. and that from McCain's point of view. and I do believe we will be at war with Iran. Michael Dukakis led George H. but the truth is for the last two months he's pretty much owned the energy issue.wsj. Gerald Ford was seen as a goner during the summer but rallied to finish only two points behind Jimmy Carter.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha 1NC C.html) Says McCain would provoke new wars. red-faced. “No. "Some 30% of voters say they could easily change their minds. If that history is a guide. which tend to focus voters on big-picture issues." "That's one of the things that makes me very nervous about him. McCain senior advisor and spokesman Taylor Griffin promised that McCain will continue to press the issue." Scarborough commented. saying.cbsnews. they will be. On many core issues." Reed said." "So when he says more war." 5 . Bill Clinton had a 10-point lead around Labor Day. "There's no doubt John McCain is going to be a war president. Even Bob Dole closed a 12-point Labor Day gap to only eight points by November 1996. 6/27/08. Obama on the issues.com/article/SB121452433272409083. we're going to be in Iraq a hundred years.. ." There is evidence that fall campaigns.. "Not Reaganesque. . In 1976. 7/30/08. there's going to be other wars. "he is promising you. http://rawstory. In the fall.W.com/news/2007/Buchanan_McCain_win_means_war_with_0128. Especially if it works. Did you see Thad Cochran's comment when he endorsed Romney? He said.

Early use by the United States of low-yield nuclear bombs with better bunker-busting ability than conventional bombs targeting Iranian nuclear. thus potentially saving both American and Iranian lives. however it is still likely to have supplies.S. 6 . as determined by the U. A new world with many more nuclear countries. troops in Iraq would not be able to withstand.com/uniontrib/20060103/news_mz1e3hirsch.ucsd. scientific establishment (http://physics. that lumps together nuclear weapons with other "weapons of mass destruction" and blurs the sharp line that separates immensely more destructive nuclear weapons from all other weapons. chemical and missile installations would be consistent with the new U. A petition to reverse these policies launched by physicists at the University of California San Diego has gathered over 1. The scientific community (which created nuclear weapons) is alarmed over the new U. nuclear weapons doctrine and could be argued to be necessary to protect the lives of 150.000 U.edu/petition/). There is no fundamental difference between small nuclear bombs and large ones.000 U. soldiers in Iraq and of Israeli citizens. nor between nuclear bombs targeting underground installations versus those targeting cities or armies. However.S. as well as possibly a ground invasion of southern Iraq. Scientists object strongly to the concept of WMD. It would also send a clear message to Iran that any response would be answered by a far more devastating nuclear attack. America's nuclear ticking bomb. Iran has signed and ratified the Chemical Weapons Convention (in 1993 and 1997 respectively).S. and it certainly would be impossible to rule out such possibility. Iranian missiles could potentially contain chemical warheads. that the 150.signonsandiego. Global nuclear war Jorge Hirsch. State Department in August 2005. Iran is likely to retaliate with missiles against coalition forces in Iraq and against Israel.S.S.S. nuclear weapons policies. and many of them will rush to develop their own nuclear deterrent while they can. a professor of physics at the University of California San Diego. 1/3/2006. will be the consequence.S. He is one of the originators of the physicists' petition on nuclear weapons policies started at the UCSD.500 physicists' signatures including eight Nobel laureates and many prominent members of the U. An escalating nuclear war could lead to the destruction of civilization. and a high risk of any regional conflict exploding into all-out nuclear war.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha 1NC F. http://www. Once the United States uses a nuclear weapon against a nonnuclear adversary. or Israeli aerial attack against Iran's facilities.html If only conventional bombs are used in an unprovoked U. the nuclear threshold is a line of no return. the 182 countries that are signatories of the Nuclear Non- Proliferation treaty will rightly feel at risk.

in part. House Democratic leaders employed voting procedures that effectively blocked Republicans from forcing a vote on opening new areas to oil exploration. by each party’s desire to keep the other from seizing the political high ground on an issue of paramount importance to voters as the November elections draw closer. The stalemate has been driven. Both parties in Congress played a role in blocking action on energy.csmonitor.com/monitorbreakfast/2008/08/01/obamas-lead-narrows- amid-energy-worries/ Congress headed home Friday for a five-week recess without passing legislation to deal with high energy prices that are at the top of voters’ concerns.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Uniqueness – Deadlock in Congress Both parties refuse to let the other get the credit for an energy policy CS Monitor. http://features. 8/1/08. a step with widespread Congressional support. Senate Republicans prevented action on a measure to curb speculation in oil futures. 7 .

Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Uniqueness – Obama Winning Obama has a small lead over McCain The National Journal.nationaljournal. Democrats can't be certain that they will nail it. 8/2/08.php> That explains why Obama has only a 6-point lead even though Republicans are trying to hold the White House for a third consecutive term (something that has been done but once since World War II). < http://www. yet with Obama seen as the only golfer on the green sizing up the shot. 8 . while just 13 percent of voters say that the country is headed in the right direction and just 30 percent approve of President Bush's performance. The current political climate makes this election look like it should be a gimme putt for Democrats.com/njmagazine/cr_20080802_8275.

9 . http://www.com/comment/article/471470 Still. the basic dynamics of the race haven't changed. And there is some evidence that the balance of enthusiasm has shifted and that young people – who seemed to turn out and vote for Obama in unusually high numbers in the primaries and caucuses – are no longer so enthusiastic about him. Obama appears to have a small lead.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Uniqueness – Obama Winning Obama has a small lead over McCain Star News.thestar. But he doesn't come close to maximizing the Democratic vote. 8/2/08.

Obama continues to lead on economic issues. More than 50% of voters still said renewable energy sources are the best way to solve the energy crisis. they said rising gasoline prices were the single most important economic issue. But when it came to voters’ own finances. whose popularity remains at record lows. voters overwhelmingly said the economy was the most important issue in the election and Obama won the majority of voters focusing on the economy. while Obama leads McCain 49% to 42% in Pennsylvania. driving two thirds of them to support offshore drilling – a position that McCain adopted last month and has frequently criticized Obama for opposing. 46% of likely voters supported Obama compared with 44% for McCain. two-thirds of voters said they favor offshore drilling. Since the last Quinnipiac poll six weeks ago. One in 10 voters said they have changed their minds in favor of drilling. Even when increased offshore exploration is explicitly linked to President George W. compared with about 20% who chose offshore drilling. 10 . In both Florida and Ohio. down from a 12-point lead in June.com/washwire/2008/07/31/poll-shows-obamas-lead-narrowing- in-swing-states/ Quinnipiac University’s latest swing-state polling suggests that Barack Obama’s foreign tour didn’t help him at home. http://blogs.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Uniqueness – Obama Winning – Swing States Obama has a small lead over McCain in the swing states Wall Street Journal. Bush. In all three states.wsj. although polling suggests that McCain may have found an opening on the issue of offshore drilling. Republican presidential candidate John McCain has pulled within the poll’s margin of error in Florida and Ohio and halved Democratic candidate Obama’s lead in Pennsylvania. 7/31/08.

No presidential candidate since 1960 has won the election without winning two of those three states.com/445/story/728329. and ahead by 49-42 percent in Pennsylvania.kansascity. 7/31/08.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Uniqueness – Obama Winning – Swing States Obama is still beating McCain in key swing states Kansas City News. Obama was up 46-44 percent over McCain in Ohio and Florida.682 registered voters found Obama with a 46-42 percent lead over McCain on Sunday through Tuesday. Obama led McCain by nearly an identical margin.html Gallup's daily sampling of 2. The polls were conducted from July 23 through Tuesday. and Brown found that Florida and Ohio "are now too close to call." 11 . http://www. At the start of the trip.

and accordingly its results tend to vary more widely than other polls. at least for a moment. 8/2/08.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Uniqueness – A2: USA Today/Gallup Poll Says McCain Winning The Gallup/USA Today poll is not a good indicator of who’s winning Star News. from the balance of enthusiasm. 12 . http://www.com/comment/article/471470 The Gallup/USA Today poll employs an unusual technique to decide who is a likely voter.thestar. political insiders tend to take its numbers seriously less as an indication of where the race is than as an indication of which candidate is benefiting.

pledging to help build dozens of nuclear plants if he becomes president.1158007. John McCain's energy proposals in recent days.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link – McCain Will Push Plan McCain would get the credit for an energy policy LA Times.0. it's McCain who's trying to cast himself as the energy policy trailblazer. No" of energy. the McCain campaign has begun to invoke a little cinematic history. 6/26/08. “Who’s ‘Dr. No’ of Energy Policy?” http://www. 13 .latimes. These days on the campaign trail. labeling Obama the "Dr.com/news/nationworld/politics/la-na-trailno26-2008jun26.story [] Parrying Sen. Barack Obama's attacks on Sen.

" He called for greater use of nuclear power as well as for alternative energy sources and greater conservation measures." he said 14 . AP.shtml?source=RSSattr=Politics_4186261 A spokeswoman said McCain had neither erred in his earlier comment nor changed his mind since. we must shift our entire energy economy toward a sustainable mix of new and cleaner power sources. "He said he is willing to look at all ideas not simply Republican or Democratic ideas. "Over time.and a new system of incentives.McCain Will Push Plan McCain will take credit regardless of the legislation – he supports any mix of alternatives. such as wind. This will include some we use already.cbsnews. 6/17/2008. biofuels. McCain's communications director. solar. "It will include a variety of new automotive and fuel technologies .Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link ." said Jill Hazelbaker. http://www.clean-burning coal and nuclear energy . and other sources yet to be invented. McCain said the time has come for the United States to make a "great turn away from carbon-emitting fuels.com/stories/2008/06/17/politics/main4186261. McCain's Energy Plan Seeks Break From Bush. under a cap-and-trade policy. to put the power of the market on the side of environmental protection." he said.

newsweek. of course. 15 .com/id/143405 Like McCain's embrace of global warming as a national-security issue. 6/26/08. mocking Bush himself—who twice in the last six months has gone to Riyadh pleading for more oil production." He was. “Modern Maturity” http://www. his new stance on energy is a studied repudiation of the Bush administration. It is one of the ways he is seeking to neutralize Obama's relentless efforts to define a McCain presidency as a "third Bush term." "Some in Washington seem to think that we can still persuade OPEC to lower prices—as if reason or cajolery had never been tried before. "But America is not going to meet this great challenge as a supplicant or a plaintiff.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link – McCain Will Push Plan – Distancing from Bush McCain can and will pounce on any new energy policy to distance himself from Bush Newsweek." McCain said mockingly in another speech this week.

wsj.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link – McCain Will Push Nuclear Power McCain would push for any nuclear power proposal Wall Street Journal. he wants bigger incentives for nuclear energy.S. 16 .in addressing seriously the issue of greenhouse-gas emissions" without expanding its use of nuclear power.html Sen. McCain has expressed support for the Yucca Mountain proposal. http://online. 6/9/08. And while he opposes subsidies for many alternative- energy technologies.com/article_email/SB121296676181055711- lMyQjAxMDI4MTAyODkwNjg2Wj. Many environmentalists see his stance as inconsistent with his free-market rhetoric. "will not succeed in achieving independence [from] foreign oil nor. arguing that the U...

S. then there's unintended consequences as well as intended. At a roundtable with business leaders in Washington state last month. Sen." he said. He compared his stance on the matter to his position on corn ethanol.about government subsidies. Obama. while Sen. McCain expressed reluctance to support government incentives such as tax credits for wind and solar energy. 6/9/08.html For example. He has also voted against requiring electric utilities to boost their use of renewable energy sources. as ways to spur greater use of alternative energies and energy efficiency. "When government jumps in and distorts the market. McCain says he favors an effort to reduce U. http://online. McCain argues that many of the steps are little more than subsidies that enrich special interests. including Sen.I have to give you straight talk -." 17 . "I'm a little wary -. dependence on foreign oil.wsj. saying America's corn-ethanol industry can and should stand on its own. tax credits and other policies often touted by other politicians. Sen.com/article_email/SB121296676181055711- lMyQjAxMDI4MTAyODkwNjg2Wj. preferring to let cities and states set their own targets for renewable energy.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link – McCain Won’t Push Incentives McCain would vote against the plan Wall Street Journal. his voting record shows a reluctance to support mandates. He has long called for scrapping the federal ethanol tax credit.

After pleasing the environmental left in the primaries with his strong. at a time when voters are in deep economic distress and apoplectic about the price of gasoline. Newsweek Interactive Company. 18 . LLC. detailed climate policy. 2008 Friday Slate Magazine “Ducking the Climate Debate” Copyright 2008 Washingtonpost. he is showing signs of regarding the issue as a liability for the general election. Maybe that's because cap and trade will boost energy prices over the short term.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link – Obama Won’t Push Plan Obama wouldn’t get cred – he’s devoting less time on climate and more on econ Eric Pooley 6/ 13. As America's economic troubles mount. the stump time he devotes to climate change dwindles. Obama had other reasons to duck the debate.

no one really cares what Obama said last October. overturning the 27-year ban on offshore drilling and a $5. "You have it exactly backward!" Jason Furman. however. And there's no question that McCain's flurry of concrete proposals—including a call for 45 more nuclear power plants. who has put forward a major and ambitious plan on energy. "John McCain is responding to Barack Obama. an advisor to Obama on energy.000 tax credit for people who buy "zero-emissions" cars —prompted Obama to spend most of his own energy speech this week knocking those ideas down. a $300 million prize to the designer of a new electric car battery. 19 . That in turn generated a GOP Web video declaring that "Obama is Dr.'' Frankly.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link – Obama Won’t Push Plan if McCain Does Obama won’t push anything that McCain pushes The McCain energy plan has left the Obama-ites sputtering that their candidate laid out a comprehensive energy plan last October. told me when I suggested that Obama was on the defensive. No." complete with a Bond-like theme song.

csmonitor.com/monitorbreakfast/2008/08/01/obamas-lead-narrows- amid-energy-worries/ A Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday showed that energy and the gasoline crisis have “emerged as the dominant economic issue. 8/1/08. Mr.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link – Economy = Energy Energy is the most important economic issue in key battleground states CS Monitor. “The campaign seems to be focusing on energy. http://features. and Pennsylvania.” said Clay Richards. Ohio. Richards spoke at a Monitor- sponsored breakfast for reporters on Thursday morning. The new Quinnipiac poll examined voter attitudes in three key battleground states – Florida. gasoline prices and food prices and said which one of them is the most important and more than one third picked gasoline prices.” Richards said. real estate. assistant director of Quinnipiac’s Polling Institute. “We gave people a list of retirement values.” 20 .

and this is a substantive issue that shows that he has strength and some vision. very important. "So much in the McCain campaign has been small and sort of nitpicky. 7/30/08." 21 . and in Congress.Energy Key – McCain Win McCain can use energy to win the election CBS News.com/stories/2008/07/29/politics/main4304929." "I think it's one of the best issues they have." said GOP strategist Ed Rollins.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link .shtml?source=mostpop_story "This is the first time the Republicans have felt upbeat and optimistic about a major issue in a long time. "McCain has framed the issue well. with solutions and a sharp contrast to Obama. Republicans seem to be rallying around this issue. which I think is very. They feel Democrats have boxed themselves in a corner. “McCain Camp Sees Energy as Winning Issue” http://www. who ran Mike Huckabee's campaign.cbsnews." said Republican strategist Scott Reed.

John McCain called for a clean break from Bush administration energy policies on Tuesday. He favors allowing states to decide whether to explore offshore waters. other than to call for reform of the laws governing the oil futures trading market and to repeat his day-old support for an end to the federal moratorium on offshore oil drilling. but the administrations that preceded it.com/stories/2008/06/17/politics/main4186261. he warned. yet produces less.and a new system of incentives. A plan that will help grow our economy and protect our environment. such as wind.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link – Energy Key – McCain Win – Distancing from Bush Alternative energy incentives are a great opportunity for McCain to separate himself from the Bush administration CBS News. under a cap-and-trade policy." With President Bush's poll ratings at historically low levels. “McCain’s Energy Plan Seeks Break from Bush” < http://www. In a speech in energy-producing Texas. "It will include a variety of new automotive and fuel technologies . McCain included little in the way of new proposals in his speech. biofuels. "John McCain stood up to the president and sounded the alarm on global warming . and instead. though. This will include some we use already. "Today.clean-burning coal and nuclear energy .cbsnews. McCain often emphasizes his differences with the current administration. a single successful terror attack at an oil installation could plunge the country into an "economic crisis of monumental proportions." he said. and other sources yet to be invented." Aides said the commercial would run in several battleground states and on cable television over the next several days. and he coupled his speech with the release of a new television commercial stressing an issue that appeals to environmentalists. 6/17/08." he said. "Over time. Now. dependence on foreign oil. McCain said the time has come for the United States to make a "great turn away from carbon-emitting fuels. He said he would outline additional specific measures in the next two weeks. used his speech to make the case for eliminating U. when he criticized Obama for proposing a windfall profits tax despite saying last month he would consider the same proposal. and lead a great national campaign to achieve energy security for America. he has a realistic plan that will curb greenhouse gas emissions. to put the power of the market on the side of environmental protection.S. McCain's bid to chart a middle course on a major issue hit a bump." He called for greater use of nuclear power as well as for alternative energy sources and greater conservation measures. 22 . we must shift our entire energy economy toward a sustainable mix of new and cleaner power sources. "The next president must be willing to break with the energy policies not just of the current Administration." the ad states. McCain said the United States needs more oil than during the Arab oil embargo of the 1970s.shtml?source=RSSattr=Politics_4186261> [] Republican Sen. solar.five years ago. call for a break from Bush policies and criticize Obama. then promptly pivoted to accuse campaign rival Barack Obama of supporting recycled measures that failed in the past." he said.

In 1992. In the Democratic primaries. 50% of voters favored a smaller government with fewer services while 45% wanted a bigger government with more services – the same percentage breakdown as in June 2004.W.com/article/SB121452433272409083.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link – Energy Key – McCain Win – Independents/Moderates McCain can spin energy initiatives to win him the election – key independent moderates will vote for him John Fund. Mr. Bill Clinton had a 10-point lead around Labor Day. and forcing debates over competing visions of foreign policy.html?mod=fpa_mostpop> [] The McCain campaign can't expect to win the election on the strength of their man's personal appeal or character. “No. McCain has an opening. and the size and scope of government." There is evidence that fall campaigns.wsj. He is most likely to win by engaging Mr. A dozen years later. Wall Street Journal. McCain Isn’t ‘Doomed’” < http://online. 6/27/08. Michael Dukakis led George H. In the fall. Even Bob Dole closed a 12-point Labor Day gap to only eight points by November 1996. "Some 30% of voters say they could easily change their minds." says pollster Scott Rasmussen. Tackling concerns about energy and food costs are key. a focused McCain campaign that clearly contrasts conservative and liberal approaches to the issues should have a good chance of winning. On many core issues. Gerald Ford was seen as a goner during the summer but rallied to finish only two points behind Jimmy Carter. 23 . the country still leans right of center. and a third of independent voters aren't paying much attention yet. If that history is a guide. In 1976. usually help Republicans. Obama on the issues. In last week's Washington Post poll. they will be. He lost by eight points in the fall. Bush in June and July. "This election is remarkably fluid with two nonincumbents running. Here Mr. He won by only five and a half points. which tend to focus voters on big-picture issues. Obama's ideas were rarely challenged.

the presidential election has shifted from Iraq and health care to high gas prices and the economy. Stupid is the only thing disputing that. and now working people are getting hurt badly.00.2933. and two-thirds of Americans favor more drilling. Americans are angry that both parties have sold them out on energy.com/story/0.370867. since he and his party oppose expanding almost all traditional energy production. <http://www.foxnews. 24 .html> [] With stunning speed. 6/24/08.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link – Energy Key – McCain Win – No Oil Drilling The plan would hurt Obama because it doesn’t entail oil drilling which is very popular in the US Fox News. So who will benefit from this: Obama or McCain? It's hard to see how Senator Obama can exploit the issues.

compared with the 80 percent cut being pushed by his Democratic rival.).Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link – Climate Change Key – McCain Win – Distancing from Bush McCain distancing himself from Bush – chosen issue is climate change Washington Post. Analysis: There is nothing subtle about this ad: The Republican senator from Arizona is explicitly trying to distance himself from an unpopular president. Today he has a realistic plan that will curb greenhouse gas emissions. A plan that will help grow our economy and protect our environment. he angered environmentalists this week by proposing to lift a ban on offshore oil drilling. and many scientists. wearing a work shirt and baseball cap as he stands on a mountain ridge. Sen. “McCain's Declaration of Independence”. Peace. McCain broke with President Bush last month when he proposed mandatory curbs on greenhouse gas emissions -.washingtonpost. begins with speeded-up images of polluting factories and traffic yielding to a setting sun. McCain's approach calls for a 60 percent reduction in emissions by 2050.com/wp- dyn/content/article/2008/06/17/AR2008061702269. And his chosen issue is climate change. Reform. Prosperity. with a soft-voiced female narrator. <http://www.a step the administration has resisted -. The commercial. 25 . John McCain.along with emissions credits that polluting companies could trade. Barack Obama (Ill. 6-18-08. It ends with an image of McCain as the Western outdoorsman.html> The Ad: John McCain stood up to the president and sounded the alarm on global warming five years ago. which just happens to have special appeal for independent voters. While McCain is using global warming to neutralize Obama's charge that he's running for Bush's third term.

In fact.com/news/nation/articles/2008/06/10/on_energy_policy_is_better_than_bush_enough/> [] The next Congress and administration will have a historic opportunity to build on this momentum and deliver the American people a comprehensive program to reduce greenhouse gases. being better than the current president is not good enough. “On energy policy. staffwriter for the Boston Globe. Browner. While McCain represents an improvement over eight long years of denial and inaction by the Bush administration. The voters this fall must decide an important question: Who is the best candidate to make that happen? Following Senator John McCain's May 12 speech on global warming. 6/10/08.boston. many hastily praised the Republican presidential candidate for breaking ranks with President Bush and his own party's orthodoxy by calling for mandatory greenhouse gas reductions. But we should not be so quick to give McCain kudos. McCain's record and recent proposals raise real questions about his commitment to the bold measures we need to combat global warming.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link – Climate Change Key – McCain Win – Distancing from Bush McCain can spin the plan to help him in the election Carol M. 26 . is better than Bush enough? <http://www.

) SCORECARD This spot does a good job promoting a major policy difference between Mr.com/2008/06/18/us/politics/18madbox. McCain joined with Senator Joseph I. But his call this week to lift the federal moratorium on oil and gas exploration and give individual states the right to decide if they wanted to allow drilling off their coasts. and it did not win Senate approval. Bush and is not highlighted in this commercial. 6-18-08. but he has generally favored market approaches to foster energy alternatives. prosperity. (Mr. peace” tagline. Mr. The White House frowned on the bill.html?_r=2&adxnnl=1&oref=slogin&ref=us&adxn nlx=1214768733-aea3L+yXAZ7KL2m92m3tDg> ACCURACY In 2003 Mr. the spot.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link – Climate Change Key – McCain Win – Distancing from Bush McCain differs from Republicans – historically supports environmental friendly policies Jim Rutenberg. 27 . McCain’s last commercial. with its “reform. which was somber in tone and focused on war. may undercut its message. McCain’s campaign did not respond to requests for comment on those criticisms on Tuesday.) Promoting that rift could certainly help increase Mr. New York Times Staff Writer. then a Connecticut Democrat. Lieberman.nytimes. to draft a bill requiring industries to cut emissions of carbon dioxide. McCain’s appeal to the independent voters over whom he and Senator Barack Obama are expected to fight intensely this fall. <http://www. is decidedly more upbeat than Mr. McCain has also joined with Democrats in supporting the idea of a system allowing power plants and other industrial polluters to buy credits from more efficient producers that fall well below limits on emitting heat- trapping gases. which is also being considered by Mr. McCain and President Bush (not to mention most of the rest of his party. But Democrats and some environmentalists have criticized him for missing votes on bills setting stricter fuel standards and for opposing incentives devised to promote energy conservation and the development of energy alternatives. like the wind turbines and solar panels shown in this commercial. Regardless. “McCain Showcases His Environmental Side”.

So. calling it the "Boxer Climate Tax Bill" and claiming it would wreck the economy. LLC. But since large swaths of the GOP base are climate skeptics and this bill wasn't getting a serious debate anyway. 2008 Friday Slate Magazine “Ducking the Climate Debate” Copyright 2008 Washingtonpost. being a no-show was the low-risk option. that meant passing up an opportunity to burnish his maverick brand with climate-sensitive swing voters. Newsweek Interactive Company. brave Sir John left his gallant steed in the stable and went to some fundraisers instead. 28 . McCain was under massive pressure from party leaders not to appear. the last thing Minority Leader Mitch McConnell wanted to see was McCain riding in on a white horse to step on their story line. For McCain. The Republicans were using delay tactics to obstruct Lieberman-Warner.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha A2: Didn’t Show Up/Vote for Warner-Lieberman Warner-Lieberman wasn’t getting a huge debate so McCain knew he didn’t need to show up Eric Pooley 6/ 13.

That's what they need if they're going to hold the White House.com/articles/2007/04/hot_stories_blue_tide_leftward.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link – Bush Key Bush’s popularity is key to the GOP maintaining the White House Fred Barnes April 2007.realclearpolitics.Republicans need the kind of finishing kick that Ronald Reagan in 1988. where Iraq is improved and Baghdad is secured and so on. and of course George Bush Senior was elected president then. http://www. He need . it's going to be hard for a Republican to win. 29 . If .if President Bush leaves with the level of popularity and support that he has right now.html [] I think what Republicans need most right now is a strong finishing kick by President Bush.

" Hutchison said Wednesday.Com March 5. and the McCain campaign thinks the push from Bush will bring the party in line behind their presumptive nominee. saying Bush will raise "a lot of money" for McCain. according to exit polls. "He'll have the [Republican National Committee] behind him.bush/?iref=hpmostpop Republican Sen. He'll have a broad base of financial support. 2008 http://www. Kay Bailey Hutchison of Texas said McCain can now focus on solidifying support among conservative Republicans." And so can do a lot to drive the base in the election. "He is extremely popular" with the GOP base. the official said.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Internal Link – Bush Key . which will help across the board." Despite overall approval ratings hovering just above 30 percent.cnn.Conservatives Bush’s standing with conservatives is key to McCain’s success CNN. It's a big step. "I think the endorsement of President Bush will certainly go a long ways toward that." 30 .com/2008/POLITICS/03/05/mccain. a GOP strategist and CNN contributor. Bush receives far higher marks from conservatives." said Alex Castellanos. the majority of whom backed candidates other than the Arizona lawmaker in the primaries. "John McCain is going to be very focused on our base and the people that he wants to have in full force behind him. A senior administration official concurred Wednesday.

and for all the other crises America's next president will inherit from Bush's disastrous reign. 31 . That's what we've needed to address the major challenges of the past. Center for Ethical Leadership. It's what we'll need to address this ultimate crisis we've created through the combination of technological inventiveness and short-focus blindness. Huffington Post. Affiliate Scholar. 2008 http://news. The Clintons may have spoken out against the Vietnam War when they were young. We need a movement-building approach for global climate change -.Com March 3. I see someone who understands the critical role of citizen movements and works to build them as a force capable of creating major change.com/s/huffpost/20080303/cm_huffpost/089406 If I look at both Obama's record and his campaign. Yahoo. but they've been hedging their bets and distancing themselves from citizen movements ever since.Obama Good – Global Warming Obama necessary for citizens movement to solve global warming Paul Loeb.yahoo. award winning author on citizens movements.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Impact .

he equivocates far more on the critical details.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Impact – Obama Good – Global Warming Obama is much better than McCain on global warming Paul Loeb. 32 .yahoo.com/s/huffpost/20080303/cm_huffpost/089406 While McCain talks a decent line. Both Obama and Clinton get the urgency of the issue as much as any mainline American politician who isn't named Al Gore. and this past December abdicated the chance to cast the critical cloture vote and end a Republican filibuster that blocked the recent energy bill's most important provisions. award winning author on citizens movements. because of his ability to mobilize ordinary citizens. But I think Obama is far more likely to pass anything close to the legislation we need. 2008 http://news. Huffington Post. Affiliate Scholar.Com March 3. especially compared to his numerous climate change-denying Republican colleagues. Yahoo. supports considerably more modest carbon reduction standards. Center for Ethical Leadership.

1-28. http://www. With his background it is hard to imagine him standing by and letting genocide happen in Rwanda as Bill did. he would probably command enough ‘soft power’ to enable America to make a fresh start. Religious Intolerance. 33 .co. His commitment to a rapid withdrawal from Iraq is ill-advised but it is a position that appeals to Democrats.religiousintelligence.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Impact – Obama Good – Soft Power Obama victory is key to restoring US soft power Paul Richardson. 8.uk/news/?NewsID=1508 In many ways Obama has just the right experience needed for a man to restore America’s place in the world. If he ever became President.

Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha ***RANDOM AFF STUFF*** 34 .

html The media mantra sounds similar. investment in alternative sources of energy – even at higher costs to American consumers – attacking coal and oil companies. and opposing expansion of domestic oil drilling. 7/2/08. To journalists. http://www.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Public Perceives Alternative Energy to Hurt Economy To the public.rightsidenews. the plan would be perceived as hurting the economy Right Side News. “energy independence” means capping carbon emissions.com/200807021331/editorial/energy-independence-day-by- house-speaker-pelosi. 35 .

" I remembered how Robert Redford recently said that you "could kiss the Democratic Party goodbye" if Obama.W. A few words about these polls. its presumptive presidential nominee. according to Gallup's latest) isn't "bigger. Perhaps this is advantage McCain. for example: He was up 17 points over George H.nwsource. http://seattlepi. And it's worth remembering that polls haven't exactly been the most reliable indicators so far in this election season. past performance does not necessarily serve as a predictor of future results.html As your reporter read the umpteenth piece last week wondering why Barack Obama's lead in the polls (six points among registered voters. cell-phone-only supporters. 36 . no matter whom one wants to see in the White House. First and foremost. goes down in defeat this Election Day.com/opinion/373197_ratheronline03. as one theory has it that pollsters.Elections Supplement DDI 2008 SS Risha Polls = Inaccurate Polls are inaccurate – the race is too close to call Seattle PI. but look at Michael Dukakis." And Dukakis lost – so what. are missing a lot of Obama's younger. precisely. "Sure. Some say to this line of reasoning. who only use land lines to place their polling calls. as Obama polled better than he performed in the run-up to the New Hampshire and California primaries – and perhaps this is advantage Obama. paying close attention to summer polls is pure folly. is the point here? But as they say in the disclaimers that run at the end of ads for investment services. 8/2/08. Bush in 1988.