ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND SECURITY PROGRAM
REPORT 2013
VOL
14
ISSUE
02
EDITED BY
Geoffrey D. Dabelko, Lauren Herzer, Schuyler Null, Meaghan Parker, and Russell Sticklor
BACKDRAFT:
The Conflict Potential of Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation
SUGGESTED CITATION
Dabelko, Geoffrey D., Lauren Herzer, Schuyler Null, Meaghan Parker, & Russell Sticklor (Eds). (2013).
Backdraft: The Conflict Potential of Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation
(Environmental Change & Security Program Report Vol. 14, Issue 2). Washington DC: Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars.
The contents of this report are the responsibility of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars and do not necessarily reflect the views of the United States Government. Views expressed in this report are not necessarily those of the Center’s staff, fellows, trustees, advisory groups, or any individuals or programs that provide assistance to the Center.
ECSP REPORTSeries Editor:
Meaghan Parker
Design and Production:
Lianne Hepler
Cover Photograph:
©Robb Kendrick, Getty Images
ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND SECURITY PROGRAM
REPORT 2013
EDITED BY
Geoffrey D. Dabelko, Lauren Herzer, Schuyler Null, Meaghan Parker, and Russell Sticklor
BACKDRAFT:
The Conflict Potential of Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation
CONTENTS
Eyes Open: Recognizing the Conflict Potential of
2
Climate Change Responses
GEOFFREY D. DABELKO
The Need for Conflict-Sensitive Adaptation
5
DENNIS TÄNZLER, ALEXANDER CARIUS, AND ACHIM MAAS
SPOTLIGHT:
In the Rush for Land, Who Will Pay?
13
CHRISTINA DAGGETT
Resource Curses: Redux, Ex-Post, or Ad Infinitum?
16
STACY D. VANDEVEER
Forests and Conflict: The Relevance of REDD+
26
DENNIS TÄNZLER
SPOTLIGHT:
The Biofuels Transition
34
CHRISTIAN WEBERSIK AND MIKAEL BERGIUS
Climate Gambit: Engineering Climate Security Risks?
37
ACHIM MAAS AND IRINA COMARDICEA
Risk and Scenario Planning for Climate Security
49
CHAD M. BRIGGSBACKDRAFT:
The Conflict Potential of Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation
1