The Tarrance Group 201 North Union Street, Suite 410 Alexandria, VA 22314 (703) 684-6688
MEMORANDUM
TO: The Congressional Leadership Fund FROM: B.J. Martino DATE: September 30, 2014 RE: Summary Findings From A Survey of Voters in Virginia CD 10
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The Tarrance Group is pleased to present CLF with summary findings from a survey of likely voter attitudes in Virginia CD 10. All respondents interviewed in this study were part of a fully representative sample of N=403
registered “likely” voters.
By party, the sample is 38% Republican and 37% Democratic. The margin of error for the sample is +/- 4.9% in 19 of 20 cases. The surveys were conducted on September 23-25, 2014.
Executive Summary
1.
The political environment is grim for Democrats.
Just 25% of voters say the country is going in the right direction, while 64% say things are off on the wrong track. Fully 57% of voters disapprove of the job President Obama is doing, with 44% strongly disapproving.
2.
Barbara Comstock is well-known and liked by 10
th
district voters, while Foust is still undefined.
Comstock is known by nearly nine in ten voters (87%), with a well-defined positive image, 39% favorable and only 24% unfavorable.
At the same time, Foust’s name is recognized by
under six in ten voters (59%). Only 21% say they have a favorable impression and 14% are unfavorable.
3.
In the race for the 10
th
Congressional District of Virginia, Barbara Comstock currently has a 12-point lead over John Foust. Congressional
Ballot
Comstock Foust 3
rd
Party Undecided 46% 34% 7% 14%
4.
A strong majority of respondents were less likely to support John Foust after hearing his recent campaign comments.
62% of the respondents and 70% of women respondents said they were less likely to vote for
Foust based on this statement: “Jo
hn Foust made sexist comments against his opponent who is a mother, legislator and at
torney. John Foust said quote ‘I don’t think she’s even had a real job.’”
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