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Ofce of Conict Management and Mitigation Discussion Paper | November 2016

This publication was produced for review by the United States Agency for International Development. It was prepared by Schuyler Null and Lauren Herzer Risi, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars.

NAVIGATING COMPLEXITY:

Climate, Migration, and Conict in a Changing World

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

This discussion paper was informed by a workshop held in Washington, DC, at the Wilson Center in August 2015. We are very grateful to the many individuals who contributed to that workshop from the policy, academic, and practitioner communities, including

Elizabeth Ferris

(Georgetown University),

Susan Martin

(Georgetown University), and

Jon Unruh

(McGill University). We are especially grateful to

Jon Barnett

(University of Melbourne),

Cynthia Brady

(U.S. Agency for International Development),

Maxine Burkett

(University of Hawaii),

Gregory Collins


Natalie Eisenbarth


Robert McLeman

(Wilfrid Laurier University),

Kayly Ober

(Bonn University),

Andrew Rakestraw

(U.S. Department of State), and

Jon Unruh

, who provided thoughtful comments on previous versions. Finally, we would like to acknowledge

Geoff Dabelko

(Ohio University and Wilson Center), whose guidance and feedback throughout the process was critical,

Roger-Mark De Souza

(Wilson Center), and

Meaghan Parker

(Wilson Center).

Cover Photo:

Internally displaced people seek shelter, Jowhar, Somalia, November 2013 (Tobin Jones/UN Photo)

Above Photo:

At a UN High Commissioner for Refugees center, Lebanon, January 2014 (Mohamed Azakir/World Bank)

CONTENTS

4 Executive Summary 7 Migration 15 Conict20 Cases in Complexity

20 Darfur 25 Syria

32 Policy Implications 36 References

Disclaimer:

Discussion Papers have been commissioned by the Ofce of Conict Management and Mitigation (CMM) to initiate or advance consideration of important issues of conict prevention or peacebuilding. As such they are not ofcial documents. The authors’ views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reect the views of the United States Agency for International Development, the United States Government, or the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars.

NAVIGATING COMPLEXITY: CLIMATE, MIGRATION, AND CONFLICT IN A CHANGING WORLD

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