EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2016 Navy Force Structure Assessment FSA!1" #ECEM$ER 2016INTR%#UCTI%N&
Navy’s Force Structure Assessment (FSA) was developed in an efort to determine the right balance o existing orces the ships we currently have under construction and the uture procurement plans needed to address the ever!evolving and increasingly complex threats the Navy is re"uired to counter in the global maritime commons# $his FSA assumes that the uture plans or our Navy in ship types and numbers o ships continues to replace the ships we have today with ships o similar capability and in similar numbers as we transition to the uture Navy % it does not address potential options that may come out o the ongoing review o the potential Future Fleet Architecture studies that were directed by &ongress and completed in 'ctober *+# As we evaluate the options presented in these studies and move to include them in our plans or tomorrow’s Navy this FSA will need to be updated to re,ect those changes that are determined to be most bene-cial to meeting the Navy’s missions o the uture# $he number and mix o ships in the ob.ective orce identi-ed by this FSA re,ects an in!depth assessment o the Navy’s orce structure re"uirements % it also includes a level o operational ris/ that we are willing to assume basedon the resource limitations under which the Navy must operate# 0hile the orce levels articulated in this FSA are ad.udged to be successul in the scenarios de-ned or Navy combat that success will li/ely also include additional loss o orces and longer timelines to achieve desired ob.ectives in each o the combat scenarios against which we plan to use these orces# 1t should not be assumed that this orce level is the 2desired3 orce si4e the Navy would pursue i resources were not a constraint % rather this is the level that balances an acceptable level o war-ghting ris/ to our e"uipment and personnel against available resources and achieves a orce si4e that can reasonably achieve success#
SUMMARY %F FIN#IN'S&
Since the last ull FSA was conducted in * and updated in *5 the global security environment changed signi-cantly with our potential adversaries developing capabilities that challenge our traditional military strengths and erode our technological advantage# 0ithin this new security environment deense planning guidance directed that the capacity and capability o the 6oint Force must be su7cient to deeat one adversary while denying the ob.ectives o a second adversary#
(R%CESS&
1n 6anuary the *+ FSA started with a re"uest to the &ombatant &ommanders (&&89s) to provide their unconstrained desire or Navy orces
*
in their respective theaters# 1n order to ully resource these platorm!speci-c demands with very little ris/ in any theater while still supporting enduring missions and ongoing operations the Navy would be re"uired to double its current annual budget which is essentially unrealistic in both current and expected uture -scal environments# Ater identiying instances where orces were being re"uested or redundant missions or where enduring orce levels were not re"uired while also loo/ing at areas where we could ta/e some ris/ in mission success or identiy a new way to accomplish the mission we were able to identiy an FSA orce level better aligned with resources available#
)ARFI'*TIN' RIS+ AN# T*E F%RCE STRUCTURE %$,ECTIVE&
1n order to assess war-ghting ris/ and identiy where margins existed that could be reduced we did an in!depth review and analysis o 2what it ta/es towin3 on what timeline and in which theater or each ma.or ship class# $he goal o this phase o the analysis was to determine the minimum orce structure that:
complies with deense planning guidance directed combinations o challenges or orce si4ing and shaping;
meets approved 8ay and war-ghting response timelines;
delivers uture steady state and war-ghting re"uirements determined by Navy’s analytic process with an acceptable degree o ris/ (e#g# % does not .eopardi4e .oint orce campaign success)# $he ollowing table shows the results o the *+ FSA % an ob.ective orce o <== ships % and the changes rom the *5 FSA update#
Ty-e . C/ass20122016
Aircrat &arriers***>arge Surace &ombatants??*5Small Surace &ombatants==Amphibious 0arare Ships<5<?Attac/ Submarines5?++@uided issile SubmarinesBallistic issile Submarines**&ombat >ogistics ForceC<