9887 4
th
St. N., Suite 200St. Petersburg, FL 33702Phone: (727) 245-1962Fax: (727) 577-7470Email: info@stpetepolls.org Website: www.stpetepolls.orgMatt Florell, President
Subject: Florida Congressional District 19 survey conducted for FloridaPolitics.comDate: July 6, 2020
Executive Summary:
This poll of 508 likely Republican Florida Congressional District 19 Primary voters was conducted on July 6
th
, 2020. This poll used the registered voter lists supplied by the state of Florida as of June 9
th
, 2020. The sample of voters that were contacted included random samples of registered voters within the boundaries of Florida’s 19
th
Congressional District.The issues surveyed included questions related to the Republican primary election in Florida’s 19
th
Congressional District.
Methodology:
The poll was conducted through an automated phone call polling system. The results were then weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the demographics of the active Republican Primary voter population for Florida’s 19
th
Congressional District. The weighting demographics used were: race, age and gender. Only voters who had stated that they were likely to vote in the August 2020 primary election were included in the results.The scientific results shown for the questions below have a sample size of 508 and a 4.3% Margin of Error at a 95% confidence level.
© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962website: www.stpetepolls.org
Summary of Scientific Results:
If the Republican primary election for the open congressional seat in District 19 were held today, and the candidates were Darren Aquino, Casey Askar, Byron Donalds, Dane Eagle, William “Fig” Figlesthaler, Randy Henderson, Daniel Kowal, Christy McLaughlin and Dan Severson, who would you vote for?
Darren Aquino:
1.6%
Casey Askar:
30.1%
Byron Donalds:
25.9%
Dane Eagle:
7.5%
William “Fig” Figlesthaler:
15.6%
Randy Henderson:
4.6%
Daniel Kowal:
0.4%
Christy McLaughlin:
1.6%
Dan Severson:
0.4%
Undecided:
12.3%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dane Eagle?
Favorable:
27.4%
Unfavorable:
13.0%
Unsure:
59.6%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Casey Askar?
Favorable:
51.8%
Unfavorable:
13.7%
Unsure:
34.5%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of William ‘Fig’ Figlesthaler?
Favorable:
44.7%
Unfavorable:
18.8%
Unsure:
36.5%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Byron Donalds?
Favorable:
49.0%
Unfavorable:
9.3%
Unsure:
41.8%
Do you plan to vote by mail, vote in person, or not vote in the Primary Election next month?
Vote by mail:
56.8%
Vote in person:
43.2%
Detailed Results with Demographic Breakdowns for Each Question:
If the Republican primary election for the open congressional seat in District 19 were heldtoday, and the candidates were Darren Aquino, Casey Askar, Byron Donalds, Dane Eagle, William “Fig” Figlesthaler, Randy Henderson, Daniel Kowal, Christy McLaughlin and Dan Severson, who would you vote for?
Darren Aquino:
1.6%
Randy Henderson:
4.6%
Casey Askar:
30.1%
Daniel Kowal:
0.4%
Byron Donalds:
25.9%
Christy McLaughlin:
1.6%
Dane Eagle:
7.5%
Dan Severson:
0.4%
William “Fig” Figlesthaler:
15.6%
Undecided:
12.3%
Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:
Aquino: 1.6% Henderson: 4.7%Askar: 30.3% Kowal: 0.4%Donalds: 25.8% McLaughlin: 1.6%Eagle: 7.5% Severson: 0.4%Figlesthaler: 15.6% Undecided: 12.2% Race Breakdown: White, Not Hispanic 479 responses Aquino: 1.5% Askar: 30.7% Donalds: 25.9% Eagle: 7.5% Figlesthaler: 15.4% Henderson: 4.4% Kowal: 0.4% McLaughlin: 1.5% Severson: 0.4% Undecided: 12.3% Black, Not Hispanic 1 responses Aquino: 0% Askar: 0% Donalds: 0% Eagle: 0% Figlesthaler: 0% Henderson: 0% Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 100.0% Severson: 0% Undecided: 0% Asian or Pacific Islander 3 responses Aquino: 0% Askar: 0% Donalds: 33.3% Eagle: 0% Figlesthaler: 33.3% Henderson: 0% Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 0% Severson: 0% Undecided: 33.3% Hispanic 13 responses Aquino: 7.7% Askar: 23.1% Donalds: 30.8% Eagle: 7.7% Figlesthaler: 7.7% Henderson: 15.4% Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 0% Severson: 0% Undecided: 7.7% Other or Unknown 12 responses Aquino: 0% Askar: 33.3% Donalds: 16.7% Eagle: 8.3% Figlesthaler: 25.0% Henderson: 8.3% Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 0% Severson: 0% Undecided: 8.3% Gender Breakdown: Male 234 responses Aquino: 1.7% Askar: 35.0% Donalds: 18.8% Eagle: 9.8% Figlesthaler: 15.0% Henderson: 6.8% Kowal: 0.4% McLaughlin: 0.4% Severson: 0.4% Undecided: 11.5% Female 271 responses Aquino: 1.5% Askar: 25.8% Donalds: 31.7% Eagle: 5.5% Figlesthaler: 16.2% Henderson: 3.0% Kowal: 0.4% McLaughlin: 2.6% Severson: 0.4% Undecided: 12.9% Age Breakdown: 18 to 29 3 responses Aquino: 0% Askar: 33.3% Donalds: 33.3% Eagle: 0% Figlesthaler: 33.3% Henderson: 0% Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 0% Severson: 0% Undecided: 0% 30 to 49 24 responses Aquino: 0% Askar: 33.3% Donalds: 29.2% Eagle: 8.3% Figlesthaler: 12.5% Henderson: 0% Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 4.2% Severson: 0% Undecided: 12.5% 50 to 69 133 responses Aquino: 2.3% Askar: 22.6% Donalds: 28.6% Eagle: 8.3% Figlesthaler: 16.5% Henderson: 3.8% Kowal: 0.8% McLaughlin: 1.5% Severson: 0.8% Undecided: 15.0% 70 and up 348 responses Aquino: 1.4% Askar: 33.0% Donalds: 24.4% Eagle: 7.2% Figlesthaler: 15.2% Henderson: 5.5% Kowal: 0.3% McLaughlin: 1.4% Severson: 0.3% Undecided: 11.2%
© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962website: www.stpetepolls.org