9887 4
th
St. N., Suite 200St. Petersburg, FL 33702Phone: (727) 245-1962Fax: (727) 577-7470Email: info@stpetepolls.org Website: www.stpetepolls.orgMatt Florell, President
Subject: Florida Congressional District 19 survey conducted for FloridaPolitics.comDate: August 3, 2020
Executive Summary:
This poll of 525 likely Republican Florida Congressional District 19 Primary voters was conducted on August 3
rd
, 2020. This poll used the registered voter lists supplied by the state of Florida as of June 9
th
, 2020. The sample of voters that were contacted included random samples of registered voters within the boundaries of Florida’s 19
th
Congressional District.The issues surveyed included questions related to the Republican primary election in Florida’s 19
th
Congressional District.
Methodology:
The poll was conducted through an automated phone call polling system. The results were then weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the demographics of the active Republican Primary voter population for Florida’s 19
th
Congressional District. The weighting demographics used were: race, age and gender. Only voters who had stated that they were likely to vote in the August 2020 primary election were included in the results.The scientific results shown for the questions below have a sample size of 525 and a 4.3% Margin of Error at a 95% confidence level.
© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962website: www.stpetepolls.org
Summary of Scientific Results:
If the Republican primary election for the open congressional seat in District 19 were held today, and the candidates were Darren Aquino, Casey Askar, Byron Donalds, Dane Eagle, William “Fig” Figlesthaler, Randy Henderson, Daniel Kowal, Christy McLaughlin and Dan Severson, who would you vote for?
TOTALVOTEDPLAN TO VOTE
Darren Aquino:
2.7%
4.4% 1.6%Casey Askar:
16.0%
15.2%16.5%Byron Donalds:
21.5%
16.7%24.3%Dane Eagle:
19.6%
24.5%15.6%William “Fig” Figlesthaler:
21.0%
23.0%20.9%Randy Henderson:
7.5%
10.3% 5.6%Daniel Kowal:
0.5%
0.5% 0.6%Christy McLaughlin:
0.8%
0.5% 0.9%Dan Severson:
2.3%
0.5% 3.4%Undecided:
8.0%
4.4%10.6%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dane Eagle?
Favorable:
35.2%
Unfavorable:
26.9%
Unsure:
37.9%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Casey Askar?
Favorable:
31.4%
Unfavorable:
31.5%
Unsure:
37.1%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of William ‘Fig’ Figlesthaler?
Favorable:
38.8%
Unfavorable:
22.0%
Unsure:
39.2%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Byron Donalds?
Favorable:
31.4%
Unfavorable:
28.6%
Unsure:
39.9%
Have you already voted or do you plan to vote in the Primary Election this month?
Already voted:
38.6%
Plan to vote in person:
36.3%
Plan to vote by mail:
25.0%
Detailed Results with Demographic Breakdowns for Each Question:
If the Republican primary election for the open congressional seat in District 19 were held today, and the candidates were Darren Aquino, Casey Askar, Byron Donalds, Dane Eagle, William “Fig” Figlesthaler, Randy Henderson, Daniel Kowal, Christy McLaughlin and Dan Severson, who would you vote for?
TOTALVOTEDPLAN TO VOTE
Darren Aquino:
2.7%
4.4% 1.6%Casey Askar:
16.0%
15.2%16.5%Byron Donalds:
21.5%
16.7%24.3%Dane Eagle:
19.6%
24.5%15.6%William “Fig” Figlesthaler:
21.0%
23.0%20.9%Randy Henderson:
7.5%
10.3% 5.6%Daniel Kowal:
0.5%
0.5% 0.6%Christy McLaughlin:
0.8%
0.5% 0.9%Dan Severson:
2.3%
0.5% 3.4%Undecided:
8.0%
4.4%10.6%
Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:
Aquino: 2.7% Askar: 16.0% Donalds: 21.3% Eagle: 19.0% Figlesthaler: 21.7% Henderson: 7.4% Kowal: 0.6% McLaughlin: 0.8% Severson: 2.3% Undecided: 8.2% Race Breakdown: White, Not Hispanic 505 responses Aquino: 2.8% Askar: 15.8% Donalds: 21.6% Eagle: 18.6% Figlesthaler: 21.6% Henderson: 7.5% Kowal: 0.6% McLaughlin: 0.8% Severson: 2.4% Undecided: 8.3% Black, Not Hispanic 0 responses Aquino: 0% Askar: 0% Donalds: 0% Eagle: 0% Figlesthaler: 0% Henderson: 0% Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 0% Severson: 0% Undecided: 0% Asian or Pacific Islander 4 responses Aquino: 0% Askar: 0% Donalds: 25.0% Eagle: 25.0% Figlesthaler: 50.0% Henderson: 0% Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 0% Severson: 0% Undecided: 0% Hispanic 5 responses Aquino: 0% Askar: 20.0% Donalds: 20.0% Eagle: 40.0% Figlesthaler: 20.0% Henderson: 0% Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 0% Severson: 0% Undecided: 0% Other or Unknown 11 responses Aquino: 0% Askar: 27.3% Donalds: 9.1% Eagle: 27.3% Figlesthaler: 18.2% Henderson: 9.1% Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 0% Severson: 0% Undecided: 9.1% Gender Breakdown: Male 225 responses Aquino: 2.7% Askar: 12.9% Donalds: 21.8% Eagle: 20.4% Figlesthaler: 23.1% Henderson: 10.2% Kowal: 0.9% McLaughlin: 0.4% Severson: 2.2% Undecided: 5.3% Female 296 responses Aquino: 2.7% Askar: 18.2% Donalds: 21.3% Eagle: 17.6% Figlesthaler: 20.9% Henderson: 5.4% Kowal: 0.3% McLaughlin: 1.0% Severson: 2.4% Undecided: 10.1%
© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962website: www.stpetepolls.org