4514 Central Ave.St. Petersburg, FL 33711Phone: (727) 245-1962Fax: (727) 577-7470Email: info@stpetepolls.org Website: www.stpetepolls.orgMatt Florell, President
Subject: Florida U.S. Congressional District 13 General Election surveyconducted for FloridaPolitics.comDate: August 27, 2024
Executive Summary:
This poll of 843 likely Florida U.S. Congressional District 13 General election voters was conducted on August 27, 2024. This poll used the registered voter lists supplied by the state of Florida as of August 13, 2024. The sample of voters that were contacted included random samples of registered voters within the boundaries of Florida’s U.S. Congressional District 13.The issues surveyed included questions related to the November 2024 General election.
Methodology:
The poll was conducted through a combination of an automated phone call polling system and a manual P2P SMS polling system. The results were then weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the demographics of the active voter population for Florida’s U.S. Congressional District 13. The weighting demographics used were: political party, race, age and gender.Voters that stated they were not planning to vote in the November general election were excluded from the results below.The share of respondents by contact method: Phone call = 80% SMS texting = 20%The scientific results shown for the questions below have a sample size of 843 and a 3.4% Margin of Error at a 95% confidence level.
© 2024 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962website: www.stpetepolls.org
Respondents' Demographics and Weighting Demographics:
Summary of the demographic breakdown of the likely voters who responded to this survey as well asthe active voter demographics used to weight this survey, and the demographics for all registered voters in the district:
RESPONDENTSWEIGHTINGREGISTERED Political Party: Democratic = 32.4%32.0%
30.1%
Republican = 41.5%40.8%
38.1%
Other = 26.1%27.2%
31.8%
Race Breakdown: White, Not Hispanic = 84.1%83.1%
80.2%
Black, Not Hispanic = 5.6% 5.1%
5.9%
Asian or Pacific Islander = 1.1% 2.5%
2.8%
Hispanic = 4.6% 5.3%
6.4%
Other or Unknown = 4.6% 4.0%
4.7%
Gender Breakdown: Female = 53.8%53.7%
52.4%
Male = 44.6%44.4%
45.5%
Age Breakdown: 18 to 29 = 7.1% 8.4%
13.2%
30 to 49 = 23.1%24.1%
26.9%
50 to 69 = 40.2%39.1%
35.9%
70 and up = 29.5%28.4%
24.0%
Summary of Scientific Results:
If the Election for Congressional District 13 were held today, and the candidates were Republican Anna Paulina Luna and Democrat Whitney Fox, who would you vote for?
Anna Paulina Luna:
44.3%
Whitney Fox:
47.8%
Undecided / Don’t know:
7.9%
If the election for President of the United States were held today, and the candidates were Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris, who would you vote for?
Donald Trump:
45.8%
Kamala Harris:
51.3%
Sommeone else:
1.5%
Undecided / Don’t know:
1.3%
If the election for United States Senator from Florida were held today, and the candidates were Republican Rick Scott and Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who would you vote for?
Rick Scott:
46.1%
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell:
48.5%
Undecided / Don’t know:
5.4%
© 2024 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962website: www.stpetepolls.org