November 2011Key Planning Factors: Response to an IND in the NCR
LLNL-TR-512111
LLNL-TR-512111 / O1049
Acknowledgements
Funding for the research and development of this report was provided by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security with contracting support provided bythe National Nuclear Security Administration. Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) would like to acknowledge the:•
Leadership and Support
of the Department of Homeland Security, Federal Emergency Management Agency Response Directorate’s PlanningDivision Director, Mr. Donald Daigler; the CBRNE Branch Chief, Mr. Chad Gorman; and the IND R&R (Response and Recovery) Program Manager ,Mr. Steve Chase.•
Supporting Science
of the Department of Homeland Security Science and Technology’s Threat Characterization and Attribution Senior ProgramManager, Dr. Patricia Underwood.These individuals made themselves available for assistance and direction on all aspects of the project discussed in this report.Key contributions to this work come from the work of Michael Dillon from LLNL and Ann S. Yoshimura of Sandia National Laboratories for the assessmentof shelter and evacuation strategies following an urban nuclear detonation; Kevin Kramer, Joe Madrigal, Daniela Stricklin, and Paul Weber; Applied ResearchAssociates, for their contributions in radiation transport, public health, and NucFast blast analysis.The authors also gratefully acknowledge the insights and contributions of the Modeling and Analysis Coordination Working Group, a technical workinggroup collaborating on key aspects of nuclear effects modeling. Participants in this working group included:• Blue, Charles; DHS Office of Health Affairs• Bell, Lauren; Gryphon Scientific• Bos, Randy; Los Alamos National Laboratory• Brandt, Larry; Sandia National Laboratory - Livermore• Brunjes, Ben; Homeland Security Institute• Buddemeier, Brooke; Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory• Casagrande, Rocco; Gryphon Scientific• Chase, Steve; Federal Emergency Management Agency• Checknita, Dean; Department of Homeland Security• Chen, Shih-Yew; Argonne National Laboratory• Clark, Harvey; National Nuclear Security Administration• Crawford, Sean; Federal Emergency Management Agency• Crepeau, Joe; Applied Research Associates• Curling, Carl; Institute for Defense Analysis• Dillon, Michael; Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory• Disraelly, Deena; Institute for Defense Analysis• Ferguson, David; Federal Emergency Management Agency• Goorley, Tim; Los Alamos National Laboratory• Gorman, Chad; Federal Emergency Management Agency• Hann, Todd; Defense Threat Reduction Agency• Jodoin, Vincent J.; Oak Ridge National Laboratory• Johnson, Jeffrey O.; Oak Ridge National Laboratory• Klennert, Lindsay; Sandia National Laboratory - ABQ• Klucking, Sara; DHS Science and Technology• MacKinney, John; Department of Homeland Security• Madrigal, Joe; Applied Research Associates• McClellan, Gene; Applied Research Associates• McNally, Rich; Health and Human Services• McPherson, Tim; Los Alamos National Laboratory• Mercier, John; Armed Forces Radiobiological Research Institute• Millage, Kyle; Applied Research Associates• Needham, Charles; Applied Research Associates• Oancea, Victor; Science Application International Corporation• Pennington, Heather; Sandia National Laboratory - ABQ• Reeves, Glen; Defense Threat Reduction Agency• Schaeffer, Mike; DHHS/Science Application International Corporation• Snyder, Emily; Environmental Protection Agency• Stricklin, Daniela; Applied Research Associates• Taylor, Tammy; Los Alamos National Laboratory• Vojtech, Richard J.; Domestic Nuclear Detection Office• Wright, Suzanne; Science Application International Corporation
This report would not have been possible without the help of Robert Kirvel, Nancy Suski, Tammy Taylor, Gerald Troller, Amy Waters, and Dave Weirup.The modeling and analysis provided by this report could not have been possible without extensive interactions with the National Capital Region INDResponse Planning Steering Committee chaired by DC Fire and EMS Battalion Chief John Donnelly and workshop facilitation provided by the FEMAOffice of National Capital Regions Coordination, The Office of Secretary of Defense - Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation, and the Counter Terrorism Operation Support. (CTOS) Center for Rad/Nuc Training at the Nevada National Security Site. Principal participants include (see next page):