Model Thinking

Scott E Page

Reason # 1: Intelligent Citizen of the World
1

Reason # 2: Clearer Thinker
2

Reason # 3: Understand and Use Data
3

Reason # 4: Decide, Strategize, and Design
4

Outline and Structure
5

Outline
Image: Puzzledcat.blogspot

6

Outline
Image: Nuke Mayhem Deviant Art

7

Collective Action Tipping Points Colonel Blotto Lyapunov Models Learning Models

Wisdom of Crowds

Markov Processes Spatial Voting Decision Theory
Linear Models Economic Growth
8

Online Course Format
• Videos
– 8-15 minutes – Questions

• Readings
– Linked on Wiki

• Assignments • Quizzes • Discussion Forum
9

Section Structure

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Section Structure
• The model
– Assumptions, results, applications

11

Section Structure
• The model
– Assumptions, results, applications

• Technical Details
– Measures, Proofs (Easy, Medium, Hard) – Practice Problems

12

Section Structure
• The model
– Assumptions, results, applications

• Technical Details
– Measures, Proofs (Easy, Medium, Hard) – Practice Problems

• Fertility
13

Model Thinking

Scott E Page

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