Methods to study medicine
safety problems
Mary R Couper
Quality Assurance and Safety of Medicines
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METHODS TO STUDY DRUG SAFETY PROBLEMS
animal experiments Other epidemiological methods
Phase IV studies – usually
clinical trials carried out by pharmaceutical
industry
epidemiological methods Case series
– spontaneous reporting Registers
– Cohort event monitoring Record linkages
Meta- analysis
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Spontaneous reporting
Principle: The alert health professional connects an
undesirable medical event with medicine exposure –
Suspicion
Report is sent to central database for analysis
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Spontaneous reporting - advantages
– large population
– all medicines
– hospital and out-patient care
– long perspective
– patient analyses possible
– inexpensive
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Spontaneous reporting - disadvantages
Underreporting
Poor quality of reports
No denominator data
Reporting varies with
– severity of reaction
– time from market introduction
– promotional claims
– promotion of reporting system
– publicity of specific association
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Spontaneous reporting- cornerstone of PV
Eleven products recalled from UK and US during 1999-
2001
Basis for recall
– Eight products (73%) were recalled on the basis of spontaneous
reports
– Two products (18%) recalled on basis of RCTs
– Two products (18%) recalled on basis of comparative
observational studies
Ref. Drug Safety 2006: An assessment of the publicly disseminated evidence of safety used in
decisions to withdraw medicinal products from the UK and US markets. Clarke A, Deeks JJ,
Shakir SA.
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Cohort Event Monitoring
Cohort event monitoring (CEM) is a
prospective, observational, cohort study
of adverse events associated with one
or more medicines.
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CEM
Adaptable to any situation and all types of medicine
Good data on drug utilization and events
Signals identified early
Short term, but long term if needed
Followed up by
– Stimulated Passive Reporting &/or
– Spontaneous reporting
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Basic CEM principles
Enroll a cohort of patients
Actively pursue adverse events
(‘Hot pursuit’)
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DJ Finney 1965
The purpose of monitoring is ‘to ensure that observations
on a large number of persons who receive a new drug are
collated and used effectively; only so can a warning of any
untoward consequences be given as early as possible.’
‘…….a reporter is not required to judge whether an event
was drug-induced, though he may usefully express an
opinion.’
’a skilled medical scrutineer at the centre becomes
suspicious much earlier than anyone else.’
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The objectives of CEM
Characterize known reactions
Detect signals of unrecognized reactions
Interactions with
– Other medicines
– Complementary and alternative medicines
– Foods
Identify risk factors so that they can be avoided
Age Duration of therapy
Gender Concomitant disease
Dose Concomitant therapy
Assess safety in pregnancy & lactation
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The objectives of CEM
Measure risk (including comparative)
Provide evidence for effective risk management
– Safer prescribing
– Benefit / harm assessment
– Regulatory changes
Hypothesis generation
Cohorts for study
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Cohort
Exposed Outcome
Time
Sample
Population
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The objectives
Detect inefficacy, which might be due to
• Faulty administration
• Poor storage conditions
• Out of date
• Poor quality product
• Counterfeit
• Interactions
Drug utilization
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Reporting requirements
All new events even if common & minor
Change in a pre-existing condition
Abnormal changes in laboratory tests
Accidents
All deaths with date & cause
Possible interactions
– NB alcohol, OCs, CAMs
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Non-serious events
May indicate serious problem
May affect compliance
– nausea
– Extreme lethargy
– diarrhoea
May be more important than serious reactions
Recording all events is easier than being selective
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Special follow-ups
Pregnancies
Deaths
Treatment failures
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Pregnancies
Pregnant women followed up
Women of child-bearing age
Pregnancy test or
follow-up
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Pregnancy
Diagnosis of pregnancy recorded as an event –pregnancy
register
Special questionnaire for outcome
Note outcomes
– During pregnancy
– Of labour
– Of newborn infant
– Of breast-fed infant
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Death
Procedure for follow-up with specific form
Accurate timing
Try & establish cause
– Laboratory results
– Autopsy
Confirm drug use
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Lack of effect
Adherence to instructions
Did not retain medication
– vomiting
– diarrhoea
Incorrect diagnosis
Batch
Quality / counterfeit issue?
Resistance issue?
Specific enquiry if numbers of cases
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Publications on CEM
Pharmacovigilance for antiretrovirals in resource-poor
countries. Geneva 2007
Manual for pharmacovigilance of antimalarials in press
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