Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Derivatives
What Is a Derivative?
Definition
A contract between two parties which has a
value determined by the price/value of
something else . (something else =
underlying).
Usually can be constructed from other
products.
Underlying
Stock prices, interest rates, FX, oil price,
weather, mortgage payment, credit card
payment.
Types
A Simple Example
Consider a bet on the Chicago Bulls:
If the Bulls win by 10 or more, you
receive (and the bookie pays) $100
If the Bulls lose, or win by less than 10,
you pay (and the bookie receives) $100
This is a derivative:
Contract to exchange cash flows
Underlying index: Bulls score
opponents score
3
450
CBT
CME
NYMEX
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
Increased Volatility
Oil prices:
19512005
$/ rate:
19512005
1-7
Forward Example
The treasurer of an airline company
today enters into a long forward
contract to buy 1 million barrels of oil
in 12 months at $90 per barrel
This obligates the airline to pay $90
million for 1 million barrels of oil in
one year
A forward contract is an agreement
to buy or sell an asset at a certain
time in the future for a certain price
9
Futures Example
Like forward contract, a futures contract is
an agreement to buy or sell an asset at a
certain time in the future for a certain
price
Examples: today (at time t=0) Agreement
to:
buy 100 oz. of gold @ US$1400/oz. in
December (NYMEX)
sell 62,500 @ 1.6200 US$/ in March (CME)
sell 1,000 bbl. of oil @ US$89/bbl. in April
(NYMEX)
10
11
Example
On January 20, 2011 the treasurer of
an airline company enters into a long
forward contract to buy 1 million
barrels of oil in 12 months at $90 per
barrel
What is the payoff if?
Spot oil price, ST , in Jan 2012 is $60
Spot oil price ST , in Jan 2012 is $150
14
Payoff from a
Long Forward Position
Payoff
Payoff= ST F0,T
Price of Underlying
90=F
at Maturity, ST
Payoff from a
Short Forward Position
Payoff
Payoff = F - ST
90
=F
Price of Underlying
at Maturity, ST
Payoff on a Forward
Contract
Payoff for a contract is its value at
expiration
Payoff for
Long forward = Spot price at expiration
Forward price = ST F0,T
Short forward = Forward price Spot price at
expiration = F0,T ST
(note the time script)
Q: Payoff of long forward + payoff of short
forward =?
17
Options
The buyer has the option to buy/sell an asset in
the future, at a price set today
For the buyer, preserves the upside potential,
while at the same time eliminating the
unpleasant downside, nonbinding
The seller of a call option is obligated to deliver
if asked
Today
Expiration date
or
at buyers choosing
18
Options
A call option is an option to buy a
certain asset by a certain date for a
certain price (the strike price)
A put option is an option to sell a
certain asset by a certain date for a
certain price (the strike price)
The seller of a call/put option is
obligated to sell/buy if asked
19
S(T)
K
S(T)
21
Put payoff
at maturity
P(T)
S(T)
K
S(T)
K
23
Payoff of Options
If a call is held to maturity, its payoff at
maturity is:
Call (T)=max[0, S(T)-K]
If a put is held to maturity, its payoff at
maturity is:
Put (T) = max[0,K-S(T)]
The written (short) option payoff is just the
negative of the bought (long) option
payoff. (The long position payoff is always
positive.)
24
Options vs Futures/Forwards
The holder of futures/forward contract has
the obligation to buy or sell at a certain
price at certain time.
An option gives the buyer the right to buy or
sell at a certain price at certain time
When the contract is signed, the value of
future/forward contract is zero, as time
goes, the value of the contract can either
positive or negative
For the party who long the options, the
value of options is always positive26 before
expiration.
Hedging Examples
An investor owns 1,000 ABC Co. shares
currently worth $28 per share. A twomonth put with a strike price of $27.50
costs $1. The investor decides to hedge
by buying 10 contracts. (Each put contract
gives your right to sell 100 shares of
stock.)
28
Value of
Holding ($)
35,000
No Hedging
30,000
Hedging
25,000
Stock Price ($)
20,000
20
25
30
35
40
29
Speculation Example
An investor with $2,000 to invest feels
that Amazons stock price will increase
over the next 2 months. The current stock
price is $20 and the price of a 2-month call
option with a strike of $20 is $1
What are the alternative strategies?
30
Speculation Example
What are the returns of each strategy if
stock price goes up to $25 next 2
months
31
Arbitrage
An arbitrage is any trading strategy
requiring no cash input that has some
probability of making profits, with no risk
of loss.
A portfolio with a zero price and a
strictly positive payoff, or
One with a negative price and a nonnegative payoff
33
Arbitrage Example
A stock price is quoted as 100 in London
and $172 in New York
The current exchange rate is 1.5800$/
What is the arbitrage opportunity?
34
Pricing by analogy
Often we can find candidates that
Are very similar to the derivative
Have precise values
So those values ought to be the
value of our derivative.
Why?
Using no arbitrage principal to value
derivative
37
Conclusion
What are the derivatives
Futures, Forwards, Options
Definition, payoff, obligation/right of
buyer and seller
Quiz
Which of the following is not a
derivative instrument?
(a) Contract to sell corn
(b) Option agreement to buy land
(c) Installment sales agreement
(d) Mortgage backed security
39
Quiz
Options and futures are zero sum game,
what dose this statement mean?
40