Team 5
Kim Dae Yon: The Analysis of Case 4.4
Shin Doo Sung: The Analysis of Case A13.3
Kwon Soon Ook:
Ook: Analysis Verification, Summary and Reporting
 
Quebec Referendum Vote Introduction
ÿ On October 30, 1995, a referendum was held on in which the people of Quebec voted whether to
separate from Canada and form an independent nation.
ÿ The nonFrancophone (Nonfrench speaking) people of Quebec
 About 20% of the population and very much want to remain Canadians A large number of
e nof votes
ÿ The Francophone people of Quebec
 Remaining 80% of the population a majority of e yesf votes
ÿ The Result of referendum Ę Reference: Quebec independence referendum, 1995 in Wikipedia
Total votes % of votes Remarks
Valid ballots 4,671,008 98.18% No: 2,362,648 (50.58%), Yes: 2,308,360 (49.42%)
Rejected ballots 86,501 1.82% e nof side won by only 54,288 votes
Participation rate 4,757,509 93.52%
4 
Quebec Referendum Vote Preliminary Summary
First the statistics of each column of the data were summarized in the below
table
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Quebec Referendum Vote Correlation (1)
Scatter diagram
14
12
10
8
ï
Pct Reject
6
4 Linear (Pct Reject)
2
0 Linear (Pct Reject)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Correlation
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Quebec Referendum Vote Correlation (2)
Scatter diagram
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15
10
ï Pct Reject
5
Linear (Pct Reject)
0 Linear (Pct Reject)
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
!"
Correlation
· 
Quebec Referendum Vote Correlation (3)
Scatter diagram
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15
10
y = 0.006x + 1.742 Pct Reject
5
Linear (Pct Reject)
0 Linear (Pct Reject)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
!"
Correlation
Î 
Quebec Separation? Introduction
a. If the referendum were held on the day of the survey, would Quebec vote to
remain in Canada?
b. Estimate with 95% confidence the difference between French and English
speaking Quebecers in their support for separation?
V 
Quebec Separation? Hypothesis Test
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Secondly, we looked for the evidence for supporting the alternative hypothesis.
We counted number of code 1 in the total 641 responses and calculated the
Sample proportion ( as below
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Quebec Separation? Hypothesis Test
Since we assume the null hypothesis is true, we can calculate the test statistic
z as shown in the below equations
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(2.65%)
Thus, we can conclude that if the referendum were held on the day of the
survey, Quebec would vote to remain in Canada.
 
Quebec Separation? Hypothesis Test
If we make the ztest by using the Excel program, the same results could
be obtained as represented in the below table.
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Quebec Separation? Estimation
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Quebec Separation? Estimation
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4 
Quebec Separation? Estimation
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