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This PPT. FILE contains : Slide No.

NIFTY WEEKLY VIEW : DATED 31 JAN , TO 10


4 th FAB , 2011

INDIAN MARKET IS EXPENISIVE 13


( Readable Stuff )
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NIFTY PREDICTATION TECNICAL6000 ON
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NIFTY WEEKLY VIEW 30 JAN TO 4TH FEB 2011 :
DATED: 30 JAN 2011

As written last week , Nifty major support @ 5620 is broken


with larger volumes , Last week starts with positive notes on
24 Jan .. Nifty gain 47 points , On 25 Jan … Nifty firm in
morning .. Went up to 5801 after RBI POLICY … but then real
hammering starts … Nifty close 114 Points from day high … this
days hammering clearly indicate to all that bears not stop …
and they continue hammer market some more days .
NIFTY WEEKLY VIEW 30 JAN TO 4TH FEB 2011 :
DATED: 30 JAN 2011

On .. 26 January market was closed but on 27 Jan … Bear again


trap bulls … This day Nifty breach not only 200 DMA but also
psychological LVL 5600 too … Lastly Nifty close @ 5604 . On
28 th Jan … Friday … The day of weekly closing – Nifty fall
badly – It ’ s almost a “ Black Friday ” !! Nifty fallen till
5459 but settle at 5512 due to bears short covering + Bears
profit booking .
 
Now ... It ’ s certain and confirm that Nifty is in ICU ( below
200 DMA ) * ICU = Incentive Care Unit , On Daily Charts Nifty
is very weak MACD is falling below “ 0 ” Line , The Daily RSI
at 30 . 31 , + DI and – DI are running negative to each other ,
The Daily Stochastic - % K and % D both line coming down ...
% K reach at oversold position @ 16 but % D still at 35 .
In total , Nifty which is falling last 3 weak is not at huge
oversold may Monday or

Tuesday after a initial Fall Nifty may bounce ... That time
we need to see the velocity of bounce / reversal ... If the
reversal is in slow to mild then may Nifty again go weak
after some breathing / sideways movement . For any
strangeness Nifty need to show “ V ” shape sharp recovery ...
coz the huge - huge oversold market if not show fastest
reversal then bear again trap bulls .
SENSEX WEEKLY VIEW 30 JAN TO 4TH FEB 2011 :

On weekly charts Nifty is weaker , I assume that 1 H & s


formation is occur ... The H & S neck Line at 5690 around + 1
more pattern made Nifty more weak that is Double Top at 6357
on 11 January 2008 and 6335 . 90 on 12 November , 2010 ... These
combine factors reaction is stronger than we anticipated but
these support levels of Nifty 5 , 200 and Sensex 17 , 500 are
fairly strong .
NIFTY & SENSEX
SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE :

FOR WEEK
30 JAN TO 4TH FEB 2011
WHY DOW SLIDE FRIDAY 166 POINTS ?

DOW corrected more in this week… So No hope from Dow side.


DAX – FRANKFURT
FACE BIG RESISTANCE AT 7225 – 7250 RANGE:

Other European Market is also near to Resistance So there is no


Major Support form USA + European Market .
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INDIAN MARKET IS EXPENISIVE :

POSTED ON: 26 JAN 2011


Are Indian stocks too expensive after the
breathless rally of the past few months?
Why nifty is sliding … or correcting
last few months ... ?
yes. Its price earnings multiple, at 26.9 based on past year’s
earnings, definitely looks stiff both in relation to long-term
trends and in comparison to its peers in other emerging markets. The
Sensex’s PE multiple now is several levels above its five-year
average of 18. Over the past five years, the bellwether’s PE multiple
has swung between 10 and 27 times its historic earnings. It has
averaged 15 for a 10-year period. The Sensex also appears dear
compared to many other emerging market indices that figure on the
radar screens of institutional investors.

The Sensex is much more expensive than Brazil’s Bovespa, which


trades at about 15 times, Taiwan’s Taiex (21 times), Thailand’s SET
(21 times) or Korea’s KOSPI (16 times). The only exception is the
Shanghai Composite index of China, which trades at a whopping 68
times.
CONTINUE…

INDIAN GROWTH RATE:

Indian companies will have to deliver much higher growth rates in


earnings than most other emerging market peers to justify the current
Sensex valuation. The PE of 27 assumes that earnings of the constituent
companies would sustain a 25-30 per cent annualised growth at least
over the next five years. Is it time to raise the flag of caution?
Especially after the slowdown in earnings growth reported by India Inc
in the September quarter.

However, investors can probably take heart from the fact that not all of
the Indian stock market is as expensive as the Sensex.

With the recent market rally bypassing large swathes of mid- and small-
cap stocks, the PE multiples of these stocks are far below those of the
Sensex constituents. The PE multiple of the BSE Midcap index is, for
instance, at just 22. What is more, a good 60 per cent of the stocks
listed on the NSE are still trading at a PE multiple of less than 20,
based on their past year’s earnings.
CONTINUE…

HIGHEST PE RATIO COMPANIES :


COSTLIEST COMPANIES IN INDIA
1 . Essar Oil P/E 1,212.00
2 . Spectacle Ind P/E 956.76
3 . Sunteck Realty P/E 575.46 WHAT IS P/E RATIO ?
4. GI Engineering P/E 517 ratio of a company's current share price compared to its per-shar
A valuation
5. MMTC Ltd P/E 477.44
6. Vimta Labs P/Calculated
E 436.43 as:
7. Karuturi Global P/E 334.44
8. Sun Pharma Adv P/E 270.15
9. EIH P/E 249.19
10 . OCL Iron P/E 244.62
11 . Alpa Laboratori P/E 223.33
12 . Adani Enterpris P/E 216.52
13 . Advani Hotels P/E 213.42
14 . Ashco Niulab P/E 211.67
15 . Religare Enterp P/E 197.83
16 . Neha Internatio P/E 174.83
17 . IndiaBPower P/E 171.67 These are only 20 Companies Name !
18 . BSE JCT
data of Electronics
/ NSE P/E 170 , Higher P / E as well as Lower P / E ( means cheapest availa
Listed companies
19 . Country Condos P/E 166.67
20 . Zandu Realty P/E 157.09 ASK US !!

Dec’2010 Quarter Result may not applied on above figures – Check all Data at your source and must re-confirm before any action.
Note:
Note: The above Data is Sep / Oct 2010, The Current PE of India is @ 18 to20, Final Data you can check from NSE.
WE ARE ONE OF THE COSTLIEST MARKET IN WORLD !!

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