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#07712

Slide 1

On behalf of the Vernon K. Krieble Foundation and Freedom Works, Public Opinion Strategies conducted a national survey of 800 likely voters. The survey was conducted November 8, 10-12 and has a margin of error of +3.46%. Trend data is shown from a similar survey conducted in April 2006.

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Voters continue to be divided over the best way to strengthen our borders. Education, party and ideology are all key drivers behind perceptions on how to deal with immigration and strengthen our borders. There continues to be no question in voters minds that an efficient guest or temporary worker program is key to “absolute control” of the border. Overwhelmingly, voters believe the number of legal foreign workers in the country will increase (70%) or stay the same (19%) in the next five to ten years.

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There has been little change in voters’ perception of the best way to strengthen our borders as they remain divided on this point.
Strengthen Our Border Increasing Law Enforcement vs. Handling Guest Workers +10% +10%

51% 41%

47% 37%

April 2006

November 2007

Create a More Efficient Guest Worker System

Total Increase Law Enforcement Officials

Which one of the following do you think will do more to strengthen our border... Increasing the presence of law enforcement officials ...or... Creating a more efficient system for handling guest workers?

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As we have seen in the past, educational attainment plays a key role in determining voters’ opinion
Strengthen Our Border Increasing Law Enforcement vs. Handling Guest Workers By Education
-17% +6% +19% +47%

67% 52% 35% 45% 51% 39% 32% 20%

High School or Less (26%)

Some College (29%)

College Graduate (31%)

Post Graduate (15%)

Create a More Efficient Guest Worker System

Total Increase Law Enforcement Officials

Which one of the following do you think will do more to strengthen our border... Increasing the presence of law enforcement officials ...or... Creating a more efficient system for handling guest workers?

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Differences by party and ideology also persist.
Strengthen Our Border By Increasing Law Enforcement vs. Handling Guest Workers by Party and Ideology
-11% +19% +24% -21% +25% +47%

66% 48% 37% 28% 56% 47% 32% 31% 52% 55% 30% 19%

Republican (38%)

Independent (17%)

Democrat (43%)

Conservative (39%)

Moderate (41%)

Liberal (17%)

Create a More Efficient Guest Worker System

Total Increase Law Enforcement Officials

Which one of the following do you think will do more to strengthen our border... Increasing the presence of law enforcement officials ...or... Creating a more efficient system for handling guest workers?

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In April last year voters in border states were more likely to want a better system for guest workers. Today, there is little difference in opinion between voters living in border and nonborder states.
April 2006
+19% +8% +9%

November 2007
+10%

55% 36%

50% 42%

46% 37%

47% 37%

Border States* (22%)

Non-Border States* (78%)

Border States* (22%) Total Increase Law Enforcement Officials

Non-Border States* (78%)

Create a More Efficient Guest Worker System *Border states are Arizona, California, New Mexico, and Texas

Which one of the following do you think will do more to strengthen our border... Increasing the presence of law enforcement officials ...or... Creating a more efficient system for handling guest workers?

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We divided the sample of N=800 voters into two equal groups.
Half the voters heard the following question: Which one of the following do you think will do more to strengthen our border… Increasing the presence of law enforcement officials … or… creating a more efficient system for handling guest workers? The other half of the voters heard the following question: Which one of the following do you think will do more to strengthen our border… Increasing the presence of law enforcement officials … or… creating a more efficient system for handling temporary workers?
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When the phrase “temporary workers” is used, a majority of voters favor a more efficient system for handling workers over increasing the presence of law enforcement.
Strengthen Our Border Increasing Law Enforcement vs. Handling “Guest Workers” +10% Strengthen Our Border Increasing Law Enforcement vs. Handling “Temporary Workers” +17%

47% 37%

53% 36%

Create a More Efficient Guest Worker System

Total Increase Law Enforcement Officials

Create a More Efficient Guest Worker System

Total Increase Law Enforcement Officials

And, please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement...“It is not possible to have absolute border control without a better system for handling guest workers.”

And, please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement...“It is not possible to have absolute border control without a better system for handling temporary workers.”

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Interestingly, when we tested “guest workers” and “temporary workers” in a similar manner for how to control the borders, there was very little difference. The overwhelming agreement here – both over time and using different terminology– may be due in part to the use of the phrase “absolute control.”
By Guest Workers April 2006
+62%

November 2007
+57%

By Temporary Workers November 2007
+59%

78%

75%

76%

49% Strongly Agree

16%

47% Strongly Agree

18%

47% Strongly Agree
Total Agree

17%

Total Disagree

Agree

Disagree
And, please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement...“It is not possible to have absolute border control without a better system for handling temporary workers.” And do you STRONGLY (agree/disagree) or just SOMEWHAT (agree/disagree) with this statement?

And please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement… “It is not possible to have absolute border control without a better system for handling guest workers.”…

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Voters have little doubt that the number of legal foreign workers in the country will increase or at least stay the same over the next five to ten years.
Increase 70%

Don't Know 4% Decrease 7%

Stay The Same 19%
Thinking specifically about the next FIVE TO TEN YEARS... do you think the number of foreign workers in this country – that is, LEGAL foreign workers who have the required visas to work in the United States will – increase, decrease – or stay the same?

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For more information about this presentation or about Public Opinion Strategies, please give us a call.
703-836-7655