Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)

4 views

Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)

- Reflection 1
- Simulation and Modelling
- Better Science Through Data Logging
- Gas Law
- Presentation
- Report Seed
- Report Project
- Presentation
- Assignment 2
- Module Improvement
- Asignment 1.Isaac Newton.
- Presentation Application in Calculus
- pbl 2003
- ec essay
- Science, Pseudoscience and Non-science
- Slide Angiosperms
- Gymno p.point..
- FULL BIO
- Presentation 2
- Exponent and Radical

You are on page 1of 13

Your computer may not have enough memory to open the image, or the image may have been corrupted. Restart your computer, and then open the file again. !f the red x still appears, you may have to delete the image and then insert it again.

6.5

Logistic Growth Model

Years

Bears

Greg Kelly, Hanford High School, Richland, Washington

We have used the exponential growth equation

to represent population growth.

0

9

0 =

%he exponential growth equation occurs when the rate of

growth is proportional to the amount present.

f we use ! to represent the population, the differential

equation becomes:

/!

!

/9

=

%he constant is called the relative growth rate.

/ /! /9

!

=

0

9

! !0 =

However, real-life populations do not increase forever.

%here is some limiting factor such as food, living space or

waste disposal.

%here is a maximum population, or carrying capacity, .

A more realistic model is the logistic growth model where

growth rate is proportional to both the amount present (!)

and the fraction of the carrying capacity that remains: !

/! !

!

/9

=

' '

ur book writes it this way:

Logistics Differential Equation

)

/!

! !

/9

=

We can solve this differential equation to find the logistics

growth model.

!artial

Fractions

Logistics Differential Equation

)

/!

! !

/9

=

)

1

/! /9

! !

=

)

1

! ! ! !

= +

)

1 ! ! = +

1 ! ! = +

1 =

1

=

0 ! ! = +

! ! =

=

1

=

1 1 1

/! /9

! !

+ =

' '

)

ln ln ! ! 9 = +

ln

!

9

!

= +

Logistics Differential Equation

)

/!

! !

/9

=

)

1

/! /9

! !

=

1 1 1

/! /9

! !

+ =

' '

)

ln ln ! ! 9 = +

ln

!

9

!

= +

9

!

0

!

+

=

9

!

0

!

=

1

9

0

!

=

1

9

0

!

= +

9

!

0

!

+

=

9

!

0

!

=

1

9

0

!

=

1

9

0

!

= +

1

9

!

0

=

+

1

9

!

0 0

=

+

09 0

=

1

9

!

0

=

+

1

9

!

0

=

+

Example:

Logistic Growth Model

%en grizzly bears were introduced to a national park 10

years ago. %here are 23 bears in the park at the present

time. %he park can support a maximum of 100 bears.

Assuming a logistic growth model, when will the bear

population reach 50? 75? 100?

years ago. %here are 23 bears in the park at the present

time. %he park can support a maximum of 100 bears.

Assuming a logistic growth model, when will the bear

population reach 50? 75? 100?

1

9

!

0

=

+

100 =

0

10 ! =

10

23 ! =

1

9

!

0

=

+

100 =

0

10 ! =

10

23 ! =

0

100

10

1 0

=

+

100

10

1

=

+

10 10 100 + =

10 90 =

9 =

At time zero, the population is 10.

100

1 9

9

!

0

=

+

1

9

!

0

=

+

100 =

0

10 ! =

10

23 ! =

After 10 years, the population is 23.

100

1 9

9

!

0

=

+

10

100

23

1 9

0

=

+

10

100

1 9

23

+ =

10

77

9

23

=

10

0.371981

=

10 0.988913 =

0.098891 =

0.1

100

1 9

9

!

0

=

+

0.1

100

1 9

9

!

0

=

+

The image cannot be displayed. Your computer may not have enough memory to open the image, or the image may have been corrupted. Restart your computer, and then open the file again. !f the red x still appears, you may have to delete the image and then insert it again.

Years

Bears

We can graph

this equation

and use "trace

to find the

solutions.

y=50 at 22 years

y=75 at 33 years

y=100 at 75 years

6

- Reflection 1Uploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Simulation and ModellingUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Better Science Through Data LoggingUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Gas LawUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- PresentationUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Report SeedUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Report ProjectUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- PresentationUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Assignment 2Uploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Module ImprovementUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Asignment 1.Isaac Newton.Uploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Presentation Application in CalculusUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- pbl 2003Uploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- ec essayUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Science, Pseudoscience and Non-scienceUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Slide AngiospermsUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Gymno p.point..Uploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- FULL BIOUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Presentation 2Uploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Exponent and RadicalUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- pbl bioUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Rancangan Pengajaran Harian 2Uploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- My JournalUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- Application of Gardener’s Theory of Multiple IntellegenceUploaded byazuitazoolkiflie
- huraian sukatan pelajaran physics frm5Uploaded byslokkro
- Sains - Physics Form 4Uploaded bySekolah Portal