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Optimism for the Next 40 Years of Human History

Presented By Ryan Allis, CEO of iContact

I¶ve got one big question

As a Species Are We Making Progress?

Well, let¶s look back at the last 40 years.

1970

1971

1972

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1974

1975

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1980

1981

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1983

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1991

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2008

2009

2010

2011

So much has happened since 1970!

How can we even begin to determine whether we¶re making progress as humans?

Well let¶s zoom out«

Let¶s look at 5 Human Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

1 Life Expectancy

2 Infant Mortality

3 Per Capita Income

4 % in Extreme Poverty

5 CO2 Emissions

Life Expectancy

17% Improvement Since 1970

Source: World Bank Development Indicators

Infant Mortality
Deaths Per 1000 Live Births Within 12 Mos.

57% Improvement Since 1970
Source: World Bank Development Indicators

Per Capita Income

1080% Improvement Since 1970
Source: World Bank Development Indicators, Inflation Adjusted

% Living in Extreme Poverty
Under $1.25 Per Day, PPP Adjusted, Inflation Adjusted 2005 Dollars

Series 1
60.00% 50.00%

40.00%

30.00%

20.00%

62% Improvement Since 1980
10.00% 0.00%
1981 1983 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2010

Source: World Bank Development Indicators 2011

1970-2010 Were The Greatest Four Decades in the History of Humankind

Except for«

CO2 Emissions

´Oh Crap!µ

105% Increase Since 1970
Source: World Bank Development Indicators

Temperature Anomalies on Land

Source: NASA

Our Parents¶ Report Card?
1970-2010

Human KPI
Life Expectancy Infant Mortality Per Capita Income % in Extreme Poverty CO2 Emissions

Delta
17% Better 57% Better 1080% Better 62% Better 105% Increase

Letter Grade

A A A+ B F

So What Will The Next 40 Years of Human History Bring?

Global Population Will Rise

9 Billion by 2050

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

Global Energy Demand Will Double

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

Fossil Fuel Usage Will Peak, Then Decline

As We Turn to More Sustainable Sources

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

And Solar & Wind Power Will Reach Price Parity

Why I¶m Optimistic

Internet Access Will Become Ubiquitous

Source: World Bank Development Indicators

As Broadband Access Goes from 10% to 85%

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

Smart Phone Access Will Become Ubiquitous

Mobile phone subscriptions per 100 people

Source: World Bank Development Indicators

We Live Longer

The average human being gets 10% more life!

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

We See An End to Extreme Poverty
60.00%

Under $1.25 Per Day, PPP Adjusted, Inflation Adjusted 2005 Dollars

50.00%

40.00%

30.00%

20.00%

10.00%

0.00%
1981 1983 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023 2026 2029

Source: World Bank Development Indicators, 2011-2029 projected

We Become More Educated

% of Population With Secondary Schooling Up 87%

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

Women Globally Go To College in Droves

% of Women With a College Education Up 245% % of Men With a College Education Up 145%

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

We Become More Urban

% Living in Cities

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

We Get Wealthier

Inflation-Adjusted Per Capita Income More than Doubles

Source: Pardee Center for International Futures

We Will See Major Innovations
‡ Nanotechnology ‡ 3D Printing ‡ Individualized Genome Sequencing ‡ Artificial Intelligence ‡ Private Space Travel

Governments Will Have to Adapt
‡ An increase in government transparency ‡ An increase in visibly-tracked government metrics ‡ Stronger property rights ‡ Easier to start a business ‡ The remaining authoritarian regimes will be overthrown

We Will See Major Geopolitical Changes
‡ China will have the world s largest GDP ‡ India will become the world s most populous nation ‡ Africa s population passes China/India around 2025 ‡ With a population of 2 billion by 2050, Africa becomes an economic powerhouse

Africa Becomes ´A Land of Opportunityµ

May 10, 2000

Dec 3, 2011

Generation Y Will Be Leading the Next 40 Years
2011-2050

That¶s Right, We¶re in Charge Now

So What·s Different About Gen Y?

1

We are deeply aware of social issues.

So What·s Different About Gen Y?

2

We are deeply aware of the need for a sustainable environment.

So What·s Different About Gen Y?

3

We see business and entrepreneurship as tools to make a scalable positive change in the world.

So What·s Different About Gen Y?

4

We are used to a faster pace of change and are impatient with the status quo. We are innovators.

So What·s Different About Gen Y?

5

We are connected through technology like never before.

So What·s Different About Gen Y?

6

We now have the tools to hold corrupt leaders accountable via internet-enabled mobile phones and create enough momentum to topple these bad leaders.

How will you make a difference in the world?

2011-2050
It Will Be An Amazing Next 40 Years of Human History!

Final Words«

As we see all the myopic scare-mongering headlines, keep things in long-term perspective.

And work hard as a committed and caring leader toward creating a sustainable world.

A world in which every human being has access to basic human needs.

A world in which we can actually end extreme poverty in our lifetime.

A world in which we can create economic growth sustainably.

It¶s time to show our parents what we can do.

Thank you!
@ryanallis ryanallis@icontact.com