Pulse Asia’s November 2012
Ulat ng Bayan
Survey:Media Release on Filipinos’ Senatorial Preferencesfor the May 2013 Elections08 February 2013Senators Loren Legarda and Chiz Escudero maintain their lead in thesenatorial race; only 34% of Filipino registered voters have a completesenatorial line-up for the May 2013 elections
Of the 33 candidates vying for a seat in the Senate, 12 have a statisticalchance of winning if the May 2013 elections were held during the survey period.Virtually all of the probable winners are either former or current members ofCongress. Two probable winners are common candidates of the coalition led bythe Liberal Party (LP) and the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) while the restof the list is evenly split with both coalitions accounting for five other probablewinners each.Two senators seeking re-election – Senator Loren Legarda (58.0%) andSenator Chiz Escudero (54.3%) continue to lead the senatorial race, sharing 1stand 2nd places. Meanwhile Senator Alan Peter Cayetano lands in 3rd place with48.9% of registered voters supporting his re-election while Ms Nancy Binay(43.6%) and San Juan City Representative JV Ejercito Estrada (43.5%) share 4th to9th places. Ranked 4th to 12th are Senator Antonio Trillanes IV (41.1%), SenatorAquilino Pimentel (40.7%), Cagayan Representative Juan Ponce Enrile, Jr. (40.4%)and former Las Piñas Representative Cynthia Villar (39.1%). Completing the listof probable winners are three candidates who share 6th to 12th places – formerSenator Migz Zubiri (37.6%), Aurora Province Representative Edgardo Angara(37.1%), and Senator Gringo Honasan (36.8%).
(Please refer to Table 1.)
With less than four months to go before the May 2013 elections, onlyabout a third of the Filipino electorate has a complete senatorial slate (34%) while8.6% does not express support for any of those running for senator. Filipinoregistered voters are naming a mean of eight and a median of eight (out of amaximum of 12) of their preferred candidates for senator. Across regions andsocio-economic classes, mean figures range from five in Region 2 to 10 in Region12. A median figure of eight is recorded in most of these sub-groupings. OnlyRegion 12 has more than half of its adult population (62%) already naming 12senatorial candidates they favor for the May 2013 elections.
(Please refer to Tables 2and 3.)