MEDIARELEASE

(February 8, 2013)

FROM:

Prof. Ronald D. Holmes President Pulse Asia, Inc.

RE:

Pulse Asias January 2013 Nationwide Survey on Filipinos Senatorial Preferences for the May 2013 Elections

Pulse Asia is pleased to share with you some findings on Filipinos Senatorial Preferences for the May 2013 Elections from the January 2013 Pre-Election national survey. We request you to assist us in informing the public by disseminating this information. The survey fieldwork was conducted from January 19 to 30, 2013 using face-toface interviews. The key developments that preoccupied Filipinos in January 2013 include the following: (1) the alleged misuse of Senate funds and the subsequent affirmation of support for the leadership of Senate President Enrile; (2) several issuances from and activities of the COMELEC in connection with the gun ban, release of official list of candidates for national and local posts, testing of the PCOS machine, start of ballot printing, air time and campaign advertisement ruling; (3) the investigation of the alleged shoot out in Atimonan, Quezon involving suspected jueteng operator Victor Vic Siman; (4) increasing number of reports on criminality such as the jewelry store robbery in SM Megamall and the slay of an Isabela town mayor in QC; (5) the passage of the Human Rights Victims Reparation and Recognition Act of 2013 in Congress; (6) the Philippines filing of a case in a United Nations (UN) Arbitral Tribunal in connection with the territorial dispute with China; (7) the arrest in Sabah and botched deportation back to the Philippines of Aman Group founder Manuel Amalilio; (8) the damage

inflicted by a US Naval vessel to 1,000 square meters of coral in the Tubbataha reef; (9) the continuing issue arising from the suspension of Cebu Governor Gwen Garcia; (10) the failure of the House of Representatives to open floor debates on their version of the FOI bill; (11) President Benigno S. Aquinos delivery of the keynote address on the fight against corruption at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland; (12) the oathtaking of US President Barack Obama and the confirmation hearing of Senator John F. Kerry as the next US Secretary of State; and (13) in the economic front, continuous increase in Stock Market Index; the record-breaking rallies in the Philippine Stock Exchange Index (PSEi) as it continue to climb and the attainment of the target inflation trend for the year 2012 (3.2%) Based on a multistage probability sample of 1,800 registered voters 18 years old and above, Pulse Asias nationwide survey has a 2% error margin at the 95% confidence level. Subnational estimates for the geographic areas covered in the survey have the following error margins at 95% confidence level: 7% for Metro Manila, 3% for the rest of Luzon and 5% for each of Visayas and Mindanao. (Those interested in further technical details concerning the surveys questionnaires and sampling design may request Pulse Asia in writing for fuller details, including copies of the pre-tested questions actually used.) Pulse Asias pool of academic fellows takes full responsibility for the design and conduct of the survey, as well as for analyses it makes based on the survey data. In keeping with our academic nature, no religious, political, economic, or partisan group influenced any of these processes. Pulse Asia undertakes pre-election surveys on its own without any party singularly commissioning the research effort. For any clarification or questions, kindly contact Prof. Ronald D. Holmes, Pulse Asia President at 09189335497 or Dr. Ana Maria Tabunda, Pulse Asia Chief Research Fellow at 09189436816.

Pulse Asias November 2012 Ulat ng Bayan Survey: Media Release on Filipinos Senatorial Preferences for the May 2013 Elections 08 February 2013 Senators Loren Legarda and Chiz Escudero maintain their lead in the senatorial race; only 34% of Filipino registered voters have a complete senatorial line-up for the May 2013 elections Of the 33 candidates vying for a seat in the Senate, 12 have a statistical chance of winning if the May 2013 elections were held during the survey period. Virtually all of the probable winners are either former or current members of Congress. Two probable winners are common candidates of the coalition led by the Liberal Party (LP) and the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) while the rest of the list is evenly split with both coalitions accounting for five other probable winners each. Two senators seeking re-election Senator Loren Legarda (58.0%) and Senator Chiz Escudero (54.3%) continue to lead the senatorial race, sharing 1st and 2nd places. Meanwhile Senator Alan Peter Cayetano lands in 3rd place with 48.9% of registered voters supporting his re-election while Ms Nancy Binay (43.6%) and San Juan City Representative JV Ejercito Estrada (43.5%) share 4th to 9th places. Ranked 4th to 12th are Senator Antonio Trillanes IV (41.1%), Senator Aquilino Pimentel (40.7%), Cagayan Representative Juan Ponce Enrile, Jr. (40.4%) and former Las Pias Representative Cynthia Villar (39.1%). Completing the list of probable winners are three candidates who share 6th to 12th places former Senator Migz Zubiri (37.6%), Aurora Province Representative Edgardo Angara (37.1%), and Senator Gringo Honasan (36.8%). (Please refer to Table 1.) With less than four months to go before the May 2013 elections, only about a third of the Filipino electorate has a complete senatorial slate (34%) while 8.6% does not express support for any of those running for senator. Filipino registered voters are naming a mean of eight and a median of eight (out of a maximum of 12) of their preferred candidates for senator. Across regions and socio-economic classes, mean figures range from five in Region 2 to 10 in Region 12. A median figure of eight is recorded in most of these sub-groupings. Only Region 12 has more than half of its adult population (62%) already naming 12 senatorial candidates they favor for the May 2013 elections. (Please refer to Tables 2 and 3.)

Table 1 2013 ELECTIONS: SENATORIAL PREFERENCES

January 19 - 30, 2013 / Philippines (Multiple Response, up to 12 names allowed)

Base: Registered Voters, 100%

Aware
LEGARDA, LOREN NPC ESCUDERO CHIZ CAYETANO ALAN PETER NP BINAY NANCY, UNA EJERCITO ESTRADA JV (UNA) TRILLANES, ANTONIO IV LP-NP PIMENTEL, AQUILINO KOKO ENRILE, JUAN PONCE Jr. NPC VILLAR CYNTHIA HANEPBUHAY NP ZUBIRI, MIGZ (UNA) ANGARA, EDGARDO SONNY LDP HONASAN GRINGO UNA AQUINO, BENIGNO BAM, LP POE GRACE GORDON DICK, UNA MADRIGAL, JAMBY A. S. (LP) MAGSAYSAY, RAMON JUN, JR. LP HONTIVEROS, RISA, AKBAYAN MACEDA MANONG ERNIE UNA COJUANGCO TINGTING UNA MAGSAYSAY, MITOS UNA HAGEDORN, ED (IND.) VILLANUEVA BRO. EDDIE (BP) CASIO, TEDDY, MAKABAYAN ALCANTARA SAMSON S. DAVID, LITO ANG KAPATIRAN PARTY MONTAO MON DELOSREYES JC KAPATIRAN PARTY SEERES, CHRISTIAN (DPP) PENSON, RICARDO DICK BELGICA, GRECO, RP-DPP FALCONE, BAL DPP LLASOS MARWIL ANG KAPATIRAN None / Refused / Undecided 97 96 93 88 94 90 91 93 93 93 89 95 78 81 88 90 79 71 82 68 58 58 85 44 17 17 20 22 16 15 13 12 9 ---

Voting For
58.0 54.3 48.9 43.6 43.5 41.1 40.7 40.4 39.1 37.6 37.1 36.8 31.4 30.9 30.0 26.8 23.8 17.5 15.5 11.8 9.9 9.3 9.2 5.7 3.8 3.6 3.6 2.8 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.5 8.6

Rank
1-2 1-2 3 4-9 4-9 4-12 4-12 4-12 4-12 6-12 6-12 6-12 13-15 13-16 13-16 14-17 16-17 18-19 18-19 20-23 20-23 20-23 20-23 24-25 24-28 25-28 25-28 25-28 29-33 29-33 29-33 29-33 29-33 ---

Note: The names on this list are based on what the candidates wrote on their Certificate of Candidacy or COC under Names/Words to appear on the Ballot that they submitted to COMELEC. Q8. Kung ang nasabing halalan sa 2013 ay isasagawa ngayon, sinu-sino sa mga sumusunod na kandidato sa pagka-senador ang inyong iboboto? Puwede kayong pumili ng hanggang 12 pangalan. (SHOWLIST) Q9. May nabasa, narinig o napanood na ba kayo na kahit na ano tungkol sa mga sumusunod kahit na kailan o hindi pa? LEGEND: - ADOPTED BY BOTH LP-LED & UNA COALITIONS - LP-LED COALITION - UNA COALITION - MAKABAYANG KOALISYON NG MAMAMAYAN - SOCIAL JUSTICE SOCIETY - ANG KAPATIRAN PARTY
- DEMOCRATIC PARTY OF THE PHILIPPINES

- BANGON PILIPINAS

Table 2 2013 ELECTIONS: SENATORIAL FILL-UP RATES

January 19 - 30, 2013 / Philippines
(Estimated
Demographic variables

Population Percentage)

Base: Registered Voters, 100%

Mean 8 9 7 7 7 7 5 8 7 7 9 7 6 7 6 6 9 9 9 10 8 8 9 7 8 8 8 8 7 8 8 7 8 Median 8 10 8 8 7 8 4 11 8 8 10 7 7 8 6 5 10 11 9 12 9 9 10 6 10 10 9 8 8 9 9 8 8

Total Philippines NCR Balance Luzon Northern/Central Luzon CAR Region 1 Region 2 Region 3 Southern Luzon Region 4A Region 4B Region 5 Visayas Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Mindanao Western Mindanao Region 9 Region 12 ARMM Northern Mindanao Region 10 Region 13 / CARAGA Southern Mindanao Region 11 Total Urban Total Rural Class ABC TOTAL D
D1 (owns res'l lot) D2 (does not own res'l lot)

(100%) (12%) (45%) (22%) (2%) (6%) (4%) (11%) (23%) (14%) (3%) (6%) (21%) (8%) (8%) (5%) (23%) (10%) (4%) (4%) (2%) (8%) (5%) (3%) (5%) (5%) (48%) (52%) (8%) (66%) (46%) (20%) (27%)

Table 3 2013 ELECTIONS: NUMBER OF SENATORIAL PREFERENCES

January 19 - 30, 2013 / Philippines
(Estimated Population Percentage)
(100%) (12%) (45%) (22%) (2%) (6%) (4%) (11%) (23%) (14%) (3%) (6%) (21%) (8%) (8%) (5%) (23%) (10%) (4%) (4%) (2%) (8%) (5%) (3%) (5%) (5%)

Base: Registered Voters, 100%

0 9 7 10 11 12 9 21 8 10 11 7 7 9 7 11 11 5 3 0 4 6 5 5 6 11 11 1 4 2 5 5 6 4 11 3 4 4 5 4 5 6 3 5 2 1 1 1 2 3 1 7 2 2 2 5 4 5 3 0 3 5 4 7 7 3 10 9 10 7 11 2 1 0 2 2 3 1 6 2 2 3 5 4 5 5 12 2 10 4 5 5 3 6 7 2 10 9 3 2 2 1 2 4 3 8 3 3 4 5 2 5 5 8 8 7 3 6 6 3 6 6 1 8 9 4 4 3 4 4 5 3 8 5 5 5 5 3 6 7 5 11 4 6 4 5 0 5 6 5 7 6 5 4 1 2 11 7 5 10 3 3 6 6 6 6 5 3 8 7 4 6 5 10 5 7 1 10 11 7 9 9 6 14 4 4 6 7 7 7 6 4 5 5 8 5 5 5 6 5 3 10 8 9 5 9 7 8 13 5 2 8 6 12 6 6 8 6 7 5 5 3 4 6 5 5 4 7 5 9 11 12 3 6 5 11 1 2 9 11 6 3 3 9 5 5 4 4 12 5 1 2 5 7 3 1 5 11 2 2 6 7 12 3 6 5 6 2 7 7 10 6 5 7 6 5 5 9 5 7 8 8 5 7 13 4 2 5 5 2 5 8 5 6 4 3 3 11 4 6 5 5 9 4 3 5 5 6 0 6 3 4 2 4 4 3 1 4 4 5 7 2 3 3 12 34 44 33 34 16 32 11 46 31 28 50 28 20 20 19 20 44 49 44 62 38 35 42 24 44 44

Demographic variables Total Philippines NCR Balance Luzon Northern/Central Luzon CAR Region 1 Region 2 Region 3 Southern Luzon Region 4A Region 4B Region 5 Visayas Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Mindanao Western Mindanao Region 9 Region 12 ARMM Northern Mindanao Region 10 Region 13 / CARAGA Southern Mindanao Region 11