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MICHIGAN STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY

WDIV/DETROIT NEWS
600 SAMPLE

JUNE 2, 2019

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page Topic

2 Methodology

3 Key Findings

17 Aggregate Survey Results

29 Cross-tabulation Report

METHODOLOGY

The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a Michigan statewide survey of November 2020 likely general election voters. The 600
sample, live operator telephone survey was conducted on May 28-30, 2019 and has a margin of error of +/-4.0 percent with a 95
percent level of confidence. 65.0 percent of respondents were contacted via landline telephone. 35.0 percent of respondents were
contacted via cell phone telephone. This survey was commissioned by the Glengariff Group, Inc. as part of our public polling
program and provided to WDIV Local 4 and the Detroit News.

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KEY FINDINGS

Historic Motivation to Vote Continues Across the Political Spectrum at 9.5

 The motivation to vote in the 2020 election among Michigan voters is at 9.5 – consistent with 9.6 in our January 2019 survey.

 No demographic group tested comes in at a motivation to vote below 9.0.

 The chart below compares motivation to vote by party affiliation back to October 2012. The motivation to vote looks very
similar to the October 2018 motivation to vote.

Party Affiliation Oct 2012 Oct 2014 Oct 2016 Oct 2018 June 2019
Strong Democratic 8.5 7.0 6.7 9.6 9.6
Lean Democratic 7.4 6.4 4.7 9.5 9.3
Independent 6.6 5.9 5.6 8.9 9.1
Lean Republican 8.3 6.2 6.2 9.2 9.5
Strong Republican 8.4 6.9 6.5 9.5 9.6

Whitmer Job Approval Soars Above 50 percent -- Older Voters Approve at 60.7 percent

 Governor Whitmer’s name identification is 39.0 percent favorable to 26.5 percent unfavorable, 32.2 percent of voters have
heard of her but have no opinion of her. While her favorable has remained statistically identical to the January 2019 survey,
her unfavorable has increased by six points – primarily among Republican voters.

 But Governor Whitmer’s job approval has increased substantially to 50.7 percent approve and 23.7 percent disapprove. 23.3
percent of voters neither approve, nor disapprove of her performance. Only Strong Republican voters disapprove of
Governor Whitmer’s job performance. In January 2019, Governor Whitmer started with job approval of 38 percent approve
to 13 percent disapprove. Her job approval has grown by nearly thirteen points, with a better than 2-1 margin of approval to
disapproval.

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Party Affiliation Approve Disapprove
Strong Democratic 73.1 percent 6.9 percent
Lean Democratic 64.1 percent 3.8 percent
Independent 49.6 percent 26.5 percent
Lean Republican 34.9 percent 28.6 percent
Strong Republican 24.7 percent 49.4 percent

 Voters in Out State approve of the Governor by a margin of 53.5 percent-27.6 percent. Voters in Metro Detroit approve of the
Governor by a margin of 48.9 percent-19.9 percent. Voters over the age of 65 give Governor Whitmer a job approval of 60.7
percent-23.7 percent.

Trump Numbers Stuck in Cement For Two Years

 By a margin of 36.7 percent-53.7 percent, Michigan voters have an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump. President
Trump’s favorable/unfavorable has been stuck in cement dating back to January 2018.

Survey Period Favorable Unfavorable


January 2018 34.8 percent 55.8 percent
September 2018 37.0 percent 56.6 percent
Late October 2018 37.7 percent 56.5 percent
January 2019 37.5 percent 53.3 percent
June 2019 36.8 percent 53.7 percent

 Much like his favorable/unfavorable, President Trump’s job approval has been stuck in cement for the past two years with 44.3
percent approving of his performance and 52.0 percent disapproving of his performance.

 While 26.8 percent of voters strongly approve of President Trump’s performance, 42.7 percent of voters strongly disapprove of
President Trump’s performance.

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Survey Period Trump Approve Trump Disapprove Strong Disapproval of Trump
January 2018 39.5 percent 54.3 percent 47.3 percent
September 2018 44.3 percent 51.8 percent 44.2 percent
Early Oct 2018 43.6 percent 52.2 percent 44.2 percent
Late Oct 2018 44.0 percent 51.3 percent 45.0 percent
January 2019 43.5 percent 52.3 percent 44.0 percent
June 2019 44.3 percent 52.0 percent 42.7 percent

 White voters are narrowly supportive of President Trump’s performance by a margin of 50.6 percent-46.0 percent. Black
voters strongly disapprove of President Trump’s performance 8.2 percent-87.0 percent.

 Men approve of President Trump’s performance by a margin of 50.0 percent - 45.8 percent. Women disapprove of President
Trump’s performance by a margin of 39.1 percent-57.7 percent.

 The chart below highlights the extreme disapproval of President Trump by women in the Metro Detroit region:

Region by Gender Trump Approve Trump Disapprove Strong Disapprove of Trump


Out State Men 55.0 percent 41.4 percent 32.1 percent
Metro Men 45.3 percent 50.0 percent 41.2 percent
Out State Women 43.1 percent 53.6 percent 44.4 percent
Metro Women 35.2 percent 61.6 percent 54.1 percent

 President Trump’s highest levels of approval continue to be among men without a college education culminating in a 63.4
percent job approval rating among men with some post high school education but not a college degree. Women, regardless of
education, continue to strongly disapprove of his job performance.

Gender by Education Trump Approve Trump Disapprove Strong Disapprove of Trump


Men – High School 50.0 percent 43.7 percent 32.8 percent
Men – Some Post 63.4 percent 31.0 percent 25.4 percent
Men - College 44.6 percent 52.6 percent 43.3 percent
Women – High School 27.5 percent 66.2 percent 58.1 percent

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Women – Some Post 40.8 percent 57.0 percent 45.2 percent
Women – College 42.6 percent 54.8 percent 49.0 percent
 White college educated women continue to disapprove of the President’s performance by a margin of 47.6 percent-50.0
percent, with 43.7 percent strongly disapproving of his performance while only 19.0 percent strongly approve of his
performance.

But the perception of President Trump’s performance continues to be driven by where voters get their news. The chart below
compares President Trump’s job approval by the primary source of news for voters.

Source of News Trump Approve Trump Disapprove


CNN/MSNBC 13.7 percent 82.5 percent 72.5 percent Strongly Disapprove
National Networks 35.7 percent 64.3 percent 59.5 percent Strongly Disapprove
Social Media 37.8 percent 54.0 percent 43.2 percent Strongly Disapprove
Local TV News 39.6 percent 56.7 percent 48.5 percent Strongly Disapprove
Newspapers 45.0 percent 53.6 percent 43.7 percent Strongly Disapprove
Radio 64.0 percent 32.0 percent 42.0 percent Strongly Approve
Fox News 84.4 percent 14.3 percent 70.1 percent Strongly Approve

 While outstate men approve of President Trump’s performance 55 percent-41.4 percent, Metro Detroit men disapprove of his
performance 45.3 percent-50.0 percent. The chart below shows that President Trump’s approval continues to be driven by
men without a college degree.

Trump Job Approval/ Men Approve Disapprove


High School Diploma 50.0 percent 43.7 percent
Some Post High School 63.4 percent 31.0 percent
College Degree 44.6 percent 52.6 percent

 By comparison, women disapprove of President Trump’s performance regardless of region of the state or education status.

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Trump Re-Elect Largely Unchanged – Independents Will Vote for Someone New by 2-1 margin

 Voters were asked if they would vote to re-elect President Trump or vote for someone else. 51.2 percent of voters would vote
to elect someone new with 44.2 percent of voters DEFINITELY VOTING FOR SOMEONE NEW. 35.7 percent of voters
would vote to re-elect President Trump with 27.0 percent DEFINITELY VOTING TO RE-ELECT PRESIDENT TRUMP.

 Voters that would re-elect President Trump have increased by 5.1 percent from January 2019. Those that would vote for
someone new has remained statistically unchanged since January 2019.

 Among Independent voters, 23.9 percent would vote to re-elect President Trump while 50.3 percent of Independent voters
would elect someone new. Only 13.3 percent of Independents would definitely vote to re-elect the President while 34.4
percent would definitely vote to replace him.

 Outstate men would vote to re-elect President Trump by a margin of 47.8 percent-37.8 percent, while Metro men would vote
for someone new by a margin of 34.5 percent-51.4 percent. As with job approval, President Trump’s re-elect number is being
supported by men without a college education.

Trump Re-Elect: Men Re-Elect Someone New


High School Diploma 46.9 percent 46.9 percent
Some Post High School 43.7 percent 38.1 percent
College Degree 36.7 percent 48.3 percent

Generic Ballot Test Remains Consistent With 2018 Level

 Voters were asked if the election was held today would they vote for the Democratic or the Republican candidate for State
House. By a margin of 43.5 percent-34.7 percent, voters said they would vote for the Democratic candidate – an 8.8 percent-
point lead for the generic Democratic candidate. This figure remains consistent with the Democratic margin heading into the
2018 elections.

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Survey Period Democratic Republican Margin
January 2018 41.8 percent 31.0 percent +10.8 percent
September 2018 46.1 percent 33.9 percent +12.2 percent
Early October 2018 47.2 percent 34.5 percent +12.7 percent
Late October 2018 48.5 percent 38.0 percent +10.5 percent
June 2019 43.5 percent 34.7 percent +8.8 percent

Are You Better Off Than You Were Four Years Ago?

 Voters were asked if they were better off, worse off or about the same as four years ago.

 37.7 percent of voters said they were better off


 36.2 percent of voters said they were the same
 24.7 percent of voters said they were worse off.

 But it is Republican voters that are driving the better off numbers with more than 61 percent saying they are better off today.
Among the important Independent voting bloc, 42.5 percent said they are the same, 36.3 percent say they are better off and
19.5 percent say they are worse.

Party Affiliation Better Worse Same


Strong Democratic 13.7 percent 45.4 percent 39.5 percent
Lean Democratic 15.1 percent 35.8 percent 49.1 percent
Independent 36.3 percent 19.5 percent 42.5 percent
Lean Republican 61.9 percent 3.2 percent 33.3 percent
Strong Republican 69.5 percent 3.9 percent 25.3 percent

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Biden the Only Presidential Contender From Either Party with Favorable Name Identification

 Among the top five Democratic contenders polling nationally above 5 percent, Joe Biden is the only candidate with favorable
name identification breaking 46.0 percent favorable to 37.2 percent unfavorable.

Candidate Total Name ID Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Donald Trump 99.5 percent 36.8 percent 53.7 percent 9.0 percent
0.0 percent
Joe Biden 98.8 percent 46.0 percent 37.2 percent 15.7 percent
1.0 percent
Bernie Sanders 98.6 percent 40.3 percent 44.5 percent 13.8 percent
1.2 percent
Elizabeth Warren 80.5 percent 25.2 percent 39.0 percent 16.3 percent
19.2 percent
Kamala Harris 64.7 percent 24.0 percent 28.7 percent 12.0 percent
34.0 percent
Pete Buttigieg 56.0 percent 19.2 percent 21.8 percent 15.0 percent
42.7 percent

 The chart below looks at the five Democratic candidate’s favorable ratings among Strong Democratic voters. While all five
candidates have low unfavorable ratings among Strong Democratic voters, Joe Biden has 80 percent approval with the lowest
unfavorable ratings among the five candidates.

Strong Democratic Voters


Candidate Total Name ID Favorable Unfavorable
Joe Biden 99.0 percent 80.0 percent 8.3 percent
Bernie Sanders 98.6 percent 65.9 percent 17.1 percent
Elizabeth Warren 81.9 percent 50.2 percent 10.7 percent
Kamala Harris 68.8 percent 48.3 percent 6.8 percent

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Pete Buttigieg 63.9 percent 38.5 percent 8.3 percent

 The chart below looks at the five Democratic candidates’ favorable ratings among Independent voters. Only Joe Biden has
name identification breaking favorably among Independent voters. Elizabeth Warren, in particular, appears to have a
favorability problem with Independent voters.

Independent Voters
Candidate Total Name ID Favorable Unfavorable Difference
Joe Biden 99.0 percent 44.2 percent 32.7 percent +11.5 percent
Bernie Sanders 97.3 percent 36.3 percent 44.2 percent -7.9 percent

Elizabeth Warren 75.1 percent 15.9 percent 34.5 percent -18.6 percent
Kalama Harris 50.5 percent 17.7 percent 19.5 percent -2.2 percent
Pete Buttigieg 37.1 percent 11.5 percent 15.0 percent -3.5 percent

All Five Potential Democratic Nominees Lead Trump: Biden and Sanders Hold Twelve Point Leads

 All five of the potential Democratic nominees tested currently lead the President. President Trump falls in a very narrow two-
point range against all five candidates from 41.3 percent to 43.5 percent. Of particular note is that less than 5 percent of voters
remain undecided in matchups with Sanders or Biden whose name identification have already ‘topped out’ at near 100 percent.

Trump 41.4 percent Biden Lead +12.1 percent


Biden 53.3 percent
Undecided 4.3 percent

Trump 41.3 percent Sanders Lead +12.1 percent


Sanders 53.2 percent
Undecided 5.0 percent

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Trump 41.3 percent Buttigieg Lead +5.5 percent
Buttigieg 46.8 percent
Undecided 10.8 percent

Trump 42.8 percent Warren Lead +4.5 percent


Warren 47.3 percent
Undecided 8.8 percent

Trump 43.5 percent Harris Lead +3.3 percent


Harris 46.8 percent
Undecided 9.0 percent
 The chart below compares each race by gender. Biden does slightly better among female voters than Sanders. But Sanders
does slightly better among male voters than Biden.

 The overall difference in the margins among the five candidates is that Biden and Sanders are each doing better among male
voters than Harris, Warren and Buttigieg.

Women
Trump 35.6 percent Biden 60.3 percent +24.7 percent Biden
Trump 35.6 percent Sanders 57.0 percent +21.4 percent Sanders
Trump 34.3 percent Buttigieg 52.9 percent +18.6 percent Buttigieg
Trump 35.2 percent Warren 53.2 percent +18.0 percent Warren
Trump 35.5 percent Harris 53.6 percent +18.1 percent Harris

Men
Trump 48.6 percent Biden 45.8 percent +2.8 percent Trump
Trump 47.6 percent Sanders 49.0 percent +2.4 percent Sanders
Trump 50.0 percent Buttigieg 40.3 percent +9.7 percent Trump
Trump 51.0 percent Warren 41.0 percent +10.0 percent Trump
Trump 52.1 percent Harris 39.6 percent +12.5 percent Trump

 Sanders and Biden are equally strongly among Independent voters. Buttigieg and Warren are statistically even among
Independent voters. Harris trails Trump among Independent voters by eight points.

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Independents
Trump 35.3 percent Biden 49.5 percent +14.2 percent Biden
Trump 36.2 percent Sanders 53.7 percent +17.5 percent Sanders
Trump 34.5 percent Buttigieg 36.3 percent +1.8 percent Buttigieg
Trump 39.9 percent Warren 37.2 percent -2.7 percent Warren
Trump 42.5 percent Harris 34.5 percent -8.0 percent Harris

Biden and Sanders Bring Minor, But Important, Differences In Strength

 Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders both lead Donald Trump by 12.1 percent -- statistically unchanged from January 2019. But the
two candidates get to the same numbers in slightly different, but important, ways.

 Joe Biden has a 24.7 percent lead among women while Bernie Sanders has a 21.4 percent lead among women. Biden runs
better than Sanders among women with a high school degree and women with a college degree.

Education/ women Trump Biden Trump Sanders


High School 27.4 percent 69.4 percent Biden +42.0 percent 29.0 percent 62.9 percent
Sanders +33.9 percent
Some Post 39.8 percent 57.0 percent Biden +17.2 percent 37.6 percent 57.0 percent
Sanders +19.4 percent
College 34.2 percent 58.8 percent Biden +24.6 percent 34.8 percent 54.8 percent
Sanders +20.0 percent

 Among college educated white women, Biden leads Trump 52.3 percent-39.7 percent -- a lead of 12.6 percent. Sanders leads
among college educated white women 49.2 percent-42.1 percent -- a lead of 7.1 percent.

 While Biden loses to Trump among men by 2.8 percent, Sanders leads among men by 2.4 percent. The chart below compares
men by educational levels in their support for Biden and Sanders. Sanders does better than Biden among men without a
college degree. Biden does better with men with a college degree.

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Education/ Men Trump Biden Trump Sanders
High School 53.2 percent 43.8 percent Trump +9.6 45.4 percent 53.2 percent
Sanders +9.8 percent
Some Post 59.2 percent 32.4 percent Trump +16.8 percent 53.5 percent 45.0 percent
Trump +8.5 percent
College 42.7 percent 52.6 percent Biden +9.9 percent 46.6 percent 48.7 percent
Sanders +2.1 percent

The Amash Factor: Amash Would Hurt Democratic Candidate with Independent Voters

 In a hypothetical three-way race, respondents were asked who they would support between Donald Trump, Joe Biden and
Justin Amash as the hypothetical Libertarian candidate. In this matchup, Biden leads by 6.7 percent -- down from a lead of
12.1 percent.

Joe Biden 45.2 percent


Donald Trump 38.5 percent
Justin Amash 9.7 percent
Undecided 6.0 percent

 Amash appears to hurt Biden among Independent voters where the race becomes tied:

Without Amash With Amash


Joe Biden 49.5 percent Donald Trump 33.6 percent
Donald Trump 36.3 percent Joe Biden 32.8 percent

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Undecided 12.4 percent Justin Amash 16.0 percent
Undecided 15.9 percent

Voters Split on Obstruction but Strongly Opposed to Impeachment Hearings

 Michigan voters are narrowly split with 43.0 percent believing Donald Trump did obstruct justice while 41.5 percent believe
he did not obstruct justice. 15.0 percent of voters do not know.

 Men and women are diametrically opposed on the obstruction of justice issue:

o Men believe he did not obstruct justice by a margin of 39.2 percent-46.5 percent.
o Women believe he did obstruct justice by a margin of 46.5 percent-36.9 percent.
o Independent voters are split on the issue at 36.3 percent obstructed vs. 40.7 percent no obstruction, with 21.2 percent
undecided.

 But by a margin of 39.6 percent-52.8 percent, Michigan voters oppose the House of Representatives beginning impeachment
hearings against President Trump.

o While 27.3 percent of voters strongly support beginning impeachment hearings, 41.0 percent of voters strongly oppose
hearings.
o By a margin of 31.9 percent-59.3 percent, Independent voters oppose beginning impeachment hearings.

Voters Say Trump China Policy Bad for Michigan By Nearly 2-1 Margin

 By a margin of 25.8 percent-46.8 percent, Michigan voters strongly believe President Trump’s trade strategy with China is bad
for Michigan. 9.8 percent of voters believe the policy is having no effect on Michigan. 17.3 percent of voters do not know.

o 46.8 percent of voters in out-state and 46.7 percent of voters in Metro Detroit say the policy is bad for Michigan.
o By a margin of 22.1 percent-44.2 percent, Independent voters say the policy is bad for Michigan.
o 54.5 percent of union households say the policy is bad for Michigan.

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o 51.5 percent of college educated voters believe the policy is bad for Michigan.

 The chart below compares how voters by party affiliation view the China trade policy.

Party Affiliation Good Bad No Effect


Strong Democratic 3.4 percent 77.6 percent 6.8 percent
Lean Democratic 7.5 percent 67.9 percent 5.7 percent
Independent 22.1 percent 44.2 percent 12.4 percent
Lean Republican 55.6 percent 19.0 percent 9.5 percent
Strong Republican 53.2 percent 10.4 percent 13.6 percent

Michigan Voters Strongly Disagree With Proposed Abortion Law

 Voters were asked if they support or oppose legislation being considered in the State Legislature that would ban a commonly
used abortion procedure in Michigan during the second trimester and charge doctors who use the procedure with a two-year
criminal sentence. By a margin of 30.7 percent-57.7 percent, Michigan voters oppose the proposed law. 49.5 percent of
voters STRONGLY OPPOSE the proposed law.

 The chart below compares positions to the proposed law by party affiliation. Independent voters oppose the proposed law by
a margin of 27.5 percent-61.0 percent.

Party Affiliation Support Oppose


Strong Democratic 8.7 percent 82.9 percent
Lean Democratic 17.0 percent 77.3 percent
Independent 27.5 percent 61.0 percent
Lean Republican 45.4 percent 38.0 percent
Strong Republican 61.7 percent 23.3 percent

Conclusion

 The political dynamics in Michigan heading into 2020 appear to look identical to the dynamics that played out in the 2018
election.

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o Motivation to vote is the same, or slightly higher, than motivation to vote in late October of the 2018 election – and
drastically different to the record low motivation to vote that played out in the 2016 election. Voters across the
political spectrum appear prepared at record levels of motivation to vote in 2020.
o The generic ballot test appears to be consistent with the generic ballot test in the 2018 election.
o The intense female disapproval of President Trump – particularly among Metro Detroit women – remains consistent
with 2018. College educated disapproval of the President also remains consistent.
o President Trump’s name identification, job approval and re-elect appear to be unchanged over the past two years.
o Both Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders lead Donald Trump at this stage by 12.1 percent -- identical to the 12.3 percent lead
held in the final week of October 2018 by Gretchen Whitmer over Bill Schuette.
o At this early stage in the election, Michigan’s political dynamics appear to mirror those of 2018 and not 2016.

 President Trump’s Favorable/Unfavorable and Job Approval remains unchanged from what we have seen throughout his
tenure in office. Job approval remains at 44.2 percent-52.0 percent disapprove.

 35.7 percent of voters would vote to re-elect President Trump while 51.2 percent of voters would vote for someone new. 44.2
percent of Michigan voters say they will definitely vote for someone new. These low re-election numbers – well below 50
percent -- are a particularly important sign of trouble for any incumbent elected official.

 All five Democratic candidates we tested beat President Trump in a head to head matchup with both Bernie Sanders and Joe
Biden leading the field with 12.1 percent lead on Donald Trump – a consistent lead throughout 2019.

 Kamala Harris with 64.7 percent name identification and Pete Buttigieg with 56.0 percent name identification each have room
to grow with voter perceptions.

 Elizabeth Warren has 80.5 percent name identification, but appears to be viewed unfavorably by Independent voters.

 Michigan voters are split on their assessment of whether President Trump committed obstruction of justice. But by a margin
of 39.6 percent-52.8 percent, they strongly oppose beginning impeachment hearings. 59.3 percent of Independent voters
oppose impeachment hearings.

 By nearly a 2-1 margin, 46.8 percent of Michigan voters strongly believe that President Trump’s China trade strategy is bad for
Michigan compared to only 25.8 percent that believe it is good for Michigan.

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 By a 2-1 margin, 57.7 percent of Michigan voters oppose a proposed law that would prohibit a specific type of abortion
procedure in the second trimester and charge doctors who use the procedure with a two-year criminal sentence. Only 30.7
percent of voters support the proposed law. 23.7 percent strongly support the law while 49.5 percent strongly oppose the law.

MICHIGAN STATEWIDE SURVEY


JUNE 2019

Hello, my name is _________. I’m not selling anything. I’m doing a quick survey of voters’ attitudes in Michigan. It should take
approximately six minutes.

A. Are you registered to vote at the address I am calling?

1. Yes…..CONTINUE 100.0 percent (600)


2. No….TERMINATE

B. Next year in 2020, Michigan voters will go to the polls to vote in the Presidential election. Would you say are definitely going
to vote, probably going to vote, probably not going to vote, or definitely not going to vote?

1. Definitely going to vote….CONTINUE 90.8 percent (545)

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2. Probably going to vote….CONTINUE 9.2 percent (55)
3. Probably not going to vote….TERMINATE
4. Definitely not going to vote….TERMINATE

1. And could you tell me in what county you vote in?

1. UP/North 13.0 percent (78)


2. West 11.2 percent (67)
3. Southwest 8.3 percent (50)
4. Mid Michigan 8.7 percent (52)
5. East Central 7.7 percent (46)
6. Oakland 13.2 percent (79)
7. Macomb 8.5 percent (51)
8. Wayne 11.7 percent (70)
9. City of Detroit 6.7 percent (40)
10. Remainder of Detroit MSA 11.2 percent (67)

2. CODE:

1. Outstate 48.8 percent (293)


(UP/North, West, Southwest, Mid, East Central)
2. Metro Detroit 51.2 percent (307)
(Oakland, Macomb, Wayne, Detroit, Detroit MSA)

3. If the election for State House was held today, generally speaking would you say you would vote for the [ROTATE]
Democratic candidate or would you vote for the Republican candidate?

1. Democratic 43.5 percent (261)


2. Republican 34.7 percent (208)
3. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 21.2 percent (127)
4. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.7 percent (4)

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4. Compared to four years ago, would you say you are better off, worse off or about the same as you were four years ago?

1. Better off 37.7 percent (226)


2. Worse off 24.7 percent (148)
3. About the same 36.2 percent (217)
4. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.5 percent (9)

I am going to read you the names of several people you might have heard of. For each, please tell me if you have a favorable or
unfavorable impression of that person.

5. Donald Trump

1. Heard, favorable 36.8 percent (221)


2. Heard, unfavorable 53.7 percent (322)
3. Heard, no opinion 9.0 percent (54)
4. Never heard of 0.0 percent (0)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.5 percent (3)

6. Gretchen Whitmer

1. Heard, favorable 39.0 percent (234)


2. Heard, unfavorable 26.5 percent (159)
3. Heard, no opinion 27.7 percent (166)
4. Never heard of 6.3 percent (38)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.5 percent (3)

7. Joe Biden

1. Heard, favorable 46.0 percent (276)


2. Heard, unfavorable 37.2 percent (223)
3. Heard, no opinion 15.7 percent (94)
4. Never heard of 1.0 percent (6)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.2 percent (1)

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8. Kamala Harris

1. Heard, favorable 24.0 percent (144)


2. Heard, unfavorable 28.7 percent (172)
3. Heard, no opinion 12.0 percent (72)
4. Never heard of 34.0 percent (204)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.3 percent (8)

9. Bernie Sanders

1. Heard, favorable 40.3 percent (242)


2. Heard, unfavorable 44.5 percent (267)
3. Heard, no opinion 13.8 percent (83)
4. Never heard of 1.2 percent (7)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.2 percent (1)

10. Elizabeth Warren

1. Heard, favorable 25.2 percent (151)


2. Heard, unfavorable 39.0 percent (234)
3. Heard, no opinion 16.3 percent (98)
4. Never heard of 19.2 percent (115)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.3 percent (2)

11. Pete Buttigieg (BOOT-EDGE-EDGE)

1. Heard, favorable 19.2 percent (115)


2. Heard, unfavorable 21.8 percent (131)
3. Heard, no opinion 15.0 percent (90)
4. Never heard of 42.7 percent (256)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.3 percent (8)

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12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States? ASK: WOULD
THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

1. Strongly approve 26.8 percent (161)


2. Somewhat approve 17.5 percent (105)
3. Somewhat disapprove 8.7 percent (52)
4. Strongly disapprove 43.3 percent (260)
5. Neither approve, nor disapprove/ No Opinion…DO NOT OFFER 3.5 percent (21)
6. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.2 percent (1)

13. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Gretchen Whitmer as Governor of Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

1. Strongly approve 17.5 percent (105)


2. Somewhat approve 33.2 percent (199)
3. Somewhat disapprove 11.7 percent (70)
4. Strongly disapprove 12.0 percent (72)
5. Neither approve, nor disapprove/ No Opinion….DO NOT OFFER 23.3 percent (140)
6. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 2.3 percent (14)

14. Will you vote to re-elect Donald Trump as President, or will you vote for someone else to be President? IF RE-
ELECT/SOMEONE ELSE, ASK: WILL YOU DEFINITELY VOTE TO RE-ELECT/ELECT SOMEONE NEW OR WILL
YOU PROBABLY VOTE TO RE-ELECT/ELECT SOMEONE NEW FOR PRESIDENT?

1. Definitely vote to re-elect 27.0 percent (162)


2. Probably vote to re-elect 8.7 percent (52)

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3. Depends/ Depends who Dem Nominee Is…DO NOT OFFER 11.2 percent (67)
4. Probably vote to elect someone new 7.0 percent (42)
5. Definitely vote to elect someone new 44.2 percent (265)
6. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 2.0 percent (12)

Now I want you to think a moment about the Presidential election.

15. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Joe Biden was
the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU
LEAN?

1. Trump 38.2 percent (229)


2. Lean Trump 3.2 percent (19)
3. Biden 47.8 percent (287)
4. Lean Biden 5.5 percent (33)
5. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 4.3 percent (26)
6. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.0 percent (6)

16. If the election for President were held today and ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Kamala Harris
was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? ? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO
YOU LEAN?

1. Trump 40.5 percent (243)


2. Lean Trump 3.0 percent (18)
3. Harris 42.8 percent (257)
4. Lean Harris 4.0 percent (24)
5. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 9.0 percent (54)
6. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.7 percent (4)

17. If the election for President were held today and ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders
was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU
LEAN?

22
1. Trump 39.0 percent (234)
2. Lean Trump 2.3 percent (14)
3. Sanders 49.7 percent (298)
4. Lean Sanders 3.5 percent (21)
5. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 5.0 percent (30)
6. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.5 percent (3)

18. If the election for President were held today and ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Elizabeth
Warren was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? ? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY
DO YOU LEAN?

1. Trump 40.0 percent (240)


2. Lean Trump 2.8 percent (17)
3. Warren 42.8 percent (257)
4. Lean Warren 4.5 percent (27)
5. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 8.8 percent (53)
6. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.0 percent (6)
19. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Pete Buttigieg
(Boot-Edge-Edge) was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK:
WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?
1. Trump 37.5 percent (225)
2. Lean Trump 3.8 percent (23)
3. Buttigieg 40.8 percent (245)
4. Lean Buttigieg 6.0 percent (36)
5. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 10.8 percent (65)
6. Refused….DO NOT OFFER 1.0 percent (6)

20. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate, Joe Biden was the
Democratic candidate, and Justin Amash was the Libertarian candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T
KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?
1. Trump 35.2 percent (211)
2. Lean Trump 3.3 percent (20)
3. Biden 41.2 percent (247)

23
4. Lean Biden 4.0 percent (24)
5. Amash 7.7 percent (46)
6. Lean Amash 2.0 percent (12)
7. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 6.0 percent (36)
8. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.7 percent (4)

21. Do you think President Trump’s trade strategy with China is good for Michigan, bad for Michigan or is having no effect on
Michigan?

1. Good 25.8 percent (155)


2. Bad 46.8 percent (281)
3. No Effect 9.8 percent (59)
4. Don’t Know/ Not Sure….DO NOT OFFER 17.3 percent (104)
5. Refused….DO NOT OFFER 0.2 percent (1)

22. Do you think President Trump did or did not obstruct justice during the Mueller investigation?

1. Did obstruct justice 43.0 percent (258)


2. Did not obstruct justice 41.5 percent (249)
3. Don’t Know/ Not Sure…DO NOT OFFER 15.0 percent (90)
4. Refused….DO NOT OFFER 0.5 percent (3)

23. Do you support or oppose the House of Representatives beginning impeachment hearings against President Trump? ASK:
WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

1. Strongly support 27.3 percent (164)


2. Somewhat support 12.3 percent (74)
3. Somewhat oppose 11.8 percent (71)
4. Strongly oppose 41.0 percent (246)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 7.5 percent (45)

24
24. Do you support or oppose legislation being considered in the Michigan State Legislature that would ban a commonly used
abortion procedure in Michigan during the second trimester and charge doctors who use the procedure with a two year criminal
sentence? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

1. Strongly support 23.7 percent (142)


2. Somewhat support 7.0 percent (42)
3. Somewhat oppose 8.2 percent (49)
4. Strongly oppose 49.5 percent (297)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 9.8 percent (59)
6. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.8 percent (11)

25. On the issue of abortion would you say you are more pro-life, pro-choice, or would you say you are somewhere in between?

1. Pro choice 42.2 percent (253)


2. Pro life 32.7 percent (196)
3. Somewhere in between 24.8 percent (149)
4. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.3 percent (2)
Now a few questions for statistical purposes.

26. Generally speaking, would you say you tend to vote mostly for Republican candidates, do you vote mostly for Democratic
candidates, or would you say that you vote equally for both Republican and Democratic candidates? IF VOTE EQUALLY
ASK: WOULD YOU SAY YOU LEAN MORE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY OR MORE TO THE REPUBLICAN
PARTY, OR WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE AN INDEPENDENT VOTER?

1. Strong Democratic 34.2 percent (205)


2. Lean Democratic 8.8 percent (53)
3. Independent 18.8 percent (113)
4. Lean Republican 10.5 percent (63)
5. Strong Republican 25.7 percent (154)
6. Other/Refused/ Don’t Know…DO NOT OFFER 2.0 percent (12)

27. And on a scale of one to ten, with one being very low and ten being very high, how motivated are you to vote in next
November’s Presidential election? You can name any number from one to ten.

25
SCORE: 9.5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 DK/REF
0.3 percent 0.2 percent 0.0 percent 0.3 percent 1.8 percent 2.0 percent 3.3 percent 7.0 percent 4.8 percent
80.2 percent 0.0 percent

28. Is anyone in your household a member of a union or a teachers’ association?

1. Yes 27.5 percent (165)


2. No 71.8 percent (431)
3. Don’t Know/ Refusecd….DO NOT OFFER 0.7 percent (4)

29. What would be the last year of schooling you completed?

1. High School Graduate or less 21.0 percent (126)


2. Vocational Training/ Some Community College/ Some College 27.3 percent (164)
3. College Graduate 50.8 percent (305)
4. Don’t Know/ Refused 0.8 percent (5)

30. Could you please tell me in what year you were born?

1. 18-29 (1990-2001) 15.8 percent (95)


2. 30-39 (1980-1989) 11.3 percent (68)
3. 40-49 (1970-1979) 15.5 percent (93)
4. 50-64 (1955-1969) 33.5 percent (201)
5. 65+ (1954 and before) 22.5 percent (135)
6. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 1.3 percent (8)

31. And what is your race or ethnic background?

1. Caucasian 76.2 percent (457)


2. African American 14.2 percent (85)
3. Hispanic/Puerto Rican/ Mexican American 1.3 percent (8)
4. Asian 0.5 percent (3)

26
5. Mixed Race…DO NOT OFFER 1.5 percent (9)
6. Native American 0.8 percent (5)
7. Other/ Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 5.5 percent (33)

32. Generally speaking, how often would you say you attend church or religious services?

1. Weekly 32.5 percent (195)


2. Several times per month 8.8 percent (53)
3. Once per month 5.8 percent (35)
4. Several times per year 9.3 percent (56)
5. Rarely 19.7 percent (118)
6. Don’t attend church services 21.7 percent (130)
7. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 2.2 percent (13)

33. And what religion would you say you are?

1. Baptist 13.5 percent (81)


2. Catholic 22.5 percent (135)
3. Non Denominational 24.3 percent (146)
4. Lutheran 7.0 percent (42)
5. Methodist 4.2 percent (25)
6. Presbyterian 4.2 percent (25)
7. Jewish 1.0 percent (6)
8. Muslim 0.2 percent (1)
9. Mormon 0.0 percent (0)
10. Atheist 6.3 percent (38)
11. Agnostic 4.2 percent (25)
12. Other _____________________________ 4.8 percent (29)
13. Refused/ Don’t Know…DO NOT OFFER 7.8 percent (47)

27
34. And where would you say you primarily get your POLITICAL news?

1. Local television news 22.3 percent (134)


2. Fox News 12.8 percent (77)
3. CNN/MSNBC 13.3 percent (80)
4. Networks (ABC/CBS/NBC) 7.0 percent (42)
5. Radio 8.3 percent (50)
6. Newspapers and newspaper websites 11.8 percent (71)
7. Social media like Facebook and Twitter 12.3 percent (74)
8. Political websites like Breitbart, the Huffington Post 5.5 percent (33)
or the Drudge Report
9. Other__________________________________________ 3.8 percent (23)
10. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 2.7 percent (16)

35. I am going to read you several categories. Please tell in which category your TOTAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME falls.

1. 0-$20,000 7.5 percent (45)


2. $20,001-$40,000 13.8 percent (83)
3. $40,001-$70,000 23.8 percent (143)
4. $70,001-$100,000 18.7 percent (112)
5. More than $100,000 23.0 percent (138)
6. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 13.2 percent (79)

36. Gender: BY OBSERVATION

1. Male 48.0 percent (288)


2. Female 52.0 percent (312)

37. TELEPHONE

28
1. Cell 35.0 percent (210)
2. Landline 65.0 percent (390)

THANK YOU. THAT CONCLUDES OUR SURVEY.

3. If the election for State House was held today, generally speaking would you say you would vote for the [ROTATE]
Democratic candidate or would you vote for the Republican candidate?

Dem GOP
Strong Dem 90.7 percent 0.5 percent
Lean Dem 73.6 percent 3.8 percent
Independent 23.9 percent 22.1 percent
Lean GOP 6.3 percent 69.8 percent
Strong GOP 1.3 percent 87.7 percent

Out State 37.5 percent 39.6 percent


Metro 49.2 percent 30.0 percent

Male 38.5 percent 40.6 percent


Female 48.1 percent 29.2 percent

29
Union 53.9 percent 29.7 percent
Non Union 39.4 percent 36.9 percent

High School 44.4 percent 33.3 percent


Some Post 38.4 percent 36.0 percent
College 45.9 percent 34.8 percent

18-29 54.7 percent 22.1 percent


30-39 35.3 percent 32.4 percent
40-49 39.8 percent 39.8 percent
50-64 42.3 percent 37.8 percent
65+ 44.4 percent 34.8 percent

4. Compared to four years ago, would you say you are better off, worse off or about the same as you were four years ago?

Better Worse Same


Strong Dem 13.7 percent 45.4 percent 39.5 percent
Lean Dem 15.1 percent 35.8 percent 49.1 percent
Independent 36.3 percent 19.5 percent 42.5 percent
Lean GOP 61.9 percent 3.2 percent 33.3 percent
Strong GOP 69.5 percent 3.9 percent 25.3 percent

Out State 38.2 percent 23.9 percent 36.2 percent


Metro 37.1 percent 25.4 percent 36.2 percent

Male 42.7 percent 18.4 percent 37.5 percent


Female 33.0 percent 30.4 percent 34.9 percent

30
Union 33.3 percent 27.3 percent 38.2 percent
Non Union 39.7 percent 23.7 percent 35.0 percent

High School 34.1 percent 22.2 percent 40.5 percent


Some Post 42.1 percent 22.6 percent 32.9 percent
College 36.4 percent 26.9 percent 36.4 percent

18-29 46.3 percent 16.8 percent 32.6 percent


30-39 45.6 percent 23.5 percent 27.9 percent
40-49 41.9 percent 26.9 percent 30.1 percent
50-64 34.3 percent 26.9 percent 38.3 percent
65+ 28.9 percent 25.9 percent 44.4 percent

5. Donald Trump

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Strong Dem 2.4 percent 93.7 percent 3.9 percent 0.0 percent
Lean Dem 3.8 percent 90.6 percent 5.7 percent 0.0 percent
Independent 28.3 percent 48.7 percent 23.0 percent 0.0 percent
Lean GOP 73.0 percent 12.7 percent 12.7 percent 0.0 percent
Strong GOP 87.7 percent 5.8 percent 5.2 percent 0.0 percent

Out State 40.6 percent 49.1 percent 9.2 percent 0.0 percent
Metro 33.2 percent 58.0 percent 8.8 percent 0.0 percent

Male 43.1 percent 46.2 percent 10.4 percent 0.0 percent


Female 31.1 percent 60.6 percent 7.7 percent 0.0 percent

31
Union 32.1 percent 58.8 percent 9.1 percent 0.0 percent
Non Union 38.7 percent 51.5 percent 9.0 percent 0.0 percent

High School 34.9 percent 54.8 percent 10.3 percent 0.0 percent
Some Post 40.9 percent 48.8 percent 9.1 percent 0.0 percent
College 35.7 percent 55.4 percent 8.5 percent 0.0 percent

18-29 15.8 percent 68.4 percent 15.8 percent 0.0 percent


30-39 35.3 percent 50.0 percent 14.7 percent 0.0 percent
40-49 44.1 percent 45.2 percent 9.7 percent 0.0 percent
50-64 40.3 percent 51.7 percent 7.0 percent 0.0 percent
65+ 40.7 percent 54.8 percent 4.4 percent 0.0 percent

6. Gretchen Whitmer

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Strong Dem 65.4 percent 4.9 percent 22.9 percent 6.8 percent
Lean Dem 47.2 percent 5.7 percent 37.7 percent 9.4 percent
Independent 31.9 percent 25.7 percent 31.9 percent 10.6 percent
Lean GOP 27.0 percent 44.4 percent 28.6 percent 0.0 percent
Strong GOP 11.7 percent 54.5 percent 28.6 percent 3.9 percent

Out State 35.2 percent 29.4 percent 28.3 percent 6.1 percent
Metro 42.7 percent 23.8 percent 27.0 percent 6.5 percent

Male 37.2 percent 29.9 percent 26.7 percent 5.9 percent


Female 40.7 percent 23.4 percent 28.5 percent 6.7 percent

32
Union 53.3 percent 23.6 percent 18.2 percent 4.8 percent
Non Union 33.4 percent 27.8 percent 31.3 percent 6.7 percent

High School 34.1 percent 31.0 percent 25.4 percent 8.7 percent
Some Post 29.3 percent 25.6 percent 35.4 percent 9.1 percent
College 46.2 percent 25.2 percent 24.6 percent 3.6 percent

18-29 32.6 percent 13.7 percent 38.9 percent 14.7 percent


30-39 25.3 percent 26.5 percent 45.6 percent 4.4 percent
40-49 38.7 percent 31.2 percent 23.7 percent 5.4 percent
50-64 42.3 percent 28.4 percent 23.9 percent 4.5 percent
65+ 47.4 percent 28.1 percent 19.3 percent 5.2 percent

7. Joe Biden

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Strong Dem 80.0 percent 8.3 percent 10.7 percent 1.0 percent
Lean Dem 62.3 percent 15.1 percent 20.8 percent 1.9 percent
Independent 44.2 percent 32.7 percent 22.1 percent 0.9 percent
Lean GOP 23.8 percent 52.4 percent 22.2 percent 0.0 percent
Strong GOP 5.2 percent 81.2 percent 12.3 percent 1.3 percent

Out State 40.6 percent 43.0 percent 15.4 percent 1.0 percent
Metro 51.1 percent 31.6 percent 16.0 percent 1.0 percent

Male 38.9 percent 45.1 percent 14.6 percent 1.0 percent


Female 52.6 percent 29.8 percent 16.7 percent 1.0 percent

33
Union 52.7 percent 30.9 percent 16.4 percent 0.0 percent
Non Union 43.4 percent 39.9 percent 15.3 percent 1.2 percent

High School 46.8 percent 39.7 percent 11.9 percent 1.6 percent
Some Post 43.3 percent 38.4 percent 17.1 percent 1.2 percent
College 47.2 percent 35.7 percent 16.4 percent 0.3 percent

18-29 49.5 percent 24.2 percent 25.3 percent 1.1 percent


30-39 35.3 percent 38.2 percent 23.5 percent 2.9 percent
40-49 35.5 percent 47.3 percent 16.1 percent 1.1 percent
50-64 46.3 percent 38.8 percent 13.9 percent 0.5 percent
65+ 56.3 percent 35.6 percent 7.4 percent 0.7 percent

8. Kamala Harris

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Strong Dem 48.3 percent 6.8 percent 13.7 percent 30.2 percent
Lean Dem 37.7 percent 7.5 percent 17.0 percent 37.7 percent
Independent 17.7 percent 19.5 percent 13.3 percent 46.9 percent
Lean GOP 1.6 percent 49.2 percent 11.1 percent 36.5 percent
Strong GOP 1.3 percent 62.3 percent 7.8 percent 27.9 percent

Out State 22.9 percent 29.7 percent 8.5 percent 36.9 percent
Metro 25.1 percent 27.7 percent 15.3 percent 31.3 percent

Male 22.2 percent 34.4 percent 12.8 percent 29.5 percent


Female 25.6 percent 23.4 percent 11.2 percent 38.1 percent

34
Union 30.9 percent 26.7 percent 10.9 percent 30.3 percent
Non Union 21.6 percent 29.5 percent 12.3 percent 35.3 percent

High School 20.6 percent 29.4 percent 7.9 percent 40.5 percent
Some Post 17.7 percent 30.5 percent 9.8 percent 39.6 percent
College 29.2 percent 27.9 percent 14.8 percent 27.5 percent

18-29 23.2 percent 12.6 percent 13.7 percent 50.5 percent


30-39 14.7 percent 16.2 percent 20.6 percent 48.5 percent
40-49 22.6 percent 35.5 percent 7.5 percent 34.4 percent
50-64 25.9 percent 34.8 percent 10.4 percent 24.9 percent
65+ 27.4 percent 31.1 percent 12.6 percent 28.9 percent

9. Bernie Sanders

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Strong Dem 65.9 percent 17.1 percent 15.6 percent 1.5 percent
Lean Dem 75.5 percent 7.5 percent 15.1 percent 1.9 percent
Independent 36.3 percent 44.2 percent 16.8 percent 2.7 percent
Lean GOP 14.3 percent 66.7 percent 19.0 percent 0.0 percent
Strong GOP 5.8 percent 85.7 percent 7.8 percent 0.0 percent

Out State 36.5 percent 51.2 percent 10.9 percent 1.0 percent
Metro 44.0 percent 38.1 percent 16.6 percent 1.3 percent

Male 38.2 percent 50.3 percent 10.8 percent 0.7 percent


Female 42.3 percent 39.1 percent 16.7 percent 1.6 percent

35
Union 46.7 percent 40.0 percent 12.7 percent 0.6 percent
Non Union 37.8 percent 46.4 percent 14.2 percent 1.4 percent

High School 44.4 percent 44.4 percent 8.7 percent 2.4 percent
Some Post 36.6 percent 47.0 percent 15.9 percent 0.6 percent
College 40.7 percent 43.6 percent 14.8 percent 0.7 percent

18-29 60.0 percent 22.1 percent 14.7 percent 3.2 percent


30-39 52.9 percent 32.4 percent 13.2 percent 1.5 percent
40-49 32.3 percent 51.6 percent 15.1 percent 0.0 percent
50-64 33.8 percent 52.2 percent 13.4 percent 0.5 percent
65+ 35.6 percent 49.6 percent 13.3 percent 1.5 percent

10. Elizabeth Warren

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Strong Dem 50.2 percent 10.7 percent 21.0 percent 18.0 percent
Lean Dem 35.8 percent 17.0 percent 22.6 percent 24.5 percent
Independent 15.9 percent 34.5 percent 16.8 percent 31.0 percent
Lean GOP 7.9 percent 63.5 percent 17.5 percent 11.1 percent
Strong GOP 3.2 percent 76.6 percent 7.8 percent 12.3 percent

Out State 24.6 percent 42.7 percent 16.0 percent 16.7 percent
Metro 25.7 percent 35.5 percent 16.6 percent 21.5 percent

Male 26.4 percent 45.5 percent 14.6 percent 12.8 percent


Female 24.0 percent 33.0 percent 17.9 percent 25.0 percent

36
Union 32.7 percent 35.2 percent 18.2 percent 13.9 percent
Non Union 22.5 percent 40.6 percent 15.5 percent 20.9 percent

High School 20.6 percent 42.1 percent 11.9 percent 25.4 percent
Some Post 17.7 percent 38.4 percent 21.3 percent 22.0 percent
College 31.1 percent 38.7 percent 15.1 percent 14.8 percent

18-29 16.8 percent 13.7 percent 26.3 percent 43.2 percent


30-39 17.6 percent 30.9 percent 23.5 percent 27.9 percent
40-49 28.0 percent 48.4 percent 5.4 percent 17.2 percent
50-64 26.4 percent 45.8 percent 15.9 percent 11.4 percent
65+ 31.1 percent 43.7 percent 14.1 percent 11.1 percent

11. Pete Buttigieg (BOOT-EDGE-EDGE)

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Strong Dem 38.5 percent 8.3 percent 17.1 percent 35.6 percent
Lean Dem 22.6 percent 3.8 percent 26.4 percent 45.3 percent
Independent 11.5 percent 15.0 percent 10.6 percent 61.1 percent
Lean GOP 4.8 percent 36.5 percent 20.6 percent 33.3 percent
Strong GOP 4.5 percent 45.5 percent 8.4 percent 40.9 percent

Out State 21.2 percent 24.9 percent 9.9 percent 42.7 percent
Metro 17.3 percent 18.9 percent 19.9 percent 42.7 percent

Male 19.1 percent 29.5 percent 15.3 percent 35.1 percent


Female 19.2 percent 14.7 percent 14.7 percent 49.7 percent

37
Union 21.2 percent 20.0 percent 18.8 percent 40.0 percent
Non Union 18.6 percent 22.5 percent 13.7 percent 43.4 percent

High School 13.5 percent 28.6 percent 11.9 percent 45.2 percent
Some Post 12.8 percent 20.7 percent 14.0 percent 51.8 percent
College 25.2 percent 19.7 percent 16.7 percent 36.4 percent

18-29 12.6 percent 4.2 percent 11.6 percent 71.6 percent


30-39 14.7 percent 13.2 percent 19.1 percent 52.9 percent
40-49 20.4 percent 21.5 percent 7.5 percent 47.3 percent
50-64 20.9 percent 26.4 percent 17.9 percent 33.3 percent
65+ 22.2 percent 31.9 percent 16.3 percent 28.1 percent

12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States? ASK: WOULD
THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove
Strong Dem 2.4 percent 2.4 percent 8.8 percent 84.4 percent
Lean Dem 1.9 percent 7.5 percent 15.1 percent 69.8 percent
Independent 16.8 percent 28.3 percent 12.4 percent 33.6 percent
Lean GOP 38.1 percent 41.3 percent 9.5 percent 7.9 percent
Strong GOP 71.4 percent 23.4 percent 3.9 percent 0.6 percent

Out State 27.3 percent 21.5 percent 9.2 percent 38.6 percent
Metro 26.4 percent 13.7 percent 8.1 percent 47.9 percent

Male 31.6 percent 18.4 percent 9.0 percent 36.8 percent


Female 22.4 percent 16.7 percent 8.3 percent 49.4 percent

38
Union 23.6 percent 17.6 percent 6.1 percent 49.1 percent
Non Union 28.3 percent 17.4 percent 9.7 percent 40.8 percent

High School 28.6 percent 10.3 percent 9.5 percent 45.2 percent
Some Post 32.3 percent 18.3 percent 9.1 percent 36.6 percent
College 23.3 percent 20.3 percent 7.5 percent 46.2 percent

18-29 5.3 percent 21.1 percent 15.8 percent 51.6 percent


30-39 19.1 percent 25.0 percent 8.8 percent 39.7 percent
40-49 32.3 percent 20.4 percent 7.5 percent 36.6 percent
50-64 35.3 percent 11.9 percent 6.0 percent 45.3 percent
65+ 27.4 percent 18.5 percent 8.9 percent 41.5 percent

13. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Gretchen Whitmer as Governor of Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove
Strong Dem 34.6 percent 38.5 percent 4.9 percent 2.0 percent
Lean Dem 22.6 percent 41.5 percent 1.9 percent 1.9 percent
Independent 14.2 percent 35.4 percent 10.6 percent 15.9 percent
Lean GOP 3.2 percent 31.7 percent 17.5 percent 11.1 percent
Strong GOP 2.6 percent 22.1 percent 23.4 percent 26.0 percent

Out State 17.7 percent 35.8 percent 13.3 percent 14.3 percent
Metro 17.3 percent 30.6 percent 10.1 percent 9.8 percent

Male 16.0 percent 32.3 percent 12.5 percent 12.8 percent


Female 18.9 percent 34.0 percent 10.9 percent 11.2 percent

39
Union 24.8 percent 34.5 percent 7.9 percent 10.3 percent
Non Union 14.6 percent 32.9 percent 13.2 percent 12.8 percent

High School 17.5 percent 33.3 percent 16.7 percent 12.7 percent
Some Post 14.6 percent 32.3 percent 9.8 percent 11.6 percent
College 18.7 percent 34.1 percent 10.8 percent 11.8 percent

18-29 13.7 percent 35.8 percent 7.4 percent 3.2 percent


30-39 11.8 percent 25.0 percent 13.2 percent 14.7 percent
40-49 15.1 percent 32.3 percent 12.9 percent 20.4 percent
50-64 17.4 percent 34.3 percent 10.9 percent 11.9 percent
65+ 24.4 percent 36.3 percent 13.3 percent 10.4 percent

14. Will you vote to re-elect Donald Trump as President, or will you vote for someone else to be President? IF RE-
ELECT/SOMEONE ELSE, ASK: WILL YOU DEFINITELY VOTE TO RE-ELECT/ELECT SOMEONE NEW OR WILL
YOU PROBABLY VOTE TO RE-ELECT/ELECT SOMEONE NEW FOR PRESIDENT?

Definitely Probably Probably Definitely


Re-Elect Re-Elect Someone New Someone New
Strong Dem 6.8 percent 0.0 percent 4.9 percent 85.4 percent
Lean Dem 1.9 percent 1.9 percent 13.2 percent 75.5 percent
Independent 13.3 percent 10.6 percent 15.9 percent 34.4 percent
Lean GOP 38.1 percent 20.6 percent 3.2 percent 6.3 percent
Strong GOP 68.8 percent 14.3 percent 2.6 percent 3.2 percent

Out State 29.4 percent 13.0 percent 11.3 percent 6.8 percent
Metro 24.8 percent 4.6 percent 11.1 percent 7.2 percent

Male 29.9 percent 11.1 percent 6.6 percent 38.2 percent


Female 24.4 percent 6.4 percent 7.4 percent 49.7 percent

40
Union 24.8 percent 10.3 percent 6.7 percent 49.1 percent
Non Union 28.1 percent 8.1 percent 7.0 percent 42.2 percent

High School 30.2 percent 7.1 percent 8.7 percent 46.0 percent
Some Post 29.3 percent 10.4 percent 9.8 percent 39.6 percent
College 24.3 percent 8.2 percent 4.9 percent 46.2 percent

18-29 5.3 percent 8.4 percent 16.8 percent 60.0 percent


30-39 19.1 percent 11.8 percent 8.8 percent 42.6 percent
40-49 30.1 percent 6.5 percent 5.4 percent 39.8 percent
50-64 31.8 percent 9.5 percent 3.5 percent 43.3 percent
65+ 34.1 percent 8.1 percent 5.9 percent 39.3 percent

15. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Joe Biden was
the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU
LEAN?

Trump Lean Biden Lean Undecided


Strong Dem 1.5 percent 0.0 percent 88.8 percent 6.8 percent 2.0 percent
Lean Dem 5.7 percent 1.9 percent 84.9 percent 5.7 percent 1.9 percent
Independent 29.2 percent 7.1 percent 40.7 percent 8.8 percent 12.4 percent
Lean GOP 71.4 percent 7.9 percent 9.5 percent 3.2 percent 4.8 percent
Strong GOP 92.9 percent 2.6 percent 3.2 percent 0.6 percent 0.6 percent

Out State 43.3 percent 2.4 percent 43.7 percent 5.5 percent 4.4 percent
Metro 33.2 percent 3.9 percent 51.8 percent 5.5 percent 4.2 percent

Male 44.4 percent 4.2 percent 40.6 percent 5.2 percent 3.5 percent
Female 32.4 percent 2.2 percent 54.5 percent 5.8 percent 5.1 percent

Union 32.1 percent 3.6 percent 55.2 percent 5.5 percent 3.0 percent
Non Union 40.8 percent 3.0 percent 44.8 percent 5.6 percent 4.9 percent

41
High School 39.7 percent 0.8 percent 52.4 percent 4.0 percent 2.4 percent
Some Post 42.1 percent 6.1 percent 40.9 percent 5.5 percent 4.3 percent
College 35.7 percent 2.6 percent 49.8 percent 5.9 percent 4.9 percent

18-29 20.0 percent 4.2 percent 64.2 percent 9.5 percent 2.1 percent
30-39 38.2 percent 4.4 percent 44.1 percent 10.3 percent 2.9 percent
40-49 45.2 percent 2.2 percent 43.0 percent 2.2 percent 6.5 percent
50-64 39.3 percent 3.5 percent 45.3 percent 5.0 percent 5.5 percent
65+ 43.7 percent 1.5 percent 45.9 percent 3.7 percent 3.7 percent

16. If the election for President were held today and ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Kamala Harris
was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? ? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO
YOU LEAN?

Trump Lean Harris Lean Undecided


Strong Dem 2.9 percent 0.5 percent 84.9 percent 6.8 percent 4.4 percent
Lean Dem 7.5 percent 0.0 percent 75.5 percent 5.7 percent 11.3 percent
Independent 37.2 percent 5.3 percent 31.0 percent 3.5 percent 22.1 percent
Lean GOP 73.0 percent 7.9 percent 4.8 percent 0.0 percent 12.7 percent
Strong GOP 92.2 percent 3.9 percent 1.3 percent 0.0 percent 2.6 percent

Out State 45.7 percent 2.4 percent 40.6 percent 3.4 percent 7.5 percent
Metro 35.5 percent 3.6 percent 45.0 percent 4.6 percent 10.4 percent

Male 48.3 percent 3.8 percent 35.8 percent 3.8 percent 7.3 percent
Female 33.3 percent 2.2 percent 49.4 percent 4.2 percent 10.6 percent

Union 39.4 percent 1.8 percent 44.8 percent 6.1 percent 6.7 percent
Non Union 41.3 percent 3.5 percent 41.8 percent 3.2 percent 9.7 percent

High School 40.5 percent 0.8 percent 47.6 percent 4.0 percent 5.6 percent

42
Some Post 45.7 percent 3.7 percent 36.6 percent 3.0 percent 11.0 percent
College 38.0 percent 3.6 percent 44.6 percent 3.9 percent 9.5 percent

18-29 24.2 percent 1.1 percent 60.0 percent 4.2 percent 10.5 percent
30-39 38.2 percent 5/9 percent 39.7 percent 5.9 percent 10.3 percent
40-49 49.5 percent 2.2 percent 38.7 percent 3.2 percent 5.4 percent
50-64 42.3 percent 4.0 percent 39.8 percent 3.5 percent 9.5 percent
65+ 43.7 percent 1.5 percent 40.0 percent 4.4 percent 9.6 percent

17. If the election for President were held today and ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders
was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU
LEAN?

Trump Lean Sanders Lean Undecided


Strong Dem 2.4 percent 0.5 percent 87.3 percent 5.9 percent 3.4 percent
Lean Dem 3.8 percent 0.0 percent 88.7 percent 3.8 percent 3.8 percent
Independent 32.7 percent 3.5 percent 50.4 percent 3.5 percent 9.7 percent
Lean GOP 73.0 percent 7.9 percent 11.1 percent 0.0 percent 6.3 percent
Strong GOP 90.9 percent 2.6 percent 3.2 percent 0.0 percent 3.2 percent

Out State 43.0 percent 1.4 percent 45.4 percent 3.1 percent 6.5 percent
Metro 35.2 percent 3.3 percent 53.7 percent 3.9 percent 3.6 percent

Male 44.1 percent 3.5 percent 45.5 percent 3.5 percent 2.4 percent
Female 34.3 percent 1.3 percent 53.5 percent 3.5 percent 7.4 percent

Union 37.0 percent 1.8 percent 54.5 percent 4.8 percent 1.2 percent
Non Union 40.1 percent 2.6 percent 47.6 percent 3.0 percent 6.3 percent

High School 36.5 percent 0.8 percent 54.8 percent 3.2 percent 4.8 percent
Some Post 42.1 percent 2.4 percent 48.2 percent 3.7 percent 3.7 percent
College 38.7 percent 3.0 percent 48.9 percent 3.0 percent 5.9 percent

43
18-29 21.1 percent 0.0 percent 71.6 percent 3.2 percent 4.2 percent
30-39 36.8 percent 1.5 percent 55.9 percent 2.9 percent 2.9 percent
40-49 40.9 percent 5.4 percent 41.9 percent 1.1 percent 9.7 percent
50-64 43.3 percent 3.0 percent 43.3 percent 4.5 percent 5.0 percent
65+ 44.4 percent 0.7 percent 56.7 percent 4.4 percent 3.7 percent

18. If the election for President were held today and ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Elizabeth
Warren was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? ? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY
DO YOU LEAN?

Trump Lean Warren Lean Undecided


Strong Dem 2.9 percent 0.5 percent 84.4 percent 6.3 percent 5.4 percent
Lean Dem 3.8 percent 3.89 percent 69.8 percent 9.4 percent 13.2 percent
Independent 35.4 percent 4.4 percent 31.9 percent 5.3 percent 20.4 percent
Lean GOP 73.0 percent 9.5 percent 7.9 percent 0.0 percent 7.9 percent
Strong GOP 92.9 percent 1.9 percent 1.9 percent 0.0 percent 3.2 percent

Out State 45.7 percent 1.4 percent 39.9 percent 4.4 percent 8.2 percent
Metro 34.5 percent 4.2 percent 45.6 percent 4.6 percent 9.4 percent

Male 47.2 percent 3.8 percent 36.1 percent 4.9 percent 6.9 percent
Female 33.3 percent 1.9 percent 49.0 percent 4.2 percent 10.6 percent

Union 37.0 percent 3.0 percent 46.7 percent 5.5 percent 7.3 percent
Non Union 41.5 percent 2.8 percent 41.1 percent 4.2 percent 9.3 percent

High School 38.1 percent 2.4 percent 46.0 percent 6.3 percent 5.6 percent
Some Post 45.7 percent 2.4 percent 38.4 percent 3.0 percent 9.8 percent
College 38.0 percent 3.3 percent 44.3 percent 3.9 percent 9.8 percent

18-29 20.0 percent 1.1 percent 64.2 percent 4.2 percent 10.5 percent

44
30-39 42.6 percent 4.4 percent 35.3 percent 5.9 percent 11.8 percent
40-49 48.4 percent 3.2 percent 35.5 percent 2.2 percent 8.6 percent
50-64 41.3 percent 3.0 percent 41.8 percent 4.5 percent 9.0 percent
65+ 44.4 percent 2.2 percent 38.5 percent 5.9 percent 6.7 percent

19. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Pete Buttigieg
(Boot-Edge-Edge) was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK:
WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?

Trump Lean Buttigieg Lean Undecided


Strong Dem 2.9 percent 0.5 percent 80.0 percent 8.8 percent 1.5 percent
Lean Dem 5.7 percent 3.8 percent 66.0 percent 11.3 percent 13.2 percent
Independent 31.0 percent 3.5 percent 29.2 percent 7.1 percent 28.3 percent
Lean GOP 66.7 percent 12.7 percent 9.5 percent 0.0 percent 9.5 percent
Strong GOP 89.0 percent 5.2 percent 2.6 percent 0.6 percent 2.6 percent

Out State 43.3 percent 2.4 percent 38.2 percent 5.8 percent 9.9 percent
Metro 31.9 percent 5.2 percent 43.3 percent 6.2 percent 11.7 percent

Male 43.4 percent 5.6 percent 35.1 percent 5.2 percent 9.4 percent
Female 32.1 percent 2.2 percent 46.2 percent 6.7 percent 12.2 percent

Union 37.0 percent 1.8 percent 42.4 percent 9.1 percent 8.5 percent
Non Union 38.1 percent 4.6 percent 39.9 percent 4.9 percent 11.6 percent

High School 39.7 percent 3.2 percent 42.9 percent 4.0 percent 7.9 percent
Some Post 42.7 percent 3.0 percent 38.4 percent 4.9 percent 10.4 percent
College 34.1 percent 4.6 percent 41.6 percent 6.9 percent 12.5 percent

18-29 18.9 percent 1.1 percent 60.0 percent 7.4 percent 12.6 percent
30-39 36.8 percent 8.8 percent 33.8 percent 5.9 percent 14.7 percent
40-49 45.2 percent 3.2 percent 35.5 percent 3.2 percent 11.8 percent

45
50-64 38.3 percent 4.5 percent 39.8 percent 7.0 percent 9.5 percent
65+ 43.7 percent 2.2 percent 36.3 percent 5.9 percent 9.6 percent

20. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate, Joe Biden was the
Democratic candidate, and Justin Amash was the Libertarian candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T
KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?

Trump Lean Biden Lean Amash Lean Undecided


Strong Dem 1.0 percent 0.0 percent 79.5 percent 6.8 percent 7.8 percent 2.0
percent 2.4 percent
Lean Dem 3.8 percent 0.0 percent 73.6 percent 3.8 percent 3.8 percent 3.8
percent 11.3 percent
Independent 27.4 percent 6.2 percent 30.1 percent 2.7 percent 13.3 percent 2.7
percent 15.9 percent
Lean GOP 63.5 percent 11.1 percent 9.5 percent 0.0 percent 9.5 percent 3.2
percent 3.2 percent
Strong GOP 88.3 percent 2.6 percent 1.9 percent 1.3 percent 3.2 percent 0.6
percent 1.9 percent

Out State 40.6 percent 2.4 percent 37.2 percent 4.4 percent 9.2 percent 2.0
percent 3.4 percent
Metro 30.0 percent 4.2 percent 45.0 percent 3.6 percent 6.2 percent 2.0
percent 8.5 percent

Male 40.3 percent 4.9 percent 34.7 percent 3.5 percent 9.7 percent 2.1
percent 3.5 percent
Female 30.4 percent 1.9 percent 47.1 percent 4.5 percent 5.8 percent 1.9
percent 8.3 percent

Union 30.9 percent 3.0 percent 49.7 percent 3.6 percent 6.1 percent 1.8
percent 4.8 percent

46
Non Union 37.1 percent 3.5 percent 37.8 percent 4.2 percent 8.1 percent 1.9
percent 6.5 percent

High School 36.5 percent 1.6 percent 42.1 percent 4.8 percent 7.1 percent 0.0
percent 7.9 percent
Some Post 39.0 percent 6.1 percent 36.6 percent 4.3 percent 6.7 percent 1.2
percent 4.9 percent
College 32.8 percent 2.6 percent 43.6 percent 3.3 percent 8.5 percent 3.0
percent 5.9 percent

18-29 15.8 percent 3.2 percent 60.0 percent 3.2 percent 12.6 percent 1.1
percent 4.2 percent
30-39 38.2 percent 0.0 percent 38.2 percent 4.4 percent 11.8 percent 2.9
percent 4.4 percent
40-49 36.6 percent 5.4 percent 32.3 percent 4.3 percent 11.8 percent 1.1
percent 7.5 percent
50-64 37.8 percent 4.5 percent 36.8 percent 5.0 percent 4.5 percent 2.0
percent 8.5 percent
65+ 41.5 percent 1.5 percent 42.2 percent 3.0 percent 4.4 percent 3.0
percent 3.7 percent

21. Do you think President Trump’s trade strategy with China is good for Michigan, bad for Michigan or is having no effect on
Michigan?

Good Bad No Effect


Strong Dem 3.4 percent 77.6 percent 6.8 percent
Lean Dem 7.5 percent 67.9 percent 5.7 percent
Independent 22.1 percent 44.2 percent 12.4 percent
Lean GOP 55.6 percent 19.0 percent 9.5 percent
Strong GOP 53.2 percent 10.4 percent 13.6 percent

47
Out State 28.0 percent 46.8 percent 9.9 percent
Metro 23.8 percent 46.9 percent 9.8 percent

Male 32.3 percent 45.1 percent 10.1 percent


Female 19.9 percent 48.4 percent 9.6 percent

Union 26.7 percent 54.5 percent 4.8 percent


Non Union 25.8 percent 43.6 percent 11.8 percent

High School 23.8 percent 46.0 percent 11.9 percent


Some Post 31.1 percent 39.6 percent 9.1 percent
College 23.9 percent 51.5 percent 8.9 percent

18-29 11.6 percent 37.9 percent 14.7 percent


30-39 22.1 percent 41.2 percent 10.3 percent
40-49 35.5 percent 43.0 percent 8.6 percent
50-64 32.8 percent 51.2 percent 8.5 percent
65+ 20.0 percent 52.6 percent 8.9 percent

22. Do you think President Trump did or did not obstruct justice during the Mueller investigation?

Did Obstruct Did Not Obstruct Undecided


Strong Dem 76.6 percent 11.2 percent 11.7 percent
Lean Dem 69.8 percent 9.4 percent 20.8 percent
Independent 36.3 percent 40.7 percent 21.2 percent
Lean GOP 12.7 percent 71.4 percent 15.9 percent
Strong GOP 6.5 percent 81.8 percent 11.7 percent

Out State 40.3 percent 44.0 percent 15.0 percent

48
Metro 45.6 percent 39.1 percent 15.0 percent

Male 39.2 percent 46.5 percent 13.9 percent


Female 46.5 percent 36.9 percent 16.0 percent

Union 47.3 percent 38.2 percent 14.5 percent


Non Union 41.5 percent 42.9 percent 14.8 percent

High School 46.0 percent 42.1 percent 11.1 percent


Some Post 34.8 percent 48.8 percent 15.2 percent
College 46.2 percent 37.4 percent 16.4 percent

18-29 42.1 percent 24.2 percent 33.7 percent


30-39 42.6 percent 42.6 percent 13.2 percent
40-49 43.0 percent 45.2 percent 11.8 percent
50-64 40.8 percent 47.8 percent 10.9 percent
65+ 47.4 percent 40.0 percent 11.9 percent

23. Do you support or oppose the House of Representatives beginning impeachment hearings against President Trump? ASK:
WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Undecided


Support Support Oppose Oppose
Strong Dem 55.1 percent 17.1 percent 9.3 percent 9.8 percent
8.8 percent
Lean Dem 37.7 percent 32.1 percent 17.0 percent 9.4 percent
3.8 percent
Independent 18.6 percent 13.3 percent 17.7 percent 41.6 percent
8.8 percent

49
Lean GOP 3.2 percent 3.2 percent 12.7 percent 73.0 percent
7.9 percent
Strong GOP 2.6 percent 2.6 percent 9.7 percent 81.2 percent
3.9 percent

Out State 24.2 percent 11.3 percent 13.7 percent 45.1 percent
5.8 percent
Metro 30.3 percent 13.4 percent 10.1 percent 37.1 percent
9.1 percent

Male 19.4 percent 11.8 percent 13.9 percent 48.3 percent


6.6 percent
Female 34.6 percent 12.8 percent 9.9 percent 34.3 percent
8.3 percent

Union 25.5 percent 13.9 percent 12.7 percent 40.0 percent


7.9 percent
Non Union 28.1 percent 11.8 percent 11.6 percent 41.8 percent
6.7 percent

High School 34.9 percent 11.1 percent 10.3 percent 37.3 percent
6.3 percent
Some Post 25.6 percent 11.6 percent 15.2 percent 44.5 percent
3.0 percent
College 25.6 percent 13.4 percent 10.5 percent 40.7 percent
9.8 percent

18-29 31.6 percent 29.5 percent 11.6 percent 17.9 percent


9.5 percent
30-39 30.9 percent 16.2 percent 11.8 percent 38.2 percent
2.9 percent
40-49 23.7 percent 7.5 percent 10.8 percent 52.7 percent
5.4 percent

50
50-64 26.9 percent 7.5 percent 13.9 percent 42.8 percent
9.0 percent
65+ 25.2 percent 9.6 percent 10.4 percent 46.7 percent
8.1 percent

24. Do you support or oppose legislation being considered in the Michigan State Legislature that would ban a commonly used
abortion procedure in Michigan during the second trimester and charge doctors who use the procedure with a two year criminal
sentence? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Undecided


Support Support Oppose Oppose
Strong Dem 6.3 percent 2.4 percent 10.7 percent 72.2 percent
7.3 percent
Lean Dem 13.2 percent 3.8 percent 7.5 percent 69.8 percent
5.7 percent
Independent 19.5 percent 8.0 percent 8.8 percent 52.2 percent
9.7 percent
Lean GOP 34.9 percent 9.5 percent 6.3 percent 31.7 percent
17.5 percent
Strong GOP 50.0 percent 11.7 percent 5.8 percent 17.5 percent
10.4 percent

Out State 28.7 percent 7.5 percent 8.5 percent 45.7 percent
8.9 percent
Metro 18.9 percent 6.5 percent 7.8 percent 53.1 percent
10.7 percent

Male 22.6 percent 6.9 percent 8.0 percent 50.0 percent


10.1 percent
Female 24.7 percent 7.1 percent 8.3 percent 49.0 percent
9.6 percent

51
Union 24.8 percent 6.1 percent 9.7 percent 47.9 percent
9.1 percent
Non Union 23.2 percent 7.4 percent 7.7 percent 50.1 percent
10.0 percent

High School 26.2 percent 5.6 percent 9.5 percent 43.7 percent
11.9 percent
Some Post 28.0 percent 7.9 percent 8.5 percent 44.5 percent
11.0 percent
College 20.7 percent 6.9 percent 7.2 percent 54.8 percent
8.2 percent

18-29 18.9 percent 3.2 percent 9.5 percent 63.2 percent


5.3 percent
30-39 26.5 percent 7.4 percent 5.9 percent 47.1 percent
13.2 percent
40-49 31.2 percent 7.5 percent 4.3 percent 46.2 percent
8.6 percent
50-64 24.9 percent 7.5 percent 7.5 percent 50.2 percent
9.0 percent
65+ 19.3 percent 8.1 percent 11.9 percent 42.2 percent
13.3 percent

25. On the issue of abortion would you say you are more pro-life, pro-choice, or would you say you are somewhere in between?

Pro Choice Pro Life Somewhere In Between


Strong Dem 65.9 percent 7.8 percent 26.3 percent
Lean Dem 69.8 percent 5.7 percent 24.5 percent
Independent 42.5 percent 29.2 percent 28.3 percent
Lean GOP 12.7 percent 54.0 percent 33.3 percent
Strong GOP 14.3 percent 69.5 percent 15.6 percent

52
Out State 37.2 percent 37.9 percent 24.6 percent
Metro 46.9 percent 27.7 percent 25.1 percent

Male 39.6 percent 34.0 percent 26.0 percent


Female 44.6 percent 31.4 percent 23.7 percent

Union 45.5 percent 28.5 percent 26.1 percent


Non Union 40.8 percent 34.3 percent 24.4 percent

High School 35.7 percent 31.7 percent 32.5 percent


Some Post 40.2 percent 36.0 percent 23.2 percent
College 46.6 percent 31.8 percent 21.3 percent

18-29 61.1 percent 16.8 percent 21.1 percent


30-39 44.1 percent 25.0 percent 30.9 percent
40-49 45.2 percent 38.7 percent 15.1 percent
50-64 38.8 percent 35.3 percent 25.9 percent
65+ 31.9 percent 38.5 percent 29.6 percent

27. And on a scale of one to ten with one being very low and ten being very high, how motivated are you to vote in next year’s
November President’s election?

SCORE
Strong Dem 9.6
Lean Dem 9.3
Independent 9.1
Lean GOP 9.5

53
Strong GOP 9.6

Out State 9.6


Metro 9.4

Male 9.4
Female 9.6

Union 9.6
Non Union 9.4

High School 9.1


Some Post 9.5
College 9.6

18-29 9.0
30-39 9.2
40-49 9.6
50-64 9.7
65+ 9.7

54