WDIV/DETROIT NEWS
600 SAMPLE
JUNE 2, 2019
1
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page Topic
2 Methodology
3 Key Findings
29 Cross-tabulation Report
METHODOLOGY
The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a Michigan statewide survey of November 2020 likely general election voters. The 600
sample, live operator telephone survey was conducted on May 28-30, 2019 and has a margin of error of +/-4.0 percent with a 95
percent level of confidence. 65.0 percent of respondents were contacted via landline telephone. 35.0 percent of respondents were
contacted via cell phone telephone. This survey was commissioned by the Glengariff Group, Inc. as part of our public polling
program and provided to WDIV Local 4 and the Detroit News.
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KEY FINDINGS
The motivation to vote in the 2020 election among Michigan voters is at 9.5 – consistent with 9.6 in our January 2019 survey.
The chart below compares motivation to vote by party affiliation back to October 2012. The motivation to vote looks very
similar to the October 2018 motivation to vote.
Party Affiliation Oct 2012 Oct 2014 Oct 2016 Oct 2018 June 2019
Strong Democratic 8.5 7.0 6.7 9.6 9.6
Lean Democratic 7.4 6.4 4.7 9.5 9.3
Independent 6.6 5.9 5.6 8.9 9.1
Lean Republican 8.3 6.2 6.2 9.2 9.5
Strong Republican 8.4 6.9 6.5 9.5 9.6
Whitmer Job Approval Soars Above 50 percent -- Older Voters Approve at 60.7 percent
Governor Whitmer’s name identification is 39.0 percent favorable to 26.5 percent unfavorable, 32.2 percent of voters have
heard of her but have no opinion of her. While her favorable has remained statistically identical to the January 2019 survey,
her unfavorable has increased by six points – primarily among Republican voters.
But Governor Whitmer’s job approval has increased substantially to 50.7 percent approve and 23.7 percent disapprove. 23.3
percent of voters neither approve, nor disapprove of her performance. Only Strong Republican voters disapprove of
Governor Whitmer’s job performance. In January 2019, Governor Whitmer started with job approval of 38 percent approve
to 13 percent disapprove. Her job approval has grown by nearly thirteen points, with a better than 2-1 margin of approval to
disapproval.
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Party Affiliation Approve Disapprove
Strong Democratic 73.1 percent 6.9 percent
Lean Democratic 64.1 percent 3.8 percent
Independent 49.6 percent 26.5 percent
Lean Republican 34.9 percent 28.6 percent
Strong Republican 24.7 percent 49.4 percent
Voters in Out State approve of the Governor by a margin of 53.5 percent-27.6 percent. Voters in Metro Detroit approve of the
Governor by a margin of 48.9 percent-19.9 percent. Voters over the age of 65 give Governor Whitmer a job approval of 60.7
percent-23.7 percent.
By a margin of 36.7 percent-53.7 percent, Michigan voters have an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump. President
Trump’s favorable/unfavorable has been stuck in cement dating back to January 2018.
Much like his favorable/unfavorable, President Trump’s job approval has been stuck in cement for the past two years with 44.3
percent approving of his performance and 52.0 percent disapproving of his performance.
While 26.8 percent of voters strongly approve of President Trump’s performance, 42.7 percent of voters strongly disapprove of
President Trump’s performance.
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Survey Period Trump Approve Trump Disapprove Strong Disapproval of Trump
January 2018 39.5 percent 54.3 percent 47.3 percent
September 2018 44.3 percent 51.8 percent 44.2 percent
Early Oct 2018 43.6 percent 52.2 percent 44.2 percent
Late Oct 2018 44.0 percent 51.3 percent 45.0 percent
January 2019 43.5 percent 52.3 percent 44.0 percent
June 2019 44.3 percent 52.0 percent 42.7 percent
White voters are narrowly supportive of President Trump’s performance by a margin of 50.6 percent-46.0 percent. Black
voters strongly disapprove of President Trump’s performance 8.2 percent-87.0 percent.
Men approve of President Trump’s performance by a margin of 50.0 percent - 45.8 percent. Women disapprove of President
Trump’s performance by a margin of 39.1 percent-57.7 percent.
The chart below highlights the extreme disapproval of President Trump by women in the Metro Detroit region:
President Trump’s highest levels of approval continue to be among men without a college education culminating in a 63.4
percent job approval rating among men with some post high school education but not a college degree. Women, regardless of
education, continue to strongly disapprove of his job performance.
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Women – Some Post 40.8 percent 57.0 percent 45.2 percent
Women – College 42.6 percent 54.8 percent 49.0 percent
White college educated women continue to disapprove of the President’s performance by a margin of 47.6 percent-50.0
percent, with 43.7 percent strongly disapproving of his performance while only 19.0 percent strongly approve of his
performance.
But the perception of President Trump’s performance continues to be driven by where voters get their news. The chart below
compares President Trump’s job approval by the primary source of news for voters.
While outstate men approve of President Trump’s performance 55 percent-41.4 percent, Metro Detroit men disapprove of his
performance 45.3 percent-50.0 percent. The chart below shows that President Trump’s approval continues to be driven by
men without a college degree.
By comparison, women disapprove of President Trump’s performance regardless of region of the state or education status.
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Trump Re-Elect Largely Unchanged – Independents Will Vote for Someone New by 2-1 margin
Voters were asked if they would vote to re-elect President Trump or vote for someone else. 51.2 percent of voters would vote
to elect someone new with 44.2 percent of voters DEFINITELY VOTING FOR SOMEONE NEW. 35.7 percent of voters
would vote to re-elect President Trump with 27.0 percent DEFINITELY VOTING TO RE-ELECT PRESIDENT TRUMP.
Voters that would re-elect President Trump have increased by 5.1 percent from January 2019. Those that would vote for
someone new has remained statistically unchanged since January 2019.
Among Independent voters, 23.9 percent would vote to re-elect President Trump while 50.3 percent of Independent voters
would elect someone new. Only 13.3 percent of Independents would definitely vote to re-elect the President while 34.4
percent would definitely vote to replace him.
Outstate men would vote to re-elect President Trump by a margin of 47.8 percent-37.8 percent, while Metro men would vote
for someone new by a margin of 34.5 percent-51.4 percent. As with job approval, President Trump’s re-elect number is being
supported by men without a college education.
Voters were asked if the election was held today would they vote for the Democratic or the Republican candidate for State
House. By a margin of 43.5 percent-34.7 percent, voters said they would vote for the Democratic candidate – an 8.8 percent-
point lead for the generic Democratic candidate. This figure remains consistent with the Democratic margin heading into the
2018 elections.
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Survey Period Democratic Republican Margin
January 2018 41.8 percent 31.0 percent +10.8 percent
September 2018 46.1 percent 33.9 percent +12.2 percent
Early October 2018 47.2 percent 34.5 percent +12.7 percent
Late October 2018 48.5 percent 38.0 percent +10.5 percent
June 2019 43.5 percent 34.7 percent +8.8 percent
Are You Better Off Than You Were Four Years Ago?
Voters were asked if they were better off, worse off or about the same as four years ago.
But it is Republican voters that are driving the better off numbers with more than 61 percent saying they are better off today.
Among the important Independent voting bloc, 42.5 percent said they are the same, 36.3 percent say they are better off and
19.5 percent say they are worse.
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Biden the Only Presidential Contender From Either Party with Favorable Name Identification
Among the top five Democratic contenders polling nationally above 5 percent, Joe Biden is the only candidate with favorable
name identification breaking 46.0 percent favorable to 37.2 percent unfavorable.
The chart below looks at the five Democratic candidate’s favorable ratings among Strong Democratic voters. While all five
candidates have low unfavorable ratings among Strong Democratic voters, Joe Biden has 80 percent approval with the lowest
unfavorable ratings among the five candidates.
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Pete Buttigieg 63.9 percent 38.5 percent 8.3 percent
The chart below looks at the five Democratic candidates’ favorable ratings among Independent voters. Only Joe Biden has
name identification breaking favorably among Independent voters. Elizabeth Warren, in particular, appears to have a
favorability problem with Independent voters.
Independent Voters
Candidate Total Name ID Favorable Unfavorable Difference
Joe Biden 99.0 percent 44.2 percent 32.7 percent +11.5 percent
Bernie Sanders 97.3 percent 36.3 percent 44.2 percent -7.9 percent
Elizabeth Warren 75.1 percent 15.9 percent 34.5 percent -18.6 percent
Kalama Harris 50.5 percent 17.7 percent 19.5 percent -2.2 percent
Pete Buttigieg 37.1 percent 11.5 percent 15.0 percent -3.5 percent
All Five Potential Democratic Nominees Lead Trump: Biden and Sanders Hold Twelve Point Leads
All five of the potential Democratic nominees tested currently lead the President. President Trump falls in a very narrow two-
point range against all five candidates from 41.3 percent to 43.5 percent. Of particular note is that less than 5 percent of voters
remain undecided in matchups with Sanders or Biden whose name identification have already ‘topped out’ at near 100 percent.
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Trump 41.3 percent Buttigieg Lead +5.5 percent
Buttigieg 46.8 percent
Undecided 10.8 percent
The overall difference in the margins among the five candidates is that Biden and Sanders are each doing better among male
voters than Harris, Warren and Buttigieg.
Women
Trump 35.6 percent Biden 60.3 percent +24.7 percent Biden
Trump 35.6 percent Sanders 57.0 percent +21.4 percent Sanders
Trump 34.3 percent Buttigieg 52.9 percent +18.6 percent Buttigieg
Trump 35.2 percent Warren 53.2 percent +18.0 percent Warren
Trump 35.5 percent Harris 53.6 percent +18.1 percent Harris
Men
Trump 48.6 percent Biden 45.8 percent +2.8 percent Trump
Trump 47.6 percent Sanders 49.0 percent +2.4 percent Sanders
Trump 50.0 percent Buttigieg 40.3 percent +9.7 percent Trump
Trump 51.0 percent Warren 41.0 percent +10.0 percent Trump
Trump 52.1 percent Harris 39.6 percent +12.5 percent Trump
Sanders and Biden are equally strongly among Independent voters. Buttigieg and Warren are statistically even among
Independent voters. Harris trails Trump among Independent voters by eight points.
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Independents
Trump 35.3 percent Biden 49.5 percent +14.2 percent Biden
Trump 36.2 percent Sanders 53.7 percent +17.5 percent Sanders
Trump 34.5 percent Buttigieg 36.3 percent +1.8 percent Buttigieg
Trump 39.9 percent Warren 37.2 percent -2.7 percent Warren
Trump 42.5 percent Harris 34.5 percent -8.0 percent Harris
Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders both lead Donald Trump by 12.1 percent -- statistically unchanged from January 2019. But the
two candidates get to the same numbers in slightly different, but important, ways.
Joe Biden has a 24.7 percent lead among women while Bernie Sanders has a 21.4 percent lead among women. Biden runs
better than Sanders among women with a high school degree and women with a college degree.
Among college educated white women, Biden leads Trump 52.3 percent-39.7 percent -- a lead of 12.6 percent. Sanders leads
among college educated white women 49.2 percent-42.1 percent -- a lead of 7.1 percent.
While Biden loses to Trump among men by 2.8 percent, Sanders leads among men by 2.4 percent. The chart below compares
men by educational levels in their support for Biden and Sanders. Sanders does better than Biden among men without a
college degree. Biden does better with men with a college degree.
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Education/ Men Trump Biden Trump Sanders
High School 53.2 percent 43.8 percent Trump +9.6 45.4 percent 53.2 percent
Sanders +9.8 percent
Some Post 59.2 percent 32.4 percent Trump +16.8 percent 53.5 percent 45.0 percent
Trump +8.5 percent
College 42.7 percent 52.6 percent Biden +9.9 percent 46.6 percent 48.7 percent
Sanders +2.1 percent
The Amash Factor: Amash Would Hurt Democratic Candidate with Independent Voters
In a hypothetical three-way race, respondents were asked who they would support between Donald Trump, Joe Biden and
Justin Amash as the hypothetical Libertarian candidate. In this matchup, Biden leads by 6.7 percent -- down from a lead of
12.1 percent.
Amash appears to hurt Biden among Independent voters where the race becomes tied:
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Undecided 12.4 percent Justin Amash 16.0 percent
Undecided 15.9 percent
Michigan voters are narrowly split with 43.0 percent believing Donald Trump did obstruct justice while 41.5 percent believe
he did not obstruct justice. 15.0 percent of voters do not know.
Men and women are diametrically opposed on the obstruction of justice issue:
o Men believe he did not obstruct justice by a margin of 39.2 percent-46.5 percent.
o Women believe he did obstruct justice by a margin of 46.5 percent-36.9 percent.
o Independent voters are split on the issue at 36.3 percent obstructed vs. 40.7 percent no obstruction, with 21.2 percent
undecided.
But by a margin of 39.6 percent-52.8 percent, Michigan voters oppose the House of Representatives beginning impeachment
hearings against President Trump.
o While 27.3 percent of voters strongly support beginning impeachment hearings, 41.0 percent of voters strongly oppose
hearings.
o By a margin of 31.9 percent-59.3 percent, Independent voters oppose beginning impeachment hearings.
Voters Say Trump China Policy Bad for Michigan By Nearly 2-1 Margin
By a margin of 25.8 percent-46.8 percent, Michigan voters strongly believe President Trump’s trade strategy with China is bad
for Michigan. 9.8 percent of voters believe the policy is having no effect on Michigan. 17.3 percent of voters do not know.
o 46.8 percent of voters in out-state and 46.7 percent of voters in Metro Detroit say the policy is bad for Michigan.
o By a margin of 22.1 percent-44.2 percent, Independent voters say the policy is bad for Michigan.
o 54.5 percent of union households say the policy is bad for Michigan.
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o 51.5 percent of college educated voters believe the policy is bad for Michigan.
The chart below compares how voters by party affiliation view the China trade policy.
Voters were asked if they support or oppose legislation being considered in the State Legislature that would ban a commonly
used abortion procedure in Michigan during the second trimester and charge doctors who use the procedure with a two-year
criminal sentence. By a margin of 30.7 percent-57.7 percent, Michigan voters oppose the proposed law. 49.5 percent of
voters STRONGLY OPPOSE the proposed law.
The chart below compares positions to the proposed law by party affiliation. Independent voters oppose the proposed law by
a margin of 27.5 percent-61.0 percent.
Conclusion
The political dynamics in Michigan heading into 2020 appear to look identical to the dynamics that played out in the 2018
election.
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o Motivation to vote is the same, or slightly higher, than motivation to vote in late October of the 2018 election – and
drastically different to the record low motivation to vote that played out in the 2016 election. Voters across the
political spectrum appear prepared at record levels of motivation to vote in 2020.
o The generic ballot test appears to be consistent with the generic ballot test in the 2018 election.
o The intense female disapproval of President Trump – particularly among Metro Detroit women – remains consistent
with 2018. College educated disapproval of the President also remains consistent.
o President Trump’s name identification, job approval and re-elect appear to be unchanged over the past two years.
o Both Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders lead Donald Trump at this stage by 12.1 percent -- identical to the 12.3 percent lead
held in the final week of October 2018 by Gretchen Whitmer over Bill Schuette.
o At this early stage in the election, Michigan’s political dynamics appear to mirror those of 2018 and not 2016.
President Trump’s Favorable/Unfavorable and Job Approval remains unchanged from what we have seen throughout his
tenure in office. Job approval remains at 44.2 percent-52.0 percent disapprove.
35.7 percent of voters would vote to re-elect President Trump while 51.2 percent of voters would vote for someone new. 44.2
percent of Michigan voters say they will definitely vote for someone new. These low re-election numbers – well below 50
percent -- are a particularly important sign of trouble for any incumbent elected official.
All five Democratic candidates we tested beat President Trump in a head to head matchup with both Bernie Sanders and Joe
Biden leading the field with 12.1 percent lead on Donald Trump – a consistent lead throughout 2019.
Kamala Harris with 64.7 percent name identification and Pete Buttigieg with 56.0 percent name identification each have room
to grow with voter perceptions.
Elizabeth Warren has 80.5 percent name identification, but appears to be viewed unfavorably by Independent voters.
Michigan voters are split on their assessment of whether President Trump committed obstruction of justice. But by a margin
of 39.6 percent-52.8 percent, they strongly oppose beginning impeachment hearings. 59.3 percent of Independent voters
oppose impeachment hearings.
By nearly a 2-1 margin, 46.8 percent of Michigan voters strongly believe that President Trump’s China trade strategy is bad for
Michigan compared to only 25.8 percent that believe it is good for Michigan.
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By a 2-1 margin, 57.7 percent of Michigan voters oppose a proposed law that would prohibit a specific type of abortion
procedure in the second trimester and charge doctors who use the procedure with a two-year criminal sentence. Only 30.7
percent of voters support the proposed law. 23.7 percent strongly support the law while 49.5 percent strongly oppose the law.
Hello, my name is _________. I’m not selling anything. I’m doing a quick survey of voters’ attitudes in Michigan. It should take
approximately six minutes.
B. Next year in 2020, Michigan voters will go to the polls to vote in the Presidential election. Would you say are definitely going
to vote, probably going to vote, probably not going to vote, or definitely not going to vote?
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2. Probably going to vote….CONTINUE 9.2 percent (55)
3. Probably not going to vote….TERMINATE
4. Definitely not going to vote….TERMINATE
2. CODE:
3. If the election for State House was held today, generally speaking would you say you would vote for the [ROTATE]
Democratic candidate or would you vote for the Republican candidate?
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4. Compared to four years ago, would you say you are better off, worse off or about the same as you were four years ago?
I am going to read you the names of several people you might have heard of. For each, please tell me if you have a favorable or
unfavorable impression of that person.
5. Donald Trump
6. Gretchen Whitmer
7. Joe Biden
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8. Kamala Harris
9. Bernie Sanders
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12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States? ASK: WOULD
THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Gretchen Whitmer as Governor of Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?
14. Will you vote to re-elect Donald Trump as President, or will you vote for someone else to be President? IF RE-
ELECT/SOMEONE ELSE, ASK: WILL YOU DEFINITELY VOTE TO RE-ELECT/ELECT SOMEONE NEW OR WILL
YOU PROBABLY VOTE TO RE-ELECT/ELECT SOMEONE NEW FOR PRESIDENT?
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3. Depends/ Depends who Dem Nominee Is…DO NOT OFFER 11.2 percent (67)
4. Probably vote to elect someone new 7.0 percent (42)
5. Definitely vote to elect someone new 44.2 percent (265)
6. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 2.0 percent (12)
15. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Joe Biden was
the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU
LEAN?
16. If the election for President were held today and ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Kamala Harris
was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? ? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO
YOU LEAN?
17. If the election for President were held today and ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders
was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU
LEAN?
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1. Trump 39.0 percent (234)
2. Lean Trump 2.3 percent (14)
3. Sanders 49.7 percent (298)
4. Lean Sanders 3.5 percent (21)
5. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 5.0 percent (30)
6. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.5 percent (3)
18. If the election for President were held today and ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Elizabeth
Warren was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? ? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY
DO YOU LEAN?
20. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate, Joe Biden was the
Democratic candidate, and Justin Amash was the Libertarian candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T
KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?
1. Trump 35.2 percent (211)
2. Lean Trump 3.3 percent (20)
3. Biden 41.2 percent (247)
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4. Lean Biden 4.0 percent (24)
5. Amash 7.7 percent (46)
6. Lean Amash 2.0 percent (12)
7. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 6.0 percent (36)
8. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.7 percent (4)
21. Do you think President Trump’s trade strategy with China is good for Michigan, bad for Michigan or is having no effect on
Michigan?
22. Do you think President Trump did or did not obstruct justice during the Mueller investigation?
23. Do you support or oppose the House of Representatives beginning impeachment hearings against President Trump? ASK:
WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?
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24. Do you support or oppose legislation being considered in the Michigan State Legislature that would ban a commonly used
abortion procedure in Michigan during the second trimester and charge doctors who use the procedure with a two year criminal
sentence? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?
25. On the issue of abortion would you say you are more pro-life, pro-choice, or would you say you are somewhere in between?
26. Generally speaking, would you say you tend to vote mostly for Republican candidates, do you vote mostly for Democratic
candidates, or would you say that you vote equally for both Republican and Democratic candidates? IF VOTE EQUALLY
ASK: WOULD YOU SAY YOU LEAN MORE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY OR MORE TO THE REPUBLICAN
PARTY, OR WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE AN INDEPENDENT VOTER?
27. And on a scale of one to ten, with one being very low and ten being very high, how motivated are you to vote in next
November’s Presidential election? You can name any number from one to ten.
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SCORE: 9.5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 DK/REF
0.3 percent 0.2 percent 0.0 percent 0.3 percent 1.8 percent 2.0 percent 3.3 percent 7.0 percent 4.8 percent
80.2 percent 0.0 percent
30. Could you please tell me in what year you were born?
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5. Mixed Race…DO NOT OFFER 1.5 percent (9)
6. Native American 0.8 percent (5)
7. Other/ Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 5.5 percent (33)
32. Generally speaking, how often would you say you attend church or religious services?
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34. And where would you say you primarily get your POLITICAL news?
35. I am going to read you several categories. Please tell in which category your TOTAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME falls.
37. TELEPHONE
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1. Cell 35.0 percent (210)
2. Landline 65.0 percent (390)
3. If the election for State House was held today, generally speaking would you say you would vote for the [ROTATE]
Democratic candidate or would you vote for the Republican candidate?
Dem GOP
Strong Dem 90.7 percent 0.5 percent
Lean Dem 73.6 percent 3.8 percent
Independent 23.9 percent 22.1 percent
Lean GOP 6.3 percent 69.8 percent
Strong GOP 1.3 percent 87.7 percent
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Union 53.9 percent 29.7 percent
Non Union 39.4 percent 36.9 percent
4. Compared to four years ago, would you say you are better off, worse off or about the same as you were four years ago?
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Union 33.3 percent 27.3 percent 38.2 percent
Non Union 39.7 percent 23.7 percent 35.0 percent
5. Donald Trump
Out State 40.6 percent 49.1 percent 9.2 percent 0.0 percent
Metro 33.2 percent 58.0 percent 8.8 percent 0.0 percent
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Union 32.1 percent 58.8 percent 9.1 percent 0.0 percent
Non Union 38.7 percent 51.5 percent 9.0 percent 0.0 percent
High School 34.9 percent 54.8 percent 10.3 percent 0.0 percent
Some Post 40.9 percent 48.8 percent 9.1 percent 0.0 percent
College 35.7 percent 55.4 percent 8.5 percent 0.0 percent
6. Gretchen Whitmer
Out State 35.2 percent 29.4 percent 28.3 percent 6.1 percent
Metro 42.7 percent 23.8 percent 27.0 percent 6.5 percent
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Union 53.3 percent 23.6 percent 18.2 percent 4.8 percent
Non Union 33.4 percent 27.8 percent 31.3 percent 6.7 percent
High School 34.1 percent 31.0 percent 25.4 percent 8.7 percent
Some Post 29.3 percent 25.6 percent 35.4 percent 9.1 percent
College 46.2 percent 25.2 percent 24.6 percent 3.6 percent
7. Joe Biden
Out State 40.6 percent 43.0 percent 15.4 percent 1.0 percent
Metro 51.1 percent 31.6 percent 16.0 percent 1.0 percent
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Union 52.7 percent 30.9 percent 16.4 percent 0.0 percent
Non Union 43.4 percent 39.9 percent 15.3 percent 1.2 percent
High School 46.8 percent 39.7 percent 11.9 percent 1.6 percent
Some Post 43.3 percent 38.4 percent 17.1 percent 1.2 percent
College 47.2 percent 35.7 percent 16.4 percent 0.3 percent
8. Kamala Harris
Out State 22.9 percent 29.7 percent 8.5 percent 36.9 percent
Metro 25.1 percent 27.7 percent 15.3 percent 31.3 percent
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Union 30.9 percent 26.7 percent 10.9 percent 30.3 percent
Non Union 21.6 percent 29.5 percent 12.3 percent 35.3 percent
High School 20.6 percent 29.4 percent 7.9 percent 40.5 percent
Some Post 17.7 percent 30.5 percent 9.8 percent 39.6 percent
College 29.2 percent 27.9 percent 14.8 percent 27.5 percent
9. Bernie Sanders
Out State 36.5 percent 51.2 percent 10.9 percent 1.0 percent
Metro 44.0 percent 38.1 percent 16.6 percent 1.3 percent
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Union 46.7 percent 40.0 percent 12.7 percent 0.6 percent
Non Union 37.8 percent 46.4 percent 14.2 percent 1.4 percent
High School 44.4 percent 44.4 percent 8.7 percent 2.4 percent
Some Post 36.6 percent 47.0 percent 15.9 percent 0.6 percent
College 40.7 percent 43.6 percent 14.8 percent 0.7 percent
Out State 24.6 percent 42.7 percent 16.0 percent 16.7 percent
Metro 25.7 percent 35.5 percent 16.6 percent 21.5 percent
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Union 32.7 percent 35.2 percent 18.2 percent 13.9 percent
Non Union 22.5 percent 40.6 percent 15.5 percent 20.9 percent
High School 20.6 percent 42.1 percent 11.9 percent 25.4 percent
Some Post 17.7 percent 38.4 percent 21.3 percent 22.0 percent
College 31.1 percent 38.7 percent 15.1 percent 14.8 percent
Out State 21.2 percent 24.9 percent 9.9 percent 42.7 percent
Metro 17.3 percent 18.9 percent 19.9 percent 42.7 percent
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Union 21.2 percent 20.0 percent 18.8 percent 40.0 percent
Non Union 18.6 percent 22.5 percent 13.7 percent 43.4 percent
High School 13.5 percent 28.6 percent 11.9 percent 45.2 percent
Some Post 12.8 percent 20.7 percent 14.0 percent 51.8 percent
College 25.2 percent 19.7 percent 16.7 percent 36.4 percent
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States? ASK: WOULD
THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?
Out State 27.3 percent 21.5 percent 9.2 percent 38.6 percent
Metro 26.4 percent 13.7 percent 8.1 percent 47.9 percent
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Union 23.6 percent 17.6 percent 6.1 percent 49.1 percent
Non Union 28.3 percent 17.4 percent 9.7 percent 40.8 percent
High School 28.6 percent 10.3 percent 9.5 percent 45.2 percent
Some Post 32.3 percent 18.3 percent 9.1 percent 36.6 percent
College 23.3 percent 20.3 percent 7.5 percent 46.2 percent
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Gretchen Whitmer as Governor of Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?
Out State 17.7 percent 35.8 percent 13.3 percent 14.3 percent
Metro 17.3 percent 30.6 percent 10.1 percent 9.8 percent
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Union 24.8 percent 34.5 percent 7.9 percent 10.3 percent
Non Union 14.6 percent 32.9 percent 13.2 percent 12.8 percent
High School 17.5 percent 33.3 percent 16.7 percent 12.7 percent
Some Post 14.6 percent 32.3 percent 9.8 percent 11.6 percent
College 18.7 percent 34.1 percent 10.8 percent 11.8 percent
14. Will you vote to re-elect Donald Trump as President, or will you vote for someone else to be President? IF RE-
ELECT/SOMEONE ELSE, ASK: WILL YOU DEFINITELY VOTE TO RE-ELECT/ELECT SOMEONE NEW OR WILL
YOU PROBABLY VOTE TO RE-ELECT/ELECT SOMEONE NEW FOR PRESIDENT?
Out State 29.4 percent 13.0 percent 11.3 percent 6.8 percent
Metro 24.8 percent 4.6 percent 11.1 percent 7.2 percent
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Union 24.8 percent 10.3 percent 6.7 percent 49.1 percent
Non Union 28.1 percent 8.1 percent 7.0 percent 42.2 percent
High School 30.2 percent 7.1 percent 8.7 percent 46.0 percent
Some Post 29.3 percent 10.4 percent 9.8 percent 39.6 percent
College 24.3 percent 8.2 percent 4.9 percent 46.2 percent
15. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Joe Biden was
the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU
LEAN?
Out State 43.3 percent 2.4 percent 43.7 percent 5.5 percent 4.4 percent
Metro 33.2 percent 3.9 percent 51.8 percent 5.5 percent 4.2 percent
Male 44.4 percent 4.2 percent 40.6 percent 5.2 percent 3.5 percent
Female 32.4 percent 2.2 percent 54.5 percent 5.8 percent 5.1 percent
Union 32.1 percent 3.6 percent 55.2 percent 5.5 percent 3.0 percent
Non Union 40.8 percent 3.0 percent 44.8 percent 5.6 percent 4.9 percent
41
High School 39.7 percent 0.8 percent 52.4 percent 4.0 percent 2.4 percent
Some Post 42.1 percent 6.1 percent 40.9 percent 5.5 percent 4.3 percent
College 35.7 percent 2.6 percent 49.8 percent 5.9 percent 4.9 percent
18-29 20.0 percent 4.2 percent 64.2 percent 9.5 percent 2.1 percent
30-39 38.2 percent 4.4 percent 44.1 percent 10.3 percent 2.9 percent
40-49 45.2 percent 2.2 percent 43.0 percent 2.2 percent 6.5 percent
50-64 39.3 percent 3.5 percent 45.3 percent 5.0 percent 5.5 percent
65+ 43.7 percent 1.5 percent 45.9 percent 3.7 percent 3.7 percent
16. If the election for President were held today and ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Kamala Harris
was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? ? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO
YOU LEAN?
Out State 45.7 percent 2.4 percent 40.6 percent 3.4 percent 7.5 percent
Metro 35.5 percent 3.6 percent 45.0 percent 4.6 percent 10.4 percent
Male 48.3 percent 3.8 percent 35.8 percent 3.8 percent 7.3 percent
Female 33.3 percent 2.2 percent 49.4 percent 4.2 percent 10.6 percent
Union 39.4 percent 1.8 percent 44.8 percent 6.1 percent 6.7 percent
Non Union 41.3 percent 3.5 percent 41.8 percent 3.2 percent 9.7 percent
High School 40.5 percent 0.8 percent 47.6 percent 4.0 percent 5.6 percent
42
Some Post 45.7 percent 3.7 percent 36.6 percent 3.0 percent 11.0 percent
College 38.0 percent 3.6 percent 44.6 percent 3.9 percent 9.5 percent
18-29 24.2 percent 1.1 percent 60.0 percent 4.2 percent 10.5 percent
30-39 38.2 percent 5/9 percent 39.7 percent 5.9 percent 10.3 percent
40-49 49.5 percent 2.2 percent 38.7 percent 3.2 percent 5.4 percent
50-64 42.3 percent 4.0 percent 39.8 percent 3.5 percent 9.5 percent
65+ 43.7 percent 1.5 percent 40.0 percent 4.4 percent 9.6 percent
17. If the election for President were held today and ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders
was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU
LEAN?
Out State 43.0 percent 1.4 percent 45.4 percent 3.1 percent 6.5 percent
Metro 35.2 percent 3.3 percent 53.7 percent 3.9 percent 3.6 percent
Male 44.1 percent 3.5 percent 45.5 percent 3.5 percent 2.4 percent
Female 34.3 percent 1.3 percent 53.5 percent 3.5 percent 7.4 percent
Union 37.0 percent 1.8 percent 54.5 percent 4.8 percent 1.2 percent
Non Union 40.1 percent 2.6 percent 47.6 percent 3.0 percent 6.3 percent
High School 36.5 percent 0.8 percent 54.8 percent 3.2 percent 4.8 percent
Some Post 42.1 percent 2.4 percent 48.2 percent 3.7 percent 3.7 percent
College 38.7 percent 3.0 percent 48.9 percent 3.0 percent 5.9 percent
43
18-29 21.1 percent 0.0 percent 71.6 percent 3.2 percent 4.2 percent
30-39 36.8 percent 1.5 percent 55.9 percent 2.9 percent 2.9 percent
40-49 40.9 percent 5.4 percent 41.9 percent 1.1 percent 9.7 percent
50-64 43.3 percent 3.0 percent 43.3 percent 4.5 percent 5.0 percent
65+ 44.4 percent 0.7 percent 56.7 percent 4.4 percent 3.7 percent
18. If the election for President were held today and ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Elizabeth
Warren was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? ? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY
DO YOU LEAN?
Out State 45.7 percent 1.4 percent 39.9 percent 4.4 percent 8.2 percent
Metro 34.5 percent 4.2 percent 45.6 percent 4.6 percent 9.4 percent
Male 47.2 percent 3.8 percent 36.1 percent 4.9 percent 6.9 percent
Female 33.3 percent 1.9 percent 49.0 percent 4.2 percent 10.6 percent
Union 37.0 percent 3.0 percent 46.7 percent 5.5 percent 7.3 percent
Non Union 41.5 percent 2.8 percent 41.1 percent 4.2 percent 9.3 percent
High School 38.1 percent 2.4 percent 46.0 percent 6.3 percent 5.6 percent
Some Post 45.7 percent 2.4 percent 38.4 percent 3.0 percent 9.8 percent
College 38.0 percent 3.3 percent 44.3 percent 3.9 percent 9.8 percent
18-29 20.0 percent 1.1 percent 64.2 percent 4.2 percent 10.5 percent
44
30-39 42.6 percent 4.4 percent 35.3 percent 5.9 percent 11.8 percent
40-49 48.4 percent 3.2 percent 35.5 percent 2.2 percent 8.6 percent
50-64 41.3 percent 3.0 percent 41.8 percent 4.5 percent 9.0 percent
65+ 44.4 percent 2.2 percent 38.5 percent 5.9 percent 6.7 percent
19. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Pete Buttigieg
(Boot-Edge-Edge) was the Democratic candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK:
WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?
Out State 43.3 percent 2.4 percent 38.2 percent 5.8 percent 9.9 percent
Metro 31.9 percent 5.2 percent 43.3 percent 6.2 percent 11.7 percent
Male 43.4 percent 5.6 percent 35.1 percent 5.2 percent 9.4 percent
Female 32.1 percent 2.2 percent 46.2 percent 6.7 percent 12.2 percent
Union 37.0 percent 1.8 percent 42.4 percent 9.1 percent 8.5 percent
Non Union 38.1 percent 4.6 percent 39.9 percent 4.9 percent 11.6 percent
High School 39.7 percent 3.2 percent 42.9 percent 4.0 percent 7.9 percent
Some Post 42.7 percent 3.0 percent 38.4 percent 4.9 percent 10.4 percent
College 34.1 percent 4.6 percent 41.6 percent 6.9 percent 12.5 percent
18-29 18.9 percent 1.1 percent 60.0 percent 7.4 percent 12.6 percent
30-39 36.8 percent 8.8 percent 33.8 percent 5.9 percent 14.7 percent
40-49 45.2 percent 3.2 percent 35.5 percent 3.2 percent 11.8 percent
45
50-64 38.3 percent 4.5 percent 39.8 percent 7.0 percent 9.5 percent
65+ 43.7 percent 2.2 percent 36.3 percent 5.9 percent 9.6 percent
20. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate, Joe Biden was the
Democratic candidate, and Justin Amash was the Libertarian candidate, who would you vote for to be President? IF DON’T
KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?
Out State 40.6 percent 2.4 percent 37.2 percent 4.4 percent 9.2 percent 2.0
percent 3.4 percent
Metro 30.0 percent 4.2 percent 45.0 percent 3.6 percent 6.2 percent 2.0
percent 8.5 percent
Male 40.3 percent 4.9 percent 34.7 percent 3.5 percent 9.7 percent 2.1
percent 3.5 percent
Female 30.4 percent 1.9 percent 47.1 percent 4.5 percent 5.8 percent 1.9
percent 8.3 percent
Union 30.9 percent 3.0 percent 49.7 percent 3.6 percent 6.1 percent 1.8
percent 4.8 percent
46
Non Union 37.1 percent 3.5 percent 37.8 percent 4.2 percent 8.1 percent 1.9
percent 6.5 percent
High School 36.5 percent 1.6 percent 42.1 percent 4.8 percent 7.1 percent 0.0
percent 7.9 percent
Some Post 39.0 percent 6.1 percent 36.6 percent 4.3 percent 6.7 percent 1.2
percent 4.9 percent
College 32.8 percent 2.6 percent 43.6 percent 3.3 percent 8.5 percent 3.0
percent 5.9 percent
18-29 15.8 percent 3.2 percent 60.0 percent 3.2 percent 12.6 percent 1.1
percent 4.2 percent
30-39 38.2 percent 0.0 percent 38.2 percent 4.4 percent 11.8 percent 2.9
percent 4.4 percent
40-49 36.6 percent 5.4 percent 32.3 percent 4.3 percent 11.8 percent 1.1
percent 7.5 percent
50-64 37.8 percent 4.5 percent 36.8 percent 5.0 percent 4.5 percent 2.0
percent 8.5 percent
65+ 41.5 percent 1.5 percent 42.2 percent 3.0 percent 4.4 percent 3.0
percent 3.7 percent
21. Do you think President Trump’s trade strategy with China is good for Michigan, bad for Michigan or is having no effect on
Michigan?
47
Out State 28.0 percent 46.8 percent 9.9 percent
Metro 23.8 percent 46.9 percent 9.8 percent
22. Do you think President Trump did or did not obstruct justice during the Mueller investigation?
48
Metro 45.6 percent 39.1 percent 15.0 percent
23. Do you support or oppose the House of Representatives beginning impeachment hearings against President Trump? ASK:
WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?
49
Lean GOP 3.2 percent 3.2 percent 12.7 percent 73.0 percent
7.9 percent
Strong GOP 2.6 percent 2.6 percent 9.7 percent 81.2 percent
3.9 percent
Out State 24.2 percent 11.3 percent 13.7 percent 45.1 percent
5.8 percent
Metro 30.3 percent 13.4 percent 10.1 percent 37.1 percent
9.1 percent
High School 34.9 percent 11.1 percent 10.3 percent 37.3 percent
6.3 percent
Some Post 25.6 percent 11.6 percent 15.2 percent 44.5 percent
3.0 percent
College 25.6 percent 13.4 percent 10.5 percent 40.7 percent
9.8 percent
50
50-64 26.9 percent 7.5 percent 13.9 percent 42.8 percent
9.0 percent
65+ 25.2 percent 9.6 percent 10.4 percent 46.7 percent
8.1 percent
24. Do you support or oppose legislation being considered in the Michigan State Legislature that would ban a commonly used
abortion procedure in Michigan during the second trimester and charge doctors who use the procedure with a two year criminal
sentence? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?
Out State 28.7 percent 7.5 percent 8.5 percent 45.7 percent
8.9 percent
Metro 18.9 percent 6.5 percent 7.8 percent 53.1 percent
10.7 percent
51
Union 24.8 percent 6.1 percent 9.7 percent 47.9 percent
9.1 percent
Non Union 23.2 percent 7.4 percent 7.7 percent 50.1 percent
10.0 percent
High School 26.2 percent 5.6 percent 9.5 percent 43.7 percent
11.9 percent
Some Post 28.0 percent 7.9 percent 8.5 percent 44.5 percent
11.0 percent
College 20.7 percent 6.9 percent 7.2 percent 54.8 percent
8.2 percent
25. On the issue of abortion would you say you are more pro-life, pro-choice, or would you say you are somewhere in between?
52
Out State 37.2 percent 37.9 percent 24.6 percent
Metro 46.9 percent 27.7 percent 25.1 percent
27. And on a scale of one to ten with one being very low and ten being very high, how motivated are you to vote in next year’s
November President’s election?
SCORE
Strong Dem 9.6
Lean Dem 9.3
Independent 9.1
Lean GOP 9.5
53
Strong GOP 9.6
Male 9.4
Female 9.6
Union 9.6
Non Union 9.4
18-29 9.0
30-39 9.2
40-49 9.6
50-64 9.7
65+ 9.7
54