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May 2013
datawatch Summary
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FX, Interest Rates, Credit, and Equity Indexes p. 14 - 15 ICE Launches Four New Credit Index Futures ICE Launches Russell 2000 Growth and Value Index Futures NYSE Liffe Adds Equity Options on NSI N.V. NYSE Euronext Launches SME Marketplace STOXX and Eurex Repo Launch GC Pooling Indexes Tradition Launches ParFX Trading Platform Markit Announces Markit iBoxx US Non-Agency RMBS Indices Montral Exchange Launches Futures on Trading Simulator S&P Dow Jones Indices Licensed CDCC to Clear OTC Options Other Matters Wall Street Journal Launches Turkish Website Markits Portfolio Valuations Service Has New Risk Tools NYSE: Consolidated Feed for Level 1 Market Data Xetra Launches New State Street Bond Index ETF Markit Acquires a DTCCs Stake in MarkitSERV Markit Launches European Commission Management Platform ISE Presents New Options Exchange, ISE Gemini HKEx Announces OTC Clears New Founding Shareholders NASDAQ OMX Introduces Pre-Trade Risk Management Tools NYSE Liffe Welcomes KGI Futures as Newest Member Wall Street Journal Launches Moneybeat Blog Chi-X Canada Announces Pricing Schedule for CX2 IIRC Presents International Integrated Reporting Framework NASDAQ OMX Completes Acquisition of 25% Stake in TOM Eurex Deepens Dialogue with China HKEx and Anhui Financial Services Sign MOU HKEx and Chongqing Financial Services Sign MOU Clearstream and Standard Chartered: a Global Liquidity Hub ZEMA Market Dashboard p. 19 - 20 p. 16 - 18
Editorial
Since the 1970s, the U.S. energy independence has been a transferable torch to be carried by different political leaders from different political parties. This torch has led the bearers, either the elected presidents or just those in the making, to bright outcomes by solidifying their success. The independence, though, has yet to be achieved. Throughout the length of the long and winding road of the United States history of seeking an elusive energy independence, the only thing that has remained unchanged is the goal of reducing the imports of oil; all other parameters and drivers in this crusade have been revised, updated, supplemented or recycled.
Data News
Power Markets NASDAQ OMX Launches European Price Area Contracts NASDAQ OMX: Finnish and Swedish Week Contracts for Difference ICE Futures Europe Launches UK Electricity Futures Fossil Fuel Markets
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ICE Futures Europe Launches UK Natural Gas Futures ICE Launches Six North American Natural Gas Futures ICE Launches New Natural Gas Liquids Future ICE Launches Eight New Freight Average Price Options ICE Launches Four Crude Contracts for Brent and Dubai CME Group Adds New Fuels Futures CME Group to List Natural Gas Variance Futures NASDAQ OMX Launches Freight and Fuel Oil Futures and Options ICE Launches Gasoline and Distillates Contracts Platts Launches eWindow for European Propane Derivatives Platts Launches Price Assessment for Calcined Petroleum Coke Platts Introduces New OSPs for Nigerian Crude Platts Proposes USGC UL SHO Assessment NASDAQ OMX Launches Block Trades for Freight and Fuel Oil Platts to Discontinue Certain Dirty Tanker Rate Assessments Platts to Cease Assessments for FD NWE and FOB Rotterdam Styrene Platts Discontinues Shell Canada Crude Price Postings Platts Cease USAC Supplemental Gasoline Assessments Platts CFR Korea isomer-MX Assessments Postponed Platts to Refine European Steam Cracker Margin Model Platts Aligns NWE Benzene Forward Curve Month Roll Platts Updates Global Crude Pages in PGA Platts Aligns Timing Guidelines for European Propane Derivatives Platts Publishes AZRBOB Reflecting 5.7 RVP Platts Postpones Discontinuation of NWE T1 Methanol Assessments Platts Updates USGC Naphtha Specifications Platts to Update Crude Oil Marketwire Platts to Relocate Third-Party Oil Data in Database Platts to Relocate Certain Asia Crude Data Platts to Relocate Certain Feeder Crude Data in Database Platts to Relocate Certain US Crude Data in Database ICE Futures Europe Postpones Introduction of Additional Options New NGX CPA Amendments CME Changes Strike Prices for Henry Hub Financial Option Agriculture, Forestry and Metal Markets p. 11 - 12
Actual Weather (AccuWeather) North American Electricity Natural Gas Prices Crude Oil Prices
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New Data Reports for ZEMA Argus Adds Ethanol Assessment for India Argus Steel Feedstocks Argus Introduces Global Iron Ore Price Assessments Argus DeWitt Fuels and Octane Services Argus/HIS McCloskey Launches API 10 Coal Assessment for Colombia EPEX Spot: European Market Coupling Tests Begin Carbon Market World ETS Database Updates MDA Offers Power WxDesk for Weather, Load and Price Forecasting EEX-Powernext Gas Cooperation: PEGAS Launched Successfully OTC Global Holdings: Choice Natural Gas Hires Nicholas Ernst as Director of Weather Markets
NCDEX Introduces e-mandis ICAP Expands Soft Commodities Group NOS Launches NASDAQ Salmon Index CME Group Adds Iron Ore 62% Fe and CFR China DCE to Start Egg Futures Trading ICE Launches New Iron Ore Future Platts Ceases Weekly Japan and China Molybdenum Assessments CME Integrates with Kansas City Board of Trade Platts Extends Consultation Period on Iron Ore Lump Platts Clarifies Assessment for North American Lead Environmental Markets and Weather Services p. 13
In Depth
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Coordination of Gas and Electric Industries: Increasing Transperancy? Over the last decade, the electric power industry has been on an unprecedented rollercoaster ride throughout a whirlwind of market ups and downs, regulatory twists and turns, and environmental swings. Compounding all these strains is an unprecedented growth in natural gas-fired generation that is leading us towards something completely new and almost revolutionary: the coordination and possible integration of both the natural gas and electric systems.
ICE Launches Three North American Environmental Futures Weather Underground Introduce Earth Day Microsite AccuWeather Adds Seven New Apps to StoryTeller System AccuWeather Traffic App Includes Traffic News and Driver Data Final Date of ICE EUA Phase 2 Trading NOAA Updates Chemical Reactivity Worksheet Software
May 2013
Since the 1970s, the U.S. energy independence has been a transferable torch to be carried by different political leaders from different political parties. This torch has led the bearers, either the elected presidents or just those in the making, to bright outcomes by solidifying their success. The independence, though, has yet to be achieved. Throughout the length of the long and winding road of the United States history of seeking an elusive energy independence, the only thing that has remained unchanged is the goal of reducing the imports of oil; all other parameters and drivers in this crusade have been revised, updated, supplemented or recycled. The definition of independence has been revised throughout time. At some point, the ideal of independence was viewed as an independence from all foreign sources of energy. At other points, the ideal was to be independent from the politically unstable Middle East as the main source of energy imports. The ideal set of resources to replace the imported oil has been revised as well. At the start, the focus was on expanding domestic renewable generation (the first time the expansion of renewables was promoted was by the Public Utilities Regulatory Act of 1978) and increased efficiency in the usage of fossil fuels. This Act also forced monopolistic electric utilities to buy electric power from independent power producers that built the renewable-resources generators. It really did not work well. As it turned out, it was difficult to persuade investors to build power generators of a certain type and, rather expensive in this particular case in the absence of a free market supported by unbundled generation and transmission systems. The issue of developing a competitive marketplace for the power industry by separating two major lines of operations, generation and transmission, was solved in the 1990s; however, by then, the energy independence slogans had already faded away. Back to the 70s, the energy independence also was looked at through the prism of developing domestic oil resources. Untapping the largest U.S. oil reserve, incidentally located in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, stirred up a nation-wide public discussion on whether the preserved nature lands should be open for drilling. The discussion led to an expected, but unfruitful, conclusion the impact on wildlife is dramatic and the oil recovery solution is only incremental. After seemingly fizzling out for several decades, the torchs search for the universal solution has flamed to life again, popping up on political banners since the 2000s. Repeating the same cycle of the 70s, the push started for renewable generation supplemented by programs on increasing efficiency and diluting fossil fuels with vegetable oil in the form of biodiesel, ethanol fuel, and others. Recently, the burning question of achieving the energy self-sufficiency has turned back to exploration of domestic fossil fuels this time from shale deposits. And only to confuse investors further, the underlying definition of energy independence is being tested again: Is the energy independence ideal the independence from the regions with the unstable political environment or just any region across the U.S. border? This has huge consequence for the Canadian Keystone XL pipeline project. This project has been seen by some as a means of relieving the pressure off of Canada and the United States from the OPEC countries. After being approved by the House on May 22, 2013, the project now faces threats from the White House to be vetoed. Those who oppose the White Houses stand on it are wondering whether the reduction of oil imports now applies to the oil from the Middle East only or the globe as a whole (since Canada has not particularly been on the list of the hostile oil importers)? On the other side of the argument are those that see the reduction of imports from the Middle East (bringing declining economic conditions) as only accelerating and fueling up an already unstable political environment in the region. According to this position, the U.S. should maintain the present trading balance to ensure world peace. No doubt, most heated discussions about this energy independence torch are centered around environmental factors. For example, dirty and sandy Alberta oil that is expected to be refined at U.S. refineries may have a negative effect on the air quality, discarding the so-much-longed for reductions in GHG emissions. Meanwhile, the Alaskan government has just released, The Oil and Gas Resource Evaluation & Exploration Proposal for the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge 1002 Area, where the state authorities are attempting to push the U.S. Congress to authorize development of the regional resources. The reaction to this initiative will be a good indicator of how critical the environmental concerns are in the decisions on such projects and if this torch will continue to keep aflame.
Olga Gorstenko
Editor
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datawatch May 2013 NASDAQ OMX Launches European Price Area Contracts
On April 16, 2013, NASDAQ OMX Commodities launched a new suite of monthly, quarterly, and yearly Contracts for Difference (CfD) contracts, including both Forwards and Futures. The CfD enables traders from Continental European power markets to hedge the basis risk between the German system price and neighboring price areas by trading the relevant CfD. Initially, contracts are listed for the Czech, Dutch, French, and Belgian markets. For each area, there will be three monthly, three quarterly, and two yearly contracts available. For each market, there are three monthly, three quarterly, and two yearly contracts available.
Power Markets
For UPL contract specifications, click here For UBL contract specifications, click here
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datawatch May 2013 ICE Futures Europe Launches UK Natural Gas Futures
On April 29, 2013, ICE Futures Europe launched the following contracts upon completion of relevant regulatory processes: ICE Code GWE GWM Description ICE UK Natural Gas (EUR/MWh) Future ICE UK Natural Gas Daily Future
For GWE contract specifications, click here For GWM contract specifications, click here
Shown below is a comparison of prices and volumes for ICEs existing day-ahead natural gas contracts.
For Biodiesel RINS (Argus) 2013 Future contracts, click here For Advanced Biofuel RINS (Argus) 2013 Futures, click here For Ethanol RINS (Argus) 2013 Futures, click here
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datawatch May 2013 CME Group to List Natural Gas Variance Futures
On April 29, 2013, CME Group announced the listing of three new Natural Gas Variance Futures. CME Group has not released the date for when the contracts will be available for trading as of yet. However, they have announced that the trading venues will be CME Globex and CME ClearPort. These contracts are listed with, and subject to, the rules and regulations of NYMEX. CME Code Description VNA Natural Gas Quarterly Variance Futures VNS Natural Gas Semi-Annual Variance Futures VNQ Natural Gas Calendar Variance Futures
For VNA contract specifications, click here For VNS contract specifications, click here For VNQ contract specifications, click here For JER contract specifications, click here For SWS contract specifications, click here For SRS contract specifications, click here For JCN contract specifications, click here
NASDAQ OMX Launches Freight and Fuel Oil Futures and Options
On April 29, 2013, the NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc. listed freight and fuel oil futures and options for trading via its Block Trade Facility. The contracts will be cleared at NOS. NASDAQ announced that no American can transact in option contracts, nor can NOS clear any such option contracts for an American until further notice.
For AEB contract specifications, click here For RBA contract specifications, click here For UCE contract specifications, click here For GPV-GQZ contract specifications, click here
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datawatch May 2013 NASDAQ OMX Launches Block Trades for Freight and Fuel Oil
Since April 29, 2013, NASDAQ OMX has been listing Freight and Fuel Oil contracts on its regulated exchange, the NASDAQ OMX Oslo ASA, which can be executed through its Block Trade Facility. This is available for existing NOS clearing members that have an arrangement with a Block Broker Member or are themselves Exchange Members. All Block Trades executed must follow the rules of the Exchange. They should be submitted to the Exchange within opening hours and 15 minutes after matching, or if they are matched outside of these hours they should be submitted in the 15 minutes prior to opening hours the next day. Standard affirmation procedures will be followed.
Fossil Fuel Markets Platts to Cease Assessments for FD NWE and FOB Rotterdam Styrene
Due to market conditions, Platts is proposing to cease its FD Northwest European and FOB Rotterdam contract price assessments for styrene barges from November 1, 2013. Platts also assesses FOB Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp contract prices for styrene barges, however it is proposing to continue publishing this assessment. The assessments are currently published in Petrochemical Alert on PCA376 and in the Europe and Americas petrochemical Scan. Comments can be sent to petchems@platts. com with a copy to pricegroup@platts.com by September 1, 2013.
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Fossil Fuel Markets Platts Aligns Timing Guidelines for European Propane Derivatives
Effective since April 17, 2013, Platts timing guidelines on its European LPG derivatives assessment process have been aligned with other European markets standards. It is now necessary for spread positions for derivatives to be received by 16:15:01 London time and outright positions for derivatives received by 16:20:01 London time, in markets where bids/offers are submitted via eWindow directly. Queries on this can be directed to europe_ products@platts.com, with a cc to pricegroup@platts.com.
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datawatch May 2013 ICE Futures Europe Postpones Introduction of Additional Options
April 26, 2013, ICE Futures Europe announced it will postpone the introduction of 13 of their additional 22 ICE Futures Europe Options Contracts, which comprise five Oil Options and eight Wet Freight Options. For details, please refer to ICE Futures Europe Circular 13/063. ICE Code SWS SRS JCN PDB DBI WNU WSJ WMJ WSL WCN WGJ WAU WNC < 1ppm liquids Description Singapore Gasoil (Platts) Average Price Option Singapore Jet Kerosene (Platts) Average Price Option Jet CIF NEW Cargoes (Platts) Average Price Option Dated Brent (Platts) Average Price Option Dubai 1st (Platts) Average Price Option TC2 FFA- Northwest Europe to USAC (Baltic) Average Price Option TC4 FFA- Singapore to Japan (Platts) Average Price Option TC5 FFA- Arabian Gulf to Japan (Platts) Average Price Option TC6 FFA- Skikda to Lavera (Cross Med) (Baltic) Average Price Option TC14 FFA- USGC to Continent (Baltic) Average Price Option TD3 FFA- Arabian Gulf to Japan (Baltic) Average Price Option TD5 FFA- West Africa to USAC (Baltic) Average Price Option TD7 FFA- UK North Sea to Continent (Baltic) Average Price Option < 1 ppm liquids
Below is an average daily strike price for NYMEX Natural Gas EuropeanStyle Options:
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Together they will provide conservation planning assistance for farmers who supply bio-based feedstock to bio-refineries as the industry begins to commercialize. A conservation plan will be written for individual operations to ensure sustainable harvest of corn crop residues while boosting natural resource conservation and land productivity. CME Code TIO Description Iron Ore 62% Fe, CFR China (TSI) Futures
The graph below shows average daily settlements for NYMEX Iron Ore Futures.
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datawatch May 2013 ICE Launches Three North American Environmental Futures
On April 29, 2013, ICE Futures U.S. introduced three new North American environmental futures contracts, listed below: ICE Code RIB RID RIF Description RIN D4 (Platts) Future RIN D5 (Platts) Future RIN D6 (Platts) Future
Environmental Markets and Weather Services AccuWeather Traffic App Includes Traffic News and Driver Data
On April 10, 2013, AccuWeather announced its StoryTeller Traffic app will now include INRIX travel times, traffic camera images as well as real-time traffic, and incident information. With the incorporation of the INRIX platform, real-time data will be collected from hundreds of sources including road sensors, accident and incident reports, and crowd-sourced information from millions of vehicle and devices to deliver up-to-the-minute insight.
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datawatch May 2013 ICE Launches Four New Credit Index Futures
Effective May 1, 2013, ICE Futures US are being listed as four new credit index futures contracts based on the Markit CDX and iTraxx indexes. The new contracts are based on indexes managed and administered by Markit Group Limited. Two are based on credit instruments of North American companies (CDX North American Investment Grade and High Yield indices) and two are based on credit instruments of European companies (iTraxx Europe and iTraxx Crossover indexes). Each index measures credit risk five years forward. For their respective Contract Specifications, please refer to the links provided below: Markit CDX Investment Grade WI Futures Markit CDX High Yield WI Futures Markit iTraxx Europe WI Futures Markit iTraxx Xover WI Futures
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datawatch May 2013 Markit Announces Markit iBoxx US Non-Agency RMBS Indices
On April 10, 2013, Markit launched Markit iBoxx US Non-Agency RMBS indices, which aims to provide market participants with a useful historical dataset and continuing reference points to assess the returns of the US Non-Agency RMBS market. Included in the indices are 27 sub-indexes which are divided into four categories: Prime, Sub-prime, Alt-A, and Option ARM. The 27 indexes reference roughly 350 senior bonds from a portfolio of 22,000 RMBS issued between 2005 and 2007. The Markit iBoxx index calculation methodology is used for the new indexes, which are selected according to deal size, pricing date and the type/quality of the mortgages referenced in each deal.
FX, Interest Rates, Credit, and Equity Indexes S&P Dow Jones Indices Licensed CDCC to Clear OTC Options
On April 15, 2013, S&P Dow Jones Indices licensed the Canadian Derivatives Clearing Corporation (CDCC) to clear Over-TheCounter (OTC) options based on the S&P/TSX suite of indexes. This is the first license for clearing OTC trades in Canada. CDCC is expected to launch the clearing service via its Converge offering in June 2013. The licensing agreement between the two indexes provides the potential for improved risk management in the OTC equity derivatives marketplace served by these key indexes. For more information about CDCC, please visit: www.cdcc.ca
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Other Matters
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datawatch May 2013 NASDAQ OMX Introduces Pre-Trade Risk Management Tools
On April 16, 2013, NASDAQ OMX Commodities announced it will provide members with optional Pre-trade Risk Management (PRM) controls in Genium INET, subject to successful testing and regulatory approval. Members can have order-level control of their trading activity as well as the trading activity of their clients, including prevention of potentially erroneous transactions by using the PRM service. PRM has been tailored specifically for General Clearing Members needs, but the service also meets the needs for improving pretrade protection for any member. Genium INET will be upgraded to version 0230 from June 8 to 9, 2013. More details regarding this feature are still to come.
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May 2013
Monthly analytics for Power, Natural Gas, Crude Oil, and Environmental markets. Graphs prepared with ZEMA.
Actual Weather (AccuWeather)
Chicago saw temperatures rise dramatically in May with average daily temperatures all above zero and rising to a high of 22 degrees Celsius. Overall monthly averages saw temperatures rise across the country and overall temperature gap narrow as summer weather arrives. Despite the increase in temperature, May 2013 brought colder average temperatures than last year. In particular, average temperatures in Raleigh, NC, are down over 5 degrees Celsius year-over-year.
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May 2013
Monthly analytics for Power, Natural Gas, Crude Oil, and Environmental markets. Graphs prepared with ZEMA.
Natural Gas Prices Spot Prices (ICE) Henry Hub Natural Gas Forward Curve (ICE)
Natural gas prices in the New York region have exhibited less volatility compared to the past month. With temperatures rising, a decline in demand caused prices in the Northeast to be slightly lower in May compared to April. Transcontinental Pipelines Zone 6 delivery point saw price spikes in early April, which were caused by demand increases from cool temperatures in the New York region. As temperatures have risen in May, prices have shown signs of stability.
With unchanged fundamentals on the long-term outlook, ICE Henry Hub natural gas futures exhibited an approximately 4% change compared to the last month. An interesting development has been the decline in spreads in 2014. This likely indicates lowering expectations for demand in the future.
In May, NYMEX prompt month contract for Brent Crude Oil and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose slightly compared to April as Asian currencies recovered against the U.S. dollar. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent prompt month averaged around 100 USD/Bbl whereas WTI prices traded at 95 USD/Bbl. The gap between Brent and WTI prompt-month contract shrank to 5 USD/ Bbl, the narrowest in the past twelve months. Most industry experts believe that the Brent-WTI spread could easily widen back as a new growing glut of crude in Houston is starting to form on the Gulf Coast. Furthermore, U.S. crude-oil stockpiles have remained steady, according to Dow Jones Newswires. The spread has narrowed from 20 USD/Bbl back in November of last year to 5 USD/Bbl this month.
NYMEX Crude oil futures dropped in May but not by much. Brent crude oil futures for delivery in June traded at a premium of 8 USD/Bbl to WTI, which is almost 3 USD/Bbl lower than the previous month for June delivery. The Brent-WTI Spread of the NYMEX Forward contracts averaged 6 USD/ Bbl in May. Brent crude oil futures settled lowered as the market remains worried about the potential for oil demand growth as the preliminary Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index fell in China, suggesting a potential slowdown in Chinas growing appetite for oil. Against all odds, WTI futures ended slightly higher due to growing optimism about the U.S economy after positive remarks from the Federal Reserve Banks statements and an increase in the Standard & Poors 500 Index. However, increase in U.S. gasoline stockpiles along with the surplus in crude oil stocks (due to higher imports and refinery outputs with lower than expected exports) continued to put pressure on U.S. oil prices.
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MDA Offers Power WxDesk for Weather, Load and Price Forecasting
MDA Weather Services offers a variety of data and reports used throughout the energy, agriculture, and weather markets. In addition to providing the basic data products used by traders worldwide throughout these industries (historic, ongoing, and forecast temperatures, precipitation, etc.), MDA goes beyond the numbers to provide unique datasets tailored for traders in each industry. Product offerings include the new Power WxDesk. MDAs brand new Power WxDesk is a weather, load, and price forecasting tool, all within the same interactive dashboard. Not only does this offer an accurate forecast, but also the confidence, risk, and change to the previous forecast to help with any necessary decision making all on the same dashboard. MDA produces the weather end of the Power WxDesk while partnering with TESLA for load data and kWantera for pricing data. All forecasts for all variables are updated on an hourly basis so it can be assured that all numbers being displayed are using the most up-to-date information. The product is fully customizable as well, allowing the user to select only the RTOs or other locations of interest. Also, weather, load, and price all do not have to be selected one can pick and choose one, two, or all three. The image below is a sample of what the Power WxDesk interface looks like.
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OTC Global Holdings: Choice Natural Gas Hires Nicholas Ernst as Director of Weather Markets
Expands Leadership Team, Expertise Level to Better Serve Clients HOUSTON (May 30, 2013) Choice Natural Gas, a subsidiary of independent interdealer broker OTC Global Holdings (OTCGH), announced today the addition of Nicholas Ernst as director of weather markets. In this role, Ernst will facilitate global transactions for standard exchange traded products and highly structured transactions that combine both weather and commodity risk and complex weather variables. Choice Natural Gas and OTC Global Holdings have given me a new platform to expand my 11 years of weather markets experience, said Ernst. The companies commitment to growth and success, as well as their focus on maintaining boutique-style operations through partnerships creates a unique environment of collaboration that Im glad to be a part of. Prior to joining Choice Natural Gas, Ernst worked as the director of weather and catastrophic risk markets at Evolution Markets for more than 10 years. He also served in management roles at Enron and Bethlehem Steel. The addition of Nicholas to the Choice Natural Gas team reinforces our commitment to hiring professionals who understand the complex needs of our clients and can deliver the value added services required by todays rapidly evolving market, said Javier Loya, Chairman and CEO of OTC Global Holdings, the parent company of Choice Natural Gas. His hiring is also another example of how our aggressive business model, which is focused on bringing top-tier talent with niche expertise to our teams, further widens the gap between OTCGH and our competitors. Ernst is a graduate of Lafayette College, where he received degrees in engineering and economics. About OTC Global Holdings Formed in 2007, OTC Global Holdings is headquartered in Houston and New York, with additional offices in Chicago, Jersey City, London and Louisville. It is a leading independent interdealer broker in over the counter commodities and the largest liquidity provider to CME ClearPort and ICE Clear U.S. Through its subsidiaries the company holds a dominant market share in the U.S. and Canadian natural gas markets, the U.S. power markets, crude oil and crude oil options, crude oil products and crude oil product options, agricultural and soft commodities, as well as structured weather and emission derivatives. The company serves more than 250 institutional clients, including 45 members of the Fortune 500, and transacts at over 150 different commodity delivery points. To learn more about the company, please visit www.otcgh.com or go to http://bit.ly/OTC.
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In Depth
ISO New England, Addressing Gas Dependence, http://www.iso-ne.com/committees/comm_wkgrps/ strategic_planning_discussion/materials/naturalgas-white-paper-draft-july-2012.pdf 2 EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2013 http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/IF_all.cfm#natural_gas
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In Depth
Figure 2: Disruption of Electric and Natural Gas Systems from Cold Snap
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NERC 2012 LTRA Emerging and Standing Issues Templates http://www.nerc.com/comm/PC/Reliability%20Assessment%20Subcommittee%20RAS%20 DL/2012_Issue_3_GasE.pdf
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In Depth
A cold snap in February 2011 triggered 210 generating units in ERCOT to experience an outage, a derate, or a failure to start resulting in rolling blackouts affecting 3.2 million customers. Electrical disruptions in ERCOT also caused gas curtailments in New Mexico, Arizona, and parts of Texas that were outside of the ERCOT system. The event prompted an examination of the disruptions causes by the NERC/FERC Task Force. The investigation focused on whether the gas supply shortage caused the electricity production failure. The results showed that outages and derates in winter 2011 were caused by 30% production shortfalls in the Permian and Fort Worth basins, but were mostly due to electric equipment failures caused by below-freezing temperatures. A growing interdependence between the natural gas and electric industries has led to FERC starting an initiative in 2012 to improve coordination between the two sectors. The Commission is continuing to study the issues and is releasing quarterly updates. the discussion has even been brought to the attention of the U.S. Congress with two hearings held in March 2013. The preliminary results show that gas-electric interdependence concerns are more acute in certain regions. In some jurisdictions, this coordination is a novice concept while for others it has already been thought over, implemented and is being adjusted as the need arises. This difference depends in large part on the
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In Depth
NERC Reliability Standards require a layer of system backups to cover a scenario called a single contingency situation. Such backups have to ensure that no failure of a single piece of equipment (for example, a transformer or a large generator) will cause a loss of power. Known as N-1 (N minus one), these mandatory single contingency scenarios are frequently supplemented by enhancements involving two (N-1-1) or more equipment failures. Some planners introduce additional standards that require handling extra contingencies such as extreme weather conditions (referred to as a 90/10 load), the outage of the critical generators, limitations on the use of peaking generation units, and so on.
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In Depth
GAS DAY
Nomination Requests Received
Primary Firm Secondary Firm Interruptible
Intraday 2
Intraday 1
Real-time flow
Real-time flow
12:00 PM 6:00 AM
Real-time dispatch
ELECTRIC DAY
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In Depth
Fuel switching was the preferred option when the relative prices of gas and oil fluctuated, thereby offering various economic opportunities for power producers at any point of time. With consistently low natural gas prices and growing disparity between the two prices, power operators have less motivation to maintain this capacity as generating electricity from fuel oil can be double the cost of using natural gas. Switching to fuel oil becomes even more expensive since environmental and air quality restrictions, which differ by state, set limits on how many hours per year a generator is permitted to run on fuel oil. Violations bear fines, and in combination with growing fuel costs, the value of maintaining fuel switching capability is being diminished. Indeed, the mounting costs of using fuel oil restrict its usage to only emergency situations where it is the only option to guarantee the reliability of power generation. Incidentally, system reliability has the highest priority for operators; and, if a unit has to be online to ensure the uninterrupted generation of electricity, it will be put online regardless of the price. Some regions, such as the PJM and NYISO markets, already provide incentive or requirements for dual fuel. The PJM Reliability Pricing Model even uses a dual fuel reference unit to determine the Cost of New Entry for the wholesale electric capacity market demand curve that is used to set the capacity price. In NYISO, generators in New York City and Long Island are required to have alternate fuel capability under state reliability requirements. Discussions are being raised on whether government subsidies and incentives should be instituted for such generator types. Another consideration is the issue on whether fuel switching capabilities should be added to those gas units that do not currently have it, and whether generators already having these options installed should be required to maintain this capacity.
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In Depth
About ZE PowerGroup Inc ZE is an experienced software and strategic consulting firm that combines energy industry expertise with advanced software development capability. The company possesses deep industry knowledge and comprehensive operational experience. ZE is the developer of ZEMA Suite, a sophisticated Enterprise Data Management and Analysis solution built to meet the specific challenges of energy and commodity market participants. About ZEMA ZEMA is an enterprise data management suite designed for collecting data and performing complex analysis. ZEMA replaces fragmented data collection and analysis processes with a sophisticated, unified and automated data management system. Each ZEMA component can perform as an independent product; this means greater flexibility when integrating ZEMA into your organization. ZEMA is consistently ranked #1 for preferred system, #1 for ease of system integration, and #1 for customer service. ZEMA is easy to use and backed by our support team around the clock. Disclaimer ZE DataWatch is a report, comprised of data updates and expectations for energy and commodity markets and powered by ZEMA. The information contained in the ZE DataWatch is for information purposes only. Although ZE PowerGroup believes the information in this report to be correct and attempts to keep the information current, ZE PowerGroup does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of any information. Information in this report is not intended to provide financial, legal, accounting, or tax advice and should not be relied upon in that regard. ZE PowerGroup is not responsible in any manner whatsoever for direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, howsoever caused, arising out of the use of this report.
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