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Introduction of new products and data sources Delisting of products and datasources Potential impact on data Changes to data attributes, replacement of products
Summary
Editors Letter Power Markets MISO South, the Largest-Ever Power Grid Integration, Launched CAISO to Integrate EVs into California Grid Platts to Adjust UK Annual Power Assessments ERCOTs Load Forecasting Methodology Reviewed NYMEX Amends Western Electricity Futures Contracts Fossil Fuel Markets Dalian Commodity Exchange Lists Coal and Polyethylene Contracts Platts to Launch Mediterranean Premium Gasoline Swap Assessments Platts to Publish Daily West African Gasoline Marker Platts Adds Weekend European Gas Assessments Platts Adds New Mexico OSPs for US West Coast and Europe US Coal Industry to Use Argus Standard-Heat Coal Index Argus to Add New Series to Coal Daily International Argus to Introduce New Assessments to Freight Report and Data Feed Argus Adds New Toluene Code Argus Adds New Monthly Index Series to Argus Coal Daily Report CME Announces Contract Specifications for New Henry Hub Combo Futures NYMEX Permits Block Trading in Natural Gas Fixed Price Futures NYMEX Permits Block Trading in New Henry Hub Combo Futures and Gasoline Products Platts Discontinues US Midwest Finished Gasoline Assessments Platts Discontinues Oso Condensate OSP 4 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 NYMEX Delists Gulf Coast Heating Oil Futures Platts Changes Delivery Range for NWE Aromatics to 5-30 Days Forward Platts Renames European Fuel Oil Swaps Platts Amends USGC Naphtha Barge Assessments Platts Updates Intraday UK NBP Gas Prices Argus Removes Second Calendar Year for US Ethanol Series CME Updates Natural Gas Futures Contracts CME Lists Group Delivery Rates for January 2014 Natural Gas Contracts NYMEX Amends Product Titles and Floating Price Rules for Gasoline Futures NOS Clearing Updates Tanker Block Trades 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 Agriculture, Forestry and Metal Markets Euronext Announces Launch of Rapeseed Derivatives Complex Argus to Introduce FMB Weekly Sulphur Report and Data Feed Dalian Commodity Exchange Lists Agricultural, Forestry, and Metals Contracts NCDEX Launches New Gold Futures NCDEX Announces Additional Gold Futures CME Adds Calendar Spread Options for KC HRW Wheat Futures Platts Discontinues Base Metals Formula Prices Platts Removes Metals Daily Report Platts Proposes Delivery Port Change for Australian Alumina Platts Corrects Unit of Measurement for US Metals Symbol Platts Updates Japan Bulk Alloys Price Assessments Platts Revises Singapore MSFO Methodology Argus to Change Timing and Description of Renewable Volume Obligation CME Expands Listing of Contract Months for Corn-Wheat Products 13 13 13 14 14 14 15 15 16 17 18 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 21 21
Platts Ceases Japanese and Korean Fuel Oil Assessments 12 Platts to Cease Assessing Middle East M2 LPG Differentials 12 Platts to Cease Assessment for NWE Avg Styrene CP Argus Suspends Several NYMEX Gasoline and Gasoil Products Argus Discontinues Russian NGL Index Grades Assessments
January 2014
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CME Lists Group Delivery Dates for January 2014 Lumber, Soybean, and Metals Contracts 21 CBOT Expands Listing of Trading Months for Wheat-Corn Intercommodity Spread Options NCDEX Modifies Contract Specifications for Maize-Feed/Industrial Grade Futures
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Summary
Environmental Markets and Weather Services CME Lists Delivery Dates for January 2014 Emissions Contracts CME Delists EUA Futures as a Result of Union Registry Closure EU Emissions Trading Scheme to Remove 300mn Allowances in 2014 Platts Extends RIN Year 1 Expiry Dates Argus Updates European Emissions Markets Report and Data Feed European HDD and CAT Weather Contract Months Expanded FX, Interest Rates, Credit and Equity Indexes CME Permits Block Trading on Yen-Denominated Nikkei Stock Average Futures NASDAQ OMX Clears First Buy-Side Client Interest Rate Swap Euronext and Invesco PowerShares Launch NYSE Century ETF Eurex Offers New Index Derivatives Eurex Lists New Futures and Options on ATX, ATX five, CECE EUR, and RDX EUR Indexes New UBS ETF Launched on Xetra CME Lists Delivery Dates for January 2014 Currency Contracts Eurex and TASE Sign Derivatives Trading Cooperation Agreement Thomson Reuters Reveals TRust Index Fourth-Quarter Results Other Matters CFTC and Monetary Authority of Singapore Sign MOU Genscape Introduces Customizable QAP Plans and Readiness Assessments The Wall Street Journal Launches WSJD Website FERC and CFTC Sign MOUs on Jurisdiction and Information Sharing Platts Corporate Name Changed to McGraw Hill Financial, Inc. CME Expands Use of FIXML Regulatory Trade Block ID TOCOM Announces Revisions for EFP and EFS Application Procedures
January 2014
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MCE Ltd. Advises Platts of Intent to Join Asia Mogas Paper MOC
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MCE Ltd. Advises Platts of Intent to Join European Jet Fuel Paper, EMEA Mogas Paper, and Naphtha Paper MOC 31 EEX Acquires Majority Stake in Cleartrade Exchange EEX and Cleartrade Exchange Create Combined Global Offering Eurex Acquires Stake in TAIFEX Monthly Market Analysis Crude Oil Brent vs. WTI: Prompt-Month Contract (NYMEX) Crude Oil Brent vs. WTI: Forward Curve (NYMEX) North American Natural Gas Spot Prices (ICE) Henry Hub Natural Gas Forward Curve (ICE) Actual Weather (AccuWeather) Electricity: Day-Ahead Prices (ICE) News from Data Vendors New Data Reports from ZEMA PEGAS Volumes for December 2013 PEGAS: Powernext to Launch PEG TIGF/PEG Sud Spot Spread Contracts on February 4, 2014 Argus Launches Spot CFR East Coast India Coal Assessments IIR Energy Launches New NGLs Live Service Record Volume Recorded on EPEX SPOT: 31.6 TWh Swiss Stakeholders and EPEX SPOT Discuss Market Coupling on Swiss Borders EPEX SPOT Prepares for Internal Energy Market French Minister for European Affairs Thierry Repentin Visits European Power Exchange Middle Eastern and Asian Commodity Exchanges Turn Up the Volume 31 31 31 32 32 32 33 33 34 34 35 35 36 37 38 39 41 42 42 44
InDepth 45 45
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Editors Letter
way that is suitable for their interests, enabling them to focus not only on renewables, but also on nuclear, carbon capture, and storage and energy efficiency technologies.
The European Commissions GHG emission reduction goals were agreed on without much ado. Actually, the new climate initiative gives member states more flexibility in achieving GHG goals; the new, more flexible GHG goals have added a major reform of EU ETS, Europes emissions trading system, and have allowed surplus carbon permits to be curbed. Despite all that, this is the toughest climate change target of any region in the world. The EUs targets also set a baseline for the rest of the worlds countries, who are expected to establish national emissions targets before the global United Nations meeting in Paris in 2015. While Europeans went on with their analysis about whether the glass is half-full or half-empty and speculated about the impact their decisions would have on other nations, U.S. president Barack Obama delivered the State of the Union speech on January 28. His speech was very closely listened to by the energy industry and environmentalists, which is no surprise: several months ago, the U.S. president promised to take a tough stance towards fighting climate change, even threatening to exclude the deeply divided U.S. Congress from his decision-making process about climate change by taking on administrative actions. Well, things do change. Environmental issues actually came up in the Presidents speech as part of his discussion of an all of the above energy strategy which supports the development of all domestic energy sources, including natural gas and crude oil. The President called natural gas the bridge fuel that can power our economy and quoted $100 billion being invested in new factories that use natural gas. At the same time, the Presidents address posed the U.S. as a global leader in solar power generation, and promises were made to revise a tax policy that presently allocates $4 billion a year to fossil fuel industries. Other than that, not much was added to the plateno mention was made of promised administrative actions or the upcoming global meeting in Paris. One interesting remark was made, though, that the shift to a cleaner energy economy wont happen overnight, and it will require tough choices along the way. Whatever that means, it does not give the U.S. a clear vision of the governments action plan for climate change; the address also kept renewable generation as one of the last items on the agenda. n
Olga Gorstenko
Editor Olga Gorstenko Phone: 778-296-4183 Email: olga@ze.com
Advertising & Vendor Relationships ZEMA Suite Inquiries Bruce Colquhoun Bruce Colquhoun Have an idea for an article or would like to contribute to an upcoming issue? Phone: (604) 790-3299 Email: bruce.c@ze.com Phone: (604) 790-3299 Email: bruce.c@ze.com Write to us at datawatch@ze.com Have an idea for an article or would like to contribute to an upcoming issue? toof us at DataWatch, datawatch@ze.com To access previousWrite issues ZE go to datawatch.ze.com November January 2014 2013 To access previous issues of ZE DataWatch, go to datawatch.ze.com
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print, entitled the Vehicle-Grid Integration Roadmap: Enabling Vehicle-based Grid Services (VGI Roadmap) outlines three inter-dependent tracks to assess how consumer use of EVs could benefit electric reliability in California. The blueprint also includes tracks to help determine the policies and technologies that will promote a more reliable, sustainable electric grid. The VGI Roadmap will help coordinate EV charging with grid conditions; it will also help provide a mechanism for EVs to respond to the ISOs signals. In addition, the VGI Roadmap explores the potential for VGI services to be included in clean technology developments such as demand response, energy storage, and energy efficiency. CAISO collaborated on this project with the California Energy Commission, California Public Utilities Commission, the California Air Resources Board, the California Governors office, and industry stakeholders. The blueprint is a response to California Governor Jerry Browns executive order in 2012 to have 1.5 million zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) on California roads by 2025.
See the original announcement.
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January 2014
Power Markets
NYMEX Amends Western Electricity Futures Contracts
On trade date January 21, 2014, NYMEX amended the floating price and final settlement price rules for eight existing electricity contracts with Mid-Columbia and Palo Verde trading points. These eight contracts are listed for trading on CME Globex and the floor, as well as for submission for clearing through CME ClearPort. The floating prices for each of the contracts listed below shall be equal to the final settlement price for the futures contracts reported by the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE Futures U.S.) that are listed in the table. Final settlement price revisions to the contracts listed below will be considered within ten business days following the termination of trading if ICE Futures U.S. revises the final settlement price for the futures contracts listed in the table. Contract Title Mid-Columbia Day-Ahead Peak CalendarMonth 5 MW Futures Mid-Columbia Day-Ahead Peak CalendarDay 5 MW Futures Mid-Columbia Day-Ahead Off-Peak Calendar-Month 5 MW Futures Mid-Columbia Day-Ahead Off-Peak CalendarDay 5 MW Futures Palo Verde Day-Ahead Peak CalendarMonth 5 MW Futures Palo Verde Day-Ahead Peak CalendarDay 5 MW Futures Palo Verde Day-Ahead Off-Peak CalendarMonth 5 MW Futures Palo Verde Day-Ahead Off-Peak CalendarDay 5 MW Futures Chapter 935 936 937 938 939 940 941 942 Clearing Code MDC MDA OMC MXO PVD VDP OVD QVD ICE Futures U.S. Futures Contract Mid-Columbia Day-Ahead Peak Fixed Price Future Mid-Columbia Day-Ahead Peak Daily Fixed Price Future Mid-Columbia Day-Ahead Off-Peak Fixed Price Future Mid-Columbia Day-Ahead Off-Peak Daily Fixed Price Future Palo Verde Day-Ahead Peak Fixed Price Future Palo Verde Day-Ahead Peak Daily Fixed Price Future Palo Verde Day-Ahead Off-Peak Fixed Price Future Palo Verde Day-Ahead Off-Peak Daily Fixed Price Future
The graph below was created in ZEMA using NYMEX Futures Settlement data. The graph shows the PJM average Peak/Off-Peak Electricity futures against average real time prices in the past twelve months.
January 2014
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Benchmark Listing Price RMB 4,183/ton RMB 4,004/ton RMB 2,372/ton RMB 1,446/ton RMB 1,029/ton RMB 10,525/ton RMB 3,159/ton RMB 5,906/ton RMB 6,495/ton RMB 6,714/ton RMB 857/ton RMB 4,192/500 kg RMB 68.20/piece RMB 124.90/piece
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Platts Adds New Mexico OSPs for US West Coast and Europe
On January 21, 2014, Platts began publishing two new monthly official selling prices (OSPs). These OSPs are for Pemexs Isthmus crude loading from Mexico to the U.S. West Coast and for Pemexs Olmeca crude loading from Mexico to Europe. These OSPs will appear on pages 1063 and 1064 of Platts Global Alert and in Platts Latin America Wire. New OSPs include the following: MDC Symbol OS AAXKJ00 OS AAXJW00 OS AAXLY00 OS AAXLZ00 OS AAXLZ03 OS AAXNC00 OS AAXJX00 OS AAXJX00 OS AAXND00 OS AAXNE00 OS AAXNE03 Bates u u u u u u u u u u u Dec 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Frequency DW MA MA DW MA DW MA MA MA DW MA Currency USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD UOM Description BBL Isthmus Posting (USWC) BBL Isthmus OSP (Mexico to USWC) BBL Isthmus Constant (USWC) BBL Isthmus Formula (USWC) BBL Isthmus Formula (USWC) MAvg BBL Olmeca Posting (Europe) BBL Olmeca OSP (Mexico to Europe) BBL Olmeca OSP (Mexico to Europe) BBL Olmeca Constant (Europe) BBL Olmeca Formula (Europe) BBL Olmeca Formula (Europe) MAvg Location PGA 1063 PGA 1064 PGA 1063/1064 PGA 1063 PGA 1063 PGA 1063 PGA 1064 PGA 1064 PGA 1063/1064 PGA 1063 PGA 1063
January 2014
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Argus Adds New Monthly Index Series to Argus Coal Daily Report
On January 24, 2014, Argus introduced several new monthly index series to the Argus Coal Daily publication and data module. The series listed below will appear in the USCoal module in the DATA/DCDR folder of server ftp.argusmedia.com. PA-Code PA0013283 Time Stamp 21 Price Continuous Type Forward 4 1 Description Central Appalachia Nymex Spec OTC index month Central Appalachia Nymex Spec OTC index quarter CSX <1% SO2 12000 OTC index month CSX <1% SO2 12000 OTC index quarter CSX <1% SO2 12500 OTC index month CSX <1% SO2 12500 OTC index quarter Powder River Basin 0.8 8800 OTC index month Powder River Basin 0.8 8800 CTC index quarter Powder River Basin 0.8 8400 OTC index month Powder River Basin 0.8 8400 OTC index quarter
PA0013284
21
PA0013285
21
PA0013286
21
PA0013287
21
PA0013288
21
PA0013289
21
PA0013290
21
PA0013291
21
PA0013292
21
January 2014
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NYMEX Permits Block Trading in New Henry Hub Combo Futures and Gasoline Products
On trade date January 13, 2014, NYMEX began to permit block trading in the following new products: Product Title Gasoline Euro-bob Oxy NEW Barges (Argus) Crack Spread Average Price options RBOB Gasoline Brent Crack Spread Average Price options PJM Western Hub Real-Time Off-Peak Calendar-Month 50 MW Option on Calendar Futures Strip Henry Hub Combo futures
See the original announcement.
The graph below was created in ZEMA using CME Futures Settlement data. The graph shows average daily Henry Hub Swap futures (CME Code: NN) from March 2013 to January 30, 2014.
25 contracts
*Graph created with ZEMA For further details, see the original announcement.
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Diesel 61 10ppm (ULS) Nymex Heating Oil Colonial pipeline wtd avg cycle
PA0011566 2 PA0011566 2
12
Platts Changes Delivery Range for NWE Aromatics to 5-30 Days Forward
On January 2, 2013, Platts changed the delivery range for European benzene, toluene, mixed xylenes, paraxylene, orthoxylene, styrene, and methanol to 5-30 days. Affected assessments appear in Europe and Americas Petrochemical Scan, Platts Petrochemical Alert, and in the Platts market price database. Postings that will be affected include the following: Symbol AAOAX00 PHAAJ00 AASFD00 PHAFW00 AAOQP00 AAILD00 PHABD00 PHAAW00 PHABK00 HPACQ10
See the original announcement.
Posted Price Benzene CIF ARA Benzene FOB ARA TDI toluene FOB ARA T2 nitration toluene FOB ARA Styrene FOB ARA Paraxylene FOB ARA Virgin xylene FOB ARA Solvent xylene FOB ARA Orthoxylene FOB ARA Methanol FOB Rotterdam
January 2014
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These changes apply to the DHP and DHPS data files in the DUSPR folders and DUSB files in the DUSEthanol folder of server ftp.argusmedia.com. Argus will also remove the second continuous forward value previously added to these series. As a result, the series listed below will be terminated.
See the original announcement.
PA-Code
Description Ethanol RIN calendar year Ethanol RIN calendar year Biodiesel RIN calendar year Biodiesel RIN calendar year Cellulosic RIN calendar year Cellulosic RIN calendar year Advanced Biofuels RIN calendar year Advanced Biofuels RIN calendar year
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Florida Gas Zone 2 Florida Gas Zone 3 NGPL TexOk OneOk, Oklahoma PG&E Citygate Southern Natural Louisiana Trunkline Louisiana To view a full list of affected contracts,
see the original announcement.
CME Lists Group Delivery Rates for January 2014 Natural Gas Contracts
On December 30, 2013, CME listed the following relevant delivery dates for January 2014 CBOT, NYMEX, and DME natural gas contracts: CBOT Products Ethanol (EH) First Position (Optional) Dec 30 (Dec 26) First Intent Dec 30 First Delivery Jan 2 Last Trade Jan 6 Last Intent Jan 7 Last Delivery Jan 8
NYMEX: January Energy Contracts Products REBCO (RE) Light Sweet Crude Oil (CL)/Gulf Coast Sour Crude Oil (MB) Western Canadian Select (WCS) Crude Oil (WCE) Coal (QL) Natural Gas (NG)/Henry Hub Natural Gas Last Day Physically-Delivered (MNG) Heating Oil (HO)/RBOB Gasoline (RB) Polypropylene (P1)/Polyethylene (P6) Conway Physical Propane In-Well (OPIS) (CPP) Mont Belvieu: Iso-Butane (3L)/Normal Butane (3M)/LDH Propane (3N)/Non-LDH Propane (3P)/Ethane (3Q)/Natural Gasoline (3R)/Spot Ethylene In-Well (MBE) Last Trade Dec 12 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 31 Dec 31 Jan 30 Jan 30 Allocation of Notice Deliveries Day Dec 13 Dec 20 Dec 20 Dec 27 Dec 30 Jan 2 Jan 2 Jan 30 Jan 30 First Delivery Last Delivery Jan 31 Jan 31 Jan 31 Jan 31 Jan 31 Jan 30 Jan 21 Jan 31 Jan 31
Dec 16 Jan 1 Dec 23 Jan 1 Dec 20 Jan 1 Dec 27 Jan 1 Dec 10 Jan 1 Jan 3 Jan 3 Jan 31 Jan 30 Jan 9 Jan 7 Jan 31 Jan 31
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Allocation of Notice Day First Delivery Last Delivery Deliveries Jan 15 Jan 22 Jan 17 Jan 29 Jan 30 Jan 16 Jan 23 Jan 17 Jan 29 Jan 30 Feb 1 Feb 1 Feb 1 Feb 1 Feb 1 Feb 28 Feb 28 Feb 28 Feb 28 Feb 28
Allocation of Notice Day First Delivery Last Delivery Deliveries Dec 2 Jan 2 Dec 3 Jan 3 Jan 1 Feb 1 Jan 31 Feb 28
NYMEX Amends Product Titles and Floating Price Rules for Gasoline Futures
Effective on January 31, 2014 and beginning with the January 2014 contract month, NYMEX will amend product titles and floating price rules for Group Three Unleaded Gasoline (Platts) futures (commodity code A9) and Group Three Unleaded Gasoline (Platts) vs. RBOB futures (commodity code A8). CME is implementing these amendments as a result of a phase-out of the existing grade of unleaded gasoline, which is being replaced by a sub-octane gasoline grade that specifies the addition of a 10% blend of ethanol. The following product titles will be updated: Chapter 322 323
January 2014
Old Product Title Group Three Unleaded Gasoline (Platts) Futures Group Three Unleaded Gasoline (Platts) vs. RBOB Gasoline Futures
New Product Title Group Three Sub-octane Gasoline (Platts) Futures Group Three Sub-octane Gasoline (Platts) vs. RBOB Gasoline Futures
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323.02
January 2014
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C1501 Contract J1501 Contract JM1501 Contract L1501 Contract M1501 Contract P1501 Contract V1501 Contract Y1501 Contract I1501 Contract JD1501 Contract FB1501 Contract BB1501 Contract
January 2014
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Price limits Position limits Trading hours Venues Last trade date Daily and final settlement
See the original announcement.
January 2014
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into Japan, with 75-79% silicon, normalized to 75% Si, maximum 2% aluminum, 0.02% sulfur, 0.2% carbon, 0.05% phosphorous, lumps 10-100 mm, packed in 1 mt big bags in seagoing 20-foot (18-24-mt) containers, CIF main port Japan. Assessed in dollars per metric ton, reflecting the narrow range where the majority of business is occurring. Payment cash against documents or LC at site, loading less than 60 days after the date of transaction. Minimum volume 100 mt per transaction. Assessment made Thursdays or closest business day from survey of producers, traders and end-users in the steel and other metal sectors. Silicomanganese 65% CIF Japan (MMAJG00): Weekly assessment of the repeatable, tradable, spot price for 65-70% Mn, normalized to 65% Mn; silicon 14-20%, carbon maximum 2-2.5%, phosphorous maximum 0.3%, sulfur maximum 0.02%, boron maximum 0.02%, lump size 10-55 mm, in bulk or super sacks, all origins. Price is assessed in $/mt Mn contained, reflecting the narrow price range where the majority of business is occurring, basis CIF main Japanese ports of Yokohama, Nagoya and Osaka, loading within 60 days from the date of transaction, net 30-days payment terms from date of delivery. The assessment will reflect minimum quantities of 100 mt or greater. Assessment made Thursdays or closest business day from survey of producers, traders and end-users in the steel sector.
See the original announcement.
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QCW
CORNWHEATH INTER CALNDR SPRD OPTION CORN4 months 10 months of March, WHEAT of Jul, Dec May, July, Sep, and SNYTHETIC Dec COMBO
CME Lists Group Delivery Dates for January 2014 Lumber, Soybean, and Metals Contracts
On December 30, 2013, CME listed the following relevant delivery dates for January 2014 CME, CBOT, and NYMEX/COMEX lumber, soybean, and metals contracts: CME Products Lumber (LB) CBOT Products First Position (Optional) First Intent First Delivery Jan 2 Jan 2 Last Trade Last Intent Jan 14 Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 23 Last Delivery Jan 16 Jan 24 First Holding Jan 2 First First Last Last Last Intent Delivery Trade Intent Delivery Jan 16 Jan 16 Jan 15 Jan 31 Feb 25
Soybean (S)/Mini-Soybean (YK)/Soybean Dec 30 (Dec 26) Dec 30 Meal (06)/Distillers Dried Grain (DDG) Soybean Oil (07)/Rough Rice (14) Dec 30 (Dec 26) Dec 30 NYMEX/COMEX: Metals Products Gold (GC)/Silver (SI)/1000-oz Silver (SIL)/ Copper (HG)/Palladium (PA)/Platinum (PL)
See the original announcement.
January 2014
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To view contract specifications for wheat futures expiring in January, February, March, and April 2014,
see the original announcement.
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Date of Date of Contract Contract +1 Business Day Jan 2 Jan 6 Feb 3 Feb 5
January 2014
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Products in the following table previously had the following listing schedule: HDD: Minimum of two, and maximum of seven, consecutive calendar months (Oct-Apr) in a strip, for 1 season. These products will now have this listing schedule: HDD: Minimum of two, and maximum of seven, consecutive calendar months (Oct-Apr) in a strip, for the next 3 seasons. Code Clearing/Globex D0V, D0X, D0Z, D0F, D0G, D0H D1V, D1X, D1Z, D1F, D1G, D1H D2V, D2X, D2Z, D2F, D2G, D2H D3V, D3X, D3Z, D3F, D3G, D3H D4V, D4X, D4Z, D4F, D4G, D4H D5V, D5X, D5Z, D5F, D5G, D5H D9V, D9X, D9Z, D9F, D9G, D9H DQV, DQX, DQZ, DQF, DQG, DQH D8V, D8X, D8Z, D8F, D8G, D8H D6V, D6X, D6Z, D6F, D6G, D6H D7V, D7X, D7Z, D7F, D7G, D7H Title London Heating Seasonal Strip Future Paris Heating Seasonal Strip Future Amsterdam Heating Seasonal Strip Future Berlin Heating Seasonal Strip Future Essen Heating Seasonal Strip Future Stockholm Heating Seasonal Strip Future Rome Heating Seasonal Strip Future Madrid Heating Seasonal Strip Future Barcelona Heating Seasonal Strip Future Oslo-Blindern Heating Seasonal Strip Future Prague Heating Seasonal Strip Future
Contracts listed in the table below had a previous listing schedule of 7 months (April-October); they now have a listing schedule of 21 months (April-October). Code Clearing/Globex G0/G0 G1/G1 G2/G2 G3/G3 G4/G4 G5/G5 G9/G9 GQ/GQ G8/G8 HL/HL B7/B7
January 2014
Title London CDD Monthly Futures Paris Monthly CDD Futures Amsterdam Monthly CDD Futures Berlin Monthly CDD Futures Essen Monthly CDD Futures Stockholm Monthly CDD Futures Rome CDD Monthly Futures Madrid CDD Monthly Futures Barcelona CDD Monthly Futures Oslo Blindern, CAT Monthly Futures Prague CDD Monthly Futures
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The graph below shows historical prices of monthly HDD futures for Paris, London, Rome, and Stockholm in the last four years. This graph was created in ZEMA using CME Futures Settlements data.
January 2014
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January 2014
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Product codes for new options are listed below: Index ATX Index ATX five Index CECE EUR Index RDX EUR Index Product Code OATX OATF OCEE ORDE ISIN DE000A1YD5P8 DE000A1YD5Q8 DE000A1YD5R4 DE000A1YD5S2
UBS (Irl) ETF pic-MSCI USA 100% Equity index ETF hedged to EUR UCITS ETF (EUR) A-acc
See the original announcement.
ISIN LU0875160326
January 2014
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Decreased fourth-quarter trust sentiment is attributable to a range of issues, including the record mortgage and LIBOR-related bank fines, penalties, and settlements exacted by U.S. and European regulators, the U.S. government shutdown, cuts to Asian GDP growth forecasts by the World Bank, IMF and ECB activities around capital buffers, debt, leverage, and risk, and the release of the approved Volker Rule in December 2013. For further information on the results of the fourth-quarter TRust Index,
see the original announcement.
January 2014
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January 2014
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Other Matters
TOCOM Announces Revisions for EFP and EFS Application Procedures
On December 30, 2013, the Tokyo Commodity Exchange, Inc. (TOCOM) announced rule revisions for exchanges of futures for physicals (EFPs) and exchanges of futures for swaps (EFSs). These revisions, implemented on December 26, 2013, were undertaken to streamline exchange application procedures. In EFP transactions, counterparties submit to exchanges to buy and sell orders that mirror off-exchange physical trades. EFP transactions are executed when the exchange accepts a counterpartys application. In EFS transactions, parties executing swap agreements enter a buy order and sell order at an exchange at the same price, contract month, and volume as the swap trade. TOCOMs revisions to EFP and EFS application procedures are as follows: Revision to: Pre-Revision Application Exchange-provided appliDocument cation form accompanied by a copy of the written agreement for the subject trade Application From 8:30 JST until 15:45 Period JST (15 minutes after the close of the day session). Subject to change when deemed necessary by the Exchange
See the original announcement.
Paper, and Naphtha Paper MOC. Expressions of interest to trade will be published as MCE Ltd. Comments and feedback can be sent to europe_products@platts.com.
See the original announcement.
From 17:00 JST until 15:45 JST of the following business day (Not including from 4:15 JST to 8:30)
MCE Ltd. Advises Platts of Intent to Join Asia Mogas Paper MOC
Effective December 20, 2013, MCE Ltd. has announced its intention to take part in Asia Mogas Paper MOC. Expressions of interest to trade will be published as MCE Ltd. Comments and feedback can be sent to asia_products@platts.com.
See the original announcement.
MCE Ltd. Advises Platts of Intent to Join European Jet Fuel Paper, EMEA Mogas Paper, and Naphtha Paper MOC
Effective December 20, 2013, MCE Ltd. has announced its intention to take part in European Jet Fuel Paper, EMEA Mogas
January 2014
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On the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), crude oil prices for NYMEX prompt-month contracts dropped by more than 3% for Brent and Western Texas Intermediate (WTI) by the end of the fourth week of January 2014 when compared to December 2013. By the end of the fourth week, the NYMEX Brent prompt-month contract dropped to $106 USD/bbl from $109 USD/bbl, almost equaling the past twelve month average. Meanwhile, WTI declined by $3 USD/bbl to $94 USD/bbl, the lowest level since March 2013. The Brent-WTI spread closed around $12 USD/bbl, $4 USD/bbl above the twelve month average. WTI was under pressure as U.S. service industries expanded at a slower pace than what was forecasted in the previous month and U.S. fuel supplies rose. In early January 2014, a government report showed bigger-than-expected gains in gasoline and distillate supplies along with tepid demandfindings that supported the decline in WTI prices.1 EIA reported that domestic crude production rose to 8.15 Mbpd, the highest level since September 1988.1 Also, inventories at Cushing, Okla. rose to 40.7 million.1 It is clear that inventories are high, but momentum is low. Although the market is supported by cold temperatures, temperature alone was not enough to push prices high in this well-supplied market. After months of disruptions in production, Libyan oil production rose to 600,000-650,000 bpd.2 In the third week of January, OPEC reported that global demand for its oil fell by 0.5 Mbpd to 29.9 Mbpd. OPEC expects demand to decline further this year, which will extend Brents slide.3
On the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), crude oil futures slid as strong U.S. domestic production and weak economic data coincided with weaker-than-expected Chinese data, a coincidence which raises concerns about the worlds economic state. Brent for March delivery fell by $2 USD/bbl and was traded at $107 USD/bbl, whereas Western Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures dropped to $94 USD/bbl for same-month delivery. From December 2013 to January 2014, crude forward contracts until September 2019 dropped by $2 USD/bbl and $3 USD/bbl for Brent and WTI respectively, widening the Brent-WTI spread to $13 USD/bbl. The U.S. Labour Department reported that the U.S. economy added only 74,000 jobs in December 2013, well below expected levels by 122,000 jobs. The labor participation rate fell to an almost 35-year low of 62.8%.1 The Labour Departments monthly job reports are closely watched by oil traders, as these reports show the economic health of the worlds biggest crude oil consumer. The Federal Reserve is scheduled to meet in the final week of January to review the economy and, perhaps, assess its tapering policy. On the other hand, the opening of the southern leg of the Keystone XL pipeline is expected to reduce a bottleneck at a key storage hub (the projected delivery rate for the southern leg prior to the end of 2014 is 520,000 bpd).2 This development helps alleviate a supply glut in Cushing, Okla. As a shale gas revolution has boosted U.S. oil output to record highs, a large amount of crude remains trapped in storage tanks due to a lack of infrastructure that can connect crude storage to existing refineries. Brent futures also declined after the preliminary HSBC China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index for January fell to a six-month low of 49, signaling economic contraction.2 This weaker-than-expected data concerns traders, as China has the worlds second-largest economy and has high energy demands.2
January 2014
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Although heavy winter storms and frigid weather conditions have been experienced in most parts of the U.S., California enjoyed mild winter temperatures. These mild temperatures caused a moderate demand for natural gas products in the West Coast; however, demand was very different on the East Coast. On the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), North American natural gas spot prices experienced unprecedented fluctuations in January when compared to the last month in three out of four major hubs: PG&E Citygate in California, Chicago Citygates, Henry Hub, and New York Transco Zone 6. From December 2013 to January 2014 (week ending January 21, 2014), monthly average prices surged in Henry Hub by 5% to $4.37 USD/MMBtu, in Chicago Citygates by 82% to $8.3 USD/MMBtu, and, most remarkably, by 191% in Trans Z6 to $19.4 USD/ MMBtu. On the other hand, spot prices for PG&E Citygate in California dropped by 3% to $4.54 USD/MMBtu. For the week ending January 22, 2014, EIAs Natural Gas Weekly Update reported that natural gas spot prices rose in most of the country, particularly in the Northeast, where record high prices were traded due to extremely cold weather conditions in densely populated areas.1 As a result, gas consumption increased significantly as temperatures fell drastically. From the third week of January to the fourth, total natural gas consumption rose by 18.9%, whereas the residential/commercial sectors in the Southeast and Midwest were driving the surge. In Trans Z6, spot prices jumped to an all-time high of $90 USD/MMBtu.2 The price surge along the East Coast highlights how a cold shock can cause demand for natural gas to skyrocket. The fact is, despite the pipeline networks high inventory levels, the network cannot meet demands in certain markets.2
On the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), natural gas futures at the U.S. benchmark Henry Hub in Erath, LA, rose by 2% in the weeks of January 2014 compared to last month. Henry Hub futures increased from $4.18 USD/MMbtu in December 2013 to $4.25 USD/MMbtu by the end of the fourth Friday of January 2014 for the following twelve months. For the week ending January 22, 2014, EIAs Natural Gas Weekly Update reported that February natural gas futures reached their highest level since June 2011 due to weather forecasts for persistent cold weather and resulting strong storage withdrawals.1 According to the Wall Street Journal, as the blast of Arctic air increased residential heating demands and caused gas futures to be traded at $4.463/MMBtu on Dec. 23, 2013the highest level in two-and-a-half yearsmany power companies started switching to coal instead of gas to meet peak demands.2 This switch to coal may have reduced commercial demand for natural gas although gas inventories were at a five-year low at the beginning of the month due to high demands.2 Lingering extreme cold temperatures kept gas prices high for the next eight weeks, but the MDAs prediction that warmer weather is on its way affected market speculations about peak demand.3
January 2014
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From December 2013 to the fourth Friday of January 2014, winters arrival heralded frigid temperatures across almost the entire U.S., except for the West Coast. The monthly average temperature in Sacramento increased by three degrees Celsius to 10C, whereas the monthly average temperature in Chicago dived by seven degrees to -15C, in Raleigh by five degrees to 3C, and in New York by six degrees to -4C. At the beginning of the New Year, the city of Chicago reached a record low temperature of -40C, but emerged from this deep freeze in the following days. In all observed cities except for Sacramento, this years January turned out to be below the two-year average. Comparing the past two-year average of January temperatures to January 2014, this year felt colder than the two-year average in Chicago by 9 degrees, in Raleigh by 4 degrees, and in New York by 3 degrees. By contrast, Sacramento City experienced a milder winter, as the past two-year temperature average for January was 2 degrees lower than that of January 2014.
On the Intercontinental Exchange, electricity day-ahead prices spiked in all the observed North American markets except the West Coast for the week ending January 24, 2014. From the previous month to January 2014 (week ending January 24), the day-ahead monthly average prices surged. Prices surged in PJM North by 207% to $115 USD/MWh, in ISO-NE by 60% to $181 USD/MWh, and in NYISO by 113% to an unprecedented $194 USD/MWh. By contrast, electricity day-ahead prices dropped in CAISO-SP15 by 7% to $49 USD/MWh as the West Coast experienced mild weather temperatures. In one of the coldest winters in decades, ISOs in the Midwest and East Coast issued notices about the impact of cold weather on generation and distribution. To fully grasp the seriousness of supply constraints, PJM sought to temporarily lift the $1,000/MWh price cap for generators. Following in PJMs footsteps, NYISO also sought a similar FERC approval to lift its $1,000/MWh price cap and compensate plants.1 Extreme weather conditions and unprecedented price volatility in Northeastern power markets made generators push for new mandates. The Northeast region reacted to these extreme weather conditions with upward spikes in wholesale power prices, the result of commercial and residential consumers struggle to procure natural gas supplies. The record-high winter peak demand along with unexpected outages of power plants and natural gas equipment drove peak electricity prices. Although many major natural gas pipeline projects came in service ahead of the 2013-14 winter, natural gas supplies to New York City remained constrained during extreme weather conditions.2
January 2014
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PEGAS: Powernext to Launch PEG TIGF/PEG Sud Spot Spread Contracts on February 4, 2014
Paris, January 21, 2014: Powernext announces the launch of a spot spread contract between TIGF and GRTgaz Sud delivery zones on February 4, 2014. This new product will be listed for all spot maturities on PEGAS, the common natural gas platform launched by Powernext and the EEX. PEG TIGF and PEG Sud spot contracts have been traded on Powernext Gas Spot since November 26, 2008. By launching the spread between GRTgaz PEG Sud and PEG Nord in May 2011, Powernext Gas Spot was the first organized market in Europe to offer location spread products corresponding to the actors trading practices on an anonymous and cleared platform. These geographical spread products have progressively been offered between all hubs listed on PEGAS ever since, contributing to the development of the liquidity of the European gas markets and the transparency of their price references. There is now a clear market need for spread products between PEG TIGF and PEG Sud. The supply of the south of France strongly depends on LNG imports, and with the connection
January 2014
from PEG Nord being regularly congested, volatility on these two hubs is comparatively much stronger than on PEG Nord. This new contract will help the 22 members of Powernext Gas Spot that are active on both PEG TIGF and PEG Sud to balance their portfolios in this region, comments Jean-Franois Conil-Lacoste, Powernexts CEO. GRTgaz supports the launch of this product as an efficient way to handle positions in highly correlated delivery zones, and also in the perspective of the creation of a common PEG in 2015, noted Guy Fasanino, Commercial Director of gas transmission operator GRTgaz. This new product is expected to foster liquidity, and improve the quality of the balancing interventions on TIGF delivery area, added Monique Delamare, CEO of gas transmission and storage operator TIGF. About the Pan-European Gas Cooperation (PEGAS) PEGAS is a cooperation between the European Energy Exchange (EEX) and Powernext. In the framework of this
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NGLs Live will utilize IIR Energys unique research methodologies to provide continuous updates on the P.E.C. status for new construction, capacity additions and expansions, and grassroots projects so that customers will always be one step ahead of the market. NGLs Live will provide a focused product for wet gas plants, fractionation units, condensate splitters, isom units, ethylene, and many other gas processing plants and units.
What Do You Get with NGLs Live? Comprehensive coverage of all existing and newly built natural gas liquids processing, transmission, storage, and exporting facilities in North America has been added to NatGas Live as an add-on feature to enhance consumers understanding of all things within the natural gas and products infrastructure markets. Intelligent and Comprehensive Content: Detailed plant and unit profiles Capital and maintenance projects Outages and shutdown activity Customizable outage, news, and project alerts delivered via e-mail, FTP, or mobile device
January 2014
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GasHotline: Your On-Demand Research Team Providing up-to-the minute information on the operational status of all major & minor natural gas infrastructure assets.
January 2014
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Areas
The German/Austrian market reached its second best result of all time and also hit the 2 TWh mark for the second time. In December, cross-border trades represented 15.1% of the total intraday volume. Volume in 15-minute contracts amounted to 207,041 MWh. In December, they represented 9.9% of the volume traded on the German and Swiss intraday markets. About the European Power Exchange (EPEX SPOT) EPEX SPOT SE operates the power spot markets for France, Germany, Austria, and Switzerland (day-ahead and intraday). Together, these countries account for more than one third of all European power consumption. EPEX SPOT is a European company (Societas Europaea) based in Paris with a branch in Leipzig.
The volume on the German/Austrian market reached a new all-time high, beating the previous record from October 2013 (21 670 182 MWh) by 2.3%. Prices within the French and the German market, both coupled with the Benelux markets within Central Western Europe (CWE), converged 48% of the time.
January 2014
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Swiss Stakeholders and EPEX SPOT Discuss Market Coupling on Swiss Borders
Bern, January 9, 2014: The European Power Exchange (EPEX SPOT), together with Swiss stakeholders, has held a press conference today in Bern. In the media briefing, the following individuals participated: Dr. Walter Steinmann: Managing Director of the Federal Office of Energy (Bundesamt fr EnergieBFE) Carlo Schmid-Sutter: President of the National Regulatory Authority Federal Electricity Commission (Eidgenssische ElektrizittskommissionElCom) Pierre-Alain Graf: CEO of transmission system operator Swissgrid Jean-Franois Conil-Lacoste: Chairman of the Management Board of EPEX SPOT Topics discussed included the creation of the Swiss power exchange, a function which is vital for the implementation of market coupling on Swiss borders. Market coupling is a tool for integrating physical power markets. It will allow Switzerland to better integrate into the EU internal energy market, a move which will lead to enhanced social welfare in all coupled countries. EPEX SPOT will establish a subsidiary in Bern, Switzerland to further facilitate communication with Swiss members and stakeholders. About the European Power Exchange (EPEX SPOT) EPEX SPOT SE operates power spot markets for France, Germany, Austria, and Switzerland (day-ahead and intraday). Together these countries account for more than one third of all European power consumption. EPEX SPOT is a European company (Societas Europaea) based in Paris with a branch in Leipzig.
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Areas DE/AT FR CH
The German/Austrian day-ahead market contributed its stable share of volumes, supported by the biggest and most active community of trading participants over all European markets. Renewables have become a generic part of spot trading in Germany. The German/Austrian Day-Ahead market stands as the European reference in terms of trading volumes, liquidity, and price signals. The French day-ahead market displays stable results in a difficult regulatory framework. The results are proof of confidence amongst market participants in the force of the free market. On the Swiss day-ahead market, a healthy increase in trading volumes continues. Reasons for this can be found in the new members on the Swiss market: After Germany and before Italy, Switzerland is now the second biggest EPEX SPOT market in terms of membership. Increased cross-border arbitration possibilities and ongoing liberalization over the past few years have also had a positive impact on trading volumes. Market coupling, a tool to manage capacity congestion on the borders between national power spot markets, is a core service EPEX SPOT delivers together with European partners. Under marketing coupling, power exchanges orders and available cross-border capacities received from TSOs are auctioned simultaneously. As well, the trade of power and capacity occurs at the same time, which helps ensure that the best economic solution is automatically chosen. Prices are determined no longer on a national levelthey are determined on a European level. Market coupling optimizes the use of existing infrastructure and increases the social welfare of all involved market participants. Since November 9, 2010, the power markets of CWE, including Germany, France, and the Benelux countries, have been successfully coupled. As a result, price convergence between the German market and French market was observed in 48% of the hours in 2013. The next step of European market integration, the launch of North-Western European (NWE) price coupling, will take place on 4 February 2014. NWE adds Denmark, Finland, Great Britain, Norway, Sweden, and the Baltic countries to the CWE region, thus covering 75% of European consumption. 17 partners from 12 countries have cooperated for two years to bring NWE into
January 2014
covering Germany/Austria, France and Switzerland, continue to climb. Overall intraday volumes increased sensibly by 28.6% year-on-year, underlining the relevance of intraday trading. In light of a European-wide transition towards renewable and therefore often intermittent power sources, trading participants more and more ask for flexible short-term trading platforms. ComXerv, the intraday trading system used by EPEX SPOT, allows for seamless cross-border trading. The launch of intraday cross-border trading took place between France and Germany on December 14, 2010. The Austrian intraday market debuted in October 2012 and was instantly connected to Germany and France. The same applies for the Swiss market, which launched on June 26, 2013. In so doing, the Swiss Intraday market benefits from tight integration with the French, German, and Austrian market. Over the year 2013, cross-border trades between all four markets accounted for 16.5% of traded volume on ComXerv; the year before, traded volume was 13.5%. EPEX SPOT helps facilitate German energy transition. Since December 14, 2011, flexible 15-minute contracts can be traded on the German market. These contracts allow members to balance their portfolios every 15 minutes. With the launch of the Swiss intraday market, 15-minute contracts were extended to Switzerland, with the possibility of cross-border trade with Germany.
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French Minister for European Affairs Thierry Repentin Visits European Power Exchange
Paris, January 23, 2014: The French Minister for European Affairs, Thierry Repentin, recently visited the European Power Exchange (EPEX SPOT). The visit took place on January 22, on the occasion of the Franco-German day marking the 51st anniversary of the lyse Treaty. The visit also followed an announcement by French President Franois Hollande to strengthen Franco-German cooperation in the energy sector. Jean-Franois Conil-Lacoste, Chairman of the Management Board of EPEX SPOT, explained the functioning of the power exchange and the relevance of price formation in Europes wholesale power markets. After his tour at the European Power Exchange, Thierry Repentin praised EPEX SPOT as a key actor facilitating cooperation between Germany and France in the energy sector: EPEX SPOT and the French-German Office for Renewable Energy illustrate the innovative potential of our two countries regarding cooperation in the energy sector. Both can build European initiatives to strengthen the energy market. Jean-Franois Conil-Lacoste said: The European Power Exchange relies on a strong basis which was built by a trusting partnership between French and German entrepreneurs five years ago. Since then, our Franco-German DNA has evolved into a truly European one. This is the basis for integrating European power markets. Sven Rsner, Deputy Director of the French-German Office for Renewable Energy, added: Renewables have become a natural part of the power system. EPEX SPOT has proven its fundamental role in market integration of renewables. Enhanced Franco-German cooperation in terms of renewables will facilitate the energy transition in both countries. About the European Power Exchange (EPEX SPOT) EPEX SPOT SE was created by the merging of the power spot activities (day-ahead and intraday) of French and the German energy exchanges. Both power wholesale markets, together with Swiss and Austrian wholesale markets, have been operated under one common roof ever since. Jointly, these countries account for more than one third of all European power consumption. EPEX SPOT is a European company (Societas Europaea) based in Paris with branches in Leipzig and Vienna. In 2013, 346 TWh was traded on EPEX SPOTs markets. About the French-German Office for Renewable Energies The French-German Office for Renewable Energies is a French-German association in charge of promoting renewable energies, building connections between French and German actors in the sector, and exchanging information and best practices between France and Germany. The office is supported by professional associations and companies from both countries and is based within the ministries in charge of energy in France and Germany.
January 2014
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Emerging markets in the Middle East and Asia are growing faster than markets in the western world, partly due to their large infrastructure projects and subsequent need for imported commodities. Commodity market participants in the Middle East and China, like their Western counterparts, trade on both physical and financial exchanges in order to improve market liquidity. Despite their somewhat recent emergence, commodity exchanges in the Middle East and Asia are set to make a significant global impact, due in part to their expanded product offerings.
wheat, and eggs. Futures exchanges then spread to the U.K. as a result of the steamship, which was used to transport cotton across the Atlantic. Steamships reduced the amount of time required for cotton delivery from two months to two weeks. The steamship allowed for a much more rapid transfer of cotton samples and information, such that before cotton even arrived in the U.K., supply and demand conditions were already being evaluated by merchants based on incoming shipmentsa precursor to modern futures trading. By the end of 1880, five cotton exchanges (New York, New Orleans, Liverpool, Havre, and Alexandria) were connected by a transatlantic cable. Technological developments such as the steamship and transatlantic cable enabled traders in the U.S. and U.K. to evaluate future supply and demand conditions prior to the arrival of incoming commodity shipments and make trading decisions accordingly. As part of this trend, the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT)
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was established in the U.S in 1848. The CBOT was a central marketplace for trade where buyers and sellers could meet to negotiate and formalize forward contracts, or contracts for future commodity shipments. The performance of early twentieth century futures markets remains relatively unexplored because of the limited availability of appropriate trade information. However, in the mid-twentieth century, futures exchanges in the U.S. and Europe entered a period of decline. Between 1940 and 1970 in the U.S., government interventions brought about a decline in global agricultural commodity markets through the introduction of farm bills. Farm bills were first created during theGreat Depressionto give financial assistance to farmers, who were struggling due to an excess crop supply that created low prices for agricultural products. Farm bills were also introduced to control the food supply in the U.S. Although well-intentioned, these farm bills made futures contracts redundant. Similar to farm bills in the U.S., the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) had a similar effect on European markets. In the Middle East and Asia, a variety of factors delayed the creation of futures markets in this period, including Soviet political influence, Eastern European control, and strong state control. The resurrection of futures exchanges came about in the 1970s in the U.S. During the 1960s, the U.S. Federal Reserve began pursuing expansionary monetary policies for domestic reasons, paying little attention to growing balance-of-payments deficits. Consequently, there was a growth of global liquidity and an upsurge in commodity prices. This growth caused the Bretton Woods, an arrangement in Western countries and Japan which provided a system of fixed exchange rates, to collapse. Following this collapse, numerous exchange rate and interest rate markets were created. For example, a crude oil market emerged following the 1970s oil crisis in the major industrial countries of the world, particularly the United States, Canada, Western Europe, Japan, Australia, and New Zealand; a gold market developed following the delinking of gold prices from the dollar; and global exchange rates fluctuated, creating the need for an exchange and interest rate market. As many diverse markets emerged globally, the need for enhanced price discovery and risk management processes increased. The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) was formed in 1975 to regulate the rapid expansion of futures trading and the financial instruments employed in futures markets. Prior to this, commodity exchanges were self-regulated. As markets burgeoned, an array of financial instruments was introduced, including foreign currencies, U.S. and foreign government securities, and U.S. and foreign stock indices. In the 1980s and 90s, not long after the inauguration of the CFTC, the U.S. government decided to withdraw from regulating agricultural trade. As a result, new commodity exchanges were required to manage the price discovery and financial trading processes that had been previously regulated by the CFTC. Today, online commodity trading happens in over twenty major commodity exchanges worldwide, and many emerging markets are located in the Middle East and Asia.
Middle Eastern Oil Markets Growing: The Creation of the Dubai Mercantile Exchange
Emerging markets in the Middle East continue to grow as a result of the Middle Eastern need for commodities and the simultaneous expansion of products available to traders in this region. One market that is particularly expanding is the oil market, given the regions high volumes of crude oil production. Oil trading in the Middle East is growing rapidly; however, creating a centralized and efficient market there will pose a challenge, given many domestic energy producers high reliance on government subsidies and the dominance of the Middle Eastern oil market by national energy companies such as Saudi Aramco, Natural Iranian Oil, and Abu Dhabi National Oil. Nonetheless, several key global commodity exchanges have been created in the Middle Eastern market specifically, the Dubai Mercantile Exchange (DME), which will be discussed in greater detail below. Several key exchanges have developed in the region many of which have been important precursors to the DME. One precursor was the Dubai Gold & Commodities Exchange (DGCX), which was the first commodity exchange to emerge from the region. DGCX commenced trading in November 2005; today, the exchange is the leading derivatives exchange in the Middle East. As well, in 2006, the Iran Mercantile Exchange (IME) was launched; this exchange trades agricultural, industrial, and petrochemical products inspotandfuturesmarkets. In 2008, the Iranian Oil Bourse (IOB) was launched; the IOB features petroleum, petrochemicals, and gas products traded in a range of diverse currencies. The Dubai Mercantile Exchange (DME) was launched in 2007; it was the first exchange in the Middle East to add energy products to its standard set of commodity offerings. Now, the DME focuses on developing and trading monthly crude oil futures and financial contracts for energy producers, refiners, traders, and financial institutions in the East of Suez region. Presently, one of DMEs major goals is to have one of its productsits DME Oman Crude Oil Futures contract (OQD) become the crude oil pricing benchmark for the Asian oil market, given the lack of an Asian benchmark and the huge quantities of crude oil imported to the Asia-Pacific region annually from the Middle East. As the DME has grown, its importance to the global commodity market has been acknowledged by other
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noteworthy exchanges. For example, in 2009 the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) partnered with DME. Since 2009, CME Globex has listed DMEs products alongside three of the worlds largest crude oil benchmark products (WTI, Brent, and DME Oman) on its electronic trade platform. CME Globexs listing of DMEs Oman crude oil futures and financial contracts has increased risk management opportunities for Asian refiners interested in DMEs products, as the listing provides Asian refiners with refined hedging strategies. DMEs listing on CME Globex also helps establish arbitrage opportunities from traders worldwide (DME). In 2012 and 2013, DME delivered its best-ever trading performance. By 2012, DME had traded 3.5 billion barrels of oil since its inception, reaching a daily high of 12,648 contracts on April 25, 2012 (Global Finance). DME then set a new record for average daily volume (ADV), reporting almost 7.5 million barrels of crude oil per day in 2013, and posting a year-on-year ADV trading growth of 36 per cent (DME). New records in total monthly volume were also set in July 2013, with 162.4 million barrels of crude oil traded through the exchange (Gulf News). However, over the last two years, DMEs trade volumes have been fluctuating considerably, ranging from 1,000 contracts to 20,000 contracts between December 2012 and July 2013. This is illustrated in Figure 1 below.
Figure 1: Number of contracts traded on the DME (December 2012 January 2014) (Source: DME)
Despite these fluctuations, the DME is the most active exchange in the oil market. DMEs Oman Crude Oil Futures contract (DME Oman) is the largest physically-delivered crude oil futures contract in the world and is the sole benchmark for Oman and Dubais exports of crude oil. The majority of this oil ends up in East Asia: A staggering 40% of the oil DME trades goes to China, where demand for crude is increasing by 400,000 barrels a day (Global Finance). The graph below illustrates expectations that the DME Oman and Brent benchmarks will be on the same level in the near future. Historically, Brent has been the strongest benchmark price for purchases of oil worldwide.
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The DGCX launched the regions first copper contract in April 20, 2012. The introduction of this new contract is the result of a high demand from market participants as a result of ongoing infrastructure projects. Regional demands for copper are expected to continue to grow, with current figures estimating that over 600,000 tons of copper are consumed annually in the Middle East (UEA Interact).
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market participants have not been able to trade with many Asian countries, including China. However, all of this is changing quickly. Many Asian countries are breaking free from regulatory restraints in their push towards economic development. As they do so, they are quickly moving to the forefront of the worlds commodity exchange boom. New commodity exchanges are being introduced across the Asia-Pacific region as a result of surging prices of agricultural products, base and precious metals, and oil and gas. Numerous Asia-Pacific commodity exchanges have been created in the past five years. Launched in August 2010, the Singapore Mercantile Exchange (SME) was the first pan-Asian multi-product commodity and currency derivatives exchange. Since its launch, it has become the worlds largest commodity exchange as measured by number of contracts traded. Soon after, the Hong Kong Mercantile Exchange (HKMEx) was introduced in May 2011. The HKMEx trades commodity futures, options, and other financial derivatives. This same year also saw the inception of theChinaBeijing Environment Exchange (CBEEX), which hosts trading in the Beijing market. Figure 3 displays a full demonstration ofthe steady growth in trading volumes at the Shanghai Futures Exchange, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE), and DCE, formed in 1999, 1990, and 1993 respectively. Over the past decade, growth in trading volumes has been slow but steady as a result of trading growth being driven solely by domestic firms. Figure 4 above illustrates the exponential growth in ZCEs trading volumes, which quadrupled when compared to the same period in the previous year: the Shanghai Futures Exchange and Hong Kong Exchange (now owning LME since December 2012) both experienced respective progresses in trading volumes of 95% and 38% (FOW Intelligence).
Figure 3: The growth in trading volumes at Chinas three major commodity exchanges (20022011) (Source: Futures Magazine)
As many Asian exchanges are developing, the region looks far more promising for external investors. Liquidity is building quickly, and the regions exchanges demonstrate enormous long-term potential. For example, the HKMEx has recently begun trading in renminbi, a move which has allowed regional commodity traders across China to manage price risks better, since commodities are priced in a local currency as opposed to U.S. dollars or euros. The rest of China plans to make the renminbi freely tradable by 2015. This liberalization of Chinas commodity trading market will help the country capitalize on its own currency, which will be music to the ears of foreign investors who are desperate to enter the lucrative Chinese market.
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Figure 4: Chinese exchangemonthly volume (January 2005January 2013) (Source: FOW Intelligence)
Conclusion
There is no doubt that global commodity exchanges will continue to become more interconnected and complex as new markets like those in the Middle East and Asia emerge and evolve. ZEMAhelps energy and commodity market participants keep up-to-date on trends in emerging markets. With a robust library of historical and current commodity market data, ZEMA can help market participants track changes in demand and capacity across emerging markets. For more information on how ZEMA helps businesses in energy and commodity markets manage their complex data needs,book a complimentary live demonstration.u
About ZE PowerGroup Inc.: ZE is an experienced software and strategic consulting firm that combines energy industry expertise with advanced software development capabilities. The company possesses deep industry knowledge and comprehensive operational experience. ZE is the developer of ZEMA Suite, a sophisticated Enterprise Data Management and Analysis solution built to meet the specific challenges of energy and commodity market participants. About ZEMA: ZEMA is an enterprise data management suite designed for collecting data and performing complex analysis. ZEMA replaces fragmented data collection and analysis processes with a sophisticated, unified, and automated data management system. Each ZEMA component can perform as an independent product; this means greater flexibility when integrating ZEMA into your organization. ZEMA is consistently ranked #1 for preferred system, #1 for ease of system integration, and #1 for customer service. ZEMA is easy to use and backed by our support team around the clock. Disclaimer: ZE DataWatch is a report comprised of data updates and expectations for energy and commodity markets, powered by ZEMA. The information contained in ZE DataWatch is for information purposes only. Although ZE PowerGroup believes the information in this report is correct and attempts to keep the information current, ZE PowerGroup does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of any information. Information in this report is not intended to provide financial, legal, accounting, or tax advice and should not be relied upon in that regard. ZE PowerGroup is not responsible in any manner whatsoever for direct, indirect, special, or consequential damages, howsoever caused, arising out of the use of this report.
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