Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Acknowledgement
The project title REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRENDS IN NORTHERN INDIA has been conducted by me during 14th may and 9th July 2007 at Ansal Properties & Infrastructure Ltd. I have completed this project, based on the primary research under the guidance of Mr. Alok Agnihotri (General Manager, Marketing) and Mr. Vipin Sheoran (Assistant Manager, Marketing). I owe enormous intellectual debt towards my guides Mr. Alok Agnihotri (General Manager, Marketing) and Mr. Vipin Sheoran (Assistant Manager, Marketing), who have augmented my knowledge in the field of Marketing. They have helped me learn about the process and giving me valuable insight to understand how I can suggest new and innovative ways. They have provided me a true learning platform, and have been the perfect mentors, in giving me the necessary guidance regarding my project.
I would like to thank them in enriching my thoughts in this field from different perspectives. I would like to thank all the respondents without whose co-operation my project would not have been complete. I feel indebted to all those persons and organizations that have provided help directly or indirectly in successful completion of this study.
At the end, ANSAL API, was a great experience to work in, where I feel, the dedication of its employees is one of the vital factors of its success.
Executive Summary
Real estate is a 12$ billion (revenue) industry in India. There has been a rapid growth in the industry in the past few years. In the residential sector, a growing middle class is enjoying rising income levels. Combined with smaller household sizes, this demographic change has boosted demand for more modern housing and home loans. Meanwhile, increasing consumer spending power has encouraged growth in organized in organized retailing both feeding off and contributing to the spear of mall culture and the popularity of other large-scale retail property developments. In the commercial property segment, strong growth in the services sector particularly in the IT and ITES sectors and corporates growing scale of
operations have led to greater demand for commercial space, including modern offices, warehouses and lodging space. Many Developers have substantial plans to increase both their size and geographical spread. They are also expanding into different kinds of properties, which can boost the firms franchise values and reduce concentration risks. However, managing and financing such activities can be a challenge, and puts a premium on financial flexibility, capital access and operational infrastructure.
The project assigned to me has an objective to find and analyze the current scenario of Real Estate, covering the preferences of current as well as prospective customers. The major part of the project also analyses the size of investment in various states and mind set of the customers regarding this as well as the perceptions of customers towards major leading Real Estate players.
The study was carried out with a methodology, in order to collect as much primary data as possible. Data was collected by getting the questionnaires filled from Real Estate Agents across Delhi and NCR. Areas covered in Delhi: North, East, West, South and Central Delhi. Areas covered in NCR: Gurgaon, Indirapuram, Vaishali Once the data was collected, this data was analyzed using Microsoft Excel as a tool and various conclusions were drawn. This analysis is depicted in the form of various charts and graphs. Along with the questionnaires, Agents
viewpoints on various issues were also taken in order to get a more insight into the Real Estate. Following is the analyses done and conclusions drawn: Plots, Apartments and Rented Offices are the most preferred
investment options in Real Estate people prefer for investment. The states that people prefer for investment and anticipate a good return in those states are: NCR DELHI PUNJAB
People from all over are interested in investing in NCR, including a good amount of population of NRIs. In other states, a declining trend is seen; NCR is into a stagnant state, where there are least chances of the market going worse in the near future.
Most Preferred Developer Omaxe, Ansal API Preferred Cities Jaipur, Bhiwadi PUNJAB: General size of investment in Punjab 95% of the people responded that the current size of investment in Punjab is below Rs.50 lac. Most Preferred Developer Ansal API, Emaar MGF Preferred Cities Mohali, Amritsar U.P. General size of investment in U.P. 92% of the people responded that the current size of investment in U.P. is below Rs.25 lac. Most Preferred Developer Parsvnath, Omaxe Preferred Cities Lucknow, Agra
94% of the people responded that the current size of investment in Haryana is below Rs.50 lac. Most Preferred Developer Ansal API, Omaxe Preferred Cities Sonepat, Panipat DELHI: General size of investment in Delhi 85% of the people responded that the current size of investment in Delhi is above Rs.50 lac. Most Preferred Developer DLF, Unitech NCR: General size of investment in NCR 98% of the people responded that the current size of investment in NCR is above Rs. 25 lac. Most Preferred Developer Emaar MGF, DLF Preferred Cities Gurgaon, Noida
DLF, most preferred developer in NCR, fact remains, DLF, a company for High-End investors, rather than small investors.
Emaar MGF, one of the biggest developer with huge amount of capital in its hands, since none of its projects are complete as of now, real estate agents are still not clear with its position amongst the investors.
Parsvnath in Delhi has created a place for itself by setting a trend of Metro Malls.
BRAND NAME and PREVIOUS TRACK RECORD of the company that counts most for the prospective clients to invest into a particular project. This is for a reason that projects in Real Estate cannot be accurately forecasted for success or failure. So, counting on the Brand name and previous track record is the only option prospects are left with.
People nowadays go for Short-Term investment plans. This is mainly because, Real Estate is not at a boom, so people, who are interested in investing want to invest and realize as soon as possible.
74% respondents: Own funds that people use for investing into a particular project.
94% respondents: Nearby housing facility does influence investors to invest in commercial properties in remote areas.
92%
respondents:
future
govt.
plans,
somehow
influence
the
Investments Options preferred other than Real Estate: 42% respondents: Equity & Commodities 37% respondents: Mutual Funds 12% respondents: Insurance 9% respondents: Fixed Deposits
CURRENT TREND OF REAL ESTATE UPWARD: North Delhi(Pitampura, Rohini, Netaji Subhash Place and Adjoining Areas, Dwarka, South Delhi(End-Users), East Delhi. DOWNWARD: Gurgaon(Stagnant), Rajasthan, U.P., Indirapuram, Gaziabad UPWARD situation will last for: 1-2 yrs. DOWNWARD situation will last for: 1-2 yrs.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. Company Profile 2. Product Portfolio 3. Introduction to Real Estate 4. Real Estate as an Investment Option 5. Research Methodology 6. Findings & Analysis 7. Conclusions & Suggestions Bibliography Questionnaire
COMPANY PROFILE
The Slogan, Building Lifestyle since 1967, encapsulates the Groups heritage and vision in creating a better life for Indians in various sphere like- homes, offices, places of entertainment, hotels, shopping malls & educational institutions. ANSAL API was established as a result of a dream, shared by its visionary founders. A dream that was to, radically improve the lifestyle standards of the citizens by building world class real estate solutions. After four decades of spectacular growth Ansal API is at a stage where the company has acquired immense experience, consolidated and established assets- physical and intellectual and at the same time retained youthful energy & zeal. With foundations entrenched in the solid bedrock of technical expertise and financial stability its pinnacles are rising new heights with foresight and innovations for future requirements of resurgent India.
Ansal API as an organization can be best envisaged as a creator of man made social infrastructure, where modern life blooms, in collaboration with the environment. The ascent of Ansal API to the top of the Real Estate acme is a direct product of Mr.Sushil Ansal's foresight and his dynamic leadership. Ansal API, the corporate manned by professionals at all levels with its strong base and lineage is now in a state of renaissance; all the companies of Sushil Ansal Group will now be under one banner i.e. the Ansal API. The new "Ansal API" identity, is the first communicator of this phase of resurgence, excellence and modernity. The rectangular shape signifies solidity, cohesiveness and strength, the red colour stands for passion, heat, energy, dynamism & purity and the black colour signifies the proposed amalgamation of Ansal Township and Projects Limited into Ansal
Properties and Infrastructure Limited. The slogan, ' Building lifestyles since 1967', encapsulates their heritage and vision in creating a better life for Indians in various spheres like - homes, offices, places of entertainment, hotels, shopping malls and educational institutions. Ansal API is focusing on ushering in new lifestyle ventures in cities likeGreater Noida, Gaziabadh. Meerut, Agra, Lucknow, Batindha, Mohali, Amritsar, Ludhiana, Jalandhar, Jaipur, Jodhpur, Ajmer, Sonepat, Panipat, Karmal, Kurukshetra, Faridabad, Gurgaon to name a few. It is said that actions speak louder than words and nothing highlights this adage better than Ansal API's effort to give something back to the society of which they are a part. Ansal API believes that today's children are tomorrow's leaders and in order to hone their young minds, Ansal API has forayed into the education sector with schools like the Chiranjiv Bharati School at Palam Vihar and Sushant Lok, premier institutions like the Ansal Institute of Technology and the Sushant Schools of Art and Architecture. Ansal API in its endeavour to fulfill its duties to payback in form of green cover for the society have created manmade verdant ambiance at projects like the Aravali Retreat, Pushpanjali Farms, Satbari Farms.
Ansal API plans to create an ambiance of peace and tranquility for the people who have served their duties and are now in their dusk of life to relax and enjoy their retirement by building old age homes.
Touching every facet of modern lifestyle with its signature of excellence, Ansal API has changed the skyline of India with its versatile portfolio of residential complexes, educational institutions, hotel and hospitality avenues, shopping malls, farmlands and IT parks amongst others. With its deep-rooted foundation of ethics and values, Ansal API continues to conquer new horizons, thus pioneering and identifying new vistas of growth for the real estate sector.
PRODUCT PORTFOLIO
1. COMMERCIAL
3. RETAIL/MALLS
5. IT PARKS/INDUSTRIAL PARKS/SEZs
6. EDUCATION
7. FACILITIES MANAGEMENT
Real estate is a 12$ billion (revenue) industry in India. There has been a rapid growth in the industry in the past few years.100% FDI is allowed in real estate development subject to minimum scale norms of either: 25 acres in case of serviced plots or integrated townships; or 50,000 sq. mtrs. of built-up area for construction development projects. Commercial and office complexes mushrooming in major Indian metros present a minefield of opportunities. Over 20 million new housing units required in the next 5 years. The real estate market is projected to grow to $50 billion by 2010 CAGR of over 30% p.a. is expected over the next five years. Increasing demand for commercial and office space especially from the rapidly growing Retail, IT and Hospitality sectors and the Urban Infrastructure Renewal mission is expected to give a boost to the sector. Other factors include: $11.5 billion earmarked over the next five years for 60 cities. Investment opportunities exist in almost every segment business ; About 20 million new units expected to be built in five years in office space for IT and five-fold increase in office space requirement over the next 3 years. Commercial space for organized retailing: 200 million sq. ft. by 2010.
Hotels and hospitality: Over 50,000 new rooms in the next 5 years; Investment opportunity of over $50 billion in the next five years.
Real Estate Investment Options Agriculture Land Residential/Plotted development Apartments/Villas Commercial Spaces Farm Houses
AGRICULTURE LAND Agriculture Land in India is the most protected area by the State and Central Govt. Identification of Agricultural Land requires a bit of analysis about the rate and assessment of future development in the nearby area. Due to fast growing urbanization and development of infrastructure the price of agriculture land zooms quickly. Agricultural land can be given on contract to cultivators with sharing of crop model, to make small but regular tax-free earnings. Rural agriculture land is completely free from capital gains tax and income from lease out or sale of crop is also exempt as per the provision of IT Act, 1961.
RESIDENTIAL PLOTTED DEVELOPMENT Most state governments have loosened their fists and have implemented land reforms that make the conversion of agricultural land into residential land much easier. The process of township development takes a period of about 5 to 10 years. Initially, the prices of plotted development are quite low which rapidly increases with the pace of development and with the rise in inflation factor. APARTMENTS/VILLAS As per the assessment made in the Indian Habitat Policy 1998, the demand for houses in urban area is to the tune of 22 million houses. The gap in demand and supply in housing stock has thrown big investment opportunities. Booking at the launching stage and getting the exit at the
completion stage ca offer shining returns on investments. In this process the stamp duty and other taxes can be legally avoided. COMMERCIAL/RETAIL SPACES The retail boom in India has fueled huge demand for commercial/shopping spaces. Many MNCs and big corporate retailers prefer to take prime commercial properties on long-term lease basis. The option offers regular returns besides appreciation in capital value, taking both the returns together gives handsome return and a wonderful combination of regular and a wonderful combination of regular and long-term returns.
FARM HOUSES/SECOND HOMES Many developers are offering lifestyle with smart returns through farm houses/second homes. The offer comprises of sale of farm houses at affordable rates with professional property management giving lifestyle and capital appreciation together.
Securities Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has recently allowed the launch of mutual funds which can invest in physical property. Many corporates such as HDFC and IDBI are in the process of launching real estate mutual funds.
The sector is expected to grow at a CAGR of 15 percent over the next few years. The sustained growth and positive outlook for the future has increased focus on Infrastructure development. Opening of the Infrastructure development to private players, FDI and increased investment commitments from the govt. has thrown a host of opportunities for companies in the infrastructure development sector, innovative projects like the metro Rail and Sky Bus, along with the proposed SEZ projects have provided additional opportunities for the SMEs in the sector. While majority of the infrastructure development projects are given out by the government Agencies, the private sector is also actively participating through development projects like SEZs and commercial construction. Along with the government bodies and funding agency, various
infrastructure development companies, machinery and materials suppliers, ancillary suppliers and allied support industries would play an important role in meeting in demand the for infrastructure development.
The
Indian
Infrastructure
Sector
is
currently
going
through
vast
transformation. The Governments decision to throw open the construction of roads, Bridges Airports and ports to the private sector and allowing 100 percent Foreign Investment in real Estate Projects has provided a boost to the construction Industry as well as generate demand for construction machinery. Housing and Infrastructure Projects like Roads, Bridges and Ports are expected to grow about 20 percent per annum for the next 15 years.
The new and expanding housing and infrastructure construction ventures have generated and substantial servicing, demand including for construction machinery and manufacturing erection, commissioning
maintenance. Several multi national firms are already present in the country.
Are you fatigued by the diminishing income and risk-factors associated with main-stream investment avenues fixed deposits, stocks, mutual funds, etc.? Think `real estate': a lesser explored investment option.
What
are
the
promising
avenues
of
real
estate
investment?
Offices Shopping malls Retail outlets Industrial warehouses
Top financial companies have recognized the advantage of India as a Business process outsourcing destination and had started expanding their business. Companies are increasingly switching over to renting office premises. This offers flexibility in operations and avoids locking capital. Companies operating in automobile design, auto components Manufacturing, computer aided design and drawing are also entering India in search of acquisition of space preferably as ready-to-occupy premises. Real estate developers are offering premises on long lease to the companies. Individual investors are benefiting from the developing commercial real Estate market in India by investing in pre-leased properties. Norris / Pies are investing in real estate as the rental income and capital Used to purchase the property is easily reparable .
Selecting a right option to invest hard earned-money is always a matter of big confusion. The decision making process requires in depth analysis of available options which suits the needs of a particular person or organization. A complete analysis and overview of investment decision making with innovative solutions are given hereafter.
INVESTMENT NEEDS
The investment needs depend on the requirements of a particular person about the liquidity of funds and his capacity and temperament bear risk.
The tax implication on return of investment to the investor is always a crucial matter for choosing the right option.
Liquidity
Safety
Tax Implication
Convenience To Invest
INVESTMENT OPTIONS:
The following are the major options available to the investors:
PO/Bank/Govt.Securities PO/Bank/Govt.Securities Bonds/Debentures Bonds/Debentures Bullion(Gold/Silver) (Gold/Silver) Bullion Shares/MutualFunds Funds Shares/Mutual RealEstate Estate Real
All the options have different features with respect to various factors having implication on investment decision making. The following Chart depicts the analysis of features of various options at a glance: *based on prevailing market rates **based on last 25 years track record
Shares/Mutual Funds
Good
High Risk
Reasonabl e
Reasonab le
Good Reasonab le
Good Not t
Reasonab le so Good
Convenien
% from % to
Rajasthan at a glance
Abundant availability of minerals. Open & responsive Government Proximity to Gurgaon & Delhi, which are now getting saturated. Relatively better law & order scenario as compared to many other States in North India.
Very good living conditions Good civic infrastructure Residential, Educational and Medical facilities. Road, Power and Water. Avenues for re-creation and tourism. Recent emphasis on technical manpower will yield results in near future. Easy access International Airport (Direct flights to Thailand,Singapore, Dubai). Continuously improving telecommunication infrastructure as a result of Free Right of Way facility. Strong focus now on Knowledge Sector at the highest level in State Government.
reach about 42 Lacs. The plan has been prepared to accommodate about 35 Lacs in the city & the remaining seven lacs in the satellite towns of Chomu, Bagru, Bassi, Achrol, Shivdaspura, Goner, Balawala, Jamwaramgarh, Kanota and Kakus etc. Jaipur is a tourist city. The plan provides for conservation and preservation of its architectural heritage and to augment tourist facilities. The land use plan along with the land use zoning code facilitates easy implementation of the master plan proposals. Mega Projects in Pipeline : Mahendra City (S.E.Z) on Ajmer Road3000 Acres World Trade Park Film City IT City Knowledge Corridor Ring Road Gems and Jewelry Market Rope-Way Medi-Tech City Proposed Projects: International Convention Centre Sports City Green field Airport International Golf Course
DYNAMICS OF REAL ESTATE PRICING The Interest rate factor has a direct relationship with the pricing of the immovable property. Future properties are discounted by the market at a
particular rate of discounting factor to calculate the present market value, when the discounting factor reduces by few points, the prices of immovable property increases many fold as the present value of the future property gets increased. The following chart shows the present value of Rs.1000 after 1 to 15 years. The chart clearly shows that present value of Rs.1000 after 15 years discounted @ 20% is Rs. 65, while if the same is discounted @ 10% the present value comes to Rs. 239, it is amazing to note that 50% (from 20% to 10%) curtailment in interest rates increases the present value from Rs. 65 to Rs. 239 reflecting a jump of 267%. This dynamic works in future property pricing.
*Discounting factor of Rs.1 after 15 years @20% p.a. **The same was the approx. then prevailing price.
Year 2006 Belief: Agriculture Land in Shivdaspura is a future property of 2015 and at time the price level shall be Rs. 50.00 lack per bigha. Discounting factor: 10% Present Value (PV) in the year 2006, of Rs. 50.00 laces in years 2015 was 50.00 lacs0.424* = 21.20 laces ** approx *Discounting factor of Rs.1 after 9 years @ 10% p.a. **The present prevailing price is more than that which is pushed by other driving forces.
Many Developers have substantial plans to increase both their size and geographical spread. They are also expanding into different kinds of properties, which can boost the firms franchise values and reduce concentration risks. However, managing and financing such activities can be a challenge, and puts a premium on financial flexibility, capital access and operational infrastructure. The property industry is also wrestling with oversupply in certain areas, such as in Indias commercial property sector, which may lead to rent reductions and value drops. Meanwhile, property firms must also cope with a reduction in customer advances on new construction, increasing land values (making acquisition and development deals tougher), rising interest rates since 2005, and increased difficulty in arranging capital. The latter is exacerbated by rising interest rates and property prices, which have encouraged banks to become more selective in granting loans as they try to preserve asset quality. Moreover, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has increased risk weighting for real estate exposure, which has served to curtail direct lending to this sector.
The property business in India also faces political risks. These risks may come in various forms, but include the stalling of decisions over acquisitions or planning permission during elections, while some approvals have even been rescinded following elections and changes to state governments. Property financing remains largely conducted through conventional
mortgages, with the volume of more modern, transparent and liquid products-such as shares in public property firms and CMBS-still negligible.
This is partly due to high registration charges and transaction costs and structural impediments in the securitization legal framework. Furthermore, mutual funds lack the appetite of long-tenure deals, and mostly invest in high quality debt, while pension funds and insurance companies have yet to invest in structured paper either.
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Type of Data
The data collected is Primary data and Secondary data which is both quantitative and qualitative data, which was further analyzed in order to draw conclusions and suggestions.
Data Collection
Data was collected by visiting Real Estate Agents across Delhi and NCR and getting the questionnaires filled through them. Five areas of Delhi were covered, being, North, East, West, South and Central Delhi. Areas covered in the NCR region were Gurgaon, Indripuram, Vaishali, Vasundhra.
BESIDES FINANCIAL POLICY FRAMEWORK MANAGEMENT OF LAND IS A PRECURSOR OF GROWTH FOR ANY REGION ITS CONTRIBUTION IS MANIFOLD IN ALL SYNERGISTIC AREAS OF GROWTH Give a different identity to each city Have INTL. level Planning and infrastructure physical and social Antiquated Land Policies need to change Effective implementation Conducive policies
OPPORTUNITIES
1. Northern region has looming power deficit due to which economic growth is hampered, which discourages further investments by corporate and industrial investors. 2. The challenges for power reforms in distribution in various states are vast and the private sector participation in distribution has huge potential. Even if one state in India opens up this sector every year, this will be a value creating opportunity for the customer and the state. 3. Decline in interest rates. THREATS 1. Reliance has very little expertise in distribution. 2. The risk factor in the strategy is the timing of the state government in allocating new distribution licenses. 3. The competition in this Industry is increasing very fast.
CONCLUSIONS
1. Investors have a great amount hope from ANSAL API. Although, there are delays in some ANSAL Projects, even then, investors feel secured in investing in ANSAL API projects. 2. Clients often face problems with the company follow-up and allotment.
3. In the view of real estate agents, Unitech & DLF are the best service providers. 4. Circle rates of Plots must go up. Government should control the noncommitted trend of upcoming builders. With prices of property, infrastructure should also grow. 5. Bank Loan Interest rates must go low for the survival of real estate. 6. People are not too keen to invest outside NCR, and block their money for long term. 7. There should be no hidden costs, and everything should be crystal clear, which poses a great influence on building brand image. 8. Developers should come up with timely projects. Companies should keep constant correspondence with its customers. There should be a commitment of prices by the company. 9. Pre-Launching is a major problem, thereby customers feel cheated by the Developers/Agents.
10.
12.
focus on issues like these. 13. It is observed that as far as Rajasthan is concerned, people are
not aware of its scope as an option, and have very limited information about the prevailing price hike and future scope. 14. In Delhi, in some places like South Delhi, there is a high demand
of floors, than its supply. 15. A significant reason for people to not invest outside NCR, is that
there are still good options left in NCR. 16. It is noted that there is a good amount of scope on NH-8, as the
foresight of the agents see many colonies flourishing on the highway. 17. It is anticipated, Rajasthan will take a time period of around 10
years to see a boom. 18. It is seen that there is a great demand for 2 Bedroom
Apartments in Gurgaon, but lack supply. 19. People find a reason to invest in a particular city. In Rajasthan
there is no such reason except the tourism Industry. People come to Delhi for work and not Rajasthan.