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2013StartofSeismicShiftsinMoney,Metals,Markets

Unsustainable trends can survive much longer than most people anticipate, but they do end when their time is up at the culmination of their time cycles. Examples of these trends include deficit spending, exponential debt increases, overpriced bond markets, and unbacked paper currencies, to name a few. In an effort to bring clarity in how and when these trends could change direction we analyzedmorethan20differentcycles.Theyalmostunanimouslypointtotectonic shiftsinthemonthsandyearsahead...startingnow.Wehavebeenwarned. Atthispoint,wehaveenoughconfirmationtoacceptthatthegoldandsilvercrash startinginAprilof2013wasthefirstshotacrosstheboardofwhatistocome. Financial crashes and economic collapses are not inevitable, but they seem more likelyinthenextfewyears,startinglaterthissummer. Preparationmightappearto be a waste of time and resources, but lack of preparation could result in the loss of wealth, incomes, jobs, and lives. Perhaps our leaders will guide the world economiesthroughsomeupcominghardtimes,buttheymightalsoaggravatethose hard times by following policies that benefit the political and financial elite at the expense of the middle class and the poorer classes. Look at current trends in governmentandbanking,anddecideforyourself! The next few years are likely to be quite problematic for most of the worlds population, particularly the poor. People who have the majority of their assets in stocks, bonds and paper debt may also be hurt as the currencies are inflated and purchasingpowerdeclinessharply. We have presented a summary of cycles for stocks and bonds, war, gold and silver. We show the source of the cyclic information, the relevant timing, and some commentary.

Stocks&Bonds

CharlesNennerResearch(source) Stocks should peak in mid2013 and fall until about 2020. Similarly, bonds shouldpeak in the summer of 2013 and fall thereafter for 20 years. He bases his conclusions entirely on cycle research. He expects the Dow to fall to around5,000by20182020. KressCyclesbyClifDroke(source) Themajor120yearcycleplusallminorcyclestrenddownintolate2014.The stockmarketshoulddeclinehardintolate2014. ElliottWaveCyclesbyRobertPrechter(source) He believes that the stock market has peaked and has entered a generational bearmarket.Heanticipatesacrashlowinthemarketaround20162017. MarketEnergyWave(source) Heseesa36yearcycleinstockmarketsthatispeakinginmid2013anddown 2013 2016. the controlling energy wave is scheduled to flip back to negativeonJuly19ofthisyear.Equitymarketsshoulddrop2550%. ArmstrongEconomics(source) Hiseconomicconfidence modelprojectsapeak in confidencein August 2013, abottom inSeptember2014, andanother peak in October 2015.The decline into January 2020 should be severe. He expects a worldwide crash and contractionineconomiesfrom20152020. CyclesperCharlesHughSmith(source) He discusses four longterm cycles that bottom roughly in the 2010 2020 period. They are: Credit expansion/contraction cycle; Price inflation/wage cycle;Generationalcycle;andPeakoilextractioncycle. 2

HarryDentDemographics(source) Stock prices should drop, on average for the balance of this decade. Demographic cycles in the United States (and elsewhere) indicate a contractioninrealtermsformostofthisdecade. SunSpotCycles They are due to peak in the summer of 2013 and decline into 2019. Market topsoftenoccuratornearpeaksinsunspots.Thisisanapproximate1013 yearcycle.Economicandpoliticalupheavalstendtooccuratornearthepeak ofsunspotcycles. Lucky13 1987,2000,and2013markedstockmarkethighs,all13yearsapart.

WarCycles
LarryEdelson(source) His research shows that the worldwide tendency to fight major wars rises and falls over time. He currently projects a peak about 2020 with rising war fever from 2013 until 2020. There is no shortage of possible war zones. As conditions worsen during the balance of this decade, nations will be inclined to distract and control their populace via wars and increased government controlandmanagementoftheeconomy. Longtermwarcycles 1780, 1860, 1940, 2020? About every 80 years there has been a major war involvingtheUnitedStates. 3

Gold&Silver
Amanitainflationmarketsmodel He expects a major gold low in 2014/15, and a super bull market running into 2020.HeisoneofthetoptimersintheworldaccordingtoTimerDigest. AlfField(source) He uses Elliott Wave theory to analyze gold. His first major target for gold is $4500, for Intermediate wave III of MAJOR THREE. Wave IV will be a correctionandwaveVwilltakegoldmuchhigherthereafter. CharlesNennerResearch He expects gold to bottom about now and rally substantially from here. He calledthetopingoldtwoyearsago.Hecalledforabottomaboutnowinthe $1300s.Heexpectsalargerallythatextendsseveralyears. LarryEdelson He projects a low for gold in June 2013 followed by a substantial rally until about2020,possiblyto$10,000. ArmstrongEconomics Gold is likely to be weak until after October 2015, and then move strongly higherintoJanuary 2020. Gold willrise primarilydue to thecollapseofpaper currenciesintheperiodfrom20152020.

OtherCycles
CometISON ThiscometwillbevisibleinOctoberandNovember2013itisexpectedtobe the brightest comet in years, perhaps many decades. Highly visible comets often indicate sudden changes in leadership, political systems, and financial 4

systems. Possible changes are the failure or redesign of the Euro, a dollar crash, assassination of a major leader, impeachment, derivative implosion, martiallaw,internationalwar,andamajoreconomicdefault. JRNyquistonglobalcoolingandfoodproduction(source) He discusses longterm solar output cycles. He anticipates that an approximately 200 year cycle in solar output will reduce average temperatures,availablewater,andcropyields.Heexpectshigherfoodprices and famine during the next decade. The last cold cycle low was around the timeNapoleonmarchedintoRussia. 100yearanniversaries 1913 was an important year. It marked the beginning of the Federal Reserve and the income tax in the US. 2013 has already shown that essentially all digital communications and internet activity are tracked and recorded by the government. It has also marked the authorization for military control and martial law in the United States. Further, bank account and brokerage confiscations (bailins) have already occurred and more bailins are likely. 2013 could mark the beginning of what might evolve into WWIII starting in theMiddleEast.

FinancialAstrologyCycles
Amanita(Astrologicalcycles)(source) He expects a peak for stocks, bonds, gold, and silver in July or August 2013. Thereafter,thosemarketsshoulddecline,andequitiesandbondscouldcrash. Gold and silver should rally into 2020. He anticipates a very difficult time worldwide until 2023. This could include market crashes, financial meltdowns,economiccollapse,worldwar,andincreasinggovernmentcontrol overthepopulace. 5

Furthermore, the timeline between 2016 and 2020 is the most likely period foraderivativeimplosion. BradleyModel Stock markets peak in early June 2013, bottom in late 2014, late 2017, and 2020. This model anticipates a stock market decline into 2020 from a peak in June2013. Crawford:MarsUranusCrashCycle He sees a crash window from late 2013 through early 2015. This model anticipatesastockmarketdeclineinto2020fromapeakinJune2013. Tarasovmodel Themodelseesapeakin2011,bottominlate2014andlowerlowin2020.It indicates weakening economies and decliningglobal liquidity intolate 2014,a shortbounceandthenfurtherdeclineinto2020. Amanitalongtermequitiesmodel He expects a high in spring of 2013 and a low in early 2015. This indicates nearlytwoyearsofweakeningstockmarkets,worldwide. SaturnNeptunehardaspects Period:Late2015late2016.Thesehardaspectscorrelatewiththebursting of major bubbles. Our best guess for late 2015 would be the bursting of the fiatcurrency,bond,orderivativebubbles. Globalfoodsupplies,asdiscussedbyAmanita Period: 2014 2034. Global temperatures are likely to decline, substantially lowering crop yields and causing massive starvation. Rebellions, riots, and chaosoftenbeginwithfoodshortages. 6

Summary
There are many cycles that suggest a stock market correction or crash is near. That correction/crash will probably be accompanied by a correction in the bond market that reverses much of the bullish action of the past 30 years. (Signs of a bond bear market are already visible.) Gold and silver should rally substantially as their cycles are turning up while money flees the stock and bond markets and attempts to find safetyinanincreasinglydangerousworld.Financiallyandsocially,manycycleshave turneddownward,andmanywillnotbottomuntillaterinthisdecade.Muchcango badly wrong during the next seven years. Now is NOT the time for complacency or procrastination. Alongwiththe declineinequities,bonds, andthe valueofpaper moneywillcome probably more social unrest, considerably higher consumer prices for food and energy, bankrupt local, state and national governments, more debt defaults, higher unemployment,possiblemonetaryand/oreconomiccollapse,andalikelyescalation inregionalandglobalwars. A gradual cooling(NOTwarming)will reducecrop yieldsand drivealreadyhighfood prices much higher. The worlds poor will suffer. Hungry people are inclined to rebel and threaten world governments. Hence governments will become more repressive and will increase their information gathering on all those viewed as potentiallythreateningtothestatusquo. Paul B. Farrell of Market Watch sees Doomsday poll: 87% risk of stock crash by yearend.Thelinkishere. Alf Field wrote this in 2011 regarding what is needed to fix our monetary system: TheBrutalTruths: 1. The slate needs to be wiped clean and a new sound monetary system introduced. 7

2. That will require the elimination of all debt, deficits, unfunded social entitlements, the US Dollar as Reserve currency, and the big one, the $600 trillionofderivatives. 3. To eliminate these problems by default and deflation will cause a banking collapseanduntoldeconomicpain,leadingtoriotsandpoliticalchange. 4. Politicians are appointed for relatively short terms and opt for the easy solutions. 5. While politicians continue to have the ability to create new money at will, they willdosoinordertopreventameltdownontheirwatch. 6. Consequently the odds point to governments wiping the slate clean by generatingenoughnewmoneytoeventuallydestroytheircurrencies. 7. The new international monetary system is likely to involve precious metals. It willhavetobe moneythatpeopletrustandthatgovernmentscannot createat will.

Preparation is important. You still have a little timeremainingbeforethewindowcloses!

TakiTsaklanosGoldSilverWorlds|GEChristensonTheDeviantInvestor

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