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Afghanistan risk exposed

New Scientist, September 9, 2006 The ferocity of the Taliban's assault on coalition forces in Afghanistan has been highlighted by a penetrating statistical analysis of fatality rates among coalition troops. Since May, an average of five coalition soldiers have been killed every week by the Taliban--twice the death rate suffered by coalition forces during the invasion of Iraq in 2003. The analysis shows that troops are fighting one of the fiercest campaigns since the Bush administration's "war on terror" began in 2001. Sheila Bird, vice-president of the UK's Royal Statistical Society, suspected that the casualty figures issued by the US, UK and Canadian governments do not give a true picture of the risks coalition forces face, because they do not reveal fatalities as a proportion of the fortes deployed. Bird found that from 1 May to 12 August, 73 of the 18,500 members of NATO's International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) in Afghanistan were killed, a rate of nearly 14, deaths per 1000 person years. This compares to the 43-day battle for control of Iraq in 2003, in which the UK lost 33 personnel from 46,000 deployed--a rate of 6 deaths per 1000 person years. The ISAF fatality rate of almost free deaths per week shows no sign of falling: in the three weeks since 12 August, 13 more coalition troops have died, and the crash of a British Nimrod aircraft on 2 September added 14, more deaths. "The commentary we are getting from politicians about this conflict does not do justice to the threat our forces now face in Afghanistan," Bird says. Full Text: COPYRIGHT 2006 Reed Business Information Ltd. For more science news and comments, see http://www.newscientist.com. http://www.reedbusiness.co.uk/

Source Citation "Afghanistan risk exposed." New Scientist 191.2568 (2006): 6. Science In Context . We b. 28 Mar. 2013. Document URL http://ic.galegroup.com.vlib.interchange.at/ic/scic/AcademicJournalsDetailsPage/ AcademicJournalsDetailsWindow?failOverType=&query=&prodId=SCIC&windo wstate=normal&contentModules=&mode=view&displayGroupName=Journals&am p;limiter=&currPage=&disableHighlighting=false&displayGroups=&so rtBy=&source=&search_within_results=&action=e&catId=&activit yType=&scanId=&documentId=GALE%7CA151607714&userGroupName=wash894 60& amp;jsid=d3ed1ed5e7a8316aa2f0b6b38ae50d5c Gale Document Number: GALE|A151607714

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