Page 1 of 5

AJC H2 Maths _Prelim 2010_P2 (Solutions)

1
( ) ( )
1
1
2
2
2
9
9 1
1
ax
ax bx
bx

+
= + +
+

( )
2
2
1 1
2 2
3 1 ... 1 ...
18 2! 9
a a
x x bx
| | | |

| |
| |
\ .
| = + + + +
|
| \ .
|
\ .


( )
2
2 2
3 1 ... 1 ...
18 648
a a
x x bx
| |
= + + +
|
\ .

2
2
3 3
6 216
a a
x b x
| |
~ + +
|
\ .

By comparing coefficients, a =6 and b =-2
The valid range for expansion of
2
9
1
ax
bx
+
+
is
2
1
< x .
2
3 2
2
3 2 1 1 1
( )
3 2 1 2
x x x
f x x
x x x x
+ + +
= = +
+ + + +


3 2
2
1 1 1
3 2 1 1 1
( )
3 2 1 2
N N N
x x x
x x x
f x x
x x x x
= = =
+ + + | |
= = +
|
+ + + +
\ .


1
1 1
1 1
1 2
1 1
1 2
N
x
N N
x x
x
x x
x
x x
=
= =
| |
= +
|
+ +
\ .
| |
= +
|
+ +
\ .

1 1
( 1)
2 2 2
N
N
N
= + +
+

1
( )
N
x
f x
=

=sum of N rectangles under the curve.

1
1
( )
N
f x dx
+
}
=sum of the area under the curve
As shown in the diagram, as the curve is concave
upwards,
Area of N rectangles <area bounded by the curve
1
1
1
( ) ( )
N
N
x
f x f x dx
+
=
<

}


3
Let w =
1
z
,
|z a | = a
1 1 aw
a a a
w w

= =
1
w w
a
=
The locus of w is a straight line (the perpendicular bisector of
1
1
w
a
= & w
2
=0
If
1
0
2
a < < 0 2 1 a < < and
1
1
2a
>
Hence
1
2
2
a
a
<
Therefore the 2 loci do not intersect.

1
2
a =
0
x
y
y= f(x)
1 2 3
N+1
N
a
2a
1
a

1
2a

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0.5 1
sin
1
2 0.5 3
19.5
o
AP a
AB
a
a
u
u
= = = =

=

Hence
1
160.5 arg 180
o o
z
a
| |
s s
|
\ .
or
1
180 arg 160.5
o o
z
a
| |
< s
|
\ .

As a approaches 0,
1
arg 180
o
z
a
| |

|
\ .

4i





4ii









4iii
a b =

cos cos2
sin sin2
1 12
| | | |
| |

| |
| |

\ . \ .
t t
t t
1
cos cos2 sin sin2
2
= t t t t
1 1
cos( 2 ) cos3
2 2
= + = t t t
( )
2
2 2 2 2
1
cos3
2 1
2
cos cos3
5 2
1
cos sin 1 cos 2 sin 2
2

| |
Z = = =
|
\ .
+ + + +
t
a b
AOB t
a b
t t t t

For maximum ZAOB , since 0s Z s t AOB and cosuis a decreasing function over
| | 0,t , we aim
to minimize cosZAOB, ie.
2 1
cos3
5 2
| |

|
\ .
t .
Thus, cos3 1 = t , ie.
3
t
= t (since 0 t t s < ).
When
2
t
t
= ,
0 1
1 , 0
1 12
| | | |
| |
= =
| |
| |

\ . \ .
a b
1 0 1
0 1 1
12 1 3/ 2
AB
| | | | | |
| | |
= =
| | |
| | |

\ . \ . \ .

and
0
1 1
0 1 1
r r
AC s s
| | | | | |
| | |
= =
| | |
| | |

\ . \ . \ .

Since A, B and C are collinear, AB k AC =


1
1 1
3/ 2 1
r
k s
| | | |
| |
=
| |
| |
\ . \ .

Looking at the z component, k=- 3/2, so r =-2/3 and s =1/3

5i




















300
dV
kV
dt
=
1
1
300
dV dt
kV
=

} }

1
ln300 kV t C
k
= +
( )
300
k t C
kV e
+
=
300
kt
kV Ae

=
When 0 t = , 0 V =
0
300 0 Ae = 300 A =
300(1 )
kt
e
V
k

= (Shown).
When 20 t = , 4500 V = ,
20
300(1 )
4500
k
e
k

=
20
15 (1 )
k
k e

=
From the GC, 0.030293 k =
2
nd
alarm : when 6000 V =
0.030293
300(1 )
6000
0.030293
t
e

= 30.7 t =
The residents will have 10.7 minutes between the 1
st
and 2
nd
alarm.

3
300
9903
0.030293
t V m = which is impossible as the canal has only a fixed volume of
3
6000m . The model is not valid for large values of t.
1/2 2
u
P
B
A
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6 No of ways to invite her guests =(2)
7
1 =127

No of ways to arrange a round table =2! X 4! X 2! X 8 =768

No of ways to select 2 facilitators and 2 teams (Without any restrictions)
=8C2 x (6C3 x 3C3) 2! =280
No of ways to select the 2 facilitators and 2 teams with Lee family forming 1 team
=4C3 x 5C2 x 3C3 =40

No. of possible formations = 280 40 = 240

7 (a)(i) For x on y, s.f.) (3 1 . 31 309 . 0 13 . 31 3085 . 0 + = + = y x y x
For y on x, (3s.f.) 0 . 96 85 . 2 999 . 95 8526 . 2 + = + + = x y x y

(ii) Since chemical Y is the controlled variable, use regression line of x on y.
91 . 100 13 . 31 3085 . 0 0 = + = y y
The estimation is not valid as this is an extrapolation, linear relation may not hold outside the
range of data.

1(b)(i) By comparing the linear product moment correlation for the 3 models, Model C is the
most appropriate with the highest value of 993 . 0 = r as it best describes the data given.

Using linear transformation x w ln = ,
Regression line of w on y is 0.026136 3.8294 0.0261 3.83 (3 s.f.) w y w y = + = +

(ii) Change in w = 0.026136(5) 0.13068 0.131 (3 s.f.) = ~
w decreases by 0.131.

(b)(iii) ( ) 5 . 1 b where 9 . 0
2 2
= = = bd r
( )
54 . 0
5 . 1
9 . 0
Hence
2
=

= d
Since ( ) 12 5 . 1 line reg on the lies , + = x z z x ,
12 5 . 1 + = x z
29.1 16.2 8.9 5.1 3.8
3.3220655
5
x
+ + + +
= =
1.5(3.3220655) 12 7.0169 z = + =
Hence, reg line of x on z is (3.3220655) 0.54( 7.0169) x z =
0.54 7.11 (3.s.f) x z = +

8
(i) Unbiased estimate of is
80
12 12.4
200
x = + =
Unbiased estimate of
2
o is s
2

2
200 1425 80
( ) 7
199 200 200
(
= =
(


(ii) H
0
: =12
H
1
: 12 = Test Statistic :
12
/ 200
X
Z
s

= ~N(0,1) under H
0
by CLT
Using GC, p -value =0.0325 Given that H
0
is not rejected, 3.25 o <
(iii) Since we will be using a one-tailed test in stead of a two-tailed test,

1
(3.250944) 1.625472 1.63
2
o o < = <
Page 4 of 5
(iv) The management must have a sampling frame (the list of all cars parked). If there are N cars,
choose a random number, k, from 1 to N/200 (take the nearest integer value), then select
every (N/200)th car until a sample of 200 is obtained.

9
(i) P(C) = ( )
1
1 1
5
p p +
(ii) KC represents the event where Alice does not know the correct answer but she
answers correctly.
(iii) P(K|C) =
( ' ) 1
( ) 16
P K C
P C

=
( )
( )
1
1
1
5
1
16
1 1
5
p
p p

=
+
solving, get p =0.75.
When p =0.3, P(C) =0.3+0.70.2=0.44

P(3 consecutive correct | 3 correct answers) =
3 2
3 2 5
3
(0.44) (0.56) 3 3
(0.44) (0.56) 10 C

P(negative score) =P(0 correct or 1 correct) =
5 5 4
1
(0.56) (0.56) (0.44) C + =0.271

10 Let X be the r.v. denoting the number of orders for herbal chicken soup in 30 min.
~ (2.3) X Poi
Let Y be the r.v. denoting the number of orders for herbal chicken soup in 1 hour.
~ (2.3 2) Y Poi i.e. ~ (4.6) Y Poi

(i) ( ) ( ) ( ) 6 10 9 5 P Y P Y P Y s < = s s 0.29471 0.295(3. . ) s f = ~
(ii) ~ (4.6) Y Poi , Mean =variance =4.6
Since n =100 is large, by CLT,
4.6
(4.6, )
100
Y N approximately
( 5) 0.031090 0.0311(3. . ) P Y s f > = ~

(iii) Let T be the r.v. denoting the number of orders for herbal chicken soup in a day (8 hours).
~ (2.3 16) T Poi i.e. ~ (36.8) T Poi
Since 10 > , ~ (36.8,36.8) T N approximately.
( ) ( )
20 1.4 8 250 P T T > +
( )
350
8.8 350 0 ( 39.773)
8.8
P T P T P T
| |
= > = > = >
|
\ .

=P(T>40) =P(T>39.5) cc
=0.328

(iv) Let A be the r.v. denoting the number of orders for herbal chicken soup in 2 hours
(lunch time)
~ (2.3 4) A Poi i.e. ~ (9.2) A Poi
Let H be the r.v. denoting the number of days with more than 10 orders during lunch period
from 12 to 2pm.
( ) ( ) 10 1 10 1 0.68202 0.31798 P A P A > = s = =
( ) ( )
~ 25, 10 H Bin P A > i.e. ( ) ~ 25,0.31798 H Bin
( 14) ( 13) 0.98947 0.989 (3.s.f) P H P H < = s = =
Since the probability of having less than 14 days with more than 10 orders during the lunch
period is quite high, he should close down his business.
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(iv) The use of the Poisson model is not suitable in this context as the number of orders during
lunch and dinner period will likely be higher than the rest of the hours in a day, thus it is
unlikely that the mean number of orders is the same for each 30 minute period.
11 (i) Let A be the r.v. denoting the amount of time taken by the machine to produce a large tub of
ice- cream.
2
( , ) A N o

( 60) 0.88
60
0.88
60
1.17499
60 1.17499 (1)
P A
P Z

o

o
o
< =
| |
< =
|
\ .

=
=


Equating (1) and (2), 5.8845 5.88 (3.s.f) and 53.08583 53.1 (3.s.f) o = = = =

(ii) Let B be the r.v. denoting the amount of time taken by the machine to produce a small tub of
ice- cream.
2
(20,2 ) B N
Required prob = ( )
( )
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3
3 60 P A A A A A B B B + + + + + + >
Let ( )
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3
3 T A A A A A B B B = + + + + + + .
( ) 85.42915,281.1367 T N
( )
( )
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3
3 60 P A A A A A B B B + + + + + + >
( )
60 P T = >
( ) 1 60 60 P T = < < 0.935317 0.935 (3.s.f) = =

(iv) Let C be the number of times the machine takes at least 60 minutes to produce a large
tub of ice-cream.
( ) ( )
, 60 C Bin n P A > i.e. ( ) ,1 0.88 C Bin n
Since n is large, np >5 and n(1-p) >5, ( ) 0.12 ,0.1056 C N n n
( ) 20 0.2 P C > <
( ) 20 0.5 0.2 (cc) P C > + <

20.5 0.12
0.2
0.1056
n
P Z
n
| |
> <
|
\ .

Using GC, ( ) 0.84162 0.2 P Z > =
Thus,
20.5 0.12
0.84162
0.1056
n
n

> 0.12 0.2735 20.5 0 n n + <

Solving -14.26 < n <11.98 greatest n =143.

( 50) 0.70
50
0.70
50
0.52440
50 0.52440 (2)
P A
P Z

o

o
o
> =
| |
> =
|
\ .

=
= +