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, Suite 304
St. Petersburg, FL 33702
Phone: (727) 245-1962
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Email: info@stpetepolls.org
Website: www.stpetepolls.org
Matt Florell, President

Subject: Florida U.S. Congressional District 13 Special Election survey

conducted for SaintPetersBlog.com
Date: January 9, 2014
Executive Summary:
This poll of 653 Florida U.S. Congressional District 13 Republican voters was conducted on
Thursday, January 9, 2014. This poll used the registered voter lists supplied by the state of Florida
as of December 3rd, 2013. The sample of voters that were called included random samples of
registered Republican voters within the boundaries of the 13th U.S. Congressional District of
Florida.
The issues surveyed included questions related to the January 2014 special election Republican
primary.
Methodology:
The poll was conducted by an automated phone call polling system. The results were then
weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the
demographics of the active Republican voter population for Florida's U.S. Congressional District
13. The demographics used were: race and age and gender.
The voters polled were chosen at random within the registered voter population within Florida's
U.S. Congressional District 13. Only voters that stated they had voted already or were planning to
vote in the Republican primary special election were included in this survey.
The scientific results shown for the questions below have a sample size of 653 respondents and a
Margin of Error of 3.8% at a 95% confidence level.

2014 Fextel, Inc.

phone: (727) 245-1962

website: www.stpetepolls.org

Summary of Scientific Results:

ALL REPUBLICAN VOTERS:
In the Republican Primary for the US Congressional district 13 seat, would you vote for
Mark Bircher, David Jolly or Kathleen Peters?
Bircher:
26.3%
Jolly:
36.5%
Peters:
23.9%
Undecided:
13.3%

Breakdown of Early Voters and Likely Voters

EARLY REPUBLICAN VOTERS ONLY: (311 respondents)
In the Republican Primary for the US Congressional district 13 seat, would you vote for Mark
Bircher, David Jolly or Kathleen Peters?
Bircher:
28.9%
Jolly:
38.6%
Peters:
25.4%
Undecided:
7.1%

LIKELY REPUBLICAN VOTERS ONLY: (342 respondents)

In the Republican Primary for the US Congressional district 13 seat, would you vote for Mark
Bircher, David Jolly or Kathleen Peters?
Bircher:
24.0%
Jolly:
34.5%
Peters:
22.5%
Undecided:
19.0%

Detailed Results with Demographic Breakdowns for Each Question:

ALL REPUBLICAN VOTERS:
In the Republican Primary for the US Congressional district 13 seat, would you vote for
Mark Bircher, David Jolly or Kathleen Peters?
Bircher:
26.3%
Jolly:
36.5%
Peters:
23.9%
Undecided:
13.3%
Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:
Bircher:
Jolly:
Peters:
Undecided:

26.3%
36.4%
23.9%
13.3%

Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 625 responses
Bircher:
26.2%
Jolly:
37.3%

Peters:

23.7%

Undecided:

12.8%

Black, Not Hispanic 2 responses

Bircher:
0%
Jolly:
0%

Peters:

50.0%

Undecided:

50.0%

Asian or Pacific Islander 6 responses

Bircher:
33.3%
Jolly:
33.3%

Peters:

16.7%

Undecided:

16.7%

Hispanic 10 responses
Bircher:
30.0%

20.0%

Peters:

30.0%

Undecided:

20.0%

Other or Unknown 10 responses

Bircher:
30.0%
Jolly:
10.0%

Peters:

30.0%

Undecided:

30.0%

Gender Breakdown:
Male 313 responses
Bircher:
28.1%

Jolly:

Jolly:

34.8%

Peters:

25.6%

Undecided:

11.5%

Female 340 responses

Bircher:
24.7%

Jolly:

37.9%

Peters:

22.4%

Undecided:

15.0%

Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 21 responses
Bircher:
23.8%

Jolly:

19.0%

Peters:

38.1%

Undecided:

19.0%

30 to 49 121 responses
Bircher:
22.3%
Jolly:

32.2%

Peters:

28.9%

Undecided:

16.5%

50 to 69 300 responses
Bircher:
28.7%
Jolly:

38.0%

Peters:

22.0%

Undecided:

11.3%

70 and up 211 responses

Bircher:
25.6%
Jolly:

38.4%

Peters:

22.3%

Undecided:

13.7%

2014 Fextel, Inc.

phone: (727) 245-1962

website: www.stpetepolls.org