Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Monthly Report
HE BOTTOM LINE Shifts in the Las Vegas housing market continue to sound alarms for some real estate professionals in the trenches. The latest concerns, while generally valid, are not
unusual. Recall the boom-time era when most were frustrated with the lack of inventory and waiting lists at new home communities? How about the depressed pricing levels that emerged
as the community moved from the nations fastest appreciating market to its fastest depreciating? Today, the market appears to be reaching a plateau in terms of pricing, but some have
concerns that the market is at some sort of inflection point. The reality is that median resale home prices have remained relatively stable during the better part of the past 9 months (between
$150,000 and $160,000), while effective availability has risen from 1.6 months to 3.5 months during the same 9-month period. The latest rises in resale availability are being somewhat masked by
the product that is available. To use a retailer metaphor, most inventory has been picked over, with some of the unwanted product likely to hit the discount store shelves or move to the clearance
section. Regardless of what these less-than-ideal homes fetch on the open market, flushing lower-grade inventory through the system will be necessary for the long-run stability of the market.
Pricing moderation is both necessary and appropriate. Remember, todays prices are more aligned with income levels than at any point in the past decade. During the height of the market, the
price-to-income ratio (median home price compared to the median household income) was nearly 6-to-1. At the bottom of the cycle (2011), the price-to-income ratio dipped to nearly 2-to-1.
Today, the ratio stands at just over 3-to-1 and is more reflective of a sustainable pricing dynamic than at any point in the previous boom-bust cycle.
NEW HOME CLOSINGS: New home closing volumes remain below levels reported one year ago. The 423 new
home closings in February represented a 14.9-percent decline from the prior year. For the year-to-date they are down
18.3 percent, yet they remain up 16.9 percent on a trailing 12-month basis. Recent softness in closing data is largely
sourced to a slowdown in contracting in mid- to late-2013.
EXISTING (RESALE) HOME PRICING: Pricing in the resale market has remained within a relatively tight range.
With a median of $158,000 in February, prices are comparable to the $158,500 in January. Compared to a year ago,
prices are up 21.5 percent. Prices per square foot held relatively steady at $103.
NEW HOME SUPPLY: Permitting activity during February was relatively modest with 377 new home permits
issued in the four jurisdictions in southern Nevada. Volumes are down from January and February 2013. On a yearto-date basis, they are down 23.1 percent and for the past 12 months, they are up a modest 1.3 percent.
EXISTING (RESALE) HOME CLOSINGS: Resale closing volumes have continued to trend down from the prior
year. The 3,058 closings in February reflect a 15.9-percent decline from 2013. Year-to-date closings are off 13.5
percent and for the past 12 months, they are down 8.2 percent.
NEW HOME PRICING: Price points also moderated in the latest month, with a median value of $292,225. Closing prices reflect a slight decline from Januarys $305,125 and a 26.2-percent increase from the same month of the
prior year. The price per square foot held stable month-to-month at $125.
RESALE AVAILABILITY (MLS LISTINGS): A total of 8,397 resale units are listed as available in the Multiple
Listing Service (MLS), doubling the level from one year ago. When compared to the volume of closings in the MLS,
effective inventory is 3.5 months, significantly more than the 1.3 months a year ago.
BANK FORECLOSURES (REPOSSESSIONS): Bank repossessions in February totaled 314 units (up 48.1
percent year-over-year).
SalesTraq
Value
Annual Growth
$292,225
$125.47
423
824
6,891
377
817
6,531
149
2.84
+26.2%
+5.0%
-14.9%
-18.3%
+16.9%
-18.6%
-23.1%
+1.3%
-2.0%
-13.2%
T: 702.949.3333
E: info@SalesTraq.com
SalesTraq.com
Value
Annual Growth
$158,000
$103.11
3,058
6,060
46,622
314
655
2,706
8,397
3.5
+21.5%
+18.6%
-15.9%
-13.5%
-8.2%
+48.1%
+40.9%
-16.2%
+108.8%
+167.4%
February 2014
Monthly Report
SalesTraq Fast-Facts
Page 1
$320,000
700
$300,000
600
$280,000
500
$240,000
Feb-12
300
$220,000
Feb-14
Oct-13
Dec-13
Aug-13
Apr-13
Jun-13
Feb-13
Oct-12
Dec-12
Aug-12
Apr-12
Jun-12
Feb-12
Average Sales
Per Subdivision
286 7.5% $196,483 3.3% $95.40 -1.7% 236 0.0% 241 2.6% 1.19 4.8%
514 43.2% 225 -5.9% 1.55 30.6%
Apr-12
$95.05 2.8%
$96.18 -1.3%
$180,000
May-12
Jun-12
373
Jul-12
$98.19 1.7%
Aug-12
Sep-12
592 48.7% $198,845 -3.1% $102.64 4.0%
Median New Home Prices
$320,000
Oct-12
$300,000
4.5%
580 79.6%
$193,875 -3.7%
$216,045
9.4%
$103.32
$103.98
5.5%
5.6%
648 41.8%
543 175.6%
20.4%
Nov-12
Dec-12
$280,000
$260,000
Jan-13
$240,000
$220,000
Feb-13
$200,000
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
700
Sep-13
580 -2.0%
$267,856 34.7%
$126.08
22.8%
465
6.4%
17.6%
600
Oct-13
577 -0.5%
$289,521 34.0%
$127.70
22.8%
587
8.1%
19.6%
Nov-13
424 -23.9%
$293,738 34.1%
$125.20
14.3%
437 -8.4%
Dec-13
534 -11.7%
$300,469 36.6%
$123.57
14.2%
377 -5.0%
Jan-14
8.3%
440 -26.5%
Feb-14
5.0%
377 -18.6%
500
400
300
200
0
Feb-12
Apr-12
Jun-12
Aug-12
Oct-12
Dec-12
Feb-13
Apr-13
Jun-13
Aug-13
Oct-13
Dec-13
Feb-14
100
$180,000
$116.05 26.0%
Feb-12
Apr-12
Jun-12
Aug-12
Oct-12
Dec-12
Feb-13
Apr-13
Jun-13
Aug-13
Oct-13
Dec-13
Feb-14
Feb-12
Feb-12
Feb-12
Apr-12
Apr-12
Apr-12
Jun-12
Jun-12
Jun-12
Aug-12
Aug-12
Aug-12
Oct-12
Oct-12
Oct-12
Dec-12
Dec-12
Dec-12
Feb-13
Feb-13
Feb-13
Apr-13
Apr-13
Apr-13
Jun-13
Jun-13
Jun-13
Aug-13
Aug-13
Aug-13
Oct-13
Oct-13
Oct-13
Dec-13
Dec-13
Dec-13
Feb-14
Feb-14
Feb-14
Feb-14
Dec-13
Active
Subdivisions
$98.46 3.8%
200
$220,000
300
100
200
$200,000
0
100
$180,000
0
Dec-13
Feb-14
New Home
Permits
$200,000
New Home
Avg $/SqFt
Mar-12
100
SalesTraq Fast-Facts
New Home Permits
Page 1
900 Median New Home Prices
800 New Home Sales
$320,000
800
700
$300,000
600
700
$280,000
500
600
$260,000
400
500
$240,000
300
400
Feb-12
Apr-12
Jun-12
Aug-12
Oct-12
Dec-12
Feb-13
Apr-13
Jun-13
Aug-13
Oct-13
Dec-13
Feb-14
200
New Home
Closings
$260,000
400
800
599 169.8%
6.1%
February 2014
Monthly Report
$165,000
5,000
$155,000
$145,000
4,500
$125,000
3,500
2.2 -53.2%
Mar-12
5,299
2.4%
$105,000 -2.8%
$67.44
-3.9%
2.1 -48.8%
Apr-12
4,657 -7.3%
$107,000
0.5%
$68.57
-2.0%
1.3 -66.7%
$112,000
5.9%
$75.55
7.3%
1.1 -68.2%
Feb-12
Apr-12
Jun-12
Aug-12
Oct-12
Dec-12
Feb-13
Apr-13
Jun-13
Aug-13
Oct-13
Dec-13
Feb-14
Oct-13
Dec-13
Aug-13
Apr-13
Jun-13
Feb-13
Oct-12
Dec-12
Aug-12
Apr-12
Jun-12
Feb-12
May-12
4,833 -5.6%
Jun-12
$78.20 14.2%
1.2 -60.6%
Jul-12
$79.81 16.9%
1.4 -58.4%
Aug-12
$81.80 18.7%
1.4 -56.2%
$79.60 16.1%
1.6 -51.3%
$79.67
18.3%
1.3 -57.8%
Oct-12
4,257
Nov-12
$82.09 23.3%
1.5 -53.8%
Dec-12
$135,000
$83.88 24.9%
1.3 -53.7%
$125,000
Jan-13
$87.59 34.5%
1.6 -44.3%
$115,000
Feb-13
$86.96 32.1%
1.3 -41.0%
Mar-13
$90.42 34.1%
1.2 -42.6%
Apr-13
$96.84 41.2%
1.2
May-13
$95.43 26.3%
1.3 12.9%
Jun-13
$99.52 27.3%
1.6 33.8%
Foreclosures (REOs)
Jul-13
2.2 60.7%
600
Aug-13
2.6 94.7%
500
Sep-13
400
Oct-13
300
Nov-13
3.3 122.5%
200
Dec-13
3.0 128.7%
Feb-14
Dec-
Aug-
Oct-13
Jun-13
Apr-13
Feb-13
Dec-
Aug-
Oct-12
Jun-12
Apr-12
Feb-12
100
Jan-14
Feb-14
$105,000
$95,000
1.4%
$124,000 18.1%
Feb-12
Apr-12
Jun-12
Aug-12
Oct-12
Dec-12
Feb-13
Apr-13
Jun-13
Aug-13
Oct-13
Dec-13
Feb-12
Feb-12
Apr-12
Feb-12
Apr-12
Jun-12
Apr-12
Jun-12Aug-
Jun-12
Aug-12
Oct-12
Aug-12
Oct-12
Dec-
Oct-12
Dec-12
Feb-13
Dec-12
Feb-13
Apr-13
Feb-13
Apr-13
Jun-13
Apr-13
Jun-13
Aug-
Jun-13
Aug-13
Oct-13
Aug-13
Oct-13
Dec-
Oct-13
Dec-13
Feb-14
Dec-13
Feb-14
Feb-14
Dec-13
-8.9%
$145,000
Foreclosures (REOs)
$65.83
$155,000
700
Feb-14
Dec-
$165,000
600
5,500
$155,000
500
5,000
$145,000
400
4,500
$135,000
300
4,000
$125,000
200
$115,000
3,500
100
$105,000
3,000
0
$95,000
2,500
Available MLS
Effective MLS
Listings (Resale) Inventory (in months)
$101,000 -7.3%
$95,000
Bank
Repossessions
7.7%
2,500
Median
Existing
Prices
Existing Home Home
Prices
700 Median
Existing Home
Avg $/SqFt
4,331
$105,000
Foreclosures (REOs)
Median
Closing Prices
Feb-12
$115,000
3,000
Existing Home
Closings
$135,000
4,000
5,500
-8.6%
February 2014
Monthly Report
NUMBER OF SALES
Distressed Sales Categories
Auction
REO
Short Sale
Non-
Distressed
Total
All Types
Non-
Distressed
Total
All Types
Feb-12
628 1,679
923
1,101
Mar-12
602 2,036
1,078
1,583
Apr-12
423 1,652
1,071
1,511
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
355
782 1,267
Aug-12
321
768 1,486
Sep-12
224
548 1,315
Oct-12
290
572 1,493
Nov-12
231
494 1,235
Dec-12
167
484 1,514
Jan-13
235
449
911
Feb-13
242
377 1,103
Mar-13
222
364 1,094
Apr-13
226
419 1,115
May-13
313
376 1,137
Jun-13
252
314 1,015
Jul-13
378
316
933
Aug-13
247
344
807
Sep-13
276
290
604
Oct-13
268
292
643
Nov-13
158
309
531
Dec-13
147
334
544
Jan-14
171
336
385
Feb-14
189
326
333
Monthly Report
February 2014
SalesTraq
Effective
Housing Inventory
89143
89085
3.2
89131
3.0
89166
3.2
89002
89011
89012
89014
89015
89030
89031
89032
89044
89052
89074
89081
89084
89085
89086
89101
89102
89103
89104
89106
89107
89108
89109
89110
89113
89115
89117
89118
2.4
4.7
2.8
2.9
2.4
5.1
2.5
3.3
4.6
4.3
2.3
3.0
3.6
2.6
2.4
3.9
4.6
4.9
3.8
2.2
4.1
3.9
5.2
3.3
4.9
3.6
4.7
4.0
Zip Code
89119
89120
89121
89122
89123
89128
89129
89130
89131
89134
89135
89138
89139
89141
89142
89143
89144
89145
89146
89147
89148
89149
89156
89166
89169
89178
89179
89183
89130
2.4
89031
2.3
Inventory
3.0
3.4
3.8
4.6
2.5
3.4
2.3
2.3
3.0
4.6
4.8
3.1
4.3
4.0
3.3
3.2
2.9
4.4
3.8
2.3
2.9
3.6
4.0
3.2
5.6
2.7
5.5
2.2
89086
89084
89149
3.6
Inventory
N/A
3.6
Zip Code
89087
2.6
89081
2.5
3.0
89115
3.6
89191
89129
2.3
89032
3.3
89030
89134
5.1
4.6
89138
3.1
89128
3.4
89144
2.9
89145
4.4
89117
4.7
3.9
89147
2.3
89148
89113
2.2
89107
89146
3.8
89110
89101
3.3
3.9
4.1
89104
89102
4.6
89103
3.3
89109 5.2
89169 5.6
89121
89119
3.0
4.0
4.3
89120
3.4
89123
2.5
4.7
89015
89074
2.3
2.4
2.8
89183
2.7
89124
89011
89014
89012
89178
5.5
4.6
2.9
89139
89179
89122
3.8
4.9
89004
89124
89142
3.8
4.9
89118
2.9
4.0
89106
89135
4.8
89156
89108
89002
2.2
2.4
89052
89141
4.3
4.0
89124
89044
4.6
Note: Inventory includes available homes (excluding contingent and pending properties) relative to closings.
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
Monthly Report
February 2014
By Type
Auction
By Price
SalesTraq Fast-Facts
Page 5
REO
Short Sale
Non-Distressed
$180,000
$170,000
$160,000
$150,000
$140,000
$130,000
$120,000
$110,000
$100,000
$90,000
$80,000
5,000
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
Auction
$180,000
$170,000
$160,000
$150,000
Resale Closings
$140,000
Auction Sales
$130,000
$120,000
Short Sales
$110,000
REO Sales
$100,000
$90,000
Non-Distressed
$80,000
REO
Short Sale
SALESTRAQ STANDARD: A database of new residential construction in southern Nevada providing an easy-to-navigate
search feature. The product also includes access to nearly
20,000 searchable floor plans, which is ideal for listing presentations, brochures and more.
Auction
Non-Distressed
REO
Short Sale
Non-Distressed
Key Statistics
Closings
12 Months
Pricing
100,000Avg PSF
Median
189
6%
2,847
6%
$133,406
80,000
$89
333
11%
9,141
20%
70,000
$153,000
$89
Month
326
Sales
11%
3,058
Auction
Home Closings
REO
60,000
4,020
9%
72% 30,614
66%
$164,900
40,000
$107
30,000
$158,000
$103
2,210
Total
90,000
Short Sale
$145,728
50,000
20,000
0
$350,000
$325,000
$300,000
$275,000
$250,000
$225,000
$200,000
$175,000
$150,000
$125,000
$100,000
$75,000
90,000
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
$350,000
$325,000
$300,000
'03
'04
'05
'06
'07
'08
Resale Homes
SalesTraq
'09
'10
'11
New Homes
'12
of February
Sales were VACANT
'04
'05
'06
'07
'08
'09
'10
'11
RESALE
HOMES
Median '03
Home
Prices
Resale Homes
New Homes
NEW HOMES
100,000
59%
of February
Sales were CASH
10,000
Non-Distressed
RESALE HOMES
47%
$97
'13
'03
'04
'05
'06
'07
'08
Resale Homes
T: 702.949.3333
'09
'12
'13
NEW
HOMES
'10
'11
New Homes
E: info@SalesTraq.com
'12
'13
SalesTraq.com